Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-12 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 142.5 | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The West Virginia Mountaineers are never going to be a run and gun team with Bob Huggins as their head coach. This team has an identity built around playing physically and clamping down on defense. Virginia Tech hasn't played a team nearly as physical as West Virginia so far this year, and I think it will slow the Hokies offense down quite a bit. At the same time, the West Virginia offense has been terrible so far this year. Look for a sloppy game that leads to the under cashing in.
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12-08-12 | Navy v. Army UNDER 56.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 86 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Navy/Army Total Domination* The Navy and Army game should be never be overlooked as a major rivalry. These two teams have a ton of respect for each other, but they also want to beat each other very badly. The defenses have a key advantage in this game. Both offenses run a very similar triple option. This means both defenses are seeing something in the game that they see every single day in practice. It's no coincidence that the 'under' has been on a nice run when these two teams get together. The under is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. The under is 8-0 in Navy's last 8 games on turf. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 December games. The under is 7-0 in Army's last 7 December games. Take the under here!
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12-08-12 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 124 | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
12-07-12 | Manhattan v. Marist OVER 126 | 58-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Marist Red Foxes have been running and gunning for the last couple years. Marist isn't a very good team, but you can count on them getting up plenty of shots. Manhattan used to play at a slow pace, but the Jaspers adopted a new style last year and it has worked out for them very well. Manhattan has several very good scoring options on their team. I had this one projected at 132 points, so I like the value on this one quite a bit. Look for both teams to get easy looks from pressure defenses. Take the over here.
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12-07-12 | Canisius v. Fairfield UNDER 139 | 67-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Fairfield Stags are the favorite in the MAAC. Fairfield is great at controlling the tempo and playing very solid defense. Canisius is pushing the pace this year, but Fairfield should be able to get this game into their style of play on their home floor. These teams have met five times in the past couple years. The final totals of those games were 124, 127, 125, 127, and 126 points. The line has been adjusted upward far too much here. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Fairfield. Take the under.
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12-06-12 | Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns OVER 199.5 | 97-94 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns both like to push the pace. In fact, both of these teams are in the top nine in the NBA in tempo this year. Dallas is playing faster with O.J. Mayo in the lineup this year. He is a guy who can score in bunches, and I think he'll be effective in this one. Shawn Marion and Vince Carter are both back in Phoenix here, and they should be fired up for a good performance. The Suns still push the pace and put up points at home. The over is 10-2 in the Suns last 12 games playing on one day of rest. The over is 5-0 in the Suns last 5 against the Western Conference. Take the over.
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12-06-12 | Idaho v. Eastern Washington UNDER 146 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals are very good at controlling the tempo. It is very rare that you see one of their games with this high of a posted total. Eastern Washington definitely gets out and runs whenever they can, but I don't think they'll be able to turn this game into a track meet like they do with most games, because the Vandals will want to move slowly. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games against teams with losing record. The under is 5-0 in Eastern Washington's last 5 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Washington. Take the under.
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12-06-12 | Creighton v. Nebraska UNDER 137 | 64-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Instate Battle Total* It's a battle for Nebraska tonight in Lincoln. Creighton is the better team here, but Nebraska plays good half court defense and will make the Blue Jays work for their points in this one. These rivalry games are often won on the defensive end, and I think the pace will slow down a bit here. Creighton is an extremely efficient team on offense normally, but they don't really run and gun all that much. Nebraska plays defense on their home floor, and I think this will be a hard fought game. The under is 37-18-1 in Nebraska's last 56 home games. Take the under.
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12-06-12 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Cincinnati UNDER 136 | 53-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bearcats have picked up their tempo a bit this year, but they are still playing very good halfcourt defense. In fact, opponents are shooting only 36% on two-point field goal attempts against the Bearcats. Arkansas Little Rock isn't used to playing teams like Cincinnati, and I suspect they'll have quite a bit of trouble scoring in this one. Look for the Bearcats to jump out to a big lead and then take their foot off the gas. The under is 12-4 in Cincinnati's last 16 home games. Take the under in this one.
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12-05-12 | South Florida v. Oklahoma State UNDER 124.5 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The South Florida Bulls are as good as anyone in the nation at controlling the tempo of the game. The Bulls like to play a slow half court style, and they force their opponent to get into that type of matchup. Some teams are only able to do this on their home floor, but USF has done it consistently on the road. The under is 13-4 in the Bulls last 17 road games. The under is 15-5 in Oklahoma State's last 20 home games. I projected this one at 121 points. Look for the slow pace to keep this one under the total.
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12-05-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 197.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks play at the second fastest tempo in the NBA. The San Antonio Spurs are also in the top ten in the NBA in tempo. A game between these two should mean plenty of possessions and shots for both teams. The Spurs are well rested now, and that should mean we'll get a good effort out of guys like Parker, Ginobili, and Duncan. The over is 5-0 in the Spurs last 5 games following a straight up win. The over is 10-2 in their last 12 games against the NBA Central. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Look for this to coast past the total. Take the over.
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12-05-12 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Valparaiso OVER 126 | 52-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Valparaiso should be the best team in the Horizon League this year. Valpo has a nice combination of good shooters as well as solid inside play. Fort Wayne doesn't play teams as good as Valpo very often, and I think they'll give up a lot of points here. Fort Wayne likes to push the tempo, and I expect them to be able to put up a decent amount of points simply because their tempo is quick. This line is quite a ways off what I projected. I expected a line of 132 points here. Take the big value on the over.
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12-05-12 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee St UNDER 142.5 | 64-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* UAB has a new coach who is installing a faster-paced offense for the Blazers. They are speeding things up, but Middle Tennessee State is a very good team. I don't expect the Blue Raiders to just let UAB have its way with the tempo here. In addition, MTSU's defense will be one of the best that UAB faces this year, and that should keep their shooting percentage down. I had this one projected at 138 points. The oddsmakers probably got a little ahead of themselves making this one so high. Take the under.
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12-05-12 | UMKC v. North Dakota OVER 127.5 | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* This game is way off most people's radar, but I like the value on this one. North Dakota likes to push the tempo, and their defense is weak. UMKC has one of the worst three-point field goal defense percentages in the nation. Last year, these teams combined to score 153 points with similar lineups. I don't expect 153 points here, but I do think this one gets into the 130's. Look for plenty of made shots from beyond the arc here. This total was just set too low for these teams. Take the over in this contest.
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12-05-12 | Marshall v. West Virginia UNDER 142 | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Instate Rivalry* The Marshall Thundering Herd and West Virginia Mountaineers will meet on a neutral court to settle the battle for West Virginia on Wednesday night. Neutral courts typically lead to lower scoring games, and both of these teams have very inefficient offenses right now. The Mountaineers will scrap and claw on defense, but they just aren't very good right now. Neither team will push the pace here very much, and I think this game stays in the half court. Look for this one to stay in the 130's. Take the under.
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12-04-12 | Nevada v. Pacific UNDER 142 | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* The Pacific Tigers have historically been a team that does a great job dictating the tempo of the game. Pacific likes to play in the half court and not get out and run. The Tigers will be able to control the tempo better here on their home floor. Nevada will push the pace when they can, but this total is set as if both teams will be running and gunning. I projected this game at 136 points. The under is 7-0 in Nevada's lats 7 games against the Big West. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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12-04-12 | Siena v. St. Bonaventure UNDER 131.5 | 43-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Siena Saints aren't anything even close to the team they used to be. A few years ago they were a high flying team that pushed the tempo under Fran McCaffrey. He is now at Iowa, and Siena is now slowing the tempo down and looking to win with ball control and defense. St. Bonaventure lost their star (Andrew Nicholson) from last year, and this team's offense is no longer all that strong. I had this one projected at 127 points. Look for this to stay under the total by a couple of baskets.
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12-04-12 | Western Michigan v. Michigan UNDER 132.5 | 41-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Intrastate Battle* The Michigan Wolverines have looked about as good as anyone in college basketball so far this year. Michigan controls the tempo extremely well, and there won't be anything Western Michigan can do to turn this into a track meet (I don't think that would help them anyways). Michigan's defense is much better this year, especially in the half court. Western Michigan doesn't have any clear established leaders on offense right now. Look for Michigan's style of play to keep this one under the posted total.
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12-04-12 | Richmond v. Old Dominion UNDER 131 | 80-53 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Richmond Spiders are a very good defensive team. This is a team that controls the tempo of the game and makes it tough for their opponents to get easy looks near the basket. Old Dominion hasn't found any go to guys on offense yet this year, and the Monarchs simply haven't been very good this year. ODU isn't the type of team to push the tempo, especially now that they are weak in the backcourt. Look for a defensive game here between two teams who have a lot of question marks offensively. The under is 5-2 in Richmond's last 7 games. Take the under .
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12-04-12 | Texas v. Georgetown UNDER 121 | 41-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Texas/GTown Total* The Texas Longhorns have one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. They also have one of the worst offenses. Without Myck Kabongo, this offense is struggling to find any kind of rhythm. Georgetown lost a lot of talent from last year, but the Hoyas are still playing very good defense. Georgetown will keep the pace of the game slow here. Madison Square Garden is the site of this game, and the shooting background here is notoriously difficult. The under is 5-0 in Texas' last 5 non-conference games. The under is 5-0 in GTown's last 5 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
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12-04-12 | Lamar v. Purdue UNDER 138.5 | 39-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Purdue Boilermakers are known for their defense. This year Purdue has given up just 63.3 points per game. Lamar's offense has been horrible this season. Lamar is scoring just 56.1 points per game. Purdue should get in front in this and then cruise to a big victory. Lamar has no offensive leadership, and the Boilers will make them take a lot of difficult shots in this one. The under is 12-4 in Purdue's last 16 non-conference games. The under is 3-1-1 in Lamar's last 5 road games. Take the under.
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12-03-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 189 | 81-102 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks have the second fastest paced offense in the NBA by the numbers (Houston is first). Milwaukee has two guards who can push the tempo as well as anyone in the NBA in Jennings and Ellis. New Orleans is without Anthony Davis in this one, and that probably helps the over more than anything because he is a defensive beast. These two met earlier this year and the final was 117-113. The total in that game was 191. The total here is set two points lower for some reason. Milwaukee will get their shots up, and New Orleans allows opponents to shoot 40.2% from three-point range. The over is 4-0 in the Hornets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the over.
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12-01-12 | CS Sacramento v. Arizona St UNDER 143 | 70-90 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Fairfield v. Austin Peay St UNDER 137 | 74-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Pacific v. Gonzaga OVER 126 | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Arkansas State v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 134 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Florida Atlantic Owls have slowed their tempo down this year. Arkansas State is a very slow paced team under John Brady. The oddsmakers line here is way off of my projections. I projected this one at 124 points, so I see a ton of value on this one. The recent trends have been to the over, but I can't overlook that much value on my numbers. Both of these teams play slow, and neither team shoots the ball very well. Look for an ugly game that finishes way under the posted total. Take the under in a big way!
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12-01-12 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 127 | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | UL - Lafayette v. North Texas OVER 136 | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Western Carolina v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 142 | 70-72 | Push | 0 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Princeton v. Kent State UNDER 135 | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The Princeton Tigers may not play quite as slow as they used to, but they still don't let a game speed up much at all. Kent State lost most of their offense from last year, so I don't see them being able to turn this into an offensive shootout. The Tigers will run the shot clock down and slow this game down in a big way. I had this line projected at 128, so I see a lot of value in this one. Unless the shooting numbers are outrageously high, I just don't see this one breaking 130 points. Take the under big!
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12-01-12 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 139.5 | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 50.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star Alabama/Georgia Total Domination* The SEC is going to be back in the BCS title game once again this year. Who will be playing for that title? Most assume it will be Alabama, but Georgia is better than many believe. The strength of both teams is their defense. Georgia likes to run the football with Marshall and Gurley, but Alabama's run defense is extremely good. Aaron Murray has been shaky in big games. Georgia's defense has been amazing of late. The Bulldogs have allowed 14 points or less in four straight games. The under is 6-0 in Georgia's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5 conference games. Look for both defenses to play well. Take the under.
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12-01-12 | Wisc-Green Bay v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 123 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Alabama v. Cincinnati UNDER 130 | 56-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
12-01-12 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor OVER 81.5 | 34-41 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* This will be the highest 'over' I have ever recommended, but I still believe this is a good value. Baylor is a perfect over team because they have a prolific passing offense and a horrible defense. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense, and second to last in the nation in total defense. Oklahoma State averages 45.6 points per game, and they have allowed more than 40 points four times this year. Don't expect to see any defense played in this game. It should be a lot of passing and missed tackles by the secondary. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4. The over is 21-4-1 in Baylor's last 26 games. Take the over. **I recommend a play on this one all the way up to 88 points**
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11-30-12 | Detroit Pistons v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 190.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Memphis Grizzlies have the best record in the NBA right now. The number one reason for that has been their effort on the defensive end. Memphis is only allowing 91.1 points per game this year. Detroit is coming off a huge win over Phoenix, but things won't come nearly as easy for the Pistons in this one. I expect Memphis to jump out to an early lead and coast late in the game. Detroit has been blown out on several occasions this year, and this could certainly be another one. The under is 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. Take the under.
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11-30-12 | Washington Wizards v. New York Knicks UNDER 190.5 | 87-108 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. Not many people realize it, but the Knicks are also playing at one of the slowest paces in the league right now. Coach Woodson has the Knicks playing efficiently on offense, but they don't look to push the tempo very often at all. Washington has improved quite a bit on the defensive end this year, and the Wizards aren't as bad as their record would indicate. Look for a half court game here where both teams use up the shot clock. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last 7 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 games following a win. The under is 20-5-1 in the Knicks last 26 games against a team with a winning percent below 40%. Take the under.
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11-29-12 | Pepperdine v. Montana State UNDER 133 | Top | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA Hidden GEM Total* Pepperdine has been great at controlling the tempo of the game over the last couple years. Pepperdine had two overtime games earlier this year, and the final totals in those games was 110 and 114 points. The Waves aren't going to get sucked into a transition type of game here. Montana State has played against a lot of fast-paced teams this year, which gives us a lot of value here on the under. Montana State's offense has a ton of question marks this year because of youth. The under is 11-3 in Pepperdine's last 14 road games. Take the under big!
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11-29-12 | Long Beach State v. Loyola Marymount OVER 137 | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* Long Beach State definitely doesn't have the talent they had last year, but Dan Monson's team is still going to put a lot of pressure on the opposition and force them into mistakes. Loyola Marymount will likely turn it over a lot here and lead to easy buckets for Long Beach State. On the other end, Anthony Ireland and Ashley Hamilton should be able to get open looks just about any time they want to in the half court sets. The over is 4-0 in Marymount's last 4 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games against the WCC. Take the over.
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11-29-12 | Western Kentucky v. UL - Monroe UNDER 133.5 | Top | 65-54 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have had a lot of success in football this year, but this basketball squad isn't any good. They will struggle to score points all year. Last year the Warhawks went 3-26, and they won't be much better this season. In their two games this year they have scored 51 and 52 points. Look for Western Kentucky's pressure defense to bother them a lot. Western Kentucky plays quickly, but they shoot a poor percentage. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two at Louisiana-Monroe. I think this one stays under 130. Take the under big!
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11-29-12 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. UMKC UNDER 136 | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* UMKC has been brutal on the offensive end so far this year. They are shooting only 28.8% from three-point range, which is particularly bad since this team shoots a ton of three-pointers. They are also only shooting 62.8% from the free throw line. UMKC has traditionally been a team that slows the game down when given the chance, and I think they'll be able to do that against a mediocre IUPUI team. The under is 8-2 in IUPUI's last 10 games against the Summit League. The under is 4-1 in UMKC's last 5 against the Summit League. Take the under.
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11-29-12 | Arkansas State v. Florida International UNDER 140 | Top | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play of Day* The Arkansas State Red Wolves really control the tempo under head coach John Brady. Brady has always been a defensive-minded guy. Arkansas State won't let Florida International turn this into a track meet. I also don't believe FIU has the talent to put up a ton of points right now. The team is in a rebuilding mode. Several of Arkansas State's best players are dinged up right now. They will likely play, but they aren't going to be at 100 percent. My numbers had this one projected at 133 points, so I see a ton of value in this play. Take the under big!
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11-29-12 | CS NORTHRIDGE v. UCLA OVER 151.5 | 56-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Cal State Northridge Matadors only know one way to play and that is extremely fast. Northridge will press and try to turn this game into a track meet. The problem with that is UCLA has tons of speed and athleticism all over the floor this year. Teams who are going to beat UCLA will likely need to slow them down a bit, but Northridge can't do that. UCLA should put up a huge number against this Northridge defense. On the other side, Northridge moves quick enough that they should get plenty of shots and points to push this over. Take the over.
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11-28-12 | Seattle v. Stanford OVER 147.5 | Top | 57-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Under Radar Total* Stanford has picked up the pace since Dawkins took over as their coach. Aaron Bright and Chaisson Randle are very talented in the backcourt. The Cardinal should certainly put up a very big number against a Seattle team that doesn't play much defense at all. Seattle loves to push the tempo. In fact, they play at the fastest pace in the entire nation right now. Seattle will get up quick shots, and they'll get their points. Stanford has a big size advantage on the inside and they'll get easy looks. The over is 6-2 in Stanford's last 8 home games. Take the over big.
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11-28-12 | Utah State v. Santa Clara UNDER 140 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie Blaster* The Utah State Aggies are very good at dictating the tempo that they want the game to played at. Utah State isn't nearly as talented this year as they have been in many years in the past, but they'll still control the tempo and play solid defense. Stew Morrill's team is fundamentally sound, and I think they'll slow down Santa Clara's high powered offense. Santa Clara likes to play quickly, but they aren't particularly efficient on the offensive end. I had this line projected at 136 points. Look for this to stay under.
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11-28-12 | Idaho v. Washington State UNDER 126.5 | Top | 55-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play GEM* The Washington State Cougars have slowed down their pace in a big way from where they were a couple years. Of course it makes sense because they don't have Klay Thompson or any prolific scorers on this team anymore. Washington State is content to burn clock and play solid defense. Idaho is a very similar team. The Vandals don't have any great scorers, but they have plenty of guys who play great one on one defense. This has all the makings of a half court game where both teams struggle to get open looks. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The under is 5-1 in Washington State's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
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11-28-12 | Cal Irvine v. UNLV OVER 144.5 | Top | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play of Week* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels love to push the tempo under coach Dave Rice. UNLV has speed at every position on the floor, and they are extremely dangerous in the open floor. UC Irvine is a team that runs and guns all the time. The Anteaters nearly knocked off UCLA on the road, and they scored 79 points in that one. UC Irvine isn't going to slow the game down, which means UNLV should have a field day here. Don't be surprised if UNLV puts up 90 points on their own in this one. If the shooting in this game isn't atrocious, I think this sails over the total. The over is 22-5-1 in Irvine's last 28 following an ATS loss. Take the over in a big way!
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11-28-12 | Ohio State v. Duke OVER 142 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ohio State/Duke Total Domination* The Ohio State Buckeyes and the Duke Blue Devils both have some guys who can really fill it up. Deshaun Thomas is capable of going off for 30 points at any time for Ohio State. Seth Curry is one of the best shooters in the nation for Duke. Both teams like to get out in transition when given the opportunity. I expect the tempo here to be conducive to an over. Both defenses are far from terrific at this point. Neither team has a great shot blocker down low. Look for both teams to get to the line often. The over is 13-3 in the Buckeyes last 16. The over is 6-0 in Duke's last 6 against the Big 10. The over is 6-1 in the Buckeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take the over.
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11-28-12 | New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 198.5 | Top | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA Top Play Total* The New York Knicks haven't been playing any defense of late, and the Milwaukee Bucks push the ball better than any other team in the NBA. Milwaukee pushes the tempo even more on their home floor. In 3 of their last 4 games the Knicks have given up at least 100 points (in two of those games they allowed 114 and 131 points). Milwaukee's offense should be great in this one, and the Knicks should be able to score big against a mediocre Bucks defense. The over is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 Wednesday games. The over is 7-2-1 in the Bucks last 10 road games. I had this one pegged at 204, so I really like this over. Take the over big!
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11-28-12 | Virginia Cavaliers v. Wisconsin UNDER 117 | 60-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Virginia/Wisconsin Total* The Virginia Cavaliers and Wisconsin Badgers couldn't be more alike. Both teams like to walk it up the floor and essentially stall on the offensive end. A game between these two isn't going to be fun to watch, but it should be a good one for an 'under' bettor. This is the type of game where I believe it stays under the posted total unless the shooting percentages are absolutely amazing. I had this one set at 112 points, so getting 117 points is a really nice value. Look for this to stay comfortably under the total.
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11-28-12 | Weber State v. Dayton UNDER 140 | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Weber State isn't the same team they were a year ago. Damian Lillard is now a star with the Portland Blazers, and Weber State is looking for a new identity. Weber State no longer has that guy to push the tempo and score when they need it most. Weber State is playing much slower this year, and they aren't nearly as efficient on offense. Dayton is a pretty good defensive team, and they aren't going to get out in transition all that often. I had this one pegged at 135 points. Look for a slower tempo to keep this under. Take the under.
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11-27-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 195.5 | 79-77 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers are starting to get a little bit of a grasp on Mike D'Antoni's system. D'Antoni has said he wants the Lakers to be scoring 110-115 points per game. They are obviously picking up the tempo quite a bit. They are coming off a 115 point performance at Dallas on Saturday. After two days off, they should be well rested and ready to run in this one. Look for the Lakers to jump out to an early lead and force a faster pace in this game. Indiana's defense has been poor so far this year. The over is 12-3 in the Lakers last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 after allowing 100 points in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-27-12 | Minnesota v. Florida State OVER 138 | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles are a great team to look at for overs right now. Florida State has always played at a pretty quick tempo, but their amazing defense has made the 'under' they way to go with them. Their team is different this season. The Seminoles still have shooters and offense, but the defense isn't nearly what it used to be. Minnesota has a great point guard in Andre Hollins, and Trevor Mbakwe is a terrific wing. Both of these teams can score, and I expect a close game with fouling at the end. The over is 10-3 in the Seminoles last 13. The over is 4-1 in Minnesota's last 5 road games. Take the over.
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11-27-12 | Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Dallas Mavericks have really been a great over team this year. Dallas' defense isn't what it used to be, and bringing in O.J. Mayo has made this team much better offensively than most people expected. The Mavericks are pushing the tempo this year, and the 76ers are also playing quicker with a small lineup this season. Look for both teams to get plenty of looks at the basket in this one. The posted total here is set 5 points lower than I expected. I think this one cruises past the total. Take the over in this one.
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11-26-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 191 | 93-92 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls met on Saturday night and I unsuccessfully played the over. I'm going to go with the over again in this one. The line is about 3 or 4 points lower than it was on Saturday night. Saturday night's shooting was atrocious by both teams, and the total still only finished 12 points below this number. I doubt this teams will combine to shoot 7 for 33 from beyond the arc again. Milwaukee plays at the fastest pace of any team in the NBA right now, so there should be plenty of shots in this one. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-26-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 200 | 69-114 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Oklahoma City Thunder offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Thunder have scored at least 100 points in their last five games. Charlotte is a surprising 7-5 this year. The Bobcats are really pushing the tempo, which should lead to a high scoring game here. Charlotte is third in the NBA in pace so far this year. The trends for this one are tough to pass up. The over is 6-0 in OKC's last 6 games. The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 following one day of rest. The over is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in the Thunder's last 4 following a straight up win. Take the over.
