Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +8.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +8.5 I've made a lot of money off the Cleveland Cavaliers this season. But the verdict is out on them now, and they are starting to be overvalued. That's definitely the case today as they are 8.5-point road favorites over the Detroit Pistons, which is out of control. The Cavaliers are in a big letdown spot here off their upset home win over the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. They are getting too much respect after winning eight of their last nine games overall. In their last six road games, they have only won once by more than 5 points. Now they take on an undervalued Detroit Pistons team that is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Pistons are rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here. They will give the Cavaliers a run for their money tonight. The Cavaliers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Detroit is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS loss. Take the Pistons Sunday. |
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01-29-22 | Nets v. Warriors OVER 230.5 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
20* Nets/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on OVER 230.5 We have both James Harden and Kyrie Irving listed as probable tonight for the Nets. They are an OVER team when these two are in the lineup because they are elite on offense and terrible on defense. Then you have the two best defenders out for the Warriors in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala. So this game sets up as an OVER. The Warriors are really clicking right now with Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins all healthy. They followed up a 130-point performance against a good Mavericks defense with 124 points against the Timberwolves last time out. The Nets are also on fire on that end right now. They have scored 117 points or more in four of thier last five games. But they are atrocious defensively, allowing 112 or more points in 12 of their last 15 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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01-29-22 | Pacers v. Mavs -9.5 | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Dallas Mavericks -9.5 The Dallas Mavericks are rolling right now having gone 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall with nine wins by double-digits. They will rack up another one today considering they are rested and ready to go while the Indiana Pacers are not. Indeed, the Mavericks come in on two days' rest after beating the Blazers 132-112 on the road Wednesday. The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-110 (OT) win at Oklahoma City last night. It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pacers. If playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game isn't bad enough, the Pacers are short-handed right now. They are playing without Malcolm Brodgon and Myles Turner and could be without both Goga Bitadze and Chris Duarte, who have both been downgraded to questionable after both suffered injuries last night. This is too tough of a spot for the Pacers to even keep this game competitive tonight. Roll with the Mavericks Saturday. |
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01-28-22 | Bulls -105 v. Spurs | 122-131 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls ML -105 The Chicago Bulls just got Zach LaVine back and DeMar Derozan is back from resting. Now they have these two to go along with Nikola Vucevic. They are still missing some role players, but as long as they have these three healthy they are a dangerous team. They should be favored over a San Antonio Spurs team that is in rebuilding mode. The Spurs are just 4-13 SU & 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games overall despite being mostly healthy during this stretch. The four wins came against the Rockets, Thunder, Clippers and Celtics. A big reason for the Spurs' struggles is they are tired right now playing their 15th game in 25 days. San Antonio is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Bulls on the Money Line Friday. |
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01-28-22 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 218 | Top | 92-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Hawks OVER 218 The Atlanta Hawks are finally at full strength right now after being without guys all season. It's no surprise they have gone 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall while playing their best basketball of the season. The Hawks have gotten back to being an offensive juggernaut. They have scored at least 110 points in all five games. In fact, they have scored at least 108 points in 13 of their last 15 games overall. They will hang a big number on the Celtics tonight. Boston is also playing well scoring at least 102 points in six straight including 116 points against the Wizards and 128 points against the Kings in back-to-back victories. They are basically at full strength as well after battling injury all season. The Celtics and Hawks have combined for at least 219 points in five of their last six meetings. They have combined for at least 218 points in eight of their last 10 meetings as well. The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The OVER is 5-0 in Celtics last five games as underdogs. The OVER is 5-0 in Hawks last five Friday games. Take the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-27-22 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 228.5 | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
20* Timberwolves/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 228.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are an offensive juggernaut when De'Angelo Russell, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards have all been on the court at the same time. It's no wonder they are playing their best basketball of the season right now with these players all healthy for several weeks now. Indeed, the Timberwolves are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games overall. They have been winning with offense, scoring at least 108 points in nine consecutive games while averaging 123.0 points per game in those nine games. They have allowed 107 or more points in seven of their last eight games, so they are not doing it with defense. The OVER is 7-2 in their last nine games overall. The Warriors are missing their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala. They have had to play more small ball, and they got their offense going last time out by scoring 132 points against Dallas. With an lineup that boasts Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins, the Warriors are definitely a potent offensive team that cannot be held back for long. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series with combined scores of 233 or more points in four of those five. The OVER is 6-0 in Timberwolves last six games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 9-1 in Timberwolves last 10 games following an ATS loss. The OVER is 40-19 in Timberwolves last 59 games as road underdogs. Roll with the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-26-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -3.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Bulls -3.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls. They have been banged up and have gone just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall. But they are getting healthier now as Zach LaVine just returned last game, and DeMar DeRozan will be back after resting last game against the Thunder. While the Bulls had yesterday off, the Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 home win over the Hornets last night. It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the Raptors, which is a very difficult spot. The fatigue is stating to show as the Raptors are 3-5 SU in their last eight games overall. They could be without two of their best players in Fred VanVleet and Scottie Barnes, who are both questionable and they may be wise to rest them. The Bulls are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Raptors. Chicago is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following a win by more than 10 points. Take the Bulls Wednesday. |
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01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic -105 | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic ML -105 This is a great spot for the Orlando Magic and a terrible one for the Los Angeles Clippers. The Magic will be playing on two days' rest after last seen beating the Bulls 114-95 at home on Sunday. They will be rested and ready to go tonight against the Clippers. The Clippers just completed a remarkable comeback last night down 30 at halftime to the Wizards and won 116-115 after a 3-pointer at the buzzer on an And-1. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 11th game in 18 days. Making the spot even more difficult for the Clippers is it will be their 5th straight road game, so there has been a lot of travel involved. It will be their 8th different city since January 13th as well. The Clippers are already short-handed missing Paul George and Kawhi Leonard and could be without Marcus Morris. This is a spot they will fall flat on their faces. Los Angeles is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following an upset win as an underdog. The Clippers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. poor teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game. Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS win. Bet the Magic Wednesday. |
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01-25-22 | Kings +9 v. Celtics | 75-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +9 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics coming off their 116-87 road win over the Washington Wizards thanks to a 50-point game from Jayson Tatum. Now they come back as 9-point home favorites against the Sacramento Kings tonight. The Kings are playing to well to be catching 9 points, and asking the Celtics to beat them by double-digits to beat us is asking too much. The Kings have played six straight games where they haven't lost once by more than 6 points. That includes a 6-point road loss at Milwaukee, and upset win over the Lakers and a 1-point home loss to the Cavaliers. The Kings simply have the Celtics' number. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with three outright wins and their two losses coming by 1 and 6 points. IN fact, they haven't lost any of their last six meetings with the Celtics by more than 6 points. Sacramento is rested and ready to go playing just its 2nd game in 6 days. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on two days' rest. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. Boston is 6-20-1 ATS in its last 27 games following a win by more than 10 points. Take the Kings Tuesday. |
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01-25-22 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors OVER 222.5 This total has been set too low tonight due to recent low-scoring games by both the Toronto Raptors and Charlotte Hornets. The under is 7-1 in Raptors last eight games overall. The under is also 7-1 in Hornets last eight games overall. Charlotte has been a great OVER team all season until recently and so have the Raptors. Now the oddsmakers have been forced to set this total lower than it should be, and we will take advantage here and back the OVER in a game between two teams with great offenses and suspect defenses. The Hornets rank 2nd in the NBA in pace, 6th in offensive efficiency and 24th in defensive efficiency, which is why they are such a great OVER team. The Raptors rank just 17th in defensive efficiency and have been a much more efficient offensive team since they have gotten healthy. The OVER is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Toronto. The OVER is 11-1 in Hornets last 12 games following a loss by more than 10 points. The OVER is 7-1 in Raptors last eight games as home favorites. The OVER is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games. Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-25-22 | Nuggets v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 110-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Pistons +7.5 I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons tonight. They will be out for revenge from a 111-117 road loss at Denver on Sunday. Now they get to face the Nuggets at home here just two days later. Look for them to easily cover this 7.5-point spread and possibly win outright. The Pistons have been very good here of late in going 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with an upset win at Sacramento, a 10-point loss as 13-point dogs at Utah and a 6-point loss at 12-point dogs at Denver. Now they are back home here where they have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with upset wins over the Spurs as 7-point dogs, the Jazz as 11-point dogs and the Raptors as 9-point dogs. While the Pistons will be motivated for revenge, the Nuggets won't be all that interested in beating them for a 2nd time in 3 days. And motivation is everything in the NBA. Plus, the Nuggets have a huge game on deck tomorrow night at Brooklyn. They will be looking ahead to that game and overlooking the Pistons. Plays against road teams (Denver) - after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games against an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games are 57-27 (67.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Pistons Tuesday. |
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01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder +2 | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma City Thunder +2 The Chicago Bulls are banged up right now and missing six key players. It's a big reason they have gone just 1-6 SU in their last seven games overall. They should not be favored on the road over the Oklahoma City Thunder given the terrible spot for them. The Bulls will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 95-114 loss in Orlando last night. They will also be playing their 9th game in 14 days and in their 6th different city in 10 days. The injuries, lack of rest and travel is really catching up to this team. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping five straight coming in including three losses by 7 points or fewer to Cleveland (twice) and Dallas. They had yesterday off and are back home now after playing six of their last seven on the road. Look for a big effort from them tonight as they are fully healthy while the Bulls remain short-handed. Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after a combined score of 185 points or less. The Thunder are 10-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less this season. Oklahoma City is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games as home underdogs. Take the Thunder Monday. |
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01-23-22 | Hawks v. Hornets -3 | Top | 113-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -3 The Charlotte Hornets are fully healthy and rolling right now. They are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with si wins coming by 8 points or more. The Atlanta Hawks are struggling in going 6-11 SU & 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have been terrible on the road all season in going 9-14 SU & 8-15 ATS away from home. Charlotte is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 home games with a total of 230 or higher. Atlanta is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Hawks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 trips to Charlotte. Bet the Hornets Sunday. |
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01-23-22 | Celtics v. Wizards +109 | 116-87 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards ML +109 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington Wizards today hosting the Boston Celtics. The Wizards are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and now find themselves as home underdogs to the Celtics. Well, the Wizards haven't been healthy for most of this run, but now they are back to full strength. They should be a profitable bet moving forward starting with an upset home win over the Celtics today. Boston is coming off two straight upset home losses to the Hornets and Blazers and they haven't been playing well for weeks. The Celtics are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall despite being mostly healthy. The Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites. Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games. The Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as home underdogs. Washington is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take the Wizards Sunday. |
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01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Kings/Bucks OVER 230.5 The Sacramento Kings have been a great OVER team all season because they play at a fast pace, can score and play no defense. The Kings rank 3rd in pace and 27th in defensive efficiency this season. We've seen a ton of high-scoring Kings' games here of late. They have played four straight games that have seen 230 or more combined points including 240 or more in three of them. Now they take on a Bucks team that ranks 9th in pace and 8th in offensive efficiency, and those numbers would be even higher if they were healthy all season. Now the Bucks are fully healthy with the exception of Brook Lopez. They should continue their trend of playing high-scoring games against the Kings. Amazingly, the OVER is 17-0 in the last 17 meetings. They have combined for 233 or more points in six consecutive meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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01-21-22 | Rockets +11 v. Warriors | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston +11 This is a terrible spot for the Golden State Warriors tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 117-121 (OT) loss to the Indiana Pacers last night. It will also be the 6th game in 9 days for the Warriors, which is about as tough a spot as there is in the NBA. This spot has made the Warriors decide to rest both Klay Thompson and Otto Porter Jr. tonight. They are already without Draymond Green and could decide to rest more. Stephen Curry played nearly 44 minutes last night and Andrew Wiggins over 38 minutes. The Rockets are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. They are also playing some of their best basketball of the season in going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games all coming on the road. They upset the Spurs as 7-point road dogs, the Kings as 4.5-point road dogs and the Jazz as 13.5-point road dogs. Plays on road underdogs (Houston) - an average 3-point shooting teams (33-36.5%) against an average 3-point defense (33-36.5%) after 42-plus games, after two straight games making 16 or more 3-pointers are 24-6 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Rockets Friday. |
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01-21-22 | Nets v. Spurs +110 | 117-102 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on San Antonio Spurs ML +110 The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from a recent 119-121 (OT) loss at Brooklyn in which they were short-handed and the Nets were pretty healthy with Kevin Durant. Now the Nets don't have Durant tonight, and the Spurs are almost fully healthy. That return to health showed in their 118-96 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out. The Spurs are pretty rested right now as this will be their 6th straight home games. This is simply a great spot for them to win outright in revenge mode. The Nets have been struggling for weeks in going 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This will be their 8th game in 13 days so they are a tired team right now as well as missing their best player in Durant. San Antonio is 22-11 ATS in its last 33 games when revenging a road loss. Brooklyn is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games as a favorite. The Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home meetings with Brooklyn. Roll with the Spurs on the Money Line Friday. |
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01-21-22 | Blazers +8.5 v. Celtics | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +8.5 Anfernee Simons is playing like an All Star in the absence of Damian Lillard to keep the Blazers competitive. They have gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with three outright upsets as underdogs. Now Simons has the luxury of having CJ McCollum back, who just returned a few games ago. He is going to continue to get stronger and better and get back to his old self with each passing game. And I fully expect the Blazers to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight. The Celtics aren't playing well enough to warrant being an 8.5-point favorite here. They are 7-7 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are coming off an upset home loss to the Charlotte Hornets and will now be playing their 10th game in 16 days. Boston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Take the Blazers Friday. |
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01-20-22 | Pelicans v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 102-91 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks -2.5 The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for a victory following two straight home losses against two teams that are surging in Charlotte and Minnesota. Now they take a big step down in competition here against the New Orleans Pelicans and should handle their business. The Pelicans are just 16-28 this season, including 6-17 SU & 7-16 ATS on the road this season and getting outscored by 8.4 points per game. We are getting the Knicks at a great value as only 2.5-point home favorites. They had won five of their previous six games prior to these two losses in a back-to-back situation against the Hornets and Timberwolves. New Orleans is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games when revenging a loss where opponnent scores 100 points or more. The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after covering the spread in four or five of their last six games. New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Bet the Knicks Thursday. |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
15* Suns/Mavs TNT ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix -2.5 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks after going 10-1 SU & 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. This is where they fall flat on their faces as it's a terrible spot for them. Indeed, the Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 102-98 home win over the Toronto Raptors last night. It gets even worse as it will be the 5th game in 7 days for the Mavericks. Doncic played 42 minutes last night, Finney-Smith 35 and Porzingis and Brunson 33 each. The Mavericks won't have much left in the tank for the Phoenix Suns, who come in on two days' rest and playing some oof their best basketball of the season. The Suns are 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with six wins by 13 points or more. Teams haven't even been competitive with them, and the Mavericks won't either given the spot. The Suns simply own the Mavericks, going 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Suns are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings, including 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Dallas. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Take the Suns Thursday. |
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01-19-22 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 231 | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Jazz UNDER 231 The Utah Jazz just got the best defensive player in the NBA back in Rudy Gobert. They were struggling mightily on defense without him, losing four straight games while allowing 111 or more points in all four. Since his return, the Jazz held the Nuggets to 102 points and the Lakers to 101 points in his first two games back. Now the Jazz take a huge hit on offense losing their best scorer in Donovan Mitchell (25.5 PPG). They will be without him due to a concussion tonight, and I think the oddsmakers have set this total way too high. The Rockets are definitely an over team with their lack of defense and decent offense. But even this is too high of a total for them. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series with combined scores of 230 or fewer points in five of them. That includes the 213 combined points in their first and only meeting this season. The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Utah. The UNDER is 5-1 in Rockets last six vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 4-1 in Jazz last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Plays on the UNDER on any team (Utah) - a good team (+7 PPG or better) against a bad team (-7 PPG or worse) after 42-plus games are 24-5 (82.8%) over the last five seasons. Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-19-22 | Magic +12 v. 76ers | 110-123 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Philadelphia 76ers. They have gone 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They won't be very motivated to beat an Orlando Magic team for a 3rd time this season. They won 101-96 as 14-point home favorites on November 29th and 116-106 as 8.5-point road favorites on January 5th after a late surge in the final two minutes. The Magic will be out for revenge and they have been getting healthier by the day. The Magic have been very competitive of late, losing just once by more than 10 points in their last nine games. They have Cole Anthony, Jalen Suggs and Mo Bamba back healthy and could get Wendell Carter Jr. back from injury tonight. Orlando is 7-0 ATS in road games against Atlantic Division opponents this season. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. The 76ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take the Magic Wednesday. |
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01-19-22 | Nets v. Wizards -105 | Top | 119-118 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards ML -105 The Brooklyn Nets are 4-7 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Things just got worse with the loss of their best player in Kevin Durant and they are already without several other key players. This team continues to get too much respect tonight as a PK at Washington. The Wizards just got Bradley Beal back from injury last time out and crushed the 76ers 117-98 as 2-point home underdogs. They are fully healthy for basically the first time all season and will be a dangerous team moving forward. They will take down the Nets tonight. Washington is 9-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Wizards are 17-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a win by 10 points or more. Washington is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home meetings with Brooklyn. Bet the Wizards on the Money Line Wednesday. |
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01-18-22 | Wolves -2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
20* Timberwolves/Knicks NBA TV No-Brainer on Minnesota -2.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season with De'Angelo Russell, Karl Anthony-Towns and Anthony Edwards all healthy. They have gone 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall with the five wins coming by an average of 18.8 points per game. Their only losses coming on the road to the Pelicans at the buzzer and the Grizzlies by 8. The Timberwolves are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. The same cannot be said for the Knicks, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after an 87-97 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Monday. While the Timberwolves are basically at full strength, the Knicks are missing four key players in Solomon Hill, Derrick Rose, Cameron Reddish and Nerlens Noel and could be without Kemba Walker, who is questionable. That makes the spot even worse for the Knicks tonight behind short-handed. Plays against underdogs (New York) - off a home loss by 10 points or more with a winning percentage between 45% and 55% on the season are 70-37 (65.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Timberwolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites. Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs. Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday. |
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01-17-22 | Thunder +11.5 v. Mavs | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5 It's time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks. They have gone 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall. Now they find themselves laying double-digits against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that has been feisty all season. Indeed, the Thunder are 27-11-1 ATS in their last 39 games overall, including 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games. They have only lost by double-digits once in their last eight games. They are as healthy as they have been all season and more than capable of giving the Dallas Mavericks a run for their money tonight. The Thunder are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games following two consecutive non-conference games. Dallas is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Bet the Thunder Monday. |
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01-17-22 | Blazers v. Magic OVER 216 | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blazers/Magic OVER 216 The Portland Trail Blazers have been a good OVER team no matter who has been on the court. In fact, nine of their last 10 games have seen 215 or more combined points, with eight of those seeing 222 or more combined points. So there's value with the OVER 216 here. Andernee Simons has averaged 24.3 points per game in his last seven games in the absence of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. But now McCollum (20.6 PPG) is expected to make his much anticipated return to the lineup tonight after being out since December 4th. So the offense gets an added punch, and Portland's defense ranks 29th in efficiency giving up 112.6 points per 100 possessions. The Magic have gotten both Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs back healthy recently and are a much better offensive team. They have scored at least 100 points in 11 of their last 15 games and can hang with the Blazers on the offensive end. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with combined scores of 217 or more points in five of the six. The OVER Is 24-9 in Blazers last 33 Monday games. The OVER Is 8-1 in Magic last eight games playing on one days' rest. The OVER is 5-1 in Magic last six home games. Take the OVER In this game Monday. |
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01-17-22 | Nets v. Cavs -3 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -3 The Cleveland Cavaliers have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA all season. They are 26-18 SU & 28-14-2 ATS. As long as they have had Darius Garland (19.7 PPG, 7.8 APG), Jarrett Allen (16.6 PPG, 11.0 RPG) and Evan Mobley (15.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG) healthy they have been dangerous. Now the Cavaliers will take down a Brooklyn Nets tam that is missing their best player in Kevin Durant (29.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 5.8 APG). They will have James Harden and Kyrie Irving, but they aren't as good of a team on defense with those two in the lineup, and the loss of Durant hurts them quite a bit on that end too. The Nets have been grossly overvalued for weeks even with Durant in the lineup. They have gone 4-6 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Nets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 10 points or more. Brooklyn is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS win. Cleveland is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 home games. Take the Cavaliers Monday. |
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01-16-22 | Suns v. Pistons UNDER 215.5 | 135-108 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Suns/Pistons UNDER 215.5 Early afternoon Sunday UNDERS have been a great bet in the NBA for years. The number is right to pull the trigger on this UNDER today between the Phoenix Suns and Detroit Pistons. This game will be played at a snail's pace and both teams will be getting after it defensively. The Suns just got back DeAndre Ayton and JaVale McGee. It's no surprise their defense has picked up their play with these two in the lineup. The Suns allowed 95 points to the Raptors and 94 points to the Pacers in their last two games. They rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season. Now they take on a Detroit Pistons team that ranks dead last (30th) in offensive efficiency this season. The Pistons have been held to 103 or fewer points in four of their last five games. But they are playing better defensively, holding two of their last four opponents to 92 points or fewer. Cameron Johnson has missed the last couple games for the Suns and is questionable to return, which is a big reason their offense has struggled in scoring 106 points or fewer in three of their last four. The Pistons will be without three guards in Jerami Grant, Frank Jackson and Rodney McGruder today. The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Suns last 10 road games. The UNDER is 4-1 in Pistons last five games overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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01-15-22 | Magic +10.5 v. Mavs | 92-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +10.5 I cashed in the Magic last night as 11-point underdogs in a 116-109 outright win at Charlotte. I'm back on them again tonight as this team is getting healthier now and has covered three straight as a result. In fact, the Magic have been extremely competitive of late against good teams as each of their last seven games have been decided by 10 points or fewer. They just got both Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs back from injuries and could get a couple more big men back tonight. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Mavericks, who have won seven of their last eight including a win at Memphis last night to put an end to the Grizzlies' 11-game winning streak. But Memphis was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and it was a bad spot for them. Now the Mavericks will have their letdown after ending the Grizzlies' winning streak. Dallas is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Orlando is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games overall. Plays against home favorites (Dallas) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent, with a winning percentage between 45% and 55% on the season are 36-11 (76.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Take the Magic Saturday. |
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01-15-22 | Cavs v. Thunder +5.5 | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. They have gone 27-11 ATS in their last 38 games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games. They had yesterday off and are fully healthy and ready to go tonight. The same cannot be said for the Cleveland Cavaliers, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th road game in 7 days after a 114-109 win in San Antonio last night. I really like this Cleveland team and have backed them with success all season, but this is a terrible spot for them and they need faded tonight because of it. The Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Bet the Thunder Saturday. |
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01-14-22 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 216.5 | 112-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Mavs/Grizzlies ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 216.5 The UNDER is 7-1 in Mavericks last eight games overall. They have combined with their opponents for 212 or fewer points in seven of those eight games, including 193 or fewer in five of those. The lone exception came against Houston which is an over team. Memphis is tired playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days. That will affect them more on offense than it will on defense. They won't be looking to push the tempo tonight, and the Mavericks will gladly play at a snail's pace with them. This will already be the 3rd meeting between these teams this season, and familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. They combined for just 187 points in their first meeting and 200 points in their second meeting. It should be more of the same tonight as the books have set this number way too high. Memphis is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 home games following four or more consecutive wins. The UNDER is 16-5 in Mavericks last 21 games overall. The UNDER is 32-14 in Mavericks last 46 games as underdogs. The UNDER is 6-1 in Grizzlies last seven home games. The UNDER is 6-0 in Grizzlies last six games as home favorites. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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01-14-22 | Magic +11 v. Hornets | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +11 The betting public wants nothing to do with the Orlando Magic right now. They have lost 10 straight games, but they clearly have not quit as each of their last six losses have come by 10 points or less. And I think they make that seven in a row here as they keep this game competitive against the Charlotte Hornets. This is a terrible spot for the Hornets and a great time to 'sell high' on them. They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall including two wins over the Bucks. They just ended their 16-game losing streak to the 76ers in their head-to-head series last time. This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Hornets now as they feel like they can just show up and beat the Magic. A big reason the Magic have been more competitive of late with six straight losses by 10 points or fewer is because they have gotten healthier. They recently got their best player in Cole Anthony (19.8 PPG, 5.9 APG) back, and now they are expected to get another key player in rookie Jalen Suggs (12.3 PPG, 3.6 APG) back from a thumb injury tonight. Five of their top six scorers are back healthy. These teams have already met twice this season with the Hornets winning both games by single-digits. In fact, Charlotte hasn't won any of its last nine meetings with the Magic by more than 9 points, making for a 9-0 system backing the Magic pertaining to this 11-point spread. The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet the Magic Friday. |
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01-13-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -10.5 | 108-140 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
15* Blazers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver -10.5 The Denver Nuggets are getting healthier and ready to blow out the Portland Trail Blazers tonight as they return home following an upset road loss to the Clippers. Look for them to win this game by double-digits and cover this spread against a Blazers team whose health situation just keeps getting worse. The Blazers were able to stay competitive in recent games without Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum due to Anfernee Simons stepping his game up. He has averaged 27.8 PPG and 7.6 APG in his last five games. But now Simons is out tonight for personal reasons, so the Blazers will be without their top four scores in Lillard (24.0 PPG), McCollum (20.6 PPG), Powell (18.6 PPG) and Simons. That stand zero chance of keeping this game competitive against the Nuggets without them. Denver is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three home meetings with Portland with the three wins coming by an average of 18.3 points per game, and that was with much healthier Blazers teams and much shorter spreads. Portland is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games. Take the Nuggets Thursday. |
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01-13-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 230.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves/Grizzlies OVER 230.5 Two teams lighting up the scoreboards recently square off tonight in the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. This one has shootout written all over it folks. Shootouts have been standard in this head-to-head series as the OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with combined scores of 233, 243 and 274 points. The key for the Timberwolves is having De'Angelo Russell healthy as it has flourish when he, Towns and Edwards are on the floor at the same time. Indeed, the Timberwolves have scored 122 or more points in four of their last five games overall and 125 or more in three straight. None of those games went to overtime, either. The Grizzlies just got JA Morant back and that's a big reason they are on a 10-game winning streak. They have scored 110 or more points in seven straight games coming in and in nine of the 10 games during this winning streak. I see both teams pushing for 120-plus points in this one. Minnesota is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after winning four of its last five games. The Timberwolves are 8-0 OVER vs. good rebounding teams averaging 3 or more boards than their opponent this season. The OVER is 10-1 in Timberwolves 11 road games vs. good defensive teams that allow 108 or fewer points this season. The OVER is 13-3 in Timberwolves last 16 road games. The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Memphis and 5-1 in the last six meetings overall. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-12-22 | Cavs +6 v. Jazz | 111-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers +6 The Utah Jazz have been grossly overvlaued for weeks. They are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have been without Rudy Gobert in each of their last three games and it has hurt them as they lost by 14 at Toronto, by 12 at Indiana and by 10 at Detroit. Utah is a terrible defensive team without Gobert, who helps clean up their mistakes. The Jazz allowed 122 points to the Raptors, 125 to the Pacers and 126 to the Pistons. This is a tough spot for them as they will be playing their first home game following a five-game road trip. It will also be their 8th game in 13 days. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cavaliers after going 1-6-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. But they were missing several key players during this stretch and are as healthy as they have been in a while tonight. It will also be just their 4th game in 8 days. Plays on road underdogs (Cleveland) - revenging a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite are 32-8 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Cavaliers are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Jazz are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Roll with the Cavaliers Wednesday. |
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01-12-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-100 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Indiana Pacers +2.5 I love the spot for the Indiana Pacers tonight. They will be out for revenge from a 98-101 (OT) loss at Boston on Monday. They don't have to wait long for a shot at revenge here just two days later Wednesday, and they get the Celtics at home this time around. The Pacers were last seen at home upsetting the Jazz 125-113 as 4-point dogs on Saturday. They will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight so they are rested and ready to go. And there's a chance they get Malcolm Brodgon, Caris LeVert and Chris Duarte back tonight, who are all questionable. The Celtics are a tired team right now playing their 5th game in 8 days. And they will be without their leader in Marcus Smart, who got hurt against the Pacers last game and is out with a thigh injury. He is one of the most underrated players in the NBA with what he's able to do on both ends of the floor for this team. Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. Indiana is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after losing six or seven or its last eight games. The Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Take the Pacers Wednesday. |
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01-12-22 | Magic +6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic +6.5 This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Orlando Magic. They have lost eight straight coming in but a lot of them have been competitive losses. Indeed, four of their last five losses have come by 5 points or less, so getting 6.5 points with them here is a nice value. That's especially the case considering the terrible spot for the Wizards and the great one for the Magic. Orlando will be out for revenge from a 100-102 home loss to the Wizards as 7-point underdogs last time out on Monday. Now they have had two days off since that defeat and will be the fresher, more motivated team. Meanwhile, the Wizards will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 122-118 home win over Oklahoma City last night. They won't have their best player in Bradley Beal, who is doubtful with COVID. They should not be 6.5-point favorites here without Beal and in this terrible spot. The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Washington is 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Wizards are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing record. Orlando is 4-0 ATS in its last four trips to Washington. Bet the Wizards Wednesday. |
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01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 219.5 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Grizzlies NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 219.5 The Warriors are loaded on offense now with Curry, Poole and Wiggins all healthy plus the return of Klay Thompson. They take a hit defensively tonight with the loss of Draymond Green, plus both Gary Payton II and Otto Porter Jr. are questionable. The Grizzlies are healthier now and have JA Morant back and their offense has been dominant. They could be without Steven Adams, who is questionable and would hurt them defensively if he sits. They are also without another great defender in Dillon Brooks. The Grizzlies have won nine straight coming in and have scored at least 110 points in eight of the nine wins. This figures to be a shootout with the Warriors, who have struggled offensively of late but they won't be held down for long and should get right against the Grizzlies here on that end. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-11-22 | Suns v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Suns/Raptors UNDER 224.5 The Phoenix Suns just got back three of their best defenders in DeAndre Ayton, JaVale McGee and Jameson Crowder. They lose one of their best offensive weapons in Cameron Johnson, who is out with an ankle injury. He has scored in double figures in 18 straight games and shoots 43.8% from 3-point range, so it's a huge blow to them offensively. The Raptors could be without their 4th and 5th leading scorers in Gary Trent Jr. (16.4 PPG) and Scottie Barnes (14.7 PPG), who are both questionable. I think this sets up as a defensive battle between two teams who are more than capable of playing great defense given the current players in their lineup. Toronto ranks 23rd in pace and will control the tempo here playing at home. Phoenix ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency allowing just 102.2 points per 100 possessions. Toronto has won six straight largely due to improvement on defense as they have allowed 11 or fewer points in all six victories. Phoenix is 8-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Suns are 18-5 UNDER In their last 23 games following a double-digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. The UNDER is 8-1-2 in Suns last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 12-3-1 in Suns last 16 games following a loss. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-10-22 | Nets v. Blazers +10 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +10 Both the Blazers and Nets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight. But this is clearly a worse spot for the Nets than it is for the Blazers, who will still be playing just their 5th game in 10 days and their 8th game in 20 days. The Nets will be playing their 6th game in 10 days. They needed overtime to beat the Spurs 121-119 at home on Sunday. Now they have the long flight out to the West Coast overnight while the Blazers get to stay at home after beating the Kings 103-88 at home last night. That was a taxing game for the Nets last night as Kevin Durant and James Harden both played over 43 minutes. They aren't going to have much left in the tank for the Blazers. Plus, the Nets have been grossly overvalued of late in going 2-4 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall with their two wins coming by single-digits over the Pacers and Spurs. They should not be double-digit favorites at Portland tonight. The Nets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as favorites. Roll with the Blazers Monday. |
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01-10-22 | 76ers v. Rockets OVER 225.5 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on 76ers/Rockets OVER 225.5 The Houston Rockets have been just fine on offense and terrible on defense. They have scored 102 or more points in 22 of their last 24 games overall with the OVER going 19-5 in those 24 games. But they have allowed 104 or more points in 21 straight games, including 111 or more in 11 straight contests. The Rockets and their opponents have combined for 222 or more points in 12 straight games and 230 or more in six of their last seven. That includes a 113-133 road loss at Philadelphia for 246 combined points. So I don't think the 76ers and Rockets will have too much trouble topping 225.5 combined points in the rematch here tonight. The 76ers are humming on offense right now with a recent return to health being a big reason why. They have scored 110 or more points in six straight games. Look for them to top 120 tonight and for the Rockets to do their part on offense in getting this OVER as well. Houston is 7-0 OVER when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back this season. The OVER is 7-0 in 76ers last seven games vs. a team with a losing record. The OVER is 7-0-2 in 76ers last nine games as road favorites. The OVER is 7-0 in Rockets last seven home games. These four trends combine for a perfect 28-0 system in his analysis. Take the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-09-22 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -3 | Top | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
20* Grizzlies/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -3 This is a great spot to 'sell high' on the Memphis Grizzlies. They have won eight straight coming in. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win over the Clippers last night. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Grizzlies, who have injury concerns with JA Morant, Steven Adams, Dillon Brooks and Kyle Anderson all questionable. The Lakers are as healthy as they have been in a long time and playing up to their potential because of it. They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only loss coming on the road at Memphis on December 29th on the 2nd of a back-to-back. They only lost by 5 points, and now they are the team in the favorable situation and out for revenge. This is a great spot for the Lakers as they are the fresher, more motivated team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. Plays against road underdogs of 3 to 9.5 points (Memphis) - after covering four or five of their last six ATS, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 73-36 (67%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Lakers Sunday. |
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01-09-22 | Wolves v. Rockets OVER 232 | 141-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Rockets OVER 232 Both the Timberwolves and Rockets are dead nuts OVER teams right now. The Timberwolves just got their Big 3 back healthy in Russell, Towns and Edwards and hung 135 points on the Thunder last time out. Russell is the key as their offense is way more efficient with him and they play at a faster tempo. The Rockets have been just fine on offense and terrible on defense. They have scored 102 or more points in 21 of their last 23 games overall with the OVER going 18-5 in those 23 games. But they have allowed 104 or more points in 20 straight games, including 111 or more in 10 straight contests. The OVER is 7-1 in Timberwolves last eight road games. The OVER is 11-5 in Timberwolves last 16 games overall. The OVER Is 6-0 in Rockets last six home games. Roll with the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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01-09-22 | Hawks -4 v. Clippers | 93-106 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Atlanta Hawks -4 This is a terrible spot for the short-handed Los Angeles Clippers. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks had yesterday off and will be playing only their 4th game in 9 days. The Hawks will be motivated to end this six-game road trip a winner. They have gotten healthier as the trip has gone on and are actually as healthy as they have been in a long time as they just got Trae Young and John Collins back among other. Expect a big effort from them this afternoon. The Clippers are just 3-9 SU & 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are really struggling without Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. They have lost their last three games in blowout fashion to the Timberwolves by 18, the Suns by 17 and the Grizzlies by 15. I don't expect them to be competitive today either given the spot, and they have even less rest considering this is an afternoon game. The Clippers are 3-11 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Los Angeles is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games after four straight games where they were outrebounded by 5 or more boards. The Hawks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games. The Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on zero rest. Take the Hawks Sunday. |
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01-08-22 | Bucks v. Hornets OVER 234.5 | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Bucks/Hornets OVER 234.5 Two OVER teams square off tonight when the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets rank 1st in pace, 3rd in offensive efficiency and 28th in defensive efficiency this season. The Bucks also play at a fast tempo and rank 6th in offensive efficiency. The Hornets combined with the Pistons by 251 points and the Wizards for 245 points in their last two games coming in. They also faced the Bucks earlier this season and gave them a run for their money, only losing 125-127 for 252 combined points as 9-point road underdogs. The Bucks and their opponents have combined for at least 221 points in seven straight games and 228 or more in six of those. I think these teams easily get over this 234.5-point total given the matchup. Three of the last four meetings have seen 240 or more combined points. Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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01-07-22 | Hawks v. Lakers -3 | 118-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
15* Hawks/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -3 The Los Angeles Lakers have gotten healthy of late and are starting to play up to their potential. They are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming on the road to the red-hot Grizzlies on the second of a back-to-back by a final of 99-104. They have handled their business at home winning their last three home games by a combined 46 points. Now they are a short home favorite hosting the Atlanta Hawks. The Lakers got some important rest as they come in having the last two days off last playing on Tuesday. Look for them to put their best foot forward on National TV tonight, and it should be good enough to win and cover this short number. The Hawks are 5-10 SU & 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall. They are starting to get healthier, but there are still several question marks with this team in the injury department. Trae Young (28.4 PPG, 9.5 APG), John Collins (17.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG) and Bogdan Bogdonovic (11.7 PPG) are all questionable tonight. Obviously Young and Collins are the big ones because they are their top two scorers. I like the Lakers whether or not they play tonight, if they don't and Young misses a second straight game it would be an added bonus. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a win. Atlanta is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Hawks are 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 3 to 9.5 points this season. Roll with the Lakers Friday. |
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01-07-22 | Wolves v. Thunder +6 | Top | 135-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
25* NBA Northwest Division GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma City Thunder +6 The Oklahoma City Thunder are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall despite missing several key players along the way. But they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and get Luguentz Dort back from injury tonight. I love the spot for the Thunder tonight. This is a home-and-home situation. They will be out for revenge from a 98-90 road loss at Minnesota on Wednesday. Now they get their shot at revenge at home this time around just two days later, and they are healthier than they were in that first meeting. I expect them to win this game outright, let alone cover the 6-point spread. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have gone 7-5 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This is the perfect letdown spot for them as they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Thunder again after just beating them two days ago. Oklahoma City is 10-1 ATS after losing three of its last four games this season. The Thunder are 11-3 ATS when revenging a road loss this season. Oklahoma City is 9-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or less this season. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. Oklahoma City is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet the Thunder Friday. |
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01-07-22 | Wizards +6.5 v. Bulls | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
20* Wizards/Bulls Eastern Conference No-Brainer on Washington +6.5 The Washington Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. They get some key players back tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie (13.1 PPG, 5.6 APG) and Aaron Holiday (6.4 PPG) and could be getting back Montrezl Harrell (14.5 PPG, 7.3 RPG), who has been upgraded to questionable. I love the spot for the Wizards, who will be out for revenge after losing 119-120 as 2-point home underdogs to the Bulls on January 1st less than a week ago. They lost at the buzzer after Kyle Kuzma hit the go-ahead 3-pointer in the closing seconds, only to see DeMar DeRozan to win it. They want this game a lot more than the Bulls do, and motivation is everything in the NBA. This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Bulls. They have won eight straight coming in. They started to show signs of complacency last time out, only beating the depleted Magic 102-98 as 14-point home favorites. I think they will be complacent here as well having just beaten the Wizards last than a week ago. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning record. The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss. Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games playing on three or more days' rest. I think all this rest actually works against them because they had momentum with that eight-game winning streak. Take the Wizards Friday. |
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01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks +106 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 106 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Knicks TNT No-Brainer on New York ML +106 This is a terrible spot for the Boston Celtics. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 97-99 loss to the San Antonio Spurs last night. Four of five starters played at least 32 minutes last night including over 37 from Tatum, over 35 from Brown and over 33 from Smart. The Celtics really should be 1-5 SU in their last six games overall as they needed a 14-point comeback in the final five minutes to beat the Magic in overtime as 10-point home favorites. They just aren't playing well right now despite being healthy as the chemistry is just bad with this team. The Knicks have recently gotten healthy and are starting to play up to their potential. They are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last four games overall. They will likely be without Kemba Walker tonight, but he is one of the most overrated players in the NBA, just ask the Celtics. They aren't missing much not having him on the floor. New York is 31-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons, including 20-6 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 during this stretch. Boston is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games vs. teams that average 7 or fewer steals per game. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Knicks Thursday. |
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01-05-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. Bucks | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Toronto Raptors +7.5 The Toronto Raptors have gotten healthy recently and are playing as well as anyone in the NBA. They have gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. They beat the Clippers by 8, the Knicks by 15 and the Spurs by 25 in their last three games overall coming in. Yes, the Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but that is being factored too much into this line tonight. Because they won 129-104 over the Spurs, they were able to rest their starters in the 4th quarter and nobody played more than 32 minutes. They'll have plenty left in the tank tonight, and they won't be lacking any motivation facing the defending champion Bucks. Milwaukee has played and extremely soft schedule of late with its last four games coming against the Magic (twice), Pelicans and Pistons. They lost outright as 16-point favorites against the Pistons. Their previous two games against better teams in the Celtics (won by 4) and Mavericks (won by 7) were close. They'll be without both Pat Connaughton and Grayson Allen tonight among a few others. The Raptors are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record. Toronto is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with four outright wins as underdogs. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Milwaukee. Roll with the Raptors Wednesday. |
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01-05-22 | Thunder +7.5 v. Wolves | Top | 90-98 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Minnesota Timberwolves after going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They are coming off a double-header at the Staple Center where they had a close loss to the Lakers before beating the short-handed Clippers outright. Now they return home and this is a definite flat spot. The Timberwolves go from being an underdog in 12 of their last 13 games overall to being a 7.5-point favorite against the Thunder. In fact, the Timberwolves haven't been more than a 3.5-point favorite in any of their last 31 games. We'll take advantage and fade them in this hefty favorite role when it's uncertain whether or not D'Angelo Russell or Karl-Anthony Towns will return to the lineup tonight. What I do know is the Oklahoma City Thunder have been undervalued all season. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and now they get three key players back tonight in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley and Tre Mann from COVID. They have won five of their last nine games outright as underdogs and they are a live dog again tonight, especially with their best player in Gilgeous-Alexander back. The Thunder are 6-1 SU in their last seven meetings with the Timberwolves with their lone loss coming by 3 points. Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or less this season. The Thunder are 9-1 ATS after losing three of their last four games this season. Minnesota is 1-8 ATS in home games vs. a team that allows 108 or more points per game this season. Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games playing on two days' rest. The Timberwolves are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games as home favorites. Bet the Thunder Wednesday. |
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01-05-22 | Rockets v. Wizards OVER 228.5 | 114-111 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Wizards OVER 228.5 The OVER is 15-3 in Rockets last 18 games overall. They have allowed 104 or more points in all 18 games. But they are getting it done on the other end by scoring 102 or more points in 19 of their last 21 games overall. They are playing at a fast tempo and playing no defense, making them a perfect OVER team. The OVER is 4-0 in their last four games overall with combined scores of 230 or more points in all four. The Washington Wizards are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall. They ahve score 109 or more points in six of their last seven games. But they have allowed 117 or more points in five of their last six. They are coming off two straight high-scoring games with 245 combined points against the Hornets and 239 combined points against the Bulls. It should be more of the same against the Rockets tonight. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings. The Rockets and Wizards have combined for 250 or more points in four of their last five meetings. Houston is 9-0 OVER in its last nine games after allowing 120 points or more in three straight games. The OVER is 11-1 in Rockets last 12 games following a loss. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Wizards last seven games following a win. Take the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Cavs -3 | 110-106 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Cavaliers -3 This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. They have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. That includes their win in Brooklyn last night as 6.5-point underdogs. That makes this a letdown spot for them after beating the Nets, and they will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back as well. Cleveland has been grossly undervalued all season. The Cavaliers are 21-16 SU & 25-11-1 ATS in their 37 games this season. They had yesterday off and will be the fresher team. They get one of their best players back from COVID tonight in Darius Garland (19.5 PPG, 7.3 APG), which is huge because they are already without Collin Sexton and Ricky Rubio. They are healthier than they have been in a few weeks right now. Cleveland is 10-2 ATS when revenging a road loss this season. The Cavaliers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 home games. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cleveland is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Roll with the Cavaliers Tuesday. |
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01-03-22 | Hawks -5.5 v. Blazers | 131-136 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Atlanta Hawks -5.5 The Atlanta Hawks recently got some players back from COVID and they are getting even more back tonight, including Kevin Huerter, Danilo Gallinari and Delon Wright. They already got Trae Young and Clint Capela back. They are getting closer to full strength and should make easy work of the struggling, short-handed Blazers tonight. The Blazers are 3-14 SU & 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have lost four straight games by 14 points or more. It won't go any better for them tonight as they will be without three starters in CJ McCollum, Damian Lillard and Jusuf Nurkic. They could be without Anfernee Simons as well. Portland is 2-12 ATS as an underdog this season. The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Portland is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games. Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games. Take the Hawks Monday. |
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01-03-22 | Heat v. Warriors OVER 216.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
20* Heat/Warriors NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 216.5 The Golden State Warriors are back to close to full strength and it showed in their 123-116 win over the Utah Jazz on the road last time out. Look for them to hang a big number on the Miami Heat, who are missing their key defensive player in Bam Adebayo and have taken a step back on defense without him. They are also missing several other key defenders. The Heat have had to try and outscore teams of late because they have allowed 110 or more points in four of their last five. They have done a good job of it by going 5-1 in their last six games while scoring 113 or more points in five of those six games. Recent meetings between the Warriors and Heat have topped this 216.5-point total. In fact, each of the last seven meetings have seen 214 or more combined points with six of those seeing 218 or more combined points. They have averaged 226.1 combined points per game at the end of regulation in their last seven meetings. The OVER is 35-15-1 in Heat last 51 games playing on zero rest. The OVER is 9-1 in Heat last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The OVER is 6-1 in Warriors last seven games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-03-22 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 219.5 | 113-133 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/76ers OVER 219.5 The OVER is 14-3 in Rockets last 17 games overall. They have allowed 104 or more points in all 17 games. But they are getting it done on the other end by scoring 102 or more points in 18 of their last 20 games overall. They are playing at a fast tempo and playing no defense, making them a perfect OVER team. The 76ers figure to hang a big number on them as they recently got all their playmakers back on offense and have now scored 110 or more points in three straight. They should top 120 tonight as the Rockets have allowed 118 or more points in seven straight coming in. The 76ers have allowed at least 101 points in nine of their last 12 and the Rockets should top 100 tonight. The Rockets and 76ers have combined for at least 226 points in each of their last four meetings. They have averaged 234.3 combined points per game at the end of regulation in those four meetings. The OVER is 10-1 in Rockets last 11 games following a loss. The OVER is 6-0 in 76ers last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-02-22 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 209.5 | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Thunder UNDER 209.5 Both teams are missing a ton of players that will have this game being played at a snail's pace and make points hard to come by. Look for a defensive battle between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks tonight because of it. The Thunder will be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Tre Mann, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and could be without Luguentz Dort tonight. They just played in a defensive battle in a 95-80 win over the Knicks last time out for just 175 combined points. The Mavericks will be without Kristaps Porzingis and Trey Burke and could be without Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber and Frank Ntilikina tonight. They just combined for 189 and 208 points in their last two games, both against the Kings who are a great offensive team and terrible defensive team. The UNDER is 11-4 in Mavericks last 15 games overall. The UNDER is 5-2-1 in Thunder last eight games overall. The Thunder are 15-4 UNDER in their last 19 games when revenging a home loss by 10 points or more. Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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01-02-22 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Cavs NBA TV No-Brainer on UNDER 212.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are going to be without their top three guards in Collin Sexton, Ricky Rubio and Darius Garland tonight. The Indiana Pacers are going to be without their PG as well in Malcolm Brogdon as well as two other key guards in Jeremy Lamb and Chris Duarte. Because of these absences due to COVID or injury, both offenses are going to be out of sync. Points are going to be hard to come by and this is going to be a defensive battle with the offenses run through their big men more than normal. It will be slowed down to a snail's pace. The UNDER is 10-1 in Pacers last 11 games as underdogs. The UNDER is 11-2 in Pacers last 13 road games. The UNDER is 8-0 in Pacers last eight games as road underdogs. The UNDER is 12-5 in Cavaliers last 17 home games. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Cleveland is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games vs. poor 3-point shooting teams that make 33% or less. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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01-01-22 | Warriors +5 v. Jazz | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Jazz NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +5 This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Utah Jazz off six straight victories. That includes their 120-108 home win over the short-handed Minnesota Timberwolves last night. They will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days and won't have much left in the tank for the Golden State Warriors tonight. Meanwhile, the Warriors come in on three days' rest and playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. They will give a big effort here, especially since they have recently gotten a lot healthier with Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins returning to the lineup. This is arguably the best team in the NBA when healthy and they should not be catching 5 points to the Jazz given the favorable spot for them and the terrible one for the home team. Utah is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 home games following a division game. Golden State is 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. The Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Golden State is 35-17-2 ATS in its last 54 games overall. Utah is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. The Jazz are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games. They are getting way too much respect from the books of late, including tonight. Roll with the Warriors Saturday. |
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01-01-22 | Spurs v. Pistons UNDER 224.5 | 116-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Spurs/Pistons UNDER 224.5 This will be the 2nd meeting in a week between the Spurs and Pistons. Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games, and I look for this game to go well UNDER this 224.5-point total because of the familiarity and a few other reasons. I just don't know how the Pistons are going to score enough points to get this game over the total. They have 12 players out due to injury or COVID, including their two best scorers in Jerami Grant and Cade Cunningham. They only managed 85 points last time out against the Knicks while being short-handed. The Spurs aren't going to be looking to push the tempo much because they are a tired team. They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 105-118 loss in Memphis last night. That came after a 104-110 loss in Salt Lake City the game prior. San Antonio is 12-4 UNDER in road games this season. Detroit is 27-14 UNDER in its last 41 games when revenging a same-season loss. The UNDER is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 or greater (Detroit) - after one or more consecutive unders, a terrible offensive team scoring 104 or fewer points per game against an average defensive team that allows 108-114 points per game are 35-10 (77.8%) since 1996. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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12-31-21 | Mavs v. Kings UNDER 217.5 | 112-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Mavericks/Kings UNDER 217.5 The Sacramento Kings just beat the Dallas Mavericks 95-94 for 189 combined points on Wednesday. Now they meet in Sacramento just two days later and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games. This one will stay well UNDER the total as well. Amazingly, the Kings and Mavericks combined for just 189 points despite both teams shooting well from the floor. The Mavericks shot 48% and the Kings 46.9%. But the Mavericks have to play at a snails' pace to have a chance right now with all their are missing. Indeed, the Mavericks are without Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr, Maxi Kleber and Trey Burke right now due to COVID. They have been smart in staying competitive by slowing down the pace and playing great defense. That will be their formula against the Kings again tonight. The UNDER is 5-0 in Mavericks last five games as favorites. The UNDER is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 games overall. The UNDER is 14-6-1 in Mavericks last 21 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Sacramento. Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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12-31-21 | Bulls -4.5 v. Pacers | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Bulls -4.5 The Chicago Bulls just got several players back from COVID and are playing like one of the best teams in the NBA right now because of it. They are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by 5 points or more. That will be enough to cover this 4.5-point spread at Indiana. The Pacers are really struggling right now in going 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with their two victories coming against two of the worst teams in the NBA in the Pistons and Rockets. Each of their last four losses have come by 8 points or more. They are without Malcolm Brodgon and Chris Duarte right now due to COVID among a few others. Chicago is 9-1 ATS vs. teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as favorites, including 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as road favorites. Chicago is 21-11 ATS in all games this season. Take the Bulls Friday. |
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12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
20* Suns/Celtics Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Phoenix -4.5 The Phoenix Suns are 27-7 this season and in much better shape than the Boston Celtics right now in the COVID and injury department. They have five of their top six scorers available for this game against the Celtics with the exception behind De'Andre Ayton, who they have managed to play well without anyway. The Boston Celtics will be without their best player in Jayson Tatum (25.6 PPG, 8.6 RPG) and their third-leading scorer in Dennis Schroder (16.3 PPG, 4.7 APG) today. Boston has lost three straight coming in, including an 82-91 upset home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers as 6-point favorites last time out. Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Boston) - revenging a blowout road loss by 20 points or more against an opponent that is off a cover as a double-digit favorite are 77-37 (67.5%) ATS since 1996. The Suns are 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings, including 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Boston. They won 111-90 at home in their first meeting this season. Bet the Suns Friday. |
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12-29-21 | Hornets v. Pacers OVER 227 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hornets/Pacers OVER 227 Charlotte ranks 1st in pace this season and 2nd in offensive efficiency. The Hornets are also dead last (30th) in defensive efficiency. That has made them a tremendous OVER team this season and they should take part in a shootout with the Indiana Pacers, who rank 20th in defensive efficiency. The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Pacers and Hornets with combined scores of 261, 245 and 239 points. So this total of 227 simply has not been set high enough based on recent history between these two teams. None of those three games went to overtime, either. The OVER is 7-0-1 in Hornets last eight games playing on one days' rest. The OVER is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 home games. The OVER is 8-1 in Pacers last nine games as home favorites. Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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12-28-21 | Cavs -5.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers just continue being a gravy train and the books continue to fail to adjust for it. They have gone 20-13 SU & 25-8 ATS this season. They should be more than 5.5-point favorites tonight over the lowly New Orleans Pelicans, who are 12-22 SU & 15-19 ATS this season. The Pelicans will be without Nickeil Alexander-Walker and could be without both Brandon Ingram (doubtful) and Josh Hart (questionable) tonight. This team is getting too much love for a recent 4-1 SU run against some weak competition. The Cavaliers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall. They are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games with all 11 victories coming by double-digits! That includes a 144-99 home win over the Raptors last time out. And the Cavaliers are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game 6 days. They will be missing a few guys due to COVID, but they are one of the deepest teams in the NBA. Cleveland is a perfect 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season and winning by 23.0 points per game. Take the Cavaliers Tuesday. |
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12-28-21 | 76ers -7 v. Raptors | 114-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia 76ers -7 The Toronto Raptors are a mash unit right now. They are missing three of their top five scorers in Fred VanVleet (20.1 PPG), OG Anunoby (19.3 PPG) and Scottie Barnes (15.6 PPG). The other two in the top five are questionable in Pascal Siakam (19.1 PPG) and Gary Trent Jr. (16.8 PPG). The Raptors have a whopping 12 players on the injury report with nine listed as out and three as questionable. It's no wonder they had their doors blown off last time out in a 144-99 road loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. It won't go much better against the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. The 76ers are close to being back to full strength and it showed last time out in a 117-96 win at Washington. They key is that they have each of their top four scorers healthy in Embiid, Harris, Maxey and Curry, who all average at least 16.2 points per game. The 76ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs. Roll with the 76ers Tuesday. |
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12-27-21 | Celtics v. Wolves UNDER 217.5 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Celtics/Timberwolves UNDER 217.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a world of hurt right now, and I think it will lead to a low-scoring game tonight against the Boston Celtics. They will be missing at least seven players tonight due to COVID and four of their top five scorers. The Timberwolves will be without Karl Anthony-Towns (24.5 PPG), Anthony Edwards (22.1 PPG) and De'Angelo Russell (18.7 PPG, 6.7 APG). They had been playing better with a healthy Russell back, and he makes them an OVER team. Without him plus both those guys they are definitely an UNDER team because I don't know where the offense is going to come from. The Celtics have six players OUT due to COVID and three more either probable or questionable. One guy they will be missing that will impact this total is PG Dennis Schroder (16.3 PPG, 4.7 APG). He is a guy that likes to push the tempo and create easy baskets for himself and his teammates. Without Russell and Schroder, this is definitely an UNDER game. The UNDER is 9-4-1 in Celtics last 14 road games. The UNDER is 13-5 in Celtics' 18 games as a favorite this season. The UNDER is 9-2 in Timberwolves last 11 Monday games. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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12-27-21 | Bulls -5 v. Hawks | Top | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -5 The Chicago Bulls had five days off prior to beating the Pacers 113-105 last night. So I'm not concerned about them having to play the 2nd of a back-to-back here, especially since they just got Zach LaVine and five others back from COVID last night. They are a deep team and won't be tired anyway after having five days off prior to that game. The Bulls should have plenty in the tank to blow out the short-handed Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks have 12 players out due to either COVID or injuries. That includes Trae Young, Danilo Gallinari, Kevin Heurter, Lou Williams and John Collins. They are without seven of their top 10 scorers and coming off an 87-101 loss to the Knicks on Christmas Day. Chicago is 31-13 ATS in its last 44 games vs. a team with a losing record. Atlanta is 3-11 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this season. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the Bulls Monday. |
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12-26-21 | Pacers v. Bulls -6.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Pacers/Bulls NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -6.5 The Chicago Bulls are champing at the bit to get back on the court. They have been off since December 20th. That can only be a good thing as this time off has allowed them to get healthy and get several players back from the COVID list. The Bulls get Zach LaVine and five others back from COVID today. They have compiled a 19-10 record this season despite battling through some COVID and injury issues. They are one of the best teams in the NBA when healthy, and that is pretty much the case now here at the end of December. The Indiana Pacers are just 14-19 this season, including 3-12 on the road. They could be without their two best players in Malcolm Brogdon (achilles) and Domantas Sabonis (calf), who are both questionable. But they haven't been playing well even when healthy with recent blowout road losses to the Heat by 29 and the Bucks by 15. And it's worth noting the Heat were without Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo while the Bucks were without Giannis among others. The Pacers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on two days' rest. The Bulls are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. Chicago is 35-17 ATS in its last 52 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Bulls are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games as favorites. Take the Bulls Sunday. |
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12-26-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder | Top | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma City Thunder PK The Oklahoma City Thunder have quietly gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with three outright upset victories over the Clippers, Grizzlies and Nuggets. They also covered in losses to the Pelicans and Suns. Now the Thunder get their shot at revenge after a 110-113 home loss to the Pelicans on December 15th. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tied the game with a 3-pointer in the closing seconds, only to lose on a heave from beyond half court at the buzzer. They haven't forgotten, and they will get their revenge. While the Thunder are one of the healthiest teams in the NBA with nobody on the injury report, the same cannot be said for the Pelicans. They have eight players on the injury report and will be without both Jonas Valanciunas and Nickeil Alexander-Walker tonight, which are their 2nd and 3rd-leading scorers behind Brandon Ingram. The Pelicans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last six Sunday games. The Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on two days' rest. The Thunder are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Oklahoma City is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 Sunday games. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on two days' rest. Oklahoma City is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Thunder are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. Bet the Thunder Sunday. |
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12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 215 | Top | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Suns ABC No-Brainer on UNDER 215 Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. This will be the 3rd meeting between the Suns and Warriors since November 30th. They combined for 200 points in that first meeting and 214 points in the 2nd meeting. This 3rd meeting will stay UNDER this 215-point total as well. A big reason the Warriors and Suns have the two best records in the NBA is because they are the top two defenses. Indeed, the Warriors rank 1st in defensive efficiency, allowing just 99.3 points per 100 possessions. The Suns are 2nd at 100.5 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors are without some offensive firepower today as they will be without Jordan Poole (17.9 PPG) and Andrew Wiggins (18.7 PPG), their top two scorers behind Steph Curry. Points will be a lot harder to come by for the Warriors, especially with 5th-leading scorer Damion Lee (8.4 PPG) out as well. Golden State is 9-0 UNDER when playing just its 2nd game in 5 days this season. The UNDER is 10-0 in Warriors' 10 games against teams with winning records this season. The UNDER is 12-0 in Warriors 12 games vs. good passing teams that average 23 or more assists this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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12-23-21 | Spurs v. Lakers UNDER 223.5 | 138-110 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
15* Spurs/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 223.5 The Lakers are missing so many players right now that they will have no other choice but to slow it down. They are without Anthony Davis, Malik Monk, Avery Bradley, Austin Reaves and Kent Bazemore. Look for them to continue slowing it down and run the offense through LeBron. The Lakers are averaging just 101 points per game in their last five games. They have been solid defensively in holding nine of their last 11 opponents to 110 points or fewer. They are allowing just 103.1 points per game at the end of regulation in their last eight contests. The Spurs are 11-3 UNDER in road games this season. The UNDER is 8-1 in Spurs' last nine road games revenging a loss this season. The Lakers are 30-16 UNDER in their last 46 games with a total of 220 to 229.5. The UNDER is 7-1 in Lakers last eight games overall. The UNDER is 6-0 in Lakers last six games as favorites. Roll with the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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12-23-21 | Thunder v. Suns UNDER 214.5 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Thunder/Suns UNDER 214.5 The Phoenix Suns are one of the best teams in the NBA this season due to ranking 2nd in defensive efficiency. They'll be up against an Oklahoma City team that ranks 29th in offensive efficiency tonight. But the Thunder have been getting after it defensively of late in holding three straight opponents to 103 points or less and an average of 98.7 points per game. The Thunder will be tired tonight playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 108-94 win over Denver last night, so they won't be looking to push the tempo. The UNDER is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 games following a win. The UNDER is 5-1 in Thunder last six games overall. The UNDER is 67-32-1 in Thunder last 100 games as road underdogs. The UNDER is 19-11 in Thunder's 30 games this season, while the UNDER is 17-12-1 in Suns' 30 games. Take the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -109 v. Knicks | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards PK The Washington Wizards come in on four days' rest having last played on December 18th in a 109-103 upset win at Utah as 9.5-point underdogs. Not only are the rested and ready to go, but they are one of the healthiest teams in the NBA right now. The same cannot be said for the New York Knicks. They are just 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall and decimated by COVID and injuries right now. They will be without Quentin Grimes, RJ Barrett, Kevin Knox, Immanuel Quickley, Derrick Rose and Nerlens Noel tonight. Plays on road teams (Washington) - after losing five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-9 (78.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Knicks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as underdogs. New York is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog. The Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 trips to New York. Take the Wizards Thursday. |
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12-22-21 | Rockets +10.5 v. Bucks | 106-126 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Rockets +10.5 The Milwaukee Bucks have been a juggernaut when Giannis, Middleton and Holiday have been on the floor at the same time this season. Unfortunately for them, that has been few and far between. And the Bucks are not only without Giannis tonight, but also the underrated Bobby Portis. Milwaukee has gone just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last three games overall with losses to the Celtics by 14, the Pelicans in overtime and the Cavaliers by 29. There's no way they should be a double-digit favorite against the Houston Rockets without Giannis and Portis. This is a Rockets team that is about as healthy as any team in the NBA right now and playing well over the past month. The Rockets are 9-5 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They lost by 9 at home to a healthy Bucks team during this stretch on December 10th and will be out for revenge here tonight. Milwaukee is just 1-12 ATS in its last 13 vs. Southwest Division opponents. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. Milwaukee is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and haven't lost any of the last five meetings by more than 9 points. Roll with the Rockets Wednesday. |
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12-21-21 | Pacers -1.5 v. Heat | Top | 96-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt rout on Indiana Pacers -1.5 The Indiana Pacers have gone 4-2 SU in their last six games overall with their only losses coming to the Warriors (by 2) and the Bucks on the road. They are one of the healthiest teams in the NBA right now and should be able to handle the short-handed Miami Heat tonight. The Heat are coming off an upset loss to the lowly Detroit Pistons as 6.5-point favorites. They are without Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Markieff Morris, PJ Tucker and Caleb Martin. They would be without Tyler Herro, who is questionable. They won't even be able to compete with a team the caliber of Indiana without these guys. The Pacers have had the last four days off, so they are fresh and ready to go. Indiana is 39-19-2 ATS in its last 60 games playing on 3 or more days' rest. The Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Pacers Tuesday. |
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12-20-21 | Thunder +8.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. They have gone 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall and are way more competitive than they get credit for. Look for them to stay within this lofty number against the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. While the Thunder are rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, the Grizzlies will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 100-105 home loss to Portland last night. It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the Grizzlies. It's a great time to 'sell high' on Memphis as it is considering they are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They have done most of this without Ja Morant and being short-handed without Brandon Clark and a few others as well. But now these injuries will start to catch up with them in this tough rest spot tonight. Oklahoma City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after losing two of its last three games. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Oklahoma City is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog. Memphis is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Finally, Oklahoma City wants revenge from the worst loss in NBA history, a 79-152 loss at Memphis on December 2nd earlier this month. You know they are going to be motivated to avenge that defeat. And their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (21.6 PPG) did not play in that game and he is playing at an All-Star level right now. Bet the Thunder Monday. |
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12-19-21 | Spurs -4.5 v. Kings | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on San Antonio Spurs -4.5 The San Antonio Spurs are one of the healthiest teams in the NBA and it is showing with their play. They have gone 7-4 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and coming off an upset win at Utah as 11.5-point underdogs. The Spurs are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. They should make easy work of a struggling Sacramento Kings team that is just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their last three losses coming by 14 points or more. Things aren't getting any better for the Kings any time soon due to COVID hitting them hard. They will be without De'Aaron Rox, Marvin Bagley, Alex Len, Terence Davis and Davion Mitchell tonight. They could also be without Richaun Holmes, who is questionable. The Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as favorites. The Kings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs. Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last five Sunday games. San Antonio is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with all three wins by 9 points or more. Bet the Spurs Sunday. |
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12-18-21 | Wizards +10.5 v. Jazz | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +10.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington Wizards tonight after going 1-7 SU & 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. They are now catching double-digits against the Utah Jazz. The Wizards are as healthy as they have been in a while and should give the Jazz a run for their money tonight. The reason is simple. This is a terrible spot for the Jazz. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a hard-fought 126-128 upset loss to the San Antonio Spurs as 11.5-point favorites last night. Now they come back as 10.5-point favorites tonight against a better Washington team, which makes no sense. Take the Wizards Saturday. |
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12-18-21 | Cavs -2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 119-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They have gone 9-2 SU in their last 11 games with all nine wins coming by double-digits! The two losses were to the Jazz by 1 and the Bucks by 8. Now they have a chance to avenge that defeat to the Bucks, who are in a terrible spot tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days after a 112-116 (OT) loss in New Orleans last night. It will also be the 11th game in 18 days in December for the Bucks. Making matters worse is that they will be without Giannis antetokoumpho, Bobby Portis and Wesley Matthews and could be without Khris Middleton, who is questionable. I don't give them much of a chance against the Cavaliers tonight without Giannis and in this awful rest spot. Bet the Cavaliers Saturday. |
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12-17-21 | Lakers v. Wolves -2.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are fully healthy and a dangerous team when that is the case. That has shown in their last two games as they have pulled outright road upsets over the Blazers 116-111 and Nuggets 124-107. Having De'Angelo Russell healthy has really made all the difference for this game. With him, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards on the floor at the same time the Timberwolves are capable of beating anyone. They will take down the short-handed Lakers tonight. The Timberwolves are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and their 6th game in 14 days. The Lakers won their last three games against three short-handed, terrible teams in the Thunder, Magic and Mavericks. Now they take a step up in class here and it's time to 'sell high'. The Lakers will be without Russell Westbrook, Avery Braldey, Malik Monk, Talen Horton-Tucker and Dwight Howard tonight due to COVID. Los Angeles is 7-25 ATS in its last 32 games following a win. Take the Timberwolves Friday. |
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12-16-21 | Knicks -5 v. Rockets | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Knicks -5 This is a terrible spot for the Houston Rockets tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days in their 4th difference city. They won't have much left in the tank for the New York Knicks tonight. Making matters worse for the Rockets is that they are likely to be pretty short-handed. They will be without Jalen Green (14.0 PPG), Danuel House (4.8 PPG) and Christian Wood (16.5 PPG), who is doubtful. Both Kevin Porter Jr. (12.8 PPG) and Eric Gordon (15.1 PPG) are questionable tonight as well. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Knicks, who have gone just 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall against a brutal schedule. Their seven losses have come to the Nets, Bulls, Nuggets, Pacers, Raptors, Bucks and Warriors. Now they take a big step down in class here against the Rockets and should get back on track with a blowout victory. Houston is 3-18 ATS in its last 21 games vs. a team with a wins between 40% & 49% of their games. The Rockets are 16-36 ATS in their last 52 home games. New York is 7-1 ATS in its last eight trips to Houston. Take the Knicks Thursday. |
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12-15-21 | Pacers -2 v. Bucks | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -2 The Indiana Pacers are as healthy as they have been all season and it's starting to show. They have gone 3-1 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 points to the Golden State Warriors, who are one of the best teams in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks are in a world of hurt right now in the injury department. They were already wtithout Brook Lopez and Donte DiVencenzo, but now they will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Wesley Matthews, DeMarcus Cousins and Semi Ojeleye tonight. Khris Middleton is questionable as well. Missing Giannis gives the Bucks almost no chance of winning this game against the Pacers tonight, let alone all these other injuries. The Pacers are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and their 5th game in 12 days. The same cannot be said for the Bucks, who will be playing their 9th game in 15 days and in their 5th different city in 8 days. That makes matters even worse considering their injury situation. Indiana is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after playing three consecutive home games. The Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as underdogs. Milwaukee is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Pacers Wednesday. |
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12-15-21 | Lakers +1 v. Mavs | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Lakers/Mavs ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles +1 The Los Angeles Lakers are starting to play up to their potential now that they have had LeBron, Westbrook and Davis healthy for a decent stretch. They have gone 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall with each of their last four wins by double-digits. Davis is questionable tonight but he usually plays when he is questionable. Amazingly, the Dallas Mavericks have won two games in a row without Luka Doncic over the Oklahoma City Thunder and Charlotte Hornets. But the Lakers are a different animal, and I don't give the Mavericks much of a chance at all to win this game without Doncic. Plays on road favorites (LA Lakers) - after allowing 100 points or fewer in two straight games against an opponent that led by 20 points or more at halftime last game are 43-17 (71.7%) ATS since 1996. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Dallas is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games following a win. Roll with the Lakers Wednesday. |
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12-15-21 | Rockets v. Cavs -8.5 | 89-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers. They are 17-12 SU & 21-6-2 ATS this season. They have been especially dominant of late, going 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Cavaliers are now 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall with their only losses coming by 1 to the Jazz and by 8 to the Bucks, two of the best teams in the NBA. What's most impressive about this run is that all eight of those victories have come by 11 points or more! Now the Cavaliers should win by double-digits over the Houston Rockets, who are starting to get respect from oddsmakers after going 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. But this isn't the same Rockets team that had all that success due to some recent injuries. They will be without Jalen Green (14.0 PPG), Danuel House (4.8 PPG), Kevin Porter Jr. (12.8 PPG) and Eric Gordon (15.1 PPG) tonight. Not to mention, Christian Wood (16.5 PPG) is questionable. Take the Cavaliers Wednesday. |
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12-14-21 | Raptors +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 129-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors +8.5 The books have adjusted this line too much for this back-to-back spot for the Toronto Raptors. Well, they had two days off prior to beating the Kings 124-101 last night. And that blowout allowed them to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. The Raptors will still have plenty left in the tank for the Nets tonight. It will be just their 4th game in 9 days. Nobody played more than 32 minutes for the Raptors last night in a dominant team win with nine players scoring in double figures against the Kings. I just don't think the Nets can be trusted to lay these big numbers without Joe Harris and Paul Millsap. It just puts so much pressure on James Harden and Kevin Durant to do more because they don't have much talent outside of those two. It's a big reason it has been profitable to fade the Nets this season. They are only outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game on the season. The Raptors are playing their best basketball of the year right now at 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They are about as healthy as they have been all season. The Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. Brooklyn is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games as favorites. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Brooklyn. Bet the Raptors Tuesday. |
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12-13-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 210.5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
20* Suns/Clippers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 210.5 Both the Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Clippers will be without their top two scorers tonight in Devin Booker (23.2 PPG) for the Suns and Paul George (25.0 PPG) for the Clippers. They will both be looking to make up for it on defense as they'll be a little lost on offense without these guys. The UNDER is 3-0 in Suns' last three games overall without Booker. They are a great defensive team as it is though, ranking 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Clippers went UNDER the total in their first game without George last time out. They are also an elite defensive team, ranking 4th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The UNDER is 5-0 in Suns last five games playing on two days' rest. The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles. The UNDER is 29-15 in Suns last 44 division games. Take the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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12-13-21 | Hornets +3 v. Mavs | 96-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +3 This is a terrible spot for the Dallas Mavericks. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days after a win in Oklahoma City last night. It will be their 4th different city during this stretch. And they will be without their best player in Luka Doncic tonight. It's a great spot for the Charlotte Hornets, who come in on two days' rest and get back Terry Rozier from COVID tonight. They have managed to play well despite missing some key players, going a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their only losses coming by 2 points at Milwaukee, by 3 to Philadelphia and by 4 to Philadelphia. They can beat the Mavericks without Doncic given the favorable spot. Dallas is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 home games after losing four or five of its last six games. The Mavericks are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games following a road win. Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. Dallas is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 home games. The Mavericks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a win. The Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Dallas. Roll with the Hornets Monday. |
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12-13-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Grizzlies | 91-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 The Philadelphia 76ers are back healthy with Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris and Tyrese Maxey. It's starting to show as they have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall, including a win over the potent Warriors last time out. Look for them to make easy work of the short-handed Memphis Grizzlies tonight. The Grizzlies have been winning despite their injuries, going 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall. But there's more added to the list tonight. They were already without JA Morant and Brandon Clarke and remain without those two tonight. But now Steven Adams is doubtful, and that's key because they need him to defend Joel Embiid. Jaren Jackson Jr. is questionable for the Grizzlies as well. The 76ers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as road favorites. Plays against home underdogs (Memphis) - after covering four or five of their last six games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 42-19 (68.9%) ATS since 1996. Take the 76ers Monday. |
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12-12-21 | Mavs v. Thunder +4.5 | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 The Dallas Mavericks are just 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall. They have no business being road favorites over the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight considering they will be without their best player in Luka Doncic (25.6 PPG, 8.5 APG, 8.0 RPG). There may not be a more important player in the NBA to his team than Doncic. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season posting a 15-10 ATS record. They pulled off two straight upset road wins over the Pistons and Raptors before getting crushed by a motivated Lakers team last time out. I think that blowout loss by 21 points has them undervalued today. Dallas is 1-8 ATS after losing two of its last three games this season. The Mavericks are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Thunder are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 Sunday games. Oklahoma City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Thunder are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs. Bet the Thunder Sunday. |
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12-11-21 | Jazz v. Wizards +7 | Top | 123-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +7 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Utah Jazz. They have gone 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. They just beat the 76ers by 22 and the Timberwolves by 32 in their last two games. But that was a short-handed Timberwolves team, and that was a tired 76ers team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. Now the Jazz have to face a rested, motivated Washington Wizards team. The Wizards will be fresh and ready to go coming in on two days' rest. They will be motivated after losing three of their last four games. Washington has been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season, going 15-11 SU, including 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS at home. Washington is 11-2 ATS vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game. The Wizards are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in their last two meetings with the Jazz with two outright upsets as 10.5-point underdogs in both games. Utah is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog. Bet the Wizards Saturday. |
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12-11-21 | Magic +9 v. Clippers | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +9 The Los Angeles Clippers were already without their best player in Kawhi Leonard. Now they will be without their second-best player in Paul George, who is nursing an elbow injury. The Clippers should not be 9-point favorites against anyone without these two, not even the Orlando Magic. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Magic, who have lost three straight road games to Houston, Golden State and Sacramento. But now they come in fresh and ready to go today on two days' rest. They will give the Clippers a run for their money without George. It's not like the Clippers were playing well with George recently, either. They are just 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Three of those five wins came by 6 points or less, so they aren't blowing anyone out either. They certainly won't be beating the Magic by double-digits today. The Clippers are 0-8 ATS in home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5 this season. The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in its last four games as a home favorite. The Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games playing on two days' rest. Roll with the Magic Saturday. |
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12-10-21 | Celtics v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | Top | 90-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Suns ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 216.5 The Phoenix Suns are picking up where they left off last season. They are 20-4 and it's largely due to being one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Indeed, the Suns rank 2nd in defensive efficiency this season at 101.7 points per 100 possessions allowed. But they are hampered on offense right now without leading scorer Devin Booker (23.2 PPG). And they'll be up against an improved Boston defense that ranks 10th in defensive efficiency, allowing 104.9 points per 100 possessions this season. This total is simply too high with these two good defensive teams and Booker and Jaylen Brown (21.4 PPG) out. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Phoenix. The UNDER is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games. The UNDER is 4-1 in Suns last five games overall. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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12-10-21 | Cavs +100 v. Wolves | Top | 123-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers PK The Cleveland Cavaliers are the single-most underrated team in the NBA this season. They are 14-12 SU & 18-6-2 ATS this season. That includes an 8-1 ATS run in their lsat nine games with wins over Chicago by 23, Miami by 31, Dallas by 18 and Washington by 15. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 0-4 SU in their last four games overall with the four losses coming by an average of 14.0 points per game. De'Angelo Russell is questionable to play tonight and they aren't nearly as good of a team without him. But I believe the Cavaliers win this game whether he plays or not. Cleveland is 9-1 ATS after covering four of five of its last six games this season. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit home loss. Bet the Cavaliers Friday. |
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12-10-21 | Mavs v. Pacers -1.5 | 93-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -1.5 The Indiana Pacers are as healthy as they have been all season and it's starting to show. They had three straight close losses by single-digits before winning their last two games by 6 over the Wizards and by 20 over the Knicks. The Pacers are healthy, but they are also fresh and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight. The same cannot be said for the struggling Mavericks, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and in their 3rd different city. The Mavericks are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with losses to the Pelicans, Grizzlies and Nets. They are also 3-8 SU in their last 11 games. Dallas is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following a win. The Mavericks are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a losing record. Roll with the Pacers Friday. |
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12-09-21 | Lakers -3 v. Grizzlies | Top | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Lakers -3 The Los Angeles Lakers are getting healthy now with Lebron, Davis and Westbrook all on the floor together. They flashed their potential with a 117-102 win over Boston last time out. And now they are fresh and ready for another big effort tonight playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. The same cannot be said for the Grizzlies, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 96-104 home loss to the Dallas Mavericks last night. They are already short-handed as it is playing without JA Morant, plus Kyle Anderson, Brandon Clark and Sam Merrill are all questionable tonight. They can't compete with the Lakers without Morant, especially not in this tough rest spot. Plays against home underdogs (Memphis) - after covering three of their last four ATS in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-16 (71.9%) ATS since 1996. It's time to 'buy low' on Los Angeles after a shaky start to the season due to injuries. Bet the Lakers Thursday. |
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12-08-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 The New Orleans Pelicans are as healthy as they have been all season. It's no surprise they are playing some of their best basketball of the season of late as a result. They have gone 4-3 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall with upset wins over the Clippers, Jazz, Wizards and Mavericks. Now the Pelicans are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest. They take on a Denver Nuggets team that is banged up right now playing without Michael Porter Jr, Jamal Murray and Austin Rivers. Nikola Jokic is banged up as well and has missed a few games lately, though he is supposed to play tonight. These injuries are taking their toll as the Nuggets are 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games. The Nuggets are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. The Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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12-08-21 | Wizards v. Pistons OVER 209 | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Pistons OVER 209 The OVER is 3-1 in Wizards last four games overall with combined scores of 217 or more points in all three OVERS. The OVER is 2-0 in Pistons last two games with combined scores of 217 points or more in both games. And I think there's ample value to pull the trigger on the OVER 209 tonight in this showdown. Washington and Detroit have combined for 211 or more points in six of their last eight meetings, so this number is short based on head-to-head history as well. Both teams are getting healthier of late and should start thriving on offense more than they have thus far this season. The OVER is 5-1 in Wizards last six games overall. The OVER is 18-7 in Pistons last 25 games following four or more consecutive losses. Washington is 32-17 OVER in is last 49 road games following a road game. Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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12-08-21 | Bulls v. Cavs -2.5 | Top | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. They are 13-12 SU & 18-5-2 ATS this season. They are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall and coming off two competitive losses to the Jazz by 1 and Bucks by 8. Look for them to bounce back at home tonight against the short-handed Bulls. Chicago is an underrated team too, but they are banged up and without several key players due to COVID. They are without DeMar DeRozan, Alex Caruso, Coby White and Javonte Green tonight. I don't give them much of a chance of even keeping this game competitive against the Cavaliers without these guys. The Cavaliers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Cleveland is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219 | Top | 102-117 | Push | 0 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 219 These teams played in a shootout in their first meeting on November 19th in a 130-108 victory by the Celtics in Boston for 238 combined points. The OVER is now 7-1 in the last eight meetings with combined scores of 226 or more points in six of the last seven. It should be more of the same tonight, especially with the way these two teams are trending. The OVER is 4-1 in Lakers last five games overall and they just got LeBron James back healthy. They lost to the Clippers 115-119 for 234 combined points last time out. The OVER is 2-0 in Celtics last two games overall as they combined with the Jazz for 267 points and the Blazers for 262 points without overtime in either! The Lakers play at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this season. Russell Westbrook has been an OVER machine everywhere he has gone because he pushes the pace at the PG position. Dennis Schroder loves to do the same for the Celtics and has been a great addition to their team this season averaging 17.9 points per game. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |