Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-21 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 212.5 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
These teams overall numbers might point to a lower scoring type of affair, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate this total to be closer to 216 giving us a full possesion plus of value for an over wager. Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Pistons and Cavaliers have gone over in their L/9 meetings with a combined average of (227.8 ppg going on the board. ) NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 114-70 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-18-21 | Kings +8.5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 9 straight games, and could easily be in tank mode. However, their opponent Dallas has also not played all that well of late, losing 4 of their L/6 while failing to cover 5 times. nothing is coming easy for the Mavs of late, and Im betting that will once again be the case tonight. Carlisle is 13-27 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of DALLAS. Kings are 5-1 ATS L/6 at Dallas and have won 3 of their L/4 meetings here the heart of Texas. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS L/11 off a home game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. DALLAS is 1-8 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season. Mavericks are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 107-70 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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04-18-21 | Rockets v. Magic +1 | 114-110 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Magic have revenge on board for an embarrassing 132-90 loss to the Rockets in their season-opener and will be very motivated here today. The Houston Rockets are 8-62 ATS in their last 70 defeats on the road, including 3-39 ATS versus opponents with revenge like the Magic. . HOUSTON is 6-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Houston is 1-12 SUATS this season versus non-conference opponents seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 4 or more points . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to win |
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04-18-21 | Pelicans +1 v. Knicks | 112-122 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
NYK have been playing some strong hoops of late, but New Orleans matchup well according to my power rankings vs the Knicks and have the added incentive of revenge here for a loss they suffered at home last week to their hosts today. NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 85-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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04-18-21 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 234.5 | 117-129 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
Atlanta runs a fairly methodical offense despite of their reputation, ranking 24th in the NBA in pace and only rank 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but have still seen the Under get notched in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Which tells me they play differently against these type of teams, and or are forced into slowing down vs sides that know taking the Pacers flow away will be advantageous. Im betting this stronger than expected Hawks side will find a way to slow this game down to a pace that is manageable. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 22-10 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-14 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 227 | 111-85 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This totals projection to the over is based on head to head matchup stats as compared to current defensive postures and the systems and form being implemented by both sides. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a home favorite. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 OVER in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11 going over by more than 15 ppg with rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 242 ppg. PHOENIX is 11-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 32-10 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-17-21 | Grizzlies v. Bucks UNDER 237 | 128-115 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on March 4th they combined to put 223 points on the board in a Bucks 112 -111 win vs the Grizzlies. My projections in rematch estimate a combined score that is in the 233 range which gives us a more than 1 possession advantage. After playing last night the Grizzlies will not have the legs to run with the explosive Bucks, so instead I look for a concerted effort in transition that will slow this game down enough for a more muted score than many might expect. It must be noted that the Bucks rank 7th in defensive rating and the Grizzlies 8th.: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions) Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog.Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average fo 217 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 209.1 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored in those 34 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 46-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 60-21 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Grizzlies +8 v. Bucks | 128-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the NBA and deserve respect here vs a Bucks side that is 0-9 ATS L/9 vs Southwest division sides. I know Memphis played yesterday and may not be ready to run and gun in this spot, they do have the weapons needed to be competitive. Note: The Grizzlies are 6-1 L/7 ATS with no rest vs non conference opposition. MILWAUKEE is 7-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS versus teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS in non-conference games this season. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 228.5 | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
These two teams according to my projections will take part in a fairly physical affair that will see the combined score stay under this total. Golden State ranks 9th in defensive efficiency in the NBA while Boston is 10th in ppg allowed and 21st in pace. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 20-10 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-11 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 12-4 in Warriors last 16 road games. Warriors: 0-10 UNDER L/10 vs the Celtics . Celtics: 1-8 UNDER at home in 1/1 rest. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 33-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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04-16-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Mavs are tired and I suspect their conditioning is not good, as Cuban and company complain about the condensed schedule. Tonight against a NYK side that has won 4 straight and covered 7 straight Im betting they are in trouble, as the Knicks have the added motivation of revenge for a loss they suffered at home earlier this season to the Mavs. DALLAS is 5-14 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Mavs are 1-6 ATS as non-conf favs of 2 or more pts vs opposition with revenge. The Knicks are 13-0 ATS covering by more than 15 ppg after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 57-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-16-21 | Grizzlies v. Bulls OVER 220 | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Grizzlies will score at least 115 +points here tonight while the Bulls will put up 109+ points , which gives us a full possession value on this total to the over. MEMPHIS is 24-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 25-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.The Grizzlies are 11-0 OVER L/11 eclipsing the number by more than 16+ ppg off a game as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points on three-pointers.Jenkins is 17-4 OVER in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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04-16-21 | Thunder +3.5 v. Pistons | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Thunder maybe tanking but there is still some pride left among this young side, and Im betting they will be motivated to get revenge vs a Pistons side that beat them 132-108 at home 10 or so ago at home. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Thunder are 13-2 ATS away vs .400 or less opposition while the Pistons: 0-6 as home favs vs a side that is an under .500 side. OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off beating up two lower tier teams the Orlando Magic and Minnesota Wolves and are now playing back to back road games which means their not that fresh . Meanwhile, the well conditioned Hawks are not a team that should be disrespected as they have won 7 of their L/8 overall and out to prove their worthiness and will be motivated to grab a straight up win . Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and despite of their top tier status dont deserve to be this much of a favorite . Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-14-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | 147-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State has averaged less than 100 points per game in their L/6 overall, and Im betting their offensive conversion rate will continue vs the Warriors tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number, based on the Thunders horrendous 43% FG conversion rate in their L/5 tilts. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series have remained on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 210.4 ppg scored. The Warriors are 0-12 UNDER L/12 on the road after Stephen Curry had the highest plus/minus on the team last game going under by more than 16.5 ppg. Play UNDER |
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04-14-21 | Magic +9.5 v. Bulls | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost 3 straight games and 9 of their L/12 and do not deserve to be this big favorite against any team in the league not even the tanking Orlando Magic. Note: The Magic have revenge on board for DD loss to the Bulls the last time they met this season. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 111- 57 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 39-60 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 9-22 ATS in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-3 ATS in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - a capable offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 27-6 L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-14-21 | Nets +7 v. 76ers | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Nets are fresh and ready to get redemption for a ugly loss suffered to the Sixers the last time they played. Nets are not be underestimated getting points and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. Considering the Sixers are still getting acclimated to home cooking after an extended 4 game road trip Il back the revenge minded side in this spot play. BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors, which qualifies from a under ATS perspective. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-13-21 | Thunder +17 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and take the points. Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-13-21 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 222 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a total that should be closer to 218. Thus giving us value with an under wager. We have a full possession plus to work with this spot play. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a struggling team ( 7 PPG or less differential), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 26-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against a struggling team (- 7 or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-13-21 | Lakers +2 v. Hornets | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest. Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 232 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Clippers rank 28th in pace in the NBA and own the 6th best ppg defense and 2nd ranked defensive rating and have allowed an average of 107 ppg on the road. Im betting the Clippers do what they do best and control the pace of this tilt and defensively own a side that is going to be in a regression mode tonight after taking part in a 132-125 uptempo affair last time out. This Im betting directly effects the the total combined score to the under here. INDIANA is 18-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more with an average of 201.4 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team ( 36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 28-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 32-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 43-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. DENVER is 20-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-12-21 | Bulls +3 v. Grizzlies | 90-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record. The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulls to cover |
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04-12-21 | Wizards v. Jazz OVER 234.5 | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored. NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-12-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Mavs | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-11-21 | Bulls v. Wolves +5 | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota has played alot more competitively of late especially with Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup covering 6 of their L/9 and once again according to my power rankings look like viable underdogs in this spot play vs the visiting Chicago Bulls side that has lost 9 of their L/14 SU overall and off a loss last time out. CHICAGO is 17-31 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-11-21 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 220 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Spurs D has been trashed on a very consistent basis of late, allowing 134, 132, 134, 139, 125, 121 points in a 10 game span, and against this kind of opponent my estimates project Dallas to score in excess of 115+ points while the Spurs project to score 109+ points. Note: DALLAS is 20-4 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238 ppg going on the board. The Spurs are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. Popovich is 34-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the board . Play OVER |
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04-11-21 | Bucks -8.5 v. Magic | 124-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games, and will be vert hungry to get back on the winning track against a Orlando side they match up well against according to my power rankings and SRS numbers data. Milwaukee is ranked 4th in SRS 4.31 while, Orlando is ranked 27th with a -6.94 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Milwaukee. Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 11-33 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-11-21 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 105-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Afternoon basketball can start a little slower then night time hoops, and today Im betting on an affair that is grinding in nature and that combines to stay under the offered totals number. Denver runs the 29th ranked pace in the NBA along with the 9th best ppg defence. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 21st in pace in own the 10th best ppg defence. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-11-21 | Hawks v. Hornets UNDER 219.5 | 105-101 | Win | 102 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Charlotte plays a style conducive to slowing down teams like Atlanta. This Im betting will see this afternoon tilt garner alot less scoring than some may be anticipated. Play UNDER |
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04-10-21 | 76ers v. Thunder OVER 216.5 | 117-93 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City's D, has been shredded on a consistent basis of late, allowing an average of 129.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im expecting this trend to continue which projects into what Im betting will be a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 home games. Over is 26-10-1 in 76ers last 37 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-10-21 | Kings v. Jazz -12 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have lost 5 straight games, and look very much like they will lose again tonight and by a hefty count vs a Utah side that can crush the best of sides without empathy. UTAH is 10-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season . Jazz are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU at home after Rudy Gobert had a double double last game. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +12 v. Clippers | 109-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Playing hard last night in a start to finish win vs the Suns, the clippers now on tired legs and not completely focused on this lowly opponent ( Rockets) should offer room for a cover by the road underdog that has covered 3 of their L/5 and not lost by more than 10 points in their L/8 games. HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1996 NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 19-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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04-09-21 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 220.5 | 119-121 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver owns the 9th ranked ppg D in the NBA behind the 29th ranked pace, while, San Antonio ranks 15th in pce in 22nd in offense ppg. Considering both sides condensed exhausting schedule, and their other pertinent numbers we have a projected tilt that very much looks like a combined score that fails to eclipse this number is a likely scenario. Malone is 10-1 UNDER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 198.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-09-21 | 76ers v. Pelicans +7.5 | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams is playing all that well of late, but considering this is the Sixers 5th game in 9 days means they are the more tired side here. With that said, Im betting we have an edge with the home side . SRS numbers -Phil 4.81 vs NO - 0.32- Suggest the number is tainted with general value going to the underdog. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average 76ers are 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record 76ers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the NO Pelicans to cover |
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04-08-21 | Pistons +6.5 v. Kings | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pistons have been very competitive of late covering 10 of their L/15 overall, but they did get beat up on by Denver last time out, 134-119. The thin air of the Mile High city and the fact the Pistons were playing back to back games and already on tired legs contributed to their loss. Now with rest Im betting on them coming out here alot fresher vs a Kings side they have revenge against for a 110-107 loss back in late February. DETROIT is 8-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. DETROIT is 20-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to being run over by a side that will have little empathy for them, as they look to send a message their upstart conference rivals. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 62-42 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to a very slow start and a down offensive performance against a defense that has alot of stopping power as is evident by ranking 6th in ppg allowed behind the 27th ranked pace. Advantage under. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 71-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 40-13 L/7 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 230 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Utah enters this game off an exhausting game last night vs the Suns, losing in OT. Now in an emotional letdown spot I expect the Jazz to not be as aggressive offensive as usual which Im betting results in a game that goes under the set total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are they 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Cavs v. Thunder +3.5 | 129-102 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these sides are playing sub par hoops at the moment, but according to my projections we have value with the home dog in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 8-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-07-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Suns | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jazz will be ramped up take out the Suns this Wednesday night in Phoenix after the Suns took out Utah in their New Year eve game by DDs. Im sure the Jazz were side swiped by a team that they had probably previously over looked. it must be noted that the Jazz since last season have been one of the leagues most dangerous road teams winning 30 off 44 games SU, including a 7-0 SU mark vs a side they have revenge against. Note: Utah is 3rd in ppg allowed defense and 3rd in ppg offense and rank 1st in the NBA in SRS with a 10.02 mark vs the Suns 3rd ranked SRS with a 6.33 mark which includes ranking 5th in defense ppg, and 9th in ppg offense. Utah has won their 3 most recent visits to Phoenix. Rinse and repeat event on board. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. The Phoenix Suns are 4-185-2 ATS at home in SU losses to avenging opponents, including 0-30 ATS in their last 30 games. Play on Utah to cover |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -2.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are a hot team in search of their 14th victory in 18 games under interim coach Nate McMillan and will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. I know they played last night but are a well conditioned team and more than capable of continuing to run and gun here vs a Memphis side that also played last night and , that they this franchise has beaten at home in 17 of their L/24 games. Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.5 ppg. Play on atlanta to win /cover |
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04-06-21 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 237.5 | 121-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the Bucks 5th straight road game and now on tired legs I expect a slower pace from them here and a more defensive minded stance, as they allowed 128 points last time out in a back and forth 129-128 win. Note: MILWAUKEE is 20-9 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219. 8 ppg scored. The Warriors are 0-10-2 UNDER off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NB ARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Pistons +14 v. Nuggets | 119-134 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Pistons have played well against top tier sides like Denver as is evident by a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. DETROIT is also 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a sub par 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and is 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. I know The Nuggets scored a 119-109 win on Sunday over Orlando for their fifth straight and are hot, but this number is just slightly inflated and gives us some needed value. Detroit also looked good last time out, taking a 132-108 win vs the Thunder and have momentum entering this tilt.Road underdogs (DETROIT) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 52-24 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Detroit has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and Im betting they stay within the number here tonight. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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04-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 216 | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Over is 5-1-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and tonight Im betting they push the red hot Heat into a faster paced more offensive game then they would like to partake in. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. Only one of Grizzlies last 10 games have seen less than 216 combined points scored. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Miami. Play OVER |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -1 v. Celtics | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
Boston is owns the 6th best SRS in the league at 4.57 while Boston ranks 10th with a 1.96 mark. My projections and power rankings along with the SRS data, makes the 76ers the fav by 2.5 plus points making them my selection this spot. Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-06-21 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 223 | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Sixers ranks 7th in ppg allowed while the Celtics rank 10th behind the 21st ranked pace. Both sides are considered eastern conference contenders and rivals and tonight Im betting on a physical affair, as both jockey for play off seeding possibilities and domination from a head to head standpoint. Boston has gone under in 5 straight. Philadelphia have stayed under in 8 of their L/11 overall. BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER L/41 after a huge blowout win by 30 or more with the average combined score of 193 ppg scored. (Beat Charlotte 116-86 last time out) Regression is expected. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 51-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Lakers v. Raptors -2 | 110-101 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers remain without the services of Anthony Davis and LeBron James and are fade material in their current form that has seen them lose 6 of the L/9 and while covering just 2 times. The Lakers also have a history of poor performances vs the Atlantic division failing to cover 20 of their L/24 opportunities including 4 straight meetings vs the Raptors as visitors. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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04-06-21 | Pelicans v. Hawks -3 | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
04-05-21 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 222 | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Suns, who will visit the Houston Rockets on Monday, closed Sunday ranked seventh in offensive rating (115.3) and tonight Im betting on more offensive explosiveness, that will result in a wide open affair that eclipses this number. The Rockets are 21-0-1 OVER with no rest after a loss in which they led after the third quarter which was the case last time out. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-05-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Nets | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Knicks have proved themselves to be a top tier defensive side this season behind key catalyst Rose who plays into their system perfectly. Since Derrick Rose came to this team the Knicks own the best defense in the NBA as is evident by allowing just 107.2 points per 100 possessions. Tonight whether James Harden or Durant play for the Nets, I still like the Knicks and their never say die attitude, and hard core physical attributes and team chemistry to make life difficult for the Nets.The Knicks are 9-2 ATS l/11 on the road vs .750 or better opposition. The Knicks have lost both meetings this season, by 5 and 7 points respectively and another close one will be on this agenda , but Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness to get them the cover in revenge mode. Note:Knicks are 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge- exact . Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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04-04-21 | Warriors v. Hawks UNDER 225.5 | 111-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks return home and are now on tired legs after their season-long eight-game road trip and now this Sunday play to host the Golden State Warriors.Both sides are banged up as the condensed schedule takes its toll on teams. If Warriors Seth curry plays he will be less than 100% with a sore tailbone as will Atlantas Trae Young who has knee issues. With that said, Im betting on a muted type tilt that will be slower than might be expected, which will translate into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimates. The last time these teams played the Hawks pounded the Warriors by a DD deficit and now I expect the Warriors to be more vigilant defensively.Note: Kerr is 35-18 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 18-9 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average last game with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 47-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Lakers modus operandi has been a top tier brand of defense , as is evident by ranking 2nd in the league in ppg allowed, behind what is now a short handed offense that ranks 22nd in ppg scored this season. The Lakers have gone under in 9 of their L/10 games. Competing here against the explosive Clippers Im betting will see the Lakers be even more attentive in transition which will dictate a slower pace (ranked 15th in the league) than is usually the case and this this will translate into a combined score that does not eclipse this offered number. LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.7 ppg. LA LAKERS are 20-4 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season for a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-3 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215 ppg. LA LAKERS are 23-8 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 92-38 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Nets -2 v. Bulls | 107-115 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Nets come into the game 34-15, fresh off an truly eye opening 111-89 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday night. The home blowout represented a fourth straight victory for the Nets, who have won 12 of their last 14 to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference during this hot stretch. This team is heading into top gear and looks unstoppable in their current form especially against an inconsistent Bulls side that looks lost after 6 straight losses where they have been outplayed. Note: The Nets are 14-2 in 2/1 rest situations and are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series . Rinse and repeat situation on board. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Even if Durant is not in the lineup today the Nets still have the guns to defeat the Bulls. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 62-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn Nets to win |
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04-03-21 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | 139-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs have not played well at home this season, and have won only twice through the first seven games of their franchise-high 9 game home-stand, and once again look like vulnerable favs in this spot. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know that the Pacers are not exactly playing great basketball, but a sense of desperation now permeates around this team, and a win is extremely important right now. This Im betting will see the Pacers pull out all the stops here this evening, making getting points a viable investment option. Pacers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Pacers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at homePacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat OVER 204.5 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland has been held under 100 points in each of its past four games, but all the more need to open up, which will effect their defensive numbers. Miami popped 116 points on the board last time out, and are more than capable of putting points on the board here. MIAMI is 9-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.2 ppg. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 11-1 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg. CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg were scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat -11.5 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Cleveland has lost 4 straight games by DD deficits and even now in desperation mode look like candidates to be blown out of the water in another blowout style affair. vs a Heat side that is heating up and that has won and cover 5 straight in this series at home. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 14 ppg as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.4 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-02-21 | Bucks v. Blazers UNDER 236.5 | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams have plenty of offensive fire power, but they both still possess some physical defensive attributes, and Im betting those stopping qualities will shine in this tilt between top tier sides. I expect both teams to pay special attention to defense especially in transition. Bucks HC Budenholzer is 83-56 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached with the average combined score ringing in at 209.9 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/ PORTLAND) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-21 | Hawks +2 v. Pelicans | 126-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks and the New Orleans Pelicans both played overtime Thursday night.Both were short-handed. Both will be tired when they complete back-to-backs with a Friday night matchup in New Orleans. However, one side the Hawks does have the edge according to my power rankings which adjust for conditioning. The Hawks rank higher on my charts and are one of the better conditioned sides in the league. Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite and are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Hawks HC McMillan is 13-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1996. NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more- 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-02-21 | Rockets v. Celtics UNDER 223.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Houston ranks 25th in ppg offence , while Boston ranks 16th in offensive ppg output. both have proven themselves highly inconsistent offensively and Im betting on more of the same muted action when they meet this Friday night. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as a road underdog. HOUSTON is 18-4 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average score of 216.6 ppg. HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season for a combined average of 217.9 ppg. HOUSTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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04-02-21 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 225.5 | 77-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Raptors in my opinion are in tank mode and playing with little or no motivation, and their offence has proven futile for a quite a while now. The Raptors are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they shot under 40% from the field, which was the case last time out. Torontos opponent Golden State, is 20-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons . This game has sleeper written all over it, that will translate to a lower scoring affair. Play on the UNDER |
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04-01-21 | Magic v. Pelicans OVER 219 | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly, which could see their improving defensive game lapse early giving us the room for a faster pace game as this tilt progresses giving an edge for this total to go over the offered number. NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.5 ppg scored.Van Gundy is 11-1 OVER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 upset win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly vs a Orlando Magic side that is playing better lately from a bettors perspective having covered 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall in competitive fashion. The Magic are also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings vs the Pelicans and get my support here getting points. NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-6 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 71-39 L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-01-21 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 219.5 | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
The Heat rank 27th in offensive output per game in the league and rank 3rd in defense ppg in the league behind a grinding pace that ranks 28th in the NBA. Seth Curry and company may want to open up but with the Heat dictating the pace of their games. Im betting this will be a sloshy affair that runs much slower than even this totals number indicates. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207. 8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 12-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg going on the board. The Warriors are 0-13-1 UNDER by more than 20 points a game as a dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with none of the game sin this 14 game set going over this offered number. Play UNDER |
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04-01-21 | Hornets v. Nets -3 | 89-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Nets, who glided past the visiting Houston Rockets 120-108 on Wednesday night, hold the best record in the Eastern Conference. Their 33-15 record includes a 19-6 mark in home games and despite of how well the Hornets have played this season, Im betting they are in a bad spot vs a side that will be more than ready to send a message, yes even if James Harden cannot play. The Hornets won their first matchup with the Nets this season, a 106-104 decision on Dec. 27 in Charlotte and now we have the motivation of a strong side to back here in revenge mode. BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.The Hornets are 0-14 ATS /SU as a road dog coming off a game as a favorite. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-01-21 | 76ers v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 114-94 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers are off a loss last time out which was their 2nd straight and now i expect a more aggressive offensive effort after producing just 95 points last time out whihc will help this combined score get eclipsed . The Seventysixers are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite coming off a loss as a road dog with a combined average of 235.9 ppg scored. NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 22-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-31-21 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 231 | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Sacramento took out the Spurs 132-115 when they played a couple of days ago, and now Im betting the Spurs paying alot more attention to defence especially in transition which should slow this game down a bit. Which I am betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 32-17 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 27-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Jazz will try to extend their six-game winning streak on Wednesday night when they take on the Grizzlies in Memphis, but Im betting things wont go as easily as some may believe. The Jazz's arrival in Memphis was delayed after their charter plane, which departed from Salt Lake City, was forced to make an emergency landing in the same city shortly after takeoff on Tuesday when it hit a flock of birds that caused an engine issue. No players were injured, but the plane returned to Salt Lake City International Airport, where the Jazz waited for another aircraft. This kind of delay is never easy on players, and Im betting it will show on the court. MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS /12-2 SU with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game with both losses coming by 3 points or less. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | 101-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Knicks I am betting will bounce back from an atypical defeat Wednesday night, when they visit the Timberwolves in Minneapolis, Minn., in the final game of the season between the nonconference foes. Minnesota is highly inconsistent and a regression is expected tonight. The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU as a dog off a road game in which Karl Anthony Towns scored at least 30 points. NBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 PPG or less differential) are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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03-31-21 | Rockets v. Nets UNDER 231.5 | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Brooklyn smashed Houston 132-114 on March 3rd and now knowing they cannot run with this type of juggernaut they will hunker down and try to turn this game into a physical affair , which will translate into a lower scoring game. HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog with a combined average of 210. 6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-30-21 | 76ers v. Nuggets UNDER 220.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
For 9 straight games the Sixers did not allow more than 109 points to opposing offenses, and than last time out allowed 122 points. Im now betting on them coming back and paying special attention to defense especially in transition, which Im betting helps keep this tilt on the low side of the total. Note : Their opponent Denver, ranks 29th in pace, so with the pressure Im betting the Sixers bring , this game will be alot slower than anticipated by the lines-makers.Under is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 88-44 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-21 | Bulls -2.5 v. Warriors | 102-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Golden States super star Curry is not expected to face the Bulls, and thats not a good omen for their chances here vs a Bulls side that just added Vucevic,.CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 6-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 ppg. NBA Home teams (GOLDEN STATE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 100-43 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers UNDER 232 | 105-129 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This has been a grueling season for NBA teams, as they take part in a condensed league schedule. The Bucks are now playing their 3rd game in 4 days and are pretty banged up , despite of most of their starters expected to play tonight and Im betting they will not want to take part in anything that resembles a run and gun affair, much like their meeting in late Feb that saw the Clippers lose to the Bucks by a 105-100 score. Im once again betting on defence, and special attention paid to transitional ball to help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER L/29 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 190.6 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 31-17 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. |
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03-29-21 | Bucks +3 v. Clippers | 105-129 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Bucks are looking to defeat the Clippers for the fifth straight time and Im betting they have the edge here as underdogs as two-time reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is slated to return from a one-game absence due to his nagging left knee injury. Antetokounmpo was one of four starters to miss Saturday's 102-96 home loss to the New York Knicks. Milwaukee posted a 105-100 home win over Los Angeles on Feb. 28 when Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded 36 points,. Rinse and repeat situation on board.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-29-21 | Raptors -3 v. Pistons | 104-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This Toronto team is the most hungry angry and desperate side you will get to back this season. I know they played last night and have now lost 11 of their L/12, but like I started off with this game screams must need win, vs a side they have revenge against and matchup well against. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home losses are 22-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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03-29-21 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 | 127-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are 0-16 UNDER L/16 as a road favorite when the line is at least eight points lower than their last game going under by more than 19 ppg. Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 overall.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. |
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03-28-21 | Blazers -1 v. Raptors | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors have lost 10 of their L/11 and with Portland Damian Lilliard expected to play after sitting out this past Friday, look once again that their current losing run will continue. |
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03-28-21 | Suns -6.5 v. Hornets | 101-97 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
The Suns are in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Hornets on Feb 24th at home losing by a 124-121 count. I know the Suns are on tired legs but according to my power rankings and adjusted ratings they are the best conditioned team in the league . Williams is 8-0 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-10 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 31-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 8-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover |
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03-27-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Kings | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Sacramento put 141 points on the board in a DD win vs the Hawks last time out, and now Im betting on regression in this spot play vs a Cleveland side that has been mostly competitive in their L/6 trips tp the court going 3-3 SU. Walton is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-27-21 | Mavs -1 v. Pelicans | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Doncic was sidelined by tightness in his lower back as the Mavericks lost to visiting Indiana 109-94 on Friday, but HC Rick Carlisle said Doncic would travel to New Orleans and was hopeful the All-Star would be available. Thus on that premise I will recommend what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Dallas ranks 10th in SRS with a 1.64 mark and New Orelans ranks 13th with a 0.75 mark. Note: SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average DALLAS is 12-2 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-27-21 | Bulls v. Spurs -3 | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs Im betting will get back to their winning ways after 4 straight losses and finally take advantage of their home court when they host the new-look Chicago Bulls on Saturday as side that has also struggled losing 4 of their L/5 overall.. Note: Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 41-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS in non-conference games this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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03-27-21 | Rockets +5 v. Wolves | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves got by the Rockets 107-101 last night and Im betting on another close game tonight after looking at some game film, that proved to me how evenly matched these opponents are. Timberwolves are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite and are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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03-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -9.5 | 114-117 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
The Jazz have won their past three matchups against Memphis and Im betting on another conclusive win here at home in the land of the mormons. The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU at home coming off a win with each victory coming by DDS. .UTAH is 12-0 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 100-63 L/24 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-26-21 | Pacers v. Mavs -4 | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks look to keep their foot on the gas when they host the Indiana Pacers on Friday.The Mavericks posted their 14th win in 19 outings with a 128-108 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. With that said, Ill recommend we ride the momentum of the Mavs vs a inconsistent Pacers side, that was blasted by the Mavs at home earlier this season. INDIANA is 2-11 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 0-11 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. NDIANA is 4-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% ot more of their shots this season. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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03-26-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans UNDER 231.5 | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Denver despite of ranking 4th in ppg scored in the league also ranks 29th in pace. Thanks to a high shooting percentage, which Im betting regresses the Nuggets are scoring at a lower rate than their current output should be expected going forward, at least according to my own projections. With Van Gundy finally getting his Pelicans to pay more attention to defence of late, allowing 101, 108, 111, and 86 in 4 of their L/5 we have a situation that actually bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. DENVER is 94-64 UNDER in road games against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored in that 158 game sample size. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-25-21 | Wizards v. Knicks -3 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Knicks will get a chance to go back over the .500 mark for the fourth time since Feb. 27 after rolling to a 131-113 win over Washington on Tuesday night. Im betting on their explosive momentum and willing to lay a trey . NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Wizards are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road with rest coming off a road game where they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. which was the case in that above mentioned blowout loss. WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 16-60 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.2 ppg which qualifies under an ATS situational bet. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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03-24-21 | Nets v. Jazz UNDER 233.5 | 88-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
The Nets are playing their 5th game in 7 days and are also playing on back to back nights which Im betting has them on tired legs and in no way ready to run and gun here in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City tonight. With this being the Jazz first home game after a 5 game road trip they may also be disorientated and take time to get use to home cooking which in conjunction with the Nets exhaustion should see a combine score that remains on the low side of the offered number. UTAH is 13-3 UNDER in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (Brooklyn/UTAH) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) ARE 35-8 UNDER L/24 SEASONS for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-24-21 | Suns -9.5 v. Magic | 111-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns have been racking up the road wins and are closing in on an impressive franchise record.Phoenix aims to stretch its road winning streak to eight games when it visits the Orlando Magic on Wednesday and Im betting they get it as well as the cover vs a Orlando team that looks to be in tank mode .ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.The Magic are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15 after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg with every loss coming by DDs. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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03-24-21 | Pistons +6 v. Pacers | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit has been extremely inconsistent this season , and after a couple wins put out a clunker last time out at home. However, my power rankings suggest they matchup well vs the Pacers who are also less than consistent. Thus making getting points here a viable betting opportunity. The Pacers are 2-11 ATS L/13 at home. INDIANA is 0-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. DETROIT is 17-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS off a home loss this season. The Pistons are 14-0-1 ATS with more than one day of rest coming off a home game. INDIANA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are just 7-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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03-23-21 | 76ers -4 v. Warriors | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
With Golden States Seth Curry and his brother at less than 100% if they play at all tonight Im betting the Sixers who are in top form have an edge. PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Sixers are 7-1-1 ATS L/9 overall.76ers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ game are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-23-21 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 236.5 | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers were a shaky 9 of 41 from 3-point range and the trio of Damian Lillard (seven attempts), CJ McCollum (five) and Carmelo Anthony (four) never saw one go through the net in their ugly DD loss Sunday to Dallas and will now be ready to play much better defence in redemption mode. The Blazers also on tired legs will want to slow down their speed orientated opponent which Im betting will lead to a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect . QUOTE: "We really depend on our offense and making 3s and any time me, CJ and Melo go 0-for-16 from three, we're not going to have much of a chance," Lillard said; eND QUOTE: BROOKLYN is 36-18 L/54 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play the UNDER |
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03-23-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans OVER 221 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans enter this game ranked 5th in ppg offence in the league and 25th in ppg allowed defence. \Tonight New Orleans will be out looking to take down a Lakers side playing without James and Davis, and will have no mercy in the process which Im betting leads us into a higher scoring tilt that the public and linesmkaers might expect. NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 OVER in home games this season with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 11-0 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.8 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combine average of 233.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-22-21 | Raptors -8 v. Rockets | 99-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rockets' are on a demoralizing 20-game skid and now face a hungry Toronto side, that is on a 8 game losing streak and desperate for a win. HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS in home games this season.HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS as a home underdog this season. Play on Toronto to cover |
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03-22-21 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 232 | 113-140 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Pacers shot just 38.8% yesterday and looked to be on tired legs in a grinding 109-106 OT win vs the Heat. Now playing on back to back days, Indiana could find themselves running on less than a full tank and susceptible to a down offensive effort vs the red hot Bucks . Note: The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road after they shot under 40% from the field.Under is 9-3 in Pacers last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on the UNDER |
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03-22-21 | Pacers v. Bucks -5 | 113-140 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Pacers took part in a grinding 109-106 OT battle yesterday vs the Heat, and will now be on tired legs in back to back tilts and susceptible to down performance. The Bucks are red hot having won 6 straight and have are 5-0 straight SU/ATS vs the Pacers L/5 at home in this series and get my support again in a favorable situation here on home court.INDIANA is 4-17 ATS ( versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.INDIANA is 0-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-22-21 | Kings v. Cavs +4.5 | 119-105 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings conclude a six-game road swing through the Eastern Conference on Monday, facing the Cleveland Cavaliers. Needless to say Im sure their exhausted and susceptible to a down performance. Cleveland has won 2 of their L/3 and are showing signs of momentum.Bickerstaff is 22-9 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached .Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-21-21 | Mavs v. Blazers +2.5 | 132-92 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Blazers are starting to heat up as CJ McCollum has shaken off the rust after a explosive effort on Friday night and now the Trail Blazers look like viable bets to beat the visiting Dallas Mavericks for the second time in three nights. Note:The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS/SU L/11 off a home win in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their made field goals. DALLAS is 9-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Stotts is 120-97 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PORTLAND. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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03-21-21 | Pacers v. Heat -5 | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
In the first meeting of this weekends series the Indiana Pacers pounded the Miami Heat 137-110 and now the Heat have revenge on board and will motivated here . MIAMI is 32-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 1-9 ATS after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 33-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-21-21 | Pacers v. Heat UNDER 217 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Early afternoon starts can some time see teams starting slowly and playing with less energy . After Miami allowed 137 points in a DD loss to the Pacers in the first game of this weekend series, you can bet the Heat will be ready to pay attention to defense in transition and for the Pacers to regress offensively after shooting 58.4 % from the field and 55.6% from the land of the trey.The Heat are 0-12-1 UNDER at home after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game with a combined average of 202 ppg. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more. NBA team (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-20-21 | Hornets +9.5 v. Clippers | 98-125 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets aim to halt a 10-game road losing streak to the Los Angeles Clippers when the teams square off on Saturday night and despite of looking like non viable su winners, getting the cover is a viable option.CHARLOTTE is 19-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.CHARLOTTE is 21-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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03-20-21 | Kings v. 76ers -6.5 | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
The Sixers remain quite formidable at home, going 18-4 SU and deserve respect here as medium line price. The Kings are getting respect, because of a couple of road wins as dogs. However, they are on tired legs with this being their 5th straight away game in a week, Note: NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 53-94 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9+ ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |