Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Illinois vs. Iowa State 10:10 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Illinois +1.5 Illinois is #1 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and Iowa State is #1 defensively. So, something must be given. The overused cliche is defense wins championships and there’s data to back up that statement. However, this is an exception to the rule in my mind. The Cyclones are just 69% from the free throw line and that’s a concern when you get this far in the NCAA Tournament and are involved in what is seemingly an even matchup such as this one. Additionally, as good as Iowa State is defensively, they allow opponents to get to the free throw line frequently and rank #230 nationally in the category. Illinois is a solid free throw shooting team at 74.2% and is in the top 20% of college basketball teams when it comes to free throw attempts. Iowa State is one of the best teams in the country when it relates to forcing turnovers. Nevertheless, Illinois has committed turnovers on just 15% of their offensive possessions this season which is very good. I very seldom refer to players when giving my handicapping analysis. However, Illinois guard Terrance Shannon will be unequivocally the best player on the floor tonight. He’s not only a deadly 3-point shooter but can beat defenders off the dribble and gets fouled quite frequently when doing so. Since the start of the Big Ten Tournament, Shannon is averaging 31.6 points per game, made 41.7% of his 3-point shot attempts, and has a excellent 87.9% conversion rate on free throws. Keep in mind, this is the same Terrance Shannon Jr. that was a key contributor as a freshman on a Texas Tech team that lost the 2020 national championship team in overtime. Give me Illinois. |
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03-28-24 | Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 152.5 | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Under 152.5 Arizona has seen each of their last 5 go under the total. The average total in those 5 contests was 156.7 and there was just a combined 136.8 points scored per game. Throughout those previous 5 contests Arizona allowed 65.4 points per game, oppoents shot 39.9% from the field, and made only 27.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Wildcats have allowed 65 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of the previous 8 games. Clemson faced 2 formidable offensive opponents in Baylor and New Mexico during the first 2 games of the NCAA Tournament. They held them to an average of 60.0 points scored per game and a mere 33.8% shooting from the field. Clemson has seen their last 3 go under with an average total of 148.2 and there was just a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV +6.5 v. Seton Hall | 68-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
UNLV @ Seton Hall 7:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: UNLV +6.5 Seton Hall needed overtime at home to knock off St. Joseph’s in NIT 1st round action. They were much better in their 2nd round 72-58 home win over North Texas. Prior to the NIT, Seton Hall had gone just 6-7 SU in their last 13 games. UNLV finished the year strong and has carried that over to the NIT with wins vs Princeton and Boston College. The Rebels are 12-3 SU&ATS over their last 15 contests. UNLV has also gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as an underdog and won 6 of those 10 games SU. Furthermore, UNLV has gone 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS during their previous 9 games versus teams not making the NCAA Tournament. Give me UNLV plus points. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall OVER 143 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
UNLV @ Seton Hall 7:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Over 143.0 Both teams prefer to play at a slower than average pace by this season’s college basketball standards. However, with that being side this total went from an opener of 140.5 to 142.0 despite a high percentage of betting tickets and money being wagered on the under. UNLV has gone 16-34 (47.1%) from 3-point territory in their first 2 NIT games. Conversely, Seton Hall has made a more than respectful 36% of their 3-point shot attempts in their first 2 NIT games. The Pirates are also #17 nationally in making free throws at an excellent 77.1% and that includes 80% over their previous 5 games. UNLV has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.8 points scored per game and with an average total of 139.0. Seton Hallas has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the number was between 135.0 and 144.5 with a combined 153.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
IPFW @ Norfolk State 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Norfolk State +1.5 Norfolk State is a beneficiary of playing in the CIT where the higher seeded teams play at home. That’s especially significant considering their 14-0 at home this season. When eliminating their 4 games played at home versus non-Division 1 opponents, Norfolk still outscored their 10 opponents by 12.5 points per game. This will also be the first time all season that Norfolk State is a home underdog. The current total in this contest is 145.5. Norfolk State is 10-1 SU this season when the total was between 140.0 to 149.5 and they outscored those opponents by an average of 7.8 points per game. Norfolk State is also 13th nationally in free throw attempts and they’ve converted a respectable 72.3% of those opportunities. Conversely, IPFW has averaged just 12 free throw attempts per game during their previous 5 contests. Give me Norfolk State. |
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03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings UNDER 233.5 | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Kings 10:10 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Under 233.5 Dallas has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 with an average total of 235.8 and only a combined 215.5 points being scored per game. The Mavericks have allowed 107 points or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games. Sacramento has played 8-0 to the under in their last 8 when the total was 218.0 or greater and with a combined average of just 212.3 points scored per game. The Kings have allowed 109 points or fwer in each of their previous 9 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-26-24 | Warriors -2.5 v. Heat | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Heat 7:40 ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Warriors -2.5 Miami has been a tad better on the road than at home this season. As a matter of fact, the Heat have lost 3 of their last 4 at home. Conversely, Golden State has gone 11-4 SU in their last 15 on the road. The Warriors are coming off losses in each of their previous 2. However, Golden State has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 immediately following back-to-back losses and with an average victory margin of 11.0 points per game. The Warriors haven’t lost 3 straight games since 12/30/2023. Give me the Warriors minus points. |
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03-24-24 | Texas A&M +10.5 v. Houston | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Houston 8:40 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: Texas A&M +10.5 Houston is coming off an impressive 86-46 blowout win over #16 seed Longwood. However, as crazy as this may sound, I thought Texas A&M was even more impressive in Friday’s 98-83 win over Nebraska. The Aggies are one of just a handful of teams in college basketball that’s capable of dealing with Houston’s athleticism and rebounding prowess. The Aggies have now scored 80 points or more in each of their previous 5. Houston has developed the reputation in recent seasons of being an elite offensive rebounding team and they still are. But Texas A&M ranks #1 nationally this season in offensive rebounding and they retrieved 14 of those in their opening round win over Nebraska despite shooting an exceptional 57.4% from the field and 56.5% from 3-point range. The Aggies had 5 players score in double figures and includes 3 that tallied 20 or more. These teams played on a neutral floor earlier this season and Houston won 70-66 but failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. Give me Texas A&M plus points. |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern v. Connecticut -14 | 58-75 | Win | 100 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
Northwestern vs. Connecticut 7:45 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Connecticut -14.0 Connecticut has more size, speed, and athleticism than Northwestern is capable of competing with over an entire 40-minute game which will wear them down in the 2nd half. Northwestern is coming off an overtime win over an FAU team that faltered a bit during the 2nd half of the season and ultimately led to a premature exit from the tournament. They won’t be as fortunate in this matchup as UConn is peaking at the right time. Give me UConn minus points. |
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03-24-24 | Grand Canyon +6 v. Alabama | Top | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
Grand Canyon vs. Alabama 7:10 PM ET Game# 839-840 Play On: Grand Canyon +6.0 If you watched Grand Canyon (30-4) upset nationally ranked St. Mary’s on Friday in Spokane, Washington then you know the Antelopes had overwhelming supports from their fanbase inside the building. That won’t change on Sunday and will serve as a huge emotional lift for the underdog. Grand Canyon was 28-36 (77.8%) from the free throw line in that win. Grand Canyon is #3 nationally in getting to the free throw line and has made 75.4% of those attempts. Conversely, Alabama is #320 nationally in free throw attempts allowed with much attributed to their aggressive defensive style. Grand Canyon’s interior defense was sensational versus St. Mary’s evidenced by 9 blocked shots. Alabama is #347 in the country in getting their shot attempts blocked. Another advantage Grand Canyon will have in on the offensive glass where they rank #32 nationally. On the other hand, Alabama is #236 in defensive rebounding. Give me Grand Canyon plus points. |
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03-24-24 | Clemson v. Baylor OVER 144.5 | 72-64 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. Baylor 6:10 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Over 144.5 Clemson is coming off a surprisingly easy 77-56 win over New Mexico on Friday. The Tigers have played 7-1 to the over this season immediately following a win by 15 or more and there was a combined average of 156.4 points scored per game. From an analytical standpoint, these are 2 of the best offensive teams in the country. Baylor ranks 5th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Clemson is #23. Baylor is also the 4th best 3-point shooting team nationally while making 39.4% of their attempts. The Bears are also 25th best in getting to the free throw line while going 74.8% on those attempts. Clemson is 8th nationally in free throw percentage while making 78.8% of their tries. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-24-24 | Colorado v. Marquette -3.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Marquette vs. Colorado 12:10 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Marquette -3.5 Marquette reached the Big East Conference Tournament Final where they fell to the defending national champion Connecticut. They played in that tournament without star point guard Tyler Kolek who was nursing an abdominal injury. Kolek returned for Marquette’s 87-69 win over Morehead State on Friday and contributed 18 points, 11 assists, and 6 turnovers. With Kolek in the lineup, Marquette is capable of beating anybody. Colorado is coming off a 102-100 win versus Florida on Friday in a game they tried to give away in the last 2 minutes. They’ll have trouble with Marquette’s relentless defensive pressure and will be prone to a plethora of turnovers leading to easy transitions baskets for Marquette. The Golden Eagles have played a much more gueling schedule than Colorado this season and it will pay dividends in this matchup. Give me Marquette minus points. Give me Marquette minus points. |
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03-23-24 | Duquesne v. Illinois -9.5 | Top | 63-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Duquesne vs. Illinois 8:40 PM ET Game# 797-798 Play On: Illinois -9.5 Duquesne is coming off a huge upset win as a 9.5-point underdog on Thursday versus #6 seed BYU of the vaunted Big 12 Conference. The #11 seed Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament champion is now 16-3 in their last 19 and that includes a current 9-game win streak. However, Illinois presents a whole different challenge than BYU. The Illini are #2 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and are a very good offensive rebounding team. If Duquesne has a weakness defensively it’s their rebounding. Duquesne ranks #222 nationally in defensive rebounding while Illinois is #16 on the offensive glass. Illinois will also have the best player on the court in this matchup Terrance Shannon Jr. who is a huge difference maker. During his 3 games in the Big 10 Tournament and in the NCAA Round of 64 versus Morehead State during an 85-69 win, Shannon has averaged 30.5 points per contest. Lastly, Illinois has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win by 15 or more and as a favorite of 5.0 or greater. The average margin of victory in those 6 wins and covers came by a substantial average of 28.3 points per game. Give me Illinois minus points. |
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03-23-24 | Virginia Tech v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
Virginia Tech @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Ohio State -3.5 Virginia Tech has gone an abysmal 2-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season, and that includes 1-8 SU&ATS as an underdog. The Hokies have played terrible defense down the season’s final stretch while allowing opponents to shoot 50% or better in 7 of their last 10 games. Conversely, during their previous 5 contests, Ohio State has averaged 81.8 points scored per game, shot 49.5% from the field and made an excellent 43.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. For whatever reason the Buckeyes have been playing great basketball since their head coach was fired while going 6-1 SU&ATS during those contests. The Buckeyes are also 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home while outscoring their opponents by 9.0 points per game. Give me Ohio State minus points. |
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03-23-24 | Washington State +7 v. Iowa State | 56-67 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Washington State vs. Iowa State 6:10 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Washington State +7.0 These teams are mirror images of each other from a stylistic standpoint. Neither prefers a fast-paced game. Both are very good defensively and each are poor free throw shooting teams. It’s widely known how good of a team Iowa State is. Conversely, Washington State doesn’t get enough credit for how good they truly are. Yes, Iowa State plays in the strongest conference in America. However, the PAC-12 sent 4 teams to the NCAA Tournament and they’re a combined 5-0 thus far. This game will be much closer than most anticipate and and an outright upset isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Give me Washington State plus points. |
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03-23-24 | Dayton +10 v. Arizona | 68-78 | Push | 0 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Dayton vs. Arizona 12:45 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Dayton +10.0 Dayton was listless against Nevada for the first 33 mutes of Thursday’s 1st round game. Then proceeded to put together a furious comeback that saw them overcome a 17-point deficit with 7 minutes to play and walk away with a 3-point win. The Flyers know they need a more consistent effort from start to finish if they hope to upset #2 seed Arizona. I firmly believe they’re more than capable of doing so. The great equalizer for a college basketball underdog and especially so at this time of year is an ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Dayton is #3 nationally in 3-point shooting while converting on 40.2% of those attempts. Additionally, they were 8-21 (42.1%) from beyond the 3-point line in their 1st round win over Nevada. Another undervalued handicapping tidbit is the fact that Dayton is #3 nationally in free throw attempts allowed. Give me Dayton plus points. |
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03-22-24 | Texas A&M v. Nebraska OVER 147 | 98-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Nebraska vs. Texas A&M 6:50 PM ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Over 147.0 Although Texas A& M is a poor shooting team, they more than make up for it on the offensive glass and ability to get to the free throw line. The Aggies are #1 nationally in offensive rebounding as they’ve retrieved a noteworthy 42.8% of their missed shots this season. The Aggies are also #47 out of 362 division 1 teams in free throw attempts. Texas A&M has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 11-2 over during their previous 13 contests. During their current 5-game streak of games going over there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per contest. Nebraska has witnessed their last 4 outings going over when the total was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 161.5 points scored per game. Nebraska is currently #38 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, 44.5% of Nebraska’s field goal attempts have been from 3-point territory and they’ve made a more than respectable 35.8% of those tries. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -3 | 77-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ FAU 12:15 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: FAU -3.0 Northwestern is been plagued by injuries down the stretch which has certainly affected their play. The Wildcats have lost 3 of their last 4. As opposed to FAU, Northwestern played an extremely weak non-conference schedule in which they faced 1 NCAA Tournament team and that resulted in a 66-57 neutral site loss to Mississippi State. FAU is an experienced team that reached the Final Four last year. They’re coming off a disappointing loss to Temple during their conference tournament. However, FAU has gone 7-0 SU this season. Being that they’re being asked to cover a small number in this contest their resiliency after a win takes on added significance. The Owls are also 7-1 SU on a neutral floor this season including quality wins over NCAA Tournament teams Texas A&M, Charleston, and Arizona. They also defeated NIT teams Virginia Tech by 34 and Loyola-Chicago by 13. The Owls are a combined 43-9 SU since the start of last season which included 20-3 when facing teams that average 18 or fewer free throw attempts per game, and an even better 15-1 SU if it was after Game 14. Give me FAU minus points. |
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03-21-24 | St. Peter's v. Tennessee -21.5 | 49-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee 9:20 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Tennessee -21.5 St. Peter’s is a terrible offensive team that hangs their hat on their defensive prowess. Even then their defensive analytics are a bit misleading when considering the snail’s pace they play at. The Peacocks are #338 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo. That’s fine if you are playing with a lead, but it’s highly improbable that’ll be the case against one of the country’s best teams on Thursday. I mentioned how bad St. Peter’s is offensively. Well, Tennessee is #3 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Volunteers have also faced an extremely tougher schedule than their opponent on Thursday and has a ton more experience. I look for Tennessee to excel at forcing St. Peter’s turnovers in this contest and turning them into a sizable amount of points via their transition game. St. Peter’s ranks #324 nationally in committing turnovers while doing so on an alarmingly high 19.6% of their offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus points. |
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03-21-24 | McNeese State v. Gonzaga OVER 149.5 | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
McNeese State vs. Gonzaga 7:25 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Over 149.5 Gonzaga has shot 50% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. The Bulldogs have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was between 149.0 and 159.0 there was a combined average of 167.6 points scored per game. Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in their last 8 versus teams not named St. Mary’s. McNeese State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was 149.0 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points per game. McNeese has scored 74 points or more in 13 of their previous 14 games. They’ve also played 12-1 to the over this season when facing teams like Gonzaga who force 12 or fewer turnovers per contest and there was a combined 153.6 points scored per contest. Don’t underestimate McNeese State as they own non-conference road wins this season over power like Michigan, VCU, and UAB while averaging 81.3 points scored per contest. They’re also 25-1 in their last 26 games played. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-21-24 | Akron v. Creighton -12.5 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
Akron vs. Creighton 1:30 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Creighton -12.5 Akron won the MAC Tourney by barely escaping with 3 and 1-point wins during the last 2 games. The Zips went 3-5 during their last 8 regular season games against vastly inferior opponents compared to the one they’re about to face on Thursday. Creighton is #13 in adjusted offensive efficiency and # 24 in defensive adjusted defense nationally. Creighton will outclass their MAC opponents in this one and will pull away down the stretch for a relatively easy win and cover. Give me Creighton minus points. |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State +3 | 60-53 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Boise State vs. Colorado 9:10 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Boise State +3.0 Colorado is 1 of only 4 teams from the PAC-12 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament and was one of the last teams to receive an invitation. Oregon is another PAC-12 team that’s part of the 68-team field and the only reason they made it was them winning their conference tournament. Colorado played just 1 non-conference game this season versus a team that’s in the NCAA Tournament and it resulted in a 5-point loss to Colorado State. Boise State is one of 6 teams from the Mountain West Conference to make it to the NCAA Tournament. The Broncos have gone a respectable 7-7 this season versus NCAA Tournament teams and that includes a non-conference win over St. Mary’s. Boise State is coming off a quarterfinal loss to New Mexico who was the eventual Mountain West Conference Tournament champion. Nevertheless, Boise State has gone a very profitable 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games immediately following a loss during their previous contest. Give me Boise State plus points. |
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03-19-24 | Cal-Irvine v. Utah OVER 149 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
UC-Irvine @ Utah 11:00 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Over 149.0 UC-Irvine has scored 76 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. They’ve also played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 154.0 or less and a combined average of 157.6 points were scored per game. Utah is coming off a 72-58 loss in the PAC-12 tournament to Colorado and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. However, the UTES have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and there was a combined 165.8 points scored per game. Utah has scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 4 at home. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State -2.5 v. Virginia | 67-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Virginia vs. Colorado State 9:10 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Colorado State -2.5 Quite frankly, I have no idea how Virginia received one of the final at-large-bids for the NCAA Tournament. They needed overtime to eliminate Boston College in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament. Then they lost the following game in overtime against #10 seed NC State. Not exactly convincing results for a team on the proverbial bubble. Additionally, this is a Virginia team that scored 49 points or fewer in 4 of their last 8 games while going 4-4 during that stretch. Colorado State played in a mid-major conference that has 6 teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Rams also posted quality non-conference wins over Colorado and Creighton who are both NCAA Tournament teams. Furthermore, they lost by just 3 to St. Marty’s who’s the #5 seed in the West Region and the Colorado State was missing 2 starters in that contest due to injuries. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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03-19-24 | Richmond v. Virginia Tech -6 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Richmond @ Virginia Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Virginia Tech -6.0 Richmond is coming off a very successful 24-9 season. However, as the #1 seed in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament they were upset in the quarterfinals by St. Joseph’s which dashed their hopes of playing in the NCAA Tournament. It was a bitter pill to swallow for the Spiders and teams of this nature more times than not are flat in NIT 1st round games. It’s also worth noting, that Richmond is 0-3 in non-conference true road games and none of those opponents are NCAA Tournament bound. Virginia Tech is 14-2 at home this season with a terrific point-per game differential of +15.3. Their lone home defeats cames versus North Carolina who is a #1 seed in the West Region of the NCAA Tournament and Duke who’s a #4 seed in the South Region. Virginia Tech also has 2 quality non-conference wins over Iowa State (27-7) and Boise State (22-10). They also lost a narrow 2-point decision to nationally ranked South Carolina (26-7). Give me Virginia Tech minus points. |
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03-19-24 | South Florida v. UCF -6.5 | 83-77 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
South Florida vs. Central Florida 9:10 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Central Florida -6.5 The oddsmakers are speaking loudly to us with this line and the ensuing sharp action screams louder than even that. We have a South Florida team who was the AAC regular season champ that’s 24-7 overall and was recently ranked in the AP Top 25. Yet, they’re an underdog versus a UCF team who’s 17-15 which includes 7-11 during Big 12 Conference regular season action. The difference in this matchup is the level of competition both teams played this season. South Florida has played just 3 games versus NCAA Tournament teams this season and went 1-2 in those contests. Furthermore, none of those 3 games came against non-conference opponents. Conversely, UCF has posted 4 wins this season versus NCAA teams the likes of Kansas, TCU, Texas Tech, and Texas. By the way, all 4 of those wins occurred at home. Give me UCF minus points. |
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03-18-24 | Knicks v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Knicks @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Under 211.5 Think about what the oddsmakers are saying with this extremely low total for a Golden State game. The Warriors average total this season has been 232.8 which is over 21 points more than tonight’s contest. Additionally, this is by far the lowest total in a Golden State game all season. The Warriors’ previous low was 215.5 at Minnesota on 11/14 and that game went under with a final score of 104-101. For what it’s worth, Golden State has played 17-6 (73.9%) to the under in their last 23 games. The Knicks defense over their previous 5 games has been nothing short of spectacular while allowing 93 points or fewer on each occasion. During that stretch, they held their opponents to a combined 37.3% shooting from the field, 27.7% from 3-point territory, and limited them to a mere 18 free throw attempts per contest. New York has played 8-0 to the under this season following back-to-back games when they allowed 100 points or fewer. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 202.8 points scored per game. The Knicks haven’t exactly been tearing it up offensively by having scored 107 points or fewer in each of their last 9. That includes scoring less than 100 points during 6 of those previous 9 games. Any NBA team like the Knicks with a total of between 210.0 to 219.5 that’s outscoring opponents by 3.0 or more points per game on the season, and has allowed 95 points or fewer in each of the previous 4 games, resulted in those contests playing 23-4 (852%) to the under since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-17-24 | Temple v. UAB -7 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Temple vs. UAB 3:15 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: UAB -7.0 Yesterday, NC State became only the 2nd team in NCAA basketball history to capture a conference tournament championship by winning 5 games in 5 days. Today, Temple tries to duplicate that feat in the AAC Tournament. I will go out on a limb and say that’s highly unlikely. Especially when considering this was a Temple team that went 12-19 overall and 5-13 during conference play before entering the postseason. These teams met just 10 days ago at Temple, and UAB crushed the Owls 100-72. The Blazers earned a double bye after going 12-6 in conference play so it will be only their 3rd game in 3 days. UAB has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with an average victory margin of 13.5 points per game. Temple’s magical and improbable run ends today with a huge thud. Give me UAB minus points. |
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03-16-24 | Texas-Arlington +6.5 v. Grand Canyon | 74-89 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
UT-Arlington vs. Grand Canyon 11:30 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: UT-Arlington +6.5 UT-Arlington enters this WAC Championship Game on an 8-game win streak which also saw them cover in 7 of those contests with an average victory margin of 14.5 points per contest. UTA will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season matchups to Grand Canyon by 6 and 7-points. However, when looking inside the numbers of those 2 results I uncovered a real oddity that attributed to Grand Canyon wins. They were awarded an astronomically high 72 free throws combined and converted on an exceptional 81.9% of those opportunities as well. Otherwise, UTA held them to a combined 33.6% shooting from the flor in those head-to-head meetings. UTA has also gone an extremely profitable 17-4-1 ATS versus conference opponents this season. Give me UT-Arlington plus points. |
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03-16-24 | New Mexico +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
New Mexico vs. San Diego State 6:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: New Mexico +2.5 As we’ve witnessed throughout this year’s conference tournament action, teams on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament has succeeded win either winning or covering as an underdog more times than not. Such has been the case for New Mexico. The Lobos have played with a high degree of urgency and desperation during their 3 wins in the MWC Tournament. They’ve turned in superb performances on each occasion and surprisingly have been extremely good defensively, which hasn’t been their forte this season. The Lobos allowed 61.0 points per game while holding Air Force, Boise State, and Colorado State to just 34.0% shooting. Despite of that, Joe Lunardi has New Mexico as the last team in with Missouri Valley Conference regular season champ Indiana State and Virginia lurking behind. So, I fully expect their desperation and urgency to be at a high level in the championship game and not leave it up to the NCAA Tournament committee whether or not they’ll be dancing next week. Furthermore, the Lobos are 6-0 SU&ATS this season on a neutral court with an average victory margin of 18.3 points per game. San Diego State needed overtime in the quarterfinal round to knock off UNLV and then won decisively over #1 seed Utah State by 16. However, the Aztecs are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 immediately following 2 consecutive wins and were outscored by 7.7 points per game. San Diego State is projected to be a #5 seed in the NCAA Tournament, so they have no uncertainty in that regard. Give me New Mexico plus points. |
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03-16-24 | Nebraska +4.5 v. Illinois | 87-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Nebraska vs. Illinois 3:30 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Nebraska +4.5 Illinois was very lucky to escape with a 3-point win versus #10 seed Ohio State yesterday. During the last 3 seasons under current head coach Brad Underwood, Illinois has gone a dismal 2-10 ATS immediately following a win by 6 or fewer. The Illini have been poor defensively over their previous 5 contests while allowing 78.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 47.6% and made an alarmingly high 45.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. That shapes up to be problematic considering Nebraska is 4th withing Big 10 play when it comes to 3-point shooting while converting 38.1% of those long-distance attempts. Nebraska is enjoying one the best seasons in program history and has been surging down the stretch while going 7-1 SU&ATS during their previous 8 contests. The Cornhuskers turned in a masterpiece in yesterday’s quarterfinals while walloping Indiana 93-66. Nebraska has held their last 3 and 6 of their previous 8 opponents to less than 40% shooting. They went up against Illinois once during regular season action and lost 87-84 in overtime but easily covered as a 10.0-point road underdog. They also went 12-28 (42.1%) on their 3-point shot attempts in that contest while holding Illinois to 9-34 (26.5%). Give me Nebraska plus points. |
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03-16-24 | Sabres -112 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Red Wings @ Sabres 12:30 PM ET Game# 29-30 Play On: Sabres -112 Detroit has lost 7 consecutive games and were outscored by 36-12 in the process. Buffalo has won their last 3 including a 7-3 home win over Detroit earlier this week. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season the Sabres are 5-1 versus the Red Wings and averaged 6.0 goals scored per game while doing so. Buffalo is just 3 points behind the Islanders and Red Wings for the final Eastern Conference playoff spot and is playing with a lot of confidence at the moment while the same can’t be said for the Red Wings. Sabres goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukonen has been extremely good over his last 22 starts with a brilliant 1.90 GAA, .932 save percentage, and posted 4 shutouts. Give me the Sabres on the money line. |
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03-15-24 | Ohio State v. Illinois -5 | Top | 74-77 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Illinois 6:30 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Illinois -5.0 Yes, Ohio State has responded well since the firing of their head coach Chris Holtman. The Buckeyes are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5. However, just 1 of those 5 teams had a winning record in league play and that was Nebraska at 12-8. The other 4 teams had a combined record of 30-50 in Nig 10 regular season action. I truly believe that Illinois is a legitimate contender to reach the Final Four. They finished 14-6 in the Big 10 and was second only to #3 ranked Purdue (28-3). Illinois easily won their only regular season games against Ohio State this season 87-75 and easily covered as a 3.0-point road favorite. Give me Illinois for a top-rated wager. |
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03-15-24 | South Carolina v. Auburn -7.5 | 55-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
South Carolina vs. Auburn 3:30 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Auburn -7.5 I was on South Carolina yesterday with they covered as a favorite versus Arkansas. However, I’m fading them in today’s matchup versus the Auburn Tigers. Auburn has beaten South Carolina in each of their last 7 meeting which includes a 101-61 home win this season. Each of Auburn’s 24 wins this season have come by 11 points or more. South Carolina has vastly overachieved this season on their way to a terrific 26-6 record so far. However, they just don’t match up well against the style of play in which Auburn has exhibited this season. Give me Auburn minus points. |
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03-15-24 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky OVER 149 | 54-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky 3:00 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Over 149.0 Western Kentucky is #1 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 75.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Hilltoppers average 80.6 points scored per game in conference play. WKU is also #2 in conference play when it comes to 2-points and 3-point shooting percentage. WKO has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 and with combined 165.3 points scored per game. Middle Tennessee State has shot less than 40% in each of their last 5. However, they’ve been able to overcompensate for the poor shooting by getting to the free throw line 25 times per game during that stretch while converting on 75.0% of those opportunities. Conversely, WKU has allowed 25 free throw attempts per game during their previous 5 contests. The 2 regular season matchups between these teams produced a combined 146 and 153 points being scored. Additionally, those contests averaged a combined 46.5 free throw attempts per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-14-24 | New Mexico v. Boise State -110 | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
New Mexico @ Boise State 11:30 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Boise State -115 (ML) I’m fully aware that New Mexico need this game much more when considering they’re clearly a bubble team when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. While barring something unforeseen, Boise State is thought to be a lock to receive an at-large bid regardless of tonight’s result. However, one thing I leaned over the years when it comes to sports betting, just because a team needs a game more than their opponent, doesn’t come close to assuring them a win. This matchup will be a textbook example of such. When you look at the analytical data Boise State is clearly the better team in this contest. This is a battle tested team Broncos team that not only excelled in conference play but also face the 25th most difficult non-conference schedule in all of college basketball. They also beat New Mexico in both regular season matchups by 8 and 10-points respectively. This is one I’m not going to cost myself by overthinking the process. Give me Boise State. |
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03-14-24 | Villanova +4 v. Marquette | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Villanova vs. Marquette 9:30 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Villanova +4.0 Villanova is coming off a narrow 1-point win yesterday over a 3-29 DePaul team that entered that matchup on a 19-game losing streak. That was a contest in which the Wildcats closed as a massive 24.5-point favorite. It’s been a frustrating season for Villanova fans who have witnessed their team going just 18-14 thus far. Yet, here they are as just a short underdog versus #10 ranked Marquette (23-8) who they’ve already lost to twice this season. They’re begging us to lay the small number on a nationally ranked team versus a seemingly average opponent at best. However, I’m going contrarian here and not taking the bait. Give me Villanova plus points. |
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03-14-24 | Boston College +5.5 v. Virginia | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Boston College vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Boston College +5.5 Virginia had a double bye in the ACC Tournament after finishing in the top 4 of their league standings. Conversely, Boston College played in each of the previous 2 days while earning impressive wins over Miami by 16 and Clemson by 21with each coming as an underdog. The Eagles will also be out to revenge a late season 4-point home loss to Virginia in a game they looked poised to win for a majority of that contest. Don’t look now but Boston College enters today on a 4-game win streak and brimming with confidence. Conversely, Virginia went a subpar went just 3-4 SU in their last 7 regular season games. The Cavaliers are coming off a 72-57 home win in their previous contest. Nonetheless, Virginia has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 immediately following a win and lost by a substantial average of 23.3 points per game. Give me Boston College plus points. |
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03-14-24 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -5.5 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs. South Carolina 3:30 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: South Carolina -5.5 Arkansas is coming off a 90-85 overtime comeback win yesterday versus SEC cellar dweller Vanderbilt. Despite their 25-6 record, South Carolina has been disrespected on a national scale on many fronts. This Gamecocks team is 11-3 SU and 11-2-1 ATS this season in away and neutral site games. Furthermore, they went 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 SEC road games this season. South Carolina won against Arkansas 77-64 earlier this season in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog and was the only contest played between these teams. Give me South Carolina minus points. Give me South Carolina minus points. |
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03-14-24 | USC +9.5 v. Arizona | 49-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
USC vs. Arizona 3:00 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: USC +9.5 There’s no denying that Arizona is one of the best teams in the country and a legitimate contender to win a national championship. However, we are talking about a a first-round conference tournament game that means very little to the Wildcats other than whether they’ll be a #1 or #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. We must also keep in mind, Arizona was unbeaten at home this season, but just 9-6 SU in away or neutral site games while allowing an alarmingly high 80.4 points per contest. USC is just 15-17, but they’ve gone 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS during their last 4 games which included an upset win over Arizona. The Trojans were also 6-2 SU in their last 8 with their lone defeats coming by 3 points on each occasion. Give me USC plus points. |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Seton Hall vs. St. John’s 2:30 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Seton Hall +4.0 Seton Hall has owned St. John’s since the start of last season while winning all 4 matchups and with an average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. During this season’s 2 regular season matchups St. John’s was held to 63.5 points scored per game and a horrible 26.5% shooting. Seton Hall amassed an alarmingly high 28 offensive rebounds in those contests and went to the free throw line 69 times. The Pirates are #18 nationally and #3 in Big East action in free throw shooting percentage. Give me Seton Hall plus points. |
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03-13-24 | California Baptist v. Utah Valley -5.5 | 74-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Cal Baptist @ Utah Valley State Game# 701-702 Play On: Utah Valley State -5.5 These are 2 teams that have been clearly headed in opposite directions. Cal Baptist is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. Conversely, UVSU has gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS during their previous 8 games. UVSU is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 versus Cal Baptist with an average victory margin of 11.8 points per game. Give me Utah Valley State minus points. |
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03-13-24 | Lehigh v. Colgate UNDER 134.5 | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Lehigh @ Colgate 7:00 PM ET Game# 306541-306542 Play On: Under 134.5 Colgate has played 6-0-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever there was a total of 141.0 or less and there was a combined average of 128.9 points scored per game. Lehigh has gone over the total in each of their previous 2 games. However, since the start of last season Lehigh has played 11-2 to the under following 2 consecutive contests going over the total and there was a combined 128.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings easily went under with Colgate winning 63-60 and 60-57. Both teams have limited their opponents free throw attempts during conference action with Colgate allowing only 16 per game and Lehigh permitting just 13 per contest. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-13-24 | Air Force v. New Mexico OVER 146 | 56-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Air Force @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Over 146.0 Since the start of last season, these teams have met 4 times and went over the total on each occasion with a combined average of 156.5 points scored per game. Air Force has played 13-4-1 to the over in conference games this season and New Mexico 12-5-1 to the over. Air Force play’s a a snail’s pace offensively but is #2 during Mountain West Conference action when it come to 3-point shooting at 36.8%. However, it must be noted, they averaged 4.5 field goal attempts more per game than their season average. Conversely, New Mexico prefers a frenetic offensive tempo, and they rank 5th fastest nationally and # during conference action in that category. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings OVER 235 | Top | 94-129 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Bucks @ Kings 10:10 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Over 235.0 These teams have gone over the total in their last 22 head-to-head meetings and did so by an average of 15.6 points per game. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, they’ve met 7 times and produced a combined average of 257.4 points per game, and that includes a 143-142 Bucks win in Milwaukee on 1/14/2024. After going through a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 106 points or fewer on each occasion, Milwaukee has dropped 2 of their last 3 while allowing 122.7 points per contest. During that recent 3-game stretch Milwaukee opponents have combined to shoot a combined 50.9%. The Bucks offensive play has very rarely been an issue this season based on them averaging 120.9 points per contest to this point. Sacramento is coming off a 112-104 home loss to Houston that went under the total of 234.0. However, the Kings have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 245.8 points scored per game. The Kings shot 45.6% in that loss to Houston. Sacramento has shot 50% or better in 6 straight games immediately after a contest in which they shot less than 50%. Throughout their previous 6 contests, the Kings have averaged 95.3 field goal attempts per game which equates to an extremely fast pace even by NBA standards. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-11-24 | Mavs v. Bulls OVER 232 | 127-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 232.0 Dallas has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 when the total was 130.0 or greater and there was a combined 266.3 points scored per game. The Mavericks have also gone over in their last 4 aways games with a combined 253.8 points scored per contest. Chicago has played 11-1 to the over this season during non-conference home games and that includes 5-0 in the last 5 with a combined 245.0 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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03-11-24 | East Tennessee State +10 v. Samford | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State vs. Samford 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: East Tennessee State +10.0 Samford is an excellent 3-point shooting team with an outstand season record of 28-5. However, they’ll be facing an ETSU team which has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and held their opponents to only 28.6% shooting from beyond the 3-point line. ETSU has also gone a very profitable 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS during line games this season immediately following 2 consecutive wins. ETSU lost both regular season meeting versus Samford but did go a combined 19-47 (40.5%) from 3-point territory. ETSU has also made 40.2% of their 3-point shot attempts during their current 5-game win streak. Give me East Tennessee State plus points. |
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03-10-24 | Pacers v. Magic -125 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Pacers @ Magic 6:10 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Magic -125 Orlando is coming off road loss at New York. However, the Magic have gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 17.2 points per game. Orlando is also an extremely profitable 22-3 this season as a money line favorite. Orlando has shot 52.7% or better from the field in 5 of their last 6 games. The Magic have also allowed 109 points or fewer in 10 consecutive games. Conversely, Indiana has allowed 110 points or more in each of their previous 13 and their opponents have shot 50% or better during 17 of their last 26 games. As a matter of fact, Indiana is allowing 121.8 points per game this season. Conversely, Orlando is 15-2 SU this season versus opponents that allow an average of 220.0 points or more per game. Give me the Magic minus points. |
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03-10-24 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Indiana 4:30 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Indiana +4.0 Michigan State is coming off a 4-point home win over Nebraska which snapped a 3-game losing streak. The Spartans are just 3-6 SU during conference road games this season. Indiana has been a big disappointment for most of the season. However, they coming in riding high with a 3-game win streak. This will be the Hoosiers final home game of the season which will assuredly give them a sizable emotional lift. Give me Indiana plus points. |
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03-09-24 | Utah v. Oregon OVER 151 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Utah @ Oregon 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Over 151.0 This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. Utah has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away with a combined 156.7 points scored per game. During their last 3 games overall, Utah averaged a lofty 87.7 points scored per contest and shooting 50.5% from the floor. They also played at a very fast tempo during those 3 contests while averaging 65 field goal attempts per game. Utah defeated Oregon at home earlier this season 80-77 in a game that sailed over the total of 149.5. Oregon has scored 75 points or more and shot 49% or better in 4 of their last 5 games. The Ducks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 151.0 or greater and an average of 167.5 points were scored per game. Oregon has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 this season when facing an opponent like Utah who averages 77.0 or more points per game with a combined 160.9 points scored a game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-09-24 | Kansas v. Houston -8 | 46-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Houston 4:00 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Houston -8.0 Kansas is 2-6 SU in conference away games this season and that includes 1-5 during their last 6. Conversely, Houston has gone a perfect 16-0 SU this season at home with an average victory margin of 27.6 points per game. Furthermore, Houston will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 78-65 loss at Kansas. Houston is one of if not the best defensive team in the country but was embarrassed in the loss to Kansas when the Jayhawks shot a blistering hot 68.9% from the floor. I’m here to tell you that was an aberration. Give me Houston minus points. |
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03-09-24 | Richmond v. George Mason -130 | 46-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Richmond @ George Mason 2:30 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: George Mason -130 George Mason will be playing with revenge stemming from a 7-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. The Patriots are coming off a 69-51 win at Rhode Island. George Mason has gone 7-1 SU this season following a win by 10 or more in their previous game. George Mason is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games versus Richmond. Give me George Mason as a money line favorite. |
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03-09-24 | Creighton v. Villanova +1.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Villanova 2:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Villanova +1.5 Villanova is coming off a disappointing 66-56 loss at Seton Hall. However, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 18 points or more on each occasion. Despite going 3-2 in their last 5, Villanova has been excellent defensively while allowing just 62.6 points per contest and their opponents shot just a combined 38.7% from the field. Villanova has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Creighton with an average victory margin of 19.3 points per game. The current total in this contest is 136.5. Villanova has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home this season when the total was between 130.0 to 139.5. Their only SU loss came to #2 UConn 69-68. The Wildcats are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home while winning by an average of 20.5 points per game. Give me Villanova plus points. |
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03-09-24 | Arkansas +14.5 v. Alabama | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Alabama 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Arkansas +14.5 I really like how hard Arkansas has competed down the stretch despite them having a ho-hum season. Yes, the Razorbacks are only 3-3 SU in their last 6 but they covered on 5 of those occasions. Arkansas is also a perfect 3-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season which included an upset win at Texas A&M and an overtime loss at Kentucky. Alabama has lost their last 2 and 3 of their previous 4. The Crimson Tide is one of the more explosive offensive teams in the nation but they leave much to be desired on the defensive end. Throughout their previous 5 contest, Alabama has allowed 96.8 points per game and opponents have averaged a massive 30 free throw attempts per outing. That can be problematic against an Arkansas team that has averaged 88.8 points per game over their last 5 and went an excellent 85.0% from the free throw line. Give me Arkansas plus points. |
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03-07-24 | California v. Stanford OVER 154.5 | Top | 58-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
California @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Over 154.5 Stanford has played 13-2 to the over at home this season with a combined 160.1 points being scored per game. California is coming off an 88-59 loss at Utah which stayed under the total of 154.5. However, the Bears have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under during their previous contest with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per outing. Stanford is #2 in PAC-12 Conference play while making 38.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. On a negative note, the Cardinal have lost 6 in a row and allowed 81.8 points per game while doing so. Conversely, California has allowed 80 points or more in each of their previous 4 conference away games. Stanford is #3 and California #4 when it comes to offensive tempo during conference action. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-07-24 | Navy +4 v. Boston University | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Navy @ Boston U. 7:00 PM ET Game# 606575-306576 Play On: Navy +4.0 Both teams enter this contest on a 5-game win streak. However, Boston U. is an uninspiring 8-6 SU at home this season. The Terriers are coming off a 94-84 win over Holy Cross. Boston U. is 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS this season in lined games following a win by 10-points or greater. During their current 5 game win streak Navy has covered on each occasion and made 42.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. They also allowed only 59.8 points per game while holding opponents to 35.8% shooting from the field. Navy is #1 in Patriot League Conference play in free throw attempts and Boston is dead last in free throw attempts allowed. Navy is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS this season after covering 2 or more games in a row and averaged outscoring their opponents by 7.5 points per game. Give me Navy plus points. |
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03-06-24 | Eastern Illinois v. SIU-Edwardsville OVER 142.5 | 57-68 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois vs. SIU-Edwardsville 10:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Over 142.5 SIU-Edwardsville has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 and with a combined 153.7 points scored per game. Edwardsville hasn’t shot very well in their last 5 but has more than made up for it by playing at frenetic pace by averaging 68 field goal attempts per game. During that same stretch, they allowed 77.8 points per game while opponents shot 41.9% from 3-point territory and averaged 26 free throw attempts per contest. Conversely, Eastern Illinois has made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Eastern Illinois has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-06-24 | Loyola-Chicago -110 v. Davidson | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Loyola-Chicago -110 (ML) Davidson has gone a terrible 2-6 SU in conference road games this season. The Wikdcats have also lost their last 3 games overall. Loyola has gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 outings. The Ramblers are also a sparkling 6-0 SU&ATS during conference away games this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago. |
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03-05-24 | San Diego State v. UNLV +2.5 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ UNLV 11:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: UNLV +2.5 San Diego State has gone 14-0 at home this season. Nevertheless, all 7 of their losing this season have occurred in true road games. As a matter of fact, San Diego State is 0-6 SU&ATS this season during true road games when their point-spread was between +3.5 and -3.5. UNLV enters this contest having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS during their previous 10 games. The Rebels will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from an earlier season 72-61 loss at San Diego State. Give me UNLV. |
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03-05-24 | Spurs v. Rockets -7.5 | Top | 101-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Spurs @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Rockets -7.5 Houston is 7-0 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of between 3.5 to 9.5 and with an average victory margin of 178.6 points per game. San Antonio are coming off 2 consecutive wins for just the 4th time this season while defeating Oklahoma City 132-118 and Indiana 117-105. However, the Spurs are an abysmal 0-9 SU&ATS this season as an away underdog of between 3.5 to 9.5 and were outscored by a massive average of 23.0 points per game. San Antonio is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS this season immediately following 2 wins in a row. Give me Houston minus points. Give me the Rockets minus points. |
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03-05-24 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | 87-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama +2.0 Alabama is 5-0 SU in conference away games this season versus teams not currently ranked and won by an average of 10.4 points per game. Alabama is coming off a conference home loss to Tennessee this past Saturday. The Crimson Tide are 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference games this season immediately following a conference loss. The Crimson Tide shot 38.3% from the floor in that loss to Tennessee in their previous contest. It was just the 4th time all season that Alabama shot less than 40% and in their previous 3 immediately after that occurred, they averaged 103.0 points scored per game. Alabama is battle tested while having gone 20-9 against the 2nd toughest schedule in the country. The Crimson Tide have also won the last 4 head-to-head meetings versus Florida. Give me Alabama. |
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03-05-24 | Robert Morris v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10.5 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Robert Morris @ IPFW 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: IPFW -10.5 These teams just squared off in their final regular season game with IPFW posting an 83-65 home win. IPFW has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a favorite and won by an average of 19.7 points per game. Robert Morris enters the first round of the Horizon Conference Tournament on a 6-game losing streak and was outscored by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per contest. Give me IPFW minus points. |
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03-03-24 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 212.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Knicks @ Cavaliers 7:10 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: Over 212.5 Cleveland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined average of 236.2 points scored per game. Conversely, New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined 220.0 points were scored per game. Cleveland has played 12-4 to the over this season when playing teams like New York who have a winning record and there was a combined average of 232.9 points scored per game. Cleveland has played 5-1 to the over in their previous 6 at home. The Cavaliers have made a superb 40.2% of their 3-point shots throughout their previous 5 games. The Knicks have allowed opponents to make 41.3% of their 3-points shots over their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-03-24 | Clippers +1.5 v. Wolves | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Timberwolves 3:40 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers +1.5 Minnesota started the season by going 22-2 SU in their first 24 at home. Nevertheless, sinced then they’re only 5-5 SU on their home floor. The Clippers are 30-10 SU in their last 40 games and that includes 17-6 SU on the road. Los Angeles is coming off home games in each of their previous 3 outings. The Clippers are a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS this season immediately following playing their previous 3 on the road and won by an average of 15.9 points per game. Give me the Clippers plus points. |
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03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Celtics 3:40 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Celtics -10.5 The oddsmakers are begging you to take the red-hot Golden State Warriors as an 11.0-point underdog. After all, the Warriors have gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 on the road. However, please keep in mind that their star point guard Stephen Curry is listed as questionable as he’s nursing bursitis in his right knee. Boston has won 10 in a row and covered each of their previous 5. During that 5-0 SU&ATS stretch, Boston outscored their opponents by an enormous 25.4 points per game. Boston has shot 50% or better in each of their last 9 and 12 of its previous 15 games. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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03-02-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's OVER 141 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Gonzaga @ St. Mary’s 10:00 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Over 141.0 St. Mary’s has scored 70 points or more in their last 6 abd 12 of their previous 13 games. The Gaels have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, St. Mary’s has scored 84.0 points per game while shooting a sizzling hot 53.0% and they made an exceptional 45.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in each of their previous 7 contests. During their previous 5 contests, Gonzaga has scored 91.6 points per game, shot 58.6% from the field, and made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shots. Gonzaga is #4 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #1 during conference play. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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03-02-24 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia OVER 151.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ West Virginia 6:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 151.5 West Virginia is last in defensive efficiency during Big 12 action. The Mountaineers are also #1 during conference play in offensive tempo averaging 69.8 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. The Mountaineers have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 at home with a combined 157.1 points scored per game. Texas Tech has gone over in 5 straight contests when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Iowa v. Northwestern -2 | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Northwestern 5:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Northwestern -2.0 Northwestern is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games this season which includes notable wins versus Purdue, Michigan State, Illinois, and Nebraska. This is a game the Wildcats can ill afford to lose if they hope to be invited to the NCAA Tournament. Iowa is 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference road games and has been among the worst defensive teams during Big 10 Conference action. Give me Northwestern minus points. |
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03-02-24 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -120 | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech 5:30 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Virginia Tech -120 The Demon Deacons have been a nice story this season and are surely in strong consideration for an NCAA Tournament invite. However, Wake Forest is 0-3 in their last 3 and 1-7 during their previous 8 away games. Virginia is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games. Nevertheless, the Hokies are 3-0 at home this season immediately following back-to-back losses and won by an average of 10.0 points per game with all coming versus ACC opponents. Virginia Tech will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 86-63 blowout loss At Wake Forest. Give me Virginia Tech for a money line wager. |
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03-02-24 | Penn State v. Minnesota OVER 150.5 | 70-75 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Minnesota 3:15 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Over 150.5 Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 168.5 points scored per game. Penn State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was an average total of 156.7 while a combined 169.0 points were scored per game. Minnesota won 83-74 at Penn State earlier this season and that contest went over the total of 150.5. Minnesota has averaged 79.4 points scored per contest and made a superb 46.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Both teams defensive play has left a lot to be desired in recent games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Illinois v. Wisconsin OVER 153.5 | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Over 153.5 Wisconsin has gone over the total in all 7 games this season whenever there was a total of 143.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 160.9 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined 174.0 points scored per game. Illinois has also gone under in their previous 7 on the road with a combined 161 points or more being scored on each occasion. The Illini have also played 16-2 to the over in their last 18 and 20 of their previous 23 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Villanova v. Providence -2.5 | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Providence 12:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Providence -2.5 Providence is coming off an embarrassing 91-69 road loss at Marquette on Wednesday. However, the Friars are 4-0 SU in their last 4 conference home games. Conversely, Villanova is a dismal 1-5 SU in their last 6 on the road with their only win coming over Georgetown who has a horrible 2-15 Big East record. Villanova is certainly not terrible, but this is one of the weaker Wildcats teams we’ve seen in recent years. Providence will also be playing with revenge stemming from a 68-50 win at Villanova earlier this season. Give me Providence minus points. |
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03-01-24 | Dayton v. Loyola-Chicago +1.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Loyola-Chicago 9:00 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Loyola-Chicago +1.5 Loyola-Chicago got caught looking ahead to a matchup with nationally ranked Dayton in their previous game and lost at St. Bonaventure 79-64. However, the Ramblers are 6-0 SU versus Division 1 opponents this season following a SU loss and won by an average of 10.1 points per contest. Loyola is also 5-0 in their last 5 conference home games and with an average victory margin of 11.0 points per contest. Dayton is a terrific 22-5 this season. Nevertheless, they’ve gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 on the road. Give me Loyola Chicago. |
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03-01-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -9.5 | 110-138 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Celtics 7:40 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Celtics -9.5 This line has moved from 7.5 to 9.5 due to the availability status of star point guard Luka Doncic who has both a sprained ankle and broken nose. Considering this will be the Mavs 3rd road game in 4 days and the finale of a 4-game in 6-day road trip, I would be surprised if Dallas doesn’t air on the side of caution and opt not to play Doncic. Conversely, Boston will be playing on 2 days rest, and this will be only their 2nd game in 6 days. The Celtics enter today riding an 8-game win streak. That includes covering each of their previous 4 while winning by a substantial margin of 24.7 points per game. During this current win streak, Boston has shot 51.8% or better on each occasion and also allowed 105 points or fewer on 5 of those occasions. They’ll be facing a Dallas team that allows 117.6 points per game and opponents have shot 48.2% against them this season. Boston is 27-3 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by an average of 13.8 points per game. Saying they’ve been dominant on their own floor would be the vastest of understatements. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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02-29-24 | USC v. Washington State -7 | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
USC @ Washington State 10:30 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: Washington State -7.0 Washington State is 13-1 SU at home this season and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 with an average victory margin of 13.4 points per game. The Cougars are also 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 overall. USC is coming off a 72-64 upset win at UCLA. The Trojans are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win. USC has been dominated on the glass throughout their previous 5 contests with a -16 rebound per game differential. The Trojans are last in PAC-12 action when it comes to defensive rebounding while Washington State ranks 2nd on the offensive glass. Look for that to be a key factor tonight in the Cougars physically wearing down USC as the game progresses while forcing the to defend on multiple Washington State offensive possessions. Give me Washington State minus points. |
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02-29-24 | UTEP v. Jacksonville State OVER 134.5 | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
UTEP @ Jacksonville State 7:00 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Over 134.5 The first time these teams met this season UTEP walked away with a 79-71 win and that contest easily surpassed the total of 130.5. It was an extremely physical game which is evidenced by a combined 68 attempted free throws. UTEP is coming off unders in each of their previous 2. The Miners have played 4-0 to the over this season in lined games and following back-to-back contests going under with a combined 158.3 points scored per game. UTEP has played at a might faster tempo over their previous 5 outings than their season average indicates with 65 field goals being attempted per game. UTEP has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when the total 135.5 or less and there was a combined 141.7 points scored per contest. The Miners last 2 road games were extremely high scoring affairs where the suffered losses of 90-80 to Western Kentucky and 96-90 versus Middle Tennessee State. Give me this game to go over the total. Jacksonville State is coming off a 77-75 conference road win at FIU. During the past 3 season, the Jaguars have played 9-0 to the over following a conference road win and with a combined 157.5 points scored per game. Jacksonville State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when the total was 139.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-29-24 | Hofstra +5 v. NC-Wilmington | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ NC-Wilmington 7:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Hofstra +5.0 Hofstra is 7-1 SU in their last 8 and is now 12-1 SU since last season in February. During their previous 5 contests Hofstra has averaged a lofty 79.2 points scored per game, shot 51.0% from the field, made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts, and went 76.2% from the free throw line. That shapes up to be problematic for a NC-Wilmington team that’s 1-2 SU in their last with opponents shooting 50.0% from the field and made 40.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. Their 2 losses came as a 9.0 and 16.5-point favorite. This will be the only regular season meeting between these teams. Hofstra will be playing with revenge stemming from a conference tournament loss to Wilmington as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me Hofstra plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Lakers +3.5 v. Clippers | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Clippers 10:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Lakers +3.5 The Lakers are coming off a 123-113 loss at Phoenix. However, they’ve gone 3-0 SU in their last 3 following a loss and with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game, and 2 of those wins came as an underdog. The Clippers are an uninspiring 3-4 and money-draining 1-6 ATS over their previous 7 games. That includes 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS as a favorite. Give me the Lakers plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Virginia v. Boston College -110 | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Boston College 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: Boston College -110 Despite Boston College being 6-10 in conference action and Virginia being 11-6, it’s the Eagles that come up as a slight favorite in this matchup. Virginia is just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and they scored a pathetic 46 points or fewer during each of the previous 3 games. Boston College is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games at NC State ans at Florida State. However, you may be unaware of the fact that Boston College hasn’t lost 3 in a row all season and they’re 4-0 SU following back-toback losses. Since the start of last season, Boston College is also 7-1 SU after playing each of their previous 2 games on the road. Give me Boston College on the money line. |
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02-28-24 | Minnesota v. Illinois OVER 154.5 | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Over 154.5 Illinois has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 and 15-2 over during their previous 17 games. Minnesota is coming off a 73-55 loss at Nebraska in their previous game which easily went under the total. But, the Golden Gophers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after an under and there was a combined 165.0 points scored per game. Additionally, Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season in games when the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined 160.2 points scored per contest. Both teams have been very good at getting to the free throw line over each of their previous 5 games with Illinois averaging 24 attempts per outing and Illinois 26 which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through that identical 5-game stretch, Illinois has made a superb 80.5% of those attempts and they allowed opponents 27 free throws per contest as well. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-28-24 | Mavs v. Raptors +3.5 | 136-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Raptors +3.5 Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off last night’s disheartening 121-119 loss at Cleveland. I described that as disheartening because the Cavaliers his a 59-foot 3-point shot at the buzzer to steal that win. That usually will take an emotional toll on a team after sustaining such a brutal loss and I strongly believe that will be the case in this matchup. Toronto will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and has a decided advantage regarding rest. Toronto also enters tonight having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. Give me Toronto plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Providence v. Marquette OVER 150 | 69-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Providence @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Over 150.0 Marquette has scored 78 points or more in 5 of their last 6 with the lone exception coming during a loss at #2 Connecticut. The Golden Eagles have shot 50% or better in 8 of their last 11 games. Marquette is #2 and Providence #4 when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo during Big East action. Providence has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined 155.4 points being scored per game. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well from beyond the 3-point line over each of their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | Nevada v. Colorado State -7 | 77-74 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Nevada @ Colorado State 10:30 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Colorado State -7.0 This point-spread was an attention getter for me with Colorado State opening as a 5.5-point favorite and quickly moving to 7.5 against a very good Nevada team that won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7. This is what I deem to be a heavy line and a number that most won’t be willing to lay with the home favorite. I’m not one of those bettors. However, this is a Colorado State team that’s 14-1 SU at home which includes 7-0 during Mountain West Conference action with an average victory margin of 11.4 points per contest. The Rams have tightened the screws defensively over their last 5 outing while allowing just 64.4 points per game and holding opponents to a combined 38.1% shooting from the floor. The Rams will be playing with same season revenge having lost at Nevada 77-64 earlier this season. They’re 2-0 SU&ATS at home this season while playing with same season revenge with wins over Boise State 75-62 and Utah State 75-55. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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02-27-24 | Heat -7 v. Blazers | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Trailblazers @ Heat 10:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Heat -7.0 Portland is coming off a 93-80 home loss to Charlotte. The Trailblazers have gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 13.5 or less and after game in which they scored 95 points or fewer. The lost those 7 contests by an enormous margin of 26.6 points per game. Portland is also 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests and lost by an average of 14.0 points per game. Miami is coming off last night’s win at Sacramento. The Heat are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with all coming as a road underdog. Additionally, the heat have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite and won by 13.7 points per game. I have little concern about Miami playing with no rest this evening since they’re recently coming off the all-star break. Give me the Heat minus points. |
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02-27-24 | Texas v. Texas Tech OVER 144.5 | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Over 144.5 Texas Tech has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 160.3 points scored per game. Texas has has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 when the total was 144.5 or greater with a combined 149.7 points scored per game. These teams met at Texas earlier this season and the Red Raiders came away with a 78-67 win and it went over the total of 140.5. Texas Tech is #19 nationally and #3 during Big 12 play in adjusted offensive efficiency. On a negative note, the Red Raiders are #11 during Big 12 action in adjusted defensive efficiency and #13 out of 14 teams regarding defensive 3-point shooting percentage. On the other hand, Texas is dead last in Big 12 play when defending the 3-point shot and #29 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Furthermore, during their last 4 on the road, Texas has allowed 79.5 points per gameand opponents have shot a combined 55.0% from the floor. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | NC State v. Florida State OVER 151.5 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
NC State @ Florida State 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Over 151.5 Florida State is coming off a 74-67 loss at Clemson that stayed under the total of 149.5. Nonetheless, the Seminoles have played over the total in 8 consecutive contests immediately following going under in their previous contest and there was a combined 162.6 points scored per game. Florida State is also #1 in offensive tempo during ACC games. On a negative note. Florida State allows the most free throw attempts during ACC action while NC State has made a terrific 77.9% of their free throws during conference games this season. Speaking of NC State, they’ve played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 144.0 or greater with a combined 159.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State -3.5 | Top | 91-89 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Kentucky @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Mississippi State -3.5 I’m of the opinion they’re giving us the winner in this matchup with unranked Mississippi State being a favorite over 6th ranked Kentucky. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked road underdog in this spot. The Bulldogs will be playing with revenge stemming from a 90-77 loss at Kentucky earlier this season. That was a contest in which Kentucky was awarded 17 more free throw attempts than Mississippi State and the Wildcats outscored the Bulldogs by 17 points from the charity stripe. That type of free throw shooting disparity is unlikely to occur again. Kentucky has gone just 2-4 SU in their last 6 conference away games. Conversely, Mississippi State enter this contest on a 5-game win streak and that includes going 4-0 ATS if they were favorite by 9.5 or less with an average victory margin of 17.3 points per game. Give me Mississippi State minus points. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Nebraska 6:30 PM ET Game# 857-858 Play On: Nebraska -6.5 I know Minnesota has been playing very well in recent weeks. However, they’re still just 2-5 SU on the road. I also can’t ignore the fact that Nebraska is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS during conference home game this season. The Cornhuskers will also be out to revenge a 76-65 loss at Minnesota earlier this season while outscoring their opponents by an average of 13.2 points per game. Give me Nebraska minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Pepperdine v. San Francisco OVER 149 | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Pepperdine @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Over 149.0 Pepperdine has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games. San Francisco has played 10-1 to the over in their previous 11 this season as a double-digit favorite. The Dons are also 8-1 to the over in their last 9 at home. Pepperdine is coming off an 89-70 win at Pacific. Since the start of last season, Pepperdine has played 9-1 to the over immediately following a game in which there was a combined 155 points, or more being scored and there was an average of 161.9 points scored per contest. San Francisco has shot 48% or better in 5 of their last 6 games. Pepperdine has been awful defensively during conference play while allowing 79.6 points per game and opponents are shooting a combined 52.6% from the field. However, Pepperdine has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 while averaging 77.0 points scored per game while making 39.6% of their 3-point shot attempts and 79.3% on their free throws. San Francisco defeated Pepperdine at home earlier this season 80-74 and that contest went over the total of 146.5. |
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02-24-24 | Utah v. Colorado -6.5 | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Utah @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Colorado -6.5 Utah is a dismal 1-6 SU in conference away games with their only victory coming in last Sunday’s 70-69 at UCLA. Conversely, Colorado is 6-1 SU in conference home games. During PAC-12 play, Utah is the worst team in free throw attempts allowed. On the other hand, Colorado is #1 during conference action in free throw attempts for and also #1 in free throw percentage while making them at a 78.5% clip. Colorado will also be out to atone for an earlier season 5-point loss at Utah. Give me Colorado minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Mississippi State v. LSU +2.5 | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 8:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: LSU +2.5 Mississippi State is coming off a 12-point home win over their bitter in-state rival Ole Miss. Now they must go on the road to face a 14-12 LSU team and may get caught looking ahead to hosting #17 Kentucky on Monday night. It’s a textbook sandwich and trap game. Furthermore, although Mississippi State has a very good 11-2 home record, the Bulldogs have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road, and the lone win came over a Missouri team which currently is on a 13-game losing streak. Despite their mediocre record, LSU is showing signs of life after upsetting #20 South Carolina on the road and knocking off #17 Kentucky at home during their previous 2 games. I like the home team in this spot that’s riding a wave of momentum versus the high potential of the visiting team being flatter than a pancake. Give me LSU. |
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02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -3 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Pittsburgh 5:30 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0 Virginia Tech is coming off a dominating 75-41 home win over a very good Virginia team. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is coming being routed 91-58 at Wake Forest in their last time out. Yet, it’s Pittsburgh who comes up favorite in this spot. This is a classic example of unsuccessful sports bettors falling prey to a short memory. Taking the underdog in this situation is in my eyes a sucker play. Give me Pittsburgh minus points. |
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02-24-24 | George Mason v. Loyola-Chicago -3 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
George Mason @ Loyola-Chicago 4:30 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Loyola-Chicago -3.0 George Mason is coming off their first ever win in program history over a Top 25 opponents when they knocked off #16 Daton 74-70 the last time out. This has all the potential for a letdown spot for George Mason given the emotional high carried away from and during that win. It’s only human nature that George Mason won’t come close to the intensity level and mental sharpness it had during that upset win. Additionally, George Mason is 1-4 in their last 5 conference away games. Although Dayton and Richmond have made plenty of headlines this season in the Atlantic 10 Conference, Loyola-Chicago is a sneaky good team. Loyola enters Saturday’s contest having won 6 in a row, 9 of their last 10, and 13 of their previous 15 contests. Furthermore, tjhey already won at George Mason 85-79 earlier this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago minus points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-24-24 | North Carolina v. Virginia +2.5 | 54-44 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia +2.5 Virginia is coming off a humiliating 75-41 at Virginia Tech. The good news is the Cavaliers are 5-1 SU immediately following a loss this season and 7-1 SU during ACC home games. Conversely, North Carolina is coming off a 96-81 home win over Virginia Tech. It’s well worth noting, the #10 Tar Heels have gone 0-3 SU in their last 3 following a win. North Carolina is just 3-3 SU in their last 6 overall which included road losses versus unranked teams in Syracuse and Georgia Tech. Give me Virginia plus the points. |
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02-24-24 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -2.5 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Ole Miss 3:30 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Ole Miss -2.5 We have unranked Ole Miss as a short home favorite versus #20 South Carolina and in my opinion rightfully so. After a surprising 23-3 start to the season, South Carolina has dropped their last 2 games by 40 at Auburn and then in their previous contest was upset by LSU as a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Ole Miss has lost 4 of their last 5 but 3 of those contests occurred on the road including a narrow 68-65 defeat at South Carolina. The Rebels are 13-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Auburn. South Carolina has been exposed. Give me Ole Miss minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Houston v. Baylor +2.5 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Baylor +2.5 Houston is coming off a hard fought 8-point home win over #6 Iowa State. The Cougars are 23-3 and ranked #2 nationally. However, all 3 of their loses came in conference away games versus Iowa State, Kansas, and TCU. Baylor is coming off a disappointing 7-point loss at #25 BYU. The Bears return home where they’re 13-1 this season with their lone defeat coming in triple overtime to TCU. Unranked Baylor already owns 3 home wins versus ranked teams over #6 Iowa State, #23 Texas Tech, and #25 Baylor. They also defeated #14 Auburn and #24 Florida on neutral courts earlier this season. This is great spot for the home underdog to make a statement and further improve their season resume. Give me Baylor plus points. |
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02-23-24 | Bucks +4.5 v. Wolves | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Timberwolves 10:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Bucks +4.5 This line makes little sense to me with Minnesota being just a short home favorite against a struggling Bucks team. Especially when considering, Minnesota walloped the Bucks 129-105 at Milwaukee just 2 weeks ago. When these types of situations occur, I am apt to having a contrarian mind set. Milwaukee is coming off back-to-back losses. However, the Bucks are 5-1 SU this season following losses in each of their previous 2 games. Minnesota is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games played. The Timberwolves started the season 17-2 SU in their first 19 at home but have gone just 2-3 since. Milwaukee is coming off a disheartening loss to Memphis in their previous game as a massive 12.0-point home favorite. This will be just the 3rd game in the last 11 days for Milwaukee. Any NBA team that’s coming off a double-digit favorite SU loss and is playing in their 3rd game or less over the previous 10 days, has seen those teams go 28-6 SU (82.4%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. The SU betting angle is significant since it backs the underdog in this specific matchup. Give me the Bucks plus points. |
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02-23-24 | Heat v. Pelicans -3.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Heat @ Pelicans 10:10 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Pelicans-3.5 New Orleans is 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a non-conference home favorite of between 2.5 to 13.0 and won by a convincing average margin of 18.9 points per game. The Pelicans are coming off last night’s 127-105 blowout win over Houston. They’ve now won 4 in a row and 8 of their last 9. They’ve also won their previous 3 at home by a decisive margin of 22.3 points per game. Miami returns from the all-star break coming off road wins at Milwaukee and Philadelphia with both coming as an underdog. Those wins improved Miami’s season record to 30-25 (.545). Any NBA team like the Pelicans that is facing an opponent coming off back-to-back SU wins as an underdog, and that opponent has a win percentage of between .510 to .600, resulted in those teams like New Orleans going 63-26 ATS (70.8%) since the 19969-1997 season began. Give me the Pelicans minus points. |
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02-22-24 | Oregon v. Stanford OVER 149.5 | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Over 149.5 Stanford has played 12-1 to the over this season at home with a combined average of 161.6 points being scored per game. Stanford is #3 in offensive tempo, #1 when in 3-point shooting percentage, and #2 in free throw percentage during PAC-12 action. Oregon is has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games and all versus conference opponents. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-22-24 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 242 | 110-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Warriors 10:00 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Over 242.0 The Lakers have played 15-1 to the over on the road this season whenever there’s been a total of 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 248.7 points scored per contest. During their last 3 before the all-star break, the Lakers averaged 134.0 points scored per game and shot 54.8% from the field. Conversely, Golden State averaged 127.6 points scored per contest, shot 49.3% from the field, and made a superb 44.7% of their 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. These teams met once this season and the Lakers came away with a 145-144 overtime win at Golden State. However, that contest was tied 133-133 at the end of regulation play and still easy surpassed the posted total. The last 4 meetings between these division rivals that were played at Golden State all went over the total. |