Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #211 UAB Blazers over BYU Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 18 ABC) BYU is the better team and had the better season, but that does not mean much in these lesser bowl games. The Cougars are disappointed to be playing in this bowl game and I just do not believe their players and staff are motivated to be playing in Shreveport, LA. BYU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of December. UAB will have the crowd edge and should be able to take this game down to the wire. |
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12-18-21 | UTEP +12.5 v. Fresno State | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #209 UTEP Miners over Fresno State Bulldogs (2:15p.m., Saturday, December 18 ESPN) Fresno State likely believes they belong in a better bowl game, but the MWC has agreements with a lot of bad bowl games. Throw in the fact they lost coach and some staff to Washington, and we will grab the points in this game. UTEP did not finish up the regular season well, but some time off will do them good in this game. Fresno State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 96 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #318 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, December 4 CBS) Georgia has the best defense in the country but they have not played a quarterback like Bryce Young. Alabama will be able to move the football and put-up points against this defense and I am not sold on how Georgia will respond when that occurs. Stetson Bennett is a game manager, and I was not impressed with him last season. He has been efficient this season but has not faced any pressure. Alabama needs this game to make the college football playoff and Georgia will still make the playoff even if they lose this game. That is a big difference and will allow Alabama to win this game straight-up. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Georgia and Alabama. The Crimson Tide is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 76 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Utah Utes over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Saturday, December 4 FOX) Rematches can be tricky but I just believe Utah has the better quarterback and the better all-around team. Utah beat Oregon 38-7 two weeks ago and the Utes will enter having won 5 straight games. The Utes are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 conference games. Oregon is 8-20 ATS in tier last 28 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Utah wins the PAC-12 and heads to Pasadena. |
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11-27-21 | Notre Dame -19 v. Stanford | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Stanford Cardinal (8 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FOX) Not sure why this is a primetime game since Stanford is one of the worst teams in college football this season. They are ravaged with injuries, and they are playing a team that is desperate to make a statement. Notre Dame still has a shot to make the CFP with some help and looked good last week destroying Georgia Tech by a score of 55-0. Stanford has gotten blown out the last three week by Utah, Oregon State, and Cal. Notre Dame is better than all those teams. |
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11-27-21 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +7 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #184 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Wisconsin Badgers (4 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FOX) Every year this game is played for Paul Bunyan’s Ax, but this year the game may also mean a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game. Nebraska showed last week that you can score points and move the football against this Wisconsin defense, and Minnesota should have similar success as well. Minnesota has the defense to stop the Wisconsin rushing attack. And if that happens, I do not believe QB Mertz can beat them through the air. It is very simple for Minnesota to take this game down to the wire, stop the run and avoid turnovers. The underdog is 9-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 14 matchups between Wisconsin and Minnesota. |
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11-27-21 | Indiana v. Purdue -15 | Top | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 74 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #174 Purdue Boilermakers over Indiana Hoosiers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FS1) BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR It can be dangerous laying this many points in the Old Oaken Bucket Game, but Indiana is the worst team in the Big Ten. Injuries have taken their toll on this team, and they have scored over 15 points just one time since September. The Hoosiers are just 2-9 ATS and are one of a handful of teams without a conference win in 2021. Purdue has covered the spread in 4 straight games against Indiana and are 9-3 ATS dating back to 2008. For Purdue to win and cover they need to take care of the football on offense and pressure the Indiana quarterback. If they do that, they should win by 20+ points. Purdue is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Indiana in West Lafayette. |
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11-26-21 | Iowa -1 v. Nebraska | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #125 Iowa Hawkeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (1:30 p.m., Friday, November 26 BTN) Nebraska is 29-19 in this series all-time, but Iowa has won 6 straight games. All of Nebraska’s 8 losses this season were by single digits, but they are without their starting quarterback for this game. Iowa is one of the most overrated 9-2 teams in the country, but they will not beat themselves and I do not see a back-up quarterback lighting up the scoreboard against them. Iowa is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a road favorite. Nebraska is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. |
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11-20-21 | UCLA -3 v. USC | 62-33 | Win | 100 | 96 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #381 UCLA Bruins over Southern Cal Trojans (4p.m., Saturday, November 20 FOX) This is a rivalry game so USC will be up for it, but they just do not have the talent to be competitive against UCLA on Saturday. USC has an interim coach, and this is the year UCLA can get them with an edge in talent. The Bruins beat the team that are supposed to beat in 2021, mainly when their opponent cannot stop the run. That should be the case again on Saturday. |
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11-20-21 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | 28-35 | Loss | -117 | 95 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #364 Wisconsin Badgers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 20 ABC) Wisconsin has been dominating opponents in the Big 10 West and I see a similar occurrence today. The Badgers are 10-4 in this series having won 7 straight games. Nebraska made major changes on the offensive side of the football, and I do not think it will help as long as Taylor Martinez in the quarterback. Wisconsin defense is playing at a record setting level and this will be the best defense Nebraska as seen in 2021. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 5 straight Big 10 games. |
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11-20-21 | East Carolina -3.5 v. Navy | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #383 East Carolina Pirates over Navy Midshipmen (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 20 CBSSN) The Pirates have been a covering machine of late and will enter this game having won three straight games. Navy will enter having lost 4 of their last 5 games and they are just 2-7 overall on the season. East Carolina has covered the spread in 7 straight games. They are decent against stopping the run and are allowing just 320 total yards in conference play. The road team has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings between East Carolina and Navy. Expect East Carolina to jump out early and cruise to a double-digit victory. |
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11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #322 Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (9p.m., Friday, November 19 FS1) Nevada should be able to bounce back and move the football on the ground and through the air on Friday. They had a devastating loss to San Diego State last Saturday but expect them to bounce back playing a team that will have trouble stopping the pass. Nevada defense will give up some yards on the ground but hopefully they will come up big in the redzone and hold the Falcons to field goal attempts. Air Force will be playing their second straight road game and that will catch up to them in this game. Nevada is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference home games. The Force is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL -2.5 v. Florida State | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #201 Miami Hurricanes over Florida State Seminoles (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 13 ESPN) Remember when this game was must watch TV? That is certainly not the case now, but Miami has quietly been playing decent football of late. They have won 3 straight games and their last two losses before than just can by a combined 5 points. Miami has won 4 straight in this rivalry including winning last year by a score of 52-10. Florida State will enter off two double-digits losses (Clemson should not have been) and losing has taken its toll on this program. They cannot seem to find the right coach and they will be lucky to win one of their three remaining games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between Miami and FSU. The Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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11-06-21 | San Jose State v. Nevada -10 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #418 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (10p.m., Saturday, November 6 FS2) Nevada is a much better team in 2021 than is San Jose State. The Spartans won the conference last year but are a completely different team in 2021 and starting quarterback Nick Starkel has been out since September 25. His backup is more of a running quarterback and look for Nevada to take that away in this game. The Wolf Pack offense is dynamic through the air and have beaten San Jose State 6 times in the last 8 meetings (5-3 ATS). SJSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Nevada is 20-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. |
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11-06-21 | Temple v. East Carolina -15 | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 East Carolina Pirates over Temple Owls (3p.m., Saturday, November 6 ESPN+) This play is all about fading Temple, as they have lost three straight games and been outscored 135-24. All five of Temple’s losses in 2021 have come over today’s posted number. ECU got back on track last week against USF winning by 15 points and I see them winning this game by over 20 points. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Temple and East Carolina. Temple is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-06-21 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +15 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 6 FOX) Nebraska has a better offense than Penn State does, and the Lions exposed Ohio State’s defense last week. Ohio State was killing bad teams before their game last week and I am not ready to label Nebraska in that group just yet. Look for Nebraska to play hard in this game, yet find a way to lose it in brutal fashion by around 7-10 points. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games during the month of November. Nebraska is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games following a straight-up loss. |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State -18.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #190 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 30 ABC) Ohio State has been rolling of late winning 5 straight games and all of them have come by more points than tonight’s posted number. Penn State could not run the football against Illinois, and they are gassed after losing to the Illini in 9 overtimes. QB Clifford did return from an injury against Iowa but did not look good, throwing for just 165 yards on 56% completions. Penn State is going to have to score points to stay in this game and I just do not believe that is something they can do at this stage of the season. Ohio State still has a great chance to make the college football playoff if they win out and win convincingly. They have scored at least 52 points in their last four games and if they hit that number on Saturday, they will win this game with ease. Penn State is 4-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games following a loss in their previous game. Ohio State is 13-5 ATS in tier last 18 games following an ATS win in their previous game. The James Franklin to USC rumors heat up and Penn State continues to lose games, this one coming by 20+ points. |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 ESPN) You have an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team, but I do not buy the metrics on Wisconsin. The Badgers have a terrible quarterback and if Hawkeyes can stop the run, they will have trouble moving the football. Iowa is solid on defense as well and if they can take care of the football they should win this game straight-up. Wisconsin got 5 turnovers last week against Purdue and only had to throw 8 passes. Iowa turned it over 4 times two weeks ago against Purdue and lost of them. Do you see a trend about what Iowa needs to do to win this game? The road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings between Iowa and Wisconsin. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4.5 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Michigan State Spartans over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 FOX) This is just too many points for a true road game against a team Michigan has not done well against in the past. Michigan State is 9-4 straight-up and 11-2 ATS against Michigan since 2008. Both defenses are tough against the run and whoever can make plays in the passing game will likely win this game. I feel Michigan State has the best player on the field in Heisman candidate Kenneth Walker III and a strong showing in this game will vault him up the standing. Michigan State is coming off a bye week to get healthy and I just do not see them getting run off the field against Michigan. Coach Harbaugh still has a terrible record against ranked teams and if this game is close in the fourth quarter, I expect Michigan State to win it straight-up. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of October. Take the points in this game, as I believe the wrong team is favored. |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Illinois Fighting Illini (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 BTN) Just do not know who Illinois will bounce back after a 9 overtime win last time out against Penn State. Rutgers is coming off a bye last week and Illinois still have major issues at quarterback. Illinois has proven they can lose to anyone, and I just feel Rutgers is further along in year two with Greg Schiano compared to year 1 of Bret Bielema. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Rutgers and Illinois. |
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10-23-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. Fresno State | 32-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #409 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (7 p.m., Saturday, October 23 FS2) Just feel Nevada as the better team getting points is too good to pass up. Nevada has won 4 of the last 6 games with Fresno State, and they have an explosive offense led by an NFL prospect at quarterback in Carson Strong. Nevada is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Nevada and Fresno State. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. |
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10-23-21 | New Mexico +20 v. Wyoming | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #369 New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 Stadium) This line is an overaction to how bad New Mexico looked on offense last week. They need to make a quarterback change, and I expect them to be better on Saturday against Wyoming. The Cowboys are not an offensive juggernaut, scoring just 25 points per game, and that does not bode well when trying to cover this big of a spread. The best coach on the sidelines is Rocky Long, and he will have the Lobos defense ready to stop the running attack of Wyoming. New Mexico is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings against Wyoming. That includes 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games in Laramie. |
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10-23-21 | Rice v. UAB -23 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #386 UAB Blazers over Rice Owls (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 ESPN+) UAB has dominated this series of late, winning 4 straight games. These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions with Rice being blown out last week by UTSA and barely beating Southern Miss the week before. All 4 of Rice’s losses have come by at least 21 points. The Blazers have won 4 of their last 5 games and pitched a shutout last time out against SMU. Rice is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in Birmingham. UAB is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 home games. |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +3 | 30-13 | Loss | -104 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #394 Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers (3 p.m., Saturday, October 23 BTN) Purdue is coming off an impressive win against Iowa, and look for a carry over into this game. Purdue has a chance to win the Big Ten West if they beat Wisconsin, a team that still has no identity on offense. Wisconsin was again terrible on offense against Army, and QB Mertz appears to be a bust as a successful Big Ten quarterback. If Purdue takes care of the football, they will win this game. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Coach Chryst just does not seem to have any answers when his offense cannot overpower teams by running the football. |
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10-16-21 | Army v. Wisconsin OVER 39 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #134 OVER in Army Black Knights @ Wisconsin Badgers (8p.m., Saturday, October 16 BTN) Wisconsin has a great defense but playing a triple option is just something they do not see very often in the Big 10. Army will be able to move the football and score some points in this game and that sets up a strong play with the over. Wisconsin should be able to overpower Army on offense and also make some plays in the passing game. Wisconsin has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game. Just do not see this low of a total in college football and expect the combined score to be in the forties. |
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10-16-21 | Colorado State -10 v. New Mexico | Top | 36-7 | Win | 100 | 97 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #155 Colorado State Rams over New Mexico Lobos (7p.m., Saturday, October 16 Stadium) Just feel these two teams are going in opposite directions. The Rams are dominated the Lobos over the last decade going 10-0 straight-up and 8-2 against the spread. New Mexico really has trouble moving the football averaging just over 200 yards per game during this 4-game losing streak. They are averaging just 7 points per game over this losing streak. The favorite is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 games between Colorado State and New Mexico. The Lobos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following an loss in their previous game. |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #181 Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 16 ABC) Iowa is coming off a big win last week over Penn State, a game they likely would not have won if Penn State did not lose their quarterback. Now they face a poor man’s version of themselves in Purdue, a team that also have a strong defense. Expect a low scoring game and I believe Purdue keeps the deficit in single digits. Purdue has beaten Iowa in 3 of the last 4 meetings including 2020. If they can take care of the football they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Purdue and Iowa. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. |
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10-16-21 | Rutgers -2 v. Northwestern | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 5 m | Show | |
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #151 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 12 BTN) These are two of the worst teams in the conference and I see Rutgers coming out on top in a true road game. Rutgers has played better on the road this season covering the spread in both games. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top play winners on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 50 years of handicapping experience work for you. |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (12p.m., Saturday, October 16 ESPN2) Nebraska continues to be a tough luck team and I see no reason why that will change today in a true road game at TCF Bank Stadium. Minnesota does not look that impressive this year but they have a veteran quarterback and are coming off a bye week. Just expect this game to go down to the wire and the line movement towards Nebraska makes this a strong play on Minnesota. The home team is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between Nebraska and Minnesota. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 Big 10 games. |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take South Alabama Jaguars over Georgia Southern Eagles (7:30p.m., Thursday, October 14 ESPN) This game features two teams desperate for a win and we will side with the home team tonight in Mobile. USA has never beaten Georgia Southern but that will end tonight. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Jaguars are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. |
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10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska +3.5 | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 96 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) Michigan finally won a big game last week against Wisconsin and now I believe Nebraska and Coach Frost will do the same this Saturday in Lincoln. Back-to-Back road games are always a tough situation and that is what Michigan will face tonight. Nebraska has a better offense than does Wisconsin and they are coming off their best performance of the season. Michigan is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games. Quietly, Nebraska has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games (1 push). |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #396 Iowa Hawkeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (4p.m., Saturday, October 9 FOX) This is a great matchup from the Big 10 and does not feature Ohio State. Just not sure Penn State is all the way back and playing in Iowa City will be their toughest challenge of the season. The Nittany Lions have a brutal schedule this season and I expect them to have three or more losses come December. Iowa is playing outstanding defense and getting takeaways at an unbelievable clip. Penn state does not have a dynamic offense and I really feel they will have trouble scoring points in this game. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Penn State and Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Iowa moves into the top 3 in the country after a win today at home. |
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10-09-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +10 | 24-0 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #376 Illinois Fighting Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 BTN) We went against Wisconsin each of the last two weeks and easily won and we will look to complete the trifecta on Saturday. This game will be full of emotions on both sidelines as former Wisconsin Coach Bret Bielema now the head man at Illinois. But this play just comes down to us not trusting the Wisconsin offense. If Illinois can take care of the football and not beat themselves, they will be able to keep this game in single digits. Wisconsin is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Illinois is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up victory. |
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10-09-21 | Oklahoma -3 v. Texas | Top | 55-48 | Win | 100 | 88 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #379 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Longhorns (12p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) The Cotton Bowl is the site for this annual edition of the Red River Rivalry. Oklahoma has just been getting by of late and thus the spread in this game has dropped to around a field goal. Oklahoma has won 9 of the last 12 meetings and if they win today, they should be able to cover this small spread as well. I still believe Oklahoma’s best football is still ahead of them and it will start on Saturday. |
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10-02-21 | Arizona State v. UCLA -3 | 42-23 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #222 UCLA Bruins over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 2 FS1) UCLA still does not seem to get any love and I feel this spread should be closer to a touchdown than a field goal. This Arizona State team is overvalued and beating Colorado last week does not impress me whatsoever. The Buffaloes do not have a quarterback like Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and he should be able to pick apart this Sun Devils team like he did last week against Stanford. Arizona State lost their only road game to BYU by double-digits and this will be another loss by around double-digits. UCLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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10-02-21 | Washington State v. California OVER 51.5 | 21-6 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #163 Over in Washington State Cougars @ California Bears (5:30p.m., Saturday, October 2 PAC 12 Network) Cal has a defensive minded coach but they have given up 30+ points in their last 3 games. Those games came against TCU, Sacramento State, and Washington, teams that are not dynamic offenses. I see both teams reaching 30+ points in this game and thus we will side with the over. Washington State has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games. |
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10-02-21 | Michigan +2 v. Wisconsin | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #199 Michigan Wolverines over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 FOX) This line moved but ways with Michigan being favored on Monday, but Tuesday saw it move back to Wisconsin being the favorite. Either way I just do not trust the Wisconsin offense and feel Michigan is the better all-around team. QB Mertz has his best game of his career last year at Michigan, but it has been mostly downhill ever since. He has major issues heading into this game and it will not surprise me if he has a short leash in this game. Michigan finally has a quarterback, and he will be to make some plays through the air because I do not see Michigan being able to run the football much in this game. Michigan is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. |
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10-02-21 | Minnesota v. Purdue -2 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #120 Purdue Boilermakers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 BTN) Purdue has some injuries on the offensive side of the football, but this is a game Coach Brohm wants badly. Purdue lost to Minnesota last year when a go-ahead touchdown was called back on a terrible offensive pass interference call. Everyone who saw that play was upset with the call and payback will be coming this Saturday. Minnesota is coming off a terrible loss to Bowling Green last week, a terrible MAC team that was a 30+ point underdog. QB Tanner Morgan has not been himself so far in 2021 and this will be the best defense he has had to face so far in 2021. The home team is 11-5 ATS (1 push) in the last 17 games between Minnesota and Purdue. This will be a defensive battle, but Purdue wants it more and wins it by double-digits. |
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09-25-21 | Kentucky -5 v. South Carolina | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 40 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #315 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 ESPN2) Kentucky did not perform well last week against an inferior FCS team and could have lost that game. We now have a more favorable line and can attack this game with the veteran coach facing a first-year head coach in Shane Beamer. Kentucky is 6-1 straight-up and ATS in their last 7 games against South Carolina. Kentucky should be able to run the ball successfully in this game and I like their defense a lot better than I do South Carolinas. Kentucky is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS in tier last 7 SEC games. They backdoored their way to a cover last week against Georgia, still lost by 27 points, but that will not happen today. Kentucky is further along in year 9 of Mark Stoops compared to year 1 on Shane Beamer. |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -5 | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #400 Michigan State Spartans over Nebraska Cornhuskers (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 FS1) Nebraska put forth a good effort last week against Oklahoma but I just do not see them being able to get up for this game after yet another loss under Coach Scott Frost. Michigan State has made great strides in year two under Mel Tucker and they are one of the most surprising teams thus far in 2021. Nebraska has trouble stopping the run last week and Kenneth Walker should have a field day against them in this game. Nebraska has played well in this series since joining the Big 10, but I just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions at this point in their respective coach’s career. |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -109 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #364 Stanford Cardinal over UCLA Bruins (6p.m., Saturday, September 25 PAC 12 Network) UCLA just cannot handle prosperity and now must travel on the road for this first time in 2021 after a bad loss to Fresno State last Saturday. Stanford has been going along nicely since losing to Kansas State in their first game of the season. Once Tanner McKee has been inserted into the line-up this team has gelled and has been able to score points including 42 against USC two weeks ago. The Cardinal will be playing their first home game after 7 straight road games. Stanford has owned this series under David Shaw winning 12 of the last 13 meetings (11-2 ATS). Just do not think UCLA is back yet and laying points on the road in a conference game is never a spot to back them. UCLA found a way to lose last week, and I see this game going down to the wire as well. UCLA is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. Stanford is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdog. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 72 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, September 25 FOX) This is too many points to be giving for this neutral site matchup. Both teams have issues and I just do not see a blowout in this game. I expect it to go down to the wire and you can bet Irish QB Coan wants to play well against his former team. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. South Ben is closer to Chicago than is Madison and that means Notre Dame will have a big crowd in the Windy City. |
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09-18-21 | East Carolina v. Marshall -10 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Marshall Thundering Herd over East Carolina Pirates (6p.m., Saturday, September 18 Stadium) East Carolina blew the game last week against South Carolina and now must face a better Marshall team in their first true road game of the season. East Carolina has scored just 36 total points in two games this season. Marshall has been lighting up the scoreboard in their two games this season and has received impressive play from QB Grant Wells, who has thrown for over 300 yards in both games this season. The Pirates are 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 nonconference games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between these former rivals. East Carolina cannot score enough points to keep this deficit in single digits. |
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09-18-21 | Purdue +7 v. Notre Dame | 13-27 | Loss | -100 | 92 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Purdue Boilermakers over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2:30p.m., Saturday, September 18 NBC) The Irish got a scare last week from Toledo and now will face the most talented team they have seen in 2021 through 3 games. Notre Dame has a quarterback controversy and a defense that has not been stopping teams whatsoever. The Irish have been giving up a ton of sacks as well. The underdog is 13-2 ATS in the last 15 games Purdue has played in. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in-state teams. Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Big 10 teams. |
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09-18-21 | Nevada -1.5 v. Kansas State | 17-38 | Loss | -115 | 91 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #135 Nevada Wolf Pack over Kansas State Wildcats (2p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN+) Nevada is for real and they are catching the Wildcats at the right time, with their starting Quarterback Skylar Thompson out with a knee injury. The Pack were able to cruise last week against an FCS opponent and we see know that their victory in week 1 against Cal was a decent win. K-State struggled last week against Southern Illinois, and I do not see them being able to keep pace with Nevada unless turnovers play a role in this game. Nevada has covered the spread in 5 straight non-conference games. K-State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-18-21 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Buffalo | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Buffalo Bulls (12p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN2) This would have been a great game last year but Buffalo lost their coach and has fallen off in 2021. They got destroyed last week at Nebraska and they will have trouble if the Chanticleers can stop the run. Buffalo lost their top receiver and top running backs from 2020. Coastal Carolina is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games overall. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. |
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09-11-21 | Missouri v. Kentucky -5 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 11 SECN) Just feel Kentucky is farther along with Mark Stoops ninth year compared to Eliah Drinkwitz in his second season. Missouri struggled last week against Central Michigan and Kentucky should signs that then can pass the football with a new offensive coordinator in Lexington this season. Missouri struggled to stop Central Michigan giving us a bunch of passing yards. Despite losing by 10 points last year, Kentucky has still won 5 of 6 against Missouri. The Tigers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games. Kentucky is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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09-11-21 | NC State -2.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #361 NC State Wolfpack over Mississippi State Bulldogs (7p.m., Saturday, September 11 ESPN2) This is a classic case of an SEC team playing an ACC team at home and thus the number does not fully reflect the talent disparity between the two teams. Mike Leach is not Lane Kiffin when it comes to offenses in the SEC, the Bulldogs were not able to run the ball at all against Louisiana Tech last week. The La Tech Bulldogs blew that game last week being outscored 21-3 in the fourth quarter and missing a field goal at the buzzer to lose by 1 point. NC State has two strong running backs, and they return their entire secondary. This will not shutdown the Bulldogs passing attack but I expect them to be able to hold their own. NC State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Mississippi State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against ACC teams. |
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09-11-21 | California v. TCU -11 | 32-34 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #346 TCU Horned Frogs over Cal Golden Bears (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 11 ESPNU) We went against Cal last week as our top play and will do so again this week. They are a lifeless team and only scored 3 points in the last 3 quarters against Nevada. Now they must face another veteran team with a proven head coach in Gary Patterson. They finished strong in 2020 and will enter this game having won 4 straight. Nevada torn them apart last week and expect Max Duggan to pick them apart as well. The Golden Bears are 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. The Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games as a favorite. |
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09-11-21 | Pittsburgh -3 v. Tennessee | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 70 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #315 Pittsburgh Panthers over Tennessee Volunteers (12p.m., Saturday, September 11 ESPN) Tennessee struggled on offense against a terrible mid-major last Thursday and now must face a real team with a defensive minded coach. The Panthers return most of their skill players on offense including Kenny Pickett. Tennessee had yet another coaching change and now must learn a new system under Josh Heupel. QB Joe Milton was terrible last week going 11 for 23 and just 140 yards. Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 nonconference games. Tennessee has a ton of trends to fade them including going 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. |
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09-04-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. California | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 101 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #217 Nevada Wolf Pack over California Golden Bears (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 4 FS1) Just believe Nevada is better on both sides of the football, especially on offense. The Wolf Pack have an NFL prospect in Carson Strong and will have a bunch of fans at this game trying to get away from the smokey conditions in Reno. Cal is just 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games as a home favorite and this line has the wrong team favored. The Bears went just 1-3 last season and all 3 of those losses were against bad teams. This is the year Nevada is expected to make a run for the MWC Championship and it will start on Saturday. This line is just a Power 5 team playing at home so the public will jump on that number. In reality Nevada has better talent, and they will win this game straight-up. |
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09-04-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Texas OVER 58 | 18-38 | Loss | -108 | 95 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #188 Over in Louisiana Ragin Cajuns @ Texas Longhorns (4:30p.m., Saturday, September 4 FOX) The Steve Sarkisian era gets underway Saturday afternoon in Austin against one of the better mid-major programs in the country. The spread looks inviting, but we will instead not bite on that and focus on the over. Texas has averaged 56 points against Louisiana in their last two meetings. Texas averaged 42 points last season and if they hit that mark on Saturday, we should easily hit the over. Louisiana has gone over the posted total in 10 of their last 12 games against Big 12 teams. Texas has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games. |
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09-04-21 | Marshall v. Navy +2.5 | 49-7 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #178 Navy Midshipmen over Marshall Thundering Herd (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 4 CBSSN) We all remember Navy looking helpless last year against BYU in the opening game on Labor Day. But that has a rare situation for Coach Niumatalolo, as his 2020 team did not have time in practice to work on any fundamentals. They also faced the No. 2 pick in the draft and now they get to face a team in Marshall with a first-year head coach. The Thundering Herd never seem to be satisfied with their coach despite having a great tradition and winning records. That will catch up to them in this game, as Navy will pull the upset. Marshall is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Navy is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. |
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09-04-21 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #166 Wisconsin Badgers over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, September 4 FOX) This is one of the best Big 10 opening games in recent memory. We will follow the line movement that keeps going higher, as Wisconsin will be pumped up for a full stadium of fans. Wisconsin has revenge on their minds having lost 4 straight games to Penn State. The Lions are just 3-6 in their last 9 games as a road underdog and have only covered the spread 1 time in their opening game over the last 4 years. The home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings between Penn State and Wisconsin. |
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09-02-21 | Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 | 6-38 | Loss | -108 | 50 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Tennessee Volunteers over Bowling Green Falcons (8p.m., Thursday, September 2 SECN) Bowling Green is terrible and they were not competitive in any of their 5 games last season (went 0-5 straight-up and 1-4 ATS). Tennessee has a new coach in Josh Heupel and he will bring an up-tempo offense that can score points in a hurry. Tennessee needs to get their fans behind this program and with a brutal schedule ahead this is a game they need to dominate and win by close to 50 points. Bowling Green is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 road games. |
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08-28-21 | Connecticut v. Fresno State UNDER 63 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 66 h 18 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #305 Under in Connecticut Huskies @ Fresno State Bulldogs (2p.m., Saturday, August 28 CBSSN) Yeah, UCONN decided to play football this year! Not playing last year gave Coach Randy Edsall another year that he does not serves as head coach of this team. For the Huskies to have any chance in this game they will need to control the ball on offense and run some clock on each possession. Fresno State is not an offensive juggernaut going 3-3 last year and only scored 40 points in 1 of their 6 games played. Expect a score in the mid-50s and we will look to collect with the under in this affair. |
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05-16-21 | Sam Houston State +5.5 v. South Dakota State | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 308903 Sam Houston State Bearkats over South Dakota State Jackrabbits (2p.m., Sunday, May 16 ABC) The line is going up and I feel that the Bearkats have what it takes to take this game down to the wire. The Missouri Valley Conference was not as strong this season, but still got credit based on the strength of NDSU this decade. The Jackrabbits are the best team in the league, but this will be far and away the most explosive team they have seen in 2021. San Houston State had no business winning last week against James Madison, but they scored 28 points in under 3 minutes and held on against James Madison last week. They have a huge edge in this game since it is being played in Texas and they can bus to the game (about a 3-hour trip). This game will go down to the wire and we will come out on top with whoever pulls it out by a field goal. |
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05-08-21 | James Madison +1 v. Sam Houston State | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308973 James Madison Dukes over Sam Houston State Bearkats (2:30p.m., Saturday, May 8 ABC) A battle of unbeatens is set to do battle at Bowers Stadium in Huntsville, TX on Saturday with a television broadcast on ABC. The Dukes are outstanding at ball control and I feel they have the better defense in this game. James Madison honestly believes they should be hosting this game and expect them to make a statement in this game as they advance onto the championship game (also being played in Texas). SHS is coming off a big win last week against North Dakota State, the dominate team over the last decade in FCS and I just do not know how much left they will have for this game. NDSU was nowhere near as strong this season and SHS still had to hold onto dear life to beat them. JMU has a much better quarterback than what NDSU showed last week and that will be the different today. |
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05-02-21 | North Dakota v. James Madison -2.5 | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 52 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308958 James Madison Dukes over North Dakota Fighting Hawks (6p.m., Sunday, May 2 ESPN2) Just feel the Hawks are getting to much publicity in this game due to the conference that they played in. North Dakota State destroyed them on March 20, and they have not been able to play many games since then. James Madison is not flashy at the quarterback position and they are rock solid on defense and I just do not see them losing this game at home. The Dukes were upset when they were given a No. 3 seed in the FCS Playoffs and expect them to march onto the final four with a victory on Sunday at home. We will lay the small points and expect close to a double-digit win. |
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04-24-21 | Southern Illinois +4.5 v. Weber State | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308919 Southern Illinois Salukis over Weber State Wildcats (4p.m., Saturday, April 24 ESPNU) The Wildcats were a top 5 team going into the spring season, went undefeated and yet are only around a 4-point favorite against a 5-3 team. How is that possible? That is because they have not looked that impressive against fledging team that did not make the playoffs. Their last 4 wins have come by a combined 18 points and Southern Illinois is the strongest team that they will have faced in the spring season. Southern Illinois has wins over Northern Iowa and North Dakota State this season and played in the highly competitive Missouri Valley Conference. Weber State is just playing with fire each and every week and that will bite them on Saturday. Southern Illinois wins this game straight-up and getting points is just icing on the cake. |
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04-17-21 | Richmond +12 v. James Madison | Top | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308995 Richmond Spiders over James Madison Dukes (2p.m., Saturday, April 17 Flo Football) The two best teams in the CAA are finally set to do battle Saturday in Harrisonburg, VA. Both teams have had the last two weeks off and both teams are undefeated in 2021. I just do not see a blowout in this game since it means more to Richmond with regards to making the FCS Playoffs. Both teams are strong on offense scoring over 30 points per game and I just do not believe the Dukes will be able to completely shutdown Joe Mancuso and company. This is the toughest opponent James Madison will have played in 2021 and while I see them winning, I expect a battle for 60 minutes. Grab the points in this battle of unbeaten teams. |
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03-27-21 | Elon v. Richmond -11 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308958 Richmond Spiders -11 over Elon Phoenix (4p.m., Saturday, March 27 NBC Sports Washington/FLO SPORTS) FCS GAME OF THE YEAR We have faded the Phoenix the last two weeks and easily won both games and now we look to complete the trifecta on Saturday. These two teams met two weeks ago in Elon and Richmond won that game 38-14. The selection just comes down to the fact the Phoenix are using their third or fourth string quarterback. Neither one is any good and expect the Spiders to stock the box and force them to beat them through the air, something they have not been capable of doing in 2021. Elon is getting beat up and they are 1-4 on the season with 3 of those losses coming by at least 21 points. Richmond will dominate this game for 60 minutes and win by 20+ points. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-06-21 | UC Davis v. Idaho -3.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #308938 Idaho Vandals over UC Davis Aggies (3p.m., Saturday, March 6 Pluto TV) Idaho had one of the most impressive upsets of the year beating Eastern Washington last week by 7 points. Now they face a lesser team in UC Davis and also get to face them raw, as the Aggies have yet to play a game in 2021. Idaho likes to throw the football and should find little resistance from UC Davis in this game. Throw in the fact that UC Davis is coached by noted loser Dan Hawkins and I see this being a double-digit victory for the home team. The Vandals will shutdown the run for a second straight week and make UC Davis one-dimensional. |
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03-04-21 | South Dakota v. North Dakota OVER 47 | 10-21 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #308902 Over in South Dakota @ North Dakota (6p.m., Thursday, March 4 ESPN+) Just believe both offensives are strong enough to score in the twenties and that should set up a win with the over in this game. This total appears to be over adjusted from most games going under the posted total in the first two weeks of action. South Dakota has created 8 turnovers in two games and I just do not see that happening against this strong team in North Dakota. The Fighting Hawks have the two best wins of any FCS team thus far in 2021 and expect them to light-up the scoreboard on Thursday. |
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02-28-21 | Tennessee State v. Austin Peay State UNDER 56 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308989 Under in Tennessee State @ Austin Peay (3p.m., Sunday, February 28 ESPN+) Until the evening games, we have seen a lot of this FCS games stay under the posted total and today should be no different in this game. Austin Peavy dominated Tennessee Tech to just 156 yards and I expect another strong performance in this game. |
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02-26-21 | Southern v. Alabama State +7.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 208942 Alabama State Hornets over Southern University Jaguars (7p.m., Friday, February 26 ESPN3) We will follow the line movement in this game, as both teams are opening up their spring season. Southern finished 6-1 on conference play in 2019, but they did not have a ton of blowouts except when having inferior smaller level teams. They opened 2019 at 1-3 and I do not see them blowing out Alabama State tonight in a true road game. The Jaguars win by defense and running the football and thus it is hard to cover this type of number unless they get turnovers. Alabama State has a strong offense led by Michael Jefferson and with Southern having some injuries on defense this game should go down to the wire. |
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02-21-21 | Tarleton State v. New Mexico State UNDER 57.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take Under 57 in Tarleton State @ New Mexico State (2p.m., Sunday, February 21) The Texans have an advantage of already playing a game this season, but they really ran out of gas down the stretch. They blew a 14 point lead late and could not even get a first down in two drives in overtime. The line has swung towards New Mexico State, but we will focus on the under. Most of the game thus far in FCS hit gone under the posted total and today should be no different. |
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02-13-21 | McNeese State v. Tarleton State +1 | 40-37 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #308902 Tarleton State (pk) over McNeese State (7p.m., Saturday, February 13 FSSW) We will follow the line movement in this selection, as McNeese State opened just under a field goal favorite but now this game is a pick’em. Both teams have a ton of talent at the running back position with the Texans returning two of their top three running backs from last year. Tarleton State is moving up from division 2 and this will be there first game ever as an FCS team. I think they want to show they belong and will win this game straight-up. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +8.5 v. Alabama | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #499 Ohio State Buckeyes over Alabama Crimson Tide (8:05p.m., Monday, January 11 ESPN) Would not surprise me if Alabama jumped out to an early lead in this game, but I believe Ohio State will be able to take this game down to the wire. Alabama has not faced a complete team like this all year and I just do not believe they will be able to run the Buckeyes off the field. The Crimson Tide defense has trouble when teams can spread you out and this will be a high scoring game that will remain in single digits. Ohio State played their best game of the season last time out and it would not surprise me if they follow that up with another strong performance this Monday. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Ohio State is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | 27-41 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #497 North Carolina Tar Heels over Texas A&M Aggies (8p.m., Saturday, January 2 ESPN) Orange Bowl Everyone expects a letdown in this game for Texas A&M since they did not get into the College Football Playoff, and now they must face a high scoring offense in North Carolina. We will grab the points with the Tar Heels, as Mack Brown is familiar with the Aggies have played them numerous times in the Big 12 while he was the head coach at Texas. North Carolina underachieved this season, but I believe they will play a complete game tonight and take this one down to the wire. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #334 Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (8p.m., Friday, January 1 ESPN) Sugar Bowl This is a rematch of the semi-final game last year in which questionable officiating allowed Clemson to emerge victorious. But in 2020 I just do not see the same Ohio State team that have been so explosive in year’s past. Clemson had a 541-263 yardage edge against Notre Dame and that game was never in doubt after the first quarter. Everyone thinks Ohio State will be motivated for revenge and the diss that Dabo Sweeny gave them by ranking them No. 11 in the coaches poll, but in the end talent wins out. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame +20 v. Alabama | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Alabama Crimson Tide (4p.m., Friday, January 1 ESPN) Rose Bowl Nobody is giving Notre Dame a chance in this game, but I believe they will be able to score some points against this Alabama defense. The Tide have been lit up on defense a couple of times this season and Notre Dame has an offense capable of scoring 30 points against them. The Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Alabama is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of January. The Tide might be up big at some point in this game, I just believe Notre Dame will keep it in the teens once 60 minutes are completed. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -7.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -114 | 215 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #322 San Jose State Spartans over Ball State Cardinals (2p.m., Thursday, December 31 CBS) Arizona Bowl Ball State is coming off their Super Bowl two weeks ago winning the MAC Championship in surprising fashion over Buffalo. Not sure how much left in the tank they will have for this game. The Spartans are explosive on offense led by QB Nick Starkel, who has 16 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions in 7 games played this season. Ball State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. San Jose State is 12-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 games. |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin v. Wake Forest +6.5 | Top | 42-28 | Loss | -108 | 189 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #312 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Wednesday, December 30 ESPN) Duke Mayo Bowl We have faded Wisconsin in their last two games and easily covered both games. Wisconsin has quarterback issues, banged up wide receivers, and running backs that are not explosive. They have a solid defense, but they have yet to face an offense as up-tempo and explosive like Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are coming off a bad performance against the Cardinals, but that final score is a little misleading (Louisville scored 17 points in the last 17 minutes of that game). Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. If Wake Forest can take care of the football, they should be able to take this game down to the wire and win it straight-up. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -109 | 171 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #296 Miami Hurricanes over Oklahoma State Cowboys (5:30p.m., Tuesday, December 29 ESPN) Cheez-it Bowl The Hurricanes have lost 3 straight bowl games and I feel it is important for Many Diaz to right the ship in this game. Miami has the advantage of playing in-state for this game and there will be fans in attendance. I am a big fan of D’Eriq King and expect him to bounce back in a big way tonight after a bad performance against UNC last time out. Oklahoma State beat Iowa State but that was their only quality win on the season and I just think Miami has a big edge at the quarterback position. The Pokes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 Buffalo Bulls over Marshall Thundering Herd (2:30p.m., Friday, December 25 ESPN) Camellia Bowl Buffalo is coming off their worst performance on the season, losing to Ball State in the MAC. Marshall has a suspect offense and that will put a lot of pressure on them to be able to stop Jaret Patterson in this game. Marshall will enter having lost 2 straight games by an average of 14.5 points. Marshall is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. |
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12-19-20 | Alabama -17 v. Florida | 52-46 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #240 Alabama Crimson Tide over Florida Gators (8p.m., Saturday, December 19 CBS) Just do not believe Florida has any desire to play in this game against a team that is much better than them. By losing to LSU last week, Florida cannot make the college football playoff. Alabama has won this game the last 6 times they have been in it by an average of 18 points per game. The Crimson Tide have been getting better on defense and expect them to contain the high-powered Florida offense. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Alabama and Florida. The Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played. Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #236 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Clemson Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, December 19 ABC) For the first time in years, Notre Dame has the athletes to make this game competitive against the top teams from the south. The Irish already beat the Tigers this year and I just do not believe this will be a blowout with Trevor Lawrence back behind center. Notre Dame can win the ACC for the first and likely only time in their history and they will not pass up this opportunity. The Clemson defense is still the same as it was in the first meeting where Notre Dame put up 47 points in that game. Both teams will put up points in this game, but I see the result being in single digits. The Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-19-20 | Minnesota +12.5 v. Wisconsin | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #211 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Wisconsin Badgers (4p.m., Saturday, December 19 BTN) Wisconsin has a terrible offense and should not be giving this many points against anyone in the Big 10. They have a quarterback that lacks confidence, and they are playing a team that has won 3 of their last 4 games. Wisconsin may get some playmakers back for this game, but I just cannot overlook the fact that they have scored 20 combined points in their last 3 days. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon v. USC -3 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -106 | 74 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #252 USC Trojans over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Friday, December 18 FOX) Oregon was a late add to this game after Washington did not have enough healthy players. The Trojans have a major edge getting to play this game at their home stadium and I just do not trust Oregon enough to keep this close. Both teams have played down to the level of their competition, but USC tends to pull away late, whereas Oregon often loses close games. Losing to Cal and Oregon State is embarrassing for the Ducks and now they must face a team with better talent and experience than what they have. Oregon is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. USC is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Oregon and USC. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +2 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #421 Virginia Cavaliers over Virginia Tech Hokies (8p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCN) Virginia beat Virginia Tech last season for the first time in 16 years and look for them to make it 2 in a row on Saturday night. Both teams play a lot of people at quarterback, but the Hokies are coming off a blood bath against Clemson last week and I do not feel they will be ready to bounce back in just one week. Virginia Tech enters this game having lost 4 straight games and they have been blown out in their last two (lost 47-14 to Pittsburgh). Justin Fuente is on the hot seat and he may not survive if things do not go well on Saturday. Virginia will enter this game having won 4 straight games. |
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12-12-20 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +1.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 94 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #386 Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 12 FS1) The Badgers lack confidence on the offensive side of the football, and they have been exposed for their lack of playmakers. Iowa has a chance to end this 4-game losing streak to Wisconsin by getting them at home this season. Iowa has won 5 straight games and only one of those wins came by less than double-digits. They have a better defense than does Indiana and expect them to crowd the line and force Wisconsin to beat them over the top with deep throws. Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. Louisville | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #113 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Louisville Cardinals (12p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCN) Just do not like this Louisville team in 2020. They appear to have taken a step back in year two under Scott Satterfield. They are 3-7 this season and do not have any quality wins among those three. Wake Forest does not have a bad loss this season and they also have some quality wins against Virginia Tech and Virginia. Both of those teams are better than what they will see today from Louisville. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Wake Forest and Louisville. But this game just comes down to Wake Forest having an identity on offense (up-tempo) and Louisville will not be able to keep up in scoring. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Cardinals. |
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12-11-20 | Nevada +2.5 v. San Jose State | 20-30 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (10p.m., Friday, December 11 CBSSN) Just cannot picture San Jose State playing in the MWC Championship Game next week. They have a much-improved team in 2020 but I feel having to vacate the Bay Area will finally catch up with them in this likely winner take all game. The Spartans were expected to host their last two games, but they had to travel to Hawaii last week and now will play this game at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas. Nevada has already played a game here in 2020 and they only had to leave the state of Nevada one time this season. Nevada is 15-2 straight-up and 12-5 ATS against San Jose State in the last 17 meetings. Both teams have stud quarterbacks, but the difference could lie with Nevada’s defense. |
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12-05-20 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 25-18 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #383 UCLA Bruins over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Just cannot trust Arizona State laying points in this game. The Sun Devils have been off since November 7 and now have to play a team that is getting better in UCLA. The Bruins are 2-2 and both of their losses went down to the wire and I see them winning this game straight-up. UCLA was a mess last year but dominated ASU leading by over 30 points at one point in that game. The Bruins may also get back Dorian Thompson-Robinson and that will only enhance their chances of winning this game. UCLA is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games against Arizona State. |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #343 Clemson Tigers over Virginia Tech Hokies (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 ABC) Virginia Tech has been a fraud all season long and I do not see things getting any better today against one of the two best teams in the country. The Hookies are lost three straight games including getting blown out last time out against Pittsburgh. Clemons is playing to impress the voters and expect them to score a bunch of points in this game as well. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Hokies. Clemson is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 ACC games. |
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12-05-20 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech OVER 67 | 45-10 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #344 Over in Clemson Tigers @ Virginia Tech Hokies (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 ABC) We have Clemson in this game and if they cover this big spread as expected this game should go over the posted total as well. We easily hit the over with Clemson last week and will look to make it two in a row. Clemson has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games. Virginia Tech has gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 11 games. |
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12-05-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +17.5 | 31-19 | Win | 100 | 95 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #378 Tennessee Volunteers over Florida Gators (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 CBS) The talent level does not warrant this big of a number, but Tennessee has lost 5 straight games and has a coach on the hot seat. But if there was ever a game that could get up for it would be this one. The home team has won 4 of the past 5 matchups (4-1 ATS). Florida might be looking ahead as they control their own destiny to make the College Football Playoffs. Tennessee finds a way to keep this around 7-10 points, as Florida has not been that impressive in their last two games. |
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12-05-20 | Ohio State -23 v. Michigan State | 52-12 | Win | 100 | 91 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #355 Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, December 5 ABC) Michigan State has pulled off two surprising upsets this year but all three of their losses have come by double digits. Now they are set to face the best team in the league and I do not see them keeping this game close whatsoever. The Buckeyes are beaten Michigan State 4 straight times and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in East Lansing. Michigan State just do not have the offense to threaten this suspect secondary of Ohio State. Michigan State is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 60.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #246 Over in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Hawaii Warriors (11p.m., Saturday, November 28 Local) The Warriors kicked it into gear last week against Boise State in the second half to cover the spread and easily go over the posted total. Nevada has played against terrible quarterbacks this season and thus their defense is not as strong as it would appear to be on paper. Hawaii has gone over the posted total in 21 of their last 29 home games when they are an underdog. Both teams want to make a statement and the best way to do that is by scoring a lot of points. |
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11-28-20 | Kansas State v. Baylor -5 | 31-32 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #234 Baylor Bears over Kansas State Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Kansas State has been a fraud of late with a terrible offense that has struggled to score points. They have quarterback issues with Will Howard getting pulled last week in their 45-0 loss to Iowa State. The Wildcats are getting outgained by over 100 yards and if Baylor does not help them, I see them winning this game by double digits. Baylor has been a tough luck loser this year with all 5 losses 11 points or less. Kansas State has not been able to stop teams rushing the football on the road. Baylor has the better quarterback, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. Teams have figured out how to stop Kansas State, but the oddsmakers have not caught up to how bad they are on offense yet. |
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11-27-20 | Stanford v. California -1 | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #138 California Golden Bears over Stanford Cardinal (4:30p.m., Friday, November 27 FOX) Cal finally gets a home game and I believe they have too much talent for Stanford in the Big Game. Cal had an edge in yards and first downs last week against Oregon State, but two interceptions did them in. Chase Garbers is too good of a player do play this poorly for many games and he will break out of his funk in this game. Stanford has yet to win a game this year as well and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 6 road PAC-12 games. Cal ended their long losing streak to Stanford last year and expect them to make it two in a row Friday in Berkley. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games between Stanford and Cal. The Golden Bears are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played during the month of November. |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -113 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Iowa Hawkeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (1p.m., Friday, November 27 FOX) The Hawkeyes have righted the ship winning 3 straight games in blowout fashion. Nebraska is terrible on both sides of the ball and I do not see things getting any better in this game. They cannot stop the run and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Iowa has won 5 straight in this series and winning their games by an average of 30 points is just hard to overlook. Penn State was just as desperate last week against Iowa and they got killed. Nebraska has quarterback issues and whoever gets the start will struggle to move the football against this Iowa defense. Nebraska is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Iowa is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +2 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 94 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #388 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 CBS) As of this writing the wrong teams is favored, as Nevada is going to make the MWC Championship Game and is a perfect 4-0 on the season. Both teams have played easily schedules this far but not being able to play in San Diego will eventually catch up with the Aztecs. They got beat by San Jose State and now have a brutal finish to the season with 3 of their last 4 games on the road (will be lucky to win 1 of them). Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against SDSU and has the best player on the field in Carson Strong. The Wolf Pack defense has talent as well and I believe that the Aztec offense will struggle to move the football against them. Never been a Brady Hoke fan and feel Rocky Long was the genius of SDSU for the last decade that got them to overachieve on a consistent basis. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. SDSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss in their last home game. |
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11-21-20 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
NOTE: THIS IS A FIRST HALF PLAY. 10 Unit Play. Take #395 Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5 First Half Line) over Northwestern Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 ABC) Big Ten Game of the Year Northwestern is 4-0, but they have started poorly in two of their four games. They would not have covered this number against Iowa or Nebraska, two teams that are inferior to Wisconsin. I expect Wisconsin to jump out early and feel great value lies with the first half line. Wish this line came in under a touchdown for the game, but the Badgers dominated Michigan last week and thus we are left with this higher number. Wisconsin is clearly the second-best team in the league, and the winner of this game will likely reach the Big Ten title game in Indianapolis. The Wildcats have not been as impressive since their 40-point victory over Maryland to open the season, grinding out games against Iowa, Nebraska, and Purdue to reach 4-0. Their defense is good, but they have yet to face a team like Wisconsin that can beat you on the ground or through the air. I just feel that Wisconsin is better on both sides of the football (healthier for this game compared to last) and will pull away in the second quarter to win this game by double-digits. Northwestern can only play at a certain pace. And if they get behind, they will struggle to come back if they are one-dimensional. Wisconsin is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games. Northwestern is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 94 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #344 UCF Golden Knights over Cincinnati Bearcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 ESPN) We have been riding Cincinnati for most of the year including the last 3 weeks, but I finally believe that the number has been over adjusted. The Bearcats have been doing most of their damage at home and now much finish out the regular season with 3 straight road games. UCF is legit and they will be up for this game trying to knock off the Bearcats and spoil their perfect season. Cincinnati has yet to face an offense as strong as what UCF has. The home team has won 4 of the 5 games between these two teams. UCF has not been a home dog since 2016 and despite missing some key people of defense, I believe they can take this game down to the wire. |
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11-21-20 | California -3.5 v. Oregon State | 27-31 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #379 California Golden Bears over Oregon State Beavers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 FS1) Think the line on this game tells us something. Cal was in an impossible situation last week having to travel to UCLA on short notice for a 9 a.m. local start at the Rose Bowl. Now they have a full week to prepare and not that their opponent will be the Oregon State Beavers, a bottom feeder program in recent years. The visitor is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 Oregon State games. Cal still has the best player on the field in Chase Garbers and his success last year just cannot be overlooked. Last week was the anomaly for the Bears and expect them to bounce back today in Corvallis. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan | 52-44 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #313 Western Michigan Broncos over Central Michigan Chippewas (7p.m., Wednesday, October 18 ESPN2) Both teams enter 2-0 straight-up and against the spread. Western Michigan has the best win of the bunch beating Toledo last week in dramatic fashion. Expect that to carryover into this game against CMU. Western Michigan has won 5 of the last 6 matchups and the visitor has covered the spread in this game 8 straight games. QB Kaleb Eleby is the best player on the field throwing 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions this season. Central Michigan has 6 turnovers in just two games this season and that will not get the job done against good teams. |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Michigan | 49-11 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #161 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 ABC) This line has been all over the place early in the week with Wisconsin appearing that they will be able to field a team for the first time in three weeks. Michigan has their own problems that are much greater than Covid. Coach Harbaugh appears to be on his way out and Michigan is just 1-2 on the season with both losses coming to teams they were favored to beat. Wisconsin beat a much better Michigan team by 21 points last season, and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 meetings. The best player on the field in Graham Mertz and expect big things out of him on Saturday. Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Wisconsin is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. |
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11-14-20 | Oregon -9.5 v. Washington State | Top | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 100 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #185 Oregon Ducks over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 14 FOX) The Ducks have a chance to make the College Football Playoff and I just feel they are better on both sides of the ball in this game. Washington State has a new head coach, and they are very inexperienced at the quarterback position. The Cougars have been great against Oregon in recent years, but they no longer have Mike Leech and Anothy Gordon on the sidelines. The Ducks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 road games when they are the favorite. Oregon put up 35 points last week against a better defensive team in Stanford and they know they need to come out and dominate to break into the top 10 rankings. Wazzou is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous outing. |