Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-13-24 | Red Wings +156 v. Maple Leafs | 5-4 | Win | 156 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Red Wings @ Maple Leafs 7:07 PM ET Game# 15-16 Play On: Red Wings +156 The Detroit Red Wings are playing for the playoff lives right now. They trail Pittsburgh by 1 point for the final Eastern Conference wild card spot and are tied with Washington with each team having 3 games left to play. Toronto can’t finish no higher or lower than 3rd place in the Atlantic Division in addition to the 5th seed in the Eastern Conference Playoffs. Desperation and urgency clearly favor Detroit and makes them an extremely live money line underdog betting value. |
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03-16-24 | Sabres -112 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Red Wings @ Sabres 12:30 PM ET Game# 29-30 Play On: Sabres -112 Detroit has lost 7 consecutive games and were outscored by 36-12 in the process. Buffalo has won their last 3 including a 7-3 home win over Detroit earlier this week. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season the Sabres are 5-1 versus the Red Wings and averaged 6.0 goals scored per game while doing so. Buffalo is just 3 points behind the Islanders and Red Wings for the final Eastern Conference playoff spot and is playing with a lot of confidence at the moment while the same can’t be said for the Red Wings. Sabres goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukonen has been extremely good over his last 22 starts with a brilliant 1.90 GAA, .932 save percentage, and posted 4 shutouts. Give me the Sabres on the money line. |
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11-02-23 | Panthers -114 v. Red Wings | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Red Wings 7:07 PM ET Game# 39-40 Play On: Panthers -114 Starting with 2021-2022 season, Florida is 7-0 versus Detroit and that includes 4-0 in away games. After a hot start, Florida is 1-3 versus the money line in their last 4 and that includes 0-2 at home. Additionally, we have a situation in this one where the money line home underdog has a better record and more points at this point. You would think there would be a ton of betting value on the home underdog in this spot. However, it’s seldom that easy when it pertains to sports betting. Give me the Florida Panthers as a money line road favorite. |
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10-26-23 | Jets -120 v. Red Wings | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Jets @ Red Wings 7:05 PM ET Game# 37-38 Play On: Jets -120 Detroit is coming off a 5-4 home overtime loss to Seattle that halted a 5-game win streak. Winnipeg is coming off a division 4-2 home win over St. Louis which evened their money line record at 3-3. Yet, it’s the Jets that are currently a favorite on the road in this matchup. That certainly speaks volumes to me. Additionally, since the 2021-2022 season, Detroit has gone an abysmal 2-15 versus the money line immediately following a 1-goal home loss. The Red Wings are also 4-18 against the money line following a home loss by any margin since the start of last season. Any NHL money line road favorite like Winnipeg that’s coming off a division home win, versus an opponent like Detroit that’s coming off a home game in which both teams scored 3 goals or more, resulted in those road favorites going 28-4 (87.5%) over the past 5 seasons and 14-1 (93.3%) throughout the previous 3 seasons. Give me the Jets as a money line favorite. |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -118 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Golden Knights @ Panthers 8:20 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Panthers -118 (5*) Las Vegas won the first 2 games of this series by scores of 5-2 and 7-2. Since the 2003 Stanley Cup Playoffs, teams like the Golden Knights that are coming off 2 home playoff wins in which they scored 5 goals or more on each occasion, resulted in those teams going 1-9 against the money line. Give me the Florida Panthers on the money line. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers +119 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida @ Las Vegas 8:00 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Florida +119 (5*) Since losing Game 1 of their opening series versus Boston, Florida has won 8 consecutive road games. The Panthers are converting 27% of their power play opportunities during the playoffs. Conversely, despite reaching the Stanley Cup Finals, Las Vegas has allowed opponents to score on 37% of their man advantage opportunities during this 2023 postseason. The Panthers Sergei Bobrovsky has been brilliant during these 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs while going 11-2 in his starts while recording an outstanding .935 save percentage. Florida enters the Stanley Cup Finals with 9 days rest following a 4-game sweep of the Eastern Conference #2 seed Carolina Hurricanes. Give me the Florida Panthers as a money line underdog. |
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05-03-23 | Oilers -115 v. Golden Knights | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Oilers @ @ Las Vegas 9:40 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Oilers -115 (5*) We have the higher seeded Vegas Golden Knight’s as a home underdog in Game 1 of this series after easily disposing of Winnipeg in 5 games. Conversely, they’ll be taking on an Edmonton team which was pushed hard by the Los Angles Kings during their first round 4-2 series win. That series saw 3 of the 6 games decided in overtime. They’re begging you to take the money line home underdog in Game 1 of this Western Conference Semifinal series. I’m not taking the bait. Give me the Edmonton Oilers on the money line. |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -105 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
New Jersey @ Carolina 7:10 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Carolina -105 (5*) The Devils are coming off an emotional 7-game series win over their bitter rival New York Rangers. That series just ended on Monday night, and now they’ll be facing the Eastern Conference #2 seed Carolina Hurricanes who will be playing on 4 days rest since eliminating the Islanders in 6 games last Saturday. I like the situation and cheap price for Carolina at home. Give me the Carolina Hurricanes on the money line. |
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04-20-23 | Rangers v. Devils -124 | 5-1 | Loss | -124 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Rangers @ Devils 7:30 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Devils -124 (5*) The Devils are coming off an extremely disappointing Game 1 performance in Tuesday’s 5-1 home loss to the Rangers. However, New Jersey has gone 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss and won by a substantial margin of 3.7 goals per game. The Devils are also 6-0 in their last 6 at home this season after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game and they outscored the opposition by a cumulative score of 24-13. The desperation and urgency factor for the Devils will be very apparent and it’ll be key to them avoiding a 2-0 series deficit heading back to Madison Square Garden for Games 3 and 4. Give me the New Jersey Devils as a money line favorite. |
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04-18-23 | Rangers v. Devils -126 | 5-1 | Loss | -126 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Rangers @ Devils 7:00 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Devils -126 (5*) New Jersey has won their last 7 division home games and outscored their opponents by a decisive cumulative score of 31-7. As a matter of fact, during the last 6 of those wins the Devils allowed 1 goal or fewer on each occasion. Conversely, the Rangers have lost 3 of their last 4 with the lone win coming over Eastern Conference cellar dweller Columbus. New Jersey won 3 of 4 versus the Rangers in regular season action which included coming out on top in both played at home. The Rangers star goaltender Igor Shesterkin started all 4 of those games versus New Jersey and had an uninspiring .894 save percentage in those outings. You can make a strong case the Devils have Shesterkin’s number considering his season lone save percentage is an excellent .916. Give me the New Jersey Devils on the money line. |
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10-24-22 | Stars v. Senators -109 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Ottawa 7:05 PM ET Game# 13-14 Play On: Ottawa -109 (5*) Dallas is coming off Saturday’s 5-2 win at Montreal which improved their season money line record to 4-1. After dropping their first 2 games of the season, Ottawa has ripped off 3 straight wins with all coming at home and outscored their opponents by a cumulative score of 18-9. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, NHL home teams that are coming off wins in each of their previous 3 games with all those played at home, versus an opponent coming off a road win in which they scored 4 goals or more, resulted in the home teams going 20-6 (76.9%) on the money line. The home team average money line in those 26 situations was +102.2 and they outscored the away teams by an average of 1.7 goals per game. Give me the Ottawa Senators on the money line. |
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10-18-22 | Bruins v. Senators -125 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Bruins @ Senators 7:05 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Senators -125 (5*) This has trap play written all over it. We have a Boston team that’s 3-0 as a money line underdog versus an 0-2 Ottawa team. Additionally, Boston is coming off a 5-3 win over a very good Florida team last night and they’ll be playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight. Ottawa is coming off a 3-2 division loss at Toronto in their previous game on Saturday. The Senators will be playing on 2 days of rest and it will be their home opener tonight. NHL money line favorites of -200 or less coming off a division 1-goal loss, and they’re winless on the season, resulted in those money line favorites going 42-8 (80%) since 1996. Give me the Senators on the money line. |
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06-09-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +113 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Lightning @ Rangers 8:15 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: Rangers +113 (10*) The Rangers return home with the series tied at 2-2 and coming off 2 road losses at Tampa Bay. The Rangers are 10-1 in their last 11 games following 2 consecutive losses. New York is also 8-0 in their last 8 at home during these playoffs and outscored their opponents by an aggregate score of 35-16. Furthermore, they’re 3-0 at home versus Tampa Bay this season and outscored them 13-4 while doing so. During his 7 starts versus Tampa Bay this season, Igor Shesterkin has a brilliant .942 save percentage. That includes a 3-0 record at home versus Tampa Bay with a superb .962 save percentage. Give me the Rangers for a Top Play wager. |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche -124 v. Oilers | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Colorado @ Edmonton 8:00 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Colorado -124 (10*) Edmonton has been limited to only 4 power play chances in the first 3 games of this series. The Oilers will be without forward Evander Kane who has scored 13 goals during these playoffs and is out via 1-game suspension due to a dangerous boarding penalty in Game 3. Colorado has dominated the first 3 games of this series while outscoring Edmonton by a cumulative score of 16-8 and they hold a 130-90 advantage in shots on goal. The Avalanche have averaged an extremely impressive 40.6 shots on goal per game during these playoffs. The Avalanche have amassed 34 or more shots on goal in each of their previous 6 games. Colorado is 26-6 this season after having 30 or more shots on goal in each of their previous 5 games and averaged outscoring those opponents by a sizable 1.7 goals per game. Colorado has also won 6 of their last 7 and averaged a robust 4.9 goals scored per game. Give me Colorado on the money line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-30-22 | Rangers +135 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 135 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Rangers @ Hurricanes 8:00 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Rangers +134 (10*) The opposition to this pick will come from Carolina’s 7-0 home playoff record during these 2022 NHL Playoffs. However, my positive experiences when betting on any Game 7 of a NHL Playoff series started with who I felt was the most reliable or sharp in goal. I don’t think there will be many to disagree with me that Igor Shesterkin has been far better than Antti Raanta. That’s especially so over the past 4 games. During that stretch Shesterkin is 3-1 with a terrific .953 save percentage. Throughout the previous 3 games, Raanta has an uninspiring .889 save percentage. Additionally, the Rangers special teams play has outplayed the Hurricanes and by a wide margin. I look for both of my main points regarding special teams and goaltending to pave the way for a Rangers win tonight. Give me the Rangers on the money line. |
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05-04-22 | Bruins +106 v. Hurricanes | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Boston @ Carolina 7:00 ET Game# 61-62 Play On: Boston +106 (5*) Counting their series opening game 5-1 loss at Carolina on Monday, Boston is now 0-4 this season versus the Hurricanes and were outscored by a cumulative margin of 21-2. Yet, here they are as just a short money line road underdog in Game 2. The oddsmakers are pleading with you to take the home favorite Carolina Hurricanes. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Boston also lost their regular season finale and comes in on a 2-game losing streak. Since the start of last season, Boston has 15-2 immediately following 2 consecutive losses. That includes going 6-1 this season and 4-0 during away games. Give me Boston on the money line. |
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03-30-22 | Jets v. Sabres +137 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Buffalo 7:05 PM ET Game# 19-20 Play On: Buffalo +137 (10*) Winnipeg is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games. However, the Jets are 0-6 versus the money in their last 7 following back-to-back wins and were outscored by a sizable margin of 2.9 goals per game. Connor Hellebuyck is slated to be in goal for Winnipeg and he’s gone just 9-18 versus the money line in 18 road starts this season. Buffalo has shown drastic signs of improvement in recent game. The Sabres are 6-3 versus the money in their last 9 with an average money line price of +202 and 2 of those losses came in overtime. Hypothetically speaking, if you risked $100 on the money line on Buffalo during that previously mentioned 9-game stretch, you would have made a net profit of $925. Craig Anderson is slated to be in goal for Buffalo. The 40-year-old veteran has gone an outstanding 7-3 in 10 home starts this season while compiling a sparkling .919 save percentage. Buffalo will look to ride the momentum after winning 6-5 at Chicago in their previous outing while overcoming a 4-0 deficit early in the 2nd period. Give me Buffalo as a Top Play money line underdog. |
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06-24-21 | Golden Knights -140 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Montreal 8:05 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Las Vegas -140 (5*) Las Vegas is shockingly on the brink of elimination against a team in Montreal that qualified for the playoffs with the least amount of regular season points. The Golden Knights are coming off a disappointing 4-1 home loss in game 5 and to put them in a 3-2 series deficit. However, Las Vegas has gone a profitable 23-13 against the money line in away games this season. Conversely, Montreal is just 17-18 against the money line at home. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Vegas has gone an inspiring 26-8 against the money line when playing with revenge stemming from a loss by 2 goals or more. Any NHL money line favorite (Las Vegas) who’s playing with revenge stemming from a home loss by 3 goals or more, and they have a money line win percentage of .600 to .700, and the games takes place in the 2nd half of the season, resulted in those favorites going 34-8 (81%) throughout the previous 5 seasons. Bet on Las Vegas for a 5* money line wager. |
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06-17-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +120 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Lightning @ Islanders 8:05 PM ET Play On: Islanders +120 (5*) The Islanders are coming off a 4-2 loss in Game 2 and now return home with this series tied at 1-1. The Islanders are a perfect 3-0 during these 2021 Stanley Cup Playoffs following a loss. The Islanders are also an extremely profitable 25-9 versus the money line at home this season, and that includes 9-1 if they allowed 4 goals or more in their previous game. Bet on the Islanders for a 5* money line wager. |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Las Vegas 9:05 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Las Vegas -130 (5*) It’s a shame that one of these teams will be eliminated before the Stanley Cup Semifinals, since either can stake claim as being one of the 4 best teams this season. However, the Golden Knights have won 3 straight in the series and have Colorado on the brink of elimination. Additionally, Las Vegas overcame a 2-0 deficit heading into the 3rd period in Tuesday’s Game 5 overtime win at Colorado. Since the start of last season, Las Vegas has gone 18-3 immediately following an overtime win. Bet on Las Vegas for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +126 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Nashville 9:35 PM ET Game# 23-24 Play On: Nashville +126 (5*) The Predators are facing elimination after losing Game 5 of this series at Carolina. There will be a high sense of urgency and desperation for the Predators tonight as they look to force a deciding Game 7 at Carolina. The good news for Nashville backers is plentiful. The Predators have gone 6-0 in their last 6 this season as a money line home underdog. Nashville is also 6-0 in its last 6 at home following a loss. Lastly, they have gone 4-0 in their previous 4 played at home versus Carolina. Bet on Nashville for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild +106 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 57-58 Play On: Minnesota +106 (10*) The Wild have lost the last 2 games and now trail in the series 2-1. They certainly don’t want to head back to “Sin City” in a 3-1 hole and facing elimination. The elements of playoff desperation and urgency should clearly favor Minnesota tonight. Additionally, the Wild has not endured a 3-game losing streak all season and are a perfect 8-0 when coming off back-to-back defeats. Minnesota has also gone 4-0 in their last 4 as a money line underdog of +100 to +150. Wild goaltender Cam Talbot has been stout in this series with a superb .935 save percentage and I look for him to come up huge in Game 4 on Saturday. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-21-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +120 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 120 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
Carolina @ Nashville 7:08 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Nashville +120 (10*) It’s do or die for Nashville tonight for all intents and purposes. They’re down 2-0 in the series and are coming off a humbling 3-0 loss in Game 2 and 5-2 defeat in the series opener. On a positive note, since the start of last season, Carolina is 1-6 following back-to-back home wins by 2 goals or more. Additionally, Nashville was outscored 2-0 during 3rd period action in Game 2. The Predators are 7-1 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 goals or more in the 3rd period of their previous game. Recent NHL money line betting history indicates that the Predators are a superb value in this specific situation. Since the 2016-2017 NHL season began, any home team that’s coming off a division loss by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off home wins in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in the home clubs going 40-11 (78.4%). The home team’s average money line in those 51 games was +108. Bet on Nashville for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-17-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +118 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Boston @ Washington 7:35 PM ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Washington +118 (5*) There’s a lot of NHL bettors who are banking on Boston to even this series up after suffering a 3-2 overtime loss in Game 1 on Saturday. I’m going the opposite way. Yes, the Capitals lost their #1 goaltender Vitek Vanecek to a lower body injury. However, the Caps have a very capable backup in veteran Craig Anderson who came in and stopped 21 of 22 Boston shots on goal to earn the win. As a matter of fact, During his last 4 appearances, Anderson has stopped 80 of 85 shots on goal for an excellent .941 save percentage. Washington has gone 12-5 in its last 17 and 31-13 during their previous 34 against the money line. Washington has gone highly profitable 7-3 in their last 10 games as a money line underdog of +135 or less this season. Bet on Washington for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-16-21 | Lightning -120 v. Panthers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Tampa Bay @ Florida 7:38 PM ET Game# 65-66 Play On: Tampa Bay -120 (10*) This to me is a simple matter of reading between the lines with no pun intended. We have a Florida team playing at home in an opening game of a playoff series, and they finished regular season play on a 6-game win streak, versus an opponent who has lost 3 straight while being outscored 14-3 in the process of doing so, and it’s the road team who is listed as a money line favorite. Furthermore, these teams finished the regular season with 2 consecutive games against won another which resulted in 4-0 and 5-1 wins by Florida. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog but I’m not falling for the trap. Besides, Tampa Bay possesses an enormous edge when it comes to postseason experience which usually shows up early in a series. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-10-21 | Wild -119 v. Blues | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ St. Louis 8:05 PM ET Game# 61-62 Play On: Minnesota -119 (5*) Minnesota suffered an embarrassing 9-1 loss at St. Louis last night. Yet, they’re a road favorite against the same team that hammered them last night. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Minnesota is an extremely profitable 10-2 following a loss by 4 goals or more, and if they were a money line favorite of -110 to -140 their record improved to 7-0 with an average victory margin of 2.3 goals per outing. The Blues have gone 1-5 against the money line at home this season following a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. This will be the 6th game in 9 days for St. Louis. The Blues are 0-4 this season when playing 6 or more games in a 10-day period. Ville Husso is slated to get the start in goal tonight for St. Louis. Husso is 0-4 in his starts at home with a horrible .833 save percentage. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-27-21 | Canadiens -132 v. Jets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Montreal @ Winnipeg 10:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Montreal -132 (10*) Winnipeg has gone 7-3 against the money line in their last 10 and that includes a current 3-game win streak. Conversely Montreal has lost 4 straight and 7 of its last 8 versus the money line. Yet, it’s Montreal who is a decent sized favorite tonight. It’s more time than not as easy as it appears when it comes to sports betting. This is one of those spots to think like an oddsmaker while also doing away with conventional thinking. The Canadiens will go with backup Jake Allen in goal tonight. Allen has been terrific in 7 starts this season while compiling a brilliant .932 save percentage. The way #1 goaltender Carey Price has recently played, Allen gives Montreal their best chance to win. The Jets are coming off Thursday night’s 6-3 home win over Montreal. However, since the start of last season, Winnipeg is an abysmal 0-7 against the money line following a game in which a combined 9 or more goals were scored. Bet on Montreal for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-21 | Wild -150 v. Sharks | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ San Jose 10:35 PM ET Game# 81-82 Play On: Minnesota -150 (5*) This is right on the edge of where I am comfortable going when it comes to a money line favorite. Nonetheless, I couldn’t pass on this favorite after looking inside the numbers. San Jose is coming off a road win at St. Louis in their previous game. The Sharks have yet to win 2 straight games this season, and are an abysmal 0-6 against the money line following a loss and were outscored by a decisive margin of 23-12. Minnesota is a profitable 5-3 on the money line during road games this season including wins in each of their previous 2 road tilts. Kaapo Kahkonen is expected to get the start in goal for Minnesota tonight and he’s gone 3-1 in 4 road starts this season with a solid .927 save percentage. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -130 | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Colorado 9:05 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Colorado -130 (5*) Las Vegas has averaged only 1.6 goals per game during its last 5 outings. As a matter of fact, during that stretch they scored 4 of their 7 goals scored on the power play. They will be facing an excellent penalty killing team tonight in Colorado. The Avalanche have killed off 43-48 (89.6%) power plays against them this season. That includes holding Las Vegas to 1-10 (10%) on their man advantage situations in their 3 games against the Golden Knights this season. Colorado lost their home opener to St. Louis. However, since that defeat, they have gone a perfect 4-0 at home while outscoring their opponents by a cumulative score of 20-4. The Avalanche averaged a lofty 37.3 shots on goal per game in those 4 home wins and had a combined 149-100 shots on goal edge. Colorado goaltender Philip Grubauer is expected to get the start tonight and he’s posted a terrific .945 save percentage throughout his previous 4 start. His counterpart tonight will be Marc-Andre Fleury who has been excellent this season in 10 starts while compiling a brilliant .935 save percentage. Nevertheless, Colorado has gone 9-2 versus the money line since the beginning of last season when facing a starting goaltender with a season long save percentage of .930 or better. Bet on Colorado for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-22-21 | Lightning -124 v. Hurricanes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Carolina 7:05 PM ET Game# 79-80 Play On: Tampa Bay -124 (5*) Tampa Bay is 0-2 against Carolina this season and was shutout on both occasions. The last of which occurred on Saturday 4-0. Since the start of last season, the Lightning are an extremely profitable 12-1 following a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. Despite those recent struggles against Carolina, Tampa Bay finds themselves as a small money line road favorite this season. That fact all by itself speaks volumes to me. The oddsmakers are begging you to take the home underdog in this spot and there’s plenty of bait available to lure NHL bettors into doing so. Any NHL road team that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 4 goals or more, and they’re playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, resulted in those road teams going 40-12 (76.9%) versus the money line since 1996. The average money line for those 52 road teams was -123. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-20-21 | Flames v. Oilers -127 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Calgary @ Edmonton 10:05 PM ET Game# 23-24 Play On: Edmonton -127 (10*) Edmonton is coming off last night’s 2-1 win at Calgary. As a result, the Oilers have now won 4 of its last 5 and 8 of their previous 10 games. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Edmonton is an extremely profitable 10-1 versus the money line when playing with no rest. The Calgary power play has gone 4-33 (12.1%) on the road and 1-15 (6.7%) during its last 5 games overall. That’s not good news considering they will be facing an Oilers team tonight that averages a robust 3.7 goals scored per game at home. Bet on Edmonton for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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02-18-21 | Islanders +107 v. Penguins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: NY Islanders +107 (5*) Pittsburgh’s goaltending duo of Tristan Jarry and Casey DeSmith has left much to be desired this season. The 2 have combined for a terrible .878 save percentage. It’s a good reason why Pittsburgh is 29th in the NHL when it comes to scoring defense while having allowed 3.6 goals per game. The Islanders are expected to go with red-hot Semyon Varlamov in goal tonight. During his last 4 starts Varlamov has posted an excellent .948 save percentage. The Islanders as a team are allowing a mere 1.4 goals per game throughout their previous 5. During that span, they also posted 2 shutouts and each of those came in road games. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, the Islanders have gone 9-4 against the money line versus Pittsburgh and that includes 4-1 on the road. Bet on the Islanders for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-18-21 | Predators v. Blue Jackets -117 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Nashville @ Columbus 7:05 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Columbus -117 (5*) Nashville is a poor 1-5 against the money line on the road this season and is being outscored by an average of 2.0 goals per game. The Predators are allowing an alarmingly high 4.0 goals per game throughout its last 8 appearances. The Predators special teams units have been brutal this season and that’s putting it nicely. Nashville will be facing a Columbus team coming off 2 straight losses. Nevertheless, The Blue Jackets are a perfect 3-0 this season following back-to-back losses. Simply put, Columbus hasn’t lost 3 in a row versus the money line all season and that streak stays intact after this game goes final. Bet on Columbus for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-16-21 | Wild -127 v. Kings | 0-4 | Loss | -127 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Los Angeles 10:05 PM ET Game# 35-36 Play On: Minnesota -127 (5*) Los Angeles is coming off a 6-2 home win over a poor San Jose team which ended a 0-5 money line freefall. The Kings opened this season with a pair of identical 4-3 home losses to Minnesota. Jonathan Quick is expected to get the start in goal for Los Angeles. Quick has a horrible .867 save percentage in 6 starts this season. Minnesota is coming off a 2-1 loss at Colorado in their previous game. The Wild are 3-1 versus the money line this season following a money line loss. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-16-21 | Avalanche +104 v. Golden Knights | 3-2 | Win | 104 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Las Vegas 10:05 PM ET Game# 37-38 Play On: Colorado +104 (5*) If you follow the NHL like I do, you are fully aware that Marc-Andre Fleury of Las Vegas has been the hottest goaltender in the NHL. However, Colorado’s Philip Grubauer hasn’t been so shabby himself. Grubauer is 7-3 versus the money line in 10 starts this season while posting a brilliant .937 save percentage. Colorado lost at Vegas on Sunday by a score of 1-0. The Avalanche are a perfect 4-0 this season following a loss and they outscored those opponents by a cumulative score of 20-7. Bet on Colorado for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-13-21 | Flames -131 v. Canucks | 1-3 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Calgary @ Vancouver 10:05 PM ET Game# 77-78 Play On: Calgary -131 (5*) Dating back to last season, Calgary has gone 12-5 in their last 17 as a road favorite, and that includes and extremely profitable 9-2 against any team other than Winnipeg. The Flame are currently riding a 3-game win streak and outscored those 3 opponents by a cumulative score of 12-7. Jacob Markstrom is scheduled to be in goal for Calgary tonight, and he’s posted a brilliant .931 save percentage in 5 road starts this season. Markstrom is also 3-0 this season versus his formed team and compiled an excellent .968 save percentage while stopping 90 of 93 shots on goal. Calgary dominated Vancouver in those games by outscoring them 11-3. Bet on Calgary for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-13-21 | Hurricanes -117 v. Stars | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Dallas 8:05 PM ET Game# 73-74 Play On: Carolina -117 (5*) Carolina has gone 3-0 against Dallas this season and outscored them by a decisive 13-7 margin. This isn’t a good matchup for Dallas besides their recent failures against Carolina. The Hurricanes are averaging 32.4 shot on goal and have converted on 23.8% of their power play chances. Dallas is 0-5 this season versus opponents that average 29 or more shots on goal and convert on 17% or better of their man advantage situations. Dallas has also lost 4 straight and 6 of its last 7 games overall. Bet on Carolina for a 5* money line wager. |
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02-13-21 | Lightning v. Panthers +122 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Florida 7:05 PM ET Game# 67-68 Play On: Florida +122 (5*) The defending Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay Lightning are a perfect 6-0 at home this season. However, they’re just 2-3 versus the money line during their previous 3 on the road. They were a money line favorite on each of those occasions. NHL bettors that played to win $200 a game on Tampa in those 5 away tilts lost $540. Saturday will be the finale of a 4-game in 6-day road trip for the Lightning. Tampa Bay is coming off a 5-2 loss at Florida on Thursday and a 6-1 win at Nashville. The Lightning have gone a dismal 7-17 against the money line since last season after playing back-to-back games that had a combined 7 goals or more being scored. Conversely, Florida is 3-0 this season after scoring 5 or more goals in their previous game. Bet on Florida for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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01-28-21 | Maple Leafs -128 v. Oilers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Maple Leafs @ Oilers 10:05 PM ET Game# 57-58 Play On: Maple Leafs -128 (5*) Toronto has cashed in on each of their previous 3 road games. On the other hand, Edmonton is 1-3 on the money line at home. The Toronto power play has been dynamic thus far going 10-24 (41.7%). Edmonton has allowed their opponent to convert on 31.2% of their power play chances against them to this point. Bet on the Maple Leafs for a 5* money line wager. |
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01-28-21 | Penguins v. Bruins -125 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Penguins @ Bruins 7:05 PM ET Game# 35-36 Play On: Bruins -125 Boston is 8-0 during their previous 8 home games against Pittsburgh which includes a 3-2 home win over the Penguins on Tuesday. The Penguins are 0-3 against the money line in road game this season while Boston is a perfect 3-0 at home and has scored 14 goals while doing so. Boston has received solid goaltending to start the season. Conversely, Pittsburgh’s tandem of Tristen Jarry and Casey DeSmith have been shaky with a combined .868 save percentage. Bet on the Bruins for a 5* money line wager. |
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09-05-20 | Islanders -123 v. Flyers | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Flyers vs. Islanders 7:30 PM ET Game# 5-6 Play On: Islanders -123 (5*) This is a win or take all Game 7 with the victorious team advancing to an Eastern Conference Finals series against Tampa Bay. All 3 Philadelphia wins during this series have come in overtime and that includes each of the last 2 games. The Islanders deserved a better fate in Game 6 after having a shots on goal advantage of 53-31. Since the 2007 Stanley Cup Playoffs, any money line favorite of -115 to -155 coming off 2 straight overtime losses has gone 15-4 (78.9%). The favorite outscored those 19 underdogs by an average of 1.5 goals per game. Bet on the Islanders for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-30-20 | Flyers +107 v. Islanders | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Flyers vs. Islanders 8:00 PM ET Game# 7-8 Play On: Flyers +107 (5*) This series has 7 games written all over it and the zig-zag playoff betting theory is in play. The bad news for Flyers fans is their team is coming a 3-1 loss yesterday. The good news is their Flyers have gone 11-0 in their last 11 games following a loss and won by an average of 2.5 goals per outing. Bet on the Flyers afor a 5* money line wager. |
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08-26-20 | Lightning v. Bruins -108 | 7-1 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay vs. Boston 8:00 PM ET Game# 11-12 Play On: Boston -108 (5*) Boston is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss last night which evened up their series against Tampa Bay at 1-1. Playoff teams like Boston who were cast into this exact situation have done extremely well over the past 12 years. They also fell within a similar money line betting parameter as Boston is in today. Since the 2009 NHL Playoffs, and team playing in Game 3 of a series tied at 1-1, and they are coming off a loss in which they allowed 4 goals or more, resulted in those teams going 28-13 (68.3%). The average money line for those 41 teams was -114.4. Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-25-20 | Bruins v. Lightning +100 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Boston vs. Tampa Bay 7:00 PM ET Game# 5-6 Play On: Tampa Bay +100 (5*) Despite their 3-2 loss in the series opener, I like the way Tampa Bay pressed Boston extremely hard in the final period after falling behind 3-0. That game stayed under the total of 5.5 which is significant from a money line betting perspective. The Lightning have gone 30-7 this season following an under in their previous game. That also includes a perfect 11-0 in their last 11 following a loss in which the game went under. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-23-20 | Bruins -105 v. Lightning | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Bruins vs. Lightning 8:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Boston -105 (5*) Boston is coming off a series clinching 2-1 win over Carolina in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. The Bruins are an extremely profitable 21-4 this season following a 1-goal win. Conversely, Tampa Bay finished off Columbus in their quarterfinal series in 5-games by winning the last 3 after losing Game 2. The Lightning are a poor 6-12 this season after winning 3 of its last 4 games. Tampa Bay was a dismal 0-10 on the power play in their series against Columbus. Boston was a solid 5-19 with the man advantage against Carolina and killed off 13 of 15 power plays against them. The Bruins has a sizable territorial edge against Carolina which is evidence by their +9.4 shots on goal per game advantage in that series. Tampa bay was outshot by a combined 70-47 in the last 2 games of the Columbus series. Since Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask decided to leave the bubble after a Game 2 loss to Carolina, Jaroslav Halak has gone 3-0 with a superb .932 save percentage. Bet on the Bruins for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-20-20 | Stars v. Flames +113 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Dallas vs. Calgary 10:30 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Calgary +113 (5*) Despite going 1-2 in his last 3 starts, Calgary goaltender Cam Talbot has compiled an excellent .946 save percentage throughout that stretch. The Flames have dropped the last 2 games of this series and now find themselves on the brink of elimination. Calgary has gone a profitable 5-1 in their last 6 following 2 straight losses and 8-2 during its last 10 after losing their previous game. The Flames special teams continue to play well while Dallas is just 4-28 (14.3%) on the power play during this postseason. Desperation, urgency, great goaltending, and special teams will be instrumental in Calgary forcing a Game 7. Bet on Calgary for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-19-20 | Canadiens +125 v. Flyers | 5-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Montreal vs. Philadelphia 8:00 PM ET Game# 75-76 Play On: Montreal +125 (5*) Despite allowing just 5 goals during the first 4 games of this series, Montreal finds themselves on the brink of elimination. It did not help that the Canadiens were shutout in each of the previous 2 games. On a positive note, besides shutting the Flyers down offensively, they permitted them to amass a paltry 20 and 22 shots on goal during the past 2 games. The Flyers are a mere 1-17 (5.9%) on the power play in the series. Conversely, Montreal is 3-12 (25%) with the man advantage through 4 games. Carey Price has started in all 8 of the Canadiens postseason games and has recorded a brilliant .945 save percentage. I am going with the more desperate and urgent team tonight. Bet on Montreal for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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08-17-20 | Blues -123 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
St. Louis vs. Vancouver 10:30 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: St. Louis -123 (5*) It certainly was not easy, the defending Stanley Cup champion St. Louis Blues avoided falling into a 3-0 series hole by coming away with a 3-2 overtime victory last night. Keep in mind, St. louis is a sparkling 16-2 this season following a 1-goal win in their previous game. The Blues replaced struggling goaltender Craig Binnington with Jake Allen and it paid huge dividends as Allen turned aside 39 of 41 Vancouver shots on goal. Like Boston, the Blue have a substantial territorial advantage in this season by holding a shot on goal advantage of 117-88. If not for the stellar play of goaltender Jacob Markstrom we probablly would be talking about the Blues leading this series. However, Markstrom has faced an enormous average of 39.0 shots on goal per game this series, and at that pace he can not help but being worn down. The effects of exactly that will begin to show this evening. Bet on St. Louis for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-17-20 | Bruins -114 v. Hurricanes | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Carolina vs. Boston 8:00 ET Game# 57-58 Play On: Boston -114 (5*) Boston has a decided territorial advantage over the first 3 games of this series by having shots on goal advantage of 114-84. The Bruins are coming off a 3-1 win in Game 3 of this series and that is significant from a betting perspective. Boston is an extremely profitable 20-4 this season after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. The Bruins have also gone a dominating 8-1 in their last 9 games against Carolina with 7 of those coming in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Hurricanes are expected to start Petr Mrazek in goal tonight. Since 2019, Mrazek is 0-4 in his postseason starts against Boston while recording a terrible .876 save percentage. Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-16-20 | Blues -127 v. Canucks | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Blues vs. Canucks 10:40 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Blues -127 (5*) The defending Stanley Cup champion St. Louis Blues find themselves shockingly down 2-0 in this series against a young but talented Vancouver team. I look for the Blues to display a high degree of desperation tonight while attempting to avoid an almost insurmountable 3-0 series deficit. St. Louis is 0-5 since the restart while Vancouver has won 5 straight games since losing to Minnesota in their opener of a best-of-5 play in series. Yet, the oddsmakers did not hesitate to keep St. Louis as a money line favorite. Keep in mind that St. Louis outshot Vancouver by a decisive 68-47 margin through the first 2 games. Vancouver is a remarkable 5-9 on the power play in this series. This is in stark contrast to the 3 regular season meeting between these clubs in which the Canucks were a dismal 0-12 with the man advantage. Additionally, Craig Binnington has not played well in goal during the first 2 games evidenced by his abysmal .809 save percentage. I look for him to have a bounce back performance. After all, this is the same goaltender who was instrumental in St. Louis winning the Stanley Cup last season. It is time for the heart of a champion to shine through. Bet on the Blues for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-16-20 | Flyers -137 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs. Montreal 8:00 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: Philadelphia -137 (10*) The Flyers are coming off an embarrassing 5-0 loss in Game 2 of this series which now is tied at 1-1. The good news for Philadelphia is Montreal has gone 2-11 this season following a game in which they scored 5 or more goals. Furthermore, the Flyers are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a loss and outscored their opponents by a combined score of 41-17. Bet on the Flyers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-13-20 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -136 | 3-2 | Loss | -136 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Carolina vs. Boston 8:00 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Boston -136 (5*) I had Boston in Game 1 and coming back with them today. The Bruins has the Hurricanes number having defeated them 7 straight times including 5 in a row during Stanley Cup Playoff action. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask has started all 5 playoff games against Carolina since last year, he has gone a perfect 5-0 with an outstanding .944 save percentage. Conversely, Carolina goaltender Peter Mrazek has made 3 playoff starts versus Boston since last year and is 0-4 with a terrible .848 save percentage. Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-12-20 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -133 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Carolina vs. Boston 11:00 AM ET Game# 5-6 Play On: Boston -133 (10*) The Hurricanes are 0-6 in their last 6 against Boston and have been outscored by a combined 23-8 in those contests. Tuukka Rassk was in goal for 4 of those 6 wins and posted a brilliant .956 save percentage. Speaking of Rask, he has been consistent all season while recording a stellar .928 save percentage in 43 starts. Carolina has not played since last Tuesday after making quick work of the Rangers in a 3-0 Qualifying Round sweep. Since the start of last season, Carolina is a dismal 3-12 when playing on 3 or more days rest. They will be playing a Boston team which has a .603 money line win percentage this season. Since the start of last season, Carolina is 5-15 when facing an opponent with a money line win percentage of .600 to .750. Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-08-20 | Flyers v. Lightning -135 | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Flyers vs. Lightning 8:00 PM ET Game# 11-12 Play On: Lightning -135 (5*) The Lightning still have a bitter taste in their mouths for its shocking failure last postseason after amassing 128 points in regular season action. They were swept in 4-games during a first round matchup against #8 seed Columbus. This game against the Flyers is for the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference bracket of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, Tampa Bay has gone 7-0 in their last 8 games versus Philadelphia and averaged 5.0 goals scored per game. The Lightning goaltender Vasilevskiy has made 2 starts against Philadelphia this season and posted a stellar .946 save percentage in those outings. Bet on the Lightning for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-04-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -144 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Columbus vs. Toronto 4:00 PM ET Game# 37-38 Play On: Toronto -144 (5*) I look for Toronto to play with a high degree of urgency and desperation today after sustaining a 2-0 defeat in the opening game of this best-of-5 series. Dating back to before the break, Leafs goaltender Frederik Anderson has an exemplary .968 save percentage over his last 4 starts. Toronto has scored 2 goals or fewer in each of their previous 5 games. They possess too much offensive firepower for that lack of scoring to continue. They will be facing a Columbus team which has allowed just 1 goal over their previous 2 outings. Any NHL team (Toronto) who has allowed 2 goals or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, and is facing an opponent (Columbus) which has allowed 1 goal or less in each of its last 2 games, resulted in those teams going 26-5 (83.9%) against the money line over the past 5 seasons. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-03-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -133 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas vs. Vegas 6:30 PM ET Game# 29-30 Play On: Vegas -133 (5*) Despite finishing among the top 4 seeds in the Western Conference, Dallas finished their regular season slate by going 0-6 against the money line during its last 6 games. Conversely, Vegas was an extremely profitable 11-2 against the money line in their last 13 regular season games. Dallas is slated to go with Ben Bishop in goal tonight. Bishop has gone 0-4 in his last 4 starts with a terrible .857 save percentage while doing so. Vegas has gone an excellent 33.3% on their power play attempts throughout its previous 5 games. On the other hand, Dallas has allowed their previous 5 opponents to convert on an alarmingly high 37.5% of its power play chances. Bet on Vegas for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-02-20 | Wild +105 v. Canucks | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs. Vancouver 10:30 PM ET Game# 13-14 Play On: Minnesota +105 (5*) These teams finished the regular season headed in opposite directions. Vancouver has gone 6-11 against the money line in their last 17 while Minnesota went 8-3 during its previous 11. Jacob Markstrom is slated to be in goal tonight for Vancouver. However, Markstrom missed the final 8 regular season games due to injury and has not made a start since 2/22. That amounts to over a 5-month layoff for a goaltender entering Stanley Cup Playoff action and I am banking on Markstrom being a bit rusty in the opener of this best of 5-game series. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* money line wager. |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins -175 | 4-1 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Blues @ Bruins 8:00 PM ET Game# 13-14 Play On: Bruins -175 (5*) When push comes to shove the outcome may just come down to what goaltender plays better. My money is on the veteran Tukka Rask of Boston over Blues rookie Jordan Binnington. Rask has been outstanding during these 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs by going 15-8 in 23 starts while amassing an outstanding .938 save percentage. Comparatively, Binnington is 15-11 with a very average .907 save percentage. Boston’s power play will also make a huge difference. They’ve gone an excellent 24-71 (33.8%) during the playoffs and that includes 7-22 (31.8%) in this series. Conversely, St. Louis is 1-18 (5.6%) on the power play during these 2019 Stanley Cup Finals. Boston is coming off a resounding 5-1 win at St. louis in Game 6 to force a deciding Game 7. The Bruins are a perfect 8-0 this season as a money line home favorite off -145 or greater following an away win by 2 goals or more, and they won by a decisive average of 2.5 goals per game. Bet on the Bruins for a 5* money line wager. Note: I very rarely bet on a money line favorite of this size. Here’s a money management suggestion. Hypothetically speaking, if you normally play to win $500 on a money line favorite, then I would advise risking $500. Basically, instead of risking $875 to win $500, I recommend risking $500 to win $285. |
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06-09-19 | Bruins +108 v. Blues | Top | 5-1 | Win | 108 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Bruins @ Blues 8:20 PM ET Game# 11-12 Play On: Bruins +108 (10*) Despite St. Louis having an opportunity to win their first ever Stanley Cup and in front of their home fans to boot, I firmly believe the Bruins will be able to stave off elimination. Boston has lost each of the previous 2 games in this series and this season they’ve gone 9-2 during its last 11 following 2 consecutive defeats which includes 5-1 on the road. Furthermore, the Bruins are coming off a 2-1 loss in Game 5, and they’ve gone 11-2 this season following an outing in which they scored 1 goal or less which includes 3-0 during these 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs. I’m looking for Bruins goaltender Tuukka Rask to be far superior than the Blue rookie Jordan Binnington. Lastly, I full expect Boston to playing with the highest degree of desperation and urgency that St. Louis won’t be able to match for an entire 60 minutes or however long it takes to decide a winner. Bet on the Bruins for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues -108 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Bruins @ Blues 8:00 PM ET Game# 7-8 Play On: Blues -108 (10*) The Blues are coming off an embarrassing 7-2 home loss to Boston on Saturday. I fully expect St. Louis to play with a high degree of desperation and urgency tonight. They can ill afford to go down 3-1 in the series with Game 5 being played at Boston on Thursday. Any NHL team that allowed 6 or more goals in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a win by 4 goals or more, resulted in those teams going a very profitable 52-24 (68.4%) during the past 5 seasons Bet on the Blues for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-25-19 | Blue Jackets +130 v. Bruins | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Columbus @ Boston 7:00 ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Columbus +130 (5*) Columbus has been a huge money-maker on the road this season. They’ve gone 27-16 against the money line during away games. Hypothetically, by risking $1000 a game on Columbus during their away games this season has netted a profit of $14,500. As a matter of fact, the Blue Jackets have won 7 straight on the road and $9650 of that $14,500 profit (66.6%) has occurred during this stretch. Furthermore, Columbus will be playing on 9 days rest after shockingly sweeping the President’s Trophy winning Tampa Bay Lightning. Conversely, Boston is coming off a grueling 7-games series that culminated with a 5-1 home win on Tuesday. Bet on Columbus for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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04-23-19 | Maple Leafs +127 v. Bruins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
Maple Leafs @ Bruins 7:00 PM ET Game# 9-10 Play On: Maple Leafs +128 (10*) The professional sports postseason zig-zag theory has worked to perfection in this series. The teams have alternated wins, neither has lost 2 straight games, and both have followed up a loss with a win. I look for that trend to continue this evening. The Leafs lost Game 6 at home and they’ll rebound to win Game 7 at the TD Garden in Boston. Bet on the Maple Leafs for a 10* money line Top Play. |
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04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Bucks @ Pistons 8:00 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Over 219.5 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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04-17-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -114 | 6-4 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Bruins @ Maple Leafs 7:08 PM ET Game# 45-46 Play On: Maple Leafs -114 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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04-16-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +120 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 120 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Tampa Bay @ Columbus 7:05 PM ET Game# 37-38 Play On: Columbus +120 (10*) Since trailing 3-0 after the first period of Game 1, Columbus has outscored Tampa Bay 12-2. Columbus head coach John Tortorella has his club peaking at the most opportune time. The Blue Jackets have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 games. Segei Bobrovsky has been brilliant in goal over the previous 8 periods of this series. Conversely, his goaltending counterpart Andrei Vasilevskiy has a terrible .866 save percentage through the first 3 games of this series. Bet on Columbus for a 10* money line Top Play wager. |
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04-14-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +124 | 1-3 | Win | 124 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Columbus 7:00 PM ET Game# 23-24 Play On: Columbus +124 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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04-12-19 | Blues +111 v. Jets | 4-3 | Win | 111 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Blues @ Jets 9:35 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Blues +111 (5*) Winnipeg lost Game 1 of this series 2-1 and will be a desperate hockey team tonight. However, just because a team needs win more than the other doesn’t always assure a winning result. Winnipeg has now lost 4 straight at home and 6 of its last 8 overall. Conversely, St. Louis has won 25 of its last 35 games and that includes 9 of their previous 11. Blues rookie goaltender continues to be a phenom and is now 25-6 in 31 starts with a shiny .926 save percentage this season. Bet on the Blues for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-12-19 | Penguins v. Islanders +112 | 1-3 | Win | 112 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Penguins @ Islanders 7:35 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Islanders +112 (5*) Bettors and odds-makers continue to give the Islanders no respect. Despite the 4-3 overtime win in Game 1 and being the higher seed, the Islanders are a money line home underdog with over 70% of wagers going against them. By the way, the Islanders are 9-2 this season following an overtime win. Robin Lehner was once again brilliant in goal for the Islanders on Wednesday while stopping 41 of 44 shots on goal. Lehner has an outstanding .930 save percentage this season and that includes .958 during his last 4 starts. Conversely, the Penguins are a dismal 10-22 in away games over the past 2 seasons when facing a starting goaltender with a save percentage of .915 or better. Bet on the Islanders for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-10-19 | Blues +104 v. Jets | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Blues @ Jets 8:05 PM ET Game# 5-6 Play On: Blues +104 (5*) I don’t like the way Winnipeg concluded their regular season. The Jets lost 6 of their last 9 games and that includes 0-3 during its previous 3 at home. Conversely, St. Louis finished up by winning 8 of its last 10. The Blues were 1-3 against Winnipeg but all those games took place very early in the season. Furthermore, none of those outings occurred with Jordan Binnington in goal. All Binnington has done since taking over as the #1 goaltending option is go 24-6 in 30 starts while compiling a terrific .933 save percentage. As a matter of fact, Binnington has won 8 of his last 9 starts. Bet on the Blues for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders +135 | 3-4 | Win | 135 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Penguins @ Islanders 7:35 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Islanders +135 (5*) The Islanders have gone an outstanding 10-1 during the past 3 Aprils. They closed their regular season slate by winning 6 of their last 8 games. Goaltender Robyn Lehner was terrific over his previous 4 starts while posting a superb .949 save percentage. Lehner stopped 46 of 49 shots on goal in 2 starts against Pittsburgh this season. Bet on the Islanders for a 5* money line wager. |
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11-27-18 | Hurricanes -113 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Montreal 7:35 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Carolina -113 (5*) Carolina is coming off an 4-1 road loss to the Islanders in their previous game. That defeat ended their modest 3-game win streak. The Hurricanes will be facing Montreal for a first time this season and they’ve won 4 straight in this head-to-head series. Montreal is coming off a 3-2 home loss to Boston and it was their 4th straight loss. The Canadiens have gone a dismal 3-12 since the start of last season following a home 1-goal loss. The usually reliable Carey Price has struggled at home this season by going 3-6 in 9 starts while compiling a poor .879 save percentage. Any team that’s coming off a division loss by 3 or more goals and is facing an opponent (Montreal) which is coming off a home 1-goal loss in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 25-10 (71.4%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Carolina for a 5* money line wager. |
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11-06-18 | Golden Knights +115 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Las Vegas +115 (10*) The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-0 win at Pittsburgh on Saturday and are now a perfect 6-0 on the road this season. However, they’ve gone just 3-5 at home and that includes losing 4 of its last 5 at the Air Canada Centre. Conversely, Las Vegas is coming off a 3-0 home win over Carolina in their previous game. Any NHL money line road underdog of +100 to +150 that’s coming off a home shutout win, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a road win, resulted in those road underdogs going 25-9 (73.5%) since 1997. Bet on Las Vegas as a money line underdog for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-30-18 | Flyers v. Ducks -115 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Anaheim 10:05 ET Game# 17-18 Play On: Anaheim -115 (5*) Something must give in this battle of 2 ice cold teams. Anaheim has lost 5 straight and allowed 3 goals or more on each of those occasions. On a bright note, the Ducks #1 goaltender John Gibson has compiled a sparkling .937 save percentage in 10 starts this season. Conversely, Philadelphia has lost 3 straight and all those losses came by 3 goals or more. As a matter of fact, the Flyers were outscored in those games by an aggregate score of 13-2. The Flyers #1 goaltender Brian Elliott has posted a poor .886 save percentage in 8 starts this season. Any money line favorite that’s allowed 3 goals or more in each of their previous 5 games, versus an opponent which is coming off 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more on each occasion, resulted in those money line favorites going 29-3 (90.6%) since 1996. Those 32 favorites average money line was -135. Bet on Anaheim for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-24-18 | Maple Leafs +116 v. Jets | 4-2 | Win | 116 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Winnipeg 8:05 PM ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Toronto +116 (5*) After a 6-1 start, Toronto lost each of their past 2 games to Pittsburgh 3-1 and its most recent outing 4-1 versus St. Louis. However, both of those games occurred at home, and the Maple Leafs are 4-0 on the road this season and have averaged a massive 5.7 goals per game while doing so. Conversely, Winnipeg has won 3 straight and scored exactly 5 goals in each of their previous 2 wins. Any NHL team (Toronto) that scored 1 goal or less in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Winnipeg) that scored 5 goals or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those teams going 50-24 (67.6%) against the money line during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 74 teams was +121.2. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-23-18 | Sharks +116 v. Predators | 5-4 | Win | 116 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
San Jose @ Nashville 8:05 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: San Jose +116 (5*) Nashville is coming off a 3-0 road win over Edmonton in their previous game. Since last season, the Predators are 0-5 at home following a road win by 3 goals or more and they lost by an average of 2.4 goals per outing. San Jose is coming off a 4-1 home win over the Islanders on Saturday. Since last season, the Sharks are 7-1 on the road following a home win by 2 goals or more. Any NHL money line underdog (San Jose) that’s coming off a home win by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nashville) coming off a road shutout win, resulted in those underdogs going 28-14 (66.7%) since 1996. Bet on San Jose for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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06-07-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -138 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
Washington @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 9-10 Play On: Las Vegas -138 (10*) The Las Vegas Golden Knights find themselves on the brink of elimination for a first time in these 2018 NHL Playoffs. Vegas dropped 3 straight following a 6-4 win in Game 1. On a positive note, Las Vegas hasn’t lost 4 straight games all season long. They’ve also gone 36-14 against the money line on home ice this season, and that includes 7-2 during postseason action. Las Vegas is coming off last Saturday’s 3-1 loss in Game 3 and Monday’s 6-2 defeat during Game 4. Both of those setbacks came at the Capitol One Arena in Washington, D.C. The combination of this precise data and current money line sets up an extremely profitable NHL betting algorithm which is illustrated below. Any NHL money line home favorite of -120 to -230 (Las Vegas) that’s coming off a road loss by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Washington) that’s won each of their previous 2 games with both played at home, resulted in those home favorites going a terrific 42-5 (89.4%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 47 favorites was -135. Bet on Las Vegas for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-30-18 | Capitals +136 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 136 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Washington @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Washington +136 (10*) The bottom line is, Game 1 could’ve gone either way and Las Vegas just received one lucky bounce more. Despite the loss, Washington is still a stellar 8-3 during this postseason. I look for Washington’s top line featuring Alex Ovechkin to have a huge game tonight and that will be enough in making the difference. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-28-18 | Capitals +128 v. Golden Knights | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Washington @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Washington +128 (5*) The Washington Capitals are an amazing 8-2 on the road during these 2018 NHL Playoffs. Washington has also gone an outstanding 17-59 (28.8%) on the power play during postseason action. Washington’s Braden Holtby didn’t record a shutout during the regular season. Yet, when it mattered most, Holtby held Tampa Bay scoreless in games 6 and 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Las Vegas surely didn’t advance to this point because of their power play efficiency. During Las Vegas’ 15 playoff games, they’ve gone just 9-51 (17.6%) on the power play. Although that conversion rate is far from atrocious, it’s pale in comparison to Washington’s productivity. Bet on Washington for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-23-18 | Capitals v. Lightning -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Washington @ Tampa Bay 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Tampa Bay -140 (5*) Tampa Bay is coming off a 3-0 loss in Game 6 which has sent this Eastern Conference Final series to a deciding Game 7. The Lightning have gone a stellar 23-9 following a loss this season and that includes 11-4 when they’ve been at home. Tampa Bay goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been very good during the last 4 games of this series while compiling a stellar .942 save percentage. Despite posting a shutout in his last appearance, Washington’s Braden Holtby has an uninspiring .886 save percentage thru his previous 4 starts. Washington has endured its fair share of playoff failures during the past 20 seasons, and you can add tonight’s game to that list. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-21-18 | Lightning +109 v. Capitals | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 9-10 Play On: Tampa Bay +109 (5*) Washington is going through another one of their postseason choke jobs. After winning the first 2 games of this series on enemy ice, and seemingly being in total control, they’ve preceded to lose 3 straight and now find themselves on the brink of elimination. The bottom line is this, Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy has thoroughly outplayed Washington’s Braden Holtby over the past 3 games. During that stretch, Holtby has an awful .843 save percentage, and Vasilevskiy’s is a stellar .943. Additionally, Tampa Bay has won 5 straight road games this postseason while Washington has gone 3-5 at home. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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05-18-18 | Jets +101 v. Golden Knights | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Winnipeg @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 61-62 Play On: Winnipeg +101 (5*) For all intents and purposes this is a must win game for Winnipeg. The Jets are currently down 2-1 in this series and teams that fall behind 3-1 during Conference Finals fail to advance more than 90% of the time. The Jets can take solace in knowing they dominated the last 2 periods of Wednesday’s loss only to be stymied by Las Vegas goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. After winning the series opener, Winnipeg has lost the last 2 games by scores of 3-1 and 4-2. On a positive note, the Jets are an extremely profitable 10-1 this season after scoring 2 goals or less in each of their previous 2 games. Bet on Winnipeg for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-17-18 | Lightning +105 v. Capitals | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: Tampa Bay +105 (5*) The Washington Capitals have gone an excellent 7-1 in away games during these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Conversely, they’re an unprofitable 3-4 on home ice. Here’s a team trend that typifies their franchise playoff failures over the past 22 years. The Capitals are a dismal 8-14 in home playoff games when leading in a series. By the way, over their last 5 games, Washing has allowed their opponents to convert on an alarming 38.9% of their power play chances. As I fully expected, Tampa Bay showed their resilience and character in their win in Game 3 after losing the first 2 at home. The core group of Lightning players have been accustomed to deep playoff runs and facing postseason adversity. Tampa Bay is 4-1 in road games during this postseason, and that includes winning 4 straight when cast into that precise role. The Lightning power play has been extremely efficient during the first 3 games of this series and has converted on 5 of their 12 (41.7%) man advantage opportunities. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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05-16-18 | Jets +113 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Las Vegas 9:05 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Winnipeg +113 (10*) Winnipeg is coming off a 3-1 home loss to Las Vegas on Monday night. The Jets are a remarkable 27-4 this season when revenging a same season loss. Furthermore, Winnipeg is a perfect 6-0 during their last 6 following a loss in their previous outing and won by the decisive average of 3.2 goals per game. Wednesday will be just the 3rd game in 10 days for Las Vegas. Any team (Winnipeg) that’s facing an opponent (Las Vegas) which is coming off a road win by 2 goals or more, and they’ll be playing in their 3rd game or less over the last 10 days, resulted in those teams going 59-29 (67%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 88 teams was +106.9. Bet on Winnipeg for 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-15-18 | Lightning +115 v. Capitals | 4-2 | Win | 115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Tampa Bay +115 (5*) Despite losing the first 2 games of this series at home, the Tampa Bay Lightning won’t go quietly. After all, this is a Lightning team that’s amassed an Eastern Conference best 113 points during the regular season, and currently has a win percentage of .660. Just a reminder, the Lightning lost 2 straight to the Rangers during the 2018 Eastern Conference Finals and still won that series in 7 games. After losing Game 3 at New Jersey during their opening round playoff series, Tampa Bay has won 3 straight on the road. Meanwhile, Washington has gone just 3-3 at home during these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has gone an excellent 7-1 this season as a money line underdog and at an average price of +112.5. Any road team (Tampa Bay) playing after Game 41 of their season, and they’ve lost 2 of their last 3 games but still possesses a win percentage of .600 to .700, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .500, resulted in those road teams going 70-38 (64.8%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for the road teams in those 108 games was +110.4. Furthermore, this precise NHL money line betting angle has gone a stellar 14-6 (70%) this season. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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05-14-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -140 | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Winnipeg 8:05 PM ET Game# 57-58 Play On: Winnipeg -140 (5*) Kudos for the expansion Las Vegas Golden Knights for reaching this point in their inaugural season. However, they’ve run into a better team in this series and they’ll be hard pressed win at the MTS Centre in Winnipeg during these Western Conference Finals. The Jets have gone an outstanding 37-11 (77.1%) against the money line at home this season. Winnipeg is also a red-hot 19-5 versus the money line over its last 24 games played. The Jets power play (28.6%) and has been terrific during these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs and in their last 5 game alone Winnipeg has converted on an excellent 35.7% of its man advantage opportunities. Bet on the Winnipeg Jets for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-12-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -135 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Winnipeg 7:05 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Winnipeg -135 (5*) Public betting will surely favor the underdog darling Las Vegas Golden Knights in this situation. After all, they’ll be facing a Winnipeg team that just completed a grueling 7-game series win over the President’s Trophy winning Nashville Predators on Thursday. Meanwhile, Las Vegas will be playing just their 3rd game in 14 days and it’s been 5 days since their Western Conference Semifinal series clinching 3-0 win at San Jose. Any NHL team (Winnipeg) facing an opponent coming off a road win by 2 goals or more, and they (Las Vegas) will be playing in the 3rd game or less during the past 10 games, resulted in those teams going 58-29 (66.7%) during the last 5 seasons. Bet on Winnipeg for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-10-18 | Jets +135 v. Predators | Top | 5-1 | Win | 135 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Nashville 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Winnipeg +135 (10*) Nashville forced a deciding Game 7 by winning 4-0 this past Saturday at Winnipeg. Nevertheless, Nashville has gone 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win during these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Predators are just 3-3 at home this postseason. Furthermore, Nashville is 1-6 this season following a road shutout win and 0-4 this year when coming off a road win by 3 goals or more. Meanwhile, Winnipeg is 5-0 in its last 5 games following a loss and that includes 3-0 in the playoffs. The road teams are 4-2 in this playoff series. Bet on Winnipeg for a 10* Top Play money line underdog wager. |
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05-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -135 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ San Jose 7:35 ET Game# 65-66 Play On: San Jose -135 (10*) San Jose may have lost Game 5 at Las Vegas, but they showed me some character and grit by not quitting despite being down 4-0 midway through the 3rd period. The Sharks responded with 3 unanswered goals and ultimately allowed an empty net goal in a 5-3 defeat. Couple the momentum they can take away from that furious comeback that just fell short, plus the desperation and urgency they’ll be playing with on home ice while attempting to stave off elimination, and you have a lethal combination. Furthermore, after being shutout in this series opener, San Jose has scored 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. The Sharks are a perfect 7-0 at home this season following 3 straight games in which they scored 2 goals or more. Bet on San Jose for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-06-18 | Bruins +160 v. Lightning | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston @ Tampa Bay 3:05 PM ET Game# 63-64 Play On: Boston +160 (5*) I just don’t see the Bruins going down in this series without a fight. There’s a ton of money line betting value to be had on the sizable underdog. After winning the opening game of this series Boston has lost 3 straight and finds itself on the brink of elimination. The Bruins have lost 4 straight games only once this season and haven’t done so in well over 5 months. The Bruins also have the confidence in knowing that they’ve gone 6-2 in games played in Tampa Bay during the past 3 seasons. Currently Boston has a season win percentage of .591 and Tampa Bay is at .670. This leads us to a profitable NHL betting angle which sides with Sunday’s underdog and is illustrated below. Any NHL money line underdog that has a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent that’s coming off division win in each of their previous 3 games, and they also have a win percentage of better than .500, resulted in those underdogs going 59-37 (61.5%) since 1996. Bet on Boston for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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05-05-18 | Penguins v. Capitals -110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Pittsburgh @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: Washington -110 (10*) Pittsburgh is coming off a 3-1 win in Game 4 to even this series up at 2-2. During the past 3 seasons, Pittsburgh is a poor 13-24 on the road following a game in which they allowed 1 goal or less. Conversely, Washington is 14-3 this season following a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. The Capitals are also a very profitable 18-7 this season when playing with same season revenge., and that includes a 4-1 home win in Game 2 of this series. I put very little stock into how teams do on a specific day of the week. However, today’s situation is an exception to the rule. Pittsburgh is a dismal 1-9 this season during away games played on Saturdays. Meanwhile, Washington is a stellar 15-4 this season in games played on a Saturday. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-03-18 | Predators +126 v. Jets | 2-1 | Win | 126 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Nashville @ Winnipeg 9:35 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Nashville +126 (5*) It’s not a must win for Nashville but it’s darn close. The Predators can ill afford to fall behind 3-1 in this series against a Winnipeg team which has won 17 of its last 20 games. The Predators squandered a 3-0 lead after one period in Game 3 on Tuesday night in their 7-4 loss at Winnipeg. On a positive note, Nashville is 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss. Nashville has also allowed 4 goals or more during each of the first 3 games of this series. However, the Predators are a perfect 9-0 this season after allowing 3 goals or more in each of their previous 3 games played. Nashville currently has a season win percentage of .637 while Winnipeg is at .644. As I previously alluded to, Nashville enters today’s game down 2-1 in this Western Conference Semifinal series. The combination of this data sets up a successful NHL money line betting angle which sides with tonight’s underdog and is illustrated below. Any NHL game that involves teams that each have a win percentage of .600 to .750 and takes place in the 2nd half of the season, and the road team has lost 2 of its previous 3 games resulted in those road teams going 66-38 (63.5%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for the road teams during those 104 games was +109.1. Bet on Nashville for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-01-18 | Predators v. Jets -129 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Nashville @ Winnipeg 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Winnipeg -129 (5*) I’m not going to waste my time or yours attempting to poke holes in Nashville’s season long resume. After all, there’s a reason the Predators won the President’s Trophy for amassing the most points during the 2017-2018 NHL regular season schedule. However, Nashville is coming off a 5-4 win in Game 2 of this series, and they’ve gone 0-3 during its last 3 in these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs following a win. Winnipeg has won 35 of their 44 home games this season and that’s good for a terrific win percentage of .795. The Jets are also an excellent 12-1 at home this season following 2 consecutive road games. Winnipeg won all 3 at home in their opening round series win over Minnesota and outscored them by a combined 12-3 margin. Bet on Winnipeg for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-01-18 | Capitals +125 v. Penguins | 4-3 | Win | 125 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington @ Pittsburgh 7:35 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Washington +125 (5*) Pittsburgh will be playing their first game of this series on home ice. Nevertheless, during their 4-2 opening series win over Philadelphia both defeats came at home. Since losing the first 2 games of their opening round series against Columbus, Washington has gone 5-1 and that includes a perfect 3-0 in away games. The Capitals have won 18 of their last 27 games on the road and that includes 10-4 versus opponents with a win percentage of better than .500. Bet on Washington for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets -105 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington @ Columbus 7:35 PM ET Game# 19-20 Play On: Columbus -105 (5*) Washington came back from the dead after losing their first 2 games of this series on home ice and have rallied for 3 straight wins. However, this is a Washington Capitals franchise that’s historically struggled to close out a playoff series. As a mater of fact, since 1996, Washington has gone a poor 9-18 in potential series clinching games. This current core group of Capitals players have endured their fair share of failures when they just needed a win to advance in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Washington is coming off a 4-3 home win in Game 5. Columbus now finds themselves on the brink of elimination after squandering a 2-0 series lead. This sets up a very successful NHL money line betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NHL home team that’s coming off a division loss in which they allowed 4 goals or more, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which both teams scored 3 goals or more, resulted in those home teams going 32-9 (78%) since 1996. Furthermore, this exact betting angle has gone a perfect 11-0 during the past 3 seasons. Bet on Columbus for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-19-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +110 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Boston @ Toronto 7:05 ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Toronto +110 (5*) Toronto is coming off Monday’s 4-2 home win over Boston in game 3 and now trails the series 2-1. Simply put, Thursday’s game is more critical to Toronto’s chances in winning the series compared to Boston. The Maple Leafs can ill afford to lose tonight for a couple of obvious reasons. They’d be highly unlikely to defeat the Bruins 3 straight times, let alone twice at TD Garden in Boston. I look for the Leafs to play with a high degree of urgency throughout the entirety of this evening’s game. Furthermore, Toronto is a terrific 11-1 this season at home following a win by 2 goals or more. Conversely, Boston is a dismal 4-14 when playing with same season revenge during this 2017-2018 campaign stemming from a loss by 2 goals or more. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-18-18 | Lightning v. Devils +130 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ New Jersey 7:35 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: New Jersey +125 (5*) After dropping game 3 of the series on Monday, Tampa Bay has now gone 1-4 during their previous 5 away games. Dating back to last season, the Lightning have gone 0-4 in their games played at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The Devils have seen a combined 7 or more goals being scored in each of their last 4 games. New Jersey is a perfect 8-0 this season following 3 straight games in which they were a combined 7 or more goals scored. Bet on the New Jersey Devils as a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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04-17-18 | Jets -105 v. Wild | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Winnipeg -107 (10*) Minnesota rebounded with a strong effort in game 3 and came away with a convincing 6-2 win over Winnipeg. However, the Wild are a dismal 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Minnesota is also a poor 3-10 this season following a division win and that includes 1-6 if that victory came by 3 goals or more. Despite their loss in game 3 of this series, Winnipeg has gone a terrific 13-2 during its last 15 games. The Jets are also an extremely profitable 22-4 this season when playing with same season revenge. Bet on Winnipeg for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-16-18 | Predators v. Avalanche +150 | 3-5 | Win | 150 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Nashville @ Colorado 10:05 PM ET Game# 31-32 Play On: Colorado +150 (5*) Any home team (Colorado) that allowed 4 or more goals to a division opponent in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nashville) coming off a home game in which both teams scored 3 or more goals, resulted in those home teams going 30-9 (76.9%) since 1996. Bet on Colorado for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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04-16-18 | Lightning v. Devils +131 | 2-5 | Win | 131 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ New Jersey 7:35 PM ET Game# 29-30 Play On: New Jersey +131 (5*) It’s a must win for New Jersey tonight, and even the most ardent of Devils fans know they’ll have no chance of winning this series if they fall behind 3-0. The last 3 Devils games produced a combined 7 or more goals being scored and New Jersey lost all those outings. On an encouraging note, New Jersey is 7-0 this season following 3 straight games when there were a combined 7 or more goals being scored. The Devils went 2-0 at home against Tampa Bay this season. Desperation and urgency prevails tonight as opposed to the better team on paper winning. Bet on New Jersey for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +100 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Boston @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET Game# 27-28 Play On: Toronto +100 (5*) You just can’t play much better than the Bruins did in the first 2 games of this season. Boston won those 2 outings by lopsided margins of 5-1 and 7-3. It’s not an elimination game for Toronto but for all intents and purposes it might as well be. The Maple Leafs can ill afford to fall behind in the series 3-0 and expect to have any realistic expectations of overcoming that insurmountable deficit. On a positive note, Toronto is a perfect 6-0 at home this season following a loss by 2 goals or more to a division opponent. Toronto must be much better a killing off Boston’s power play opportunities than they were in the 2 games at TD Garden. The Bruins are converting on an excellent 24.2% of their power play chances this season. Conversely, Toronto is 22-5 at home this season versus opponents that convert on 17.5% or better on the power play, and that includes an extremely profitable 14-2 from game 42 and beyond. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |