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Matt Fargo Football Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-12-20 Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers Top 23-28 Loss -107 8 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks

01-11-20 Vikings +7 v. 49ers Top 10-27 Loss -105 70 h 3 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings

01-06-20 Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette Top 17-27 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Monday Lending Tree Bowl Winner. The RedHawks are not getting any respect here with this being tied for the third biggest spread of all the bowl games. Miami finds itself as an underdog tonight against Louisiana, but that is nothing unusual for the RedHawks, who in their 12 previous games against FBS opponents were underdogs in all but two of those games despite their 8-5 record and 6-2 mark in MAC games. While the RedHawks may not score a lot of points, most of the season they have made the points they score in games count. Entering tonight, Miami holds a 5-0 record this season in games decided by one score. They have made a season, and won a Mid-American Conference championship, out of winning close games. Louisiana is coming off a loss to Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Cajuns possess a very potent offense so Miami will be tested but has proved to be able to slow teams down. Through 13 games in 2019, Louisiana ranks eighth in country and leads the conference in total offense per game (501.3) and 10th in the nation in scoring offense (38.8). After raising the New Orleans Bowl trophy four straight seasons under coach Mark Hudspeth, the Cajuns have lost their past two bowl games and have not won a bowl game outside of Alabama since 1944. 10* (279) Miami Ohio RedHawks

01-05-20 Seahawks -1 v. Eagles Top 17-9 Win 100 27 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks

01-04-20 Bills +3 v. Texans Top 19-22 Push 0 25 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills

01-03-20 Ohio -9 v. Nevada Top 30-21 Push 0 3 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Potato Bowl Winner. Ohio finished the season 6-6 but it could have been a lot better as four of those losses came by a field goal or less. Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke is arguably one of the greatest quarterbacks in program history, owning the record for most touchdowns accounted for in a career with 110 (60 passing, 48 rushing, 2 receiving). This season, Rourke ranks 16th in the FBS in points accounted for per game with 16.5. He is also one of the most productive rushers in MAC history as his career average of 6.1 ypc is tied for 8th in the MAC since 1962. Because of his production, Ohio has been one of the most productive offenses in the FBS in the last three seasons, finishing 9th, 12th, and 20th in scoring offense each season, respectively culminating with an average of 34.7 ppg this season. Nevada will have a tough time finding a way to overcome the loss of four key defensive players from a defense already allowing 32.1 ppg as those players were suspended for this game. The offense will be challenged as well as Nevada averaged just 21.3 ppg on the season and even that is skewed with big numbers against bad teams. They finished 1-4 against bowl teams while getting outgained by 211 ypg which is the most of any team in a bowl game this season. The Wolf Pack won three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but the schedule was in their favor as three of three of those four teams finished 4-8 or worse. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 38-9 ATS (80.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (275) Ohio Bobcats

01-02-20 Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 Top 6-38 Win 100 24 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Thursday Birmingham Bowl Winner. Boston College ended the season 6-6 and it will be without a couple key pieces. Head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the regular season and has since been hired by Colorado St. Wide receivers coach Rich Gunnell will serve as the interim coach for this game. Additionally, they will not have star running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,685 yards and scored 14 touchdowns this season and is the Boston College all-time leading rusher. He has declared for the draft and is sitting out the game. That puts a lot of pressure on quarterback Dennis Grosel who completed under 50 percent of his passes, sometimes turning the Boston College offense one-dimensional. On the other side, the Eagles defense is allowing 480.3 ypg which is tied for fourth worst in the country. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. In just three seasons, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell took his team from four wins to less than 90 seconds away from a conference championship. The Bearcats lost only three games this season, one to Ohio St. and the final two against Memphis, the eventual AAC Champion. Cincinnati is led offensively by running back Michael Warren and dual-threat quarterback Desmond Ridder. Warren collected 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, while Ridder threw for 2,069 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 545 yards and two scores. Cincinnati allowed 21.7 ppg, leading the conference in scoring defense for a second consecutive year. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against defenses allowing 8 or more passing ypa over the last two seasons. 10* (272) Cincinnati Bearcats

01-01-20 Baylor +5 v. Georgia Top 14-26 Loss -107 30 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. This line has come down considerably and for good reason. Georgia is depleted in key areas whether it be by injury or other factors. Starting offensive linemen Andrew Thomas and Isaiah Wilson will miss the game after declaring early for the NFL draft, while right guard Ben Cleveland will miss the game, reportedly for academic reasons. Second-leading rusher Brian Herrien also won't play for undisclosed reasons, and it's believed several other players won't be on hand. Additionally, the status of leading rusher D'Andre Swift is also uncertain due to a shoulder injury he suffered late in the year. That is a lot to overcome and it was so bad that head coach Kirby Smart closed all 11 of the team's practices prior to arriving in New Orleans. It was a remarkable season for Baylor that on one saw coming. The Bears finished 1-11 in 2017, improved to 7-6 in 2018 before this year's 11-2 campaign, their only losses coming to Oklahoma. No. 7 Baylor lost to the Sooners in the regular season and later 30-23 in overtime of the Big 12 championship game. While Georgia is shorthanded, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule said that he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. Being down 15 scholarship players is a big deal and you know that Baylor is going to have a ton of fight and energy coming into this game. Rhule coached teams are 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (269) Baylor Bears

12-31-19 Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 Top 17-20 Win 100 6 h 59 m Show

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is a great spot for Navy which comes in loads of momentum following three straight wins and going 8-1 over its last 10 games, the lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Midshipmen quarterback Malcolm Perry broke a lot of school records this season and he will be a nightmare matchup for Kansas St. as not only is Navy the No. 1 rushing offense in the country but they own the No. 2 redzone offense and will square off against the No. 130 in redzone defense in Kansas St. Additionally, the Wildcats rushing defense is mediocre as they are ranked No. 61 and allow an average of 4.9 ypc. Kansas St. closed the season with a little bit of momentum as it defeated Texas Tech and Iowa St. over its final two games to finish third in the Big XII Conference. Kansas St. split its six games against bowl teams but that is misleading as the Wildcats were outgained by an average of 106 ypg which is the fourth most among bowl teams from the Power 5 conferences. Overall, Navy outgained nine of 12 opponents while the Wildcats outgained just five of 12 foes. Navy is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 116-56 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (258) Navy Midshipmen

12-31-19 Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech Top 37-30 Win 100 2 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky comes in riding a three-game winning streak including a 32-point win over rival Louisville in its regular season finale. The Wildcats were 4-5 but vaulted into a bowl game with their strong finish. The defense is the strength as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 12 in scoring. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against non-conference opponents. While going just 2-4 against fellow bowl teams, Kentucky outgained those six teams by an average of 24 ypg. Conversely, Virginia Tech went 4-3 against bowlers but were outgained by 27 ypg on average. While those margins are not overwhelming, the strength of schedules actually make those numbers skewed as the ACC as a conference ranked lower than the Pac 12 and the AAC. A big storyline here is that this is the last game for Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster so while they will be jacked up the matchup is not a good one. Virginia Tech has struggled against running quarterbacks this season and Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. is an electric athlete. He has averaged 174.3 ypg during the three-game winning streak. Here, we play against teams off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (291) Kentucky Wildcats

12-30-19 Virginia +15 v. Florida Top 28-36 Win 100 9 h 27 m Show

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. Even though they were dismantled in the ACC Championship by Clemson, the Cavaliers are clearly the second best team in the conference and while that might not be saying much to some, this is a solid team with a solid coach that wants to rebound from that defeat. Scoring hasn't been a problem for the Cavaliers, whose 421 total points and 32.4 ppg average are both the second-highest marks in school history. The Cavaliers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Florida is an overrated No. 9 in the CFP Rankings as it has defeated hardly anyone. A win over No. 12 Auburn was nice but that is the only win over a team ranked within the top 30. The Gators finished the season just +57 ypg against bowl teams so there was no domination to make them a two-touchdown favorite here. Florida won't have cornerback C.J. Henderson, who is sitting out after declaring for the draft and he is a big piece of the secondary that decided to give up on his team despite a high profile bowl game. Bowl favorites are a dismal 9-36 ATS in the last 45 occurrences when coming off three or more ATS wins and facing an opponent that scored 21 or fewer points last time out. Additionally, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (251) Virginia Cavaliers

12-29-19 Eagles v. Giants +4.5 Top 34-17 Loss -110 47 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is another instance of going against a team that needs to win and one simple belief for that is if a team needs to win in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, it cannot be that good of a team to begin with. That is certainly the case for the Eagles which are coming off a must win game against the Cowboys. We are not here saying the Eagles cannot or will not win this game but this line is simply too high. The Giants have won two straight games, albeit against Miami and Washington and they would like nothing more than to finish with three straight wins and knock their rival from the playoffs. Daniel Jones is coming off the best game of his rookie season where he threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns. He has another good matchup here and while the Eagles help Dak Prescott in check last week, clearly he was not close to 100 percent. Additionally, Saquon Barkley is back as he has two straight 100-yard games, including a career-best 189 yards rushing last week. He finished with a franchise-record 279 yards from scrimmage. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (116) New York Giants

12-29-19 Raiders v. Broncos -3 Top 15-16 Loss -124 47 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Oakland still has an outside shot at a playoff berth as it needs a win here plus losses by Pittsburgh and Tennessee, a win by Indianapolis and a win or tie from either Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers or New England. The scenario for the final four teams would give the Raiders the strength of schedule tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. That being said, this is a very inconsistent team and one that should not be trusted on the road. The Raiders are 2-5 away from home and their -105 scoring differential of fifth worst in the NFL. Denver has played well of late by winning three of its last four games has played very well in those wins. The game against Kansas City can be tossed out since it was being played in a snowstorm. Oakland has some horrible history heading into this game. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as divisional underdogs coming off a SU/ATS Win, 0-18 ATS in their last 18 games following a win in which they had less than 400 yards of offense and did not commit a single turnover and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 road games following a win. This includes losses this season at the Packers 42-24 and at the Jets 34-2. 10* (132) Denver Broncos

12-28-19 Clemson -1.5 v. Ohio State Top 29-23 Win 100 52 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Fiesta Bowl Winner. The Buckeye defense has not seen a quarterback all season long that even comes close to the talent level of Trevor Lawrence. This will be a massive adjustment for the Ohio St. defenders. Lawrence for the season has over 3,100 yards passing and 34 touchdowns. But he also gets it done on the ground as he has rushed for 407 yards and seven scores. While the Buckeyes will be focused to slow Lawrence down, there is another big weapon they have to worry about. Travis Etienne is a monster in the backfield as he averages 8.2 ypc and scores a touchdown about every 11th time he takes a handoff. His 19 plays of 20 or more yards are tied for fifth among all non-receivers. The three running backs ahead of him on the list all have considerably more offensive touches than his 211. Etienne seems like a new challenge altogether in that the Buckeyes cannot make him the focal point of their defensive plan, nor can they afford to overlook him. This Ohio St. roster is one of the best in recent memory. The Buckeyes also have one of the most talented backfields in the country, comprised with Heisman finalist quarterback Justin Fields and Doak Walker Award finalist running back J.K. Dobbins. But Clemson is clearly the best defense that the Buckeyes will have faced this season. Defensive coordinator Brent Venables has had multiple weeks to prepare for the Buckeyes and we have seen what he has done in the past when given extra time to prepare. Clemson is a team that has won 28 straight games with CFP experience matched up with a group not all that familiar with the big stage. 10* (243) Clemson Tigers

12-27-19 USC +3 v. Iowa Top 24-49 Loss -125 28 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Holiday Bowl Winner. USC opened the season 3-3 but the Trojans came to life by winning five of their last six games to bounce back from a disappointing 2018 season where they went 5-7. The four USC losses have largely come against solid competition with three of the four at the hands of ranked opponents. The poise of USC quarterback Kedon Slovis the last few games and the growth of the wide receivers into Graham Harrell’s scheme has really shown that this is a deadly offense. It is ranked as one of the best for a reason. Slovis ended up missing only one full game and was named Pac 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year after completing 260 of 362 passes. He has a QB rating of 167.60 and averages 294.7ypg. The Hawkeyes surrender an average of only 184.2 ypg through the air, hold opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 113.08, and have allowed only twelve passing touchdowns while picking off eleven passes. But they have not faced a passing offense such as this. Iowa is totally dependent on its defense, which is ranked 3rd and 12th in scoring and total defense. The offense has been a different story as the Hawkeyes are ranked 96th, 97th, & 98th in scoring, rushing, and total offense respectively. Seven of last 10 games have been decided by one possession. While it may seem off because of the Pac 12, the Trojans played the 11th toughest schedule in the nation. 10* (233) USC Trojans

12-26-19 Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 Top 0-14 Win 100 54 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Independence Bowl Winner. This line has come down a point from opening but it is not enough. Miami has little interest in playing in this game as it comes in 6-6 after an underachieving regular season and the proof of not wanting to show up is evidenced by the top players. Defensive ends Jonathan Garvin and Trevon Hill, junior wide receiver Jeff Thomas, and linebacker Michael Pinckney have all decided to skip the Independence Bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. That says a lot. Louisiana Tech meanwhile would like nothing more than to secure a win over a major program to gain its first 10-win season since 1984. The Bulldogs are led by quarterback J'Mar Smith, Conference USA's Offensive Player of the Year and one of the most dynamic quarterbacks the Hurricanes have faced this season. The Hurricanes defense was one of the best this season but they are down their three best players and that will be a huge difference here. On the other side, the quarterback situation for Miami is so bad, a starter has yet to be names as it was an open tryout heading into the bowl game. The Louisiana Tech's campus in Ruston is located about an hour away from Shreveport, where the Independence Bowl will be played. Needless to say, the Bulldogs should have a distinct home-field advantage on Thursday. 10* (224) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

12-24-19 BYU -1 v. Hawaii Top 34-38 Loss -106 27 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Tuesday Hawaii Bowl Blockbuster. Hawaii finished the regular season strong with a run of four straight wins but three of those were against non-bowl teams while the other was an ugly win against San Diego St. and of its nine total wins, only three came against bowl teams. The Warriors lost the yardage battle in five of the seven games against bowlers and in the four outright losses, they lost by an average of 26.3 ppg. BYU finished the season 7-5 with four of those wins coming against bowl teams including a win over Boise St., the Broncos only regular season loss of the season. The Cougars finished strong on the field as they outgained seven of their last eight opponents including the last five but that did not pay off at the ticket window as BYU dropped its last four games against the number. How important is the outcome of the Hawaii Bowl to BYU coach Kalani Sitake, his staff and the Cougar players? According to BYU Insiders, very important. This will be a business trip, not a vacation, to be sure. Here, we play on road favorites after allowing 14 points or less last game going up against an opponent after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 107-60 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (221) BYU Cougars

12-23-19 Packers v. Vikings -4.5 Top 23-10 Loss -110 12 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Even though we are 14 games into the season, it is hard to get a grasp on the Packers and how good their 11-3 record really is. They've been outscored in the second and fourth quarters, only four of their 11 wins have come by more than one score and their team rankings in rushing and passing yardage on both offense and defense are all in the bottom half of the league. Green Bay has been outgained in five of its last six and seven of its last 10 games and just two of the 11 wins are against teams in current playoff positions. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games after an uneven 2-2 start to the season. There is a lot on the line for Minnesota as well even though it clinched a playoff berth with the Rams loss on Saturday. The only way Minnesota can win the NFC North is if the sputtering Lions beat the Packers in addition to Vikings victories in their last two games. They host Chicago on Dec. 29, with the chance to go 8-0 at home for the first time in 10 years. It is well documented that Kirk Cousins is 0-8 on Monday Night Football but he is not solely to blame. He has completed 191 of 292 passes (65.4 percent) for 2,153 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, and his passer rating is 92.7 in those games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (482) Minnesota Vikings

12-22-19 Cowboys v. Eagles +2.5 Top 9-17 Win 100 27 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Dallas last week as a home underdog and now it comes into this week as a road favorite which is a complete overreaction to the win last week. Couple that with the Eagles needing a late comeback to defeat to the Redskins and the public will be all over the Cowboys this week.0020Dallas is top ten in scoring offense, total offense, scoring defense and total defense yet it is just 7-7 on the season. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win no matter what happens next week but a playoff berth is still in play for the Eagles. Beat the Cowboys and win in Week 17 against the Giants, and they're in so clearly there is a lot at stake for both sides. Carson Wentz is playing one of the true must-win games of his career. He tossed a two-yard touchdown pass to Zach Ertz in overtime to beat the Giants and followed up on the road with a touchdown pass to Greg Ward to beat the Redskins. He is down his top three receivers so expect big games from Ertz and Ward as the Cowboys struggle to defend the middle of the field. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Philadelphia Eagles

12-22-19 Panthers +7 v. Colts Top 6-38 Loss -120 24 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts put up a dud for us on Monday night as the Saints used the Drew Brees record setting night as a means for motivation. Now there is nothing to play for as a rash of injuries, a flurry of costly special teams mistakes, and back-to-back sub-par defensive performances led to a fourth consecutive loss at New Orleans, sealing their playoff fate. They've been outscored 31-7 in the fourth quarter of the last three games to go along with no running game. The Panthers have given up on the Kyle Allen experiment that actually started out good but has failed miserably of late. They have lost six straight games but four of those losses came by just one possession and there is no wat the Colts should be laying this number with nothing on the line especially facing Christian McCaffrey. He needs 186 yards receiving over the final two games to become the third player to have 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving so he will be a heavy part of the passing game with new starter Will Grier. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (471) Carolina Panthers

12-21-19 Rams +7 v. 49ers Top 31-34 Win 100 32 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a loss last week in Dallas which severely hurt their playoff chances. They have to win out in their final two games, here and then next week at home against the Cardinals. Additionally, Los Angeles needs Minnesota to love this Monday and then next week at home against the Bears. All scenarios are more than possible so it is up to the Rams to do its job. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is coming off a bad loss against Atlanta last Sunday and while it can still lock down the No. seed in the NFC, it can also fall to the No. 5 seed which is where it currently sits. The 49ers are just 3-2 against the top 10 in the league while playing the No. 17 ranked schedule. While these teams are separated by three games, San Francisco seems pretty overpriced here and this is just the second time the Rams have been road underdogs and by far by the biggest amount. The 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (451) Los Angeles Rams

12-21-19 Washington v. Boise State +3.5 Top 38-7 Loss -110 29 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Game of the Week. The storyline here is that this is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson and he squares off against his former team which he directed a complete turnaround to where they are now. It is a great feel good story but the game is played on the field and the Broncos will not have any less motivation. Boise St. lost once this season, a three-point loss at BYU, and was favored in every game it played. Granted, they are now playing a team from a Power 5 conference but the Pac 12 is the worst of the bunch. Since 2006, the Broncos are 5-3 as neutral-site underdogs and two of those losses came back to back with an interim coach in the 2013 Hawaii Bowl vs. Oregon St. and in the first game under head coach Bryan Harsin in 2014 against Ole Miss. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Washington struggled down the stretch, going 3-4 in its last seven games and two of those losses came against teams not playing in a bowl game. Pac 12 teams are 2-20 ATS in bowl games over the last three years while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (216) Boise St. Broncos

12-21-19 Bills +7 v. Patriots Top 17-24 Push 0 28 h 51 m Show

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a game where you have to trust the eye test and not the history lesson. New England is making its 11th straight playoff appearance but this could be the worst of the bunch despite an 11-3 record. The defense is great but the offense has struggled as Tom Brady looks slow and inaccurate and he has no weapons to throw to. Facing one of the best defenses in the league will be a challenge and the Patriots struggled in the first meeting as they won by six points but mustered a mere 224 yards of total offense and the difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Playing at home with a chance to win the division in tough to go against but the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo will not be intimidated here just like last week when they were not against the Steelers. They held Pittsburgh to 229 total yards and the site of Brady is not going to scare them off. The offense has certainly been inconsistent but Josh Allen has the ability to confuse the Patriots with his mobility. The Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (453) Buffalo Bills

12-20-19 Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 Top 51-41 Loss -110 8 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Friday Frisco Bowl Winner. Kent St. snuck into the postseason with a 6-6 record thanks to winning its final three games of the regular season. The Golden Flashes lost the yardage battle in two of those games and on the season, they were outgained in all seven games against current bowl teams and by an average of 192 ypg. Utah St. had a below average season by its standards as it went 7-5 and four of those five losses came by at least 24 points. Of course, those were all against teams much better than Kent St. and three of those are currently ranked. One of the big reasons for the pedestrian season was the average play of quarterback Jordan Love who crushed it last season with 28 touchdowns and five interceptions compared to a 17:16 split this season. He is pegged as a high draft NFL quarterback and this is his showcase. For the Aggies, beating the Golden Flashes would represent ending 2019 on a high note after missing their goal of winning a Mountain West Conference championship. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (204) Utah St. Aggies

12-16-19 Colts +10 v. Saints Top 7-34 Loss -122 12 h 47 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The money and the public is on the Saints here which comes as no surprise and that has driven this line up to double-digits in some places. The Saints are coming off a tough loss against the 49ers last Sunday but have still clinched the division but they can win out and still get the third seed if they don't receive some extra help. The New Orleans defense has regressed and that is not ideal when laying a number this big as the Saints enter this game ranked 13th in total defense, surrendering 338 ypg and 17th in points allowed at 22.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games as favorites coming off a home loss including 0-7 ATS when laying more than a touchdown. Indianapolis needs to win out and get some help for the postseason as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Colts are 2-4 on the road but three of those losses came by a combined eight points and the other came in overtime. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games against NFC teams .500 or better. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems off a road loss by three points or less, in the last four weeks of the regular season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (333) Indianapolis Colts

12-15-19 Rams v. Cowboys Top 21-44 Win 100 147 h 33 m Show

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Year. The advanced line for this game was Dallas -3.5 which was released on Tuesday but after the Dallas loss on Thursday, the number came down to -3 and then after the Rams blowout winner over Seattle on Sunday night, the line came down once again and this is the time to buy. The Cowboys have lost three straight games to fall to 6-7 and this is a must win game with their following contest taking place at Philadelphia which will most likely decide the NFC East. In the loss against the Bears, Dallas still won the yardage battle for the ninth straight game. Dallas is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games after having lost three out of their last four games. The Rams are coming off the impressive win over Seattle to remain in the Wild Card hunt. They are one game behind the Vikings for the second Wild Card spot and the Rams are going to have to get some help from the Vikings. While the offense has looked good the last two games, quarterback Jared Goff is having a mediocre season, posting 3712 passing yards with a 15:14 TD to INT ratio. The Rams are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The game will be a rematch of the NFC Divisional round matchup from last season, when Dallas traveled to Los Angeles and got their pride handed to them. Head coach Sean McVay used a combination of Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson to rush for over 250 yards on the Dallas defense and the Cowboys were outgained 459-308 making revenge a big factor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Dallas Cowboys

12-15-19 Jaguars v. Raiders -6.5 Top 20-16 Loss -106 46 h 14 m Show

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After three straight losses, the Raiders are nearly eliminated from playoff contention so one could argue there is little motivation on the Oakland sideline. That could be the furthest from the truth. This is the final game being played in Oakland as it will be calling Las Vegas home starting next season so there will be plenty of motivation to pull out one final victory for the home crowd. It was a rough second half last week for the Raiders but they are in a great bounce back spot here facing a team that has mailed it in. The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Jacksonville has lost five straight games and none have been close as those losses have all come by at least 17 points and by an average of 23.4 ppg. The Jaguars are officially out of the playoff mix and are ready for the season to end. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season. This situation is 105-67 ATS (61 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (324) Oakland Raiders

12-14-19 Army +10.5 v. Navy Top 7-31 Loss -105 27 h 23 m Show

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Army/Navy Enforcer. It has been a tough season for Army that came in with high expectations following an 11-2 season a year ago. The Black Knights opened 3-1 with the lone loss coming at Michigan in overtime. It has been a 2-6 finish but five of those losses came by single digits. Army has won the last three games in the series. Although the Black Knights (5-7) are having an off-year compared with Navy (9-2), a victory for the Midshipmen is certainly not guaranteed. Another win over Navy on Saturday would give the Black Knights their first four-game winning streak in the rivalry since 1993 to 1996. Navy turned things around after going 3-10 last season as it is 9-2 with the tow losses coming against Memphis and Notre Dame. Army has outgained four of its last five opponents so it is playing better than the record shows which makes the points being a premium. Seven of the nine Army-Navy Games in this decade have been decided by a touchdown or less. The only two to get out of hand in Navy's favor came before Army hired Jeff Monken. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992 including a perfect 15-0 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Army Black Knights

12-09-19 Giants +9.5 v. Eagles Top 17-23 Win 100 9 h 26 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Giants have lost eight in a row but could spoil Philadelphia's playoff hopes with a victory. Eli Manning is expected to make his first start since Week 2 because rookie Daniel Jones has a high ankle sprain. Manning struggled in his first two starts but there was a lot of pressure on him to keep his job and now with that pressure being lifted, he should be able to go out and just play. The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Despite their poor record, the Eagles would win the NFC East by winning their last four games. But when you lose 7 of 12, three in a row, and at the woeful Dolphins, nothing is guaranteed. The Eagles have not shown the ability to put a team away aside from their life-draining drive against the Bears in Week Nine, their win over the Bills in Week Eight and the rout of the Jets in Week Five. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (159) New York Giants

12-08-19 Ravens v. Bills +6.5 Top 24-17 Loss -110 42 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills

12-08-19 Colts +3.5 v. Bucs Top 35-38 Win 100 42 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts

12-07-19 UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -6 Top 38-45 Win 100 67 h 22 m Show

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Game of the Week. The 2019 Sun Belt Championship Game is set with the Appalachian St. Mountaineers hosting the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns. Appalachian St. clinched the Sun Belt East Division title after finishing 7-1 in conference play and 11-1 overall, two games ahead of Georgia Southern. The Mountaineers have won three-consecutive Sun Belt titles including last season when they defeated Louisiana 30-19 on this same field. Louisiana has had no trouble moving the ball the season, as evidenced by a sixth-ranked offense in yards per play. On the other side, the Appalachian State defense is a top-25 unit in regard to yards per play, which sets up for an interesting battle of strength vs. strength. If short history is any indication, the Mountaineers have the edge as they held the Cajuns to just 5.5 yppl in the first meeting in a 17-7 win and that game was in Lafayette. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 57-25 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (108) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

12-07-19 Miami-OH +7 v. Central Michigan Top 26-21 Win 100 67 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB 10* Star Attraction. Miami will be going to a bowl game for the first time since 2016-17 after winning five of its last six games to win the MAC East Division. The RedHawks finished the regular season 7-5 and while it is coming off a loss in its last game, it was a meaningless game on the road. On paper, the RedHawks bring in one of the best overall defenses in the MAC and arguably the best special teams unit in the country. Offensively, the RedHawks are excellent in the red zone as they are 34-for-39 in red-zone opportunities and have scored 21 touchdowns (53.8 percent).Central Michigan turned its season around and is one of the biggest stories in the country. The Chippewas went 1-11 last season including 0-8 in the MAC and then opened this year 2-3 but went on to win six of their last seven games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having won four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 of their games on the season. This season is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks

12-07-19 Baylor v. Oklahoma -8 Top 23-30 Loss -110 67 h 13 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Championship Winner. Oklahoma and Baylor will meet for the second time this season, yet again with both of their College Football Playoff hopes on the line. The first one was an epic comeback for the Sooners as they rallied from a 31-10 halftime deficit. Turnover were the story as Oklahoma won the yardage battle by 218 total yards so the outcome should not have been that close. The Sooners offense has been riding high as usual and the defense has improved from recent years so a big showing here could propel them into the CFP should Georgia lose. Baylor feels it still has a shot as we but it is slim as it is ranked No. 9 and would need a win and a lot of help. The Bears only loss came against the Sooners where Oklahoma was a 10.5-point favorite but now Oklahoma is actually favored by less on a neutral field. This is the first time all season that the Sooners have been single-digit favorites. Here, we play on any team after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (110) Oklahoma Sooners

12-05-19 Cowboys -3 v. Bears Top 24-31 Loss -109 25 h 15 m Show

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas has lost two straight games and is 3-5 0ver its last eight games but there has been one common denominator and that is the Cowboys have outgained all eight opponents in those games. The problem is not on the offense as they have the top ranked offense in the NFL with 432.8 ypg and the defense has not been bad either as they are ranked No. 8 overall with 321.6 ypg. But on that side of the ball, they have just 12 takeaways which is tied for fourth fewest in the NFL and the eight teams they are grouped with that have 14 or fewer takeaways, seven have no chance for the playoffs. A lot of this is luck and can turn around quickly as we are backing a team that is one of only two ranked in the top eight in both offense and defense, San Francisco being the other and the 49ers are 10-2. Chicago was fortunate to get out of Detroit with a win on Thanksgiving as it had its best game on offense on the season with 419 yards yet won by just four points. Mitchell Trubisky had his best game of the season but that was against the third worst passing defense in the NFL and we do not expect a big effort Thursday. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Dallas Cowboys

12-02-19 Vikings +3 v. Seahawks Top 30-37 Loss -105 11 h 36 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has won four straight games including three on the road where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. The Seahawks are just 3-2 at home with those three wins being an overtime win over Tampa Bay, a one-point win over the Rams and a one-point win over the Bengals. They are outgaining opponents by just 17 ypg at home and going back, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Minnesota has won two straight games and is coming off its bye week which is a big edge this late in the season. The Vikings are a half-game behind Green Bay in the NFC North and they hold onto a game and a half lead over the Rams for the final Wild Card slot in the NFC and can take over the first spot with a win tonight. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings

12-01-19 Titans v. Colts -1 Top 31-17 Loss -106 18 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. Indianapolis and Tennessee are both squarely in the playoff mix as both come in at 6-5, one game behind Houston in the NFC South and with the Texans playing the Patriots, the winner of this game could be in a first place tie. Tennessee is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Kansas City and then Jacksonville in a blowout but both were at home. Tennessee is just 1-3 in its last four road games yet is getting just one point as of Saturday. The Colts stumbled in Houston for their third loss in four games but against the Texans, it broke a streak of outgaining their opponents in four straight games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 335 and 370 ypg going up against teams averaging between 295 and 335 ypg, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (458) Indianapolis Colts

12-01-19 49ers +6 v. Ravens Top 17-20 Win 100 18 h 43 m Show

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Baltimore is coming off another impressive win last week against the Rans but it came with a cost and now the Ravens are playing on short rest. Center Matt Skura got hurt on Monday night and now the Ravens weak at left guard and center and San Francisco can take advantage of this. Baltimore has now won seven straight games, the last five coming by double-digits so it is no surprise the public is loving the Ravens yet the line has actually come down. San Francisco is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Arizona and Green Bay, outgaining them by 176 yards and 141 yards respectively. The 49ers are 10-1 but are not getting the deserved respect because of the dominant Baltimore run. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (455) San Francisco 49ers

11-30-19 Miami-FL -8.5 v. Duke Top 17-27 Loss -110 19 h 13 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Game of the Week. We have two huge factors going the Hurricanes way here. Miami lost at home to Florida International last week prompting head coach Manny Diaz to say it was one of the worst losses in program history so making amends from that is paramount. Second, the Hurricanes lost home to Duke last season for the first time since 1976 so revenge is in play. The loss last week was misleading as Miami outgained the Panthers by 116 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 and missed two crucial fourth and one conversions. It has been a rough stretch for Duke as it has lost five straight games and six of seven while getting outgained in all of those. At 4-7, the Blue Devils will miss out on a bowl game for the first time since 2011-12. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (425) Miami Hurricanes

11-30-19 Indiana -6.5 v. Purdue Top 44-41 Loss -115 16 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Purdue is another team that has had a rough season after coming in with high expectations. The Boilermakers are 4-7 and will miss out on a bowl game after making the postseason the last two years. The door was officially shut last week in a 45-24 loss to Wisconsin but it was the loss of starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar after three games that really hurt them and this was the second straight season he did not come close to play a full season. Indiana is going bowling after missing out the last two seasons despite losing its last two games. The Hoosiers had a four-game losing streak snapped with a loss at Penn St. where they actually outgained the Nittany Lions and then lost last week against Michigan. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (391) Indiana Hoosiers

11-29-19 Cincinnati +12 v. Memphis Top 24-34 Win 100 46 h 21 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Temple won for us last Saturday as it stayed within the big number at Cincinnati but now we will be backing the Bearcats as a big road underdog. Cincinnati has won nine straight games and its only loss on the season came at Ohio St. back in early September. The Bearcats already clinched the AAC East title but there is still a lot on the line as a win here and win next week likely gets them into a major bowl being the highest ranked non-power conference team. Slowing down the Memphis offense is the key and Cincinnati can do that as the Bearcats are allowing just 19.9 ppg which is 23rd in the nation. The Tigers have won five straight games and they bring in an identical 10-1 record yet are double-digit favorites. These teams are separated by just three points in the power rankings so the line is definitely inflated in favor of the home team. While it may seem dominating, Memphis has actually been outgained in four of its last eight games so a lot of the games have been fairly competitive. Here, we play on road underdogs after two or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (331) Cincinnati Bearcats

11-29-19 Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas Top 24-14 Loss -109 45 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Missouri last week and it lost at home for its fifth straight loss but now with the season on the line, the Tigers come out strong. They fell to 5-6 so a win here is necessary to gain a bowl berth and facing the worst team in the SEC is the cure. The offense remains a liability as the early season potent unit has fallen apart. A lot of that has to do with playing some tough defenses but that will not be the case this week. The Tigers have failed to cover six straight games but that is keeping this line in check. Arkansas has lost eight straight games to remain winless in the SEC and the other defeats came against San Jose St. and Western Kentucky. The Razorbacks are allowing 38 ppg on the season including 50.8 ppg over their last five games. Additionally, they have been outgained by an average of 260.8 ypg over that stretch so the scores are no fluke. A coaching change has done no good and it is safe to say Arkansas just wants this miserable season to end. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (329) Missouri Tigers

11-28-19 Saints -6.5 v. Falcons Top 26-18 Win 100 53 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans and Atlanta meet on Thanksgiving night for the second straight season with the Saints looking to wrap up the NFC South division. They have a four-game lead over Carolina following their win over the Panthers this past Sunday. New Orleans has won two straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and it had a six-game winning streak snapped three games back at home against Atlanta. Revenge will be in play here against an inconsistent Atlanta team which pulled off stunning back-to-back road wins only to fall flat at home last week against the Buccaneers. The Falcons have lost four straight home games and while they have the edge in not having to travel following a home game, the defense will struggle here. The Saints are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games while Atlanta is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (309) New Orleans Saints

11-28-19 Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 Top 20-21 Loss -109 48 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With the Mississippi loss to LSU two weeks ago, the Rebels have officially been eliminated from bowl contention. Because this is a big rivalry game, they will be out to play spoiler but sitting at 0-4 on the road, it will be difficult to achieve. Mississippi, which has not reached a bowl since 2015, will finish with a losing record for the second straight season. The Rebels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Hope is still alive on the home side as the Bulldogs need a win Thursday to become eligible for a 10th straight bowl appearance. Mississippi St. has been outgained only twice at home and those came against LSU and Alabama. There might be added pressure with everything on the line for the Bulldogs but they have proven that they can get it done as Mississippi St. has achieved a perfect 3-0 record over the last decade when entering the Egg Bowl with bowl eligibility on the line. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining their last opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-31 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

11-28-19 Bears v. Lions +3 Top 24-20 Loss -110 45 h 5 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for out NFL Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Bears are coming off a home win over the lowly Giants by it was by just by five points. Since a 3-1 start to the season, Chicago is only 2-5 in its last seven games including a 0-3 record on the road. Three games back, they defeated Detroit by a touchdown for its third straight win in this series so the Lions will be out for payback. This offense remains incredibly inconsistent as they are ranked No. 29, averaging a mere 269.3 ypg and 17.1 ppg. Chicago has outgained only four of 11 opponents while on the other side, Detroit has outgained six of its 11 opponents. This includes outgaining the Redskins by 134 total yards this past Sunday but lost late. Quarterback Jeff Driskel has not been great but he is no worse than Mitchell Trubisky yet the Lions come in as the road underdog here. The defense has struggled overall but their worst games have come against premier offenses as they have gone against the top ten units. Detroit held Chicago to 226 yard offense in the first meeting. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (306) Detroit Lions

11-26-19 Western Michigan -8.5 v. Northern Illinois Top 14-17 Loss -110 7 h 23 m Show

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is the last game of the regular season for both teams and the final game of the season entirely for Northern Illinois as its loss last week against Eastern Michigan prevented a bowl berth and this will be just the second losing season since 2009 for the Huskies. With nothing to play for except for pride, they are in a tough spot tonight. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. It is pretty simple for Western Michigan. A win and the Broncos claim the MAC West Division while a loss gives Central Michigan the chance to win it with a victory over Toledo on Friday. Western Michigan has won three straight games and is coming off its bye week so it is in great shape to put it away. The difference here will be in the running game as the Broncos average nearly two more ypc than the Huskies and that is what puts these games away late in the season. Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS this season when favored by a touchdown or more. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Western Michigan Broncos

11-25-19 Ravens v. Rams +4 Top 45-6 Loss -115 11 h 13 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everyone is in love with Baltimore right now and rightfully so. The Ravens opened the season by hanging 59 points on the Dolphins, and have also enjoyed 49, 40, and 37 point outbursts. The Ravens defense has also enjoyed some success this season as they have allowed the 6th fewest points in the league and are 14th in yardage allowed. This is a bad matchup though. The Rams defense is stout and ranks 10th overall. They have given up 10 or fewer points three of the past four weeks. Offensively, the Rams need some work. In 10 games this season, they totaled only 243 ppg and 24 offensive touchdowns. Los Angeles has coughed up the ball 18 times,15 times by Jared Goff in the form of 10 interceptions and five lost fumbles. And a ground attack that finished with the third-most yards in the league a year ago ranks 20th in the NFL. Still, only five quarterbacks have thrown for more yards than Goff (2,783) so he will give the Ravens a big test. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 53-18 ATS (74..6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Los Angeles Rams

11-24-19 Cowboys +6 v. Patriots Top 9-13 Win 100 28 h 20 m Show

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are a M*A*S*H unit right now on offense as the three top receiving targets Mohamed Sanu, Julian Edelman and Philip Dorsett are all questionable and even Tom Brady popped up on the injury report with an elbow issue. New England has gained 342 yards or less in its last four games while playing the second easiest schedule in the NFL. We all know New England has won 20 straight home games but being favored by this much against one of the best rosters in the league is too much. The Cowboys have underachieved this season as they are just 3-4 over their last seven games. Despite this, they have outgained their opponents by 133.0 ypg over their last six games. Here, we lay against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won six or seven out of their last eight games, , in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Dallas Cowboys

11-24-19 Broncos +4 v. Bills Top 3-20 Loss -107 25 h 3 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Despite a 7-3 record, Buffalo is No. 23 in the latest power rankings as it has played the easiest schedule in the NFL. After outgaining their opponents in their first five games, Buffalo has outgained only two of their last five opponents. The Bills wins have come against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, Redskins and Dolphins twice. We can throw Denver into this mix as it is just 3-7 but the Broncos are the best losing team in the NFL. Five of the seven losses have been by just one possession which includes four coming within the final minute. Denver is just -25 points in scoring differential while outgaining half of its opponents and not being outgained by more than 84 yards in any game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Denver Broncos

11-23-19 San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii Top 11-14 Push 0 35 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. We won with San Diego St. last Friday as it improved to 5-2 in the MWC. The Aztecs are a perfect 5-0 on the road and are led by a defense that is ranked No. 8 overall and in scoring defense. A win here gets them into the MWC Championship game. Hawaii can also wrap up a berth in the championship game with a victory. The offense can give San Diego St. a challenge but the same was said last week about Fresno St. and it managed just seven points. The Warriors are 3-2 at home against FBS teams. Here, we play against home teams after failing to cover the spread in four or five out of their last six games, in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (215) San Diego St. Aztecs

11-23-19 Pittsburgh +4 v. Virginia Tech Top 0-28 Loss -105 27 h 21 m Show

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Year. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win over North Carolina last Thursday to improve to 7-3 and since a season opening loss against Virginia, the Panthers have outgained all nine opponents. Should the Panthers win here and against Boston College next week and Virginia loses to Virginia Tech next week, they will face Clemson in the ACC Championship. Virginia Tech rolled over Georgia Tech last week 45-0 and it has now won five of its last six games. The problem is the Hokies have been outgained in four of their last seven games. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (187) Pittsburgh Panthers

11-22-19 Colorado State +7 v. Wyoming Top 7-17 Loss -125 33 h 40 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado St. travels to Wyoming for the 110th meeting of the Border War where the teams battle annually for the Bronze Boot, held by Wyoming for the past three seasons. It has been a great season for Wyoming, much better than its 6-4 record indicates. The four losses have come by a combined 15 points so that record could be a lot better than what it is now. The Cowboys are bowl eligible after missing out last season. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS after having lost two out of their last three games over the last two seasons. Colorado St. is coming off a loss against Air Force which snapped a three-game winning streak. The Rams have outgained each of their last four opponents and have outgained seven of ten on the season. Apart from the rivalry, the Rams are seeking to remain in bowl contention this week. A loss would eliminate the Rams for the second consecutive season after reaching bowl eligibility over the previous three seasons. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Colorado St. Rams

11-21-19 Colts v. Texans -3.5 Top 17-20 Loss -100 11 h 21 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Houston last week and got totally destroyed as the Texans lost 41-7 and coupled with the Indianapolis blowout of Jacksonville, they are now tied for first place in the AFC South so this game will go a long way in determining the champion. The running game will be key here. Houston held Indianapolis to just 62 rushing yards in the first meeting, by far the Colts worst showing of the season. The loss of Marlon Mack, who broke his hand against Jacksonville, makes it harder to get the ground game going. On the other side, a Colts run defense that ranks ninth in the NFL will be tested as Houston has rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. The Texans are in revenge mode from the 30-23 loss in the first meeting as well as the 21-7 at home in the playoffs last season. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss by seven points or less, off a road loss. This situation is 41-13 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Houston Texans

11-21-19 NC State +2 v. Georgia Tech Top 26-28 Push 0 10 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After suffering a close loss against Virginia two weeks ago to close out any chance of a bowl berth, Georgia Tech laid an egg last week against Virginia Tech 45-0 and with their season completely done, the Yellow Jackets lack any sort of motivation. They have been outgained in all but one game and that was just a six-yard advantage over Duke, a game they still lost 41-23. The Yellow Jackets are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. There will be plenty of motivation on the NC State sidelines as after suffering through a four-game losing streak, the Wolfpack need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. NC State has not won on the road but all of those losses came against teams going bowling or still bowl eligible. The Wolfpack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) NC State Wolfpack

11-20-19 Akron +32 v. Miami-OH Top 17-20 Win 100 9 h 4 m Show

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. Akron is one of the worst teams in college football but we are backing the Zips at this ridiculous number. They are 0-10 straight up and have failed to cover any of those games but this is their first nationally televised game and they will go all out. As bad as they have been, the Zips have not gotten more than 22 points in any game and now all of a sudden they are getting over 31 points. Miami defeated Bowling Green last week to become bowl eligible while increasing its winning streak to four games. The RedHawks also clinched the MAC East title so unlike a lot of other teams in the conference, they actually have nothing to play for here so we could see a lot of rotations with players who have not played much seeing significant action. Two contrarian situations are on our side here. First, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points off a home win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Akron Zips

11-19-19 Ohio -20 v. Bowling Green Top 66-24 Win 100 24 h 36 m Show

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost a tough one with Ohio last week as it was defeated in overtime by Western Michigan in its final home game of the season. The Bobcats are still two wins away from bowl eligibility with two games left. That should be a non-issue though as they face the two worst teams in the MAC as they close the season next week at Akron. Their last three losses have been by three points so they should not even be in this position but it is what it is and laying the big number is not a problem. The Bobcats are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bowling Green lost by 41 points at Miami Ohio last Wednesday to be officially eliminated from bowl contention. It has been a tough year for the Falcons as their three wins came against Morgan St. of the FCS, 0-10 Akron and while the last one came against Toledo, the Rockets lost their starting quarterback in that game. The Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats

11-18-19 Chiefs -4.5 v. Chargers Top 24-17 Win 100 8 h 42 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Mexico City hosts a big AFC West divisional game as what once looked like a runaway win for the Chiefs has suddenly become a packed race. Kansas City won its first four games but has dropped four of its past six, allowing Oakland to get within a half-game of the division lead with the Chargers sitting just two games back. The absence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes led to a lot of the struggles for the Chiefs but he claimed this week he feels as healthy as he has been since Week One. He had a monster game last week in his return but the Chiefs lost at Tennessee despite outgaining the Titans by 159 total yards as a fumble return for the touchdown was the ultimate difference. The Chargers fell to 4-6 after a loss to the Raiders and that was the sixth loss by one possession. That would entice a play on the Chargers as those numbers point to a close game However, while the Chargers were among the league's better teams in not committing turnovers the past two seasons, their 16 giveaways this season are tied for seventh in the league. And that adds to a great situation as we play on teams after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Kansas City Chiefs

11-17-19 Bears v. Rams -6 Top 7-17 Win 100 21 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams have been catching a lot of heat for their 5-4 record after going 13-3 last season and making it to the Super Bowl. They have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL however as they have 16 giveaways to just 14 takeaways compared to a +11 turnover margin last season. Los Angeles has outgained eight of nine opponents this season which shows they are playing better than their record shows. The fell short at Pittsburgh last week 17-12 and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago is in the same situation as they already have one more loss than all of last season but its 4-5 record is s true indication of how it has played. The Bears have been outgained in six of nine games thanks to an anemic offense that is fourth worst in the NFL with 262.2 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having lost four or five out of their last six games. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Los Angeles Rams

11-17-19 Texans +5 v. Ravens Top 7-41 Loss -110 14 h 10 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. Baltimore remains the talk of the NFL, namely Lamar Jackson, and because of all of the positive pub, the lines are remaining inflated. Coming off a divisional win and a winner over the Patriots prior to that, this could be the letdown finally especially with a Monday night game with the Rams on deck. Baltimore has outgained six of nine opponents, the same as Houston, so they may have overachieved slightly based on their 7-2 record that consists of wins over the Bengals twice, the Cardinals and the Dolphins. The Ravens are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Houston is coming off its bye week with a chance for extra preparation for Jackson. The Texans are 6-3 with all three losses coming by one possession and they were tied or had the lead going into the fourth quarter in two of those. Not much respect in this line with a strong Houston team. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (465) Houston Texans

11-16-19 UTEP v. UAB -17.5 Top 10-37 Win 100 115 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Game of the Year. This is a clear mismatch on paper and UAB will come into this game seething. The Blazers are coming off a pair of losses, one against Tennessee and last week against 6-3 Southern Mississippi. The offense was shut down both times, scoring a total of nine points. In addition to that, UAB allowed its two highest points totals, 30 and 37 points respectively. That increased the defensive numbers slightly on a defense that is stout. The Blazers are allowing 263 ypg which is 6th in the nation and are giving up just 19.7 ppg which is 22nd in the country. They have absolutely dominated the Miners over the last two seasons, allowing an average of 164 ypg and yielding only seven points total. We should see another domination this week as UTEP is averaging just 19.3 ppg on offense, 115th in the nation while racking up just 307.7 ypg, 120th in the country. The Miners have lost eight straight games and have been outgained in every one of those. Their only victory came against Houston Baptist, which is 4-6 in the FCS, by just two points. This is a bad team and catches UAB at the wrong time. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage of .250 or less of 10.5 to 21 points after six or more consecutive straight up losses, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (368) UAB Blazers

11-16-19 Indiana +15 v. Penn State Top 27-34 Win 100 22 h 47 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This is a great spot for Indiana. Playing against teams that were previously undefeated and lost in their previous game has always been a great situation. Reason being those teams tend to come out flat following their first loss of late into the season. Penn St. fell at Minnesota last week following wins in its first eight games and it has dropped its last six games against number coming off a straight up loss as a favorite. The Nittany Lions played three tough opponents prior to Minnesota - Pittsburgh, Iowa and Michigan - and they won those games by seven, five and seven points so this line is severely inflated. Indiana has won four straight games and is 7-2 on the season, garnering the Hoosiers their first trip inside the top 25 since 1994. Granted, they have not beaten anyone of note but past Hoosiers teams would have lost at least a few of those. Indiana has outgained six of nine opponents and are outgaining opponents by 136.4 ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs excellent offensive team averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 390 and 440 ypg, after outgaining its last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (325) Indiana Hoosiers

11-15-19 Fresno State v. San Diego State Top 7-17 Win 100 14 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Fresno St. and San Diego St. are coming off losses in their last game as underdogs and we think it is the home team that has the edge to bounce back. The Aztecs were favored by 2.5 points early in the week, but as of Thursday evening the Bulldogs were a 1-point chalk. The Aztecs need to beat Fresno St. this week and Hawaii in Honolulu next week in order to secure the MWC West Division. The Bulldogs are in the interesting position of being in control of the division with a victory and out of the race with a loss. The Fresno St. defense is allowing 32.4 ppg (103rd in the nation), which opens up the possibility for success for the Aztecs offense that has struggled with inconsistencies all season. The inability to slow down opposing offenses in 2019 is a big reason why the Bulldogs have fallen back to the pack in the MWC. On the other side, the Aztecs are allowing just 277.2 ypg and 14.4 ppg which are both 8th in the country so they have a clear edge in that department. The Aztecs have not allowed more than 23 points (in a 23-17 loss to Utah State) to an opponent all season. Here, we play against road favorites with a scoring defense allowing 31 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (318) San Diego St. Aztecs

11-14-19 Steelers v. Browns -2.5 Top 7-21 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Cleveland last Sunday and it resulted in a push for most and we are backing the Browns again this week in their back-to-back home spot. It was a must win then and it is a must win again this week and the Browns catch Pittsburgh coming off an upset win as a home underdog and now has to travel. With Mason Rudolph failing to exceed 200 passing yards in four of his seven starts, the Steelers will likely feature a run-heavy offensive attack. The key is whether Cleveland will be able to limit Pittsburgh on the ground on a short week. The money is coming in on the Steelers which is because of their recent success but they have played only one road game over the past seven weeks and they have been outgained in seven of nine games on the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 22-3 (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns

11-14-19 North Carolina +4.5 v. Pittsburgh Top 27-34 Loss -110 8 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. North Carolina has been one of the unluckiest teams in college football this season. The Tar Heels are 4-5 with all five losses coming by just one possession. This includes three losses by a field goal or less highlighted by the one-point loss to Clemson. The Pittsburgh defense is no joke but this is one matchup that the Panthers can get burned. North Carolina is 14th nationally with 20 passing plays of more than 30 yards and 8th with 13 completions for more than 40 yards. The Panthers are 76th in the country with 10 passes of 30 or more yards allowed and 110th with 10 completions of more than 40 yards allowed. Running the ball is key as well. With the exception of Week Two against Miami, North Carolina has rushed for at least 144 yards in every game and racked up 186 yards against a good Virginia defense in their most recent contest. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (313) North Carolina Tar Heels

11-13-19 Northern Illinois v. Toledo -2 Top 31-28 Loss -110 10 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. This is a big game for both sides and we like the home team which has a lot more on the line. Toledo is tied with Ball St. at 3-2 in the conference and is a half-game behind Central Michigan and a game behind Western Michigan. The Rockets would need help from Ball St. but would hold the tiebreaker over Western Michigan because of a 31-24 win over the Broncos. Quarterback Mitchell Guadagni is again questionable and is probably another no go. Starting in his place has been Eli Peters, who is no stranger to starting. Peters played in 11 games last season where he threw for 1,837 yards, 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Huskies have to win out to become bowl eligible and it will not be easy with all three games coming against teams .500 or better. For Northern Illinois, quarterback Ross Bowers has given them a boost to their passing offense, throwing for 1947 yards and six touchdowns but he has also been forced into a lot of tough situations which has led to bad throws, resulting in eight interceptions. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* (308) Toledo Rockets

11-12-19 Western Michigan v. Ohio -1.5 Top 37-34 Loss -106 9 h 15 m Show

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We played against Ohio last week as it lost outright to Miami as a touchdown favorite but the value has shifted to the Bobcats this week as they are only short favorites now despite facing a team that is actually lower vin the power rankings than the RedHawks. There is not much room left for Ohio to make it to the postseason as it has to win two of its last three games and while the last two should be win, nothing can be taken for granted. Both of those games are on the road so this is the final home game of the season for the Bobcats which gives it some extra meaning as well as looking to break their 0-5 ATS record at Peden Stadium. For Western Michigan, it is simple. The Broncos are bowl eligible following a pair of wins at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 0-4 on the road where they have to play their final two games as the last game against Ball St. was their final home game of the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a home win against a conference rival. This situation is 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Ohio Bobcats

11-11-19 Seahawks +6.5 v. 49ers Top 27-24 Win 100 11 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. A once heated rivalry is restored with a lot on the line in the NFC West. It is hard to believe but this is the first time since Thanksgiving night in 2014 where both teams have a winning record. Seattle has won two straight games including a thrilling overtime win last week against Tampa Bay. The Seahawks rushed for 145 yards against the Buccaneers which has the top raked rushing defense in the NFL and while the San Francisco defense is highly praised, it is just No. 14 against the run while allowing 4.7 ypc which is near the bottom of the league. The Seahawks are 7-2 and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. The 49ers are the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL at 8-0 but they have played the third easiest schedule in the league. The 49ers suffered a big loss last week when linebacker Kwon Alexander went down with a season-ending torn left pectoral muscle. Additionally, standout tight end George Kittle likely will not see the field as he is listed as doubtful. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or higher off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks

11-10-19 Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys Top 28-24 Win 100 31 h 44 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Sunday Night Primetime Punisher. Minnesota had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Kansas City last week as it allowed two field goals over the last 2:30 including one with no time remaining to lose by three. This is a very solid team with one of the best rosters in the NFL and the Vikings come in as the No. 6 ranked team in the latest power ratings which is three spots higher than the Cowboys making this line off by two points. The Vikings trail Green Bay by a game in the NFC North and currently hold the last playoff spot in the conference. The Cowboys are coming off a pair of divisional wins over the Eagles and Giants. Four of their five wins have come against teams with two or fewer wins so it is hard to gage how good this team really is. Dallas is playing on a short week coming off a Monday night game and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, in November games. This situation is 64-32 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (271) Minnesota Vikings

11-10-19 Ravens v. Bengals +10.5 Top 49-13 Loss -109 24 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Year. We won with Baltimore last week as it won as a home underdog over previously undefeated New England. Now hitting the road and facing a winless team, this presents the perfect letdown spot. Additionally, the Ravens next three games are against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. It has been an ugly season for the Bengals which are 0-8 and finally decided to make a change at quarterback as Andy Dalton has likely played his last game as a Bengal. Ryan Finley will get the start and while some will think this is a bad idea against an elite Baltimore defense, the defense is not elite like it used to be. Baltimore allows 348.3 ypg which is middle of the pack and its 22 ppg allowed is also right in the middle. Look for the Bengals to play an inspired game for Finley. Here, we play against favorites coming off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (262) Cincinnati Bengals

11-09-19 Iowa State v. Oklahoma -14 Top 41-42 Loss -120 29 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout Game of the Year. This is a bad time for Iowa St. to have to face Oklahoma. The Sooners will rediscover a fifth gear after a bye week spent stewing over the Kansas St. loss. It was a game it never should have lost as Oklahoma outgained the Wildcats but it lost the turnover battle and allowed Kansas St. to run off 24 consecutive points in the third and fourth quarter. This team will be out for blood. Overall, the Iowa St. defense is having a solid season, ranking 17th nationally in Defensive SP+ and 29th in the ESPN defensive efficiency metric. That should not stop the Sooners from exploiting a handful of matchup advantages on Saturday. Despite the Cyclones success stopping the run this season, Oklahoma may have an advantage on the ground. Playing so many hybrid defenders on the back end involves trading size for versatility. Here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 64-22 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (174) Oklahoma Sooners

11-09-19 Clemson v. NC State +33.5 Top 55-10 Loss -105 29 h 54 m Show

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This game is reminiscent of the meeting two years ago when Clemson came into escaped with a seven-point win and now the Tigers are being asked to lay well over four touchdowns. Clemson entered at No. 5 in the CFP Rankings but there is nothing to fear as if it wins out, it will be in the playoff. Both offense and defense have been playing at a high level since that scare against North Carolina so NC State will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset. We are not asking for that though. NC State has had a rough go of it of late but their struggles have come on the road. The Wolfpack are 0-4 on the road but 4-0 at home and a night game in Raleigh will have Carter-Finley Stadium jacked up. The Wolfpack are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points coming off a home win, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (118) NC State Wolfpack

11-08-19 Washington v. Oregon State +10.5 Top 19-7 Loss -112 15 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. After getting annihilated by Utah, Oregon St. has reeled off two straight wins to move to .500 on the season with a very good possibility to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2013. This team can score in multiple ways and in a hurry which is what you want playing underdogs. Their two talented running backs have them 2nd in the conference in ypc, and while they are only 8th in ypa, Jake Luton has led them to a 21/2 TD/INT ratio. Meanwhile, Washington has lost two straight games, a pair of heartbreaking home underdog defeats and this team has to be shot at this point. The Huskies blew a 14-point lead against Oregon to lose by four points and then last week, they blew a 14-3 lead against Utah and lost by five points. Two great situations are in play here. First, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 84-43 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Second, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 44-14 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (116) Oregon St. Beavers

11-07-19 Chargers v. Raiders +1.5 Top 24-26 Win 100 30 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Raiders are only half a game ahead of the Chargers, but they have shown all season that they are a better team. The Raiders schedule was incredibly tough in the first half of the season as they have played the second toughest slate behind Tampa Bay. They are 0-4 against the top 10 but 4-0 against everyone else. One big factor here will be the rushing game. For Oakland, Josh Jacobs has been great all season and is coming off an awesome game against the Lions where he rushed for 120 yards and scored two touchdowns. He goes up against a Chargers run defense that allows 114.1 ypg on 4.2 ypc. On the other side, the Chargers averaging just 79.4 rushing ypg on 3.6 ypc, both of which are fifth worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, Oakland is allowing only 92.5 ypg on 3.7ypc, seventh and fifth respectively in the league. The Raiders have plenty of revenge to play for as they have been swept by the Chargers in each of the last two seasons. The Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Raiders have covered six of their last seven home games. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (108) Oakland Raiders

11-07-19 Temple v. South Florida +1.5 Top 17-7 Loss -105 27 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With wins in the three of their last four, including a 27-23 win against BYU in their last home game, the Bulls have righted the ship. Going back further, since losing by a combined 63-10 margin in their first two games, the Bulls have won four of six with both losses coming to currently ranked teams. They are 4-4 and this is a massive game as they need two wins to become bowl eligible and their final three games are against Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF which are a combined 22-4. South Florida is a run heavy offense led by Senior Jordan Cronkrite leads the team with 587 yards rushing on 5.4 ypc. Temple is a good pass-rushing team but that will be limited against the Bulls in this matchup. The Owls allow 167.5 ypg on the ground which is just 75th in the country. Statistically, South Florida is a middle-of-the-pack defensive team in the AAC, but the Bulls have forced 20 turnovers through eight games which is second most in the country. While the contest will be played under the lights, the game-time temperature is still expected to be in the low-to-mid 80s with high humidity. Those conditions favor the Bulls as Temple is not used to it and will wear down late in the game. The Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while the Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (112) South Florida Bulls

11-06-19 Miami-OH +7.5 v. Ohio Top 24-21 Win 100 11 h 39 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Miami and Ohio come in riding two-game winning streaks and both are tied for first place in the MAC East with 3-1 records. The Redhawks lone loss in the conference came at Western Michigan despite outgaining the Broncos by 55 total yards. A look at the stats overall shows Miami in a hole but it took on a challenging nonconference slate, losing games at Iowa, Cincinnati, and Ohio St. so the numbers are skewed. The RedHawks defense ranks 5th in the MAC giving up just 395.3 ypg on average, a number which drops down dramatically to 349.0 ypg if only MAC games are figured in. Ohio is just 2-2 at home yet is favored by what a dominant home team should be favored by. The Ohio defense ranks 10th in the MAC giving up 446.4 ypg. That stat also ranks them towards the bottom of the total defense chart nationally at 111th and this unit is on track to be the worst defense ever in the Frank Solich era. In conference play, the Miami offense has fared better, averaging 364 ypg, including a season-best 467 yards in its last game against Kent St. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 65-29 ATS (69.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks

11-05-19 Kent State +7 v. Toledo Top 33-35 Win 100 10 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Every game is big at this point in the MAC as 11 of the conference's 12 teams sit between 3-6 and 6-4 overall and 10 teams are within 1.5 games of each other in conference play. Kent St. is 2-2 in MAC play with both defeats (Ohio and Miami) coming by seven points or less. The Golden Flashes are near the bottom of the MAC in scoring offense at 23.9 ppg but if you eliminate a brutal non-conference slate that featured Auburn, Wisconsin, and Arizona St., Kent St. leads the MAC in scoring at 35.5 ppg in conference-only matchups. Toledo quarterback Mitchell Guadagni was downgraded to doubtful last night so Carter Bradley and Eli Peters occupy the top spots on the depth chart this week. That is great news for the Kent St. defense as neither has shown the ability to stretch the field. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Kent St. Golden Flashes

11-04-19 Cowboys v. Giants +7 Top 37-18 Loss -110 12 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. The debut of Daniel Jones was a resounding success in a win over Tampa Bay, the first of two straight victories but the Giants have now lost four straight games. He is coming off a great game last week however against the Lions where he threw for 322 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions and now he heads back home where New York has outgained two of its three opponents. Dallas is coming off a win over the Eagles, which snapped a three-game losing streak, and then had its bye week last week. The Cowboys have owned the Giants in recent seasons, winning five straight, including a 35-17 victory in Dallas in the season opener so that brings the revenge angle into play for tonight. The Giants are 17-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games while the Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or below after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 133-77 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Giants

11-03-19 Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 Top 20-37 Win 100 52 h 60 m Show

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New England is off to an 8-0 start but we are still not completely sold. The Patriots have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have played only one team with a winning record and that resulted in a six-point win over Buffalo where they were outgained by 151 total yards. The defense is putting up record numbers but again, we are still not completely sure how good they are. The Patriots have struggled against versatile quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson fits the bill. He has passed for 1,650 yards and rushed for 576 yards and has led Baltimore to a 5-2 record. The Ravens are coming off a bye following a big win in Seattle to increase their winning streak to three games. The extra time off is key here in facing the Patriots and the Ravens have won 10 straight primetime games. Here we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (474) Baltimore Ravens

11-03-19 Bucs +6 v. Seahawks Top 34-40 Push 0 48 h 60 m Show

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. The Seahawks have won four of their last five games to improve to 6-2 overall but this team has its flaws. They have been outgained in three of their wins, two of which were against Cincinnati and Atlanta which are a combined 1-15. Seattle lost starting center Justin Britt for the season last week and that is huge for an offensive line that was bad to begin with. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Buccaneers have lost three straight games including a loss against Tennessee last week that was misleading. They outgained the Titans by 143 total yards but lost the turnover battle 4-1. The week before, they lost to Carolina despite outgaining the Panthers by 139 total yards but lost that turnover battle 7-1. Keep the mistakes in check and they will be fine here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential., after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

11-02-19 Utah v. Washington +3.5 Top 33-28 Loss -114 47 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Utah will be a very popular pick here by laying a short number as a top ten team. The Utes have won and covered four straight games thanks to a defense that has allowed an average of 5.8 ppg over that stretch. Those four straight covers is a reason for the public backing but this is the ideal situation to go against that. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. It has not been an ideal season for the Huskies but we feel they break out here coming off a loss followed by a bye. Chris Peterson is 18-0 in his last 18 games coming off a bye. Per the Bear from ESPN, since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (392) Washington Huskies

11-02-19 Army +16 v. Air Force Top 13-17 Win 100 47 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Month. Army has lost four straight games to fall to 3-5 on the season and the last three losses were as favorites. The Black Knights have dropped five straight games against the number and that puts them in a positive spot here as the line is inflated because of that. All five losses have come by single digits so the record could be a lot better than what it is and there will be plenty of motivation to take the first step toward the Commander-In-Chief Trophy. Air Force has won three straight games, all by double digits as a small favorite. Now the Falcons are laying over two touchdowns for the second time this season after failing to cover the first time as 19.5-point favorites against San Jose St. The Falcons are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as double-digit favorites. Meanwhile, Army is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (363) Army Black Knights

10-31-19 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 Top 28-25 Win 100 27 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. San Francisco has been favored by six or more points this season and has failed to cover both times. The latest came in Washington and while the weather played a big role in that game, the 49ers were favored by 10 points and now they are favored by that same amount. Against a team that is much better and playing much better of late sans last week against New Orleans. Taking nothing away from the 7-0 start but San Francisco has played the fifth easiest schedule in the NFL so that has skewed some of its outstanding defensive numbers. That goes along the same line as some of the quarterbacks they have faced. While Kyler Murray is having an average season, he has improved immensely over his last four games compared to his first four games. The 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals

10-27-19 Panthers +6 v. 49ers Top 13-51 Loss -115 47 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Another surprise in the first half of the season in San Francisco which is one of just two undefeated teams in the league. The 49ers are coming off a 9-0 win at Washington where the weather played a role in the outcome of that although it likely would have resulted in a bigger win had the weather been good. A win over the Rams was nice but the other five wins came against teams a combined 7-19 and overall, the schedule is ranked No 27 in the league. The defense has allowed only 10 points over the last three games but should get tested here. Carolina is ranked No. 5 in scoring offense in the NFL and has won four straight games, averaging 31.3 ppg over that stretch. The Panthers have not been as good defensively as in years past but it is still a strong unit. When above .500, Carolina 7-1 ATS coming off a bye and coming off back-to-back wins. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 370 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Carolina Panthers

10-27-19 Eagles +2.5 v. Bills Top 31-13 Win 100 44 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. The surprise of the first half in the NFL has to include Buffalo which is off to a 5-1 start thanks to a strong defensive presence. The Bills are third in the NFL in total defense and scoring defense but have not played any team with a strong offense and that even includes New England which is a middle of the pack offense. This is a tough spot this week coming off a hard fought divisional win and going up a team that is desperate for a win to turn its season around. Buffalo is 14-28 ATS in its last 42 games coming off a home win against a division rival. The Eagles were embarrassed on national TV last Sunday night and nobody wants a part of this team at the betting window right now. Philadelphia has dropped two straight games and sits a game behind Dallas in the NFC East. The season is far from lost and this is their fifth road game of the season including this being their third straight. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a l team with a winning percentage of .750 or better. 10* (261) Philadelphia Eagles

10-26-19 Washington State +14.5 v. Oregon Top 35-37 Win 100 53 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Washington St. bounced back from three straight losses with a resounding win over Colorado last week to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Cougars were likely hungover from that UCLA loss in their games against Utah and Arizona St. but their season will be completely turned around here with a win here which is not as unlikely as it may seem based off this line. Washington St. is 7-0 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons. Oregon has won six straight games after suffering a season opening loss against Auburn and has taken control of the Pac 12 North with a two-game lead over Oregon St. This has not been a good matchup for the Ducks as they have lost four straight in this series while going 0-9 ATS in the last nine meetings. Going back, the Ducks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 92-45 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (153) Washington St. Cougars

10-26-19 Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Iowa State Top 34-27 Win 100 46 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Oklahoma St. came up small last week as it lost at Baylor which was its second straight setback. Two games back, they were a nine-point favorite on the road at Texas Tech and now they are double-digit road underdogs and there is no chance Iowa St. is nearly 20 points better than Texas Tech. The Cowboys can light it up on offense and they face a Cyclones defense that allows a 66.5 percent completion rate which is No. 118 in the nation. Oklahoma St. is on a 7-3 SU/9-1 ATS run as an underdog with an average cover of 13.4 ppg. Additionally, the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Iowa St. is riding a three-game winning streak and it has covered all of those games as well. The Cyclones are now 5-2 on the season with the two losses coming by just three points combined. This is no doubt a good football team but they cannot be trusted laying double digits as they are 2-5-1 in their last eight games and also 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss by 14 or more points, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (169) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

10-25-19 USC -13 v. Colorado Top 35-31 Loss -110 55 h 44 m Show

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado has dropped three straight games after a 3-1 start to the season. The three wins have been suspect as the Buffaloes defeated both Colorado St. and Nebraska despite getting outgained and snuck by Arizona St., hitting a game-winning field goal with two minutes remaining. The offense has stalled under quarterback Steven Montez who through seven games, he's thrown for 1,723 yards with a 63.8 completion percentage and 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is going through a bad slump with six interceptions and one touchdown in his last two games. Colorado is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. USC snapped a two-game slide with a blowout win over Arizona. The Trojans are now 4-3 and they could be a lot better than that as two of those losses were by a field goal and in the 14-point loss against Washington, they actually outgained the Huskies but three turnovers did them in. USC has not lost to Colorado since the Buffaloes entered the Pac 12, going 8-0 with six of those wins coming by more than what it is favored by here. The Trojans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams who give up 34 or more. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 63-24 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) USC Trojans

10-20-19 Vikings v. Lions +2.5 Top 42-30 Loss -100 25 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Game of the Month. Detroit got hosed on Monday night as a couple late penalties cost them a chance at winning at Green Bay and improving to 3-1-1. The Lions could be 5-0 as they had Kansas City on the ropes and let Arizona back late in the game in their opener. Now they are catching points at home because of recency bias. The other part of that is how good Minnesota looked against the Eagles last week but the Vikings outgained Philadelphia by just 47 yards and were fortunate in facing a ravaged Eagles secondary. They been able to take advantage of suspect offensive lines but that will not be the case here as the Lions possess an under the radar solid offensive line. The Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (458) Detroit Lions

10-20-19 Texans v. Colts Top 23-30 Win 100 25 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost playing against the Texans last week and this is another situation of recency bias. Houston is coming off a pair of big wins over Atlanta and Kansas City so this line had to be placed where it is knowing the public would be all over the Texans side. While they have been playing well, it was not that long ago that Houston put up 10 and 13 points against Carolina and Jacksonville respectively and that has been forgotten. The Colts are coming off that win over the Chiefs and had a bye last week so they have a solid scheduling edge this week as well. While Jacoby Brissett is no Andrew Luck, he lines up behind arguably the best offensive line in the NFL so the solid Houston pass rush will be limited here. Houston is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games off an upset win as an underdog while the Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (454) Indianapolis Colts

10-19-19 Air Force -2.5 v. Hawaii Top 56-26 Win 100 35 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. Hawaii got roughed up last week at Boise St. and that was with the Broncos losing their starting quarterback. The Warriors are 3-0 at home but playing against the Warriors in Hawaii has been a mixed bag and while it is widely thought of that they are profitable at home, they are a below average 31-38 ATS since 2012. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Air Force is coming off a win last week against Fresno St. as the defense came up strong again. The triple option rushing game is averaging 296.5 ypg which is good for second best in the country and Hawaii has not had any extra time to prepare for this unique attack. The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more rushing ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (423) Air Force Falcons

10-19-19 Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 Top 45-27 Loss -107 28 h 42 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. We played against Baylor last week as it failed to cover the number but it still won in overtime to improve to 6-0 on the season. Three of the last four games have been decided by one possession however so the undefeated record is a bit skewed. This will be the biggest test on the road as the first two road wins came against Rice and Kansas St. The Bears are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago so it has the benefit of facing the Bears coming off their bye week. The offense is again off the charts as the Cowboys are averaging 528.3 ypg which is good for No. 8 in the country. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series including last year so revenge is in play this week. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

10-18-19 Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 Top 27-20 Loss -110 73 h 24 m Show

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse is playing its second straight weeknight game, losing last Thursday at NC State. The Orange could not get out of their own way in the first half with six straight punts to open the game but ended up in NC State territory four of the next five drives but managed only 10 points as a missed field goal and a missed fourth down killed them. Syracuse is back home where it is 2-1, the lone loss coming against Clemson and going back, the Orange are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing ypg. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and the Panthers have been cashing, winning four of their last five against the number. That is a big reason they are favored on the road in this one. Pittsburgh is coming off an impressive win over Duke two weeks ago as a road underdog and now the roles switch despite Syracuse and Duke being fairly even in the power rankings. The Panthers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Syracuse Orange

10-17-19 Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 Top 30-6 Loss -120 33 h 42 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. After opening the season 0-4, the Broncos have won their last two games as the defense has really stepped up, allowing just one touchdown over that span and recording their first shutout since 2017 last week. Part of the reason for this recent success on defense is that the Broncos have five takeaways the last two weeks after having none in their first four games. New head coach Vic Fangio a defensive guy so his system looks to be finally taking hold. Denver has been a bit unlucky along the way as it has outgained four of six opponents and three of the four losses were by one possession including as pair by just two points. Denver is +31.5 ypg in yardage differential while the Chiefs are -15.8 ypg and both have played similar ranked schedules. Kansas City has dropped two straight games as it has on the negative side of time of possession by a combined 77:03-42:57 so the secret could be out. Denver has the ability to smash it and can keep control of the ball. The public is all over Kansas City which comes as no surprise being a high profile team that has dropped two straight games yet the line has come down, going from as much as -5.5 down to -3. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (304) Denver Broncos

10-17-19 UL-Lafayette -6 v. Arkansas State Top 37-20 Win 100 50 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Louisiana is coming off a tough loss against Appalachian St. last week but all is not lost in the conference. The Cajuns are in the West Division where they are 1-1 and trail UL-Monroe by just a half-game so they can control their own destiny for a rematch with the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Arkansas St. is 3-3 following a loss against Georgia St. by 14 points that was actually worse than that as the Red Wolves were outgained by 301 total yards. Louisiana has huge advantages on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Cajuns are outgaining opponents by 147.5 ypg while Arkansas St. is getting outgained by 106.5 ypg. The Red Wolves have an atrocious defense as they are allowing 537.3 ypg which is second to last in all of college football. Louisiana is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite while the Red Wolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 35 or more ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

10-14-19 Lions v. Packers -3 Top 22-23 Loss -125 10 h 51 m Show

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. First place is on the line tonight in the best division in football which is the only one in the NFL that boasts four winning teams. Detroit suffered its first loss of the season two weeks ago against Kansas City and that defeat is looking worse now with the Chiefs having lost their last two games, both coming at home. We think the Lions are a little overrated at this point as they are ranked No. 21 in the current power rankings. After sweeping the season series the last two years, Detroit has won four in a row against Green Bay for the first time since the 1982 and 1983 seasons and that certainly has the attention of the Packers. Green Bay is coming off a big win over Dallas last Sunday to remain in first place in the NFC North. The lone loss came here against the Eagles in a game where it actually outgained the Eagles by 155 total yards. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.8 or more yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Green Bay Packers

10-13-19 Texans v. Chiefs -4 Top 31-24 Loss -103 46 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC Game of the Year. All week, the media has been crushing Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes following the poor performance against the Colts and when elite teams are coming off games like that, bounce back efforts happen more often than not. The Chiefs were outgained by just seven yards against Indianapolis so there is no reason to take the loss from last week too serious. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston put up 53 points last week against Atlanta which was 43 more points than what they put up in their previous game against Carolina. The feedback is the opposite of Kansas City as everyone is gushing about Houston now. The Texans hit the road and going back, they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. Remember, no team is as good as it looked or as bad as it looked in its previous game. 10* (258) Kansas City Chiefs

10-13-19 Seahawks v. Browns +2.5 Top 32-28 Loss -115 46 h 44 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is coming off a big divisional win over the Rams last Thursday and while they have had extra time to prepare, this presents a letdown opportunity. Even more so, west coast teams traveling east for an early game. The Seahawks are 4-1 on the season despite getting outgained in two of their wins including a one-point win over lowly Cincinnati. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Cleveland will be an unpopular play this week based on its awful performance Monday night as well as the fact it will have had for less days than Seattle to get ready. The Browns outgained three of their first four opponents so the game against the 49ers is an aberration and a dropped to touchdown pass by Antonio Calloway, who was rusty following a four-game suspension, impacted the game completely. The Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. 10* (256) Cleveland Browns

10-12-19 Cincinnati v. Houston +7.5 Top 38-23 Loss -115 27 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. Since suffering a 42-0 loss against Ohio St., Cincinnati has won three straight games and has climbed into the AP Top 25 for the first time this season. The Bearcats are coming off an upset win over UCF but were outgained by 82 total yards and we are finding out that this Knights team is overrated when being compared from the last two years. The Bearcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Houston snapped a two-game losing streak with a 46-25 win over North Texas two weeks ago so it has the advantage here of having an extra week of preparation. The Cougars were outgained as they scored touchdowns on both punt and kickoff returns. The Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road win. 10* (172) Houston Cougars

10-12-19 Memphis v. Temple +5.5 Top 28-30 Win 100 24 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Memphis heads into Philadelphia with a perfect 5-0 record but it has not been as dominant as the scoreboard has shown. The Tigers are coming off double-digit wins over Navy and UL-Monroe but they were outgained in both of those. Memphis is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring 50 points or more last game. Temple has won two straight games to improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at Buffalo where turnovers were the difference. Temple has outgained all five opponents so it I playing at a very high level. The Owls are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 51-20 (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Temple Owls

10-11-19 Colorado v. Oregon -21 Top 3-45 Win 100 34 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We lost with Oregon last Saturday as it won but failed to cover against California as the Ducks shot themselves in the foot too many times. They turned the ball over in Golden Bears territory in their first three possessions and then missed a field goal late in the second quarter to get shut out in the first half. Give credit to the California defense as it stepped up when needed to keep the game close but Oregon does not have to worry about that on Friday and it is not laying many more points than last week. Colorado is coming off a loss against Arizona as it led for much of the game but gave up the winning touchdown with just over six minutes left. The Buffaloes are 1-2 following a 2-0 start and both of those losses came at home. They did upset Arizona St. in their lone road game on the season but they will be facing a much more difficult task here. Colorado is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game while Oregon is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games against teams allowing 275 or more passing ypg. 10* (114) Oregon Ducks

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