Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. DePaul | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
First game of the season for both the IPFW Mastodons and the DePaul Blue Demons. IPFW won 17 games last year as they play their 10th season under HC Jon Coffman. DePaul won only 10 games last season. The Blue Demons lost three of their four double-digit scorers from last season. They have a number of transfers coming in this year but it might take a few games for the new players to gel. I believe DePaul will be better this year but not in this first game. Don't believe that they should be laying double digits to this IPFW squad. Play the road dog here today. Take IPFW. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West but it's not going so well. The Chiefs won on Sunday in Frankfurt over Miami, improving to 7-2 on the season. Now the Chargers can just get back to the .500 mark at 4-4 with a win here on Monday Night in New York vs the Jets. The Chargers average 24.9 ppg while allowing 24.0 ppg. They also average 362.4 ypg while giving up 390.9 ypg. The Chargers snapped a two-game losing and spread streak last week with their win over the Bears, 30-13, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Jets are 4-3 S/U and 4-2-1 vs the spread this season. The Jets trail the Dolphins and Bills in the AFC East. However, both the Bills and Dolphins lost on Sunday, so this is a key spot for the Jets to improve to 5-3 and pick up a game on both the teams ahead of them. The Jets have a excellent defense, which allows 18.4 ppg and 329.3 ypg. The offense isn't so good, scoring just 18 ppg and 273.3 ypg on the season. The Jets have won three straight games though, going 2-0-1 ATS vs the spread. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 13-10. They also led the high flying Eagles offense to just 14 points in that win two weeks ago. Now the Jets find themselves a home dog to a team with a losing record. I'll take the points at home here on Monday. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-06-23 | Towson +15 v. Colorado | 57-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Towson coming off a decent campaign last year where they went 21-11 S/U and 16-15 ATS and 12-6 in the CAA conference. Colorado was 18-17 S/U and 13-17-1 ATS. The Towson Tigers will have to replace three starters. They did pick up transfer Messiah Jones from Wofford. This team ranked 41st in the country last year in 3-point shooting. Colorado looks to improve this year around their best player from last year, Tristan daSilva, an All-Pac 12 selection. They added TCU transfer Eddie Lampkin. Early season pick for me here is with the dog, Towson State. |
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11-06-23 | Monmouth +11.5 v. George Mason | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Monmouth opens its season at George Mason here tonight. George Mason was 18-15 ATS last season and covered two of three times as a double digit favorite. Monmouth was just 12-21 vs the spread last season and 7-26 S/U. It's the second season for Monmouth in the CAA conference. The Hawks improved once the new year started, winning five of six games. They also return several players to this season including their best player, 6'5" sophomore Jack Collins. George Mason has a new HC in Tony Skinn. The Patriots will have a rebuilding task this year as they have a new starting five. Taking the point early here with Mommouth against this rebuilding George Mason team. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +2.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
The AFC South is one of the worst divisions in football as three of the four teams have just three wins. That includes the Indianapolis Colts who are 3-5 and have a -24 point differential. The Colts are trailing 6-2 first place Jacksonville by three games. The Colts average 25.6 ppg while allowing 28.6 ppg. They average 362.4 ypg while allowing 371.3 ypg. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the rest of the season after sustaining a shoulder injury. That leaves Gardner Minshew as the starter. The Colts have lost three straight games, including last week at home to New Orleans, 27-38, as a 2-point dog. Now they hit the road to face the Panthers. Carolina won its first game of the season last week at home over Houston, 15-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. The Panthers average just 18.1 ppg while allowing 28.4 ppg. They also average 284.6 ypg and allow 326 ypg. QB Bryce Young had one of his better starts, completing 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards, one TD and no INT's. With Richardson out, I like the Panthers to get win number two here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Huge PAC 12 contest here today as #5 Washington travels to LA to take on #20 USC. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 and looking to get into the playoff picture while USC is 7-2 and hopes to play spoiler here today. Two of the best QB's in college will matchup with Washington Michael Penix Jr taking on USC QB Caleb Williams. The Huskies coming off a win at Stanford last time out, 42-33, but didn't come close to covering the 27.5-point spread. USC had to come from behind last week to eek out a win at Cal, 50-49. Right now Huskies' QB Penix Jr leads the nation in passing and is the odds on favorite to win the Heisman. Williams is second in passing and will be considered in the Heisman voting. Both these teams have great offenses led by future NFL QB's. You can make a case for either side here tonight. For me, I like a home dog like USC that wants nothing more than to spoil Washington's chances at that playoff bid. I'll take the points in this one. Play USC. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -3 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
The Big 12 is loaded with teams that can be bowl eligible so wins will be important for all these teams. That includes these two today. Kansas is 6-2 and tied for 2nd with Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-3 and tied wit BYU and West Virginia. The Jayhawks coming off that big win last week over Oklahoma, 38-33. First time in ages that the Jayhawks have beaten the Sooners and the fans tore down the goal posts at the end of the game. Now they take on Iowa State that has won and covered three straight games, including last week at Baylor, 30-18, as a 3-point road dog. The Cyclones last loss came to Oklahoma, 20-50. Iowa State averages 23.9 ppg while allowing 19.7 ppg. They don't pile up the yards though with just 338.3 ypg while allowing 329.6 ypg. Kansas averages 35.7 ppg and 443 ypg. Big offensive advantage here to the Jayhawks. Iowa State has the better defense and I look for that to be the difference here today. I'll lay the small points with the home team. Play Iowa State. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | 51-15 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Maryland hosting Penn State. Penn State is 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. The Nittany Lions only loss coming a few weeks ago at Ohio State, 12-20 as a 4-point dog. The Lions won last week at home over Indiana, 33-24, but failed miserably to cover the 31-point chalk line. The loss carried over to last week's game as the offense had just 342 total yards of offense. Penn State is behind both 8-0 teams in the Big 10 East, Michigan and Ohio State. Maryland is 5-3 S/U and sits behind the aforementioned teams and Rutgers too. The Terapins have lost three straight both S/U and ATS, including last week at Northwestern, 27-33, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Terps can score, averaging 32.6 ppg and 418.5 ypg of offense. They are holding opponents to 20.4 ppg and 341.4 ypg. Maryland getting almost double digits at home here today. I expect their offense to give the Lions all they can handle. Take the points with Maryland. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today as Kansas State takes on the Longhorns of Texas from Austin. Kansas State is 6-2 S/U and ATS on the season and one of the best rushing teams in the nation with a 226 ypg average. The Wildcats average 37.4 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg. They also average 464.8 ypg while allowing 344.3 ypg. They are coming of a rout of Houston last week, 41-0 where they held the Cougars to just 208 total yards. They will face a 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS Texas team here today. The Horns also one of the best rushing teams, averaging 180.3 ypg. They are tied with Oklahoma for the Big 12 conference title with Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State all one game back. The Horns average 34.5 ppg while allowing just 16 ppg. Texas coming off an easy win over BYU last week, 35-6, covering the 20.5-point spread. Still, they have covered just one of their last three games. Should be a great game here today. If Kansas State can use their running game to control the ball and clock they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas +3 v. Florida | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas looks to get a much needed win here today as they are just 2-6 overall on the season. The Razorbacks are also 4-3-1 vs the number as they head to Florida to face the Gators. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with a 2-6 conference record, which doesn't bode well in the bowl picture. They average 26.5 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. They also average 308.3 ypg while allowing 334.5 ypg. The Hogs need a win desperately after dropping six straight including last week vs Mississippi State, 3-7 as a 6.5-point favorite. The defense keeps them in games though, allowing just 24 points to Alabama, 27 to Ole Miss in their last two weeks. Florida is 5-3 on the season and fourth in the SEC East. They are coming off that loss last week at home to Georgia, 20-43, failing to cover the two TD dog line. That snapped a two game win/spread cover for the Gators. Florida averages 28 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Arkansas. |
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11-03-23 | Boston College +3 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to climb back to the .500 mark here on Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans have a -8 point differential this season. The Titans will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill who will miss this game with a ankle injury. In his place will be Will Levis. Levis will make his second NFL start here tonight. Levis made his debut last week at home vs the Atlanta Falcons and threw for FOUR touchdowns in the win, 28-23 as a 2.5-point dog. That win snapped a two-game losing streak for the Titans. It also eclipsed a 18.9 ppg average for this Titans team. Still, they are a good deal back of first place and 6-2 Jacksonville. The Steelers are tied with Cincinnati and Cleveland in the AFC North at 4-3. They all trail the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers also have a -34 point differential. They average just 16.1 ppg and allow 21.0 ppg. The Steelers offense manages just 271.7 ypg while allowing 382.6 ypg. The Steelers coming off a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-20 last week. They managed just 261 total yards in the loss. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak by Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers at home. The Steelers and J.J Watt have a better defense then the Falcons so we likely won't see Levis throw for another four TD's here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a Big MAC attack here on Wednesday as this conference takes center stage as Ball State and Bowling Green face off. Ball State comes into this game 2-6 S/U and 3-4-1` ATS on the season. Bowling Green comes in 4-4 S/U and 5-3 vs the number. The Ball State Cardinals are last in the MAC West and won't be going to the Bowl season. The Cardinals offense is pretty pathetic, averaging 16.1 ppg and 295.1 ypg. The defense allows 29 ppg and 361.9 ypg. The Cardinals snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over Central Michigan at home, 24-17, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bowling Green Falcons can still make a bowl, but they need to wi here tonight. They sit third in the MAC East. The Falcons average 22.2 ppg and 302.9 ypg. They allow 25 ppg and 331.0 ypg. The Falcons have won two straight games including last week over Akron, 41-14 as a 7.5-poing home favorite. This is a running team, as they have over two hundred yards in each of the last two wins and fewer than 100 yards passing. Ball State allows 125 rushing yards per game and that should be good news for this Bowling Green running game. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Bowling Green. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders couldn't have looked much worse then they did last week in their loss at Chicago, 12-30. They hade just 39 yards rushing and without their starting QB they had just 196 yards passing. They couldn't stop the Chicago rushing attack as the Bears piled-up 173 yards on the ground. Good news is that QB Jimmy Garoppolo (back) has been upgraded to probable after missing that game last week. How effective he will be will remain to be seen however. The 5-2 Detroit Lions having one of their best seasons in many years. They are in first place in the NFC North and can extend that tonight over the second place Vikings who just lost their QB Kirk Cousins for the season. The Packers and Bears look to be no show as both have just two wins. The Lions will look to rebound from their worst performance of the season last week at Baltimore, 6-38. It was their worst offensive output and they allowed over 500 yards to the Ravens. That loss snapped both a four game win streak S/U and against the number. I look for the Lions to rebound from that bad performance last week. The Raiders have no answer if they lose their QB again, which could happen with every play. I'll take Detroit. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans look to get above .500 with a win today at Carolina. The Texans are 3-3 and in 2nd place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Jacksonville. The Texans have a +22 point differential. Meanwhile, Carolina looking for its first win of the season at 0-6 and in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers have a -74 point differential this season. Houston is coming off a win at home over the Saints last week, 20-13 as a 2-point dog. They had just 297 yards compared to the Saints 430 yards. Carolina coming off a loss at Miami last week, 21-42, as a 14-point dog. The Panthers average 18.7 ppg while allowing 31 ppg. This will be a battle among the top two QB draft picks from last season with the Panthers Bryce Young against the Texans CJ Stroud. Everyone keeps waiting for Young to make an impact. Growing pains can be difficult for a rookie in the NFL. I'm going to take the home dog here with Carolina and see if Young can finally be a factor. Play Carolina. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh! |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Late evening action here on the Saturday schedule has a pair of PAC-12 teams facing off as Arizona hosts Oregon State. Oregon State comes into this contest with a 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS record. Arizona is 4-3 S/U and 6-1 vs the spread. Oregon State won at home two weeks ago against UCLA, 36-24, as a 3.5-point favorite. They had last week off. That makes three wins in row since their loss to Washington State for the lone blemish on their record. The Beavers average 38.1 ppg while allowing 20.3 ppg. They also average 445.1 ypg while allowing 343.9 ypg. Arizona also had last week off to prepare for this game. They snapped a two game losing streak two weeks ago at Washington State, 44-6, as a 7.5-point road dog. They have now covered their last three games, all as underdogs. Arizona averages 31.9 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They have 452.4 ypg and allow 333.4 ypg. Arizona covers spreads, especially as a dog. They are a home dog here today and I'll be on the points with this one. Play Arizona. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday has Wisconsin hosting Ohio State. Ohio State kept its perfect record in tact as the Buckeyes improved to 7-0 a big win last week over Penn State, 20-12, covering the 4-point favorite spread. That was a huge win for the Buckeyes and will have them in the current playoff picture. It was also the teams third cover in a row and 4-0-1 ATS their last five games after starting the season 0-2 vs the number. Not only does the Buckeyes offense rank 33.7 ppg, but they have one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 10 ppg and 260 total yards. Ohio State has its sights set on that Nov 25th clash with currently 8-0 Michigan in the regular season finale. Wisconsin lucky to be in the Big 10 West where they don't have to contend with either Ohio State or Michigan. The Badgers are 5-2 and a half game back in the West behind Iowa. Wisconsin averages 26.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also average 396.4 ypg while allowing 334.9 ypg. Getting somewhere around two TD's at home with Wisconsin too much to pass up on here today. The Buckeyes should be in a bit of a letdown spot after that big win last week. I'll take the points with Wisconsin. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Two teams with postseason aspirations meet today in this Mountain West clash between Wyoming and Boise State. Wyoming can take a big step to a Bowl game with a win today that would improve them to 6-2 on the season. As for Boise, a win and they even their season at 4-4, a loss and they could be behind the eight ball for the postseason. Wyoming is 4-2-1 vs the spread after last week's loss at Air Force, 27-34, though they covered the 12.5 point dog line. That snapped a three game win streak for the Cowboys. Wyoming averages 26.3 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They also allow more yards then they gain with a 324.7-380.7 mark. Boise State looks to rebound after their loss at Colorado State two weeks ago, 30-31, as a 8.5-point chalk. The Broncos had last week off to stew over that loss, their second in their last three games. The Broncos average 29.7 ppg but allow 30.9 ppg on the season. They also allow 428.3 ypg while averaging slightly less at 425 ypg. I like the Cowboys getting points in this since I believe they can win straight up. Play Wyoming. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue +2 v. Nebraska | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as a pair of West division teams matchup. Purdue is last in the West with a 2-5 conference record, while Nebraska is fourth at 4-3. Purdue had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They looks to snap a two-game losing streak, including last game vs Ohio State, 7-41. The Boilermakers average 23 ppg while allowing 29.9 ppg on the season. They also average 370.7 ypg and allow 396.3 ypg. The Huskers coming off a win last week at home vs Northwestern, 17-9, but failed to cover the 11-point line. That makes them 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Nebraska averages just 18.7 ppg and allows 19.3 on the season. They also average 330 ypg while allowing 313.6 ypg. I'll take the well rest Purdue team in this one plus the points. Play Purdue. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Huge PAC-12 contest here as Oregon travels to the Beehive state to face Utah U. Both teams come into this contest at 6-1 S/U. Oregon rebounded from their first loss of the season two weeks ago at Washington (33-36) with a win over Washington State, 38-24, but failed to cover the 19.5-point chalk line. This Oregon team is very dynamic with Nix at QB after transferring to Oregon this year. They average 553.4 ppg and 47 ppg on the season. They are also very balanced with over 200 yards rushing average. Utah coming off a big win over USC last week, 34-32, as a 7-point dog. That's two wins in a row that they have scored 34 points. They only allow 296 ypg and 15 ppg this season. This should be one of the marquee games on Saturday. Utah getting almost a TD at home too much for me to pass on. I'll take Utah and see if they can keep the ball out of the hands of this dynamic Oregon offense. Play Utah. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-18-23 | Aces +6.5 v. Liberty | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Game 4 of the WNBA Championship Finals from the Barclays Center in New York. Las Vegas can win their second consecutive title with a win here tonight as they lead this series 2-1. The Liberty looking to send this series back to Vegas for a decisive game five. Vegas is led by A'ja Wilson who averages 23.8 ppg and Kelsey Plum's 19.8 ppg. The Aces will be without their star guard in Chelsea Gray, who injured her foot. That's a huge loss to this Aces team. The Liberty are led by Breanna Stewart and her 19.3 ppg and Jonquel Jones and her 18.2 ppg. Vegas is 5-2 ATS their last seven games while New York is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games. Vegas went to a six-point dog once Plum was ruled out for this game. Still, lots of firepower left for Vegas and getting that many points just too much to pass on. I'll take Vegas and the points here tonight. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-29-23 | Liberty v. Sun +4.5 | 92-81 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
Game 3 of this WNBA best of five series plays in Uncasville, Connecticut with the teams tied at 1-1. Connecticut took game one, 78-63 at New York then lost game two 77-84. Connecticut has covered the first two games as 8.5 and 8.5 point dogs. The NY Liberty shot just 34% from the field in game one before a 45% night in their win in game two. The Sun have covered the first two of the series and while the line has dropped here in game three, I like the Sun to even win this game outright. The Sun are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games with 2 days of rest. They have also covered five of their last seven at home vs the Liberty. I'll take another shot here with Connecticut. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-22-23 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Red Sox not officially eliminated from the playoffs but with 8.5 games back in the Wildcard race they are pretty much done. Chris Sale will try and build off an excellent start last time out. Sale went six innings and allowed just two hits and one run at Toronto. He's 6-4 on the season with a 4.66 ERA. Touki Toussaint will toe the rubber for the White Sox. He's 4-7 on the season with a 6.05 ERA. Those numbers are a bit worse of late at 7.12 over his last seven starts. I'll lay the Run Line here on Friday with the Red Sox. |
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09-20-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing out the season while the Dodgers prepare for their first round of the playoffs. The Tigers are not officially eliminated from the playoffs but in reality it's over for them. The Tigers have lost two straight games including the last two night's in LA, 3-8 and last night 2-3. That snapped a four game win streak for Detroit. Reese Olson starts tonight for Detroit with a 4-7 record and 4.73 ERA. He has pitched well of late, allowing three runs over his last three starts. The Dodgers will start Bobby Miller tonight who is 10-3 in his 19 starts with a 4.02 ERA. He's been better of late with a 5-2 record and 3.68 ERA in his last seven starts. I'm going to lay the run line with the Dodgers here on Wednesday. |
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09-20-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
It's been a disappointing season for the San Diego Padres. They were expected to compete with the Dodgers for the NL West, but instead are 20-games back. They officially haven't been eliminated from the playoffs though because they are 5.5 games back in the Wildcard race. However, with six teams ahead of them that looks like a longshot too. Seth Lugo starts for the Padres today with a 7-7 record in his 24 starts and a 3.83 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA over his last seven starts. The Rockies will send Chase Anderson to the hill with a 0-5 record in his last 15 starts and a 6.43 ERA. He's been worse on the road with a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA. I'll lay the run line today with the Padres. |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Final days of the regular season and the Padres might be the biggest disappointment of the season. A huge payroll and super stars on the team and they are 20-Games back of the Dodgers. The one player who hasn't been a letdown is today's starter, Blake Snell. Snell is 14-9 on the season with a 2.43 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 6-1 in his last seven starts with a 1.88 ERA. He's also allowed two total runs over his last four starts (25 innings). The Rockies are in last in the NL West, 36.5-games back of the Dodgers. They will start Ryan Feltner today who is 2-3 in his eight starts with a 5.86 ERA. He's also allowed eight runs over his last five innings. I'll take the Padres today and lay the Run Line. |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The LA Angels just waiting for the season to end. They made a lot of trade deadline pickups in order to try and make the playoffs. They all bombed as they floundered in the second half of the season. The Rays have clinched a playoff spot, but they still can take the division. They trail the Orioles by just 2.5 games and have won seven of their last 10 games. The Angels will start Patrick Sandoval on Tuesday with a 7-13 record and 4.86 ERA. That goes up in his last seven starts with a 1-5 record and 6.15 ERA. The Rays will start Taj Bradley today. Bradley is 5-7 in 19 starts with a 5.46 ERA. While Bradley isn't one of the better starters on this team. He has a very good bullpen behind him which has a 3.68 ERA. They have been better of late with a 1.11 ERA over their last seven games. I'll lay the Run Line here today with the Rays. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers. |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +5 v. Lions | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Seattle comes into this road game after blowing a halftime lead last week at home against the Rams. Leading 13-7 at the break, the Seahawks were outscored 0-24 by the Rams in the second half to start their season with a loss. Seattle had just 180 yards in the game (85 rush/95 pass) while allowing the Rams 426 yards. The Detroit Lions pulled the big shocker in week 1 with a win on the road at defending champion Kansas City, 21-20. The Lions had 368 yards of offense and held the hi-flying Chiefs offense to just 316 yards. J. Goff led the passing with 22-of-35 for 253 yards and a TD while D.Swift led the rushing with 178 yards on the ground and a TD. The Lions return home this Sunday and while they are a decent favorite, which hasn't happened very often, I have to think they could be in for a letdown this week. I'm going to take the points with the visitors in this one. Play Seattle. |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
SEC Clash here on Saturday has Florida hosting Tennessee. First conference game for both teams here on Saturday has Tennessee coming in at 2-0 while Florida is 1-0. The Vols are coming off a win over Austin Peay, 30-13, coming way short of the 48.5-point line. Meanwhile Florida is coming off a blowout win over McNeese State, 49-7, but also failed to cover the 48-point line. Have to take these softball games with a grain of salt as both teams piled up the yards and points. Florida lost its opener to Utah before bouncing back against McNeese State. The Florida defense has been good, allowing just 15.5 ppg thus far. This will be the first test for Tennessee while Florida did face Utah in their opener. I'm just not ready to lay points on the road in the SEC. I'll take Florida here today. |
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09-16-23 | LSU -9 v. Mississippi State | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
SEC matchup here on Saturday has Mississippi State hosting LSU. Miss State Bulldogs are off to a 2-0 start under new HC Zach Arnett. They have wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Arizona thus far. This will be their biggest test of the young season. LSU comes in here winning four of the last five in this series. LSU lost its opener this season to Florida State, which makes this SEC contest even bigger for the Tigers. They are led by Jayden Daniels who has 708 of LSU's 1081 total yards this season. This is almost a must win spot for LSU and against 1st year coach Arnett I give a big edge to the Tigers here today. I look for LSU to win and cover this game against a Mississippi State still learning the ropes under a new head coach. Take LSU |
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09-16-23 | Liberty v. Buffalo +3 | 55-27 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo looking for its first win of the season after starting 0-2. They face Liberty here on Saturday with the Flames coming in at 2-0. The Flames beat Bowling Green, 34-24, covering the 8-point line. They also beat New Mexico State last week, 33-17, also covering the 9-point line. The rolled up 526 total yards against New Mexico State last week. Liberty is in the Conference USA this year after being an independent. Buffalo lost its opener to Wisconsin 17-38, but covered the 29-point line. It was last week when they lost to FCS school Fordham, 37-40, that really hurts. They failed to cover the 22.5-point line despite leading 21-3 in the 2nd quarter. Liberty will be laying points at Buffalo here on Saturday. I look for Buffalo to put a lot of effort in this one after that loss to Fordham last week. I'll take the points at home with Buffalo. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
Minnesota hits the road here to start week 2 as the Vikings play at Philadelphia. The Vikings and Eagles both coming off excellent seasons last year with Minnesota at 13-4 and the Eagles 14.3. The Eagles just coming up short in the Super Bowl, losing to the Chiefs. Last year the Vikings played at Philly in week two again, losing this matchup last year, 7-24. The Vikings coming off that week one loss to the Bucs, 17-20 at home. The Vikings used the pass extensively last week, rushing for just 41 total yards. QB Kirk Cousins was 33-of-44 for 344 yards and two TD's. The Vikings defense allowed just 242 total yards to the Bucs and held them to nine total first downs. The Eagles opened with a tough game at New England and were able to escape with the win, 25-20. The Eagles jumped out to a 16-0 lead over the Pats, but had to hold on for the win. The Eagles had just 251 totals yards as Jalen Hurts went 22-of-33 for 170 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles have had to adjust to both new offensive and defensive coordinators this year. This was an Eagles team that ranked first in the NFL in total defense last year. If the Vikings can establish a rushing game here on Sunday they should be able to compete and keep Hurts and the Eagles offense off the field. I'm still looking for the Eagle to adjust to new coordinators and early in the season is the time to take advantage. Play Minnesota plus the points. |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
Already a key NFC East battle here on Sunday night has the NY Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams were 1-2 in the preseason. The Giants scored 61 points and allowed 72 while the Cowboys scored 68 and allowed 66. The Cowboys turn the backfield over to Tony Pollard with the departure of Ezekiel Elliot to the Patriots. Dak Prescot is back and healthy. The Cowboys are one of the favorites to get to the Super Bowl, despite a disappointing end to last season. Their defense will be great again this year, led by LB Micah Parsons. The Giants surprised everyone by making the playoffs last year and winning their first playoff game since Super Bowl 46. QB Daniel Jones is much improved and RB Saquon Barkely is back after a contract dispute. I know it's early, but I like the Giants here to win this game. But I'll gladly take the points too. Play NY Giants. |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 92 h 0 m | Show | |
The season starts with a big rivalry already as the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals in this Battle for Ohio. Bot teams didn't do much in preseason as Cleveland finished 1-2-1 and scored 86 points in their four games. The Bengals were 0-2-1 and scored 51 points while allowing 71 points. Cincinnati won in double digits for the second consecutive season last year. The offense will be very good once again with Burrows at QB, Mixon in the back field and a core of excellent receivers. Burrows suffered a calf injury in preseason but is probable for this contest. The Bengals defense lost some key players in the secondary with Jessie Bates III and Vonn Bell both departing. The Browns look to get back to the postseason after missing the playoffs the last two years. DeShaun Watson will be the key cog for this team after starting just six games last year and looking very rusty. This offense has one of the best backs in the NFL in Nick Chubb so that should take some heat off Watson. With Burrow not playing in the preseason I'll look for him to take some time to get back on track. I like the home dog Browns in this opener. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 60 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and 49ers open the season here in Pittsburgh. The Steelers were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason and outscored their opponents by a 78-32 margin. Meanwhile, the 49ers were 1-2 in the preseason and scored just 40 points while allowing 77. This will be the sophomore season for Steelers QB Kenny Pickett. You can expect the reigns to be pulled off him this year. Last year he was held back but not this year. A lot is expected out of the 2nd season QB and I do look for him to have a breakout year. He can do it throwing and with his legs. It looks like Brock Purdy will start for the 49ers after the bad injury in the playoffs vs the Eagles. Should be interesting against a Steelers teams that was very good at intercepting the ball last year. I like home dogs, especially ones coming off impressive preseasons with the better QB playing. I'll take the Steelers on Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Cardinals v. Commanders -7 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 21 m | Show |
Arizona had a good preseason, going 2-1. However, they were outscored 46-72. Washington was a perfect 3-0 and scored 67 points while allowing 62. The Commanders came off a decent season last year. HC Ron Rivera had to shuffle some QB's, but the team performed well and finished 8-8-1, narrowly missing the playoffs. They start this season with a new offensive coordinator in Eric Bieniemy. The team was also sold as Daniel Snyder gave up ownership to Josh Harris. All these changes could be a new start for the Commanders. The defense has a lot of talent and stacked with draft picks. The D-Line is made up of all 1st round picks. The Defense finished 7th last year in scoring and should be even better this year. The Cardinals could and likely will be the worst team in the division this year. QB Kyler Murray will be out with an ACL tear and that leave David Blough and Jeff Driskell as the candidates. I see a huge difference in talent between these teams. I especially like the Commanders defense and they should shut down this anemic Cardinals attack. Take Washington here in week one. |
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09-10-23 | Titans +3 v. Saints | 15-16 | Win | 105 | 88 h 11 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints came off their preseason with a 2-1 record and outscored opponents by a 61-58 mark. As for the Titans, they also were 2-1 and outscored opponents 64-46. The Titans hope to rebound from a 7-10 season that saw them drop their last seven games. Mike Vrabel will be in his sixth season and the team under his control haven't missed the playoffs in two straight seasons. They come back with QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry. They added WR DeAndre Hopkins which should help the receiving corp. The New Orleans Saints have seen their win totals drop each of the last four seasons to just seven wins last year. In comes new QB Derek Carr. This might be the first time since Drew Brees that they will have a solid option at QB. Word is that WR Michael Thomas looks like his old self and could give a huge boost to both Carr and the receivers. Thomas has battled injuries over the last few seasons that has seen his playing time drop drastically. The Titans want to prove they aren't the team that finished last season. It will yet to be seen if Carr can keep the mistakes that plagued him in Vegas last year to a minimum. I have to take the points here with Henry carrying the load here on Sunday. Play Tennessee. |
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09-09-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Conference USA Action here on Saturday has two teams expected to make some noise in the conference this year as Liberty hosts New Mexico State. New Mexico State Aggies finished last year 7-6 under HC Jerry Kill while Liberty was 8-5 under HC Jamey Chadwell. New Mexico State opened this season with a loss to U Mass before beating Western Illinois in their second game, 58-21. They had 438 yards of offense in the 2nd half alone last week. This Aggies team was 38th in defense last season. Liberty is 1-0 with a win in their opening week over Bowling Green, 34-24. Though leading 24-0 they had to hold off a furious rally by Bowling Green. They were led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter who had 143 yards and two TD's. Liberty had five interceptions on defense, the most by a Liberty defense since 1995. New Mexico State won this matchup last year 49-14. Double digit favorite is Liberty this year and I think that's just too many points to give this New Mexico State squad. Play New Mexico State. |
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09-09-23 | Appalachian State +19.5 v. North Carolina | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
App State hits the road for the first time this season after beating Gardner-Webb last week at home, 45-24. North Carolina opened with a win over South Carolina last week, 31-17. App State struggled a bit last week, pulling away in the 2nd half and allowing 24 points on defense. The Tar Heels had 269 yards passing and 168 yards rushing last week. A lot of points to cover here this early in the season against what has been a good App State program in season's past. I'll take the points here with App State. |
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09-09-23 | Ole Miss -7 v. Tulane | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
Ole Miss travels to Tulane here on Saturday to face the Green Wave from Yulman Stadium. These teams last met two years ago with Ole Miss taking that one, 61-21. The Rebels closed out last season by losing their last four games of the year and five of the last six. The Rebs did open with a win in their opener, scoring 70 points in the process, but that was against Mercer. Today will be a much tougher test for this team. They do have an explosive offense though with one of the best QB's in Jaxson Dart. Quinshon Judkins looks to carry the load running the ball. Tulane is coming off that bowl win vs USC last season. They dominated South Alabama at home last week with a 20-point win. Now comes an SEC team to town, which is going to be a early test for this Tulane squad. Michael Pratt will be at QB after a 14-of-15 performance last week for four TD's. The Rebels will be out to get that bad taste from the end of last year from their mouths. I don't see them overlooking this Tulane team. I'll lay the points with Ole Miss. |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show |
Big 10 action already on tap here on Sunday as Rutgers hosts Northwestern. The Northwestern Wildcats had one of their worst years in history, finishing 1-11 on the season. They return a couple of QB's who will battle for the starting job. Rutgers looks for a winning season after losing since 2014. They had a 4-8 campaign last season. The QB job is wide open this season with a trio of players competing for the job. The defense should be solid this year, led by the pass rush and a good secondary. Both teams looking to get off to that winning start. For me I'll take Rutgers here at home. |
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09-02-23 | Old Dominion +16.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-36 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Virginia Tech looks to start its season on a positive note and that means avenging a loss to Old Dominion from last year. The Monarchs defeated Tech, 20-17 last year and sent Tech on a 3-8 season. Bhayshul Tuten transfers over from NC A&T to bolster the running game for the Hokies. Old Dominion finished last year 3-9 and had some major roster overhauls. So it's yet to be seen how those will effect this year's team. Still, the Hokies not a team to be laying this many points even in a revenge situation. I'll take the points with ODU here on Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both teams open the season here on Saturday night. South Alabama Jaguars finished with a 10-3 record last season while the Tulane Green Wave were 12-2. The Jags won 10 games for the first time in school history which has them one of the top teams to win the Sun Belt this year. They averaged 29.8 ppg last year while have a very balanced offense rushing for 156 ypg and passing for 267 ypg. Carter Bradley is back at QB after hitting on 65% of his passes and having 28 TD's last year. South Alabama should be just as good as last year with most players returning. They had a very good defense that held opponents to 22.5 ppg. Tulane did lose their leading rusher from last as Shaadie-Clayton-Johnson is expected to fill the void. The Jags had an excellent offense and balance attack with a good defense. The Green Wave did struggle against the run last year and that could be exploited here today. The Jags had the 6th best run defense in the country last year and should disrupt the Tulane rushing attack today. This South Alabama team just too good on both sides of the ball to be getting this many points. Take South Alabama. |
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09-02-23 | Northern Illinois +9 v. Boston College | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Opening game for both these teams as Northern Illinois Huskers look to improve on their 3-9 season last year. However, five of those losses came by one score. Rocky Lombardi is back at QB for NIU after 645 yards and five TD's last year. NIU suffered through a lot of injuries last year so they are looking for more consistent play this season. Boston College had its worst season since 2015 last year, finishing with a 3-9 record. They also return last year's QB as Emmett Moorhead is back behind center. NIU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games while BC is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 overall games. Getting more than a TD with a team that lost five games last year by one score is good for me. I'll take the points with Northern Illinois. |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan +14 v. Michigan State | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Battle of Michigan teams here today has the Central Michigan Chippewas taking on Michigan State from Spartan Stadium. C.Michigan picked to finish fourth in the MAC has a somewhat difficult non-conference schedule with Michigan State and Notre Dame on tap. Michigan State takes on Richmond and Washington in their other non-conference games. C.Mich was 4-8 last year and turned the ball over a lot (-18 turnover ratio). Jim McElwain looks to improve the team as he did at Colorado State and Florida. They will start Sophomore QB Jase Bauer or reshirt freshman Bert Emanual Jr. The defense has talent at every level with a experience secondary. Michigan State has not announced a QB yet for week one as redshirt junior Noah Kin and redshirt freshman Katin Houser both compete for the spot. Michigan State will have to rely on a good defense until the offense finds its footing. Early on here I am like some nice dogs and today is one of them. I'll take the points with Central Michigan. |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 football on tap to start both Nebraska and Minnesota season. Nebraska parted ways with HC Scott Frost after losing four straight seasons. In comes Matt Rhule, former Carolina Panthers head coach. Rhule has shown he can help rebuild teams as he did at Temple and Baylor. The Huskers averaged 22.6 ppg last year. Jeff Sims, former Georgia Tech QB, will be the starter at Nebraska this year. Minnesota has won at least nine games in three of the last four years (Covid season the exception). They averaged 28.2 ppg last year. The bad news is they lost both QB's from last year and their leading rusher. Western Michigan transfer Sean Tyler is expected to replace their leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim. The defense lost some key members to a squad that was one of the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just 13.3 ppg last year. How the replacements will be is yet to be seen. The Minnesota team was a rushing team last year and didn't throw the ball much. How the loss of Ibrahim will effect them will be the big test. The defense also has lots of questions, losing their top three tacklers from last year. I'm looking for the Huskers to give them a good game here on Thursday under their new head coach. I'll take the points with Nebraska. |
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08-31-23 | NC State v. Connecticut +14 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State travels to Hartford tonight to kickoff the season with U Conn for both teams. NC State finished last year 8-5 and lost in the Mayo Bowl to Maryland. U Conn finished 6-7 and lost in the Myrtle Beach Bowl to Marshall, 14-28. NC State will be rebuilding this season after losing a number of starters off of last year's team. That includes losing QB Devin Leary who transferred to Kentucky. They did get Virginia transfer Brennan Armstrong though. The defense returns six starters which finished 15th overall in scoring defense. As for U Conn, they look for another bowl bid this year and that would mark the first time for back-to-back bowl seasons since 2008-10. They will have Maine transfer Joseph Fagnano at QB. He had 15 TD's and 2231 yards last year at Maine. He will have an offensive line in front of him that returns four starters. Last time these teams met was 2022 with NC State winning at home, 41-10. Both teams have lots of new faces on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Huskies. Play U Conn. |
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08-30-23 | Reds v. Giants -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight at San Francisco. The Reds have dropped to seven games back in the NL Central behind the Brewers. The Reds have a better shot at the NL Wildcard as they are just 2-games back in that race. The Giants are 1-game back in the Wildcard race and 13.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. Hunter Greene starts for the Reds with a 2-6 record in his 16 starts and a 5.06 ERA. He's allowed 13 runs over his last two starts (6 2/3 innings). The Giants will start Logan Webb who is 9-10 in his 27 starts with a 3.67 ERA. He's been a bit better at home with a 5-5 record and 2.78 ERA. I'm taking the Giants here on Wednesday and laying the Run Line. Play Giants -1.5 Runs. |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -1.5 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Reason: The AL West is a 3-team race as the Rangers, Mariners and Astros are all tied right now for the lead. That leaves the Angels the odd man out as they sit 12.5-games back of those three teams. They are also 12.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East but have no shot at first place Atlanta as they are 12.5 games back in the race. However, the NL Wildcard is a different story. The Phillies hold a 5-game advantage as they are the top NL Wildcard team right now. The Cubs are four games back and the Giants five games back. Reid Detmers starts today with a 3-10 record in his 23 starts and a 5.03 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.82 ERA. Cristopher Sanchez starts for the Phils with a 2-3 record in his 13 starts and a 3.33 ERA. He's allowed two runs in each of his last three starts, going six innings in each. I'm taking the Wildcard leading Phillies here today in this IL Game and laying the run Line. Play Philadelphia -1.5 Runs. |
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08-28-23 | Padres -1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres arguably the biggest disappointment of the 2023 season. After a bunch of high profile signings and moves the Padres were expected to contend with the Dodgers for the AL West title. However, here they sit, 19 games back in the West. The Wildcard even a longshot at this point, as they sit eight games back with six teams ahead of them. Blake Snell has been a bright spot though for this team, especially since the All Star break. Snell is 10-9 overall in 26 starts with a 2.73 ERA. However, he has allowed more than two runs in a start just one time dating back to May 25th. He has been very good and the teams best starter. The Cardinals also a disappointment this season as they are in last in the NL Central, 16.5-games back of the Brewers. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and eight of their last 10. Adam Wainwright has not been good either, going 3-9 in his 17 starts with a 8.61 ERA. That number is even worse lately with a 0-6 record in his last seven starts and a 10.55 ERA. Huge difference in starters here today. I'll take the Padres with Snell and lay the Run Line. |
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08-26-23 | Navy +20.5 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the first game of the college football season as Notre Dame hosts Navy. Notre Dame has high aspirations for this season and a CFB playoff in part to Wake Forest transfer Sam Hartman. The Irish were 9-4 last year in the debut of HC Marcus Freeman. Still, they need improvement after losses last year to Marshall and Stanford. Navy will have a new look at HC as DC Brian Newberry takes over after 15-year HC Ken Niumatalolo was fired. Notre Dame a huge favorite here on Saturday. Hartman was one of College football's top QB's and will be a big upgrade at the position for Notre Dame. One thing Navy has going for it is the option. Always hard to prepare for a good option team. And this year you can expect more passing from this Middie tea under new OC Grant Chestnut. This more passing attack could catch the Irish off guard today. The offensive line should be very good with three returning seniors. Navy needs to get the ground game going and keep the Irish offense off the field. Navy covered last year, losing by just three points to the Irish, 32-35. I'll take the big points here with Navy on Saturday. Play Navy. |
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08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Toronto Argonauts return home to host the Calgary Stampeders. The Argos are 7-1 and have the CFL 2nd best point differential of +93. They are 4-0 at home this season and coming off a bye week. The Argos are 5-0 ATS in the week following a bye week. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 overall games. Calgary is 3-7 and have lost two straight games. They have a -38 point differential. Lots of points to lay here tonight, but Toronto should be able to pull it off. Play Toronto. |
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08-23-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Tampa Bay has won two straight games and seven of their last 10 games to close back within two games of first place Baltimore Orioles. The Rockies are in last in the NL West and have the second worst run differential in baseball with a -177 mark. The Rockies have lost two straight games and seven of their last 10. Colorado will start Austin Gomber who is 9-9 in his 25 starts with a 5.52 ERA. The Rays will counter with Aaron Civale who is 6-3 in his 16 starts and a 2.44 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. I'll lay the Run line here today with the Rays. |
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08-20-23 | BC -9.5 v. Saskatchewan | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
CFL West action here on Sunday to close out the week has British Columbia taking on Saskatchewn. BC is in 2nd place in the West with a 7-2 record, one game back of Winnipeg. BC has a plus 80 point differential this season. Saskatchewan is 4-5 and sits in third place in the division. They have a -67 point differential. BC does well vs losing teams, covering their last five times. They are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the West. The Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Roughriders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. BC in a fight for first so I don't see any letup here today. Take B.C. Lions. |
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08-19-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The Minnesota twins opened their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday with a 5-1 win. The Twins now lead the AL Central by five games over the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota also is the only team in the division with a positive differential of runs at +44. The Pirates have dropped two straight and seven of the last 10 games. They are 11 and 1/2 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They will start Mitch Keller here today who is 9-8 on the season in his 25 starts with a 4.27 ERA. Keller has been even worse of late going 0-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.35 ERA. Sonny Gray will take the hill for the twins with 6-5 record in 24 starts. Gray has an excellent 2.97 ERA. He's also coming off an excellent start at Philadelphia allowing just two hits and no runs over six innings for the win. I'm taking the twins today on the run line |
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08-19-23 | Montreal -1 v. Ottawa | 25-24 | Push | 0 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
CFL east division action here has the third place Hamilton Tiger-Cats taking on the second place Montreal Alouettes. Montreal is 5-3 on the season, they've won three straight games and have a plus 44 point differential. Hamilton is 3-6 on the season and has lost two straight games. Montreal has done well versus the number going 26-12 ATS their last 38 games. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games versus the Eastern conference. Ottawa has not been so good going just 19-41 ATS in their last 60 home games they are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall games. Moreover they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus the east conference teams The Alouettes are 7-1 ATS their last eight meetings versus Ottawa. I'll be on Montreal on this one. |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +5 | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
CFL West action here today has the Winnipeg Blue Bombers taking on the Calgary Stampeders. Winnnipeg sits in 1st place in the West with a 7-1 record and has won three straight games. The Stampeders are in 4th place with a 3-6 record and is coming off a loss last week. The Bombers have been very good, going 26-11 ATS vs the West. However, they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven week 11 games. Calgary has been great in week 11 games, going 15-0-1 ATS their last 16 times. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. No doubt Winnipeg is the better team, but I'm not discounting Calgary out here today. I'll take the points at home with Calgary. |
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08-18-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are benefiting by arguably the worst division in baseball as they lead the AL Central by 4.5-games over the Guardians despite a 63-59 record. The Twins will take on NL Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates are in 4th in the NL Central with a 54-67 record. They lost yesterday and have dropped six of their last 10 games. The Pirates will start Andre Jackson who makes just his second start. In his first he went 3 2/3 innings vs the Reds and gave up five hits and three runs. The Twins will start Pablo Lopez who is 8-6 in his 24 starts with a 3.66 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.36 ERA. I'm taking the Twins here today and laying the Run Line. |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton -5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Edmonton Elks are in last place in the West with a 0-9 record. They have the worst point differential in the CFL with a -116 mark. The Elks are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and 6-20 ATS their last 26 after covering the previous week. Hamilton is coming off a bye week and that has been good for this club as they are 10-1 ATS their last 10 following a bye. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five vs a team with a losing record. The Tiger-Cats are third in the East with a 3-5 record. The Cats have also covered five of the last six meetings in this series. I'm taking Hamilton as they should be well rested vs this poor Elks club. Play Hamilton. |
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08-15-23 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins took two of three games from the Phillies, outscoring them 11-1 in the last two games of that set after giving up 13 runs in game one. Today, they begin a series with the Detroit Tigers. The Twins have increased their lead to 4.5 games over the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers are in third in the division, 8-games back. The Tigers have no shot for the AL Wildcard as they are 12-games back with eight teams above them. The Tigers start Alex Faedo who is 2-4 in his eight starts with a 5.80 ERA. The Twins start Bailey Ober who is 6-6 in his 19 starts and a 3.40 ERA. I'll go ahead and lay the Run line here today with the Twins. |
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08-13-23 | Ottawa v. Toronto -10 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Defending Grey Cup Champion Toronto Argonauts six game win streak came to end last week at Calgary. Toronto returns home for the first time in over a month with their game against Ottawa this evening. Ottawa has played much better of late but are still 3-5 overall and 0-3 vs other East teams. Ottawa is 11-23 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS loss. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. Toronto is 4-0 ATS in their last four vs an East team and 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. They have also covered eight of the last nine games overall. Toronto is 6-2 ATS in the last eight in this series and 4-1 ATS in the last five at Toronto. With Toronto having a much need week off next week I expect a great effort here after that loss last week. Play Toronto. |