Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 236 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight over the Wizards. The 25-26 Blazers are coming off a win at Memphis, 122-112, as a 5.5-point dog. That makes four wins in their last five games. Washington is two-games under .500 with their 24-26 record. The Wizards look to extend their win streak to seven games both S/U and ATS tonight. They have scored at least 113 points in five of those six wins. They have been a decent over team at home, going 35-17-2 O/U in their last 54 home games. These teams have also gone over in 12 of their last 17 meetings. Moreover, five of the last six meetings in Washington have gone over. I'll take OVER here tonight. |
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01-31-23 | Hornets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets are just 15-36 overall this season. They have won two straight games though, with wins over Chicago and last game over Miami, 122-117. They have gone over in four of their last seven games. They average 112.2 overall and slightly more on the road, 113.8 ppg. However, they allow 120.4 ppg this year on the road. Charlotte has gone over in 23 of their last 32 road games this season. Milwaukee is 33-17 and has won four straight games and six of their last seven. They have gone over in two straight and three of their last four. The Bucks are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games. These teams have also gone over in five of the last six meetings in Milwaukee. Tall number to climb tonight, but I'll take the OVER. |
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01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 152.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Two teams trying to improve their position in the MAC face off today as 4th place Ball State takes on 5th place Bowling Green. Ball State is 5-3 in the MAC and 14-7 overall. Ball State is coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 87-69. They have gone over their last three games. The Cardinals have also gone over in their last four road games and 6-2 O/U their last eight overall games. Bowling Green is 4-4 in the MAC and 10-11 overall. Bowling Green looks to rebound from their loss at Toledo, 77-91. The game went over and they are 4-1-1 O/U their last six games. The Falcons have also gone over in four of their last five home games. I will take the over here tonight between these teams. |
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01-31-23 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 146.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron tied for the best record in the MAC right now with a 7-1 conference record and 15-6 overall mark. The Zips have also won six straight games. Buffalo sits in tied for 5th with Bowling Green at 4-4 and 10-11 overall. Akron has gone over their last two games, totaling 160 and 141. The Zips have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Buffalo is only 2-4 their last six games, going over in four of those. The Bulls average 86.7 ppg at home this year while allowing 74.3 ppg. I like this game to go over here tonight. |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233 | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Two of the best in their respective conferences meet today as the 3rd place Eastern Conference Bucks host the 5th place Western Conference Pelicans. The Pelicans have a winning record but you wouldn't know it by their play of late, as they are riding a seven game losing streak. They are 9-15 on the road but a good over team on the road with a 16-8 Ov/Un record. They are also 18-4 O/U their last 22 games vs a team with a winning straight-up record. The Milwaukee Bucks are 32-17 overall on the season and bring a 3-game winning streak into today's contest. They have a good home over/under record, going over in 16 of their 24 home games. They are also 12-3 in their last 15 home games. These teams have gone over in their last six meetings in Milwaukee and 26-9 O/U in their last 35 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? With Mahomes hobbled and the excellent rushing of the Bengals, I look for this game to be lower scoring. Take the UNDER. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
The two best defensive teams in the NFL will meet here in the NFL Championship round. The Eagles topped the NFL, allowing just 297 yards per game. They were 17th vs the rush but first vs the pass. That should be good here today against rookie QB for San Francisco Purdy. Purdy has been great this year, but we'll see how he holds up in hostile Philly against the top ranked passing defense. Where the Eagles might get exploited is rushing. The Giants have Christian McCaffrey who could do well here today. San Francisco has the 2nd ranked overall defense, allowing 301 yards per game. They are 2nd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. They will be tasked with containing Philly QB Jalen Hurts. The 49ers have gone under in their last seven playoff road games. They are also 1-5 O/U in their last six overall playoff games. Philly has gone under in their last four games on grass and are 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Eagles are 3-12-1 O/U their last 16 playoff games at home. These teams have also gone under the last four times they have met. I like defenses come playoff time and I for both these units to do well here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons OVER 236 | 117-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
It's a battle of the bottom dwellers as the last place team in the East, Detroit, takes on the last place team from the West, Houston. The Pistons are 13-37 on the season. They are coming off a rare win at Brooklyn, 130-122, as a 8.5-point dog. It was the second straight game the Pistons have scored 130 points, though they gave up 150 to Milwaukee on Monday. The Pistons allow the most points in the East, coming in at 120.3 ppg. The Rockets are 11-38 on the season adn have lost two straight after beating Minnesota last Saturday. They have lost 15 of their last 16 games. Houston also allows a lot of points per game, 117.1 ppg. These teams have gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings in Detroit. I expect a lot of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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01-27-23 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 220 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Friday has Orlando taking on their intrastate rivals, Miami. Orlando is 13th in the East with a 19-29 record and 6-17 road mark. The Miami Heat are 6th in the East with a 27-22 record and 16-9 home mark. Orlando has won two-straight games, beating Boston and then Indiana at home. Overall, the Magic have been a slightly over team with a 25-22-1 O/U mark. However, that changes on the road where they are 10-12-1 O/U and their ppg drops almost four points. Not sure what it is about Friday's, but the Magic are 3-14 O/U their last 17 on this day. Miami has also won two straight, going UNDER in both of those home games. The Heat have gone under their last four at home and are 3-9 O/U their last 12 games overall. Like Orlando, they are also 4-9 O/U their last 13 on Friday. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings in Miami. I'll be on the UNDER here tonight. |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Two playoff bound Western Conference teams meet up today in Minnesota as the T'Wolves host the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis is 2nd in the West with a 31-17 record, but they have a losing road record of 11-14. Minnesota is 8th right now with a 25-25 record and 16-10 home mark. Memphis saw their 11 game win streak snapped and since have lost four straight games. On that win streak they were also 7-2 O/U the last nine games. Minnesota is coming off a win at New Orleans, 111-102, as a 3-point dog. They average 117.5 ppg at home while allowing 115.7 ppg. Tall total here at 238 or 239, but when Memphis wins they tend to get the overs and that's what I'm looking for here today. Play the OVER. |
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01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5th overall in the Eastern Conference with a 29-20 record. They have been averaging 111.5 ppg while allowing 107.2 ppg on the season. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 103-105, as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes them 4-6 S/U their last 10 games. They have also gone 5-5 Ov/Un their last 10 games. The Houston Rockets are dead last in the Western Conference with a 11-37 record. They have averaged 109.7 ppg while allowing 117.2 ppg. They have lost 13 of their last 14 games. I'll be looking at the over in tonight's contest. The Cavs are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Houston has gone over in five of their last seven games. They are 19-8 O/U in their last 27 games playing on no rest. I'll take the OVER tonight. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut OVER 153.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. Both these teams are good over teams and both can score. I don't think the oddsmaker made a tall enough over/under line for these two. Take the OVER. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46 | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 32 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and it looks good right now. Both teams have been offensive juggernauts thus far and I don't see that changing. Play the OVER. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45 | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 35.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Over in this matchup today. |
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01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions OVER 52.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
With just two weeks to play, the Detroit Lions still have an outside shot of the making they playoffs as they are tied with the Packers at 7-8 in the NFC North. The Lions lost last week at Carolina, 23-37, as a 1.5-point favorite. They gave up 570 total yards to the Panthers, 320 rushing and 250 passing. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North and eliminated from the playoffs. They lost at home last week to the Bills, 13-35 as a 8-point dog. The Lions have the fourth ranked offense in the NFL while Chicago is 27th. Problem is the Lions have the last ranked defense while Chicago is just slightly better at 23rd. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the field turf. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC and 2-6 ATS their last eight road games. The Bears have gone over in their last five road games and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine overall games. The Lions are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs the NFC and 7-1 ATS their last eight overall. Detroit is 7-2 Ov/Un in seven of their last nine home games. They are also 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six vs the NFC. Detroit will have to go all out here at home on Sunday to keep those playoff hopes alive. Chicago has no motivation in this one. Take the OVER. |
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01-01-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 40.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are only 7-8 on the season but can win the NFC South here on Sunday with a win over the 2nd place Carolina Panthers. This really is a playoff game for both teams because the loser could be out of the playoffs. Tampa Bay has pretty much been a dead under team this year. They are 4-11 Over/Under on the season and their offense has been very vanilla this year. They actually rank ok, 15th overall in the NFL in offense. However, the rushing game is dead last while QB Tom Brady has had to throw for his life this year and has them 4th in passing offense. Carolina has the 29th ranked offense, 10th in rushing and 28th in passing. The Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Detroit last week, 37-23. They have already beaten the Bucs once this year so another win here and they hold the tie-breaker. The Panthers are 3-8 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the NFC South. The Bucs are 4-17 Ov/Un in their last 21 vs the NFC. I look for a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play the UNDER. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER. |
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12-29-22 | Thunder v. Hornets UNDER 239 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
OKC Thunder are 15-19 S/U and 21-13 ATS on the season. The Thunder have won four of the last five games both S/U and ATS. The Charlotte Thunder are 9-26 S/U and 15-20 ATS on the season. They have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. I'll be looking at the total in tonight's contest. The THunder are 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. Charlotte has been a very good under team, going 5-13-1 O/U in their last 19 home games. The last five meetings between these teams have gone under in Charlotte and six of the last eight have gone under overall. That's what I will on tonight. The UNDER. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER. |
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12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
That cyclone bomb hitting most of the US will provide one of the coldest games in team's history here in the Raiders vs Steelers game. It's a Special Christmas eved night here at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh as the Steelers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception. They expect one of the coldest games in team history with temps in the single digits and with the wind chill that will drop well below the zero degree mark. The previous coldest game came in 1977 when the temp hit -2 degrees. Wind plays the biggest factor for me going to the UNDER and it's going to be windy here today. The Raiders will have lots of troubles in this one in the cold weather. Take the UNDER and stay warm. |
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12-24-22 | Bills v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Another of these games affected by the weather cyclone bomb hitting most of the country. It's going to be very windy and cold in Chicago on Saturday. There likely won't be any rain/snow, but for me wind plays the biggest factor in NFL totals. Passing becomes difficult and teams will have to rely on their rushing games. In these kinds of games you pretty much toss all the numbers and analytics out the window. The weather is the factor here and the cold and the wind especially. I'm taking under in what should be a blistery, cold day in Chicago. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns UNDER 32 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Satudray. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the teamps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't execpt to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. For me though, I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets UNDER 37 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
It's going to be an ugly day in the Meadowlands as the weather won't be good. The Jags, who are used to that Florida weather, will have to put up with cold, rain and wind here tonight. For me it's about the wind and we could see gusts over 20 mph. Anything over 15 and you start to effect totals. Plus it will be soaking rain and cold. The Jets already have the league's third top defense as they keep moving up the standings. The offense is 19th while Jax is ranked 6th. The Jags are 2nd in the AFC South, a game back of Tennessee. Right now the best path for the Jags to the postseason is win the AFC South. Getting Wild Card looks harder than winning the division. They have a week 18 meeting with the Titans and that could determine who wins the division. The Jets are 7-7 and right now trail both the Chargers and Dolphins for the Wild Card who are 8-6. The Jets playoff chances have really been hurt by their 1-4 record their last five games. The Jets need to win their last three games to have a real shot at the Wild Card. Their week 18 matchup at Miami looks to be their most critical game right now. So tonight, both teams need this game. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in what looks to be horrible conditions. |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 41 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Just one game on the college bowl schedule here on Monday, The Myrtle Beach Bowl from Conway, SC has Marshall playing U Conn. The U Conn are 6-6 S/U and 9-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Army back on Nov 19th, 17-34, as a 10-point dog. The Huskies are in their first season under coach Jim Mora and made their first bowl game since 2015 and with a win their first winning season in 10 years. The Marshall Thundering Herd was 8-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Marshall defense was very good this year, allowing just 16.2 ppg on the season. The Herd finished third in the Sun Belt conference behind Coastal Carolina and James Madison. They finished the season winning four straight games and covering three of those. Marshall is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 on real grass. U Conn is just 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Marshall is a big running club and I look for them to control the ball on the ground here today. Couple that with their excellent defense and I look for this game to go UNDER the total. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs UNDER 45 | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. Just how bad has this Tampa Bay offense been? They have scored over 22 points just one time the entire season and that was a losing effort at home vs the Chiefs, 31-41. The rushing game has gone over 100 yards just two times all season. The Bengals are 4-13-1 Ov/Un in their last 18 games. They are also 6-19-2 Ov/Un in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 9-24-3 Ov/Un their last 36 overall on the road. The Bucs have gone under in four of their last five home games and six of their last eight on grass. I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. |
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12-18-22 | Titans v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 7-6 overall on the season, but by virtue of playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, they lead the AFC South by 2-games over the Jaguars. That includes three straight losses by the Titans too. The Titans coming off a loss to the Jags last week, 22-36 as a 3-point favorite. The Titans defense ranked just 25th overall while the Chargers are 23rd. The Chargers are 12th on offense while the Titans are 29th. The Chargers are coming off a win last week at home over Miami, 23-17, as a 3-point dog. Tennessee has been a good over team on the road where 15 of their last 22 away games have gone over. The Chargers are 7-3 Ov/Un in their last 10 home games and 10-3 O/Un in their last 13 on field turf. Five of the last seven between these teams have gone over and that's what I'm looking for today. Play the OVER. |
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12-18-22 | Cardinals v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Two teams with a lot of expectations this year just didn't come through on what was expected as the Arizona Cardinals visit the Denver Broncos. The Russell Wilson experiment has been a bust in Denver this year. The Broncos are in last place in the AFC West with a 3-10 record and have lost five straight games. The defense has been good, ranked 7th overall in the league. It's the 27th ranked offense that has been brutal. The Broncos finally had an over play when they played the Chiefs last week in a 28-34 loss. That broke a string of eight under plays. Still, the Broncos are 2-11 Ov/Un on the season. The 28 points last week was a season high and the first time over 21 points since October 2nd. The Cardinals offense hasn't been the same without Kyler Murray at QB. Murray has been hurt with a ACL injury and missed the last few weeks. He will be out again here today. Without Murray the Cards have scored 13, 24 and 10 points the last three weeks. The offense has dropped to 20th in the NFL. Can't really see many points in this one. The Denver defense should keep the score low today. Play UNDER. |
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12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers UNDER 37.5 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are last in the AFC North with a 5-8 record as they head to Carolina to take on the 5-8 Panthers. The Panthers still in the hunt for the division title as they trail first place Tampa Bay by just one game. The Panthers coming off a win last week at Seattle, 30-24, as a 3.5-point dog. That makes two wins in a row for the Panthers. The Steelers just lost last week at home to the Ravens, 14-16, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak for Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 18-42-1 Ov/Un their last 61 games vs a team with a losing record. The Panthers have gone under in five of their last six home games. Neither offense is very good, with Pittsburgh ranked 26th and the Panthers coming in at 30th. I'll take UNDER between these two here today. |
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12-17-22 | Boise State v. North Texas OVER 59 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
The Boise State Broncos ran into a buzz saw in the Mountain West Championship game, losing to red hot Fresno State on their home blue turf. Still, the Broncos can win their 10th game of the season here tonight vs North Texas. Boise hasn't played in a bowl game since 2019 and look to get that Fresno loss out of their system. North Texas lost in the Conference USA Championship game to UTSA. They will be playing under interim head coach Phil Bennett. The Mean Green were 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games. Boise has been very inconstent this year, even firing OC Tim Plough after a 10-point performance at UTEP. The move revitalized the offense under Dirk Koetter and freshman QB Taylen Green. That being said, both the Mean Green and Broncos can pile up the points here today. Look for North Texas to throw out the book and go for it all today. Play the OVER. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 44.5 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. For me, with the weather conditions and both teams struggling offensively, I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-17-22 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 38 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots in dire need of a win here tonight if they hope to make the postseason. At 6-6 they are in last place in the AFC East, one game back of the Jets, 2 back of Miami and four back of Buffalo. The Patriots are coming off a loss at home to Buffalo two weeks agao, 10-24, as a 4-point dog. They had just 60 yards rushing and 242 total yards in the loss. That makes two losses in a row for the Pats. Arizona is 4-8 and 4 1/2 games back of San Francisco in the NFC West. The Cards are dead in the playoff race with so many teams ahead of them. They have lost two straight games including last week to the Chargers, 24-25 on a last second LA 2-point conversion. The Pats have been a good under team, with their last four going under after a bye week. They have also gone under in 24 of their last 33 on grass and are 5-16 Ov/Un in their last 21 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Cards have trended more toward the over side, especially lately with six straight overs. However, they are just 2-9 Ov/Un in their last 12 times on Monday Night Football and 2-5 O/U in their last seven coming off a bye week. These teams have also gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 34-28 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
