02-22-12 |
Boise State v. UNLV OVER 140 |
|
58-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Bailout* Boise State is a team that can't really decide if they want to run or slow it down, but I expect UNLV to decide the tempo of this game. The Rebels are at their best when they are running, and they should pick up the pace in front of their home crowd in this one. I projected this one at 146 points. The Rebels average 85 points per game at home and I think they should get right around that mark in this one. Boise State should get some easy buckets off their pressure defense. Take the over.
|
02-22-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 186.5 |
|
87-93 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The 76ers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Houston has transitioned into a solid 'under' team this year as they have focused much more heavily on the team aspect of their defense. The under is 9-3 in the Rockets last 12 games. It's hard to imagine this one turning into a shootout. Philadelphia is out of sync in a big way offensively right now, but I expect them to stay in this one with their tough man defense. I expected this one to open around 182. Take the under in this one.
|
02-22-12 |
Temple v. La Salle OVER 144.5 |
|
80-79 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* LaSalle is one of my favorite teams to bet the 'over' with. The Explorers use a full court press to force the tempo. Temple should be able to exploit the press and score quite a few points in transition because of their great guard play. The first meeting between these two finished at 146, and the shooting wasn't terrific. Look for the pace and transition buckets to push this one over the posted total. I projected this one at 148 points. Take the over here.
|
02-22-12 |
Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 108.5 |
|
45-48 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAC Totals Takedown* The first meeting between these two finished at 47-40. I'll be the first to admit that I'm not a fan of taking unders that are this low, but this one does seem to have quite a bit of value. I actually projected this one at 103 or 104 points. Both of these teams are terrible on the offensive. This should be an extremely ugly game, but that usually equals a win for under bettors. Look for a slow paced game where the offenses look lost here. Take the under in this matchup.
|
02-22-12 |
James Madison v. Drexel UNDER 127.5 |
|
61-78 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB CAA Total* These two played to a 63-56 final a weeks ago at JMU. Drexel is quickly becoming a team that you should keep an eye on if they are able to get into the Big Dance. Bruiser Flint's Drexel Dragons know how to play defense and control the tempo, and that makes them a very tough team to beat. Look for them to control the tempo and make James Madison's inefficient offense look terrible in this one. The under is 19-8-1 in Drexel's last 28 games in the CAA. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. TAke the under.
|
02-21-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Virginia Tech UNDER 113.5 |
|
61-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* This is an intrastate rivalry game that always takes on a life of its own. Both of these teams prefer to play a slow style of play, and the first meeting between these two finished at 47-45. Tony Bennett's Cavaliers are just as good as anyone in basketball at slowing the game down with their great defense and terrific ball control. The under is a stunning 18-3 in their 21 lined games this year. The under is a perfect 11-0 in their 11 road games this year. I projected this one at 108 or 109. Take the under.
|
02-21-12 |
New Orleans Hornets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 180.5 |
|
108-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* Both teams are playing the back end of a back-to-back scheduling spot here. New Orleans slows the pace of the game down in a big way, and I think Indiana will be content with that in this one since they may have slightly weary legs. Indiana allows just 90.6 points per game at home this year, and the Hornets are awful offensively. The under is 26-9 in New Orleans last 35 games against the Eastern Conference. The under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings between these two. Take the under here.
|
02-20-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 210 |
|
101-103 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Value* The entire league is definitely seeing less very high scoring games than last year. At this point, I'll always take a look at the under at this high of a number. The Timberwolves are much better than last year, and the primary reason for that is the fact that they have started to play some defense. Minnesota gives up only 95.3 points per game this year. Denver is a high scoring team, but the Nuggets have been a solid 'under' play at home. Denver's average score at home has been 101-98. This one probably stays around 200. Take the under.
|
02-20-12 |
DePaul v. St. Johns OVER 154 |
|
72-79 |
Loss |
-103 |
20 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* DePaul is great at forcing the tempo, and St. John's has been picking up the pace of late. The Johnnies should get plenty of second chance opportunities here since DePaul is a terrible defensive rebounding team. The first meeting between these two teams finished with a total of 168 points. St. John's showed they can win at DePaul's pace, and I think they'll be ready to play fast again in this one. The over is 7-2 in St. John's last 9 games. Look for a very quick pace here. Take the over.
|
02-20-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. New York Knicks UNDER 194.5 |
|
100-92 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Nets/Knicks Total DOMINATION* Jeremy Lin has been the single biggest story in the NBA of late, and he has deserved all of that attention. He has made this Knicks team much better and it is a great story. One thing that not many people are focusing on right now is how much better the Knicks have been defensively. New York has only allowed one team to score 100 points or more in their last 16 games. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 following a game that went 'over' the posted total. Look for this one to stay under the posted total.
|
02-20-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 182 |
|
79-90 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* It appears Derrick Rose will make his return to the Bulls lineup in this one. Chicago has been ok without him, but they are a very good team with Rose at the point. The Bulls play more defense when Rose is in the game, and it leads to a lower scoring game. Atlanta and Chicago have a history of playing tough low scoring games against each other. Five of the last seven meetings between these two have finished below this posted total. Look for both defenses to play well here. Take the under.
|
02-19-12 |
Indiana v. Iowa OVER 154 |
|
66-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The first time these two teams met this year Indiana won a shootout 103-89. The shooting percentages were extremely high, and I certainly don't think they can duplicate that performance. At the same time, the total here is just 154, so they could score 37 points less and still finish over the posted total. Both teams play a very quick tempo, and I don't expect either team to slow it down at all here. The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Iowa. Take the over.
|
02-19-12 |
Penn State v. Wisconsin UNDER 112.5 |
|
55-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Penn State is a poor offensive team that relies almost solely on Tim Frazier to create everything for their offense. Frazier is a very talented player, but I think Bo Ryan will do everything possible to make someone else beat Wisconsin here. The Badgers play at a slower pace than everyone else in college basketball. The Badgers give up only 47.5 points per game at home. Wisconsin knows how to take the air out of the ball with the lead. The under is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 13 points or greater. Take the under.
|
02-18-12 |
Eastern Washington v. Cal Irvine OVER 146.5 |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* UC Irvine likes to run and gun with the best of them. Eastern Washington should be glad to get up and down as well. The over is 15-7 in Eastern Washington's 22 games this year, and UC Irvine plays faster than anyone Eastern Washington has faced yet this season. The over is 18-7-2 in Irvine's last 27 home games. Plenty of transition buckets should be there for both teams in this matchup. I projected this one at 151 points. Expect a track meet and a game that goes over the posted total.
|
02-18-12 |
Montana State v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 153 |
|
66-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB West Coast Total* Montana State has picked up the pace as the season has gone along. The Bobcats have been an 'over' machine this season. The over is 15-5 in their last 20 games. Cal State Fullerton shoots the ball much better at home than they do on the road, and they should find plenty of open looks against a poor Montana State defense. The over is 8-2 in Fullerton's last 10 home games. I projected this one at 157 or 158 points. Look for both teams to knock down quite a few from long distance. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
Presbyterian v. Jacksonville State UNDER 122.5 |
|
48-67 |
Win
|
105 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Both Presbyterian and Jacksonville State thrive when playing at a very slow pace. Presbyterian actually beat Cincinnati 56-54 earlier this year, so they can play defense. Jacksonville State is capable of shutting teams down, especially on their home floor. This is a game where I think we will only see 45 shots or so out of both teams, and it is unlikely that either team will shoot all that well given their season averages. I projected this one at 118 points. Take the under in this one.
|
02-18-12 |
Idaho State v. Pacific UNDER 129 |
|
64-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Pacific is a team that is much better on the defensive end at home. The Tigers only allow 60.8 points per game at home. Idaho State scores just 61.4 points per game away from home. Pacific should be able to control the pace in this one since Idaho State generally plays to the pace of their opponent. The Tigers will use up the shot clock and make the Bengals work on defense. I projected this one at 124 points. Look for both offenses to struggle to get in a rhythm. Take the under here.
|
02-18-12 |
NC-Greensboro v. Georgia Southern OVER 140 |
|
69-83 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* NC Greensboro has been one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with all year. The Spartans are great at forcing the opposition to play at their pace. UNC Greensboro should dictate the tempo in this one by pressing and forcing Georgia Southern's weak backcourt to turn it over quite a bit. Georgia Southern's recent under trends at home have given us a solid value here, but I think Greensboro will force the issue and make Georgia Southern push the pace more than they typically do. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
High Point v. Stephen Austin UNDER 119.5 |
|
62-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Defensive Battle Total* Stephen F. Austin is one of the best teams in the nation at forcing the opponent to play their type of game. This one should be an ugly low scoring game where both teams shoot it poorly. Take the under.
|
02-18-12 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 134 |
|
69-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Fort Wayne is used to playing teams who play no defense in the Summit League. Eastern Kentucky plays pretty good defense and they control the tempo very well. I projected this one at 129 points. Take the under.
|
02-18-12 |
Florida v. Arkansas OVER 145 |
|
98-68 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB SEC Totals Takedown* The Florida Gators are a very efficient offensive team. Arkansas is having some success with Mike Anderson's 40 Minutes of Hell system this year. The Razorbacks speed up the tempo by pressuring full court, but they definitely give up some easy baskets as well. Florida has the guards to exploit the press and take advantage of the open looks. Arkansas won't slow the game down at all, and I think Florida has a good chance of getting 80 points in this one. I projected this at 152. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
La Salle v. Massachusetts OVER 150 |
|
72-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB A10 Total* LaSalle and UMass are both teams that like to use full court pressure to speed up the tempo of the game. In fact, UMass averages more possessions per game than any other team in all of basketball. LaSalle doesn't have it in their DNA to try to slow the game down, so I think this one turns into a track meet. The over is 13-6 in LaSalle's last 19 following a straight up loss. The over is 7-1 in UMass' last 8 following a straight up loss. I projected this one at 154. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
Illinois v. Nebraska UNDER 122 |
|
57-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Total* Bruce Weber is on the hot seat at Illinois, but it isn't because the Fighting Illini don't play defense. Illinois is struggling to score the ball consistently, and Nebraska is a solid defensive team. The first meeting between these two teams finished at just 59-54. In that game, both teams shot at least 50% from the floor and the game still easily finished under the posted total. I don't see any reason to believe this game plays out much differently. Take the under as the value play here.
|
02-18-12 |
Texas Christian v. Boise State OVER 141 |
|
64-65 |
Loss |
-113 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oddsmaker Total Error* The first time these two met the score was just 54-52, but that was far out of the ordinary for both of these teams. Boise State runs at home and TCU doesn't play any defense. The oddsmakers have moved this one down too far. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
Campbell v. Northwestern State OVER 146 |
|
86-100 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both of these teams like to push the tempo inside their own conference, but they aren't always able to because of their opponent. In this one both teams will be able to get out and run. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
Drake v. New Mexico State OVER 143 |
Top |
55-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total of the Day* New Mexico State plays at one of the fastest tempo's in all of basketball. In addition, the Aggies get to the free throw line more than anyone else in the nation. Drake is a team that plays aggressive defense, and the Bulldogs will likely commit a lot of fouls in this one. Drake likes to speed up the tempo when they can in the MVC, and in this one they should get their chance to play a fast paced game. The over is 11-1 in New Mexico State's last 12 Saturday games. I think this one has a good chance of getting to 150. Take the over big here!
|
02-18-12 |
Marist v. Maine OVER 144.5 |
|
77-71 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Marist is a team that plays very little defense, but they love to run and gun. Maine plays in a league where they rarely get the chance to get out and run, but this should be the perfect opportunity for them. Maine likes to get out in transition, and they do whenever possible, but teams like Boston University and Stony Brook in the Northeast Conference simply don't allow that. Expect both teams to take advantage of the quick tempo and get to the basket early and often in this one. Take the over.
|
02-18-12 |
William Mary v. Virginia Military Inst OVER 154.5 |
|
65-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Track Meet Total* No team in the country is better at forcing their opponent into a track meet than VMI. William & Mary doesn't usually score a lot, but they generally play much better defenses than they will in this one. Look for both teams to pile up the points here. Take the over.
|
02-17-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Orlando Magic OVER 191.5 |
|
85-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks have stopped playing defense. Milwaukee is giving up nearly 104 points per game in their last five contests. Orlando had a pathetic offense earlier this year, but now Nelson and Richardson are getting it going again. The Magic have scored 100 points or more six times in the last nine games. Orlando has plenty of outside shooters that should get open looks in this one. The over is 12-2 in Milwaukee's last 14. The over is 4-1-1 in the Magic's last 6. Take the over here.
|
02-16-12 |
Arizona v. Washington State UNDER 136.5 |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Arizona has really turned it on defensive of late. Sean Miller's teams have typically been known for their half court defense, and this Wildcats team is growing into a dangerous defensive team. Washington State's second-leading scorer Faisel Aden is out for the year with an injury, and the team really misses his offense. Both teams have been slowing the pace down of late, and I expect this to be a much slower game than their first meeting was. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Washington State. Take the under.
|
02-16-12 |
NC State v. Duke OVER 150.5 |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NC State/Duke Total SMASHER* NC State likes to push the tempo and I don't expect to see Duke slow this game down. Coach K's team can really fill it up from long distance and that has been a weak spot in the NC State defense. Five of the last seven games between these two teams have gone over this posted total. The over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 154 points. Look for a quick pace and plenty of made three-point shots to help push this one over the posted total.
|
02-15-12 |
USC v. UCLA UNDER 116 |
|
54-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* USC has been dreadful offensively all year. UCLA has improved quite a bit on the defensive side as the year has gone on. The first game between these two finished at 113 despite UCLA shooting better than 50% from the floor. The pace here should be extremely slow, and I don't think either team is likely to shoot as well as they did in the first contest this year. I projected this one at 112. The under is 10-3 in USC's last 13 road games. Expect the defenses to dominate. Take the under.
|
02-15-12 |
UMKC v. Western Illinois UNDER 116.5 |
|
42-47 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Summit League Total* The first time these teams met this year the game edged over the posted total and finished at 122. It's amazing the game was that low scoring since UMKC shot 61% from the floor and nailed 13/21 from long distance. Western Illinois is the second slowest paced team in the nation, and I expect them to slow this game down to a crawl. The under is 11-5 in their 16 lined games this year. I projected this one at 112 points. Expect this one to be an ugly low scoring game all the way. Take the under.
|
02-15-12 |
Murray State v. SE Missouri State OVER 143 |
|
75-66 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* Murray State has been one of the bigger stories in college basketball this year. They finally dropped a game last week, but they still look very worthy of an at large bid. SE Missouri State actually led Murray State for quite a while on the road this year, and SE MO State is a team that can put up the points by the bunches at home. The pace here should be quick and I expect both teams to knock down a lot of three's. Plenty of trips to the charity stripe should help this one as well. Take the over.
|
02-15-12 |
Sacramento Kings v. New York Knicks UNDER 199.5 |
|
85-100 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Sacramento has been an 'under' machine on the road. The under is 16-5 in the Kings last 21 road games. The Knicks have been playing much better with Jeremy Lin at the helm of late, and it has actually meant some lower scoring defensive games at times. The under is 20-8 in the Knicks 28 games this year. Neither of these teams have an offense that is particularly great right now, and I think this one is lined too high. The combined 36-13 angle says take the under. I like the under here.
|
02-15-12 |
Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics UNDER 178 |
|
98-88 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Value* Detroit is a terrible team this year, and Boston should be able to shut them down with their strong defense. The Celtics give up just 82.7 points per game at home, and I don't think the Pistons will get to 80 in this one. Kevin Garnett, Mickael Pietrus, and Brandon Bass are expected to miss this one. The Celtics will lean on their defense to help them get by without several scorers. The under is 21-8-1 in the Celtics last 30 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 Wednesday games. Take the under.
|
02-15-12 |
Villanova v. South Florida UNDER 130.5 |
|
51-65 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big East Total* South Florida has been an 'under' machine over the last few years at home. The under is 17-4 in their last 21 Wednesday games. The under is also 7-2 in their last 9 games overall. They held Villanova to 57 points on the road earlier this year. Jay Wright's Wildcats aren't very efficient offensively, and I think that will catch up to them in this one. South Florida is great at controlling the pace at home, and I think that is exactly what will happen in this one. Take the under in this one.
|
02-15-12 |
College of Charleston v. NC-Greensboro OVER 149 |
|
63-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* These two teams met earlier this year and the final score only ended at 139, but I think this one will end higher. NC Greensboro has one of the fastest paced teams in the nation. The Spartans press and try to force turnovers, but they also give up a ton of easy layups in the process. Charleston has plenty of guys who are capable of taking advantage of this weak defense. The over is 6-1 in Greensboro's last 7 home games. I projected this one at 153 points. Look for this one to be a close and high scoring game. Take the over.
|
02-15-12 |
Rutgers v. Notre Dame UNDER 123 |
|
53-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Notre Dame has surprised a ton of people this year. Mike Brey's team has picked up the strategy that it did a couple years ago when Luke Harangoady was out. The team is slowing the pace down in a big way, and it has worked very well. Rutgers is a team that will generally play to the pace of the opponents liking. The under is 9-2 in Notre Dame's last 11 home games. The under is 5-2 in Rutgers last 7 games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under here.
|
02-15-12 |
Northwestern v. Indiana OVER 149 |
|
66-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 10 Totals Takedown* Indiana is one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. Tom Crean's team is running like crazy this year, and that is largely thanks to Cody Zeller. Zeller is one of the best at running the floor from the frontcourt in the entire nation. Jordan Hulls and Christian Watford are great shooters from deep. Northwestern's defense isn't very good, but the Wildcats can pile up the points. My numbers had this one at 154 or 155 points. Look for both teams to shoot well in this one. Take the over.
|
02-14-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 178 |
|
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night Total* The Lakers and Hawks are both teams that play a much slower tempo than most teams in the NBA. Mike Brown is constantly preaching to this Lakers team that he wants them to value each possession and play under control. The Lakers are giving up just 85.2 points per game at home this year. The under is 25-10 in the Hawks last 35 road games. The under is 33-16-2 in the Lakers last 51 games against the Eastern Conference. Look for a half court game that is very low scoring on the West Coast in this one. Take the under.
|
02-14-12 |
UNLV v. Texas Christian OVER 148 |
Top |
97-102 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* UNLV coach Dave Rice has this team running in a big way this year. The Runnin Rebels get out in transition as well as anyone. It's great to see them filling the lanes beautifully. TCU used to be a slow it down type of team, but they have changed their mindset this year, and they are running and gunning now. UNLV waxed TCU 101-78 in the first meeting this year. The pace was extremely quick in that one. There were 134 shots from the floor in that game. My numbers had this game at 155, and I rarely see a total off my numbers by seven points. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the over big here!
|
02-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 198 |
|
105-90 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* I lost on the 'under' with Miami last night, largely thanks to LeBron James being on fire all game long. James shot 16/21 from the floor and 3/3 from the free throw line. James is an amazing player, but I doubt he'll shoot that well again in this one. Miami is in the final game of a back-to-back-to-back scheduling spot. Indiana gives up just 91.2 points per game at home. The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. Look for this one to turn into more of a defensive battle. Take the under.
|
02-14-12 |
Florida v. Alabama UNDER 132.5 |
|
61-52 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* It sounds as if Steele and Reliford will be back for Alabama in this one, but Mitchell and Green will still be out. Mitchell and Green are the Crimson Tide's top two scorers and best players. Anthony Grant's team will have to rely on its defense if they wish to stay in this one, so I expect them to slow it down and try control the pace here. Florida is missing a couple key players in Rosario and Will Yeguete as well. Alabama allows just 56.9 points per game at home. Look for the Crimson Tide's defense to be big in this one. Take the under.
|
02-14-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Clemson UNDER 113.5 |
|
48-60 |
Win
|
108 |
17 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie BEATDOWN* The Virginia Cavaliers have clearly fully bought into Tony Bennett's system now. Virginia plays at an extremely slow pace and takes great care of the basketball. Defensively, they lockdown the opposition and make them take tough shots almost every time down the floor. Clemson plays a similar style of basketball, and the Tigers are particularly strong defensively at home. Earlier this year these two met and the final total was 126, but there were 14 made three's in that game. The shooting percentages were high, and I don't expect that to happen again. The under is a stunning 10-0 in Virginia's 10 road games this year. Take the under in this one!
|
02-14-12 |
William Mary v. Drexel UNDER 120 |
|
61-63 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* William & Mary is a very bad team that likes to slow the game down. Drexel is a very good team that slows the game down even more. Drexel sometimes picks up big wins, but it is usually because their defense completely shuts down the opposition. These two played to a 64-48 final earlier this year. The under is 5-2 in William & Mary's last 7 road games. Drexel gives up just 54 points per game at home and the Tribe average only 56 per game on the road. This is the type of game that shouldn't be close, and I think Drexel will run clock as the game moves along. Take the under.
|
02-13-12 |
MD Eastern Shore v. Coppin State OVER 144.5 |
|
78-81 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB ESPNU Total Domination* The MEAC has been getting some national television time over the last few weeks on ESPNU. It seems the teams are generally amped up and pushing the tempo on this rare chance to play in the national tv spotlight. Coppin State is one of the best offensive teams in the league. They are averaging 84.2 points per game in their last five. MD Eastern Shore is a terrible team, but they love to push the tempo and they do get a lot of second chances because of their offensive rebounding. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
|
02-13-12 |
Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 201 |
|
114-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks have beaten the Miami Heat twice already this year. Erik Spoelstra has been preaching defense to his Miami team of late, and they have responded quite well. Expect Miami to be very pumped up for this one, and that should show on the defensive end. The first two games were lined at 194.5 and 197 and now this one gets set at 201. The oddsmakers have moved this line too far up, which gives us a solid value on the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the Heat's last 6 games. Look for Miami to hold the Bucks to 90 points or less here. Take the under.
|
02-13-12 |
Iowa State v. Baylor OVER 140 |
|
64-79 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big 12 Total Takedown* The Baylor Bears have suffered two tough losses in a row. They better be ready to play in this one, because Iowa State is a dangerous team as well. Both of these teams play pretty good defense, but they both like to push the tempo. Baylor will have a major advantage in the frontcourt, and that should help them rack up the points in the paint. Iowa State's guards should get some open perimeter here. I projected this one at 143 points. Look for the pace to push this one over the total.
|
02-12-12 |
Marist v. Iona OVER 157 |
|
74-83 |
Push |
0 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* Marist is one of those teams that isn't very good at all, but they still love to run and gun. Marist is terrible on the defensive end, and Iona put up 100 points on them earlier this year. Iona is the fastest paced team and best offense in the conference. The Gaels average 88.4 points per game at home this year. Look for Iona to put up a huge number in this one. I projected this one at 162 points. Look for a fast paced game where defense is optional. I like the over in this one.
|
02-12-12 |
Washington v. Oregon State OVER 154.5 |
|
75-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Washington and Oregon State are teams with similar styles of play right now. Both teams like to get out in transition and get easy buckets at every opportunity. The first meeting between these two teams this year finished in a 95-80 game. In that one, the teams combined to make just 9 of 35 from beyond the arc. Oregon State should push the tempo at every chance here. The over is 11-3 in their last 14 games overall. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Take the over in this one.
|
02-12-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 174.5 |
|
94-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Lakers have been extremely inconsistent this year. Mike Brown has this team playing at a pretty slow pace offensively, but they are playing good defense. Toronto will be without Andrea Bargnani (their leading scorer) and probably Bayless (point guard) too. The Raptors are offensively challenged to start with, so it's hard to imagine them scoring too much in this one. The under is 42-16-2 in the Lakers last 60 Sunday games. Early afternoon Sunday games tend to be sluggish and low scoring. Take the under.
|
02-11-12 |
Colorado St v. Texas Christian OVER 142 |
|
71-75 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Mountain West Total* Colorado State and TCU both get to the free throw line a ton, and both teams commit a lot of fouls. This should be a close game with tons of trips to the charity stripe. Both teams can bomb in plenty of three's as well. Take the over.
|
02-11-12 |
Western Illinois v. Oral Roberts UNDER 121 |
|
51-61 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Oral Roberts has had quite a few high scoring games, but it isn't at all because they like to run. In fact, they are one of the slowest paced teams in the Summit League. Western Illinois is the second slowest paced team in the nation as far as possessions per game (behind only Wisconsin). The first meeting between these two went into overtime, but before overtime it was just 49-49. The under is 15-6-1 in Western Illinois' last 22 road games. I projected this one at 116 or 117. Take the under.
|
02-11-12 |
SE Missouri State v. SIU Edwardsville OVER 144 |
Top |
85-72 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 0 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* SE Missouri State is a very efficient team on the offensive end. The Redhawks can really shoot it from beyond the arc, and Edwardsville is terrible defensively. SE Missouri State lit up the Cougars from beyond the arc in the first game, and I see no reason why they won't do the same again. At the same time, SIU Edwardsville is a much better team offensively at home. They are scoring 70.2 per game in their last five contests. The first meeting between these two finished at 151, and I think this one will be similar. The over is 41-19 in SE MO State's last 60 road games. Take the over big!
|
02-11-12 |
Denver v. Florida Intl. UNDER 123.5 |
|
77-63 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Denver is a much improved mid-major team to watch when the Sun Belt Conference tournament comes around. The Pioneers play a style of basketball that is tough to counteract. Denver uses up the shot clock almost every time, and it is very tough to get any transition hoops on the Pioneers. Florida International has changed their philosophy this year. FIU slows the tempo down as well now, so there should be no pace battle in this one. Possessions will be at a premium in this slow paced game. Take the under.
|
02-11-12 |
Massachusetts v. St. Joseph's OVER 147 |
|
62-73 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* UMass is one of my single favorite teams to play the 'over' with. No one in the country is better at pushing the pace with their pressure defense than the Minutemen. St. Joe's is a team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent, and I think this game will have a lot of transition buckets. We are getting a nice value here because the first meeting between these two saw poor shooting and a 133 point final total. I projected this one at 151 points. Expect the pace to push this one over the posted total.
|
02-11-12 |
Colorado v. Arizona St OVER 123.5 |
|
63-49 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Pac 12 Total* The first time these two met the shooting percentages weren't very good and the game still got to 123 points. Lockett (AZ State's best scorer) is back and that should make the difference here. Take the over.
|
02-11-12 |
Montana State v. Northern Colorado OVER 147.5 |
|
64-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* Montana State and Northern Colorado put up 156 in their first meeting. I projected this one at 152. Both teams shoot the three-ball very well and I think this one will be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
02-11-12 |
Miami (Fla) v. Florida State UNDER 131 |
|
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Miami is a much better team with Reggie Johnson in the lineup. Johnson helps them quite a bit defensively in the post as well. Florida State is a great defensive team. The Seminoles gave up just 57 points against North Carolina and they give up only 58.5 per game at home. Last year these teams met twice and the total finished at 124 and 108. I projected this one at 127. Look for a half court game with some solid defensive play here. The early start tends to help the under as well. Take the under.
|
02-11-12 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland OVER 157.5 |
|
82-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under Radar Total* Fort Wayne likes to push the tempo and Oakland plays faster than anyone in the Summit League. This one should be played at a breakneck pace. The first game between these two went well over and I think this will as well. Take the over.
|
02-10-12 |
Wisconsin-Green Bay v. Wright State UNDER 123 |
Top |
53-48 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Wright State plays at one of the slowest paces in all of college basketball. The Raiders don't have many offensive weapons, but they do control the tempo and play solid half court defense. Wisconsin-Green Bay averages only 58.8 points per game on the road, and they have yet to win a single game away from home. Wright State isn't the type of team that can put up a big number, so I expect a pretty close game here. The last two games between these teams have finished with totals of 110 and 113. I projected this one at 118 points. The under is 6-1-1 in the Raiders last 8. Take the under big!
|
02-10-12 |
Miami Heat v. Washington Wizards OVER 199.5 |
|
106-89 |
Loss |
-101 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Miami Heat are getting out in transition quite a bit more this year. I often wondered last season why the team didn't run more, and I think it is a great idea that they are finally using their athleticism to their advantage. Miami is second in the NBA in points per game at 102.8. The last two times they have played the Wizards, Miami has scored 121 and 123 points. Washington plays terrible defense, but they love to push the tempo of the game with John Wall and Nick Young. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Santa Clara v. San Francisco OVER 154.5 |
|
69-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Santa Clara looked like a team with a lot of promise in the non-conference part of the season. Now the Broncos are a team that is still looking for their first win in the WCC. The Broncos don't play much defense at all, and opponents are regularly putting up 85 or 90 points on them. San Francisco has picked up the pace considerably as the season has moved along. The Dons use a full court press to create turnovers and push the tempo in a big way. The first meeting between these two finished at 90-77. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Cal St-Northridge v. UC Davis OVER 138.5 |
|
71-79 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* UC Davis is a short-handed team this year, but there is one thing they can still do offensively and that is shoot the three-ball. Cal State Northridge is horrible in the half court defense sets, and Davis should line up plenty of open threes in this one. On the other hand, Northridge is great at pressing and forcing turnovers. Davis doesn't have a good ball-handler to help them through this pressure. Look for Northridge to turn this into a very quick paced game. I like this one to finish in the low 140's. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Cal Irvine v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 150 |
|
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big West Total* When these two teams combine it is almost always a track meet. UC Irvine isn't a very good team at all, but they push the tempo with the best of them. Fullerton is a solid team that loves to run and gun when given the opportunity. Both of these teams can knock down shots from beyond the arc in bunches, and neither team guards beyond the arc well at all. The first meeting finished in a 92-84 shootout. This one likely won't be that high, but I projected this one at 155 points. Take the over in this one.
|
02-09-12 |
San Diego v. Pepperdine UNDER 125 |
|
70-57 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Pepperdine is one of the worst offensive teams in the nation. This is a team that averages just 59 points per game. San Diego is improved on offense this year, but they are far from a powerful offense. Pepperdine knows the only way they can stay in games is to slow the game down to a crawl. Expect an ugly game here where both teams struggle to find a rhythm offensively. I projected this one at 121 points. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the under in this one.
|
02-09-12 |
Portland State v. Idaho State OVER 142.5 |
|
67-54 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Portland State is one of those teams that is very solid offensively, but they simply don't play any defense. This team makes opponents look great on offense because they simply leave far too many people wide open for easy looks at the basket. Idaho State has been an 'over' machine at home for quite some time. The over is 46-21 in the last 67 home games for the Bengals. The over is also an impressive 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Look for this one to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Western Illinois v. Southern Utah UNDER 115 |
|
44-60 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Western Illinois plays the second slowest tempo in all of college basketball. The Leathernecks simply stall on offense and shoot in the last few seconds of the shot clock. They are also a pretty good defensive team. Western Illinois and Southern Utah played to a 65-55 game earlier this year. The interesting thing about that one was that S. Utah shot 62.5% from the floor and still only got to 65 points because of the slow pace. The under is 10-1 in S. Utah's last 11 games. The under is 14-6-1 in W. Illinois' last 21 road games. Take the under.
|
02-09-12 |
Siena v. Niagara OVER 136.5 |
|
54-58 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Siena and Niagara met earlier this year and the total finished at just 132. The teams combined to shoot just 9 for 47 from three-point range in that one. Niagara pushes the pace more at home, and Siena will need to score some points if they wish to win this one. The Purple Eagles should find their shooting stroke much quicker in this one. Look for a close game here to help push this one over as well with fouls at the end adding quite a few points to the total. Take the over in this matchup.
|
02-08-12 |
Michigan v. Nebraska UNDER 121.5 |
Top |
62-46 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Total* Michigan and Nebraska play a very similar style of basketball. Both teams like to use a lot of motion on offense, but they rarely shoot until the shot clock is low. Neither team is particularly good at getting second chance opportunities, but they both get back on defense very well. These teams have never met before, and I think that means this game will be a feeling out process. The under is 8-1 in Michigan's last 9. I projected this one at 117 points. Look for the defenses to control this one. Take the under big.
|
02-08-12 |
Miami Ohio v. Northern Illinois UNDER 119 |
|
59-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Ugly Basketball Play* Miami (Ohio) has been a team that slows the game down for many years now. The Redhawks simply don't have too many offensive weapons, so they rely on ball control and defense to win them games. Northern Illinois is a terrible team, but they have been able to stay in some games at home because they have played decent defense. The under is 11-3 in Northern Illinois' last 14 home games. The under is 10-4 in Miami's last 14 road games. Don't watch this one becausse it will be ugly, but I think the under cashes here.
|
02-08-12 |
St Bonaventure v. Massachusetts OVER 142 |
Top |
67-76 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 50 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* UMass plays at the fastest tempo of any team in the nation right now according to possessions per game. Derek Kellogg's team uses the full court press to speed up the opponent and create easy transition opportunities. St. Bonaventure has sped up their tempo throughout the season. The Bonnies will have a nice advantage inside with Andrew Nicholson, and he should do very well in this one. UMass has the big edge on the outside. Expect plenty of layups in this one. I projected this one out at 147 or 148. The over is 5-1 in the Bonnies last 6 and 15-7 in the Minutemen's last 22. Take the over big here.
|
02-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 195 |
|
92-99 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Byron Scott has been preaching to the Cleveland Cavs that he wants them to push the basketball at every opportunity. Kyrie Irving's speed has allowed this Cavs team to start doing just that. The Clippers have been pushing it a lot lately since Chris Paul got healthy again. The over is 7-3 in the Clippers last 10 games. The over is 5-2 in the Cavs last 7 home games. Look for both teams to get up a lot of shots in this one. I think this has a good chance of topping the 200 point mark. Take the over.
|
02-08-12 |
New York Knicks v. Washington Wizards OVER 191.5 |
|
107-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Value* I realize that the Knicks have no Amar'e Stoudemire or Carmelo Anthony, but I think just about any team can put up a lot of points on this Wizards defense. Washington will push the pace with John Wall and Nick Young leading the way. The Knicks now have a guy in Jeremy Lin that can push the pace and score from the point guard spot. This number has been pushed down quite a bit because of the injuries here, and I think the line move has given us a nice value. Look for plenty of easy shots for both teams. Take the over.
|
02-08-12 |
Drexel v. James Madison UNDER 127 |
|
63-56 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB CAA Total* James Madison has been extremely inconsistent offensively this year. The Dukes miss star Julius Wells in a big way. Drexel is the best defensive team in the conference, and I think they'll slow down James Madison quite a bit in this one. Only one of Drexel's last 13 games has gone above this posted total. Against a team with a short-handed offensive I don't see why this one would go over. Look for the strong defense of Drexel to control this game nicely. I think this has a good chance of staying in the low 120's. Take the under.
|
02-08-12 |
Jacksonville State v. Morehead St. UNDER 120 |
Top |
69-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Jacksonville State and Morehead State played to a 63-55 total a few weeks ago. The shooting in that game was actually pretty decent, and there were a lot of trips to the free throw line. Morehead State has been an under machine at home this year (7-0 in their last 7). Jacksonville State likes to play at a slow pace when they can, and Morehead State plays even slower. Look for this one to stay in the half court all the way through. I projected 115 points in this one, so I like the value here. Take the under big.
|
02-08-12 |
Pittsburgh v. South Florida UNDER 124.5 |
|
51-63 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Pittsburgh has bounced back nicely with a couple great wins in the past week. Jamie Dixon's teams always play solid defense and South Florida is terrible offensively. The Bulls slow the pace down in a major way, especially at home. South Florida will turn this into a half court game, and Pitt is fine with that because of their strength in the post. The under is 12-4 in Pitt's last 16 road games. The under is 13-5 in South Florida's last 18 games overall. I projected this one at 119 points. Take the under here.
|
02-07-12 |
Alabama v. Auburn UNDER 119.5 |
|
68-50 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Anthony Grant's Crimson Tide always play great defense, and it should be very tough for Auburn to score in this one. At the same time, Auburn only gives up 59.1 points per game at home. Alabama will miss Tony Mitchell in a big way in this rivalry game on the road. Look for the tempo to be slow, and this one should be played in the half court all the way. The under is 12-5 in Auburn's last 17 home games. I projected this one at 115 or 116 points. This one should be a tight battle to the end in a defensive struggle. Take the under.
|
02-07-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 |
|
107-105 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns offense has started to click of late. Phoenix is averaging 99 points per game in their last five contests. Channing Frye is heating up from the outside. Milwaukee has been playing at a much faster pace this year, especially now that Andrew Bogut is out of the lineup. The over is a perfect 8-0 in Milwaukee's last 8 home games. Both point guards can fill it up if needed, and I think Nash and Jennings will both get lots of open looks in this one. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
02-06-12 |
Marquette v. DePaul OVER 155.5 |
|
89-76 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* These teams combined for 158 points in last year's meeting despite hitting only 9 of 34 from beyond the arc. Marquette is playing at an even quicker pace this year and DePaul always pushes the tempo in a big way. Oliver Purnell's team uses the full court press to force the action. Expect plenty of easy buckets for both teams in a game like this. The over is 4-1 in DePaul's last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in Marquette's last 5 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Take the over here.
|
02-06-12 |
Texas v. Texas A&M UNDER 125.5 |
Top |
70-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Texas A&M has a couple key players listed as questionable for this one. Khris Middleton and Dash Harris play a big role in the team's offense. The Aggies struggle badly to score even when they have a full roster, and even if these two play they won't be 100%. The first game between these two intrastate rivals finished 61-51. The shooting percentages actually weren't that bad, it was just a very slow paced game. Texas A&M needs to control the pace and count on their defense, and they are even better at doing just that at home. The under is 11-4 in the Aggies last 15. I would have played the under at a much lower number. I think this one stays under 120. Take the under big!
|
02-05-12 |
Niagara v. Rider OVER 153.5 |
|
73-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Both of these teams like to run and gun. In addition, neither team plays much defense at all. Both teams should be able to fill it up because of the lack of defense here. I don't expect to see many half court sets here, rather it will be a lot of transition buckets. The over is 25-8-1 in Rider's last 34 Sunday games. The over is 18-8 in Rider's last 26 games overall. The over is 7-1 in Rider's last 8 home games. I projected this one at 159 points. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
02-05-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Boston Celtics UNDER 178.5 |
|
80-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* Memphis and Boston will tip off at noon eastern on Sunday. I like the under in these early Sunday afternoon games. NBA stars are known to spend some time out late at night on Saturday night's, and the games are usually a little more lethargic than normal early on a Sunday. The under is 11-2 in Memphis' 13 road games this year. The under is 12-2 in Boston's 12 home games this year. A combined 23-4 winning angle isn't a bit shabby. The under is an impressive 21-5 in the Celtics last 26 home games. The pace should be slow here. Take the under.
|
02-04-12 |
Cal State Northridge v. Long Beach State OVER 144.5 |
|
67-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
24 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Big West Total Takedown* Cal State Northridge loves to push the pace and use a full court pressure. Quite frankly, their full court pressure isn't very good and I think Long Beach will use their veteran guards to break it for a ton of easy layups. Long Beach has several guys who are capable of having a big scoring night. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 149 points. The two teams shot 37% and 44% from the floor in that one. I think it is reasonable to assume that a similar pace and shooting numbers will occur here. My system projects 148 or 149 points here. Take the over.
|
02-04-12 |
Idaho v. Nevada UNDER 129.5 |
|
72-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
24 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Idaho is a very good defensive team that aims to slow the tempo down at every opportunity. Nevada has plenty of athletes, but they have realized that their best chance of winning is to run an offense and play great half court defense. The Wolfpack are only giving up 61 points per game at home this year. Idaho was only able to muster 55 points against Nevada at home, and now they must try to take on the Nevada defense on the road. The first meeting stayed under the posted total despite Nevada shooting better than 50% from the field. Take the under here.
|
02-04-12 |
Gonzaga v. Pepperdine UNDER 125.5 |
|
72-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star West Coast Total Takedown* Pepperdine has one of the worst offenses in the nation. Gonzaga hasn't been running up the score as much as normal this year. I projected this one at 120 points. Take the under.
|
02-04-12 |
Louisiana Tech v. New Mexico State OVER 143.5 |
Top |
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 48 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total of the Week* Louisiana Tech has adopted a new strategy this year, and that means the team is pushing the pace at every opportunity. New Mexico State loves to run and gun, and they lead in the nation in free throw attempts. In the first meeting between these two the game easily went 'over' the posted total despite the Bulldogs shooting 5 out of 29 from three-point range. I don't expect either team to slow this one down at all. I think this one gets over 150 points, so I really like the value here. Take the over in a big way!
|
02-04-12 |
Bradley v. Illinois State OVER 136.5 |
|
48-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* Bradley is one of my favorite over teams because of their terrible defense. Illinois State should be able to put up a big number. Take the over.
|
02-04-12 |
Morehead St. v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 119.5 |
|
56-55 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Total Takedown* Morehead State and Eastern Illinois are two teams that love slow down the game in a big way. Last year's meeting between these teams at Eastern Illinois finished in a 47-40 win for the Panthers. I don't expect something that low this time, but the winner may struggle to get to 55 here. The under is 8-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 9 home games. The under is 5-0 in Morehead State's last 5 games. I projected this one at 114 points. Look for a sloppy low scoring game here. Take the under in this one.
|
02-04-12 |
Buffalo v. Toledo OVER 137.5 |
|
72-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total Takedown* Buffalo is a team that likes to push the tempo at every chance. Most teams in the MAC like to slow the game down, but Toledo has gotten to where they like to run and gun when given the chance this year as well. The Rockets average 71 points per game at home this year. The over is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. The over is 35-16 in Buffalo's last 51 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 141 or 142 points. I like the over here.
|
02-04-12 |
Canisius v. Marist OVER 141.5 |
|
69-80 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAAC Total Takedown* Marist is a strange team that loves to run despite being inefficent on offense and terrible on defense. Canisius lost 105-86 Thursday to Iona, so we know they can play high scoring games. The first meeting saw poor shooting and stayed under. Expect this one to go over.
|
02-04-12 |
Santa Clara v. San Diego OVER 145.5 |
|
65-70 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Santa Clara looked like a team that would be dangerous in the WCC this year, but they have yet to win a game in the conference. What is the main reason for their struggles? The Broncos play almost no defense. San Diego is a much improved team that has been playing well against top notch squads of late. San Diego put up 73 points at St. Mary's in a close loss Thursday night. Santa Clara has given up at least 84 points in four of their last six games. This one should be an up and down kind of game. Take the over here.
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02-04-12 |
Northeastern v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 123 |
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56-59 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 4 m |
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*3 Star NCAA Totals Terrorizer* Shaka Smart's VCU Rams seem to have sped up of late. The full court pressure is back and it should cause a lot of turnovers in this one. Take the over.
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02-04-12 |
Marquette v. Notre Dame UNDER 129 |
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59-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 48 m |
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*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* Notre Dame has shocked most of the country by going on a nice winning streak of late. How have they done it? The team has taken a page out of its books from a couple years ago when Luke Harangoady went down with an injury. Mike Brey and the team have decided to slow the tempo down in a big way. Notre Dame controls the clock and plays very strong defense. The result has been nine straight games finishing under the posted total. Marquette will try to run out in transition some, but I think Notre Dame controls the tempo at home here. The under is 9-0 in their last 9. I think this one makes it 10 straight. Take the under.
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02-03-12 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187.5 |
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94-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 4 m |
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*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* Orlando has had all sorts of trouble getting their offense going of late. Dwight Howard is still playing well in the middle, but everyone else on the team is struggling in a big way. Orlando is averaging just 82.6 points per game in their last five games overall. Cleveland typically pushes the tempo some, but they are missing some key players tonight. Tristan Thompson, Anthony Parker, and Daniel Gibson are expected to miss this one. Those three combine for 20 points per game. The under is 35-16-2 in the Magic's last 53 home games. The referees here skew slightly toward the under. Take the under in this one.
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02-02-12 |
Pacific v. UC Riverside UNDER 120 |
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60-52 |
Win
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101 |
20 h 12 m |
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*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Pacific and UC Riverside played earlier this year and the final was 64-57. I lost on the 'under' in that one, but I am going to play the under again here at a slightly better value. UCR made 9 out of 13 three's in that first game, and Pacific hit 7 out of 17. Neither of these teams typically shoot it well from beyond the arc. Expect lower shooting percentages here and the same very slow tempo. I projected this one at 115 or 116, so I like the value here. Take the under in this matchup.
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02-02-12 |
Idaho v. Fresno State UNDER 130 |
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55-65 |
Win
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100 |
22 h 31 m |
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*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Total Takedown* Idaho and Fresno State play a similar style of basketball. Both rely heavily on their defense and their ability to control the basketball and the pace of the game. Earlier this year when these two met the final was 63-59. The shooting percentages weren't too bad in that one, and I think they could easily be worse this time around. Fresno State has been slowing down the tempo even more in recent weeks, and I think that makes this line have more value. The under is 17-8 in Fresno State's last 25 home games. Take the under.
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02-02-12 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Cal St-Fullerton UNDER 132 |
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61-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
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*3 Star NCAA Big West Total* Cal Poly is one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. They realize that they need to get the clock rolling and control the ball if they are going to beat CS Fullerton on their home floor. The first meeting finished at 73-67, but there were a ridiculous amount of free throws taken in that one (60). I expect fewer trips to the line in this one. The under is 9-3 in Cal Poly's last 12 road games. I projected this one at 127 points. Look for this one to go down to the wire in a defensive battle. Take the under here.
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02-02-12 |
Southern Utah v. North Dakota State UNDER 131 |
Top |
64-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 32 m |
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*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Southern Utah has changed the way they play this year. The team is slowing the game down in a big way. The oddsmakers continue to set the team's lines a little too high, as they are apparently taking into account the last couple years when Southern Utah ran quite a bit. North Dakota State is more comfortable at a slower pace as well, so I don't think there will be a pace battle here. The under is a perfect 9-0 in Southern Utah's last 9 games overall. The under is 14-5 in North Dakota State's last 19 games overall. Take the under big!
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