NHL Monday OVER 7 in Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:07 ET - Buffalo off a truly shocking result with a 2-0 shutout win in their most recent game. Note that Comrie got the shutout but he has struggled overall this season. Also, the Sabres entered that game allowing an average of 5 goals per game their prior 8 games! Buffalo also has seen 10 of last 13 home games total at least 7 goals and 9 of those 10 totaled at least 8 goals so do not let the big number on this total scare you. The Canadiens are off a big 8-2 win. Not sure what was more surprising really. The fact they scored 8 goals or allowed only 2? The fact is that Montreal has scored 4.4 goals per game last 7 games! Also, prior to the 8-2 win, the Habs had allowed 4.5 goals per game last 10 games. This one sets up well for 4 scored or 4 allowed or both! Either way I am looking for 7 or more and 9 would be my top choice but think we'll see at least 8 goals given all of the above. OVER 7 in Buffalo

NHL Monday OVER 7 in Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers @ 7:07 ET - I know Sogaard might be back between the pipes tonight and he is off B2B solid starts. However, prior to this he had been struggling. Look at Ottawa's overall numbers too. The Senators have gone 8-7-1 last 16 games. 12 of those 16 games totaled at least 7 goals and this one should too. Florida beat the Sens 5-3 in the first meeting and a similar result could be on tap here. 7 of last 8 Panthers games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Panthers have allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games but also scored 4 goals per game last 8 games. Don't be surprised if each team finds a way to 4 goals here and you see some crazy 5-4 final. Based on the way these teams are going, that would not shock me at all if we see 9 in this one. OVER 7 in Ottawa

NBA Monday Minnesota Timberwolves +5 @ Sacramento Kings @ 10:10 ET - The Timberwolves in a back to back spot but they have a critical position in the standings and have won 3 straight games and have Karl-Anthony Towns back and I just do not see them slowing down here. Their roll should continue. Also, De'Aaron Fox is still dealing with a hamstring injury for the Kings too. The Sacramento point guard is a key player and may not be 100% here if he is even able to go. The Kings are off B2B wins but this was preceded by B2B losses and this team has allowed 124 ppg last 5 games. No matter who is on the floor here, I like the defensive intensity and overall defensive intensity the Wolves brought to the game at Golden State last night and feel there were will be some carryover here to this game. Also, great value with having the points here. If you look at Sacramento's last 4 losses, 3 of them were very tight. One by just 2 points, one in OT and one in double-overtime. Yes, the Kings are motivated to win here too as they are still looking to lock up a playoff spot officially but T-wolves already took 2 of the 3 meetings this season and the only Sacramento win was in overtime. Grab the points. MINNESOTA +5

2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Monday Free Pick OVER 2.5 +120 in Hungary vs Bulgaria @ 2:45 ET - Hungary is off a 1-0 victory but should score much better here as they dominate Bulgaria and I expect them to be ruthless on the attack in this one. They defeated them 3-1 last time they faced them and I expect more of the same here. After scoring 1.6 goals per match last 9 games and only being held scoreless in two, Bulgaria is off a 1-0 loss and a scoreless draw in last two matches. Look for the visitors to be much more aggressive on the attack in this one as a result. Hungary is a -1 goal favorite on the goal line here for a reason and I fully expect a 2-1 or 3-1 type match here. Free Pick OVER 2.5 +120 in Hungary

2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Monday OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova vs Czech Republic @ 2:45 ET - Czech Republic just has too much for an out-classed Moldova squad here but rather than laying a heavy goal-line on the road, I feel the best way to play this one is the total. Moldova has scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and failed to score only once in those 7 and I expect Czech Republic to be very aggressive on the attack here like they were in their 3-1 win over Poland last time out. That said, do not be surprised if Moldova breaks through for a goal. However, the big key to the over is the fact that Moldova has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 7 matches and is likely to struggle to slow down their opponents in this one. Moldova is off a 1-1 draw with Faroe Islands and that is essentially the same group of players that Czech Republic just defeated in November by a 5-0 count. It has been two decades since these clubs met but coincidentally, that one was also a 5-0 win for Czech over Moldova. There is just a big disparity between the level of talent of the hosts here and Czech Republic and I expect that to lead to a rather wide open match that easily gets to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova