Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-06-21 | Boise State v. Fresno State -4.5 | 40-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE |
|||||||
11-06-21 | LSU v. Alabama -28.5 | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 46 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ALABAMA |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Penn State -10 v. Maryland | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking PENN STATE. Another tough loss for PSU. I thought Ohio State would run them out. Loser there for me. But Maryland. Couldn't put away a 3rd string freshman QB. Terps with a huge 35-19 win in Happy Valley as 25 point dogs. Big revenge today for PSU. 4* Money Maker PENN STATE |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Baylor -6.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
5* Best Bet BAYLOR |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Temple v. East Carolina -15 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
Taking EAST CAROLINA. Yes. Big number to lay with ECU. But the Pirates a pretty decent team. Yes. 2 losses in last 3 games. Lost in OT to Houston on the road. Lost 20-16 on the road to UCF. Losing 20-17 at South Carolina not a bad loss either. Temple though for me, a straight fade team. They have scored 24 points their last 3 games. 49-7 loser to UCF. 34-14 loser at USF. 52-3 loser at Cincy. Somehow they beat Memphis. Akron and Wagner as their other wins? They were 1-6 last year! As I mentioned. Loss to Cincy by 49 - Loss to Central Florida by 42 - Loss to South Florida by 20 - Loss to Rutgers by 47 - Loss to Boston College by 25. If ECU doesn't win this by 20 just on default, I will be shocked. 8* Sure Shot EAST CAROLINA |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. North Carolina | 55-58 | Loss | -100 | 112 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking WAKE FOREST, might as well grab some ML +120. I think this will be a HUGE public play on Saturday morning. But I can't go the other way. Undefeated, Top 10 ranking. Best team in the ACC. Getting points from 4-4 NC who is suppose to have the best QB in the land coming into the season. Well. They are sitting 4th place in the Coastal. The defense has been bad. 44-34 loser at ND. 45-22 loser at Georgia Tech. Ok. Road Game losses. But at home. 42 allowed to Miami with a backup QB - 25 to Florida State. 39 to Virginia. If you don't think Wake will put up 40, you don't have your head screwed on straight. Demon Decons putting up 43ppg. 70 points in 17 minutes vs Army. 45 vs Duke - 40 at Syracuse - 37 at Virginia - 35 vs Florida State. 41 and 42 vs Norfolk and Old Dominion in tune ups. This game can very well be a shoot-out. And if that is the case, any points are a blessing. But I think Wake HC has his guys focused. They should win this one by a score or two. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST |
|||||||
11-05-21 | Utah -7.5 v. Stanford | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH. Utes finally getting some wins together after a rough September. Utah can basically wrap up a PAC 12 title game spot with a win here. (Arizona / Colorado on deck for them) Stanford has dropped 3 straight after that upset win over Oregon. Utah the better team all over the field. Cardinal just not a good program right now. I think this can be a 15-20 point win for Utes. 4* Money Maker UTAH UTES |
|||||||
11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Are you really buying into the Jets? Bengals on the road for 3 straight games. Browns on deck. Jets gave up 54 the week before. This game was 31-20 before the Jets pulled off a miracle win. Colts much better coached team than Cincinnati. Off an OT loss and bad QB play, Indy will bounce back big here. I also like the UNDER. I think this is 27-10 type of game. Look for an improved Wentz here. Titans dealt a huge loss with Henry out. Colts need every game if they want to claim this division. Starts here at home vs a bad New York team. Let us not forget - these are the same Jets that lost 19-14 to the Panthers. 25-6 and 54-13 to NE. 26-0 to Denver. Yes, the pulled out weird wins over Tennessee and the Bengals. But they are 0-3 on the road scoring 16 points a game. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI OHIO. What is there to say? Ohio is bad. These guys, I mean - we had them in Week 1 against Syracuse. Favored over an ACC team. Big Brother Little Brother type of game. 29-9 Orange roll. Ok. Duquesne up next as 28.5 point faves. Loser OUTRIGHT! 28-26. Has been downhill since. Only time favored, on the road by 10! Over Akron. Makes taking Ball State -19 tonight an easier call. Back to the Bobcats. They are just playing out the string now, 1-7 going nowhere. Yet, they do play their MAC foes close with no losses by more than 7 since 2015! Those were different days folks. Redhawks have won 2 straight, 3 of 4 and have won last 2 in the series. Both teams in off bye weeks. Miami Ohio is tied for MAC East lead and won't be lacking any motivation facing the lowly Bobcats. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. The betting world saw a 13-10 New Orleans win on Monday night where they couldn't score and let Geno Smith hang around. Oh what will Tom Brady do to them! Saints do have a decent defense. Maybe it is too good to be true and Tampa wins by 17 and Brady throws 4 more TDs. But I will grab the home dog here. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Bengals -3.5 v. Jets | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 166 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking CINCINNATI. Jets are a complete mess. If that is what you get out of a bye week - Send in the clowns. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons -3 | 19-13 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. We will continue to fade the Panthers and Sam Darnold. I would have preferred to lay the early 1, but 3 it is. Falcons offense will score. We need the defense to make some plays. If Atlanta didn't blow a late lead to Washington, they would be 4-0 their last 4 games. Again, Panthers were darlins when they were beating the Jets and Titans with rookie QBs. Ryan has Ridley and Pitts and these teams are heading in opposite directions. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Steelers v. Browns -3.5 | 15-10 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Baker cleared to play. Bu you know what, I don' mind the back-up. Getting Chubb back is more important. Extra rest not really a factor as Pitt is in off their bye week. We last saw them battling Geno Smith and Seattle in Prime Time. Two straight wins for Cleveland after Pitt had reeled off 7 of 8. This Steelers team is really a shell of what he is use to having. Big Ben in for a long afternoon. I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Eagles v. Lions +3 | 44-6 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Should have grabbed 3.5. Had +154 ML on Detroit out of the gate. Who is Philly to be laying? Lions always fighting to the end in their games. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS. Buffalo with an extra week to think about that Titans loss. (winner for us on Tennessee!) Dolphins absolutely reeling. A gift win to start the year in New England. 6 straight losses since. 4th different stadium for Miami in 4 weeks and 8 straight games of football. Team is hot mess. Bills won 35-0 in Miami and they didn't break a sweat in the humidity. I have Buffalo putting up 40 here. Can't see the Dolphins staying close. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 171 h 21 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. So we rolled out OSU last week and will come right back on them today. We saw a terrible Penn State team. And you say, well, they were looking ahead. Yeah. That would be fine on a 20-6 win. A 20-18 9 OT loser. No. You were outplayed. You didn't play well. And you will be totally flat coming here. Oh. You will be pumped to knock off OSU. Well the Buckeyes already took that loss from Oregon at home. They won't be looking past the Lions here. And frankly, they can't PSU losing drops them in the polls. Losing to Illinois will only mean Ohio State needs to win by 30+ instead of 20. 8* Sure Shot OHIO STATE |
|||||||
10-30-21 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame -4 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 172 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking NOTRE DAME. What have we seen from NC that we think they compete here on the road. Lost at Virginia Tech 17-10. Lost at Georgia Tech 45-22. Heck, lost at home to Florida State 35-25. Do we think they get a flat ND team off USC? We do know this about the Irish. They aren't afraid to play people. Opening up on the road in Florida State. Neutral vs Wiscy. Loser to Cincinnati who everyone loved coming into the season - we saw them battle Georgia pretty tough last year also. I just have a feeling that Notre Dame runs the table with the lone Cincy loss and somehow gets into the 4 team playoff. Irish by a touchdown here. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking AUBURN. Bye week. Better defense. Everyone loves the other team. Heisman. QB. HC. A top 10 'ranked' team getting points. Easy Money they say. Ole Miss off 4 straight tough ones. Bama. 52-51 Arkansas shoot-out. Lane back at Tennessee. And finally, Manning Day! Great scheduling spot as I said with Tigers in off bye. Not a huge Bo Nix guy, but he will have the proverbial chip on the shoulder tonight - I expect Ole Miss to run out of gas. 4* Money Maker AUBURN TIGERS |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Wyoming +3 v. San Jose State | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking WYOMING. My oh my. Lost with these guys as 20pt faves last week. Yikes. 3 points vs New Mexico. 17 points last 3 games. But before this 3 game slide, 24-45-50. Spartans have trouble scoring themselves. 7-17-3-14-13 (27 and 37 in two wins UNLV, New Mexico State). Look for the Cowboys to get back on track. 4* Money Maker WYOMING |
|||||||
10-30-21 | UL-Monroe +27.5 v. Appalachian State | 28-59 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking UL MONROE. I think this is a bit of an inflated line with Appalachian State in off their win over Coastal Caroline. We had the Mountaineers in our Mid Day Money show and they won outright in the home dog role. But this is a big number. And. Last time I checked, which was as I am writing this - ULM, can keep things interesting. They themselves in off a nice upset. They just won at South Alabama by 10 as 13.5pt dogs. Oh. How about winning outright over Liberty in the game before as 32.5pt dogs. No let down for them. Finally in the upset side of things, they upended Troy as 23.5pt underdogs winning by 13. I will grab the big number here. 4* Money Maker UL MONROE WARHAWKS |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Michigan -2 v. Michigan State | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 5 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. So I do like my Spartans. But this is too a short a line. Maybe it is a 'too easy' game. Michigan State sitting off their bye week, but Michigan took care of Northwestern in simple fashion. Wolverines come in with revenge for last years 27-24 win, as 21.5 point underdogs! Year before, Michigan 44-10 as 13.5 faves. I'll toss out some older numbers. Michigan -7.5, Michigan -13, Michigan -24.5 in 2016. Now we are seeing this kind of number? I think the Spartans have improved, but I am not buying this is a top 10 team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
|||||||
10-28-21 | Packers v. Cardinals -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -120 | 146 h 41 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA. So we had both of these guys on Sunday. But this spot, it is all home team. GB is a traveling machine right now. Arizona tonight. At KC next week. WFT was sandwich between trips to Cincy and Chicago. Cardinals have made believers out of me. Total domination of the Rams and Browns. Rams, a team that had owned them. And the Browns, without bring their HC and others, not even close. Until someone gets within 5-10 of these guys, the offense will score 30+ and the defense will keep opponents under 20. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +5 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 71 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. We had the Seahawks last Sunday night and will do it again here. Maybe this is the low hanging fruit with Winston and the Saints laying this kind of number. Toss out any old NO trends or stats. This isn't a Brees team. Same with Seattle. 10-4 ATS home dog run, but different times. Yes, Saints in off bye, but Seahawks in SNF to MNF not terrible. Geno with more reps under his belt, I think the defense will perform well. Winston completed 50% of his passes vs Washington. He had a nice game at New England. His other road game, a loss in Carolina. Too many points for that guy who Seattle will dare to beat them. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 167 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Bears v. Bucs -11.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY, again FIRST HALF.. -6.5. Like Rodgers as our Top Play last week over Fields, we will take Brady vs the rookie. If the Bears do mount any kind of offensive attack, it will be late in the game. I think TB should win and cover both spots either way. This Chicago defense is decent, but the offense has major concerns. Brady lost to Bears last year - has gone 17-4 since leading Tampa. Back to Bears offense. Scored 14 or less in 3 of 6 games. 34-14 AT Rams. 26-6 AT Browns. 24-14 vs Packers. So on the road vs 2 playoff teams. 20 points. Allowing 60. Last we Tampa, they were letting Philly score 15 unanswered on a Thursday night. Extra rest. Revenge. Offense problems with a rookie HC. Take TAMPA BAY 4* Money Maker |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams -16 | Top | 19-28 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS FH -8.5 here. Should have grabbed them at 13 when the line first opened, waited like a dummy and it is now 16. But 1st half. Let's get it. Lions shut out in 3 of their last 4 games in the first half. Add in the QB switch - the Rams HC despising his old QB. I think we have a blowout brewing. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS First Half |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Falcons +2.5 v. Dolphins | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 185 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Atlanta in off their bye week after playing Jets in London. Miami, back home from London, gets a game. Bad spot for the Dolphins. Value play for me. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Now. At 9.5/10 points on the opener, I would be more inclined to take Washington. GB in off win over rival Bears. Huge short week Thursday game on deck vs Cardinals. But sitting at 7.5, I will grab the Packers here. And look at this scheduling spot. Back to back road games - Cincy and Bears. They beat Pitt here 27-17, before that, road game in SF. Next up-trips to Arizona and Kansas City. At least they have home games when the weather turns to a clear edge for them. I have to think they the move down is a reflection of that. On the road 5 of 6 weeks is tough. Guessing most guys have families and such that need addressing. But also. They are home. The fans. The field. They don't want to lay an egg here. They need wins. A tough pair of games up next. Washington looks like a team in complete disarray. So yeah, at 10, maybe WFT gets a look. Now at 7.5, I think GB is talented enough on offense to pull away here. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Panthers v. Giants +3 | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. If ever a team was in a 'must win' mode, NYG is in it. Injuries. Bad play. Turnovers. Just a hot mess. The team is a MASH unit. Who knows who is even suiting up. Barkley? WRs? Doesn't matter. This is make or break time for Danny 'Dimes', oops, I mean, Danny Turnover Machine. Joe Judge is on his way out if this team does not win today. He might not get fired after this game, but if they lose here, he is done this season. Carolina, even with a HC who I really like, is still missing its best player in CMC. And - Sam Darnold, yes that Sam Darnold, is back in the Meadowlands, as a favorite! So he looked good beating his old club, them NO who his DCOs know well. Then his team beats Davis Mills. But hello, Dallas. Heck, they should have beaten Hurts and the Eagles, but the team couldn't. Somehow the forced OT last week. But honestly, besides showing some fight against Minny, you want me to have faith with this guy leading the charge. Now the Giants are far from the Cowboys or Vikings. But this is really a 'circle the wagons' game for them. 1-5 on the year, and can turn into a 3-15 season in 60 minutes tomorrow. I'm taking the 3 and grabbing some +120 ML. 4* Money Maker NEW YORK GIANTS |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Ohio State -21 v. Indiana | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Don't get all wrapped up the Hoosiers going 8-2 ATS last 10 in this series. OSU huge edge today. Off their bye week. Indiana off a 20-15 loss vs Michigan State. On the heels of getting shut out 24-0 at Penn State. This offense is sputtering. Take out the Idaho 56pt game and this team is putting up a little more than 15ppg. Everyone loves Pennix. Guy is always banged up. This team is reeling. OSU looking to come out huge here. In their only loss, the offense put up over 600 yards. We know that OSU will close in on 50. Are you counting on this Hoosiers team to get the mid 20s? 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Utah -3 v. Oregon State | 34-42 | Loss | -106 | 71 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH. It has taken about half the season, but finally, the Utes, who I had back in August to win the PAC 12, that team has shown up. Had the Utes last week and they stomped a pretty hot Arizona State team. Down 21-7 and roared back - I think they make light work of Oregon State. Home dog no much to get exited about. Beavers 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 in that role. Short number, but going with the road faves. 4* Money Maker UTAH UTES |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama -27 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 195 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking ALABAMA. You are sold on taking Tennessee? 14 straight Tide wins. 48-17.. 35-13.. 58-21.. 45-7 .. 49-10.. That is just back to 2016. But you get the idea. Who have the Vols scored against? Any defense or team like Alabama? Are they going to keep Alabama from scoring 50+. Nope. Line will only go up. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +3 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 192 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking PITT. We have faded Clemson all year. Not going to go against that now. Give me the home dogs. Tigers have been like a wounded animal grazing in the plains. Every team in the ACC is taking it's best shots at it trying to fall the King of the Conference. Value play here for me. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS |
|||||||
10-23-21 | New Mexico v. Wyoming -20 | 14-3 | Loss | -108 | 67 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking WYOMING. Right off the bat- revenge game for last year. 19pt faves losing outright. Add in getting shutout at home last week. What better remedy than New Mexico. Lobos come in with just an awful offense. 36-6, 31-7, 38-10, 20-13, 34-0. 5 straight losses. 7.5 ppg. - 2 wins vs HBU 27-17 and New Mexico State 34-25. Again. Cowboys in off a shutout 17-0 where they turned the ball over 5 times. New Mexico had a backup freshman QB last week. Big number for sure as Wyoming only averages 25ppg. But I think they drop 30+ here and the Lobos are limping to the finish line. 4* Money Maker WYOMING |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -7 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 50 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Holy cow. We have a perfect storm here in my eyes. Unranked Cyclones favored by a TD over an Undefeated team ranked in the Top 10! Added bonus - Said team is off monster road win over Texas Longhorns. Only thing that would be the proverbial icing on the cake if it was a win over Oklahoma. But all the ingredients are in this home cake to rise to the occasion. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Oklahoma -38 v. Kansas | 35-23 | Loss | -114 | 63 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking OKLAHOMA. Sooners can name the score. But I think they win by at least 40. Kansas managed 2 late TDs to make 41-0 look a tad better at 41-14. We gladly took that Texas Tech win last week. Now with a new guy under center, Oklahoma looks like what Oklahoma was suppose to look like. Whoever paid Spencer Rattler this year has some egg on their face. Williams comes in and has more TD passes in 6 quarters than Rattler did all season (WCU does not count!) Will we be 55-10 sounds about right. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Tulane v. SMU -13.5 | 26-55 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking SMU. Mustangs will dial up the ol' Pony Express tonight. Tulane giving up close to 500 yards a game. That won't do the job vs SMU who is 7th in the land putting up over 500 yards a clip and scoring 40. Add in that the Green Wave defense allows a hair of 40 a game. SMU in off a grinder over Navy who has improved as the season has progressed. Before that 31-24 game, SMU was dropping 41-42-39-35 gems on opposing teams. We won't count the 56-9 win over Abiline Christian. Tulane doing the opposite of improving since their opening day 40-35 loss at Oklahoma. And we see the Sooners offense change things up at the QB since then. Tulane though -, again tossing out a 69-20 win over Morgan St. 61-21 loser at Ole Miss. 28-21 loser vs UAB. 52-29 loser at ECU. 40-22 loser vs Houston. 61 and 52 allowed in their last 2 road game. SMU has some offensive horses of their own. I think Mustangs can get near 50. I don't see Tulane approaching 30. 4* Money Maker SMU MUSTANGS |
|||||||
10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking LAFAYETTE. I know what people are thinking. Fade ULL off that huge win over Appalachian State. Home dog and they roll 41-13. What I really think is that people forget that Lafayette came into this season as a team ranked in the Top 25 or close to it. They were promptly bet down as near 2 TD dogs vs Texas in Game 1 and lost 38-18. The shine was off. They then beat Nichols 27-24 as 26pt favorites and people thought, oh they are trash. They have won 5 straight since Texas. Now. The road wins 20-18 and 28-20 look bad because they were 12 and 14.5 pt faves. But I think this team won't have a tough time tonight. Arkansas State comes to the game thinking - Let's keep the opposing team under 60 and we're good. Loser 52-20. Loser 59-33. Loser 41-34. Loser 52-3. Loser 55-50. Red Wolves with a defense that is one of the worse in the land. 46.7 ppg allowed! Even off a bye week, you really think the defense is slowing things down? If ULL doesn't win by at least 3 TDs they should walk home. 4* Money Maker UL LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS |
|||||||
10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Oh yeah. Everyone loving the Bills off a big win over KC. We can go easy and say, well, let down game. Of course there will be a bit of a let down. A road win in KC is a big deal for many teams. And people will be saying. You can't bet on Tennessee. They lost to the Jets! Well. I know last year the Titans steamrolled these guys 42-16. Turnovers help, and you can scream revenge angle if you want. But Titans with their WRs back. A bruising RB. A QB who is pretty good and nobody notices. Defense is yes, a little suspect. Titans not in any position to overlook teams with KC lurking ahead. Bills heading to an early bye week. Have to take the home dogs in this spot though. The look-ahead line of this game was Bills -2.5. This is a big overreaction the KC win. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Cowboys -1 v. Patriots | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 168 h 18 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. I like the Texans last week. I thought they would win outright over the Patriots. This NE team still struggling to score. Maybe at home they dial up the defense to slow down the Dallas offense. I don't see it. I think the Cowboys can overpower almost any team in the league. The defense is a solid, bend don't break unit. Not high on Mac Jones. HC edge for NE as always. But if you don't have the horses to run, tough to win the race. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 37-14 | Loss | -115 | 127 h 31 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. A pair of losses for them in a pair of shoot-outs. But Arizona showing some dings in the armor. Cashed them last week as a Top 10, but it wasn't easy. Browns cost us a play last week. Tough one losing when you put up 42 and have no turnovers and can't close a game out. I think Browns getting home, run it down the Cardinals throats. The run game of Chubb and Hunt is unbelievable. Defense will regroup after last week. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Rams -6.5 v. Giants | 38-11 | Win | 100 | 165 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Yes. Early start time for LA. But there is no way I am backing the Giants. Not off the Dallas game. I would have really loved the Rams if Philly or Washington was up next, but it is just the Carolina Panthers. Better coach. Better defense. Team that is must win mode because they have Super Bowl goals and want home field. This line will just go up and am happy to grab it under a TD. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Bengals v. Lions +3.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -120 | 137 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Bengals with a coulda shoulda woulda game against Green Bay. Now they hit the road against another NFC North team. Detroit no world beaters, but they are scrappy. And as much as people love Burrow, I am not loving the coach. And I will gladly fade them as road favorite. Not many willing to give Detroit any love - but I won't be shocked if they win this one outright. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Vikings -1.5 v. Panthers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 68 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Not sure why I waited on this one. What have we seen out of Carolina? Them shut down Hurts, Darnold, Mills and Winston. I am not sold on this defense. Dak lit them up for 4 TDs. Cousins isn't Dak, but he better than the other 4 guys. Philly barely got the win here. A better home team wins that. CMC sighting expected. But is he 100%, doubtful. So they bring him back early to get some pressure off their QB. Won't help. The defense will be chewed up by an experienced QB. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Packers -4.5 v. Bears | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 124 h 33 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. Stop with the Bears talk already. You beat a reeling Raiders team. Bears last in NFL in total offense and passing yards. Your QB threw for 111 yards last week. Fields is completing 51% of his passes. 1 TD (2 yarder) and 2 INTs on the year. The team threw for 1 yard against Cleveland. I will say I will agree, the Packers defense isn't the Browns defense. This team is not a good team. Passing yards for Bears game with Fields and Dandy Andy. 109- 185-1 -83 - 188.. In today's NFL, you are leaning on this passing game? Hope the QB gets 2 TDs and play the field position game vs Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers will laugh at his HC when it is 4th and 2 on the Bears 36 and will have the offense out there looking to score TDs after last week's game. Again. You are betting on Fields over Rodgers. You aren't getting 17 like the Texans were getting. You aren't getting 10. You aren't even getting half of that. Last year. 35-16 GB, 41-25. Even if middle the Bears points and you think they score 20 - You really think GB isn't getting 25? This game is 34-13 all day and the Packers win this by double digits 99 out of 100 times. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Jaguars | 20-23 | Loss | -118 | 143 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Miami off getting squashed by Tampa. No shame in that. That Jags are the Jags. I think Urban gets left in England after this game. Actually, the owner is such a nice guy, he will fly him home. Miami will be refocused and ready to get right. And this is a get right opponent. Nothing to really say here. The Jaguars come into every game with a severe disadvantage based on their coach. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Arizona State v. Utah +1 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UTAH UTES |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Alabama -16.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 75 h 20 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. I don't think Mississippi State gets within 3 TDs here. First off. Last week, Crimson Tide was 18.5 favorite over A&M. Miss State was a 7 pt dog on the same field. So Alabama is a 25.5 favorite over the Bulldogs on a neutral. You want to think - home team off a bye week. Bama will be sad and not show up after a loss. Ok. You can go that way. All I know is that the Tide came all the back from being down 24-10 to take a 38-31 lead. They started slow, were a little sloppy with the ball. 41-0 last year. Oh. Revenge game for Mike Leach. Come on. Bama talent still light years ahead of the Bulldogs. Plus. Zero run game. A one dimensional team for the cover? Not happening. Not off a loss. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Texas Tech -18 v. Kansas | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS TECH. Alright. Getting trucked giving up 52 to TCU isn't a good look for us. Then remember Texas dropping a 70 bomb 2 weeks prior. But, we look at their other games this year. 20-21-22-21. Now they Kansas. Even off a bye, this is still Kansas. 7-33 (at Duke) - 7 - 22 (at Coastal) -17 (South Dakota). Do the Jayhawks score 20? This isn't an elite or talented offense. Red Raiders get their defensive mojo back here. And the offense should be able to get to the 40pt mark. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Kentucky v. Georgia -21.5 | 13-30 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA. Until someone starts scoring off the Bulldogs, we will lay the points. 5 points a game! That is what Georgia is giving up. 4 games in SEC play, 173-23. We can so simple and say Kentucky beat South Carolina 16-10 with a look ahead to Florida. Ok - well Georgia beat them 40-13 and ever team that Georgia faces it's that team's 'Super Bowl, or Natty.' We have been on the Bulldogs multiple times this season with multiple wins. Until someone cracks the defense, we will lay the points. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +3.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WYOMING |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan +1 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Tulsa v. South Florida +8 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4 | 20-15 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker INDIANA |
|||||||
10-14-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 45 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA. Bucs with a 'easy' win over Miami. When I say easy, I say from a physical stand point of the game. Yes, they had a cushy win, but Eagles in a tough grinder vs the Panthers. And let's really just get to the bottom line here. Last time we saw Brady and Tampa in Prime Time, they looked terrible vs New England in the rain. Short of another driving rain, Tampa wins this one by double digits. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Giants v. Cowboys -7.5 | Top | 20-44 | Win | 100 | 164 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. So we rolled out the Giants in our Tuesday Teaser show on Mid Day Money and again on the Sunday Free Pick show. But that was against a poor New Orleans bunch. You can say what you want about it will be a 'tough' division game. Last year we saw 23-19 and 37-34 games. One game with half of Dak, the other without. Before injuries, Dallas Dak won winning games 37-18 and 35-17. This is that kind of offense. And the defense is a very improved unit from the last couple years. I have said before - when I see 7.5 (or a 3.5), I am jumping on the favorite. It is going to be blowout. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | 49ers v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 151 h 30 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA. I thought that the Rams coaching would force the Cards to lay an egg last week. But LA could not overcome the hangover win over Tampa. Out of the gate fast, Arizona never looked back. Not sure how SF slows this offense down. Or, even keeps up. I don't like Lance. Like I don't like Wilson. You can't just toss rookie QBs out there and expect HOF results. Now, with Jimmy G hurt again. And who knows if he plays or not. This is early week write ups and betting. Even if he goes, he is not 100%. Not close. This team has injuries that are hurting them. Back to Lance as a rookie starting on the road. How did that work out when we faded Fields and the Bears in his first start in Cleveland. Arizona fans will be nuts today. Cards get to 40 here. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Bears +4.5 v. Raiders | 20-9 | Win | 100 | 150 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. This is really just fading the Raiders off of MNF. Tough division game. Everyone watching. Now they get Da Bears. Chicago defense still decent. Mack might want to make a statement vs Gruden. Who knows. That will just be talking head chatter this week. I don't like Fields. Would rather have one of the veterans behind center. Worse case, he gets pulled and we rally for the back door cover. Honestly- not going to be shocked if Vegas lays a total egg and losses this outright. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Titans -3.5 v. Jaguars | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 147 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Had these guys -5 last week and they lose outright. Just because you get the best number, doesn't mean you get win. A couple WRs missing, Tennessee still should have beaten the Jets. A Jets team that had done absolutely nothing on offense. I am not saying 'No Way Titans Lost Two In a Row." They can easily lose this game. Any team can lose. Jags with extra rest. Everyone saw them on Thursday night football looking like they win on the road. But I am not buying it. Bengals still a young team. This is a veteran team. Veteran coach. Bad defense, yes. But they should take advantage of Trevor and Urban. And oh Urban. Should be a fun presser on Monday morning. Tennessee to get back on track for me. I'll take a shot here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Jets +3.5 v. Falcons | 20-27 | Loss | -104 | 143 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Jets hurt he bankroll last week. No WRs might have helped the cause. Now they get a reeling Atlanta bunch. Now - in the Dome, maybe I would be thinking Falcons. But in London. Road game. Not a chance. And honestly. I like the way the Jets coach has his guys not quitting. Falcons are in a bad place. I think their HC is overmatched. Not impressed at all. Give me any points I can get with New York. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
10-09-21 | New Mexico State +31.5 v. Nevada | 28-55 | Win | 100 | 73 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO STATE |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Texas A&M | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 170 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking ALABAMA. Any questions about how good the Tide should be out the window. I will say this - coming into the season, I thought the Aggies would be a live dog here. This team isn't getting any live QB play. IF we thought Saban and Alabama just methodically dismantled Mississippi, well this game should be pure precision surgery. Line will only go up. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking IOWA HAWKEYES. I can't believe this game isn't at least 3. Hawkeyes the better team. That's it. 4* Money Maker IOWA |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Georgia -15 v. Auburn | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 66 h 16 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA here. So the Bulldogs in off a pair of shutouts over SEC teams winning a combined 99-0 over Arkansas and Vanderbilt. We are to think that Auburn stays within 20? You betting on Bo Nix being the guy to solve the Georgia defense? They are in off a great win at LSU. An early than a late 4th QB TD to turn 19-17 into 24-19. Very nice. But Georgia is head and shoulders past LSU right now. So coming in off that high, I think when the Bulldogs punch you in the mouth and all of a sudden it is 17-0 in the first quarter, War Eagle will be like, someone, anyone, help. 0 TD rushes allowed. 1 passing TD and 7 INTs for the defense. Until I see a team score off Georgia, I will lay the number. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -6 | 51-52 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking OLE MISS. So I had these guys ML last week. And that was basically, if we thought they would get inside that number, why not an outright win. It was more value play than anything else. We had Georgia as a no-brainer play in our 'Pick The Lock' Show. I mean. How many people were all over Arkansas. And as I said. A team that was unranked, and not really expecting a huge year was in off b2b wins over Texas and Texas A&M. While the Bulldogs are a team we have a 150 ticket at +800 to win the Natty. Miss is the better team. Both teams in off bad, bad losses. Give me the Lane Train to get back on the rails. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas +3.5 | 55-48 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS. Oklahoma is not a vintage Sooners team. I lost with these guys last week. And maybe it should have been a win. A KO return real late for a TD to get in through the back door. But overall, this offense is not an elite unit. This series is always a shoot out. I expect the same today with the exception is that the Longhorns offense looks like the superior unit. I'll grab any points with the dog here. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS |
|||||||
10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders are 3-0 with a pair of OT wins. Chargers 2-1 and could be 3-0 if they got some calls vs Dallas. And before we get into, oh, let down spot for LAC with win in KC, remember, Vegas could be in a let down spot themselves. I mean. They get a huge non call that Miami should have had a PI in the end zone. Short line here, so I am grabbing the home team. LAC has shown they can slow down, and stop an offense. Chiefs and Dallas can move the ball and score with anyone. Raiders, for me, with wins over a backup Miami QB - a game they battled back and could have lost. At the Steelers, who, the question is, how did the Bills choke away the game. And finally, an opening night win over the Ravens with RBs they picked up at the RB Dollar Store. And you need OTs vs the street RBs and a journeyman QB. Like we saw with the Ravens over the Broncos. Sometimes the record is inflated based on the teams you play. Chargers the better roster. I think they have big edge with their WRs over the Vegas corners. Herbert will exploit that. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Bucs -5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 273 h 53 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY. I don't see how this line does not get pumped up. I don't even know what happens vs the Rams, but I think this is a game for Brady to explode on. And that is saying something cause the guy tosses 4 TDs a passes a game like clockwork. I can't see NE keeping it within a touchdown. I know The Hoodie will have some insight on how to slow down Brady. But there are just too many weapons for Tampa. Overall talent wise on both sides of the ball, edge Bucs. This is just a bad spot for Mac Jones. The defense for Tampa will want to stomp this kid out for their QB. Maybe I am being a square on this one. But unless this line moves at least 2 or 3 points, I can't even think of grabbing the Patriots. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Steelers v. Packers -6.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 169 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. This Steelers team is a hot mess.But short of Rodgers retiring, Green Bay should be able to exploit this Pitt defense. I won't get into a lengthy discussion about Big Ben. The entire Steelers offense is worrisome. I know it is easy to say fade GB off a big road win. But I can't see Pitt slowing down this offense or, having even offense to stay within a touchdown. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams -4.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -103 | 116 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. Ok. At first glance, we think let-down spot right? Off big win over the Super Bowl Champs. A nice game on both sides of the ball. Maybe Tampa was looking ahead to NE. Maybe their secondary isn't just that great. I think it is a combo of both plus, the Rams are good. Here comes the early MVP favorite in Murray and the Cards. Early start last week. Struggled a bit. Easy to think they come in here, cover or even knock off LA. I don't see it. One. Huge edge coaching for the Rams. Two. LA owns Arizona. 8 straight wins over the Cardinals. 9-10-7-27 the last 4 margins of victory. Maybe people have forgotten the miracle win for Arizona at home over the Vikings. I guess they forget them being behind at the half off a crazy special teams play. Not buying Arizona. The money has come in from 6 to 4.5 on Arizona. Edge for us on the shorter number - though I think this is a double digit winner. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Chiefs -6.5 v. Eagles | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 193 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. So we all know KC has is now what, 1-12-1 ATS last 14 or something terrible along those lines. I will say I have had KC all 3 weeks. I thought they were begging us to take Cleveland week 1. And I love me some Browns this season. In Week 2, we had a nice 2.5 early number and had a double digit lead before a collapse on national tv. Then last week. A game I thought they would come out and dominate based on the Ravens game, and, more importantly, having a full season of film on Herbert, and seeing the Chargers not really get the offense offense vs Washington and Dallas to a lesser degree. Now this is it. Coach out of the hospital. 2 straight losses. This line will only go up. Every saw the Eagles look awful last night. But news flash, this is not a good team. This is as much of a 'must win' game for KC as any tam needs a 'must win.' Philly might be able to run a bit since we saw Lamar expose this defense. But there is zero way that Mahomes doesn't shred this defense. Simple for me. I hate saying someone has to win. But I will go back to the well one last time on the Chiefs. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Browns v. Vikings | 14-7 | Win | 100 | 165 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Might be a square play, but I am taking it. You know I was high on Cleveland last year. I am still high on them this season. Defense. Run Game. Ball control. I like the HC. He knows this Minny team. I think people forget he was on this Viking staff. This defense will know exactly how to contain Cousins. Also. Seattle was the same small fave last week over these guys. And the Browns overall, head and shoulders better than the Seahawks. Oh. Pretty sure Seattle was up double digits early in this game also. Make no mistake. Cleveland gets up and they can bury you with a double headed brutal rush game. The defense and pass alone, and Stefanski knowing this team. Huge edge. We cashed Minny as our Top 10* last week. Total opposite thinking today. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Titans -5 v. Jets | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -117 | 230 h 26 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. I have an old buddy named Scoop. He would always say when talking about his mid 90s Steelers. Can't win if you can't score. Gregg Lloyd and Rod Woodson took peoples souls. I say the same about the Jets. This QB looks like a deer in headlights. I thought it was a bad pick in April. I think it is bad now. Maybe he grows and is the QB they think he will be. But for now. I can't see NYJ slowing down the Titans. The offense is just too good. The line is short enough where even if the Jets somehow punch one in late, I don't think the spread will come into play. Henry will maul these guys. Then the WRs will get their shots in. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 46 h 33 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these crew last week. But while I was shuffling my feet muttering about Sparty, WKY was cashing an Over for us. I'll be honest, I thought this line should be about 2 Touchdowns. Indiana was -9 on the road, so they would have been 12-14 point faves at home. This line did open at 8 - I don't think MSU is worse than Indiana. Maybe I'm missing something. Anyway - on to WKU off Indiana. It was a dog fight -a 33-31 loss. Big game on tap for them with UTSA on deck. Much more important than trying to get a win here. Get out injury free. You tossed the kitchen sink at the Hoosiers, and Michigan State will be ready. Spartans off a tough OT loss and have a trip to Rutgers on deck. But after a poor game last week, I think this is a big get right spot. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Ole Miss +14.5 v. Alabama | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking OLE MISS. Grabbing that +475 ML. Look. Ole Miss can score. They scored last year and this team is better. Bama is not as good as their team last season. For me - I think Mississippi can stay close - and if we are close, we are right there for the outright win. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Oklahoma -10.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA. At first look, you have say to yourself, we are grabbing K-State at this price. They won at Oklahoma last year 38-35. They won in 2019 at home 48-41. This Sooners team was down at West Virginia 13-10 heading into the 4th quarter. Won on a last second FG 16-13. They barely beat Nebraska at home, 23-16. We are going to make it 3 in a row over OU. This line opened 12, and has come down. So - a double revenge spot where OU was favored by 27.5 and 23.5 points. KSt QB Skylar Thompson is at best, very questionable for the game. He won those last 2 games for the Wildcats. His back up is also banged up. So - if Kansas State does suit up a less than healthy Thompson, this is a still a good spot. A 2 TD line move based on past games. And if we get a backup who did nothing last week on offense - we should get a huge revenge blowout with the Sooners winning by 3 TDs. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Louisville v. Wake Forest -6.5 | 34-37 | Loss | -120 | 39 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking WAKE FOREST. Wake has been churning. Some might think to fade them off their win last night. But I think the fade should be on Louisville knocking off Florida State. Couple that with their win over UCF. No shame losing here on the road to a deep Wake team. Revenge spot for 45-21 loss last season. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST |
|||||||
10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -103 | 34 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking MARYLAND. Can someone explain this line to me? I am no Locksley fan by any stretch. But I see a Top 5 team laying a short number like this. Auto play for me on a home dog. Terps can move the ball. Iowa though, a pretty good defense. Not going to say they aren't. But this offense is rough to watch. Penn State on deck for them. That is bigger than going to Ohio State for the Terps. Terps at home are thinking upset here. This line has come down a full point in some books and Iowa is getting the money. Upset alert on Friday night. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TEPRS |
|||||||
10-01-21 | Houston v. Tulsa -4.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking TULSA. Love when I see 1-3 laying points to a 3-1 team. And then we add that Houston is a 'bigger' name than Tulsa. Don't be fooled by those 3 wins. Navy, Grambling and Rice are 2-9 SU this year. Tulsa played some real teams with losses to Oklahoma State and Ohio State. Not a fan of Cougs HC either. We had Texas Tech in Week 1 and we should send him some thanks. A 21-7 halftime lead turns into 31 unanswered and a loss. I just think this is a bigger game for Tulsa. Might be close, but I still think Tulsa gets it done by a touchdown. 4* Money Maker TULSA |
|||||||
09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. I'll be honest. Part of me wanted to jump on the Jaguars here. Thought about it last week against the Cards. Early start time. Rams on deck. Even with that, and a special teams TD, Jags couldn't muster a backdoor cover. I don't think they get one here either. Burrow has command of his offense. Plenty of weapons before his WR teammate from college arrived. Defense is solid. Trevor looks over-matched out of the gate. This isn't the ACC baby. NFL defenses. 7 INTs 54% completions. That won't get you many win or even covers here. You're coach will be retiring in December. I am no fan of the Bengals HC either. But they have too much talent on offense not to win this one by 2 touchdowns. Short week also hurts the young Jags. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
|||||||
09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys -3.5 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 191 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Maybe they do have a bit of a defense. Had Dallas and the Over last week, got a split. We faded the Eagles again and got the win. That is 2 straight wins for us on San Fran. Tonight though. Dallas. I have to say, this over looks a little high, 52. With scores of 17-11 and 20-17 last week. Fishy. I know Philly plays the Boys tough. I just think the offense should be able to get us over the hump here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Dolphins v. Raiders -1 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 170 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Just a better team for me at home. I have not been high on Miami coming into the season. I won't be high on them during the season. I think the defense is overrated. I think the offense is overrated. Though they do have an edge at HC. I really like Flores. Something about being home in Vegas I like about the Raiders. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions +9.5 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 135 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. If we have seen anything from the Lions, it is they Do Not Quit. Big comeback vs the Niners. And taking a lead into the half at Green Bay. Now they get the Ravens, and are nearly a double digit home underdog. Baltimore enters off a huge win over KC. A win is a win, but they got the gift fumble. Also, this defense is like a wet paper bag holding a rock. Way too many points and that back-door is wide open. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns -7.5 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 160 h 45 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. You are kidding me with this line right? I though this line should be 9, maybe 10. Everyone excited about Justin Fields. Ok. Great. Cincy Joe Joe tossed 3 INTs, 1 for a TD. The score was 7-3 heading to the 4th before a flurry of miscues make it a 20-17 final. You have that much faith in the rookie on the road? In the Dawg Pound. Against a defense that just laid an egg? Good Luck. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Chargers v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -122 | 63 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. I believe KC is now on something like an 0-10 ATS run. 1-11-1 ATS if you want to go back a little further. Tough one last week. I had KC -2.5 and still think I had the right side. Chiefs have been playing down and down and down to their opponents. I think Andy Reid doesn't call the dogs off today. He has a super QB. No way he is giving the ball to a RB with the game on the line ever again. They are in off a loss where the defense was absolutely horrible. Now they get Herbert. Kid was the spot starter after Tyrod Taylor was stabbed in the lung! Ok. They don't know much about the kid, close game. Then it was a Week 17 game. Yeah. KC was really invested in that game before the playoffs begin. Now they have a year of tape. They are off a bad game. They have seen the Charger score 20 and 17 points with their new coaching staff. If ever Andy Reid was to 'release the hounds', it is right now. KC should score 40 today. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 50 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. What a spot here for Sparty? Foget the fact they are already having a nice little season. We cashed them vs Northwestern. We cashed them vs Miami. And we will go big here vs Nebraska. Now. I had Oklahoma last week in what I thought would be an absolute blow-out. Far from it. In fact, it was a tough pill to swallow if you are a Nebraska fan. Missing 2 FGs and a PAT - a 23-16 loss. Yikes. Just a total flat spot. I mean really. You are facing the Sooners, old-school Big 8 Rival when you guys were always Top 5 teams. Now you have to get off the mat and get pumped to play Michigan State. I don't see it. I think their coach is on the way out. I don't think they will be able to contain this MSU run game. I think their own run game is their QB running for his life. Spartans should win this one by at least 2 TDs. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN STATE |
|||||||
09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5.5 | 35-24 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking STANFORD here. So we roared with Stanford after their Game 1 debacle vs Kansas State and were rewarded with a double digit dog outright winner. We did fade them last week laying a big road number to Vandy. But, to my surprise, there was no let down and Stanford took care of business. This line has gone up a point since the opener. I guess people think UCLA is 'due' to win since they were upset last week. Well, if they were in a dog roll or shorter favorites, maybe I would consider it. Bu, the Bruins are 1-6-1 ATS last 8 in this series and just 3-8 ATS last 11 trips to Stanford. Last year was a wild 48-47 Stanford OT win. Stanford did lead 20-3 at the half. UCLA took a 34-20 4thQ lead before the Tree tied things up. I don't know if gets that crazy tonight, but I will grab any points with the home team. 4* Money Maker STANFORD |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +5.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 113 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking ARKANSAS. This team is a nice surprise for their fans. Line continues to drop. I am not sold on A&M off a big win. Beating New Mexico and not even covering is not a major accomplishment. This team has QB problems for me. Or at least scoring problems overall. However you want to word it. The 10-7 at Colorado should send up alarm bells. That is the same Colorado team that just was blanked 30-0 at home by Minnesota without their star RB! Hogs playing with Wild Boar sized chips on their shoulders right now. We saw them absolutely destroy Texas. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS |
|||||||
09-25-21 | San Jose State v. Western Michigan -3 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 112 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Looks like the Western Michigan we thought was going to show up against Michigan showed up against Pitt. Albeit they gave up 6 passing TDs. Good news is San Jose isn't built like. Better news is they get them here at home with Spartans coming in from Hawaii. That is a long haul. Clear body clock edge for the home team. Now the 'let down' factor might be in play but not a lot. San Jose also in off a big road win. Any road win is big for them. Coming into the season, WMU was suppose to contend for the MAC Title. Knocking off a so-so Pitt team is not that far fetched. I liked this guys coming into the year, will take them laying the short number at home. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN |
|||||||
09-25-21 | SMU v. TCU -9 | 42-34 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking TCU. Revenge on the plate for this lunch time game on Saturday. SMU knocked these guys off back in 2019. Well, the Horned Frogs have been sitting around their bye week preparing for the Mustangs attack. SMU in off a last second 33 yard TD pass to remain unbeaten. Their QB to no ones surprise who knows a Sonny Dykes offense, has 16 TD passes through 3 games. But this is a step up. You knocked off big brother last time. Time for little brother to be put in his place. Double Digit win here as the SMU defense is always lack luster. 4* Money Maker TCU |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Boise State v. Utah State +9.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. So we have a nice early start time. Right off the bat, a good plus for the home team. Boise I think is in for a long season. I think their coach is in over his head. Now, laying a big chunk to an undefeated on the road. After you just got stymied at home and couldn't do anything offensively? No way. I think this line is a touchdown to high. I won't be shocked one bit if the Aggies win this one outright. These guys are a live dog. They have gone on the road as dogs and won at Washington State and Air Force. Boise whipped a bad UTEP team. I had them against UCF for a miracle cover. Again. Coaching problems. My guy on Utah State loves the dog role and is hungry. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Florida International v. Central Michigan -10 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 6 m | Show |
Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. So they are 1-2 on the year and a MAC team is laying double digits. Both losses in SEC play. In fact, last week they flew to the LSU game on game day! Yes. Not much hotel space after the Hurricane roared through town. 35-7 at the half and you're shocked they got 7. That's a tough schedule spot. But are home now, comfy in our surroundings. FIU comes in for a long road trip. A team off back to back losses - lost at home to Texas State and then went to Texas for Texas Tech to rough them up, 54-21. And unlike CMU, they didn't show up from the airport with their luggage. I like Jim McElwain. Butch Davis has lost that Miami U glow a long time ago. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Ohio v. Northwestern -14 | Top | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 61 h 49 m | Show |
Taking NORTHWESTERN. We faded these guys last week in one of my videos but will ride them to a cover and a date at the ticket window. This is a nice get right game for the home team. Ohio is an absolute dumpster fire right now. Coming into the season, these guys were poised to be one of the top teams in the MAC. Well - their long time HC abruptly hangs it up, and talent or not, the new guy can't get out of his own way. The players are just responding and maybe the guy standing next to the other guy wasn't the right choice to run the program. Wildcats were down 30-7 at half and rallied to a 30-23 loss. Turnovers hurt. Now they get a taste a victory vs a team that lost at home to Duquesne 28-26, as 28.5 favorites! Duquesne by the way, after trailing TCU 35-0 at the half, talked the Horned Frogs into playing 12 minute 3rd + 4th quarters. Ohio is a mess. If Northwestern doesn't win this by 20 here at home, they will be getting into the dumpster with the Bobcats. 8* Sure Shot NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS |
|||||||
09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking SYRACUSE. I think everyone will be grabbing Liberty here. They are now 14-1 (a 1pt loss) and 13-2 ATS their last 15. Tonight, laying less than a touchdown? Not buying it. A little revenge for the Orange as the Flames won last year 38-21. 4* Money Maker SYRACUSE ORANGE |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Ravens | Top | 35-36 | Loss | -107 | 165 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. Had these guys last week. Couldn't get it done. Slow start and we paid for it. Chiefs have owned Baltimore in the past. I don't see this changing much. They are really beat on offense. I won't be shocked at a Raiders win on MNF over the Ravens. I actually took Vegas +140 FH. Again. Ravens on offense, a mess. KC offense, well you see what they can do. I don't think this line gets any lower. Will only go up, especially if Baltimore lays an egg Monday night. I will grab KC early at this price. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Titans +6 v. Seahawks | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 161 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Oh how bad did these guys look last week. Totally cost us a play on the over. We did cash Seattle and the Under in their game. I just feel that Tennessee is much better than what they showed last week. Might take a bite of the over 52.5 here also. I think this is going to be a back and forth game. Seattle is good for either being down, and coming back. Or being up, and allowing teams to score. Give me Tennessee to bounce back off their game and maybe even pull an outright win here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Cowboys +3 v. Chargers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 150 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Nothing like extra rest and prep time for a road trip. Dallas at home, tricky betting as favorites. On the road though, sign me up. I expect this game to be a shoot-out. We have the OVER 52.5 in this one. I can't say anything bad about the Chargers. They went on the road and beat, who I think, has the best defense in the NFC. I like the DL of Washington a bunch. But the Chargers escape with a win- albeit vs a backup QB as Fitzmagic got hurt. Dak is much better than those guys, and the Cowboys offense is electric. What we need for the outright win here is for the coach to stop with his bonehead decision making. A lot of times I just go ML on games like this, but Dallas is Dallas. Take the FG here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
09-19-21 | 49ers -3 v. Eagles | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 160 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. Got a win at the right number last week with these guys. What an epic meltdown. No way the coach stands for that this week. Let's be honest. Eagles played way over their heads - and the Falcons did me no favors as I backed them. But is Philly that good, or is Atlanta just a hot mess. I am leaning more to the second. Back to San Fran. They were cruising. We see what happens when you take your foot off the case. A couple lucky plans and you barely get out of town with a win. NFC West clearly the best division in football. No time for mistakes or bad losses. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Patriots -3.5 v. Jets | Top | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 146 h 57 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I see 3.5s up to 5. I will lay a little extra money if I have to 120/130. Obviously I think the Patriots are going to win this one by double digits. If I take a favorite, I am thinking blowout. When I take a dog, I think we are winning outright. I had New England last week. Tough loss. 1 of 4 in the red zone. A turnover 2 FGs. That won't cut it. The defense is good. We knew that. And now it gets to face a rookie QB. Did we see the Jets offense last Sunday? I won't be shocked if this game gets to 6 or 7. I think people will be hammering Patriots off a loss. In this spot, I think it is warranted. I would say, if NE was in off beating Miami, maybe I would think of grabbing the home dogs. But everything is week to week in NFL. And this one checks all my boxes for a huge blowout win. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |