Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup. Total of the MONTH. Game 395/396. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 27 m | Show |
OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup. AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON. Games 315/316. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor UNDER 43.5 | Top | 30-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Under in the Air Force/Baylor Armed Forces Bowl. NCAAF Total of the Month. Games 227/228. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just for the record, the Baylor Bears enter this Bowl matchup having played two unders in their last three outings following having played six consecutive overs. As the season progressed the odds makers looked to trap you. We all know the type of game plan Air Force plays, thus resulting in five unders in their last six outings. Having said all that, both defenses are amazing. The Bears, which play in the explosive Big 12, allow just 26.6-points per game. The Falcons, ranked number one in the nation, in both yards allowed and passing yards allowed. They rank eighth in rushing yards allowed and third in college football in points scored, yielding a mere 13.3-points per game. The matchups here are very interesting. The Bears, which are a good team offensively, will have a lot of problems. This is a team that primarily relies upon the run to open up their passing game. Well, the Falcons are amazing at stuffing the rush. On the flipside, Air Force we all know, tops the nation in rushing. That is one area that Baylor was very good at defensively in the conference. They allowed only 137.6 yards per game on the ground. Two items that really stood out to me here; Baylor coach Dave Aranda, who really got the head coaching position he currently holds due to the fact that he was the defensive coordinator for Ed Orgeron during the 15-0 National Championship season of 2019 for LSU. He just recently fired his defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts and is taking over the reins here. You can bet your kid‘s college fund that he has prepared his defense for the explosive rushing attack they will face here this evening. Switching it around, we all know the Falcons are the best in the nation at running the ball. Well, they use up a lot of clock on the ground. They don’t score a lot of points, but they use up a lot of clock. The under is 4-1 in the Bears last five games played versus the MWC, 4-0 in their last four games played at a neutral site, and 4-0 in their last four games played in the month of December. The under is 16-5 in the Falcons last 21 nonconference games, 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, and 4-1 in their last five Bowl games. Take the under. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show |
Dolphins/Ravens Under. NFL Total Blockbuster. Games 263/264. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m going to keep this analysis just like me, very short and extremely sweet. (Lol) Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a total of 32-points scored. As a matter fact, coming into this match up eight of the last 11 Dolphins contests have gone under the total. And seven of the Ravens last 10 have gone where? That’s right, under the total as well. Both offenses seem to be a little bit out of sync at the moment, looking like it’s going to take a little while for the squads to mesh and get in a groove. However, both defenses are looking pretty strong right now. Both head coaches are looking to continue their winning ways. And therefore, will not tolerate any mistakes or turnovers by their teams here. I think this is going to be a very slow-moving game as both teams will try to establish the run. Something they’ve yet to do this season. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins list five on the road as well as seven of their last nine versus the AFC. It is also 6-0 in the Ravens last six as a favorite and 5-2 in their last seven versus the AFC as well. Take the under here in a very low scoring contest. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 53 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Over in the Buccaneers/Colts matchup. NFL TOM. Games 257/258. 10:00 am pst. You can expect both teams to come in here fired up. Bucs head coach, Bruce Arians publicly criticized his team including his leader, Tom Brady following last week’s sloppy win over the Giants. The Colts are crushing opponents and come off a big 45-15 victory over AFC top-contender, the Bills. Both offenses are scoring machines. Brady will light up the Colts defense in the air while Wentz will also have quite a bit of success. Especially because he has 1,155-yard rusher, the rejuvenated Jonathan Taylor running the ball. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings in this series, 28-13 in the Bucs last 41 games played on the road and 11-1 in the Colts last 12 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the over folks. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
Under in the Packers/Vikings matchup. NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 467/468. 10:00 am pst. The Packers 3rd ranked defense has emerged to be one of the toughest in football, shutting down offenses completely. Thus, resulting in the team playing to seven straight unders. The Vikings offense is going to have problems moving the ball here. Aaron Rodgers has shown some rust in his return. The Minny “D” knows how to handle Green Bay as well. Besides, they have played to five unders over their lasts seven outings themselves. So, you can expect a heavy dose of rushing form both teams, slowing the pace down. This will be a low-scoring affair as under is 6-1 the last seven meetings in Minnesota and 9-4 the last 13 meetings overall. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon v. USC OVER 63.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
OVER in the Ducks/Trojans. Pac-12 TOM. Games 251/252. 5:00 pm pst. Pac-12 Championship between Oregon Ducks and USC Trojans. The total is currently 64. Six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total folks. Two offenses that can put up 35 points on just about any defense in the nation square off here. You can expect another seesaw shootout here. They may need to replace the bulbs in the scoreboard by halftime. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina OVER 68 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Take OVER in the ND/UNC matchup. This is my ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 135/136. 12:30 pm pst. Two ACC (this season) powerhouses meet here as the No. 2 Fighting Irish and the No. 25 Tar Heels take the field. Notre Dame, which averages over 37.6 PPG, has put up points against just about every opponent this in 2020. They will be able to pass the ball with success here against the 92nd ranked pass defense in college football, while their devastatingly talented rushing attack moves the chains. North Carolina, which accounts for over 43.1 PPG can light up the scoreboard on any team in the nation with their well-balanced (11th passing, 15th rushing) offense. The Fighting Irish have gotten burned for over 71 points the last two outings against the Tigers without Trevor Lawrence and an Eagles squad that is not known for their offensive prowess. The Tar Heels one flaw is their “D”, which has gotten torched for over 30.8 PPG. These teams have combined to play 10 overs and just 6 unders this season. Five of the last seven ND games have gone over the total while UNC has played to four straight overs. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the NO/TB matchup. This is my NFC SOUTH TOM. Games 473/474. 5:20 pm pst. Last week’s win and cover on a windy Cleveland field showed me that Derek Carr and the Las Vegas team has some spunk, my friends. L.A., let’s be honest, they have been competitive in every game this season, every game. Both offenses will pass the ball with great efficiency against each other’s “less than stellar” secondaries. I also see both squads moving the chains on the ground here. Prior to last week, every other outing this season for the Raiders has gone OVER the total, while the Chargers enter this contest riding a four-game OVER streak. Watch this game fly over the total and watch your bankroll get bigger. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns OVER 50.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -102 | 50 h 38 m | Show |
Take OVER in the Raiders/Browns matchup. This is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 259/260. 10:00 am pst. 20 MPH winds or not, these two teams have combined to play 10 OVERS, two UNDERS, and one PUSH this season. Both offenses are putting up points (57.3 PPG combined). And both defense are among the worst in the NFL, getting burned for a combined, 64.4 PPG. Each defense also possesses two of the poorest and most-beatable secondary's we have seen in 2020. Derek Carr is gaining confidence to continue his success in the air, while Baker Mayfield impressed once again last week, tossing five TD's after OBJ went down. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the Raiders L6 overall and 7-0 in the Browns L7 as a favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the FALCONS/PACKERS game. This is my MNF TOM. Game 279/280. 5:50 pm pst. Two of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL face each other here on MNF. Green Bay (40.7 PPG) and Atlanta (30.0 PPG) have combined to play to six overs this season. The Packers enter tonight on a five-game over streak while the Falcons are riding a four-game over streak. Both Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan own top passing units and both defenses are having issues stopping the pass. The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 6-0 in Atlanta's L6 vs. the NFC and 5-0 in Green Bay's L5 vs. the NFC. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Titans/Broncos matchup. Games 271/272. 1:25 pm pst.
These are two of the NFL's poorer offenses, but two of the better defenses. Denver accounts for only 18.0 PPG while Tennessee averages 19.6 PPG. The Broncos defense allows just 21.2 PPG while the Titans "D" yields a mere, 15.2 PPG. They have combined to play to three overs and seven unders this season. The under is 8-1 in Denver's last nine home games, 20-7-1 in Denver's last 28 overall games, 7-3 in Tennessee's last 10 road games and 4-0 in Tennessee's last four overall games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 44 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Denver/Green Bay matchup. This is my TOW. Game 461/462. 10:00 am pst. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Denver averages 15.0 PPG and Green bay accounts for 15.5 PPG. Both defenses are playing well and both teams have played all their games to UNDERS. Counting this preseason the Broncos have played to 15 straight UNDERS and in just regular season play, the UNDER is 19-61 the last 26 overall. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 regular season games and 4-1 their last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/BRONCOS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 285-286. 1:25 pm pst. These two teams haven't faced one another since a 2015 matchup which resulted in 32 combined points. Going back further, they have played to six unders in the last seven meetings. Both offenses sputtered in Week 1 as Denver accounted for just 16 points in a loss at Oakland and Chicago mustered a mere, three points in a tough loss to rival, Green Bay at Soldier Field. Bears QB, Mitchell Trubisky is going to continue to struggle as he goes up against Vic Fangio, who was Chicago's defensive coordinator before taking the head coaching position for the Broncos. Both teams own very strong defenses. The under is 6-0 in the Bears last six overall and 7-0 in the Broncos last seven at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals UNDER 39.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show |
Take the UNDER in the Bills/Bengals game. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 453/454. 10:00 am pst. I know the Cincinnati offense has improved since Bill Lazor took over as OC, but, they're still mustering just 16.0 PPG and they face the #1 stop-unit in the NFL, of Buffalo here. The Bills, under new HC, McDermott has gotten a lot more out of the defense that predecessor, Rex Ryan, as the unit yields a mere, 13.5 PPG, and folks, they've faced such teams as the Lions, Broncos, and Falcons. Let's talk the Bengals defense now, as they rank 3rd in football, yielding only 16.8 PPG. Offensively it's ugly, as Andy Dalton and company are posting 16.0 PPG. The Bills manage 18.2 PPG and have the 31st ranked passing unit. Together, these 2 teams have combined for 6 UNDERS in their 8 outings in 2017. The UNDER is 4-1 in Buffalo's L5 overall and 7-1 in Cincinnati's L8 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |