Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-31-23 | 49ers v. Commanders OVER 49.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
49ers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Over 49.5 The Commanders figure to get a much-needed spark with veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett replacing struggling Sam Howell. Even with Howell, Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per contest. On a negative note, the Commanders have allowed 34.7 points and 407.3 yards per game throughout their previous 6 contests. The 49ers are one of if not the best NFL offenses when healthy like they are right now. Throughout their previous 4 on the road, the 49ers averaged 38.0 points scored and 419.0 yards gained per game. They’ve also gone over the total in their last 3 on the road with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per game. The 49ers have a very talented group, but over their previous 3 contests they’re allowing an uninspiring 26.0 points and 367.7 yards per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Over 41.5 The weather conditions won’t be ideal, but it won’t automatically make this a low scoring affair. The Ravens offense has been humming which is evidenced by them scoring 31 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Ravens are the #1 running team in the NFL so far this season and are averaging 157.1 yards per game. Baltimore is also #4 in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game. The Ravens have played 5-2 to the over during their previous 7 contests and with a combined average of 52.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville enters this week #11 in total offense, #9 in passing offense, and #9 in scoring offense. Additionally, throughout their previous 4 contests the Jags have averaged 29.0 points scored and 375.8 yards gained per game. Jacksonville has also allowed 26.8 yards and 380.8 yards per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over at home this season when the number was 44.0 or less and there was a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | Top | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 45 h 1 m | Show |
Commanders @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Over 48.5 Washington has played 4-0 to the over this season when the number is 42.5 or greater and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 games, Washington has averaged 24.0 points scored and 415.8 yards gained per contest. They’ll be facing a Cowboys team which has averaged 40.0 points scored and 446.5 yards gained per game at home this season. Both teams have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 games with averaged combined scores of 55.8 points scored in contests involving Dallas and 52.3 in those Washington outings. Dallas is coming off a 33-10 win at Carolina and covered as an 11.0-point favorite. Washington is coming off a 31-19 home loss to the New York Giants. Any NFL home favorite of -10.0 or greater that’s coming off an away favorite of 10.0 or more ATS cover, versus an opponent that allowed 19 points or more in their previous contest, and the total in this current identical situation is 45.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 7-0 to the over since 1998. There was a combined average of 65.7 points scored per gane during those 7 contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ Kansas City 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 52.0 (10*) Since 1/20/2019, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over in home playoff games with a total of 56.5 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 52.2 and there was a combined 66.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less, and there was a total of 42.0 or greater. The Jaguars have also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when there was a total of 45.5 or greater, and there was a combined 63.0 points per game. The Jaguars enter this Divisional Round matchup riding a 6-game win streak. NFL Playoff teams like Jacksonville who have won 6 or more games in a row, and there was a total of 52.0 or greater, saw those situations play 4-0 to the over and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per occurrence since 2017. NFL Playoff home favorites of 4.5 or more like Kansas City that are coming off a bye, with a total of 42.0 or more, and they’re coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those situations playing 11-0 to the under since 1990. The average total in those games was 47.5 and there was a combined 55.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Seattle @ Arizona 4:05 Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 49.0 (10*) Seattle has seen each of their previous 3 away games go over the total and there was an enormous average of 74.7 points per contest. Seattle is coming off a 27-13 home win over the New York Giants which has improved their season record to 5-3 (.625). Arizona has seen its last 2 go over the total with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. The Cardinals are coming off last week’s 34-26 loss at Minnesota and they now find themselves with an uninspiring 3-4 (.375) season record. Since 2016, NFL teams with a total of 47.5 or greater who are playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off a home win by 13 or more points in which they scored 48 points or fewer, and their win percentage is between .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .333 or better (Arizona), resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82%) to the over. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 56 m | Show |
San Francisco @ LA Rams 6:40 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a thrilling 30-27 win at Tampa Bay and that game went over the total of 48.0. Los Angeles has played 6-0 to the under (40.8 PPG) in their last 6 following a game in which they went over. As a matter of fact, the Rams haven’t gone over in consecutive games since 10/3/2021. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, the Rams have played 16-6 (72.7%) to the under as a home favorite. San Francisco has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and with a combined average of 39.1 points scored per game. The 49ers run defense has been outstanding in recent games. They’ve allowed 90 yards rushing or less in their previous 7 and 10 of its last 11 games. San Francisco entered the season as the NFC #6 seed. Since the 2013 postseason, NFL #6 seeds have played 26-6 (81.2%) to the under. The average total in those 32 contests was 46.1 and there was a combined average of 40.1 points scored per game. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. Furthermore, throughout their previous 6 games, the 49ers stop unit has allowed 15.2 points per contests and 307 yards or fewer on each occasion. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 46 | Top | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) Cincinnati has seen each of its last 5 games go under the total and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Under current head coach Zack Taylor, Cincinnati has now played 10-2 to the under in Games 1 through 8 of their season and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Cincinnati has averaged only 9.0 points scored per contests in their last 4 meetings versus Baltimore, and 3 of those stayed under the total. The Bengals defense has played well this season while allowing 18.5 points and 331.5 yards per game. Cincinnati has played 3-0 to the under in road contests this season and held those opponents to just 13.7 points scored per game. Baltimore is coming off an impressive 34-6 home win over the Chargers. It was by far the best performance by the Ravens defense to date when considering the opponent. They held the explosive Chargers offense to just 208 yards. Since 2019, Baltimore has played 5-1 to the under at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Broncos v. Jaguars OVER 45 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
Broncos @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Over 45.0 (10*) I thought prized rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence acquitted himself very well in his NFL debut last week despite the Jaguars 37-21 loss at Houston. Granted he did throw 3 interceptions. Nonetheless, he also threw 332 yards and 3 touchdowns as well. Conversely, the Jacksonville defense was terrible. They allowed Houston to accumulate 449 yards of total offense and made vagabond quarterback Tyrod Taylor resemble a future Hall of Fame inductee. Houston was also 12-21 (57.1%) on 3rd down conversions. The Jags also allowed the Texans to average a massive 8.8 yards per passing attempt which is brutal by NFL standards. Teddy Bridgewater was solid in his Denver debut going 28-36 passing for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. The Broncos also ran the ball extremely well while accounting for 165 yards and averaged a terrific 5.9 yards per rushing attempts. Bet on this game to over the total for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 56.0 (10*) For starters 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have played to the under when there was a total of 50.0 or greater. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 38-24 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Since 10/1/18, Kansas City has played 7-2 to the under when there was a total of 52.0 or greater and after they scored 35 points or more. That took place with almost the identical offensive players as this season, and if anything, this year’s edition on defense may is better than the previous 2. The Chiefs will be facing a red-hot Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs are #1 against the run and have been for 2 years running. Tampa Bay is also 6th in total yards allowed per game and 4th in sacks with 48. The Tampa Bay defensive front 7 are outstanding and underrated. Look for Tampa Bay to invite Kansas City to run the ball and force them to be patient in the passing game by keeping everything in front of them. It’s likely the only time that plan gets abandoned is inside the red zone. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 18-32 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) The Rams know they can’t win a shootout against Green Bay. Jared Goff and the Rams offense is nowhere near as explosive in the passing game as they were 2 years ago when they advanced to the Super Bowl. However, one thing they continue do well is run the ball and that will be a key ingredient to their success on Saturday. The Rams defense is the best or at least one of the best units in the NFL. I look for Rams star cornerback Jalen Ramsey to more than hold his own while shadowing Green Bay #1 wide receiver Devante Adams who has torched opposing secondaries this season on a regular basis. Bet this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 42.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points. Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home. Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 44 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 44.0 (10*) Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output. Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent. Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year. |
|||||||
12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 47 | Top | 47-42 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Browns 8:15 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Under 47.0 (10*) These division rivals have seen the last 3 games played against one another in Cleveland all go under the total. These teams are run heavy offenses in what is now a pass happy league. The Browns have run the ball on 53.3% of their offensive plays this season while Baltimore does it at a 55.9% clip. It’s no coincidence that they rank #1 and #2 in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Conversely, Baltimore is dead last in the league in passing yards per game and Cleveland is #27 in that category. The weather forecast on Monday nigh is calling for winds of 17 to 20 MPH. That will certainly affect the teams passing games when going against the wind. Cleveland enters this game with a stellar 9-3 (.750) record. The Browns will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Baltimore in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable Monday night totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 43.0 or greater that has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those games going 22-1 (95.6%) to the under since 1980. If those home teams were an underdog of 4.0 or less this betting angle improves to a perfect 16-0 to the under since 1980. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Patriots @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (10*) I said it before the season, and I will say it again, anytime you get an opportunity to catch a Seattle game that has a total of 49.5 or less you should give strong consideration to bet the over. Last week in their season opener against Atlanta the total closed at 49.5 and the Seahawks prevailed 38-25 which easily surpassed the number. The Patriots are coming off a 21-11 win over Miami. However, now they are going to face on of the best quarterbacks in football with Russell Wilson as opposed to the Dolphins Ryan Fitzpatrick. You will not get many to disagree that Wilson is a huge step up in class compared to the former Harvard quarterback. Seattle is also vastly superior at the offensive skilled positions in comparison to Miami. The Patriots defense is still a formidable group. Nevertheless, they lost some key personnel from that exceptional unit from last season. It did not show up against Miami, but it will against this Seattle offense. I would be shocked if the New England offense does not expose the biggest defensive weakness for Seattle and that is their secondary. Matt Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 450 passing yards last week and 3 receivers went over 100 yards for the day. The Seattle pass defense has been a major issue for them dating back to last season. There is no more “Legion of Boom”. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-19-20 | SMU v. North Texas OVER 69 | Top | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Over 69.0 (10*) The enormous total in this game is for good reason. It still is not enough to scare me away. North Texas had over 700 yards of offense and allowed more than 500 in a 7-31 win over Houston Baptist in their season opener. They now will face one of the more prolific passing attacks in college football during recent years when they take on SMU this Saturday. The SMU secondary is vulnerable against good passing attacks and North Texas has exactly that. This will be an extremely high scoring game in which they winning team will most likely have to score 50 points or more. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 20-34 | Push | 0 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
Houston @ Kansas City 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.0 (10*) These teams met twice last season and both games went over the total with a combined average of 68.5 points scored per contest. This game will feature two of the most exciting quarterbacks the NFL has to offer in Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson. Watson threw for 3852 yards and 26 touchdowns last season. He added an additional 635 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 postseason games. That includes 388 yards and 2 touchdowns passing in the AFC Divisional Round 51-31 loss at Kansas City. Watson also ran for 413 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 regular season games. During 30 regular season starts over the past 2 regular season, During the past 2 regular seasons, Patrick Mahomes has combined to throw for an astronomical 9128 yards and 76 touchdowns. During that identical time span, Mahomes also ran for 490 yards and 4 touchdowns. Although Mahomes is not the running threat that Watson is, he is still very mobile and has an uncanny ability to extend plays with that attribute. The Chiefs have gone over in their last 5 home openers and there was a combined 57.6 points scored per contest. The Texans defense was a huge liability a season ago and that was further exposed in their 2 postseason games against Buffalo and Kansas City. I see nothing to suggest there has been any offseason changes made that would indicate any significant improvement. Houston was 28 in total defense last season while allowing an enormous 388.3 yards per game. Kansas City was in the middle of the pack when it came to defensive statistics. Since 2008, any NFL home favorite of 1.5 or great that is playing in their first 3 games of the season, and there is a total of 52.0 to 55.5, has gone 13-1 (92.9%) over the total. There was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 67.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Clemson vs. LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Under 67.5 (10*) Although these two teams have explosive offenses, I like this game to be a lower scoring affair relative to the current total. Clemson has allowed 23 points or fewer in each of their 14 games this season and that includes 14 points or less 11 times. LSU has allowed 37 points or more 4 times, but their defense has shown a marked improvement during their previous 4 contests while allowing 16.3 points and 270.3 yards per game. The offenses will be able to mover the ball, but both defenses will get enough stops to keep this game on the lower side of the number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 45.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Packers 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Over 45.5 (10*) Weather is always a concern when games are played at Green Bay in January. It certainly will be very cold with temperatures in the low 20’s. Nevertheless, there’s 0% chance of precipitation and light winds of 5-6 MPH in the latest forecast. Both teams will have success running the ball in this contest. Subsequently, it will provide plenty of favorable opportunities via play action passing plays. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has seen 6 of his 9 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Green Bay signal caller Aaron Rodgers has witnessed 5 of his 7 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers OVER 44 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 44.0 (10*) The weather forecast is calling for 10 MPH winds throughout the game. That’s nothing new for San Francisco weather. Besides, both teams have very strong running games that can more than overcompensate when going against the wind. Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 5 away games this season when there’s been a total of 49.0 or less. Those 5 contests averaged a sizable 57.8 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, the Minnesota offense has been more effective on the road than at home this season which is evidenced by them averaging 26.4 points scored and 374.2 yards gained per away game. Minnesota is very good defensively. Nevertheless, it must be note, the Vikings faced 6 teams this season that finished with winning records, and they allowed them to rack up an average of 377.2 yards of total offense per game. San Francisco finished the regular season by going over in their final 4 contests and there was a combined average of 64.3 points scored per game. The 49ers offense was explosive at home while averaging a robust 32.4 points scored per game. San Francisco’s defense was extremely dominant during their first 7 contests while allowing just a paltry 11.0 points per game. However, in their last 9 regular season games they allowed 25.9 points per contest and went over the total on 7 of those occasions. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* wager. |
|||||||
12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida OVER 55 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Virginia vs. Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Over 55.0 (10*) Both teams have productive passing attacks with Florida averaging 300 yards per game in the air and Virginia is at 263 per contest. Florida averages only 120 yards per game rushing while Virginia is just a tad better at 127 per contest. Virginia has gone over the total in each of their previous 5 contests with a combined 72.0 points being scored per game. Any non-conference college football games with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and both teams are averaging 100 to 140 yards rushing per contest, resulted in those games going 40-6 (87%) over the total since 2010. There was an average total of 52.6 in those 46 contests and a combined 61.2 points were scored per game. Furthermore, this exact situation has occurred 10 times this season, and all those contests went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 46.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
49ers @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Under 46.5 (5*) Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s shocking 27-13 loss to Arizona (5-9-1) in a game they were a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Since 2017, Seattle has gone under the total in all 6 of its games when there’s a total of 50.0 or less and they’re coming off a home loss during their previous contests. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 37.0 points scored per game. Any NFL home team (Seahawks) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more in their previous outing, resulted in those home teams going 29-2 (93.5%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Over 50.5 (10*) Arizona has gone over the total in 4 of 5 games this season as a road underdog. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 49.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals defense has given up 393 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 and they allowed 29.4 points per game while doing so. Arizona is coming off last Sunday’s 38-24 home win over Cleveland in a game they amassed 445 yards of total offense. Seattle has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 at home and there were a combined 61.2 points scored per game. Both starting quarterbacks (Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray) have above average mobility which enables them to beat defenses with their arms and legs. Each defensive unit has been terrible against the pass this season. Arizona is dead last in that category at 290.4 yards per game allowed and Seattle is #29 while permitting 271.0 yards passing per contest. This game has all the earmarks of a high scoring and extremely entertaining affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 45 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
Rams @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Under 45.0 (10*) San Francisco is coming off last Sunday’s 29-22 home upset loss to Atlanta. The Rams are coming off a humiliating 44-21 loss at Dallas in a game they closed as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 2 results creates an NFL totals betting angle which is unbeaten since 2015 and is illustrated below. Any NFL team (Rams) with a total of 46.5 or less that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 10 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (49ers) who scored 28 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 24-0 under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 55.5 | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Georgia’s defense is elite as evidenced by the giving up just 10.4 points and 257.1 yards per game this season. However, they will be facing the best offense in the country on Saturday with all things being considered. LSU has scored 42 points or more in 10 of 12 games this season on their way to an unblemished 12-0 record and #1 ranking. The Tigers are averaging a robust 48.7 points and 560.4 yards per game. Conversely, the LSU defense has been vulnerable at time. The Tigers stop unit has allowed 37 points or more 4 times and permitted its opponents to amass 530 yards or more of total offense on 3 separate occasions. I like the combined score to reach 60 points or greater in this SEC Championship Game. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 49 | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
Saints @ Falcons 8:20 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Under 49.0 (10*) After putting together a modest 2-game win streak, Atlanta followed it up with last Sunday’s disappointing 35-22 loss to Tampa Bay as a 3.0-point home favorite. Conversely, New Orleans is coming off a 34-31 home win over Carolina last Sunday, and that contest easily went over the total of 46.0. Since the start of last season, New Orleans has gone under in all 7 of its contests following a game in which they scored 43 points or fewer and went over the total. These teams have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total, and that includes an Atlanta 26-9 win at New Orleans earlier this season in a contest that went way under the total of 51.5. Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 13 points or more, and they possess a losing record, resulted in those games going 21-0 under the total since 2015. There was a combined average of just 30.3 points per game scored during those 21 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Chiefs vs. Chargers 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Under 53.0 (10*) The Chargers defense has stepped up in their last 2 games against potent offensive attacks while limiting Green Bay to 184 yards and Oakland to 278. That’s a combined 175.7 yards below those 2 teams current season averages. Since Anthony Lynn took over a head coach of the Chargers in 2017, they’ve gone 15-5 (75%) under after game 8, and that includes 15-3 (83.3%) if the total was 53.0 or less. Los Angeles has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 this season. Additionally, the 2 games that went over during that sequence did so by a combined 1.5-points. Since 2016, Kansas City has gone 5-1 under the total as a division favorite in games not played at home and when there was a total of 47.0 or greater. All those contests came under the watchful eye of current head coach Andy Reid. Kansas City is coming off a 35-32 loss at Tennessee in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to a disappointing 5-4 (.555). Conversely, the Chargers are coming off a 26-24 loss at Oakland in a game they were a 1.0-point road favorite. The combination of these results and current season records qualifies this game for a extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any NFL team (Chargers) coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 2 points or more that’s playing after Game 9 of its season, and they own a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .642 who allowed 35 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 26-3 (89.7%) under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Under 50.5 (10*) Wisconsin was obviously caught looking ahead to their highly anticipated showdown with Ohio State during last week’s shocking 24-23 upset loss at Illinois as a 29.0-point favorite. Prior to that contest, the Badgers defense was held opponents to 15 points or fewer in each of its first 6 and included pitching 4 shutouts. The 315 yards they allowed in the loss to Illinois was the first time all season that a Badgers opponent eclipsed the 300-yard mark. Ohio State enters with a perfect 7-0 record. Additionally, during their last 6 outings the Buckeyes defense has allowed 5.9 points and not team has scored more than 10 against them throughout that stretch. Furthermore, Ohio State has held opponents to 285 yards or less of total offense in all their first 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 58.0 (10*) Both defenses are capable of dominating games. Clemson has allowed a mere 12.9 points per game which is tops in the country. Conversely, Alabama is giving up only 16.2 points per contest which ranks 5th nationally. Since the start of last season, Clemson has gone 8-1 under the total when facing opponents with a win percentage of .750 or better. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 43.9 points scored per game. Since taking over as head coach at Alabama, Nick Saban’s teams have gone 32-17 (65.3%) under the total against teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. By the way, Clemson is averaging 257 yards rushing per game this season. Relative to the current total of 57.5, I look for this game to be a lower scoring affair. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 43 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 43.0 (10*) Seattle saw their last 3 regular season games all go over the total. They also went over their total during their previous 3 road games and there were a combined 57.7 points scored per contest. The Seahawks have scored 20 points or more in 14 of 16 games this season and have allowed 24 or more during 5 of its 7 true road games. Since 2015, Dallas has gone 8-2 over at home when the total was 42.0 to 45.0. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 41-15 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Under 51.0 (10*) Any neutral field team with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s playing after game 6 of their season and they’ve won 3 of its last 4 games, versus an opponent (Michigan) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 34-7 (82.9%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 41 contests was 52.9 and there were a combined 42.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 46.0 (10*) Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less. New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Patriots v. Lions UNDER 54 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
New England @ Detroit 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Under 54.0 (10*) New England is coming off a 31-20 loss at Jacksonville and did so as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2014, New England has gone under the total on the road following a road loss, and those games averaged a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Additionally, since 2016, New England has gone 5-1 under when there’s a total of 49.5 or greater. Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 loss at San Francisco. The combination of this data leads us to an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. Detroit is 5-0 under in their last 5 at home when there’s of 48.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a road loss in which it allowed 38 points or fewer. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 39.6 points scored per game. Any team (New England) playing before Game 14 of their season with a total of 35.0 or greater, coming off an away double-digit loss as a favorite of 1.5-points or more, versus an opponent (Detroit) coming off an away loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, resulted in those games going 32-5 (86.5%) under the total since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ New England 3:05 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Under 46.5 (10*) Despite the Jaguars defense looking less than impressive during last week’s 45-42 Divisional Round win at Pittsburgh, they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Jacksonville has allowed 10 points or less in 9 of 18 games this season, and they’re at or near the top of every defensive category. New England’s explosive offense led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady gets a plethora of attention and rightfully so. Nevertheless, the Patriots defense has allowed 17 points or less in 11 of their last 13 games played, and that includes each of it previous 5 at home. Any road team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a road win in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 31-5 (86.1%) under the total since 1985. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 48.5 | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta @ LA Rams 8:15 ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Atlanta enters this postseason after seeing each of their last 5 regular season games go under the total. As a matter of fact, during the past 3 seasons Atlanta is 19-6 under following an under in their previous game, and that includes 11-1 under if there’s a total of 46.5 to 53.5. The Falcons defense has flown under the radar this season with no pun intended. Atlanta has allowed just 19.6 points and 318.0 yards per game during its regular season slate. This Falcons offense is far from the offensive juggernaut we saw a season ago. Much can be attributed to the loss of last season’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan who accepted the head coaching job in San Francisco. The Rams have been a dynamic offensive team this season. However, they have very little playoff experience on their roster, and this will be the Rams franchise first postseason appearance since 2005. This is an extremely talented Rams defense, and they’re masterminded by one of the best coordinators in football in Wade Phillips. Atlanta concluded its regular season last Sunday with a 22-10 home win over division rival Carolina. That victory improved their final regular season record to 10-6 (.625). They will be facing a Rams team that went 11-5 (.687). Any road team (Atlanta) playing in a playoff game that coming off a division home win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (LA Rams) with a win percentage of .687 or worse, resulted in those postseason games going 12-0 under the total since 2008. There was a combined average of 37.1 points scored per game during those 12 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-27-17 | Southern Miss v. Florida State UNDER 49 | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
Southern Miss vs. Florida State 1:30 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Southern Miss averaged outgaining their first 12 opponents of the season by a decisive 116.4 yards per game. Conversely, Florida State has outgained their opponents by a narrow 6.6 yards per game. Any non-conference team with a total of 42.5-49.0 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 yards or more per game, versus an opponent which possesses a +50 to -50 yard per game differential, resulted in those contests going 25-4 (86.2%) under the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game during those 29 contests. |
|||||||
01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers OVER 45.5 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -102 | 46 h 38 m | Show |
Miami @ Pittsburgh 1:05 PM ET Play On: Over 45.5 (10*) Miami finished the regular season by going 9-1 over the total in its last 10 games. As a matter of fact, they surpassed the number in each of their previous 6 contests, and there was a combined 51.5 points scored per game. The Dolphins are coming off a 35-14 blowout loss to New England. Since 2014, Miami is 5-0 over the total in road contests following a game in which they scored 14 points or less. Since 2014, Pittsburgh is 11-2 over the total as a home favorite when the number is 48.0 or less. Furthermore, if they were facing a non-division opponent in that exact situation, Pittsburgh was 6-0 over the total, and there was a combined 59.3 points scored per game. The Steelers finished the regular season on a 6-game win streak, and they enter these playoffs with an 11-5 (.687) record. Pittsburgh scored 27 and 31 points in their last 2 games. Any NFL road team (Miami) with at least 1 win on the season, and there’s a total of 45.0 or more, coming off a home game in which they scored 14 points or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of less than .750, and they (Pittsburgh) scored 25 points or more in each of their previous 2 outings, resulted in those games going 10-0 over the total since 2007. There was a combined average of 63.3 points scored per game during those 10 contests. Bet on this game to over the total for my NFL Wild Card Round Total of the Year. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Houston v. San Diego State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 93 h 7 m | Show |
Houston vs. San Diego State 3:30 PM ET Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Houston has held opponents to a mere 325.0 yards per game this season. At the time of this writing, Houston is a 3.5-point favorite in this contest. The Cougars are 10-1 under the total during the past 3 seasons when they’re a favorite of 3.5 to 10.0. Conversely, San Diego State has limited its opponents to only 320.8 yards of total offense per contest in 2016. Any non-conference game being played on a neutral field that has a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and both teams are allowing just 280 to 330 yards per game on the season, resulted in those games gong 36-8 (81.8%) under the total since 1992, and that includes 20-2 (91%) under since 2007. There was an average of 42.5 points scored per game in those 44 contests played since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys UNDER 52 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Washington @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Play On: Under 52.0 (10*) Washington is coming off a 42-24 home win against Green bay this past Sunday night. Dallas is coming off a 27-17 home win against Baltimore last Sunday. The combination of these two results, and the current total, sets up a never lost NFL total betting angle which has held firm during the past 12 seasons. Any away team with a total of 50.0 or more, coming off a home win in which they scored 20 points or more, versus a division opponent which scored 37 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those away teams going a perfect 25-0 under the total since 2005. There was a combined average of just 39.4 points scored per game during those 25 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos OVER 43 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Carolina vs. Denver 6:30 PM ET Play On: Over 43.0 (10*) Carolina has gone a perfect 9-0 over the total the past two seasons when facing an opponent with a winning record. Those nine games averaged a combined 57.6 points per contest. Carolina has gone over the total in each of their last five games this season as a favorite of 6.5 or less, and there were a combined average of 63.6 points scored per contest. Carolina has scored 31 points or more in eight of its previous nine games, and they’re average 32.2 points scored per contest this season. Denver has gone over the total in each of their last five contests after winning four in a row, and there was a combined average of 69.2 points scored per game. Any Super Bowl team (Carolina) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS as a favorite in its last three games, and there was a total of 46.5 or less, resulted in all eight of those contests going over the total since 1980. Those eight Super Bowls averaged a combined 55.4 points scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
|||||||
01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47 | Top | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
Arizona @ Carolina 7:40 PM ET Play On: Over 47.0 (10*) Both of these NFC Championship Game participants have been explosive offensively this season. As a matter of fact, they’re the top two scoring teams in the NFL. Arizona has averaged 30.6 points (#2) and 408.3 yards (#1) of total offense per game this season. They’re even better than that on the road. In eight away games, the Cardinals are averaging 32.7 points and 426 yards per contest. Arizona averages a large 6.28 yards per offensive play, and that’s best in the NFL. Carolina has eerily similar offensive numbers in comparison to their upcoming opponent. They’re averaging 31.2 points (#1) and 367 yards of total offense per game. Those numbers improve to 33.0 points and 392 yards per game when playing at home. Arizona is #5 in total defense, allowing an average of only 321.7 yards per game. However, the Cardinals have allowed 354 yards or more in four of its previous five games. Arizona has been adept at creating turnovers this season. They’ve had 34 takeaways in 17 games. However, Carolina has committed only 19 turnovers in 17 contests thus far. Along those same lines, Carolina is #6 in the NFL in total defense, allowing an average of 322.9 yards per game. Unfortunately, the Panthers defense has been torched for 373 yards or more in each of their last four contests. They’ve been able to cover up that deficiency during this stretch by creating a combined 9 turnovers, and having a +5 takeaway/giveaway differential. They’ll have their hands full in those regards against a Cardinals team which is a +8 this season in that exact category. As good as the Panthers defense whole body of work has been this season, they’ve been amongst the worst stop units in regards to allowing plays of 20 or more yards. Granted the Cardinals are 6-1 under the total in their last seven games. We also mustn’t forget, they began the season by going over the total in eight of its first ten contests. Carolina has seen its last eight games go over the total when facing an opponent with a winning record. Those contests averaged a combined 56.9 points scored per contest. Since Ron Rivera took over as head coach in Carolina prior to the start of the 2011 season, the Panthers are 19-7 over the total when facing an opponent with a winning record. Tightening those numbers up even further, if the total was 46.0 or more, Carolina is 10-1 over the total during that five season stretch. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* rating. |
|||||||
12-31-15 | Houston v. Florida State UNDER 55.5 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
Houston vs. Florida State 12:00 PM ET Play On: Under 55.5 (10*) Houston’s defense has given up their share of yards (381.3 PG) this season. However, they’ve overcompensated for that flaw by forcing an enormous 30 turnovers by opposing teams. It’s been more of a “bend but not break” mentality on that side of the ball, and has resulted in allowing a respectable 20.5 points per game. Florida State has fielded one of the best defensive units in the country this season. They rank 5th nationally in scoring defense (15.8 PPG) and 15th in total defense (327.7 YPG). The Seminoles have allowed 24 points or less in all twelve of their regular season games this season. They’ve also gone 8-3 under the total in its previous eleven contests. As a matter of fact, Florida State has gone under the total in all five of their contests that weren’t played in Tallahassee, and there was a combined average of only 31.4 points scored per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple UNDER 49 | Top | 32-17 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Toledo owns a pair of wins “Power Five Conference” teams. In their season opener they shocked Arkansas 16-12 as a massive 23.0 point road underdog, and then the following week defeated Iowa State 30-23 at home. They also easily defeated eventual MAC champion Bowling Green University 44-28 as an 8.0 point road underdog. This is a Rockets team that won’t be in awe of the situation or environment. Although Toledo gets a lot of recognition for a potent offensive attack, their defense isn’t too shabby as well. The Rockets are allowing just 21.1 points per game, and they’ve gone 8-3 under the total in 2015. Temple has a stellar 10-3 record heading into this bowl contest. The Owls will be facing a Toledo team that averages 35.3 points per game. During the past two seasons, Temple has gone a perfect 7-0 under the total versus opponents that average 31.0 or more points per outing. Those contests averaged only a combined 34.4 points scored per game. Temple has gone 8-5 under the total this season, and they’re allowing just 19.2 points per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-13-15 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 45 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Obviously the Patriots offense has been slowed a bit in recent weeks due to the loss of wide receiver Julian Edelman, all world tight end Rob Gronkowski, and running back Dion Lewis. None of those three players will be in uniform today. However, Tom Brady is still their quarterback, and no team in the NFL adjusts better to the personnel that’s available than New England. The Patriots have gone 4-1 over the total on the road this season, and there was a combined average of 55.2 points scored per contest. Houston’s defense dominant three game run came to a screeching halt last week in a 30-21 loss at Buffalo. The Bills offense racked up 390 yards of total offense, and that included 183 yards on the ground. Buffalo also may have established the blueprint to Neutralizing J.J. Watt who was a non-factor in last Sunday’s game. On the other hand, the Texans offense was able to amass 401 yards of total offense in the loss. During the past three seasons, Houston is 7-1 over the total as a home underdog of 7.0 or less. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-07-15 | Ohio State v. Virginia Tech UNDER 53 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 18 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Virginia Tech 8:00 PM ET Play On: Under 53.0 (10*) Virginia Tech’s Bud Foster is one of college football’s highest paid defensive coordinators and for good reason. His Hokies defenses are annually one of the best in various statistical categories. Foster will have 8 starters returning from a stop unit that allowed an average of just 20 points and 344 yards per game a season ago. Included in those defensive performances was an outstanding effort at Ohio State in which they stonewalled the Buckeyes offense, and were an integral part of a huge upset against the eventual national champions. With an experienced defense, and with an entire offseason to scheme for Ohio State, the Hokies defense will be well prepared for this monumental task of neutralizing an explosive Buckyeyes offense. The Hokies will be far from an explosive offensive team this season, and will need to overcompensate for that flaw by being efficient. The defenses of these respective teams will be amongst the very best on a national scale for this upcoming season. Although the Buckeyes gave up their share of points at times last season, the defense was clutch when they needed to be. If it weren't for the Hokies defense last season, they would've been hard pressed to be bowl eligible. Both teams return a plethora of defensive studs. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
|||||||
01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 49 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
The Bengals have seen their last 6-games on the road all go under the total. The average total in those games was 46.9, and the average points scored was 33.3. Those 6-games stayed under the total by a decisive average of 13.6 points per contest. I look for the Bengals to rely heavily on their running game. Especially considering star wide receiver A.J. Green is doubtful to play due to a concussion, and tight end Jermaine Gresham is far less than 100% due to a back injury. The Bengals have rushed for an impressive 557-yards over their previous 3-games, and averaged a superb 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. The Cincinnati run defense has been outstanding in their previous 5 road games. They've allowed opponents a total of only 296-yards during that time, and surrendered a paltry 2.8 yards per attempt. |
|||||||
12-30-14 | Maryland v. Stanford UNDER 48 | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Maryland vs. Stanford 10:00 PM ET |
|||||||
12-30-14 | Notre Dame v. LSU UNDER 53 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Notre Dame vs. LSU 3:00 PM ET |
|||||||
12-29-14 | West Virginia v. Texas A&M UNDER 66.5 | Top | 37-45 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs. West Virginia 2:00 PM ET |
|||||||
12-28-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 48 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
Carolina @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET |
|||||||
11-02-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins OVER 44.5 | Top | 0-37 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
San Diego @ Miami 1;00 PM ET |
|||||||
01-02-14 | Oklahoma v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Alabama enters the 2014 Sugar Bowl 4th nationally in total defense allowing just 274.7 yards per game, and 2nd in scoring defense holding opponents to a paltry 11.3 points per game. The Crimson Tide has allowed 10-points or less in 9 of 13-games this season. Alabama has gone under the total in 17 of 21-games as a favorite of between 10.5 to 21.0 with Nick Saban as their head coach.
Oklahoma comes into tonight's Sugar Bowl game 14th nationally in total defense, and 22nd in scoring defense. This is a Sooners team that relies heavily on their running game. The Sooners rank 107th national in passing offense at a mere 186.7 yards per game. The Sooners have gone under the total in all 6 games not played at home, versus a SEC opponent, and with Bob Stoops as their head coach. Any neutral field team playing in a non-conference game with a total of between 49.5 to 56.0, who's won 4 of their last 5-games, and both teams are from BCS conferences, has seen 38 of those 47-games (80.9%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1992 season. |
|||||||
01-01-14 | Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
These two teams defenses gets overshadowed by their offenses offenses prowess. Wisconsin ended the regular season #6 nationally in total defense allowing just 294 yards per game, and 5th nationally in scoring defense allowing just 14.8 points per contest. The Badgers have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5, and 6 of their last 8-games. South Carolina is 18th in total defense, and 14th in scoring defense allowing 20.0 points per game. The Gamecocks ended the regular season by going under the total in 5 of their last 6-games.
Any team (Wisconsin) playing on a neutral field with a total of between 49.5 to 56.0, and they average rushing for 100 or more yards per game than their opponents, has seen 33 of those 39-games (84.6%) go under the total since the beginning of the 2004 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet. |
|||||||
02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 47 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show |
Baltimore vs. San Francisco 6:30 ET
Play On: Over 47.0 The 49ers have gone over the total in their last 6 games and 9 of their last 10. The Ravens have gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog with a total of 48.5 and after scoring 32 points or less in their previous game. The average combined score in those 8 games was 53.9. The Ravens have allowed 398 yards or more to all 3 of this year's playoff opponents. Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that comes off 3 or more ATS wins in a row, they are playing in game 8 of the season or beyond, they scored 33 points or less in their previous game, they have a winning record, versus an opponent who allowed 26 points or less in their previous game, and they also have a winning record has seen 22 of those 27 games (81.5%) go over the total since the start of the 2007 season. Since the 1989 Super Bowl any favorite who went over the total in their previous 2 games has seen all 4 of those games go over the total with an average combined score of 53.5. Play on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-13-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 45.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that comes off 2 or more unders in a row, and they're allowing 17 or less points per game on the season has seen 27 of those 32 games (84.4%) go over the total since the start of the 2008 season.
Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that allows 4.5 yards or more per rush, and they gained 99 yards or less rushing in each of the last 2 games has seen 39 of those 54 games (72.2%) go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. |
|||||||
12-28-12 | Minnesota v. Texas Tech UNDER 55.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
Any team with a total of between 49.5 and 56.0 that committed 3 or more turnovers in their previous game, versus an opponent that committed 3 or more turnovers in each of their last 2 games has seen 38 of those 50 games (76%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season.
Any team that had 150 yards or less in total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent that gained 6.25 yards or more per play in their previous game has seen 42 of those 54 games (77.8%) go under the total since the start of the 1992 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-27-12 | Baylor v. UCLA Bruins OVER 81 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
The first team to 60 will win this game. Neither of these defenses has any shot of stopping the opposing offenses. The total is this high for a reason with the books putting out plenty of bait to go under the number. Baylor's defense has allowed 38.2 ppg and 513.9 ypg this season. The Bears offense is one of the most explosive in the country averaging 44.1 ppg and 578.7 ypg. Baylor has scored 41 points or more in 9 of 12 games this season. The Bears also allowed 42 points or more in 6 of their 12 games this year. Baylor has gone over the total in 6 of 8 games this season when the total was 70.0 or more.
The UCLA offense is no slouch as well averaging 35.1 ppg and 474.6 ypg. The Bruins defense hasn't exactly been dominant this season allowing 410.0 ypg. UCLA has gone over the total in their last 6 games with an average combined score of 68.8 ppg. Any team with a total of 70.0 or more in game 7 of the season or beyond, they gained 450 yards or more in total offense in their last 3 games, and both teams in the game average 440 yards or more of total offense per game on the season has seen 38 of those 46 games (82.6%) go over the total since the start of the 2003 season. Play on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-20-12 | BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 48 | Top | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
BYU is one of the best defenses in the country statistically. The Cougars allowed just 14.7 points per game while holding opponents to an average of 266.3 yards per game. BYU has gone under the total in 9 of their 10 games the last 3 seasons versus teams that outscore their opponents by an average of 10 or more points per game. The average combined total score in those 10 contests is 38.4 points per game. The Cougars offense has feasted on weaker opponents but has struggled versus teams with winning records. In 5 games this season versus teams with a winning percentage of better than .500 BYU averaged a paltry 12.8 points per game.
San Diego St. improved defensively as the season went on. The Aztecs held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 19 points or less. They also rely heavily on their run game offensively and that will be a problem versus a BYU defense that ranks 2nd nationally against the run. Any team that's playing in game 7 of the season or beyond that gained 475 yards or more of offense in their previous game, and both teams in this situation have outgained their opponents on the season by an average of between 0.6 to 1.2 yards per play has seen 40 of those 53 games (75.5%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Any team with a total of between 42.5 and 49.0 that allowed 125 yards or less rushing in each of their last 3 games, and they averaging 5.5 yards per rush in their previous game has seen 41 of those 57 games (74.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-16-12 | Carolina Panthers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 45 | Top | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
Any home team with a total between 42.5 and 49.0 coming off a road game in which both teams scored 24 points or more and their playing in game 15 of the season or before, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .750, and they scored 13 points or more in their previous game has seen 33 of those 37 (89.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2004 season. Play on this game to go under the total.
|
|||||||
12-15-12 | Nevada v. Arizona OVER 75 | Top | 48-49 | Win | 100 | 74 h 36 m | Show |
Any team with a total of 70.0 or more that
|
|||||||
12-13-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 45 | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
The Eagles rookie quarterback Nick Foles seems to be coming of age in his last 2 starts completing 54 of 85 pass attempts (63.5%) for 3 touchdowns and no picks. The Eagles have gone over the total in their last 4 home games this season with an average combined score of 52.3 ppg. The Bengals have been dominating defensively at home but very average on the road. In the Bengals 6 road games the average combined total score has been 48.0 ppg.
Any road team with a total of 42.5 or more that |
|||||||
12-09-12 | Tennessee Titans v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 48 | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -123 | 42 h 8 m | Show |
These two teams have seen their last 4, 7 of their last 8, and 11 of their last 13 meetings all go under the total. The Colts have gone under the total in their last 10 games versus division opponents. The Colts have been installed as a favorite just 4 times this year prior to this week and all 4 of those contests have gone under the total.
Any division home favorite with a total of 42.5-49.0 that |
|||||||
12-09-12 | Baltimore Ravens v. Washington Redskins OVER 47 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 6 m | Show |
The Ravens are no longer that dominating defensive team they have been in years past. However offensively they are more dynamic in every aspect. The Redskins have been stellar against the run but versus the pass they are one of the worst statistically in the NFL. What more can you say about the Redskins prized rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. He has brought an element to the offense that makes it quite difficult for opposing defenses to stop.
Any road team off a SU favorite loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, they have a winning record, and the total is between 42.5-49.0 has seen 31 of those 38 games go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-01-12 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut UNDER 40 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
Points will be hard to come by in this contest. The Bearcats are #13 in scoring defense nationally while the Huskies are 19th in that same category. UConn is even better at home defensively allowing a shade over 12 points per game and have seen all 5 of those games go under the total with an average combined total score of 27.2 ppg. Both teams have gone under the total in each of their last 3 games.
Any team that comes off a conference SU win as an underdog of 10.0 or more versus an opponent coming off a conference SU win by 10 points or more has seen 44 of those 62 games (71%) go under the total since the start of the 1992 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
11-22-12 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets UNDER 48.5 | Top | 49-19 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
Any division home underdog with a total of between 42.5 and 49.0 that comes off an away underdog SU win in which they scored 30 points or less, they covered by 10.0 or more, versus an opponent that scored 21 points or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .666 or better has seen all 10 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1988 season. The average combined total score of those 10 games was 36.8 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total.
|
|||||||
11-18-12 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins UNDER 44.5 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
The Redskins have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games as a home favorite with the total 48.5 or less. The average combined total score in those 10 games is 32.2 ppg. The Eagles have gone under the total in their last 6 road games with an average combined total score of 33.3 ppg.
Any home team with a total of 37.5 or more that comes off a SU favorite loss by 2 points or more, they scored 24 points or less in their previous game, they |
|||||||
11-17-12 | Duke v. Georgia Tech UNDER 66 | Top | 24-42 | Push | 0 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
Any team with a total of 63.0 or more that allowed 42 points or more in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent coming off a SU win by 17 points or more has seen 22 of those 26 games (84.6%) go under the total since the start of the 1992 season. Play on this game to go under the total.
|
|||||||
11-16-12 | Hawaii v. Air Force UNDER 61 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
Hawaii is averaging just 12.2 ppg. in 5 road games this season. Hawaii has scored 14 points or less in 5 of their 8 games versus FBS opponents in 2012. The Air Force Falcons have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games.
Any team playing a conference game with a total between 56.5 and 63.0 that has lost 7 or more games in a row has seen 34 of those 45 games (75.6%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. |
|||||||
11-08-12 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51.5 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
Florida St. has gone under the total in 9 of their 10 games as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Seminoles have gone under the total in all 3 of their road games this season. This Florida St. team is at or near the top of every national defensive category. The Hokies have gone under the total in 8 of their 9 games from game 7 of the season or beyond over the last 3 seasons.
Any team that had 3 or more turnovers in their previous game, versus an opponent that was -2 or worse in turnover differential in each of their last 2 games has seen 35 of those 47 games (74.5%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Any home team with a total of between 49.5 and 56.0 that comes off a SU loss by 17 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 42 points or more in their previous game has seen 42 of those 59 games (71.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
11-07-12 | Bowling Green v. Ohio UNDER 49 | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
Bowling Green has gone under the total in all 8 of their lined games this season. In their 5 games on the road the Falcons have seen just an average combined score of 35.6 ppg. The Falcons defense is #9 nationally in scoring defense and #8 in total defense. However their offense is on the other end of the spectrum ranking #93 nationally in points per game. The Ohio Bobcats have seen 6 of their last 7 go under the total following a game they gained 450 yards or more.
Any team with a total of between 42.5 and 49.0 that allowed 125 yards or less rushing in each of their last 3 games, versus an opponent who averaged 5.5 or more yards per rush in their previous game has seen 45 of those 60 games (75.0%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
11-04-12 | Dallas Cowboys v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 47.5 | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 52 h 39 m | Show |
The Falcons have gone under the total in their last 5 non-division home games when the total is 42.0 or more. Dallas has gone under the total in their last 6 road games when the total is 45.5 or more. The Cowboys are #4 in the NFL in total defense heading into this week. Atlanta is #7 in the NFL in scoring defense at 18.6 ppg.
Any home team in game 5 of the season or beyond with a total between 42.5-49.0 that |
|||||||
11-04-12 | Minnesota Vikings v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 38 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 46 h 18 m | Show |
Any road team with a total of 48.0 or less that
|
|||||||
11-04-12 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns OVER 42 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 13 m | Show |
Any road team that
|
|||||||
10-22-12 | Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in 14 of their last 15 road games since 11/21/2010. The average combined total score in those 15 games has been 57.7 ppg. The Chicago Bears have gone over the total in their last 4 games as a home favorite with a total of 42.5 or more. The average combined total score in those 4 games is 55.5 ppg.
Any road team with a total between 42.5-49.0 coming off a SU win by 3 points or less, versus an opponent coming off BB SU wins by 10 points or more in each game has seen 17 of those 19 games go over the total since the start of the 1984 season. The average combined total score in those 19 games was 58.4 ppg. Play on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
10-20-12 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 43 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
These are two of the better defenses statistically in the nation. The Spartans are #7 in total defense while the Wolverines are #10. Neither offense is among the statistical leaders in college football. As a matter of fact the Spartans offense has bordered on dreadful versus quality opponents this season. The Michigan offense was also shut down versus the likes of Alabama and Notre Dame. The Michigan defense has been superb over their last 4 games.
Any team that averages between 390-440 yards of total offense per game while allowing 275 yards or less in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that allows 280 yards or less per game has seen 39 of those 53 games (73.6%) go under the total since the start of the 1992 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
10-20-12 | North Carolina State v. Maryland UNDER 44 | Top | 20-18 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
Any road team with a total of between 42.5-49.0 that averages between 140-190 rushing yards per game, and they've allowed 125 yards or less rushing in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that allows an average of less than 100 yards rushing per game has seen 26 of those 31 games (83.9%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. Play on this game to go under the total.
|
|||||||
10-15-12 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 48 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The Chargers have gone under the total in 11 of their last 14 home games including all 6 versus division opponents. This is a Denver defense that is vastly underrated and matches up very well in all areas versus the San Diego offense.
Any Monday might home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less with a total of 45.0 or more that playing i game 13 of the season or before has seen 12 of those 13 games go under the total since the start of the 1980 season. The average combined score in those 13 contest was 38.1 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection. |
|||||||
10-11-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans OVER 43.5 | Top | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
The Titans have allowed 30 or more points in all 5 of their games this season. They are last in the NFL in scoring defense at 36.2 ppg. Tennessee has gone over the total in 11 of their last 13 games as a home underdog when the total is 46.0 or less. Tennessee has gone over the total in all 7 of their games the last 3 seasons versus opponents that average 32 minutes or more in time of possession. The average total score in those 7 games was 52.1 ppg.
As good as the Steelers defense is and has been they've allowed 31 points to Denver and 34 to Oakland in their only two road games this season. Pittsburgh has gone over the total in 14 of their last 18 games as an away favorite, and all 9 games within those 14 have gone over the total when they're a favorite of 6.5 or less with a total of 36.0 or more. Any away favorite of 4.0 or more with a total of greater than 38.5 that scored 16 points or less in their previous game, and their opponent scored 7 points or less in their previous game, has seen 15 of those 18 games (83.3%) go over the total since the start of the 1990 season. Play on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
09-10-12 | San Diego Chargers v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 47 | Top | 22-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Any team that allowed an average of 24.0 points per game or more the previous season and is facing a division opponent has seen 59 of those 84 games (70.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2002 season.
Any home favorite or underdog of 4.5 or less playing in their opening game, with a total of 45.0 or more, and they won 8 games or less in the previous season has seen all 16 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1996 season. the average combined total score in those 16 games was 36.7 points per game. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
09-09-12 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 47 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 66 h 14 m | Show |
Tampa Bay knows heading into this contest they can't afford to get into a high scoring affair with anyone this season because chances are they don't have enough bullets in their gun. The Panthers have really focused during the offseason on improving on the defensive side of the ball and what better way to start the season than against an offense the figures to be challenged for the better part of the upcoming season. Both head coaches have made their marks by coaching defense and doing it well.
Any division home underdog of 4.0 or less in the opening game of the season that won 11 games or less the previous season, and they're facing an opponent that won 15 games or less in the previous season has seen 26 of those 29 games go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. If we tighten this up a bit more we find that if the total was 41.5 or more then all 14 of those games in that identical situation all went under the total in that same time span. Play on this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
02-05-12 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots UNDER 54 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Giants have seen 5 of their last 6 games go under the total. The lone over came in the playoff game at Green Bay in a 37-20 win surpassing the total of 54.0. However, it should be noted that both of Green Bay's touchdown drives in that contest were aided by questionable 3rd down defensive penalties on the Giants. Those two penalties occurred with the Packers floundering in their own territory and resulted in 1st downs after the Giants had apparent stops that would've forced punts on both occasions. In their three playoff wins leading up to the Super Bowl the Giants have allowed just 13.0 ppg. In addition the Giants have recorded 9 sacks and created 6 turnovers in their three playoff wins.
The much maligned Patriots defense ranked next to last in total defense in the NFL during the regular season. It should also be pointed out that New England was in the middle of the pack (15th) in scoring defense at 21.4 ppg. They've covered up a lot of weaknesses on that side of the ball with a bend but don't break mentality. The Patriots pass rush has created 8 sacks in their two playoff wins. The last but not least factor in my strong opinion on the total is these two head coaches. Both Bill Belichek and Tom Coughlin are masters of when given ample time to prepare taking the opposing offenses strengths away while forcing them to operate out of their comfort zones. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
|||||||
01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
The Giants' pass rush has come alive during this current four-game win streak with 17 sacks, including four of Aaron Rodgers last Sunday. The emergence of second-year Pro Bowler Jason Pierre-Paul, return of Osi Umenyiora for the Dallas game and the improved health of Justin Tuck have boosted one of the league's most fearsome units. unlike New Orleans the Giants have been able to get to the quarterback by just rushing four and keeping seven in coverage. San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith isn't going to find those favorable man on man situations that he encountered a week ago.
The 49ers, meanwhile, had the league's top rushing defense in allowing 77.3 yards per game as well as a pass rush led by rookie Aldon Smith's 14.0 sacks. San Francisco earned a reputation for delivering bone-crushing hits while tying for the league lead in creating 38 takeaways. San Francisco was also #4 in total defense and #2 in scoring defense in the NFL during the regular season. Since 1983 any road team coming off an straight up win by 14 points or more as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home straight up win, and the total is between 35.5-42.0 has seen 24 of those 29 (82.8%) games go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 100* Top Play selection. |
|||||||
01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants UNDER 48 | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This line opened at 49.0 and in spite of over 80% of general public money going on the over the number has come down to 47.5. This is a true indicator that a lot of sharp money including mine has gone on the under. Both of these offensives are very good but neither is as explosive as what we saw last night in the Lions and Saints contest. Contrarily both of these defenses are superior to the two stop units we saw play last night as well. Atlanta will lean heavily on their potent running game to keep the Giants talented front four off balance and not allowing them to pin their ears back and tee off on Matt Ryan. Tom Coughlin is an experienced playoff coach and knows you don't get deep into the playoffs by being one-dimensional on offense like his team has been for most of the season with their potent passing attack. I look for the Giants running backs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs to play a key role in this game. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
|
|||||||
01-02-12 | Michigan State v. Georgia UNDER 50.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
The Georgia defense has allowed 20 points or less in 8 of their last 11 games. Their secondary ranks among the very best in the country. The Spartans have allowed 17 points or less in 7 of their 13 games this season. They have gone under the total in 8 of their last 9 games following a game they outgained their opponent by 125 yards or more. Those 9 games all took place in the last 2 seasons with the average total score 42.6 ppg.
Any non-conference game between two BCS Conference teams with the total between 49.5-56.0, they both are outscoring their opponents by 10 or more points per game has seen 58 of those 78 games (74.4%) go under the total since 1992. Play on the game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play. |
|||||||
12-27-11 | Western Michigan v. Purdue OVER 62 | Top | 32-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
Western Michigan's offense is led by the dynamic duo of Alex Carder and Jordan White. The quarterback and receiver have combined to give the Broncos the MAC's top passing attack and eighth best aerial attack in the nation with an average of 328.3 yards through the air per game. Carder ranks seventh in the nation with 335.2 yards of total offense per game and has had some huge performances this season including a 548-yard and seven-touchdown passing day against Toledo in a thrilling 66-63 loss. Carder has shown he is capable of torching defenses as the junior has set a school record with four 400-plus yard games this year and is currently riding a streak of three 400-yard passing games in a row into the bowl. Western Michigan's defense is not spectacular with national rankings of 100th in total yards of offense allowed per game (434.1 ypg.) and 72nd in scoring defense (28 ppg.).
The Purdue Boilermakers average 371.4 yards of total offense per game and 26.1 ppg. Caleb TerBush is the team's with 1804 passing yards with 12 touchdowns. Antavian Edison and Justin Siller do not have the numbers of Western Michigan's wideouts, but Purdue's top receivers can make an impact. Purdue's defense is ranked 68th in the nation in total yards of offense allowed (388.5) and 64th in scoring defense (26.4 ppg). This has all the makings of last team with the ball wins. Play on over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
|||||||
12-20-11 | Florida International v. Marshall UNDER 50 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
FIU has a ton of team speed defensively that will be bound to give the Thunderding Herd offense fits. The FIU offense although efficient isn't going to be mistaken for dynamic. Both offenses will have success moving the ball between the twenties. However looked for a lot of stalled drives that resulting in field goal attempts or punts that pin the receiving team deep in their own territory. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
|