At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the New England Patriots.  The biggest key, for me, in this game is playoff experience at the quarterback position.  Yes, Justin Herbert has never WON a playoff game.  But he has been in two games.  The first was three seasons ago when the Chargers blew a 27-0 lead vs. Jacksonville, and fell, 31-30.  Then, last season, the Chargers were blown out by the Houston Texans.  Drake Maye, on the other hand, will taste the post-season for the very first time on Sunday.  Advantage:  Herbert.  This will also be the Patriots' first playoff game in four years.  I don't mind playing on an underdog in its initial playoff game which didn't reach the post-season the previous year.  But I don't like laying points with such teams.  The Chargers are 113-66-10 ATS as a road underdog of +2 (or more) points, including 35-15 ATS off back-to-back losses, and 6-2 ATS in the playoffs.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers plus the points over Philadelphia.  The 49ers come into this game off a 13-3 loss to rival, Seattle.  We'll take San Francisco to bounce back this afternoon as it's 102-64-4 ATS off a SU loss, if it wasn't an underdog of more than 3 points in that prior game.  Even better:  the Eagles are a soft 9-16 ATS when laying 6 (or more) points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars have won their last eight games.  But long win streaks are not necessarily a good thing when it comes to covering point spreads in the Playoffs.  Indeed, since 1980, teams on 8-game (or better) win streaks have cashed just 35.1%.  Moreover, the Bills have been great as underdogs, dating back to Josh Allen's rookie season, as they're 20-12-2 ATS when catching points.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog, and it's been very profitable to back double-digit home dogs in the NFL.  Indeed, they're 135-103 ATS since 1980, including a perfect 2-0 ATS in the Playoffs (in 2011, Seattle won outright, 41-36, over New Orleans; in 2021, the Commanders lost by just 8 vs. Tampa).  Take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  These two teams met earlier this season in Los Angeles, and the Chargers were victorious, 23-20.  I like the Broncos to avenge that defeat in this season finale.  Indeed, Denver will wrap up the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals) with a win over the Chargers.  We played against the Broncos on Christmas, and got the $$$ with the Chiefs as a double-digit underdog.  We'll switch gears, and take Denver here, as home teams, priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points, have cashed 90 of 149 if they won, but failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in their previous game.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Miami.  The Pats still have an outside shot at the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals).  New England has gone 32-13 ATS since 1980 in its final home game of the season, including 12-0 ATS their last 12 when priced from -8 to -17 points.  Take the Patriots.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs cannot be trusted to lay any points, as they're now 24-44-1 ATS their last 69 when favored by more than 3 points.  Take the Raiders to close out the season with a strong performance at home.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Tennessee.  The Jaguars have won seven straight heading into their final home game of the regular season.  And their last two wins both came on the road, at Denver, and at Indianapolis.  We'll lay the points on Sunday, as double-digit home favorites have cashed 59.2% off back to back road wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  Although these two teams won't be going to the Playoffs, the fates of the Buccaneers and Panthers rests on the shoulders of the Saints and Falcons.  Should Atlanta win, then Carolina will head to the post-season, while a Saints triumph would benefit Tampa.  Last week, the Falcons upset the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football.  Unfortunately, the Falcons generally don't play well in back-to-back home games, and are 13-36-3 ATS at home off a home win.  Even worse:  they're 1-9 ATS off an upset win as a 3-point (or greater) underdog.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Seattle Seahawks/San Francisco 49ers game.  This game will determine the NFC West division champion, and the #1 seed in the NFC Conference.  Since 2007, competitively-priced games (with point spreads of 3 or less) in the NFC West division have gone 54-25-2 UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look in this season finale, given the stakes for both teams.  The last two meetings of these rivals have seen scores of 20-17 and 17-13.  More of the same.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Carolina.  We played on the Panthers when they were a home underdog earlier this month vs. Tampa, and got the $$$ in a 23-20 upset win.  This re-match will be played in Tampa, and the Bucs are once again installed as the favorite, notwithstanding the fact that they've lost their last four games in a row, straight-up (and are 0-8 ATS their last eight).  We'll lay the points, as teams (like Tampa) riding 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have gone 22-7 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't getting more than 6 points.  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Atlanta/Los Angeles game.  The Falcons have played their last six Monday Night Football games UNDER the total, as have the Rams.  And while it's true that Los Angeles' last four games have all sailed over the total, Monday Night Football games have gone 65.1% UNDER since 1980 if a team had played its previous four games Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago/San Francisco game to go UNDER the total.  I like playing on the Under in match-ups between two good teams with .583 (or better) win percentages, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread less than 5 points, and the O/U line was greater than 49 points.  Since 1980, these games have gone UNDER 59.2%.  Take the Bears and 49ers UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over New England.  The Jets have been installed as a double-digit home dog.  Dating back to 1980, double-digit home dogs have gone 135-102 ATS, including 90-59 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Jacksonville.  The Colts have lost 5 straight games.  We'll grab the points with Indy this afternoon, as home dogs have cashed 57% of division games since 1980 in the season's final 3 weeks if they were off 5+ losses.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  This is the Titans' final home game of the season.  Since 1980, NFL teams with a worse record than their opponent, have cashed 56% in their final home game of the season when installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Jacksonville/Indianapolis game.  AFC South division games have gone 57% under in games with O/U lines greater than 44 points, including 67.2% if it was the 2nd meeting of the season.  Take the Colts and Jaguars Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Arizona game.  The Bengals' defense has been porous this season, giving up 30.53 ppg.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game this afternoon.  But NFL teams with defenses that allow 30+ points (at game 6 forward) have gone UNDER 57.7% since 1980 in games with O/U lines of 50+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Carolina.  The Panthers scored a huge upset win last week when they upended division rival, Tampa Bay, as a 3-point home dog.  We'll fade Carolina at home this afternoon, as it has cashed just 27% at home off a division upset win, if its opponent was also off a SU win.  Meanwhile, Seattle is a solid 40-29-1 ATS vs. non-division foes off an upset win.  Lay the points with Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers won the first meeting of the season, 23-9, in Pittsburgh.  We'll take the Browns in the rematch, as the team playing with revenge has cashed 58% in this rivalry, including 64% ATS at home.  And NFL teams, priced from -2 to +9, have gone 16-0-1 ATS at home in the final 2 weeks of the regular season, if they were off 3+ losses, and their foe was off 2+ wins.  Take the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New York Jets/New England game.  Fifteen of the last 20 meetings between these AFC East division rivals have gone UNDER the total, including 8-1 UNDER in games played at the Jets.  Additionally, The Jets have gone 22-11-2 UNDER in their final home game of the season, including 6-0-1 UNDER when the O/U line was between 41 and 45 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs + the points over Denver.  The Chiefs were blown out last week, 26-9, by Tennessee.  We'll take KC at home today, as double-digit underdogs have gone 134-102 ATS since 1980.  And the Chiefs are 54-27 ATS vs. division rivals, if KC was off a SU loss.  Grab the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Dan Campbell's men are 32-12 ATS vs. foes NOT off a straight-up loss.  And Detroit is also 56-32-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a division rival which defeated Detroit in the season's first meeting.  With Detroit, indeed, playing with revenge from a 27-24 upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Lions this afternoon.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Washington game.  The Cowboys enter on a 3-0-1 OVER streak.  We'll look for a relatively low scoring game today, as Division games have gone UNDER 65.6% since 1980 if a team was on a 3-game (or longer) OVER streak, and the O/U line was 50+ points.  Take the Under.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over San Francisco.  The Colts are 8-6, and have lost each of their last 4 games, including an 18-16 defeat at Seattle eight days ago, as a 13-point road underdog.  The Colts are 63-39-2 ATS off a SU loss, including 35-20-1 ATS as an underdog.  Even better:  .600 (or worse) home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 259-200-14 ATS in the final three weeks of the season, including 17-10 on Monday Night Football.  Take Indianapolis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over New England.  Baltimore has been dominant vs. winning opposition, if it was a non-division game, going 88-52-6 ATS, including 44-19-2 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points with John Harbaugh's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas/Houston game.  The Raiders were shutout, 31-0, last week by the Philadelphia Eagles.  And Las Vegas is averaging just 14 ppg this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game this afternoon, especially against Houston's terrific defense.  But we'll take the OVER, as the OVER falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which has cashed 64.4% since 1980.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit/Pittsburgh game to go UNDER the total.  The Steelers will not want to get into a shootout with the high-powered Lions' offense.  And when the Steelers have been decided underdogs, their games tend to be low-scoring.  Indeed, Pittsburgh has gone 27-14 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of 6+ points, including 6-1 UNDER when the O/U line was 48+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Atlanta.  The Cardinals are playing their final home game of the season, and they enter on a 6-game losing streak.  I love Arizona to break their skein this afternoon, as they fall into 72-40, 32-3, and 119-65 "Last Home Game" systems of mine.  In addition, the Cards are 63-36 ATS at home off back-to-back losses, including 37-13 ATS if their foe was off an ATS win.  With the Falcons in off an upset win over Tampa Bay, we'll fade the Falcons on this Sunday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arizona/Atlanta game.  The Cardinals check into this afternoon's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to the Rams (45-17) and Texans (40-20).  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as NFL teams have gone 57.2% UNDER in games with O/U lines of 47+ points, if their two previous games each totaled 60+ points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Jacksonville game.  The Broncos outlasted Green Bay last Sunday, 34-26, while the Jaguars downed the Jets, 48-20.  We'll look for the defenses to assert themselves in this game, as each team is giving up less than 21 points per game.  Additionally, NFL games have gone 56% under if one of the two teams came off a high scoring game where 68+ points were scored, and its opponent's previous game totaled 60+ points.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Miami.  The Bengals were blasted, 24-0, by rival, Baltimore, last Sunday, while Miami fell on Monday night, 28-15, at Pittsburgh.  Off that shutout loss, we'll take Cincy to bounce back at Miami.  Indeed, teams off shutout losses have gone 83-52-5 ATS vs. foes also off a loss, including 41-21-1 ATS on the road.  The Bengals are 20-9-2 ATS their last 31 as a road favorite, Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Cowboys are playing their final home game of the season this afternoon, and will be looking to bounce back off blowout losses to Detroit and Minnesota.  Meanwhile, the Chargers come into this game off an upset win over rival, Kansas City.  We'll fade Los Angeles, and take Dallas, as NFL teams have cashed 62.1% in their final home game of the season, if they were off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Jets.  The Flyboys were blown out by Miami (34-10) and Jacksonville (48-20) in their last two games, while the Saints are on a 2-game win streak, with upset wins over the Buccaneers and Panthers.  We'll ride with New Orleans, as favorites off back to back wins have cashed 68% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back losses by more than 18 points.  Take New Orleans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Buccaneers have lost their last two games, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six.  Unfortunately, I expect Tampa's winless ATS streak to reach seven games, as road favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 36.9% since 1980 in the season's final three weeks.  Take the home underdog Panthers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Los Angeles game.  The Cowboys have played three straight high-scoring games, and each game went Over the total.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon as teams off 3 straight Overs where each game totaled more than 58 points, have gone UNDER 59.5% since 1980.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New Orleans/New York game.  The Saints have played nine of their last 10 games UNDER the total.  And the only game to go Over was their 24-20 win over Tampa Bay.  And that game only went Over by 2.5 points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring Saints game.  Take the UNDER

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Last week, the Steelers went into Baltimore and pulled off an upset win over their biggest rival, the Ravens, 27-22.  We'll fade Pittsburgh at home tonight, as home teams are a soft 49-79 ATS vs. losing opposition, if our home team won outright as a 4.5-point (or greater) underdog in its previous game (including 0-5 ATS on Monday Nights).  Grab the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Los Angeles game.  These two teams played very high-scoring games last week.  The Rams routed Arizona, 45-17, while Detroit downed Dallas, 44-30.  Regular season NFL games with O/U lines of 55+ points have gone 60-45 UNDER since 1980.  Even better:  games between two teams whose previous game each totaled more than 60 points have gone 55% Under since 1980.  The UNDER also falls into a totals system of mine which is 358-251-12.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over San Francisco.  The Titans have quietly covered four of their last five games, including a 31-29 upset win at Cleveland last week.  Tennessee is now 2-11 SU and 6-7 ATS.  San Francisco comes into this game with a 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS record, on the heels of a 3-Game SU/ATS win streak, in which the 49ers won each of the three games by more than 10 points.  We'll fade the 49ers this afternoon, as teams off 3 SU/ATS wins by more than 10 points have cashed just 37% of non-division games since 1980 vs. teams with a losing SU/ATS record.  The Titans are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs. the 49ers.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Carolina.  When we last saw the Panthers (two weeks ago), they pulled off the season's second-biggest upset when they knocked off the Los Angeles Rams, 31-28, as a 10-point underdog (Carolina also authored the season's biggest upset, when it won as a 12.5-point underdog at Green Bay).  We'll go against Carolina this afternoon, as road teams have covered just 42% over the last 46 years off a SU win as a double-digit underdog.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Los Angeles.  These two teams met in Week 1, and the Chargers defeated the Chiefs, 27-21.  We'll take KC to avenge that loss, as AFC West division teams are 125-81 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a foe with an ATS win percentage of .500 (or better), provided our revenge-minded team is not favored by more than 6 points.  Additionally, the Chiefs are 21-7 ATS at home off 3+ point spread defeats, provided their win percentage was greater than .333.  Finally, the Chargers upset the Eagles last Monday, 22-19, in Overtime.  But teams off wins over defending Super Bowl Champs as an underdog (or PK) have stumbled on the division road the following game, going 8-28 ATS since 1980, including 3-19 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New York Giants/Washington Commanders game.  This NFC East division rivalry has seen the UNDER go 33-17-2 in the last 52 meetings, including 10-1 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 45 points.  And when the game was in New York, the UNDER has gone 20-4-1, including 9-0-1 UNDER in the 2nd half of the season.  The UNDER also falls into a 166-116-7 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, the Jaguars upset their division rival, Indianapolis, 36-19, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  Jacksonville is back home this week, and laying double-digits to the Jets.  We'll fade the Jaguars, as home favorites of more than 4 points have cashed just 37% since 1980 off an upset home win.  Take New York.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  The Chiefs have their back against the wall, as they're 6-6 with four games remaining.  So, this is a 'must-win' game for the defending AFC Champs.  Kansas City is on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  But it's a super 21-6 ATS at home off three (or more) ATS losses, when it's owned a win percentage greater than 0.350, including 14-1 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS loss.  Houston comes into this Sunday night game off an upset win at division rival, Indianapolis.  However, the Texans are a terrible 9-16-2 ATS off a division upset win.  Take Kansas City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Rams were stunned, 31-28, by the Carolina Panthers.  And Los Angeles was a 10-point road favorite in that game.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as road favorites have cashed 78% since 1980 after being upset as a double-digit road favorite.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Chicago.  The Packers have always had a good home field advantage at Lambeau Field.  But it's at its strongest late in the year when the weather turns.  And Green Bay has been especially good at home in its last 3 regular season games when favored vs. foes off a SU win, as it's gone 47-8 SU and 38-14-3 ATS, including 19-1 SU and 16-2-2 ATS vs. .555 (or better) opponents, and 23-1 SU and 19-2-3 ATS when priced from -5 to -10.5 points.  Green Bay is 29-6 SU and 26-9 ATS vs. the Bears in the last 35 meetings.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bengals pulled off a big upset on Thanksgiving night when they blew out Baltimore, 32-14.  Unfortunately, road teams have cashed just 22 of 56 following a win on Thanksgiving.  And Buffalo is 30-13-1 ATS in home games with point spreads of 7 or less points, if its opponent was off an upset win.  Finally, winning teams have gone 175-135 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes off double-digit upset wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Colts lost to Houston last week, and are tied with the Jaguars at 8-4, atop the AFC South division.  Indy is an eye-popping 62-38-2 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-0 ATS off an upset division defeat.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Ravens stumbled on Thanksgiving, with a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.  The good news for John Harbaugh's men is that they're 13-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 9-0-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) teams like Pittsburgh.  For years, this was a tightly-contested series with 29 of 37 games being decided by 7 or less points.  But that started to change last year, with the Ravens winning the two most recent meetings by scores of 34-17 and 28-14.  Lay the points with Baltimore.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Cleveland.  Last week, the Titans scored a field goal on their opening possession, and never scored again, en route to a 25-3 loss to Houston.  It's true that the Titans have been a poor point spread team, going just 5-7 ATS this year (and 15-37-1 ATS their last 53).  But they're 4-0-1 ATS after scoring less than 6 points.  And the Browns have burned money as a favorite, going 34-54-4 ATS their last 92, including 11-32-1 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record.  Take Tennessee.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Washington game.  The Vikings have gone UNDER in four straight, on the heels of an offense which has scored 19, 17, 6 and 0 in the Vikings' last four games.  We'll look for a bounce today, and take the OVER, as teams have gone OVER after 3+ UNDERS if they scored less than 30 points across their three previous games.  The OVER also falls into a 177-125 Totals system of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Dallas.  The Lions have been an ATM machine since Dan Campbell arrived in Motown, and they're especially good when playing an opponent which is not off a loss.  In that situation, the Lions have gone 30-6 ATS so long as the Lions weren't favored by more than 7 points.  And if Detroit lost its previous game, then our 30-6 ATS stat zooms to 10-0 ATS.  With Detroit, indeed, off a loss last week to Green Bay, we'll lay the wood with the Lions on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Detroit game.  Both the Cowboys and Lions enter off high-scoring Thanksgiving Day games.  Detroit lost to Green Bay, 31-24, while Dallas upended Kansas City, 31-28.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as Thursday Night games have gone UNDER 62% if both teams' previous game totaled 55+ points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 358-250 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Denver.  Both of these teams had last week off.  Two Sundays ago, the Commanders lost in overtime to the Dolphins, while the Broncos upset the Kansas City Chiefs.  We'll fade Denver, as it's 0-19 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival, if it was not getting 4+ points in its current game.  That doesn't bode well for Bo Nix & Co. here.  Nor does the fact that rested home underdogs of 5+ points, with a sub-.333 win percentage, have cashed 69% since 1980.  We'll take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the under in the Arizona/Tampa Bay game.  The Cardinals come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  And each of those three games went OVER the total.  One of the things I like to do is play on the UNDER when a team falls into this situation of coming off 3 high-scoring SU/ATS losses.  Certainly, when a team does that, its defense is often at the root of the problem.  And shoring it up would be a point of emphasis.  Dating back to 1980, our teams in this set have gone UNDER 58.7%, including 8-0-1 UNDER this season.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the San Francisco/Carolina game.  The 49ers come into this game off 3 straight high-scoring games.  But off that string of OVERS, we'll look for a lower-scoring game here, at home, vs. Carolina.  Indeed, San Francisco has gone UNDER 64.5% since 1980 off back-to-back Overs when the O/U line was 48+ points.  And the UNDER falls into 26-9, 132-71 and 357-250 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tampa Bay/Los Angeles game.  The Bucs have been installed as a big underdog tonight.  And when Tampa is a big dog, the games are generally lower-scoring, as Tampa's 19-7 UNDER when getting more than 6 points.  The UNDER falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which is 356-250-12 since 1980.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  These two teams met in Week 1, and the Eagles defeated Dallas, 24-20.  We'll play against Philly in this re-match, as defending Super Bowl champs are a soft 41-56-4 ATS when playing a revenge-minded division foe it defeated in the season's first meeting.  Moreover, in NFC East division games, underdogs with a losing record have gone 92-65 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars pulled off an upset win last week when they blew out the Chargers, 35-6.  We'll fade the Jaguars on the road today, as favorites -5 (or less) points are 0-11 ATS following an upset win by more than 28 points.  Additionally, the Cardinals are 37-12 ATS at home off back to back losses when playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arizona/Jacksonville game.  The Cardinals have played back-to-back high scoring games.  They lost to the 49ers last week, 41-22, and the previous game was a 44-22 defeat at Seattle.  We'll take the UNDER, as teams have gone Under 59.3% after back-to-back games that totaled 63+ points, including 63.6% if the O/U line was 48 points or less.