Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-21 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 217.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 219 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 1H. The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 | 95-120 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 242.5 | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Nets have lost back to back games, giving up 128 points versus Portland, and surrendering 117 points in a loss to Milwaukee. Neither of those games went over 240 combined points, and it seems reasonable to expect a better effort on defense here as they look to get off the schneid. The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The under is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | 112-122 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 220.5. The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 225.5 | 113-131 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 225.5. The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 228 | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 225 | 115-112 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224.5 | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 218 | 124-109 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 | 121-140 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 225 | 136-106 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | 115-129 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-21 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 227 | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-20 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 229 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 206 | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 206. I bet the under in Game 2, and it just barely hit landing on 207. The Celtics scored 60 points in the first half, and then once again they fell apart late. This is turning out to be a ratings nightmare for the league, and everyone outside of Miami is hoping and praying Boston can come back and make this a series again. A few favorable calls and a few more trips to the free throw line wouldn't be much of a suprise in Game 3. Miami keeps getting their points, and they are now 10-1 in the playoffs. They have averaged 112 points in those games, failing to score 100 or more just once. The over is 26-12 in Miami's last 38 games following a straight up win. These teams have only gone over in one of the last six meetings, when the Heat won in overtime in Game 1. That being said, five of those six games saw more than 206 points. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1." A late collapse by the Celtics allowed the Heat to force OT, and the total went well over. I expect a tighter defensive game here in Game 2. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 117-114 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 125-122 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Celtics have the defending champions on the ropes, and given that this is an elimination game for Toronto, we should expect a hard fought defensive battle. Every game in this series so far has gone under, and I don't see either of these teams lossening up the defense in Game 6. I said this prior to Game 3: "The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 224 | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Under. The Rockets shocked the Lakers in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinal, but history tells us we can expect them to bounce back in Game 2. They lost Game 1 in their first round series versus Portland, and responded with a strong defensive effort in Game 2, holding the Blazers to just 88 points. The Rockets have a reputation for playing high scoring games, but they have gone under in six of their last seven as an underdog. The under is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Lakers have gone under in five of their last six off a double digit home loss. These teams have gone under in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 223.5 | 100-115 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks find themselves down 0-2 after losing 116-114 in Game 2. The final score soared well past the listed number, but perhaps it was closer than you think. With under two minutes to play in the game, the score was 110-102, and under bettors still had 10 points to work with. They went on to score 18 points in the final minute and 45 seconds, when they could have easily scored 8-10 or even fewer during that span. Despite some excellent defense by Miami, and the Bucks facing a must win situation, the total for Game 3 hasn't come down at all. These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the Heat have gone under in four of their last five in the Conference Semifinals. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 218.5 | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under in Game 7. We saw some strong defensive play in Game 6, with the Thunder recording the upset by a score of 104-100. Expect more of the same in a winner takes all Game 7. Last night's Game 7 between Utah and Denver ended with a final score of 80-78, going under by more than 60 points. The under is 48-21-1 in the Thunder's last 70 games as an underdog. The under is 9-3 in the Rockets last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 overall. We expect every possession to be a war, with no easy buckets. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-20 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 217.5 | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 218. |
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08-31-20 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 115-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 223.5. The Miami Heat were the only team in the Eastern Conference to win a regular season series versus Milwaukee. These teams are both among the top defensive sides in the NBA, and seven of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the number. Three of the four games Miami played in the first round fell well short of the number of 223.5, and the under is 13-6-2 in Bucks last 21 versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Bucks averaged 116 points per game in their series versus Orlando, a few points fewer than their regular season average. I expect points to be even harder to come by against the Heat. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-24-20 | Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 225 | 135-115 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. All three games in this series have gone under, and that hasn't really moved the needle with bookmakers keeping the total on the same number. After a terrible shooting performance in Game 1, the Lakers have turned up the defensive intensity and focused on high percentage shots. LeBron wants to muddy it up a little, knowing it's not a good idea to get into a shootout with Dame and the Blazers. The under is 11-5 in the Lakers last 16 games as a favorite, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 14 overall. The under is 4-1 in the Blazers last five Conference Quarterfinals games, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight as an underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222 | 110-134 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on under 222. The defending champions played 24 playoff games last season, and only five of those games saw more than 222 points. In their first round series versus Orlando all five games fell well short of that number. They come into the first round of this year's playoffs as the biggest favorite on the board, and they boast the NBA's #1 ranked defense. The Raptors were one of few teams (if not the only team) that played low scoring games in the bubble. The under is 7-2 in Toronto's last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 218.5 | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 218.5. So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. So far all of the Raptor's games have gone under, and by a large margin. They are facing the Celtics for the fourth time this season, and two of the first three meetings went under the total. Kemba Walker is expected to play after resting a sore knee in the last game, but he's averaging just 14 points over his last four games. Marc Gasol preaches team defense: "In our locker room, if you don't have the will or the discipline to play defense, it is going to be really hard for you to see the floor, and that gives the coaches a lot of credit, right?" Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-05-20 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 228 | 115-149 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 228. So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Monday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. On Tuesday that trend continued, but one of the games that did go over was the Nets win over Milwaukee. It was the largest upset in the NBA in the last 27 years. That could set them up for a let down here against Boston. The Celtics are resting leading scorer Kemba Walker, so don't be surprised if these teams struggle to reach such a high number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-04-20 | Magic v. Pacers UNDER 224 | 109-120 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 224. So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Yesterday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. The Magic are facing the Pacers on Tuesday, and both teams have been impressive so far. The bookmakers haven't set a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 meetings between these teams, and in fact the last six meetings had a total set below 210. Both these teams are among the top defensive squads in the NBA, and I expect this game to have a playoff feel to it. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-20 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 227.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 227.5. The Spurs and the Sixers are trending in opposite directions. This isn't the same San Antonio team we saw struggle during the season. Since the restart they have won back to back games, and they look like a team desperate to make the playoffs. The Sixers on the other hand are the exact same team they were earlier this season. Philly was brutal away from home, and their first game of the restart was a loss to Indiana. The Sixers rank just 21st in the NBA in scoring, and 7th in the NBA in points allowed. We should see a playoff type atmosphere in this game, which should keep the score under 227.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-20 | Wolves v. Raptors OVER 227 | 126-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@TOR to go Over the total. The Minnesota T-Wolves shook things up at the trade deadline, and their first game with a new look roster was dramatic indeed. They scored 142 points in a blowout win over the Clippers Saturday. They attempted 44 three-point shots in the game, making 26 of them. This is a team that needs to score to win games, because they rank 27th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game. The Raptors scored 122 points in a double digit win at Minnesota earlier this year, and another high score should be expected here tonight. Toronto has won 13 straight overall, and the majority of those games were high scoring. Their last two home games have ended with the exact same score (119-118). The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and the Raptors have gone over in four straight home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 242 | Top | 111-139 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@NO to go Under the total. The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-20 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 228 | 120-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-05-20 | Blazers v. Heat UNDER 223 | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go Under the total. The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 121-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@BKN to go Under the total. The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 220 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go Over the total. The Spurs have turned things around, winning five of their last seven home games. San Antonio is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 113 points per game. They would have a lot better record if they weren't allowing opponents to average over 115 points per game. The Warriors had won four straight, but then lost 141-121 at home to Dallas on Sunday. The over is 12-3 in the Spurs last 15 games as a home favorite, and they have gone over in four straight at home. The Spurs hit a season high 18 three-point shots in a win over Detroit on Saturday. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 217.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-23-19 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 216 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@PHX to go Over the total. The Nuggets come into Phoenix as winners of six straight, and they have scored an average of more than 114 points per game during that span. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Suns are far from an average opponent. Phoenix averages over 114 points per game, but they allow opponents to average even more than that. The over is 9-0 in the Suns last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 14 home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 205.5 | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@LAL to go Over the total. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@TOR to go Under the total. |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 210 | 121-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@UTAH to go Under the total. The Lakers are coming off a 105-96 win over the Nuggets last night, winning for the 11th time in their last 12 games. The Lakers are ranked as one of the top teams in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing an average of 103 points per game so far this season. They might have a tough time on the road on back to back nights against the Utah Jazz, who are another one of the league's top defensive teams. The Lakers have gone under in six straight, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games in Utah. The Jazz are coming off a 103-94 loss at Philly, and the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings UNDER 211 | 113-106 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@SAC to go Under the total.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Kings rank 28th in the NBA in scoring, while the Bulls rank 25th. Chicago has failed to score 100 points in two of their last three overall, and they face a Kings defense that is playing fantastic defense of late. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-19 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 110-121 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on BKN@BOS to go Under the total.
I had the under in the Celtics last game, and here is what I said prior to their 103-102 win over Sacramento: "The Celtics and the Kings are two teams that have been hit hard by injuries, and we should expect them to play a low scoring game here in Boston tonight. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in five straight, holding opponents to fewer than 98 points per game during that span. They have only won two of their last five games though, failing to average 100 points per game during that span. They will be playing a rematch in a home and home versus the Kings, after losing 100-99 in Sacramento last week. These two teams have gone under in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and the under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Boston." Kemba might return tonight, but the number is a whopping 20 points higher than the closing total for the Sacramento game. I'll fade this inflated total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@ATL to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks have gone over (223.5) in eight straight games overall, and they allowed 76 points in the first half of a 128-103 loss at Detroit in their last game. The Raptors come into tonight's game as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they will be a seven point favorite here tonight. Toronto has scored an average of 120 points in thier last six wins. The over is 6-0 in the Hawks last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I think Toronto will be content to play a wide open game, as long as they know they will get the better of it. We should see plenty of scoring here. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 119-122 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@LAC to go Under the total. The Rockets are coming off a 105-95 loss at Denver, and they have another tough game tonight in LA. They beat the Clippers 102-93 at home just last week, and LA will be looking for revenge. The Clippers rank among the top defensive teams in the NBA, while Houston has allowed opponents to average over 113 points per game (20th in the NBA). The Rockets defense has been much better lately though, allowing just over 103 points per game in their last nine overall. The lowest score during that span was their game against the Clippers. LA has gone under in eight of their last 10 home games and nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@UTAH to go Under the total. The Jazz rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 100 points per game. They have been even better at home, holding the Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Thunder to 100 points or less. Utah needs to play well defensively, because the Jazz only average 104.7 points per game (26th overall). The under is 8-1 in the Timberwolves last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 15 overall, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 214.5 | 106-107 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@MEM to go Over the total. The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game this season. They have not been as sharp on the road, allowing over 100 points in each of their last three road games. The Grizzlies are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing over 118 points per game. They come into tonight's game as a home underdog looking for a third straight win. The over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 211.5 | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total. The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under. Winning a Game 7 on the road isn't easy, and for Portland they will be playing at altitude in Denver where the Nuggets owned the best home record in the NBA this season. Denver has won just two of their three home games in this series, suffering a let down in Game 2. They won by a whopping 26 points (124-98) in the last game at the Pepsi Center. The Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Denver, and they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets were up by 14 points at halftime in Game 7 versus the Spurs, and they held San Antonio to just 34 first half points. Both teams will likely be fighting extra hard on defense tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 45 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total. I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total. |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | Top | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-19 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 235 | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
8* |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 203.5 | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 42 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go Under the total.
I bet on the under in Game 2 of this series, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 207 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on IND@BOS to go Under the total. The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 113-149 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@ORL to go Under the total. The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors won't have their starting PG Kyle Lowry tonight at home in the second game of a home and home versus Oklahoma City. They beat the Thunder 123-114 in overtime on Wednesday, and it was a low scoring game in regulation. The Thunder really need to get back on track, they are in danger of slipping all the way to the 8th seed and playing Golden State in the first round. The under is 10-4 in the Thunder's last 14 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games. History favors OKC here as the road team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHI@CHA to go Under the total. The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-19 | Kings v. Wizards UNDER 240 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@WAS to go Under the total. Both these teams are on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs, but either team could be right back in the mix if they could string a few wins together. Sacramento comes in as winners of two of their last three, although both those wins came against the New York Knicks. Washington has lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't really look like a team that is trying to make the playoffs. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all of those nine games. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington, and the under is 9-2-1 in Kings last 12 road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-19 | Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 218.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Detroit Pistons, who currently sit in sixth place in the East. The Pistons have won six of their last seven overall, and 10 of their last 12. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they have gone under in 10 of their last 14 when playing on one day's rest. They held Cleveland to just 93 points in their last road game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-19 | Mavs v. Magic UNDER 213.5 | 106-111 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@ORL to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Orlando Magic, who sit just one game back of Miami for first place in the Southeast. They might just have to win the division if they want to make the playoffs, making tonight's game against the Mavs a "must win". The Mavs come in as losers of eight of their last nine, and they rank 22nd in the NBA in scoring. The under is 14-4 in the Mavs last 18 versus Eastern Conference teams, while Orlando has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-19 | Wizards v. Hornets UNDER 234 | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@CHA to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Charlotte Hornets, who sit just one game out of first place in the Southeast. They might have to win the division to make it into the playoffs, and that makes tonight's game against Washington a "must win". Charlotte is coming off a 91-84 home loss to Miami, and I expect tonight's game to be another battle against a division rival. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-19 | Wolves v. Pacers UNDER 222 | 115-122 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on MIN@IND to go Under the total. The Indiana Pacers are coming off back to back losses, but they look good to get back on track against the Minnesota Timberwolves at home tonight. Minnesota is a terrible road team, with a record of 9-22 away from the Twin Cities. The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking first in the league allowing 103.5 points per game. They lost 101-91 at Minnesota earlier this season, but the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings. The under is 39-18 in Pacers last 57 home games, and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-19 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 239 | 119-125 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-26-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 238 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets are three games up on Oklahoma City, sitting first place in the Northwest Division. They have been one of the toughest defensive teams in the Western Conference this season, and they have given the Thunder plenty of trouble in recent head to head meetings. Denver won all four meetings versus Oklahoma City in 2018, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in the last two head to head meetings. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings, but tonight's total is way higher than it was in any of those previous eight games. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 when playing a team with a winning record. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 227 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors are 2.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference, and they will play a huge game at home versus Boston tonight. This is also a big game for the Celtics, who are coming off back to back losses, and are still looking to establish themselves as a contender in the East. Both these two teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, so it's a little surprising that tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight road games, and each of their last five visits to Toronto yeilded less than 225 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 228 | 142-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@DEN to go under the total. The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 221.5 | 105-122 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors are coming off a 104-101 win over the Hawks, in a game that they trailed for most of the first three quarters. They played a similar game against the Nets in Brooklyn a few weeks ago, and they ended up losing in OT by score of 106-105. The Nets have been rolling lately, winning four of their last five. They have played solid defense, allowing 100 points or less in each of their last three wins. Four of the last six head to head meetings between these teams have come up short of the total. Brooklyn hasn't seen 220 combined points in any of their last four games. I expect another low scoring game in Toronto tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 223.5 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go Under the total. One of the biggest stories of the first half of the season has been an increase in scoring league wide. While the numbers are up this year from years past, one trend has held true for as long as I can remember. When the playoffs get closer, the defensive intensity always increases. This appears to be the case for the Spurs, who have been steadily impoving on defense. Their last home game was a 108-88 win over the Grizzlies. They come into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six, and they have allowed just 103 points per game during that span. The Thunder rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and 4-1 in the last five at San Antonio. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors UNDER 210 | 116-122 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@TOR to go Under the total. The Utah Jazz are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 5th overall in opponent's scoring average. They face a Raptors team that has really struggled offensively without PG Kyle Lowry. Toronto has averaged just over 97 points per game while going 2-2 in their last four games. They shot just 37 percent from the field against the Bulls, and just over 34 percent from the field in a loss to Orlando. The Jazz have gone under in seven straight when coming off a win, and the under is 8-1 in their last nine overall. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. I think this number is far higher than it should be. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 210 | 93-110 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MEM@GSW to go Over. The Warriors are back at full strength, with Draymond and Steph back from injuries. While they have won five of their last six, they haven't exactly looked that sharp. They lost a revenge game to the Raptors at home by a score of 113-93, and they needed to rally from behind to beat Sacramento. Their defense hasn't been very good, allowing and average of 110 points per game in their last six. The trends suggest that these teams have gone under more often than over, but the last two meetings both went way over the total. The Warriors scored 117, and 141 points in those games. I expect to see a high scoring first half here in Oakland. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | 123-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@LAC to go Under the total. The Toronto Raptors are still the best team in the NBA, or at least they still have the best record. They come into LA off back to back losses to Milwaukee and Brooklyn, and they struggled to score in both of those games. Kyle Lowry is just 1-for-13 from the field in his last two starts, and he's just 3-for-25 from three point range in his last four starts. The total for tonight's game in LA looks a little inflated, in fact the number is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 12 of the last 15 in NBA. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight games, and they should be locked in defensively tonight as they look to avoid a third straight loss. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230 | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-01-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total.
When an old cat like D-Rose is dropping 50 in a single game, you know that defense is dead in the NBA. Scoring is up, and there's no denying that. The Celtics and the Bucks are two teams that still play a little defense though, ranking 1st and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average. The Celtics haven't seen any of their games reach 220 points yet this season, and I wouldn't bet on that changing in such a big game here at the Garden tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-03-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 213 | 128-110 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@TOR Under. |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total Jesse Schule |
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04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total.
The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224.5 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
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04-23-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 96-113 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. |
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04-22-18 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total.
The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |