Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NLCS GOY) If you're watching this game, then you know the story lines of each team to this point, as well as the cast of characters on each side. Zach Wheeler has been better than Zach Gallen so far in the post-season, but honetly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to come out on top in this pressure packed situation. Gallen definitely benefits from throwing at home. Wheeler has experience, but we say this starting pitching matchup (for all intents and purposes), is a "wash." Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it's one that we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line at times. Arizona has definitely wrestled back the momentum in this series after going down 0-2 in Philadelphia to start and to get an extra 1.5 runs of insurance at this price is just too good to to turn down in the end; so that's the play, Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Arizona on the runline yesterday and where that play came up short, we're expecting this Game 2 contest to now deliver the goods in "rocking chair" fashion. We won't rule out an outright victory here obviously either, but at this decent mid-sized price, getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance is just too good to turn down in our opinion. The D-Backs go with Merrill Kelly (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (2-0, 1.42, 0.87.) Very evenly matched teams and clubs and in a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extras, we're indeed laying the price for Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLCS GOW) If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the story line for each club up to this point, so there's no reason to give you a breakdown of how each club got to this point. You likely also already know the cast of characters for each side, the coaches and the players and also each team's strengths and weaknesses. We're just here to tell you why we think that the D-Backs can pull off the upset here, or at the very least, keep it close enough to cover on the runline option. And it's simple, the starting pitching matchup is very even, but we definitely think that Zac Gallen (2-0, 3.18 ERA) will be able to easily match his counterpart Zach Wheeler (1-0, 2.08) inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS BOB) Arizona has a shot at eliminating the Dodgers here and we're expecting that to happen. That said, for this price, we can't turn down the home side on the runline option. Arizona has scored nine first-inning runs so far in this series, and we're expecting this very real momentum that it's created to be carried over here. Often we've found that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying in factors like "momentum" into a line, and that's definitely the case here with Arizona, which is clearly "firing on all cylinders" right now. LA hands the ball to Lance Lynn, while the home side counters with Brandon Pfaadt. Each has struggled, but Arizona's home field advantage, its bullpen and its offense has been "on point" of late and because of that, we're going to play Arizona on the runline option here in Game 3 of this NLDS! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS GOW) Arizona is rolling, and dangerous and we think it's once again undervalued in this matchup. After steamrolling the Brewers in two games, the D-Backs smoked the Dodgers 11-2 in Game 1. Now with the superior starter on the hill (in our opinion anyways), we feel that Arizona has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The visitors hand the ball to ace Zac Gallen (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has had difficulties with the Dodgers this year, but he's off the great start vs. the Brewers and this is a case of "that was then, and this is now!" The Dodgers' bullpen was taxed in Game 1 and now they turn to Bobby Miller (11-4, 3.76,) who has been great in his rookie year, but who clearly is in unchartered territory here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Twins v. Astros -136 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Astros (BEST OF BEST) We had a play on the Astros 6-4 series-opening win last night, and we think the home side can now smell the blood in the water. As predicted, Minnesota suffered a letdown on the road after their win over the Jays to snap a super long playoff slide. Minnesota is just terrible on the road, now 40-42 away from friendly confines this year. Houston struggled at home uncharacteristically this year, and enters are 40-42. But that said, now that the playoffs are finally here, we just can't understate how important we feel the home-field advantage will play here. Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.66 ERA) gets the call here for the Twins and while he had a decent year, and a good showing against the Jays in the Wildcard, regression seems imminent here in our opinion in this difficult road venue. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45), who is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. He's also 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in seven career appearances vs. Minnesota. Overall we feel we're getting a great price here on Houston at home with the superior starter on the hill; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Twins v. Astros -143 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
10* Astros (ALDS GOY) The Twins not only won a playoff game for the first time since 2004, but they also won their wildcard series at home over the Blue Jays in two straight, but we're now expecting a predictable letdown here in the opener of this ALDS. The Astros are the king of the AL, winning four of the last six years. They earned a few days rest and look primed for another deep run. Minnesota has got zero rest and partied big after beating the Jays. This one has "letdown" spot written all over it; lay the price the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Rangers rolled over Tampa Bay, but now we believe they'll stumble here in the opener of this ALDS. The Orioles are expected to start Kyle Bradish, while the visitors are expected to start Dane Dunning. We love the way this one sets up for Baltimore though regardless. The Rangers did well against the Orioles in the regular season, but Baltimore was 49-32 at home this year, while the Rangers were just 42-41 on the road. Look for the home side to figure out a way to come out on top here in Game 1 and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Phillies (WC GOY) We had a play on the Phillies yesterday, and we like the home side to now finish off this series and get ready for the Divisional round with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) on the hill. Nola didn't finish the season strong, but he's had plenty of time to rest up here and note that he's 6-3 with a 3.30 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. The Fish counter with Braxton Garrett (9-7, 3.66) who has never even thrown in the Playoffs. Garrett was actually 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA on the road, but we still feel he's completely overmatched here at this difficult and unfriendly venue; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (SLUG-FEST.) The Phillies used "momentum" at the end of last season and rode that wave all the way until the World Series. Philadelphia caught fire like that at the end of this regular season as well, and now I expect the experienced home side to make the most of this opportunity. The difference-maker is the starting pitchers, as we feel that Zach Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) has a major advantage here. Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Marlins. He's 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA in six playoff games. The Fish counter with Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.63), who is 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in five career starts vs. Philadelphia, but who is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in three career playoff appearances. As stated off the top, experience in this case will prove to crucial; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Cubs -111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Cubs (ASSASSIN) The Brewers have clinched, and the slumping Cubs have essentially now run out of time. It's do-or-die time for Chicago, and because of that, we're expecting Kyle Hendricks and the visiting side to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in the opener of this series. Evenly matched starters here with Hendricks (6-8, 3.66 ERA) going up against Colin Rea (6-6, 4.74,) but the intenstiy and focus in which we're expecting the Cubs to play with here will turn out to be the difference-maker. Chicago has the right man on the hill for the job; lay the price, the play is the Cubs! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yanks/Jays OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a higher-scoring slug-fest here finally in the finale of this AL East series. The Yanks are out of playoff contention, and they're looking to once again play spoiler here after taking the first two gams of this series, winning 2-0 and 6-0. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have also seen the total go "over" in three of their last four in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Luke Weaver (0-0, 6.75 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74) counters for the home side. They're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -154 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Mariners runline (BLOWOUT) I had the Mariners last night in their 6-2 win, breaking a four-game slide. Seattle is now just a .5 game back of the Astros for the Wildcard. They play Houston again here tonight, followed by four straight at home vs. NL West-leading Texas to end the regular season. Houston won't be rolling over here, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we feel we're getting supreme value here with the home side on the runlien option at this price. Houston turns to Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.39 ERA), while the homeside counters with Bryce Miller (8-6, 4.17.) These guys are a "wash" essentially. For all the reasons liste above, the play is Seattle on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Cubs runline (BOB) We had a play on the Cubs on the runline last night, and while we think Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning tonight's contest outright as well, in the end we can't turn the overall value we feel we're getting by grabbing the desperate visiting side on the runline option again here. Chicago is fighting for a wildcard still, while ATL is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're once again all over Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Astros v. Mariners -140 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) These teams are locked in a mortal battle for the third and final wildcard spot. With Monday's 5-1 loss, the Mariners are now 1.5 games behind the Astros for that spot. Seattle has two games here left at home vs. the Astros, and then a four-game home stand vs. AL West leading Houston to end out the regular season. But after four straight losses, this has become the Mariners single most important game of the entire season. It's essentially a do or die scenario. We like the Mariners to bounce back here at home and this is a great price. These starters are a "wash," but the overall situation here favors the home side; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Cubs RUNLINE (BOB) The Cubs have a lot to play for here with just six games left to go in the regular season. Chicago is trying to nail down one of the NL's final two WC spots. They're in a dog fight with Arizona and Miami. Atlanta is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed, so its less urgent for them here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we think Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00 ERA) and the visitors are the correct call here on the runline option vs. Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) and the contented home side; for all the reasons listed above, the plya is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (U OF THE U) A big divisional series, more so for the Jays though who are in a dog fight for the final AL Wildcard. Good news for Toronto fans though, the Jays have caught fire of late and we're fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Last night they won the opener by a score of 6-2. We're coming down the home stretch, and these types of games very much have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about them. In what we anticipate will be a very tight and competitive affair here today, we're going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; a great situational play, the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOWOUT) The Astros have lost three straight series and they're just 39-39 at home after salvaging the finale of its series with Baltimore with a tight 2-1 win. Houston is only a .5 game up on the Rangers in the AL West and in a tight race now for a wildcard. Now Cole Ragans (4-1, 1.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP for his new team) and the Royals will look to play spoiler in this series. Framber Valdez (12-10, 3.20) counters for the home side. I like Ragans to easily match Valdez and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog invariably. The play is KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Blue Jays +122 v. Yankees | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Usually, we like "standing in front of trains," and predicting when a streak will end, but in this case we feel that Jose Berrios (11-10, 3.49 ERA) and Toronto offer fantastic value as a live dog here to complete the three-game sweep, despite facing Yanks' ace Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.81.) It's all about "momentum" and "motivation" at this time of year and the Jays are rolling right now. Look for Toronto to continue its push towards a wildcard, as it's now qualified as our No. 1 underdog of the month for September! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers -128 | Top | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
10* Rangers (ASSASSIN) The Rangers finally broke a four-game slide with a 6-4 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas here as well in the finale. Previous to that the Rangers won four straight over the Jays in a critical series. Since then though, the Jays have been on a tear. Texas is still in the midst of a heated wildcard race, and we believe it also has the superior starter going tonight as well. The visitors hand the ball to Brayan Bello (12-9, 3.71 ERA), while the home side counters with Jon Gray (8-8, 4.05.) Note that Gray is 4-1 in all "day" games as well. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
8* Phillies RUNLINE (ROUT) The Phillies are trying their hardest to earn the top NL Wildcard. Winning this series on the road here vs. the NL-leading Braves would help for sure. The Phillies won the opener, and then the Braves responded on Tuesday. Now here in the finale, we're expecting a very competitive affair. And in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. These starters are a "wash," with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.62 ERA) goes for the visitors, and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.50) counters for the home side. In this competitive contest, we're laying the price for the Phillies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-19-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Phillies are gunning for the TOP NL wildcard spot, and they won an important game last night in the opener of this series. In what we believe will be another tightly-contested and highly-competitive affair, the value in our opinion lies with the visitors on the "runline" option. Cristopher Sanchez (2-4, 3.40 ERA) gets the call for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider (17-5, 3.73 ERA) We'll argue that Strider is having an above average season, on a really good team. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Mets v. Marlins -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
8* MARLINS (MISMATCH) The Mets have struggled on the road, going just 30-44. The Marlins are in the thick of a playoff race and they're 43-32 at home. Braxton Garrett (9-6, 3.67 ERA) is battle-tested for the Marlins and he's been great of late here in September, posting a minuscule 0.93 ERA and striking out 11 batters over nine innings of work. He'll be opposed by Jose Butto (1-2, 3.46.) Butto has been decent, but we don't think he'll receive enough run support in this one. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Cubs (BLOWOUT) These teams are battling it out for one of the final NL wildcards. Chicago has now lost three in a row though after dropping last night's contest 6-4 here, and note that the Cubs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here though is that this one definitely favors the Cubs in the starting pitching matchup, with veteran Kyle Hendricks (6-7, 3.71 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), getting the nod here over the volatile Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81, 1.61 WHIP.) Lay the price, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Phillies -140 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Phillies (NL BLOWOUT) We like the Phillies to bounce back here after dropping four of their last five. That includes two straight at home to the Braves earlier in the week. Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.64 ERA) gets the nod here over his counterpart Zach Thompson (5-5, 4.06.) Look for Philadelphia to come in focussed and to deliver in the opener of this one! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Orioles RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) A big divisional series here, and after yesterday's 4-3 loss in Game 1, we expect Baltimore to respond on Friday. The Orioles have now lost three straight, and note that Baltimore if 4-1 in its last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Zach Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here for the Rays. Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.98) will finally get a chance to bounce back here for his new team. We expect the veteran to match his counterpart. Great overall value here in getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance - the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -146 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) Enough is enough for Toronto here, as it's lost the first three games of this four-game series by score of 10-4, 6-3 and 10-0. Note though that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. After five straight wins, we're expecting the Rangers to finally have a small letdown here. Nathan Eovaldi (11-4, 2.90 ERA) has been great for the Rangers, but we still give Kevin Gausman (11-8, 3.28) the slight nod here at home. Look for the desperate home side to deliver finally here on Thursday! AAA Sports |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox -148 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* White Sox (AL BOB) The White Sox won the opener, and the Royals clawed back to win 11-10 in last night's Game 2. Now here in the finale with a chance for a rare series win, we like Mike Clevinger to seal the deal here vs. his incompetent counterpart. Clevinger (7-7, 3.64 ERA) is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA. The Royals' Steven Cruz (0-0, 7.20) is being thrown to the wolves here in this matchup. Look for Chicago to take advantage and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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09-12-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays +100 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Jays (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Two really good teams in the hunt for a playoff berth collide here in the second game of this three-game series North of the border, and in my opinion, I think the revenge-minded home side offers great value at this price to find a way to deliver on Tuesday. Texas won yesterday's opener by a score of 10-4. Toronto is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. If the Rangers have had one weakness as well, it's been their inconsistent play on the road, where they're still a just a pedestrian 34-34 this year. The Jaysa re now 38-31 at home, but we like TO to bounce back here with its ace on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-2, 2.65 ERA), who will square off against Max Scherzer (3-2, 3.63.) Scherzer is just in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Great price and value overall on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Marlins v. Brewers -144 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NL GOW) Both pitchers have been great here, but we give the big nod to Brandon Woodruff (4-1, 2.30 ERA, 0.79 WHIP) here at home. Woodruff will be going up against Jesus Luzardo (9-8, 3.89.) The Fish are off a 5-4 comeback win at Philly, but we say they're now primed for a classic letdown here in Milwaukee. Dating to last season Woodruff is 14-3 with a 2.36 ERA and he's 2-0 wtih a 3.00 ERA in two career outings vs. the Fish. Luzardo is just 1-3 with a poor 4.89 ERA over his las seven starts. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -141 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (AL GOW) Texas just two two of three at home over the A's, but the Rangers haven't been traveling well of late, and here they face a red hot home side that's won eight of its last ten, including sweeping the Royals here over the weekend in three straight. As good as Dane Dunning (9-6, 3.88 ERA) has been for the Rangers, we're still giving the nod to Chris Bassitt (14-7, 3.69) here at home. Look for Toronto to ride the wave of emotion and to post the convincing victory here in Game 1 of this series! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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09-04-23 | Twins -133 v. Guardians | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Twins (ASSASSIN) With a chance to really distance themselves from the Guardians for the division lead, and with the superior starter on the hill fr them, we like the Twins to find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this one. Pablo Lopez (9-7, 3.72 ERA) is definitely the "correct call" here as far as the starting pitching matchup is concerned in our opinion, as he'll face off against the struggling Lucas Giolito (1-5, 6.89.) We see Minnesota going up early and then we expect the bullpen to deliver the goods in the end; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BOB) Arizona took the opener, and Baltimore bounced back on Saturday. Now with the suprerior starting pitcher on the hill for them here, we like the Diamondbacks to respond in the finale of this three-game series and to find a way to get the job done. And for us, it just boils down to the starting pitching, as Baltimore's Jack Flaherty (1-2, 6.41 ERA) continues to look shaky for his new team, while Zac Gallen (14-6, 3.32) here at home at this price and in this situation seems like a gift; so lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Jays (ROUT) Despite last night's win, the Guardians are still just 28-35 on the road, while Toronto is still 32-28 at home. Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 3-1 in their last four in trying t avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We like Logan Allen (6-6, 3.31 ERA) of Cleveland, but we think he's overmatched here facing Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 1.89) at home; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-21-23 | Rangers -150 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Rangers (IL GOW) This will be a public play, but we like Texas to stop the bleeding here after four straight losses. Arizona looks primed for a letdown here in the opener after going 5-1 in its last six, including taking two of three at rival San Diego this weekend. Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 2.50 ERA) gets the call for the Rangers, while Slade Cecconi (0-0, 3.48) counters for the home side. The sample size is still too small to draw any firm conclusions on Cecconi, but we feel he's definitely overmatched here. Montgomery is the correct call here to snap the slide; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Nationals. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's 12-3 win here. Note though that the Phillies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight overs in a row. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in interestingly three of its last four after a loss of 8 or more runs as well. Zach Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) of the Phillies faces off against Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.20) of the Nationals in the starting pitching matchup, and we're expecting these guys to battle into the latter frames; when you add it all up, the "under" is indeed the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/Braves (NL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a more explosive "slug-fest" here finally on Saturday, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-0 setback here. Note though that the Giants have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Braves have now won four straight, while also seeing the total go "under" in three straight (but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA), while the home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-1 with a ballooned 9.33 ERA for his new team. Expect these guys to get "the hook" early and then look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
10* Marlins runline (ASSASSIN) If the Marlins are going to make the playoffs, they'll have to win on the road, and they'll have to compete with the top teams in the league. Both of those factors will be on the line here in their trip to LA, and in a competitive opening contest that we foresee being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're going to grab the hungry Fish on the runline option. Sandy Alcantara (5-10, 4.09 ERA) is coming off his strongest outing of the year, giving up one run and striking out ten in a complete-game victory over the Yanks. It would appear that Alcantara has plenty left in the tank here now for a final push to the season (he owns a 1.69 ERA over his last four trips to the hill.) He hasn't fared well against LA in the past, but this is a case of that being then, and this being now. Tony Gonsolin (8-4, 4.24) counters for the home side, and he's coming off a strong outing against the Rockies, allowing one run over six innings. After 11 straight wins, we think LA is now complacent. No such luxury for the hungry Marlins though; the play is Miami on the runline. AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Nats (ULTIMATE TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Boston has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 6-2 loss. Note though that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.52 ERA for Boston, while Patrick Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA for the Nationals. Two veterans who have each seen better days collide here and this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* Mariners/Royals UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first three games of this series have all flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale (note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Seattle hands the ball to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), while the home side counters with Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71.) This pick is based mainly upon the form of Kirby, who is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and a 38:3 K/W over his last five starts. Zerpa hasn't made a start since July 26th last year, so he's a bit of an unknown, but note that he's 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in three previous career starts. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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08-16-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) After dropping three straight, including the first game of this series, we like the Phillies to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, meaning that the runline option is the savvy call for sure here as far as making a play on the side. We don't trust the Jays to pull off the sweep. We think these starters are very evenly matched, with Philly going with Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA), and the Jays countering with Kevin Gausman (9-6, 3.04.) Philadelphia comes in desperate to snap the three-game slide, and while we do believe the outright win is possible, the runline option at this price is the correct call in our opinion; the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -159 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* Rangers (BLOOD-BATH) We don't expect any upsets here today in Texas. There sure wasn't yesterday in the Rangers' 12-0 victory. "They're all doing something to help contribute," Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said after yesterday's blowout victory. "They're all involved. If you look at the bench, they're all getting playing time right now, so it's good to have depth." Lucas Giolito (7-8, 4.37 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, and he's been pretty inconsistent since coming over from the ChiSox. He'll be opposed by Jordan Montgomery (7-10, 3.38), who is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts for his new team. This line could/should be a lot larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence; the play is TEXAS! AAA Sports |
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08-14-23 | Yankees v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Braves runline (BLOOD-BATH) The Yanks are just 60-58, including only 25-30 on the road and I believe that New York will not only lose this game, but it'll lost in blowout fashion. ATL is 75-42 overall, including 37-20 at home. NY just lost two of three to the Marlins over the weekend, including a late collapse in last night's 8-7 setback. With the thought of that crushing defeat fresh on the front of their collective mind, I say NY is ripe for the picking here. And I expect ATL to have no mercy. The Braves took three of four from the Mets, but dropped yesterday's contest by a score of 7-6. Clarke Schmidt (8-6, 4.23 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Max Fried (3-1, 2.50) counters for the Braves. We give Fried the big nod here in this matchup; lay the 1.5 runs on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (IL GOW) After four straight losses, including the first two games in this series, we like the Giants to bounce back and deliver here in the finale of this three game set (note that SF is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Texas has been great, but we expect it to get caught "looking ahead" to its upcoming home series with the Angels next. Two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head here, as Dane Dunning is 9-4 with a 3.21 ERA for the visitors, while Logan Webb is battle-tested at 9-9 witha 3.38 ERA for the home side. The revenge-factor and urgency in which the home side plays with today turn out to be the difference-makers; lay the price, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -129 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BLOOD-BATH) We think Arizona will end its nine-game slide. The D-Backs may not be in the postseason, but they won't lose every game from now until the end of the season. The streak of futility ends here and now. Rich Hill (0-1, 18.00 ERA) can't be relied upon from one start to the next, and we feel he's completely overmatched on the road here in this starting pitching matchup throwing opposite D-Backs "ace" Zac Gallen (11-5, 3.37) who is 9-1 with a 1.97 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season; this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, so the value swings to Arizona! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Padres/D-Backs OVER (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. These division foes' wildcard hopes continue to dwindle by each passing day. San Diego enters having lost five of its last six and four in a row, while Arizona comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Arizona's fall from grace over the second half has been spectacular to say the least. Either way, these are two overhyped teams for sure. They've each played to several lower-scoring games. Arizona has played to three straight "unders," but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Blake Snell is 8-8 with a 2.61 ERA for the Padres, but Ryne Nelson is just 6-6 with a 5.16 ERA for the D-Backs. Snell is just in the wrong place, at the wrong time today, as all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Jays/Guardians. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting those trends to end this afternoon in what sets up to be an explosive offensive affair. The Jays are now 35-27 on the road after their 1-0 win here yeterday. They are 2-1 in this 4-game series, all three games have gone "under" the number, but note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The bottom line though more than anything is we don't trust either starting pitcher lasting very long, with the Jays going with the erratic Alek Manoah (3-8, 5.72 ERA), and the home side countering with Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16.) All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Orioles (AL TOM) The Astros came from behind to knock off the Orioles by a score of 7-6 last night, and while that total flew well "over" the number, we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Christian Javier (7-2, 4.39 ERA), while the home side counters with Jack Flaherty (1-0, 1.50.) The Orioles have in fact seen the total go under the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Look for these savvy vets to "steal the show," and grab the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Reds (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins have seen the total go "under" in three straight after last night's 3-2 victory, and note that Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Reds have now lost seven of their last eight after yesterday's setback, and they've seen the total go "under" in six straight. Two confirmed "gas cans" go head-to-head" here though, with Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) going for the Fish, and Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18) countering for the home side. Ashcraft is actually way worse at home this year as well; look for this total to fly well OVER the number before it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-08-23 | Astros -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* Astros RUNLINE (TOP VALUE) A big time matchup between AL leading teams. This is a big time starting pitching mismatch working in favor of the Astros though, and we believe Houston will not only win this opening game, but will do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the savvy call here. Baltimore has been great this year, but we still feel that when faced with the elite teams in the league, the Orioles will struggle. Especially their starting pitching. This is a mismatch on the mound. The Astros go with Framber Valdez (9-7, 3.07 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), while the visitors counter with Grayson Rodriguez (2-3, 6.09, 1.50.) Expect Houston to send an early message here with a resounding victory; grab the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 9.5 | Top | 13-7 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Padres. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here on Monday in the fourth game of this series. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight after last night's 8-2 victory, while SD has seen the total go "over" in the first three games of this series (which is in fact significant to note, as the Padres have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row at home. We have two really decent starters going head to head, with Tony Gonsolin (6-4, 4.11 ERA) getting the nod for the Dodgers and Seth Lugo (4-5, 3.54) countering for the Friars. All signs point to a classic "duel," finally in the finale; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres +1.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Padres runline (NL WEST GOM) We like the Padres to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread option. After droppping the opener 10-5, the Padres bounced back with an 8-3 victory last night. THis is the third game of a four-game series. Both starters are making debuts for their new teams, but we give the advantage to veteran Rich Hill (7-10, 4.76 ERA) here at home. He'll face off against the volatile Lance Lynn (7-9, 6.32.) Look for the home-field advantage to be the difference-maker here, and while clearly the outright is possible, we feel more comfortable laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is San Diego on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-05-23 | Mets v. Orioles -170 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Orioles (IL GOM) The Mets were sellers at the trade deadline, getting rid of both Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander. They're lacking identity and have lost four straight and five of their last six, including losing five straight on the road as well. Baltimore has the best record in the AL and we expect it to dominate here on Saturday in this lop-sided starting pitching matchup. The visitors go with Tyler Megill (6-4, 5.17 ERA), who has been called up from the minors to make this start. He'll be opposed by Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.53), who is 2-0 in his past five starts, working into at least the sixth inning in all six of his July starts; lay the price with confidence, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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08-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Twins (DESTRUCTION) Arizona continues to slide. The D-Backs just lost three of four at San Fran over the weekend and we think they're ripe for the picking here for Minnesota. The Twins snapped a 5-game losing streak by taking two of three at St. Louis over the weekend and we expect them to build off that interleague series victory with another one here at home vs. this floundering visiting side. Two really good starters here going H2H, as AZ goes with Merrill Kelly (9-5, 3.23 ERA), while the home side counters with Bailey Ober (6-5, 3.19.) Great line value here ultimatley, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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08-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -150 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Toronto went 16-3 vs. the Red Sox last year, but Boston is 7-0 so far in the season series in 2023. The Jays'll get off the schneid at some point, but not in this matchup. Toronto goes with the volatile Alek Manoah (2-8, 5.87 ERA), while the home side counters with James Paxton (6-2, 3.34.) This line could/should in fact be much larger in our estimation, so that swings the value in favor of Boston! AAA Sports |
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08-02-23 | Rays v. Yankees +101 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 101 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yankees (AL EAST GOM) After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Yanks to bounce back in the finale. New York has now lost 3 straight, but note that it's 7-3 in its last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. It's also 8-3 in its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Shane McClanahan (11-1, 3.00 ERA), has struggled big over his last five games, without a decision while posting a 6.45 ERA. Gerritt Cole (9-2, 2.64) here at home in this important contest and at this price is the correct call; lay the price, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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08-01-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Orioles RUNLINE (CHOKE-OUT) This is an important divisional series, and the Orioles drew "first blood" last night, winning by a score of 4-2. Toronto can't lose games to the division leader and expect to make the playoffs. The Orioles can continue to stick the dagger into the Jays' dwindling hopes. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Kyle Bradish (6-6, 3.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) has been a consistent bright spot for the Orioles all year. He's battle-tested. Hyun-Jin Ryu though is making his season debut for the Jays. He's being thrown to the wolves here in his first start. The outright is possible, but we feel more comfortable taking the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-01-23 | Brewers -148 v. Nationals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (DESTRUCTION) A common sense play here more than anything. Milwaukee has now lost four straight after yesterday's 5-3 series-opening loss. The Brewers are now 57-50 and second in the NL Central. We expect Freddy Peralta (6-8, 4.46 ERA) to be on top of his game here and to get the better of his counterpart Josiah Gray (7-8, 3.27.) We're banking on the Brewers in finding a way to deliver here in this revenge bounce-back spot; lay the price the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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07-31-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Yanks. We have an important divisional matchup here, but it's one that's going to be dominated by the men on the mound in our opinion. Tampa Bay is 64-44 overall, but just 27-25 on the road. New York is only 55-50 overall, but it's 32-24 at home. Tampa went 2-1 at Houston over the weekend, with the last two games flying "over" the number. New York lost two of three to Baltimore here at home over the weekend, and the final two also eclipsed the posted number as far as the total is concerned. But everything points to a "duel" here with the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) facing off against the Yanks' Domingo German (5-7, 4.77.) This should have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about it, and everything points to runs being at a premium in the opener; the play is indeed on the under! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Padres | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Rangers runline (MISMATCH) After dropping the first two games of this series, and with nealry 70% of the public money on the home side, we're expecting the Rangers to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to grab the 1.5 runs of insurance here with the Rangers. Cody Bradford is 2-1 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.14 WHIP for Texas. He owns a sharp 32 to 8 strike-out-to-walk-ratio as well. The Padres counter with Blake Snell, who is 7-8 with a 2.61 ERA. We just see Bradford matching Snell inning for inning, and in a contest like that we like the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Mariners v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Diamondbacks. The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but all signs point to a more high-scoring affair here on Sunday in our opinion. This is just a case of both Luis Castillo (6-7, 3.02 ERA) of the Mariners and Merril Kelly (9-4, 3.12) f the D-Backs being in the "wrong place," at the "wrong time!" The overall situaation points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
8* Rangers runline (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) We like the Rangers to bounce back on Saturday after falling 7-1 to the Padres in yesterday's series opener. The Padres have been inconsistent all year and we don't trust Yu Darvish (7-7, 4.80 ERA) at all. He'll be opposed by Martin Perez (8-3, 4.91), who we feel is the correct call for sure. The Rangers have responded well in this spot for bettors and while we do think the outright is possible, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Angels +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 1-6 | Loss | -182 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Angels RUNLINE (SPECIAL) LA had won 8 of 9 before last night's 4-1 series opening loss here. The Angels are 3-1 in their last four after a loss. We think they'll respond here vs. the Jay's "weak link" in Alek Manoah (2-8, 6.10 ERA), who has been a major disappointment. He'll be opposed by Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38), who we feel is the correct call in this bounce-back spot. That said, lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs; the play is LA on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Rangers v. Padres -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* Padres (ASSASSIN) Dane Dunning (8-3, 3.18 ERA) gets the start for the Rangers in this one, but note that he's just 1-2 with a poor 4.98 ERA in four July starts so far. Joe Musgrove (9-3, 3.25) counters for the home side. He's 5-1 with a 3.40 ERA in eight starts at Petco this year, and despite a 2-3 record vs. the Rangers lifetime, he does spot the sharp 3.62 ERA over that span (eight appearances.) Look for home field advantage to play a part here as well; lay the price with confidence, the play is San Diego! AAA Sports |
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07-27-23 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Angels/Tigers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here after the Angels 7-6 win in yesterday's series opener. More than anything though, we really like these starting pitchers and we're predicting a classic "duel" early here in Detroit. The visitors go with ace Shohei Ohtani (8-5, 3.71 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), while the home side counters with the under-rated Michael Lorenzen (5-6, 3.49, 1.09 WHIP.) Expect these two to battle deep and for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Dodgers. The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a bit of a "duel" here in the finale. The Jays won the opener by a score of 6-3, before the Dodgers bounced back in yesterday's come-from-behind 8-7 victory. These teams are a couple of the heaviest hitting clubs in the league, but they also have some of the best starting pitching and bullpens. This is a great starting pitching matchup, and after the first two games have plated a lot of runs, we're anticipating a classic "duel" here on Wednesday in LA, as Toronto goes with Yusei Kikuchi (7-3, 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), while the Dodgers go with Tony Gonsolin (5-3, 3.94, 1.08.) Look for these two competent starters to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Mariners/Twins (DUEL) Seattle rallied for a 9-7 win last night, after falling 4-3 in the series opener. These two teams are in the playoff hunt, and we're expecting the finale to be more like the first game, as we have two really good starting pitchers squaring off, and all signs point to a classic "duel," as Seattle hands the ball to Bryce Miller (6-3, 3.50 ERA), 0.97 WHIP), while Minnesota counters with Joe Ryan (9-6, 3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP.) Finally, note that the Twins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-25-23 | Orioles v. Phillies -118 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* Phillies (BLOCKBUSTER) We're expecting Philadelphia to bounce back here after yesterday's 3-2 series-opening defeat. Note that the Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. It's unreal the run the Orioles are on, but regression is imminent at some point, and for us, tonight's the night! The Phillies are third in the NL East and need to make their move. They've responded well in this spot for bettors, and at this price at home with Taijuan Walker on the hill, we're getting great value. Walker is 11-4 with a 4.11 ERA, while his counterpart Kyle Gibson is 9-6 with a pedestrian 4.76 ERA; lay the price, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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07-24-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Jays RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Jays went 1-1 in Seattle over the weekend, and are coming off the 4-3 win last night. We think the visitors can keep the momentum rolling here in LA. The Dodgers just went 2-1 at the Rangers, but are coming off an 8-4 loss yesterday. The bottom line with this one though is that this is a starting pitching matchup that definitely favors Toronto. The Jays turn to Jose Berrios (8-7, 3.39 ERA), while the home side counters with the volatile Michael Grove (2-2, 6.40), who remains in a starters role out of neccessity. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the price with confidence for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-23-23 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -129 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) Seattle has come from behind to take the first two games of this series by scores of 3-2 and 9-8, but we don't think it'll have to today facing the Jays' erratic starter Alek Manoah, who enters at a shaky 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. With a game at the Dodgers starting tomorrow, the visitors also get caught "looking ahead." Brayan Woo is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.26 WHIP for the Mariners, and we're giving him the nod here in this matchup, based solely on the "home field" advantage. With a lengthy road trip up next for the Mariners, look for them to complete the sweep; lay the short price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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07-22-23 | Giants -185 v. Nationals | 1-10 | Loss | -185 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Giants (PITCHING DESTRUCTION) After yesterday's 5-3 upsets loss here in the Nation's capital, we like the visiting side to bounce back in fine fashion here on Saturday. This is a pitching mismatch. Logan Webb (8-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the nod over his counterpart Josiah Gray (6-8, 3.59) from the Nationals. San Fran though has responded well in this spot for bettors of late though, going a near-perfect 5-1 in its last six in trying to avenge an upset road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. San Francisco can't waste these types of opportunities, and all signs point to a quick bounce-back; lay the price, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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07-21-23 | White Sox v. Twins -147 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
8* Twins (BLOWOUT SPECIAL) They say that divisional battles are always the most important, and that the almost always "mean more" to the home side. That's the case here in this series in our opinion, as this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. The Twins lead the AL Central at 50-48 (26-22 at home), while the White Sox are in fourth at 41-57 (20-32 on the road.) Minnesota just took two of three at Seattle, but is off the 5-0 loss last night. That works in our favor though, as the Twins are 4-1 in their last five off a shutout road loss. The starting pitching matchup is also big time working in favor of the home side, as Chicago goes with the volatile Lance Lynn (6-8, 6.06 ERA), while the home side counters with Joe Ryan (8-6, 3.77.) For all the reasons listed above, we consider this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price with confidence, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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07-21-23 | Dodgers +104 v. Rangers | Top | 11-5 | Win | 104 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
10* Dodgers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers have come out of the break and won six straight, but LA is 4-2 since the Midsummer Classic, and we think the correct call is on the visitors here. Two really good teams, but this is a starting pitching matchup favoring LA in our opinion. The visitors go with Tony Gonsolin (5-3, 3.72 ERA), while the hme side counters with Andrew Heaney (6-6, 4.43.) Gonsolin owns a 1.09 WHIP though, while Heaney's is 1.34. Look for LA to make a statement here in Texas, as Gonsolin easily outduels his inconsistent counterpart; the play is LA! AAA Sports |