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over New England.  Cincinnati is a solid 51-29-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +10 points, including 11-1 ATS its last 12 when playing a non-division foe off a SU win.  It's true that the Patriots are 5-0 SU on the road this season.  But those five wins have been by 6, 3, 6, 18, and 5 points.  And their only win by more than 6 points came against (arguably) the worst team in the League (Tennessee).  Take Cincy + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Seattle.  The Titans are catching double-digits at home this afternoon.  Long-term, double-digit home dogs have gone 131-102-2 ATS since 1980, including 76-48-2 ATS in non-division games.  We'll take the Titans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/New England game.  The Bengals are allowing 33.4 ppg this season.  We'll look for this game to go UNDER the total, as teams with poor defenses that allow 33.4+ ppg have gone 45-25 UNDER in non-division games.  And the UNDER also falls into a 313-227 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Colts have the league's #1 offense, as they average 32.1 ppg.  The Chiefs rank #9, and score 6.7 ppg less than the Colts.  But Andy Reid's Chiefs have dominated opponents with superior offenses, as KC has gone 19-2-1 ATS vs. foes that score at least 4.9 ppg more than the Chiefs (including 9-0-1 ATS as a favorite).  Lay the points.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Denver Broncos.  The Chiefs had last week off following their upset loss at the hands of Buffalo.  We played against KC in that game, but will switch gears and ride with Patrick Mahomes & Co. today, in Denver, against the 8-2 Broncos.  The Chiefs are generally a great bet off a straight-up loss, provided they're not laying more than 7 points.  In that situation, KC is 20-7 ATS since 2015, including a spectacular 10-1 ATS vs. the league's elite teams that have a win percentage of .666 (or better).  Look for the Chiefs to rout the Broncos.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  This is the Ravens' 3rd straight road game.  I like playing against NFL teams in this situation, and especially if they won and covered their previous two road games.  Since 1980, these road-weary teams have cashed just 38%.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Seattle.  The Seahawks blew out Arizona, 44-22, last Sunday.  But Seattle is a soft 19-34-2 ATS off a win by more than 20 points, including 6-20 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take the Rams.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  I like playing the Unders in competitively-priced division games, with point spreads below 5 points, if both teams are good teams with at least a .500 record, and the Over/Under is relatively-high with a total of 47+ points.  These games have gone 62% under since 1980.  Take the Rams and Seahawks UNDER.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals gave up a whopping 44 points to the Seahawks last week, in a 44-22 loss.  The good news for the Cards is that they're 12-1 ATS off a loss in which they allowed 44+ points, including 9-0 ATS at home.  And the 49ers are 0-11 ATS vs. division foes that allowed 31+ points in their previous game.  Take the Cardinals.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  Buffalo was upset last week, 30-13, by its division rival, Miami.  We'll take Buffy to bounce back this afternoon, as it's an awesome 72-22 SU and 60-31-3 ATS as a favorite of 13 or less points (or PK) off a SU loss, including 13-4-2 ATS off a loss by 17+ points.  The Bills also fall into one of my favorite NFL systems, which is 168-88 ATS, which plays on certain teams favored off losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Pittsburgh game.  The Bengals lost to the Bears last week, 47-42, in a very high-scoring game.  Cincy has now gone over the total five straight, but we'll look for a much lower-scoring game here, vs. the Steelers.  Admittedly, the first meeting this season totaled 64 points in a 33-31 Bengals triumph.  But rematches of games that totaled 64+ points tend to go UNDER the total (57.1% since 1980), and this game should follow that 46-year trend.  The UNDER also falls into 69-34 and 87-50 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Houston Texans.  Tennessee comes into this game off its Bye week.  And NFL Bye weeks often favor the league's worst teams.  Indeed, rested teams on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak have cashed 60% as underdogs, including 46-26 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take the Titans.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the UNDER in the Commanders/Dolphins match-up.  Washington comes into this game with a porous defense which is allowing 28 ppg.  Not surprisingly, it has gone Over the total in a majority of its games this season.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game overseas on this Sunday, as NFL teams with defenses that allow 28+ points have gone UNDER the total 56% since 1980 at Game 9 forward.  Also, the UNDER falls into 105-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, in an early game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Miami.  The Dolphins upset the Buffalo Bills last week, 30-13, as an 8-point underdog.  We'll fade Miami off that win, as it is 9-31 ATS off an upset division win the previous week, including 4-18 ATS as a favorite.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Packers have been installed as a small favorite vs. the defending Super Bowl champs.  We'll lay the points, as Green Bay is 68-36-2 as a home favorite of 13 or less points.  Even better:  defending Super Bowl champs have covered just 26% since 1980 off a SU/ATS win when playing a revenge-minded foe off an upset loss.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers upset Indianapolis last week, 27-20, as a 3-point underdog, while the Chargers bested Tennessee, 27-20.  Last season, the Chargers lost at Pittsburgh, 20-10.  We'll take Jim Harbaugh's men to avenge that loss, as the Steelers are a dreadful 15-23-2 ATS when playing on the road vs. revenge-minded, non-division foes, including 1-9 ATS if their covered by 10+ points in their previous game.  Take the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over the New York Jets.  The Browns had last week off to rest and prepare for this road game vs. the Jets.  We'll lay the points, as road favorites have gone 121-88 ATS following their Bye week.  Even better:  favorites have gone 11-1-1 ATS away from home vs. the Jets, if our favored team was off a SU loss, and the Jets were off a SU win.  Take Cleveland.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  The Jags won the first meeting between these rivals this season, 17-10.  We'll take the Texans to avenge that defeat, as they're 12-6 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And the Jags are 9-18-2 ATS on the road vs. foes seeking revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Houston.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Carolina.  The Panthers have been installed as a favorite just shy of a touchdown.  We'll take the underdog Saints, as they're 7-0 ATS vs. Carolina when priced from +4 to +8 points.  New Orleans is also 21-9 ATS vs. winning division foes, if the Saints were off a loss, and its opponent was off a win.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears/New York Giants game.  New York generally goes UNDER in its non-division games, as it's 66-36 UNDER its last 102, including 5-0 UNDER its last five vs. the Bears.  Likewise, the Bears are 50-33-1 UNDER in its non-division game where the O/U line was 41+ points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on this Sunday.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Baltimore/Minnesota game.  The Ravens had a lot of injuries earlier in the season, and it especially showed on the defensive side of the ball.  Indeed, the Ravens' gave up 35.4 ppg over their first five games.  But since then, the Ravens' defense has allowed 17, 16 and 6 points.  I look for yet another strong performance here vs. the Vikings, who are 14-8 UNDER in their last 22 as a home underdog.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Carolina game.  The Saints come into this game off 5 straight unders.  We'll look for a higher-scoring game today, as team off 5+ Unders have proceeded to go OVER the total more often than not over the last 46 seasons, including 7-0 OVER their last 7 (and 28-15 Over their last 43).  Take the OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Ravens have dominated NFC Conference foes, and espeically if Baltimore wasn't getting 7+ points.  In that situation, the Ravens are a solid 40-25-2 ATS their last 67.  Baltimore also falls into a 64.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites off SU wins.  Lay the points with the Ravens.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over Denver.  The Raiders enter this AFC West division game with a 2-6 record, while Denver is atop the division with a 7-2 record.  We'll grab the points with the Raiders, as AFC West division teams have gone 146-89-7 ATS on the division road, if they owned a losing record, and were not favored by more than 3 points.  That bodes well for the Raiders.  As does the fact that Las Vegas has gone 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  And it is also 14-4 ATS as a road dog vs. Denver if Las Vegas was off a SU loss.  Take the Raiders + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Arizona game.  These two former division rivals have gone UNDER in 25 of the last 41 meetings.  And that's the way we will look on Monday night.  This season, the Cowboys' games have been particularly high-scoring, and are averaging 62 points.  The last five have all sailed over the total.  But we will take the UNDER in tonight's game vs. Arizona, as NFL teams have gone 65.3% UNDER in Monday/Thursday games following three straight high-scoring affairs that totaled 54+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Seattle.  The Commanders were crushed, 28-7, on Monday Night Football by the Chiefs, and are now 3-5 on the season.  Jayden Daniels missed last week's game, but has been upgraded to 'probable' for this Sunday night contest.  We'll grab the points, as .375 (or better) underdogs of 7 (or less) points have cashed 78% since 1980 following a loss on Monday Night by more than 20 points.  Additionally, the Commanders fall into a 242-144 ATS system of mine.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills have been installed as a home underdog vs. their rival (and post-season nemesis), Kansas City.  The Bills lost for the fourth straight time in last year's playoffs to the Chiefs since Patrick Mahomes became the QB.  But it's been a completely different story in the regular season, as the Bills are 5-1 SU/ATS vs. Mahomes, including 4-0 SU/ATS the last four meetings.  Last season's meeting was also here at home, and the Bills won, 30-21 as a 3-point favorite.  We'll happily take the points with Buffalo.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Buffalo/Kansas City game.  The last three meetings between these AFC Conference rivals (and six of the last eight) have sailed OVER the total.  And that's the way we'll look on this Sunday, as the Bills are 22-13 OVER as a home underdog, including 4-0 OVER their last four.  And KC is 80-56 OVER as a road favorite.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams come into this afternoon's game off back to back wins over the Ravens and Jaguars, and are 5-2 on the season.  We'll fade Los Angeles as a double-digit favorite today, as the Rams are a soft 19-32 ATS off back to back wins under coach Sean McVay, including 7-15 ATS at home (and 0-5 ATS at home vs. .333 (or worse) foes).  Take New Orleans.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams to go OVER the total.  The Saints have been installed as a 2-touchdown favorite after getting blown out, 23-3, by Tampa in their last game.  We'll take the OVER as the Saints are 12-5 Over the total as a double digit under.  Additionally, teams that scored 6 (or less) points at home in their previous game have gone 10-0 OVER their last 10.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons plus the points over the New England Patriots.  We played against Atlanta last week, and got the $$$ with Miami when the Dolphins upset the Birds, 34-10.  And we also faded Atlanta two weeks ago and cashed the 49ers when they downed Atlanta, 20-10.  We'll switch gears this afternoon, and grab the points with the Falcons.  Admittedly, the Patriots have dominated this series, going 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings (including the overtime thriller in the Super Bowl nine seasons ago).  Still, I love this situational spot for Atlanta, as it falls into several of my best bounce-back angles, with records of 104-37, 176-101, 136-83 and 167-87 ATS.  New England also falls into negative 84-151 and 137-214 ATS systems of mine based on their season performance.  And the Patriots are a putrid 17-38-1 ATS at home following two games where they covered the spread by more than 7 points.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Minnesota game.  This is the first meeting this season between these NFC North division rivals.  The Vikings come into this game off 5 straight OVERS, which has triggered a contrarian totals system of mine which is 112-72 since 1980.  Additionally, division games with O/U lines between 44-52 have gone 810-678 UNDER the total.  Take the Vikings/Lions UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Chicago Bears to go UNDER the total.  Five of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone UNDER, and we'll look for that to continue on Sunday.  The Bengals are 20-12 UNDER as a favorite when the O/U line has been 48+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Titans made a coaching change before last week's game when they fired Brian Callahan, and named Mike McCoy as interim head coach.  Teams that make mid-season head coaching changes relatively early in the season have generally seen immediate dividends with their new coach, and have covered the spread 69.7% in their first two games with the new hire.  Take Tennessee + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts to go UNDER the total.  The Steelers are a reliable 48-26 UNDER the total when the O/U line was 47+ points, including 6-0-1 UNDER their last four when installed as an underdog of +4 points (or less).  Take the Colts and Steelers Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York/San Francisco game.  The Giants have gone 31-10 UNDER the total at home their last 41.  And when the O/U line has been 45+ points, the Under has cashed 10 in a row.  We'll look for another low-scoring game at the Meadowlands.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Indianapolis.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Colts trounced Tennessee by 21 points.  We'll take the Titans to avenge that defeat, as road underdogs of more than 13 points have cashed 66.1% since 1980 if matched up against a division rival which won the season's previous meeting by double-digits.  Take Tennessee.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Denver game.  The Cowboys' 7 games this season have averaged 61.1 ppg, and they've gone 5-2 Over the total.  In contrast, Denver games have averaged 41.4 ppg, and they've gone 5-2 UNDER the total.  And the Broncos are also 24-13 UNDER when the O/U line is north of 47 points.  So, something will have to give this afternoon, and I'm betting on a low-scoring game.  Indeed, at Game 7 forward, teams have gone 57% UNDER if their games averaged more than 61 ppg.  Take the UNDER.