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11-25-12 | Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants OVER 50.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense hasn't been what they were last year, but they are still are a very formidable unit. The New York Giants defense has struggled against top quarterbacks this year, and the Packers have a terrific QB in Aaron Rodgers. Look for his quick passes to chew up this secondary. On the other side, the Packers secondary has given up a lot of yards this year. Eli Manning is putting up big numbers this year, and he has been good in the past against the Packers. The over is 11-4 in the Packers last 15 games against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-25-12 | Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks UNDER 192 | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* New York Knicks have been horrible on defense over their last few games, but I expect that to change on Sunday. For the season, the Knicks are giving up 95 points per game, which is slightly better than the league average. The Knicks have been great defensively at home this season. Detroit is not an efficient offensive team, and the Pistons don't push the tempo. The under is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 home games. The under is 7-1 in the Pistons last 8 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in the Knicks last 5 Sunday games. Take the under.
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11-25-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 50.5 | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* Matt Ryan is having the best season of his career. Having said that, he played very poorly last weekend. Ryan should fare better against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Opponents are racking up 313 yards through the air against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense has been on fire of late as well. The Bucs have scored at least 27 points in each of their last six games. Atlanta's defense relies on forcing turnovers, but Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball. The over is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 games following a victory. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the over.
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11-24-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 | 93-86 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks play at a faster tempo than anyone else in the league right now. Milwaukee has two great guards in Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis. Both of these guys are more than capable of putting up 30-35 points by themselves. Not many teams can keep up with the Bucks in transition this year. Chicago is playing faster than expected so far this season. The Bulls defense also hasn't been as good as it was last year. The last five meetings between these teams have all gone easily over the posted total. I like the value on the over, as I think this gets to about 200. Take the over.
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11-24-12 | Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 47.5 | 55-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Vanderbilt Commodores are only giving up 175 yards per game through the air. This is one of the best secondaries in the country. Wake Forest's offense is brutally bad, and they especially can't do anything on the ground. Look for Vanderbilt to make life miserable for Wake Forest's offense in this one. Wake Forest's defense has been much better at home. This being the team's last home game of the year, I think the Demon Deacons defense shows up better than expected here. Neither team is likely to put up many points. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the SEC. The under is 14-3 in Wake Forest's last 17 November games. Take the under.
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11-24-12 | Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 45.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The UConn Huskies have one of the best defenses in the country, but their terrible offense holds them back quite a bit. UConn only allows 296 yards per game, which puts them at ninth best in the nation in total defense. Five of their last six opponents have failed to reach 20 points. Louisville's offense is pretty good, but I don't think they'll move it too easily against UConn. On the other side, Louisville's pass defense has been stellar. UConn has almost no running game, so it is hard to imagine them getting many points in this one. The under is 5-1 in UConn's last 6 games. Take the under.
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11-22-12 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets OVER 48 | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 42 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Patriots/Jets Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders right now. No team in the NFL is scoring more than New England. Tom Brady has had quite a bit of success against the Jets in the past, and I think he'll have even more now without Revis on the outside for the Jets. New England's rushing attack has been very good this year, which helps Brady and the passing game in a big way. The Jets offense should be able to get their points against a mediocre Patriots defense. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 Thursday games. The over is 13-3 in their last 16 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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11-22-12 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Redskins/Cowboys Turkey Total* The Washington Redskins offense has been terrific all year. RG3 has been everything anyone could have expected and more. The Redskins are very balanced on offense, and I expect them to move the ball well against Dallas. The Redskins defense has been bad all year. Washington's secondary is a major weakness. Tony Romo makes a lot of mistakes, but he can pick apart bad secondaries. Until last week, Washington had allowed at least 21 points in every game this year. Both teams should put up a decent amount of points here. Both of these teams have been on a recent under streak, which gives us great value here. Take the over.
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11-21-12 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan UNDER 124.5 | 62-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Panthers and the Michigan Wolverines play at a similar pace, which is very slow. Don't expect many breakaway layups or fast break points in this one. This should be a half court game where both offenses use up the shot clock. This type of grind it out game certainly benefits an under play. Madison Square Garden is the site of this game, and the shooting backdrop at MSG is notoriously difficult. College games with two teams not accustomed to this floor can often have very low final totals. I projected this one at 120 points, so I like the value. Take the under.
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11-18-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints are still in a must win situation after a horribly slow start to the year. New Orleans' offense has been clicking after a bit of a slow start. Drew Brees seems to have a nice rhythm, and the Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop anyone lately. Oakland allowed 42 and 55 points in their last two games. New Orleans is absolutely capable of putting up 40 plus points here. The Saints defense isn't very good, and Carson Palmer should be able to find plenty of open receivers to help the Raiders get on the board a few times here. The over is 7-1 in the Raiders last 8 home games. The over is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games. Take the over.
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11-18-12 | Akron v. Penn State UNDER 130 | 85-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Penn State Nittany Lions don't have much offensive firepower at all, so they will rely on strong defense to win some games this year. Penn State will slow the game down and make the opposition work hard for open shots. Akron has a terrific shot blocker in Marshall, and I don't think Penn State will be able to do much of anything around the hoop. The pace here should be slow enough that it will take a very hot shooting night by both teams to push this one over the posted total. The under is 4-0 in Penn State's last 4 games at a neutral site. Take the under.
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11-18-12 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 | 6-31 | Loss | -105 | 65 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense was shockingly terrible last week against the Carolina Panthers. RG3 and the Redskins just couldn't get the job done in that game. I expect them to bounce back and be much better this weekend. Philadelphia will have Nick Foles starting at quarterback, and I actually think Foles will do a solid job for them. Washington's defense has given up at least 21 points in every single game this year, and the Eagles have some nice offensive weapons. Don't be surprised if Foles looks better than most expect in this game. Neither defense has been shutting anyone completely down this year. Look for a relatively high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in Washington's last 8 home games. Take the over.
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11-18-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a big win against the New York Giants last week. The Bengals defense played by far its best game of the season in that one. This unit has been dinged up pretty badly this year, but they are slowly getting healthier. The Chiefs offense has been horrible of late, and I think the Bengals defense will play well again. Kansas City has a good pass rush, and I think they'll make life difficult on Andy Dalton in this game. The Bengals don't have much of a ground game to keep them honest. The under is 9-0 in the Chiefs last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 7-0 in the Bengals last 7 games following a win by 14 points or more. Look for a low scoring game here.
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11-17-12 | Kansas State v. Baylor OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Kansas State/Baylor Total* The Baylor Bears are just 4-5 on the season, but they get to host Kansas State in a huge game Saturday night in Waco. The Bears would love nothing more than to end Kansas State's perfect season. Baylor can put up points with the best of them, but they also give up points like nobody's business. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense (averaging 564 yards per game). On the other side of the ball, Baylor is dead last in total defense in the nation. Opponents are averaging 520 yards per game. Kansas State's defensive weakness is their secondary, and Baylor will exploit that. Collin Klein and the Wildcats should run all over Baylor's terrible defense. Look for big points here. The over is 23-5-1 in Baylor's last 29 games. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 60.5 | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total SMACKDOWN* The Tulane Green Wave couldn't put up any points earlier in the season, but now they have their starting quarterback back in the lineup. Ryan Griffin is a pretty good quarterback, and the team has been moving the ball well with him under center. East Carolina has been bad defensively for several years now. The Pirates offense hasn't been terrific, but everyone has been able to move the ball against Tulane's horrific defense. Both of these teams move quickly, so the tempo should be conducive for a high scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 home games. The over is 9-1 in Tulane's last 10 November games. The over is 8-1 in East Carolina's last 9 November games. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wake Forest/Notre Dame Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a ton to play for right now. Not many could have expected that Notre Dame would get through their tough first ten games on the schedule without a blemish. Indeed, the Fighting Irish have done it with a terrific defense. Manti Te'o has been the best defensive player in the nation this year, and it is Senior Day for him in this one. Wake Forest's offense hasn't been able to score much on anyone, and I think they'll struggle to get past 10 points or so in this one. Notre Dame's offense is still raw, and Wake Forest's running defense is better this year. This looks like a low scoring contest. The under is 5-0 in Wake Forest's last 5 games. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Duke v. Georgia Tech OVER 67.5 | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils are a much improved team this year. Duke's Sean Renfree is a nice veteran quarterback who can throw the football around pretty well. Georgia Tech's defense has given up at least 41 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Georgia Tech's option offense is nearly unstoppable for most defenses, and Duke struggles to stop the run almost every week. Georgia Tech piled up 68 points against North Carolina last weekend. Last year, these two teams played to a 38-31 final. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 conference games. The over is 9-0 in Georgia Tech's last 9 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in Georgia Tech's last 6 when playing a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Houston v. Marshall OVER 74.5 | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd offense is prolific this year. Rakeem Cato leads the entire nation in passing yards. Marshall also plays at as fast of a tempo as anyone in football right now. They'll get plenty of plays, and against a Houston defense that ranks 110th in the nation in pass defense, they should get a ton of yards. On the other side, Marshall's defense is terrible. Houston averages 475 yards per game on offense. Marshall is giving up 41.1 points per game this year. This one has the makings of a major shootout. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 56.5 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* Tulsa has a good offense, but the Golden Hurricane offense revolves around running the ball and eating up clock. UCF has one of the best defenses in Conference USA, and I think Tulsa will struggle to pound it down their throats in this one. On the other side, UCF's offense just isn't as dynamic as most in this conference. The Knights are inconsistent and often can't finish off drives. The under is a perfect 5-0 in Tulsa's last 5 home games. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Look for a lot of running the ball from both teams, and the clock will tick away quickly here. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Rutgers v. Cincinnati UNDER 48 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bearcats have changed starting quarterbacks. Munchie Legeuax is out because of turnover problems and Brendon Kay is in. Kay looked good last week, but he'll face a much better defense this week. Rutgers and Cincinnati are both terrific at stopping the run. Both of these offenses revolve around running the football. I think both teams will try to run the ball early and often, but I don't see them having very much success. Cincinnati gives up 18.8 points per game, while Rutgers gives up only 13.4 points per game. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 47 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Total Takedown* The Bowling Green Falcons have been absolutely dominating on defense of late. Bowling Green is allowing just 15.1 points per game this year. How good has this unit been of late? No team has scored more than 14 points on Bowling Green in their last six games. Kent State's offense revolves around the run, and Bowling Green is great on the defensive line. Bowling Green's offense isn't very good, and Kent State is better than average defensively, especially against the run. It's hard to imagine either team lighting up the scoreboard int his one. The under is 7-0 in Bowling Green's last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Falcons last 6 conference games. Take the under.
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11-16-12 | Brigham Young v. Florida State OVER 147.5 | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The BYU Cougars are all about getting out and running. Dave Rose has this team looking to score big every single game. I think BYU is a team that we can expect to see averaging 75-80 points or so per game this year. Florida State doesn't have the same kind of defense they had the past couple years, and the Seminoles actually play better at a quick tempo with their personnel now as well. Keep a close eye on guys like Tyler Haws for BYU and Michael Snaer for Florida State. These are guys that can get very hot from long range. The pace here should push this one over. The over is 8-3 in the Seminoles last 11 games. Take the over.
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11-14-12 | Washington Wizards v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 193 | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Washington Wizards are 0-6 so far this year. Without John Wall, the Wizards offense doesn't have a real catalyst to get things going. Washington is playing a totally different style of basketball without Wall in the lineup. The Wizards are trying to slow it down and use up the shot clock, and that has led to low scoring games for Washington this year. Only one of their games has gone over this year, and that was solely because it went into overtime. Dallas has less firepower without Nowitzki and Marion. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 on zero days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 road games. Take the under.
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11-14-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 190 | 85-99 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Indiana Pacers lost a really tough game last night 74-72 against the Toronto Raptors. Indiana certainly isn't as good without Danny Granger in the lineup, but this is still a decent team. Milwaukee is a team that pushes the pace in a big way with Jennings and Ellis in the backcourt. Indiana will likely have some tired legs in this one, and I think the Bucks could put up a big number. Milwaukee's defense isn't very impressive, so I think Hibbert, George, and others will put up a solid amount of points for the Pacers. The over is 17-4 in the Bucks last 21 against the NBA Central. Take the over.
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11-14-12 | Detroit Pistons v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 188 | 94-76 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Detroit Pistons haven't won a game yet this year. Detroit doesn't have the offensive firepower that most teams in the NBA have right now. Still, Detroit has been staying in games more often than not because of an improved defense this year. They held Oklahoma City to 92 points earlier this week. The 76ers are a team built around their ability to play defense. Doug Collins' team should be able to slow down Detroit quite well in this matchup. Neither of these teams likes to run, so I expect a slow pace and fewer free throws than normal. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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11-11-12 | St. Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38.5 | 24-24 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is one of the worst in the NFL. The reason the Rams have been more competitive this year is their defense is much improved. I don't expect the Rams to be able to do much offensively against the stacked 49ers defense. San Francisco is first in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 12.9 per contest. The Rams defensive strength is stopping the run, and we know that is what the 49ers normally do is run the football early and often. This is the type of game where I expect the Niners to get an early lead and then play it pretty safe the rest of the way. Don't be surprised if the Rams struggle to get above 10 points or so. The under is 6-2-1 in the 49ers last 9 games. The under is 4-0-1 in the 49ers last 5 against the NFC. Take the under.
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11-11-12 | Buffalo Bills v. New England Patriots OVER 52 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 41 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have a real history of putting up big points when they meet. In 4 of the team's last 5 meetings, the final total has been at least 60 points. In the meeting earlier this year, the Patriots scored 31 points in the 4th quarter alone in a blowout win in Buffalo. New England ranks first in the NFL in total offense and points per game. The Patriots are averaging 33 points per game. Buffalo's defense has given up at least 35 points in 3 of their last 5 games. Buffalo's offense is getting healthier, and they should be able to put up points against a mediocre Pats defense. The over is 6-0 in the Pats last 6 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bills last 6 against the AFC East. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Fresno State v. Nevada OVER 69 | 52-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolfpack both have a very explosive offense. Fresno State has stars at quarterback and running back with Derek Carr and Robbie Rouse. Carr is second in the nation in passing yards so far this season. Nevada always has one of the best ground games in the nation, and this year is no different. With Stephfon Jefferson leading the way, Nevada is averaging 261 yards per game on the ground. Both defenses are suspect against high-powered attacks. Last year's meeting between these two finished in a 45-38 final score. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 following a bye week. The over is 5-2 in Nevada's last 7 home games. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Utah v. Washington Huskies UNDER 47.5 | Top | 15-34 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 42 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* The Utah Utes and Washington Huskies have been two pretty similar teams this year. Both of them have been very disappointing on the offensive side of the ball, but they have both been very good defensively. Three of Washington's last four games have finished at a total of 38 points or less (including their game against USC). Utah has scored a total of 28 points in their last three road games combined. Both of these offenses have serious trouble putting together long drives. This will likely be a game where both teams settle for quite a few field goals. The under is 4-0 in Utah's lats 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Washington's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
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11-10-12 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas State Bobcats OVER 70.5 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 119 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have one of the most potent offenses in the nation. How good are they? They are third in the nation in yards per game at 571 per contest. They are second in the country in points per game with 52.4 per contest. They are top 12 in both rushing and passing yards. Texas State's defense allows 479 yards per game, and I suspect they are going to have a very long night in this one. On the other side, Louisiana Tech's defense is bad. They are second worst in the nation against the pass. Texas State should be able to put up some points at home here. The over is 8-1 in La. Tech's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | South Alabama Jaguars v. North Texas UNDER 50 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie SMASHER* South Alabama has fought hard in their first year of existence as an FBS level football program. The Jaguars don't have much of an offense at all, but their defense is very solid. They have been in almost all of their games this year because of their defense. North Texas has a dinged up quarterback and a disappointing running game. The Mean Green defense is quite a bit better than it was a year ago. There is no reason to believe that either of these inefficient offenses will suddenly break out and put up a big number in this game. The under is 4-0 in North Texas' last 4 games following a straight up loss. Take the under.
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11-10-12 | Navy v. Troy OVER 58.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 116 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Navy Midshipmen can run the ball with the best of them, and Troy hasn't proven they are capable of stopping the run. Look for Navy to run the ball over and over again, and I don't expect Troy to have any answers for it. Last year, Navy piled up 42 points against Troy. On the other side, the Navy defense has struggled against good offenses this year. Troy actually has the 14th ranked offense in the nation. They are more balanced this year on offense, and the Trojans are scoring 30.1 points per game. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 contests. Look for both offenses to have their way here. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 57.5 | 9-28 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Air Force is an interesting team because they run the football about as well as anyone, but they can't stop the run at all. This often leads to high scoring games for the Falcons. In fact, 5 of their 9 games this year have topped the 60 point mark. San Diego State has gotten very good at running the ball as the year has moved along. I expect the Aztecs to be able to run the ball easily against Air Force's undersized defensive front. The over is 7-2 in Air Force's last 9 games following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in San Diego State's last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Kent State v. Miami (OH) OVER 55.5 | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Kent State Golden Flashes are one of the most improved teams in college football this year. Darrell Hazzell is doing a tremendous job with this team. Kent State is getting it done largely because of their strong rushing attack. Miami's defense has been chewed up on the ground this year. Opponents are averaging 232 yards per game on the ground. Miami is allowing 34.4 points per game. Kent State's defense has struggled against strong passing games. Miami can't run the ball, but they do have a strong passing game. Look for Miami to move it through the air nicely in this one. I think this one gets to at least 60. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Army v. Rutgers UNDER 52.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Army Black Knights have the number one running game in the nation, but they can't throw the football at all. In fact, they average just 67 yards per game through the air. One of the team's leading rushers is questionable for this game due to an injury. The Rutgers defense has been awesome against the run this year. Rutgers is fourth in the nation in rushing defense. I think Army will have a lot of trouble scoring points here. The Rutgers offense averages just 26 points per game, and I don't see them putting up a big number here either. The under is 11-2 in Army's last 13 games coming off a bye week. The under is 6-1 in Rutgers last 7 against Independent teams. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-10-12 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 55 | 62-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers will start Curt Phillips at quarterback here. Phillips isn't a very good quarterback, but I'm not sure the team needs a good quarterback to put up points against Indiana. Wisconsin still has a good running game with Montee Ball and James White, and the Hoosiers defensive line has been dominated numerous times this year. Wisconsin scored 83 against Indiana two years ago and 59 last year. While I don't expect that here, I do think they'll score plenty. Indiana's passing attack has been impressive, and Wisconsin's secondary is a bit weak right now. Indiana's offense should move the ball well here too. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two, and it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Indiana. Take the over.
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11-09-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 200.5 | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Cleveland Cavaliers have one of the best young players in the NBA in Kyrie Irving, and he can really chew up bad defenses. Phoenix definitely has a bad defense. The Suns are giving up 105 points per game so far this year. Goran Dragic and Michael Beasley are guys who can fill it up, but they don't play much defense. Cleveland has picked up their pace quite a bit this year, and they get to the free throw line quite often. The Suns aren't going to slow the tempo down at all here. The over is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 games. Take the over.
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11-09-12 | Dallas Mavericks v. New York Knicks OVER 199 | 94-104 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Dallas Mavericks have been very good offensively so far this year even without Dirk Nowitzki. Chris Kaman is a huge upgrade over anyone Dallas has had at the center spot in a long time. OJ Mayo can put up the points in bunches. On the other side, the Knicks are 3-0 and their offense is in a great rhythm right now. New York always had the talent to put up 100 or more every night, and now they seem to have the team chemistry necessary. Both teams are efficient on the offensive end, and they'll both run when given the opportunity. The over is 5-0 in the Mavericks last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in the Mavs last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in New York. Take the over.
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11-07-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Houston Rockets OVER 204.5 | Top | 93-87 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA Top Total* The Denver Nuggets push the pace better than any other team in the NBA. Denver's offense has really started clicking in their last couple games. The Nuggets have put up 116 and 109 points in their last two games. Houston is a brand new team this year, and they have put up over 100 points in two of their first three games. The Rockets now have a point guard (Lin) who pushes the pace. James Harden looks like he is comfortable being the main scoring option, and Denver simply doesn't have much of a defense. The pace should be really quick in this one. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Houston. Look for this to sail over the posted total. Take the over big!
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11-06-12 | Ball State v. Toledo OVER 67.5 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total* The Ball State Cardinals have turned into a fast-paced offense that is tough to stop. Keith Wenning is an underrated quarterback who leads this offense very well. Toledo's defense has been torched on a constant basis over the past couple years, and it will likely happen again in this one. Toledo's defense ranks 108th in the nation in total defense. The Rockets offense has been gaining steam of late, and Ball State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Cardinals have given up 33.3 points per game so far this year. The over is 4-0 in Toledo's last 4 games after a bye week. The over is 7-1 in Ball State's last 8 road games. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
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11-04-12 | Minnesota Vikings v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | 20-30 | Loss | -103 | 39 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Seattle Seahawks are a completely different team at Qwest Field. Their defense has been dominating at home, even against some of the best offenses in the league. Seattle's run defense is amazing, and that really is Minnesota's bread and butter on offense. Seattle games often end up being field goal battles. Poor weather is expected in this one, which just makes me feel even more strongly about the under. Both defenses should have the upper hand in this game. The under is 6-1 in the Seahawks last 7 games against the NFC. The under is 5-2 in the Vikings last 7 games overall. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-04-12 | Carolina Panthers v. Washington Redskins OVER 46.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a good team to play the 'over' with because they are very good offensively with RG3 at the helm and very suspect on the defensive side of the ball. Washington is dead last in the NFL in passing defense, and they are allowing 28.4 points per game. Carolina looked pretty good in a 23-22 loss to Chicago last week, and if they come out with that same kind of enthusiasm here they should put up a big number. The Panthers defense is giving up 24 points per game, and no one has had the answer to stopping RG3 all season. I don't see the Panthers having the answer in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Panthers last 5 after allowing 150 yards or less through the air in their previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Redskins last 6 after an ATS loss. Take the over big!
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11-03-12 | Arizona v. UCLA Bruins OVER 70.5 | 10-66 | Win | 100 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Arizona Wildcats showed what they can do offensively last week in a win over USC. Matt Scott is the perfect quarterback for Rich Rod's offense. Scott can run when needed, and he can absolutely pick apart a defense with his arm. UCLA's defense has been shaky all year, and I think they'll struggle here. Arizona's defense is slightly better than last year, but UCLA's balanced offense has been scoring a lot of points against everyone. Look for Hundley and Franklin to have a big game here. The over is 4-0 in Ariozna's last 4 games. Take the over.
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11-03-12 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 41.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Alabama/LSU Total Domination* This is the showdown everyone has been looking forward to since last season ended. Oddsmakers are down on LSU right now because the team has struggled a bit of late, but remember this team still has an amazing defense. LSU ranks third in the nation in total defense, and I just don't see Alabama coming into Baton Rouge and piling up the points on this ultra-talented defense. Speaking of talented defenses, Alabama is absolutely stacked on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide are first in almost all the major defensive statistics. LSU is struggling mightily on offense, and it won't surprise me if they can't get above 10 points here. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 following a bye week. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 following a straight up win. The under was 2-0 in the meetings between these two last year. Take the under.
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