Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-05-17 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off a triple overtime win over Penn State, by a score of 110-102. They had lost back to back road games prior to that, by a combined margin of 43 points. Now they head to Wisconsin, where the Badgers have won 18 straight. Wisconsin has beaten up opponents at home, winning their last four home games by an average margin of more than 15 points. The Hoosiers are in a tough spot, missing a pair of key players (OG Anunoby and James Blackmon). The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Badgers on the other hand have covered the spread in four of their last five as a home favorite. This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions.Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-17 | Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
Oklahoma has had some bad luck this season. The Sooners have lost four straight, and eight of their last 10. Their leading scorer Jordan Woodard has been battling injury and illness during that span, but despite all the adversity, they've still been quite competitive. Three of four losses on their current losing streak came in games decided by five points or less. They have covered the spread in six of their last eight versus BIG12 teams, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Texas Tech hasn't looked that great, failing to cover in six of it's last eight overall. The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Jordan Woodard no longer appears on the Sooners injury report, and if he's healthy the Sooners might just be a threat to win this game outright. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-17 | San Diego State v. Fresno State +1.5 | Top | 70-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
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02-04-17 | San Jose State +11 v. New Mexico | Top | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-04-17 | Minnesota v. Illinois -1 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Illinois. |
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02-04-17 | Xavier v. Creighton -3.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays. |
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02-04-17 | George Washington v. Richmond -5.5 | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders. |
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02-04-17 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown -3.5 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgetown Hoyas.
The Hoyas come into Saturday's home game versus Seton Hall off three straight wins. That includes a home win over Creighton, and an upset win at Butler, handing the Bulldogs their first home loss of the season. Georgetown is playing it's best basketball, scoring 72.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting in it's last five games. The Pirates have lost five of their last six overall, and they have lost six of seven road games this season. In their last game at Xavier, they struggled from the free throw line hitting just 6-of-12. They are shooting just 58 percent from the charity stripe on the road, and that's going to make it tough to steal a game here at Georgetown, when the Hoyas are hitting better than 73 percent at the line at home. The Hoyas have held opponents to an average of 39 percent shooting at home this season. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-17 | Rhode Island v. Davidson -1 | Top | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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02-02-17 | James Madison v. Elon -5.5 | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Elon Phoenix.
Elon has won four straight, and sits third in the CAA behind Charleston and UNC Wilmington. They will host bottom feeders James Madison tonight, and the Dukes have lost six of their last seven overall. They are just 2-10 on the road, and they've scored an average of just 64.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting in those games. That's 15 points less than Elon has averaged at home. When looking at these teams overall records, and season averages, it's important to note that Elon played a far tougher non-conference schedule with games against teams like Duke and Georgetown. This is a revenge game for Elon, who lost by just one points at James Madison earlier in the year. Yohanny Delambert scored 15 points, and dominated the boards with 17 rebounds for the Dukes in that game. He's since suffered a season ending injury, and they've really missed him. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | New Mexico v. UNLV +1.5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNLV.
This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year. The Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they should be able to get it done against a shorthanded opponent tonight. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | Baylor +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears.
The #2 ranked Baylor Bears will take on the #3 ranked Jayhawks in Kansas tonight, and if anyone is going to end KU's 12 year reign at the top of the BIG12, it will probably be Baylor. This game reminds me a lot of last year's thriller when Oklahoma came to Lawrence, and lost 109-106 after three overtimes. The Sooners were ranked #2 at the time, and Kansas was ranked #1. This appears to be a difficult spot for the home team, coming off an emotional upset win at Kentucky. The Bears have only lost one game all year, and they haven't had any trouble winning on the road. They are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and the road team is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. The Jayhawks have only covered twice in their last eight games as a favorite, and I expect them to struggle with a tough opponent here in such a huge game for both teams. I'll take the points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | Georgia Tech +10 v. Clemson | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech.
Clemson is asked to cover a double digit spread at home versus Georgia Tech tonight, despite a history of close battles with this conference rival. Three of Clemson's last four home games against the Yellow Jackets have been decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been decided by less than five points. The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back home wins over ranked teams (Notre Dame and Florida State). They were blown out in road losses at Virginia and Duke, but they've won two of their last three road games against unranked teams, with the one loss coming by a single point at Virginia Tech. Clemson lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech earlier this season, and the road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series. It sure seems like a tough ask for the Tigers to cover this inflated number. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +6.5 | Top | 57-43 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games. Wisconsin is 3-2 on the road, but it's last road game was just a 78-76 win at Minnesota. They needed overtime to avoid a home upset to Rutgers on Saturday, and I think they might have a tough game on their hands in Illinois. The Fighting Illini have already beaten Michigan, Iowa and Ohio State at home, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Wisconsin has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 in this series, but in their last four games at Illinois they were favored by -3, -4, -1.5 and -1.5. They are asked to cover a far bigger number here, and I'll take the points. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Maryland +2 v. Ohio State | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
The #17 ranked Terrapins come into Columbus as winners of six straight, and they are 7-1 in conference play. They've picked up road wins at Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa and Illinois, but they are an underdog here against the Buckeyes. Ohio State isn't exactly playing great right now, coming off a blowout loss at Iowa. The Hawkeyes won 85-72, despite missing their leading scorer Peter Jok who sat out with a sore back. The Buckeyes are just 3-6 versus BIG10 teams, and that includes home losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Maryland won both meetings last year, winning 66-61 at Columbus in the last meeting. Ohio State has played four ranked teams so far, losing all four of those games. They show now signs of being able to knock off a top 25 team, not even at home. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6.5 | Top | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Butler.
This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs, after getting hammered at Creighton earlier this season by a score of 75-64. The Blue Jays are short-handed this time around, losing guard Maurice Watson Jr for the rest of the season. He led all scorers with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting in the last meeting between these two teams. Without him the Jays have struggled, losing at home to Marquette, and on the road at Georgetown. They beat DePaul at home on Saturday, but playing on the road at Butler is a whole different ball game. The Bulldogs are 11-1 at home, and looking to bounce back after suffering their first home loss to Georgetown on Saturday. The Hoyas were simply shooting out the lights in that game, hitting 63.8 percent from the field, and 50 percent from beyond the arc. The home team has covered in four straight in this series, and Butler is 5-1 ATS in it's last six home games. I'll take the home favorite. Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-17 | Siena v. Quinnipiac +1.5 | Top | 84-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. |
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01-28-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | Top | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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01-28-17 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
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01-25-17 | Alabama v. Georgia -5.5 | Top | 80-60 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
The Florida State Seminoles are sitting at the top of the ACC standings, and they are a big road favorite at Georgia Tech tonight. The Seminoles have only played two road games this season, winning by two points at Virginia, and getting blown out at North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels. The Seminoles won at Georgia Tech last year, but it was a close game decided by a score of 57-53. In fact three of the last four meetings between the two teams have been decided by six points or less. Not surprisingly, with so many close games in this series, taking the points has paid off in a big way. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-17 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7 | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
The Bonnies will host St. Joe's on Tuesday, and they are coming off back to back wins by combined 39-point margin. St. Bonaventure has been a beast at home over the last decade, but they haven't been as dominant on their own floor so far this season. While they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, their most recent home win came by a whopping 20 points in a 73-53 win over Fordham. The Bonnies have covered the spread in five straight meetings versus St. Joe's, and they won all five of those games by at least eight points. The Red Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to St. Bonnies, and they have averaged just 66 points per game while losing four of seven on the road. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 85 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and they should blow the doors off here in this one. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-17 | Quinnipiac +10 v. Iona | Top | 74-84 | Push | 0 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois -1 | Top | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
At first glance, this looks like a classic let down spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners last game was an upset win at West Virginia, with Jordan Woodard scoring the game winning bucket just before the end of overtime. Woodard leads the Sooners in scoring, and when he was sidelined for four games due to injury, Oklahoma struggled. He played just 24 minutes in a home loss to Kansas, and scored just seven points on 2-of-8 shooting. The Sooners led that game at the half by a score of 36-27, but couldn't hold off the mighty Jayhawks in the second half. Woodard has totaled 47 points in back to back wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. The Sooners host the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Cyclones have lost three of their four road games this season, and are coming off back to back losses to Kansas and TCU. I don't expect Oklahoma to suffer a let down here at home, I think they'll be full of confidence and looking to build on some positive momentum. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -3 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
The Louisville Cardinals scored 92 points in a blowout win over Clemson at home on Thursday, but I think they are primed to suffer a let down on the road at Florida State today. The Cardinal played their last game without starting PG Quentin Snider, who is the team's assist leader. They shot out the lights, hitting 56.3 percent from the field, and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Tigers. They can't count on such a high shooting percentage here in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are 13-0 at home this season, and have scored an average of 91.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting in those games. They've won five of six in conference play, with the only loss coming on the road at North Carolina. Even more impressive is the fact that five of their last eight wins have come against ranked teams. That includes an upset win at #12 ranked Virginia. Louisville has failed to cover in 11 of it's last 15 road games, while FSU is 12-5 ATS in it's last 17 home games. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Wake Forest -1 | Top | 79-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
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01-17-17 | Ohio v. Akron -5 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
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01-16-17 | Marquette v. Butler -7.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
The Bulldogs are 10-0 at home so far, and their last three wins have come against Big East rivals Xavier, Villanova and Providence. The average margin of victory in those games was 10 points. They host the Marquette Golden Eagles tonight, and Marquette has been blown out by 20+ points in each of it's last two road games in this series. The Eagles has lost two of three road games this season, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and the line here looks reasonable. Marquette scores it's fair share of points, averaging 78.7 points per game on the road. That's only a few points less than Butler averages at home (80.1). Butler is far superior defensively though, holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game at home. The Eagles have given up over 80 points per game on the road. Marquette has only covered in one of the last eight meetings in this series, and I don't think they'll hang with the Bulldogs at Butler.
Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 56-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. |
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01-14-17 | Duke v. Louisville -4 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals.
Duke is reeling, coming into Louisville off an 88-72 loss at Florida State. Coach K is recovering from back surgery, and assistant coach Jeff Capel has his work cut out for him as the interim bench boss. He's going to be shorthanded here at Louisville, with senior forward Amile Jefferson unavailable for today's game. Jefferson is Duke's leading rebounder, and without him they got killed on the glass in the loss to Florida State. Louisville is one of the more dominant rebounding teams in the country, averaging 39.6 rebounds per game. The Cardinals are 9-1 overall at home this season, and 7-2 ATS. They have won two of their last three home meetings versus Duke, and the Blue Devils have only covered the spread once in their last eight road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-17 | Quinnipiac +8.5 v. Siena | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
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01-11-17 | Butler v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Creighton Blue Jays.
It was just one week ago that Butler knocked off #1 ranked Villanova at home, and since then the Bulldogs won at Georgetown by a score of 85-76 in OT. They are just 2-2 on the road this season, and playing at Creighton will be their toughest road game to date. They lost 72-64 at Creighton last year, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. Creighton is 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming to the #1 Wildcats. Among those eight wins they've beaten Wisconsin and Seton Hall, with both wins coming by a double digit margin. The Blue Jays are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 as a favorite. They have scored an average of 84.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Bulldogs to match that. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-17 | St. Louis v. Duquesne -10.5 | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
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01-10-17 | Duke v. Florida State -1.5 | Top | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
Duke gave Coach K a proper send off in his final game before taking time off to have back surgery, beating Georgia Tech by over 50 points. They followed up that impressive performance with a lackluster 93-82 win over Boston College. The Eagles out-scored the Blue Devils 48-40 in the second half of that game, but Duke held on for the double-digit win. Grayson Allen had 12 points and 11 assists, but highlights showed that he might have been guilty of another trip. Whether or not it was intentional, you can bet that Allen isn't going to be getting the benefit of the doubt from officials at this point. Amile Jefferson scored 11 points before leaving in the first half with a foot injury, and the Blue Devils leading rebounder will not be available here tonight. The Seminoles are coming off back to back wins over Top 25 teams, including an upset win at Virginia. Duke has failed to cover the spread in six of it's last seven road games, and is 0-5 ATS in it's last five as an underdog of five points or less. This looks like a tough spot for the banged up Blue Devils. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-17 | Xavier v. Villanova -7.5 | Top | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
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01-09-17 | Quinnipiac +7.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
The Bobcats have lost a lot of games this season, but they rarely get blown out. The've won two of their last three, and the one loss was an 83-77 defeat at Canisius, a game that Quinnipiac led until midway through the second half. The Bobcats are getting a bunch of points on the road at St. Peters tonight, and the Peacocks are just 3-3 at home. They are coming off a 56-54 loss to Sienna on Saturday, and it was the fifth time in seven games that they failed to score 60 points. They lost all five of those games, and I think that a team that is struggling offensively is going to have a hard time covering such a big spread here in tonight's game. The Bobcats have scored an average of 74.8 points on 43 percent shooting over their last five games, while the Peacocks have averaged just 59 points on 37 percent shooting during the same span. The last meeting between the two teams was a 56-55 home win for the Bobcats, and I expect a similar result here in this game. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-17 | Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -2 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
I had the Bobcats as a nine point dog in their last game at Canisius, and they covered the spread losing by a score of 83-77. They are back home hosting Manhattan Saturday, and the Jaspers are reeling after losing four straight to start conference play. Manhattan is coming off a blowout home loss to Fairfield, allowing the Stags to score a whopping 97 points on almost 60 percent shooting. The Jaspers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Bobcats played well in their loss to Canisius, leading at halftime and holding that lead until well past the midway point in the second half. If they play with the same passion today, at home against an inferior opponent, they should hang on for a win. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-17 | Virginia Tech +1 v. NC State | Top | 78-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
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01-04-17 | Georgia Tech +19 v. Duke | Top | 57-110 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Duke and Georgia Tech appear to be teams trending in opposite directions. The Blue Devils were upset by Virginia Tech in their opening game of conference play, while the Yellow Jackets upset the #9 ranked UNC Tar Heels. Duke has not looked sharp in it's last three games, beating Elon and Tennessee Tech by a combined 21 points. They were favored by more than 25 points in each of those games, but were fortunate enough just to get the outright victories. There could be tough times ahead for Duke, with Coach K scheduled to take time off after back surgery following this game, and Grayson Allen suspended indefinitely. This line appears to be extremely inflated, especially when you consider that over the last three years these teams have played three times, with Duke winning two of those three games by just a single digit margin. The Blue Devils have won nine straight in this series, but they are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in any of those previous nine games. The Yellow Jackets have been a solid bet when getting at least 13 points, covering in four straight such situations. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-17 | Siena v. Canisius -2 | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
