Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-16 | Mavs v. Bucks +1 | Top | 95-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee is one of eight home underdogs of the nine games with lines as of early Friday and to no surprise, they are all big consensus plays from the public. Dallas is on that list as the third biggest public play as it has won two straight games to move to 21-15 on the season but the Mavericks have no chance of catching San Antonio in the Southwest Division. Dallas is 10-9 on the road this season but half of those victories have come against teams with a worse record than the Bucks. Milwaukee is not having the season it expected following a trip to the postseason last year thanks to a 41-41 record. Of their last seven losses, six have come against elite teams in the NBA as all have better records than Dallas and that seventh loss in this stretch came against the Mavericks in Dallas. Milwaukee was a 5.5-point underdog there and now the line has only shifted four points which is a smaller than expected adjustment based on the venue change. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss while the Mavericks are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (860) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-08-16 | Raptors v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 97-88 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
We won with Washington on Wednesday as it snuck out a cover against Cleveland but was unable to pull out the victory, suffering its second straight loss. The Wizards are catching points at home again, albeit a much smaller number, but a much better chance to snap their outright straight up slide. Overall, Washington has lost four of its last five games to fall three games under .500 and the best news that came out of that Cleveland game was that Nene and Gary Neal returned from injury and got limited minutes which will increase tonight. Toronto defeated Brooklyn last time out which snapped its two-game losing streak and while it is seven games over .500, inconsistency has been the biggest issue. The Raptors are just two games over .500 since a 5-0 start and Washington will be out for some revenge following a pair of losses against Toronto this season by a combined five points. The Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win while the Wizards are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. 10* (852) Washington Wizards |
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01-07-16 | Celtics +5 v. Bulls | Top | 92-101 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
Boston had last night's game in hand against the Pistons but blew a late 13-point lead in the third quarter and fell to the Pistons by five points, their third loss in four games. Boston, which went 6 of 28 from three-point range (Detroit was 10 of 27), scored only nine baskets over the last 18:50 of the game, none in the final 1:42. It was a tough loss in a game the Celtics needed but they have won three straight road games and look for a big effort tonight after last night's debacle. Chicago meanwhile has won five straight games including four straight at home, the last coming against Milwaukee as an 8.5-point favorite. So basically this line is telling us that Boston is just 3.5 points better than the Bucks? No chance. Chicago has been one of the worst cover teams in the NBA this season especially at this price range as they are 4-12 ATS as single-digit favorites of three points or more. The Celtics have been surprisingly better on the road than at home and going back, it is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. Additionally, the Celtics are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Bulls are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* (703) Boston Celtics |
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01-06-16 | Cavs v. Wizards +7 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
After suffering rare back-to-back losses, Cleveland has caught fire once again with wins in four straight games including a 22-point rout of Toronto at home last time out. Cleveland is obviously a very public team so their lines need to be adjusted accordingly which is a reason they are 14-17-1 ATS record which is the third worst ATS percentage of the 15 teams with 19 or more victories. This is especially true on the road where Cleveland is 3-8-1 ATS as a road favorite and on the road this season it has yet to cover against a team with a losing record in six chances. Washington is coming off a blowout loss at the hands of Miami on Sunday by 22 points and of its 17 losses, 11 have come by double-digits so when it plays bad, it plays really bad. The Wizards are 4-2 in their last six home games and there is a pretty good chance they will be up for this one as most teams bring all they have against Cleveland, especially on their home floor. Washington falls into a great situation as we play against teams after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 47-25 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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01-05-16 | Kings v. Mavs -5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Sacramento hits the road once again following a win in Oklahoma City last night which was its second straight win. The Kings caught a break however as Kevin Durant missed the game due to an injured toe and Russell Westbrook had one of his worst shooting nights on the season. Still, it was a big win for the Kings which puts them in a tough spot tonight against a team in much need of a victory. Dallas has dropped two straight games including a loss at home against New Orleans last time out which snapped a five-game home winning streak. The Mavericks are a solid 10-6 at home and tonight's opponent should once again increase that win total. Dallas had won six straight meetings in this series until the first meeting this season in Sacramento which resulted in a 14-point Kings victory. The good news now is that Dallas is home where it has won 21 consecutive games over San Francisco. Dallas falls into a solid situation where we play against road underdogs that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 98 and 102 ppg, after allowing 104 points or more three straight games. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Kings are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a win while the Mavericks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss. 10* (706) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-04-16 | Spurs v. Bucks +10 | Top | 123-98 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Milwaukee is coming off a 2-2 roadtrip but does have momentum as it took care of business the last two games. The Bucks hit the road once again tomorrow as they head to Chicago so this home stop is important especially against a top caliber team like San Antonio. It has been a rugged stretch as the Bucks have played nine of their last 11 games on the road and they have been pretty solid at home with a 9--6 record which includes wins over Cleveland and Golden St. so there will be no intimidation here. The Spurs are riding a four-game winning streak with all of those games taking place at home where they are a perfect 20-0. The road has not been as good where they have the same record that the Bucks have at home so a case can be made that this line is inflated simply because of name. Milwaukee lost the first meeting this season by 25 points so there is added motivation. The Bucks fall into a revenge situation as well as we play on underdogs that are revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 55-25 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Milwaukee is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games after playing a game as a road underdog this season while going 5-1 ATS in its last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (512) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-03-16 | Hawks v. Knicks +5 | Top | 97-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Atlanta is playing at a high level of late as it has won seven of its last eight games to take the lead in the Southeast Division which currently sits at one game over Miami and two games over Orlando. Three of these wins have come on the road where the Hawks are now 9-7 on the season and while they are the better team overall, the home/road splits between these two teams is just one game so the fact they are road favorites of this much is a surprise. The Knicks are coming off a loss against Chicago on the road, its fifth loss in six games. Four of those have been on the road however and all against teams at least three games over .500. That included a loss in Atlanta the day after Christmas which was the second blowout loss suffered at the hands of the Hawks this season which brings payback into play. As a matter of fact, the Knicks are 13-5 ATS in 18 games when playing with double revenge this season. Additionally, the Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (802) New York Knicks |
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01-02-16 | Pistons v. Pacers -4 | Top | 82-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Indiana won at Detroit in its fourth game of the season and first victory of 2015-16 but Detroit got its payback in the second meeting at home, a 22-point win last month. Now the Pacers will try to get their own revenge while also looking to snap a three-game skid. Indiana lost at Chicago on Wednesday in overtime and could not recover at home as it lost to Milwaukee the next night. Detroit snapped a three-game slide with a win over Minnesota on New Year's Eve, rolling by 25 points. The Pistons improved to 11-5 at home but are just 7-10 on the road, nearly identical home/road splits as the Pacers. Since a 3-0 start on the road, Detroit has won only four times with two of those wins coming against 3-32 Philadelphia and 12-21 Minnesota. The Pacers have a great situation on their side as we play on favorites that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams averaging between 98 and 102 ppg, after allowing 120 points or more. This situation is 58-27 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1996. Additionally, Indiana is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season while the Pistons are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. 10* (506) Indiana Pacers |
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01-01-16 | 76ers v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
We are all aware who the worst team in the NBA is but the Sixers have been playing decent of late as after opening the season with 18 straight road losses, they have won two of their last three on the highway including a win at Sacramento two nights ago. The offense has come to life in those victories and while they are facing a brutal defense tonight, the Lakers will have the edge. Los Angeles is clearly the second worst team in the league but the NBA did it no favors early on as the schedule has been one of the toughest. Not only have the Lakers been facing quality opposition, they have played two-thirds of their games on the road as their 11 home games played are the fewest in the NBA. Los Angeles will be out for some revenge here as well as it allowed the Sixers their first victory of the season following 18 straight losses. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are allowing 103 or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This situation is 71-33 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-01-16 | Mavs v. Heat -3 | Top | 82-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Miami is coming off an overtime loss at Memphis which was only the third time all season that the Heat have followed up a loss with another loss. They are now 9-3 following a defeat overall which includes a perfect 3-0 record at home when directly coming off a road game. Dallas hits the road following a three-game homestand that it swept which includes a victory over the Warriors on Wednesday and with a revenge game against New Orleans tomorrow, the Mavericks are in a tough sandwich spot here. Overall, Dallas has won four straight games and while it is 9-8 on the road, only one of those nine wins have come against teams with a winning record, which was a four-point win in Boston. The Mavericks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Heat are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. 10* (804) Miami Heat |
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01-01-16 | Magic v. Wizards | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the injury reports for both sides and while the list is bigger for Washington, the Wizards still have a significant edge based on the spot. After four straight victories to get back to .500, the Wizards have dropped two straight games including a two-point loss at Toronto last time out. The 7-8 home record is not attractive but five of those losses have come against Western Conference teams. Orlando meanwhile has won two straight games, both of which came at home and while the Magic have won two straight road games as well, this is just the third road game in three weeks. Orlando heads to Cleveland tomorrow so a potential lookahead is possible as well. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing 46 percent shooting or worse on the season, after a game allowing a shooting 35 percent or less. This situation is 26-4 ATS (86.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (802) Washington Wizards |
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12-31-15 | Clippers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 95-89 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
The public is all over the Clippers here based on what looks like a fishy line but in reality, they are in a horrible spot tonight. Los Angeles won in Charlotte last night for its fourth straight win since the start of this roadtrip, the last three without the services of Blake Griffin. The Clippers were favored by a bucket last night against a 17-13 team coming in yet are getting a bucket tonight against a team that is 10-21. The Pelicans have been off since Monday after a 15-point loss in Orlando, their 15th road loss in 18 games. Things have been better at home where they are 6-2 following a 1-4 start and their 13 home games are tied for second fewest in the NBA so the schedule has not been on their side. Included in those victories are wins over San Antonio, Cleveland and Houston. The Clippers are 1-9 ATS in 10 games this season after scoring 100 points or more three straight games while going 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. 10* (510) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-31-15 | Wolves v. Pistons -7 | Top | 90-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Detroit returns home following a loss in New York on Tuesday which was its third straight defeat, one short of a season high. However, the four-game skid came on a west coast roadtrip so the situation is more in their favor here. It has been an up and down season for the Pistons but it has been mostly up as they are still over .500 overall and are just five games back of Cleveland in the rugged Central Division. Minnesota is coming off a home win last night over Utah and while the road has actually better than home, the Timberwolves are catching the wrong team at the wrong time. More recent, they have lost six of their last seven road games, the lone win coming against 9-23 Brooklyn. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 106-60 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1996. Additionally, the Timberwolves are 13-29 ATS in their last 42 games playing with no rest while the Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (504) Detroit Pistons |
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12-30-15 | Nets v. Magic -7.5 | Top | 93-100 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the NBA's early season surprises as it is off to an 18-13 start after winning just 25 games all of last season. The Magic are just a game and a half behind Atlanta in the Southeast Division and a lot of the success can be attributed to the home floor where they are just two wins shy of matching last year's win total of 13. of their six home losses, four have come against teams ranked 13th or better in the power ratings. While they are 4-9 against the top 16, they are 14-4 against everyone else and the Nets fall into the everyone else category. Brooklyn is coming off an upset win over Miami on Monday, it second straight upset on the road but don't look for that run to continue. The Nets are just 3-12 on the road overall and they have won consecutive games only twice this season, going 2-6 following their first eight wins. Orlando falls into a spot where we play on teams that are +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are between -3 to -7 ppg in scoring differential, after scoring 100 points or more four straight games. This situation is 43-21 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Magic are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games against losing teams and also 9-0 ATS in their last nine games following a win by 15 or more points so no letdown is expected here. 10* (702) Orlando Magic |
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12-29-15 | Hawks v. Rockets -2.5 | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
We won by playing against Atlanta last night and will go against the Hawks again tonight as they head to Houston for the second of a back-to-back set and third game in four nights. The loss snapped a six-game winning streak and while many will argue that they are good enough to rebound tonight, the situation is not good. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing with no rest and in three games this season where the second game was on the road, they lost the game outright by four points to Minnesota, 20 points to San Antonio and 13 points to Oklahoma City. The Rockets are also coming off a loss as they fell to New Orleans on the road but that was back on Saturday. The extra rest helps as does they fact they are back home where they have won seven straight and covered six straight, the last three coming against San Antonio, Charlotte and Los Angeles, all of which are at least four games over .500. Going back, Houston is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 while going 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after playing a game as a road favorite. 10* (508) Houston Rockets |
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12-28-15 | Raptors v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
The Bulls won for us on Christmas Day but they could not capitalize on that momentum as they lost the next night in Dallas as they blew a late double-digit lead. Chicago now returns home where it has dropped two straight at the United Center including an embarrassing loss against Brooklyn as a double-digit favorite. They Bulls were 11-3 prior to those pair of losses and they catch Toronto at a good time in a very good matchup. The Raptors defeated Milwaukee on Saturday to secure their second straight win following a 1-3 stretch. They are a game up on the surging Celtics in the Atlantic Division but this is a very tough matchup tonight. Last season when Toronto was clearly much better than the Bulls, Chicago still swept the four-game season series. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win while the Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. Look for the Bulls to get back to their winning ways at home. 10* (712) Chicago Bulls |
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12-28-15 | Hawks v. Pacers -2 | Top | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Indiana snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday with a win at Minnesota and while it was far from a quality victory, it provided some much needed confidence. The Pacers rallied as they outscored Minnesota 36-20 in the fourth quarter and they should be pretty hungry here. They lost their last home game back on December 23rd against Sacramento but are still 10-4 at home and look to get some payback against Atlanta after getting swept last season in the three-game season series. The Hawks are playing like the Hawks of last year as they have won six straight games while covering all but one of those but it should be noted they were favored in five of those games. The winning streak is giving us some excellent value with this number and Atlanta has gone just 4-7 against the NBA top ten while Indiana is 6-4 against the top ten teams in the league. Additionally, the Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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12-27-15 | Blazers v. Kings -7.5 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Portland is coming off an upset victory last night as the Blazers thumped Cleveland by 29 points on their home floor. The victory snapped a five-game slide, with all of those losses coming on the road where Portland is 5-14 on the season. That has been the issue for Sacramento as well as it has it is 4-10 on the highway but a much better 8-6 at home. The Kings have not played since Wednesday when they concluded a four-game roadtrip with a victory at Indiana and they have the big edge tonight based on that extended time off along with Portland playing just last night. Even more impressive for the Blazers win last night was they did it without Damian Lillard who has now missed three straight games and is questionable against for tonight. Going back, the Blazers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record and they fall into a negative situation where we play against underdogs after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 on the season. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Sacramento Kings |
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12-25-15 | Spurs v. Rockets +7.5 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
We played against San Antonio and lost on Wednesday as the Spurs rolled over Minnesota by 25 points. That was the seventh consecutive win for San Antonio to improve to 25-5 on the season and they once again come in as big favorites on Christmas Day. They were favored by 11 over the Timberwolves and are now favored by just seven points less which is a smaller than expected adjustment despite the disappointing start from the Rockets. Houston sits at .500 following a loss against Orlando on Wednesday and while the home floor has not been completely dominated like it used to, the Rockets have won six straight games here. Going back to last season, Houston is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home games after a non-conference game and it is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 home games against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Spurs are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 divisional games. 10* (508) Houston Rockets |
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12-25-15 | Bulls +9 v. Thunder | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Chicago has dropped three straight games including a horrible home defeat in its last game at home against the Nets as a double-digit favorite. The skid started following a four-overtime loss against the Pistons and that game really knocked them out as that was the start of a three-game in a four-day stretch. Now they have had four days to rest and regroup and should be a different team today. The Thunder have won three straight games and going back, they have won nine of their last 10 games to take control of the Northwest Division with a seven-game lead over Utah. Oklahoma City has split its last six games against the number and we are catching another inflated one at home where the Thunder have covered just four of their last 11 games. The Bulls fall into a solid situation where we play on road teams that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against team allowing between 98 and 102 ppg, after allowing 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 94-52 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Chicago Bulls |
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12-23-15 | Spurs v. Wolves +11.5 | Top | 108-83 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
The Spurs have won and covered six straight games and are now laying double-digits on the road which is a rarity against a team not names Philadelphia. San Antonio has the second best record in the NBA behind Golden St. and is a clear public team at this point, thus the large number. Minnesota lost at Boston in its last game on Monday which snapped a two-game winning streak. The home floor has not been kind to Minnesota this season but we won with the Timberwolves in their last home game against Sacramento. The Spurs are 8-5 on the road but are coming off a four-game homestand and have a date at Houston on Christmas Day. The Timberwolves fall into a situation where we play against road favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg. This situation is 57-28 ATS (67.1 percent) since 1996. Additionally, the Timberwolves are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (714) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-23-15 | Mavs -3 v. Nets | Top | 119-118 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Brooklyn snapped a five-game losing streak with a road win at Chicago on Monday, which was just its second road win of the season. The Nets are now 8-20 overall and they have won consecutive games only twice all season and are 3-9 against the Western Conference on the season. Dallas lost in Toronto last night but expect a big effort tonight before heading back home for a three-game homestand. The Mavericks have struggled against the top teams in the league as they are just 2-7 against the top ten but are 11-4 against teams ranked in the bottom half of the NBA. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing with no rest and they fall into a great situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a road loss going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (711) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-23-15 | Celtics v. Hornets -2 | Top | 102-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Charlotte has lost four of its last five games and the lone victory was a fortunate one as it beat Toronto in overtime due to a reversed call because of a timeout to end regulation. Three of those losses came on the road and the other home loss came against these Celtics so there will be some payback in store fro tonight. Boston snapped a three-game skid with a home win over Minnesota on Monday to get back to two games over .500 and remain two games behind Toronto in the Atlantic Division. Charlotte falls into a solid situation we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive overs, that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 98 and 102 ppg. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (704) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-22-15 | Grizzlies v. 76ers +10 | Top | 104-90 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Memphis won for us on Saturday which snapped a two-game slide for the Grizzlies to move to back over .500 on the season overall. They are just 6-8 on the road however including losses in three straight games. Playing Philadelphia is always a tough one to get up for and we saw this in the first meeting last month when Memphis had a lethargic eight-point win at home. Obviously, the Sixers are having a historically bad season and of late, they have had trouble staying close as they have not covered a game since December 1st. The schedule has had a lot to do with that however as Philadelphia has played the second toughest schedule in the league. Only nine of its 29 games have been played against teams ranked in the bottom half of the league, which is where Memphis sits, and the Sixers have covered over half of those. The Sixers fall into a great situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points after allowing 85 points or less going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or more four straight games. This situation is 62-32 ATS (66 percent) since 1996. Additionally, Memphis is 1636 ATS in its last 52 games as a double-digit favorite while the Sixers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Western Conference. 10* (502) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-21-15 | Thunder v. Clippers +2 | Top | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
Oklahoma City lost in Cleveland last Thursday and took out its frustrations on the Lakers in its next game as it rolled to a 40-point victory. Now the Thunder hit the road again where they are under .500 on the season but come in as favorites here and they shouldn't be. Their 5-6 road record includes only two wins against a winning team (15-14 Memphis, 15-2 Orlando) with all six losses coming against teams .500 or better. The Clippers are coming off a pair of losses on the road over the weekend at San Antonio and at Houston. While the home floor hasn't been exceptional, Los Angeles has won five of its last six home games and while they have failed to cover at home against any winning teams, they have only been a home dog twice, one that resulted in a push and the other coming against Golden St. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, where the line is +3 to -3 coming off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 68-34 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-21-15 | Pacers +8.5 v. Spurs | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
We played against Indiana on Saturday as it was defeated at Memphis following a three-game winning streak and it has now lost four straight games on the road. The Pacers are tied with Miami for the second best record in the Eastern Conference and while they are under .500 on the road, they are outscoring opponents by close to a bucket per game. The line is this big because of their opponent however as the Spurs are 15-0 at home and have been beating most teams pretty badly but this will be the best team they have faced at home this season. Taking nothing away from what San Antonio has done but it has played the second easiest schedule in the NBA and this will be one of the deepest and most balanced roster they have faced. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS this season when playing against teams with a winning record and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss. Look for a great battle here. 10* (713) Indiana Pacers |
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12-21-15 | Wolves v. Celtics -8 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The Celtics are in a slide as they have dropped three straight games to fall two games behind Toronto in the Atlantic Division. They are just a game over .500 after the skid but those three losses were all against teams at least four games over .500 and going back, their last seven losses have come against winning teams including San Antonio and Golden St. Boston is 7-6 at home with all six losses coming against winning teams so it is catching Minnesota at a good time. The Timberwolves buried the Nets on the road yesterday to make it two straight games but like the Celtics, they have struggled against the good teams as only four of their 11 wins have comes against winning teams, none since November 25th. The Timberwolves are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (704) Boston Celtics |
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12-20-15 | Kings v. Raptors -5 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
We played against Sacramento on Friday and will be going against the Kings once again here as I feel they are again getting too much respect for no apparent reason. They are six games under .500 which includes a miserable 2-9 record on the road and yet are catching a small number here. The Kings were favored in Minnesota on Friday which was the call by linesmakers and in this situation on Sunday, they are just 4-9 ATS this season as single-digit underdogs. The Raptors snapped a two-game slide with a win at Miami Friday and they bring in a, 8-4 home record into Sunday. They have won four straight games here and the four losses have been by a total of 11 points so the record could even be better. Toronto was a two-point favorite in Sacramento last month which would equate to it being roughly an eight-point favorite at home based on the venue change so you can see the value we are getting in this number. The Raptors lost that game as they blew a late double-digit lead so they will be out for some payback tonight at home, something they have been good at as Toronto is 10-2 ATS revenging a loss this season. Meanwhile, the Kings are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (512) Toronto Raptors |
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12-19-15 | Pacers v. Grizzlies | Top | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Indiana defeated the Nets last night for its third straight victory, all of which came at home. The Pacers are now in second place in the Eastern Conference thanks to a 10-3 record at home. They are just 6-6 on the road and have dropped three straight games on the highway. Memphis meanwhile is coming off a loss at Dallas last night, its second straight loss and fourth defeat in five games, Three of those have come on the road however and while the Grizzlies are just 8-6 at home, anything with a short price like this is a must. They are 7-3 ATS as favorites of fewer than five points while going 0-5 ATS when favored by more. They have a great situation on their side as we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are a loss going up against an opponent off a road loss against a division rival. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Indiana is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games after scoring 100 points or more three straight games. Meanwhile, the Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing with no rest while the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing with no rest. 10* (708) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-18-15 | Pelicans v. Suns -3.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
New Orleans is coming off a rare road victory at Utah which was just its second road win of the season as opposed to 12 losses. It has been a horribly disappointing start for the Pelicans which came into the season with some high expectations after making the playoffs a season ago. They have lost three straight games following a victory and are catching the wrong team at the wrong time. Phoenix is also off to a disappointing starts and will be out tonight to snap a two-game skid but those losses were against Dallas and Golden St. The Suns have dropped the first two meetings against New Orleans this season so double revenge is in play as well. Here, we play on favorites that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams averaging between 98 and 102 ppg, after allowing 120 points or more. This situation is 56-27 ATS (67.5 percent) since 1996. Also, New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off an win as a road underdog while Phoenix is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games after a loss by 15 points or more. 10* (522) Phoenix Suns |
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12-18-15 | Nuggets v. Jazz -5 | Top | 88-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
It has been a huge turnaround for Denver as after a 6-13 start, it has won five of its last six games but this is a streak that cannot last. The offense has scored 106 or more points in all five of those victories after scoring 106 or more points only seven times in its previous 19 games. Conversely, it has been a horrible run for Utah which has lost four straight games as the offense has been limited to 90.8 ppg. That changes tonight as the Jazz face one of the poorer defenses in the NBA and while a home loss against New Orleans last time out was a bad one, the other three losses came against San Antonio and Oklahoma City twice. The home floor has been average but three of the six losses have come against Golden St. and Oklahoma City twice and two of those losses were by three and four points. The Jazz are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games after having lost four or five of their last six games while Denver is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games when playing with 2 days. 10* (520) Utah Jazz |
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12-18-15 | Kings v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Sacramento is coming off a three-game sweep in its homestand but now it hits the highway for a four-game roadtrip and for some reason, the Kings are favored here. They have not been a road favorite all season and while the schedule has been tough, a comparison can be made with Milwaukee which is just a game better than Minnesota and the Kings were 4.5-point underdogs. Minnesota has dropped four straight games and eight of nine and has yet to cover a game in December, which is a big reason the Timberwolves are dogs, but this presents the best opportunity. The Timberwolves have a solid situation on their side as we play against favorites in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential., after a win by 10 points or more. This situation is 134-77 ATS (63.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record while going 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win. 10* (514) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-18-15 | Hawks v. Celtics -4 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The Celtics are in need of a victory and should be pretty fired up tonight. After a loss against Cleveland on Tuesday, Boston was in a letdown the next night in Detroit. The defense didn't show up against the Pistons as they allowed 119 points and going back the last three weeks, Boston has allowed 108 or more points four previous times and followed that up with a victory last time out. Additionally, the Celtics will be out to avenge a 24-point loss to the Hawks last month. Atlanta is coming off a win over the Sixers which snapped a three-game losing streak. After a 7-1 start to the season, the Hawks are just 8-11 over their last 19 games as winning streaks have not occurred with the Hawks going 1-7 over their last eight games following a victory. Boston is 27-8 ATS in its last 35 games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days while going 40-27 ATS in its last 67 games revenging a loss. Meanwhile the Hawks have failed to cover their last four games against winning teams. 10* (508) Boston Celtics |
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12-18-15 | Knicks v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 107-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a huge value play on Philadelphia as these teams faced each other just over two weeks in New York with the Knicks favored by 8.5 points and now they are favored by slightly less on the road. New York is coming off a pair of wins against Portland and Minnesota and this is a tough spot to get up for as not only because it is the Sixers but because a revenge game against the Bulls is on deck. While Philadelphia is a bad team and there are no excuses for losing but the Sixers have played the most difficult schedule of an Eastern Conference team. They are 4-11 ATS against winning teams including 0-5 ATS at home but a much better 7-4 ATS against teams with a losing record. Additionally, there is a situation on our side as we play against teams after two straight wins by six points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. This situation is 71-39 ATS (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-17-15 | Thunder v. Cavs -3 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
We played against Oklahoma City last night and that got thrown back in our face as the Thunder led by as many as 25 points in their 16-point win over Portland. Clearly there was no lookahead and now riding a six-game winning streak, they head to Cleveland with their 5-5 road record. The schedule has been relatively tame as 15 of 25 games have been played at home and of those five road wins, only two have come against winning teams, 14-13 Memphis and 14-11 Orlando. A telling stat for Oklahoma City is the fact that of the top 22 teams in the NBA, only the Thunder and Clippers have failed to win two or more games against top ten teams as they are 1-4 (Clippers are 0-5). Cleveland rolled over Boston on Tuesday to make it three straight wins and the Cavaliers head home where they are 10-1 on the season, the lone loss being a shocking defeat against Washington where they never led. Going back, Cleveland is 30-2 in its last 32 games at home. Kyrie Irving said Wednesday that he won't be playing Thursday night against Oklahoma City and as great as he is, that is a good thing in this game as the Cavaliers chemistry will not be interrupted. 10* (704) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-16-15 | Blazers +9.5 v. Thunder | Top | 90-106 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
With Golden St. finally losing, Oklahoma City is currently riding the longest active winning streak in the NBA with five straight victories and it has a comfortable 5.5-game lead in the Northwest Division. Three of these five wins have been by six points or less including a home overtime win over Utah last time out. This is a tough spot for the Thunder as they have a nationally televised game at Cleveland tomorrow night so the lookahead spot is there with the possibility of giving starters fewer minutes tonight. After a seven-game losing streak in early November, Portland has gone 7-6 over its last 13 games and while that is nothing spectacular, this pointspread is more in line with a team not playing nearly as good. Despite being four games under .500, the Blazers are dead even in scoring differential as the offense has improved immensely, scoring 00 or more points in 11 of their last 14 games. Here, we play against favorites after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 135-85 ATS (61.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Portland Trailblazers |
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12-16-15 | Wolves +5 v. Knicks | Top | 102-107 | Push | 0 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Minnesota has dropped three straight games and this game ends a three-game run against Western Conference teams. While the Timberwolves are just 3-10 at home, they are 6-5 on the road and they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record overall but a winning record on the highway. Minnesota is 5-6 against the Eastern Conference this season but the body of work is much better than that. Wins include Atlanta twice, Miami and Chicago while of those losses, three came by four points or less. New York snapped a four-game losing streak with a win at Portland and it has been a very tough run of late, going just 3-8 over its last 11 games to fall three games under .500. Minnesota has yet to cover at game as a favorite, going 0-6 ATS but has been much better as a dog and even more amazing is that the road team is 20-3-1 ATS in their 24 games this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (505) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-16-15 | Heat v. Nets +4 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Brooklyn is having a horrible season as its 7-17 record is second worst in the Eastern Conference, sitting only ahead of the inept Sixers. Winning on the road is the issue as the Nets are just 1-11, one of only three teams with one or fewer road wins, but they are a much more respectable 6-6 at home. This marks the conclusion of a six-game homestand where they are 2-3 so far with two of those losses coming against Golden St. and the Los Angeles Clippers. Miami comes in riding a two-game winning streak but this is a tough part of the schedule as this is its fourth road game over the last six and this is its fourth game over the last six nights. But speaking of schedule, the Heat have played a relatively easy one thus far with 15 of their first 23 games taking place at home and they are just 3-5 on the road. They did defeat Atlanta on the road in their last game but they are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games coming off a road win as a road underdog. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in 12 games this season coming off losses in two of its last three games. 10* (508) Brooklyn Nets |
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12-15-15 | Rockets +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 97-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Two of the most disappointing teams in the NBA are Washington and Houston and while we played against the former, we will be playing on the latter tonight. The Rockets lost in Denver last night as they fell behind by 14 points after the first quarter but were able to take the lead at the half only to give it right back in the third quarter. Houston fell to 5-6 on the road and despite the loss last night, it is 9-7 against teams in the lower half of the NBA. The Rockets catch Sacramento at the right time as they have won six straight meetings including the first two this season. The Kings are coming off a pair of wins over Utah and New York but that last was way back on Thursday so any positive momentum has been lost. They are just 2-7 ATS following a win this season while going just 10-26 ATS in its last 36 games revenging a same season loss over the last two seasons. Additionally, they fall into a poor situation where we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (705) Houston Rockets |
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12-14-15 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The inconsistent season for Memphis continues as it has dropped two straight games following a loss in Miami yesterday. The Grizzlies have avoided long losing streaks of late however as this is the first time they have dropped consecutive games since early November and playing at home should provide them with added motivation. They have lost two straight games at home for the first time this season and they were not pretty as they fell to Charlotte by 24 points on Friday and by 37 points against Oklahoma City prior to that. Washington is coming off a victory in its last game at Dallas on Saturday which was three wins on the road over its last four games on the highway. Winning consecutive games however has not been happening much as the Wizards have dropped four straight games following a victory and they have not won back-to-back road games since the first two games of the season against Orlando and Milwaukee. Even worse, the Wizards are 3-18 ATS in their last 21 games after a win by six points or less. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game while going 6-1 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back set. 10* (512) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-12-15 | Knicks +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
We won with Portland last night as it defeated the Suns by 10 points and I expect a letdown tonight coming off that double revenge winner. The Blazers are not having a good season and inconsistency is the issue as both offense and defense have been all over the place. Portland is 5-5 at home so there is no real home edge and on the season the Blazers are just 2-5 ATS as favorites of fewer than eight points. This is the last game of a three-game roadtrip for New York as it looks to snap a four-game slide before having the next three days off. The Knicks are definitely an improved team this season as it took them until February to win their 10th game last season. History has not been good here in Portland but this is not the same Blazers team and despite a win in their last home game nine days ago, Portland has yet to win back-to-back games this season. The Knicks are backed by a solid situation as we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 99 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 214-138 ATS (60.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) New York Knicks |
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12-11-15 | Blazers +4 v. Suns | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix is riding a two-game winning streak but is still three games under .500 overall and is still part of a bad run as it has gone 3-8 over its last 14 games. The Suns have lost three of four games at home and they are not in a great spot here as they face a Blazers team that is out for payback. Portland is coming off a pair of losses on the road but one came by just a bucket against Milwaukee and the other came by five points against Cleveland. The Blazers opened the season with a win over New Orleans but then dropped back-to-back games against Phoenix which bring in the double revenge situation. Phoenix has not been good in those spots as it is 3-7 on the season as a favorite of fewer than seven points while going 0-5 ATS in its last five games against teams with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win. Portland meanwhile is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss and fall into a situation where we play against teams after two straight wins by six points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. This situation is 70-36 ATS (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (721) Portland Trailblazers |
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12-11-15 | Wolves v. Nuggets +1 | Top | 108-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota is coming off a four-game homestand where it went just 1-3 to fall to 3-9 at home and while the road has surprisingly been better, after a 4-0 start, the Timberwolves are just 2-3 in their last five road games. The defense has been the issues of late and we can expect Denver to take advantage after being held to just 78 points in the first meeting this season which was its home opener. The Nuggets have dropped five straight home games but those have come against some top teams in the NBA including the up and coming Magic last time out. Minnesota has been a favorite only five times this season and it has yet to cover any of those games while going 0-3 straight up when favored by four points or less. Denver meanwhile is a perfect 2-0 ATS as an underdog of fewer than three points and is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road divisional favorites that are coming off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (718) Denver Nuggets |
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12-11-15 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 123-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
We have been on Charlotte its last two games and both resulted in blowout victories over Detroit and Miami by 20 and 18 points respectively. Those games were at home however where the Hornets are 10-3 but now they hit the road where they have played just eight games, going 3-5. They are clearly one of the most improved teams in the NBA but have played just six games against the Western Conference and while four of those were wins, three came against Sacramento, Minnesota and Portland. The Grizzlies have been up and down this season but to their credit, they have played the second toughest schedule in the NBA. Memphis is just 2-8 against the top ten in the NBA but 11-2 against everyone else and the latter is where the Hornets fall. Memphis is 18-8 in its last 26 games as a home favorite of six points or less and it falls into a great situation where we play against teams averaging 83 or more shots per game on the season, after two straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 39 percent or less. This situation is 48-18 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (714) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-10-15 | Clippers v. Bulls | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
After a slow start, the Clippers have won three straight games and six of their last seven after a disappointing 7-8 start that included a dreadful 3-8 stretch. They are coming off a road win at Milwaukee last night, the second to start this five-game roadtrip which also extended their road winning streak to three games. All four road wins on the season have come against losing teams and the real kicker is that with the exception of the Lakers and Sixers which are a combined 4-39, Los Angeles is the only team in the NBA that has yet to defeat a top ten team. Chicago falls into that category despite losses in three straight games including a tough one last night against the Celtics in Boston. After a 7-1 start at the United Center, the Bulls have dropped two straight here but the wins have been solid as of those seven home victories, six have been against teams with a winning record. Overall, the Bulls are 4-2 against top ten teams. The spotlight has been good to Chicago as it is 6-1 ATS in its last seven TNT games while the Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (506) Chicago Bulls |
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12-09-15 | Spurs v. Raptors +5 | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
The Spurs are coming off a 51-point win over the Sixers on Monday which was a product of San Antonio being one of the best teams in the league and Philadelphia being the worst. The Spurs were favored by 10 there and are now favored by half that and while they were without three key players, they are clearly overvalued here. After three straight home losses, Toronto snapped that skid on Monday with a win over the Lakers and while that was an unimpressive victory, it was needed. It has been a slow start for the Raptors and there issue has been not playing well against the poor teams. They have been great against the top teams as they are the only team in the NBA with six wins over top ten teams and on the season, they are 7-0 ATS against winning teams and 7-0 ATS as an underdog of three or more points. Here, we play against favorites in a game involving two teams averaging between 98 and 102 ppg, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (708) Toronto Raptors |
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12-09-15 | Heat v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 81-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
We won with Charlotte on Monday and we will back them again tonight as they continue to get undervalued. The Hornets are just a half-game behind Miami in the Southeast Division in what is turning into a wide open division. Charlotte is 9-3 at home with those three losses coming against Atlanta, Cleveland and Golden St. Miami has been a pleasant surprise although many picked the Heat to win the division but I am not sold on this team yet as they have been the most fortunate team in the NBA when it comes to the schedule. 14 of their first 19 games have been on their home floor and this has equated to being the second easiest schedule in the league thus far. It gets tougher after the New Year as they play a stretch of 14 of 15 on the road. Charlotte falls into a situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 102 ppg going up against teams allowing between 92 and 98 ppg after a win by 20 points or more. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (702) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-09-15 | Bulls +3 v. Celtics | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
The Bulls hit the road following a pair of home losses and it was the first time they have lost consecutive games this season as they are now 5-1 following a defeat. I don't see it making it to three straight as Chicago has not lost three straight regular season games since early March of last season. The Bulls are 4-4 on the road and this is a good place to get back over .500 on the highway as they have covered four straight meetings in Boston not including a push while the road team has covered the last four. The Celtics are coming off a 3-2 roadtrip to move three games over .500 and they have now covered four straight games. Boston has done well against the bottom teams in the NBA, going 9-1 against the bottom 14 teams while going just 3-8 against the top 16. The Celtics ppg differential is skewed because of this as eight of those nine wins against the lower half have been by double-digits. Chicago is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 road games after playing a home game while Boston is 50-78 ATS in its last 128 games off a road win by 10 points or more. 10* (703) Chicago Bulls |
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12-08-15 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 215 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The undefeated streak of the Warriors is the big storyline but they are on another streak as well as they have gone over the total in six straight games. The offense has been off the charts all season long as Golden St. has yet to be held to fewer than 100 points but could tonight be the night? Over this six-game stretch, only Toronto has a better defense than what the Warriors will be facing tonight and the of those teams possess three of the top six worst defenses in the NBA. Indiana has gone over the total in two straight as it has had two straight shootouts, but those were aberrations of what has happened this season. Those games were on the road and the Pacers defense at home is allowing just 94.9 ppg on 43.4 percent shooting and it's pretty safe to say they cannot win this game if it gets into a trackmeet. Here, we play on the under involving road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 after a win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more two straight games. This situation is 24-3 (88.9 percent) to the under the last five seasons. 10* Under (501) Golden St. Warriors/(502) Indiana Pacers |
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12-07-15 | Pistons v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 84-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
The Pistons are coming off a perfect homestand where they went 4-0 but those four victories came against teams with losing records. Those wins moved Detroit to 8-2 at home but the road has been a different story where the Pistons have dropped seven of their last eight after a 3-0 start on the highway. Charlotte is just a game and a half behind Miami in the Southeast Division following an upset win in Chicago on Saturday following a seven-game homestand. The Hornets are 8-3 at home and those losses have all been quality as they came against three of the four teams that were in the Conference Finals last season including Cleveland and Golden St. This is the first time this season that Detroit is playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road with the first coming at home so it is not in an ideal spot. The Hornets are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record while the Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games. 10* (702) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-06-15 | Kings v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
It is pretty rare to see an NBA total in the 220's but that is what we have tonight between Oklahoma City and Sacramento. Only once this season between these two teams in 40 games combined has there been a total more than 220 and the Kings and Warriors stayed under it by more than 23 points. Oklahoma City has stayed under the total in five straight games and it is the defense that has been the difference, allowing just 95.6 ppg over that stretch. This series has seen the total be in the 200's in nine of the last 10 meetings and all nine of those have stayed below the number. The Oklahoma City under run puts them in a solid situation where we play the under involving home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 33-9 (78.6 percent) to the under the last five seasons. Additionally, the under is 9-0 in the Thunder's last nine games against teams with a losing record while the under is 7-0 in the Kings last seven games against teams with a winning record. 10* Under (509) Sacramento Kings/(510) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-05-15 | Magic v. Clippers -2 | Top | 101-103 | Push | 0 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
It looked as though the Clippers were turning the corner as they had won three straight games following a miserable 1-4 stretch but they put up a dud at home against Indiana on Wednesday. The absence of Chris Paul did not help and now the absence of J.J. Reddick does them no favors but they have plenty of depth and have been able to get a good amount of practice time in. The hottest teams in the NBA not named Golden St. comes from an unlikely source as Orlando has reeled off five straight wins. The defense has been stifling but we see that coming to an end tonight. This includes two road wins to open this trip but they catch the Clippers in a not so ideal spot. Orlando falls into a solid negative situation as we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 155-101 ATS (60.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (720) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-05-15 | Knicks v. Bucks +1.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
We won with the Knicks last night but that was more of a play against Brooklyn than anything else and tonight we will be going against New York. The Knicks have won two straight games to move back to .500 but are coming off a four-game homestand and are now playing their first road game since before Thanksgiving. The Bucks lost their second straight game, this time at Detroit last night. They never led and it ended up being their eighth straight loss on the road but they are a much more respectable 5-2 over their last seven home games. They opened the season with a 25-point home loss to New York so Milwaukee will be out to make amends even though it already did pick up a win at MSG. The Bucks have played exceptional this season playing with no rest, going a perfect 4-0 ATS. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored tonight. 10* (714) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-05-15 | Blazers v. Wolves -2 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is an early season revenger for Minnesota as it lost at home against Portland last month to aid in its not-so-good 2-7 record at home. Surprisingly, the Timberwolves are 6-3 on the road so it has been a very unusual start for them as they head into this one having lost two straight. Portland meanwhile is coming off an upset win over Indiana at home but it has been a trying season for the Blazers without LaMarcus Aldridge and Nicolas Batum. After starting the season 4-2, Portland is just 4-10 over its last 14 games including a 1-6 record on the road with the lone win coming against the 3-16 Lakers. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-04-15 | Rockets +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
It has been a trying season for the Rockets as they have done their best to fall out of contention in the Western Conference. They made it to the Western Conference Finals a season ago so expectations were high but after a poor start to this season, head coach Kevin McHale was let go which has not cured much. Although Houston has won three of its last four games and is catching a very solid number here. Dallas is just three games over .500 following a 2-4 run but the fact it is riding a five-game home winning streak is the main reason for the size of this number. The Rockets fall into a great situation as we play on road teams after allowing 100 points or more four straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Houston Rockets |
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12-04-15 | Nets v. Knicks -3 | Top | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Fresh off a pair of wins, Brooklyn heads to MSG to face the Knicks for the first meeting this season. The Nets are in the midst of their first multi-game winning streak of the season with both of those wins coming by just three and four points and both took big fourth quarter comebacks. The Knicks meanwhile are coming off a win over the Sixers, which is certainly nothing great, but it snapped a four-game skid so it in fact was a much needed victory. Brooklyn has won just one road game this season and despite a 1-10 road record, it is catching the smallest line it has seen on the highway all season. Going back, Brooklyn is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games following consecutive wins while the Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win. 10* (502) New York Knicks |
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12-04-15 | Suns v. Wizards +1 | Top | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing some horrible basketball right now but in no way should they be a home underdog in this spot. They are coming off a loss against the now 3-15 Lakers which was their fifth loss in six games and they were unable to capitalize off a big upset win in Cleveland the previous night. Phoenix is going though a similar skid as it has lost six of its last seven games including losses in two straight following a win in Toronto to open this roadtrip. The Suns were favored over Brooklyn by 3.5 points to open the week and there is no way they should be favored again on the road against a much better team despite the home team struggles. Going back, the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Wizards are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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12-03-15 | Magic v. Jazz -3.5 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the NBA's pleasant early season surprises as it comes in with a 10-8 record which currently puts it in a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference. The Magic have won four straight games and Orlando has not won five games in a row in nearly four years so this is brand new territory. After finishing six games under .500 last season, Utah is off to a .500 start which is actually good enough for seventh place in the Western Conference. The Jazz are coming off a hard fought battle against Golden St. as they gave the Warriors all they could handle in a three-point loss. It was the second straight home loss and just the sixth home game overall on the season. Utah will be out for some revenge following a loss in Orlando earlier last month by nine points as a 1.5-point favorite and going back, the Jazz are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games revenging a straight up loss as a favorite. Additionally, Utah is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games after allowing 105 points or more. The defense has allowed 96 points or less in four or five games after allowing 100 points this season and we will see another solid bounceback effort tonight. 10* (706) Utah Jazz |
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12-02-15 | Nuggets v. Bulls OVER 196.5 | Top | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Denver has dropped six straight games and the offense has gotten progressively worse over the stretch as the Nuggets scored 107 points in the first loss and are coming off a season-low 74 points scored at Milwaukee on Monday. The under has come through over the last four games which came after a four-game over run where the offense was much more efficient and the dense was awful. Chicago meanwhile has alternated wins and losses over its last five games but going back further, the Bulls have gone under the total in seven straight games. While their own defense has looked sharp, they have gone against some very tough defenses of late with the last four games coming against teams ranked in the top ten in shooting percentage defense. Denver is ranked 5th worst. The Bulls defense has performed very well this season allowing just 41.1 percent shooting but the pace is the difference as Chicago is the 7th fastest team in the league with 102.2 possessions per game and its 91.3 field goal attempts allowed per game is by far the most. Denver is 13-4 to the over in its last 17 games against teams allowing 43 percent shooting or better while the over is 6-2 in the Bulls last eight games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* Over (509) Denver Nuggets/(510) Chicago Bulls |
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12-01-15 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans +1 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Both Memphis and New Orleans got off to horrible starts this season but it has been the former that has been able to recover the most. The Grizzlies have won seven of their last nine games including their last game against the winless Sixers so while the recent run has gotten them over .500, this is a team that still has issues. After a solid three-game winning streak that had them going in the right direction, the Pelicans have lost their last two games but those were on the road and they have won their last two home games and three of four. New Orleans has played seven of their last 10 games on the highway so the schedule has been trying and despite that, they have covered their last four games against winning teams. The best news for New Orleans is that Tyreke Evans and Norris Cole will be making their season debuts tonight after missing the first 13 games because of injuries. The Grizzlies are 8-19-2 ATS in their last 29 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while New Orleans is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after failing to cover two of their last three games against the spread. 10* (708) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-01-15 | Magic v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 96-93 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is the second meeting in two weeks between Orlando and Minnesota and the Timberwolves will be out for some revenge following that overtime defeat. Minnesota is coming off a short two-game roadtrip where it split as it defeated Sacramento on Friday only to follow that up with a loss against the Clippers on Sunday. The Timberwolves opened the season 0-6 at home but have won two straight at the Target Center and while a win over Philadelphia means little, a win over Atlanta last time out was a solid one. Orlando is over .500 for the first time this season following its third straight win on Sunday and it is over .500 for the first time since November 6, 2013. This is a team moving in the right direction but this is not a good spot as the Magic are 2-5 on the road including losses in three straight all by nine points or more. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game while the Timberwolves are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (710) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-01-15 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | Top | 97-85 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Washington has gotten off to a horrible start to the season based on expectations coming in and it certainly doesn’t get any easier here. The offense has been atrocious the last three games as the Wizards have scored 87, 78 and 82 points and to no surprise, all of those games stayed below the total. I expect a big effort tonight against an average Cleveland defense that has been very inconsistent. The Cavaliers have stayed below the total in two straight games as the offense has tallied just 90 and 95 points but now they face a Wizards defense that has allowed 105.1 ppg on 46 percent shooting through 14 games, both of which are 25th in the NBA. Cleveland is shooting 46.1 percent while averaging 103.1 ppg and prior to this two-game under run, they had gone over the total in six straight. Here we play the over involving road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, first half of the season. This situation is 41-18 (69.5 percent) to the under since 1996. Meanwhile, the over is 40-17-1 in the Cavaliers last 58 games playing on two days rest. 10* Over (701) Washington Wizards/(702) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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11-30-15 | Spurs v. Bulls +4 | Top | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
The Spurs 14-3 record is second best in the NBA, only trailing 18-0 Golden St., following their fifth straight win on Saturday over Atlanta. It was the ninth consecutive win at home to start the season and while a 5-3 road record is respectable, the win at Boston is the only one against a team with a winning record. Chicago is coming off a loss at Indiana to close its four-game roadtrip with a 2-2 record and now the Bulls head home to improve upon their 5-1 record at home. Four of those five wins have come against teams with a winning record so while the Spurs have not had a quality road slate, the Bulls have a very quality home slate. The Bulls fall into a fantastic situation as we play against road favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having covered four of their last five games against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1996. The Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 10 points while the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss of more than 10 points. 10* (506) Chicago Bulls |
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11-30-15 | Thunder v. Hawks +2.5 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
Oklahoma City has gained some momentum with four straight victories to move to 11-6 on the season but the Thunder have played a very easy schedule thus far. Of those 17 games, only three have come against teams ranked in the top ten in the league and they have gone just 1-2 in those games including a loss in the only road game against a top ten team. On top of that, only six of the first 17 games have been on the highway. Atlanta has been pretty inconsistent of late following a 7-1 start to the season as it has gone just 4-7 over its last 11 games but the majority of those have been on the road. The Hawks are coming off a loss at San Antonio by 20 points but they have followed up their last three losses with wins next time out. Atlanta is 34-19 ATS in its last 53 games against teams with a winning record while going 34-21 in its last 55 games after playing a game on the road. Oklahoma City is just 1-5 ATS in its last sis games against winning teams while going 8-19 ATS in its last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (510) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-30-15 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 193.5 | Top | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Boston went to Orlando last night and got throttled by 19 points but more important for our purposes here, it was its third straight under after going over in its previous four games. Now the Celtics are catching a total that is the lowest they have seen all season and the time they have had one south of 200 in 15 consecutive games. The Heat meanwhile have gone under in four straight games but those four games were against teams ranked 24th, 29th and 30th in the NBA in scoring offense while Boston is a top 10 offense. The under has been a trend all season with 15 of 17 staying below the total but only three games overall have come against top 10 offenses. The trend for the over/unders for Miami has seen the number go down in each of these past four games and while this one is back up a bit, it is still in a good range based on the opponent. The over is 6-1 in the Celtics last seven games against teams with a winning record while the over is 6-1 in Heat's last seven games against team with a winning record. 10* Over (501) Boston Celtics/(502) Miami Heat |
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11-29-15 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 205.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
The Clippers had lost four of five games before trouncing New Orleans on Friday with the offense putting up 111 points. That offense has been inconsistent of late but they are still the sixth highest scoring team in the NBA and the recent inconsistencies has led to a run of five straight unders. Minnesota is also coming off a win, its third straight, and it has been the defense that has led the way so something has to give today. That defense has led the Timberwolves to four straight unders but now they face a real challenge. Both teams are in the top ten in the NBA in shooting percentage and we are seeing a significant decrease in the total than each team had in its previous game. The over is 8-2 in the Clippers last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record and the over is 12-3 in their last 15 games following a win. Meanwhile, the over is 51-33 in the Timberwolves last 84 games following one or more consecutive unders with an average of 210 ppg scored in those follow up games. 10* Over (703) Minnesota Timberwolves/(704) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-27-15 | Pelicans v. Clippers -6 | Top | 90-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
The Clippers are arguably the second most disappointing team in the NBA with the Rockets taking top prize. Los Angeles fell below .500 for the second time in three games following a home loss against Utah on Wednesday. After starting the season 4-1 at home, the Clippers have lost three straight here. New Orleans meanwhile has won its last three games after a horrific 1-11 start. The last won was its first road win after dropping seven straight and they are not in a good spot to keep the road winning alive. New Orleans is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games after a combined score of 225 points or more while going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a losing record. The Clippers meanwhile are 47-28 ATS in their last 75 games after failing to cover 8 or more of their last 10 games against the spread. 10* (724) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-27-15 | Spurs v. Nuggets +9 | Top | 91-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
The Spurs are sitting atop the Southwest Division yet again as they have won three straight games and nine of their last 10. the lone defeat came on the road where San Antonio is 4-3 compared to 8-0 at home. Denver has lost its last four games, the first of which came in San Antonio where the Spurs were favored by 13.5 points so you can see the value difference here. The Spurs are not at full strength tonight as both Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili will be resting with a game against Atlanta tomorrow. Additionally, we play on underdogs after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (718) Denver Nuggets |
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11-27-15 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 187 | Top | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Both Miami and New York suffered losses on Wednesday as each offense could not keep up. Expect those offenses to move things along tonight against inconsistent defenses. These teams are a combined 22-7-1 to the under and that is keeping this total down and is actually a bucket lower than what it was when they met on Monday. The over is 10-1 in the Heat's last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points while the over is 7-3-1 in the Knicks last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Additionally, New York is 23-11 to the over in its last 34 games when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. 10* Over (705) Miami Heat/(706) New York Knicks |
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11-25-15 | Heat v. Pistons +1.5 | Top | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Miami is off to a great 9-4 start this season including wins in three straight games but the schedule could not have started any easier. Of those 13 games, 10 have been at home including the last seven with only two of those games coming against teams with a winning record. Overall, the Heat have played the easiest schedule in the NBA and the only road win came against the Timberwolves. Detroit started hot but has lost two straight games and six of its last eight games to fall to 7-7 overall. Unlike the Heat, the Pistons have played a tough schedule, ranked sixth overall, with nine of those 14 games taking place on the road. The Heat are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a win of more than 10 points while the Pistons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of more than 10 points. 10* (708) Detroit Pistons |
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11-25-15 | Cavs v. Raptors +2 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Cleveland is coming off a three-game sweep in its most recent homestand to move to a perfect 8-0 at home and now it hits the road where it is just 3-3 on the season. It has been a very favorable schedule for the Cavaliers as they have played the second easiest slate in the NBA through the first month. Because of who they are, they come in as a road chalk while having played just one team with a winning record away from home. Toronto has withstood a very tough schedule through the first month of the season as it is 9-6 following a disappointing 2-3 west coast roadtrip. 11 of the first 15 games have been on the highway and the Raptors are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming by just a bucket. Cleveland is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games the last two seasons after scoring 105 points or more two straight games while the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (710) Toronto Raptors |
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11-25-15 | Wizards +3 v. Hornets | Top | 87-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Charlotte has won three straight games but it has not exactly been against top level opposition as those wins came against teams a combined 8-36 and all three teams are ranked 25th or worse in power ratings. The Hornets are 6-1 against teams ranked in the bottom half of the league but just 2-5 against every other team. Washington hasn't exactly been lighting things on fire as it is just 6-5 following a loss at home last night against Indiana which snapped a three-game winning streak. While Charlotte is 6-1 at home, the Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while going 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The underdog has covered five straight games in this series and we expect that to continue here. 10* (703) Washington Wizards |
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11-24-15 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 201.5 | Top | 93-88 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
Chicago has not gotten off to a good start on this west coast swing as it has split the first two games but you cannot fault the Bulls for a loss against Golden St. as no team has been able to solve the Warriors thus far. Both of those games stayed below the total to make it three straight unders and these last two have had closing totals higher than tonight's. The offense will get a boost tonight with the return of Derrick Rose as three days off since the Golden St. game has given his ankle time to heal. Portland has won two straight games since suffering through a seven-game losing streak. The defense has been the difference but those games came against the dreadful Lakers and the struggling Clippers. After seven straight overs, Portland has gone under the total in four of its last five games and with that, the over/under is affected as it is the second lowest over this six-game stretch, the lowest being a point lower against the Spurs, which posses the best defense in the NBA. The Bulls possess a better offense than in the past and they are playing at a much fast pace than in the past as they are averaging 102.4 possessions per game, seventh most in the NBA. While the Chicago defense is still solid, Portland is 15-4 to the over in its last 19 games against teams allowing 43 percent shooting or lower. 10* Over (509) Chicago Bulls/(510) Portland Trailblazers |
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11-23-15 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
After starting the season with seven consecutive covers, Orlando has covered just once over their last six games as linesmakers finally adjusted to catch up. The Magic did go 3-3 in those games and they are now at 6-7 overall with only one of those losses coming by double-digits. This is a significantly improved team and they catch a Cleveland team that is pretty thin with some injuries. Mo Williams and Timofey Mozgov are both out and while the Cavaliers are still loaded, they have had a tough time covering big numbers. Of course because it is Cleveland, the lines are inflated and with that, the Cavaliers are just 1-6 ATS in their seven games when favored by six or more points. Orlando meanwhile is a perfect 4-0 ATS as an underdog of six or more points and it is one of just two teams in the NBA with a losing record that is getting outscored by less than one ppg which reiterates the point about games being close. Going back, Orlando is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 road games against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Additionally, the Magic are 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread while the Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after two or more consecutive wins this season. 10* (701) Orlando Magic |
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11-22-15 | Celtics v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is the second of a home-and-home set between Boston and Brooklyn with the Celtics easily winning the first matchup on Friday by 25 points. They were nine-point favorites there and based on the venue change, they should be favored between 2.5-3 points here so you can see the line value were are getting. Boston has been playing well with wins in six of their last eight games including three straight road wins but now it comes in the highest it has been favored on the road all season. Brooklyn is off to a rough start but the schedule has been tough with six of their last seven games taking place on the road. The one home game resulted in a win by a bucket over Atlanta and the other two prior home losses were very competitive. The Nets fall into a solid contrarian situation where we play against divisional road favorites that are coming off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. Brooklyn is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 games after having lost two of its last three games and 5-1 ATS in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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11-20-15 | Rockets +5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
After four consecutive losses, the Rockets fired head coach Kevin McHale and they were well on their way to a fifth straight defeat as they trailed Portland by 17 points. But as we all know, no lead is safe in the NBA and Houston rallied in the fourth quarter to send the game into overtime which it won by five points. That is the type of win the Rockets desperately needed and it is one that can be carried forward. On the flip side, it was the fifth straight non-cover so we are getting line value because of it. It has not been a great start for the Grizzlies either as they are 6-6 although they have won three straight games heading into tonight. The last one came back on Monday however so some of the positive momentum may have been lost with the lengthy time off. Going back, the Grizzlies are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a losing record while the underdog has covered five of the last six meetings in this series. Houston meanwhile is 54-30 ATS in its last 84 road games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. 10* (511) Houston Rockets |
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11-19-15 | Warriors v. Clippers +6.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
Golden St. is 5-0 on the road but this is their biggest test so far but are overpriced because of their perfect 12-0 start to the season. The Warriors are 7-5 against the number after opening by covering their first four games so the linesmakers have made the necessary adjustments and we are again catching an overadjustment here. The Clippers snapped a two-game skid with a win over Detroit and are now back after a four-day layoff after getting no more than two between any of its first 10 contests. They have had issues on the road with three straight losses but are a solid 5-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Houston by four points which was due to a 26-17 deficit at the free throw line. The Clippers will be without Chris Paul for a third straight game and while his absence is big, this team is still loaded and ending the Warriors 12-game winning streak to start the season is the goal in this hated rivalry. The last NBA team to open a season with 13 consecutive victories was the 2002-03 Dallas Mavericks, who won their first 14 games. These teams met earlier in the month with the Warriors closing as a 7.5-point favorite at home which is a fair number but now being close to that chalk on the road is simply too much. This season's meeting marks Golden State's smallest margin of victory of 2014-15. Here, we play against road favorites against division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (706) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-18-15 | Kings v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Atlanta opened the season 8-2 but it has now dropped three straight games including a pretty embarrassing loss at Brooklyn last night, just the second win of the season for the Nets. The last two defeats have come by a combined three points so it hasn't had a fortunate run as things could have gone the other way. The losing streak, along with the fact that the Hawks have dropped five straight games against the number, is giving us a very good number. Sacramento is also helping with the low line as the Kings have won three straight games following a six-game losing streak. It is a nice run but all of those wins came at home and overall, they are coming off a six-game homestand. This is the first road game since November 4th and just the third road game of the season as nine of the first 11 games have taken place at home. Additionally, those first two road games were on the west coast so now comes a real trip. Point guard Jeff Teague has missed the last two games, and is questionable tonight but despite his absence being a big one, this line is not where it should be given the difference between these two teams. Atlanta has dominated this series with 14 straight wins and most of those were with a below average Hawks team and the Kings are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games off an upset win as an underdog. 10* (514) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-17-15 | Hornets v. Knicks OVER 195.5 | Top | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Charlotte and New York meet for the second time in less than a week and while the game was not decided until the final buzzer, the game stayed well below the total as 188 total points were scored in a game that closed with a 200.5 over/under. We are now getting a number that is a couple buckets lower than that obviously due to that result but also to extended runs from both sides. Charlotte is 3-0-1 to the under in its last four games with all those games closing at 199 or higher while the Knicks have gone under in three straight games and seven of their last eight games and tonight's number is the lowest of the bunch. The offense should continue to get better with the improved play of Carmelo Anthony as through the first six games, he shot 37.5 percent or worse five times but since then, he is averaging 26.6 ppg on 45.9 percent shooting and 38.7 percent from long range. Going back, New York is 67-41 to the over in its last 108 games as a home underdog of three points or less while the Hornets are 7-1 to the over their last eight games against teams with a losing record. We see a much higher scoring game here than what we saw last week. 10* Over (709) Charlotte Hornets/(710) New York Knicks |
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11-16-15 | Celtics v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Following a pair of upsets over the weekend, the Celtics are over .500 for the first time since opening the season 1-0 following a win over Philadelphia. Boston defeated Atlanta at home on Friday and then took out the Thunder last night on the road by 15 points thanks to a 28-11 fourth quarter. That puts the Celtics in a letdown situation for tonight and they are facing the wrong opponent at the wrong time. While the Celtics are trending up, the Rockets are going in the wrong direction as they have dropped three straight games and are now a dismal 4-6 on the season. The defense has been the issue as the Rockets are allowing opponents to shoot 47 percent from the floor while giving up 108.3 ppg. Because of the struggles, Houston is laying a very reasonable number tonight and is actually laying fewer points tonight than they did in their last game against a better Dallas team. Houston is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games following a double-digit loss while going 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (506) Houston Rockets |
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11-15-15 | Blazers v. Hornets UNDER 204.5 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Portland's totals have been all over the place over the last 11 days, ranging from 189.5 to 206 yet the Trailblazers have surpassed the total in each and every game. We are getting a number on the high side for Sunday and we are banking on a lower scoring game and that over streak coming to an end. It is a run that is surprising based on the fact that Portland is just 18th in the NBA in pace, averaging just 99.7 possessions per game. On the other side, Charlotte is 26th in the pace category as it averages just 98.6 possessions per game and its recent run of three straight unders coincides with that. While the Trailblazers have seen totals from all angles, this is the highest one that the Hornets have encountered this season. In all three games that Charlotte has had a total in the 200's, all fell below the mark of what it has here Sunday. This has been a high-scoring series as each of the last three years has resulted in a sweep of the over but again, this is the highest number of them all. 10* Under (705) Portland Trailblazers/(706) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-14-15 | Magic v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
After a 3-1 start, Washington has lost three straight games and none of those were pretty. Losses by 24, 15 and 20 points led to head coach Randy Whitman calling his team out as being soft and lacking confidence. "Effort. That's all it is," Wittman said Friday. "Loose balls. Effort. Who's going to dive on the floor? This team's capable of doing it. They've proven that." During the current losing streak, the Wizards, whose foundation for success during playoff runs the past two seasons was their defense, are giving up 119 ppg. The challenge is to correct that tonight against the surprisingly good Orlando Magic. They have won two straight and four of five games but they are catching Washington at the wrong time for sure. Because of the recent runs, we are getting line value here as Orlando was getting 4.5 points at home against Washington in its opener and now it is getting just one point more on he road. Here, we play on favorites that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams averaging between 98 and 102 ppg, after allowing 120 points or more. This situation is 54-24 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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11-13-15 | Hornets v. Bulls -6.5 | Top | 97-102 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
We have some early season revenge in play tonight with the Bulls as they will be out to avenge a 25-point loss in Charlotte on November 3rd. It has been a very average start to the season for Chicago as it has gone just 3-3 since 2-0 start, the last time it has won consecutive games. The Bulls are coming off a win over the Knicks in their last game which was back on Monday so they have had a good deal of time off to get ready here. Charlotte is also coming off a win over the Knicks in its last game which was a game is really should have lost as a last second three-pointer from New York was overturned even though one of the scoreboards showed there being time remaining. The Hornets have won two straight games and four of their last five games after a 0-3 start but this is not the ideal spot to keep the run going. They have failed to cover both games this season when getting six or more points and going back, they are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a victory. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record while going 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games revenging a loss of 10 points or more. Chicago gets its revenge in a big way tonight. 10* (716) Chicago Bulls |
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11-12-15 | Jazz v. Heat OVER 182 | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
After opening the season with an over against Charlotte, Miami has now gone under the total in its last seven games as the defense has been lights out over that stretch. Because of this, the totals have to be adjusted based on the opponent and tonight sees the lowest over/under that Miami has seen this season. Additionally, this is the first total for the Heat that has been in the 180's and it is on the low end for that matter and going back, Miami is 17-4 to the over in its last 21 home games where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. Utah is coming off a high scoring game in Cleveland to post just its second over of the season and that one also happened to be in the 180's. Utah is also playing solid defense but the key number here is the offensive shooting percentages which are a combined 89 percent. Utah is 4-0 to the over in its last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of .600 or better while the over is 7-1 in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Miami falls into a great situation for a high-scoring game as we play the over involving teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by six or more ppg going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. This situation is 169-109 (60.8 percent) to the over since 1996. 10* Over (501) Utah Jazz/(502) Miami Heat |
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11-11-15 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +7 | Top | 100-84 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Golden St. has started right where it left off from last season as it has rolled to an 8-0 start to be the lone remaining undefeated team in the NBA. The Warriors haven't exactly played the most elite schedule as it is ranked 22nd in the NBA and while it is hard to overlook the fact of winning, lines are getting overadjusted. This is the perfect example of that as Golden St. was favored over Memphis at home nine days ago by nine points and now it is favored on the road over the Grizzlies by seven points and that adjustment is not correct. Memphis lost that game by a whopping 50 points so it is safe to say there will be some payback in mind for tonight. It goes back even further as last season, after taking a 2-1 in the Conference Semifinals, Memphis dropped the final three games of the series all by 13 or more points as Golden St. turned it up a notch. The Grizzlies are off to a 3-5 start this season but their schedule has been very tough as it is ranked third in the league with six of the first eight games taking place on the road and this is the first home game since Halloween following a five-game roadtrip. The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Grizzlies are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (714) Memphis Grizzlies |
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11-10-15 | Knicks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
After starting the season with a perfect 5-0 record, Toronto has dropped its last two games but now comes the perfect opportunity to get back into the win column. A loss in Orlando on Friday was followed up by a 20-point loss in Miami as the offense managed just 76 points so we can expect to see a big turnaround tonight. There is value here as well because of the losing skid as last season, the Raptors were favored by 12 and 12.5 points in the two home meetings. The fact that New York already has three wins is also playing a role in the spread but this is a spot the Knicks should not be looking forward to. They are coming off a win on Sunday against the Lakers which snapped a three-game losing streak and while the defense has been surprisingly solid, the offense continues to struggle and that does not bode well here facing one of the best defenses in the league this season and last season. Toronto has a great league-wide situation on its side as we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing between 98 and 102 ppg, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. Additionally, Toronto is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games after scoring 90 points or fewer in two straight games while the Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win. 10* (508) Toronto Raptors |
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11-08-15 | Raptors v. Heat OVER 190.5 | Top | 76-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Miami and Indiana stayed below the total for us on Friday as we missed the over thanks to a dismal 79-point second half. That is done with and now we are set with a better matchup and an even better number to work with. This is by far the lowest total the Heats have seen this season and a big reason for that is the fact that they have gone under the total in five straight games after opening the season with an over against Charlotte. After opening the season by surpassing the century mark in its first five games, Toronto was held to just 87 points on Friday to suffer its first loss of the season. The defense has been excellent for the Raptors, as was the case last season, but now they go up against a Heat team that is shooting 46.3 percent on the season, good for sixth best in the NBA. Like Miami, Toronto has been on an under run, going below the total in four straight games and similarly to the Heat, this is the lowest total the Raptors have seen as well. Toronto is 13-4 to the over in its last 17 road games where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points while Miami has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 games following a loss. 10* Over (505) Toronto Raptors/(506) Miami Heat |
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11-07-15 | Wizards +4 v. Hawks | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Washington saw its three-game winning streak come to an end last night in Boston as the Wizards were crushed by 20 points. We expected a big effort from the Celtics and got it but now Washington turns its attention to the team that once again has the best record in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta was the surprise of the NBA last season and the Hawks are starting right where they left off as they are off to a 6-1 start which includes wins in six straight games following a season opening loss to Detroit. The Wizards should have some added motivation tonight as it was the Hawks that eliminated them from the playoffs a season ago, a 4-2 series loss in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. This is not a great spot for the Hawks as well as this is their fourth game in five nights so fatigue can always come into play. Going back, the Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Atlanta is the biggest public consensus on the NBA board for today and we go against that here. 10* (705) Washington Wizards |
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11-06-15 | Heat v. Pacers OVER 196.5 | Top | 87-90 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Both Miami and Indiana are off to average starts this season and both have been involved in some very low scoring games this season. I think that changes tonight as we are bucking that trend and going with the value play in what looks to be a high scoring game. The Heat opened the season with an over against Charlotte but since then, they have stayed under the total in four straight games with none of those really coming close to going over. The Pacers meanwhile are off to a similar start where they went over in their first two games but have stayed under the total in their last three games and like Miami, none have been close to surpassing the number. The contrarian approach tonight is to see both streaks broken. From a pace standpoint, both teams are averaging more possessions per game than they did last season so we should see an uptempo style in this matchup. Indiana is 50-32 to the over in its last 82 games when the total is between 190 and 199.5 and 8-3 to the over in its last 11 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, the over is 5-2 in Miami's last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* Over (511) Miami Heat/(512) Indiana Pacers |
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11-06-15 | Hawks v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
After making a playoff run last season, expectations were high in New Orleans but so far, not so good. The Pelicans are off to a 0-4 start to the season and they have failed to cover any game, losing each by a minimum of nine points. Along with the Lakers, they are the only winless team in the Western Conference and that is a distinction they need to avoid. The Hawks meanwhile opened the season with a loss to Detroit but have bounced back with five consecutive wins. All of those have been against average to below average Eastern Conference teams however as the schedule is ranked 26th in the NBA while New Orleans has played the toughest schedule thus far. Going back, the Pelicans are 0-8 in their last eight games but six of those losses have come against Golden St. New Orleans is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games against teams outscoring opponents by three or more ppg while going 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 18-39 ATS in its last 57 games against teams shooting 41 percent or worse. The streak ends tonight for New Orleans. 10* (514) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-06-15 | Wizards v. Celtics +1.5 | Top | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Washington is coming off a last second upset victory at home over San Antonio on Wednesday which was its first home win of the season after getting upset by New York. The Wizards are 2-0 on the road but are facing a desperate team tonight and are not in an ideal situation. Boston opened the season with a victory against Philadelphia, which of course is not saying much, but has since lost three straight games including a two-point loss at Indiana on Wednesday. The Celtics have failed to cover any of those games but that changes tonight. They fall into a solid situation where we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a loss as a favorite. This situation is 59-28 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record and 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games after a win by six points or less. 10* (506) Boston Celtics |
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11-05-15 | Hornets v. Mavs -4 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
After a 0-3 start, the Hornets won their first game of the season in blowout fashion as they rolled over the Bulls on Tuesday by 25 points in a game in which they led by as many as 35 points and also never trailed in. Two losses came against Atlanta while the other was at Miami so the schedule has not been in their favor but Charlotte comes into a tough one here. Dallas opened the season with three straight road games with the lone loss coming against the Clippers and in its home opener, the Raptors pulled away in the fourth quarter with an 11-point win. The Mavericks were good, but not great, at home last season but they still have a big edge here and we are getting a solid line to deal with. I know times change but the gap between these two teams has not narrowed as much as this line is telling us as since 2012, the Mavericks have been favored by 14, 10, 8 and 9.5 in the four home meetings and they won all of those games by more than they are favored by tonight. They have owned this series as the Mavericks have won 23 of the last 24 meetings including every one at home, 14 in a row. Look for Dallas to pull away here before a home-and-home series with New Orleans. 10* (706) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-04-15 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 208 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
Orlando and Houston are coming off their first wins of the season after 0-3 starts as the Magic won last night in New Orleans while the Rockets took care of Oklahoma City on Monday. The offense finally came to life for Houston against the Thunder as it went over the century mark for the first time this season but the defense remains a concern, as it is allowing 107.8 ppg. Despite this, all four of the Rockets games have stayed under the total and we are getting value now because of that. The Magic have now covered all four games this season and while it is tempting to go against that tonight, laying that number with the Houston defense does not seem logical. Orlando has gone under the total in three of four games including the last two games so it also fits into the contrarian situation here as well. The lone game that went over comes against a similar style team as the game with Oklahoma City easily eclipsed the total even before overtime came into play. Orlando is 31-13 to the over in its last 44 games against teams shooting 41 percent or worse while Houston is 7-3 to the over in its last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* Over (511) Orlando Magic/(512) Houston Rockets |
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11-03-15 | Pacers +5 v. Pistons | Top | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Looking at the records of Indiana and Detroit, you would think they should be reversed as the Pacers had higher expectations but they are sitting 0-3 while the Pistons are the undefeated team at 3-0. This is the best start for Detroit since 2008-09 and new head coach Stan Van Gundy certainly has a lot to do with that. Now after being underdogs in the first three games, the Pistons are now overpriced as favorites because of the records and what has happened inside the games. The Pacers have struggled no doubt but Detroit has been getting outplayed despite the wins as it has been outshot by 5.3 percent from the floor. Indiana is still trying to get used to a new system as it looks to bounce back from its worst loss thus far on Saturday against Utah. The Pacers haven't started 0-4 since losing their first nine games in 1988-89 and I do not see the losing streak lasting much longer. With Paul George being back as healthy as ever and the additions of Monta Ellis and Myles Turner gives Indiana a very positive outlook going into the season. Going back to last season, the Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home and they fall into a great contrarian situation where we play on road teams that are coming off a loss as a favorite going up against an opponent coming off a win as a home underdog. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (705) Indiana Pacers |
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11-01-15 | Bucks +7 v. Raptors | Top | 87-106 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
The Bucks were a pleasant surprise last season as they improved by 26 games from 2013-14 and made the playoffs as the sixth seed. While we won't see a similar improvement, Milwaukee has the ability to be better once again. The return of Jabari Parker from injury and the addition of Greg Monroe will improve the offense considerably which we have already seen the first tow game despite losses in both. The Bucks had the second-best defense in the entire NBA last year so the fact they have allowed 122 points and 118 points is shocking. It won't get easier tonight but we will definitely see an improvement. Toronto has won its first two games thanks to a pair of come-from-behind efforts. The Raptors are favored to win the Atlantic Division but that won't take much in the weakest division in the NBA. While the offense is solid, the defense remains a weakness and that could be a problem matchup here. There is not a huge difference or gap in power ratings here yet the line is telling us different and that is due to the records from both sides early in the season. Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road game where the total is between 200 and 209.5 while Toronto is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games coming off a road win by 10 points or more. 10* (705) Milwaukee Bucks |
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10-30-15 | Warriors v. Rockets +2 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
We lost by playing against Golden St. on Tuesday as it was able to pull away from New Orleans in its season opener. 13 more shot attempts and a 21-8 edge in offensive rebounding was the difference but that will not happen tonight and we will go against the reigning champion angle again here, especially as a road favorite against a team that will contend for the Western Conference championship. Houston is coming off a disappointing season opener where it was hammered at home by 20 points against the Nuggets in an awful shooting performance. The Rockets were eliminated in the Western Conference Finals last season by Golden St. in five games so they will be out for some payback. The Rockets are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games coming off a loss as a favorite and we will see a big bounceback effort tonight. 10* (720) Houston Rockets |
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10-30-15 | Wizards v. Bucks +2 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Milwaukee got embarrassed at home in its season opener against one of the worst teams in the NBA which makes them a focused bunch tonight as it takes the home floor again. The big thing from Wednesday was the fact that the Bucks allowed 122 points and this was from the second best defense in the NBA a season ago. Giannis Antetokounmpo returns to the lineup after a one-game suspension which also helps. Washington won in Orlando by a point and comes in as a road favorite once again. This is a very public team and with overadjusted lines, Washington went 33-46-3 ATS last season. Going back, the Wizards are 5-22-1 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss and here, we play on teams coming off a loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, that had a winning percentage between .401 and .499 last season. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (712) Milwaukee Bucks |
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10-30-15 | Thunder v. Magic +8.5 | Top | 139-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a quality win over San Antonio in its season opener but now comes in as an overpriced road favorite tonight. This is an odd scheduling spot as the Thunder have Denver and Houston on deck over the weekend and this can be a lookahead situation. Orlando dropped a tough one in its opener as it fell by a point against Washington. The Magic covered as a home underdog and we should see that a lot this season. Despite just 25 wins last season, the Magic finished above .500 at the betting window and they have been so bad for so long, expectations are low once again which can lead to many good betting opportunities. Expect a full effort tonight from Orlando which head out on the road for three straight games as well as five of its next six. 10* (706) Orlando Magic |
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10-28-15 | Wolves v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 112-111 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
The Lakers are one of the teams in the Western Conference that we don't know much about because of their youth and the health of Kobe Bryant. One thing is for certain though and that is the talent is far superior than the opposition tonight and the fact the Lakers are the first to play at the Staples Center (over the Clippers) is a big deal. Bryant will set a league record for most seasons played with one franchise, surpassing John Stockton, who played for the Jazz from the 1984-85 season until his retirement after 2002-03. Julius Randle and D'Angelo Russell are the future of the franchise which adds to the added excitement of this home opener. The Timberwolves are expected to struggle again this season after finishing with the worst record in the NBA last season, a miserable 50 games under .500. While preseason games typically do not factor into regular season betting analysis, it is hard to ignore the fact that Minnesota struggled immensely as three of five losses were by 22 or more points and that is a big problem. The Timberwolves won only seven games on the road last season and while the Lakers were not a lot better at home, they were banged up all season. This is a much different team and one that is healthy which is certainly huge in the beginning of the season. 10* (728) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +10 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
This is one of the best scenarios to go against on opening day. It is banner day in Golden St. and we know what that means. The Warriors will be lowering their 2014-15 NBA Championship banner on Tuesday night and playing a basketball game is not at the forefront for the players right now. This is a huge event and with that comes a lot of distractions. Players have been saying that once the banner is lowered and the game starts, they will be focused but that is easier said than done. Now let's go back to the NBA Champion angle. Prior NBA Champions are usually slow starting out of the gate the following season since their lines are over-adjusted to start the season. The last 14 NBA Champions (San Antonio, Dallas, Boston, San Antonio four times, Miami three times, Detroit and LA Lakers three times) have combined for a 42-71 ATS mark (37.2 percent) through their first two weeks of the following year. Distractions and overvaluation are definitely keys to this. We have seen it in the season opening game for the reigning NBA Champions for seven of the last nine seasons including last season when the Spurs failed to cover. Golden St. took care of Cleveland to win its first NBA Championship since 1975 and there will be a bullseye on their backs all season. That surely starts tonight for New Orleans which will be out for revenge after getting swept in the Conference Quarterfinals in four games. The Pelicans finished 45-37 last season to finish eighth in the Western Conference and they should only get better. They have covered 28 of their last 42 games as underdogs and will keep this one tight. 10* (505) New Orleans Pelicans |