Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be intense. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the linesmakers are estimating to be close. The Raptors are 2-9-2 UNDER L/11 on the road with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 Thursday games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-3-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less ARE 78-41 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be a up North rumble. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the lines-makers are estimating to be close . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the seasons are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Warriors uncharacteristically allowed 123 points in Game 3 of this series vs the Raptors which was just the fourth time they have allowed 120 points or more in the 2019 playoffs. In the two previous play off campaigns the Warriors allowed more than 120 points just 3 times in total, so Im betting the game 3 anomaly will not be repeated as will as a mean to the regression to the norm for the Raptors offence after shooting the lights out in game 3 ( 40% from 3 point land, 30+ assists ). With Klay Thompson returning to the floor for game 4, the dynamic of the Dubs defence will return which HC Kerr will key on in a very important game . Also Durant will be out tonight as well, for the Warriors which has diminished their offensive firepower as compared to when he plays, so D will be very important element for Golden State to even this series. When Durant plays the Dubs average 116.5 ppg on offence and when he sits they average 6.1 ppg less at 110.4 ppg. In the 48 times Durant as not played because of injury or personal issues , the Total is 30-18 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors with the staying under the total by 5.6 ppg.When Durant is not playing and Curry is in the lineup, the under is 26-15 fora 64% conversion rate for bettors staying under the total by 5.3 ppg. Note:The Raptors previous to game 3 were 1-8-2 UNDER on the road in the post season with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg scored. I keep hammering the under in this series, and I could drastically change my mind based on todays results. However, keep in mind Im not being swayed by a small game 3 sample size. So lets attack the under again. Play UNDER |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 123-109 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Toronto Im betting will continue to play scrappy physical ball here on the road, against the run and gun Dubs. They practiced this in both series against the Bucks and the Sixers and nothing will change tonight in Oakland.The Raptors are 1-8-2 UNDER since Apr 03, 2019 on the road with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Golden State's D is very under rated and recently in these play offs held two explosive offences Portland and Houston to 99 and 94 points respectively here at home. More strong stopping capabilities Im betting will be on full display here in game 3. .Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games. Play UNDER |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Game 2 - NBA Finals The Raptors who have owned the best half court D in the postseason did well in game 1 by focusing their attention on Curry and Thompson and with no Durant on the floor the Raptors should continue to be effective slowing down the splash brothers again. Right now the Warriors just don't have enough outlets, and the Dubs HC Kerr know s this , and being the top tier director and game facilitator he is Im betting the ball coach will have his D prepared to play a more guarded transitional game that will help this score stay on the low side of the total. Also it is highly unlikely key Raptors players like Pascal Siakam will score anywhere near what they did in game one, and that the Dinos offensive output is also curtailed in a game that Im betting stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Sunday games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Play UNDER |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors enter this game ranked 8th in points per game allowed in the league and 15th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors rank 13th in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams have a great deal of offensive talent, but both also have some gritty defensive players. During these play offs the Raptors have made teams like Milwaukee and Philadelphia look less than fluid thanks to their ability to break the flow of their opponents, and Im sure that same formula will be in place Thursday night.It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their reputation as gunslingers also have the ability to play a top tier brand of D, and that Im betting will also be on display. With that said, Im expecting a chippy physical affair here in Toronto and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 12-5-1 in Warriors last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have made the Bucks look bad in the last two meetings on this series. It must be noted that Milwaukee has stayed UNDER 10 straight times with rest when they are off two double-digit ATS losses and the line is -3 to a pick. Overall in this series the Bucks and the Raptors have struggled offensively .In game 5 the ugliness of this series was highlighted as Toronto went 31-of-84 from the field while the Bucks were 38-of-84. The Raptors actually made seven fewer FGs, but they came out on top because they made twelve more charity stripe conversions than the Bucks. Tonight with so much on the line, I expect this to be a very physical game that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-4-1 in Raptors last 14 games following a straight up win.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors starters logged a lot of minutes last time out, in game 1 of this series vs the Bucks and were previously off a 7 game series with the Sixers . So fatigue factors come into play for the Dinos as was the case in the fourth quarter of the last game where the Raptors were rolled over by a team that they had lead by DDs at different junctures of this matchup. Contrary to belief it takes more effort and stamina to play strong physical defence than to run and gun and wide open fashion and tonight Im betting the Raptors are forced to open up in transition because of the inability to defend vs a fresher side . This is the lowest total the books have offered from the 5 games these teams have played this year, and the one with the most value for an OVER wager to cash. MILWAUKEE in 49 games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. Toronto in their L/11 after failing to cover the spread in 3 game or more have seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg scored. Note: The Raptors have gone 6-0 OVER L/6 as a pup with less than two days rest after a loss in which they were ahead by double digits at some point, going over the number by an average of 23.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 7-0 OVER L/7 with less than two days rest off a win as chalk after a victory where they were behind by double digits, going over the Total by an average of 20 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 40-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 217.5 | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State rolled to a 116-94 win vs Portland in the first game of this series, and Im betting they are just getting ramped up. Portland had issues converting from the field and despite of being on tired legs did play more efficient conservative ball like they did against Denver, but the Warriors have just to much firepower, so their efforts were muted . With that said, Im expecting this Portland Blazers team to man up here and play more aggressive offensive hoops behind their splash brothers Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum vs the explosive Dubs in a game Im betting will be much higher scoring than the first game. Over is 26-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 36 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 11-4 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up loss.Over is 19-8 in Trail Blazers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-5 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Warriors are 8-0 OVER L/8 in playoff games when they are off a home victory where they held their opposition under their season-to-date shooting percentage average by more than ten percentage points, going over by an average of +21 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight game are 130-89 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Portland has really piked up its defensive intensity in these play offs. That was evident vs the Denver Nuggets in this last series. Note: Since late December of 2015, the Denver Nuggets were held to under 37.1% shooting from the field at home in only two games - both were in their playoff series vs Portland. Now the Blazers will go against an explosive Golden State team that they know they wont easily compete against in a run and gun affair, and instead Im betting will focus on a more conservative physical approach here that will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 Conference Finals games Play UNDER |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I know that play off series when they go deep have a tendency of going under. However all games must be treated independently of each other. There is just to much offence on the floor here tonight in a game that I have pegged to be closely contested for this total not to breached . PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 53 games vs up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 As in all NBA play off games that have gone deep into a series the opposing sides are a bit fatigued and both sides are very accustomed to each others offensive schemes and all the necessary defensive adjustments have been accounted for thus a lower scoring affair is not out of the ordinary. Add that both sides do not want to make mistakes, and conservative hoops is the norm that makes a under wager here a viable investment option. The L/14 seasons have seen the under go 97-69 UNDER in game 6 and 7s of play off series. Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 213 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 These teams have had alot of half court games over the last few seasons, but the two games played in Houston in this series, showed some more wide open hoops. With Houston on the verge of elimination Im betting they unload here in a big way and leave everything on the court in aggressive fashion which will force the Warriors to run and gun with their desperate opponents in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. The Rockets in their L/10 games since Mar 17, 2019 as a home favorite have seen a combined average score of 220.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-2 OVER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg going on the score board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 OVER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 104-52 OVER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212.5 | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 With the way the Sixers are shooting, and their flow has been for the last couple of games Im betting they wont just suddenly come out here and light things up. Add to that when the Sixers star Embiid is off the court his team has been a wreck, and with him playing they have really not been been much better, as its obvious to me hes not 100% as rumors swirl about his fitness and possible ill health at a very inopportune time. Because the Sixers chemistry looks to be a shambles entering this game I fully expect them to have a muted offensive effort in a game that has a high probability of not eclipsing the number. Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.TORONTO is 24-7 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER (LATE STEAM) |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 | 91-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - MIL Leads 3-1 The Celtics are now in desperation mode and must get back to what made their opening game in this series a successful one. In game 1 the Celtics held the Bucks to 90 points and got a win, and since than gotten away from the type of defensive ball that has made them successful over the last few seasons. Tonight Im betting they pay very strict attention to D, knowing that they can not out score the Bucks in a fast paced game and are a big time disadvantage. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers and public might expect. BOSTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 In game 3 of this series I expected a fairly high scoring game , and it went into OT, and we cashed on the OVER. I saw a tendency towards a faster paced set in game 2, which led me to my assessment, but now Im expecting a more conservative approach here from both teams, and a half court game which is the norm when these teams go head to head over the last few seasons. Remember both teams saw key players play an extreme amount of minutes ( Harden) and now a fatigue factor must be considered. Houston is and 0-6 UNDER by an average of more than 14 points as a favorite in the playoffs after a game with eight-plus lead changes while the Warriors are 0-8 UNDER L/8 staying below the number by more than an average 13 ppg as a road pup with less than two days rest off a road loss in which there were eight-plus lead changes. GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 215.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-37 UNDER L5 seasons for 68%conversion rate. Play on the UNDER . |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 221 | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 Milwaukee has imposed their offensive will on the Celtics in back to back games in this series, scoring 123 points in both tilts (wins), and now Im betting nothing changes tonight as they hit or eclipse that number, again with Boston having no choice but to open up with their own capable offence and also have a substantial output performance. The Bucks are 6-0 L/6 OVER on the road eclipsing the Total by more than 18 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 244.2 ppg.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER in road games versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.3 ppg. Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 road games.Over is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Bucks last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Bucks last 22 games following a straight up win.Over is 24-8 in Bucks last 32 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 26-9 in Bucks last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a straight up loss.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 11-4-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings here in Boston. Play OVER |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210.5 | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played they went into extended OT, and now, so many in the public are expecting a muted offensive effort here today because of fatigue factor. But now with all the value sucked out of the total in downward fashion, Im now betting the OVER is a value wager and a game that should see both teams eclipse the 105+ plateau based on my own projections. Note:DENVER is 33-9 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 44-10 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 245.3 ppg scored. The Nuggets are 6-0 OVER (18.83 ppg) since Apr 07, 2019 as a road dog with a combined score of 232.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-1 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 52 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing alot of half court games that have gone under the total. However, I noticed an interesting trend of faster paced basketball starting unfold in game 2 in Oakland as the combined score clicked in at 224 points. The Rockets for the most part were expected to wanted these games to be slower paced, while the Warriors want to run. Now here in Houston Im expecting the Rockets to be more aggressive and to push the action, and for the Warriors to have no problems reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GOLDEN STATE in their L/25 games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215 | 137-140 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denvers success has been predicated on their ability to play top tier defence, as is evident by their 6th overall ppg D, and their 20th ranked offensive output, which includes, a 27th ranked pace. Here on the road Im betting on a very conservative attack set of schemes from Denver, and a physical type approach that will slow down the run and gun Blazers which Im betting results in a much lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. DENVER is 15-5 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which was the case in game 2 of this series ( 187 total point output in a 97-90 loss) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 37-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 97-90 | Win | 103 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0 The Nuggets key to success this season, and what has gotten them this far is their defence. The Nuggets offensive output is ranked 20th in the league the defence ranked 6th in ppg allowed and they own the 27th ranked pace. I know Portland can light things up in a hurry, but Denver is built to slow teams like this down, and here in the thin air in the Mile High City are better suited for physical action which can be exhausting, and also directly effect the total combined score out come to the low side. Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7 in Nuggets last 25 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 On Sunday, the Celtics opened the series by cruising to a 112-90 victory, mostly because of how they defended Antetokounmpo Im betting they wont be able to keep the Greek Freak down in two games in a row, in a game Im betting will be played faster and the Bucks chosen pace. The Bucks own the no.1 offence and the 2nd fast pace in the league and they will be ready to run and gun tonight. The Celtics will be forced into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 30-9 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 220 | 94-89 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series between the Raptors and their guests the 76ers was played at a very fast pace, but as it became obvious in the 4th quarter that the Sixers had no chance of winning the game slowed down to a crawl and both teams combined for just 30 points in the final end. In game one of this series the Raptors were in full flight with fast breaks the norm, while Philadelphia seems tentative and sat back for the most part . This time around I expect the Sixers to come out here flying , and for the Raptors to easily reciprocate in a game I have pegged to bounce over the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 38-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The inexperienced Nuggets must be a little nervous here as they play a game 7, and could easily start conservatively as they make sure not to make mistakes. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a big time offensive performance and conversion rate, and Im betting they naturally regress here today. That combination Im betting should help keep this game on the low side of the total. Note: DENVER is 38-17 UNDER L/55 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 197.2 ppg. Popovich is 33-19 UNDER in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average score 189 .4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 223.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 There is a huge amount of offensive talent on the court here today for both teams. The Raptors average 114.4 ppg, while the Sixers have averaged 115.2 ppg. Im betting both teams come at each other and for this game 1 to feature some offensive fireworks. Raptors: 119.0 ORtg | 58.9% eFG | 92.9 DRtg | 43.8% eFG allowed 76ers: 123.3 ORtg | 57.7% eFG | 101.1 DRtg | 46.3% eFG allowed. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 36-10 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 I betting the Clippers will be a little fatigued here tonight, as they have played extremely hard in this series , and after going off in their last game a regression is expected by me, vs an under rated Golden State defence. That equals out to what I project will be a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In the last 14 seasons , the under is 96-66 UNDER in Game 6 and 7s , for a almost 60% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE in their L/23 games after allowing 120 points or more this season have seen a combined average score of 223.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Rivers is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a above average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 68-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 207.5 | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 This series is getting more physical, and both sides are figuring the other sides schemes out. Last time out we saw a lower scoring affair, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight, especially considering the Spurs have to fight for their playoff lives to force a deciding seventh game in Denver on Saturday. In the last 14 seasons , betting the under in Game 6 and 7 of a playoff series has gone 96-65 UNDER for a just under 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 99-57 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 212 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Now that this series is tied 2-2 Im betting we start to see this series turn much more physical as a proverbial dog fight unfolds. I know Denver has shown some offensive flow in the last few games, but they have been hitting 3s at a high rate, but only converting around the rim at a 47.8% clip and a regression must be expected according to my projections. Meanwhile, San Antonio has only taken shots from beyond the arc in 18.3 % of their possessions and continually look to push the ball inside which indicates a concerted effort to dig in play physical ball and do their offensive work around the rim. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers and public might expect. Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 road games.Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. .Under is 11-3 in Nuggets last 14 home games.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-22-19 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 213 | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0 James Harden shot 3-of-20 (15%) from the field in the Rockets’ Game 3 victory in Utah and now Im expecting a more efficient outing from the super star and his team as a whole. I know Utah is a defense first team, and really protect the rim well with Gobert , but because of this the Rockets will have space to shoot 3s, because when the vacuum cleaner as I like to call him, is pulled out of the paint he's out of his comfort zone. With elimination on board for the Rockets Im expecting they become aggressive, and this in turn will force the Jazz to open up which in turn will make for a higher scoring game than the public leaning linesmakers are expecting. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 79-33 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons OVER 218 | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 3-0 The Pistons haven't shown enough of a defensive presence against a Bucks team that averaged a league-high 118.1 points a game and their obviously not capable enough of stopping them again tonight. With Milwaukee on the verge of their first play off round series win in 18 seasons you can bet they will be ready to end this tonight in full beatdown mode. The Pistons will have no choice but to open up and try to keep pace which will make for a total score that eclipses this number. Budenholzer in his L/8 road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER Play OVER |
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04-21-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1 The first two games of this series stayed well below the Total, and in game 3 the total was barely eclipsed very late in the game. Im betting on another hard fought tilt between a Portland side struggling to convert consistently right now, and Oklahoma city team that has underachieved and shot below average all season long. With that said, Im recommending we hit the under again here in game 4. Under is 25-11-2 in the last 38 meetings in Oklahoma City. PORTLAND is 37-17 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 211.9 ppg. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 35-15-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 18-7-1 in Thunder last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets UNDER 232 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
According to my projections tell me we have value with an under wager here in this tilt between the Sixers and Nets. This total has gotten bigger with each game, and now the linesmkaers have over adjusted . Brooklyn cant keep on just trying to run and gun and blow by the Sixers, and Im betting their coaching staff makes enough adjustments here today to thwart the Sixers flow. Afternoon games have a long term tendency of being played at a slower pace which Im betting this aids our under wager cashing. PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996.PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road win, in April games are 51-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion .rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-19-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 222 | 108-120 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - POR Leads 2-0 The Oklahoma City Thunder have exhibited less than stellar shooting prowess all season long,ranking 22nd in in 3 point shooting and things are not getting much better, and have now shot a combined 10-61 (16.4%) from 3-point range in the first two games of this series. Tonight Im betting the Thunders long range futility will contribute to a lower scoring game as will Portlands horrendous 2nd to last play off FG% conversion rate vs a strong rim protection Thunder group. PORTLAND is 21-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 204.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 The two first games of this series have not gone of the Pacers way thanks to in ability to keep their offensive flow going and converting on easy shots, while also allowing them selves to get up in defensive affairs , which the Celtics are looking better at implementing . So tonight Im expecting more flow to the Pacers game as they look to resurrect their chances in this series/ With that said, Im betting on a tilt that will feature more offence and a faster pace. NBA team (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 60-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 210.5 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
These teams play contrasting styles both home nd away. The Nuggets went under in 25 of their 41 road games and were the most profitable UNDER road team in the league this season , while the Spurs were 23-18 to the under at home. With that said, after a fairly high scoring game in Denver last time out, Im betting on this one being more conservative and physcial in nature as the young inexperienced Nuggets try to find their footing in a hostile environment. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 Thursday games.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up win. Under is 14-4 in Nuggets last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 overall.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 home games.Under is 16-5 in Spurs last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 overall.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 36-16 in Spurs last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 210.5 (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 64-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-17-19 | Pistons v. Bucks OVER 215 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 Milwaukee began its pursuit of the franchise's first title since 1971 by cruising past Detroit, 121-86, in Game 1. It was the ninth-most lopsided NBA playoff game of the century and the biggest rout since the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Boston Celtics, 130-86, in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals on May 19, 2017. I dont think it was a fluke, and Im betting the Bucks do more damage here tonight, but this time around the Motown crew open things up as well, with some offensive fireworks of their own as they try to avoid being embarrassed two games in a row, which will make for a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. DETROIT is 12-3 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 32-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 206.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics and Pacers combined to scored 158 points in Game 1, going way under the total. Both teams shot below 40% from the field. Both teams missed wide open shots on a consistent basis and now Im expecting a bounce back and a reversion to the norm and a much high scoring game then last time. BOSTON is 25-10 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. NBA team (INDIANA) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 42-17 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71 % conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-16-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 218 | 94-114 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 53 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - POR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series was low scoring ,but that matchup was an anomaly as compared to the 4 previous meetings between these teams this season which were all high scoring affairs with 250, 231,237, 220 combined points scored. Im betting on a return to the previous type of offensive affairs in game 2 of this series. PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus teams that are allowing - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 242.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are126-84 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State prevailed by blocking 14 shots, limiting the Clippers to 40.4 percent shooting , but both still still a combined 225 points went on the board in game 1 of this series in the Warriors 121-104 win. Im now expecting theClippers to come out here more aggressively as they try to keep track with the explosive Dubs in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games off a road loss this season have combined to average for 235.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 54 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Rockets despite of their explosiveness rank 26th in the NBA in pace and own the 10 best D in the league, and they have gone under the set total in 14 of their L/19 games entering the play offs. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz own the 4th best ppg D in the league, and bae all their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here on the road in Houston Im betting they turn this tilt in a slug fest as they try to take the Rockets out of their flow, which will result in a lower score play off affair. HOUSTON is 24-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-5 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-14-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 49 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Boston ranked 8th in ppg defence this season and 16th in pace, and 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 1st in ppg allowed, 24th in pace, and 22nd on offence and base all their successes and failures on this stopping abilities. Nothing will change today as they force an inconsistent Boston side, in operating in a defensive mode as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season NBA team (BOSTON/INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA/BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors are an explosive side, but their D, was key to their successes this season and ranked 4th in defensive efficiency this season. Meanwhile, Orlando, ranked 5th in ppg allowed behind the 25th ranked pace and the 24th ppg ranked offence and obviously got to the post season thanks to their methodic defensive nature and nothing will change today. ORLANDO is 21-8 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg. Clifford is 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of ORLANDO with a combine average of 211 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 Conference Quarterfinals games.NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 52-23 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
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04-10-19 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver can claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday night. So you can bet they will play hard shutdown basketball here. Look for the banged up Minnesota Wolves to just go through the motions here, in the high altitudes of the Mile High City in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game the public might expect. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L2 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 214 | 108-118 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
After suffering a ugly 113-109 loss to the host Los Angeles Lakers the Jazz were embarrassed and their coach extremely cranky. Tonight Im betting on a rebound . Im alos betting on a more focused group that will concentrate on what has made the Jazz such a potent team down the stretch and that is the ability to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. Utah ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 2nd in in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Denver has also been playing more conservatively in transition as the season winds down, and have seen a combined average of just 210.6 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. This game has the makings of a hard fought defensive divisional affair. Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 14-5 in Jazz last 19 Tuesday games.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Utah.Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 217 | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
There is still alot to play for when Denver and Portland go head to head tonight as they jockey for post season seeding. The Nuggets took a 109-100 win over the Trail Blazers on Friday in Denver and now in the rematch expect another tightly contested Defensive affair that remains on the low side of the total. Quote:"He was phenomenal," HC Malone said of the 6-foot-7 Craig. "His defense, his offense -- everything he did out there."The Nuggets were aggressive with their defense and the referees let a lot of the rough stuff go."It was very physical out there," said Portland center Enes Kanter, who scored 24 points and grabbed seven rebounds. "Their big men -- Jokic, Millsap and (Mason) Plumlee -- they were hitting me extra. But it's the NBA -- no complaining." END QUOTE Rinse and repeat here . Under is 14-2 in Nuggets last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 12-2 in Nuggets last 14 games following a straight up win.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-4 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-5 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a ATS win.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers OVER 219 | 108-96 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets grabbed a up a huge victory on Saturday night to boost their NBA playoff chances, and grabbing another win here would be huge for them in their chase for post season play against a team that has owned them of late . Im betting they come out here shooting darts, and push a the capable offense of the Pacers into a faster paced game. I know These teams play converging styles of basketball, but when they met earlier this season, Indiana took a 132-112 win in Indianapolis on Oct. 20 and Im betting on another fairly high scoring tilt here that eclipses this total. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play OVER |
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04-07-19 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 215 | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons will host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday in a matchup of teams still competing for a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference.With that said, Im betting on a hard fought physical affair that will focus on both teams trying to be mistake free which will make for muted affair . DETROIT is 22-11 UNDER after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of those 33 games clicking in at 210.6 ppg.The Pistons have gone under 12 straight times a as a favorite off a loss when Andre Drummond had negative plus/minus in each of their last three games with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.Hornets Borrego is 16-4 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games. are 34-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-05-19 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 213 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Two teams with really nothing to play for go head to head tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Grizzlies own the 30th ranked pace in the league, and are ranked 30th in offence, and 9th in defensive rating and here on the road today will try to turn this into a grinding sleepfest. The Mavericks have gone under in 9 of their L/12 overall since Jan 07, 2019 as a favorite with a combined average 211 ppg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 209.6 ppg. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 86-46 UNDER L/22 seasons are 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-04-19 | Cavs v. Kings OVER 228 | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento plays a one way attack orientated basketball behind the 3rd ranked pace and 10 best offensive output in the NBA and their D, remains suspect allowing an 114.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been playing very wide open basketball for quite a while as well, as is evident by going over in 5 straight games with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Note: The Cavaliers rank 30th in D efficiency in the league and tonight Im betting that will be exasperated in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 114-57 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 128-122 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers took part in a run and gun affair last night in Atlanta that they lost130-122, and now tonight on tired legs with the likely hood of Joel Embiid not playing and Jimmy Butler possibly resting and not playing or seeing limited action Im betting the 76ers will not be ready to run and gun and instead try to figure out a way to play better defence against a top tier opponent the Bucks. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is also short handed from a bench perspective and banged up despite of Kris Middleton supposedly playing tonight and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court. No matter how much each plays , Im still expecting a more defensive orientated post season type affair that will feature more defensive postures than offensive onslaughts despite of both sides obvious abilities to put points on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996 with a combined average of 207 ppg on the scoreboard. PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in April games are 45-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 62-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall UNDER 169 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show | |
This game is being projected to be high scoring, but Im betting the number is just to high despite of how the public views these teams and what kind of scoring output should be expected. It must be noted that MARSHALL is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 160 or more this season. WI-GREEN BAY is 22-9 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons with combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 home games.Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 non-conference games.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0 in Phoenix last 5 Thursday games.Under is 4-0 in Phoenix last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 non-conference games. Play UNDER |
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04-02-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game playing at a more methodical pace of late, then was the case earlier this season, with defence being the mainstay of their successes and failures which is evident by seeing 16 of their L/19 games stay under the set total. Nothing will change tonight vs the explosive Warriors, who also are now into play off preparation mode and also paying attention to their defensive game especially in transition as is evident by seeing 12 of their L/15 games stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. Under is 35-17 in Warriors last 52 Tuesday games. HC Kerr of Golden State in his L/25 home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season has seen a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203 ppg. DENVER is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-19 | Lakers v. Thunder OVER 224 | 103-119 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without LeBron James are showing some offensive flow and are off scoring a 130-102 road win vs New Orleans. Im betting on that attacking mode to continue here vs Oklahoma city tonight in a game Im betting goes over the beatable total. Note:Over is 10-1-1 in Lakers last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The last time the Lakers visited Oklahoma city on Jan 17 the teams took part in a 138-128 offensive slugfest and Im betting in a similar output again. Note: James also did not play in that game. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 78-42 OVER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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04-01-19 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | 132-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are still playing hard despite of not going to play offs this season. That was evident when they rallied from a 19-point third-quarter deficit to take out the shocked Warriors. Minnesota also trailed 38-20 after one quarter and got to within three points in the fourth quarter in a 118-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. So tonight, Im betting they come out here shooting darts in full attack mode, and come right at the Blazers, and in turn Portland ranked 6th in offensive output will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or face the same upset issues as Golden State did, and what Philadelphia almost experienced. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 63-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-01-19 | Bulls v. Knicks OVER 213 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks against the banged up Bulls Im betting will put up a boatload full of points on the scoreboard, with the Bulls chasing their opponents in wide open fashion . It's obvious by my previous statement that Im expecting this game to played loosely because of this meeting being of no importance in the NBA standings or to two teams headed for a golf vacations and not the post season. No where in tomorrows main stream media headlines describing this tilt- will "DEFENCE " be mentioned. The Bulls 25th ranked D, has struggled recently which is a good omen for this game being fairly high scoring.CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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04-01-19 | Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 205 | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Indiana owns he No.1 D, in the league, and are 23rd in pace, and at this time of year as the play offs approach even more methodical than usual. Meanwhile, the Pistons are ranked 7th and ppg allowed D, and 28th in pace, and are also methodical in their approach. Both teams dont score a prolific amount of points ranking 22nd and 23 in ppg, so a defensive minded old school pro hoops game looks like a viable out come scenario. INDIANA is 32-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.3 ppg scored. Under is 15-7 in Pistons last 22 road games. Under is 33-15-4 in Pistons last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 24-9 in Pacers last 33 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 13-5 in Pacers last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 28-11 in Pacers last 39 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-4 in Pacers last 13 overall.Under is 35-16 in Pacers last 51 home games.Under is 17-8 in Pacers last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 32-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-31-19 | Grizzlies v. Clippers OVER 221 | 96-113 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers flew past the Cleveland Cavaliers in Los Angeles on Saturday while shooting a season-best 62.4 percent from the field, two days after their showdown at Milwaukee ended with a 128-118 defeat to the Bucks. Note: The Clippers have gone over in 7 of their L/8 and in the Clippers last 5 games they has seen a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored Meanwhile, the Grizzlies guard Mike Conley, who scored 33 points in Saturday's 120-115 victory the Suns and now look to be in a groove offensively and should be able to hang here tonight in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Grizzlies have gone over in 6 of their L/7 overall with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in the L/5 meetings here and one more OVER Im betting is on tonights agenda. Play OVER |
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03-31-19 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 221 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder learned Saturday night they're once again headed to the playoffs.Now today Im expecting this banged up and hobbled group to rest some of their player to extent this afternoon in a game that wont have alot of intensity attached to it. Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Oklahoma City ( Thigh ) and that will effect the Dallas offence here tonight. None of the L/L/6 meetings in this series have eclipsed the 224 point opening total and at 221 we still have value. UNDER |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky UNDER 142 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Elite 8 games have been historically played at a slower pace than the rest of the NCAA tourney. Auburns proven all season long that their offense is a strength but with key cog Okeke out or less than 100% their flow will be effected as well as their output. Meanwhile, Kentucky is now basing their successes and failures on a top tier brand of hoops and are playing at a distinctly slower pace than the pundits are expecting going under in 17 of their L/22 overall and 3 straight tourney games. Today against a Tigers side that shoots alot of 3s , Im betting the. Wildcats will be at their best as has been evident during the tournament holding opponents to 32.5% conversion rates from beyond the arc. Look for a much more stringent game than expected and a score that does not eclipse the total. Play UNDER |
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03-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220 | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Suns Emerging star Devon Booker scored 59 points in Monday's 125-92 road loss to the Utah Jazz and Im betting him and his team come out firing darts again and force Memphis into a faster paced game than thye might prefer. It must be noted that Memphis has really picked up their pace of late, and have been taking part in some more wide open games and that will be the case again tonight. In the Grizzlies L/5 games a combined average of 228.4 ppg have gone on the board and int their L/8 overall have allowed an average of 125 ppg. Over is 3-0-1 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a straight up losNBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia UNDER 126.5 | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting on Virginia implementing a physical battle as they prepare to take advantage of their rebound efficiency advantage (51st-highest defensive rebounding rate) . Im also betting they will be prepared to really slow this game down behind the slowest pace in College Hoops and control the flow because as we know the Cavs prefer not to take part in run and gun affairs if possible. We all know Virginias key to success or failure is based on D, and is evident by holding their forst 3 opponents in this tourney to 56, 51 and 49 points respectively. Meanwhile, Purdues key to success has been their downtown shooting, and against the nations 2nd rank perimeter D that allows opponents to shoot 28.2% from beyond the arc, the Boilermakers offensive output would and could easily be thwarted. This above combination will result in a combined score that remains on the low side if the Total. Note: Bennett is 21-9 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. PURDUE is 11-2 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 22-8 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga OVER 139.5 | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
TexasTech has a strong defence, but they are no slouches on offence and should be pushed a bit here by the highest scoring team in the nation Gonzaga. The Raiders when forced to score can light it up as was the case against Iowa State, Kansas , Baylor, West Virginia and TCU scoring more than 80 points in those games, and prior to their game against Michigan in the Sweet 16 averaged almost 8- points per game over a 10 game conference span. With that said, look for a much higher scoring game then the lines-makers might expect. TEXAS TECH is 6-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or less turnovers this season with a combined average for a 149.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-29-19 | Hornets v. Lakers OVER 227 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Charlotte has been playing run and gun basketball for most of this season behind the 22nd ranked defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers a team that is also defensively in the lower tier of the NBA ranked 24th in ppg allowed. Tonight Im betting on a Charlotte team chasing a play off spot to come out here with their hair on fire and to force the Lakers into firing away with some offensive fireworks of their own which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair. CHARLOTTE is 8-0 OVER in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 27-8 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 125-68 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), on Friday nights are 48-22 OVER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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03-29-19 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 219 | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Denver looked exhausted last night in Houston losing by DDs, and scoring only 85 points and in their previous two games scored 88 and 95 points. Im betting their scoring deficiencies on wobbly legs will manifest themselves again in what Im betting will be a much lower scoring game here in Oklahoma City than the lines- makers expect. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season iwht a combined average of 211 ppg scored.DENVER is 11-2 UNDER in March games this season with a combined average of 212.3 ppg gong on the board. Donovan is 32-18 UNDER (+12.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. Play on the UNDER |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina OVER 162 | 97-80 | Win | 100 | 84 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO We all know North Carolina runs their offence at a very fast pace, and Im betting Auburn will feed into this energy and that we will have a back forth pro style game played with plenty of points going on the board. Auburn averages just under 80 ppg on the season and N.Carolina averages 86 ppg. AUBURN is 20-7 L/27 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . Play OVER |
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03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State UNDER 149.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 129 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Michigan State an extremely capable team will be prepared to play lock down defence against a explosive LSU offence here today. Im sure Tom Izzos game plan will be to take the flow away for the Tigers, which will result in much lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers expect. Michigan State in their L/4 games have allowed, 55,60, 65,50 points respectively. LSU is 9-1 UNDER when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament since 1997. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
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03-29-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
The Celtics rank 8th in ppg allowed, and will go against a Indiana team that ranks 1st in ppg allowed and 23rd in pace, and 22nd in offensive output. Indiana has been struggling of late having lost 9 straight road games, which Im betting makes them even more conservative and methodical in their approach to this game, which will help keep the combined score on the low side of the total. Note: INDIANA is 7-0 UNDER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. INDIANA is 15-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-7 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 overall.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-7-1 in Pacers last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 24-8 in Pacers last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 36-15 in Pacers last 51 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 26-12 in Pacers last 38 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-5 in Celtics last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Green Bay UNDER 156 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals My own projections make this total closer to 152 which gives us value on a least a 2 possession number. WI-GREEN BAY is 9-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 11-2 UNDER in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 CS-BAKERSFIELD is 7-1 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 211-138 UNDER L/22 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams against the total (WI-GREEN BAY) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are . 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Oregon v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY These teams run two the slowest most deliberate paces in all of College Hoops, and in a game as important as this Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse the total as physical grinding action should be key. Virginia allows just 55 points per game, and Oregon just 62.5 ppg. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more defence. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON/VIRGINIA) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ) after 15+ games are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan UNDER 126.5 | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 62 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Honda Center - Anaheim, CA Texas TEch and Michigan both play at a methodical pace, and both base their entire success or failures on playing a top tier brand of defence. The Red Raiders have allowed an average of 59.2 ppg while Michigan has allowed 58.2 ppg. Look for this matchup to be a grinding physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. MICHIGAN is 15-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. TEXAS TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 50 points or less against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 75-35 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Houston hosts Denver tonight , needing a victory to clinch the season series and home-court advantage in case of these teams being tied at the end of the season. With that said,Im expecting a hard fought physical affair with both teams knowing the importance of this game. Recently the Rockets have been really been paying better attention to defence, and as a result have gone under in 11 of their L/13 games in March with a combined average score of 212.5 ppg scored. Denver their opposition has also been playing more conservatively as have gone under in 10 of their 12 games in March with a combined average score of 213.7 ppg scored. DENVER is also 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Raptors v. Knicks OVER 216 | 117-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has an atrocious defence, especially of late as is evident by allowing 124.6 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. The explosive Raptors now come in ready to run and gun and keep their offensive flow going as the play offs approach, which will see them put a boatload full of points on the board here vs a team that could best be described as being in tank mode. I dont expect for their to be much defence on display tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. TORONTO is 26-16 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. TORONTO is 14-4 OVER after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 11-2 OVER in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-28-19 | Mavs v. Heat OVER 210.5 | 99-105 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
The Mavericks don't have anything left to play for, while, the Heat are in a chase for a play off spot. I don't think the Mavs will give the Heat a pass here, and will try to play spoilers in this spot, while the Heat will take no chances and put the pedal to the metal and will be ready to deliver a conclusive win and I don't think there will be any coasting to the finish line , if they get up, which Im betting results in this score being eclipsed. Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play OVER |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga UNDER 147.5 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is often looked at for their explosive offence, but they are ranked 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held their opposition to 43% FG which ranks them 6th in the nation. Meanwhile athletic Florida State owns the 10th best adjusted defensive efficiency and have the ability to put alot of pressure on the Bulldogs attack . Im betting on this game staying under the total. When these teams met last year (March 22) the Seminoles took a 75-60 win, and Im betting on a similar combined output in the rematch. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GONZAGA) - red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more ) are 68-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 232 | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
In the frustrating 21-point loss at Orlando on Monday, the Sixers went nearly 12 minutes during one stretch without a field goal and there have been a few of those stretches lately, which could be signalling an ominous flash sign of a imminent scoring slump. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a 148-144 OT loss, to Portland last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot that would see them revert back closer to their season offensive road average of 110 ppg or less in Philadelphia against a 76ers team that has allowed 109 ppg at home. Note: BROOKLYN is 15-5 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average score of 215.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
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03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons UNDER 207 | 98-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 12 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the total behind a 24th ranked pace and a D that ranks 5th in the league in ppg allowed and a offence that ranks 25th . Meanwhile, Detroit ranks 28th in pace and 7th in defence and a offence ranked 23rd. With that said , despite of the new NBA featuring alot of offence, we are at a juncture in the season when teams like this vying for a play off spot are very stringent with their D, especially if all their successes and failures hinge on top tier defence like these combatants. ORLANDO is 19-7 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 205.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road win are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-27-19 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 138.5 | 55-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals Texas outside their conference in their recent NIT games have looked alot more offensively cohesive, scoring 79 and 78 points in back to back games thanks in part to the emergence of Courtney Ramey a young man that shows alot of talent and leadership abilities . Tonight the the Longhorns will go against a Colorado team, that can light it up when need be, as was evident in a recent battle with UCLA popping 93 points on the board. When I look at both teams weaknesses and strengths it becomes obvious to me that their will be alot more scoring here than the lines-makers anticipate. Boyle is 16-7 OVER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 144.5 ppg scored. Boyle is 6-0 OVER in road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 160 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-27-19 | Blazers v. Bulls UNDER 216 | 118-98 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago is expected to be without guard Zach LaVine (thigh) and forward Otto Porter Jr. (shoulder) tonight after playing Tuesday's game without them losing by a 112-103 score on the road.( If they do play they wil see limited time )The Bulls banged up and short handed will not be in any condition to run and gun and will instead try to formulate a more conservative game plan against a better team in Portland that is also playing without key guard CJ McCoullm which Im betting will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. CHICAGO is 22-13 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg.
NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 37-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-27-19 | Coastal Carolina v. DePaul OVER 162.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
DePaul averages 80.4 ppg in offence at home this season, while Coastal Carolina allows just under 80 ppg on D overall . Meanwhile,Coastal Carolina is off of scoring more than 100 points against West Virginia in their last game and are flowing with the basketball as they enter this game, and will be up to the task of running and gunning with their exploisve opponents tonight in what Im betting will be a back and forth event. DEPAUL is 7-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 168 ppg going on the board.DEPAUL is 6-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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03-26-19 | Wizards v. Lakers OVER 233.5 | 106-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wizards play a one way type of offensive basketball ranking 8th in scoring and 29th in ppg allowed, and are well rested entering this game and will once again been in sprint mode vs a Lakers team that is ranked 24th in ppg allowed and ranks 3rd in pace. This one has all the makings of a back and forth offensive slugfest that will eclipse this number. WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 240 ppg scored. Also Washington was upset at home last time out, and when this has accorued recently the Wizards have blasted off on a torrid back forth pace in their followup, Note: WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite this season with a combined average score of 242.3 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-21 OVER L/22seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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03-26-19 | Pistons v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Detroit are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road in game in the last 8 days. Needless to say that up here in the thin air of the Mile High city , they will be in no shape or form ready to run the floor, and instead will be conservative in their approach to this tilt which will directly effect the total output of this game. Considering that Denver owns the 26th ranked pace, it will be an easy decision to recommend a under wager. Under is 12-4 in Pistons last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-8-1 in Pistons last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. DETROIT is 25-13 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. DETROIT is 27-7 UNDER (when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg going on the board.DETROIT is 14-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. DETROIT is 13-2 UNDER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 205.2 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 overall. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combine average of 210 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 156-85 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-26-19 | Rockets v. Bucks UNDER 225 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
When the teams met earlier this season Milwaukee took a 116-109 in Houston on Jan. 9. Now as the season starts to wind down and the play offs approach I look for a more defensive style game, that will help see this total stay under the set total. Note: HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 217.6 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 9-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 47-13 UNDER L/ 22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 37-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-26-19 | Hawks v. Pelicans OVER 241 | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
In the new NBA where high scoring affairs are very normal, a high total like this does not hold as much value as it once did for sharp under bettors. Now the smart money recognizes the long term value of crushing totals like this based on obvious data observations. Tonight with Atlanta a team with the worst ppg defence in the league behind the 2nd fastest pace, we have a situation that bodes well for a very high scoring game. With both these teams New Orleans and Atlanta playing for very little other than padding personal stats, Im really expecting an all star game type output . The Pelicans rank 3rd in ppg offence and 27th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and will more than ready to run and gun here with the visitors. There will be no call for defence, defence , defence in this one. Play OVER |
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03-26-19 | Wichita State v. Indiana UNDER 138 | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals India star Langford has missed Indiana’s first two NIT games after experiencing a back issue at the Big Ten Tournament and if he plays he will be limited, which in turn will continue to hinder the Hoosiers flow which is a thick a oil anyway. Indiana’s struggles from outside as three-pointers, which ranks No. 299 in the try in three-point rate, and the Hoosiers make just 31.2 percent of them, the No. 314 mark in the country, so rounding up points in bunches is not an option. Indiana has been able to compete because of a defense that ranks No. 29 on KenPom , and in their two NIT victories, the Hoosiers D kept both St. Francis (0.98) and Arkansas (0.90) under one point per possession and Im betting on more of the same here vs Wichita State. Meanwhile, WSU’s defense, which has done well limiting shots at the rim (33 percent, No. 93 nationally) and also defending shots at the rim (55.4 percent, No. 42 nationally) will be behemouth keeping a Indiana team that scores most of its points in close to struggle which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 9-2 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined 128.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 109-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. |
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03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount UNDER 139 | 63-81 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on their ability to play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season. It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 55 points or less this season whichwas the case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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03-25-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Southern Utah OVER 146.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Southern Utah average almost 80 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hit that plateau here again, while CS Bakersfield does all they can to keep pace behind a offence tha taverages 71.2 ppg this season. CS Bakersfield averages 37.5 rebounds a game with Southern Utah averaging 36.8 rebound per game. Note: SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-4 OVER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg. SOUTHERN UTAH is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons something they have just achieved with a combine average of 161.5 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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03-25-19 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 219 | 103-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 30th in pace in the NBA , 30th in ppg on offence and 2nd in ppg allowed . Their home scoring out put on the season at home clicks in at 103 ppg and have allowed 102 ppg at as hosts during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is ranked 4th in defensive efficiency in the league, and of late have been trying to pay alot more attention to defence as the play offs approach. With that said, Im betting these two teams current state of hoops operation gives us an edge with an under wager in this spot play. MEMPHIS is 32-19 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 203.1 ppg. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons and 13-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 16-3 UNDER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 202 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 34-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-24-19 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 232 | 106-111 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
I was waiting to see if LeBron James was going to play tonight for the Lakers and now that he is probable Ill pull the trigger on a over bet. Sacramento and LAL both are both fast paced teams with the Lakers ranking 4th and the Kings ranking 1st. With that said, Im betting on these sides coming at each other with a full head of steam and combine for total score that eclipses this number. The Lakers beat the Kings 121-114 here on Dec 30 this season.SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scored. In the two most recent meetings in this series this season these teams scored an average of 234 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-24-19 | Pistons v. Warriors OVER 219 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Detroit HC Dwane Casey exhausted his starters in a game that started late last night. The Pistons then had to make the 90-minute flight into the San Francisco Bay Area, finally getting settled well into the morning on a day in which they're scheduled for an early (5:30 p.m. Pacific) start. The Pistons now on tired legs and dealing with unfortunate scheduling just wont be up to playing the physical brand of D, thye need to to be able to slow the Warriors down. Im betting on Golden State off a ugly 91 point output last time out to really rev things up here and to put a boatload full of points on the board in a game I have pegged to go over the total. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. with a combined average o f223.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten game are 122-80 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma v. Virginia UNDER 127 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC Teams like Oklahoma and Virginia that play at a pace of 65 or less have gone under the total 61%+ of the time since the 2005 season. OKLAHOMA is 12-4 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. Neutral court teams against the total (OKLAHOMA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more are 73-34 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-24-19 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech UNDER 125.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA These teams played each other earlier this season with VTEch winning and both know what to expect. HC McKay of Liberty is a former Virginia assistant, and implements UVa’s Pack Line defense. Also heres a hint at what I expect as quoted from a Liberty players: QUOTE: “We’ll just try to play our style of basketball and not get lured into playing their style, … try not to get into more of an uptempo game,” END QUOTE: Flames guard Lovell Cabbil Jr. said. The Hokies focus defensively on keeping teams out of the paint and forcing foes to beat them from 3-point range and thats not easy, thus I can see this game staying on the lower side of the number. My projections based on both teams systems suggests a score that fails to eclipse this total. LIBERTY is 7-1 UNDER after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons VIRGINIA TECH is 83-59 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game since 1997. Play on the UNDER |
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03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke OVER 143 | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC We all know the elite transition offence that Duke has lead by Zion Williamson. Also Duke has been a power house all season long from inside the arc, accumulating the 21st highest 2 point scoring conversion rate in the nation at 55.7% , and even with 7 "6 Taco Fall in the paint Im betting will still do a fair amount of damage offensively. On the flip side, the Blue Devils have have struggled in a 2 point defensive conversion rates allowing the 14th highest 2 [point scoring rate in the nation at 55.1%. Both these teams can play D, and both have similar length, but Im betting that the line is still just a tad to low and offers value to the over at up to 145. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or less), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 50-23 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 209 | 88-124 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pacers are leagues No.1 team in ppg allowed at 104.2 and own the 23rd ranked pace and just 22nd in offence and base all their successes and failures on their D and nothing will change tonight against a Denver team that is extremely tired as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days. Im betting on the Pacers defensive prowess and the Nuggets tired legs to contribute a muted total score that fails to eclipse this total. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 154-83 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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03-24-19 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 105-127 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable for tonight and if he plays could see limited time thanks to some less than serious nagging ankle issues.The Bucks suffered another setback Saturday night with reports that center Pau Gasol will miss the rest of the regular season with an injured left ankle. This could take away from the Bucks flow tonight which will directly effect overall offensive output, which in turn will help keep this score at the lower end of the spectrum. Also considering that the Bucks own the leagues No.1 defensive efficiency rate , a Cleveland team that ranks 29th in pace and and 29th in offensive output could easily find themselves dragging along here in a sleeper game than many expect. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-24-19 | Washington v. North Carolina OVER 148 | 59-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Alot of the public perceives the Washington Huskies as a slower paced defensive team, but when pushed as was the case against Utah State last time out, they can really rev up their pace. TodayIm expecting North Carolina to have a lot of offensive possessions thanks to their superior offensive rebounding ( Huskies rank 345th in the nation in O rebounding) .With that said look for the Huskies to have to run and gun to keep up here in a game the linesmakers expect will be a white wash favouring N.Carolina. WASHINGTON is 10-2 L/12 OVER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average score of 158.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-23-19 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 216 | 112-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games and it began with a 108-106 victory over Minnesota on Feb. 5. Note: MINNESOTA is 12-1 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.With that said, Im betting the Wolves come here and force, and push the Grizzlies into a back and forth scoring fest , which the Grizzlies have looked comfortable in of late with their last four games seeing a combined 249.7 ppg scored with all four easily going over the set total. Over is 13-5 in Timberwolves last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 road games.Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Play on the OVER |
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03-23-19 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 218.5 | 114-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah ranks 2nd in defensive rating in the NBA and just 19th in offensive output, thus making playing defensive hoops a priority. The Jazz have kept 4 of their L/7 opponents under the 98 point plateau and Im betting will be ready to once again play some staunch defensive hoops in this spot vs the Bulls. Considering the Bulls are ranked 27th in offence in the league this season behind the 20th ranked pace , I wont be surprised if their output is limited, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 21-12 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 69-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |