Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Bulls | 119-133 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Charlotte is a side that has flown under the radar this season, as is evident by their recent 8-2 run that has seen them cash 8 of those tilts behind the No.1 ranked offense in the NBA . Meanwhile, Chicago is getting huge accolades, but have recently looked sub par losing 3 of their L/4 abd look vulnerable here vs a side that can light the board up very quickly making them strong back door cover candidates and very possible SU pup winners . CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 29-14 ATS versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons.. Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 120 points or more are 40-13 L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Charlotte to cover |
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11-28-21 | Pistons +11.5 v. Lakers | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
I know Detroit does not inspire bettors but they have been mostly competitive of late late covering 7 of their L/11 games, and actually matchup well from a style perspective (system) vs the Lakers . Tonight Davis is expected back in the lineup for the Lakers, but James will probably skip this game. However, Davis will have some rust on and may not get his usual minutes as Vogel looks to keep his brittle star from any more extended side line time. Line moves have prompted me to take a contrarian stance here with the Pistons. LA LAKERS are 0-9 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons.LA LAKERS are 8-22 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.LA LAKERS are 11-29 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons
Favorites (LA LAKERS) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 48-220 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-28-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 118-100 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has been playing well lately , but from a matchup perspective will have their hands full here vs a Pacers side that is showing some tenacious work both defensively and around the rim and under the glass in recent efforts. I gage up-trending teams in a specified chart that I use, and right now the Pacers qualify as a play on side getting points at home. Bucks are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. MILWAUKEE is 8-24 ATS after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Pacers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 70-26 L/5 seasons for 73% conversion rate. |
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11-28-21 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Revamped Golden State has built back better, and now sport a top tier D, that compliments a strong offense. However it is their D, that shines and stands out the most, allowing just 100.9 ppg this season, ranking 1st in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers key to success has been their defense for a while now ranking 3rd in ppg allowed. The Clippers know they cannot run and gun with the Warriors thus Im expecting a slowed down game plan from them today, in a contest that will feature strong D, and a combined score that stays on the low side of this offered Totals number. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 road games. Under is 9-4-1 in Clippers last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 28-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-27-21 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 205.5 | 92-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections make this Total closer to 209 thus giving us more than full possession value to the over. Over is 9-4 in Magic last 13 road games. CLEVELAND is 8-0 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237 ppg. ORLANDO is 13-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored.Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. is 20-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 season with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 51-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 38-14 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-27-21 | Suns v. Nets -1.5 | 113-107 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Suns 15 game win streak is in jeopardy tonight, as they play this game against a top tier Brooklyn side on the road on tired legs after playing last night . Brooklyn ha won the L/2 meetings here in the Big Apple and get the nod again. Suns are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings. BROOKLYN is 15-4 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 30-12 L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 57-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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11-26-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets +3.5 | 120-109 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight in the Mile High city. The Bucks are on a 5 game win streak, while Denver has lost 5 straight. With that said, I still like the Nuggets chances here to cover, as playing in this altitude is never easy out for any team. Note: Nikola Jokic is questionable but reports from insiders close to the team say he will prob start tonight. Malone is 37-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996. MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS off 3 or more consecutive home wins. MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS L/41 off 3 or more consecutive home wins. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 38-16 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-26-21 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -1 | 132-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 6 straight games but playing on the road is not a strength of theirs as their 2-8 SU away record would indicate and Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side that has won 6 of 10 home games this season. Hawks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.Hawks are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. MEMPHIS is 15-5 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, first half of the season are 44-17 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 42-13 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-26-21 | Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 225.5 | 132-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 6th in ppg in the NBA and 21st in ppg allowed while Memphis their hosts rank 7th in ppg scored in the league and 30th in ppg allowed with 7 of their L/9 games seeing a combined core of 227 or more points going on the board. Tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat offensive performance from the Grizzlies and enough efficiency from the Hawks for this offered total to be eclipsed. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 overall. MEMPHIS is 21-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 80-37 OVER L/ 5seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 66-33 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-26-21 | Wolves v. Hornets -2 | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Wolves have been playing some great ball but so have Charlotte who has won 7 of their 8 SU/ATS. Two teams with momentum but Im betting home court advantage is the edge breaker here. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3.5 | 118-97 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
The Knicks ability to slow this game down (Ranking 22nd in pace) and to play hardcore D, will give them the edge here against a Suns team that is playing pedal to metal hoops of late as is evident by their 14 game win streak . I know the Suns are red hot, but after exerting that kind of relentless pressure , exhaustion eventually sets in , and here against what can be a physical Knicks side they could find the sledding tougher than anticipated.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. NEW YORK is 32-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 season. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a home win against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 28-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves -1 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota is playing at a high level right now having won 4 straight games, while Miami despite of their top tier status are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 5 nights and vulnerable vs a motivated team with momentum playing at home. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Minnesota has won the L/2 meetings here at home in this series. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-24-21 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -3 | 126-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have won three of their past four games, while the Raptors have lost three of the first four games on a six-game road trip. These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum and with that said the home side get the nod on a short chalk line. note: The Raptors have played the past three games without OG Anunoby (hip pointer). He is averaging a team-best 20.1 points in 15 games.\ Without him the lineup the Raptors are at a disadvantage. Raptors are rested but that has not been a good omen for them recently as they are are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 2 days rest. ORONTO is 7-18 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 81-12 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate and ppg diff that clicks in at +9.3 ppg. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves OVER 212 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
both these sides are operating at high level and both Im betting will be pushed into action tonight in what Im betting will see the combined score push into the upper 215+ area which projects an over wager cashing. Yes, I know both defenses are playing well but an aggressive posture by these teams will push is over the offered number. MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in non-conference games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 220.7 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate wih the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings overall in this series. Play on the OVER |
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11-24-21 | Wizards -3.5 v. Pelicans | 102-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Washington makes sure they take advantage of lower tier teams like New Orleans and they almost never asleep against sub par sides. Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Wizards are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Wizards are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Wizards are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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11-24-21 | Lakers v. Pacers -3.5 | 124-116 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Lakers are currently not operating optimally as is evident by losing 4 of their L/5 games wiht the the one win coming against the lowly Pistons as they came back from a DD deficit. than after that game they played a hard fought affair vs the Knicks an lost 106-100 which sets them up to come in to this their 5 straight road game on tired legs which makes them vulnerable to a down game, vs a Indiana side that plays their best hoops at home where they have won 4 straight tilts. .Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Lakers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana. LA LAKERS are 2-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 season.LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-23-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -2.5 | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
The Lakers exerted alot of energy in a brawl filled comeback win against the Detroit Pistons last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry NY Knicks side that is desperate for momentum. NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of NEW YORK. Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Vogel is 5-16 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of LA LAKERS. NBA Road underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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11-23-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 207 | 100-92 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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11-22-21 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board. Play OVER |
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11-21-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -5 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
After. a fast start to their season the Knicks have now lost 6 of their L/10 and are not looking cohesive especially in the offensive end of the court averaging just 101.9 ppg during their current sub par 10 game run. Meanwhile, the Bulls are now in top form behind some tremendous defensive play and clutch offense. Note: The Bulls have held their opp to a 44.4% FG conversion rate while ranking eighth best in Defensive Rating, allowing 104.1 points per 100 possessions. With revenge on board, for a earlier 103-104 loss to the Knicks Im expecting a redemption run here tonight and a subsequent win and cover at home for a Bulls side that has covered 11 of their L/16 overall. Interesting anomaly -CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 8-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-21-21 | Nuggets +8.5 v. Suns | 97-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Because the Suns are red hot there is a premium being added to their chalk lines giving us an edge in spot situations. I know the Suns have revenge on board for a home loss to the Nuggets from late in October , but Denver matches up well from a style of play perspective and must be respected getting points . I also know that these two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but it must be noted Malone is 14-4 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS L/17 in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins . Suns are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - giving up 11 or less off. rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 112-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Take the points with Denver |
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11-21-21 | Lakers v. Pistons +7.5 | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers Key starters Davis and James is they play today vs the Pistons will see limited time because of injuries and the team as a whole, have shown a lack of chemistry and determination and are fade material here in Motown tonight. LA has also just 1-4 SU on the road this season, and don't deserve this much respect based on brand recognition along. No not even against the lowly Pistons. LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 42-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-21-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -2 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas is off two exhausting back and forth losses to the Phoenix Suns and could find themselves vulnerable here on tired legs in a letdown spot . Meanwhile, Im betting the Clippers will be very focused as they get back on track after a lackluster 94-81 loss at New Orleans lat time out. These clunkers in the NBA happen all the time even to well coached teams like the Clippers so I wont take a-lot of time to over analyze, especially considering that was the Clippers 5th game in 7 nights .With Dallas young star Luka Doncic hobbled by an ankle injury and less than 100% if he plays the Mavs will be at a disadvantage. Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 222 | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager. SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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11-20-21 | Heat v. Wizards +1.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and must be respected here vs a very good but exhausted Miami side that will be playing their 7th game in 10 nights. Redemption now on board for a 112 -97 loss in South Florida a couple of days ago. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasonWASHINGTON is 31-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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11-20-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -7 | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana made a late run last night in a loss to Charlotte but they are well conditioned and will be ready in a friendly home environment to take down a Pelicans side off an upset win last night. Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. (5 of those losses came by DDS) NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.3 ppg. NBA team (INDIANA) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-19-21 | Bulls v. Nuggets -3 | 114-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Bulls are playing much better hoops but they are in a bad spot here at the tail end of their West Coast rodeo tour as they play their 5th straight road game in the thin air of Mile High city. Im betting on Denver here taking advantage of their tired hosts. Denver has won 19 of the L/23 meetings here in Denver. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Denver to cover |
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11-19-21 | Lakers v. Celtics -1.5 | 108-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this game against the Lakers with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite. Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and offer us an edge at home a short line. BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-19-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -1.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won 4 straight games while Indiana has lost 2 straight. Ill chase the momentum here and the side playing in top from at home. INDIANA is 15-27 ATS L/42 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS ( after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-18-21 | Raptors v. Jazz OVER 214.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
TORONTO is 24-11 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-18-21 | Raptors +10.5 v. Jazz | 103-119 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto has fallen from their previous championship levels but they are still a talented team. Yes, they are in a funk, but correcting their current skid is not going to be problem going forward if they can stay relatively healthy. As for tonights battle against top tier opponent Utah, Im betting they will be competitive and get us the cover. Note: Raptors are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah. Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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11-18-21 | Clippers -1 v. Grizzlies | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers are in strong current form having won 8 of their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Memphis has been less than consistent and are off snapping a 3 game losing streak. From a SRS perspective the Clippers are ranked 4th in the NBA ( 6.57) while the Grizzlies are ranked 22nd ( -2.31). Even with home court advantage, the Clippers according to the data is the superior team even with their injury issues and the Grizzlies playing with a healthy group tonight. The Grizzlies took out the the Clippers in Los Angeles on Oct. 23, 120-114 and now with revenge on board for the visitors a return of the favor is a strong possibility. LA CLIPPERS are 44-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-18-21 | Spurs +3 v. Wolves | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Both these sides to do inspire me, but what does stand out, is that the Wolves are not a side that should be laying points under any circumstances in their current form even at home vs another struggling side. From a SRS perspective - Spurs are ranked 23rd while the Wolves were ranked 24th. Advantage Spurs. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. is 9-21 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-17-21 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 219.5 | 107-112 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My projections make this total a little low, as my estimates says we should see a combined score into lower 220s. Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. PORTLAND is 14-4 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 233.4 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 41-19 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the opening line (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 36-11 OVER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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11-17-21 | Rockets +3.5 v. Thunder | 89-101 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston may not inspire bettors especially after the ugly effort they out out last time on the court in a 136-102 loss to Memphis and their current 12 game losing streak and 1-13 overall record but it must be noted that their one win came this same Oklahoma City side, and repeat performance is not out of the question. HOUSTON is 11-0 ATS L/11 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more . NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 52-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Rockets |
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11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets -2.5 | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
These are Two talented teams playing top tier hoops, but home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening where Brooklyn is 10-4 SU with the average margin of victory coming by 5 ppg. Brooklyn ha won the two most recent meetings in this series by big DD deficits. Rinse and repeat at least on the victory front. BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 13-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 27-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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11-15-21 | Raptors v. Blazers -1.5 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Raptors have lost 4 of their L/5 games and in no way should be looked at as contenders . This team does not resemble their championship side, and despite of being competitive are fade material in tonight in this spot play on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game in that period. In their loss to the Pistons last time exhaustion looked to be a major factor and Im betting that will factor in what Im betting will be loss tonight. Yes, I know the Blazers have also had a brutal schedule, but playing at home where they have won 5 straight tilts will be the difference maker. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (TORONTO) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 3-33 L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-15-21 | Suns -3.5 v. Wolves | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start the Suns have exploded into top form and deserve respect here as short road favs . The Suns have won 8 straight and have covered this offered spread all 8 times. Rinse and repeat vs an inferior opponent according to my power rankings. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in November games this season. PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Finch is 0-8 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season as the coach of MINNESOTA. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 27-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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11-15-21 | Suns v. Wolves OVER 222 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents to breach the 123 point plateau and tonight my projections estimate the Suns will produce a +119 to +129 point offensive output which gives an edge to this offered total being eclipsed. Minnesota owns a 24th ranking in Defensive Net rating and are ranked 9th in pace. Phoenix ranks 3rd in offensive ppg and 4th in pace. MINNESOTA is 16-3 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 44-25 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg going on the board in those 69 tilts. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - after one or more consecutive overs, a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) are 24-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-15-21 | Pelicans v. Wizards -2.5 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game in top form as is evident by their current 4 game win streak including victories in 7 of their L/9 trips to the court. Meanwhile, the Pelicans ended a 9 game losing streak last time out vs Memphis last time out as underdogs. With said, I expect the Wizards will not overlook tonights opposition after seeing what they did to the sleeping Grizzlies last time out and will be very prepared to take down their opponents here even though their big star Bradley Beal is out. NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 ATS L/36 in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog.NEW ORLEANS is 3-14 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg. Play on Washington to cover NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 25-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg. |
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11-15-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +3 | 98-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Cleveland is operating at a very high level and have won 6 of their L/7 games and from a a betting perspective are 10-1-1 ATS L/12 as they are being consistently under rated by the lines-makers. I know Boston has revenge on board for a home loss to Cleveland a couple of days ago (91-89). But in the words of Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones you don't always get what they want. With that said, Ill take the points with the the upstart side. BOSTON is 9-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 7-17 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. Bickerstaff is 15-4 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in all games he has coached. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 43-13 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a combined score of 185 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 195 points or less are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-15-21 | Kings v. Pistons +5 | 129-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 4 straight games and nothing is coming easy for them at this time, so their status as Road chalk here at this offering is dubious even against the Pistons, who incidentally have won 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive in 4 straight games with one loss coming to top tier Brooklyn by just 6 points. Advantage resides with a Pistons side that has cashed 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series overall. Kings are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver is heating up and have won 4 straight games, and are now playing optimally making them viable favs here vs a inconsistent Portland side that is now playing their 4th straight road game on tired legs . The exhaustion from their current away trek and the difficulties of playing on the Mile high City makes the Blazers vulnerable . Denver is 6-1 at home this season, with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 7.9 ppg. My projections make this a +8 or more victory for the Nuggets giving us value with this line. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points, giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, DENVER is 8-1 UNDER vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-13-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +3 | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Celtics are off a big win in OT last night vs Milwaukee. With that said, Im now betting on them being in an emotional and physical letdown spot as they play back to back nights on very tired legs. Thats a good omen for a Cavaliers cover with what has recently been a hard working Cleveland Cavaliers side with a never say die attitude. The Cavaliers have also been consistently under rated by the lines-makers, as is evident by the following trends.Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and longer term are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Celtics are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 65-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Take the points with Cleveland |
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11-13-21 | Wizards -4 v. Magic | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Wizards are beginning to play at a top tier level, while Orlando continues to have consistency issues thanks to what my own observations is a lack of chemistry sprinkled in with bad coaching decisions. I know Bradley Beal will be out tonight for the Wizards but they are still capable road chalk here at anything under -5. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 35-2 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 24-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Washington to cover |
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11-13-21 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Sixers are on a 3 game losing streak and are without their top player Joel Embiid (Covid) and are vulnerable again to suffering a 4th straight defeat. Meanwhile, Indiana is starting to ramp up and are playing decent ball at the moment as they come off a win vs the Utah Jazz by a 111-100 count as DD underdogs. INDIANA is 17-4 ATS l/21 off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more points. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 76ers are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog.76ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-12-21 | Mavs v. Spurs +2.5 | 123-109 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Mavs despite of having talent are an inconsistent team. Luka Ducic is an incredibly talented player but the group around him are not 100% in vibe with this young superstar so thats why the uneven efforts especially from a betting perspective . Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.DALLAS is 4-16 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mavericks have taken the season's first two games in the Lone Star State rivalry, winning 104-99 as hosts on Oct. 28 and 109-108 on the road just six days later, but after watching both tilts is become obvious this is a coin flip affair, making getting points golden in my humble betting opinion with the home dog . Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 63-23 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-12-21 | Kings v. Thunder +4.5 | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 5 of their L/7 games and 3 straight while their hosts the Thunder have won 3 straight and are currently in top form and have covered 6 of their L/7 and now show value as home dogs. Note: Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. SACRAMENTO is also 4-13 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-12-21 | Bucks v. Celtics +2 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This the Bucks 4th straight road game against quality opposition and now Im betting they may exhibit exhaustion as the game progresses giving an edge to the home side. Meanwhile, Boston has been very competitive lately going 3-0-1 ATS L/4 overall. BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and Im recommending we take the points with the Celtics here. MILWAUKEE is 7-23 ATS after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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11-11-21 | Pacers +10 v. Jazz | 111-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers struggled in the high altitudes of Denver against the Nuggets despite of not having their reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Nikola Jokic in the lineup, missing a 3-point attempt in the final second and losing 101-98. Now Im betting on the Pacers being competitive again and getting us the all important cover. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. INDIANA is 12-3 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 season. Carlisle is 33-16 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game as the coach of INDIANA. NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 41-21 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate which qualifies ATS. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-10-21 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | 88-104 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Celtics suffered their worst loss of the young season in a 115-83 thrashing by the Raptors on Oct. 22 and now the Celtics will be looking for redemption. However, in the recent past when the Celtics are in revenge mode for a loss of 10 points ore more they are just 3-12 ATS L/2 seasons. .BOSTON is also just 4-15 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and overall are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Meanwhile, the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston and are my selection here taking points based on my power rankings and overall SRS ratings: Boston owns the 17th best mark in the league @-.0.47 --while Toronto is ranked i 7th @ +3.78 giving us value according to those numbers on this line even with home court advantage on the Celtics side. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-10-21 | Pistons +4 v. Rockets | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rockets have dropped eight consecutive games and closed a recent five-game road trip without a victory and now are suddenly being asked to cover as favorites. Motown may not inspire bettors, but they have shown a few flashes of brilliance this season . Also some bad beats and calls make them look worse than they are. No way a trust the Rockets in the fav role and will back the Pistons here getting points. DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-27 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. Silas is 2-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 season.Rockets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston. |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 109-117 | Win | 101 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won 4 straight and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, the Trailblazers have been highly inconsistent this season, and have not shown themselves to be viable bets on the road failing to cover in their L/6 away games. Recent history also favors the Clippers who are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series at home. LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 49-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Clippers to win |
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11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-08-21 | Suns v. Kings +3 | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Kings lost last night to the Indiana Pacers, but Sacramento has proved resilient off a loss lately going 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Suns will be without Deandre Ayton and that Im betting messes with their offensive flow and their ability to beat a well conditioned Kings team. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-31 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 24-4 ATS L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 15-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 71-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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11-08-21 | Hawks v. Warriors -3 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 of their L/7 and are not in good form coming into this game against a Golden state side has won 8 of 9 games. Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games and are fade material in this spot play vs a Warriors side that is in triple revenge mode. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 4-15 ATSin road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is Brooklyns 3rd game in 4 nights and enter this contest with no rest after playing last night in Toronto with tonight being their 2nd straight of back to back road tilts. Needless to say they are vulnerable here in Chicago on tired legs. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 49-101 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-08-21 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | 118-125 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 including 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Wolves remain competitive beyond the expectations of the lines-makers and deserve respect here vs a Memphis side, that are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-07-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won 6 of their L/8 games including 3 straight and are up-trending in my power rankings. They are off a tenacious road win vs the Raptors last time out and once again deserve respect as underdogs here in NY vs the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Knicks after some uneven performances took a big road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, which will have them in a letdown spot . Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 49-23 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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11-07-21 | Nets v. Raptors +3.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-21 | 76ers +3.5 v. Bulls | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them. Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-05-21 | Cavs v. Raptors -5.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons got smacked around the when they played 117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint. DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-04-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Lakers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses. LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE: "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +1 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road back on Oct 22. The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavs are looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts. The Mavs in their current form are more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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11-01-21 | Spurs v. Pacers -2.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
I know Indiana has been struggling of late, but according to my power rankings the Pacers style vs style algorithms matchup well vs San Antonio here at home. Spurs are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 30-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies ATS on this offered number. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 62-29 ATS L/25 seasons for 68% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-31-21 | Pistons +12 v. Nets | 91-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit won last night and has some momentum coming into this tilt and now face a Brooklyn side off a win last time out as well, but their play overall has been uneven. Also in the recent past the Nets have used games against lower tier opponents like a defacto night off, and overlooked those sides. Note: BROOKLYN is 0-8 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 2 seasons. Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks +2 | 107-95 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The loss last night by the Bucks to the Spurs was their second straight defeat at home and now Im betting the Bucks will come in here ready to get some redemption vs one of the NBAs top teams the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Jazz after opening their season with a 4-0 record lost last night in Chicago by a 107-90 score and looked a little wiped as the game progressed, which does not bode well for them here in a tough road environment. Hey I know their host Milwaukee are also on the tired side of the tracks, but overall on younger legs the defending champs have the edge. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. MILWAUKEE is 28-13 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or more TO's) are 113-67 ATS L/25 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight. Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5.5 | 104-101 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
This selection is all about momentum and Im betting Golden States 4-0 season stretches to 5 tonight against a tired Memphis team off a DD blowout loss last night in Portland. Memphis now face the daunting task of playing their 4th straight road game against a confident side. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 are 25-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago has won their first 4 games of the season, and Im betting they make it 5 in a row here vs the NY Knicks. Lets ride the momentum of a hungry side. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win against a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 8-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win |
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10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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10-28-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. 76ers | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
I know Motown is not inspiring NBA bettors at the moment but with Ben Simmons out til hes traded and top star Joel Imbiid injured or playing at less than 100% , the Pistons have enough edges here to cover the number. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39%or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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10-27-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -8 | 92-79 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Clippers have shown they can win without often injured super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup and tonight Im betting they will prove their abilities again vs a Cleveland side that despite of winning two straight are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im sure the Cavs are gassed after playing their last game in the high altitude of Denver and are very vulnerable vs a LAC side that has covered 5 straight in this series and 5 straight as hosts. Note: The Cavs are 2-12 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.6 ppg. CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg deficit clicking in at just 11 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2.5 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This will be the Grizzlies 3rd straight road game all in a 4night period making them. vulnerable on tired legs to a HC Billups coached side that needs to bounce back off a loss to the Clippers last time out. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
New Orleans has alot of problems with offensive flow this season and have scored +107 points just once so far early in this campaign ranking just 26th in offensive rating . Here tonight vs a top flight Hawks D, Im betting those problems continue to fester without the injured Zion Williamson in the lineup.The Pelicans went 2-9 SU and only covered 5 times without Williamson last season and look to be a disadvantage again. Hawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawks took both meetings last season by 123-107 and 126-103 counts. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. Play on the Atlanta to win |
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10-26-21 | Lakers -2 v. Spurs | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-25-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Clippers have proved in the past they can win without their star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are off two straight losses to begin their season, but from a matchup perspective have an edge here vs a Portland side, that looks to be having some early season chemistry problems under new New Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups . Yes, I know Portland won their last time out, but I watched parts of that game, and there were some definite issues that needed to be ironed out. Note: Portland's Norman Powell exited with a left knee injury on Saturday and will miss Monday's game. Tony Snell (foot) will also sit out the contest and this Im betting will effect the Blazers overall flow. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS ( after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS is 6-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, first half of the season are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +3 | 119-109 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacers after starting their season with 2 straight 1 point losses bounced back with a win at home in their opener against the Miami Heat and once again like viable opponents against a Milwaukee side that will be on tired legs as they play their third straight road game. Advantage ride with the home dog. MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-2 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-24-21 | Warriors v. Kings +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The Warriors are much improved but Im also betting the Kings will uptrend as well and deserve respect here as home underdogs as they have thrived overall dating back to last season as underdogs cashing 10 of their L/14 games taking points. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and have covered 4 straight vs the Warriors here in Sacramento and overall have cashed 9 of the L/10 tickets for their backers in this series. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Both San Antonio and Milwaukee are off losses. I expected the Bucks to come out strong in their home opener after their championship season, and they did, beating Brooklyn handily. However, now Im expecting a period of champion ship hangover to permeate for a while. With that said, Im betting on San Antonio giving the Bucks all they can handle tonight. Note: San Antonio is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series, and it must also be noted MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 11-24 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER |