|
10-10-25 |
Aces v. Mercury +3.5 |
Top |
97-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. The Mercury lost 90-88, on Wednesday. Unfortunately, they lost more than just Game 3; they also lost Satou Sabally, who suffered a concussion. The upshot is that the Mercury have been installed as a home underdog for this elimination game. We'll take Phoenix, as WNBA teams have gone 3-33 straight-up away from home in the playoffs against the foe they just upset in the previous game. And if the team off the upset loss was not favored by 5+ games, then they've gone 11-1 ATS. Grab the points with the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-08-25 |
Aces v. Mercury -3.5 |
Top |
90-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over Las Vegas. The Mercury dropped the first two games of this series in Las Vegas, including a 91-78 setback on Sunday, and return home for Game 3 on Wednesday night. We'll lay the points with Phoenix, as WNBA teams off a loss in the Finals by 4+ points have gone 12-0-1 ATS when they weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game. Additionally, the Mercury are 15-4 ATS their last 19 at home off a SU loss, if they weren't getting 4+ points in the current game. Take Phoenix to blow out Las Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Mercury +3.5 v. Aces |
Top |
78-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
33 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over Las Vegas. The Aces took Game 1, 89-86 (which was a push against the 3-point closing line). We'll take the points with the underdog Mercury to level the series with a Game 2 win. The Mercury are 22-8-1 ATS off a SU loss if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game, while the Aces are an atrocious 8-25-2 ATS off a playoff victory if the line in their current game was 9 points or less. Additionally, Phoenix is 15-6-1 the last 22 meetings at Las Vegas. Take the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-30-25 |
Fever v. Aces -7.5 |
Top |
98-107 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over Indiana. The Fever upset Las Vegas, 90-83, to force this 5th, and deciding game of this semifinal series. We'll lay the points with Las Vegas, as the Fever are a woeful 8-16 ATS their last 24 when getting more than 7 points. Additionally, .600 (or better) teams are 13-0 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, following a playoff game in which they surrendered more than 87 points. Take the Aces to blow out Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Lynx +4.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
81-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the Phoenix Mercury. The Mercury upset top-seeded Minnesota on Friday to put a stranglehold on this series. Phoenix is now up 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-Five series. Even worse for Minnesota: it lost its best player, Napheesa Collier, in the final seconds of Game 3, and will need to go forward in the Playoffs without her. But in sports gambling, there's no such thing as a free lunch. And the oddsmakers have built Collier's absence into the point spread, and have adjusted this number 8.5 points. The Lynx are now a road underdog, whereas they were favored on the road in Game 3. I like Minnesota tonight. The Lynx also were without Collier for seven games in August, when she was out with an ankle sprain. They played a difficult schedule over that stretch, with six of the seven games against teams that went on to reach the Playoffs. They went 5-2 straight-up, and 3-3-1 ATS, including 2-1 SU/ATS against the defending champion, New York Liberty. And, importantly, they only lost one of the seven games by more than two points. That experience last month without Collier will serve Minnesota well tonight, and we'll grab the points with the Lynx. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Aces v. Fever +4.5 |
Top |
83-90 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Indiana dropped Game 3 at home on Friday, and now finds itself in the precarious position of having to win two straight games to advance to the WNBA Championship. The good news for this Game 4 is that it will be at home. And the Fever have gone 12-6 straight-up, and 13-3-2 ATS their last 18 as a home underdog (and 16-3-1 ATS their last 20 as a home underdog off a straight-up loss). Meanwhile, the Aces are an atrocious 5-17-1 ATS as a favorite of 9 or less points off a playoff win. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Lynx -3.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
76-84 |
Loss |
-115 |
40 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Phoenix. We played on the Mercury in Game 2, and got the $$$ when it upset the Lynx in overtime to level this series at 1 game apiece. We'll take Minnesota in Game 3, as the Lynx are 62-31-2 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 7-13-1 ATS at home in the Playoffs when playing a revenge-minded foe. Take the Lynx. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Aces v. Fever OVER 162.5 |
Top |
84-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
38 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces to go OVER the total. These two teams have played eight straight games Under the total, dating back to last season. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, but we will run the other way and take the OVER. When one goes back to the start of this 8-game Under streak, the O/U line was 179. And it has come down significantly from there. In the first meeting this season, the number was 171.5. And Game 1 of this Playoff series was 3 points higher than the current number, while Game 2 was two points higher. I think the value lies squarely on the OVER today. And it also falls into three of my favorite WNBA Totals systems. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Aces v. Fever +4.5 |
Top |
84-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
38 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Indiana has been exceptional as a home underdog, as it has gone 8-0-1 ATS its last nine (and 22-8-2 ATS its last 32). We'll grab the points with the Fever on Friday night, and look for them to bounce back off their 22-point loss in Game 2. Indeed, they're 14-0-1 ATS as a home dog off a SU loss when their win percentage was greater than .125. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-23-25 |
Mercury +7.5 v. Lynx |
Top |
89-83 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. These two teams were tied in Game 1 of this series heading into the 4th quarter, but the top-seeded Lynx pulled away in the 4th quarter for an 82-69 triumph. We'll fade Minnesota, as Playoff teams seeded #3 (or better) have gone 0-13 ATS as favorites of -5.5 (or more) points vs. 0.601 (or better) foes, if our favored team was off a SU/ATS win. Take the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-19-25 |
Liberty +2.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
73-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty + the points over the Phoenix Mercury. New York was blown out in Game 2 on its home court, 86-60. But off that debacle, we'll take the Liberty as a road underdog on Friday. Indeed, in the Playoffs, WNBA road teams off losses by 20+ points have cashed 64%. And Phoenix is a dismal 2-9-1 ATS as a single-digit home favorite off a playoff win. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-18-25 |
Storm v. Aces -8 |
Top |
73-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over the Seattle Storm. We played against Las Vegas in Game 2, and the Storm upset Becky Hammon's crew, 86-83. That loss snapped the Aces' 17-game win streak. Unfortunately for the Storm, they're a wallet-busting 17-39 ATS on the road off an upset win, including 7-27 ATS vs. division rivals. And Seattle also falls into a negative 31-68-2 ATS Playoffs system of mine. Lay the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-18-25 |
Fever v. Dream -7 |
Top |
87-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Dream minus the points over Indiana. We played on the Fever on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with a 77-60 upset win. But for this series-deciding Game 3, we'll lay the points with Atlanta. The Dream are 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 141-105-1 ATS their last 247) when playing with revenge. And the Fever are 36-55-3 ATS away from home when installed as an underdog of +5 (or more) points. Atlanta also falls into my favorite Playoffs system, which is 60-25-3 ATS. Take the Dream. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
|
09-17-25 |
Lynx v. Valkyries +10.5 |
Top |
75-74 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over Minnesota. The top-seeded Lynx made it look easy in Game 1 with a 101-72 blowout win. This 2nd game of this best-of-3 series will be played in the Bay Area, but 50 miles away from San Francisco, at San Jose's SAP Center. Unfortunately for Golden State, its home arena -- the Chase Center -- had already committed to host the Laver Cup tennis tournament. We'll grab the points with the Valkyries and fade the Lynx, as double-digit favorites have cashed just 28.1% when playing away from home vs. .360 (or better) foes. Even better: teams off 24-point (or worse) blowout losses in the first round of the Playoffs have bounced back to cover the spread 66% of the time. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-17-25 |
Mercury +2.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
86-60 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the New York Liberty. The Liberty won Game 1 of this 3-game series in overtime, 76-69. With its back against the wall, we'll take the underdog Mercury tonight, as New York is a nasty 23-56-1 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-7-1 ATS in the Playoffs. And the Mercury also fall into one of my favorite WNBA Playoff systems, which is 59-25 ATS. Grab the points with Phoenix. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-16-25 |
Aces v. Storm +5.5 |
Top |
83-86 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over Las Vegas. The Aces blew out Seattle by 25 points in Game 1, 102-77. We'll take Seattle to bounce back off that debacle as it is 32-9-2 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss, if its foe was off a SU win, including 16-1-1 ATS its last 18. Additionally, Las Vegas falls into a negative 30-50 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 15-point (or better) blowout wins. Take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-16-25 |
Dream v. Fever +4 |
Top |
60-77 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Atlanta Dream. The Dream are one of the better teams when playing with revenge, as they've gone 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 141-105-1 ATS their last 247). But they're a dreadful 47-71-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe away from home, including 12-30 ATS as a favorite. Meanwhile, Indiana is a solid 14-5-1 ATS as a revenge-minded home underdog of less than 7 points. We'll take the Fever + the points, and look for them to level the series at 1-game apiece. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-14-25 |
Storm +6.5 v. Aces |
Top |
77-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
44 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces have now won 16 straight games, including back-to-back blowouts by 31 and 28 points to end the regular season. But this will be a difficult match-up for Las Vegas. The Storm and Aces met four times this season, and they split the season series, two games apiece. Importantly, Las Vegas' two wins were both by 5 points or less (which is less than Sunday's point spread), while Seattle's victories were by 20 and 7 points. We'll grab the points with Seattle, and fade Las Vegas, which is an atrocious 7-31 ATS as a home favorite of more than 3 points, if it was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-14-25 |
Valkyries +12.5 v. Lynx |
Top |
72-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
35 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. Minnesota had the best regular season record, and will host the expansion Valkyries in Game 1 of the quarterfinals on Sunday afternoon. The Lynx finished off their regular season with a blowout win over these Valkyries, 72-53. We will play against Minnesota, and take the revenge-minded Valkyries, as WNBA teams have covered 70% in the first Playoff game, if they lost to their opponent SU to end the regular season. Even better: #1-seeds have woefully underperformed in the first round of the Playoffs off a point spread win, when favored between -4 and -14.5 points, as they've gone 0-14 ATS. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-09-25 |
Sparks v. Mercury -7.5 |
Top |
88-83 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Los Angeles Sparks. The Sparks will miss the post-season for the 5th straight year, while the 4th-seeded Mercury will likely host the Liberty in the opening round. Phoenix did pull a clunker in its previous game, and was upset, 87-84, by Connecticut, as a 10.5-point road favorite. Still, the Mercury are 22-5 ATS off a SU loss, when not getting 4+ points. And the Sparks are 9-19 ATS their last 28 off a SU win. Take the Mercury in their final home game of the regular season to blow out Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-09-25 |
Mystics +14.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
66-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the New York Liberty. This is Washington's final game of the season, and it will miss the playoffs for the 2nd straight year. The defending champion Liberty are seeded 5th in the standings, with two games to go, and will likely play Phoenix in the opening round. New York did cover the point spread in its last game -- an 84-76 win at Seattle. But it's played 19 games since the last time it covered the spread in back-to-back games. And it's 0-9-1 ATS its last 10 when priced from -11 to -16 points. Take Washington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-07-25 |
Sky +17.5 v. Aces |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Becky Hammon's Aces have ripped off 13 straight wins since losing by 53 points at home to the Minnesota Lynx on August 2nd. And everything came full circle this past Thursday when the Aces avenged that 111-58 loss with a 97-87 upset win at home over the Lynx, as a 2-point underdog. The Aces are now 27-14, and seeded 3rd -- 2.5 games ahead of the 5th-seeded New York Liberty, so the Aces will no doubt have home court advantage in the first round of the Playoffs. Las Vegas' final three games will be at home (twice) against the 10-31 Sky (Sunday and Tuesday), and at the 19-22 Los Angeles Sparks (Thursday), so its foot will likely come off the pedal a bit in these three games. We'll take Chicago, as Las Vegas is a lousy 7-30 ATS when favored at home by more than 3 points, if Las Vegas was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-03-25 |
Sparks +7.5 v. Dream |
Top |
75-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Atlanta Dream. With 5 games left on their schedule, the Sparks (19-20) are one game behind the Fever (21-20) in the race for the 8th (and final) playoff berth. And, given that Los Angeles projects to be an underdog in four of its remaining five games, its proverbial back is against the wall. But the Sparks did come through with a huge upset win at Seattle on Monday, 91-85, as a 7-point road underdog. Admittedly, the Dream come into this game off back to back blowout wins by 22 and 17 points. But those two victories were against the Wings and Sky. And, even worse, home teams off back to back blowout wins by more than 16 points have covered just 3 of 20. We'll grab the points with the Sparks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-30-25 |
Liberty v. Mercury -1 |
Top |
63-80 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams are in a tight battle for the #4 seed (and home court advantage in the Playoffs' first round). Phoenix is 24-14 with six games to play, while New York sits a half-game back, at 24-15 with five games left. Tonight's game, then, will go a long way toward settling which team has the better record. New York is a nasty 1-12-2 ATS its last 15 road games, and is 0-8-1 ATS on the road this season vs. winning teams. Phoenix, meanwhile, is 11-8 ATS at home this season, including 5-3 ATS vs. winning foes. And the Mercury also fall into a 201-132-3 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-30-25 |
Sky +11.5 v. Storm |
Top |
69-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Seattle Storm. Seattle pulled off a big upset, 93-79, over the Minnesota Lynx, as an 8.5-point road underdog in their previous game. We played on the Storm that game, but will fade it here as a big favorite tonight. Admittedly, the Sky have lost three in a row. But double-digit road underdogs have gone 160-104-2 ATS in non-division games. And home favorites have cashed just 38.2% following an upset win as a road dog of 8+ points. Grab the points with Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-29-25 |
Fever v. Sparks -1.5 |
Top |
76-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Indiana Fever. These two teams are locked in a tight battle with the Seattle Storm and Golden State Valkyries for the final three Playoff spots. The Fever (20-18) are currently in the 6th seed, while the Sparks (17-19) occupy the 9th seed, and would miss the Playoffs if the season ended after last night's games. But L.A. is just 2 games behind Indiana in the standings (and just 1.5 games behind 8th-seeded Golden State), with two weeks to go. After a solid stretch where the Sparks went 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS, they've gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS their last 5 games. Tonight's game is critical for L.A.'s Playoff hopes, and we'll lay the points with them as a small home favorite. Indeed, single-digit home favorites off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 59% in the season's final 9 games if they owned a win percentage of 0.430 (or better). Even better: the Fever are off a 20-point win over Seattle. But winning teams, off a win by 20+ points, have cashed just 40% as road underdogs vs. losing teams off a SU/ATS loss. The Sparks also fall into two of my favorite systems, with records of 116-64 and 107-58 ATS. Lay the points with Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-28-25 |
Storm +9.5 v. Lynx |
Top |
93-79 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. The Seattle Storm come into tonight's game off a 95-75 blowout loss at Indiana, as a 5-point road favorite, while Minnesota checks in off a 97-84 win -- also against Indiana -- as an 11.5-point home favorite. The 8th-seeded Storm are 20-19 on the season, and locked in a tight battle with Indiana, Golden State and Los Angeles for the last three Playoff spots, as just two games separate those four teams. We'll grab the points with the Storm, as they're 20-2-2 ATS as an underdog off a loss vs. an opponent off a win, including 12-0-2 ATS when getting 4+ points. Take Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-27-25 |
Aces v. Dream -2.5 |
Top |
81-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Dream minus the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Becky Hammon's crew has ripped off 11 straight wins, including a 2-point win (as a 2.5-point home favorite) over Atlanta eight days ago. We'll take the revenge-minded Dream tonight, as Atlanta is 13-0 ATS its last 13 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. The Dream also fall into a 78-42-2 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on win streaks, as well as a 54-24 ATS revenge angle. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-25-25 |
Sun v. Liberty -11 |
Top |
79-81 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over the Connecticut Sun. The Sun are 9-27, but have won their last 3 games -- both straight-up and ATS. Meanwhile, the defending champion Liberty are riding a 2-game SU/ATS losing streak. We'll take New York to bounce back tonight, as defending champs have covered 69% as favorites in the regular season off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins. Additionally, the Sun fall into negative 4-23 ATS and 56-92-5 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-22-25 |
Lynx -6 v. Fever |
Top |
95-90 |
Loss |
-111 |
17 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Indiana. The Lynx lost back-to-back games for the first time all season last night, when they fell by two points, 75-73, at Atlanta. The good news for Minnesota is that it still has the WNBA's best record (by far), at 28-7. More good news: its best player, and leading MVP candidate, Napheesa Collier, may make her return from injury tonight. Minnesota will be playing with revenge from a 74-59 home loss to the Fever. The Lynx are an awesome 37-12 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite off a SU loss (and 18-3 if off back-to-back losses). Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-21-25 |
Mercury +2 v. Aces |
Top |
61-83 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Becky Hammon's women were mired in a mediocre season, and hit rock bottom on August 2nd, when they were destroyed by Minnesota, 111-58. That 53-point loss was the 2nd-worst in WNBA history, only surpassed by Indiana's 59-point loss to Minnesota in 2017. But a funny thing happened after that debacle: the Aces used that ignominious defeat as fuel, and have ripped off eight straight wins, including an upset win at Phoenix six days ago, as a 4.5-point road underdog. Las Vegas is now in the 5th spot in the standings, with a 22-14 record, and will leapfrog the 4th-seeded Mercury with a win tonight. I don't think that will happen, and like Phoenix to avenge its home loss to the Aces with an upset win tonight. Indeed, the Aces are 8-19 ATS as a favorite when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset in the season's previous meeting. And Phoenix also falls into a 79-41 ATS revenge system of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-19-25 |
Lynx v. Liberty -2 |
Top |
75-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. In a scheduling quirk, this will be Minnesota's 3rd straight game vs. the Liberty (though New York played games against Los Angeles and Las Vegas in between its games vs. the Lynx). New York lost those previous two games vs. Minnesota, and is 0-3 vs. Minnesota this season. We'll lay the points with the Liberty, as .555 (or better) teams have cashed 64% at home when playing with triple-revenge. Additionally, Minnesota, at 28-5, has a huge 6.5-game lead over the #2-seed, Atlanta. But the Liberty, with a 22-12 record, are in a dogfight with Atlanta, Phoenix and Las Vegas for a top 4-seed, and home field advantage in the quarterfinal round of the playoffs. At game 30 forward, WNBA teams with an .820 (or better) win percentage have covered just 29.6%, including 1-10 ATS their last 11. Take New York minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-15-25 |
Aces v. Mercury -4.5 |
Top |
86-83 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over Las Vegas. The Aces are riding a season-high 5-game win streak, while the Mercury check in off a SU loss. But we will fade Becky Hammon's crew tonight in Phoenix, as the Mercury are a super 14-1 ATS at home off a SU loss, if they were not getting 4+ points. Additionally, Las Vegas is an ugly 31% since 2006 as an underdog of more than 4 points, if it was off a SU win, and its opponent was off a SU loss. And the Aces also fall into a negative 28-69 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams on winning streaks. Lay the points with Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-15-25 |
Storm +3.5 v. Dream |
Top |
80-78 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over the Atlanta Dream. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these teams. The first was two nights ago in Seattle; this will be played north-of-the-border, in Vancouver, Canada. Atlanta upset Seattle on Wednesday, 85-75. We'll take the Storm to avenge that upset loss, as they are 30-9-2 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss when playing a foe off a win (including a perfect 7-0 ATS if such foe was off an upset win). Seattle also falls into a 67% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that were upset in the prior meeting. Grab the points with the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-13-25 |
Dream v. Storm +1 |
Top |
85-75 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm over the Atlanta Dream. Tonight, we have two teams headed in opposite directions. The Dream are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, while the Storm have lost their last five games, SU/ATS. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Dream, and against the ice-cold Storm. But be careful, as WNBA teams riding a 5-game (or better) win streak have cashed just 39.2% vs. foes on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak. Seattle also falls into 106-57, 58-31 and 109-63 ATS systems of mine. Take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-12-25 |
Liberty -3.5 v. Sparks |
Top |
105-97 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over the Los Angeles Sparks. When these two teams last met on July 26, the Liberty lost outright to the Sparks, 101-99, as an 11-point home favorite. That started an 8-game stretch where New York has not covered the point spread, going 0-6-2 ATS. I look for the Liberty to snap their ATS losing streak tonight, and avenge that upset loss. Indeed, Los Angeles is a lousy 2-12-1 ATS its last 15 (and 38-70-2 ATS its last 110) if it was playing a revenge-minded for, and L.A. was not favored by more than 3 points. Lay the points with the Liberty. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-11-25 |
Sun +9.5 v. Valkyries |
Top |
57-74 |
Loss |
-115 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the Golden State Valkyries. Last night, the Sun lost by 8 to the Las Vegas Aces, but covered the 12.5-point spread. That moved the Sun's record to 8-4 ATS its last 12, and 35-19 ATS its last 54 when getting 8+ points. We'll grab the points with Connecticut, as road dogs have cashed 58% off a road loss, if they were matched up against a non-division foe. Take the Sun. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-10-25 |
Storm -3.5 v. Sparks |
Top |
91-94 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm minus the points over the Los Angeles Sparks. When these two teams last met nine days ago, the Sparks survived to defeat Seattle in overtime, 108-106. We'll take the revenge-minded Storm tonight, as Los Angeles is 2-11-1 ATS its last 14 (and 37-70-2 ATS its last 109) when playing a revenge-minded foe, if L.A. was not favored by more than 3. Additionally, the Storm fall into 64-29 and 109-63 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-08-25 |
Storm +1.5 v. Aces |
Top |
86-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm over the Las Vegas Aces. Becky Hammon's crew comes into this game off back-to-back SU/ATS wins over the Golden State Valkyries. Unfortunately, the Aces are 1-7 ATS their last 8 off back to back wins. And they're 34-60 ATS their last 94 off back to back SU/ATS wins. Seattle falls into one of my favorite systems which is 109-61 ATS. We'll take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-08-25 |
Mystics +10 v. Lynx |
Top |
76-80 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx will once again be without Napheesa Collier tonight. They survived to upset Seattle, 91-87, in their last game. But I don't think they'll cover double-digits tonight. Indeed, favorites of -7.5 (or more) off an upset road win are a poor 38% ATS. Washington also falls into 37-12 and 89-45 ATS systems of mine. Grab the points with the Mystics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-05-25 |
Lynx v. Storm -1.5 |
Top |
91-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams met here, in Seattle, back in June, and the Storm won that game by 10 points, 94-84. That continued a long-term trend where the home team has covered the spread in this series. Indeed, since 2006, the home team has gone 49-27 ATS, including 18-7 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier that season. The Lynx will be without star Napheesa Collier tonight, and that's a big loss, as she is averaging 23.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg, and 3.5 apg. In the first meeting, she bettered all those numbers with 25 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists. Seattle does come into this game off upset losses at the hands of the Indiana Fever and the Los Angeles Sparks. But the Storm are a super 21-1 SU and 18-4 in division games as a home favorite off back to back losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
08-01-25 |
Mercury -3 v. Dream |
Top |
72-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. These two teams met nine days ago, and the Dream went into Phoenix and upset the Mercury, 90-79, as a 7.5-point road underdog. We'll take Phoenix to avenge that defeat, as Atlanta is an awful 1-10 ATS its last 11 when playing a revenge-minded foe it bested earlier in the season. Additionally, the Mercury were upset in their most recent game, 107-101, by the Indiana Fever. And Atlanta is a wallet-busting 13-25-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss. Finally, the Mercury fall into a 197-128-2 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-25-25 |
Wings v. Valkyries -3.5 |
Top |
76-86 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries minus the points over Dallas. Golden State has been installed as a home favorite tonight, and we'll lay the points, as the Valkyries are 8-3 ATS in front of their home faithful in this, their inaugural season. Admittedly, Golden State enters on a 3-game losing streak. But Dallas is a dreadful 27-61 ATS vs. foes off 3+ losses. Golden State also falls into a 106-57-4 ATS system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-24-25 |
Aces v. Fever +2 |
Top |
70-80 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over Las Vegas. The Aces won their first game after the All-Star Break, 87-72, over Atlanta, as a 2-point home favorite. Unfortunately, Becky Hammon's crew have NOT been aces off a win, lately, with a 3-11 ATS record, including 1-6 ATS on the road. Likewise, they're also 3-11 ATS their last 14 vs. winning opposition, including 0-6 ATS off a point spread win. We'll grab the points, as winning home dogs have gone 89-65 ATS. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-16-25 |
Valkyries v. Storm -5 |
Top |
58-67 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm minus the points over the Golden State Valkyries. The Storm come into this game on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including an upset loss to Washington, 74-69, as a 7-point home favorite on Sunday. We'll take Seattle to bounce back, as it's 21-5-2 ATS vs. division rivals if it was off a SU/ATS loss, and also failed to cover each of its last three games. Additionally, the Storm lost each of the first two meetings to Golden State this season, including an 84-57 blowout as a 4-point road favorite last month. But Seattle falls into a 196-128-2 ATS revenge system of mine. And, finally, .588 (or better) teams have cashed 64% when playing with revenge from a 27-point (or worse) loss earlier in the season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-15-25 |
Mystics v. Sparks +2.5 |
Top |
80-99 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Washington Mystics. Washington enters this game on a 3-game win streak, including an upset win at Seattle on Sunday, as a 7-point road dog. We'll fade Washington tonight, as Los Angeles is 55-31-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, while Washington is 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS off 3 straight wins. Additionally, the Mystics are 13-21-2 ATS their last 36 vs. the Sparks, including 0-5 ATS off back to back wins. Finally, Washington falls into a negative 128-211-6 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off wins. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-14-25 |
Mercury v. Valkyries -1 |
Top |
78-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries minus the points over Phoenix. In their maiden season, the Valkyries are 10-10 SU and 13-7 ATS. They've had great success here, at home, where they've gone 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. winning opposition! Phoenix took the first meeting, 86-77, but the Valkyries are 3-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge, including 1-0 ATS at home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-11-25 |
Dream v. Fever -1.5 |
Top |
82-99 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. Atlanta blew out Indiana, 77-58, when these teams met last month in Georgia. We'll take the Fever to avenge that loss, as they're 11-6-1 ATS their last 18 when playing with revenge, including 7-1-1 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 0-7 ATS its last seven vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Caitlin Clark & Co. minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-08-25 |
Aces v. Liberty -5 |
Top |
78-87 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Las Vegas. These two teams met in the season opener, and the Liberty won that game by 14 points, 92-78. That started a 6-3 ATS run to start the season for New York. But it has gone 0-8-1 ATS in its nine games since. We'll take the Liberty to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as 0.550 (or better) teams have cashed 59% in the regular season on ATS losing streaks of 6 (or more) games. Additionally, the Liberty are 7-1 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. And the Aces are an atrocious 2-9 ATS their last 11 off a SU win, including 0-7 ATS vs. winning foes. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-07-25 |
Wings v. Mercury -6 |
Top |
72-102 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over Dallas. These two teams met in Dallas on Thursday, and the Wings upset the Mercury, 98-89, as an 11.5-point home underdog. We'll take Phoenix to avenge that upset loss, as they had won and covered their previous 4 meetings vs. Dallas before getting upset last week. Even better: when teams have played back to back games, the teams off upset losses as favorites of more than 7 points have rebounded to cover 65% of the time in their next game. Lay the points with Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
07-01-25 |
Fever +7 v. Lynx |
Top |
74-59 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. This is the first meeting of the season between these teams, and it will come in the championship game of the Commissioner's Cup In-Season Tournament. Caitlin Clark has missed the Fever's last two games with a groin injury, and her status for tonight's game is questionable. Regardless, we'll grab the points with Indiana. The underdog is a perfect 4-0 in the WNBA's Commissioner's Cup title games, and the Fever are 26-16-2 ATS as a single-digit underdog. That bodes well for Indiana. As does the fact that Minnesota is a miserable 3-11 ATS off back-to-back wins, including 0-7 ATS when not favored by 8+ points. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-29-25 |
Sun +21 v. Lynx |
Top |
63-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Minnesota. The Lynx are 13-2 on the season and are laying more points this evening than any team has in this 2025 season. Granted, Connecticut has dropped eight straight games. But we'll happily take the points with the Sun, as Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS its last eight when laying more than 14 points. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 6-3 ATS this season when catching double-digits. And the underdog has gone 32-23-1 ATS in this series. Finally, 0.666 (or better) teams have cashed just 33 of 91 vs. foes off 3+ losses. Take Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-25-25 |
Sun +19 v. Aces |
Top |
59-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Las Vegas. We played on the Aces on Sunday and got the $$$ in their 8-point win over Indiana. Tonight, they'll welcome the Sun to Sin City, and Connecticut will be looking to snap a 6-game losing streak. Las Vegas is a poor 4-9-1 ATS the last two seasons off a SU win, when favored vs. a foe off a SU loss. And it is also 6-15-1 ATS its last 22 when favored by 6+ points off a SU win. Meanwhile, the Sun are 17-4 ATS their last 21 when getting more than 10 points, including 7-0 ATS if they failed to cover the spread in their previous game by 10+. With Connecticut off a 24-point blowout loss to Golden State, as a 9.5-point road underdog, we'll take Connecticut to bounce back on this Wednesday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-24-25 |
Sparks -5.5 v. Sky |
Top |
86-97 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Chicago Sky. The Sparks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, with losses to the Lynx (twice) and Storm. We'll take L.A. to bounce back tonight, as they'll step down in class to take on the 3-10 Sky. Los Angeles is an awesome 25-12-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, while Chicago is 16-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. And the Sky are 32-56 ATS as a home dog, if they owned a losing record. Lay the points with the Sparks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-22-25 |
Fever v. Aces +1.5 |
Top |
81-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Indiana. Becky Hammon's women have started the season slowly, with a 5-7 record, and are 0-6 ATS their last six games. We'll take the Aces to bounce back this afternoon against Caitlin Clark & Co., as Las Vegas is a solid 31-21-2 ATS at home off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Indiana, meanwhile, is 17-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. WNBA teams off 5+ point spread losses have cashed 56.3% in the regular season. And, finally, the Aces have won 15 straight vs. the Fever (and 23-1 their last 24). They're also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 vs. Indy, including 8-1 ATS as an underdog. Grab the points with Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-20-25 |
Storm v. Aces +2.5 |
Top |
90-83 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Seattle. The Aces are currently riding a 5-game point spread losing streak after losing at Minnesota, 76-62. We'll take Las Vegas to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as it is 31-20-2 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses. And the Aces are 15-7 ATS vs. the Storm, including 4-0 ATS as an underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-18-25 |
Mercury v. Sun +13.5 |
Top |
83-75 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Phoenix. The Sun lost, 88-71, at Indiana last night, as a 17.5-point underdog, while Phoenix won at Las Vegas, 76-70, on Sunday. We'll take the Sun as a double-digit home dog, as unrested home dogs have gone 26-11-1 ATS vs. rested foes, including 15-3-1 ATS off an ATS win. Additionally, double-digit dogs off double-digit losses have gone 35-19-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. We'll grab the points with the Sun. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-14-25 |
Liberty v. Fever +5 |
Top |
88-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams met earlier this season in a thriller which went down to the wire. New York escaped with a 90-88 victory as a 4-point road favorite. We'll take Indiana, as Caitlin Clark will be back in the lineup this afternoon. The Fever are a solid 14-5 ATS the last two seasons vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, while New York is a nasty 47-89-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. The Fever were blown out by 19 points by the Dream on Tuesday. But WNBA teams off a SU/ATS loss are on a 29-10 ATS run vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-13-25 |
Sky +12.5 v. Dream |
Top |
70-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. The Sky come into this game off a 19-point loss to the Liberty, while the Dream won by 19 over Indiana in its last game. We'll grab the points tonight with Chicago, as double-digit dogs off losses by 15+ points have cashed 61.6% vs. foes off wins by 15+ points. Additionally, Atlanta is an awful 15-31 ATS as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a SU loss. Take the Sky + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-10-25 |
Sky +18.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
66-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over New York. These two teams met last month, and the Liberty blew out the Sky, 99-74, as an 11.5-point road favorite. This game will be played in the Big Apple, and we will grab the points with the revenge-minded Sky. Chicago did lose by 27 points to the Fever on Saturday. But the good news is that the Liberty are a horrid 0-20 ATS when favored by 5+ at home vs. a revenge-minded foe off a loss. We'll grab the points with the Sky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-05-25 |
Liberty v. Mystics +14 |
Top |
86-78 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams met a week ago here, in the nation's capital, and the Liberty won by 22, 85-63, as a 9-point road favorite. For this rematch, the oddsmakers have significantly raised the price on the Liberty, who are now a big double-digit road favorite. We'll take Washington, as the Liberty are a lousy 46-88 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-10 ATS if they won the previous meeting by a margin ranging from 19 to 29 points. And the Mystics are 9-1-1 ATS as a double-digit home underdog. Grab the points with Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-01-25 |
Mercury v. Sparks -4 |
Top |
85-80 |
Loss |
-109 |
16 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Phoenix Mercury. These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun on May 21, and the Mercury defeated the Sparks, 89-86, as a 4-point home favorite. Still, the Sparks covered the spread, and they're now 23-16-1 ATS vs. Phoenix, including 9-2 ATS as a home favorite. That bodes well for the Sparks. As does the fact that they fall into a 193-125-2 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points with Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
06-01-25 |
Sun +18.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
52-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the New York Liberty. The Sun upset the Fever as a 10.5-point underdog, 85-83, on Friday. Off that big win, we'll ride the momentum and grab the points with the Sun on Sunday. Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed 58.2% as underdogs off upset wins as a double-digit dog in their previous game. Take Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-30-25 |
Liberty v. Mystics +8.5 |
Top |
85-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over New York. We played against the Liberty last night, and got the $$$ with the Valkyries. And we will once again fade New York tonight, on the road, playing without rest. Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed just 35.2% on the road off 3+ wins, if they were playing without rest. Even better: Washington is 9-2 ATS its last 11 vs. New York, and 15-4-1 ATS its last 20 as a home dog of 8+ points. Take the Mystics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-29-25 |
Valkyries +19 v. Liberty |
Top |
77-82 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over New York. These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Liberty blew out the Valkyries, 95-67, as an 18-point home favorite. This game is also being played in the Big Apple, and we'll take the revenge-minded double-digit underdog. Over the last 14 regular seasons, underdogs of 14+ points have cashed 78.6% when playing the same opponent they lost to in their previous game. Even better: revenge-minded road underdogs of 5 (or more) points, off a straight-up loss, have gone 19-0 ATS their last 19 games at New York. We'll grab the points with the Valkyries. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-27-25 |
Valkyries +17 v. Liberty |
Top |
67-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over the New York Liberty. The Valkyries come into this game off an upset win as a 10.5-point road dog last Friday at Los Angeles. We'll take Golden State + the double-digits on Tuesday, as underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 61.4% since 2006 off a SU win, if they were well-rested with at least 3 days off. Even better: WNBA underdogs off an upset win as a double-digit dog have cashed 62% in the regular season. Grab the points with Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-24-25 |
Liberty v. Fever +4 |
Top |
90-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over New York. Dating back to last season, Caitlin Clark & Co. are 19-12-1 ATS their last 32. We'll grab the points with the Fever this afternoon, and go against the Liberty, who won 99-74 over Chicago on Thursday. Unfortunately for New York, WNBA teams off wins by 20+ points have covered just 37% vs. .555 (or better) foes. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-22-25 |
Liberty v. Sky +12.5 |
Top |
99-74 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the New York Liberty. The Liberty are the defending WNBA Champs, and opened the season with a big win over the previous champion, Las Vegas. We'll fade New York tonight, as it is an awful 16-37 when laying more than 9 points, including 9-27 ATS off a win. And the Sky are 30-22 ATS when catching more than 9 points, including 6-1 ATS at home. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-22-25 |
Fever -4 v. Dream |
Top |
81-76 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever minus the points over Atlanta. This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams. The Dream pulled off an upset on Tuesday, as a 7-point road underdog, 91-90. We'll take the Fever in this revenge match, as Atlanta is a wallet-busting 77-101 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. Additionally, Indiana falls into a 63% ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-20-24 |
Lynx v. Liberty -5.5 |
Top |
62-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Sunday, in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota. The Lynx forced a Game 5 with an 82-80 triumph on Friday night, in Minneapolis. This game will be played in New York City, and the Liberty have been dominant at home when coming off a straight-up loss, as they have won their last 10 straight-up. And they've also gone 12-6 ATS their last 18 at home off a SU loss. Likewise, in the Playoffs the past two seasons, New York has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home off a SU loss. Moreover, WNBA Game 5s have generally gone the way of the favored team, and especially when laying more than 3 points, as those clubs have cashed 73%. We'll side with Sabrina Ionescu & Co. to blow out Minnesota. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-16-24 |
Liberty v. Lynx +2.5 |
Top |
80-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the New York Liberty. We played on the Liberty in Game 2, and were rewarded with an 80-66 blowout win. But with Minnesota off that horrible game, we'll switch gears and play on the Lynx as a home underdog in Game 3. Indeed, in the WNBA Finals, teams off losses by 14+ points have cashed 60% since 2006 (and 67% as home underdogs). the Lynx are 12-6-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings with the Liberty, including 4-2 ATS this season. Finally, the Lynx fall into 49-24 and 93-52 ATS Playoff systems of mine. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-13-24 |
Lynx v. Liberty -7 |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 4 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota. The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead. We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss. Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-08-24 |
Sun v. Lynx -3 |
Top |
77-88 |
Win
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100 |
40 h 51 m |
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At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win. This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night. Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs. And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-06-24 |
Lynx v. Sun -1.5 |
Top |
82-92 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 40 m |
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At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series. We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%. Even better: the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat. We'll lay the points with Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-06-24 |
Liberty +3.5 v. Aces |
Top |
76-62 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 41 m |
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At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas. The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday. I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship. Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg. That bodes well for the road team. Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%. With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%. And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-04-24 |
Lynx v. Sun -1.5 |
Top |
90-81 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 27 m |
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At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory. The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece. We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2. Even better: Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss. And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win. Take the Sun minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-01-24 |
Sun v. Lynx -4.5 |
Top |
70-77 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 33 m |
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat. Even better: the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat. Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-01-24 |
Aces +3.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
84-88 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 32 m |
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York. The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77. We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss. And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog. Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs. Grab the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-17-24 |
Sky +7 v. Dream |
Top |
70-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 39 m |
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth. Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season. The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight. Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana). This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker. We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-15-24 |
Sparks +12.5 v. Storm |
Top |
87-90 |
Win
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100 |
26 h 10 m |
Show
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At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number. Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening. But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump. They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points. We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-08-24 |
Wings -4.5 v. Sky |
Top |
77-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 21 m |
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At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky. Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks. Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds. Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas. The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-04-24 |
Sparks +12.5 v. Fever |
Top |
86-93 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over Indiana. Caitlin Clark's Fever are on a 4-game win streak to go over the .500 mark for the first time all season. Tonight, they're favored by double-digits. And prior to tonight, the most they had been favored by all season was 7 points. They lost that game outright and, in fact, have been poor as a favorite of 4+ points, with a 2-4 ATS mark this season, and a 10-18-2 ATS mark over their last 30. The Sparks are 14-7 ATS in the last 21 meetings vs. Indiana, including an 88-82 upset win here, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, when these teams last met. Take the Sparks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-03-24 |
Dream v. Mercury -1.5 |
Top |
66-74 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 28 m |
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At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. Phoenix enters tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. The Mercury were underdogs in each of those defeats. And they are a soft 8-11 ATS this season when dressed up in the underdog role. But Phoenix is a stellar 9-4-1 as a favorite this year, including a perfect 5-0-1 ATS off a loss, so that bodes well for it in this game. And the Mercury is 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss, dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Atlanta is an ugly 17-31-2 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a foe off a straight-up defeat. Take Phoenix minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-01-24 |
Sky +13 v. Lynx |
Top |
74-79 |
Win
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100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over Minnesota. The Sky are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Minnesota is 3-9 ATS its last 12 as a double-digit favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Even better: the underdog is 28-15-1 ATS in this series, including 15-1 ATS their last 16 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points in the previous meeting. With Chicago playing with revenge from an 8-point loss to the Lynx, we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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