11-22-16 |
Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -128 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-128 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Maple Leafs.
The Leafs are coming off a 2-1 loss at Montreal on Saturday night, but on a positive note, Frederik Anderson had another strong start. Toronto has plenty of firepower, ranking 3rd in the NHL in scoring, but poor goaltending proved costly early this season. Anderson though has been playing much better lately. He's won three straight home starts, and he's 7-2 overall at Air Canada Center. The Leafs host Carolina tonight, and the Canes have really been brutal on the road. While they've won four straight home games, the Canes have just two wins in nine games on the road so far. The Leafs have won six of their last seven home games, and they are 2-0-1 in the last three meetings in this series. I like the price we get on the home team, especially given how well Toronto has played since Babcock made them skate in the dark following a 7-0 loss to the Kings two weeks ago.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-16 |
Packers v. Redskins -150 |
Top |
24-42 |
Win
|
100 |
154 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
The Packers have lost three straight, allowing an average of 37 points per game during that span. Aaron Rodgers has been struggling, and he was picked off twice in an ugly loss at Tennessee last week. Without any real threat in the running game, opposing defenses have been able to put a ton of pressure on Rodgers. He was sacked five times in last week's loss to the Titans. Washington is 5-1-1 in it's last seven overall, and the Skins have won three straight at home during that span. Kirk Cousins is playing a lot like he did last year, ranking fourth in the NFL in passing, with 2,716 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs. He's benefiting from strong play by the Skins O-Line, as well as an abundance of weapons to throw to. Last week against Minnesota, he was sacked just once while throwing for 262 yards and a pair of TDs on 22-of-33 passing. With Jordan Reed, Pierre Garcon, Jamison Crowder and Vernon Davis, Cousins has an embarrassment of riches. It only gets better as DeSean Jackson is expected to return to the lineup to face Green Bay. The Packers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games in November, while the Skins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-16 |
Iona v. Nevada -10.5 |
Top |
76-91 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona.
Take NEV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-16 |
Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys |
Top |
17-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
64 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Dallas Cowboys are the hottest team in the NFL, coming into this week's home game versus Baltimore as winners of eight in row. It's not easy to stay on top in the NFL, and that is especially true for a rookie quarterback like Dak Prescott. He might be feeling just a little more pressure this week, after Dallas legend Tony Romo gave an emotional speech, passing the torch to Prescott and calling him the undisputed team leader. He's facing a Baltimore defense that ranks #1 in the NFL in total defense and #1 overall versus the run. The Ravens are 5-4, but their average margin of defeat in the four games they lost is less than five points. If Baltimore can slow down Ezekiel Elliot, it's going to put a ton of pressure on Prescott, which may spell trouble for the Cowboys. Dallas is just 5-11-1 ATS in it's last 17 home games, and I think it's going to be difficult for the Cowboys to run up the score here against the league's best defense.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Oklahoma v. West Virginia UNDER 67 |
Top |
56-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
83 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKLA@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The 8-1 Mountaineers aren't getting much respect from bookmakers this week, listed as a home underdog to the 8-2 Oklahoma Sooners. Everybody loves Oklahoma's offense, and we've seen quarterback Baker Mayfield put up some impressive numbers. He threw for 545 yards and seven TDs against Texas Tech, and he had big games against Texas, Iowa State, TCU and Baylor. None of those teams can play defense like West Virginia. The Mountaineers have shut down a few high powered offenses already this year, holding the likes of TCU, Texas Tech and Texas under 21 points. West Virginia might want to focus on running the ball here at home, especially after Skyler Howard was picked off three times last week against Texas. The weather forecast in Morgantown is calling for a 90% chance of rain, as well as high winds. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in five straight, while West Virginia has gone under in five of it's last six overall. This total appears to be a little inflated, especially given the bad weather.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Stanford -10.5 v. California |
Top |
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal.
Since Keller Chryst took over at quarterback for the Cardinal, Stanford has won three straight games, all by double digits. The junior threw for 258 yards and three TDs in a 52-27 win at Oregon last week. This week's game against Cal should be very similar, as the Bears are another team that really struggles on defense. In fact, Cal ranks dead last in the FBS in points allowed, giving up an average of 45.6 points per game so far. They've given up an FBS worst 28 rushing TDs, and they rank dead last in yards per carry, allowing opponents to average 6.2 yards per attempt. That should spell trouble as they get set to face the most prolific running back of all time (McCaffrey owns the single season record of all purpose yards). Last week at Oregon, McCaffrey ran for 135 yards and three TDs, and caught five passes for 52 yards. Cal has scored plenty of points this season, but for the most part against inferior opponents. I don't like the Bears chances this week, with a banged up Davis Webb facing a tough Cardinal defense. Stanford has won six straight in this series, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. This looks like a good spot for the Cardinal to win in another blowout.
Take STAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Devils v. Kings UNDER 5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NJD@LAK to go UNDER the total.
The Devils are a team that is short on offense, and an injury to leading scorer Taylor Hall doesn't help. Hall leads the team with five goals and 12 points in 14 games, and he's expected to miss 3-4 weeks due to a knee injury. The good news for the Devils is that Corey Schneider has been standing on his head, and New Jersey ranks #1 overall in the NHL in goals against. We should expect a defensive hockey game here in a matinee in Los Angeles, as the Kings rank 22nd in the league in goals scored, and they own one of the NHL's worst power play units. With starting goalie Jonathan Quick injured earlier in the season, it looked like the Kings could be in trouble. Veteran Peter Budaj has stepped up, going 8-6-1 with a 2.12 GAA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Devils have only gone over the total once in their last 13 road games, while the Kings have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Maryland v. Nebraska -14.5 |
Top |
7-28 |
Win
|
100 |
123 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nebraska Cornhuskers.
The Maryland Terrapins are coming off consecutive blowout losses, and they were out-scored 121-6 in those games versus Ohio State and Michigan. The good news is that they need to win just one of their remaining two games to become bowl eligible, but it's unlikely that they will get that win here on the road at Nebraska. In fact, they might be better off resting their injured players for next week's game versus Rutgers. Maryland used three quarterbacks in last week's 62-3 home loss to the Buckeyes, and they combined to throw for just 133 yards and an INT on 15-of-27 passing. Their starter Perry Hills suffered a shoulder injury two weeks ago versus Michigan, and then injured the other shoulder last week against Ohio State. His status for this game is in question, and the Terps may also be without their top two running backs. Leading rusher Ty Johnson is questionable with a shoulder injury, and freshman Lorenzo Harrison is serving a suspension due to an off field incident. Harrison leads the team with five rushing TDs. The Cornhuskers also have injury concerns, but playing at home against a short-handed Maryland team should be a cake walk.
Take NEB.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-18-16 |
Coppin State v. Utah -26 |
Top |
51-94 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Utah. The Utah Utes have played twice this season, winning both games by 40+ points. They are a huge favorite at home tonight against Coppin State, but I don't think 26 points is a big enough number all things considered. The Eagles are playing a rare third game in three nights, and fourth game in five nights. They are coming off back to back 30+ point losses at BYU and Coastal Carolina. Last night in Provo they shot just 25.9 percent from the field, and made just 50% of their free throws. They've given up an average of more than 80 points per game, and this Utah team is as good as anybody they have faced so far. The Utes are well rested, and this looks like it should be a complete mismatch. Utah ranks 3rd nationally averaging 56 rebounds per game, and they have held opponents to an average of 45 points during their 2-0 start. The home team should win this game by 30+ points.
Take UTAH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-16-16 |
Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@CAL to go UNDER the total.
The Flames are coming off an impressive 1-0 win on the road at Minnesota, and they are back home to host Arizona in their second game of a back to back. The Coyotes are coming off back to back home losses to Boston and Winnipeg, scoring just three goals in those games. We might not see a lot of offense here in Cow Town tonight, as these are two of the least talented teams in the league. Calgary ranks 25th in the league in scoring, and they have one of the league's worst power play percentages (10.2 %). The Yotes aren't much better, ranking 24th in the NHL converting on just 11.9 percent of their power play chances. The status of Calgary's leading scorer Johnny Gaudreau is up in the air after he sat out the third period of last night's game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last seven meetings. Calgary has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and four straight when playing on back to back nights.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-15-16 |
Predators -115 v. Maple Leafs |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nashville Predators.
After a slow start to the season, the Preds have won three straight. The scary thing for Leafs fans is that Pekka Rinne is coming off a 27 save shutout, and has conceded just two goals in his last three starts. Toronto's goaltending situation has been a complete nightmare, with Frederik Anderson really struggling. The former Anaheim Ducks starting netminder has conceded 11 goals while losing two of his last three starts, and he has an unsightly 3.42 GAA in 13 games played. Toronto ranks 28th in the league allowing an average of 3.6 goals per game. Nashville should be able to take advantage of the Leafs defensive shortcomings, especially on the man-advantage. The Preds boast the league's 5th best power play, converting on roughly 25 percent of their chances. Nashville has won three straight, and four of their last five at Toronto.
Take NAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-13-16 |
Dolphins v. Chargers -190 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-190 |
138 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Chargers.
The Miami Dolphins take a three game winning streak into this Sunday's game at San Diego, but all three wins came at home. Playing on the road on the other side of the country looks like a tough spot for the Fish, who are still looking for their first road win this season. Phillip Rivers is having another outstanding season, and he's thrown for 994 yards with nine TDs and just one INT at home this season. The Chargers are 3-1 at home, and the home team has won six straight in this series since 2008. The Dolphis have been successful in recent weeks, leaning on running back Jay Ajayi. He's facing a stout San Diego defense though, that ranks among the NFL's best run defenses, holding opponents to an average of 85 rushing yards per game. The Dolphins run defense has been one of the worst in the NFL, ranking 29th overall, allowing over 136 yards per game. That could mean another big game for Melvin Gordon, who ran for 196 yards and a TD in last week's win over Tennessee. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, while Miami has failed to cover in four of it's last five on the road.
Take SD.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-13-16 |
Broncos v. Saints -1 |
Top |
25-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
157 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Saints are surging, coming into this week's home game versus Denver as winners of four of their last five. The Broncos on the other hand are coming off an ugly loss on the road at Oakland, and have lost three of their last five. Denver has really missed C.J. Anderson, who has been sidelined for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Backup running back Devontae Booker has been playing through a shoulder injury, and he's been limited to just 76 yards on 29 carries while starting the last two games. The Broncos are also dealing with injuries on defense, and they really struggled in the loss to Oakland, taking 12 penalties for a total of 104 yards. Drew Brees threw for 323 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a win at San Francisco last week, and he ranks second in the NFL in passing yards. He has incredible numbers at home, completing almost 70 percent of his passes for 1,529 yards, 12 TDs and just two INTs. His last home game was a win over the Seattle Seahawks, throwing for 265 yards and a TD on 27-of-35 passing. I expect a similar result this week against another tough defense at the Super Dome.
Take N.O.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-13-16 |
Vikings v. Redskins -145 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
After losing their first two games of the season, the Redskins have gone 4-1-1 in their last six overall. Kirk Cousins ranks among the league leaders in passing, and he threw for a whopping 458 yards in last week's 27-27 tie versus Cincinnati. Washington's biggest problem has been a poor run defense, which isn't likely to hurt them against Minnesota, a team that ranks 31st in the league in rushing. The Vikings offense is in shambles, averaging just 12 points per game during a three game losing streak. Minnesota's defense carried the team early this season, but injuries to several key players have hurt the Vikes. It looks like they will be without starting corners Marcus Sherels and Captain Munnerlyn. Washington might be without DeSean Jackson, but Cousins still has his fair share of weapons in Jordan Reed, Jamison Crowder, Pierre Garcon and Vernon Davis.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-12-16 |
USC +8 v. Washington |
Top |
26-13 |
Win
|
100 |
139 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the USC Trojans.
The Washington Huskies head into this Saturday's home game versus USC ranked 4th nationally, looking to move to 10-0 on the season. They've beaten some good teams already this season, but this looks like their toughest test to date. The Trojans opened the season losing three of their first four games, but have since won five straight. Sam Darnold took over at quarterback in Week 4 versus Utah, and the Trojans held a lead in that game right up until the final 16 seconds when Utah scored late for the come from behind win. The freshman has thrown for over 1,800 yards with 20 TDs and just four INTs this season, and USC has scored at least 45 points in three straight games. The Huskies have won just three of their last 10 against USC, and all three of those wins came in gamed decided by five points or less. I expect Washington to be tested here, and we should see another close game. This line looks a little inflated, and I'll take the points with USC. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five in this series.
Take USC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-12-16 |
LSU v. Arkansas +7 |
Top |
38-10 |
Loss |
-125 |
128 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks.
The Razorbacks are getting a generous cushion at home this week against an LSU team that failed to score a single point in a home loss to Alabama last Saturday. Of course the Hogs defense isn't likely to be as successful stopping the run as the #1 ranked Crimson Tide, but Arkansas has one of the best quarterbacks in the SEC. The Hogs are coming off an impressive 31-10 win over Florida, holding the Gators to just 12 yards on 14 carries. These teams have played seven times since 2009, and Arkansas is 6-1 ATS in those games. The Hogs won outright at Baton Rouge last year (31-14), and won 17-0 at home in 2015. There's no secret that the key to beating the Tigers is stopping star running back Leonard Fournette. He was held to just 35 yards on 17 carries in the loss to Alabama last Saturday, and it won't get any easier here this week. Arkansas was one of just two teams to hold Fournette under 100 yards last season.
Take ARK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-10-16 |
Pelicans v. Bucks -4 |
Top |
112-106 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The 0-8 Pelicans played back to back games on Monday/Tuesday, and they play their third game in four nights on the road at Milwaukee tonight. This looks like a tough spot for the shorthanded Pelicans, who are at the end of a three game road trip. New Orleans has really missed Tyreke Evans and Quincy Poindexter, who have both battled knee injuries. This is a "get right game" for the Bucks, who didn't play well in an 86-75 loss at Dallas on Sunday. They have won three of four at home this season, and they were a solid 23-18 at home last year. The Pelicans have lost 36 of their last 45 road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last four away from the Big Easy. New Orleans ranks dead last in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of .277 this season. The worst part is that Anthony Davis is averaging over 30 points and 11 rebounds per game, so it's not like you can ask him to do anymore.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule.
|
11-09-16 |
Toledo -6.5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Toledo Rockets.
The Northern Illinois Huskies have been to six consecutive MAC Championship games, winning the conference title three times during that span. They have really dropped off here this season, coming into this week's home game versus Toledo with a 3-6 record. All three of those wins have come against bottom feeders in the conference (Ball State, Buffalo and Bowling Green). They've been crushed when they've played tougher opposition, suffering double digit losses to South Florida, San Diego State and Western Michigan). They even lost at home to an opponent from the FCS (Western Illinois). The Huskies have won six straight in this series, and I think past results have resulted in line value on the Rockets, who should be a much bigger favorite here. NIU was getting 17.5 points versus Western Michigan, 13 points versus San Diego State and 14 points versus South Florida. Facing a Rockets team that ranks 14th nationally in points scored should prove to be too much at a neutral site at US Cellular Field.
Take TOL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-16 |
Flames v. Ducks -179 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Anaheim Ducks.
The Ducks opened the season with four straight losses, but have gone 5-2-1 in eight games since. They are coming off a 5-1 blowout win at home over Arizona on Friday, and they host a struggling Calgary team playing on the back end of a back to back at the Duck Pond tonight. Calgary was shutout in a 5-0 loss to the Kings at the Staples Center last night, and they have lost three of their last four overall. The Flames special teams play has been brutal, ranking 28th on the power play, and 29th on the penalty kill. The Ducks goaltender Jon Gibson stopped 21-of-22 shots in the win over the Coyotes, and he has owned the Flames in recent meetings. He was 4-0 with a 0.83 GAA in four starts versus Calgary last year. The Ducks have a long history of dominating Calgary, going 9-0-1 in the last 10 meetings, and 28-1 in their last 29 home meetings with the Flames.
Take ANA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-16 |
Suns v. Lakers -145 |
Top |
108-119 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Lakers.
Coming off a shocking upset win over Golden State, this might seem like a classic "let down spot" for the Lakers. I've never been a big fan of situational handicapping without considering the rest of the available info, and everything else I see tells me that getting the Lakers as a small favorite at home here is a bargain. You could argue that the Suns are also in a let down spot, coming off an overtime win on the road at New Orleans. Devin Booker hit a buzzer beater to tie that game, forcing OT. It was just the Suns second win in six games, and Phoenix has been brutal defensively. The Suns rank 30th in the NBA, allowing opponents to average 112.3 points per game so far. The Lakers coach puts things in perspective with this comment: "Honestly, we're looking at the big picture and the big picture isn't beating Golden State and then losing Sunday night at home," Los Angeles coach Luke Walton said. "The big picture is we make it really hard on teams that come into Staples Center and get wins, and so far we've had two home games against two really good teams and won both." The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games, and they had six players score in double figures in their home win over the Warriors Sunday. Julius Randle and Lou Williams each scored 20 points.
Take LAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-16 |
Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43.5 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@OAK to go OVER the total.
The defending Super Bowl champs are tied with Oakland in the AFC West with both teams at 6-2 after eight games. The Raiders host Denver on Sunday night, and the total looks a little low considering how potent Oakland's offense has been. Derek Carr is having an MVP caliber season, throwing for 2,321 yards with 17 TDs and just three INTs so far. He threw for a whopping 513 yards and four TDs on 40-of-59 passing in a win over Tampa last week. Surely he will have a tougher time against Denver's defense, but I like his chances of putting enough points on the board to push this total over. While Oakland is a team that has a pass happy offense, the Broncos normally try to establish the run. They were a little more pass happy last week, with Trevor Siemian attempting 38 passes in comparison to just 25 running plays. Injuries in the secondary, and a depleted backfield for Denver should also contribute to a potential higher scoring game. The Raiders have been trending over at home, reaching the total in nine of their last 12 in Oakland.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-16 |
Saints -165 v. 49ers |
Top |
41-23 |
Win
|
100 |
149 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
Both the Saints and the 49ers have losing records, but these two teams have very different goals ahead of this Week 9 matchup. San Francisco needs to start looking ahead, with this season already a write off. The Saints are 3-4, but are still in second place in the NFC South. They've won three of their last four games, and their defense has tightened up in recent weeks. Drew Brees is having another MVP caliber season, completing almost 70 percent of his passes for a total of 2,366 yards, 18 TDs and five INTs. He'll face a San Francisco defense that ranks dead last in points allowed, giving up over 31 points per game. The Niners were lit up last week at home by Jameis Winston, who threw for 269 yards and three TDs in a 34-17 blowout win. Colin Kaepernick is completing less than 50% of his passes, throwing for just 330 yards the last two weeks. He's also been sacked seven times in those games. This game appears to have blowout written all over it.
Take N.O.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-05-16 |
Nebraska +14 v. Ohio State |
Top |
3-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
133 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
11-05-16 |
Alabama -7 v. LSU |
Top |
10-0 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide.
After losing two of their first four games, the Tigers fired head coach Les Miles. They have won three straight since, but I am still skeptical that this team can truly contend with elite teams. Last week's 38-21 win over Ole Miss wasn't quite as impressive as the score would indicate. The game was tied 21-21 at halftime, and the Rebels suffered yet another second half collapse. Leonard Fournette ran all over Mississippi's defense, with a whopping 284 yards and three TDs on just 16 carries. Don't expect those big plays to come against Alabama, and LSU's one dimensional offense is going to be hard pressed to put points on the board. Last year Fournette ran for a season low 31 yards, averaging just 1.6 yards per carry in a 30-16 loss to Alabama. He ran for 79 yards on 21 carries in a 20-13 home loss to Alabama the previous season. The Crimson Tide have won all but one of their games by at least two TDs, with the exception being a 48-43 win at Ole Miss. Alabama ranks 1st nationally in rushing defense, allowing opponents to average just 2.2 yards per carry. That doesn't bode well for an LSU team that needs to run the ball to score points.
Take BAMA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-05-16 |
Kings v. Bucks -125 |
Top |
91-117 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
11-03-16 |
Falcons -189 v. Bucs |
Top |
43-28 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
The Bucs upset the Falcons in Atlanta in Week 1, but Atlanta has since won five of seven to take a two game lead in the NFC South. The Falcons have won three of four on the road, while the Bucs are 0-3 at home. Matt Ryan is having an MVP caliber season, leading the NFL with 2,636 yards, 19 TDs and just four INTs. He should be able to pick apart a Bucs defense that surrendered a whopping 626 yards in a home loss to Oakland last week. That game was decided in overtime, despite the fact that Oakland had a 626-270 edge in total yards. Tampa is banged up in the backfield, with starting RB Doug Martin and backup Jaquizz Rodgers both inactive for tonight's game. That puts even more pressure on Jameis Winston, who has been wildly inconsistent. He threw for just 180 yards, completing 50 percent of his passes in the loss to Oakland Sunday. That likely won't be good enough here against the Falcons.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-01-16 |
Cubs v. Indians +1.5 |
Top |
9-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
31 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Indians +1.5.
The Indians have been an underdog in every game so far, yet they head home for Game 6 of the World Series with a 3-2 lead. They will try to clinch at home tonight, and starting pitcher Josh Tomlin is undefeated so far in the post-season.
Tomlin went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering no runs on two hits in a 1-0 win in Game 3 at Wrigley. He allowed just three runs on seven hits over 10 2/3 innings in wins over Boston and Toronto previously. Tomlin won't be asked to do all the heavy lifting, as the Indians can turn to their studs out of the bullpen.
The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who was brilliant in Game 2 at Progressive Field. He gave up one run on two hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings in that game. He had been rocked for six runs on 12 hits over 11 innings, losing his previous two post-season starts.
Four of the last seven games between these teams have been decided by one run.
Take CLE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-30-16 |
Senators v. Oilers -141 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-141 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Oilers.
Oilers have been stockpiling #1 draft picks for the better part of a decade, and it finally appears to be paying dividends. Edmonton's 19 year old captain Connor McDavid leads the NHL in scoring with 12 points in eight games. The Oilers have won five straight, and boast a 7-1 overall record. They host Ottawa Sunday, and the Senators are coming off a 5-2 loss to Calgary on Friday. Ottawa has lost 2-of-3 on the road so far, and they rank near the bottom of the league on special teams. Cam Talbot has been solid between the pipes for the Oilers, allowing just two goals in his last four starts. The Sens have lost 21 of their last 31 on the road, and I think we get a good line backing the red hot home team here in Edmonton.
Take EDM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-30-16 |
Patriots -5.5 v. Bills |
Top |
41-25 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.
The Bills didn't just beat the Patriots this season, they shut them out, winning 16-0 at Foxboro. Bill Belichick will look to avenge that loss here in the rematch in Buffalo this week. Things should be different this time around, with Tom Brady back from suspension, and Rob Gronkowski coming in with 16 catches for 364 yards and a pair of TDs in his last three games. LeGarrette Blount ran for 127 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's win over Pittsburgh. He could have a big day here in Buffalo, facing a Bills defense that was run over in a loss to Miami last week. The Bills have allowed opponents to average over 125 rushing yards per game so far, ranking 27th in the NFL against the run. The Buffalo backfield is in rough shape heading into this Sunday's game, with LeSean McCoy and Mike Gillislee both battling injuries. McCoy left last week's game at Miami after just eight carries for 11 yards, and he did not practice during the week. The last time the Pats played at Buffalo they won 40-32, and they are 10-2 in their last 12 at Buffalo. I'll take Brady and Belichick here in this revenge spot.
Take NE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-30-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers UNDER 47 |
Top |
20-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@CAR to go UNDER the total.
The Cardinals offense led the league in total yards last season, but Arizona has struggled to score in 2016. Carson Palmer threw for 342 yards on 29-of-49 passing in a 6-6 tie versus Seattle last week. He's been picked off five times, and has thrown just two TD passes in his last four starts. He's facing a Panthers secondary that has really struggled since Josh Norman left for Washington. Carolina couldn't stop Drew Brees in a 41-38 loss at New Orleans two weeks ago. Brees lit them up for 465 yards and four TDs. I would expect this defense to be better here at home coming off a bye week, and they did hold the Bucs to just 17 points in their last home game. Arizona has played very well defensively this season, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing just over 15 points per game. These two teams have gone over the total in three of four meetings since 2011, but the total for this Sunday's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Cardinals have gone under in 11 of their last 15 overall, and four straight on the road.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-29-16 |
Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STAN@ARI to go UNDER the total.
Stanford has lost three of it's last four games, and has scored an average of just 11 points per game during that span. Ryan Burns is really struggling at quarterback for the Cardinal, and he's thrown five INTs and just one TD pass in his last three starts. Christian McCaffrey has been banged up, failing to run for 100 yards in each of his last three starts. He wasn't able to play in Stanford's 17-10 win at Notre Dame. The good news for the Cardinal is their defense has played well, holding Colorado to 10 points last week, and Notre Dame to 10 point the week earlier. Arizona has lost four straight, and it's offense only managed 14 points in a home loss to USC last week. Stanford's defense should make life difficult for the Wildcats, and I think we'll see another low scoring game here in Arizona. The Cardinal have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-29-16 |
Kings v. Blues -135 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Blues.
The Blues opened the season winning three straight, but have since won just once in five games. Goaltender Jake Allen has played well, with a 3-1-2 record and a 2.13 GAA. He stopped 26-of-27 shots in a 2-1 shootout loss to Detroit on Thursday. The Kings are down to their third string goaltender after starter Jonathan Quick and backup Jeff Zatkoff went down with injuries early in the season. They have won four straight with veteran backup Peter Budaj between the pipes, but all four of those wins came after regulation. It's going to be tough to keep that streak alive here on the road in St. Louis. The Blues have a huge edge on special teams, with the second best penalty killing unit in the league, and an above average power play. The home team is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between the two teams, and the Kings have lost eight of their last 11 on the road.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-29-16 |
Washington v. Utah +10.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 0 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
10-29-16 |
Georgia v. Florida -6 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators.
The Gators and the Bulldogs are two teams trending in different directions. Georgia is coming off an ugly loss at home to Vanderbilt, while Florida crushed Missouri 40-14 at home two weeks ago. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last four games, including a 45-14 loss at Ole Miss in September. Freshman quarterback Jacob Eason completed 16-of-36 passes for 137 yards and an INT in that game. The Bulldogs one dimensional offense is likely to struggle against a Gators defense that ranks 2nd overall in points allowed (12 per game). Georgia's running game couldn't get off the ground in the loss to Vanderbilt, gaining just 75 yards on 35 carries. The Gators have beaten the Bulldogs by double digits in each of the last two seasons, and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. I expect another blowout here in Jacksonville Saturday.
Take FLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-24-16 |
Flyers v. Canadiens -156 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Montreal Canadiens.
After just five games, the Habs have the best record in the NHL. The are tied with St. Louis with nine points overall, but the Blues have played one more game. Montreal's hot start comes as no surprise to me, as this is the team I picked to win it all before the season started. Here is what I said just a few weeks ago:
"The Montreal Canadiens have won the Stanley Cup a record 24 times. Last year they started off well, winning their first nine games, and going into November with the league's best record. An injury to starting goaltender Carey Price derailed their season, and it was all downhill from there. Price was 10-2 with a 2.06 GAA and a .934 save percentage prior to the injury, and those stats would have led the league if he played enough games to qualify.
If you're thinking to yourself: "that's a small sample size", keep in mind that he led the NHL in GAA, wins and save percentage the previous season (2014-15). Price is clearly the best goalie in the world, and he proved that once again while winning gold with Canada in the World Cup of Hockey in September.
Shea Weber was the anchor on defense for team Canada in the tournament, and he replaces P.K. Subban on the Habs blue line. What Weber might lack in terms of raw talent (compared to Subban), he makes up for it with maturity and leadership.
And what might prove to be the biggest off-season pick up by any team, they added 2015 KHL scoring leader Alexander Radulov. He returns to the NHL at the age of 30, and he looks like he's grown up a lot since he was benched in the playoffs when he played for Nashville in 2012. He's looked great in the pre-season so far, and he has the potential to be the team's leading scorer.
Given that the Habs went to the Conference Finals two seasons ago, and they have the NHL's best goaltender, I think it's fair to call them a contender. I like their chances a lot better than teams like St. Louis, Dallas, Nashville, LA, or San Jose, and the payout is much higher on Montreal."
They host Philly Monday, and the Flyers come in ranked 25th in goals against, and 21st on the penalty kill. The home team has won 20 of the last 26 meetings in this series, and Philly has lost four straight at Montreal.
Take MTL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-23-16 |
Seahawks v. Cardinals -120 |
Top |
6-6 |
Push |
0 |
133 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals.
The Seahawks are coming into Arizona off three straight wins, and they really have their swagger back. I bet against them last week, and here is what I said prior to the game: "Seattle is coming off a couple of double digit wins against inferior opponents. In fact, when you look at the Seahawks schedule, you can see that they've faced possibly the four worst quarterbacks in the NFL." "Seattle's offense has plenty of question marks, with injuries in the backfield, and a running game that has underachieved. Russell Wilson was injured in the win over San Francisco, limiting his ability to run the ball. He's run for -2 yards on six attempts in his last two starts. Christine Michael has a rather pedestrian 290 yards and two TDs as the feature running back" While they got the win at home versus Atlanta, they failed to cover as a seven points favorite. In fact the Falcons appeared to be engineering a potential game winning driver, which ended with a controversial non-call that most felt should have been pass interference. The running game was lackluster once again, with a total of just 72 yards on 27 carries. Arizona's run defense looked pretty damn good in the win over the Jets, giving up just 33 yards on 14 attempts. David Johnson ran for 111 yards and three TDs, and Carson Palmer was accurate completing 23-of-34 passes for 213 yards and a TD. Seattle's defense could be a little shorthanded this week with both Kam Chancellor and Michael Bennett nursing injuries.
Take ARI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-23-16 |
Vikings -138 v. Eagles |
Top |
10-21 |
Loss |
-138 |
125 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The bubble appears to have burst for the surprising Philadelphia Eagles. After winning three straight to start the season, Philly is coming off consecutive losses to Detroit and Washington. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has struggled, throwing for just 179 yards and no TDs on 11-of-22 passing last week. He's been sacked eight times the last two weeks, and the offensive line is in rough shape since Lane Johnson started serving his suspension. The last thing you need when your offensive line is struggling to protect your rookie quarterback, is a meeting with the NFL's best defense, coming off a bye week. The Vikings have to be happy with their quarterback, as Sam Bradford has been spectacular since coming over via trade from Philly. He'll be looking forward to executing a bit of revenge on the franchise that decided to let him go. The Redskins gained 493 total yards against Philly's defense last week, and I expect a similar result here against Minny.
Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-22-16 |
Dodgers v. Cubs +1.5 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Cubs +1.5.
The Cubs are on the brink of clinching the NLCS versus L.A., but they will face the Dodgers ace in Game 6 at Wrigley.
Clayton Kershaw was dominant in a win in Chicago in Game 2, but he had surrendered eight runs on 15 hits in his previous two starts in these playoffs. Here is what I said about Kershaw before the NLDS versus Washington: "While he's widely considered to be the best pitcher of his generation, Kershaw hasn't had much success in the post-season. He owns a career record of 2-5 with a 4.59 ERA in the playoffs."
The Cubs hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks, who had the lowest ERA in the majors during the regular season, and he was particularly strong at Wrigley. The 26 year old was 9-2 with a 1.32 ERA in 14 starts in Chicago, and he was dominant in his only start versus the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are 4-8 in the last 12 meetings between the two teams, and three of those four wins came by a single run.
Take CHC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-22-16 |
TCU v. West Virginia -195 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the WVU Mountaineers. The TCU Horned Frogs just barely escaped with a come from behind 24-23 win over Kansas in Week 6. Quarterback Kenny Hill threw three picks, with just 206 yards and a TD on 17-of-32 passing. TCU is really missing Josh Doctson, and it's inexperienced receiving corps is making life difficult for Hill. It doesn't get any easier this week, facing the Mountaineers in Morgantown. West Virginia's defense has been impressive, and last week at Texas Tech they limited the Red Raiders to just 379 total yards. There are plenty of similarities between TCU and Texas Tech, and we should expect a similar result to what we saw last week when WVU won 48-17. TCU has failed to cover in five of it's last seven versus BIG12 teams, and five of their last six overall. The Horned Frogs are allowing over 30 points per game, ranking 85th nationally. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-22-16 |
Wisconsin -175 v. Iowa |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
The Badgers have played a tough schedule, facing four teams ranked in the Top 10. Three of those opponents were ranked Top 5, and they lost close games at Michigan and last week blew a lead late against #2 ranked OSU. Considering the opposition, they deserve a lot of credit for going 4-2 and ranking in the Top 10 in scoring defense. Wisconsin has allowed just over 15 points per game, and I think they'll make life difficult for C.J. Beathard this week. Iowa's quarterback has failed to throw for 200 yards in five of seven games so far, and he's thrown as many picks (3) as touchdowns the last three weeks. This is a big time revenge spot for the Badgers, who lost 10-8 to Iowa at home last year. Beathard threw for just 77 yards on 9-of-21 passing, with 1 TD and an INT in that game. Wisconsin's offense did well last week, gaining 450 yards in a loss to the Buckeyes. Corey Clement ran for 164 yards on 25 carries, and he might have a big day against an Iowa defense that surrendered 198 rushing yards and two rushing TDs in a loss to Northwester a few weeks ago. Iowa already has two home losses to unranked teams, and I expect the #10 ranked badgers to be too much for them to handle.
Take WISC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-19-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -177 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-177 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Blue Jays.
Cleveland is still in the driver's seat, but they are running out of fresh arms. The bullpen has done the heavy lifting here in Toronto, and now the Tribe send a rookie to the mound in Game 5. Marco Estrada has been dominant this post-season for the Jays, and they finally got something going with the bats on Tuesday. I like Toronto to force a Game 6.
Estrada (9-9, 3.48 ERA) went eight innings, allowing just a pair of runs on six hits, striking out six in a losing effort in Game 1. Ryan Merritt will make just his second start in the major leagues, and he was 11-8 with a 3.70 ERA in 24 starts in the minors. He's going to need nerves of steel here on the road against one of the scariest lineups in the majors leagues.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-18-16 |
Hurricanes v. Oilers -141 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Oilers.
The Carolina Hurricanes finished 10 points out of a playoff spot last year, and they lost the heart and soul of their team in the off-season. Eric Staal was traded to Minnesota, as the Canes look to start a rebuild. Starting the season with six straight road games isn't ideal for Carolina, and earning points in their first two games should be considered an achievement, despite losing both games in OT.
They are in a tough spot here in Edmonton, facing a young Oilers team that can really fly. The Oilers scored 12 goals in back-to-back wins over Calgary to start the season, but then suffered a let down in a 6-2 loss to Buffalo. The loss caused head coach Todd McLellan to cancel a scheduled off-day, getting the players back on the ice at practice.
Connor McDavid has an NHL best six points so far, and he should get his fair share of chances against a Carolina team that conceded nine goals in two games so far.
Take EDM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-17-16 |
Indians +1.5 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Cleveland Indians +1.5.
The Blue Jays mighty bats were silenced in Cleveland, scoring just one run while losing both Games 1 and 2. This really shouldn't be a surprise, the Jays flashed a bit of power in their series win over Texas, but prior to the post-season Toronto's bats were ice cold. They ranked dead last in the American League in runs scored in September, and batted just .238 as a team during that span.
Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Toronto, and while he's pitched well this post-season, I don't think he should be a 2-1 favorite. Stroman (9-10, 4.37 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits, striking out six in six innings in the American League Wild Card Game. He made six starts in the final month of the season, and Toronto lost five of those six games.
The Indians hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, who pitched well against Toronto this year. He allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings versus the Jays. Bauer will be on a short leash, as Cleveland's bullpen is stacked with quality arms.
Four of the last five meetings between these two teams have been decided by one run.
Take CLE +1.5.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-16-16 |
Falcons +7 v. Seahawks |
Top |
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
There is plenty of hype surrounding both teams as the Falcons get set to face the Seahawks in Seattle this week. The question is, which of these two teams is for real? The answer might be both teams, but so far only Atlanta has really proved anything. Seattle is coming off a couple of double digit wins against inferior opponents. In fact, when you look at the Seahawks schedule, you can see that they've faced possibly the four worst quarterbacks in the NFL.
This week they face the NFL's leading passer, and MVP front runner Matt Ryan. Matty Ice has thrown for 1,740 yards with 12 TDs and just two INTs this year. Perhaps more impressive, he's done it against teams like Denver and Carolina.
This game is quite reminiscent of last year's Week 6 matchup when Seattle was a 7-point favorite at home to Carolina, and eventual MVP Cam Newton. I had the Panthers in that one, and they trailed for most of the game, but managed to keep it close. They eventually came from behind to win on a last minute touchdown drive.
Seattle's offense has plenty of question marks, with injuries in the backfield, and a running game that has underachieved. Russell Wilson was injured in the win over San Francisco, limited his ability to run the ball. He's run for -2 yards on six attempts in his last two starts. Christine Michael has a rather pedestrian 290 yards and two TDs as the feature running back.
The Falcons defense held Denver to just 84 rushing yards without a rushing TD last week. I like Atlanta to keep this one close, if not winning outright at Seattle.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-16-16 |
Chiefs v. Raiders |
Top |
26-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
149 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
The Chiefs are 0-2 on the road so far this season, and they will play at Oakland on Sunday. Quarterback Alex Smith completed just 57 percent of his passes, with 473 yards, two TDs and one pick in two road games. He's completed 73 percent of his passes for 600 yards and three TDs with one INT in two home games.
The Raiders are 4-1, and they rank 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging over 28 points per game. Derek Carr is playing like an MVP candidate, throwing for 1,383 yards with 11 TDs and two INTs so far. Last week against the Chargers he threw for 317 yards and two TDs on 25-of-40 passing.
The skeptics will point out that Oakland's defense ranks 31st in the NFL against the pass. Perhaps we need to cut them some slack after facing the NFL's leading passer Matt Ryan, 6 x NFL passing leader Drew Brees, and Phillip Rivers who ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-16-16 |
49ers v. Bills -7.5 |
Top |
16-45 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills.
Rex Ryan and the Bills have turned things around, coming into Sunday's home game against San Francisco as winner of three straight. All three of those wins were blowouts, decided by more than 10 points. I expect a similar result here against a San Francisco team that is a complete mess on both sides of the ball. Blaine Gabbert has been a total bust at quarterback for the Niners, and he threw for 161 yards on 18-of-31 passing in last week's loss to Arizona. He was sacked seven times, and threw a pair of interceptions with just one TD. Fans are calling for backup Colin Kaepernick to step up to replace him, and that in itself is a testament to how desperate the situation is.
Kaepernick started eight games for San Francisco last year, and six of those were losses. He really looked awful in the pre-season, and there is concern that he's dropped a ton of weight, and may be less durable as a dual-threat quarterback. Only the Miami Dolphins have allowed more rushing yards than San Francisco this season, and that's alarming heading into a game against a Buffalo team that ranks 3rd in the league in rushing. LeSean McCoy will be looking to make a point here against former coach Chip Kelly, and McCoy ran for 150 yards against the Rams last week.
Take BUF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-15-16 |
Predators v. Blackhawks -133 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Blackhawks.
The Hawks will play the second game of a home and home series versus Nashville on Saturday, and they are still looking for their first win of the season. They lost 3-2 at Nashville last night, setting up a nice revenge angle here in Chicago. The Blackhawks had one of the best home records in the league last year, going 26-11-4 at the United Center. Nashville has lost seven of it's last eight games at Chicago.
Patrick Kane led the league in scoring last year, but has yet to record a single point in two games this season. I expect a much better effort from Toews and Kane, and the entire Chicago team as they look to avenge last night's loss. The Predators have lost four straight on the road, and they are just 18-38 in their last 56 games when playing on back-to-back nights.
Take CHI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-15-16 |
Blue Jays v. Indians +1.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on Cleveland +1.5.
The Jays were shutout in Game 1 of the ALCS, losing 2-0 to Cleveland. Toronto is a favorite in Game 2 at Progressive Field, but I think the value is with the home team as a dog.
Josh Tomlin will toe the slab for the Tribe, and he was solid in a win at Boston in Game 3 of the ALDS. He gave up a pair of runs on four hits, striking out four and walking just one batter. That makes it six consecutive appearances where Tomlin has allowed two runs or less.
Toronto will hand the ball to J.A. Happ, who has been outstanding all year. The southpaw gave up nine hits in his only start in the division series, but limited Texas to one run in five innings. The Indians will hope to run up his pitch count, so they can get to work on Toronto's below average bullpen.
The Jays flashed a bit of power in their series win over Texas, but prior to the post-season Toronto's bats were ice cold. They ranked dead last in the American League in runs scored in September, and batted just .238 as a team during that span.
Take CLE +1.5.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-15-16 |
Kansas State +14 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
17-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on KSU. The Oklahoma Sooners will host BIG12 rivals Kansas State this Saturday, and Oklahoma is a double-digit favorite. The Sooners spanked the Wildcats in Manhattan by a score of 55-0 last year, setting up a nice revenge angle in this rematch. Blowouts have been rare in this series, as the Wildcats had won two of three prior to last year's game, and all three of those games were decided by fewer than 10 points.
While Oklahoma has won back to back games, they were guilty of sloppy play and horrendous defense in both those victories. TCU scored three touchdowns in the fourth quarter to pull within three points of the Sooners two weeks ago. The Horned Frogs ended up with the ball, and a chance to win the game on their last drive, but came up short.
Last week against Texas they turned the ball over four times, and held on to win by just five points. Watching that game I noticed that several players on the Sooners defense were carted off the field, leaving them thin at several key positions. Kansas State comes into this game without any injuries to report.
The Wildcats might not have the same offensive firepower as Texas and TCU, but they have a far better defense than either of those two teams. Special teams may just be a deciding factor here, as Bill Snyder's squad ranks 6th nationally with a special teams efficiency of 72.5. The Sooners have been woeful on special teams, ranking 125th nationally with an efficiency of 22.4.
Oklahoma has allowed 40 or more points three weeks in a row, and ranks 109th nationally in scoring defense, surrendering over 36 points per game. It's hard enough to win games with a defense that bad, let alone cover. This game has upset written all over it.
Take KSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-10-16 |
Cubs v. Giants -126 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Giants.
The Giants are down 2-0 to the Cubs, and they turn to Madison Bumgarner in a must win game Sunday.
Bumgarner (15-9, 2.74 ERA) went the distance, striking out six and surrendering just four hits in a 3-0 win over the Mets in the NL Wild Card Game. He allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over 13 2/3 innings, winning both his starts versus the Cubs during the regular season. He was 9-4 with a 2.14 ERA in 17 home starts.
The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who was unhittable in the first half the season. The 30 year old faded down the stretch, losing three of his final five starts. He was torched for seven runs on 10 hits in five innings in an 8-4 loss at Pittsburgh his last time out.
The Giants are 5-1 in Bumgarner's last six starts against Chicago.
Take SF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-09-16 |
Giants v. Packers -6.5 |
Top |
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
162 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers.
The Giants are coming off a tough 24-10 loss at Minnesota on Monday night, and they head to Green Bay to face the Packers at Lambeau with just five days to rest and prepare. The Packers are coming off a bye week, and I think this sets up Aaron Rodgers and company for a big blowout home win in this spot.
Manning threw for 261 yards and an INT on 25-of-45 passing against the Vikings, and Odell Beckham Jr. caught just three passes for 33 yards. They struggled to run the ball with Shane Vereen and Rashad Jennings sidelined by injury, totaling just 78 yards on the ground. The chemistry between Manning and Beckham seems to be deteriorating, as evidenced by Manning's comments after the loss to Minnesota: "He kind of brought that on himself".
Aaron Rodgers threw for 205 yards and four TDs in a home win over the Lions two weeks ago, and he owns the NFL's highest home passer rating of all time (110.2). The Giants have failed to cover in seven straight road games against teams with a winning record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue here in Green Bay.
Take GB.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-09-16 |
Chargers v. Raiders -4.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
158 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
The Raiders are 3-1 and they've been pretty impressive offensively so far. I don't think they are getting enough respect, listed as just a small favorite at home to the Chargers. San Diego is reeling, coming into this week's game with a 3-1 record, and a long list of injury woes. Phillip Rivers continues to keep them in games, but with Woodhead, Johnson and Allen out, and Gates questionable, he's running out of targets to throw to. They are perhaps worse off on the defensive side of the ball, without Verrett, Te'o and possibly Joey Bosa as well. Derek Carr has thrown for over 1000 yards with nine TDs and just one INT so far, and he should have a field day against a struggling Chargers defense that is thin in the secondary. The Raiders won both meetings last season, by a combined margin of 11 points. I expect the Chargers to struggle here on the road with so many key players sidelined by injury.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-09-16 |
Jets v. Steelers -7 |
Top |
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers came out flat in a 34-3 loss at Philly two weeks ago, but they came back and throttled Kansas City 43-14 last Sunday. They host the struggling New York Jets this week, and I really see no reason why this won't be another blowout. The Jets are coming off back-to-back double digit losses, and Ryan Fitzpatrick was picked off NINE TIMES in those games. It's almost impossible to conceive that Fitzpatrick could match serves with Big Ben, but an injury to Jets top wideout Eric Decker makes that even more unlikely. There is more good news for the Steelers, as it looks like Darrelle Revis will miss the game with a hamstring injury. The Steelers have covered the spread in four of their last five home games, and the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-09-16 |
Texans v. Vikings -5.5 |
Top |
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
134 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The Houston Texans are 3-1, and sitting in first place in the lowly AFC South. Their wins have all come at home though, and against some of the worst teams in the NFL. Chicago, Tennessee and Kansas City have just four wins between them. Houston has played just one road game, and they got their asses handed to them in a 27-0 loss to the Patriots at Foxboro. Brock Osweiler threw for 196 yards and an INT on 24-of-41 passing in that game, and he's thrown more interceptions (6) than he has touchdowns (5) overall this season.
It won't get any easier on the road at Minnesota, facing a Vikings defense that ranks 2nd overall allowing just over 12 points per game so far. Perhaps the most impressive thing about the Vikings 4-0 start, is that they've beaten 2014 MVP Aaron Rodgers, 2015 MVP Cam Newton, and two time Super Bowl winner Eli Manning. That doesn't bode well for a below average, mistake prone QB like Osweiler. Lamar Miller is unlikely to be the answer, he's averaging 3.8 yards per carry, and has yet to score a touchdown.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-08-16 |
Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 48.5 |
Top |
49-30 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Tennessee v. Texas A&M -6.5 |
Top |
38-45 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* (GOM) Play on Texas A&M.
Two undefeated teams will square off when the Vols visit College Station this week, but while the Aggies appear to be the real deal, there's plenty of doubt surrounding Tennessee. The Vols have spent the majority of this season battling from behind, despite the fact that they have played five unranked teams. Last week's win came on a Hail Mary pass as the clock expired, and they are in a prime spot for a let down here this Saturday.
The Aggies defense has been lights out! Texas A&M ranks 12th nationally allowing just 15.4 points per game. Unlike the Vols, they've actually faced a pair of Top 25 teams in UCLA and Arkansas. They also won on the road at Auburn and crushed the Gamecocks last week in South Carolina.
Trevor Knight is getting it done at quarterback, throwing for 1,261 yards with seven TDs and three INTs, and running for six scores. He's got plenty of weapons, with one of the deepest receiving corps in the country.
Senior Josh Dobbs has not been spectacular for the Vols, with 1,035 passing yards, 13 TDs and six INTs. The Vols running game has also struggled, and #1 running back Jalen Hurd left with an injury in the second half of last week's game at Georgia.
The Aggies rested several star players last week (Myles Garrett, Ricky Seals-Jones, and Speedy Noil), but Kevin Sumlin said we can expect everybody to be ready for the Vols.
Take AGGIES.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-08-16 |
Auburn v. Mississippi State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-16 |
Cardinals v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
33-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 2-team (7.5 point) tease W/49ers+Under.
San Francisco is coming off a home loss to Dallas on Sunday, and they only managed to accumulate 295 total yards in that game. Blaine Gabbert is putting up pedestrian numbers at quarterback, with as many picks (4) as touchdowns in the first four weeks. Even in a Week 1 win over the Rams, he threw for just 170 yards and a TD. The good news is that the defense has looked pretty solid, and they should be able to hang in there against a struggling Cardinals offense with backup quarterback Drew Stanton getting the start. Stanton was picked off twice, completing just 4-of-11 attempts for 37 yards after replacing the injured Carson Palmer in last week's loss to the Rams. He started eight games for the Cardinals two seasons ago, and won five of those starts. The Cardinals failed to score 20 points in six of those eight games though, and seven of those contests failed to reach the total. Three of the last four meetings in this series have failed to reach the total, and only one of those four games was decided by a double digit margin.
Take SF+UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-06-16 |
Red Sox -134 v. Indians |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-134 |
69 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boston Red Sox.
The Red Sox will go with their ace in Game 1, while the Indians turn to Trevor Bauer, who has been inconsistent all year.
Bauer (12-8, 4.26 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits and two walks over six innings in a no decision versus Kansas City in his last start. He's 5-5 with a rather concerning 5.36 ERA in his last 15 starts. He's only pitched six innings against the Red Sox this year, surrendering six runs on 10 hits and three walks, along with a pair of home runs. He only faced Boston once in 2015, and surrendered five runs on six hits before getting the hook in the second inning.
The Red Sox hand the ball to Rick Porcello, who led the major leagues with 22 wins this year. Porcello is 11-2 with a 2.62 ERA in his last 15 starts, and he allowed just a pair of runs on five hits over 5 2/3 innings, winning his only start against Cleveland during the regular season.
The Red Sox are the highest scoring team in the majors, and Big Papi is 4-for-5 lifetime versus Bauer.
Take BOS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-06-16 |
Temple v. Memphis -9.5 |
Top |
27-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
90 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Tigers.
The Temple Owls are coming off back to back big home wins over minnows SMU and Charlotte, and I think they are going to suffer a huge setback on the road in Memphis. The Tigers rank 6th nationally averaging over 45 points per game, and they boast a Top 25 defense as well. Their last home game was a 77-3 win over Bowling Green, and junior quarterback Riley Ferguson threw for 357 yards and six TDs on 20-of-27 passing in the victory. He was pretty solid in a losing effort at Ole Miss, despite throwing three INTs. He threw for 346 yards on 30-of-46 passing, and scored a couple of rushing TDs. Memphis scored 28 points on the road against one of the nation's top teams, and halfway through the third quarter of that game they were within six points. They should be able to pile on here at home, and Temple doesn't have the firepower to keep up. Temple's last three road games came at Penn State, Houston and South Florida. They lost all three of those games, and losses to the Cougars and Bulls came by double-digits. Memphis has been a juggernaut at home, covering the spread in 16 of their last 21 home games versus teams with a winning record.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-03-16 |
Giants v. Vikings -195 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The Giants haven't impressed much while winning two of three games this season. One of those wins came at home versus New Orleans, and they didn't even score an offensive touchdown in that game. Eli Manning threw for 350 yards on 25-of-38 passing in a home loss to Washington last week, with just one TD an two INTs. It won't get any easier in Minnesota, facing a Vikings defense that leads the league in sacks as well as interceptions. Eli was sacked four times and threw three picks in a 49-17 loss at Minnesota last year. Without much of a threat in the running game, the Giants are going to have trouble protecting Eli from the fierce Minnesota pass rush. Sam Bradford has been quite solid for the Vikes, throwing for 457 yards and three TDs without an INT in two starts. While the offense wasn't that impressive last week, I expect Bradford to have a big game here at home against a Giants defense that was lit up by Kirk Cousins last Sunday. The Giants also took 11 penalties for 128 yards in that game. The Vikings are a more disciplined team, better coached, with a superior defense and a more dependable quarterback. I'll take the home favorite.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Chiefs v. Steelers -5 |
Top |
14-43 |
Win
|
100 |
156 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Steelers laid an egg in Philly last week, but I don't think it's any time for Pittsburgh fans to start panicking. They host the 2-1 Chiefs, who have been quite lucky so far. Last week they had the game handed to them courtesy of Ryan Fitzpatrick, who looked like he was throwing the ball to the wrong team. Fitzpatrick was picked off six times, and one of those was returned for a TD. They scored another TD on a fumble return. The Chiefs didn't look great on the road in Week 2, losing 19-12 to the Texans. Alex Smith threw for just 186 yards with no TDs on 20-of-37 passing in that game. Home field has been crucial in this series, as the home team has won each of the last three meetings, and has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings. The Steelers offense gets Le'Veon Bell back this week, and I don't see Kansas City slowing down Big Ben and Antonio Brown in Steel Town.
Take PIT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 46 |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@SF to go UNDER the total.
The 49ers defense pitched a shutout in a home win over the Rams in Week 1, but they were blown out on the road in each of their next two games. I expect a better showing from San Francisco here at home versus Dallas, and with both teams likely to lean on the run, it could be a low scoring battle. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 140 yards on 30 carries in a win over the Bears last week. Carlos Hyde had a big game for San Francisco, running for 103 yards and two TDs on 21 carries in the loss to Seattle. San Francisco's passing game has been futile, with Blaine Gabbert who threw for just 119 yards last week. The Cowboys will be without their top wide receiver as Dez Bryant is sidelined by an injury. San Francisco has gone under in seven straight home games versus teams above .500. The Cowboys have gone under in six of their last seven games played on grass.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Blue Jays +1.5 v. Red Sox |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Blue Jays.
The stakes are high at Fenway on the final day of the regular season. The Jays need to win to lock up a Wild Card berth, while the Red Sox are looking to finish ahead of Cleveland, which would give them home field in the ALDS.
David Price will toe the rubber for the Red Sox, and he's coming off a real stinker. Price (17-9, 4.04 ERA) was rocked for six runs on 12 hits and three home runs in a loss to the Yankees his last time out. He's been far from perfect this season, especially in day games where he has a 5.18 ERA in 11 starts.
The Jays hand the ball to Aaron Sanchez, who has been dealing all year long. Sanchez (14-2, 3.06 ERA) struck out 10 Orioles while allowing one run on five hits in a home win over Baltimore his last time out. He's 8-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 16 appearances on the road this season, and he was dominant in his only start at Fenway. He went seven innings, allowing one run and fanning seven in that game.
Because of Toronto's shaky bullpen, I prefer to take the runs in case the closer blows the save.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Browns v. Redskins -9 |
Top |
20-31 |
Win
|
100 |
148 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
Washington has under achieved this season, losing to the Steelers and the Cowboys in their first two games. The Redskins got back on track last week with a 29-27 win in New York. They host the Browns this week, and Cleveland is reeling with a host of injuries. They are down to their third string quarterback, rookie Cody Kessler out of USC. The 23 year old threw for 244 yards with no TDs and no INTs on 21-of-33 passing in a loss to Miami last week. He could struggle against a Redskins secondary that picked off Eli Manning twice last week. Kirk Cousins ranks fourth in the NFL in passing yards, and he's coming off a big game against the Giants. The former Michigan State Spartan threw for 296 yards and a pair of TDs last Sunday. He could have a huge day against a Cleveland team that ranks 24th in the NFL in total defense. The Browns kept it close in losses to Miami and Baltimore, but they were aided by turnovers. The Skins have a far better offense than either the Ravens or the Fish. Washington should win by double digits.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Raiders v. Ravens UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
148 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Raiders defense couldn't stop anybody in the first two weeks, but they are coming off a solid 17-10 road win at Tennessee. They limited Marcus Mariota to 214 yards with no TDs and two INTs on 17-of-33 passing. They will try to do it again on the road at Baltimore, and the Ravens offense hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. Baltimore ranks 24th in the NFL, averaging just 19 points per game. Last week Joe Flacco really struggled, throwing for 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs.The Ravens though have won three straight to start the season, behind the league's 4th ranked defense. The Ravens have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and six of their last seven on field turf. Derek Carr had a career best 351 passing yards against this Baltimore secondary last year, but I don't like his chances of a repeat performance here on the road Sunday.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Lions -160 v. Bears |
Top |
14-17 |
Loss |
-160 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Lions are 1-2 heading into Sunday's game at Chicago, but they probably deserve better. They lost by a single point, blowing a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter against Tennessee, and the Packers 34-27 win over the Lions last week was aided by a phantom 66 yard pass interference penalty. The Bears on the other hand have absolutely nothing to be positive about, after getting lit up by rookie quarterback in three straight losses. Both these teams are banged up in the backfield, with Chicago turning to third string running back Jordan Howard, while the Lions might still be in good shape with Theo Riddick carrying the load in the absence of Ameer Abdullah. There's no doubt that the Lions have a huge advantage at quarterback, with Matthew Stafford coming in ranked fifth in the NFL in passing yards, and his seven TD passes are just one shy of the NFL lead. The Lions have won six straight in this series dating back to 2012, and I don't see the Bears breaking that streak here this week.
Take DET.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
144 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@JAX to go UNDER the total.
The Colts defense got the job done at home versus San Diego last week, holding the Chargers to just one offensive touchdown. Andrew Luck threw for 331 yards with one TD and an INT in the 26-22 victory. Indianapolis will face the winless Jaguars in London, and this looks like a tough spot for a banged up Andrew Luck. The Jags defense was great last week, limiting Joe Flacco to 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs. They also did a good job defending the run, holding the Ravens to 84 yards and a TD on 22 carries. Blake Bortles made a ton of mistakes though, and that cost Jacksonville in a 19-17 loss. Bortles had one of his best games last season in a win over the Colts, throwing for 250 yards and three TDs. That game went over the total, but these teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The total here looks a little high, given both team's struggles on offense.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 59 |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
119 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go UNDER the total.
The UCLA Bruins are coming off a tough home loss to Stanford, but once against their defense was extremely impressive. The Bruins made Christian McCaffrey look human, limiting him to 138 yards on 26 carries, keeping him out of the endzone. Stanford was held to just three field goals, before Ryan Burns completed a game winning drive with a TD pass to J.J. Arcega-Whiteside with 24 seconds left in the game.
Previously, the Bruins held the Aggies to just 24 points in regulation in an overtime loss at College Station, and they held the BYU Cougars to just 14 points in a win in Provo. While the defense looks great, there isn't a lot to get excited about on offense. Josh Rosen looks nothing like the Heisman candidate he was supposed to be.
Arizona's defense has also been impressive, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Four of the last five meetings in California have failed to reach 50 points. The total for this Saturday's game is closer to 60. The Bruins have failed to reach the total in 11 of their last 14 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 |
Top |
9-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Mariners will probably need to sweep this series to have any chance of clinching a Wild Card spot, and they've done well so far winning the first two games at home. Both those games went under the total, and I expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3.
Hisashi Iwakuma will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been dealing. The right-hander allowed just one run on four hits over six innings in a 4-3 win at Houston his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts versus Oakland this season.
The A's hand the ball to rookie right-hander Jharel Cotton, who has an impressive 1.44 ERA, and .159 opponent's batting average. He limited the hot hitting Texas Rangers to just one run on three hits over seven innings in his last start.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings at Safeco.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
Louisville v. Clemson -2 |
Top |
36-42 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 31 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
10-01-16 |
Oklahoma -1.5 v. TCU |
Top |
52-46 |
Win
|
100 |
138 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
36-17 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAL@HAM to go UNDER the total.
The Calgary Stampeders lead the CFL in scoring defense, as the only team in the West to allow less than 300 total points. That hasn't stopped them from going over the total in each of their last four games, but I expect a different story here in Hamilton on Saturday. They have a long history of playing low scoring games versus the Ticats, failing to reach the total in eight straight meetings dating back to 2012. Hamilton's offense has been out of sync lately, averaging fewer than 20 points per game over their last three. The under is 20-8-3 in Calgary's last 31 road games, while the Ticats have failed to reach the total in 43 of their last 63 home games. The under trend in head to head meetings goes way back, with 20 of the last 28 failing to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
Wisconsin +10.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
7-14 |
Win
|
100 |
137 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-16 |
Stanford +3.5 v. Washington |
Top |
6-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-16 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -184 |
Top |
0-7 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Cardinals are still a game back of San Francisco in the Wild Card race, despite a controversial extra-innings win over Cincinnati last night. Every game from here on out is a "must win", and I like their chances at home to the Pirates tonight.
Carlos Martinez will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been dealing. Martinez (15-9, 3.15 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits, fanning six in six innings in a loss at Wrigley his last time out. He's 7-3 with a 3.56 ERA in his last 13 starts, and he's pitched well against the Pirates in previous meetings. He's faced Pittsburgh three times this season, allowing five runs on 18 hits, striking out 14 over 18 2/3 innings.
The Pirates hand the ball to rookie right-hander Tyler Glasnow, who is still in search of his first win. The 23 year old was rocked for four runs on seven hits over just three innings in a home loss to Washington his last time out. The Cardinals tagged him for four runs on three hits and a pair of walks in 5 1/3 innings in a loss at St. Louis in July.
The Pirates are short-handed, with Starling Marte and Jordy Mercer sidelined by injury.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-27-16 |
Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Braves are on fire at the moment, coming into this home series versus Philly as winners of seven of their last eight. I expect a pitcher's duel in Game 1.
Julio Teheran (6-10, 3.10 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over seven innings in a 5-4 win over the Mets his last time out. He's pitched very well against Philly this season, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in two previous meetings. Philly's lineup is batting just .221 over a combined 172 at bats versus Teheran.
The Phillies hand the ball to Jerad Eickhoff, who has also pitched well against Atlanta. He's 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four starts versus the Braves this year, but he's 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his two starts at Atlanta.
The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-26-16 |
Falcons v. Saints -133 |
Top |
45-32 |
Loss |
-133 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Saints are still looking for their first win of the season, and they should have a good shot of getting it tonight at home versus Atlanta. They beat Atlanta twice last year, and the Falcons have failed to cover in four of their last five at the Superdome. New Orleans defense was the worst in the NFL last year, and it didn't look much better in a home loss to Oakland in Week 1. They put in an impressive showing on the road in New York last week, holding the Giants offense to just three field goals. They also had a couple of goal line stands that kept the New York out of the endzone. Drew Brees has looked sharp early in the season, and in a game that could turn into a shootout, I like his chances against the mistake prone Matt Ryan. The Saints sacked Ryan five times in last year's 31-21 home win over Atlanta. The Falcons defense hasn't impressed, and I don't like their chances of slowing down Drew Brees in the dome on Monday night.
Take Saints.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-25-16 |
Bears v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHI@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Cowboys are a big favorite at home to the Bears on Sunday night, but I am still not convinced that rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot are going to live up to all the hype. The Cowboys are 1-1, and everyone is singing the praises of their new rookie quarterback. As solid as he's looked, he's yet to throw a TD pass. The good news is that he hasn't made many mistakes. If the Cowboys want to keep it that way, they will have to continue protecting him with a conservative game plan on offense. They don't need to come out passing, and settling for field goals is likely to be plenty good enough against these Bears. Chicago's offense is in rough shape, with Brian Hoyer stepping in at quarterback to replace Jay Cutler. Hoyer is a capable backup, but this is a tough situation, playing behind an offensive line that can't stop the pass rush. Chicago has not seen the total go over 45 points in seven straight games dating back to last December. The Cowboys have gone under in four of their last five versus an opponent with a losing record, and I expect to see a low scoring game here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-25-16 |
Raiders v. Titans -116 |
Top |
17-10 |
Loss |
-116 |
50 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Titans.
It's been an impressive start to the season for the Titans, who probably should be 2-0. In Week 1 they took a 10-0 lead to the locker room at halftime at home versus the Vikings, but Minnesota scored a pair of defensive touchdowns in thew second half to come back and win. Last week they held the Detroit Lions to just 15 points, and rallied for a 16-15 home win.
Tennessee will host the Raiders this Sunday, and Oakland is coming off a disappointing home loss to Atlanta. The Oakland defense ranks dead last in the NFL versus the pass after giving up a total of 69 points in the first two weeks.
The Titans have to be pleased with the play of DeMarco Murray, who has averaged 5.2 yards per carry so far. He's also been a threat in the passing game, with a dozen receptions for 91 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
These two teams are trending in different directions, as the Titans are developing a winning culture, while the Raiders are second guessing themselves. The Titans come in full of confidence, while Oakland is desperately trying to sort out it's defense.
Take TEN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-24-16 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M -5.5 |
Top |
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Padres |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Giants.
The Giants have split the first two games of this series in San Diego, but they are a heavy favorite with their ace on the mound Saturday.
Madison Bumgarner (14-9, 2.47 ERA) struck out 10 while tossing seven scoreless innings in a no decision at LA his last time out. He gave up just one hit in that game, but the bullpen went on to blow it in the bottom of the ninth.
The Padres hand the ball to Jared Cosart, who has not missed many bats lately. Cosart (0-4, 5.64 ERA) allowed five runs on five hits and four walks in just 3 2/3 innings in a loss at Colorado his last time out. He's still looking for his first win of the season, and he's 0-3 with a 4.79 ERA in nine starts since joining the Padres.
The Giants have not been fooled by Cosart, hitting .432 in 37 at bats in previous meetings.
Take SF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-24-16 |
Stanford -155 v. UCLA |
Top |
22-13 |
Win
|
100 |
83 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
Nebraska v. Northwestern UNDER 48 |
Top |
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
83 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
BYU v. West Virginia UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
32-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
Syracuse v. Connecticut UNDER 57.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-16 |
USC v. Utah UNDER 47 |
Top |
27-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on USC@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Utes are 3-0, but when you really examine those three victories, none of them are all that impressive. Despite the fact that they've played three unranked opponents, they've scored an average of just 26 points per game, ranking 90th nationally. The Trojans haven't looked great defensively, but keep in mind that they've played two defending conference champions (Alabama and Stanford). When matched against a lesser opponent, they didn't look too bad. USC held the Utah State Aggies to just seven total points, and 253 total yards in Week 2. Sam Darnold will step in at quarterback for the Trojans, but he faces a Utes defense that ranks top 10 nationally. Darnold was 5-of-7 for 45 yards with an INT against Stanford last week. Given the history between these two conference rivals, we should expect to see a defensive battle. The last time the Trojans played here they lost 24-21, and the under in 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-22-16 |
Texans +1 v. Patriots |
Top |
0-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. After upsetting Arizona on the road in Week 1 without several starters on both sides of the ball, the Patriots seem invincible. There seems to be a feeling that Bill Belichick can get it done no matter who starts at quarterback. History tells us that isn't the case, and I think there's a big difference between 2nd string quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, and third stringer Jacoby Brissett. We saw Miami score 21 unanswered points in the second half of last week's game, and New England just barely held on. The Texans come in with the #3 ranked scoring defense, and a quarterback that beat New England last year. This Houston defense has the potential to make life miserable for an inexperienced quarterback, and I expect Brissett to struggle here. I think Belichick's luck is about to run out. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
09-22-16 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech UNDER 57.5 |
Top |
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-16 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@LAD to go UNDER the total.
The Giants and the Dodgers have been involved in back-to-back pitcher's duels, and I expect a similar result here in Game 3 tonight.
Matt Moore will toe the slab for San Francisco, and the southpaw has been dealing. Moore (11-11, 4.06 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits over five innings in a home win over the Cardinals his last time out. He's won four of his last five starts, holding the opposition to two runs or less in all four wins. The only loss during that span came at Coors Field. He came one out away from a no-hitter in his last start at LA (August 25th). The Dodgers have hit just .182 versus Moore in 88 previous at bats.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has been the epitome of consistency. While he rarely blanks the opposition, he's held opponents to three runs or less in 10 straight starts.
These teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and that's a trend that's likely to continue tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-20-16 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@LAD to go UNDER the total.
We saw a pitcher's duel in LA last night, with the Giants blowing a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the ninth. I expect to see a similar result here in Game 2 tonight.
Johnny Cueto will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been dealing. Cueto (16-5, 2.86 ERA) went the distance, allowing two runs on five hits, fanning seven in a home win over St. Louis his last time out. He allowed one run on four hits over six innings in a 1-0 loss at LA back in August, and he's 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in four starts versus the Dodgers this year.
Rich Hill will go for LA, and he suffered his first loss as a Dodger in his last start. The southpaw allowed four runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss at Arizona. He hasn't given up any runs in three starts in LA.
Six of the last 10 games between these teams have been decided by a single run, and the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in LA.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-20-16 |
Pirates v. Brewers -108 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Brewers are sizzling in September, coming into Game 1 of this home series versus Pittsburgh as winners of 11 of 17. They swept the Pirates in Pittsburgh at the beginning of the month, and they took two of three versus the Cubs in Chicago over the weekend.
Matt Garza will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's been dealing at home. Garza (5-7, 4.22 ERA) allowed five runs (only one earned) on eight hits over five innings in a loss at Cincinnati his last time out. He's been far better at home, going 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA.
The Pirates hand the ball to Steven Brault, who has yet to win a game in the majors. The 24 year old has appeared in six games, and the Pirates have lost five of those six contests. He was rocked for five runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings in a loss at Philly his last time out.
The Pirates are 20-62 in the last 82 meetings in Milwaukee.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-20-16 |
Red Sox v. Orioles -131 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-131 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Red Sox moved four games clear of Baltimore with a 5-2 win in Game 1 at Camden Yards last night, but I like the Orioles in Game 2 tonight.
Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for the O's, and he's 5-0 in his last six starts. Gausman (8-10, 3.43 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings, surrendering just four hits in a win at Fenway his last time out. He's been great at home, going 6-1 with a 2.27 ERA in 11 starts.
The Red Sox hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who has been inconsistent all year. Rodriguez (2-7, 4.98 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over just 2 1/3 innings in a no decision versus the Yankees his last time out. He's 1-4 with a 3.25 ERA in his last 11 starts.
The Orioles are 7-0 in Gausman's last seven home starts, while the Red Sox are 4-10 in Rodriguez's last 14 starts.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Blue Jays v. Mariners +102 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.
The Mariners have won eight of their last 10, putting them just two games back of Toronto in the Wild Card race. They host the Jays tonight, and Toronto has lost nine of it's last 13 overall.
Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off a complete game shutout. Walker (6-10, 4.28 ERA) struck out 11, and allowed just three hits while going the distance in an 8-0 win over the Angels. His last home start was a 6-3 win over Texas, in which he allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings.
The Jays hand the ball to Marco Estrada, who is coming off three straight losses. The right-hander has been torched for 13 runs on 17 hits over 13 innings in those three starts. He's 3-6 with a 5.47 ERA in 10 starts since the All Star break.
The Blue Jays bats have really cooled off in the second half, Toronto's team batting average of .240 since the All Star break is the second worst in the American League.
Take SEA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Padres -122 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Diego Padres.
The Padres are sitting dead last in the NL West, but trail Arizona by just one game. They host the Diamondbacks at PETCO tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team.
Clayton Richard will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been dealing. Richard (2-3, 3.00 ERA) allowed three runs on 11 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a win over the Giants his last time out. He's really pitched well since the All Star break, going 2-2 with a 1.63 ERA in 11 appearances.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Braden Shipley, who hasn't been missing many bats. Shipley (4-3, 5.56 ERA) allowed five runs on eight hits in just four innings in a no decision versus Colorado his last time out. He was torched for seven runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss at PETCO last month.
The D'Backs bullpen ranks dead last in the major leagues with an ERA of 5.11.
Take SD.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Eagles v. Bears OVER 42 |
Top |
29-14 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@CHI to go OVER the total.
Jay Cutler had the Bears up 14-10 at halftime in Houston in Week 1, but Chicago was shutout in the second half and went on to lose 23-14 to the Texans. The offensive line couldn't keep Houston's pass rushers off of Cutler, and he was sacked five times. Chicago's offense should have a more favorable matchup here at home against Philly. The Eagles are really thin in the secondary, and making matters worse, Leodis McKelvin will be out with a hamstring injury. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz had his way with the Browns in Week 1, throwing for 278 yards and a pair of TDs. Wentz has plenty of weapons at his disposal, but he might not be quite as successful here on the road against a solid Bears defense. The Bears have seen the total go over in nine of their last 13 games in the month of September, and the over is 4-1 in their last four games versus the Eagles.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Braves v. Mets -1.5 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New York Mets -1.5.
The Mets have won 11 of their last 14 overall, putting them a game up in the National League Wild Card race. They host the Braves tonight, with a favorable matchup on the mound.
Noah Syndergaard will toe the slab for New York, and he's been dealing. Syndergaard (13-8, 2.43 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a win over the Nationals his last time out. The Mets are 5-1 in his last six starts, and four of those wins came by two or more runs.
The Braves hand the ball to Aaron Blair, who is still looking for his first career win. Blair (0-6, 8.23 ERA) was torched for five runs on eight hits over four innings in a loss at San Francisco his last time out. He's surrendered a whopping 10 home runs in his last six appearances.
Blair has faced the Mets three times this season, going 0-2 with an 8.04 ERA.
Take NYM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9 |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Red Sox sit three games clear of Baltimore at the top of the AL East, and the two teams play Game 1 of a four game series at Camden Yards on Monday.
Rick Porcello will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's looking for his 21st win of the season. Porcello (20-4, 3.12 ERA) allowed a single run on four hits over eight innings in a 1-0 loss to the Orioles his last time out. He's held the opposition to two runs or less in seven of his last 10 starts.
The Orioles hand the ball to Dylan Bundy, who shutout the Yankees in his last home start. The 23 year old is 4-2 with a 2.72 ERA in 17 appearances at home in 2016. He's 2-0 with a 4.91 ERA in his last three starts.
The under is 23-5-1 in Baltimore's last 29 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-18-16 |
Packers -123 v. Vikings |
Top |
14-17 |
Loss |
-123 |
109 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
09-18-16 |
Astros v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Astros beat the Mariners by a score of 2-1 at Safeco yesterday, moving into a second place tie with Seattle in the AL West. Both teams are trying to clinch a Wild Card berth, and I wouldn't be surprised to see another pitcher's duel here in Seattle Sunday.
Ariel Miranda will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's won three straight starts. Miranda (4-1, 4.10 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, surrendering just three hits in a win at LA his last time out. He's now 3-0 with a 3.65 ERA in five appearances at Safeco this season.
The Astros hand the ball to Doug Fister, who has been better on the road than he has been at home. The right-hander has won a dozen games this season, nine of those coming on the road. He's 2-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three starts against the Mariners this season, and Seattle's lineup has hit a combined .241 over 133 at bats versus Fister.
These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the under is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last six games versus a right-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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