Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Grizz. Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls. When it was announced that Ja Morant will not play Game 5, the line moved 2.5 points. Of course Morant didn't play Game 4 in Golden State and that game went right down to the wire. Memphis is now 20-6 straight up in games without Morant this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Memphis, and the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -5 | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Boston. The Celtics stole all the momentum in this series with a come from behind win in Milwaukee in Game 4. Al Horford took the game over in the 4th quarter, scoring 30 points on 11-of-14 shooting. A pivotal Game 5 on the road looks like a tough spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six at The Garden. They are are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. My money is on the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. I said this prior to Game 2: "The Suns just barely covered in Game 1, after allowing Dallas to score 35 in the fourth quarter. That being said the game was never in doubt, the Suns were up by 13 points at the half and they took a 17 point lead into the 4th quarter. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in the last 30 meetings, and they are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix. The Suns have won 10 straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them." The Mavs went on to win both games in Dallas drawing level in the series, and Chris Paul really struggled in those games. CP3 has something to prove here, and I like the Suns to blow the doors off early. The home team has won the first quarter in all four games in this series so far. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -160 | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 42 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Heat are reeling after losing back to back games in Philly, but some home cooking might be just what the doctor ordered. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Miami, and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Jimmy Buckets scored 40 in Game 4, and I expect him to take over this series here in Miami. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-09-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. The Bucks held on to win Game 3 as the Celtics game tying shot came just after the time expired. There was a lot of talk about controversial calls, and neither team was happy about the officiating. The fact that Jason Tatum scored 10 points on 4-of-19 shooting and the game nearly went to overtime might actually be a good sign heading into Game 4. Surely Tatum will be better here on Monday. The Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. The Celtics are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers -130 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHI. Who would of thought that Philly would come into Game 4 as the favorite, with a chance to tie the series. They looked completely overmatched in the first two games of this series, but now it's Miami that is dealing with injuries. Embiid is back, while Lowry, Butler, Hero, Strus, Tucker, Vincent, Martin and Dedmon are all playing hurt. Miami scored just 79 points on 35 percent shooting in Game 3, and I am expecting them to struggle again here in Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-08-22 | Suns v. Mavs +110 | 101-111 | Win | 110 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
05-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -6 | 112-142 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Grizzlies have had trouble with slow starts in these playoffs, and they are strutting into San Francisco with their chests puffed out after a big win in Game 2. This sets them up for a big let down here in Game 3, and I expect the Warriors to blow the doors off early. The Warriors lost once in their first round series versus Denver, and in the next game they started strong leading 30-25 after the first quarter. The Grizzlies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -145 | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 64 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and Boston has lost four of their last five in Milwaukee. Their last visit was exactly a month ago, and the Bucks won that game 127-121. After the beating they took in Game 2 at the Garden, they will have a point to prove. Expect them to start like a house on fire, blowing the doors off in the first quarter and taking a healthy lead to the locker room at halftime. In the first round they lost Game 2 versus the Bulls, and went on to win the next game by 30 points. The Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs -105 | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
05-03-22 | Bucks +4.5 v. Celtics | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. The Celtics had no answer for Milwaukee in Game 1, and it's difficult to imagine how they are going to turn things around a few days later without Marcus Smart. Boston was a 4.5 point favorite in Game 1, and they are again asked to cover points in Game 2. It seems quite clear that even if the Celtics can win this game (and that might be a big if) they shouldn't be asked to cover a bunch of points against a the two time MVP and defending NBA Champions. The Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Suns came into the post-season as the best team in the NBA, and in the first round they survived an injury to Devin Booker. They host the Mavs in the second round, and Booker is back at full strength. Chris Paul ia coming off a perfect shooting night, going 14-of-14 from the field in Game 6 versus the Pelicans. The Suns have won nine straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-02-22 | 76ers v. Heat -175 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 70 h 19 m | Show | |
5* |
|||||||
05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -185 | 101-89 | Loss | -185 | 38 h 16 m | Show | |
5* |
|||||||
04-28-22 | Mavs -135 v. Jazz | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. I said this prior to Game 5: "I bet on Utah in Game 4, and I consider myself quite lucky to have escaped with a win. The Jazz held on to win by a score of 100-99, despite 30 points from Luka Doncic. The calf injury that kept him out of the first three games didn't seem to bother Luka, and he looked great in his return. The Jazz are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Mavericks, and their reputation for choking in the post-season looms large." The Mavs have all the momentum and with Donovan Mitchell hurt this series could be over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-28-22 | Suns -130 v. Pelicans | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Suns. The Suns were the best team in the NBA this season, and they have a chance to clinch this series here in New Orleans tonight. They proved that they have the depth to win without their leading scorer, even on the road. They will get Booker back tonight, and that makes it a daunting task for the Pelicans. The Suns have covered in four of their last five at New Orleans, and three of those four wins came by a double digit margin. Expect this to be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-28-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +105 | 132-97 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TOR. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "No team has ever come back from an 0-3 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, so you have to think this series is over. That being said, the Raptors have to chance to prevent the Sixers from celebrating on their court if they can win Game 4 and extend the series. The Sixers are due for a let down after winning Game 3 with a buzzer beater three-point shot from Joel Embiid. The 76ers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Toronto, and I like the Raptors to salvage some pride here in Game 4." With Embiid struggling to play hurt, and Toronto potentially at full strength in Game 6, this series appears to be destined to go to a Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I bet Miami in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4." Back in Miami it's going to get ugly for Trae Young and the Hawks. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -150 | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. I bet on Utah in Game 4, and I consider myself quite lucky to have escaped with a win. The Jazz held on to win by a score of 100-99, despite 30 points from Luka Doncic. The calf injury that kept him out of the first three games didn't seem to bother Luka, and he looked great in his return. The Jazz are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Mavericks, and their reputation for choking in the post-season looms large. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-24-22 | Heat -125 v. Hawks | 110-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-23-22 | Celtics v. Nets -150 | 109-103 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. Right now the Jazz are the laughing stock of the NBA. Everyone has them labelled as fraud, a team that can't win in the Playoffs despite success in the regular season. As bad as it is, they still have a chance to even the series at 2-2 with a win on their home court against a Dallas team that has been playing without it's leading scorer. It will be very important for the Jazz to get off to a good start in Game 4. This does look like a let down spot for the Mavs. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +135 | 102-110 | Win | 135 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. No team has ever come back from an 0-3 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, so you have to think this series is over. That being said, the Raptors have to chance to prevent the Sixers from celebrating on their court if they can win Game 4 and extend the series. The Sixers are due for a let down after winning Game 3 with a buzzer beater three-point shot from Joel Embiid. The 76ers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Toronto, and I like the Raptors to salvage some pride here in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +128 | 111-81 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bulls. |
|||||||
04-21-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +110 | 104-95 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. The home team won all four meetings during the regular season, but the Timberwolves shocked the Grizzlies by winning Game 1 in Memphis. The Grizzlies handed them a 28 point loss in Game 2, and the Timberwolves are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. Back home for Game 3, I expect the home team to come out firing on all cylinders from the opening tip off. The Grizzlies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games. Memphis could suffer a let down here in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-20-22 | Bulls +10 v. Bucks | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. DeRozan after Game 1: "I'm not gonna go 6-for25 again". The Bulls shot 32 % from the field and just 18 % from beyond the arc in Game 1 and still almost won. While I am not convinced the Bulls won't get swept, I think it's asking a lot for the Bucks to be a double digit favorite after nearly blowing the series opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +110 | 104-101 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. This series has been totally one-sided so far, but expect the Raptors to push back in Game 3 in Toronto. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six north of the border. The Raptors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss. They know that this is a must win, and I expect them to blow the doors off in the first half. When Toronto lost the first two games of the Conference Finals versus the Milwaukee Bucks in 2019, they went on to win the next four games, winning the series and going on to win the Championship. Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam were a huge part of that championship squad, and they should be great with their backs against the wall in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-20-22 | Nets v. Celtics -160 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston. I said this before Game 1: "While KD and Kyrie are without a doubt a formidable force, the Nets have serious issues with depth. The Nets won their play-in game against the Cavs, but failed to cover. Kyrie started that game 12-for-12, and you have to wonder what would have happened if he didn't make every shot, and realize you can't count on him to do that every night. The Celtics were the best team in the NBA after the All Star break, and they finished the season winning 19 of their last 25 overall. The Celtics dominated the season series, even when both Kyrie and KD were in the lineup. A lack of depth, poor defense and relying too heavily on two players is a lot to overcome for Brooklyn." The Nets shot 53.8% from the field and over 45% from beyond the arc, and it wasn't enough to win Game 1. I don't expect it to get an easier in Game 2 in Boston. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -6.5 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. I had high hopes for the Raptors in this series, but losing three key players (Barnes, Trent Jr. and Young) in Game 1 doesn't bode well heading into Game 2 in Philly. The MVP Joel Embiid scored just 19 points on 5 -of-15 shooting in Game 1, and the Sixers won by 20. You can expect Embiid to be better in Game 2, and all of a sudden the Raptors are at a huge disadvantage. Toronto was in foul trouble throughout Game 1, and Van Fleet and Boucher both fouled out. Staying out of foul trouble is going to be that much more difficult with fewer bodies to through out there. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-17-22 | Nets v. Celtics -170 | 114-115 | Win | 100 | 90 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston. The media is pumping up the Nets, and many are picking Brooklyn as the team to beat in the Eastern Conference. While KD and Kyrie are without a doubt a formidable force, the Nets have serious issues with depth. The Nets won their play-in game against the Cavs, but failed to cover. Kyrie started that game 12-for-12, and you have to wonder what would have happened if he didn't make every shot, and realize you can't count on him to do that every night. The Celtics were the best team in the NBA after the All Star break, and they finished the season winning 19 of their last 25 overall. The Celtics dominated the season series, even when both Kyrie and KD were in the lineup. A lack of depth, poor defense and relying too heavily on two players is a lot to overcome for Brooklyn. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-16-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. I like the Raptors to steal Game 1 and win this series in six games or less. Philly is the favorite, but it's no secret that they don't match up well with this young, athletic Raptors team. James Harden is a proven playoff performer (proven to underperform). He averaged just over 10 points per game in the Eastern Conference Semi Finals versus Milwaukee last year. He averaged just over 15 points per game in the month of April, and it's obvious that he didn't come into this season in the best shape of his life. The Raptors are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-16-22 | Jazz -185 v. Mavs | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz. No Luka Doncic in Game 1 should spell trouble for the Mavs. Dallas played 17 games without him this season, going 8-9 and averaging 107 points per game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff games as a favorite, and they have covered four straight in the first round. Utah has a history of playoff disappointment, losing in the second round to the Clippers last year, and getting bounced in the first round by Denver the year before that. They have an opportunity to flip the script here, and I expect them to take full advantage. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-15-22 | Hawks -130 v. Cavs | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 42 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Cavs were a competitive team in the East during the regular season, and they have an impressive group of young and talented players. I don't think they are ready to take the next step into the post-season though, and that is evidenced by the fact that they lost seven of their last 10 games. Atlanta made it to the Eastern Conference Finals in last year's playoffs, and watching them play their play-in game against Charlotte it looked like they are ready for another strong post-season run. Trae Young has lit up the Cavs to the tune of 32.5 points per game in the season series (4 games). The Hawks have covered in six straight as a favorite, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Cavs. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks -180 | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks host the Charlotte Hornets in the play-in game Wednesday, and home court advantage should be key in this game. The Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite, and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Atlanta had as many home wins as the Milwaukee Bucks (27) during the regular season. Trae Young finished the season strong, averaging 31 points per game in his last five starts. He averaged four points more at home than he does on the road. The Hornets will miss Gordon Hayward, and wiithout him it will be tough to keep up with high scoring Hawks in Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-12-22 | Clippers +140 v. Wolves | 104-109 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clippers. Normally I would take a look at stats and trends in my analysis, but in the case of the Clippers the numbers don't seem all that relevant. Norman Powell (they call him Playoff Powell in Toronto) missed all but two games in the second half of the season, and since his return he's averaged 22 points and the Clippers won both games. Paul George only played in five games after the All Star break, but he's ready to go for the playoffs. Veteran forward Marcus Morris has also missed a significant portion of the season. but he's also healthy in time for the playoffs. Minnesota has enjoyed success in the regular season, but I am reminded of Jimmy Butler's final days in Minnesota. In his final practice with the team he told Karl Anthony Towns that he was "as soft as a baby's sh#t". Jimmy has since backed up his talk, but the verdict is still out on KAT and the rest of the T-Pups. I'll take the more experienced Clippers as a dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-10-22 | Heat v. Magic +12 | 111-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Orlando. The Heat have already clinched first place in the East, so this is a meaningless game in Orlando. Jimmy Butler didn't travel with the team, and this should be a game where the starters give way to the backups. The Magic won their last home game by a score of 120-115 over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat have only covered twice in their last seven games at Orlando, and the Magic look good as a double digit home dog in a meaningless game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-08-22 | Hornets v. Bulls -130 | 133-117 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The Bulls have faded in the second half of the season, and they come into tonight's home game against Charlotte off three straight losses. Those losses came against Milwaukee, Boston and Miami, the top three teams in the East. The Hornets have already clinched a spot in the play-in, and right now their top priority might be staying healthy. Gordon Hayward is not expected to play as he rests his foot injury. The Bulls don't want to take a losing streak into the playoffs, so they should go all out tonight. The Bulls are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite, while the Hornets have failed to cover in five straight when playing the second game of a back to back. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-05-22 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 234.5 | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Spurs come into Denver as winners of six of their last seven overall, and given the high stakes with just a few games to go in the regular season this might as well be a playoff game. Denver is just a half game up on Utah in the Northwest, and the Spurs are just two games up on the Lakers for the final play-in spot. San Antonio has played solid defense during a five game stretch, allowing an average of just 107.6 points. The total for tonight's game is 10+ points higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 19-9-2 in Spurs last 30 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 at Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-31-22 | Clippers v. Bulls -144 | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chicago. The Bulls were sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference earlier in the season, but they have slipped all the way to 5th in the East, trailing first place Miami by 4.5 games. They appear to be primed to finish strong, with most of their starting lineup healthy and DeMar Derozan scoring 30+ in back to back games. The Clippers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Clippers, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Chicago is also 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-26-22 | Nets -160 v. Heat | 110-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN. The Nets still need to go on a winning streak to get into the playoffs, but things appear to be trending in the right direction as Kyrie Irving has been cleared to play in the rest of their home games. We got a preview of what Kyrie and KD can do, as they went off for a combined 78 points. They were on the wrong side of a shootout in Memphis, but they might have more luck here in Miami against a struggling Heat team. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight home games. The Nets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-23-22 | Nets -135 v. Grizzlies | 120-132 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN, |
|||||||
03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 117-111 | Push | 0 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Hawks are currently sitting in the 10th spot in the Eastern Conference, which has them playing a play-in game to advance to the playoffs. They are only 2.5 games back of 8th place Brooklyn, and if they could move up a few spots then at least their play-in game would be in Atlanta. They will take on the Knicks in New York Tuesday, and the Knicks rank 27th in the NBA averaging just 106 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks last six road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks last six games playing on 1 days rest. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pistons. The Pistons are one of the worst teams in the NBA, so it looks a little strange seeing them such a big favorite here tonight. They host a Portland team that is playing on back to back nights at the end of a road trip on the other side of the country. The Blazers have lost 10 of their last 11 and nine of those 1o losses came by at least nine points. The Trail Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Pistons don't win a lot of games, but they have been playing great lately. This is a chance to get a win at home, and I expect them to take full advantage. The Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-20-22 | Spurs v. Warriors -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
03-18-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Jazz | 92-121 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. |
|||||||
03-16-22 | Raptors v. Clippers +1.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The Raptors have been on a roll, but injuries could put their winning streak in jeopardy. Three of five starters could be out of the lineup in LA tonight. Fred Van Fleet is dealing with knee pain after playing 40 minutes against the Lakers. The injury may explain his 11 points on 3-of-14 shooting. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable due to illness. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in 10 of their last 14 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-14-22 | Wolves -165 v. Spurs | 149-139 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. The Spurs got Greg Poppovich his record setting 1336th win over the Jazz the other night, and that's likely the last meaningful game this team will play this season. The Spurs are just 13-20 at home, and they should be looking at rebuilding in the next draft. Minnesota is currently sitting in seventh in the West and should be in good shape to secure a spot in the playoffs. The Timberwolves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus San Antonio. The Spurs are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-11-22 | Pistons +14 v. Celtics | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Pistons are in dead last in the Central Division Standings, but they've actually been one of the hotter teams in the Eastern Conference lately. Detroit has won six of nine overall, and one of those wins came against the Celtics in Boston. A few days after beating the Celtics at the Garden, the Celtics won at the Palace by a score of 113-104. The Pistons have covered the spread in nine straight games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. They have also covered in seven straight versus the Celtics, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in Boston. This line looks a bit inflated all things concerned. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-09-22 | Raptors -127 v. Spurs | 119-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Raptors have lost three straight, and a trip to San Antonio looks like a good spot to get back on track. The Spurs are just 12-19 at home, and their most recent win came against the Lakers with LeBron out of the lineup. Fred Van Fleet told TSN this morning that he will return to the lineup tonight after missing time with a sore knee. The Spurs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 as an underdog. The Raptors are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-07-22 | Knicks v. Kings -165 | 131-115 | Loss | -165 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Kings. The Kings are just 3-6 in their last nine overall, but eight of those games came on the road. They host the New York Knicks tonight, and this looks like a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team at the end of a West Coast road trip. The Knicks have lost seven of eight, and they are coming off an upset win over the Clippers on Sunday. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven coming off a win. I like the Kings here, as they are 6-2 ATS when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-07-22 | Lakers +120 v. Spurs | 110-117 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAL. I'm not a Lakers fan by any stretch of the imagination, and I bet against them last week when they lost to the Clippers 132-111. I don't think they are going anywhere in the post-season, but I do expect them to do enough to get into the playoffs. The same can't be said for for the Spurs, who have lost four straight. The Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in San Antonio. LeBron scored 56 against the Warriors Saturday, so his nagging knee injury can't be that bad. The Lakers are 5-0 straight up in their last five at San Antonio. GL, Jeese Schule |
|||||||
03-06-22 | Suns v. Bucks -7 | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bucks. The Suns are the best team in the NBA, and they are coming off a home win over the Knicks despite playing without their two best players. They are due for a let down here on the road in Milwaukee, and without Devin Booker and CP3 they could be in trouble. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in four of their last five at Milwaukee. The Bucks have won three straight, and they have scored an average of 123 points in those games. The Bucks are healthy and the Suns are not, this game should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-05-22 | 76ers v. Heat -126 | 82-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. |
|||||||
03-05-22 | Spurs v. Hornets -165 | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Hornets. The Spurs bring a three game losing streak into Charlotte, and they are just 13-20 on the road this season. They have failed to cover in five of their last seven at Charlotte, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. The Hornets are coming off a blowout win at Cleveland, and they have a .500 record at home. Charlotte has been able to take care of business when playing inferior opposition, covering in 43 of their last 58 versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers -10.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. It's too early to say that Philly got the better of the Nets in the trade that sent Ben Simmons to Brooklyn in return for Harden. So far it looks good for Philly. After scoring 27 in his Sixers debut, he scored 29 points and recorded a triple-double in a 125-109 win at New York on Sunday. This is just his third game with the Sixers, and his first home game. Expect the Sixers to go hard, as first impressions are important. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-26-22 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1 | 116-110 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. Chicago has won six straight overall, and DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in nine straight games. The Bulls host the Memphis Grizz Saturday, in a game that features two of the league's biggest stars. The Grizz have lost back to back games and Ja Morant hasn't been at his best lately. He battled a hip injury while scoring 20 points on 7-of-25 shooting in a loss to Minnesota in his last start. He was forced to leave the game in pain in the third quarter, but was able to return. He's listed as questionable, and while he's expected to play he might not be 100%. Not great timing for a head to head duel versus the MVP front runner. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-25-22 | Clippers v. Lakers | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. At the age of 37, LeBron James played a career high 37 minutes in the NBA All Star game on a bad knee. He's listed as questionable for tonight's game against the Clippers. AD is out for sure, and so is Avery Bradley. The Clippers won three of four before the break, and they have managed to remain competitive without PG and Kawhi. The Clippers are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. History favors the Clippers who are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +9.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Cavs are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East, but they lost back to back games heading into the All Star break. They have three starters sidelined by injury, and they still come into Detroit as a big favorite. The Pistons have won their last two home games against Cleveland, and two of their last three home losses against the Cavs came in games decided in overtime. Before the break the Pistons upset the Celtics in Boston, with Cunningham, Grant and Bey all scored 20+ points. The young guns are starting to come together, and a competitve game at home against a banged up opponent seems likely here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-20-22 | Team Durant v. Team LeBron UNDER 325 | 160-163 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This line opened at 318.5 ... already pretty high. They scored 320 last year, and less than that in two of the previous three years. Nobody cares, everyone is betting the over and there is no end in sight. I can't help but get in at 325 an hr before game time. FADE THE MOVE! |
|||||||
02-16-22 | Raptors -119 v. Wolves | 103-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Raptors are coming off back to back losses, following an eight game winning streak. They will be on the road in Minnesota tonight, and the Wolves are coming off an overtime win over Charlotte. The Raptors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have won five of their last six on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing on back to back nights, and coming off an overtime might be even more significant. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-21-22 | Nets -145 v. Spurs | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BKN. Kyrie can only play in road games, and he's now played just five games this season. His most recent game was his best so far, scoring 30 points on 13-of-23 shooting in a 119-118 win at Washington. The Nets will be at San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs are just 9-13 at home. San Antonio is coming off a home win over Oklahoma City, but they have gone 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Former Spur Patty Mills has averaged over 17 points per game in his last four starts, and he could be primed for a strong performance against his former team. I like Brooklyn to get the win here even without KD. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-19-22 | Wolves v. Hawks -115 | 122-134 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ATL. The Timberwolves have won six of their last eight, and none of those wins were bigger than last night's thriller at MSG. Karl Anthony Towns (who grew up in New Jersey) had this to say after the game: "I told my dad everyone's going to get a chance to have their Madison Square Garden moment and I felt that was for me tonight. That was the biggest moment that I've had in MSG," Towns said. "Great crowd, great atmosphere, great energy and I got to silence everybody, so that makes it even better." Now they play on the back end of a back to back on the road at Atlanta, and this looks like a helluva let down spot for Minny. The Hawks are coming off a home win over Milwaukee, and they have covered in four straight versus Minnesota and they are 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-16-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2.5 | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Warriors have struggled without Draymond Green, losing four of their last five road games. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Memphis, and the Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Golden State is expected to be missing Steph Curry who is dealing with a sore hand, and fellow splash brother Klay Thomspon is still working his way into shape. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Minnesota. The Wolves are at full strength, and they have won four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-13-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -8 | 108-140 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. With Damian Lillard looking to have surgery, the mission for the Blazers might be to secure a lottery pick. They come into Denver with a road record of 2-13. When you are struggling on the road, the last place you want to play is in mile high city. The Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Denver has covered the spread in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Blazers might as well throw in the towel, and they just might do exactly that. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Philly. The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-09-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -9.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
5* |
|||||||
01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-22 | Jazz v. Raptors +3.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
12-23-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-16-21 | 76ers +105 v. Nets | 105-114 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHI. The Nets will once again be shorthanded due to Covid protocols, but their B-team is coming off an overtime win over the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Another win here at home versus Philly might be too much to ask. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-08-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Heat | 104-113 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The Heat have lost four of their last five, and the average margin of defeat in those games was more than 10 points. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall. Miami has struggled with Jimmy Butler battling an injury, and he's out for Wednesday's game against the Bucks. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they have covered in four of their last five versus the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | 130-127 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
12-03-21 | 76ers v. Hawks -119 | 98-96 | Loss | -119 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers have just three wins in their last 12 games overall, and they have been dealing with injuries. Joel Embiid missed time with Covid, and since his return he has complained about his lack of fitness. The Hawks are on a roll, coming into this home game as winners of eight of their last nine. The 76ers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 10-25-2 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog. The Hawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-01-21 | Hawks v. Pacers -1 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. It's normal for teams to have a better record at home, but these two teams each have dramatic home away splits. The Pacers are 6-4 at home, and the Hawks are 3-8 on the road. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Hawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four at Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | 98-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 212 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Miami Heat rank 1st in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, and the Bulls aren't far behind. For that reason the total is pretty low here, but it is still higher than the number in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last seven games as a home underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 16 as a dog. The under is 20-6 in the Bulls last 26 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -6 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hawks. Atlanta didn't start the season off well after an inspired run in last year's playoffs, but they come into Saturday's home game against Charlotte as winners of three in a row. The Hornets are playing on the back end of a back to back, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hawks are 24-4 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Clippers v. Grizzlies UNDER 221.5 | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 106-92 win over the Spurs. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss." The Clippers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five versus Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Kings v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. After losing 99-96 at home to Phoenix in their last game, it seems rather optimistic to have the total set over 220 for a home game against the Sacramento Kings. The under is 11-4-1 in Kings last 16 road games, and the Kings have failed to reach the total in 35 of their last 51 overall. The under is 7-1 in the Timberwolves last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall. Minnesota is only averaging 103 points per game this season (23rd). GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 220 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Warriors v. Hornets OVER 224.5 | 102-106 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Charlotte Hornets have won back to back games, but they rank dead last in the NBA allowing 116 points per game this season. Golden State ranks first in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 116 points per game. The Warriors come in as winners of seven straight, with an overall record of 11-1. The over is 4-1 in Hornets last five home games, and the over is 3-1 in the Warriors last four overall. Don't be surprised to see a high score in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -2.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. |
|||||||
11-10-21 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. This game features the highest total on tonight's NBA card, but there is a good reason for that. Memphis and Charlotte rank 29th and 30th respectively in opponents scoring, and both these teams can score more than their share of points. In fact Charlotte ranks 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. The Hornets have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-0 in their last five games at Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-05-21 | Spurs v. Magic OVER 211.5 | 102-89 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early season NBA games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Spurs and the Magic are doing their part to keep scoring up, by refusing to play defense. They are both allowing roughly 110 points per game, well above the league average. These two teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings, and the over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando. The over is 9-2 in the Magic last 11 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 | 95-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Two teams that haven't had any problems scoring are Miami (2nd in the NBA averaging 115.6 points per game) and Boston (4th in the NBA averaging 113.9 points per game). These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the over is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-03-21 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 221 | 108-117 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Nobody has been hit harder by the rule changes than James Harden, who is only averaging 18.6 points per game so far this season. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and the under is 10-4 in the Hawks last 14 road games. The under is 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 games as an underdog. Brooklyn has failed to reach the total in five straight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Blazers. The Blazers are an underdog on the road at Philly, and they have dominated the Sixers in recent seasons. Portland is 6-1 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and the one loss came in a game decided by one point. Joel Embiid will sit out this game, making it a tough ask for the Sixers to snap this trend. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last five when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 217.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors are off to a helluva start to the season, undefeated with a 4-0 record (9-0 if you include the pre-season). They host the Grizzlies who are coming off a 20 point loss at Portland last night. The Grizz are in a tough spot with another road game in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus a team with a winning record. They are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat -13 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Orlando Magic are not going to win many games this year, and it's not a surprise to see them as a double digit underdog in Miami tonight. Both of their losses so far have come by 20+ points. The Heat are coming off a loss at Indiana, but they beat defending champions Milwaukee by 40+ in their home opener. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and the Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. The Heat will win this game by as many points as they "feel like". GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Heat -165 v. Pacers | 91-102 | Loss | -165 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Heat crushed Milwaukee in their season opener, and they catch the Indiana Pacers on the back end of a back to back tonight. The Pacers lost in overtime in the nation's capital last night. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Indiana, and they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. This is a tough spot for the Pacers. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -155 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on GSW. The Warriors are coming off an undefeated pre-season, and they beat the Lakers in LA in their season opener. They host the LA Clippers in their home opener, and I see no reason why we shouldn't continue to ride the hot hand. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. Steph Curry had a triple-double in the win over the Lakers, and he scored a total of 71 points in his final two games of the pre-season. It's fair to say that he's already in mid-season form. GL, Jesse Schule |