05-01-16 |
White Sox -117 v. Orioles |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -117
The Key: The White Sox would be at least -150 favorites over the Orioles if they were playing at home with Chris Sale on the mound against Ubaldo Jimenez. But since they're on the road, we're getting Sale at a major discount here today. Sale is the leader in the clubhouse for the Cy Young award after starting 5-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.684 WHIP through his first five starts. Jimenez has gone 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in his 4 starts this year. Sale pitched 7 2/3 shutout innings in his last start at Baltimore with 12 strikeouts and only 4 base runners allowed. Jimenez is 3-4 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. Sale is 14-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in May games in his career. The White Sox are 6-0 in Sale's last 6 starts. Take Chicago.
|
04-30-16 |
Thunder +7 v. Spurs |
Top |
92-124 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Spurs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City +7
The Key: The Thunder have played the Spurs tough this season. The season series is 2-2 with the Thunder only lost once by more than this 7-point margin. I think they'll give the Spurs a run today and stay within this 7-point spread in Game 1. Take Oklahoma City.
|
04-29-16 |
Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 194 |
Top |
83-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Pacers *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 194
The Key: When you look at how this series has played out, there's a lot to like about the UNDER in Game 6 tonight. The UNDER went 4-0 in their first four games before going over the total in Game 5. They have combined for 190 or fewer points in 4 of the 5 games thus far. They have averaged only 189 combined points per game in this series, so there's clearly value with the UNDER in Game 6. Indiana is 9-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Indiana is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game this season. The UNDER is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 road games. Take this combined 24-2 angle backing the UNDER straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER.
|
04-29-16 |
Reds v. Pirates -145 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -145
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are on an absolute tear right now as they have won 6 of their last 7 games overall while scoring 6 or more runs in all 6 victories. Now they are up against the ice-cold Reds, who have lost 6 of their last 7 while scoring 3 runs or fewer in all 6 losses. Juan Nicasio has pitched well in his 2 home starts for Pittsburgh, going 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. Daniel Straily is 0-0 with a 3.72 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Reds. The Reds are 22-49 in their last 71 overall. Cincinnati is 26-55 in its last 81 during Game 1 of a series. The Pirates are 51-18 in their last 69 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh.
|
04-28-16 |
Cardinals -113 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -113
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have been hitting the cover off the ball here of late. They have scored 45 runs over their last 5 games while winning four of them. Now they get to go up against Ruby De La Rosa, who sports a 5.79 ERA through 3 starts this year. De La Rosa hasn't enjoyed facing the Cardinals, posting a 4.91 ERA in 2 starts against them. Michael Wacha has given up just 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts for a 1.50 ERA. The Cardinals are 26-11 in Wacha's last 37 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
04-28-16 |
Hawks v. Celtics +2 |
|
104-92 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks/Celtics Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Boston +2
The Key: The Boston Celtics are one of the most resilient teams in the NBA. They got blown out on the road in Game 5, but I have no doubt they'll show tremendous character and find a way to win Game 6 at home. After all, the home team is 5-0 in this series. The Hawks haven't won a playoff series against the Celtics since 1958. Atlanta has also dropped 10 consecutive postseason games in Boston dating back to 1988. It has gone 2-27 in its last 29 trips to Boston in the playoffs. Atlanta is 16-35 ATS in its last 51 playoff road games, and 10-24 ATS in its last 34 first round playoff road games. Boston is 15-5 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games overall. Take Boston.
|
04-27-16 |
Blazers v. Clippers +3.5 |
Top |
108-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Blazers/Clippers Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5
The Key: Doc Rivers is one of the few coaches who could get his team to respond following the loss of two stars like Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. He's going to play the 'everyone is counting you out' card to his players, and I look for them to respond in a big way at home tonight. The Clippers actually showed off their depth at the end of the regular season as they kept winning despite resting their starters. ChrisPaul controls the Clippers' offense like few others in the NBA. However, they installed a motion offense for when Paul wasn't on the floor this season, freeing up Jamal Crawford and Austin Rivers while letting anyone else get the ball moving. ''We were very effective at it,'' Doc Rivers said. ''Thank God we did that because now playing without him we'll be in motion for 48 minutes.'' Bets on home underdogs off an upset loss as a road favorite, good team winning between 60% and 75% of their games on the season are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-27-16 |
Indians +104 v. Twins |
|
6-5 |
Win
|
104 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians +104
The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be out for revenge on the Minnesota Twins after losing the first 2 games of this series by a single run each. I look for them to avoid the sweep tonight. Josh Tomlin has been brilliant in 2 starts this season, going 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.771 WHIP. Tomlin has owned the Twins of late too, going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last 2 starts against them while allowing only 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 13 innings. Tomlin is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. Tomlin is 10-1 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Indians are 10-1 in Tomlin's last 11 starts. Take Cleveland.
|
04-26-16 |
Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks |
|
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -128
The Key: After blowing a big early lead to lose 7-12 to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series yesterday, I fully expect the Cardinals to get revenge in Game 2 tonight. They clearly have the edge on the mound behind Carlos Martinez, who is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 starts this year. Martinez is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Arizona as well, both of which resulted in St. Louis wins. Shelby Miller has been off his game to say the least, going 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in 4 starts this year. He hasn't even made it out of the 2nd inning in any of his last two starts. St. Louis is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings, including 12-2 in all meetings over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 25-7 in Martinez's last 32 starts. The Diamondbacks are 26-59 in their last 85 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take St. Louis.
|
04-26-16 |
Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 198 |
Top |
83-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Hawks Game 5 *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 198
The Key: The Boston Celtics have shot 36.3% and 31.8% in their first two games in Atlanta in this series. The Hawks have only been slightly better, shooting 40.7% and 39.0%, respectively. Look for a very low-scoring contest in Game 5 similar to Game 2 when these teams only combined for 161 points. Now very familiar with one another, this is sure to be a defensive battle. Atlanta is 11-2 UNDER in home playoff games over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 11-1 in Celtics last 12 games following an ATS win. The UNDER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta. Take the UNDER.
|
04-25-16 |
Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
84-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Blazers/Clippers UNDER 205.5
The Key: After combining for 210 points in Game 1, the last two games of this series have been extremely low scoring as these teams have become more familiar with one another, which has clearly favored the defenses. They combined for 183 points in Game 2 and 184 points in Game 3. Now the total is set at 205.5 for Game 4, which is more than 20 points more than they combined for the past two games. This is about as easy as it gets ladies and gents as this game will stay well UNDER the posted total as well. Five of the last seven meetings have seen 193 or fewer combined points also. The Clippers are 14-6 UNDER revenging a loss vs. opponent this season. Los Angeles is 9-0 UNDER versus good 3-point shooting teams who make 36% or more of their attempts in the 2nd half of the season this season. The Clippers are 10-1 UNDER versus teams who average 7 or fewer steals per game in the 2nd half of the season this season. The UNDER is 35-17 in Clippers last 52 games following a straight up loss. Take the UNDER.
|
04-25-16 |
A's v. Tigers -135 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Detroit Tigers -135
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games overall. It's safe to say they will be hungry to get back in the win column when they host the Oakland A's for Game 1 of this series Monday. I like their chances of getting a victory to end this skid with their best starter on the mound in Jordan Zimmerman. The right-hander hasn't allowed a single earned run in three starts this year. Zimmerman is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1.086 WHIP while pitching 19 1/3 shutout innings. The Tigers opened as -150-plus favorites and are now down to -135, but Zimmerman is 48-12 (+25.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career. The A's are 2-9 in Kendall Graveman's last 11 starts. Take Detroit.
|
04-24-16 |
Cavs v. Pistons +6.5 |
Top |
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Pistons Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit +6.5
The Key: It should be a crime that the Pistons are down 0-3 in this series. They have had their chances in every game, but have ultimately come up short in the 4th quarter each time. This is far from the blowout of a series that this 3-0 deficit would indicate. I look for the Pistons to play with some pride and avoid the sweep today and win outright, but we'll take the points for some insurance. Detroit is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Cleveland is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Detroit Sunday.
|
04-24-16 |
Cardinals -132 v. Padres |
|
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -132
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should take care of the San Diego Padres with relative ease today. Mike Leake is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts versus San Diego. He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in one lifetime start vs. St. Louis. Rea is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 3 starts this season as well. St. Louis is 93-43 (+31.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 10-27 in their last 37 during game 3 of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
04-23-16 |
Mariners +114 v. Angels |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +114
The Key: Getting ace Felix Hernandez and the Mariners at nearly even money tonight is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The Mariners come in playing very well having won 6 of their last 8 games overall. Now they have a chance to get above .500 for the first time this season, and Hernandez will make it happen. He's 1-1 with a 1.00 ERA in 3 starts this season, allowing only 2 earned runs in 18 innings. Hernandez sports a 3.30 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 46 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. The Mariners are 20-8 in Hernandez's last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 7-2 in its last 9 road games. The Mariners are 9-3 in Hernandez's last 12 starts vs. Angels. Take Seattle.
|
04-23-16 |
Raptors v. Pacers +1.5 |
Top |
83-100 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Pacers Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana +1.5
The Key: This is a must-win game for the Indiana Pacers tonight as they know they cannot afford to fall behind 3-1 to the Raptors if they want to win this series. Paul George was disappointed in his team's effort in Game 3, and look for him to now take it upon himself to lead this team to victory in Game 4. The Pacers are a very good home team as they went 26-15 in Indiana during the regular season. Toronto is 4-14 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is 14-4 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. The Raptors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Indiana.
|
04-22-16 |
Mariners -110 v. Angels |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -110
The Key: Getting ace Felix Hernandez and the Mariners at nearly even money tonight is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The Mariners come in playing very well having won 5 of their last 7 games overall. Now they have a chance to get to .500 for the first time this season, and Hernandez will make it happen. He's 1-1 with a 1.00 ERA in 3 starts this season, allowing only 2 earned runs in 18 innings. Hernandez sports a 3.30 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 46 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. He's up against the lightly-used Nick Tropeano, who has yet to proven himself in the big leagues. The Angels are 24-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 20-8 in Hernandez's last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mariners are 9-3 in Hernandez's last 12 starts vs. Angels. Take Seattle.
|
04-22-16 |
Cavs v. Pistons +5 |
Top |
101-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Pistons Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit +5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons have largely outplayed the Cleveland Cavaliers for the majority of this series, but they find themselves in an 0-2 hole. They held the halftime lead in Game 1 and led by 5 in the 3rd quarter of Game 2, but lost both contests. The Cavs made 20 3-pointers in Game 2, which isn't going to happen again. Now the Pistons get to play at home in Game 3 and will get a victory to get back in this series. The Pistons went 26-15 SU & 24-15-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 5.0 points per game. Cleveland is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 road games after scoring 100 points or more in 5 straight games. The Pistons are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Take Detroit.
|
04-21-16 |
Thunder -8.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
131-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Mavs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City -8.5
The Key: After getting upset in Game 2 and losing home-court advantage, look for the Oklahoma City Thunder to gain back that home court in a big way tonight. They could not have played worse in Game 2, particularly Kevin Durant, who went 7 for 33. His 26 misses shots were tied with Michael Jordan for the most ever in a playoff game. He and his teammates have been seeing all of the negative headlines in the media, and that's only going to fuel their fire heading into Game 3. This one will be over after the first quarter folks as the supremely talented Thunder play up to their potential off that loss. The Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 meetings with the Mavs by 13 or more points. They have outscored the Mavs by a total of 72 points over those 5 games, or by an average of 14.4 points per game. Take Oklahoma City.
|
04-21-16 |
Blue Jays -103 v. Orioles |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -103
The Key: We're getting a solid price on the Toronto Blue Jays today at nearly even money with the underrated Marco Estrada on the mound. Estrada was tremendous all season last year, and he's 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 2 starts to start 2016. Estrada is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 0.945 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore as well. Chris Tillman continues to get blown up after a disastrous 2015. He is 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA through 3 starts in 2016. But the real ugliness comes when he faces the Blue Jays. Tillman is 4-10 with a 5.48 ERA in 20 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. In 6 starts against Toronto last season, Tillman went 0-4 with a huge 11.72 ERA. He served up 10 homers and 40 hits in 25 1/3 innings while walking 11 and striking out only 15. Take Toronto.
|
04-20-16 |
Pistons +10.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
90-107 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Pistons/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit +10.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons have played the Cleveland Cavaliers extremely tough this season. After winning the season series 3-1, they held their own in Game 1 while only losing by 5 points. Now they are a double-digit underdog once again when they shouldn't be, and we'll take advantage. Cleveland is 26-54-1 ATS in its last 81 games vs. division opponents. The Cavs are also 1-11 ATS this season against teams who average 7 or less steals per game. Take Detroit.
|
04-20-16 |
Rays +100 v. Red Sox |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Rays/Red Sox AL East *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +100
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays should not be underdogs to the Boston Red Sox given the advantage they have on the mound today. Archer is coming off a season in which he posted a 3.23 ERA and 1.137 WHIP with 252 strikeouts in 212 innings. He is an elite starter. Rick Porcello is one of the most overpaid starters in the majors. After going 9-15 with a 4.92 ERA in 31 starts in his first season in Boston last year, he has posted a 5.11 ERA through two starts in 2016. Archer is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 1-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Take Tampa Bay.
|
04-19-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants -121 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-121 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* DBacks/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -121
The Key: After losing 2 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall, the San Francisco Giants will be hungry for a win today to get back on track. I look for them to get it behind Matt Cain and company. Cain is 14-7 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 34 lifetime starts versus Arizona. Robbie Ray is off to a shaky start to his big league career at 6-16 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.429 WHIP over 31 starts and three relief appearances. Ray is 4-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
04-19-16 |
Grizzlies +18 v. Spurs |
Top |
68-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Grizzlies/Spurs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +18
The Key: Without question, Game 1 of Spurs/Grizzlies was not pretty for Memphis. They lost 106-74 and looked like they never stood a chance. However, I have little doubt they'll put forth a much better effort in Game 2, and it will be enough to stay within this massive 18-point spread. We saw the short-handed Mavs pull the upset over the Thunder as 14-point dogs yesterday. I'm not calling for the upset here, but definitely see it going down to the wire. Memphis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games when revenging a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. Take Memphis.
|
04-18-16 |
Pacers v. Raptors -7 |
Top |
87-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Pacers/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -7
The Key: After losing Game 1 to the Pacers, the Raptors are now desperate for a win in Game 2. I look for them to put the pedal to the metal for four quarters and to blow the Pacers out of the building. I also expect the Pacers to take their foot off the gas after winning Game 1 and earning home-court advantage, which had to be their goal leaving Toronto. Indiana is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games following two or more consecutive upset wins as road underdogs. Take Toronto.
|
04-18-16 |
Mets v. Phillies UNDER 7 |
|
5-2 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* National League *TOTAL* Annihilator on Mets/Phillies UNDER 7
The Key: I expect a pitcher's duel tonight between two of the worst offensive teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets. The Phillies are hitting .207 and scoring 2.6 runs per game this season, while the Mets are hitting .220 and scoring 3.4 runs per game. Noah Syndergaard has been dominant, going 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 starts. Jerad Eickhoff has been a pleasant surprise, going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in two starts. Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia, while Eickhoff is 1-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take the UNDER.
|
04-17-16 |
Grizzlies +15.5 v. Spurs |
|
74-106 |
Loss |
-103 |
50 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Grizzlies/Spurs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Memphis +15.5
The Key: Everyone is writing the Grizzlies off in this series, which has created some nice line value in Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs. They are getting 15.5-points, making them the biggest underdogs in all of the Game 1's. The Grizzlies were swept by the Spurs in the regular season, but they played a lot tougher in both meetings in San Antonio. They lost both those meetings by 8 and 6 points. They've only lost one of their last seven meetings in San Antonio by more than 14 points. Memphis is 7-0 ATS in road games off a combined score of 215 points or more this season. The Grizzlies are 11-2 ATS off two or more consecutive ATS losses this season. The Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Memphis.
|
04-17-16 |
Pistons +11 v. Cavs |
Top |
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Pistons/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit +11
The Key: The Detroit Pistons showed during the regular season that they could hang with the Cleveland Cavaliers. In fact, they went 3-1 against Cleveland this season and won both road meetings outright as underdogs. That's why it makes no sense that the Cavs are laying 11 points in Game 1. The Pistons present all kinds of matchup problems for the Cavaliers, and it starts with Andre Drummond, who Cleveland simply does not have an answer for inside. He'll dominate the boards as he always does and create extra, crucial possessions for the Pistons all series long. Cleveland is 26-53-1 ATS in its last 80 games against division opponents. The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 trips to Cleveland. Take Detroit.
|
04-16-16 |
Mavs +12 v. Thunder |
Top |
70-108 |
Loss |
-108 |
27 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* Mavs/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +12
The Key: The Thunder did sweep the season series with the Mavericks, but I believe that has them overvalued coming into Game 1. They won those four meetings by an average of 9.5 points per game. Now we're getting 12 points with the Mavericks, who should put up more of a fight than oddsmakers and the betting public are anticipating. Dallas is 19-6 ATS vs. teams who outrebound opponents by 3-plus boards per game over the last 3 seasons. The Mavs are 277-208 ATS in their last 485 games as a road underdog. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS loss. The Mavs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The road team is 35-16-2 ATS in the last 53 meetings. The Mavericks are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take Dallas.
|
04-16-16 |
Giants +100 v. Dodgers |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Dodgers NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +100
The Key: Johnny Cueto is certainly enjoying his new home in San Francisco. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 2 starts this year. Cueto has posted a 3.42 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles. His opponent in Scott Kazmir is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs San Francisco. Kazmir is 0-6 (-7.7 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
04-15-16 |
Angels -116 v. Twins |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-116 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* American League GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels -116
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have obviously been a great team to fade up to this point as they are 0-9 on the season. I don't expect them to be getting their first win of the year today, either. That's because they are up against the Los Angeles Angels and ace Garrett Richards. The Angels come in having won four straight, and Richards wants to keep it rolling. I like his chances considering what he's done against the Twins in the past. Richards is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Tom Milone sports a 4.55 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. The Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 meetings with the Twins, including 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Minnesota. The Angels are 11-1 in Richards' last 12 Friday starts as well. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-14-16 |
Orioles v. Rangers -125 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Rangers -125
The Key: I like the value we are getting with the Rangers as small home favorites over the Orioles today, especially with ace Cole Hamels on the mound. The Orioles are way overvalued right now due to their 7-1 start. But they just suffered their first loss of the season yesterday, an I look for them to have a hangover today. Hamels is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts this season for Texas to pick up right where he left off last year for the Rangers. Hamels has allowed just 3 earned runs in 16 innings in his last 2 starts against Baltimore as well. Baltimore is 4-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas.
|
04-13-16 |
Kings +15 v. Rockets |
Top |
81-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Sacramento Kings +15
The Key: This is a must-win situation for the Houston Rockets, who would clinch a playoff spot with a win today. The oddsmakers know that the betting public is only going to back the Rockets in this game, so they have simply been forced to inflate this number. I believe there's a ton of value with the Kings, who have not quit. That is evidenced by the fact that they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall despite resting some of their starters here down the stretch. Take Sacramento.
|
04-13-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8 |
|
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* American League *TOTAL* Annihilator on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8
The Key: Any time you get the opportunity to bet the OVER in a Blue Jays game with a total set of 8 runs or less, you should take advantage. That's precisely what we'll do here Wednesday in what should be a high-scoring affair between the Yankees and Jays in Toronto. Michael Pineda gave up 3 home runs in his last start against Toronto. J.A. Happ is 3-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take the OVER.
|
04-12-16 |
Thunder +9.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
98-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Spurs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City +9.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are in a huge letdown spot here tonight. They are coming off a home loss to the Golden State Warriors, their first home loss of the season. They will now suffer a hangover against the Oklahoma City Thunder today. Yes, the Thunder are resting their starters, but they're still good enough with what they have to stay within this 9.5-point spread. San Antonio is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Take Oklahoma City.
|
04-12-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8
The Key: Any time you can get a Blue Jays total at 8 or lower, it's time to look for the OVER. That's the case today as they host the Yankees. The Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall. The Over is 7-2-3 in Blue Jays last 12 home games. Take the OVER.
|
04-11-16 |
Rockets v. Wolves +3.5 |
Top |
129-105 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5
The Key: The Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season right now and making life very difficult for playoff contenders. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall, all three of which came on the road. They even beat the record-setting Golden State Warriors, while also topping the Kings and Blazers. Now they have their sights set on wrecking Houston's season. I like their chances to do so considering they come in on a day of rest, while Houston will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 6 days. The Rockets lost back-to-back games to the Mavs and Suns before beating the terrible Lakers yesterday. Houston is 10-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The Timberwolves are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Minnesota.
|
04-11-16 |
Braves v. Nationals -1.5 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-109)
The Key: The Washington Nationals send ace Max Scherzer to the mound tonight to dispose of the lowly Atlanta Braves. That shouldn't be a problem considering the Braves are 0-5 this season while losing four games by 2 runs or more. They were just outscored 31-13 by the Cardinals in their last series. Scherzer was dominant in his opening day start, giving up 2 runs and 5 base runners in 7 innings against the Braves. He has now given up 4 earned runs over 21 innings in his last 3 starts against Atlanta. Bud Norris is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Atlanta is 11-38 as a dog of +150 or more over the last 2 years, losing by 2.6 runs per game. The Braves are 11-41 in their last 52 road games. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
04-10-16 |
Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers |
Top |
91-98 |
Loss |
-113 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +5.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have won a season-high six straight to play their best basketball of the season down the stretch. Now they find themselves just one win away from clinching a playoff spot, and they'll be hungry to do so tonight against the Clippers. Los Angeles has rested its starters in recent games and won't be interested in playing its starters here either given that it is locked in to the No. 4 seed in the West. That's why I believe the wrong teams is favored here in a game that the Mavs clearly need more. The Clippers are 13-27 ATS in home games off 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Mavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take Dallas.
|
04-10-16 |
Rangers v. Angels -105 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels -105
The Key: At 1-4 on the season and off two straight losses to the Rangers, the Angels are hungry for a win here Sunday at home to get back on track. I'll back Jered Weaver over Martin Perez all day. Weaver has gone 15-8 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 37 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Perez went 3-6 with a 4.46 ERA in 14 starts last season for Texas. Weaver is 25-7 (+17.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. Weaver is 40-11 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents in his career. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-09-16 |
Cubs v. Diamondbacks -109 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-109 |
20 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -109
The Key: Because Zach Greinke got blown up in his Opening Day start, we are getting him at an excellent value here Saturday as a small home favorite over the Chicago Cubs. Greinke had the flu and pitched through it, but now he's fully recovered and ready to redeem himself. He'll be up against the Cubs No. 5 starter in Kyle Hendricks. So we have a No. 1 against a No. 5 and the No. 1 is at home. This is about as easy as it gets. Greinkey is 91-35 (+39.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career. Take Arizona.
|
04-09-16 |
Suns -1.5 v. Pelicans |
Top |
121-100 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -1.5
The Key: The Phoenix Suns had yesterday off following their 124-115 win over the Houston Rockets on Thursday. The same cannot be said for the New Orleans Pelicans, who played last night in a 110-102 home win over the Lakers. So not only will the Pelicans be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, they'll also be playing their 4th game in 5 days. That's a tough spot for a team that is missing the likes of Norris Cole, Anthony Davis, Ryan Anderson, Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday and Alonzo Gee. The Suns will put it to the short-handed Pelicans tonight in this awful spot for New Orleans. The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Take Phoenix.
|
04-08-16 |
Rangers v. Angels -125 |
|
7-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels -125
The Key: Matt Shoemaker is one of the more underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 23-14 with a 3.68 ERA in 53 big league appearances over the span of the last 3 years. But what really stands out in this game is how Shoemaker has dominated the Rangers. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Texas. That domination continues tonight. Texas is 10-26 in its last 36 meetings with the Angels. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-08-16 |
Knicks v. 76ers +2 |
Top |
109-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia 76ers +2
The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a 107-93 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. Now they are a home underdog to the New York Knicks, who appear to have quit on their season. The Knicks have lost five of their last six coming in with their only win coming at home over the Nets. They lost 97-111 at home to the Hornets in their last contest. The 76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and will continue to be a nice bet tonight. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take Philadelphia.
|
04-07-16 |
Spurs v. Warriors -7 |
Top |
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Warriors TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -7
The Key: After losing two of their last three home games, the Golden State Warriors need to win out to beat the Bulls' record of 72 wins. It starts tonight against the San Antonio Spurs. You know the Warriors will be going all-out to try and get the win, but the same cannot be said for the Spurs. Greg Popovich has already hinted at resting his starters in both meetings with the Warriors left because the Spurs simply have nothing to play for as they are locked into the No. 2 seed. They also don't want to show the Warriors anything for the playoffs. Golden State is 22-10 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. The Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. Take Golden State.
|
04-07-16 |
Astros v. Yankees -104 |
|
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -104
The Key: We're getting the New York Yankees at basically even money against the Houston Astros today. This team comes in with a lot of confidence after exploding for 16 runs against the Astros yesterday. Now I look for them to tee off against Mike Fiers today. I also like Nathan Eovaldi quite a bit, especially when you consider what he has done against the Astros in the past. Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Houston, and his teams are 3-0 in those games. He allowed only 2 earned runs in 14 innings in two starts against the Astros in 2015. The Astros are 21-44 in their last 65 road games. Take New York.
|
04-06-16 |
Clippers v. Lakers +10 |
Top |
91-81 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers +10
The Key: This is a great spot to back the Lakers. This is a home-and-home situation after these teams just played last night with the Clippers jumping out to a 20-2 lead and rolling to a 103-81 victory. But look for the Lakers to fight back tonight, and for the Clippers to rest their starters as they have nothing to gain by winning this game. They certainly won't be motivated to play it after beating the Lakers last night. The Clippers are 6-19 ATS in their last 25 games off a division win by 20 or more points. The Lakers are 15-5 ATS off a game with 15 or fewer assists this season. The Lakers are 8-1 ATS off a game where they made 35% of their shots or worse this season. Take the Lakers.
|
04-06-16 |
Astros v. Yankees -119 |
|
6-16 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -119
The Key: The Yankees fell 5-3 in their opener against the Astros yesterday. Now I expect them to get their first win of the year behind Michael Pineda, who went 12-10 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in 27 starts last season. Collin McHugh was vulnerable on the road, posting a 4.09 ERA in 18 starts away from home last season. McHugh went 1-1 with a 4.61 ERA in spring training. The Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Astros are 21-43 in their last 64 road games. Take New York.
|
04-05-16 |
Lakers +15 v. Clippers |
Top |
81-103 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* Lakers/Clippers Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Lakers +15
The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers will give the Los Angeles Clippers a run for their money tonight. The thing is that the Clippers have nothing to play for since they are locked in to the No. 4 seed. So to make them favored by 15 points here is absolutely insane. The Lakers have shown some nice fight here of late with a 102-100 victory over Miami as 10.5-point dogs and a 100-107 loss to Boston as 9-point dogs in their last two games. The Clippers rested their starters against OKC two games ago and barely beat the Wizards 114-109 at home with their starters last game. They won't be pushing their starters in this one, though. The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the Lakers.
|
04-05-16 |
Mets v. Royals OVER 8 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Total *Annihilator* on Mets/Royals OVER 8
The Key: The wind in Kansas City today is going to be very favorable for a high-scoring game. In fact, it is expected to be blowing a whopping 25 miles per hour out to left field. Look for plenty of offensive fireworks as normal fly balls hit to left will go for homers. The Mets are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 road games revenging a one run loss vs. opponent. Take the OVER.
|
04-04-16 |
Villanova v. North Carolina -2 |
Top |
77-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* UNC/Villanova *HEAVY HITTER* on UNC -2
The Key: North Carolina is the one team without any weaknesses in the NCAA Tournament. That's why it is still alive and playing for a national title. The Tar Heels have the best big men in the country, and Marcus Paige and Joel Berry II have really stepped up their games in the tournament. Villanova has arguably the best guards in the land, but it is going to be at a serious disadvantage inside. Daniel Ochefu is their only big man of any significance, and he isn't going to be able to hold his own against Carolina. Coming into the Syracuse game, the Tar Heels were getting offensive rebounds on 46 percent of their misses. The Tar Heels will own the paint in this game, and thus they will be crowned your 2016 national champions. Take North Carolina.
|
04-04-16 |
Blue Jays v. Rays -109 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -109
The Key: After losing on Opening Day to the Blue Jays, I look for the Rays to get in the win column today and exact some revenge. Yesterday's starting pitching matchup was a lot more evenly matched than this one. I'll gladly back Drew Smyly over R.A. Dickey. Smyly went 5-2 with a 3.11 ERA with 77 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings for the Rays last year. I'll be anxious to see what he can do over a full season because this guy is so good when healthy. Smyly is 24-15 with a 3.24 ERA over his 4-year big league career and is primed for a breakout. Dickey hasn't been great in Toronto with a 4.21 ERA, 3.71 ERA and 3.91 ERA in his last three seasons there, respectively. Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.32 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto, giving up just 2 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Take Tampa Bay.
|
04-03-16 |
Blue Jays v. Rays -113 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay -113
The Key: We are getting the Rays at a nice price at home on opening day. I'll back Chris Archer at this price every time as he's one of the very best starters in baseball, but he doesn't get the kind of respect other aces around the league get. Archer is 5-3 with a 3.26 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Toronto, while his counterpart Marcus Stroman is 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Archer finished 5th in the AL Cy Young balloting last year and went 12-13 with a 3.23 ERA in 34 starts. Take Tampa Bay.
|
04-03-16 |
Wizards +7 v. Clippers |
Top |
109-114 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Wizards +7
The Key: The Washington Wizards are showing solid value as 7-point underdogs to the Los Angeles Clippers Sunday. They are still holding out slim hopes of making the playoffs as they are 3 games back of No. 8 Indiana. They will continue to fight until they are eliminated. Meanwhile, the Clippers have nothing to play for as they are locked in to the No. 4 seed in the West. They even rested all of their starters last time out and are not interested in winning any of the remainder of their games. The Wizards are 19-6 ATS in April games over the last 3 seasons. Take Washington.
|
04-02-16 |
Pistons v. Bulls -1.5 |
|
94-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -1.5
The Key: The Chicago Bulls are showing solid value as only 1.5-point favorites over the Detroit Pistons today. The Bulls are only one game behind the Pacers for 8th place in the East. They also trail the Pistons, who just lost to the Mavs yesterday and now will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. The circumstances make this a great spot to back the Bulls at this short number at home. Take Chicago.
|
04-02-16 |
Villanova -2 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
95-51 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* Villanova/Oklahoma Final Four *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova -2
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats are showing solid value as only 2-point favorites over the Oklahoma Sooners. They have certainly been the most impressive team in the tournament thus far, beating the likes of Miami and Kansas in the last two rounds. The win over Kansas is the significant because it is a Big 12 opponent, and one that went 2-0 against Oklahoma this year. The Wildcats play as a team, which makes them a lot more dangerous than the Sooners, who are too reliant upon Buddy Hield. Take Villanova.
|
04-01-16 |
Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 222 |
Top |
109-106 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Celtics/Warriors UNDER 222
The Key: The Celtics and Warriors both have a lot to play for right now, so the defensive intensity should be high in this game. These teams met earlier this season with the Warriors winning 124-119 in double-overtime. But that game was tied 103-103 at the end of regulation for 206 combined points. That's about the same output I expect tonight at the end of regulation as this game stays well below the 222-point total. Boston is 14-3 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER.
|
03-31-16 |
Celtics +3.5 v. Blazers |
Top |
109-116 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Blazers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Boston +3.5
The Key: The Boston Celtics come in fresh and ready to go tonight. They have had two days off, and now they are looking for a strong finish to the season to try and secure home-court advantage in the first round. The Celtics are currently in 4th place, tied with 5th place Charlotte and 6th place Miami at 43-31. They are also one game behind 3rd place Atlanta. So, essentially there's one game separating the 3-6 seeds. The Celtics want home court in that first round. Bets on road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who score 103 or more points on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half are 38-13 ATS since 1996. The Celtics are 10-1 ATS vs. teams who win 51% to 60% of their games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston.
|
03-30-16 |
Warriors v. Jazz +4 |
Top |
103-96 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +4
The Key: The Utah Jazz have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall to put themselves in position to make the playoffs. They are clinging on to the one of the final two spots in the West, only one game ahead of 9th place Dallas, though. They still have work to do, and now they're next victim will be the Golden State Warriors. This is an awful spot for the Warriors, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They are struggling to live up to expectations here of late as they've gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Utah lost by 3 at home to Golden State in its last meeting. Bets on underdogs who are revenging a loss where opponent score 110 or more points, off two straight covers as a favorite are 32-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Utah.
|
03-30-16 |
Suns +7 v. Bucks |
|
94-105 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +7
The Key: With the way the Bucks are playing right now they should not be 7-point favorites against anyone. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and clearly appear to be giving up on the season. They lost by 24 points to the Hornets at home in their last game, which is evidence of that. The Suns actually continue to play out the string and be competitive. They are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and they've only lost twice by more than 7 points during this stretch. Phoenix is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Milwaukee. Take Phoenix.
|
03-29-16 |
Wizards +13 v. Warriors |
|
94-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards/Warriors TNT *BAILOUT* on Washington +13
The Key: The Washington Wizards are fighting for their playoff lives as they are currently tied with the Chicago Bulls for 9th place in the East. They trail the Detroit Pistons by 2.5 games and the Indiana Pacers by 3 games for the final two playoff spots. They will be giving max effort tonight to beat the Warriors, and I believe it will be good enough to cover this massive 13-point spread. The Warriors have consistently been overvalued here of late as they chase down the Bulls' record. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games with only one of their wins coming by more than 12 points. They only beat the 76ers by 12 as 22-point favorites at home last time out. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games, with a winning percentage between 40% and 49% on the season are 29-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Washington.
|
03-29-16 |
Rockets +2 v. Cavs |
Top |
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Rockets/Cavs TNT GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston +2
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are more worried about being healthy and rested going into the playoffs than getting the No. 1 seed in the East. That's why they are resting Lebron James tonight. They should not be favored without James against a Houston Rockets team that is fighting for their playoff lives. The Rockets are tied for 8th place with the Mavericks in the West. Houston is 14-3 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons, and 37-15 ATS in its last 52 Tuesday games overall. The Rockets are 84-54 ATS in their last 138 road games off a loss by 6 points or less. Cleveland is 27-38 ATS as a favorite this season. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Take Houston.
|
03-28-16 |
Celtics +4 v. Clippers |
|
90-114 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Boston +4
The Key: The motivational edge is clearly with the Celtics in this game. They are the No. 4 seed in the East right now, but only 0.5 games behind No. 3 Atlanta and 0.5 games ahead of No. 5 Miami. They need to keep winning to assure they get home court in the 1st round. The Clippers have lost 5 of their last 8 and are having a hard time focusing right now. You can pretty much pencil them in the the No. 4 seed in the West because they aren't going to catch the Thunder, and the Grizzlies aren't catching them. Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall and 0-7 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record. Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games as a dog in the 3.5 to 6 price range. Take Boston.
|
03-28-16 |
Thunder v. Raptors +2.5 |
Top |
119-100 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +2.5
The Key: The motivational edge is clearly with the Raptors in this game. They are chasing down the Cavaliers for home-court advantage in the Eastern Conference as they currently sit 2.5 games back. You can pretty much pencil in the Thunder for the No. 3 seed in the West because they have a huge lead on the Clippers and can't catch the Spurs. The Raptors have a tremendous home-court advantage this season as they are 28-8 at home. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams who outscore the opposition by 3 or more points per game. The Thunder are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 road games after covering the spread as a favorite of 10 or more points in their previous game. Take Toronto.
|
03-27-16 |
Notre Dame v. North Carolina -9 |
Top |
74-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* UNC/Notre Dame Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on UNC -9
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have been rolling of late. They have won 8 in a row. They won the ACC Tournament, and they haven't had to break a sweat in the NCAA Tournament. They have won all 3 NCAA Tournament games by 15 points or more. That trend will continue tonight against Notre Dame, which could have lost each of its first 3 games in the NCAA Tournament. The Fighting Irish have won their 3 games by a combined 13 points. They last lost to UNC in the ACC Tournament by 31 points. A repeat performance can be expected here as they take a huge step up in competition. Notre Dame is 1-7 ATS in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Take North Carolina.
|
03-27-16 |
Rockets v. Pacers -2 |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers -2
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are currently the #7 seed in the East. They are just 2 games ahead of 9th place Chicago. After missing the playoffs by 1 game last year, they are not going to let it happen again. I really like the Pacers here as only 2-point favorites over the Rockets. The Pacers are 22-13 at home this season, while the Rockets are just 16-21 on the road. Indiana is 9-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or more in the first half of last game this season. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 visits to the Pacers. Take Indiana.
|
03-26-16 |
Villanova v. Kansas -2 |
Top |
64-59 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Kansas/Villanova Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas -2
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats are obviously on fire right now. But they haven't played a team that D's you up quite like Kansas, and that will be the difference in this game Saturday. The Jayhawks have actually had the tougher path in my opinion with their last two games coming against UConn and Maryland, and they won those games by 12 and 16 points, respectively. The Jayhawks only allow 39.7% shooting on the season, which is very impressive when you consider they play in the Big 12. They also only allow only 6 made 3-pointers per game and 32.3% shooting from distance. The key to stopping Villanova is defending the 3-point line, and not many teams do it as well as Kansas. Not to mention, the Jayhawks put up 81.9 points per game on 49.6% shooting offensively, so they are pretty much unstoppable at that end. Kansas is 7-0 ATS in Saturday road games this season. The Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS off two straight wins by 10 points or more this year. Take Kansas.
|
03-26-16 |
Hawks v. Pistons -1.5 |
|
112-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Detroit Pistons -1.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons are rolling right now and taking advantage of a long homestand. They are 5-0 in their last five games overall and still have three more games on this homestand. Now it's revenge time against the Hawks, who they lost to 114-118 to start this homestand on March 16 just 10 days ago. The Pistons are 24-12 at home this season and have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the league. They are 22-12 ATS at home as well and should be more than just a 1.5-point favorite here. Detroit is 37-18-2 ATS in its last 57 home games overall. Both teams played yesterday, but the Pistons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Detroit.
|
03-25-16 |
Indiana v. North Carolina UNDER 158.5 |
|
86-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Indiana/UNC Sweet 16 *BAILOUT* on UNDER 158.5
The Key: The public perception on UNC and Indiana is that they are both offensive juggernauts. That's why this total has been set so high tonight. But the fact of the matter is that both are better defensively than they get credit for, which is why both have been dominant down the stretch. UNC has held 6 of its last 7 opponents to less than a point per possession, and it finished ranked 3rd in the ACC in defensive efficiency. Indiana was able to win the Big Ten this season because it finished 3rd in the conference in defensive efficiency. 19 of UNC's last 20 games have seen less than 160 combined points, while 19 of Indiana's last 21 games have seen less than 160 combined points at the end of regulation. The UNDER is 14-5 in UNC's last 19 games overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in Hoosiers last 5 neutral site games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-25-16 |
Iowa State +6 v. Virginia |
Top |
71-84 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Iowa State/Virginia Sweet 16 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +6
The Key: Getting 6 points with Iowa State in a game that they will likely win outright tonight is simply too much. All you have to do is look at how their season has gone to find that there is value in getting 6 points. All 11 of Iowa State's losses this season have come by 10 points or less, and a whopping 7 of those have come by 5 points or fewer. This team simply does not get blown out. They have a Top 3 offense in the country that will test Virginia's pack-line defense. The Cyclones have 6 different players who can beat you, which makes them so tough to stop. Butler hung tough with Virginia for 40 minutes, and the Bulldogs are similar to ISU in that they shoot the 3-pointer well, which gives you a chance against Virginia. The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest over the last 3 years. Take Iowa State.
|
03-25-16 |
Wolves v. Wizards -7.5 |
|
132-129 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -7.5
The Key: Sitting in 10th place in the East, 2.5 games behind the No. 8 Pistons, the Wizards cannot afford to lose many more games going forward. They will give the Minnesota Timberwolves their full attention. Washington has won 5 of its last 6 games coming in with 4 of those wins coming by 10 points or more. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Better yet, the Wizards are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with Minnesota. Take Washington.
|
03-24-16 |
Bulls -5.5 v. Knicks |
|
94-106 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -5.5
The Key: This is a home-and-home situation where the Chicago Bulls actually lost at home to the New York Knicks last night. Now, the Bulls sit in 9th place in the Eastern Conference needing to make up some ground. They will come out determined tonight and will take down the Knicks, who won't be as interested since they are out of the playoff hunt and just beat the Bulls last night. New York is 3-11 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less this season. Bets on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points when revenging a loss vs. opponent against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 100 points or more are 60-26 ATS since 1996. Take Chicago.
|
03-24-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Villanova -4 |
Top |
69-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Miami/Villanova Sweet 16 *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova -4
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats have absolutely been on fire this month. They have shot at least 48% from the field in 7 of their last 8 games, and their No. 1 scoring defense in the land continues to shut down opponents. A big reason for their efficient offense is that they share the ball better than anyone left in the Sweet 16, averaging far and way more assists than any other team since the beginning of March. I believe the Wildcats are really on a mission because they had the most to prove coming into the tournament. The next victim is going to be Miami, which struggled to get by both Buffalo and Wichita State to get here. The Wildcats are also an excellent free throw shooting team, and if this game comes down to it, they'll put it away at the line. Plus, Miami is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 vs. teams who shoot 77% or better from the free throw line. Take Villanova.
|
03-23-16 |
Clippers +10 v. Warriors |
Top |
98-114 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* Clippers/Warriors ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles +10
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are desperate for a win after losing four of their last five coming in. They now take on a team that has beaten them five straight times in the Warriors, but not once were the Clippers overwhelmed. In fact, all 5 losses came by 8 points or less, and now they're getting 10 points here. This is too much, especially with the injuries the Warriors are dealing with to Andrew Bogut, Andre Iguodala and Festus Ezeli. The Warriors have not played well of late with an 8-point loss at San Antonio and a 5-point win at Minnesota in their last two games. Bets on road underdogs who allowed 105 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 29-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Los Angeles.
|
03-22-16 |
St. Mary's v. Valparaiso -3.5 |
Top |
44-60 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* St. Mary's/Valparaiso NIT *HEAVY HITTER* on Valparaiso -3.5
The Key: Valparaiso is 16-1 at home this season and laying only 3.5 points to St. Mary's Tuesday in NIT action. The Crusaders have had 4 days' rest in between games having last played on March 17, while the Gaels have only had 1 days' rest in between games having last played on March 20. This rest advantage is a big reason why I'm backing the Crusaders in a game that would otherwise be pretty evenly-matched. The Crusaders are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams who win at least 80% of their games on the season. They have played their best against the best competition. Take Valparaiso.
|
03-21-16 |
Kings v. Bulls -7.5 |
|
102-109 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -7.5
The Key: The Chicago Bulls are clinging on to the 8th seed in the East by mere percentage points over Detroit. They gotta keep winning, and they're doing a good job of it since Jimmy Butler returned, winning 3 of their last 4 coming in. Now they catch the Sacramento Kings in a very tough spot. The Kings will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They will have nothing left to give tonight against a Bulls team that desperately needs this win. The Kings are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Chicago.
|
03-21-16 |
George Washington v. Monmouth -2 |
Top |
87-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* GW/Monmouth NIT *HEAVY HITTER* on Monmouth -2
The Key: The Monmouth Hawks have gone on the road and beaten USC, Notre Dame, UCLA and Georgetown this season. They are a very good team and arguably the biggest snubs of the NCAA Tournament Field. But they are glad to be playing in the NIT anyway, and they proved that with their 10-point win over Bucknell. George Washington doesn't even want to be here and was nearly upset in a 2-point home win over Hofstra. This is a very short number for Monmouth to have to cover considering it is at home and the better team. The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. teams who win more than 60% of their games, while the Colonials are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. teams who win more than 60% of their games. Take Monmouth.
|
03-20-16 |
Wisconsin v. Xavier -4 |
|
66-63 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin/Xavier East Region *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4
The Key: Wisconsin simply doesn't have the firepower to keep up with Xavier. The Badgers were held to 58 points in their 12-point loss to Nebraska in the Big Ten Tournament, and they only managed 47 points against Pitt last round. Fortunately for the Badgers, Pitt couldn't make anything. But Xavier is an explosive offensive team full of athletes. The Musketeers have six players averaging at least 9.5 points per game. Xavier made the Elite 8 last year and is determined to get back. The Musketeers are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games. Take Xavier.
|
03-20-16 |
Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 |
|
94-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *TOTAL* Annihilator on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 192
The Key: When the Jazz and Bucks get together, the end result is usually a low-scoring affair. That will be the case again tonight when these teams meet up in Milwaukee. Both teams are fighting to stay alive in their respective playoff races, which will add to the defensive intensity. The last two meetings between these teams have seen 157 and 165 combined points. That's an average of 161 combined points per game, which is 31 points below this 192-point total today. The UNDER is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 14-3 in Bucks last 17 games following a win. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 Sunday games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-20-16 |
Iowa v. Villanova UNDER 146 |
Top |
68-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NCAA Tournament TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Villanova/Iowa UNDER 146
The Key: Villanova and Iowa are two of the best defensive teams in the country. Villanova is the most efficient scoring defense in the land as it allows only 63.5 points per game and under 40% shooting. Iowa allows 68.7 points per game and 41.6% shooting this season. Villanova lives off the 3-pointer, but Iowa doesn't allow that, giving up just 30.8% 3-point shooting this season. Villanova is 8-1 UNDER in its last 9 neutral court games when the total is 140 to 149.5. Take the UNDER.
|
03-19-16 |
Providence +10.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
66-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Providence/UNC Round of 32 *BAILOUT* on Providence +10.5
The Key: Providence is good enough to beat any team in the country, including UNC. The good news is that it doesn't have to win to cover this massive 10.5-point spread. The Friars have arguably the best 1-2 punch in the land in Kris Dunn and Ben Bentil, which gives them a chance to beat anyone. We saw them go on the road and beat Villanova earlier this season. We are seeing this team hit its stride with wins in 5 of its last 6 games with its only loss coming by 8 points to Villanova as 8.5-point dogs in the Big East Tournament. UNC looked vulnerable only up 41-40 at halftime on Florida Gulf Coast, only to put them away in the 2nd half and win by 16 as 23.5-point favorites. The Friars are 9-1 ATS vs. teams who commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Friars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Tar Heels are 6-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more this season. Take Providence.
|
03-19-16 |
Gonzaga v. Utah UNDER 140 |
|
82-59 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NCAA Tournament *TOTAL* Annihilator on Gonzaga/Utah UNDER 140
The Key: Utah and Gonzaga play similar styles that will make points hard to come by in this one. Both have tremendous interior defense with their size inside, and they use that size on offense to try and get easy buckets. But the buckets won't come easy in this one because both teams defend the paint so well. The UNDER is 9-0 in Utah's last nine games vs. teams who outscore opponents by 12 or more per game on the season after 15 or more games. The UNDER is 5-0 in Bulldogs' last 5 games vs. Pac-12 opponents. The UNDER is 9-4 in Utah's last 13 games vs. WCC foes. Take the UNDER.
|
03-19-16 |
Warriors v. Spurs -3 |
|
79-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors/Spurs ABC National TV *Annihilator* on San Antonio -3
The Key: I have a feeling the San Antonio Spurs are going to want to make a statement tonight against the Golden State Warriors. They want to show the Warriors that they mean business if these teams were to meet in the playoffs, especially after getting embarrassed 90-120 at Golden State in their last meeting. The Spurs didn't have Tim Duncan in that game, but it might not have mattered. However, the Warriors are now without Andre Iguodala and Andrew Bogut, two key pieces whose absences are bigger than most realize, especially defensively. The Spurs are 34-0 at home this season, and they aren't about to lose their first game tonight. Take San Antonio.
|
03-18-16 |
Northern Iowa +4.5 v. Texas |
Top |
75-72 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* Friday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Northern Iowa +4.5
The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are a live underdog who I believe will pull the 11/6 upset Friday. They have made noise in the big dance before in knocking off Kansas a few years ago. Few teams have better wins than they do. The Panthers have beaten North Carolina, Iowa State and Wichita State (twice). They can clearly hang with a Texas team that comes in having lost two out of its last three by a combined 46 points. Northern Iowa has gone 12-1 SU & 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall. It is 8-0 ATS versus teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games this season. The Panthers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Longhorns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Take this combined 33-1 angle in favor of the Panthers straight to the bank Friday. Take Northern Iowa.
|
03-18-16 |
Pittsburgh +2 v. Wisconsin |
|
43-47 |
Loss |
-106 |
39 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* Friday East Region *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +2
The Key: Give Wisconsin credit for bouncing back after Bo Ryan retired early in the season after a terrible start that includes home losses to Western Illinois, Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Marquette. But this isn't even close to the Badgers' team that made the championship game last year. They have no business being favored over Pitt with the way they closed the season. They lost by 11 at Purdue and by 12 to Nebraska in the conference tournament. Common opponents are in Pitt's favor. The Panthers are 3-1 against common opponents with Wisconsin, which is 1-2 in those games. Pitt is scoring 76.0 points per game on 46% shooting against teams that allow 71.6 on 43.4% shooting, so it is an elite offensive team. It is also allowing 67.9 against teams that average 73.8, so it is better than it gets credit for defensively, too. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. The Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Take Pitt.
|
03-18-16 |
CS Bakersfield v. Oklahoma -14 |
|
68-82 |
Push |
0 |
36 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Friday West Region *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -14
The Key: Oklahoma went 12-0 in non-conference games this season while outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game. They even beat Villanova by 23 on a neutral court. They did not win the Big 12 like they wanted to, but they came very close to doing so as five of their conference losses came by 5 points or fewer. CS-Bakersfield is no match for the Sooners, who will be essentially playing at home in Oklahoma City. Bakersfield lost by 35 to Saint Mary's and by 16 to Arizona State, and it doesn't have any significant wins this season against quality competition. The Sooners are by far the best team they will have played, and the end result won't be a pretty one for Bakersfield. Take Oklahoma.
|
03-17-16 |
Providence -2 v. USC |
Top |
70-69 |
Loss |
-104 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Providence -2
The Key: Providence comes in having won 4 of its last 5 games overall while going 5-0 ATS in the process. The Friars are getting back to playing like they were when they started 14-1. Kris Dunn and Ben Bentil may be the best 1-2 punch in the tournament. USC comes in having lost 7 of its last 10 games with all seven losses by at least 7 points each. The Trojans are just 5-10 in all road games this season. Their only significant win away from home came against a Wichita State team that was without Fred VanVleet. The Friars already beat Arizona from the Pac-12 on a neutral court, while the Trojans lost to Xavier from the Big East by 10 on a neutral floor. Providence is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 neutral site games. Take Providence.
|
03-17-16 |
Iona v. Iowa State -7.5 |
|
81-94 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday Midwest Region *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7.5
The Key: Iowa State will be out to make a statement after losing to UAB in the opening round last year. Without question, Iona has the Cyclones' full attention this time around. I love this Iowa State team that is one of only two teams with 6 players scoring at least 10 points per game. The Cyclones rank 3rd in the nation in offensive efficiency. They lost 11 games this season but were in every one of them as they all came by 10 points or fewer, including seven by 5 points or less. Iona lost by 25 to Valpo and by 20 to Oregon State out of conference this year. Betting against dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have won at least 4 straight, who are seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA Tournament has produced a 49-19 ATS record since 1997. The Cyclones should be favored by more. Take Iowa State.
|
03-17-16 |
Connecticut -3 v. Colorado |
|
74-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday South Region *CA$H COW* on Connecticut -3
The Key: UConn was very impressive in the AAC Tournament. After beating Cincinnati in four overtimes, the Huskies rolled to a 15-point win over Temple and a 14-point win over Memphis to capture the title. The Huskies get after it defensively as well as anyone in the country. They allow 63.1 points per game and 38.2% shooting, including just 41% in the pain. That's key because they will need to stop Colorado's Josh Scott, a forward/center who is their best player. The Buffaloes were only 6-10 away from home this season. They were actually outscored on a per possession basis in Pac-12 play this season as well. The Huskies are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games, while the Buffaloes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 postseason tournament games. Take UConn.
|
03-16-16 |
Tulsa +4 v. Michigan |
|
62-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Tulsa/Michigan First Four *CA$H COW* on Tulsa +4
The Key: Tulsa is the one team that every expert in the country felt didn't belong in the NCAA Tournament. Playing with that important chip on their shoulder, the Golden Hurricane will be out to prove a point tonight against Michigan. The Wolverines are fortune to be in the big dance themselves considering they needed OT to beat Northwestern and caught Indiana on an off day in the Big Ten Tournament, otherwise they wouldn't be in. I love the veteran leadership of this Tulsa team with 7 seniors who play on a regular basis. SMU and UConn are common opponents for these teams. Tulsa beat both of them, while Michigan lost to both. This is a game I expect the Golden Hurricane to win outright, but getting the points is an added bonus. Take Tulsa.
|
03-16-16 |
Bulls +5.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
96-117 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Bulls +5.5
The Key: Getting a healthy Jimmy Butler back in the lineup last time out helped the Bulls to a big road win over the Toronto Raptors. There is a good chance Derrick Rose returns tonight, too, and the Bulls are going to be a very dangerous team going forward with these two. Washington has lost 5 of its last 6 with three losses by 16 points or more. The Wizards are coming off a blowout win over the Pistons, but they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 10 points or more. The underdog is 25-10 ATS in the last 35 meetings in this series. The road team is also 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take Chicago.
|
03-15-16 |
Raptors -2 v. Bucks |
Top |
107-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Raptors -2
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are 23-6 in their last 29 games overall. Off a loss to the Bulls last night, I expect Toronto to come back focused tonight to take care of business against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are just 28-39 on the season. The Raptors have owned the Bucks, going 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with them. The Bucks are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 home games when coming off two or more straight wins. Take Toronto.
|
03-15-16 |
Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Gulf Coast -5.5 |
|
65-96 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB First Four *CA$H COW* on Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
The Key: Florida Gulf Coast is a very good team on both ends of the floor. It is averaging 77 points and shooting nearly 48% on offense, while giving up just 70 points and 42% shooting defensively. While Fairleigh Dickinson can score, it cannot defend, which is going to be its undoing here. The Knights are actually the worst team defensively of the 68 teams in the field. They give up 78.2 points per game on 45% shooting this season. Gulf Coast is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games. Take Florida Gulf Coast.
|
03-14-16 |
Wolves v. Suns UNDER 222 |
Top |
104-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves/Suns UNDER 222
The Key: It's pretty easy to see that this total has been inflated when you look at recent meetings between the Timberwolves and Suns. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and none of those five games saw more than 220 combined points. They have averaged a combined 209 points per game in those five contests. As you can see, that's 13 points fewer than the 222-point total set today. Minnesota is 21-3 UNDER in its last 24 road games off an upset win over a division opponent. Phoenix is 9-1 UNDER in March home games over the last two seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
03-13-16 |
Memphis +5.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
58-72 |
Loss |
-101 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* AAC Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +5.5
The Key: The Memphis Tigers are playing their best basketball of the season heading into the AAC Championship Game against UConn. Memphis has won its last 3 games by 20, 22 and 30 points, respectively. Now the Tigers have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament with a win Sunday, and they won't blow this opportunity. The UConn Huskies are already in the big dance no matter how this game turns out. While they didn't show effects from the 4 OT game yesterday, I believe their 3rd game in 3 days here will finally get the best of them. Memphis should be fresh with the ease of which it has won the last 2 days. UConn is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 3 or more straight wins. Take Memphis.
|
03-12-16 |
Wizards +1 v. Nuggets |
|
100-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards +1
The Key: The Washington Wizards have lost four straight and are now 30-34 on the season. They need to get it together in a hurry if they want to make the playoffs. A date with the lowly Denver Nuggets should help their cause tonight. Washington is 15-7 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Denver is 15-28 ATS in its last 43 games games against a team with a losing record. The Wizards are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Take Washington.
|
03-12-16 |
Georgia v. Kentucky -10.5 |
|
80-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* SEC Tournament *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -10.5
The Key: The Kentucky Wildcats have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and are getting better as the season goes on, which is usually the case for John Calipari since he took over at Kentucky. They are coming off a 26-point win over Alabama yesterday, while Georgia barely survived in a 65-64 win over South Carolina. Now the Wildcats get to face a Georgia team that they've owned. They have won 5 straight meetings by 18.0 points per game, including their 34-point romp of the Bulldogs earlier this season. Take Kentucky.
|
03-12-16 |
Connecticut v. Temple +2 |
Top |
77-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* UConn/Temple AAC Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on Temple +2
The Key: UConn played 4 overtimes yesterday in a 104-97 win over Cincinnati. It's safe to say that they won't have much left to give today against Temple. The Owls just keep flying under the radar this season. They won the American Athletic, earned the No. 1 seed in this tournament, dismantled South Florida by 17 yesterday, and now they're underdogs to a team that just played 4 overtimes? Give me a break. Take Temple.
|
03-11-16 |
Georgia v. South Carolina -1.5 |
Top |
65-64 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on South Carolina -1.5
The Key: South Carolina will be playing its 1st SEC Tournament game today, while it will be up against a Georgia team that will be playing its 2nd in 2 days. Georgia expended a lot of energy in its 91-83 win over Ole Miss yesterday. South Carolina has every reason to be motivated to bolster its NCAA Tournament chances, and to also avenge two earlier losses to Georgia this season, including a 2-point loss last Thursday. Take South Carolina.
|
03-11-16 |
Wolves v. Thunder -12.5 |
|
99-96 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 10 straight meetings with the Minnesota Timberwolves. They have won 12 straight home meetings with the Timberwolves as well. Most have come via blowout, too, as they last two home meetings have resulted in 20 and 14-point victories. The Timberwolves are giving up 112.6 points per game in their last 16 games and have lost 17 of 19 games away from Minnesota. Minnesota is 2-14 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Oklahoma City.
|