Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-24-14 | NY Jets v. Buffalo Bills -130 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. Jesse Schule |
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11-23-14 | St. Louis Rams +6 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 161 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 8* play on the St. Louis Rams. Jesse Schule |
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11-23-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans -1 | Top | 22-13 | Loss | -125 | 158 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. Jesse Schuke |
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11-23-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Chicago Bears -5.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 158 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. Jesse Schule |
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11-23-14 | Tennessee Titans +12.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -130 | 74 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. Jesse Schule |
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11-20-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders OVER 42 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on KC@OAK to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 46 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on PIT@TEN to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-14 | New England Patriots +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 91 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers -5.5 | Top | 20-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a Free #NFL play on the Green Bay #Packers. |
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11-16-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. |
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11-16-14 | San Francisco 49ers -3.5 v. NY Giants | Top | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-14 | Houston Texans +3.5 v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 152 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Texans. **This play has been downgraded to a 5* with the news that Arian Foster will not start** |
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11-13-14 | Buffalo Bills +6 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 9-22 | Loss | -115 | 60 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. Take BUF, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 188 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. Jesse Schule |
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11-09-14 | NY Giants v. Seattle Seahawks -9 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 137 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Jesse Schule |
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11-09-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions. There is plenty of hype surrounding the Miami Dolphins, coming off three straight wins. Keep in mind that while their 37-0 home win over San Diego was impressive, previous wins came against Jacksonville and Chicago, who have a combined record of 4-13. The Lions are also coming off three straight wins, and they come off a bye week giving them extra time to prepare for today's home game versus Miami. Jesse Schule |
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11-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs -1 v. Buffalo Bills | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 158 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. The Buffalo Bills have won back to back games, neither of which should really impress anybody. They came from behind to cap an 80-yard game winning drive with the winning TD with 0:01 second remaining on the clock at home against the Vikes, and then a week later they took advantage of a struggling New York Jets team. Aided by six New York turnovers, they won by a score of 43-23. Jesse Schule |
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11-09-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints -200 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -200 | 132 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the New Orleans Saints. Things are starting to really fall apart in San Francisco, and traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints is likely to add insult to injury. Last week's home loss to St. Louis saw Kaepernick sacked eight times, and he fumbled on the goal line in an attempt to score what would have been the game winning TD in the final minute. Jesse Schule |
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11-06-14 | Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. Cleveland fans are excited about a 5-3 start, but I would caution that they may not be quite as good as that record indicates. They've only played three games on the road, losing two of the three. Their wins have come against the likes of Tampa Bay, Oakland and Tennessee, and their last road game was a loss to Jacksonville. Cincinnati isn't exactly a friendly place to visit, as the Bengals are undefeated in their last 14 home games. The Browns aren't exactly catching them a good time, with star wideout A.J. Green back from injury, and rookie running back Jeremy Hill coming off a season high 154 yards and two TDs against Jacksonville. The Bengals have covered six straight at home versus teams with a winning record, and they beat the Browns by 21 points in Cincinnati last year. Cleveland's leading rusher Ben Tate has run for a total of just 65 yards over his last three starts. The loss of their Pro Bowl center Alex Mack seems to have put a damper on this Cleveland running game. Take CINCY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants OVER 50 | Top | 40-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on IND@NYG to go OVER the total. The good news for Andrew Luck and the Colts is that New York might be a friendly place to visit with the way the Giants have been playing. New York's defense ranks near the bottom of the NFL against the pass as well as the run, and it's going to be a tough challenge trying to slow down Andrew Luck. The Colts QB leads the NFL with 2731 passing yards, and he threw for 400 yards and three TDs in a losing effort last week. The Colts have seen the total go over in five straight road games, and three of the previous four meetings between these two teams have also gone over the number. |
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11-02-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-43 | Win | 100 | 54 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BAL@PIT to go OVER the total. Prior to last week's game against the Colts, I said this about the Steelers: "The Steelers on the other hand were trailing 13-0 in the second quarter against the Texans on Monday, but scored 24 points in less than three minutes to take a 24-13 lead into the half." "There are plenty of reasons to be skeptical about this Pittsburgh team, as they aren't going to be handed 24 points every week. We've already seen them lose at home to the Bucs, and the Cleveland Browns scored 58 points in their two games against this Steelers defense." I guess it doesn't matter how bad your defense is when Big Ben throws for 500+ yards and six TDs. They spanked the Colts, but previously their wins came against the likes of the Browns, Panthers, Jaguars and Texans, not one of those teams has a winning record. All four of the Steelers home games have gone over the total this year, while the Ravens have seen the total go over the number in six of seven on the road versus teams with a winning record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-14 | Denver Broncos -155 v. New England Patriots | Top | 21-43 | Loss | -155 | 50 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. So the Broncos are in New England on Sunday to take on the Patriots at Foxboro, and everyone is talking about Manning vs. Brady. Some might even throw out stats that would suggest Brady has had the edge in past meetings. If you are one of those, I suggest your "give your freakin head a shake". How anyone can tell me that previous games between the Patriots and the Colts, when New England had the likes of Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Aqib Talib and Teddy Brusci, have any bearing on today's game between the Broncos and a very different New England team. In fact, I'm even going to toss out last year's meetings, because this Denver team is an entirely different monster. The previously mentioned Aqib Talib shores up a vastly improved defense, while another former Patriot Wes Welker is just one of many weapons on offense. The Broncos have demolished the opposition this year, with some convincing wins over elite teams. They spanked the Niners, Cardinals and Chargers, and their only loss came on the road to the defending champs (in overtime). Take a look at New England's schedule, and you will see that while they are 4-0 at home, those four opponents have a combined record of 8-21. Here they are: 0-7 Raiders 4-2 Bengals 1-7 Jets 3-5 Bears Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-14 | Arizona Cardinals +4 v. Dallas Cowboys | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. |
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11-02-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Houston Texans +2 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -100 | 60 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. |
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11-02-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cincinnati Bengals -11 | Top | 23-33 | Loss | -100 | 60 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. Jesse Schule |
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10-30-14 | New Orleans Saints -145 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints. |
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10-27-14 | Washington Redskins +10.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 184 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Washington Redskins. Jesse Schule |
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10-26-14 | Green Bay Packers +3 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 23-44 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers. Jesse Schule |
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10-26-14 | Indianapolis Colts -1.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 34-51 | Loss | -110 | 156 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have won five straight, and their defense has been dominant during that span. Last week they pitched a shutout against the Bengals, and at this point I think you have to say that this team is for real. The Steelers on the other hand were trailing 13-0 in the second quarter against the Texans on Monday, but scored 24 points in less than three minutes to take a 24-13 lead into the half. There are plenty of reasons to be skeptical about this Pittsburgh team, as they aren't going to be handed 24 points every week. We've already seen them lose at home to the Bucs, and the Cleveland Browns scored 58 points in their two games against this Steelers defense. The Steelers wins come over the Browns, Panthers, Jaguars and Texans, not one of those teams has a winning record. Now they face one of the league's elite quarterbacks on a short week. The Steelers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night. Take INDY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Arizona Cardinals -145 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 143 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona will host the Eagles this Sunday, and the Cardinals are 5-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Denver. The Eagles are also off to an impressive start to the season, but while the record is the same, the quality of opponents certainly isn't. Only one of Philadelphia's five wins has come against a team with a winning record. The Eagles might not have much success trying to run on this Arizona defense, as the Cardinals rank 2nd overall allowing opponents to average just 72 yards per game. If they can't run, that puts more pressure on Nick Foles who has thrown more interceptions than has TDs the last three weeks. Carson Palmer is back for Arizona, and he threw for 253 yards a pair of TDs last week. He has good numbers over his three starts this season, with 807 yards and six TDs with just one INT. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, and they have won three straight home games versus Philadelphia. Take ARZ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-14 | St. Louis Rams v. Kansas City Chiefs -6 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 153 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Cheifs. The Chiefs are coming off an upset win over the Chargers in San Diego, while the Rams shocked the Seahawks last Sunday. This is a let down spot for the Rams, who used smoke and mirrors to sneak past Seattle. Jeff Fisher went deep into the bag of tricks, with a couple of classics, helping St. Louis steal a win even though they were out-gained 463-272. Kansas City isn't likely to get caught napping today, and I expect them to pound away with the run. The Rams defense doesn't rank well in any category, but they have really struggled against the run, allowing opponents to average over 145 yards per game (28th). The Chiefs have one of the most potent ground attacks in the NFL, and they ran for 154 yards last week against a very good Chargers defense. Jamaal Charles was banged up early in the season, but he's starting to pick up steam heading into Week 8. Charles ran for 95 yards and a TD on just 22 carries last week. Kansas City has won and covered five straight versus the Rams, and I can't see this team hanging in there with this soft defense and a rookie QB on the road in the loudest stadium in the NFL. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-14 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets -155 | Top | 43-23 | Loss | -155 | 140 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the New York Jets. The Jets have lost six straight, but for the most part they have battled hard and have been close in all of those games. The one exception was a 31-0 loss at San Diego. Turnovers have killed New York, and much of that falls on the shoulders of Geno Smith, who has thrown as many picks as he has TDs (7). Smith has been much better recently though, throwing for 416 yards and three TDs with just one INT the last two weeks. He has a new target this week with Percy Harvin coming over from Seattle, and his presence alone should make a big difference. With Harvin on the field, at the very least it should keep opposing defenses honest, making them think twice about stacking up the line of scrimmage to stop the run. The Bills are 2-1 since bringing in veteran Kyle Orton to replace E.J. Manuel, but they were quite fortunate in both of those wins. Last week they scored with one second left on the clock to come from behind and beat the Vikings at home, and two weeks earlier they erased a 14-3 deficit to beat the Lions with a FG as time expired. Buffalo will be without Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller, and that could put even more pressure on Orton. Home field advantage has been huge in this series, with the hosts winning each of the last five. The Bills are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and I think they will struggle to overcome injuries here in New York today. Take NYJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 51 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 42 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 8* play on SD@DEN to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-20-14 | Houston Texans +4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -105 | 186 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. Jesse Schule |
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10-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Denver Broncos -6.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 114 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. So the 49ers come into Denver riding a three game winning streak, and they are getting a TD against the spread. That's enough to tempt a lot of people to back San Fran as the dog, but this is a terrible spot for the San Francisco. They come off a Monday night game on the road, only to play again on the road six days later. This isn't just any road game though, it's at Mile High in Denver, against the mighty Broncos. Peyton Manning threw for a career high 479 yards in his last start at home, and that was against a tough Arizona defense. Note that San Francisco's last loss came at the hands of Arizona. Colin Kaepernick had a big game against the Rams, throwing for 343 yards and three TDs, but Denver's defense isn't going to let him sit back in the pocket and pass. He's going to be running for his life, trying to escape from Von Miller (2nd in the NFL in sacks). The 49ers have overcome adversity in recent weeks, playing without several key players on both sides of the ball. This week's game on short rest is a spot where a lack of depth could prove to be costly. I like Denver to win big, with Peyton breaking the TD record. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-14 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys -5.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 146 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. You might think that Dallas is due to suffer a let down after upsetting the Seahawks in Seattle last week, but I don't buy into that theory. If you're worried about a team getting up for this game, it might be the Giants that struggle to recover from a humbling defeat in Philly last Sunday night. Just when you thought Eli Manning was back, the Eagles terrorized the Giants QB, sacking him six times in a 27-0 loss. The New York defense was also shredded for over 200 yards on the ground, with Shady McCoy running for a 149 yards on 22 carries. It doesn't get any easier for the Giants this week, as they'll try to slow the NFL's leading rusher DeMarco Murray. On offense, you have to think the loss of Victor Cruz (gone for the year) is going to take a lot of wind out of their sails. Their running game will also suffer with Rashad Jennings out indefinitely. The recipe for success for this Cowboys team is simple, and until somebody can stop DeMarco Murray, the Ws will continue to pile up in the win column. Take DAL, GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | Top | 23-24 | Loss | -123 | 142 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions. Jesse Schule |
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10-19-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Washington Redskins -4.5 | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. Washington will host the struggling Tennessee Titans this Sunday, and the visitors come in with a record of 2-4. That's twice as many wins as the 1-5 Redskins, but let's not read too much into that. The fact is, Washington has been very competitive in four of those five losses, and when they had a chance to face an inferior opponents, they beat the daylights out of Jacksonville, winning 41-10. Jesse Schule |
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10-19-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts -3 | Top | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 142 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have covered the spread in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, while Cincy is 1-4 ATS in it's last five road games versus winning teams. All the signs point toward a big win for the home team here in this one. |
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10-16-14 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 25-27 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYJ@NE to go UNDER the total. GL, |
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10-13-14 | San Francisco 49ers -165 v. St. Louis Rams | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. I am no 49ers fan, and I really don't think much of their quarterback Colin Kaepernick, but I have to give credit where credit is due. San Francisco has overcome adversity and injuries on both sides of the ball to win back to back games against very good teams in Philly and Kansas City. They play a Rams team tonight that has a third string quarterback under center, and a defense that ranks 31st overall against the run. San Francisco has had plenty of success running the football, so it seems very likely that they will be able to run all over the Rams who have allowed opponents to average over 150 rushing yards per game. This Rams team isn't a talented squad that can rely on finesse, and they need to dominate with their defense and running game to be successful. Neither of those have been a strong point so far this year though, as they rank last in the NFL with just one sack, and RB Zack Stacy has averaged just 55 yards per game. He's not likely to improve on those numbers tonight, with San Francisco's defense one of the best in the NFL at stopping the run. The 49ers rank 5th overall allowing 77 yards rushing per game. That sounds pretty impressive right? Well it's a lot more impressive when you consider who they have played: DeMarco Murray (leads the NFL in rushing), Lesean McCoy (last season's leading rusher), Jamaal Charles and Matt Forte who finished 2nd and 3rd in rushing last year. I know that these two teams have a spirited history of competitive games as division rivals, but St. Louis lost both meetings last year by double-digits, and there's every reason to expect a similar result this year. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | NY Giants +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New York Giants. Before this season started, I bet on the Eagles to win the NFC East. They are currently in a first place tie with the Cowboys, who play on the road in Seattle this week. So I should be pretty pleaded about that bet? Not so much. To be totally honest Philly looks a total fraud. They trailed by double-digits in each of their first three wins, then their offense failed to score a single point on the road in a loss to San Francisco. Last week they opened up a big lead on the Rams, but their defense allowed the rams to score 21 unanswered points to make it interesting in the final minutes. The Giants really seem to have their swagger back, and I think Eli Manning is going to have no trouble marching his offense up and down the field today. Philly's offensive line is banged up, and the pass protection and running game has suffered. These problems aren't going to fix themselves against the Giants, and I think New York will run away with this game. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | Chicago Bears v. Atlanta Falcons -3 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -120 | 154 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta played well on the road in New York last week, but came up short in a 30-20 loss to the Giants. The Bears on the other hand didn't play particularly well in a loss to Carolina. Jay Cutler threw for 289 yards and a pair of TDs, but he was picked off twice by the Panthers defense. The Falcons are a Jekyll & Hyde team, dominant at home but not so great on the road. So it comes as no surprise that they are 2-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. There are a variety of reasons why this trend should continue here today. The Bears will see a familiar face returning kicks for the Falcons, as former Bear Devin Hester will look to pad his numbers as the leadin kicking returner in the history of the NFL. The Bears have said they play plan to challenge Hester, instead of trying to kick away from him. It could prove to be a fatal mistake. The home team has won and covered four straight in this series, and with Matt Ryan facing off against Jay Cutler, I think the Falcons are in better hands. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | Washington Redskins v. Arizona Cardinals -175 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona went into Denver undefeated, and despite the fact that the final score looked like a blowout, they trailed 24-20 after three quarters. This is one of the NFL's best defenses, and they should be able to hold off the struggling Redskins today. Washington seemed pretty content with losing the Seahawks last week, and head coach Jay Gruden wasn't happy to hear players joking in the locker room after the game. Drew Stanton was knocked out of last week's game in Denver with a concussion, but he's expected to start here against the Redskins. He's facing a Washington defense that has struggled in recent weeks, and they are also a little banged up. Alfred Morris has only picked up 92 yards on 25 carries the last two weeks, and he's got his work cut out for him against Arizona's #4 ranked run defense that is allowing opponents to average just 76 yards per game. The Cardinals have covered four straight against teams with a losing record, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games coming off a loss. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +3.5 | Top | 37-22 | Loss | -123 | 151 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. It was just a week ago that people were saying New England is finished, Brady doesn't have it anymore, etc. After a big win over the Bengals at Foxboro last Sunday night, it seems that people have forgotten how many problems this team still has. Sure they were able to pull off a victory at home against an overrated Bengals team, but this week they head out on the road to face Buffalo's fierce defense. Tom Brady is apparently hampered by a sprained ankle, although one has to wonder if Bill Belichick is just playing games with the media. I'm sure Brady will start, but whether or not he will finish might be another story. His offensive line hasn't provided much in the way of protection, and the Bills have welcomed opposing QBs with 17 sacks, tied for first in the NFL. Kyle Orton led the Bills to an upset win on the road at Detroit last week, and he completed 30-of-43 attempts for 308 yards and a TD. He'll be back under center today, and at this point he gives Buffalo the best chance to win. The Pats have struggled to defend the run, and I'd expect the Bills to have a big day on the ground with C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Dolphins. Packer fans have stopped panicking, as Green Bay is coming off consecutive blowout wins the last two weeks. This is no time to R-E-L-A-X though, as a road game at Miami isn't going to be easy. The Packers still rank dead last in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 163 rushing yards per game. That could be a recipe disaster against a Dolphins team with a power running game coming off a bye week. They could get a boost if Knowshon Moreno returns as expected this Sunday. They are also expecting center Mike Pouncey and safety Reshad Jones to make their season debuts this week. Miami's defense is only allowing 208 yards passing per game, so they might have a shot at cooling off the red hot Aaron Rodgers. Eddie Lacy had a big game against the Vikings, but one game doesn't make a season. He came into last week's game averaging 40 yards per game and just three yards per carry. Most people seem to think that this game is going to be a breeze for the visitors, but it's just not that easy to win on the road in the NFL. This is a particularly tough spot based on Miami coming off the bye and getting healthier than they have been all year. I'll take the points. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens -175 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens couldn't get anything going offensively in a loss to the Colts last week. I expect a better showing from Joe Flacco and Baltimore's offense when they play the Bucs in Tampa today. The Bucs have been brutal, with their only win this season coming in Pittsburgh in a game that they trailed until the final play of the game. Tampa ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 292 yards per game, and their run defense is well below average as well. Tampa is winless at home, with losses to Carolina and St. Louis. If you can't beat the Rams at home, then you know times are tough. Mike Glennon has been far more successful than Josh McCown, but this Baltimore defense figures to be the best he's seen to date. Only the Eagles have turn the ball over more than Tampa, and such sloppy play isn't going to cut it against the Ravens. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 45.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -100 | 86 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@HOU to go UNDER the total. We've seen a trend of high scoring games on Thursday nights, but I think that trend will come to an end tonight in Houston. The Colts offense couldn't protect the football on Sunday, committing four turnovers against the Ravens. Their defense got the job done though in a 20-13 win over Baltimore. The Texans offense continued struggle in Dallas, and QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for just 154 yards and an INT. He's thrown six picks and just two TDs in his last three starts, and he and Andrew Luck share the league lead with six interceptions. Luck was picked off twice last week against the Ravens, and it won't get any easier here in Houston. He's faced the Texans four times in his career, completing just 50% of his passes while averaging just over 200 yards per game. The public has been betting heavily on the over here, driving the number up a few points after opening at 45. These teams have seen the total fall short of the number in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the only exception was a stunning second half comeback by the Colts here in Houston last year. The Texans have also played five straight unders coming off a loss in their last game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-14 | Seattle Seahawks -7 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. |
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10-05-14 | Kansas City Chiefs +7 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 111 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Jesse Schule |
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10-05-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Denver Broncos -7.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 63 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos. Jesse Schule |
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10-05-14 | Houston Texans v. Dallas Cowboys -3 | Top | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 142 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas is off a surprising 3-1 start, and I can't see any reason why they would take a step back at home today against Houston. The Texans defense has forced it's fair of turnovers, but the offense has been a complete nightmare. Houston QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown as many picks (5) as he has touchdowns. All five of those INTS have come in the last two weeks, and he has just a pair of TDs in those games. Jesse Schule |
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10-05-14 | Chicago Bears v. Carolina Panthers -150 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 142 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. |
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10-05-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints -10.5 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -105 | 142 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jesse Schule |
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10-05-14 | St Louis Rams v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 47.5 | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STL@PHI to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-02-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 47 | Top | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 42 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@GB to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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09-29-14 | New England Patriots v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NE@KC to go UNDER the total. The Pats will be at Arrowhead on Monday night, taking on Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs. I expect to see a low scoring game here, as both teams are likely to focus heavily on the the run. New England no longer looks like an offensive juggernaut, and they've been winning games with their defense. The Pats lead the league in pass defense, limiting opponents to an average of 168 yards passing per game. The Chiefs haven't had any success in their passing game, and Alex Smith ranks 25th among NFL quarterbacks with a passer rating of 81.5. Tom Brady hasn't had a lot of success either so far this year, as the offensive line hasn't been able to give him time to drop back and pass. Bill Belichick has been able to put together a game plan that has allowed his team to be successful despite such poor pass protection. The total has fallen well short of the number in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and the total for tonight's game looks a little higher than it should be all things considered. Kansas City rarely plays high scoring games at home, with the total going under in 23 of their last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 53 | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 130 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NO@DAL to go UNDER the total. |
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09-28-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers -4 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 155 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ers. GL, |
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09-28-14 | Buffalo Bills +3.5 v. Houston Texans | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -118 | 151 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. |
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09-28-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 123 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB@PIT to go UNDER the total. |
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09-28-14 | Detroit Lions v. NY Jets UNDER 45 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@NYJ to go UNDER the total. |
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09-25-14 | NY Giants v. Washington Redskins -3.5 | Top | 45-14 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 8* play on the Washington Redskins. Jesse Schule |
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09-22-14 | Chicago Bears v. NY Jets OVER 44 | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on CHI@NJY to go OVER the total. The Jets defense hasn't given up anything on the ground, leading the NFL allowing opponents to average just 52 yards per game. They haven't been nearly as effective stopping the pass though, and Aaron Rodgers lite them up for 346 yards and three TDs last week. The Jets host the Bears on Monday Night Football, and Chicago's QB Jay Cutler can put points on the board in a hurry. He did just that last week, scoring three fourth quarter TDs to come from behind and beat the 49ers in San Francisco. Chicago has failed miserably trying to stop the run, and that doesn't bode well facing a Jets offense that leads the NFL in rushing. I expect the Jets to run all over the Bears with Chris Johnson, Chris Ivory as well as QB Geno Smith. These teams last met in 2010, and the Bears won that game by a score of 38-34. Chicago doesn't often play low scoring games on the road, in fact 13 of their last 16 games away from home have gone over the total. Public money has pushed this total down a few points from a number that was already quite low. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Carolina Panthers -177 | Top | 37-19 | Loss | -177 | 89 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers ML. The Steelers appear to have been exposed after two weeks. Not only did they nearly blow a 27-3 lead at home to the Browns in Week 1, but they had their butts served to them on the road in Baltimore last week. Ben Roethlisberger has thrown more INTs (2) than TDs (1), and he's having trouble establishing any chemistry with his new corps of receivers. They lost a lot of talent when Emanuel Sanders and Jericho Cotchery left town, and his replacements haven't been able to fill the void. Scoring won't come easy on the road in Carolina, as this Panther's defense is one of the league's best, ranking second overall in points allowed. Big Ben has been sacked five times over the first two weeks, and he'll have to be on his toes tonight, as the Panthers pass rush has been tough on opposing QBs. Carolina's seven sacks are the fourth most in the NFL. I'm not a fan of Cam Newton, or any other dual-threat QB in the NFL for that matter, but I'll give him credit for his play last week. Newton completed 22-of-34 passes for 281 yards and TD against the Lions, and only attempted to run the ball four times for 19 yards. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-14 | Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -210 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. It has taken Pete Carrol four years to put together a championship team in Seattle. He took over in 2010, and that team finished 7-9, sneaking into the post season and upsetting the Saints in the Wildcard Game, before losing to the Bears. The 2011 season saw them again finish 7-9, missing the post-season. Russell Wilson burst onto the scene in 2012, and that's when things really started to change in the Emerald City. Wilson led the Hawks to an 11-5 record as a rookie, and the team's defense earned a reputation as the best in football. Wilson was even better in his second season in the league, and last year's Seahawks team went 13-3, and of course defeated Denver 43-8 in the Superbowl.
GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -9.5 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 153 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. GL, |
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09-21-14 | Houston Texans -2.5 v. NY Giants | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -105 | 153 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. |
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09-21-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 45 | Top | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 82 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SD@BUF to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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09-18-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons -6 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 88 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Jesse Schule |
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09-15-14 | Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. Indy wasn't able to get anything going with the running game last week, gaining only 54 yards. They aren't likely to have much more success tonight, as the Eagles effectively shut down Jacksonville's running game last week. Trent Richardson has been a huge bust, and his backups aren't scaring anyone either.
Jesse Schule. |
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09-14-14 | Chicago Bears +7.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 161 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bears. Jesse Schule |
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09-14-14 | Houston Texans -3 v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 30-14 | Win | 111 | 157 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. Jesse Schule |
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09-14-14 | Seattle Seahawks -5.5 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -110 | 156 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Even after winning the Super Bowl last season, there are still plenty of skeptics when it comes to Russell Wilson. He hasn't really given anyone any reason to doubt him though, and now that he has a healthy Percy Harvin to throw to, I expect his numbers to increase significantly in 2014. He completed 69% of his passes for 191 yards and a pair of TDs in Week 1, and that was against a pretty solid Packers defense. The Chargers are coming off a short week, while Seattle has had nine days to prepare a game plan for today's contest. Despite the fact that this game is in San Diego, it still looks like a good spot for Wilson and the Hawks. Phillip Rivers looked out of sorts against Arizona last week, and the Chargers blew an 11 point fourth quarter lead. It won't get any easier against the defending champs just six days later. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Washington Redskins -5.5 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 153 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. I'm expecting a big game from former Eagle DeSean Jackson today - not even three turnovers in the first half was enough to stop his former team from defeating the Jaguars by a score of 34-17 in Week 1. Jackson meanwhile had eight catches for 62 yards against a tough Houston defense last week. He should find more room at home this week against a Jaguars that still looks like they have trouble defending the pass. There is a lot of talk about how much Jacksonville has improved, but surrendering 34 unanswered points in the second half last week proves that they still have a long way to go. The Redskins however sure showed signs that this defense is going to be greatly improved after ranking near worst in the NFL a year ago. Washington hung around in Houston last week, only conceding 17 points in a loss. Getting the Skins at home favored by less than a TD seems like quite a bargain to me. Take WASH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-14 | New England Patriots -225 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots ML. Jesse Schule |
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09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 6-26 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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09-08-14 | San Diego Chargers +3 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Chargers. The Cardinals open the 2014 season at home in a Monday night game versus the San Diego Chargers. Arizona is a favorite here, despite the fact that they are a little banged up. Running back Andre Ellington is suffering from a foot injury that could keep him out tonight, if he is able to start, he will be playing through pain and will likely see limited touches. Backups Stepfan Taylor and Jonathan Dwyer don't inspire a lot of confidence, and running the ball could be a tough task for the home team here. |
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09-07-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos The Colts were 5-3 on the road last year, but they probably should have been 3-5. Why? Because they were blown out in the first half at Houston, and then staged an improbable comeback in the second half to steal a game that appeared to already be lost. They went on to do the same thing two weeks later at Tennessee, and then they did it again in the playoffs at home against the Chiefs. It took a whole lot of Luck (pun definitely intended) for the Colts to win 11 games last year, and I don't like their chances of repeating that success here in 2014. They have a tough match-up in Week 1, on the road at Denver, and this game has blowout written all over it. Peyton Manning rewrote the record books last year, throwing for nearly 5,500 yards and 55 TDs. He won't have Wes Welker in Week 1, but that's unlikely to slow him in the slightest bit. Demarius and Julius Thomas, along with Emanuel Sanders will certainly give him enough targets to choose from . Denver will be looking to avenge a loss at Indianapolis last year, and with a greatly improved defense and the advantage of playing at Mile High Stadium, they shouldn't have any trouble executing their revenge. The Broncos won last year's season opener by a score of 49-27 against the Ravens, and I expect a similar scoreline tonight. Take DEN, GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -139 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -139 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Tampa Bucs. Jesse Schule |
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09-07-14 | Washington Redskins v. Houston Texans -140 | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 249 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. Take HOU. |
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09-07-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Philadelphia Eagles -10 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 249 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. Jesse Schule |
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09-07-14 | New England Patriots -4.5 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 20-33 | Loss | -105 | 249 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Jesse Schule |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks -5 | Top | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 226 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. |
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48 | Top | 43-8 | Loss | -110 | 293 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA@DEN to go UNDER the total.
One week before Super Bowl XLVIII, the New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils played an outdoor game at Yankees Stadium. Here is what Marty Brodeur had to say about the weather conditions: "When you went on it was worse and worse. It was tough," Brodeur said. "It was so cold out there." The Weather reports vary from day to day, and while some are optimistic that it won't be as bad as many had feared, it seems clear that conditions will be less than ideal. The game has been hyped as the Bronco's and their high flyin' offense, versus Seattle's #1 ranked defense. I think that Denver isn't getting enough respect for their own solid play defensively. The Broncos have been particularly tough against the run, limiting San Diego and New England to a combined 129 yards. Denver has now played five straight low scoring games, with the total falling below the number. Offensively, we've seen Denver leaning on it's power running game, with long, clock killing drives. In fact in second quarter of the AFC Championship Game, we saw the Broncos set a record for their longest drive of the season, chewing up roughly seven minutes off the clock. In the third quarter they broke that record with another drive of more than seven minutes. Seattle's defense is likely going to prove to be a little tougher than San Diego and New England, so we could see Denver's punter get a little more time in the spotlight. The Seahawks have been very successful handing the ball off to Marshawn Lynch, who has 249 yards and three touchdowns in the post-season so far. They should continue to feed the beast. Both teams should burn a lot of time off the clock with each possession, and I'm expecting this to be a low scoring affair. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -165 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 169 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks pitched a shutout through three quarters against the Saints last week, holding New Orleans scoreless until Khiry Robinson found the endzone on a one yard run at 13:11 of the fourth quarter. Marshawn Lynch gave them all the offense that they needed, running for 140 yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries. The 49ers were unable to contain Lynch back in September, when he ran for 98 yards and two scores, helping Seattle cruise to a 29-3 victory. The margin of victory was even greater for Seattle when the 49ers came to town last season, losing by a score of 42-13. Frank Gore has been held below 100 yards in five straight games, and the 30 year old might be a little worn down after a long season. He's not going to find a lot of running room in Seattle, where he gained just 16 yards on nine carries in his last visit. I believe Seattle's greatest advantage in this game is at the quarterback position. Colin Kaepernick has been terrorized by this Seahawks defense in past meetings, and he was just 13-of-28 for 127 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions in the loss at Seattle earlier this year. Russell Wilson continues to show the poise of a seasoned veteran, taking what a defense will give him, and rarely making mistakes. He's thrown five touchdown passes and been picked off just twice in two previous home games versus the Niners. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos UNDER 55 | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 157 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NE@DEN to go UNDER the total.
Denver's win versus San Diego last weekend avenged their only home loss this season. They didn't exactly light up the scoreboard as we have seen them do so often this season, but perhaps the most impressive statistic is that the Broncos punter never stepped on the field. Their offense steadily engineered long clock killing drives, with a power running game featuring Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball. When called upon, Peyton was razor sharp. The Patriots have their own power running game, and LeGarrette Blount and Stevan Ridley combined to score six rushing touchdowns against the Colts. Running on the Broncos figures to be a little tougher though, as Denver's defense has been far stronger against the run. San Diego gained only 65 yards on the ground last week, and that marked the third straight game that Denver held it's opponent to fewer than 100 yards rushing. They have also seen the total fall below the number in each of their last four games. A lot has been made of the matchup between Brady and Manning, and the fact that Brady has won 10-of-14 previous meetings. I don't put much stock in that stat, this is a new game, and Peyton has the advantage of playing at home in Denver. The Pats defense ranks last in the league against the run, allowing an average of 134 rushing yards per game. They aren't that much better against the pass, and Andrew Luck threw for 331 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week. Denver terrorized Phillip Rivers last week, sacking him four times, and forcing him to get rid of the ball early on numerous occasions. Brady could be spending a lot of time pulling his butt off the turf, as New England's pass protection leaves a lot to be desired. Brady was sacked exactly twice as many times as Manning during the season (40). Belichick and Brady have defied all odds by getting this injury riddled team, with a depleted receiving corps all the way to the AFC Championship game, but I expect the injuries to take their toll here in Denver, and the Pats should come up short. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4 | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 89 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the Denver Broncos (First Half)
Denver's win versus San Diego last weekend avenged their only home loss this season. They didn't exactly light up the scoreboard as we have seen them do so often this season, but perhaps the most impressive statistic is that the Broncos punter never stepped on the field. Their offense steadily engineered long clock killing drives, with a power running game featuring Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball. When called upon, Peyton was razor sharp. The Patriots have their own power running game, and LeGarrette Blount and Stevan Ridley combined to score six rushing touchdowns against the Colts. Running on the Broncos figures to be a little tougher though, as Denver's defense has been far stronger against the run. San Diego gained only 65 yards on the ground last week, and that marked the third straight game that Denver held it's opponent to fewer than 100 yards rushing. A lot has been made of the matchup between Brady and Manning, and the fact that Brady has won 10-of-14 previous meetings. I don't put much stock in that stat, this is a new game, and Peyton has the advantage of playing at home in Denver. The Pats defense ranks last in the league against the run, allowing an average of 134 rushing yards per game. They aren't that much better against the pass, and Andrew Luck threw for 331 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week. Denver terrorized Phillip Rivers last week, sacking him four times, and forcing him to get rid of the ball early on numerous occasions. Brady could be spending a lot of time pulling his butt off the turf, as New England's pass protection leaves a lot to be desired. Brady was sacked exactly twice as many times as Manning during the season (40). Belichick and Brady have defied all odds by getting this injury riddled team, with a depleted receiving corps all the way to the AFC Championship game, but I expect the injuries to take their toll here in Denver, and the Pats should come up short. Take DEN - First Half ML. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos UNDER 56 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 155 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SD@DEN to go UNDER the total.
The San Diego Chargers are the "Giant Killers", as they have now beat the Chiefs in Kansas City, the Eagles in Philly, The Bengals in Cincy.. and of course they beat the Broncos in Denver just last month. That was then, and this is now. If you look at their win in Cincinnati, the Chargers went into that game with a very conservative game plan. It was more of a case of the Bengals beating themselves, with four turnovers. The Chargers played well defensively, terrorizing Andy Dalton, but come on .. he's no Peyton Manning. Last week's battle with the Bengals took it's toll on San Diego, as Ryan Mathews left the game with an ankle injury, and they also lost their starting center. Remember that Denver actually did beat the Chargers in San Diego back in back in November by a score of 28-20. This Broncos defense has been good against the run all year long, and coming off a week of rest should benefit the Broncos tremendously. Now that you mention it, the last time the Broncos played after a bye week was their victory in San Diego earlier in the year. These teams failed to reach 50 points in both previous meetings, yet the total for Sunday's game is in the mid 50s. Denver has played three straight unders, while the Chargers haven't seen a total reach 50 in any of their last six games. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos -9 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver (1st Half)
The San Diego Chargers are the "Giant Killers", as they have now beat the Chiefs in Kansas City, the Eagles in Philly, The Bengals in Cincy.. and of course they beat the Broncos in Denver just last month. That was then, and this is now. If you look at their win in Cincinnati, the Chargers went into that game with a very conservative game plan. It was more of a case of the Bengals beating themselves, with four turnovers. The Chargers played well defensively, terrorizing Andy Dalton, but come on .. he's no Peyton Manning. Last week's battle with the Bengals took it's toll on San Diego, as Ryan Mathews left the game with an ankle injury, and they also lost their starting center. Remember that Denver actually did beat the Chargers in San Diego back in November by a score of 28-20. This Broncos defense has been good against the run all year long, and coming off a week of rest should benefit the Broncos tremendously. Now that you mention it, the last time the Broncos played after a bye week was their victory in San Diego earlier in the year. Take the Denver 1ST Half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-14 | San Francisco 49ers -130 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 150 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ers.
The Niners appear to be peaking at the right time, as they wrapped up the season with six straight wins, and then went into Green Bay and beat the Packers in freezing cold weather last week. The final score of 23-20 is a little deceiving, as the game really wasn't as close as the score indicates. San Francisco out-gained the packers 381-281 in total yards, and it was an interception by Colin Kaepernick and a few miraculous plays by Aaron Rogers that allowed the Packers to keep it close. The Defense got the job done, holding Rogers to just 177 yards and a touchdown, and sacking him four times. Cam Newton will have his work cut out for him, especially if Carolina's running game stalls against the NFL's 4th best run defense. The Panthers upset the 49ers in San Francisco earlier this season, but they needed a perfect set of circumstances to sneak away with a one-point victory. They also didn't have to worry about Michael Crabtree, who had 13 receptions for 125 yards in the snow in Green Bay last week. Cam Newton did not have a good game when the Panthers visited San Francisco earlier this season, completing just 16-of-32 passes for 169 yards, with no touchdowns and an INT. Newton failed to throw for 200 yards in three of his last four starts, and he was picked off four times in his last five starts. Ultimately I think what this game will come down to, from a 49ers perspective: "we can do anything they can do, only better." Both teams have a dual threat quarterback, a strong running game and an elite defense, but San Francisco has more weapons, and a superior coaching staff (never underestimate coaching). Take the NINERS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots UNDER 53.5 | Top | 22-43 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@NE to go UNDER the total.
The Colts did it again last week, coming back from another huge deficit (28 points), this time stunning the Chiefs. We've seen this before from Indianapolis, with big comeback wins in Houston and Tennessee previously this season. While Andrew Luck and the Colts have proved that they have what it takes to engineer a comeback, perhaps more telling is that they have so frequently found themselves trailing at halftime. This defense has struggled, and hasn't had much success stopping the run, allowing opponents an average of over 125 yards rushing per game (26th in the NFL). With weather in New England expected to be a factor (calling for rain and wind), this game could turn into a war of attrition. The Colts simply do not possess the defense or the running game to compete in such a contest. New England was 8-0 at home this year, and I just don't see Andrew Luck getting the better of Tom Brady here at Foxboro in the playoffs. Bill Belichick has had two weeks to prepare a game plan for the Colts, and if you ask me, he's still the grandmaster of NFL coaches. You have to give Belichick and Brady a lot of credit for holding this team together during a trying season, and you can rest assured that they will have a solid strategy for defeating the Colts. The Colts have seen the total go under in each of their last six playoff games on the road, and I expect to see that trend continue Sunday. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 48 | Top | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 129 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@SEA to go UNDER the total. The Saints were able to sneak away with a victory on a late field goal in Philadelphia, but they are in for a far tougher test against Seattle and their legendary 12th man. Seattle's #1 ranked pass defense is going to be a tough nut to crack for Drew Brees and company. After winning 14 in a row at home at home over the past two seasons, the Seahawks lost to Arizona just two weeks ago. Carson Palmer made the big play to put the Cards ahead late, but overall he was terrorized by the Seahawk secondary, completing just 13-of-25 for 178 yards, with one TD and four INTs. The Saints lost in Seattle in December by a score of 34-7, and they lost previously two years earlier, also in Seattle. The Saints proved they can win on the road last week, but this is still a dome team that isn't the same outside the Superdome. In the last meeting, Seattle held Brees to just 147 yards and a touchdown, and given two weeks to rest up and prepare, expect to see a very similar storyline here in this playoff game. Take the UNDER GL, Jesse Schule
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01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF@GB to go UNDER the total.
The are saying it could be the coldest game in the history of the NFL, but if you thought that favored the home team, you could be interested to learn that the Packers have lost more home playoff games than they have won the past decade. While the weather may not help the Packers, it could prevent both these teams from having big days offensively Aaron Rodgers made the big play when he needed to last week, but that was against a Bears team that is terrible against the pass. His numbers were not a all impressive in his first game back, and he was picked off twice in the first half. The cold weather isn't likely going to help him against a stout 49ers defense, that has allowed opponents to average just 220 yards passing per game. A strong defense and a potent running game is the recipe for success in cold weather, and if these teams are forced to lean on their running games, we should see a low scoring affair. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers -136 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on the San Francisco 49ers.
The are saying it could be the coldest game in the history of the NFL, but if you thought that favored the home team, you could be interested to learn that the Packers have lost more home playoff games than they have won the past decade. The 49ers have also defeated the Packers in each of the last three meetings, one of those in Green Bay. We all remember Colin Kaepernick putting on a show in the win over the Packers in San Francisco in the divisional playoff game last year. He's burned the Packers for a career high 181 yards rushing, and 412 yards passing. If you expect the cold weather to bother Kaepernick, keep in mind he was born and raised a die hard packers fan .. in Wisconsin. While playing college ball at Nevada, Kaepernick, threw for 259 yards and a touchdown and ran for 45 yards and a score in a 34-31 upset of the then #3 ranked Boise State Broncos, with temperatures in the 20s. Aaron Rodgers made the big play when he needed to last week, but that was against a Bears team that is terrible against the pass. His numbers were not all that impressive in his first game back, and he was picked off twice in the first half. The cold weather isn't likely going to help him against a stout 49ers defense, that has allowed opponents to average just 220 yards passing per game. A strong defense and a potent running game is the recipe for success in cold weather, and the 49ers possess both those attributes, while the Packers have neither. The absence of Clay Matthews will really make it hard to contain Kaepernick, and as much as I really DO NOT like his attitude, I think he's going to have a big day. Take the 49ers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-14 | San Diego Chargers +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 94 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Diego Chargers.
The Chargers will be a big underdog on the road in Cincy, playing the 11-5 Bengals who were 8-0 at home this season. They also beat the Chargers in San Diego by a score of 17-10 earlier this season. The Chargers didn't roll over in that game, going to the locker room tied 7-7 at the half, but eventually losing 17-10. They limited Andy Dalton to 190 yards and a touchdown and an interception on 14-of-23 passing. The Chargers have thrived in the roll of an underdog this season, winning on the road in Kansas City, Denver and Philadelphia. Philip Rivers has a higher QBR on the road than he does at home, and he's thrown for 2,496 yards and 15 touchdowns away from San Diego this season. Andy Dalton has had some big games, no doubt about that, but he's also had some real stinkers. He's been picked off 20 times this season, and four of those came last week against Baltimore (at home). The 26 year old hasn't inspired much confidence in the playoffs the past two season's throwing four interceptions and getting sacked six times without throwing a single touchdown pass. In a big game, with winner takes all, I am inclined to put my trust in a veteran and proven performer like Rivers. I not only think the Chargers will cover, I think they have an excellent chance to win this game outright. Take San Diego. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-14 | New Orleans Saints +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Philadelphia Eagles and Chip Kelly's offense have been impressive when things have gone their way. But remember a few weeks ago in Minnesota they were blown out by the Vikings, with Matt Cassel putting up video game type numbers. It was another backup quarterback last week that had his way with the Eagles secondary, Kyle Orton threw for 358 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Now Philly has to try to contain Drew Brees, and hope that their own inexperienced quarterback can hold his composure. What really concerns me about the Eagles, is that throughout the season I have seen Chip Kelly make numerous terrible decisions, and there is no doubt in my mind that Sean Payton will out-coach Kelly here today. Take the Saints. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-14 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs will be on the road in Indianapolis on Wild Card Weekend, and they will be the underdog. The Colts were fortunate to finish the season with three straight wins, one of those an upset of the Chiefs at Arrowhead. That game saw Kansas City turn the ball over four times, all but handing Indianapolis the victory. They were playing without several key starters in that game, and they expect most of those players to return for this game. "We'll see them again," Chiefs linebacker Derrick Johnson said. "They've got the upper hand on us right now because in their minds they think they can beat us. If we go down there, it will be a different story. But we've got to fight our way back." The Colts caught a lot of breaks during the season, including miracle comebacks against Houston and Tennessee just two weeks apart. Ultimately I just don't think their defense can stop the Chiefs running game, and without a serious running threat of their own, they are putting too much pressure on Andrew Luck. Take the Chiefs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys +7 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 80 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
Dallas needs to win at home in their final game of the season in order to make the playoffs. Nobody is giving the Cowboys much of a chance without starting quarterback Tony Romo. That strikes me as a little strange, considering it was Romo that many blamed for losses to Denver, and much of the Cowboy's struggles this season. Veteran backup Kyle Orton will step in, and he's been a proven winner throughout his career (35-34 as a starter in nine seasons). Last week in Washington, I saw a Cowboys team that has plenty of fight left in it. Two weeks ago in Minnesota, I saw a Philadelphia team that looked lost, with a coach that could best be described as incompetent. Now Philly looked unstoppable against the Bears, but we should remember that Dallas dominated the Eagles earlier this season in Philadelphia. Nick Foles completed 11-of-29 passes for just 80 yards, getting sacked three times and leaving with a concussion. LeSean McCoy had just 55 yards on 18 carries in the loss. Dallas is getting quite a few points as the home underdog here, and I see no reason why this won't be a close game. Don't be surprised to see the Cowboys win outright. Take Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. San Diego Chargers -9.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -102 | 75 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Diego Chargers.
The Chargers are making a furious charge to get into the playoffs. I bet on San Diego in Week 12 in an upset victory on the road in Kansas City, and then again three weeks later in Denver (+$240 ML 1/H). San Diego will finish the season at home versus a Chiefs team with nothing left to play for. Expect Andy Reid to keep his star players on the bench, especially Jamaal Charles. Reid hasn't admitted that he intends to sit his starters, saying: "... This is one of those decisions you make, it's a bit of a gut feeling you go with." History tells us otherwise. Back in 2010, the Eagles finished the season at home versus the Cowboys in a meaningless game, and here is a quote from ESPN in the post-game recap: "Michael Vick and nearly every starter didn't play in a game that had no effect on Philadelphia's playoff positioning. The Eagles (10-6) are locked into the No. 3 seed and will host Green Bay in a wild-card game next Sunday." The Chargers should be able to win decisively in a must win game, playing against Kansas City's backups. Take San Diego. GL, Jesse Schule |