AFC West game here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs taking on the last place Denver Broncos. The Chiefs have the West wrapped-up with their 9-3 record and 3-game lead with four weeks to go in the regular season. The Chiefs are coming off a loss last week to the Bengals, 24-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped a five game win streak for the Chiefs. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the NFL with their passing attack first and their rushing 19th. The defense is 16th, 6th in rushing and 23rd in passing. The Chiefs have gone under in four of their last five games. What can you say about the Denver Broncos. What looked to be a Super Bowl team when Russell Wilson joined the club in the offseason, turned bad quickly as Wilson and the offense just didn't click all year. The offense is 27th overall and the most points this team has scored all year has been 23 points. In fact, they have not scored more than 16 in any of theirt last four games and seven of the last eight games. It isn't a far stretch that they have gone under in eight straight and 11 of their 12 games this year. With Denver playing the defense will keep them close, but the offense just isn't good enough to get these game over. Take the UNDER today. |
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12-11-22 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 46.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Important game here today for the Bengals as they are tied with the Ravens for the AFC North lead at 8-4 overall. They take on their intrastate rivals here today, Cleveland. The Bengals are coming off a big win last week over the Kansas City Chiefs, 27-24, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes four wins and covers in a row for the Bengals. The did go under though last week, scoring 51 total points but coming up short of the 53-point over/under. That makes two under games in a row. The Bengals defense is decent, ranked 12th overall. The offense ranks fifth overall and fourth in passing. The Bengals do look to get back RB Joe Mixon who has missed a few games with a concussion. The Bengals are 1-10-1 O/U in their last 12 games vs the AFC and 4-12-1 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Browns are coming off a win last week over the Houston Texans, 27-14, as a 7.5-point favorite. They have gone under their last two games. The Browns defense is ranked 15th overall. The offense is 6th with the rushing game at 4th. I look for this game to go under here on Sunday. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 41 | 36-22 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
AFC South clash here on Sunday has the third place Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the first place Tennessee Titans. The Jags are 4-8 on the season and coming off a loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 14-40, as a 1.5-point dog. They gave the Lions 337 yards through the air while gaining just 266 total yards themselves. The Jacksonville defense is ranked 25th overall while the offense comes in at 12th overall. While the Titans are in first place, they have lost two straight games to Cincinnati and then last week to Philadelphia, 10-35, as a 4.5-point dog. They had just 209 total yards in that game. Not surprising that the offense ranks just 29th overall. The defense isn't much better at 23rd overall. Makes you wonder how this team has stayed in first place until you see how bad the other teams in the division have performed. The Jags are 7-19 Ov/Un their last 26 games vs a team with a winning record. The Titans have gone under in their last six vs the AFC. They are also 3-13 O/U in their last 16 home games. Take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 49.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I see both of these offenses putting up plenty of points here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions OVER 51 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 54 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Mountain West Championship from Boise here on Saturday on the Smurph turf. Fresno State met Boise State back on October 8th with the Boise State winning easy, 40-20. Since that loss, Fresno has gone 7-0 S/U and 5-2 ATS including last week at home over Wyoming, 30-0, as a 15-point favorite. Boise State is coming off a win at home over Utah State, 42-23, as a 16.5-point favorite. That makes three straight wins since their loss to BYU on Nov 5th. Boise was perfect in the Mountain West this year, going 8-0. Today though I'm looking at the total. These teams scored 60 last time they played. Fresno has gone over in their last four road games and are 5-1 ov/un their last six overall. Boise has gone over in their last five home games. Should be a good game, I'm looking for a high scoring matchup here today. Take the OVER. |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC OVER 66.5 | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. Last time these teams met they scored almost 90 points. With two potent offenses here I don't see this one being any different. Your free play is on the OVER. |
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12-02-22 | North Texas v. UTSA OVER 69.5 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners are 10-2 on the season and will host today's Conference USA Championship from the Alamodome. North Texas finished their season at 7-5 overall. NTU is coming off a win over Rice in their final regular season game, 21-17, but failed to cover the 17-point line. They have also gone over in two of their last three games and six of their last nine games. They will face a formidable UTSA offense that ranks 13th in the country. The Roadrunners have scored at least 30 points in all but one game this year. North Texas has gone over in seven of their last 10 games. These teams met back in October and UTSA won that matchup at home, 31-27. Stiff total here today around 70, but if North Texas can get close to 30 this one will go over. Play the OVER. |
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11-27-22 | Rams v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Defending Super Champion Rams look pretty much dead in the water this season. Injuries has decimated the team and today they will be without two key starts. QB Matthew Stafford is out with a neck injury as is WR Cooper Kupp who is out with a ankle injury. The Rams have now lost four straight games and not score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. What was once a high octane offense now ranks 30th overall and 31st in rushing. The defense is still good though, ranking in at 10th overall. The Kansas City Chiefs have opened up a three-game lead in the AFC West at 8-2 overall. The Chiefs have won four straight games since their loss at home to Buffalo back on Oct 16th. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the league and 18th ranked defense. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five road games and 10 of their last 14 road games vs a winning home team. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six home games. Unless the Chiefs go crazy scoring here today, I don't see the Rams scoring enough to get this game over. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 43 | 0-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 4-7 and in third place in the NFC South. The good news is that both the Bucs and Falcons, who lead the division, are just one game ahead of them. The Saints beat the Rams last week 27-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Saints defense is ranked 12th overall and 8th vs the pass. The offense is 10th overall. The 49ers are coming off a win over 38-10 as a 9.5-point favorite. They held the Cardinals, who where without their starting QB, to just 314 yards. That makes three wins in a row for the Niners. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The 49ers have the 8th ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the NFL. These teams have gone over in their last six meeting in San Francisco and 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns UNDER 42 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Weather looks to be playing a factor here in Cleveland on Sunday as the Browns host the Bucs. It looks to be a windy day with winds from 10-20 mph and temps in the upper 40's and a chance of rain. The Browns have had a disappointing season at 3-7 and tied for last in the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cleveland offense is 4th in the league and their rushing attack, which was 1st, has dropped to fifth. The Tampa offense is ranked 17th with the passing game at 5th. Cleveland has the 20th ranked defense with Tampa coming in at 7th. The Browns will have QB Deshaun Watson available for today's contest. The management has said Watson would start as soon as he was eligible and now he is so don't be surprised for Watson to take over today. For me, I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills OVER 50 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER. |
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11-19-22 | Georgia v. Kentucky UNDER 48.5 | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Top Ranked Georgia puts its 10-0 record and 7-0 SEC mark on the line today as they travel to Kentucky. Kentucky is third in the SEC East with a 3-4 conference record and 6-4 overall mark. Georgia coming off a win at Mississippi State, 45-19. The Bulldogs have allowed more than 20 points just two times all year and that was 22 points on two occasions. The Dogs are 3-8-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 games and 1-4 O/U in their last five road games. Kentucky coming off a 21-24 loss at home to Vandy. They close their regular season with a game next week at home against Louisville. Georgia has the 6th ranked defense in the country while Kentucky is ranked 16th. Kentucky is 1-10 O/U in their last 11 games and 1-6 O/U in their last seven home games. Take UNDER today. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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11-07-22 | Mt. St. Mary's v. West Virginia UNDER 130.5 | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Mount St Mary's finished last year with a 14-16 record and now open at West Virginia for this season. They only hit 44.3% from the field and were 302nd in the nation in scoring. The defense was good, allowing 65.3 ppg (57th in nation). West Virginia coming off a losing campaign last year, going 16-17. The offense was 314th in the nation and the defense was 173rd in the nation. The Mountaineers are 3-12-1 Ov/Un in their last 16 overall games. I look for the defenses to be better early in the season than the offense and I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 49 | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Game one went to the Phillies who dug themselves a 0-5 deficit in game one but battled back to tie the game and send it into extra innings where they won 6-5 in 10. Today, Zack Wheeler will start game two for the Phillies. Wheeler has been very good in the postseason, allowing five runs in his four starts (19 1/3 innings) with 25 KO's and just five walks. Wheeler's ERA over his last seven starts is a paltry 1.34 ERA. The Astros will start Framber Valdez who is 18-6 overall on the season with a 2.96 ERA. In his two postseason starts, Valdez has gone `12 2/3 innings and allowed two earned runs. Game one was a slugfest, but I look for the teams to settle down into a pitching duel here in game two. Take UNDER. |
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10-28-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 6.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 82 h 15 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros have rolled through the playoffs, going 7-0 thus far. The Phillies road has been tougher, having to play at Atlanta and San Diego. We get a great pitching matchup in game one here on Friday from Houston. Houston manager Dusty Baker has been a major league manager for over 20 years but has yet to win a World Series so you have to believe there is extra incentive in the Houston dugout to win this thing. Zack Wheeler has been great for the Phillies in the postseason. In his four postseason starts, Wheeler has allowed five total runs with 27 KO's and just three walks. He is 2-1, with his loss coming in the Atlanta series. Wheeler has a 2.67 ERA this year and a 1.35 ERA over his last seven starts. It will be a tall task for the Phils today as they face Justin Verlander. Verlander is coming off six innings vs the Yankees where he gave up three hits and one run for the win, 4-2. Verlander has just two postseason starts and did get rocked in his first by Seattle, giving up six runs and 10 hits over four innings. Still, Verlander has just a 1.99 ERA this season. While I won't lay the big price with the Astros, I will take the UNDER here in game one. |
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10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 16-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
The honeymoon looks over in Denver as QB Russell Wilson has yet to deliver as the savior to this Broncos team. Wilson came over from Seattle signing the big free contract and the Broncos have scored more than 20 points just one time this season. They are coming off another loss last week at the Chargers, 16-19. The offense has had lots of trouble getting int the end zone. The defense has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. It's the 22nd ranked offense that has fans cringing. The Broncos are 2-4 and in third place in the AFC West. They have also gone under in five of their six games this year. The Jets look to win their fourth straight game here this week. They are coming off that improbable win at Green Bay last week, 27-10. They held Aaron Rodgers and that excellent Packers offense to just 278 total yards. The Jets are in 2nd place in the AFC East, just one game back of the Bills. The Jets offense ranks 17th overall and the defense is 9th overall. Two very good defensive teams here today with the Broncos struggling on offense. I'll take the UNDER in this game. |
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10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros look to take a commanding lead in this ALCS after taking the first two games in Houston, 4-2 and 3-2. Both games going under the total with both sides showing off their pitching. The Padres will start Cristian Javier today who is 11-8 overall on the season with a 2.68 ERA. Javier makes his first start since October 1st today. Javier has not allowed a run over his last four starts (23 innings). Gerrit Cole will hope to get the Yankees in the win column today. Cole is 15-8 overall on the season with a 3.41 ERA. Cole had two starts in the Cleveland series, allowing just three total runs over his 13 1/3 innings. Two very good pitchers and a series that has already shown off the defense and pitching. I'll stick with the UNDER today. |
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10-22-22 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 65.5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
West Virginia 3-3, 1-2 in Big 12 will head to Texas on Saturday to take on Texas Tech (3-3 S/U, 1-2 in Big 12). West Virginia has the 2nd best passing game in the FBS in yards. But something will be different today and that is what is influencing my decision in this game that that's the weather. The wind to be specific. A West wind will be blowing through Lubbock here on Saturday. The Winds will be blowing and swirling around 25 miles an hour all day. To me, nothing effects passing more than wind and that's what will effect this 2nd ranked passing attack of WVU. I'm taking the UNDER and betting on the wind. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros took game one of this ALCS on Wednesday, 4-2. The game was tied early on but the long ball put the Astros ahead and they rode the arm of Justin Verlander to the win. The Yankees will turn to Luis Servino today who is 7-3 overall in his 20 starts. Severino has a 3.26 ERA and is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA in his last seven starts. That includes one postseason start against the Guardians where he went 5 2/3 innings, gave up eight hits and three runs. The Astros will start Framber Valdez who was very good this year with a 17-6 overall record and 2.78 ERA. Valdez had one postseason start and that was against the Mariners where he went 5 2/3 innings, allowed four hits and two earned runs. Two big hitting teams that both have been good under plays this year. The Astros are 61-95 Ov/Under on the season while the Yankees are 77-85 Ov/Un on the year. I'm taking the UNDER here in game two. |
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10-19-22 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-8 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Pitching once again seems to be the name of the game in the National League playoffs. After great pitching in the Padres/Dodgers series, we got treated to another gem in game one in this series on Tuesday night. The Phillies got three total hits, though two were home runs including a 488 foot shot by Kyle Shwarber. The Padres could manage just one single in game one. Aaron Nola goes tonight for the Phillies. Nola was just 13-13 in the season but beat both the Cardinals and Braves in the playoffs, allowing no earned runs over his 12 2/3 innings of postseason work. Blake Snell will go for the Padres. Snell has nine innings of work in two postseason starts, allowing three runs. Looks like another pitcher's duel here tonight to me. Play the UNDER. |
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10-18-22 | Ducks v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Anaheim opened the season with a win over the Seattle Kraken, 5-4. However, they have since lost their next two on the road at the Islanders, 1-7, and at the Rangers, 4-6. They have allowed 17 goals in three games while scoring 10 goals. The NJ Devils are 0-2 to start the season, losing to the Flyers, 2-5, and then to the Red Wings, 2-5. They have allowed 10 games in two games. The Ducks are 6-0-1 ov/Un their last seven games dating back to last season. The Devils are 5-0 Ov/Un their last five games dating back to last season. The way these teams are giving up goals, I don't know if the oddsmaker can put up a big enough total here tonight. Play the OVER. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. Buffalo is now 10-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 14 games on grass and 4-1 Ov/Un in their last five games overall. KC is 8-2 Ov/Un in their last 10 games on grass, 10-3 Ov/Un in their last 13 games overall and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the AFC. These two teams have gone over in five of the last six meetings in Kansas City. I'll be on the OVER today. |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
Reason: Arizona looking to rebound from their close loss at home over Philadelphia last week, 17-20. The Cardinals are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Arizona's offense ranks 14th overall with the defense coming in at 18th. Seattle lost a shootout last week at New Orleans, 32-39. The Seahawks are 2-3 S/U and ATS this season and have gone over in three straight games. The Seattle offense ranks 8th overall and the defense is dead last at 32nd. The Hawks allow the most rushing yards in the NFL this year at 170 per game. The Hawks will have issues containing the Cardinals scrambling QB and that should open up the passing game. Geno Smith has this Seattle offense 11th in passing and he should keep them in the game here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-15-22 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 101 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
The Braves face elimination today at the hands of the Phillies as they trail one game to two. Atlanta took a beating in Friday's contest, 1-9. Win or go home today for the Braves. That task will fall to Charlie Morton who is 9-6 on the season with a 4.34 ERA. He's been slightly worse over his last seven starts with a 5.65 ERA. The Phillies turn to Noah Syndergaard today who is 10-10 on the season with a 4.00 ERA. The Braves have gone over in six of their last eight road playoff games and are 25-9-3 Ov/Un in their last 37 games vs a team with a winning record. Philly has gone over in four straight home games and is 11-3-2 Ov/un in their last 16 home playoff games. I like today's game to go OVER. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven road games. They are also 3-12-1 O/U in their last 16 overall games. The Rams have gone under in five of their last six games and are 5-15-1 O/U their last 21 games in October and 7-19 O/U their last 26 home games. I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco is 2-2 but tied with all the rest of the NFC West for 1st place. The 49ers won't turn any heads with their offense, but their defense is top notch. They have allowed just 46 points this year, tops in the division and best in the NFC. They are also the the only team in the division with a plus points differential at +25. The Giants held the highly vaulted Rams offense to just three field goals last week in their win on Monday night, 24-9. The Rams could muster just 257 total yards and 57 on the ground. They also had a +2 turnover ration. The defense is tied for the top spot in the NFL with Buffalo as both teams allow just 235 yards per game. The 49ers have the 2nd ranked rush defense and the 2nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile Carolina is coming off a home loss last week to Arizona, 16-26. The Panthers have gone under in three straight weeks, thanks to an offense that has 275, 293 and 220 yards in each of those weeks. Not surprising the offense ranks last in the NFL with 262 yards per game. That doesn't bode well this week against this stingy 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 overall games, 10 of their last 11 games on grass and their last six vs the NFC. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven overall games and five of their last six vs the NFC. Looks to be a low scoring game here today with the Panthers struggling to find points in this one. Play the UNDER. |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Not many gave the Seahawks much of a chance after Russell Wilson left the team for Denver. However, they are 2-2 and in a four way tie for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks offense erupted last week for a season high points in their win over the Detroit Lions, 48-45. The offense had 555 yards, 235 on the ground and 320 through the air. That makes two straight over plays for the Hawks after a 50-point combined effort the week before vs the Falcons. Today, they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints QB Jameis Winston is currently doubtful with a back injury. However, they do have RB Alvin Kamara back in the lineup with a rib injury. Ageless Andy Dalton looks to be at QB for the Saints on Sunday. The Saints lost a close game at home last week to the Vikings, 25-28. The Saints defense has been good, ranked 12th overall, but 20th vs the rush. Seattle's defense ranks second to last in the NFL at 31st, 29th both vs the rush and pass. The Seahawks have gone over in five of their last seven games. The Saints are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games in October. With the poor Hawks defense and the Saints with Kamara back, I look for plenty of points on the board today. Play the OVER. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER. |
