Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-24 | Nuggets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
20* Nuggets/Bucks NBA TV No-Brainer on Milwaukee +2 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Milwaukee Bucks. They went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their first six games with Doc Rivers. But it was largely due to a brutal schedule and some injuries. They played five straight road games and came home and lost to Minnesota. But the Bucks bounced back with a 120-84 home win over the Hornets on the 2nd of a back-to-back in Damian Lillard's return from injury. Now they have had the last two days off to rest and recover, and now they want revenge from a 107-113 road loss at Denver on January 29th in Rivers' first game. The Bucks go from 4-point road dogs at Denver in that meeting to 2-point home dogs in the rematch. They should be at least 2-point home favorites when adjusting for home-court advantage and the spot. Denver is 2-11 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season. Plays on any team (Milwaukee) - after losing five or six of its last seven games, a good team (60-75%) playing a winning team are 45-15 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on all teams with a line of +3 to -3 (Milwaukee) - off a blowout home win by 20 points or more, a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-14 (74.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Bucks Monday. |
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02-11-24 | Kings v. Thunder OVER 239 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
20* Kings/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on OVER 239 The Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder are both two dead nuts OVER teams. The Thunder rank 10th in pace while the Kings rank 11th. The Thunder rank 5th in offensive rating while the Kings rank 14th. The OVER is 5-0 in Kings last five games overall with 238 or more combined points in all five games and 241 or more in four of them. The OVER is 4-0 in Thunder last four games overall with 241 or more combined points in three consecutive games. These teams combined for 251 points in their most recent meeting this season. Oklahoma City is 16-1 OVER vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game over the last two seasons. The Thunder are 10-1 OVER vs. good offensive teams scoring 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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02-10-24 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 239.5 | Top | 112-113 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
20* Suns/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on OVER 239.5 Both the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors are as healthy as they have been basically all season. They are both elite offensive teams when that is the case, and that has been on display in recent games. Indeed, the Suns have scored at least 114 points in 14 of their last 15 games overall. The Warriors have scored at least 119 points in eight of their last nine games overall. I think both teams get to 120 in this one and it sails OVER the total. Golden State is 8-1 OVER in Saturday games this season. Phoenix is 8-1 OVER vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 3-plus boards per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Thunder v. Mavs OVER 240 | 111-146 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Mavs NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 240 The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team when Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are on the court at the same time. Both are elite scorers and terrible defenders. The Mavericks are 12th in offensive rating and 22nd in defensive rating this season while ranking 9th in pace. The Thunder rank 10th in pace and 5th in offensive rating and can match the Mavericks score for score in this one. They will be looking to get up and down in this one especially coming into this game on three days' rest and fully healthy now. OKC beat Dallas 126-120 for 246 combined points in their lone meeting this season. That was a very up-tempo game that got OVER the total despite the Thunder shooting just 44% and the Mavericks 44.8% for the game. I expect the shooting to improve in the rematch. Oklahoma City is 15-1 OVER vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game over the last two seasons. The Thunder are 9-1 OVER vs. good offensive teams scoring 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-09-24 | Rockets v. Raptors OVER 233 | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Raptors OVER 233 The Houston Rockets have changed the way they play with more tempo over the last month. They have gone for 239 or more combined points with their opponents in eight of their last 13 games overall. The Toronto Raptors are a dead nuts OVER team since trading for Emmanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett for one of their best defenders in OG Anunoby. They also traded for Bruce Brown, and those three guards make them an OVER team. The OVER is 4-0 in Raptors last four games overall with 238 or more combined points in all four games. That includes their 135-106 loss in Houston on February 2nd earlier this month for 241 combined points. It should be more of the same here, except I expect the Raptors to shoot much better than they did in that first meeting. Houston is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 48% shooting or higher in the 2nd half of the season. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Raptors and Rockets. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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02-09-24 | Hawks -2 v. 76ers | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks -2 The Atlanta Hawks didn't lose any important players at the trade deadline despite Dejounte Murray's name coming up a ton. I think he sat out the last couple games because of the rumors, and now there's a decent chance he returns tonight. That would be a bonus, but I like how the Hawks played even without him in their last two games. They took both the Clippers at home and Celtics on the road to the wire. Now I expect them to get rewarded for their efforts tonight by taking down a short-handed Philadelphia 76ers team. The 76ers are 26-8 SU with Joel Embiid and 4-12 SU without him. Tyrese Maxey isn't good enough to carry this team. They lost Patrick Beverly in a trade and added Buddy Hield and Cameron Payne, but neither are expected to play tonight. They are also without Melton, Batum and Covington. The last three games without Embiid have been a disaster with the 76ers going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS while getting blown out in all 3, losing by 15 at home to the Nets, by 16 at home to the Mavericks and by 23 at home to the Warriors. Plays on road teams (Atlanta) - after allowing 115 points or more in five consecutive games against an opponent that allowed 125 points or more last game are 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Hawks Friday. |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 227.5 | Top | 128-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pistons/Blazers OVER 227.5 The OVER is 3-1 in Pistons last four games overall combining for 249 points with the Cavs, 251 points with the Clippers and 253 points with the Kings. They are a dead nuts OVER team with the way they are playing right now. And they didn't even have both Bogdanovic and Cunningham against the Kings last night, and both could return tonight which would make them an even better OVER bet. Injuries for the Blazers have hampered them all season, but they have been a very good offensive team when they've had Grant (21.3 PPG), Brogdon (15.7 PPG, 5.5 APG) and Simons (23.2 PPG, 5.3 APG) on the court at the same time. These three are all probable, plus they could have Scoot Henderson (12.8 PPG) and DeAndre Ayton (13.8 PPG) on the court tonight, who are both questionable. Detroit is 17-6 OVER as a road underdog this season. The Pistons are 30-15 OVER as underdogs this season. Detroit ranks 7th in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season, making them a dead nuts OVER team. This total of 227.5 is very low for a game involving the Pistons and with the current positive health of the Blazers. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-08-24 | Jazz v. Suns OVER 243 | Top | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Suns OVER 243 The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 9th in pace and 25th in defensive rating, but they can fill it up on offense. The Jazz have scored 123 or more points in 13 of their last 15 games overall. If they get to 123 tonight, this thing is sailing OVER. The Suns are fully healthy right now with Booker, Durant, Beal and Nurkic all on the court at the same time. They are an elite offensive team when that's the case, plus they have sharp shooters in Grayson Allen and Eric Gordon surrounding them. The Suns have scored at least 114 points in 13 of their last 14 games overall. These teams have met twice this season with the Suns winning 131-128 for 259 combined points in the first meeting and 140-137 in the 2nd meeting in OT for 277 combined points just two days later. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-07-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Clippers | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Pelicans/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +7.5 This is a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Clippers and a great time to 'sell high' on them. They just completed a 6-1 road trip and have been on the road since January 26th. I always like fading teams in their first home game back from an extended road trip because there are a lot of distractions for them to deal with back home. Now the Clippers will be playing in their 8th different city in 13 days and their 3rd game in 4 days. They just played in a 149-144 shootout in Atlanta on Monday and won't have much left in the tank for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days with a 138-100 blowout home win over the Raptors on Monday. They will be the much fresher team in this one, and the Pelicans have actually played some of their best basketball on the road this season. They are 11-4 SU in their last 15 road games with only two losses by more than 6 points. Plays on road underdogs (New Orleans) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against an opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pelicans own the Clippers, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 244 | Top | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Celtics OVER 244 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 4th in pace, 10th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating. Their defense gets even worse without C Clint Capela in their lineup as he is the only player that offers any resistance to the opposition at the rim. The OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games overall with 246 or more combined points at the end of regulation in all seven games. They are averaging 262.3 combined points at the end of regulation in those seven games. This total of 244 is too low for a game involving Atlanta right now. The Celtics are fully healthy right now and a dangerous offensive team when that is the case. They rank 2nd in offensive rating this season. They can name their number here against the Hawks, which I think is 130-plus and the Hawks will do enough to keep pace to get this up and OVER the total. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 248 or more combined points in three of those. Atlanta is 8-1 OVER when revenging a loss by 10 points or more this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 234 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Wizards OVER 234 The Cleveland Cavaliers are fully healthy right now and playing well offensively. They have scored at least 116 points in eight of their last 10 games overall. They are shooting a lot more 3-pointers this season which is a big reason for their uptick on offense. Now they face a dead nuts OVER team in the Washington Wizards who rank 1st in pace and 28th in defensive rating. The Wizards allow 125.8 points per game on 50.3% shooting at home this season. But they score 114.6 points per game on 48.3% shooting at home and should be able to put up enough to get this one up and OVER the total with the Cavaliers naming their number offensively. Washington is 16-3 OVER in its last 19 home games when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-06-24 | Thunder v. Jazz +3 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +3 The Utah Jazz want revenge from a 129-134 home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on January 18th. They are fully healthy and the fresher team right now playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. They are coming off a 123-108 home win over the Bucks to improve to 16-7 SU & 17-5-1 ATS at home this season the best ATS record at home in the entire NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be playing their 9th game in 15 days. This rough stretch has injuries piling up with Isaiah Joe out and Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Cason Wallace all questionable. One of the Thunder's biggest strengths is their depth, and that is really getting tested right now. The Thunder needed double-OT to dispatch of the lowly Toronto Raptors as 8.5-point favorites last time out. I don't believe they should be favored on the road tonight given how tired they are and the fact that they now have to go into altitude in Salt Lake City and play an elite home team in the Jazz. Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge this season. The Jazz are 12-2 ATS in home games when revenging a loss this season. Plays on underdogs (Utah) - after scoring 115 points or more in two consecutive games against an opponent that scored 135 points or more last game are 46-14 (76.7%) ATS since 1996. Bet the Jazz Tuesday. |
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02-05-24 | Kings v. Cavs -4 | Top | 110-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers -4 The Cleveland Cavaliers have gone 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have done a lot of this damage without key players in Evan Mobley and Darius Garland. But both are back healthy now and the Cavaliers are as close to full strength as they have been all season. I like them to cover this short number at home against a Sacramento Kings team that is in a tough spot tonight. The Kings have to be fatigued playing their 7th consecutive road game tonight. They will also be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. I don't expect them to have much left in the tank for the Cavaliers tonight. Sacramento is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games off two or more consecutive road wins. Cleveland is 12-4 ATS against good offensive teams that score 116 or more points per game this season. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Sacramento) - after covering four of its last five against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Cavaliers Monday. |
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02-04-24 | Blazers +14 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +14 I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They will be out for revenge from a 120-108 road loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Now they get to play the Nuggets again here just two days later on Sunday. They will be the more motivated team in this rematch. The Portland Trail Blazers are a dangerous team when healthy, which is the case for them right now. These are the types of teams you can make money on in the NBA because they have a poor 15-34 SU record and the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But the Blazers have shown what they are capable of in their last three games when healthy. They upset the 76ers 130-104 as 9-point home dogs and upset the Bucks 119-116 as 10.5-point home dogs. They only lost by 12 as 14-point road dogs to the Nuggets and Jerami Grant was a late scratch with back tightness. There's a chance they get Grant back today, but having Simons, Brogdon, Ayton and Henderson healthy and playing is enough. Being the defending champs comes with a tax for the Nuggets. This team is struggling to get margin largely because they get everyone's best shot. In fact, the Nuggets haven't won any of their last 12 games by more than 12 points, making for a 12-0 system backing the Blazers pertaining to this 14-point spread. The Nuggets aren't going to be all that motivated to beat Portland again, which is going to make it tough to get margin. Bet the Blazers Sunday. |
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02-03-24 | Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on UNDER 226.5 The New York Knicks are a dead nuts UNDER team. They have gone 15-2 UNDER in their last 17 games overall with 226 or fewer combined points in 15 of those 17 games. It will be more of the same tonight as they host the Los Angeles Lakers on ABC. The Knicks are missing Julius Randle and Quentin Grimes right now and OG Anunoby is questionable after missing the past couple games. The Knicks have had to rely on defense more than ever of late without these guys. They struggle to get easy baskets on offense with only Jalen Brunson and DiVincenzo doing the heavy lifting without them. The Lakers have a bunch of injuries of their own that are hampering them offensively and forcing them to rely more on defense. LeBron James and Anthony Davis are both questionable after missing the last game, and Jared Vanderbilt and Cam Reddish are both out. The Lakers went for just 219 combined points with the Celtics last time out. The Lakers and Knicks have combined for 223 or fewer points in seven of their last nine meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-02-24 | Blazers +12.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +12.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are a dangerous team when healthy, which is the case for them right now. These are the types of teams you can make money on in the NBA because they have a poor 15-33 SU record and the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But the Blazers have shown what they are capable of in their last two games when healthy. They upset the 76ers 130-104 as 9-point home dogs and upset the Bucks 119-116 as 10.5-point home dogs. Now they are catching 12.5 points to the Denver Nuggets, and they won't have a letdown tonight with this opportunity to take down the defending champs. Being the defending champs comes with a tax for the Nuggets. This team is struggling to get margin largely because they are not healthy. In fact, the Nuggets haven't won any of their last 11 games by more than 12 points, making for a 12-0 system backing the Blazers pertaining to this 12.5-point spread. Nikola Jokic is questionable to play tonight with a back injury after missing their last game as well. Bet the Blazers Friday. |
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02-02-24 | Clippers v. Pistons +12 | Top | 136-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +12 The Detroit Pistons have quietly gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. These are the types of teams you can really make money on in the NBA. They have a poor 6-41 SU record so the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But they keep showing up every night. The Pistons pulled the outright upset 120-104 as 12.5-point dogs in their last home game over the Oklahoma City Thunder. They also took the Cavaliers to the wire on the road last time out in a 128-121 loss as 12.5-point dogs. Now they are once again catching too many points tonight at home to the Los Angeles Clippers. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Clippers after going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. But they did lose by 10 at Cleveland as 2.5-point favorites two games back to give these teams a common opponent. And they won't be all that motivated to beat Detroit tonight. This will be their 5th road game in 8 days as well and they are starting to run out of gas. Detroit will be playing its 2nd game in 5 days and will be the fresher team. Plays against road favorites of 10 points or more (LA Clippers) - a hot team winning 12 or more of their last 15 games, a tired team playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 34-12 (73.9%) ATS since 1996. Bet the Pistons Friday. |
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02-01-24 | 76ers v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 127-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
20* 76ers/Jazz TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah -4.5 The Utah Jazz return home highly motivated for a victory off two blowout road losses at Brooklyn and at New York on back-to-back days. They get exactly the team they need to get back on track in the injury-ravaged Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are without Joel Embiid (35.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG) and De'Anthony Melton (11.8 PPG) and could be without Tyrese Maxey (25.7 PPG, 6.6 APG), who has missed the last three games with injury. The 76ers are a tired team as well playing their 5th road game in eight days and in altitude in Salt Lake City to boot. They won't have much left in the tank for the Jazz tonight. Utah is 15-6 SU & 16-4-1 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They are fully healthy right now to boot. Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season. The Jazz are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games after losing four or five of their last six games coming in. Bet the Jazz Thursday. |
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01-31-24 | Bucks v. Blazers +10.5 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
15* Bucks/Blazers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland +10.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are the team you want to back when they are fully healthy and fade when they are not. It makes as big a difference to them as any team in the NBA. Right now they are fully healthy with Grant, Brogdon, Simons, Ayton and Henderson all playing. We saw what they were capable of when that's the case last time out upsetting the 76ers 130-104 as 9-point home dogs. They are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games with outright upsets at home against Brooklyn as 7-point dogs, at home against Indiana as 8-point dogs, at Houston as 10-point dogs and a 2-point loss at OKC as 14-point dogs. Most of their losses were when they weren't fully healthy. Now the Blazers are once again catching too many points at home tonight as 10.5-point dogs to the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are in transition right now with the switch at head coach in Doc Rivers. They are fade material in the immediate future. He isn't going to fix their defense as the Bucks rank 19th in defensive rating, which is why they struggle to get margin on teams. Despite being 32-15 SU, the Bucks have just 11 wins by more than 11 points. The Blazers will be giving their best effort tonight with this game on National TV on ESPN, and that effort should be good enough to stay within this inflated number. Milwaukee is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Bucks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall. Bet the Blazers Wednesday. |
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01-31-24 | Clippers v. Wizards OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Clippers/Wizards OVER 236.5 The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 1st in pace and 28th in defensive rating. But because they have gone under the total in five consecutive games coming into this one, we are getting a discount on this over. That leaves us with a great opportunity to 'buy low' on this OVER. The Clippers are an offensive juggernaut right now that they are fully healthy. They have scored 125 or more points in seven of their last 10 games overall. The three exceptions were against Cleveland, Boston and Minnesota, which are three of the best defensive teams in the NBA. They will get 125-plus tonight which will pave the way to us cashing this OVER ticket. The Wizards are 23-8 OVER in their last 31 home games off an ATS win. Washington home games are averaging 241.5 combined points per game this season. Washington is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 6-plus points pre game. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-30-24 | Raptors v. Bulls -5.5 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls -5.5 The Toronto Raptors traded away two of their best players in Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby. Both are already making major impacts on their new teams in the Pacers and Knicks, respectively. The two players they got back in the Anunoby trade in Emmanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are currently hurt and out tonight. What's left of this Toronto team outside of Scottie Barnes just isn't very good. They are one of the worst teams in the NBA in their current state. That has shown of late as the Raptors are now 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games with four of those five losses coming by 6 points or more. The Bulls are quietly playing some of their best basketball of the season. They have gone 7-4 SU in their last 11 games and are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The two losses during this stretch came on the road at Phoenix by 2 at the buzzer and at the Lakers by 9. The Bulls are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games beating Memphis by 29, Houston by 5, Charlotte by 13 and Philadelphia by 13. Chicago is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The Bulls are 11-3 ATS vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 48% shooting or higher this season. Bet the Bulls Tuesday. |
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01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets +1 | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Houston Rockets +1 The Los Angeles Lakers are in a massive letdown spot off their epic 145-144 (2 OT) win at Golden State Saturday night. They are already 2-0 SU against the Houston Rockets this season winning both meetings at home, so they won't be all that motivated to beat this team again. The Houston Rockets will be motivated playing with double-revenge. The Rockets are 16-8 SU & 16-8 ATS at home this season and finally get the Lakers at home this time around. Houston is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four home meetings with Los Angeles with three outright upsets. The Lakers are 9-15 SU on the road this season. The Lakers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Los Angeles is 16-30 ATS in its last 46 games off two or more consecutive wins. Darwin Ham is 6-20 ATS off a road win as the coach of the Lakers. Wrong team favored here. Bet the Rockets Monday. |
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01-29-24 | Wizards v. Spurs OVER 240 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Wizards/Spurs OVER 240 Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Washington Wizards visit the San Antonio Spurs. The Wizards rank 1st in pace and 29th in defensive rating while the Spurs rank 4th in pace and 25th in defensive rating. The OVER is 2-0 in the last two meetings between the Wizards and Spurs and they both sailed OVER the total. The Wizards won 136-124 for 260 combined points in their final meeting last season. But more importantly, the Spurs won 131-127 for 258 combined points on January 20th just over a week ago today. The OVER is now 5-1 in the last six meetings and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. The Spurs and Wizards have combined for at least 241 points in eight of their last 11 meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 231 | Top | 119-135 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Lakers/Rockets UNDER 231 This total has been inflated due to the Lakers going over the total in five consecutive games coming in. That includes their epic 145-144 (2 OT) win over the Warriors on Saturday in a game that was tied 118-118 at the end of regulation for 236 combined points. After playing a bunch of over teams during this stretch, now the Lakers take on a Houston Rockets team that is a dead nuts UNDER team with the way they play. Houston ranks 20th in pace, 21st in offensive rating and 8th in defensive rating. The Lakers rank just 20th in offensive rating and a respectable 14th in defensive rating. The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Lakers and Rockets. In their two meetings this season, they combined for just 204 and 209 points. Houston is 11-1 UNDER in its last 12 games after outrebounding its last two opponents by 15 boards or more. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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01-29-24 | Knicks -8 v. Hornets | Top | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Knicks -8 The New York Knicks are 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall since trading for OG Anunoby. That includes home wins over the Nuggets by 38 and the Heat by 16 in their last two games coming in. Now I fully expect them to make easy work of the hapless Charlotte Hornets tonight. The Hornets just traded away Terry Rozier and now their best player in LaMelo Ball is questionable tonight and likely won't go. They were already without Mark Williams and Gordon Hayward. This is one of the least talented teams in the NBA in their current state. The Hornets are 3-21 SU in their last 24 games overall. Charlotte is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games overall and has rarely been competitive. The Hornets are coming off a pair of blowout home losses to the Jazz by 12 and the Rockets by 34. The Knicks own the Hornets going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in three meetings with them this season winning by 22 and 24 at home as well as by 14 on the road. New York is 16-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record this season. It will be more of the same tonight with the Knicks winning by double-digits. Bet the Knicks Monday. |
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01-28-24 | Bulls -6.5 v. Blazers | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Bulls -6.5 I love the spot for the Chicago Bulls tonight. They are coming off a pair of single-digit road losses to Phoenix and the LA Lakers. Now they have had the last two days off to rest and recover and now take a big step down in class against the Portland Trail Blazers. This one has blowout written all over it. Portland is 4-10 in its last 14 games overall and just cannot stay healthy. They lost both Jerami Grant and Scoot Henderson to injury in the 1H of their 116-100 road loss to the Spurs on Friday. Now they will be playing in their 5th different city in 8 days and returning home from a four-game road trip. I always like fading teams in their first game back home from an extended road trip. Grant, Henderson, Malcolm Brodgon, Anfernee Simons and Jabari Walker are all questionable to play tonight. Sheadon Sharpe is out. Depending how this injury news breaks, the Bulls could close as double-digit favorites. There's just not much talent for the Blazers outside of these guys that are questionable or out. Portland is 0-9 ATS in its last nine home games after covering four or five of its last six ATS. Chicago is 8-1 ATS vs. poor teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game this season. Bet the Bulls Sunday. |
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01-27-24 | Clippers +7.5 v. Celtics | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Clippers +7.5 This line has been adjusted up too much for the fact that the Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. But the Clippers had two days off before their 127-107 win in Toronto last night. They made such easy work of the Raptors that they didn't have to play their starters big minutes. The Clippers will still be plenty fresh and motivated to try and knock off the Boston Celtics tonight. The Clippers are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games overall with the two losses coming by 3 points to the Lakers and by 4 to the Timberwolves. So the Clippers would be 14-0 ATS with a line of +7.5 in their last 14 games. They are playing too well right now to be catching 7.5 points. The Celtics will be without Kristaps Porzingis and they are much less efficient without him. They should not be favored by 7.5 without Porzingis, who would have been a matchup nightmare for the Clippers in their current state. Bet the Clippers Saturday. |
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01-27-24 | Jazz -9.5 v. Hornets | 134-122 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Utah Jazz -9.5 This is a terrible spot for the short-handed Charlotte Hornets. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. They just lost 138-104 at home to the Houston Rockets last night, and their effort won't be any better tonight. They traded away Terry Rozier and now they are even more short-handed without Gordon Hayward and Mark Williams already. The Utah Jazz will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. They blew out the Wizards 123-108 on the road last time out and will win this game by double-digits as well to get us the win and cover. The Jazz are 13-6 SU & 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall and playing their best basketball of the season now that they are fully healthy. Charlotte is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Utah is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing its 3rd road game in 5 days. Bet the Jazz Saturday. |
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01-27-24 | Heat v. Knicks UNDER 217 | Top | 109-125 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Heat/Knicks UNDER 217 The New York Knicks are a dead nuts UNDER team since trading for OG Anunoby of the Toronto Raptors. They have become an elite defensive team since the trade holding 11 of their last 13 opponents to 106 points or fewer, including eight of them to 100 or fewer. That's remarkable in today's NBA. The UNDER is 12-1 in Knicks last 13 games overall with 222 or fewer combined points in10 of those 13 games. The Knicks rank 27th in pace and 7th in defensive rating this season, which makes them a dead nuts UNDER team. Now they take on another dead nuts UNDER team in the Miami Heat. The Heat rank 11th in defensive rating, 22nd in offensive rating and 28th in pace. So this is a matchup between two of the four slowest teams in the NBA from a pace perspective. Each of the last eight meetings between New York and Miami have seen 216 or fewer combined points. That makes for a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 217-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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01-26-24 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 230.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Spurs OVER 230.5 The Blazers and their opponents have combined for 233 or more points in three of their last four games overall. That includes a 137-131 win at Houston that saw 268 combined points last time out. The OVER is 4-0 in Spurs last four games overall with 244 or more combined points in all four games. The Blazers and Spurs are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 240 or more combined points in four of those five. That includes 262 combined points in their most recent meeting on December 29th. The OVER is 15-5 in San Antonio's 20 home games this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-26-24 | Magic v. Grizzlies UNDER 213 | 106-107 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Magic/Grizzlies UNDER 213 The Orlando Magic are a dead nuts UNDER team going 7-2 UNDER in its last nine games overall. Orlando and its opponents have combined for 212 or fewer points in six of its last eight games. This is a very high total for a game involving the Magic tonight. That's especially the case when you consider their opponent in the Memphis Grizzlies, who are also a dead nuts UNDER team right now due to all their injuries. They are without Morant, Smart, Bane and several others and having to rely on defense to be competitive. The UNDER is 9-5 in Grizzlies last 14 games overall. The Grizzlies have scored 108 or fewer points in four consecutive games. The Magic rank 5th in defensive rating while the Grizzlies rank 10th. The Grizzlies rank dead last (30th) in offensive rating while the Magic rank 24th. Memphis is 14-5 UNDER at home this season. The Grizzlies are 14-4 UNDER after scoring 105 points or fewer this season. Orlando is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 games following a blowout loss by 20 points or more. The Magic are 12-1 UNDER in their last 13 road games following a home loss. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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01-26-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 240.5 | 107-83 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Pelicans NBA ANNIHILATOR on OVER 240.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER rank ranking 4th in pace and 7th in offensive rating. The Pelicans are 8th in offensive rating and both teams are really scoring at a high level right now. The Thunder are scoring 121.9 points per game this season. The Pelicans are scoring 117.5 points per game and that number would be even higher if they were healthy all season. Well, they are healthy right now and we're seeing what they are capable of scoring 127.4 points per game in their last eight games. Oklahoma City is a perfect 8-0 OVER vs. good offensive teams scoring 116-plus points per game this season. We are seeing an average of 252.9 combined points per game in these games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nuggets/Knicks UNDER 222.5 The New York Knicks are a dead nuts UNDER team since trading for OG Anunoby of the Toronto Raptors. They have become an elite defensive team since the trade holding 10 of their last 12 opponents to 106 points or fewer, including seven of them to 100 or fewer. That's remarkable in today's NBA. The UNDER is 11-1 in Knicks last 12 games overall with 222 or fewer combined points in nine of those 12 games. The Knicks rank 27th in pace and 7th in defensive rating this season, which makes them a dead nuts UNDER team. Now they take on another dead nuts UNDER team in the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets rank 28th in pace and 12th in adjusted defense. The UNDER is 3-0 in Nuggets last three games overall combining for 202 points with the Celtics, 217 with the Wizards and 223 with the Pacers. The Wizards and Pacers are dead nuts over teams playing at the two fastest paces in the entire NBA as well. Denver is 15-1 UNDER in its last 16 games after playing three consecutive non-conference games this season. The Nuggets are 14-6 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks +2.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks +2.5 The New York Knicks are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby of the Toronto Raptors. They have become an elite defensive team since the trade holding 10 of their last 12 opponents to 106 points or fewer, including seven of them to 100 or fewer. That's remarkable in today's NBA. Now I fully expect the Knicks to upset the defending champion Denver Nuggets at home tonight. The Nuggets are 14-10 SU but 8-15-1 ATS on the road this season and have been vulnerable on the highway. The Knicks are 14-5 SU & 11-7-1 ATS at home this season. New York is a perfect 10-0 ATS in home games with a total of 220 to 229.5 this season. Bet the Knicks Thursday. |
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01-25-24 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | 143-110 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* Celtics/Heat TNT ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 224.5 The Miami Heat are 7-0 UNDER in their last seven games and 12-2 UNDER in their last 14 games overall. They have been held to 108 or fewer points in seven consecutive games, and 99 or fewer in five of those seven. They could be without Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Kevin Love tonight, and they are having chemistry issues trying to incorporate Terry Rozier Jr. Miami ranks 29th in pace, 22nd in offensive rating and 9th in defensive rating. The Heat have been getting after it defensively holding their last seven opponents to an average of just 102.6 points per game. They can hold the Boston Celtics in check tonight. The Celtics are 5-0 UNDER in their last five games overall with 223 or fewer combined points in four of those five games. The lone exception was the 229 against a dead nuts over team in the Mavericks when the total was 240. The Celtics rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive rating and 17th in pace. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between Miami and Boston with 215 combined points or fewer in four of those five games. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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01-24-24 | Hornets v. Pistons OVER 234 | Top | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hornets/Pistons OVER 234 La'Melo Ball recently returned from injury and makes the Hornets a dead nuts OVER team when he's on the court. They play with more pace and are a much more efficient offensive team with him than without him. We have seen that play out since he returned. They have gone for 234 or more combined points with their opponents in four of the five games since he returned with the lone exception being a game against the Miami Heat, who are a dead nuts under team. They went for 253 with Minnesota, 244 with San Antonio and 244 with New Orleans in his last three games. The Detroit Pistons are a dead nuts OVER team. The Pistons have gone for 235 or more combined points with their opponents in seven of their last eight games overall and 11 of their last 13 games as well. This total of 234 is too short tonight given all these facts. Detroit is 8-1 OVER off two or more consecutive ATS wins this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-23-24 | Blazers v. Thunder OVER 234 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Blazers/Thunder OVER 234 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 7th in pace and 5th in offensive rating. They are scoring 121.7 points per game this season. They put up 134 and 139 points in their two meetings with the Blazers this season. The Blazers have been much more productive offensively here of late due to getting much healthier. They are coming off a game that saw 244 combined points with the Lakers. I think they can do enough offensively to push this one up and OVER the total. Oklahoma City is 11-3 OVER when playing just its 2nd game in 5 days this season. The Thunder will be fresh and ready to run up and down the court tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-23-24 | Knicks -4 v. Nets | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
20* Knicks/Nets TNT No-Brainer on New York -4 The New York Knicks are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby of the Raptors. They are in a great spot tonight rested coming off two days' rest and I expect them to make easy work of the Brooklyn Nets as a result. The Nets are 4-15 SU & 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall and dealing with a bunch of trade rumors right now. This is a terrible spot for the Nets returning home from a 3-game road trip that included two games in Los Angeles against the Lakers and Clippers to close out the trip. They will be flat tonight in their first game back home. The Knicks have owned the Nets going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings winning by 18 and 24 at home and by 19 on the road, which was their lone meeting this season. New York is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Knicks Tuesday. |
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01-22-24 | Spurs +14.5 v. 76ers | Top | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +14.5 The San Antonio Spurs have quietly gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have been a lot more competitive than they are getting credit for. That includes a 4-point loss to Milwaukee, a 2-point loss to Cleveland and a 6-point loss to Chicago. I expect them to hang with the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. This looks like a potential sleepy spot for the 76ers, who have won five consecutive games and have a five-game road trip coming up next. They kind of sleep walked through their 97-89 win as 11-point favorites at Charlotte on Saturday. They will now be playing in their 3rd different city in 4 days. This is the final game of a 5-game road trip for the Spurs and I always feel like teams are more motivated in that final game on a road trip to end it with a win. San Antonio will give Philadelphia a run for its money tonight. Bet the Spurs Monday. |
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01-22-24 | Cavs v. Magic UNDER 216.5 | Top | 126-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cavs/Magic UNDER 216.5 The Orlando Magic are a dead nuts UNDER team going 7-1 UNDER in its last eight games overall. Orlando and its opponents have combined for 212 or fewer points in six of its last seven games. This is a very high total for a game involving the Magic tonight. The Cleveland Cavaliers remain without two of their best scorers in Evan Mobley and Darius Garland. One of their top bench scorers in Caris LeVert is questionable as well. The Cavaliers have had to rely a lot on defense without these guys, and they have done a great job of it. Indeed, Cleveland has allowed 102 or fewer points in six of its last seven games overall while going 5-1-1 UNDER during this stretch. This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these teams already. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. The Cavs and Magic combined for just 198 points in their most recent meeting on December 11th. In fact, the Cavs and Magic have combined for 214 or fewer points in 16 of their last 20 meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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01-21-24 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 215.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Heat/Magic UNDER 215.5 Miami is a dead nuts UNDER team. The UNDER is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games overall and 5-0 in their last five. They have gone for 218 or fewer combined points in five consecutive games and played two dead nuts over teams in that stretch in Toronto and Atlanta, the only two games that would have gone over this total. One of those five games was against Orlando on January 12th. The Heat won that game 99-96 for just 195 combined points. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and it should be more of the same here in the rematch. Orlando is also a dead nuts UNDER team going 6-1 UNDER in its last seven games overall. Orlando and its opponents have combined for 212 or fewer points in five of its last six games. Simply put, this total has been set too high tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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01-20-24 | 76ers v. Hornets OVER 229 | 97-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on 76ers/Hornets OVER 229 The Charlotte Hornets have been a dead nuts under team without La'Melo Ball this season. But he recently returned from injury, giving us the opportunity to 'buy low' on a Hornets OVER. They are a much better offensive team with Ball in the lineup and they play with a lot more pace with him as well. We have seen that play out in their last two games. The Hornets lost 132-112 at New Orleans for 244 combined points and beat the Spurs 124-120 for 244 combined points. This total of 229 has been set too low against the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. The 76ers are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall and just got Joel Embiid back from injury. They combined for 239 points with Houston, 247 points with Denver and 233 points with Orlando. Philadelphia is 41-20 OVER in its last 61 games as a road favorite. The 76ers are 21-11 OVER as a favorite this season. Philadelphia is 21-8 OVER in its last 29 games vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 48% shooting or higher. Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (Philadelphia) - after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 28-6 (82.4%) over the last five seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets v. Celtics OVER 233 | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/Celtics ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 233 Both the Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics are fully healthy right now and elite offensive teams when that's the case. The Nuggets have scored at least 117 points in six of their last seven games overall. The Celtics have scored at least 117 points in 14 of their last 16 games overall. Both teams will get 117-plus in this one as we easily cash this OVER 233 ticket. The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings as the Celtics and Nuggets have combined for 234 and 243 points in their last two meetings. Boston is 18-5 OVER in its last 23 games vs. Northwest Division opponents. Bet the OVER In this game Friday. |
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01-19-24 | Spurs v. Hornets OVER 235.5 | Top | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Hornets OVER 235.5 The Charlotte Hornets have been a dead nuts under team without La'Melo Ball this season. But he recently returned from injury, giving us the opportunity to 'buy low' on a Hornets OVER. They are a much better offensive team with Ball in the lineup and they play with a lot more pace with him as well. We saw that play out last game with the Hornets losing 132-112 at New Orleans for 244 combined points. This total of 235.5 has been set too low against the San Antonio Spurs tonight. Victor Wembenyama is sitting tonight for the Spurs. They have been a dead nuts under team with him in the lineup, and much more of an over team without him because he is their best defender. In fact, they have gone 7-0-2 UNDER in their last nine games with Wembenyama. In their last four games without Wembenyama, the OVER is 4-0 as they combined for 238 points with the Bulls, 262 points with the Blazers, 263 points with the Mavericks and 251 points with the Bucks. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-18-24 | Thunder v. Jazz +4 | Top | 134-129 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Jazz +4 The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Jazz are 12-2 SU & 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs. What more does this team have to do to get some respect? They beat the Pacers by 27, the Lakers by 7 on the 2nd of a back-to-back, the Raptors by 32, the Nuggets by 13, the Bucks outright by 16 as 8-point road dogs and the 76ers outright by 11 as 8.5-point road dogs in their last six games coming in. They should not be 4-point home underdogs to the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. The Jazz have a big rest advantage over the Thunder, who will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and in altitude tonight to boot. The Thunder will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight and started to show signs of wearing down with a 7-point loss to the Lakers and an 11-point loss to the Clippers in their last two games coming in. Meanwhile, the Jazz will be playing on two days' rest after having last night's game against the Warriors canceled. The Jazz are 15-5 SU & 16-3-1 ATS at home this season. Utah is 9-1 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less this season. The Jazz are 11-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Utah is 10-1 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season. Utah is 9-0 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season. Bet the Jazz Thursday. |
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01-17-24 | Hornets v. Pelicans OVER 229 | Top | 112-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hornets/Pelicans OVER 229 The Charlotte Hornets have been a dead nuts under team without La'Melo Ball this season. But he recently returned from injury, giving us the opportunity to 'buy low' on a Hornets OVER. They are a much better offensive team with Ball in the lineup and they play with a lot more pace with him as well. The Pelicans are fully healthy right now and an elite offensive team when that's the case. They have scored an average of 125.0 points per game in their last five games. I think they get to 125-plus tonight, and the Hornets do enough to push this one OVER the total. Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (New Orleans) - off a road loss, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team that wins 25% or less are 28-5 (84.8%) since 1996. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-17-24 | Spurs +16 v. Celtics | 98-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +16 The San Antonio Spurs are 2-5 SU but 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall playing their most competitive basketball of the season. They only lost at Memphis by 8, to the Bucks by 4, to the Cavs by 2, to the Bulls by 6 and at the Hawks by 10 in their five defeats during this stretch. Now they are catching too many points once again to the Boston Celtics tonight. Boston is overvalued due to its 19-0 home record this season. But they needed OT recently at home to beat both the Pistons and the Timberwolves. With this perfect home record comes expectations that are difficult to live up to, and it's time to 'sell high' on the Celtics as a result. Three starters in Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis and Derrick White are all questionable to play tonight for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown is banged up as well. The Spurs are as healthy as they have been all season, which has been the key to them being so competitive of late and covering a bunch of spreads. They'll cover another tonight. Bet the Spurs Wednesday. |
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01-16-24 | Kings v. Suns -4 | Top | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Phoenix Suns -4 The Phoenix Suns finally heave the Big 3 of Durant, Booker and Beal healthy and playing at the same time. They are showing what they are capable of when that's the case in recent weeks. The Suns are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games overall including a 127-109 road win over the Lakers two games ago. The Suns have the next two days off so they will be 'all in' to get a win over the Sacramento Kings tonight. I question how much the Kings have left in the tank as they will be playing their 5th consecutive road game and coming off an OT loss at Milwaukee at the buzzer on Sunday. They will be playing their 5th road game in 8 days as well as their 9th game in 15 days overall. Sacramento is 12-25 ATS in its last 37 games after playing two consecutive road games. The Kings are 18-34 ATS in their last 52 road games off a close road loss by 3 points or less. Plays against road underdogs (Sacramento) - off two or more consecutive road losses against an opponent that is off a road win by 10 points or more are 25-7 (78.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Suns Tuesday. |
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01-15-24 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 236.5 | 105-112 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 236.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 6th in pace and 4th in offensive rating. They have scored at least 119 points in 11 of their last 13 games overall, and 112 points or more in all 13. The Los Angeles Lakers have allowed 132, 127 and 131 points in their last three games coming in. They are not playing defense since the In-Season Tournament. They can get their points on offense to hang with the Thunder in a shootout though. That has been the case in recent meetings as the OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 249, 243, 227, 240 and 263 combined points with none of those games going to OT. Those 249 and 243-point totals came in their first two meetings this season. It should be more of the same tonight. Plays on the OVER on any team (LA Lakers) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games are 23-6 (79.3%) over the last five seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-15-24 | Pacers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -7.5 The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Jazz are 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs. What more does this team have to do to get some respect? They beat the Lakers by 7 on the 2nd of a back-to-back, the Raptors by 32, the Nuggets by 13, the Bucks outright by 16 as 8-point road dogs and the 76ers outright by 11 as 8.5-point road dogs in their last five games coming in. They should be more than 7.5-point favorites over the Indiana Pacers tonight. This is a terrible spot for the Pacers. They are without their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. They are coming off a 109-117 road loss at Denver on Sunday. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back in altitude. They will also be playing their 7th game in 11 days and their 3rd consecutive road game. This is a tired team to say the least. Utah is 11-1 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season. The Jazz are 14-5 SU & 15-3-1 ATS at home this season. Bet the Jazz Monday. |
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01-15-24 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 241 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Raptors OVER 241 The Toronto Raptors are a dead nuts OVER team since trading for RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley of the Knicks. They are also going more small ball now with the loss of center Jakob Poeltl, which is beneficial to the OVER after adding those two scorers from the Knicks to boot. The OVER is 8-1 in Raptors last nine games overall with 238 or more combined points in eight of those nine games. They combined for 258 points with the Jazz, 246 with the Clippers, 263 with the Lakers, 251 with the Warriors and 265 with the Kings in their last five games coming in. It will be more of the same against the Celtics tonight. Boston just hung 145 points on the Rockets last game and has now scored at least 118 points in 13 of its last 14 games overall. The Celtics rank 3rd in offensive rating this season and will be able to name their number on the Raptors, who have allowed 118 or more points in eight of their last nine games overall. But I think Toronto can keep pace in a shootout. Toronto is 16-4 OVER after playing a road game this season. The OVER is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-15-24 | Spurs +7.5 v. Hawks | 99-109 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 The Atlanta Hawks are the most overvalued team in the NBA this season. They are 15-23 SU & 9-29 ATS this season, including 6-11 SU & 3-14 ATS at home. They don't play defense ranking 27th in defensive rating, and their chemistry is terrible right now. The Hawks are 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They haven't won a game by more than 7 points since December 15th, which was 15 games ago, so they'd be 0-14 ATS in their last 14 games with a line of -7.5. They were just upset by 28 at home by the Wizards as 7-point favorites. They should not be 7.5-point favorites over the Spurs today. The Spurs are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall taking the Grizzlies, Bucks, Cavs and Bulls to the wire in four losses by 8 points or less. They also crushed the Pistons by 22 and the Hornets by 36. They will have Victor Wembanyama for this game, and they are a pretty good team with him in the lineup. Atlanta is 0-9 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Hawks are 2-16 ATS as favorites this season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS vs. teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the Spurs Monday. |
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01-14-24 | Suns -10.5 v. Blazers | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Phoenix Suns -10.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are playing as poorly as any team in the NBA right now. They are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with all six losses coming by 21 points or more. That's why I'm willing to lay the -10.5 with the Phoenix Suns tonight. The Blazers are also in a terrible spot returning home from a 7-game road trip. There is a lot of distractions they will have to deal with back at home, not the least of which is the embarrassment of how poorly they performed on that road trip. The Blazers are also banged up right now which is a big reason for their struggles. The Phoenix Suns are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when they have Durant, Booker and Beal on the court at the same time. They are coming off an 18-point road win over the Los Angeles Lakers. They are rested and ready to go as they have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight. Portland is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games after scoring 95 points or less in two consecutive games. The Blazers have been held to 93, 77 and 84 points in their last three games, which is absolutely terrible in today's NBA. Bet the Suns Sunday. |
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01-13-24 | Lakers v. Jazz +105 | 125-132 | Win | 105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
15* Lakers/Jazz NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah ML +105 The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Jazz are 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs. What more does this team have to do to get some respect? I know the Jazz will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but not all back-to-backs are created equal. They blew out the Raptors 145-113 last night so they were able to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. They will be plenty fresh and motivated when they host the Los Angeles Lakers tonight. They sit at 20-20 this season with a chance to get back above .500. The Lakers have been grossly overvalued since winning the In-Season Tournament. They are 5-11 SU & 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. They have six players on the injury report including questionable tags for LeBron, D'Angelo Russell and Cam Reddish heading into this one. They should not be favored on the road over a Jazz team playing as well as anyone right now. Utah is 10-1 ATS in home games off an ATS win this season. The Jazz are 10-1 ATS in home games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46% shooting or worse this season. Utah is 10-1 ATS in home games when revenging a loss this season. Bet the Jazz Saturday. |
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01-13-24 | Knicks -7 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Knicks -7 The Memphis Grizzlies cannot catch a break. They were playing well when JA Morant and Marcus Smart were back. But now Morant is out for the season, and Smart is out at least six weeks. They were already without Steven Adams, Brandon Clarke and Derrick Rose. Now the Grizzlies have Santi Aldama questionable and Desmond Bane just left last night's game with an ankle injury and did not return. I can't imagine Bane will be back for this 2nd of a back-to-back. The Grizzlies are just so short-handed right now. The Knicks are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby from the Raptors. That includes a 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as 5.5-point dogs as four of those five wins have come by 16 points or more. I expect them to crush the short-handed Grizzlies tonight. New York is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games as a road favorite. Memphis is 4-13 ATS in home games this season. The Knicks are 12-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record this season. The Grizzlies are 1-9 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 3-plus points per game this season. Bet the Knicks Saturday. |
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01-13-24 | Wizards +8 v. Hawks | Top | 127-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +8 The Atlanta Hawks have been grossly overvalued all season. They are 15-22 SU & 9-28 ATS in their 37 games and consistently getting too much respect from oddsmakers. That is the case again tonight as 8-point favorites over Washington. This is as terrible spot for the Hawks. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 126-108 home loss to the Pacers last night. It will also be the 3rd game in 4 days for the Hawks after going to OT against the 76ers the game prior. They won't have much left in the tank for the Wizards tonight. The Wizards have played their best basketball on the road this season going 12-8-1 ATS in their 21 road games. They are rested and ready to go tonight after having the last two days off. They are also fully healthy. Atlanta is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. Washington is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 road games following six or more consecutive losses. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the Wizards Saturday. |
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01-12-24 | Raptors v. Jazz -3 | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Utah Jazz -3 The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Jazz are 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs. What more does this team have to do to get some respect? We'll gladly take advantage again tonight and back the Jazz as short home favorites over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are without starting C Jacob Poeltl and their best player in Pascal Siakam is questionable. The Raptors are playing well also, but this is a tough spot for them. The Raptors will be playing their 6th road game in 10 days here. They just played the Lakers and Clippers in Los Angeles in back-to-back days. They won't have much left in the tank for the Jazz, and they will also be playing in altitude in Salt Lake City tonight to make matters worse. Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games off an ATS win this season. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in home games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46% shooting or worse this season. Bet the Jazz Friday. |
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01-12-24 | Raptors v. Jazz OVER 235.5 | Top | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Raptors/Jazz OVER 235.5 The Toronto Raptors are a dead nuts OVER team since trading for RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley of the Knicks. They are also going more small ball now with the loss of center Jakob Poeltl, which is beneficial to the OVER after adding those two scorers from the Knicks to boot. The OVER is 7-1 in Raptors last eight games overall with 238 or more combined points in seven of those eight games. They combined for 246 points with the Clippers, 263 with the Lakers, 251 with the Warriors and 265 with the Kings in their last four games coming in. It will be more of the same against the Jazz tonight. The Jazz are fully healthy right now and are an elite offensive team when that's the case. They have scored 120 or more points in five of their last six games overall. The Raptors have allowed 118 or more points in seven of their last eight games overall. Utah is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 home games after three straight games outrebounding opponents by 5 boards or more. Toronto is 8-1 OVER off a loss by 6 points or less this season. The Raptors are 15-4 OVER after playing a road game this season. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Raptors and Jazz with 238 or more combined points in each of the last three. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-12-24 | Warriors v. Bulls -3 | 140-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls -3 The Chicago Bulls are fully healthy and playing well right now. They have won three consecutive games coming in and I expect them to take down the short-handed Golden State Warriors tonight. The Warriors are without four key players right now in Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Chris Paul and Moses Moody. They are 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall. Their last two games were particularly concerning as they were upset by the Raptors by 15 at home and blasted by the Pelicans by 36 at home. Golden State is 2-11 ATS after losing two of its last three games this season. Chicago is 42-25 ATS in its last 67 games as home favorites. Bet the Bulls Friday. |
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01-11-24 | Knicks -4.5 v. Mavs | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on New York Knicks -4.5 The Dallas Mavericks are without Luka Doncic, Dante Exum and Derrick Lively II tonight. Grant Williams is questionable as well. I don't give them much of a shot of even keeping this game competitive against the New York Knicks tonight without Doncic. The Knicks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby of the Raptors. They have won all five games by 6 points or more with four of those wins coming by 16 points or more. They have been absolutely dominant, and they are allowing just 97.4 points per game during this winning streak, which is unheard of in today's NBA. Bet the Knicks Thursday. |
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01-11-24 | Blazers v. Thunder OVER 233 | Top | 77-139 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blazers/Thunder OVER 233 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 232 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 games, 235 or more nine times and 248 or more seven of those. This total of 233 is too short for a game involving the Thunder right now. The Portland Trail Blazers are more of an OVER team when Anfernee Simons is healthy. He is one of the best young guards in the game. But the Blazers have allowed 126 or more points in four of their last six games and are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-10-24 | Raptors v. Clippers OVER 235.5 | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
20* Raptors/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 235.5 The Toronto Raptors are a dead nuts OVER team since trading for RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley of the Knicks. They are also going more small ball now with the loss of center Jakob Poeltl, which is beneficial to the OVER after adding those two scorers from the Knicks to boot. The OVER is 6-1 in Raptors last seven games overall with 238 or more combined points in six of those seven games. They combined for 263 points with the Lakers, 251 with the Warriors and 265 with the Kings in their last three games coming in. It will be more of the same against the Clippers tonight. The Clippers have scored 117 or more points in four of their last six games overall. They put up 117 on Memphis, 121 on Miami, 131 on Phoenix and 138 on Phoenix. They will hang a big number on the Raptors to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket. But the Raptors have scored at least 116 points in nine consecutive games and will get theirs as well. They have scored 124-plus in five of their last six. Toronto is 14-4 OVER off a road game this season. The Clippers are 16-5 OVER in their last 21 games off a home win by 10 points or more. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Nuggets v. Jazz +7 | Top | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
20* Nuggets/Jazz ESPN No-Brainer on Utah +7 The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Jazz are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with six outright wins as underdogs. What more does this team have to do to get some respect? We'll gladly take advantage again tonight and back the Jazz catching 7 points at home to the Denver Nuggets. The highlights during this run include an upset home win over the Heat by 8, an upset home win over the Mavericks by 27, an upset road win at Philadelphia by 11 and an upset road win at Milwaukee by 16. The Jazz will have no problem getting motivated to face the defending champs tonight. The Nuggets have benefited from a home-heavy, soft schedule here of late with six of their last even games at home. Their lone road game during this stretch was a 3-point win at Golden State at the buzzer. The road games prior were all single-digit wins over the Hornets, Nets, Raptors, Bulls and Hawks. The Nuggets have just one road win all season by double-digits. They are 11-8 SU but 7-12 ATS on the highway this season. Utah is 11-5 SU & 12-3-1 ATS at home this season. The Jazz are 51-26 ATS in their last 77 games as underdogs, including 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs. Utah is 11-1 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in home games when revenging a loss this season. Utah is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season. Bet the Jazz Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 141-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Warriors OVER 233.5 The Golden State Warriors are a dead nuts OVER team in their current state. They are without their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Gary Payton II. They are also without Chris Paul, who slows down the tempo on offense when he's in there. So him being out benefits the OVER. The OVER is 4-1 in Warriors last five games overall with 236 or more combined points in four of those five games. This total is too short considering the opponent in the Pelicans, who have scored 117 or more points in seven of their last eight road games, including 133 against the Kings last time out. New Orleans is 13-5 OVER in its last 18 games following an UNDER. The Warriors are 26-13 OVER in their last 39 games with a line of +3 to -3. Golden State is 16-4 OVER following an ATS loss this season. The Warriors are 9-1 OVER vs. a marginal winning team (51-60%) this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Pelicans +1 v. Warriors | 141-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Pelicans/Warriors ABC ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +1 The Golden State Warriors are broken right now without Draymond Green, Gary Payton II and Chris Paul. There is just too much on Steph Curry's shoulders. The Warriors are 2-5 SU in their last seven games overall with their two wins both coming at home over the Magic by 6 and the Pistons by 4. They are coming off a 15-point home loss to the Raptors, and also lost by 12 at home to Miami and by 10 at home to Dallas. The Pelicans are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. They beat the Kings by 33, the Timberwolves by 11, the Cavaliers by 19, the Spurs by 36, the Hornets by 5, the Wizards by 20 and the Kings by 10 with six of those seven wins by double-digits. They are rolling on the road right now and should not be underdogs to the Warriors tonight. Golden State is 6-14 ATS in home games this season. Bet the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Thunder v. Heat OVER 233 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Thunder/Heat OVER 233 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 232 or more combined points in nine of those 10 games, 235 or more eight times and 249 or more six of those. This total of 233 is too short for a game involving the Thunder right now. The Miami Heat have been more of an under team of late but a lot of that has to do with who they have played against. They did just combine for 233 points with the Rockets with a 220-point total in their last game. The Thunder will speed them up and make them play faster, and the Heat lose a lot defensively with the injuries they have right now. The OVER is 5-1 in Heat last six home games. Oklahoma City is 14-6 OVER with a total of 230 or higher this season. The OVER is 15-4 in Thunder last 19 games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Spurs -3.5 v. Pistons | 130-108 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Antonio Spurs -3.5 The San Antonio Spurs are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall playing Memphis (lost by 8), Milwaukee (lost by 4) and Cleveland (lost by 2) all tough and down to the wire. They haven't been rewarded with victories for their solid play, but they will be rewarded tonight with a blowout victory over the lowly Detroit Pistons. The spot really favors the Spurs tonight. They come in on two days' rest and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. Meanwhile, the Pistons will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days. The blew a 22-point home lead to the Kings last night and wound up losing by 21 points. The Pistons were playing more competitive basketball of late but then lost their best player in Cade Cunningham to injury. They were blown out in the 2nd half by the Nuggets in a 17-point loss after losing Cunningham in the 1H the game prior. They just don't stand much of a chance of being competitive without him. Detroit is 3-11 ATS in non-conference games this season. The Pistons are 4-12 ATS after playing a home game this season. Bet the Spurs Wednesday. |
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01-10-24 | Wizards +7.5 v. Pacers | 104-112 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +7.5 The Indiana Pacers are in a terrible spot tonight. They just played two consecutive games against the Boston Celtics at home. After losing the first meeting, they got their revenge in the rematch with a 133-131 victory. Now they are primed for a big letdown here against the Washington Wizards. The cost of that victory was a big one, too. They lost their best player in Tyrese Haliburton to a hamstring injury that is going to sideline him for at least two weeks. Haliburton was having a MVP-caliber season averaging 23.6 points per game and 12.5 assists per game while shooting 40% from 3, 50% from the floor and 87% from the FT line. The Pacers go as Haliburton goes. They should not be 7.5-point favorites over the Wizards tonight without him. The Wizards have played their best basketball on the road this season going 12-8 ATS on the highway. They just beat the Pacers 137-123 as 8.5-point home dogs in their last meeting even with Haliburton. They will hang tough tonight and possibly pull off the upset again. Washington is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 road games off a non-conference game. The Wizards are 91-58 ATS in their last 159 games off five or more consecutive losses. Washington is 7-0 ATS n road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season. This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Wizards. Bet the Wizards Wednesday. |
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01-09-24 | Raptors +5 v. Lakers | Top | 131-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
20* Raptors/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto +5 The Toronto Raptors have been playing very well since trading for RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley. They have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their four games since the trade with their only loss coming at Sacramento by 5 as 4.5-point dogs after the Kings made two free throws with almost no time left. They beat the Cavaliers at home, upset the Grizzlies on the road and upset the Warriors by 15 on the road. The Raptors have now scored 124 or more points in four of their last five games as their offensive efficiency is through the roof. This is a great spot to fade the Lakers. They are coming off an upset home win over the Clippers last time out, and now they have another huge game against the Phoenix Suns on deck Thursday. That makes this the ultimate sandwich spot for them and they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Raptors as they were to beat the Clippers, or as they will be to beat the Suns. The Lakers have been grossly overvalued for a month now. They are 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They should not be 5-point favorites over the Raptors tonight with the way these teams are trending. Bet the Raptors Tuesday. |
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01-08-24 | Jazz +10 v. Bucks | Top | 132-116 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +10 The Utah Jazz are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are as healthy as they have been all season, which is a big reason they are playing so well right now. They should not be catching double-digits on the road to the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. The Bucks will be without Damian Lillard and Cameron Payne tonight, so they will be short-handed. The Jazz can shift their focus to just trying to stop Giannis now. The Bucks are a dangerous team when both of those guys are healthy, but they are closer to an average team without one of Lillard or Giannis. Milwaukee is 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall. Utah is 50-26 ATS in its last 76 games as an underdog. The Jazz are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after playing two consecutive road games. They are coming off a 120-109 upset win at Philadelphia as 8.5-point dogs, and I wouldn't be surprised at all to see them upset the Bucks tonight. Bet the Jazz Monday. |
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01-08-24 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 244.5 | 136-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Wizards OVER 244.5 The OVER is 7-2 in Thunder last nine games overall. They have combined for 249 or more points with their opponents in five of those nine games, so getting over 244.5 tonight isn't asking too much when you consider their opponent. The Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 2nd in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating. They face a Thunder team that ranks 6th in pace and 4th in offensive rating. The Thunder have scored at least 115 points in 14 consecutive games now. The Wizards allow 126.1 points per game this season. Washington is 14-4 OVER in its last 18 non-conference home games. The Wizards are 12-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams that score 116-plus points per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-07-24 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 236.5 | 133-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Warriors OVER 236.5 The Toronto Raptors have become a dead nuts OVER team since trading away their best defender in OG Anunoby to the Knicks and bringing in two scorers and poor defenders in RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley. The OVER is 4-1 in Raptors last five games overall with 238 or more combined points in four of those five games. They have now gone for at least 232 combined points in seven of their last eight games overall as well. The Golden State Warriors are without their two best defenders right now in Draymond Green and Gary Payton II. They also just lost Chris Paul to injury, and it's actually a good thing for Golden State OVERS to be without Paul because he doesn't push the tempo as much as they will without him. The OVER is 3-1 in Warriors last four games overall with 252, 236 and 257 combined points in the three OVERS. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Raptors and Warriors with 246 and 236 combined points in their last two meetings. Toronto is 12-4 OVER after playing a road game this season. Golden State is 15-4 OVER following an ATS loss this season. The Warriors are 25-13 OVER in their last 38 games with a line of +3 to -3. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Pistons v. Nuggets OVER 235 | 114-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Pistons/Nuggets OVER 235 The Detroit Pistons have gotten healthy and are playing much more competitive basketball of late because of it. The improvements have come on offense with the addition of sharp shooter Bojan Bogdanovic to the lineup. The Pistons have scored at least 109 points in 10 consecutive games. But they still rank 27th in defensive rating. The Nuggets rank 7th in offensive rating and will get theirs. But they have been soft defensively of late allowing 127 points to the Warriors and 122 to the Magic in their last two games, which went well OVER the total with 257 and 242 combined points, respectively. The Pistons and their opponents have combined for at least 249 points in four of their last five games. The OVER is 6-1 in Pistons last seven games overall. Detroit is 13-3 OVER vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% of their shots or better this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Pistons +16.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +16.5 The Detroit Pistons have gotten healthy and have been much more competitive of late as a result. Their 28-game losing streak has had them undervalued for a few weeks now. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. They only lost by 4 at Golden State, by 6 at Utah in OT, by 6 in Boston in OT and upset the Raptors. during this stretch. Now I expect the Pistons to give the defending champion Nuggets a run for their money tonight. The Nuggets have been overvalued due to winning the title last year. They are kind of just going through the motions right now and won't be motivated at all to get margin on the Pistons. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. They lost outright to the Thunder by 26 as 1.5-point favorites at home and outright to the Magic as 9.5-point home favorites during this stretch. Plays against home favorites of 10 or more points (Denver) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against an opponent that went over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 27-3 (90%) over the last five seasons. Bet the Pistons Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Hawks v. Magic OVER 238 | 110-117 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Hawks/Magic OVER 238 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 5th in pace, 6th in offensive rating and 28th in defensive rating. The OVER is 20-12 in all Atlanta games this season. The OVER is 3-0 in their last three games combining for 256 points with Washington, 279 with Oklahoma City and 266 with Indiana. The OVER is 3-0 in Magic last three games overall combining for 236 points with Golden State, 273 with Sacramento and 242 with Denver. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Hawks and Magic with 239, 251, 259 and 233 combined points. Orlando is 9-1 OVER after covering five or six of its last seven games this season. Atlanta is 8-1 OVER after losing five or six of its last seven games this season. The Magic are 17-5 OVER in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 235.5 | Top | 133-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pelicans/Kings OVER 235.5 The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team when playing at home. They are 13-6 OVER in all home games this season where they are scoring 122.4 points per game and allowing 120.7 points per game. They control the tempo when playing at home and like to push the pace. Sacramento's last two home games saw 265 combined points with the Raptors and 273 combined points with the Magic. Now they host a New Orleans Pelicans team that won't mind getting up and down with them at all. This total is suppressed because the Pelicans shot terrible against the Clippers last game at 35.9%, keeping this total lower than it should be. The OVER is 6-1 in Pelicans last seven road games where they have scored at least 117 points in six of those seven games. That includes their 127-117 win in Sacramento on December 4th that saw 244 combined points. It should be more of the same here in this rematch. Sacramento is 15-4 OVER in its last 19 home games following two or more consecutive wins. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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01-06-24 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 245.5 | Top | 118-101 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Pacers OVER 245.5 Both the Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers won in blowouts last night that allowed them to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. Both teams should be fresh for this game on the 2nd of a back-to-back as a result, and I expect this to be a fast-paced game with plenty of points. No starter played more than 26 minutes for the Celtics and no starter played more than 25 minutes for the Pacers last night. The Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team going 25-10 OVER in all games this season. They rank 1st in pace, 1st in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating. They host the team right behind them in the Celtics, who rank 2nd in offensive rating this season. The Pacers will control the tempo playing at home. The OVER is 14-4 in Pacers 18 home games this season. Their last three home games have been ridiculously high scoring as they combined for 266 points with the Hawks, 272 points with the Bucks and 266 points with the Knicks. It should be more of the same here against the Celtics. The Celtics won 155-103 in their first meeting with the Pacers this season for 258 combined points. They only combined for 234 in the 2nd meeting with the Pacers pulling off the 122-112 upset, but the Celtics didn't have Porzingis for that game. He is is the key to them being so efficient on offense. The Celtics have scored at least 120 points in nine consecutive games. The Pacers have scored at least 120 points in six consecutive games. Both teams will easily surpass 120 points apiece in this one. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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01-05-24 | Raptors v. Kings OVER 238 | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Kings OVER 238 The Sacramento Kings are definitely an OVER team especially playing at home where they can control the tempo. The OVER is 12-6 in Sacramento's 18 home games this season where they are scoring 121.7 points per game and allowing 120.2 points per game. The Toronto Raptors just made a trade to bring in RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley from the Knicks. Those moves make the Raptors more of an OVER team moving forward as both Barrett and Quickley are scorers but poor defenders. We've seen that play out here of late for the Raptors. The Raptors have now scored at least 116 points in six consecutive games with the OVER going 4-2 in those six games. They combined for 245 points with Utah, 238 with Boston, 256 with Detroit and 245 with Cleveland. This total of 238 is too low for this game tonight considering infusion of offense for the Raptors that Barrett and Quickley provide. Sacramento is 22-7 OVER in its last 29 home games following an ATS loss. Plays on the OVER on home teams where the total is 200 or higher (Sacramento) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game in January games are 37-10 (78.7%) over the last five seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-05-24 | Pistons v. Warriors OVER 240.5 | 109-113 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pistons/Warriors OVER 240.5 The Detroit Pistons have gotten healthy here recently which is why they are playing a lot more competitive basketball of late. But they are only competitive because they have improved greatly offensively, but they are still a terrible defensive team ranking 27th in defensive rating. The OVER is 6-0 in Pistons last six games overall and 10-2 in their last 12 games overall. The Pistons and their opponents have combined for at least 240 points in nine of their last 12 games overall. That includes 302 with Utah last game, 249 with Houston the game prior, 256 with Toronto the game prior and 250 with the Celtics the game prior. The Warriors are without their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Gary Payton II right now, which makes them more of an OVER team. The Warriors rank 20th in defensive rating. The OVER is 3-0 in Warriors last three games overall as they combined for 257 points with the Nuggets, 236 with the Magic and 254 with the Mavericks. These two teams should have no problem combining to top the 240.5-point total tonight. Detroit is 22-12 OVER in all games this season, including 13-5 OVER in road games. The Pistons are 9-0 OVER vs. teams that make 14 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-05-24 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 127-113 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
15* Grizzlies/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 228.5 The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts UNDER team even with JA Morant. They start three elite defenders in Marcus Smart, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Xavier Tillman who also don't provide a ton offensively at the same time. The UNDER is 21-13 in all Memphis games this season. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last four games overall with 227, 204, 215 and 223 combined points, which all would have stayed UNDER this 228.5-point total. The Lakers are 10-5 UNDER in all home games this season. They are averaging just over 222 combined points per game at home with their opponents. Making the Lakers an even stronger UNDER team right now is the fact that they are without PG D'Angelo Russell. Their offense really bogs down and slows down without him. They have been held to 96, 109 and 106 points in their last three games overall. Memphis is 8-1 UNDER after losing four of its last five games this season. The Lakers and Grizzlies have combined for 228 or fewer points in five of their last six meetings, which makes for a 5-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 228.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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01-05-24 | Thunder v. Nets OVER 234.5 | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Thunder/Nets OVER 234.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 5th in offensive rating and 6th in pace this season. The OVER is 6-2 in Thunder last six games overall with 249 or more combined points in five of those eight games. They just combined for 279 with the Hawks and 250 with the Celtics in their last two games. Now they get another Eastern Conference foe here in the Nets. The Nets have gone under the total in four consecutive games, which has suppressed this total as a result. But the Nets shot 42.9%, 38%, 35.7% and 38.7% from the floor in those four games, which were all on the road. Now they are back home and primed to shoot it much better. The Nets are scoring 115.9 points per game at home this season. If they just get to their season average, which I think they will, we will cash this OVER ticket. The Nets have allowed at least 110 points in 14 consecutive games. Brooklyn is 18-6 OVER in its last 24 games off three consecutive losses by 10 points or more. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-05-24 | Jazz v. Celtics OVER 239.5 | Top | 97-126 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 0 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Jazz/Celtics OVER 239.5 The Utah Jazz have gotten healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The improvements have come on offense, where the Jazz have scored at least 116 points in eight of their last nine games overall. But the Jazz rank 24th in defensive rating this season. If they get to 116 points in this one, which they should, we are going to cash this OVER ticket. The Celtics rank 2nd in offensive rating right behind the Pacers this season. They are loaded on that end with Tatum, Brown, Porzingis, Holiday and White being pretty much unstoppable. The Celtics have scored at least 120 points in eight consecutive games and will easily get 120-plus in this one. The Celtics are 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 235 or more combined points in all eight games, and 241 or more in six of those. Utah is 26-13 OVER in its last 39 non-conference games. Boston is 17-4 OVER in its last 21 games vs. Northwest Division opponents. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-03-24 | Pistons v. Jazz OVER 237.5 | Top | 148-154 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pistons/Jazz OVER 237.5 The Utah Jazz are fully healthy right now and lighting it up offensively. They have scored at least 116 points in seven of their last eight games overall and 10 of their last 12 games overall. They will hang a big number on the Pistons, who rank 26th in defensive rating this season. The Pistons have also gotten healthy in recent weeks which is why they have been more competitive and were able to snap their losing streak. The Pistons have scored at least 111 points in eight consecutive games. But they are so bad defensively, allowing at least 118 points in 12 consecutive games. The OVER is 9-2 in Pistons last 11 games overall with 240 or more combined points in eight of those 11 games. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five games overall. Detroit is 21-9 OVER as an underdog this season. Utah is 17-6 OVER in its last 23 home games off a win by 10 points or more. The Jazz are 25-13 OVER in their last 38 non-conference games. The Pistons rank 6th in pace while the Jazz rank 11th, so we'll get the pace we need to cash this OVER. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-03-24 | Blazers v. Mavs OVER 236.5 | Top | 97-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blazers/Mavs OVER 236.5 The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 8th in pace, 10th in offensive rating and 23rd in defensive rating. Kyrie Irving just returned from injury against the Jazz last time out and was rusty. The Mavericks scored 90 points and shot 39.8% from the floor as a team. This total has been suppressed due to that result, and now it's a good time to 'buy low' on a Mavericks OVER. Irving will be much sharper in his 2nd game back tonight. It's also a good time to 'buy low' on a Blazers OVER after they scored 88 points on 41.2% shooting against the Suns last time out. Anfernee Simons (27.1 PPG) has sat out the last three games with an illness. I have to think he returns for the Blazers tonight. Simons scored at least 23 points in six consecutive games prior to going down with Illness. His presence on the court makes the Blazers an OVER team. Shaeden Sharpe (16.4 PPG) also just returned from injury, while center DeAandre Ayton is out right now. Ayton is their most important defender so it's good for us that he is out. Dallas is 11-1 OVER in its last 12 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Mavericks are 14-3 OVER vs. a team with a losing record this season. The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings. The Blazers and Mavericks have combined for at least 237 points in five consecutive meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks OVER 247 | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Hawks Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on OVER 247 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 5th in pace, 6th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating. The OVER is 9-3-1 in Atlanta's 13 home games this season where they are scoring 123.8 points per game on 48.4% shooting and allowing 125.4 points per game on 50.4% shooting. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank 5th in offensive rating this season and are filling it up right now. The Thunder have scored at least 116 points in 12 consecutive games and are averaging 121.5 points per game on 49.9% shooting this season. They will get what they want on offense tonight, but they may have a letdown defensively after upsetting the Celtics last night. The OVER is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between the Thunder and Hawks including 269 and 254 combined points in a couple recent meetings. Atlanta is 7-0 OVER after losing four of its last five games this season. Oklahoma City is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 games vs. teams that make 14 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-03-24 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 239 | 101-140 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Cavs OVER 239 The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 1st in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating this season. But they do fill it up on offense with plenty of talent to get their points on a nightly basis. The Cleveland Cavaliers are more of an OVER team this season than in year's past because they are shooting a lot more 3-pointers and playing faster. They just went for 245 combined points with the Raptors in their last game, and I think we get 240-plus here with ease. The Wizards and their opponents have combined for at least 241 points in 17 of their last 27 games overall. Washington is 33-21 OVER in its last 54 games when the total is 230 or higher. The Wizards are 13-3 OVER vs. a team with a winning record this season. Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Cleveland) - off a road loss, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 27-5 (84.4%) since 1996. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-03-24 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 258.5 | 130-142 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
15* Bucks/Pacers Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 258.5 Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games. Well, this will already be the 5th meeting between the Pacers and Bucks this season. They have combined for 250, 247, 266 and 235 points in those four meetings. The Books have set the bar too high tonight. The Pacers and Bucks just combined for 235 points in their 4th meeting just two days ago on January 1st. It will be more of the same here as these teams know each other inside and out at this point and will be able to defend one another. Injuries will also help us cash this UNDER with Middleton questionable for the Bucks and Brown and Nembhard questionable for the Pacers. Milwaukee is 32-17 UNDER in its last 49 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Indiana) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 27-6 (81.8%) over the last five seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-02-24 | Celtics v. Thunder +4.5 | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the best covering team in the NBA for three seasons running. They just cannot seem to get the respect they deserve because they are a small market team. They continue playing with a chip on their shoulder as a result. Now they will prove themselves once again against the team that everyone is picking to win the NBA title in the Boston Celtics. The Thunder are 22-9 SU & 22-8 ATS this season, including 13-5 SU & 13-5 ATS at home where they are outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game. The Thunder (+8.7) rank 3rd in the NBA in net rating, only behind the Celtics (10.4) and 76ers (10.3). This line should be much closer to PK when you look at net rating and factor in home-court advantage. The Celtics have been vulnerable on the road where they are 10-6 SU & 6-8 ATS. They were just taken to OT by the Pistons at home and won by 2 over the Raptors in two of their last three games. They did blow out the Spurs on the road who were without Keldon Johnson, but everyone is beating the Spurs. Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS off a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. good pressure defensive teams that force 15 or more turnovers per game. Bet the Thunder Tuesday. |
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01-02-24 | Celtics v. Thunder OVER 240 | Top | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on OVER 240 Two of the most efficient offensive teams in the NBA square off tonight when the Boston Celtics visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Celtics rank 2nd in offensive rating while the Thunder rank 6th. Both teams are fully healthy right now as well so expect plenty of fireworks in this one. I expect both the Thunder and Celtics to exceed 120 points in this one. The Thunder have scoreda t least 119 points in six consecutive games and 116 or more in 11 consecutive games. The Celtics have scored 120 or more points in seven consecutive games, and 114 or more in 12 consecutive games. Oklahoma City is 18-4 OVER in its last 22 games off a home win by 10 points or more. Boston is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 games vs. Northwest Division opponents. The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 267, 248 and 255 combined points. The Thunder are 14-1 OVER in their last 15 games vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-01-24 | Mavs v. Jazz OVER 245 | 90-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Mavericks/Jazz OVER 245 The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 8th in pace, 7th in offensive rating and 22nd in defensive rating. The Mavericks got great injury news heading into this one with Doncic and Exum participating in shootaround today, plus the big one in Irving also participating and expected to make his return. They are really an OVER team when Irving is playing. The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team when healthy as well. They rank 12th in pace and 24th in defensive rating, and are a much better offensive team when Markkanen and Clarkson are playing, which is the case right now. The Jazz have scored at least 116 points in six of their last seven games overall. Dallas is 21-11 OVER in all games this season. Utah is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 home games when revenging a road loss by 10 points or more. They gave up 147 points to the Mavericks in their first meeting this season. The Mavericks are 14-2 OVER vs. a team with a losing record this season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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01-01-24 | Pistons v. Rockets OVER 227.5 | Top | 113-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pistons/Rockets OVER 227.5 The Houston Rockets have been a dead nuts OVER team since losing their best defender in Dillon Brooks to injury. He doesn't provide much offensively. The OVER is 3-0 in Rockets last three games overall with 240, 242 and 258 combined points. This total of 227.5 is way too short tonight. The Detroit Pistons are as healthy as they have been all season which is why they are playing much better of late. The OVER is 6-1 in Pistons last seven games overall and we have seen 230 or more combined points in all seven games. Again, this total of 227.5 is too low given those facts. Detroit is 20-9 OVER as an underdog this season. The Pistons are 9-1 OVER in road games vs. teams who attempt 24 or fewer free throws per game this season. Detroit is 12-2 OVER vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% or better this season. Houston is 16-6 OVER in its last 22 games vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 48% shooting or higher. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs OVER 238.5 | Top | 134-101 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Celtics/Spurs OVER 238.5 The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 3rd in pace and 25th in defensive rating. They play the Boston Celtics, who rank 4th in offensive rating and will hang a big number on them today. I expect the Spurs to score enough themselves to push this one OVER the total. Both teams are very healthy coming into this game, which is good for the OVER. The keys for the Celtics to being an OVER team is having Porzingis, Tatum, Brown and White healthy, and all four are expected to play. Jrue Holiday is questionable, but he's an elite defender so not having him for this OVER would be just fine. The Celtics have scored at least 120 points in six consecutive games. They have allowed 115 or more points in five of those six. The OVER is 6-0 in Celtics last six games overall. The OVER is 7-2 in Spurs last nine games overall. They have scored 118 or more points in seven of those nine games. They have allowed at least 114 points in eight of those nine games. Boston is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after five straight games making 47% of their shots or better. San Antonio is 13-2 OVER in home games this season. The Spurs are 7-0 OVER after playing their last two games on the road this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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12-31-23 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 109-129 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 I love the spot for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. They are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 8 days as well. They want revenge on the Lakers after getting knocked out by them in the semifinals of the in-season tournament. I like their chances of getting that revenge considering the Lakers are a tired team. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and in their 3rd different city in 4 days after a 106-108 loss in Minnesota last night. LeBron James and Anthony Davis each played 39 minutes in that game, and don't be surprised if one or both sit. Plus, De'Angelo Russell got hurt in that game and is questionable to play tonight. The Lakers have been pretty dreadful since winning the in-season tournament as they just lack motivation in these less important games. They are 3-7 SU & 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall. I don't expect a very good effort out of them tonight given the spot, and I conversely I expect a max effort from the revenge-minded Pelicans, who are fully healthy right now. The Pelicans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against the spread. Bet the Pelicans Sunday. |
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12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +5 The Detroit Pistons have tied the NBA record for longest losing streak in history at 28 games. They don't want to be the sole owners of this streak, and I expect them to win outright tonight. We will take the points for some insurance. The Pistons are as healthy as they have been all season and are trending in the right direction. They are 2-0 ATS in their last two games and played well in both. They only lost by 6 to the Nets as 6.5-point underdogs, and then took the Celtics to OT as 17-point underdogs. They even led the Celtics by 20-plus points early in that game. Now the Pistons are in a favorable spot here playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. The Raptors are in a terrible spot, playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days. They are coming off a deflating 118-120 loss at Boston last night and won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons. Keep in mind Boston was missing Tatum and Porzingis last night and was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, so the fact that they hung with the Celtics isn't very impressive as they closed as 4.5-point dogs. Siakam played 40 minutes, Barnes 38, Anunoby 37 and Schroder 34 for the Raptors last night. They won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons, and they could choose to rest a starter or two. The Raptors are 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall, so it's not like they are playing well enough to warrant being 5-point road favorites here. The Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Raptors. That includes 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with Toronto. Bet the Pistons Saturday. |
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12-29-23 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 235.5 | 119-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Nuggets OVER 235.5 The Denver Nuggets are fully healthy right now with the exception of Aaron Gordon, who is their best defender. They just hung 142 points on the Grizzlies last night, who are a very good defensive team. They have scored at least 113 points in nine of their last 10 games overall, including 120 or more six times. The Oklahoma City Thunder have scored at least 116 points in nine consecutive games, including 120 or more seven times. I think both teams can get to 120 tonight, which is more than enough to cash this OVER 235.5 ticket. The Thunder are 25-10 OVER in their last 35 games following a home win. The OVER is 7-2 in Thunder last nine games overall with 235 or more combined points in eight of those nine games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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12-29-23 | 76ers v. Rockets OVER 224 | 131-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on 76ers/Rockets OVER 224 The Houston Rockets are without two key defenders right now in Dillon Brooks and Jabari Smith that will really take away from them defensively. They have had a great defensive season, but we saw how it went without Brooks against the Suns last time out. They lost a 129-113 shootout to the Suns and 242 combined points. The 76ers go more small ball without Embiid and play faster. They have gone for 232 or more combined points in three of their last four games overall. They also take a hit defensively without Embiid. The OVER is 20-10 in all 76ers games this season largely due to them ranking 3rd in offensive rating. The 76ers and Rockets have combined for at least 226 points in seven of their last eight meetings, making for a 7-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 224-point total. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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12-28-23 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 233.5 | Top | 118-105 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Blazers OVER 233.5 The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 3rd in pace and 25th in defensive rating. The OVER is 6-1 in Spurs last seven games overall with 241 or more combined points in six of those seven. This total of 233.5 is too low for a game involving the Spurs right now. The Blazers are more of an OVER team in their current state because they have all of their key guards healthy, plus they are without center DeAndre Ayton, who is their eraser inside. They have gone more small ball lately. The OVER is 6-3 in Blazers last nine games overall with 232 or more combined points in eight of those nine games. The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Spurs and Blazers with 256, 264 and 240 combined points in those three. San Antonio is 20-9 OVER in all games this season. Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 210 or higher (Portland) - after a win by 10 points or more against an opponent that is off four consecutive losses by 10 points or more are 22-3 (88%) over the last five seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 238.5 | 105-112 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Pelicans OVER 238.5 The Utah Jazz are back to being a dead nuts OVER team now that they are fully healthy getting both Markkanen and Clarkson back. The OVER is 3-1 in Jazz last four games overall with 240, 230, 245 and 248 combined points. The New Orleans Pelicans have faced a brutal schedule of opposing defenses here of late with games against the Grizzlies (twice), Rockets and Cavaliers. The scoring in those four games was suppressed, but now the Pelicans get a reprieve here against the Jazz, who rank 24th in defensive rating. This game will play out similarly to recent games against the Wizards and Spurs. The Pelicans beat the Spurs 146-110 for 256 combined points and the Wizards 142-122 for 264 combined points. Both the Spurs and Wizards have similar profiles to the Jazz as dead nuts OVER teams who play poor defense. Utah is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 road games when paying just its 2nd game in 5 days. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 224.5 | 112-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on 76ers/Magic OVER 224.5 The Orlando Magic have gone for at least 227 combined points in three consecutive games. The Philadelphia 76ers have gone for at least 232 combined points in three consecutive games while going OVER in all three. The OVER is now 11-3 in 76ers last 14 games overall. The 76ers are playing faster without Joel Embiid right now, and they are going with more small ball, which is beneficial to OVERS. The 76ers rank 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating, largely due to the fact that they have a lot more talent on this roster outside Embiid than most realize, especially at the guard positions. They rank 12th in pace and like I said play faster without having to run the offense through Embiid. But they are much worse off defensively without him. Philadelphia is 20-9 OVER in all games this season. The 76ers are 10-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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12-26-23 | Hawks v. Bulls OVER 233.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Hawks/Bulls OVER 233.5 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 4th in pace, 5th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating. This total of 233.5 is a very low total for a game involving the Hawks. The OVER is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 games overall. They have gone for 235 or more combined points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. They take on a Bulls team that has changed offensive philosophy since losing Zach LaVine to shoot more 3-pointers and layups instead of mid-range jumpers. It has worked wonders as the Bulls are 8-4 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they have scored at least 111 points in nine of those 12 games. The OVER is 11-4 OVER in their last 15 games overall. Atlanta is 12-4 OVER following a loss this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |