Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
Purdue Boilermakers. BIG DANCE GOY. Game 656. 11:20 AM PST/2;20 PM EST. Both Tennessee and Purdue deserve to be here. However, make no mistake of it, the Volunteers are not in the same class as the Boilermakers. Purdue enters this matchup knowing that they took down Tennessee in a late-November matchup, at home 71-67. Since November, the Boilermakers have improved significantly. Don't get me wrong, the Volunteers are a damn good team. But when you have arguably the best college basketball player in the country as you're starting center, it's certainly going to give you a very large advantage. Zach Edey is one of the best college basketball players I have ever seen. He's an absolute monster. Forget about stopping him. Even if you tried to slow him down, the rest of the starters for Purdue are some of the most unselfish players in the country. On any given day any one of them can step up and take a game on his shoulders. Tennessee is accustomed to playing opponents that can score as much as them. Purdue can do just that my friends. And to make matters worse, they have a very good defense, are second in the nation in shooting from downtown, and on both ends of the court, possess a top-10 rebounding core. This game will get out of hand. Take the Boilermakers. Thank you. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
North Carolina Tar Heels. SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 636. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Whether you are a novice or an expert in college basketball, you are familiar with the history of the Tar Heels. North Carolina is one of the most successful teams in the history of college basketball. Hubert Davis is the head coach of UNC. In his three seasons at the helm, it's been a hell of a ride. Going back even further, his career has been very impressive. He went to North Carolina, winning a national championship, and even averaging over 21.4 points per game in his senior season. He was a first-round draft pick to the New York Knicks, played on six teams in the NBA. He became an assistant coach of the Tar Heels back in 2012, and a few years ago named the head coach. In his first season at the helm, Davis team reached the National Championship game. Oddly enough last season, the team missed the Tournament altogether. Now this season, they come in as a number one seed in the West Region. I believe it was last year's absence that really lit a fire under this team and motivated them to win. They know they cannot take their opponent here lightly. Alabama is a heck of a team. They finished fifth in the SEC, and own an overall record of 23-11. They are a very good team. But I think we could all agree that when they travel away from the confines of their own home court, they lose a little bit of luster. They are just 5-5 away from home straight up this season. And just 4-4 SU on neutral sites. While, their offense is explosive, their defense is getting shredded for over 80.4 points per game. They're playing against a team which is as complete and well-balanced as any team in the country. The Tar Heels possess height, muscle, speed, strength, depth, and intelligence. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke -12 | Top | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Crusher play. Game 760. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. Facing Duke in Tournament play following the Blue Devils back-to-back defeats to end their regular season/conference tournament campaign, is going to prove to be fatal for Vermont. Yes, the Catamounts finished first in the American East. However, this is a team, which really doesn't step up out of their comfort zone very often. As a matter of fact, the only time this season they stepped up and out, would be in mid-December on the road at Virginia Tech when they got crushed, 73-51. Duke has no problems putting the hurt on opponents. As a matter fact, you can even say that they take enjoyment in it. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace with them on the scoreboard here. The Blue Devils average over 80.2 points per game, hit over 48% from the field, 38% from downtown… all this and they are great on the boards as well. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Colorado State Rams Tournament Round 1 Best Bet. Game 731. 3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST. Guys, giving Colorado State points in a matchup like this I feel as a real mistake. I know there are just the seventh seed in the Mountain West, while Texas is the eighth seed in the Big 12. However, the Rams are surging. They have won five of their last six straight up, and they are playing their best basketball of the campaign so far. Texas has dropped five of their last 10 outings, straight up, and have only covered four of those 10. When asked to step up out of their comfort zone and out of conference play, this team meets all challenges. This is way too many points to give a very talented, very game Colorado State team. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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03-15-24 | Florida +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 102-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Florida Gators. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 825. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Guys, in all sincerity, I think this line should be closer to Pick ‘em. The oddsmakers are being very generous in making Alabama this much of a favorite. I know how good of a team they are. Not looking to ruffle any feathers here. But this team loses a little something when they travel. That's for sure. I mean they're just 3-7 away from home this season. When it comes to neutral site games, I believe they are a dismal 1-4 straight up on neutral site games this season. The Gators can keep pace offensively with the Crimson Tide, for sure. Plus, they are monsters on both end of the court on the glass. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Creighton | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Seton Hall Pirates. Game 751. 6:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. This is a very exciting matchup, in my opinion. The Big East’s third and fourth seeds square off here. The Blue Jays have had their way with the Pirates in this series. They've taken three in a row, both straight up and against the spread, which does include the only matchup this season in January. However, in that matchup, Creighton needed three overtimes to eke out a three-point victory. However, one of Seton Hall's best, Kadary Richmond had his worst night in memory, shooting just 8-for-32. Here is something to think about in this matchup; first of all, revenge. Next, ensuring a top four seed for the upcoming conference tournament. And lastly, the fact that they've won and covered three in a row, they come in here with some momentum. This is way too many points to give a very game and capable Pirate’s team. Take Seton Hall. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Alabama -5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 753. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Sometimes records can be very misleading. For instance, Mississippi's overall, 19-8 mark. At first glance, it is very impressive. I mean they're just one victory away from achieving the goal of a 20-win regular season. However, this team was 13-0 in non-conference play. I've got to tell you, some of the teams they went up against, you would be hard-pressed to recognize. Lol. They've had some real pushovers. Their conference record is what intrigues me. They are just 6-8 against SEC opponents this season. Let's face, they've lost by 26 at the hands of Tennessee, 23 at Auburn, by 14 at home vs. Auburn, at South Carolina, at Kentucky, and here by 13 points versus South Carolina on Saturday. Oh, by the way, the Gamecocks were without their leading scorer. This team folds like a cheap suit when going up against solid conference opponents. And let's face it, Alabama is a solid opponent. This is a team that also owns a 19-8 overall record, which does include an amazing, 11-3 mark in SEC play. They have dominated ‘Ole Miss, winning and covering six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Two of their three remaining regular season matchups after this game, happens to be against upper tier conference opponents in Tennessee and Florida. This is a big victory for the team. I don't see the Rebels slowing down, let alone stopping the Crimson Tides No. 1 scoring offense, which counts over 91.1 points per game. They're in trouble in the paint, from downtown, and on both end of courts on the boards here. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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02-27-24 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 631. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Granted, the Panthers fell to the Tigers back in the beginning of December, 79-70 at home. But that was very early on in the campaign, and their new additions were still trying to mesh and find their rhythm. But since that defeat, Pitt has rattled off a 13-6 overall record, which includes conference road victories at Duke, Georgia Tech, NC State, and Virginia. Predictions currently figure Clemson projected to make the field of 68 teams come Tournament time. However, although they own almost an identical record, Pitt is reported to be just outside of the Tournament field. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning and covering eight of their last 10 outings. They were out rebounded in the first meeting with Clemson, but have since significantly improved at both ends of the court on the boards. They are also one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation at defending the arc. Too many points to give them. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota +7 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-73 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Minnesota, Golden Gophers. Smart Money Move. Game 857. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Yes, I am aware Nebraska is in astounding, 16-1 at home this season. But are you aware Minnesota is 23-3 against the spread this season? The Golden Gophers took down the Cornhuskers in their only meeting this season back in December at home, 76=65. If you're worried about them being on the road, don't be. Last March, they took down the Nebraska on their own court, 78-75. The Golden Gophers are money, riding a nine-game cover streak. I just think this is way too many points to give a team that matches up pretty evenly. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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02-25-24 | UAB +2.5 v. Tulane | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
UAB Blazers. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game, 853. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Someone needs to explain to me why a team that is 9-4 in conference play and 17-9 overall is getting points against the team which is 4-9 in the conference and owns a 13-12 overall mark. It just doesn't make sense to me. I actually have the visitor a small favorite here. Yes, Tulane has an explosive offense. But their defense is getting shredded for over 80.1 points per game. Throw into the mix they are inferior at both ends of the court on the boards in this matchup, and it's just doesn't make sense to me to make UAB, an underdog. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Oregon State +10 v. USC | Top | 54-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Oregon State Beavers. Pac 12 GOM. Game 767. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Of course, I am aware Oregon State has not won a game yet on the road at 0-5 this season. However, USC isn’t much better. First of all, the Trojans possess the conferences worst record at 2-8 Pac-12 action. They are also just 5-5 straight up at home this season. They enter today's contest on a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover their last three consecutive outings. The Beavers have won the last two meetings with the Trojans SU, and have covered five consecutive matchups. This is just way too many points to give in a rivalry between two teams that play each other very closely, know each other very well, and dislike each other very much. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks | Top | 138-141 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML. Best Bet play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Crash the Boards Game 521. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well. Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you. |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Crash The Boards Play. Game 509. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. It’s no secret that Miami took the first three games of this series, only to drop Games 4, 5, and 6. Game 6, we did see Jimmy Butler and company come to life, playing a lot more competitively than the two previous matchups. We all know the statistics that in 150 times teams were down 3-0, never, and I mean never has a team come back to win a seven-game series. Miami doesn’t want to be the butt of all jokes my friends. I expect them to come in here very competitively, fight for every loose ball, and crash the boards like they did in the first few meetings of this round. On the other side of the spectrum, the Heat can also make history themselves. They can be only the second team in the ever to make the NBA Finals as the number eight seed. If you recall, games 1 and 2 of this Eastern Conference Finals series were played at the TD Garden and Miami won both. They have also covered 15 of their last 21 meetings played in Boston, 11 of their last 15 games played on one days rest, five of their last seven games played following a straight up loss, five of their last seven games played on the road, and 11 of their last 15 games played overall. Take the points with the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Slam Dunk Top-Rated GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 549. 5:30 p.m. PST/8:30 PM EST. After taking the first three games of the Eastern Conference finals, on Wednesday, the Miami Heat were outhustled and outplayed, losing to the Boston Celtics, 116-99. Obviously, the Celtics are a very good team folks. However, this long season has taken its toll on them. They went six tough games with the Hawks in the first round, and seven very physical matchups with the 76ers in the second round. Everything did go right for Boston in Game 4. However, Miami is a very good team also. And they match up very well with a Celtics. The Heat also know that if they allow their opponent to get another win here tonight, they can easily let this series slip away. There is another item also my friends. The Denver Nuggets closed out the Western Conference Finals over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. So, every day that the Eastern Conference Finals continues, the Heat be allowing the Nuggets to get another day of rest, another day to heal, and another day to prepare for them. I do expect Boston to show up here once again tonight at home. However, giving Miami this many points is a huge mistake. Boston is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played following a straight up win, 2-5 ATS their last seven games seven games played versus teams with winning record, 1-4 ATS their last five games played on one days rest, 2-5 ATS their last seven games play at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five Conference Finals games. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets. WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 532. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. I know these two teams have split out (both straight up and against the spread) four meetings this season. But let’s face it, when the Nuggets play at the Ball Arena, their game rises to another level. Overall, on the season they are 40-7 straight up at home. Not only that, but they’ve covered 23 of their last 32 games played as host. Let’s face it, the Lakers lose a little bit of their luster when they travel, as they are just 22-25 straight up away from home this season. Moreover, for our purposes, they’ve only covered one of their last five outings played as a visitor. By the way, Denver won and covered both meetings against Los Angeles this season at the Ball Arena. Having said that my friends, the Nuggets also come in here a bit better rested, having had an extra day off to rest, heal, and prepare. Furthermore, they have played three less contests this postseason than did the Lakers. Especially, with that tough, fast-paced series Los Angeles just came off of going six full games with Golden State. I believe they are going to come in here a little tired, especially come the second half. They will run out of gas. To make things worse for L.A., Denver is more accurate from beyond the arc, and overall, from the floor. They also come into this matchup possessing the league’s top-ranked defensive rebounding unit. This means Los Angeles will not get as many second-chance shots as they are accustomed to getting. The Lakers have only covered one of their last seven meetings played in Denver. Meanwhile, Denver has covered five of their last six games played on three or more days rest, 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight games played following a straight up win. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers. Game 550. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves. RD 1 GOY. Game 513. 7:30 PM PST. Coming into the postseason healthier than your first-round opponent means a lot. There is no question the Timberwolves enter today’s Game 1 matchup with the Nuggets with a bit of a healthier edge. Not only that, but something else I put a lot of stock in going into the playoffs, is momentum. Minnesota has won four of the last five games straight up, covering all five of those outings. They also come in here a little fresher. Denver has not taken the floor since the ninth of the month. And has only won two of the last seven outings straight up. The Timberwolves have covered six of the last seven meetings overall. And going back a bit 24, of the last 31 matchups played in Denver. They have also covered five of the last six games played on the road. This is way too many points to give a very game team that comes in here healthier and riding some momentum. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -4 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Texas Longhorns. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 646. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Miami Hurricanes No Limit Play. Game 643. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Second Round GOY. Game 852. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST With a victory today, it will mark Gonzaga‘s eighth consecutive NCAA Tournament reaching the Sweet 16. The first month of the season was a little shaky for the Bulldogs. They lost games against Texas, Purdue, and Baylor. Then something happened. They got back on track to turn the season around and between December 5 and March 17, only dropped two outings. I am well aware two of their losses came against Big 12 teams. But as I mentioned a moment ago, those took place in November and the first two days of December. They are playing on another level at this moment. They are playing like the Gonzaga team that we are used to seeing at this point. On the other hand, TCU has only won 5 of the last 12 outings straight up. And have only covered three of those 12 contests. Let’s face it, they eked by Arizona State in the last round with a 72-70 victory. It’s one thing to have a decent defense. And the Horned Frogs do have a decent defense. However, facing the number one scoring offense in the nation is a whole different monster. Even if they could slow down the Bulldogs, a bit, I just don’t see them competing offensively on the scoreboard here. They do not possess the personal upfront to even battle in the paint in this matchup. And if the game moves to the outside, well, we all know how good the Bulldogs are from downtown. The Horn Frogs have failed to cover six consecutive games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have covered five consecutive outings following an ATS loss. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Round Of 64 Top Play. Game 782 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM With all respect to the Golden Eagles, they do not belong on the same court as the Blue Devils. I know this team had a nice Cinderella story a few years ago in the Tourney. I also know they were 18-0 in the Summit League and are riding a 17-game win streak. But folks, who did they beat? They started off the campaign with an eight-point loss to Saint Mary’s. A week later got devoured by Houston, 83-45. And another week after that, they took a 10-point defeat on the road at Utah State. So, my friends, they stepped up in class three times and got beat all three times this season. Duke is a monster team with a monster roster. They are no strangers to the NCAA Tournament. They have intelligence, height, muscle, speed, and depth. They enter this matchup winning nine consecutive games, straight up against a much higher level of opposition than their counterpart is accustomed to facing. It’s true, Oral Roberts does have a 7‘5“ player on their roster. And he’s a damn good player at that. However, Duke has four players on their roster 7 foot or taller. They also don’t choke. A couple of the big names on the Golden Eagles are known to have choked when it comes to bigger games. Facing the Blue Devils, in the first round of the Big Dance is the biggest game this team will ever see. You can expect Duke to dominated both ends of the court and particularly on both the offensive and defensive glass. Oral Roberts has failed to cover four consecutive games against teams with a winning record, 12 of the last 15 games played versus teams is a winning percentage above .600, and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 702. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Many out there, including the Pitt Panthers themselves, didn’t think they would be playing in the First Four brackets. However, dropping four of the final seven games is the reason why. This is a very deep and talented squad with a very smart coach. Let’s not forget they play in a very good conference. As a matter fact, they finished tied for second place in conference play at 14-6, and with an overall record of 22-11. The first few weeks of the season were very difficult on the team as they were still trying to find their sea legs. Then they got into a groove and started winning. Moreover, they started taking down some very solid opposition. Please remember they play in one of the most competitive conferences in college basketball. And have they held their own. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. During the regular season, they were led by four double-digit scorers and a slew of solid rebounders. They have strength upfront, and quickness in the back court. Mississippi State is known for defense. They rank in the top-10 in the nation, in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed. However, (and there’s always a however), however, offensively, they are absolutely deplorable. There is no aspect of their offense that brings any hope to this team contending on the scoreboard with Pitt today. They have just one double-digit scorer in forward, Tolu Smith. He is only one of two solid, frontcourt, big men for this team. While they were loaded at the guard position, they just don’t have the talent up front to compete in this matchup. By the way, they have failed to cover four straight games. Not only that, but they have failed to cover five straight games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, the Panthers have been money, covering 11 of the last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record and 21 of the last 28 games played overall. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 655. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Say what you want about the 4th ranked Alabama team, but when it comes to Texas A&M, the Aggies have had their number. The Crimson Tide has lost and failed to cover five consecutive meetings with the Aggies. This includes the only matchup this season, a little more than a week ago being defeated, 67-61. Texas A&M, since Christmas has been striding, going 19-3 straight up (this includes this post season). Their defense has stepped it up over recent months, and once again today will frustrate their opponent. They possess one of the only rebounding cores in this conference that could compete up front with Alabama. We can expect another physical matchup, which will certainly benefit Texas A&M, as they are significantly better from the free-throw line. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Aggies have covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 26 of the last 35 games played following a straight up win, and 38 of the last 56 games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 756 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Kansas State had the better record in Big 12 play. Kansas State had a better overall record. And Kansas State is higher-ranked. So, for the life of me, why are they an underdog here today? If I have ever seen a trap, this looks like it folks. The Wildcats finished the regular season campaign winning four the last five, both straight up and against the spread. They also took the most recent meeting with the Horned Frogs, approximately one month ago. Granted, both teams are 3-0 neutral sites this season. But TCU should not be favored here today my friends. They are just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS the last nine outings. And I believe they are going to have a tough time today against the frustrating KSU defense. Kansas State is also money in the bank when playing solid opposition, covering eight of the last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Texas Christian has only covered one of the last six games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Make no mistake of it my friends, this is the game the Horned Frogs will severely miss the big man in the middle, Lampkin. The Wildcats are very strong upfront, will dominate the glass, and win this game. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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03-05-23 | Maryland +4 v. Penn State | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Best Bet. Game 767. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I am well aware of the fact the Terrapins are 10-0 at home in conference play but a dismal 1-8 on the road. They also know this stat as too. Coach, Kevin Willard also knows his team is one of seven Big Ten squads all tied for second place in the standings at 11-8. This game is a must win for Maryland. They took the first meeting in this matchup at home and come off a loss. They are an outstanding bounce-back team, not having suffered back-to-back defeats since early-January. They have also covered four of the last five following both, a SU and an ATS loss. For us bettors, they have turned it up recently, covering nine of the last 13 games played overall. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Clemson Tigers. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite these two teams both tied for 3rd-place in the ACC at 13-5, only Clemson has a shot at least for a share of the conference’s top-spot. A couple of things have to go their way, but it is still mathematically possible. Both teams need this win as neither want to be in a situation falling out of the top-four in the standings for the upcoming ACC tournament. I am fully aware of the fact Virginia is 13-1 straight up at home this season, covering five of their last six as host. I really do feel that they may lose this game outright, let alone cover. This is a team struggling right now, losing their last two straight up and failing to cover the last four in a row. On the other hand, the Tigers have won and covered three of the last four and come off perhaps their best performance of the season. They stomped the Wolfpack on the road, 96-71 has a 5.5- point underdog a few nights ago. They come into this contest tonight with momentum. Granted the Cavaliers defense is very frustrating. But it just can’t compensate for their lack of office anymore. They face a Tigers “O” averaging over 75.7-points per game and just shy of 37% from beyond the arc and almost 80% from the line. Without question Clemson possesses the much stronger front court with Tyson, Hall, and Schieffelin. I look for the big men to dominate on the glass, allowing successful transition. The road team has covered six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Clemson has covered 10 of the last 14 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-27-23 | Nevada -5 v. Wyoming | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Nevada Wolfpack. Game 865. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Although a few things have to happen, Nevada still has a chance for a share of the top-spot in the Mountain West Conference. In my opinion, they are also on the right side of the cut line for the Big Dance. However, a loss here to the leagues bottom-dwelling Wyoming squad, might just put some doubts in the minds of the Selection Committee. The Wolfpack seems to have gotten stronger as the season progressed. Just over the last month or so, they have won six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread. Sorry to say things didn’t go too well for the Cowboys this campaign. And it seems things have gone from bad to worse for this team, dropping and failing to cover the last three. During their current slide, the average margin of defeat is a whopping 9.6- points per game. Offensively, defensively, and on the boards, this team is significantly outclassed in tonight‘s matchup. They just do not Possess the talent to run with Nevada here. Whether it be in the back court where they are thin because guard, Reynolds has been out, Or upfront in the absence of forward, Ike, this team just cannot contend with guards, Lucas, and Blackshear, or big men, Baker and Williams. As I said earlier, they are significantly outclassed. The road team has covered 11 of the last 16 meetings. The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 22-8-2 ATS the last 32 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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02-22-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Providence Friars. Game 657. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I’ve been doing this for over four decades, and I just can’t figure out why the Huskies are this much of a favorite over the Friars. I understand that Connecticut possesses a 13-2 record at home, while Providence owns a 4-5 away mark. However, that’s where the advantages for the home team here end. Providence has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 73-61 outright win and cover in the only meeting this season, at the beginning of January at home as a 5.5-point underdog. Since December, not only have the Friars won 15 of 19 contest straight up, they have also covered 15 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup running hot, winning and covering the last several games. Granted, their overall road record isn’t the most impressive. But they have covered seven of the last nine as a visitor. There isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season, and the Friars, which are sitting in second place in the Big East, three-games behind the Golden Eagles, have a chance at taking the conference. To do so, they must continue to keep their foot on the gas. Since December 31, the Huskies are just 6-7 straight up. Going back a bit further, prior to Christmas, they have crushed bettors, going a mere 5-10 ATS. Granted UConn possesses a very good defense, but they just can’t compensate with their erratic offense. Particularly when facing solid adversaries. Both teams are excellent on the boards. Both team score about the same. But I do see a major advantage for the visitors here getting this many points. I think the odds makers are way off here, sports fans. By the way, Connecticut has covered just two of their last seven against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 707. 2 PM PST/5 PM EST. The Panthers are enjoying their best league campaign since joining the conference a decade ago. They are tied for the top spot with the Cavaliers at 12-3 in league play. They enter today’s contest riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering their last five outings. As a matter fact, they have been a covering machine. Pitt has covered 12 of the last 13 on the road, nine of the last 11 versus teams with a winning record, and 20 of the last 26 overall. They’re starting-five consists of four double-digit scores. Trust me when I tell you they will light up Virginia Tech here. The Hokies have fallen. They no longer possess a defense that puts the fear into opponents offenses. This is a team with a lackluster offense that just isn’t good enough to compensate for their lack of defense. They are also crushing bettors, covering just four of the last 14 overall. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 12 meetings. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Purdue v. Maryland +2 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Big Ten Game of the Month. Game 750. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. There is no question Purdue is a very good team. However, they’re starting to show cracks. They have dropped two of their last three, both straight up and against the spread at Indiana and at Northwestern. Now they go on the road and play a Maryland team which is owns a very respectable 13-1 record at home this season. Maryland has been a thorn in the side of Purdue when it comes to ATS. They have covered seven of the last eight meetings for us bettors. And if you look at the past several meetings, they have been decided by three, one, one, and three-points. They play this team very tough. As a matter fact, the Terrapins are playing some pretty good basketball themselves, winning five for the last six straight up and seven of the last 10 against the spread. Both teams are relatively healthy. And both teams match up well with one another. The big difference here is the fact the Boilermakers are starting to struggle and they are not the greatest road team. They’ve only covered one of their last five as a visitor. By the way folks, Maryland has covered 16 of the last 21 at home. And the underdog has covered four straight in this rivalry. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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02-10-23 | New Mexico -6 v. Air Force | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
New Mexico Lobos. HIGH ROLLER Game of the Month. Game 891. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The Lobos finished 2022 as the last remaining unbeaten team in college basketball. Since the New Year began, they slid a bit splitting out their last 10 games. They are a respectable 19-5 overall, which includes a 6-5 mark in the Mountain West Conference. This team needs to get back on track right now if they’re going to make a run at the Big Dance. And what better opponent to face to do just that than the Falcons. They have taken three consecutive meetings over their conference rival straight up, winning by an average mark of 7.6-points per game. This does include an 81-73 home victory approximately two weeks ago. Air Force is absolutely atrocious. They are just 3-9 in conference action, enroute to an overall, 12-13 record. The last several weeks, things have gone from bad to worse for the team as they are currently riding a six-game straight up a losing streak in which they have failed to cover four of those six outings. New Mexico will light up the scoreboard this evening behind their 16th ranked scoring offense, which averages over 81.8-points per game. By the way folks, a major mismatch here is their 11th ranked field goal shooting squad (which hits 49% from the floor), matching up against the nations 206th ranked field goal percentage defense. Oh, by the way guys, the Falcons average over 15.4-points per game less. And on both sides of the court, they are outclassed on the boards here as well. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Take the Lobos. Thank you. |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Boise State. Best Bet. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. My friends, this line is way off here. This should be a Pick ‘em or at most, the Aztecs should just be maybe a one-point favorite only because they are at home. These are the two best teams in the Mountain West Conference, tied for the top-spot in the League at 8-2. Overall, the Broncos own a little bit better of a record at 18-5, while the Aztecs are 17-5. A season ago, Boise State took all three meetings over San Diego State straight up covering two of the three. Interestingly enough, all three meetings were settled by a combined seven-points. These two teams play each other very tough, my friends. Offensively, they are very similar. But defensively the Broncos are much stronger. They rank 12th in the nation yielding just 60.7-points per game. They’re also 24th in field-goal percentage allowed and fourth in three-point percentage allowed. Both teams have had a few days off to rest and prepare. However, BSU certainly comes in here hotter, winning eight of the last nine straight up and six of the last eight against the spread, while SDSU is just 4-2 their last six straight up and have only covered five of their last 10 against the number. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. The Broncos have covered 20 of their last 26 on the road. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have only covered four of the last 14 at home. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State +7 v. Kansas | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. BIG 12 GOM. Game 633. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The seventh ranked Wildcats will look to take their first regular-season sweep over the eighth ranked Jayhawks in years. They took the first meeting at home in overtime just two weeks ago, 83-82. Granted, Kansas is a pretty darn good home team. But this year‘s Jayhawks squad has started to struggle. They’ve lost three of their last four overall straight up, and five of their last six overall against the spread. As far as us bettors are concerned, K State has been money, covering eight of their last nine contests coming into tonight’s matchup. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 35 of their last 52 on the road, 10 of their last 11 against teams with a winning record, and their last four straight overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-28-23 | Xavier +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Xavier Musketeers. GOM. Game 613. 9:15 AM PST/12:15 PM EST. Guys, the line is way off here as it should be closer to a pick ‘em or even maybe a -1 fav for Xavier. Atop the Big East and the No. 13 team in the nation, the Musketeers are confident, knowing they took down the Blue Jays earlier this month, 90-87, extending their dominance over their Conference rival for the fourth consecutive meeting, and for our purposes, four Ats covers in the last five matchups. Xavier devoured Creighton on the boards, 40-29. This time around, they will once again own the glass, possessing the bigger, stringer front court. Overall, they are healthier and deeper. The Musketeers have covered four of their last five on the road, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight overall. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Western Conference Finals Game of the Year. Game 539. 6 PM PST/9 PM EST. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Golden State Warriors series win over the Memphis Grizzlies. But their opponent was without superstar Ja Morant for a few contests. The Dallas Mavericks got better as the series with the Phoenix Suns progressed. Their offense was on-fire while their defense really stepped up to hold the Suns powerful “O” intact the last several games. The Warriors are an excellent team and certainly deserve to be here. However, the Mavericks own a frustrating defense overall and particularly from beyond the arc where Golden State excels. Looking at the health of both teams, Dallas is quite a bit healthier as they’re only listed injured player is Hardaway Jr. On the other hand, the Warriors have several guys, significant cogs in the wheel, that will be missing here or at the very least, banged-up. This was evident recently where they struggled to cover the spread. They are just 3-5 their last eight games against the spread these playoffs. They haven’t exactly been blowing away opponents. On the other hand, The Mavericks covered four of their last five coming into the Western Conference Finals. And this season have had their way in this Conference rivalry winning and covering three or four meetings with Golden State. Going back a bit, they are 6-1 against the spread the last seven meetings in Golden State and 7-3 the last 10 overall meetings with Golden State. The Warriors are 0-5 against the spread the last five games played following a straight up wind. This is way too many points to give the very scrappy, Dallas team. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs +1 v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Slam Dunk play. Game 565. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Very simply, Dallas is just playing better basketball than Utah. They started the series very competitively without their superstar, Luka Doncic. Yes, in his first game back they dropped the game, but they still played very competitively as the forward was getting his sea legs. Well, Game 5 had a much different outcome. The Mavericks blew away the Jazz 102-77 to give them four consecutive covers in this series. Without question Utah has a lot more pressure on them here. They play in front of their home crowd who is used to them not succeeding in the postseason. That will weigh on their shoulders during this matchup. And less pressure, momentum, and having Doncic on the floor and healthy, there is no question in my mind that the Mavericks win this game. Throw into the mix that Donovan Mitchell is a little banged-up and that spells DOOM for Utah. The Mavericks are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings at the Jazz, 4-0 against the spread the last four games played on the road, and 20-8 against the spread the last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. SD play. Game 536. 6:30 pm pst. With The series tied 2-2, Dallas doesn’t just want this victory here tonight, they need it. It seems as though the Mavericks, which have covered Games 2, 3, and 4, have the recipe for frustrating Utah. As everyone knows, star forward, Luka Doncic returned in Game 4. Don’t overthink the fact that when he finally got back on the floor that the team lost. He really didn’t get into a rhythm until just before the half. That would concern me more than anything if I were the Jazz. Dallas has covered four of the last five matchups in this rivalry at home and eight of the last nine overall. This is an issue for Utah, as they are not a strong road team. They are also not very good in the role of an underdog or when playing on just one days rest. They sport a 6-19-1 against the spread mark the last 26 games played on the road, an 0-4 against the spread mark the last four games played as an underdog, an 1-9 against the spread mark the last 10 games played on one days rest. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-24-22 | Warriors -4 v. Nuggets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Month. Game 523. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Up 3-0, Golden State can get some extra rest by putting Denver here away as their next matchup will be between the Memphis/Minnesota winner. That series is tied 2-2. The Warriors haven’t just won every game in this series, they’ve won each one with ease. And for us sportsbettors, they have covered all three as well, winning by an average margin of 13.6 points per game. The Nuggets aren’t just losing this series, they have a dropped the last four overall straight up. And they have also dropped seven of the last nine against the spread. Denver is just simply way in over their heads here as they have failed to cover the last five meetings with Golden State, 18 of the last 24 games played at home, and the last five played as a home underdog. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-21-22 | Warriors -1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State. NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 573. 7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est. It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Raptors. LVSM. Game 521. 3:00 pm pst. Sports fans, Toronto has been locked into this seeding for quite a while now. So, the Raptors enter the postseason very well rested. Not only that but they start the playoffs red-hot, winning 14 of the last 18 game straight up and covering 12 of those 18 outings. To add to their advantages, this team is one of the few participating in the postseason that are at full strength, with no injuries. They can certainly match Philadelphia in scoring and are significantly better on the boards. And in my opinion, that is where this game will be won. The 76ers have several players that are still out and a few more that are a little banged up. Therefore, rotating fresh legs is not in the cards for them. And for us who wager on games, they have failed to cover seven of the last nine overall entering this matchup. Speaking of matchups, Toronto has taken three or four straight up in the series this season while covering all for meetings with Philadelphia. They are also 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog, and 5-1 against the spread the last six Conference Quarterfinal games. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Duke. Game 704. 5:45 pm pst Sports fans, the drama surrounding this Final Four matchup is unrivaled. North Carolina and Duke have been going out each other for as far back as I can remember. Obviously, there’s the story surrounding Coach Mike Krzyzewski retiring after this Tournament. And obviously, the team wants to win for him. There’s also all the brouhaha surrounding the fact that Duke took the first meeting this season back in February by 20-points and then in Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium North Carolina shredded them by 13-points. Hubert Davis is a good coach. He’s done a lot with his Tar Heels team this season. But he is certainly outmanned and outclassed here. It goes without saying he doesn’t have anywhere near the coaching experience as his counterpart. Nor does he have his big game intelligence or savvy. The Blue Devils score more offensively and allow less defensively. They’re also one the most accurate teams in the country both from beyond the arc and overall, from the floor. Let’s not forget the fact that they are one of the best in the nation on the offensive boards. North Carolina can score and is accurate from downtown as well. And also grab a lot of offensive rebounds. But the mismatch you’re going to see is between the Duke offense and the North Carolina defense. There is a huge disparity in ability, talent, and statistics. The Blue Devils can go to the well for fresh legs throughout the game as they are a little bit deeper and have that monster frontcourt with four big men in the starting lineup. The Tar Heels are 8-18-1 against spread the last 27 neutral side games played as underdog and 2-6 against spread eight NCAA Tournament games played as an underdog. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta. EC GOM. Game 586. 4:40 pm pst. Both teams here are hoping for playoffs appearances. Currently the Cavaliers are seventh in the East. Atlanta, at the moment is in tenth and they are trying to catch an eighth-place Brooklyn team and a ninth-place Charlotte team. Both played last night as a Cavaliers took a 120-112 loss at home against the Mavericks while the Hawks visited Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder, 136-118 to give the team their third consecutive win and cover. They had a short plane ride home for today’s matchup. The Cavaliers have been bitten badly by the injury bug. Allen has been out for a while joining Rondo, Wade, and Sexton. However just added to the injured list is center, Evan Mobley. Now with him out this team seems like they just can’t score at all. They have failed to cover six in a row and nine of the last 11 outings. As a matter fact, they lost and failed to cover the two most-recent meetings with Atlanta, coming at the end of December and mid-February. And that was when they were at full strength. The last few weeks the Hawks have taken it to another level winning eight of the last 11 straight up. This is a team that is back at to where they used to be, dominating opponents on their home court, where the Hawks are 13-6 against the spread the last 19 games played at the State Farm Arena. Cleveland’s numbers are just horrible as they are 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played on zero days rest, 5-11 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 2-6 against the spread the last eight games played on the road. Look for superstar, Trae Young to once again light up the Cavaliers as he has accounted for 35 and 41 points in the last two meetings. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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03-21-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Raptors. EC GOM. Game 529. 5:10 pm pst. If you’re concerned that Toronto played last night in Philadelphia, don’t be. This is a team that’s 10-4 against the spread the last 14 games played on zero days rest. Personally, I believe the wrong team is favored here. Yes, I know Chicago has won covered five of the last six meetings in this rivalry. But the Raptors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning and covering six of their last seven outings. The Bulls continue to disappoint, losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter fact, they are on a 2-8 straight up run, only covering one of those last 10 games. The fact that Fred VanVleet rested last night tells me he will play here tonight (check status) and the team seriously wants this victory. Toronto will look to send a message to the rest of the Eastern Conference to the teams that are currently ahead of them in the seeding. They are 6-0 against the spread the last six games played on the road, 5-0 against the spread the last five road games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 4-0 against the spread the last four games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Chicago is 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-19 against the spread the last 27 home games played versus teams with a winning road record, and 2-5 against the spread the last seven games played on two days rest. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State v. Villanova -5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Wildcats, head coach, Jay Wright and his boys have won two of the last five tournaments. They come in here rolling today, winning six in a row. Villanova also has National Player of the Year candidate, Collin Gillespie. If this team was going to have a letdown, it would’ve happened after they won the Big East tournament. But it did not as they shellacked Delaware, 80-60 in the first round. They are no strangers to Ohio State. These two met up in November, 2019 when the Buckeyes crushed the Wildcats, 76-51. Gillespie was on that team and remembers that embarrassing loss quite well. Look for him to come out and lead the more talented bunch, get their vengeance, and move onto the Sweet 16. Ohio State is 2-10 against the spread the last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Villanova is 17-5 against the spread the last 22 NCAA Tournament games. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-17-22 | Vermont v. Arkansas -4 | Top | 71-75 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Arkansas. BEST BET PLAY. Game 722. 6:20 pm pst/9:20 pm est. My friends, every March we hear sports commentators chatting about Cinderella teams that have a shot go far in the Tournament. This year we’re hearing that static about Vermont. However, the Catamounts are going to be a one-and-done memory as they have a snowballs chance in hell at surviving today’s match up with the Razorbacks. Yes, I know they went through the American East Conference like a tornado. But the AEC is no way near to the SEC. Remember that Arkansas went 13-5 in conference play this season and have taken down some big-name teams like LSU three times, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Auburn, Missouri, Florida, and Kentucky. Vermont stepped up out of their class dropping games, losing and not even covering against the likes of Maryland and Providence. As a matter fact those two matchups got pretty darn ugly falling in both by double-digits. They also don’t have a big man that can even slow down forward, Jaylin Williams. The Catamounts are 1-4 against the spread their last five games played as an underdog and 0-4 against the spread their last four games played on neutral sites. The Razorbacks are 8-2-1 against the spread their last 11 games played as a favorite and 14-3-1 against the spread their last 14 games played overall. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |
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03-15-22 | St Bonaventure v. Colorado -3.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
NIT FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR. Colorado Buffaloes. Game 684. Tuesday, March 15, 2022. 8:00 pm pst/11:00 pm est. These two teams enter the first round of the NIT tournament with very different mindsets. St. Bonaventure finished their regular season very strong winning eight of their final nine outings. However, on Friday in the Atlantic 10 quarterfinals, Kyle Lofton missed two free throws in the final seconds to give the team a heartbreaking, 57-56 loss to Saint Louis. Most teams will have a hard time bouncing back from a defeat like that. And this team has showed that they aren’t one of them. Colorado won seven of their last eight regular season contests, then dominated Oregon in the first round of the Pac-12 Tournament, only to lose a tough contest to top-seeded Arizona. They do have the talent and the coaching to bounce back and use that loss to further motivate them here. The Bonnies have faced and beaten a few solid squads. However, this team seems to stumble when they step up in class in their own conference. And when stepping up outside the conference, well they got shredded in both situations this season against the Huskies (10-point loss) and the Hokies (37-point loss). With a frontcourt of three strong big men led by forward, Jabari Walker, who happens to be the best player on the floor, Colorado will dominate both inside and on the boards here. St. Bonnie is 1-8 against spread their last nine road games played versus teams with a winning home record, 1-5 against the spread their last six games played as an underdog, and 4-10 against the spread their last 14 games played following an ATS loss. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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03-05-22 | Colorado +2 v. Utah | Top | 84-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Colorado. PAC-12 GOM. Game 737. 6:30 pm pst/9:30 pm est. Colorado is one of the hottest teams in the nation let alone the conference, winning six of their last seven straight up and five of those seven against this spread. With a win here the Buffaloes can clinch the number four seed and a first-round bye in the upcoming tournament. They took the first meeting approximately three weeks ago at home 81-76. Meanwhile Utah has dropped 14 of their last 17 straight up which includes their last two. They have been absolute point spread poison, dropping their last three and overall, 15 of the last 24. Outside of the Beavers, the Utes are the worst team in the conference and aren’t playing for anything here. If they had any pride or fight in them, they would’ve at least shown up over the month which they have not. Look for the trio of forwards, Walker, Battey, and DaSilva (35.5 PPG & 17.3 RPG combined) to once again dominant in the paint as they did in the first meeting. Utah is 1-4 against the spread the last five games played as a favorite. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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02-26-22 | North Carolina -4 v. NC State | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
UNC. ACC GOM. Game 623. 11:00 am pst/2:00 pm est. This may be an in-state rivalry but North Carolina is looking to move back into a good spot for postseason positioning. Coming off a home loss last Wednesday to Pittsburgh, they have now rattled off two consecutive wins at Virginia Tech and in their own house against Louisville. The Tar Heels still have a chance at the Atlantic Coast Conference’s top-spot and big win here will get them closer to that goal. They face a Wolfpack team that has just one win and cover over the last eight outings and are a dismal, 1-8 in conference home games this season. In the earlier meeting back at the end of January, North Carolina shredded NC State, 100-80 at home. That gave them seven wins and covers in the last eight meetings with their conference rival. They have just too much offensive power for the lackluster offense of the Wolfpack. Look for the Tar Heels to make a statement to the rest of the conference here. NC state is 1-5 against the spread their last six games played as underdog, 0-4 against the spread the last four games played against teams with a winning record, and 1-5 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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02-22-22 | Arkansas v. Florida | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK. Arkansas Razorbacks. Game 631. Tuesday, February 22, 2022. 4:00 pm pst/7:00 pm est. If there was a game on the card today that certainly has an off-line, this game is it. Arkansas should be a favorite of at least two baskets. The Razorbacks have very quietly risen to be the number three team in the Southeastern Conference at 10-4 in league play. Overall, they sport a 21-6 record. And once again very quietly, they are just about the hottest team in the nation winning both 11 of their last 12 straight up and more importantly for us, against the spread. Florida is struggling for sure, splitting out their last eight games going 4-4 straight up and only covering once since the end of January, riding a 1-5 ATS run. This is a team that was once feared from downtown but have now sunk to hitting just about 30% beyond the arc. This doesn’t bode well in this matchup because they just don’t have the inside strength to match with Arkansas’ powerful lineup, which accounts are over 77.3 PPG. The Razorbacks also counter defensively with a very stingy stop-unit yielding just 40.6% from the floor. Offensively, when your number four scorer, Jaylin Williams is named the SEC Co-Player of the Week, that just shows you how potent your starting lineup really is. After several years of the Gators dominating this series, the tide is turning for sure. The Razorbacks took the most-recent meeting about a season ago, 75-64 and are even better this season. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a favorite, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600. Take the Razorbacks. Thank you. |
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01-25-22 | Wyoming v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Boise State. MWC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 654. 6:00 pm pst. Boise State has dominated Wyoming, winning nine of the last 10 meetings, including seven straight. They won and covered both of last season’s matchups. Kudos to the Cowboys for winning five in a row. But the Broncos are riding a 12-game hot streak. Yes, Wyoming can score points. But BSU counters their offense with the nation’s 8th ranked scoring defense. I mean come on; Wyoming was an underdog against Grand Canyon. In their two losses to Arizona and Stanford they could only muster 65 and 63 points. Well, the Boise State defense is just as good. Particularly on the boards which will allow a huge edge in transition. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600, 5-1 ATS the last six following an ATS win, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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01-14-22 | Davidson +1 v. Richmond | Top | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Davidson. A10 GOM. Game 893. 6:00 pm pst. Both teams are playing well and Richmond has won the last three meetings SU and the last four ATS. But Davidson is on a 12-game SU win streak and is a remarkable, 11-3 ATS on the campaign. The Wildcats, behind four double-digit scorers significantly outclass the Spiders with a huge mismatch. Richmond will not be able to even slow down the offensive juggernaut of Davidson. The Spiders are on an 0-3 ATS slide, are just 1-5 ATS their last five vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS their last six games played at home. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-30-21 | Minnesota -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Minnesota. NCAAB GOM. Game 603. 4:00 pm pst. Don’t look now but the Golden Gophers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. They possess a monster defense allowing just 59.6 PPG. Minny is just a 3-pt’er away from covering all five contests and going back a bit to last March, seven straight. With four double-digit scorers and a frustrating “D”, they just simply outgun Pitt here. The Panthers have dropped four games this season, all by double-digits (Citadel, West Virginia, Vanderbilt, UMBC). Pitt is 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played overall. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Phoenix. NBA FINALS GOY. Game 502. 6:05 pm pst. Phoenix enters the Finals much fresher. Despite the WCF and the ECF both going six games, the Suns, which finished their series four days before the Bucks, had a much easier time with the Clippers than the Bucks did with the Hawks. Word is that Giannis Antetokounmpo (check status) “if” he plays, certainly won’t be 100%. This changes the entire offense and hurts Milwaukee significantly in transition. Keep in mind, although both regular season meetings were won my one-point, the Suns still won and covered both. They are a stronger team now than they were in February and March. The fresher legs, with the smarter coach, with the frustrating defense will come out here in Game 1 and win and cover. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS L7 meetings with the Suns and 3-9 ATS L12 as an underdog. The Suns are 4-0 ATS L4 on three or more days rest and 8-3 ATS L11 as a home favorite. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | Top | 116-113 | Win | 101 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Atlanta hawks. ECF GOY. Game 561. 5:35 pm pst. This is just too many points to give a well-coached, smarty and scrappy, Hawks team that ousted the 76ers in the last round. Milwaukee has gotten by with luck. We have seen the Bucks commit countless mental errors, turning the ball over, getting flustered, and missing crucial shots from the FT line. They are very similar to the 76ers. Look for the sharper, better-coached, and the frustrating Hawks squad to out smart and outclass the 76ers here. Atlanta is 12-3 ATS L15 at Milwaukee, 4-1 ATS L5 on the road, and 10-4 ATS L14 overall. Take the Hawks. Thank you. |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Suns. WCF GOY. Game 536. 12:35 pm pst. Both teams are without superstars. Kawhi Leonard and Chris Paul are both out here. Both have missed a significant number of games this season. But this isn’t the regular season. Leonard is the teams top-scorer, one of their best rebounders, and their floor general. While Paul is a solid contributor, the Suns possess a few solid guards that will fill on and not affect the squad. The Clippers have only had one day to rest and prepare for the Western Conference Finals following a grueling, six-game war with the Jazz. Phoenix did away with Denver in a four-game sweep and have rested for about a week. The Suns have the offense and the defense to overwhelm the tired Clippers team. Not to forget they are on a seven-game win and cover streak. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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05-25-21 | Celtics +9.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-130 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Celtics. Game 531. 4:35 pm pst. Boston can not afford to fall down two games to none in this series. The Celtics own a very strong defense and giving them nearly double digits here is a gift. They are 9-4 ATS L13 on the road, 6-0 ATS L6 on two days rest, and 7-3 ATS L10 as a ‘dog. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks +1 | Top | 107-105 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Knicks. Game 502. 4:05 pm pst. New York is the NBA’s best ATS team this season and have won and covered all three meetings with Atlanta in 2021. At home, they are money, winning 11 of their last 12 SU, and going 9-3 ATS. The Hawks have trouble when traveling, failing to cover their last five on the road. The swarming, top-rated Knicks defense will frustrate the Hawks here and allow their stars, Randle and Barrett to shine. Atlanta is 0-6-1 ATS L7 vs. New York. New York is 16-5 ATS L21 as a home favorite. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
Trailblazers. Game 511. 7:35 pm pst. Portland has covered all three meetings with Denver this season. They are 10-2 overall their last 12 games SU, going 9-3 ATS, beating some of the NBA’s best. As good as the Nuggets offense is, the Blazers score more, are better from both the FT line and from downtown. The back court of Lillard and McCollum are one of the most talented in the NBA. They do outclass the Denver guards and will penetrate the paint against their big men. The Trailblazers are 4-0 ATS L4 meetings with the Nuggets and 7-1 ATS L8 as an underdog. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-6 ATS L7 on three or more days rest. Take Portland. Thank you. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Clippers. Game 510. 1:35 pm pst. The well-rested stars of the Clippers will shine here. Both teams success relies upon their big men. Forwards, Doncic and Porzingis (47.8 PPG, 16.9 RPG) represent Dallas while Leonard and George (48.1 PPG, 13.1 RPG) lead Los Angeles. The Clippers are far stronger overall on both ends of the court on the boards. But, this game will come down to the No.1 three-pt shooting and FT shooting squad of LA terrorizing Dallas from beyond the arc and making most of their shots from the line. The Mavericks are 4-9 ATS L13 vs. the Clippers and 5-11 ATS L16 playoff games as an underdog. The Clippers are 40-19 ATS L59 following a SU loss and 20-5-1 ATS L26 on three or more days rest. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-15-21 | Hornets v. Knicks -5.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Knicks. VI MOVE. Game 524. 10:10 am pst. New York wants this win. They win here and Miami loses tonight, the Knicks avoid the Bucks in the first round of the playoffs. Charlotte has lost three in a row SU and seven of their last 10. NY’s top-ranked defense in PA, FG%, and 3-PT% is playing superbly and will completely shut down the Charlotte “O”. All this while Randle and Barrett continue to shine. The Hornets are 2-5 ATS L7 in New York, 1-5 ATS L6 as a ‘dog, and 0-5 ATS L5 on the road. The Knicks are 35-15-1 ATS L51 overall, 20-7 ATS L27 as a favorite, and 8-2 ATS L10 at home. Take New York. Thank you. |
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05-14-21 | Cavs v. Wizards -8 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Wizards. VI MOVE. Game 502. 4:10 pm pst. A very angry and motivated Wizards team will come in here today looking to destroy the Cavaliers. Washington could have clinched a spot in the play-in tournament on Wednesday. Instead, they squandered a 13-point lead in the fourth quarter of a 120-116 heartbreaking loss to Atlanta. They catch a Cleveland team in “let down” mode here. It took nearly three weeks and 11 straight defeats, but the Cavaliers finally got a win Wednesday surprising Boston. Bradley Beal is out. But the star has missed 11 games in 2021 and the squad still ranks third in the league in scoring (116.6 PPG). The Wizards won and covered both meetings with the Cavs, by an average of 19.0 PPG. Look for Russell Westbrook to continue his stellar run. Cleveland is 7-21 ATS L28 on the road, 1-6 ATS L7 following a SU win, 15-36 ATS L51 on one days rest, and 15-31-1 ATS L52 overall. Take the Wizards. Thank you. |
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04-28-21 | Spurs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 111-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
San Antonio. VIM. Game 575. 5:10 pm pst. Miami is banged-up., But, the absence of Victor Oladipo will be the nails in the coffin here. San Antonio has won three in a row and five of the last six, both SU and ATS. The Spurs are also one of the few NBA teams that have a better road record (18-10) then at home (13-19). Look for the backcourt of DeRozan and Murray (37.1 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 12.4 APG combined) to take this game over. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS L8 at the Heat and 4-0 ATS L4 as a road ‘dog. The Heat are 2-5 ATS L7 on one days rest and 7-18-1 ATS L26 following a SU loss. Take San Antonio. Thank you. |
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04-24-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Spurs. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 507. 5:10 pm pst. San Antonio is vying for one of the last two play in spots in the West. The winner of today’s game will earn the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Spurs are hot, winning and covering three of their last four while the Pelicans are 1-4 their last five both SU and ATS. Defense will get San Antonio the outright victory here (held three of last four opponents to 94 or less points). They have covered the last four meetings in New Orleans and the last four overall meetings as well. They are also 5-1 ATS L6 as a visitor. New Orleans is 1-5 ATS L6 on one days rest, 0-4 ATS L4 following an ATS win, and 1-4 ATS l5 as a favorite. Take the Spurs. Thank you. |
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04-21-21 | Nuggets -1 v. Blazers | Top | 106-105 | Push | 0 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Denver. VIM. Game 549. 7:10 pm pst. Since Jamal Murray went down, Denver has won three in a row SU (2-1 ATS). The Nuggets depth and talent is solid. They face a Portland team that has lost seven of their last 10 SU (4-6 ATS). Look for the Nuggets to pick apart the Blazers from beyond the arc while dominating the boards. Denver is 6-1 ATS L7 in Portland. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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04-19-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 128-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Phoenix. VIM. Game 511. 5:10 pm pst. Yes, the Bucks are the highest scoring team in basketball. But, facing the frustrating, 4th ranked defense of the Suns, is going to be a tough task. Especially because Phoenix also has some scorers that will light up the erratic Milwaukee “D”. The Suns are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. the Bucks, 4-1 ATS L5 as a ‘dog, and 13-3 ATS l16 vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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04-03-21 | Houston +5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Houston. Game 801. 1:10 pm pst. Yes, Baylor is a good team that plays in a very competitive conference. However, Houston has the size, strength, speed, and depth to not just compete, but to win here. They own the nations No. 2 defense in points allowed, No.1 in FG%, and No. 4 in 3-point %. The Cougars also outclass the Bears on both the “O” and “D” boards here. Houston is 11-2 ATS L13 as a ‘dog, 21-8 ATS L29 vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600, and 14-6 ATS L20 overall. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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03-31-21 | Bulls v. Suns -7 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix. TRP. Game 528. 7:10 pm pst. Phoenix, which sits atop the Pacific Division at 32-14, possess the NBA’s No.3 ranked defense. And with Chicago’s top-scorer, Zach LaVine hampered by an ankle issue (still slated to play, check status) the Suns will completely shut down the Bulls here. Chicago is a mess, dropping four in a row, both SU and ATS as their defense or lack thereof, has become a league doormat, yielding over 113.9 PPG. Devon Booker (25.0 PPG) will star in his own highlight reel here. The Bulls are 1-8 ATS L9 vs. teams with a SU winning record and 1-4 ATS l5 as an underdog. The Suns are 5-1 ATS L6 on zero days rest and 22-8 ATS L30 at home. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
New York. CONSENSUS. Game 517. 5:10 pm pst. No.1, No.1, and No.1. That’s what NY’s defense is ranked in points allowed (104.6), FG% 44.3%), and 3-pt% (33.6%). Minnesota has enough trouble offensively in those areas, ranking among the worst in the NBA in each. So, facing the Knicks here will be fatal. Look for New York to dominate the glass at both ends of the court here while they drain the “3” at will against the Minny, 28th ranked 3-pt “D”. The Timberwolves are 17-38-1 ATS L56 at home and 6-14 ATS L20 overall. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS L4 on the road and 9-1 ATS L10 following a SU loss. Take New York. Thank you. |
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03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga -8 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Gonzaga. OMP. Game 658. 4:15 pm pst. Both teams have won and covered their last three. But, Gonzaga, which is by far the superior team in every aspect here, will not let their foot off the gas. The Bulldogs have the front court to overpower the Trojans offense and frustrate their defense. Gonzaga is 6-1 ATS L7 on neutral sites and 4-1 ATS L5 NCAA Tournament games. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse v. Houston -6.5 | Top | 46-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Houston. SWEET 16 BB. Game 648. 6:55 pm pst. The clock strikes midnight for Syracuse here. They have fallen each time they face a top-tier defense this season. And they don’t get any better than the swarming and frustrating ‘D” of Houston. The Orange will also be overmatched on both sides of the court on the boards here as the Cougars rank 5th offensively and 16th defensively on the glass. Look for Quentin Grimes to star in his own highlight reel here. Houston is 20-7 ATS L27 vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600, 7-2 ATS L9 on neutral sites, and 13-5 ATS L18 overall. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Charlotte. CONSENSUS PLAY. Game 504. 4:05 pm pst. With three consecutive SYU wins, Charlotte is above .500, at 19-18. They have won and covered the last four meetings with Sacto and enter this contest with confidence, momentum, and the much healthier squad. The Hornets will dominate the boards here but the biggest mismatch is their 6th ranked 3-pt shooting offense facing the 30th ranked 3-pt defense of the Kings. Sacramento is 1-7 ATS L8 as an underdog, 0-7 ATS L7 on pone days rest, and 3-12 ATS L15 overall. Charlotte is 4-1 ATS L5 as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 on one days rest, and 5-2 ATS L7 at home. Take the Hornets. Thank you. |
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03-13-21 | Pacers v. Suns -7 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Phoenix. TRP. Game 556. 7:05 pm pst. With the NBA’s 3rd ranked defense, Phoenix has won eight of their last nine, both SU and ATS. Very quietly, the Suns also possess top-10 rankings offensively on FG%, 3-pt%, and FT%. Indiana is not just the coldest pro squad, dropping six of their last seven SU, but they are also wearing the badge of the biggest point spread poisonous team, going 0-7 ATS their last seven outings. The Pacers are 0-9 ATS L9 as an underdog and 0-5 ATS L5 on the road. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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03-13-21 | Georgetown +8.5 v. Creighton | Top | 73-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Georgetown. HR. Game 619. 3:30 pm pst. Georgetown is money, covering seven of their last nine outings and are a very dangerous team here as they have nothing to lose. No one gave them a shot in this Tourney. The pressure is all on Creighton, which played a tiring, barnburner with UConn yesterday. Fatigue may be a factor come the 2nd half. The Hoyas are 5-1 ATS L6 as an underdog and 8-3 ATS L11 vs. teams with a SU winning record. Take Georgetown. Thank you. |
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03-12-21 | Connecticut +1 v. Creighton | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Connecticut. TOP-RATED PLAY. Game 849. 6;00 pm pst. UConn covered both meetings with Creighton in 2021. And that was before they started surging. The Huskies have won seven of their last eight SU and all eight ATS. Creighton is all offense and no defense. This doesn’t bode well as Connecticut owns one of the conference’s best “D’s” They are 21-8-2 ATS L31 following an ATS win, 5-1 ATS L6 on neutral sites, and 33-16-3 ATS L52 overall. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-11-21 | Utah v. USC -7.5 | Top | 85-91 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
USC. Pac-12 Tourney BEST BET. Game 738. 5:30 pm pst. One of the worst defeats of the season for USC was a February 27, 71-61 loss to Utah. The Trojans dominated the boards in both 2021 matchups (won and covered in early January) and that is where today’s contest will be won. Forward, Evan Mobley takes this game over. Utah is 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win. USC is 13-4 ATS L17 following an ATS loss. Take the Trojans. Thank you. |
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03-10-21 | Minnesota v. Northwestern +1 | Top | 51-46 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NW. TOP PLAY. Game 638. 3:30 pm pst. Northwestern is hot and Minnesota is not. The Wildcats enter this Tournament winning their last three SU (2-1 ATS) while the “not so” Golden Gophers are on a seven-game slide both SU and ATS. Northwestern thumped Minny, 67-59 a few weeks ago and since then, the Gophers have really struggled even more. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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02-28-21 | Knicks +1 v. Pistons | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
New York. TOP-RATED PLAY. Game 567. 5:05 pm pst. New York owns a .500 record at 17-17. They are looking to hold on to and moreover, better it. Not only are the Knicks starting to win SU, but they are also covering, getting bettors paid in seven of their last nine contests. Detroit is finding new and improved ways to lose and will be in for a long day here going up against the NBA’s No. 1 defense with their 25th ranked offense. NY us far superior on both boards here as well. They are 6-1 ATS L7 as a favorite. Detroit is 3-9-1 ATS L13 on one days rest. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Washington. TOP-RATED PLAY. Game 556. 4:05 pm pst. Washington is starting to stride. They have won and covered six of their last seven games, both SU and ATS. Beal and Westbrook (42.5 PPG and 14.9 RPG combined) will go uncontested here as Minnesota is still without Beasley and Russell. Towns can’t carry the team all by himself. The center will have his hands full dealing with the Wizards big men in this matchup. Washington has covered four of their last five in this series, including a 130-109 romp on New Years Day. The Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road and 0-6 ATS L6 overall. Take the Wizards. Thank you. |
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02-27-21 | Florida Atlantic -1.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
FAU. BEST BET. Game 689. 2:00 pm pst. FAU owns one of the nations most potent offenses (79.7 PPG). USM owns of the worst (64.7 PPG). The Owls’ five starters are all either flirting with or averaging double-digits. The “not so” Golden Eagles just can’t compete here. The Favorite is 6-2 ATS L8 meetings in this series. Southern Miss is 0-4 ATS L4 at home and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take FAU. Thank you. |
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02-23-21 | Kansas +3 v. Texas | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Kansas. HIGH ROLLER. Game 643. 6:00 pm pst. Since an early-February loss to drop them out of the top-25 for the first time in a dozen years, the Jayhawks are on a mission, winning and covering five straight. The team, is now ranked 17th and a win over No. 14, Texas will further their status up the polls. To add to their motivation, they can and will avenge their worst home loss in coach, Bill Self’s tenure in Lawrence. The Longhorns embarrassed Self and his squad, 84-59 back at the beginning of the year. This is an ideal time to do just that as Texas is having some issues, dropping five of their last eight SU and seven of those eight ATS. The Road Team is 12-2 ATS L14 meetings in this series. The Jayhawks are 15-7 ATS L22 on the road. The Longhorns are 8-21 ATS L29 at home. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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02-17-21 | Hawks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Boston. TOP-RATED PLAY. Game 558. 4:35 pm pst. Boston is back on track following Tuesday’s 112-99 win and cover over Denver. They have dominated Atlanta, winning all three meetings last season and nine of the last 10 SU, going 6-4 ATS. The Hawks are ice-cold, dropping four in a row and seven of t heir last eight SU, covering just twice in those eight outings. Defensively, the Celtics will shut down the Hawks “O”. Boston is 4-1 ATS L5 at home and 7-2 ATS L9 on 0 days rest. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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02-13-21 | Arkansas +3 v. Missouri | Top | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Arkansas. SEC GOM. Game 683. 1:00 pm pst. Revenge is a dish best served cold. Missouri bested Arkansas at the beginning of January. Both teams are playing well. But the Razorbacks are playing better. They account for over 82.7 PPG (12th) and own one of the nations best offensive rebounding corps. The underdog is 13-6 ATS L19 meetings in this series. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns +1 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Phoenix. TRP. Game 564. 12:05 pm pst. Phoenix and their 4th ranked “D” can and will neutralize the Philly “O”. The Suns are red-hot, winning and covering four in a row and seven of their last eight. Not only will they slow down the 76ers offense, but they also match up well on the boards here. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in this series and 14-35-3 ATS L52 on the road. Phoenix is 5-0 ATS L5 at home and 23-9 ATS L32 overall. Take the Suns. Thank you. |
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02-06-21 | Tennessee -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Tennessee. BEST BET. Game 751. 5:00 pm pst. The 11th ranked Volunteers come in here looking to make a statement. They come off a loss and need to get back on track here. This is the opponent to do just that as they are confident facing a Wildcats team they have beaten three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS. Kentucky is ice-cold dropping five of the last six both SU and ATS. The healthier UT squad owns a swarming defense that ranks 6th nationally yielding only 58.9 PPG. The Road Team is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS L6 as an underdog, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. teams with a SU winning record, and 1-4 ATS L5 at home. Take the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Ohio State. Best Bet. Game 731. 4:00 pm pst. The No. 7 and No. 8 teams in the nation square off here. Ohio State has won three in a row and six of their last seven SU, while covering five of those seven outings. This includes outright victories over such notables as Rutgers, Illinois, and Wisconsin. Iowa dropped two of their last three SU and all three ATS to Indiana, Illinois, and Michigan State. Two of those opponents, the Hoosiers and Spartans, they were favored by double-digits. While the Hawkeyes possess a powerful offense, they also yield a lot of points. The Buckeyes can score and own a nasty and frustrating “D”. Luka Garza is arguably the most dominating player in college basketball. But OSU has six solid big men to rotate on the center. 6’7”, 240 lb., Liddell, 6’7”, 215 lb., Sueing, and 6’8”, 225 lb., Young are also monsters and will be too much to handle defensively. The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 and 4-1-1 ATS L6 as an underdog. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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02-03-21 | Virginia -7 v. NC State | Top | 64-57 | Push | 0 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Virginia. ACC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 710. 6:00 pm pst. The 14th ranked Virginia Cavaliers roll into PNC Arena angry and looking for redemption. The team comes off their first loss since the end of December. Following a seven game SU win streak (5-2 ATS), the Cavaliers couldn’t do anything right in Saturday’s, 65-51 embarrassing loss to rival, Hokies (as a five-point favorite). This is a team that was way off their stellar numbers of hitting nearly 40% from beyond the arc and an overall 50% from the floor (39.3% and 49.5%). They face a mediocre NC State Wolfpack squad that enters this contest dropping five of their last six SU and covering just twice since mid-December (2-8 ATS run). To make matters worse, they just lost their floor general and leading-scorer, Devon Daniels (16.5 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.7 SPG) a week ago. The starting back court trio of Murphy III, Clark, and Beekman will control the tempo while forwards, Hauser and Huff (28.4 PPG and 13.3 RPG combined) will go uncontested in the paint. Especially if NC State’s best rebounder, Funderburk (check status) misses another outing. The Cavaliers are 30-13-1 ATS L44 on the road, 7-0 ATS L7 following an ATS loss, and 4-1 ATS L5 overall. The Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS L5 at home, 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU loss, and 2-7-1 ATS L10 vs. teams with a SU winning record. Take Virginia. Thank you. |
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02-02-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Pacers | Top | 116-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Memphis. TOP-RATED. Game 549. 5:05 pm pst. Winners of seven in a row SU and ATS, Memphis is striding. They are monstrous on the boards and own the league’s 5th ranked defense. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS L6 at home, 1-4 ATS L5 on 1 days rest, and 2-6 ATS L8 overall. Take the Grizzlies. Thank you. |
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02-02-21 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Clemson | Top | 50-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
UNC. Annihilator. Game 623. 4:00 pm pst. Two teams heading in opposite directions. UNC is red-hot, winning six of their last seven SU while Clemson is cold as ice, losing four of their last five SU and only covering two of their last 10 contests. The Tar heels will dominate the boards here. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS L4 as a ‘dog. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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01-30-21 | Kings +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
Sacramento. Top-Rated play. Game 507. 5:05 pm pst. The much healthier Sacramento team is on a three-game win and cover streak while the depleted Miami squad (eight players out or questionable) has lost five in a row SU and are on a 3-9 ATS slide. The Kings are hot and possess the much stringer inside/rebounding corps. They are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. the Heat and 20-8 ATS L28 as a road ‘dog. The Heat are 1-7-1 ATS L9 on 1 days rest and 0-4-1 ATS L5 at home. Take Sacramento. Thank you |
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01-30-21 | UCF v. Wichita State -5.5 | Top | 88-93 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Wichita State. AAC GOM. Game 678. 1:00 pm pst. Put no concern in the fact that the Shockers are playing just their second game in more than two weeks. Wichita State is motivated here, looking for some redemption following their worst loss of the season. Expect them to swarm Central Florida with their stifling defense and shut down the lackluster, Knights “O”. This team is 4-1 ATS L5 as a favorite, 40-15-1 ATS L56 vs. teams with a SU losing record, and 6-1 ATS L7 overall. UCF is 1-6 ATS L7 on the road, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take Wichita State. Thank you. |
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01-21-21 | Arizona -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 84-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Arizona. PAC-12 GOW. Game 765. 6:00 pm pst. The Sun Devils seem to be distracted, resulting in a four-game SU losing streak and even worse, a six-game ATS slide. As a matter of fact, ASU is a pitiful, 1-9 ATS this season. Poor shooting from both inside and outside of the perimeter and the 305th ranked defense has been serious issues. But, on both ends of the court, they own just about the poorest rebounding stats in college basketball (330th “O”, 326th “D”). That doesn’t bode well as Arizona possesses one of the best rebounding corps in the conference. Oh, by the way, they also own one of the most explosive offenses in the nation (80.0 PPG). The Sun Devils are 5-16 ATS L21 at home and 5-16-1 ATS L22 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-21-21 | Wichita State +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Wichita State. BB. Game 739. 4:00 pm pst. The Shockers are money winning seven of their last eight SU and all six of the lined games ATS. They have been idle for over a week now but I wouldn’t expect any rust here as interim coach, Issac Brown is proving to be a very thorough and a pretty sharp guy. Memphis is point spread poison covering just once since their season-opener. That’s a 1-9 ATS slide. The WSU defense is way to tough for Memphis’s lackluster “O”. Tyson Etienne (17.9 PPG) is the best player on the court here. The Shockers are 19-7-1 ATS L27 on the road. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS L4 at home. Take Wichita State. Thank you. |
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01-16-21 | UAB -2.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
UAB. VIM. Game 687. 1:00 pm pst. In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board today, UAB and their No.1 ranked defense (55.2 PPG allowed) will completely shut down the lackluster Charlotte offense. The Blazers just smashed the 49ers, 61-37 last night. Expect their quartet of double-digit scoring guards to light it up again here today. UAB is 6-0 ARS L6 vs. teams with a losing record, 6-2 ATS L8 on the road, and 10-4 ARS L14 as a favorite. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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01-02-21 | Wright State -9.5 v. Oakland | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Wright State. HL GOW. Game 701. 2:00 pm pst. Wright State just spanked Oakland, 90-51 yesterday to give the Raiders eight consecutive wins and covers in this series. They are 5-0 ATS L5 on the road and 5-2 ATS L7 overall. Take Wright State. Thank you. |
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12-04-20 | North Texas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Mississippi State. BB. Game 814. 5:00 pm pst. Mississippi State dropped their first two outings of the campaign to two very solid opponents, Clemson and Liberty. They then shredded Texas State to give HC, Ben Howland his 500th career win. Look for them to continue to get back on track here. UNT is a good team in their CUSA conference. But stepping up in class has been disastrous. And they certainly step up big time here. The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS L11 as a home favorite and 7-3 ATS L10 following an ATS win. Take Mississippi State. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Lakers -5 v. Heat | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NBA GOY. Game 711. 4:30 pm pst. Los Angeles was up 3-1 going into Friday's Game 5 matchup. Jimmy Butler put up 35 points and 12 rebounds, but he also played 47:12. His legs will be jelly come the second half here. But even if he wasn't tired here, LeBron James and the Lakers will not allow the Heat to even this series up. They will go back to the basics and what they did in the first four games of the Finals. James and Davis will dominate while their bench, the deeper bench, all contribute. LeBron takes this game on his shoulders and proves he is still the best baller on the planet. Take the Lakers. Thank you. |