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10-02-22 | Patriots v. Packers UNDER 40 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots just 1-2 and tied for last in the AFC East with the Jets. The Patriots were beat at home last week by the Baltimore Ravens, 26-37. They had more yards than the Ravens (447-394), more plays (60-55) and more first downs (22-19), but it was turnovers that hurt as the offense had four last week. The Patriots offense isn't bad though, ranked 10th in the NFL. The Defense comes in at 12th. The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a loss, but have since won two straight games to tie the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. Green Bay held off Tampa Bay last week to win on the road, 14-12 as a 1-point dog. It was a defensive battle as the Packers got 315 yards to the Bucs 285. You have to go back to 2018 for the last time these teams have met, and that went to the Pats, 31-17. The Patriots have now gone under in 24 of their last 31 games on grass. They are also 2-6 O/U in their last eight road games. Green Bay has gone under in four straight and are 0-8 O/U in their last eight October games. With four of the last five going under in this series, I think I will be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. I look for another low scoring game with these two anemic offenses going today. Take the UNDER. |
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09-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians UNDER 7 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Nothing left for the Guardians to play for as they ran away with the AL Central in the 2nd half of the season. The Guardians are 11 games in front of Chicago. The Guardians won't get a first round bye and will have to face one of the Wild Card teams. Kansas City has lost three games in a row but will have their best pitcher on the hill today in Brady Singer. Singer is 10-4 on the season with a 2.92 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland will counter with Aaron Civale who is 3-6 in his 18 starts with a 5.19 ERA. HE's been better of late, going 1-1 in his last seven starts with a 3.38 ERA. In fact, he's allowed two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. I'm taking the UNDER here on Friday. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 48 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday. |
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09-25-22 | Packers v. Bucs UNDER 42 | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER. |
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09-25-22 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 51.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER. |
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09-25-22 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 41 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 39 | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers came up just a bit short last week in their game at home against the Patriots losing 14-17 as a 3-point dog. The Steelers had just 243 total yards, 91 passing and 152 passing with two turnovers. The Pitt offense is now ranked 30th in the NFL with the rushing at 26th and passing at 28th. Cleveland has to be kicking itself after losing last week at home to the Jets, 30-31. Not only did they allow 14 points over the few minutes of the game, but they even gave up the on-side kick to the Jets. Both teams finished with just over 400 yards of offense, though the Jets had nine more plays. These teams are very familiar with each other. They have gone under in the last two meetings and five of the last seven meetings. The Steelers have been very good under team on the road, with 18-44-1 O/U record their last 63 games. The Browns have gone under in seven of their last 10 games on real grass. Both teams decent under plays in this situation. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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09-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are trying to make history this season. They already have 102 wins and the team's personal record is 106, which looks very easy at this point to possibly break. The All time record in baseball is 116 wins, but that doesn't look realistic, though still possible. The Dodgers also moved into 6th place ALL time in baseball in run differential as they have a +332 mark. The Diamondbacks come into today with a four game losing streak and six of eight. They will start Drey Jameson tonight with a 1-0 record in his only start. He looked very good vs the Padres, going seven strong innings, allowing two runs and no hits with KO's. The Dodgers start Tyler Anderson who is 14-3 on the season with a 2.64 ERA. Anderson went seven strong innings his last start vs these Diamondbacks, allowing five hits and not runs. In fact, it was against Nelson as neither team had scored a run into the 7th inning. I like a rematch here tonight of these pitchers to once again be a pitchers duel. Play UNDER. |
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09-19-22 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Seattle now in 3rd place in the ever changing AL Wild Card picture. The Mariners are 1.5 games back of the Rays and 2-games back of the Blue Jays. They have a four-game lead over fourth place Baltimore though. The M's will start one of their best today in Logan Gilbert. Gilbert is 12-6 on the season with a 3.24 ERA. He's been hot of late, allowing just one run over his last three starts (17 Innings) and not allowing more than two runs in any of his last five starts. The Angels will counter with Jose Suarez. Suarez is 5-7 in his 17 starts with a 4.04 ERA. He's not allowed more than three runs in any of his last eight starts. I'll take the UNDER tonight in this matchup. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 42 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears played in what was a swamp last week with the rain pounding down for the entire game. They pulled out the win over the SF 49ers, 19-10. The Bears managed just 204 yards in the downpour with the 49ers bringing in 331 yards. Meanwhile Green Bay were manhandled last week in Minnesota, 7-23. The Packers had just 338 total yards and a pair of turnovers in the loss. QB Aaron Rodgers definitely missed his one time top target in WR Davante Adams. Adams had a stellar debut for the Raiders with 140 yard receiving and a touchdown. It will be a tall order for Rodgers to replace those lost yards. Green Bay has covered six straight in this series, but have to wonder without Adams if that will change now. For me, I'm looking at the UNDER here today. The advance weather is showing some issues with the weather and thunderstorms. Add to the wet field two teams that had offensive issue last week and this looks like an an under to me. |
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09-18-22 | Texans v. Broncos OVER 45 | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans started their season with a tie at home last week against the Colts. Considering the Colts had 13 more first downs and 218 more yards than the Texans, maybe they were fortunate to get the draw. The Texans had just 299 yards to 517 by the Colts. Denver's debut of new QB Russell Wilson didn't go quite as planned as they fell to the Seahawks 16-17. The Broncos tried a 64-yard field goal late but came up short. Many criticized Nathaniel Hackett for not going for it on 4th down with their expensive QB who has been able to do much more with both his legs and arm. Instead he opted for a field goal that had a 8% chance historically of being made. Houston's defense is last in the NFL after that performance last week. Something that Wilson and the Broncos should be able to take advantage of this week with the 4th ranked offense. These teams last met in 2019 with the Broncos winning at Houston, 38-24. The Texans have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The Broncos have gone under in nine of their last 12 games. I like this one to stay under here on Sunday. |
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09-18-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Padres and Diamondbacks close out their set here on Sunday. The teams split the first two games of this series with the Padres winning on Friday, 12-3. The Padres best pitcher will take to the hill here on Sunday in Yu Darvish. Darvish is 14-7 on the season with a 3.16 ERA. He's only allowed three total runs over his last three starts (21 innings). Arizona will counter with Ryne Nelson who is 1-0 in his two starts this year. Those were impressive starts against the Dodgers and Padres, allowing no runs over 13 innings. Nelson looks to be the real thing. Two excellent pitchers has me on the UNDER. |
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09-18-22 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
Texas lost to Tampa Bay on Saturday, 1-5. The two teams have split the first two in this series. Tampa is tied for 2nd in the wild card race right now, 1.5-games back of first place Toronto. Good news is they have opened-up a 5.5-game lead over the Orioles with time running out. Tampa will start Jeffrey Springs who is 7-4 in his 21 starts this season with a nifty 2.65 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 2.01 ERA in nine starts. The Rangers will start Glenn Otto who is 6-8 in 23 starts with a 4.71 ERA. He's been better of late, going 2-0 with a 3.44 ERA in his last seven starts. I like this game under today. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Pats are 2-5 O/U in their last seven games as a road favorite. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 14 overall road games. The Steelers are 0-4 O/U in their last four home games and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games as a home dog. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-14-22 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Very important WIld Card matchup today as the Toronto Blue Jays hold just a half game lead in the race over the Tampa Bay Rays and the Seattle Mariners. Good thing is that fourth place Baltimore is now five-games back. The Rays lost last night at Toronto, 2-7. Every game in this matchup is important. Drew Rasmussen will start today for the Rays with a 10-4 record in 24 starts and a 2.57 ERA. Rasmussen has been hot of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last seven starts. Toronto will counter with Ross Stripling who is 6-4 in his 20 starts with a 2.91 ERA. Should be another great matchup here tonight. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show | |
It didn't take long, in fact week 1 for the Seahawks old QB in Russel Wilson to return home in his first game for his new team, the Denver Broncos. This could be one of the most anticipated games of the start of the season as Wilson returns to Seattle after 10 seasons as the Seahawks QB. Wilson has already elevated Denver to a Super Bowl contender while Seattle appears headed in the opposite direction. With Geno Smith now at QB, this team is in a serious rebuilding mode. Drew Lock is the other QB in Seattle and he spent a lot of time in Denver, most unproductive. The Broncos are already 13-5 in their last 18 vs the Seahawks and that looks to only improve this year. Don't expect many points out of this Seattle team as they look for an identity after the loss of Wilson. I'll take under and hope Denver doesn't run the score up too much. Play UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 94 h 24 m | Show | |
As we begin this new season there will be lots of eyes on QB Tom Brady. Not only is he 45 years old, but he had supposedly retired at the end of last season. He's also missed significant practice time during the preseason due to personal reasons. Will he be ready for the season? Tom is the oldest QB and has offensive line issues at left guard. He's not very mobile and maybe pressured a lot this year. Also gone is his old friend Gronk at TE. The Cowboys were 2-1 in the preseason, playing mainly without their starters. Gone from the Cowboys are WR Amari Cooker and Cedrick Wilson Jr. Michael Gallup will likely miss game one this week. Those three were 40% of the Dallas receiving yards last season. I look for rust to show here on Sunday night with Brady and the Cowboys will have to find a way to replace all that offense. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 30 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans OVER 45.5 | 20-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 4 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts begin the NFL season in a AFC South Clash here on Sunday. The Texans were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason while the Colts where 1-2. Colts HC Frank Reich begins his fifth season as Colts head coach and while his resume is pretty good, he's yet to win an opening day game. Not only are they 0-4 Straight up, but also 0-4 vs the number. We can take that even beyond Reich as they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 season openers. The Texans might have been 3-0 in preseason, but they have the lowest projected wins of any team this year. The Colts have a new QB in 14-year veteran Matt Ryan. I like the upgrade in QB for the Colts this year and expect that to produce more points here today. I'll take the OVER in this opening game. |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show | |
The SF 49ers will start the QB they have wanted to since last season, Trey Lance. Lance takes over for Jimmy Garopplo who resigned with the Niners, but for a much smaller amount then he likely wanted. One has to wonder though how much faith the 49ers have in Lance as they wanted to sign Garoppolo again. Will Lance be able to take this team past the NFC Championship game they made last year? The Bears also go with a 2nd year QB in Justin Fields. Fields had a very good preseason but the question remains if the offensive line will be able to afford him the protection and time need to be efficient. Fields was the highest graded QB in the preseason with no turnovers and a 8.1 yards per attempt. Both these teams were good under plays last year and I don't see that changing. Neither has an explosive offense and in these early games I'll be looking at the under. Take UNDER here in game one. |
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09-10-22 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 7 | 6-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros have little challenge in the AL West with a 12-game lead over the Mariners. Still, they have to play the rest of the season and today they face the Angels and Shohei Ohtani. Ohtani is 11-8 on the season with a nifty 2.58 ERA. He's been slightly better at home with a 2.19 ERA. In fact, he's allowed one total run over his last two starts (15 innings). The Astros will counter with Jose Urquidy who is 13-5 with a 3.51 ERA. He's been better of late, going 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA over his last seven starts. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here in this one. |
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09-10-22 | Kansas v. West Virginia OVER 59.5 | 55-42 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
Kansas opened their season with a home game last week against Tennessee Tech. They had little issues with Tech winning, 56-10. The offense was very balanced with 297 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They will take on a West Virginia team that had a big test in week 1 vs Pitt. The Mountaineers lost the game, 31-38, but covered the 7.5-point line and moved the ball quite easily as they had 404 total yards. The defense did give up 308 yards to the Pitt passing attack. Both teams should score pretty much at will in this week 2 clash. I'm taking the OVER in this one. |