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12-22-16 | LSU v. Wake Forest -8 | Top | 76-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
8* |
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12-22-16 | Canisius +11.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. |
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12-22-16 | Central Arkansas v. Arizona State -18 | Top | 62-98 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Sometimes wins and losses don't tell the real story, and I think that's the case with this 6-6 Arizona State team. The Sun Devils have lost to #1 Kentucky, #9 Creighton, #18 Purdue, Davidson, Northern Iowa and New Mexico State. Despite their .500 record, they've scored plenty of points. They are averaging a staggering 93.8 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting at home. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. They host the 1-11 Central Arkansas Bears in a matinee Thursday, and this really looks like it should be a massacre. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they've only covered the spread once in their last seven road games. Three of their last four road losses came by 20+ points. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-16 | Georgia State v. Middle Tennessee -12.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders.
Georgia State is 0-4 on the road, and three of those four losses came by double digits (at Old Dominion, at Mississippi State, and at Auburn). The Blue Raiders at 10-2 have more wins than any of those teams, and they have beaten some good teams by a wide margin. They have double digit wins over Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Evansville, Belmont, and Toldeo. They are coming off a 80-77 loss at VCU, covering the spread for the sixth straight game. It's only a matter of time before this team becomes overvalued, but I think we are still getting a reasonable price here on the home favorite, as this game should be a blowout. The Panthers have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 road games, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Take MTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | NC-Wilmington v. St Bonaventure -4 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure.
The Bonnies come into Saturday's home game against UNC Wilmington as winners of five straight. They are undefeated at home, and they scored a whopping 90 points in a win over Buffalo in their last home game. The Seahawks are in first place in the CAA, and they were the top team in their conference last year. They didn't fare all that well in non conference road games though, dropping four of their first five. The Bonnies are always tough at home, and they were 14-2 on their home floor last season. They shoot the ball particularly well at home, and have a significant edge when it comes to free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Over their last five games, the Bonnies have shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc, while the Seahawks have hit just 32.1 percent of their three-point attempts during that span. Given how well the Bonnies have played at home in recent seasons, it seems a little odd that they are asked to cover such a low number here. We can see that they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games, but they won those six games by an average margin of more than six points. I think the bookmakers have perhaps overcompensated based on that trend, giving us great value betting the home team as such a short favorite. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | Mercer v. Clemson -13 | Top | 47-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
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12-07-16 | Harvard v. Boston College | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles.
After suffering consecutive double digit losses to Richmond and Kansas State, the Eagles won big at home by a score of 88-70 over Dartmouth. They host another Ivy League team tonight, and While Harvard should prove to be a tougher opponent than Dartmouth, the Crimson are no longer the class of their conference. These teams played last November, and the Eagles won by double digits on their home court. Boston College has won four of it's five home games so far, scoring an average of 79.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting. The Crimson have played just one true road game, losing 70-66 at Massachusetts. They committed 19 turnovers in that game, and shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Eagles leading scorer Jerome Robinson has been feeling the hot hand, totaling 27 points in each of his last two games. He was 10-of-16 from beyond the arc in those two games. This looks like a tough spot for a struggling Harvard team playing on back to back nights. Take B.C. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-30-16 | St. Mary's -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
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11-24-16 | Oakland v. Nevada -5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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11-20-16 | Iona v. Nevada -10.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-16 | Coppin State v. Utah -26 | Top | 51-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Utah. The Utah Utes have played twice this season, winning both games by 40+ points. They are a huge favorite at home tonight against Coppin State, but I don't think 26 points is a big enough number all things considered. The Eagles are playing a rare third game in three nights, and fourth game in five nights. They are coming off back to back 30+ point losses at BYU and Coastal Carolina. Last night in Provo they shot just 25.9 percent from the field, and made just 50% of their free throws. They've given up an average of more than 80 points per game, and this Utah team is as good as anybody they have faced so far. The Utes are well rested, and this looks like it should be a complete mismatch. Utah ranks 3rd nationally averaging 56 rebounds per game, and they have held opponents to an average of 45 points during their 2-0 start. The home team should win this game by 30+ points. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Indiana v. North Carolina -5.5 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on North Carolina. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Iowa State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 140 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavs (GOW). Jesse Schule |
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03-24-16 | Duke +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Wisconsin v. Xavier -4 | Top | 66-63 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. The Yale Bulldogs played about as well as they can possibly play in their opening round win over Baylor, but I think they'll be in way over their heads against Duke on Saturday. We saw Duke handle a bit of adversity overcoming a halftime deficit to beat UNC Wilmington by eight points in their first game, and the Blue Devils are a short favorite here versus Yale. These teams played early in the season, and Duke won that game 80-61. This Blue Devils team has the highest winning percentage in NCAA Tournament history. They have covered the spread in five straight versus the Ivy League, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tourney games. After a slow start against the Seahawks, Marshall Plumlee opted to discard his protective mask, playing with a broken nose fully exposed. He took over down low, scoring 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting. Grayson Allen didn't have a great night shooting, but he scored the majority of his 23 points at the free throw line, going 15-of-17. In the end, Duke just had too much firepower for the Seahawks, and I expect it to be the same story here against Yale. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-16 | VCU -4 v. Oregon State | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 96 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the VCU Rams. |
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5.5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. We've seen Harvard come out of the Ivy League and shake things up when playing teams from the bigger conferences in the NCAA Tournament. I don't expect this Yale team to compete at that level though, not against a high scoring Baylor team that has been battling it out with the Big Boys of the Big12. Keep in mind that three of the nation's Top 10 teams come from this conference (#1 Kansas, #7 Oklahoma and #8 West Virginia). The Bears last game was a 70-66 loss to #1 ranked Kansas in the Big12 tournament. They had previously beat Texas by double-digits, and I think it's not asking to much of Baylor to beat the Ivy League champs just as easily. Yale doesn't match up well against Baylor's size, with senior forward Justin Sears their tallest starter at 6"8. The Bulldogs have held their own, out-rebounding Ivy League teams by a a double digit margin. It's likely to be a different story against a Baylor team that ranks 15th nationally in rebound margin. Baylor went out early last year, but I don't think they'll let this game get away. They should be able to dominate against an overrated Yale team that faced just one ranked team this season, losing to Duke by 19 points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-16 | Kentucky -3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Texas A&M crushed LSU in the SEC Semi Final yesterday, winning by a whopping 33 points. The Tigers set a new mark for futility, as their 38 total points was the fewest scored by a Power 5 team this season. While it was an impressive performance by Texas A&M, beating up on an a vulnerable LSU team is perhaps not the best way to warmup for a clash with the Wildcats. Kentucky started slow this season, but they come into this game playing as well as anyone. The Wildcats have won five of their last six, with those wins come by an average margin of over 17 points. They shot out the lights against Georgia yesterday, battling back after trailing 49-44 at halftime. They shot 50 percent from the field, and 26-of-30 from the free throw line in the win. The Aggies shot just 56.3 percent from the foul line in their win over LSU. This looks like the type of game that could be decided at the free throw line, and that should favor the Wildcats. Kentucky comes in red hot, shooting better than 50 percent from the field over it's last five games, and better than 45 percent from beyond the arc. I think the Aggies are going to struggle as they step up in class after their easy win yesterday. They've failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 coming off a win of more than 20 points. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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03-11-16 | Kansas -5 v. Baylor | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas crushed BIG12 rivals Kansas State on Thursday, and they are the team to beat, ranked #1 in the country. They take on the inconsistent Baylor Bears tonight, and I think the price to back the Jayhawks is more than reasonable. Kansas comes in as winners of 12 straight, and they covered the spread in 10 of those 12 games. They swept the season series with Baylor, and they've won and covered in seven straight against the Bears since 2013. The Bears finished the season as losers of three of their last four games before beating Texas yesterday. They lost 66-60 at home to Kansas during the regular season, and they shot just 36.1 percent from the field in that game. Kansas has plenty of experience playing neutral site games this season, winning five of six. They scored an average of 80.4 points on 48.6 percent shooting in those games. Opponents have averaged just 63 points on 36.7 percent shooting in the Jayhawks last five games. Take KAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-16 | BYU v. Gonzaga -3 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Gonzaga struggled early in the season with an inexperienced back court, but the Bulldogs still finished tied with the St. Mary's with a 15-3 record in the WCC, and a 24-7 overall record. Their size and skill up front is tough for opponents to deal with, and their young guards now have bit more experience under their belts. The BYU Cougars upset the Bulldogs earlier in the year, but Gonzaga got revenge with a 71-68 at Salt Lake City on Saturday. The two teams will meet in Las Vegas in the conference tourney tonight, and I expect to see a similar result to the last meeting. BYU couldn't get anything going against Gonzaga's defense, shooing just 22-of-67 (32.8 %) from he field. The Bulldogs come in as the hotter team, covering the spread in four of their last five. They have been very good at the free throw line during that span, hitting 78 percent. The Cougars have failed to cover in three of their last five, and are shooting just 67.5 percent from the charity stripe. Free throw shooting could be a big factor in tonight's game, and that may not bode well for BYU. Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-16 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois -5 | Top | 50-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies have quietly been making bettors a fortune at home, going 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 home games. They host the Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC Tournament game tonight, and they already beat the Broncos 76-67 just over a week ago. The Broncos have only won two road games all year long, with a dismal 2-11 road record. While there's nothing easy about handicapping college hoops, I think this is a case of the obvious choice being the best choice. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-16 | Louisville v. Virginia -5 | Top | 46-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavs. The situational handicappers will be licking their chops tonight, lining up to bet on the Cardinals in this revenge game against Virginia. The Cavs trounced the Cardinals in Louisville back in January, handing them their worst loss of the season. I've written extensively about "situational handicapping" throughout my career, and I consider it to be one of the most overrated strategies that a sports handicapper can focus on. I do take note of "revenge spots" such as we see in tonight's game, but unless there are several other key factors that line up in favor of the team seeking revenge, I wouldn't want to bet on that team to do what it failed to do in the previous meeting. There's no reason to think that "revenge" will trump the effort of a Virginia team playing it's final home game before gearing up for the playoffs. Louisville on the other hand is serving a self imposed ban this post-season, so doesn't have anything left to play for. The Cardinals are just 4-6 on the road while Virginia is 14-0 at home. Louisville has failed to cover in eight of it's last nine road games, and they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus teams with a winning record. The Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus teams with a winning straight up record. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-16 | Princeton -5.5 v. Harvard | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Princeton Tigers. The Harvard Crimson have dominated the Ivy League in recent seasons, but they have been brutal in 2016. Harvard has lost eight of 12 games in conference play, and they have failed to cover in 10 of their last 12 overall. Harvard has been burying bettors, going 7-21 ATS in their last 28 versus the Ivy League. They've lost three of their last four home games, including a double digit loss to Yale. Princeton trails Yale by just a half a game in the Ivy League standings, with a 10-1 conference record. The Tigers beat Harvard at home by a whopping 21 points earlier this season, and they should win tonight's game by a wide margin. Princeton has covered the spread in five of it's last seven at Harvard, and four straight on the road. Take PRIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Wisconsin -10 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-49 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are one of the BIG10's bottom feeders, with a conference record of 2-14. They have a losing home record, and they have suffered double digit home losses at the hands of Michigan and Northwestern, and they are coming off a 13 point loss on the road at Illinois. Normally you would expect a pretty strong effort from an underdog like Minnesota in it's final home game, but with three of it's top players suspended for the remainder of the season, maybe not. The Gophers might just fold like a cheap suite here without leading scorer Nate Mason, who had 31 points in the team's only two wins in conference play. Wisconsin has won four straight in this series, and three of those wins came by double digits. They won in Minnesota last year by a score of 76-63. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure +4 | Top | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. The Bonnies will host St. Joes on Wednesday, and it's senior night at St. Bonaventure. History certainly favors the Bonnies, who have won four straight meetings, including a double digit win at St. Joe's earlier this year. The Red Hawks are currently in first place in the A-10, but a home win for the Bonnies would move them into a tie with St. Joe's. St. Bonaventure has won eight of it's last nine overall, and the one loss came on the road at La Salle. They have scored an average of 82.2 points on 49.3 percent shooting over their last five games, and they are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson +5 | Top | 64-57 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. It's Senior's Night at Clemson, and the Tigers will be all fired up as they get set to host the Virginia Cavs. As well as Virginia has played of late, the fact is that they are just 4-6 on the road. I don't think the Cavs have any business being a sizable favorite on the road tonight, where Clemson has won seven of it's last eight. The Tigers covered the spread in six of those games, and even when they lose they don't lose by much. Three of their last four losses came in games decided by three points or less. This game appears to be destined to be a close, low scoring affair, and the home dog looks like a bargain Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh | Top | 62-76 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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02-28-16 | Xavier -1.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 81-90 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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02-24-16 | Villanova v. Xavier -1 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Xavier is 24-3 overall, and one of those three losses came on the road at Villanova. They get a chance to execute a little revenge here at home tonight, and they looked pretty good in a win at Georgetown over the weekend. The Hoyas were one of just three teams to beat Xavier this year, and the Musketeers punished them in the rematch winning 88-70. The loss at Villanova was particularly tough, with Edmond Sumner getting carted off on a stretcher in the opening minutes. The Freshman guard is back, and firing on all cylinders, scoring 22 points on 6-of-9 shooting in the win at Georgetown. Villanova has won seven straight, but has only covered the spread in three of it's last seven. The Wildcats have been cruising through the weaker teams in the Big East, but this is by far their toughest test to date. The Musketeers are 13-1 overall at home, scoring 83.2 points and shooting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc in those games. The Wildcats stats on the road are nowhere near what they are at home, and they face a Musketeers team that is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Take XAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-16 | Virginia v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Jesse Schule |
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02-20-16 | St. Mary's +6.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Gonzaga sits in first place in the West Coast Conference, one game ahead of St. Mary's with a 13-2 conference record. Both teams have 21 wins overall, but the Gaels have two fewer losses. This Gonzaga team has continued to beat up on weak opposition in the conference, but when they've faced tougher opponents they've failed miserably. That was on full display last Saturday when they lost 69-60 at SMU. They've lost to BYU, UCLA, Arizona, Texas A&M and at St. Mary's earlier this year. The Gaels lead the nation in field goal percentage (.509), and they are ranked 5th in three-point percentage (.421). They shot 50 percent from the field in the win over Gonzaga earlier this year, and I think they'll keep this game close tonight. The Bulldogs are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record, and they are asked to cover a big number in tonight's game. The Gaels have covered the spread in six of their last eight against teams above .500. They've also won five of eight straight up on the road. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-16 | Maryland v. Minnesota +10.5 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Jesse Schule |
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02-17-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +5 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Jesse Schule |
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02-17-16 | Syracuse +8 v. Louisville | Top | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Jesse Schule |
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02-13-16 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -1 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish. |
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02-13-16 | Texas A&M v. LSU -1 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers.
Jesse Schule |
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02-12-16 | Dayton -1.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* pay on the Dayton Flyers. Jesse Schule |
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02-09-16 | Toledo v. Buffalo -2 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bulls. |
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02-08-16 | Louisville v. Duke -4 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Jesse Schule |
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02-06-16 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State +5 | Top | 64-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Jesse Schule |
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02-03-16 | Arkansas +9 v. Florida | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Jesse Schule |
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02-02-16 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 90-78 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. |
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02-01-16 | Texas v. Baylor -5 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. The Texan Longhorns are coming off back to back home wins, and they've won five of their last six overall. They face a daunting task on the road tonight at Baylor though, as the Bears are 14-1 at home, and that one loss came at the hands of #1 ranked Oklahoma. Baylor scores an average of 81.7 points on 48.9 percent shooting at home, and they also average 37 rebounds per game. They should be able to dominate on the boards tonight, as Texas is averaging just 28.8 rebounds per game on the road. They are still without starting center and leading rebounder Cameron Ridley, who hasn't played since mid December. Texas lost at Baylor by 23 points last year, and it's dropped three of it's last four away from home. All four of Baylor's home wins against BIG12 teams have come by at least seven points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-16 | Maryland v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 66-61 | Push | 0 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Maryland has been one of the more overrated teams in the country this season, and I think they are being asked to cover a few too many points on the road at Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won back to back games, and seven straight at home. One of those wins was a 74-67 upset over the #4 ranked Kentucky Wildcats. The Terrapins have lost their last two road games at Michigan State and Michigan, and they have lost their last two trips to Columbus. The Buckeyes are cleaning up on the board, averaging 38 rebounds per game at home. They out-rebounded the Illini 51-34 in their last game, and I expect them to own the glass tonight against a Maryland team that has only averaged 32 rebounds per game on the road. Ohio State is 8-2-1 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | San Francisco +17 v. Gonzaga | Top | 48-86 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are coming off an 84-67 home win over Santa Clara, but the Broncos are one of the worst teams in the WCC. This year's Bulldogs team hasn't been nearly as dominant as it has been in previous years. They've already suffered three home losses versus Arizona, UCLA and BYU. They are asked to cover an enormous number here against a San Francisco team that is one of the highest scoring teams in the conference. The Dons played them tough in San Francisco earlier in the year, blowing a big lead late, and then losing in overtime. The Bulldogs are one of the most overrated teams in the country, and they have been terrible against the spread this season. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, and 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Don's have covered the spread in seven of their last nine overall, and six of their last eight as a road underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas will host Kentucky in the BIG12/SEC Challenge on Saturday night, and the Wildcats have really looked vulnerable on the road. The Jayhawks on the other hand are 10-0 at home, and that includes a win over #1 ranked Oklahoma. Kentucky has lost at UCLA, LSU and Ohio State. The Wildcats have failed to cover in 11 of their last 15 road games, and it doesn't get any tougher than this. Kansas has won and covered four straight non-conference games, while the Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. The competition in the BIG12 this year appears to be a cut above what the Wildcats have seen in the SEC. Kansas has won 34 straight at Allen Fieldhouse, and I expect that streak to continue here tonight. Take KU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -8.5 | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Last year's Big Sky champions have failed to impress this year, with a 10-10 overall record and just 4-4 within the conference. The Eagles have been dominant at home though, winning all seven of their games in Washington. The majority of those game were blowouts, such as Thursday's 112-83 shellacking of Portland State. Eastern Washington is averaging and incredible 92 points on 55.9 percent shooting at home. Sacramento State comes in as losers of five of it's last seven, and the Hornets are just 3-6 on the road. Starting guard Cody Demps has missed the last five games for the Hornets with a quadriceps injury, and he's questionable to play tonight. The Hornets have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus the Big Sky. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Virginia v. Louisville -5.5 | Top | 63-47 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. The Virginia Cavaliers have been a powerhouse in the ACC in recent years, but they've really struggled this season. They've dropped four of six on the road, and even though they managed to eke out a win at Wake Forest on Tuesday, they trailed by seven points with just 28 seconds remaining in that game. They connected with a trio of three-pointers in the final 14 seconds, including the winner at he buzzer. This should put them in a position for a big let down as they are in a much tougher spot at Louisville Saturday. The Cardinal are sitting in second in the ACC with a record of 6-1 in conference play. They are 13-0 at home, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10. Louisville should have an enormous advantage on the glass, coming in averaging more than 39 rebounds per game (10 more than the Cavs). They are lighting up the scoreboard at home, averaging 84.4 points on 51 percent shooting so far. The Cavs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Syracuse crushed Notre Dame at home on Thursday night, and I cashed in a winner in that game. Here is what I said before tip off: "The Orange have won three of four, including a pair of wins on the road, one of those a 64-62 win over Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. They allowed just 52.3 points on 34.2 percent shooting in those three wins. Michael Gbinije leads the Orange in scoring, and he's among the national leaders with 53 steals." The Orange have also been red hot from beyond the arc, shooting 40 percent from three point range over their last five games. They made 10 three-pointers in the win over the Irish. Georgia Tech is coming off a road win at North Carolina State, but had dropped three straight prior to that. After watching the Orange completely dismantle Notre Dame on Thursday, it's hard to imagine that the Yellow Jackets will have much of a chance here on Saturday. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-16 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -3.5 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Jesse Schule |
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01-27-16 | Louisville v. Virginia Tech +8 | Top | 91-83 | Push | 0 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies. |
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01-26-16 | Indiana v. Wisconsin +2 | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Indiana Hoosiers are 7-0 in conference play, and their stock is on the rise. I think the #19 ranked Hoosiers are a little overrated coming into Wisconsin as a favorite. They just barely escaped with a 59-58 win at home when the two teams played earlier this season. Wisconsin has suffered a few losses at home, but they looked pretty tough in a 63-60 loss to Maryland. Melo Trimble hit a buzzer beater to break the Badgers hearts in that game. The Badgers most recent home game was an upset win over Michigan State, led by Bronson Koenig's 27 point performance. The Hoosiers have really struggled against Wisconsin, going 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and losing five straight in Madison. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-16 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +7 | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 4-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last six overall, and all three wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. They snuck by Syracuse at home on the weekend, and now they are asked to cover a big number on the road at Wake Forest. The Cavs only have one win in five games on the road this season, and that was at Ohio State in December. They won that game 64-58, less than the margin they are asked to cover tonight. Virginia has since lost at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Florida State. Not exacty powerhouse teams. Four of the last six meetings between these two teams have been decided by five points or less, and Virginia is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-16 | Duke +3.5 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. We don't often see Duke as an underdog, but after sufferring three straight losses in conference play, the Blue Devils stock is low. All three of those losses came in close games against hot teams, and they turned things around with a double digit win on the road at N.C. State in their last game. Miami has an impressive record, but there's no denying that the Hurricanes have had a much softer schedule. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in recent meetings between these two schools, as the home team is 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10. The Canes upset Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last season, which sets up a nice revenge play here in Miami. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-16 | Syracuse +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 3-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last five overall, and both wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. Still they are asked to win by double digits at home to Syracuse, a team that's coming off big road wins over Wake Forest and Duke. The Orange got off to a slow start, but that's understandable as they were missing head coach Jim Boeheim. Since his return they have turned things around winning three of four, but they can't afford to too many more losses if they want to keep post-season aspirations alive. The Orange have really turned up the heat on defense, allowing just 63 points per game over their last five. That's slightly less than Virginia has surrendered during the same span. "Our rebounding has been better and our defense has been better and those are two things you have to do, especially defense," said Boeheim. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-16 | Providence +13 v. Villanova | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars. |