Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova OVER 144.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Pacers loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers and the Pelicans are two teams that jockeying for playoff position, and they have a history of playing low scoring games. Eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the listed total. Both teams have stepped up their intensity on defense in recent weeks, and the result has been lower scores across the board. That being said, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. It's also higher than it was in any of Indiana's last 10 games overall, and nine of those games went under." Tonight's game against the Clippers is quite similar, and I expect another hard battle. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings, and the under is 6-0 in Pacers last six home games. The under has cashed in four of the Clippers last five visits to Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-18 | Clemson v. Kansas -175 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 111 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 83 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. |
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03-20-18 | Mississippi State v. Louisville -5 | Top | 79-56 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. Jesse Schule |
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03-19-18 | Stanford v. Oklahoma State UNDER 153.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STAN@OKST to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult to say what kind of effect the new rules in the NIT will have on scoring. So far I can't see a lot of evidence that scoring is down across the board, but it certainly does appear that visiting teams are struggling from beyond the arc. According to SB Nation, in the first nine games of the tournament, eight of nine road teams shot below their season average from three-point range. One of those games was Oklahoma State hosting Florida Gulf Coast, and the Cowboys held the Eagles to just 68 points. Both teams struggled from three-point range in that game, with Oklahoma State shooting just 6-of-22 and FGCU hitting 10-of-27. The total for tonight's game in Stillwater is far higher than it has been in previous meetings between these two teams. The Cowboys have gone under in an incredible 11 straight non conference games, while the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight non-conference games. Oklahoma State has also failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 in Stillwater. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Clemson +1.5 v. Auburn | Top | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
This is Game of the Year play on the Clemson Tigers.
I bet on the Charleston Cougars in their first round matchup versus Auburn, and here is what I had to say about the Tigers prior to that game: "Auburn was eliminated from the SEC Tournament when they lost by a whopping 18 points to Alabama. They have really struggled since losing senior forward Anfernee McLemore, who went down in an 84-75 loss to South Carolina. Including that game, they've lost four of their last six. Charleston comes in as winner of nine of their last 10 overall, with the only loss during that span coming in overtime. Auburn has failed to cover in four straight, and I don't think they should be asked to cover double digits here against a Charleston team that won 26 games this season." Clemson finished with an 11-7 record in the ACC.. you know who else had an 11-7 record? How about defending national champions North Carolina. They were eliminated from the ACC Tournament by #1 overall Virginia, losing that game by just six points. They had won three of their previous four overall, and Clemson is 6-0 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they have covered in five straight versus the SEC. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -169 | Top | 101-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs dropped all the way to 10th in the West after losing five of six games prior to Tuesday's game against Orlando. Greg Popovich had seen enough, and his team made a statement by blowout out the Magic 108-72. They followed that up with a 98-93 win over New Orleans, and now they are just four point favorite at home against Minnesota two days later. The level of urgency for San Antonio remains high, as they barely cling to the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. The Timberwolves are just a game ahead in the standings, but injuries have taken their toll on Minnesota. Both these teams are monsters at home, and neither team can buy a win on the road. The Spurs have won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and without Jimmy Butler, the Wolves are going to struggle on the road in San Antonio. Minnesota has failed to cover in 12 of it's last 16 road games, and the favorite has covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings in this series. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-18 | Florida State +1 v. Missouri | Top | 67-54 | Win | 100 | 115 h 23 m | Show |
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03-16-18 | Syracuse v. TCU UNDER 136.5 | Top | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SYR@TCU to go UNDER the total. The Orange allowed just 56 points in their First Four matchup versus Arizona State in Dayton Ohio I bet on the under in that game, and one of the reasons I gave in my analysis was the history of low scoring games at the particular venue. Here is what I said prior to the game against Arizona State: I am expecting Arizona to struggle against this elite Orange defense, and the venue may contribute to that. "Four teams played in Dayton Ohio in First Four games last night, and three of those four teams shot well below 40 percent from the field. The only exception being UCLA, and they only scored 58 points." I am not sure we should expect any more scoring here against a far better defensive team in TCU. I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +11 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 112 h 15 m | Show |
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03-14-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 125-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
The Boston Celtics are coming off a home loss to Indiana on Sunday, and they will be undermanned at home tonight against Washington. Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown and Daniel Theis will all miss tonight's game, and Al Horford is listed as questionable with an illness. The Wizards have played just as well without John Wall as they did with him, and they come into Boston as winners of five of their last six road games. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a winning home record. Boston on the other hand has failed to cover in five of it's last six home games. I don't think the Celtics have enough healthy bodies to compete with anybody at the moment, home or away. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-18 | Nuggets -125 v. Lakers | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
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03-09-18 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go UNDER the total. |
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03-09-18 | Richmond +7.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
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03-08-18 | Duquesne v. Richmond -130 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders.
Richmond had a brutal season in the A-10, but I believe this is a team that is far better than the numbers show. The Spiders showed some promise at the end of the season, winning back to back games in blowout fashion. They beat UMASS by a score of 90-65, shooting over 57 percent from the field and going 8-of-18 from beyond the arc. Three days later they went on the road and beat George Mason by a score of 93-79, shooting over 62 percent from the field and going 10-of-18 from beyond the arc. The Dukes have struggled, and they come into the tournament as loser of seven of their last eight overall. They don't score a lot of points, averaging just over 70 points per game in their last five. Richmond has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and I'll ride them while their hot. Take RICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER the total.
The Missouri State Bears have beaten Valparaiso twice already this season, and both those games fell well short of the total. These teams meet in the Conference Tournament tonight at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis. The venue might actually be fairly significant, as after doing a little research on previous games at the Scottrade Center, it would appear that unders have been the trend. Back in 2016 there were several NCAA Tournament games played in this building, and the majority of those games fell well short of 140 total points. Both these teams have averaged below 70 points per game this season, and neither team has allowed opponents to average as many as 70 points per game. In fact in neutral site games, both these teams have allowed less than 64 points per game. The Bears have gone under in five of their last six at a neutral site, while the Crusaders have failed to reach the total in 18 of their last 26 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-18 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -3.5 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders.
Richmond has lost five straight, but had won four of it's previous five. They have played some of the top teams in the A-10 during their current losing streak, but they face one of the conference bottom feeders here in their final home game. The Massachusetts Minutemen are 1-10 on the road, and they have averaged just 69.3 points per game on the road. Making matters worse for the Minutemen, they are going to be severely shorthanded for tonight's game. Leading scorer Luwane Pipkins is questionable with a concussion, and key players Rashaan Holloway and Chris Baldwin are done for the season. The Spiders have won four straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2013, and they won their last home game against UMASS by a score of 69-53. Richmond lost by a score of 72-70 to St. Joe's on Saturday, but if they play as well tonight as they did in that game, they should win by double digits. Take RICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-18 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Baylor UNDER 157 | Top | 64-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
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02-26-18 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 141 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEX@KU to go OVER the total. |
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02-24-18 | Blazers -6 v. Suns | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
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02-24-18 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -1 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders. |
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02-11-18 | Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 207 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-18 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -6.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates.
The Pirates rarely lose at home, in fact they are 12-1 on their home floor this season. The one loss came to #11 ranked Xavier by a score of 73-64. Marquette comes into tonight's game unranked, and coming off four straight losses. The Eagles won their first road game in the Big East by a score of 95-90 at Providence, but have since lost three straight by double digits at Villanova, Xavier and Butler. Seton Hall is coming off a blowout loss on the road at Villanova, but the Pirates are a good bet to bounce back. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 when coming off a loss. Marquette tends to struggle against the better teams in the Big East, and the Eagles have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. The Pirates lost at Marquette earlier this season by a score of 84-64. They have a chance to execute a little revenge here tonight, so I expect another blowout win for the home team. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-18 | Raptors -3 v. Wizards | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
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01-31-18 | Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | Top | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Syracuse Orange tonight, and once again they are underdog. The unranked Orange have lost three of four road games in conference play. They are 2-3 overall on the road, with both wins coming against bottom feeders. They won 60-55 at Pittsburgh, and they rallied late to force overtime at Georgetown, winning by a score of 86-79. The Orange lost by a score of 71-65 at Georgia Tech last year, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. |
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01-29-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -175 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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01-28-18 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Clemson Tigers tonight, and Clemson is reeling after suffering a historic defeat at Virginia (61-36). Not only did they lose that game, they lost senior forward Donte Grantham, second on the team in scoring and their leading rebounder. Clemson is 1-3 on the road in conference play, with their only win coming by just four points against perennial bottom feeders Boston College. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Hornets v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 91-95 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat.
The Heat led by 12 points halfway through the fourth quarter in an 89-88 loss to Sacramento on Thursday, and such a devastating loss should provide plenty of motivation as they get set to Host Charlotte tonight. The Hornets are just 6-13 on the road, and they have lost five straight in this series versus Miami. The Heat covered the spread in all five of those games, and they are asked to cover just a handful of point here tonight. The Heat have been a great bet when coming off a loss, covering the spread in seven of their last eight such situations. The Hornets are coming off a blowout win at home over Atlanta last night, and Charlotte has failed to cover in four of it's last five when playing the second leg of a back to back. They are also 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Kentucky v. West Virginia UNDER 149 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UK@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five overall, with losses to Florida and South Carolina. Three of those five games went over the total, but not one of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total. The Wildcats are on the road at West Virginia, playing in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. The Mountaineers have lost three of their last four overall, and they have averaged just 70.6 points per game over their last five. Both these teams are known to be defensive powerhouses in their respective conferences, and they have a long history of playing low scoring games. In five meetings dating back to 2005, none of those games saw more than 146 combined points. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and nine of their last 10 versus the BIG12. The under is 5-2 West Virginia's last seven games, and their last home game was an 86-51 win over Texas. I expect both teams to have to work hard for every point tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-18 | Wizards v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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01-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Valparaiso UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-54 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on L-IL@VALPO to go UNDER the total. |
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01-20-18 | George Mason v. Duquesne -5 | Top | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Needless to say, I was a little surprised that the Dukes didn't play better on the road at Saint Louis in their last game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Dukes are 4-1 in the Atlantic 10 so far. The Dukes rank 25th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. The Dukes have won five of the last seven meetings between the two schools, and the most recent meeting was a 72-71 win for the Bilikens in last year's conference tournament. Reggie Agbeko, Mike Crawford and Elliot Welmer combined to score 48 of the Bilikens 72 points in that game. Agbeko and Crawford have played out their eligibility, while Welmer is sidelined with a foot injury. Mike Lewis led the Dukes with 22 points, and he comes into tonight's game off back to back 20+ point performances. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Atlantic 10, and I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here as they are getting points against the cellar dwellers of the conference." They are back at home tonight, hosting George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a double digit loss to George Washington, and they are 2-4 on the road. They have scored just 68.7 points per game on the road, and they may struggle to hit that number tonight against a Dukes team that allows opponents to average just 63.2 points per game at home. The Dukes won their last home game against George Mason by a score of 62-53, and a similar result is expected here tonight. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Duquesne. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total.
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Pistons v. Bulls | Top | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls.
I have been keeping my eye on the Bulls since Nikola Mirotic returned from injury, and I bet on Chicago several times over the last few weeks. Here is what I had to say prior to a home win over Indiana: "The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eighth win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago. The Bulls have covered the spread in six straight home games, and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall" The Bulls will welcome Zack Lavine back from injury in tonight's home game against the Pistons. Chicago is now 15-5 ATS in it's last 20 overall, and the Bulls have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 at home. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Northeastern v. NC-Wilmington +5.5 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC Wilmington.
The Seahawks finished first in the CAA last year, with a 29-5 overall record, and a 13-1 home record. There is no doubt that after losing several key players from last year's team, they aren't as good as they were a year ago. That being said, they are coming off a road win over a good Elon team, and I don't think they should be an underdog at home. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home, and they have averaged 83.2 points per game on 48.2 percent shooting in those games. They scored 107 points in a win over Drexel in their last home game. They host the Northeastern Huskies, who are coming off a double digit road loss at Charleston. The Huskies are 3-4 on the road, averaging just 67.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting in those games. The Seahawks have won four straight and seven of the last nine in this series. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-18 | Idaho v. Eastern Washington -130 | Top | 58-51 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. |
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01-11-18 | Celtics -130 v. 76ers | Top | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics bring a six game winning streak into today's NBA International game versus the Sixers in London. Philly has won four straight, but the Sixers have been inconsistent all year. They had lost 10 of 12 prior to this recent win streak. The Celtics have owned this series in recent seasons, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. These teams have played twice this season, and Boston has won both meetings by double-digits, including a 102-92 win at Philly. Both teams will have to adjust to playing at O2 Arena, which isn't designed to host NBA games. The Celtics bring the NBA's best defense, and the old saying goes "defense travels well". Boston doesn't mind playing away from their home arena, the Celtics are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games. It wouldn't be too hard to imagine young stars like Simmons and Embiid getting distracted on a trip to London, and Embiid's comments seem to indicate that: "Just walking around, it was beautiful," he told NBC Sports Philadelphia. "Beautiful women ... so I had a great time. I'm just excited to be going there. Obviously want to get a win, and if I get a chance to catch a soccer game, I'm going to do that, too." Kyrie Irving on the other hand spoke more about the task at hand: "For us we just have to play with our own unique intensity on the defensive end, make it uncomfortable." Take BOS. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-03-18 | Pacers v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
I bet against the Pacers in their loss at Chicago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago." The Pacers aren't expecting Oladipo back for Wednesday's game against Milwaukee, and they have lost all three games since his injury. The average margin of defeat in those games is well over 10 points. The Pacers have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they have lost their last two games at Milwaukee by a combined 31 points. The Bucks are a solid 12-6 on their home floor, and this looks like a good spot for them to open up a good old fashioned can of whup-ass on an inferior opponent. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-18 | West Virginia -135 v. Kansas State | Top | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers. |
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12-31-17 | East Tennessee State +155 v. Mercer | Top | 74-55 | Win | 155 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on East Tennessee State. The Buccaneers are an underdog at Mercer here this afternoon, but I think this is a case of the wrong team favored. East Tennessee State is 9-4 overall, with two of those losses coming on the road versus ranked teams. Their most recent defeat came at Xavier by a score of 68-66. Mercer on the other hand is 7-6 overall, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record (Liberty). Two of their wins have come against divsion II schools, and history tells us that they have struggled in recent meetings with the Buccaneers. They have lost six straight to East Tennessee, and they have failed to cover the spread in the last eight meetings. Last year they lost at home to the Bucs 67-58. I did quite well betting against Mercer in similar situations last year, noting that I felt this team is still overrated several years removed from their historic upset win in the NCAA Tournament versus Duke. Take ESU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM.
The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." They went on to win by double digits, and they come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record. The Pride have not played well within the CAA conference, going 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20. They have also struggled against teams with a winning record, failing to cover in five of their last six. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-17 | Pacers v. Bulls -2 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. |
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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12-22-17 | Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNI Panthers. The Xavier Musketeers are coming into Friday's game at Cedar Falls as winners of six straight. They are ranked in the Top 10, and have an overall record of 11-1. This will be just their second road game of the season though, and they look like a team primed to suffer an upset. They have four players listed as questionable for tonight's game, and three of those players are in the starting five. Gates, Jones and Macura are 2nd,3rd and 4th in scoring on the team. Xavier's only previous road game was at Wisconsin, and they won that game by double digits (80-70). The final score is terribly misleading though, as they were losing with 2:44 remaining, but went on a 16-4 run in the final few minutes. The Panthers are undefeated (6-0) at home, and they have held opponents to an average of just 53.8 points on 35.6 percent shooting in those games. Northern Iowa has an impressive resume so far going 8-3 overall with quality wins over SMU, NC State, UTA and UNLV. History seems to suggest that Northern Iowa stands a good chance of pulling off an outright win. The Panthers are 12-6 all time at home against ranked teams. Take UNI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | UNLV -6.5 v. Pacific | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. The Pacific Tigers are coming off back to back losses to UC Davis and Wyoming, and they will be in for a stiff challenge at home tonight against the 8-2 Rebels. UNLV's only two losses came to Arizona and UNI, and both of those games went to overtime. I bet on the Rebels last weekend in their 89-82 win over Illinois, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory." The Tigers have been a bad bet in Stockton, failing to cover in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus teams with a losing record, and Pacific has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus the Mountain West. Take UNLV. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-10-17 | Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 153 | Top | 97-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ@WASH to go OVER the total. The Huskies are coming off an impressive upset win over #2 ranked Kansas, but they are a significant home underdog in tonight's game against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning three straight and nine of the last 10. History tells us that we can expect a high scoring game, as four of the last five have meetings have gone over. The total for tonight's game is almost 10 points lower than it was in all five of those previous meetings. Both teams come in averaging over 80 points per game, and Gonzaga has allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Huskies have scored at least 70 points in all nine of their games so far, and they are averaging 83.7 points per game at home. The over is 17-8 in the Huskies last 25 non-conference games. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight non conference games, and seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss. The Huskies lost last year's game versus Gonzaga by a score of 98-71, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-17 | Illinois v. UNLV -190 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels.
Illinois has lost three of it's last four games, and the Fighting Illini are coming off an unimpressive 64-57 win over Austin-Peavy, failing to cover as an 18-point favorite. They are 0-2 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. They don't do well against the tougher teams, covering in just three of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record. UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory. Illinois has only won 5-of-21 road games over the last three seasons, and I don't like their chances here in Las Vegas. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 106-92 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
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12-02-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
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11-29-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-17 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Nuggets and the Grizzlies are dealing with injuries to star players, as Paul Millsap and Mike Conley are each expected to be sidelined for several weeks. The Nuggets are still in fairly good shape, with plenty of depth at PF with players like Kenneth Faried, Trey Lyles and Juan Hernangomez. The same can't be said for the Grizzlies, who have lost six straight, four of those games without their starting PG. Backup Mario Chalmers struggled in a home loss to Dallas on Wednesday, shooting just 2-of-11 from the field. He's shooting just .358 percent from the field this season, and a woeful .208 percent from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies haven't covered the spread in any of their six losses during this losing skid, and this looks like a tough spot playing at altitude in Denver. The Nuggets are 7-2 at home, and are coming off a loss at Houston. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. Take DEN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-22-17 | Bulls v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have struggled since the injury to Rudy Gobert, losing eight of their last 10 overall. They are in a good spot here tonight though, hosting the bottom feeders of the NBA (Chicago). The Bulls are playing on back to back nights, and also their third game in four nights. This looks like a throw away game for a team that is angling itself for a high lottery pick in the draft, rather than competing for a playoff spot. Rodney Hood scored 31 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a win over the Magic on Saturday, and he should prove to be a handful for a Bulls team that ranks 27th in the league in three-point defense. Some might expect the loss of shot blocking specialist Gobert to result in a more high scoring game, but according to the data that doesn't seem to be the case. Gobert only missed one game last season, but was sidelined for Utah's first three games in their first round playoff series versus the Clippers. Two of those three games saw less than 200 combined points. The previous season saw a stretch where Gobert missed 18 consecutive games, and in 13 of those games the combined score was less than 200 points. The Jazz are ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to an average of 101.1 points per game. I expect them to hold the Bulls to fewer than 90 points here in a double-digit home win. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-17 | Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes.
The Ole Miss Rebels remained undefeated after beating Georgia State by a score of 77-72 at home on Friday. They had to rally from behind, trailing by eight points at the half in that game. The Utes are 3-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, a blowout win at home over Missouri. Here is what I said before that game: "The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." With so much experienced talent, I can't see why Utah would be an underdog in a late game in Las Vegas. The Utes have dominated on the boards, and they are shooting for a higher percentage both from the field and the free throw line than the Rebels. Utah is 4-0 ATS in it's last four games against SEC teams. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +1 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos.
I bet against Iowa State as a double-digit favorite in their win over Appalachian State, and the Cyclones won that game 104-98. Here is what I said before tip off: "Iowa State has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc." Jackson is second on the team in scoring, despite shooting just 34 percent from the field in four games. The Cyclones have allowed opponents to average 81 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting during a 2-2 start. Boise State comes in with a 4-0 record, and they have held opponents to 63 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting. Chandler Hutchison led the team in scoring last year, and the 6"7 guard is back for his senior year. Boise State has an experienced team that can play at a high level on both offense and defense. I like the Broncos to win big. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars.
The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-17 | Michigan State +3 v. Duke | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans.
For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
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11-13-17 | Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers.
Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Yale v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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11-03-17 | Heat v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
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10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
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10-26-17 | Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
10* |
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10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-20-17 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total.
The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total.
Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total.
After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -175 | Top | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 48 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -107 | 56 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors.
While the Cavs swept Indiana in the first round, they didn't really look sharp in those four games. Cleveland is asked to cover a seven point spread here in Game 1 versus the Raptors, despite the fact that all four games against the Pacers were decided by six points or less. LeBron James is still the best player in the NBA, but Kyrie Irving has looked pretty average lately. He shot over 40 percent from beyond the arc during the regular season, but is hitting just over 20 percent from three-point range in the playoffs. He averaged 5.8 assists per game during the season, but is averaging just 3 APG in the post-season. Cleveland won three of four versus the Raptors during the regular season, but all three of those wins came in gamed decided by less than five points. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in it's last six road games, while the Cavs are 0-4 ATS in their last five at home. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-17 | Celtics -135 v. Bulls | Top | 105-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics can close out this first round series versus Chicago tonight, but they'll have to win again on the road. After losing both Games 1 & 2 at home, they have now won three straight, with two of those wins coming here at the United Center. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Chicago Bulls shocked the Celtics by winning back to back games in Boston, but they lost Game 3 of this series at home by a whopping 17 points. The Celtics can even the series at 2-2 with a win in Chicago tonight, and the Bulls might be in big trouble without PG Rajon Rondo. Without him they had more turnovers (17) than assists (14) in Game 3. Backup point-guards Michael Carter-Williams and Jerian Grant score a combined eight points on 3-of-10 shooting. The Celtics defense completely shut down Jimmy Butler in the last game, holding him to 14 points on 7-of-21 shooting. The Celtics didn't have any trouble winning on the road during the regular season, and the Bulls are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Bulls appeared to be well on their way to recording the biggest upset of the first round, but the injury to Rondo may have derailed their playoff hopes." It would be a miracle if Rondo was able to play in Game 6, and even if he does, he won't be 100 percent. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-25-17 | Jazz +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 96-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. |
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04-24-17 | Warriors v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 128-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trail Blazers. |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. |
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04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197 | Top | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total.
I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -8 | Top | 111-115 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
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04-15-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
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