Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. After a pair of bad losses, the public will be backing the Buccaneers on Monday night despite laying a huge number. Tampa Bay is coming off losses against Washington and New Orleans sandwiched around its bye week to drop its record to 6-3 on the season and with the Saints loss Sunday, the Buccaneers have a game and a half lead in the NFC South. They have struggled with inconsistency on offense and that is because of players being in and out of the lineup due to injuries. Tight end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Chris Godwin are both questionable and not at 100 percent should they play. On the other side, the Tampa Bay defense allowed 16 first-half points in each of the last two weeks and defensive lineman Vita Vea is doubtful. The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. The Giants are coming off their bye week following wins in two of their last three games to improve to 3-6 following a 0-3 start. Three of those six losses have been by three points or less and while the defense was shredded by the Cowboys and Rams in back-to-back games, they have allowed just 13 ppg over this recent three-game stretch and New York has allowed 21 points or fewer in five of its last seven games. The Giants have allowed only allowed three touchdowns in 13 red zone drives. While keeping up in a shootout would be unlikely, the New York offense is getting healthier. Running back Saquon Barkley was officially listed as questionable for the game after practicing all week. Additionally, wide receivers Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney were not listed on the injury report. The Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off a home win. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) New York Giants |
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11-21-21 | Texans +10.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our AFC South Game of the Year. This is an ugly play for sure but Houston actually is in a great spot here. The Texans have lost eight straight games and have the worse offense and third worst defense in the NFL but they are coming off their bye week which came at good time to help heal some injuries. Houston lost its last game in Miami but won the yardage battle as it was hurt by four turnovers including three interceptions by Tyrod Taylor who was pressured a ton and faced a great group of corners. That will not be the case this week as Tennessee is No. 27 against the pass and was torched for 298 yards by Trevor Siemian which was the fourth most in his very below average career. This is a game that the Texans will be fired up for and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Is it possible for a team to have won six straight games and be overrated? In this case yes. The Titans have improved their record to an AFC best 8-2 but during their six-game winning streak, they have been outgained four times and in the two times they won the yardage battle, they were by 33 and 35 yards. On the season, Tennessee is getting outgained by 19 ypg overall and while that may seem miniscule, for a team that is 8-2 and missing the best running back in the league, it is a big deal. While the Houston injury report is in decent shape, the Titans have a whopping 27 players that are either questionable, out indefinitely or on IR. With the Patriots on deck in New England, if ever there is a game to go through the motions, this is it. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after eight or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Houston Texans |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Utah hosts Oregon in its biggest home game in recent memory in what looks like a preview of the Pac 12 Championship. The Utes are 4-0 at home including three conference wins, all by double-digits, and all three against teams with winning Pac 12 records going a combined 13-5 outside of the Utah losses. The Utes are outgaining opponents by 85.5 ypg at home and they have been dominant here going 18-2 in their last 20 home games. Since Cameron Rising took over as the full-time starter at quarterback, the Utah offense has been much better in every aspect as his 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions has opened up the running game which ranks third in the conference. The Utes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Oregon has won five straight games to improve to 9-1 on the season and the Ducks remain No. 3 in the latest CFP Rankings. Yet they come in as underdogs and the public is on the side of Oregon based on that. The Ducks are ranked No. 32 in total offense and No. 57 in total defense which is nothing special compared to where they are ranked and this is a tough spot in a hostile environment. Oregon did win at Ohio St. in the season opener but that was before the Buckeyes hit their stride and since then, the Ducks have gone 2-1 on the road which includes a three-point win over UCLA and a 10-point win over 3-4 Washington. Taking away the game against 3-7 Colorado and Oregon has not outgained any opponent by more than 70 yards over the last seven games. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (372) Utah Utes |
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11-20-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New England seems to be hitting its stride as it has won four straight games and has covered all of those, three by double-digits with two of those beating the number by over 33 points. The Patriots have won all four road games this season but three of those came against the Jets, Texans and Panthers which are a combined 8-20 and the record is part of the reason this line has gone up by 2.5 points in some places. They are still just a half-game behind Buffalo in the AFC East with games against the Titans, Colts and Bills twice upcoming in the next four games. Overall, they have played the second easiest schedule in the NFL and the backend will present a challenge and Thursday is no easy out. The Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse in the second half of the season. This is just the second home game for the Falcons since October 3rd as they have played three road games as well as a game in London. Atlanta has won three of its last five games and one of those victories definitely was not last Sunday as it got embarrassed at Dallas 43-3, getting outgained by 217 total yards. While Atlanta played like garbage, that was more of a statement game for the Cowboys that was coming off a bad game against the Broncos. The Falcons are 4-5 on the season and there are now six teams with record between 5-4 and 4-6 so the Wild Card race is still wide open. Atlanta is -5 in turnover margin which is the big reason it is getting outscored by over nine ppg. The Falcons are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10* (312) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a bad loss against Tennessee but it really was not as bad as the score shows. Los Angeles outgained the Titans by 153 total yards as the defense allowed only 194 yards and 14 of the 28 points allowed were off of back-to-back interceptions. San Francisco fell to 3-5 and the schedule has been the reason this record is even this good. The three wins came against teams a combined 7-20-1 with the wins coming by an average of 8.3 ppg while the losses have come against four winning teams and those defeats are by an average of 8.4 ppg. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. One key stat in this matchup that shows these teams are closer than the records indicate is that the Rams are averaging 6.4 yppl on offense while the 49ers are averaging 6.3 yppl. Defensively, both teams are allowing 5.5 yppl and when it comes to total yards, Los Angeles is +50 ypg in differential while San Francisco is +27 ypg and that difference is pretty insignificant. That being said, the 49ers are stepping on their own feet and the point differential shows that. San Francisco is No. 24 in points allowed and No. 17 in points scored and that due to mistakes as the 49ers have the worst turnover margin in the NFL. For the Rams, the loss of Robert Woods is big but he has a capable replacement in Van Jefferson who has averaged 5.2 targets per game and he has three games of 80-plus receiving yards. Odell Beckham Jr. could provide a spark as well. On the other side, Von Miller is expected to make his Rams debut. The Rams are 15-6 ATS after a loss under Sean McVay. Here ,we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (265) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. We played against New Orleans and played on Tennessee last week and now we are going opposite this week as they match up against each other. Tennessee has won five straight games and to no surprise, the public is all over the Titans (looking at consensus sites and offshore numbers). The last four wins have come against teams all in playoff contention and all of those wins were outright as underdogs. Now they come in as a small home favorite which is part of the reason for the public sentiment and despite this, the line has not moved. Tennessee has the No. 4 ranked rushing offense but Derrick Henry is out and it managed only 69 yards on the ground against the Rams last week and now faces the top ranked rushing defense in the league. the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Saints lost to the Falcons at home last week which snapped a three-game winning streak. At 5-3, New Orleans is a game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South and the Saints bring in a 3-1 road record that includes three straight victories. The offense has been inconsistent but face a below average Titans defense that allowed 347 yards but benefitted from a pair of costly Rams turnovers. New Orleans has allowed only 19.4 ppg and while it has been outpassed in six of eight games, the Saints face the No. 26 ranked passing offense in the league. The Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record and this is credit to head coach Sean Payton. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
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11-13-21 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Baltimore is coming off another come-from-behind win to improve to 6-2 on the season and remains in first place in the AFC North. The schedule has been one of the most favorable ones we have seen in a long time as the Ravens have played four straight home games with a bye week sandwiched in-between there and this will be their first road game since October 3rd. During this four-game stretch, Baltimore needed overtime twice to win and were crushed by Cincinnati in another. The Ravens are 2-1 on the road as they lost in overtime against Las Vegas and needed a record breaking field goal to beat lowly Detroit as they had to come back in the last minute. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Dolphins were able sneak out a win against Houston which is not saying much but this is a good spot as they get to remain home on a short week facing a team travelling from home and got the first time in five weeks. Miami snapped a seven-game losing streak and it has been competitive of late as it lost two games by five points combined and was in it against Buffalo until the Bills scored nine points late in the fourth quarter. The Ravens do have a big edge on offense against the Miami defense but the Dolphins can move the ball here as the Ravens defense is nothing special, ranked in the bottom third of the league in total defense and scoring defense. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense forcing one or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Miami Dolphins |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -2.5 | Top | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-08-21 | Bears +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Bears have lost three straight games following a two-game winning streak and they are now 3-5 overall but all hope is not lost. Entering Week Nine, the Bears are only one game back in the win column from the No. Seven seed in the NFC with a lot of football remaining. There is no denying the offense has been up and down and the passing game needs to improve. The magic number is 20 points for Chicago as it is 3-1 on the season when scoring 20 or more points while going 0-4 when scoring fewer than that. Justin Fields had a solid game against San Francisco and he will have to continue his running success if the Bears want to keep the Steelers off balance. Chicago is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Pittsburgh has won three straight games to move to within a game of Baltimore for first place in the AFC South. The Steelers have gotten it done on the defensive end as they have allowed 16.3 ppg over the winning streak after giving up 23.3 ppg through their first four games. The offense continues to be a struggle similar to Chicago as the Steelers have scored more than 20 points in regulation only once in their last six games. Pittsburgh has been favored by more than 2.5 points only twice this season and it has gone 1-1 while failing to cover in that victory as it was a three-point win over Seattle in overtime as a 5.5-point chalk. Fading overpriced favorites that has a limited offense is the way to go. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams averaging 285 or fewer total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (475) Chicago Bears |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFC South Game of the Year. The Saints are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last Sunday in a big upset that put New Orleans just a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South. They did it with Trevor Siemian who was not great but the Saints benefitted from three Tampa Bay turnovers, scoring 17 points off those, and 11 penalties. This offense is not good to begin with a New Orleans is No. 29 in total offense including No. 31 in passing and Michael Thomas is officially done for the season. The defense is playing very well but getting up for a second straight week after that big win will be a challenge. Despite the winning record, the Saints are getting outgained by close to 40 yards per game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Carolina to fall to 3-5 and the Panthers did catch a break when Matt Ryan got his left hand stomped on and he clearly was not the same. He will be fine this week and the Falcons are getting a bigger number than they should be. After a pair of blowout wins to open the season, Atlanta has been playing much better by going 3-2 over its last five games with the two losses coming by just a possession each. There are six teams in the NFC that are between 3-5 and 4-4 so Atlanta is still very much alive in the Wild Card race and these are those marginal games that need to be one, unlike last week against the Panthers. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
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10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State +1 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Tuesday Game of Month. This could be a preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game as both of these teams are expected to win their respective divisions. Both the Mountaineers and Cajuns come in at 4-1 with both being undefeated within the conference. Appalachian St. is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against Louisiana with the lone loss coming last year at home by three points so revenge is in play here. Louisiana has won four straight games but three of those have been by just one possession including a three-point win over Nichols St of the FCS and the one blowout came against 1-5 Ohio. Looking at the overall numbers, the Cajuns have been below average on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 70 in total offense. Conversely, the Mountaineers are ranked slightly better on defense at No. 59 but are significantly better on offense, ranked No. 17, averaging 481.4 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs with a turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC Monday Game of the Year. We will be laying the price Monday night as this is a horrible spot for the Colts. They are coming off their first win of the season as they pretty much dominated the Dolphins last week and while that could provide momentum, the spot is just too poor. After opening the season with two straight home games, this is the third straight road game for Indianapolis and even though it has an extra day to prepare, it is not ideal. Baltimore has won three straight games following a season opening loss at Las Vegas in overtime. The defense has led the way of late and they should be able to dominate again here. The Ravens have allowed fewer points in every game this season and after two straight road games, heading home is a great opportunity to stay atop the AFC North. The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams that are coming off two straight road games including a win in the last one, going up against teams coming off two straight wins. This situation is 22-7 ATS (75.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (480) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC West Game of the Month. The Cardinals are the only undefeated team in the NFL at 4-0 following a big win at Los Angeles last weekend but they are in a tough spot to keep that unblemished record alive. They lead the NFL in total offense but will face a big test here against the 49ers. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. San Francisco has lost two straight games to Green Bay and Seattle, both by just one possession each. The 49ers are now 2-2 in arguably the toughest division in the NFL so this is a huge game to keep pace. San Francisco may have to depend on rookie quarterback Trey Lance to go into Arizona and pull out a win and his scrambling ability could be a big asset. San Francisco is 11-3-1 ATS following back-to-back losses as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games against opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3 v. Kentucky | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play of LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. LSU is coming off a loss against Auburn at home to fall to 3-2 and that loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Scoring is not an issue for the Tigers as LSU is averaging just over 30 ppg this season. Quarterback Max Johnson has thrown four interception to go along with his 16 touchdowns and the Tigers have yet to lose a fumble. LSU is 17-4 in its last 21 games as an underdog following a loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Tigers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards. Kentucky is off to a perfect 5-0 start after an upset win over Florida last week as a 7.5-point underdog. While undefeated, Kentucky has a turnover problem. Quarterback Will Levis has thrown six interceptions. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of -1.5 tpg or worse on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (359) LSU Tigers |
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10-08-21 | Stanford +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our Friday Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Oregon last Saturday in overtime to improve to 3-2. Stanford is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 24 points. The Cardinal average 11.6 more ppg (29.0) than the Sun Devils allow (17.4). The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Arizona St. is also coming off an upset win as it defeated UCLA as three-point underdogs to move to 4-1 on the year. The Sun Devils are just 1-2 when favored by 10 points or more. Arizona St. is 3-0 at home but this is a tough spot laying this number coming off that conference win The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1992. (83.3 percent). 10* ( 311) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Thursday Night Game of the Month. The Rams are coming off their first loss of the season as they were hammered in Arizona 37-20 last Sunday as after jumping out to a 1-07 lead, they fell behind by 11 points at halftime. In four games, they are -22 yards in differential so they have been far from dominating as opposed to what their 3-1 record indicates. Los Angeles is a surprising favorite here as it heads to one of the toughest places to play in all of the league. The difference could be he Seattle offense. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have certainly helped production of Russell Wilson, and that should continue in this contest. This Rams secondary was just absolutely torched by the Cardinals last time out as Kyler Murray threw for 268 yards and two scores. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Seahawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (302) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-07-21 | Houston -6 v. Tulane | Top | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Houston last week as it rolled over Tulsa to make it four straight wins and improve to 2-0 in the AAC. While quarterback Clayton Tune is the leader of this team, of the Cougars 21 touchdowns on offense, 12 have come on the ground. Tulane enters Week six in the bottom 20 nationally in yards allowed through the air and on the ground and only seven teams have allowed more total yards per game. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. Tulane has lost three straight games, the last two as a favorite. Quarterback Michael Pratt has tossed four touchdowns and five interceptions so he has been inconsistent and that is a problem against a defense that has allowed 9.25 ppg over its last four games. The Green Wave are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Houston Cougars |
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10-01-21 | Houston +5 v. Tulsa | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Houston is off to a 1-0 AAC start after coming back to take down Navy last Saturday night. One week after injuring his hamstring, Clayton Tune returned to action as the starting quarterback. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a win last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak. Tulsa currently falls nearly the lower end of the spectrum as the 94th ranked pass defense, allowing 247.5 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or more turnovers per game forced, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Houston Cougars |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC Game of the Month. Cincinnati is coming off a 24-10 win over Pittsburgh on Sunday and the question is are the Bengals vastly improved or are the Steelers on a decline and we think it’s a mix of the two. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Jacksonville has one of the worst rosters in the NFL and it has shown already as the Jaguars are 0-3 straight up and ATS. Trevor Lawrence has struggled as he has completed just 54.2 percent of his passes while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing between 18 and 23 ppg going up against a team allowing 27 ppg or more. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (102) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. Dallas, who lost in the season opener against Tampa Bay in Week One, bounced back last Sunday with a 20-17 road win over the Chargers and now head back to Dallas for its home opener. The money is coming in heavily on the Cowboys yet the line has not moved which shows the smart money is on the Eagles. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a loss against San Francisco but actually outgained the 49ers. This came after a win over Atlanta where they outgained the Falcons by 174 yards. The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home divisional favorites that were outscored by opponents by four or more ppg last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (497) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS four our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Green Bay is coming off a win over Detroit on Monday as they outscored the Lions 21-0 after trailing at halftime. The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The 49ers are playing their home opener after coming off two road wins. The 49ers are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 161-94 ATS (63.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (495) Green Bay Packers |
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09-25-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout. We are laying the wood with Oklahoma which is off to a 3-0 start. The Sooners struggled against Tulane and Nebraska but the motivation was probably a reason for that. The motivation will be here now. West Virginia has won two straight games following an opening loss to Maryland. The Mountaineers are 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (378) Oklahoma Sooners |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | Top | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our Thursday Primetime Punisher. Houston is a mess at this point on offense and on a short week, it will not get better. Deshawn Watson is inactive again. Davis Mills, the third-round draft pick, completed just 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to the Browns. We are not sure that he can carry this team at this point. The addition of Sam Darnold so far looks like a great pick up for Carolina, which is now 2-0 to start the season. Coaching is huge and the Panthers have that here. Here, we play against home teams with a scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Carolina Panthers |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Green Bay to get back on track but it is laying way too much on Monday night. We should expect a much better performance from the offence that scored just three points against the Saints but defensively, the Packers will continue to experience some growing pains. Detroit put up a solid effort against the 49ers and while the defense stunk, the offense had a great showing with 33 points. Jared Goff went off for 338 yards with three touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going ip against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 55-23 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (297) Detroit Lions |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. Arizona is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Tennessee in Week One and heads back to Arizona for its home opener. On offense, quarterback Kyler Murray threw four touchdown passes while also running for another. Minnesota is coming off a poor loss at Cincinnati as it fell 27-24 in overtime. This team is talented enough to overcome that and this is a good number. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing ypg, after allowing eight or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (287) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We think Buffalo will have a chip on its shoulder this season and why not take it out on one of the perennial AFC top teams. Buffalo returns 20 of 22 starters which is one of the best percentages in the NFL while the Steelers have plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball and are already dinged up with injuries. The Bills offense had the no. 2 passing offense in the NFL last season, and quarterback Josh Allen had a record season that helped Buffalo score more than 500 points in a season for the first time franchise history. Allen completed 9 of his first 10 passes against the Packers in the only preseason action and should be ready to go full force from the start. The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week One while the Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in Week One. 10* (454) Buffalo Bills |
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09-11-21 | Houston -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 44-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Game of the Week. Houston finished 3-5 last season and is coming off a loss in its opener against Texas Tech. The Cougars are one of the most talented teams in the AAC and they return 18 starters. Rice is coming off a blowout loss to Arkansas which is projected to finish last in the SEC West. The Owls bring back a lot of experience as well but they are pegged to finish last in the C-USA West Division. Here, we play on teams in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (355) Houston Cougars |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Opening Winner. The reigning Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay will host Dallas in the NFL opener on Thursday night. The Cowboys welcome back Dak Prescott but not taking a snap in the preseason has us wondering how effective he will be coming off his ankle injury. The Buccaneers return all 22 starters from last season, the first time a Super Bowl team has done so since the 1970s. The Buccaneers were No. 1 in defense against the run last season, as well as No. 1 defense in Adjusted Line Yards allowed on runs up the middle which will put a lot of pressure on the depleted Dallas offensive line. The Dallas defense is likely to be extremely overmatched against Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown. 10* (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-06-21 | Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Louisville went just 4-7 last season but four of those losses came by just one possession. The Cardinals officially have 13 starters back but this is a very experienced team. They have 31 players that started at least one game and of those, 17 come on the offensive side of the ball and 14 were on defense. Quarterback Malik Cunningham had career highs last season in both passing and rushing yards and his 293.3 total ypg was good for No. 20 in the country. Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin will miss this game after testing positive for COVID. This is also a very experienced team but laying this number on a neutral field is too much. Louisville is another live dog. 10* (225) Louisville Cardinals |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Sunday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off a humble 3-6 season and it has not had a winning season since 2017 but things should turn around this season. The Seminoles return 17 starters including 10 on offense. This could be the turnaround season for Mike Norvell. Notre Dame brings back just nine starters overall including just three on offense and very well could be in a tough spot early on. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg last season, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-26 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (224) Florida St. Seminoles |
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09-04-21 | Georgia +3 v. Clemson | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 10* (207) Georgia Bulldogs |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Northwestern | Top | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Michigan St. had a rough season with the first year under Mel Tucker as it went 2-5 with a very young roster. Things will be better this season as the Spartans return 16 starters which is the most in the Big Ten. They were -14 in turnovers and that will not happen this season. Northwestern went 7-2 last season and won the Big Ten West as well as a win in the Citrus Bowl over Auburn. The Wildcats return just eight starters, four each on offense and defense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse last season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (153) Michigan St. Spartans |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | Top | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Minnesota went 3-4 last season with two of those losses coming in overtime. The Gophers bring back the most experienced team in the country as they return 10 starters on both offense and defense. They have potential to win the Big Ten West with a couple upsets along the way and they will be undervalued. Ohio St. not only has to replace starting quarterback Justin Fields but also five other offensive starters plus six starters on defense. The Buckeyes will have the hangover effect from the 52-24 loss to Alabama in the CFP Championship. Ohio St. will continue to be overvalued on name alone and while they are projected to win the Big Ten, it should take this team some time to gel. Too many points to lay on the road opening night. 10* (146) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 155 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Kansas City looks to win its second straight Super Bowl while Tom Brady will be playing in his 10th Super Bowl and searching for his seventh win. While Tampa Bay is considered the home underdog in this game, there is no real home field advantage based on fans but the comfort of their own stadium from locker room to site visions is and edge for the Buccaneers. Bet count is higher on the Chiefs, but money volume is higher on Tampa Bay which means smaller bettors are all over Kansas City but the big money bets are on the Buccaneers. One big factor that cannot be overlooked is the Tampa Bay pass rush against a depleted Kansas City offensive line. Kansas City was already without All-Pro right tackle Mitchell Schwartz and lost its Pro Bowl left tackle, Eric Fisher, to a torn Achilles in the AFC Championship Game. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, who combined for five sacks at Green Bay and they should have another huge game here. Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 5.65 yppl this season while the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing ypg on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. The Packers are in their fourth conference championship since 2014 and playing at home is big. Green Bay has committed a league-low 11 turnovers this season, including only two during its current seven-game winning streak. The Packers have allowed just 21 sacks all season and did not give up any sacks last week against the Los Angeles Rams, who had 53 sacks during the regular season. While the Buccaneers finished the regular season with the 4th most passing yards, 4,776 yards, Tampa Bay finished near the bottom of the league with only 1,519 rushing yards and balance is key in this matchup. Tampa Bay allowed an average of 246.6 yards per game, which is inside the bottom third of the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-80 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Green Bay Packers |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Tampa Bay looks for revenge after suffering a pair of losses against the Saints during the regular season. The Saints defeated the Buccaneers twice in the regular season, by a score of 34-23 in Week 1 and handily by a score of 38-3 in Week 9. Over the last five games since the Tampa Bay bye week, the Bucs have averaged 35.8 ppg as the offense has found its groove. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are coming off a win over Chicago 21-9 as they dominated throughout but it is a bigger challenge this week. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Green Bay is back in action following its bye week and has a big home field advantage here, not because of the crowd, but because of the weather and its familiarity to it. The Green Bay defense, which has allowed 25 points or less in its last six games, is an underrated unit and it will be facing an inconsistent Rams offense that has scored more than 30 points only twice in their last 10 games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only a few weeks removed from surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to struggle with his grip last week and that can only get worse in freezing temperatures. While the Rams defense is solid and ranked No. 1 in the NFL, Aaron Donald will almost certainly be playing, but with a rib injury and they are facing the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Green Bay Packers |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. The Bears earned the No. 7 seed in the expanded playoff format when the Cardinals lost to the Rams in Week 17. They closed with three victories in four games to close the regular season and sneak into the playoffs. Mitch Trubisky was benched earlier this season and has started just nine games but the Bears went 6-3 in those games. The Bears offense has averaged 31.2 ppg over the final five weeks of the season, tied with the Saints for sixth in the NFL. While the Saints finished 12-4, they defeated only one team this season with a winning record. The Bears catch a break on offense as the Saints ruled out one of their top defensive playmakers, defensive end Trey Hendrickson, with a neck injury on Friday. He finished with a team high 13.5 sacks. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .730 or better in the second half of the season off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (149) Chicago Bears |
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01-09-21 | Rams +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Los Angeles clinched a playoff spot last week with an 18-7 win over Arizona and will be out for revenge as Seattle held Los Angeles to less than 10 points for only the sixth time in the Sean McVay tenure. The Rams have not said whether starting quarterback Jared Goff or backup John Wolford will be under center to face the Seahawks and neither is a downgrade. The Rams defense was the best in the NFL by most statistical measures this season, finishing tops in both total yards allowed and points allowed while boasting the No. 1 pass defense as well. Seattle has slipped on offense as Russell Wilson was putting up MVP numbers but has digressed over the last few weeks. His only touchdown pass against the Rams since the arrival of Jalen Ramsey came in the fourth quarter two weeks ago. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 71-34 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (143) Los Angeles Rams |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -9.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Pittsburgh scored 21 unanswered points to beat the Colts last week and clinched a home playoff game next week. The Steelers are resting starters this week with nothing to play for and they will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Additionally, defensive lineman Cam Heyward, center Maurkice Pouncey and linebacker T.J. Watt will stay back in Pittsburgh. The Browns need a win to get into the playoffs following a bad loss against the Jets last week but they were down two offensive linemen and their top four receivers. Three seasons removed from 0-16, Cleveland can exorcise demons for players and fans. Here, we play on favorites revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (110) Cleveland Browns |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The AFC East champion Bills have already clinched home-field advantage in the wild-card round. While they had a chance to get a first round bye with the top seed heading into Sunday, those chances were dashed with the Chiefs narrow victory over the Falcons so the only thing left for Buffalo is to stay healthy. While the Patriots have been eliminated from the playoffs, there is motivation for this proud franchise as they can keep alive their record streak of 19 seasons without getting swept by a divisional opponent. And Bills Mafia will add to that motivation as they won a contest for the best NFL fanbase this fall. The prize was a billboard proclaiming their supremacy, placed in an opposing town and of course the Buffalo fans picked a spot on Route 1 just four miles south of Gillette Stadium. The matchup itself is pretty much a wash based on offense against defense on both sides so this line is inflated based on records and standings. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 90-44 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) New England Patriots |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -1.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games after an 11-0 start but can still clinch the division with a win on Sunday. One of the major reasons the Pittsburgh offense has taken a significant step backward in recent weeks is because of the running game unable to do much at all. The Steelers are the 31st-ranked rushing offense, but they might have found some momentum in Cincinnati after Benny Snell ran for 84 yards. Indianapolis has won three straight games but it was outgained in two of those while outgaining the Raiders by just 32 yards in the other one. The Steelers defense remains one of the best in the NFL as they are ranked No. 2 overall, against the pass and in scoring defense. On the other side, the Colts have dipped on defense as they have allowed 415.7 ypg over their last three games. Pittsburgh is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 home games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite while the Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (466) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 106 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Star Attraction. New Orleans is coming off a loss against Kansas City which was its second straight loss by a field goal but things are not that bad. The Saints can win the NFC South with a win over the Vikings when they kick off Week 16 on Christmas Day. Drew Brees did not play great in his return but that was expected against a tough Kansas City defense. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self and just got gashed by the Bears for 199 yards rushing. If the Saints could find a way to have something similar, this game should not be close. New Orleans has a very underrated defense as the Saints are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 5 in passing defense, No. 4 in rushing defense and No. 6 in scoring defense. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who give up 27 or more ppg. Here, we play teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 37-7 ATS (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (452) New Orleans Saints |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. Nevada | Top | 27-38 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Tulane started slow this season, losing four of its first six games, allowing an average of 35 ppg. The Green Wave, though, has won four of its last five, scoring 35 or more points in each of the four victories. The last two victories for Tulane were over teams that finished with a winning record, over Army and Memphis. The Wolf Pack has not beaten a team this season that currently is over .500. In its 11-game regular season, Tulane rushed on more than 62 percent on its plays and gained 2,408 yards, the eighth-best total in the nation. On the other side, Tulane is also very capable in defending the run (137.4 ypg) and the Green Wave front line also gets after the quarterback as their 37 sacks are third-most nationally. Tulane is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite over the last two seasons while the Wolf Pack are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up an against opponent after winning the yardage battle by 125 or more yards in their previous game. This situation is 115-61 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Pittsburgh has lost two straight games after an 11-0 start and while it will be motivated to bounce back before ending the season with two big games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, the Steelers are overpriced here. Cincinnati has lost five straight games and has averaged a mere 10 ppg over that stretch but getting over two touchdowns at home makes this a home contrarian play. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games laying double-digits on the road. It was announced that Ryan Finley will start for the Bengals and while that is a downgrade, he will be fine here. In the first meeting, a 36-10 loss, Joe Burrow was still the starter but he did not play well, yet the Bengals were outgained by just 53 total yards as the Steelers could not run the ball and they still cannot. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (370) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. This is a prime example of an overreaction to recent results. The look-ahead line on this game was Minnesota -6.5 but has been bet down to -3 in some places. The Vikings are coming off a 12-point loss against the Buccaneers but they outgained Tampa Bay and has 10 more first downs but were bad on third down which led to three missed field goals. On the other side, the Bears rolled over Houston 36-7 as Mitch Trubisky had one of his better games of his career. While the Minnesota defense is not going to strike fear into many teams, a repeat performance of that is unlikely. The Vikings won the first meeting by just six points but they outgained the Bears by 236 yards on the road. The key here is Kirk Cousins who was not horrible last week and he was facing the top defense in the league. He had a good game against Chicago in that first meeting. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (358) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Panthers are undervalued as despite a 4-9 record, they are better than that and still have a slim chance at a playoff spot. Carolina has won the yardage battle in eight of its 13 games as it has been more competitive than the record shows. The Panthers are getting outgained by just eight ypg while getting outscored by only two ppg. Seven of the nine losses have come by one possession so they have been in most games until the final whistle. Teddy Bridgewater has been terrific in this role as he 18-2 ATS as a non-divisional underdog including a perfect 10-0 ATS mark when getting more than a field goal. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Packers have clinched the division and currently possess the top seed in the NFL so naturally, they are going to be overpriced. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better coming off a road win against a division rival, in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (343) Carolina Panthers |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our ACC Game of the month. This is a rematch of one of the best game of the season as Notre Dame prevailed 47-40 in double overtime. Clemson will be out for revenge but the Irish will be out to feasibly take the Tigers out of the CFP top four. The Irish dominated the line of scrimmage with a 209-34 rushing yard edge. That was the most rushing yards given up by Clemson in a game since 2016 and the fewest rushing yards gained by the Tigers since 2011. Notre Dame is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing defense, allowing just 99.7 ypg. In the previous meeting, Clemson was just 4-for-15 on third downs, while Notre Dame was 10-for-19. For the season, Notre Dame leads the ACC with a 52 percent success rate. In the four game stretch surrounding Notre Dame, the Tigers were just 21-58 (36.2 percent). While Trevor Lawrence gets the pub, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book is the winningest quarterback in Notre Dame history with 30 victories and his numbers are comparable. Here, we play against teams in conference championship games revenging a same season loss against an opponent that has a winning percentage of .900 or better. This situation is 10-4 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (236) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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12-18-20 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Pac 12 Championship Winner. The Trojans first three opponents of the season, Arizona St., Arizona and Utah, were playing their 2020 openers when the Trojans lined up against them so they had edges facing teams that yet to take the field. USC is coming off a come-from-behind victory over UCLA, its third victory in five games where it had to come back and win in the final seconds. The Trojans will be without their leading rusher, Vavae Malepeai, who sprained his knee late against UCLA. The Ducks were on pace to win the division title until dropping their past two games on the road, 41-38 to Oregon St. and 21-17 to previously winless California. The Ducks finished second in the Pac-12 North Division behind Washington, but a COVID-19 spike in the Huskies program knocked them out of the title game Monday morning, putting Oregon in the championship game. Oregon is confident in the abilities of their own and fired up to show the nation what it can do. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record while the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs after a game where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after three consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 71-31 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (251) Oregon Ducks |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers are arguably the best team in the NFL with a losing record as seven losses have been by one possession including three games by a field goal or less. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has outgained six of its opponents and in the two games it did not, it was outgained by just 33 and 7 yards. Despite being just 4-9, the Chargers are ranked in the top ten in both total offense and total defense, one of only four teams to be there, joining the Packers, Colts and Rams. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games and are falling out of the playoff picture in the AFC as they are currently the No. 9 seed. Turnovers have been an issue as over the last four games, Derek Carr thrown at least one pick in each game and fumbled three times against the Falcons. Las Vegas is 7-3 when he has one or fewer turnovers and 0-3 when he commits multiple giveaways. The Raiders are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games while the Chargers are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games as road underdogs. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10 * (301) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -2.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-12-20 | Fresno State -12 v. New Mexico | Top | 39-49 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Fresno St. has been playing really well as it has won three of its last four games and while it did lose to Nevada last week, the Bulldogs won the yardage battle by 183 total yards. They have outgained their opponents in all four games and by an average of 131.5 ypg. New Mexico snapped a 14-game losing streak with a win over Wyoming last week despite getting outgained. The New Mexico quarterback situation is a mess as its top three quarterbacks Tevaka Tuioti, Trae Hall and Connor Genal are all either out or questionable and the Lobos had to finish with Isaiah Chavez who was fifth on the depth chart coming into the season. The Lobos have spent the rest of the season operating out of Las Vegas. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (427) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army -7 | Top | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. This is the first time this game has not been played on a neutral field since 1943 so that does give Army a small edge as it is 6-0 here this season. This is just the second time the Black Knights have been favored in this series since 2002 and it is nearly not enough of a spread. Army is No. 4 in the country in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while coming in at No. 3 in the nation in rushing offense. Navy had not covered in this series since 2013 when it rolled last season but this is a totally different team. The Midshipmen are just 3-6 on the season and their normally potent rushing attack has been bad the last few weeks, averaging just 179 ypg over the last four games. Army has had two weeks to prepare for this one. Here, we play against road underdogs averaging between 4.2 and 4.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 2.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (434) Army Black Knights |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. San Jose State | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. can secure a perfect regular season and a spot in the Mountain West championship game with a win. Because of COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara County, this game has been relocated to Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas but that is no advantage or disadvantage either way as home field has meant nothing in this conference with the lack of spectators. Nevada is still in the hunt as well as it comes in at 6-1 with the lone loss coming against Hawaii by just a field goal. The Wolf Pack are coming off an 11-point win over Fresno St. but were outgained by 183 total yards. It will be strength against strength and we like the defense to prevail. Nevada averages the third-most points per game in the Mountain West (31.3), and San Jose St. allows the third-fewest points per game (17.0). Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-10-20 | Florida Atlantic -8 v. Southern Miss | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic lacked the necessary sharpness to push its winning streak to five games in its loss to the Eagles, with the Owls committing a season-high four turnovers against Georgia Southern. They are still in the mix to win the C-USA East Division as the Thundering Herd loss to Rice on Saturday opened the door for the Owls to possibly win the division for a second consecutive season. They need Marshall to lose to Charlotte which is unlikely but the good news is that Florida Atlantic plays first on Thursday so it knows it has to win. This is the final game of the season for the Golden Eagles and they cannot wait for it to be over. They are 2-7 and have played well over their last three games but one of those was against a team from the FCS. Southern Mississippi is on its third head coach of the season and just hired its fourth as Will Hall was named the new permanent head coach and takes over next fall. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (375) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Although it has only played three games, Wisconsin is first in the country in total defense, third in rushing defense, fifth in passing defense and third in scoring defense. It is a small sample size but it cannot be understated especially against an Indiana team that just lost its starting quarterback as Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season with a torn ACL. Despite a nearly-even split between run and pass plays, the Hoosiers average just 3.0 ypc and with a new quarterback at the helm, this is a problem. Here, we play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a team with allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (402) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Appalachian St. lost to Coastal Carolina two weeks ago to remove any chance of a trip to the Sun Belt Championship but it bounded back with a 37-point win over Troy last week. The is the final home game for the Mountaineers and this is a good spot as they enter this matchup with better overall numbers in ppg and ypg. Louisiana has already clinched a berth in the Sun Belt Championship against Coastal Carolina so it may not be going full throttle and not give up a ton of its playbook. The Cajuns are 8-1 with that lone loss coming against Coastal Carolina so this is a big lookahead spot. Here, we play on home favorites that are outgaining opponent by 100 or more ypg going up against teams outgaining opponents by 50-100 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (328) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Air Force had it game cancelled last Thursday following a 28-0 win over New Mexico the previous week. Air Force averages 5.8 ypc and 336.5 ypg which is first in the country while Utah St. allows 5.1 ypc and 202.8 ypg which is No 101 in the nation. The game represents another difficult challenge for Utah St., which just lost another starter in running back Jaylen Warren after he entered the NCAA Transfer Portal. The Aggies are coming off their first win of the season after opening 0-4. Not only are they dealing with a lot of missing starters, but they also have an interim head coach after Gary Anderson was let go after a 0-3 start. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (325) Air Force Falcons |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats |