Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-24 | Capitals v. Flyers -148 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The Flyers weren't given much hope at the beginning of the season. They played better than expected, gained everyone's respect and appeared to be playoff bound. Then they slumped and their playoff chances took a big hit. They're giving it one last kick at the can and have won back to back games. They are at home tonight and they have had the past 2 days off. They catch Washington play8ing with 0 days rest. The Capitals have played a lot of hockey over the past 2 weeks. The last time that they played with 0 days rest, they lost by 2 goals. The Flyers need a win in regulation. They are excited again and playing their best hockey. They are 2-1 against the Capitals this season. With Washington off last night's upset win, the Flyers will get it done tonight! |
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04-13-24 | Canadiens v. Senators -154 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
The Senators and their fans had hoped for a much better season. The players still have pride and they know that their fans still love the team. This is their home finale and they are going to go all out to get the victory. We want to leave our best effort for our fans and leave a good taste in their mouth moving forward into next year," Senators captain Brady Tkachuk said. "Create some excitement, create some energy for hopefully a big season next year. But, most importantly, for a year that's been a lot of ups and downs, just to leave on a high note with the people that have supported us through thick and thin." Ottawa is off a win at Tampa and has won 2 of 3. The Senators are 8-2 the past 10 meetings, 2-0 this season. The Canadiens are 13-33 their last 36 tries in the revenge role. They are also 19-47 their last 66 tries with home revenge. This one is all Ottawa! **ATLANTIC DIV GOM** |
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04-11-24 | Jets v. Stars -143 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -143 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
The Dallas Stars are the best team in hockey's Western Conference this season and they are on a mission to lock down first place. They can do that with a win tonight. The Jets are battling for a chance to have home ice advantage in the first round. They have an even bigger game against Colorado coming up Saturday though. That's the one they really need and will be getting excited about. The Jets are 6-8 their last 14 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record. They are 24-38 (-14) their last 62 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Both teams have excellent goalies but Dallas has better scorers. The Jets score 2.9 goals per game on the road. The Stars score 3.9 goals per game at home. Dallas goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts his last 8 starts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage in those games. Go with Dallas! |
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04-02-24 | Penguins v. Devils -152 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -152 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Both teams are battling for the final playoff spot. The Devils are well-rested and the Penguins are coming off a road win over the Rangers last night. Advantage New Jersey. In 10 tries with 3 or more days rest, the Devils are 7-3. When off a win by 2 or more goals, the Penguins are 9-13 (-9.1). The Devils are 8-2 (+7.9) their last 10 meetings with the Penguins, 2-0 this season. The Devils are also 19-14 after allowing 4 or more goals. They fell behind Pittsburgh with the Penguins winning last night but the teams will continue to play leap-frog again tonight. **METRO DIV GOM** |
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04-01-24 | Kings v. Jets -110 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Both teams need this game. The Jets need it more though as they are stuck in a losing streak. It needs to be stopped today! This will mark the Jets' 4th straight home game. They are 10-1 (+8.4) after playing their previous 3 games at home. They are 30-11 (+17.8) their last 41 tries in that situation! The Kings build up their record against bad teams. They are 16-19 against teams with a winning record. They are 53-71 their last 124 tries against winning teams! OFf a loss to Calgary last game. the Los Angeles coach stated: "We were a step behind." The Jets are healthier than the Kings. Tonight they will also be better than them! |
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03-27-24 | Bruins v. Lightning -104 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
The Bruins are one of the best teams in hockey. They could even hoist the Cup this year. They're not very good when playing 2 games in 2 days though. Off a win over the Panthers last night, they will not be able to complete the state of Florida sweep tonight. Boston is only 4-6 when playing with 0 days rest. The Lightning, 7-2 in March and 6-1 their last 7, come in well-rested. They had the last 2 nights off. They have taken 2 of 3 meetings against the Bruins this season, winning 5-4 here at Tampa. They are playing great and they will be fresh. Let's go Lightning! |
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03-26-24 | Devils v. Maple Leafs -134 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a great price on Toronto. The Maple Leafs are off a loss to Carolina, a top level opponent. They will be angry and fired when they encounter a weaker New Jersey club. Toronto is 8-2 (+5.2) their last 10 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. The Maple Leafs are also 9-1 the last 10 meetings with the Devils. The Devils are off a 4-0 victory but they are an atrocious 25-47 (-36.6) their last 72 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. This season, they are 4-17 (-20.4) when off a win by 2 or more goals! Give me the better team on home ice! |
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03-19-24 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -160 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Red Wings need a victory and Columbus is the right opponent to get one against. Detroit is already 2-0 against the Blue Jackets this season. The Blue Jackets have been bad all year and they have lost 4 of their last 5. They have many injuries and nothing to play for. The Red Wings are still waiting for the return of Dylan Larkin but otherwise are quite healthy. This is a game which they cannot afford to lose. The Red Wings lost last game but that was on the road and they were playing with 0 days rest. They have been much stronger at home all season and they won their last game here 4-1. This game will be all Detroit! |
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03-10-24 | Coyotes -175 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -175 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Chicago has no home ice advantage. The Blackhawks are also at a scheduling disadvantage. They lost at Washington yesterday. The Hawks are 2-8, when playing on back-to-back days. They are 7-30 (-14) with 0 days rest, for the last 3 years. Over that time, they are 15-58 (-35.2) versus division opponents. Arizona hasn't quit fighting. The Coyotes beat Detroit 4-0 last game and have won 3 of their last 5. They will be playing with revenge as the Hawks beat them less than a week ago, at Arizona. They will be determined not to lose 2 in a row to the worst team in the league and they won't! Coyotes win and improve to 15-12 against losing teams. *CENTRAL DIV GOM |
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03-06-24 | Senators -150 v. Ducks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Different teams react differently to different amounts of days in between games. Many teams struggle with no rest. Others thrive. Some are at their best with 1 or 2 days rest, others do better with 3 or more. The Ducks have had the past 2 days off and that is NOT a favorable situation for them. Anaheim is 0-7 this season with 2 days rest in between games. Over the past 3 seasons, the Ducks are 10-36 (-24.8) with 2 days rest. Over that time, Anaheim is also 15-44 after scoring 1 goal or less in its previous game. The Senators, 4-3 with 3 or more days rest, play with revenge from a home loss to the Ducks. They are 27-18 their last 45 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season and they will get it done for us tonight! |
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03-02-24 | Avalanche -127 v. Predators | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Predators are really hot at the moment. They've been beating up on bad teams though. Some of their recent wins came against teams like Ottawa, San Jose and Anaheim. Now, they will take on the one of the best in the league. Also, many of the Predators recent wins have come on the road. They are rather rare in that they are stronger on the road than at home. The Predators did beat the Avalanche in this season's first meeting. Colorado has won its past few visits here though. Also, the Avalanche are 15-5 (+8.4) their last 20 in the revenge role, 53-25 (+10.6) over the long haul. The Avalanche won their last game 5-0 after winning their previous one 5-1. They are 12-5 their past 17 tries off a shutout win and they'll get it done for us again today! **Central GOM** |
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03-01-24 | Flyers -112 v. Capitals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Both these Metro Division rivals have struggled a bit of late. The Flyers are 2-4 their last 6 games. The Capitals are 1-2 their last 3. The Flyers are off a big 6-2 win though and the Capitals are off a big 8-3 defeat. Both are battling for the playoffs. I've of the strong opinion that Philadelphia will make it two in a row. The Flyers have been better than Washington this season. An ability to play well on the road has been key. The Flyers outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average in their road games. The Capitals get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.7 at home. Each team has had 2 days off, a scheduling setup which should favor the Flyers. Philadelphia is 25-20 (+11.9) its last 45 tries, when playing with 2 days rest. Washington is 18-21 (-7.1) when doing so. The Flyers are 3-0 against the Capitals since the start of 2023. With home ice no advantage and with Washington dealing with numerous injuries, Philadelphia is the winner. *Metro Div GOM* |
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02-26-24 | Islanders v. Stars -160 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The wheels have come off for the Islanders. They are 23-34 overall, 10-18 on the road. A dismal 7-17 (-15.3) record against Western Conference opposition hasn't helped their cause. Now, they play on the road against one of the best teams from the West. That spells trouble. The Stars are 17-11 at home. They score more than 4 goals per game here. The Islanders score less than 3 per game on the road. The Stars won their last game but had lost several before that. They will be inspired to make it 2 in a row and they will also be playing with revenge from a loss at Long Island. Dallas wins big. |
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02-24-24 | Wild v. Seattle Kraken -131 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
The Wild visited here on December 10th, the last time that these teams faced each other. At the time, the Kraken were off to a terrible start. They'd dropped 7 straight going into the Minnesota game and they were off a loss versus Tampa the previous night. The Wild were only to happy to kick the Kraken when they were down. With Seattle playing its 2nd game in 2 days, Minnesota won 3-0. Things are different now. The Kraken just easily beat the best team in the West on Thursday, a 5-2 win over Vancouver. That was their 3rd win in 4 games and they had yesterday off. Not so for Minnesota. The Wild are off a 4-2 upset of Edmonton. They are 2-7 when playing with 0 days rest. Seattle settles the score. |
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02-19-24 | Senators v. Lightning -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Ottawa couldn't even beat Chicago last game, or Anaheim before that. The Senators are 32-51 (-17) the last 3 years, after a non-conference game. Over that time frame, they are also 41-61 (-16.2) in the revenge role, 8-17 (-11.2) their last 25. The Senators are 35-66 their last 101 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record. The Lightning ran into a red hot Florida team last game and suffered the consequences. They will be happy to face a bad team like Ottawa which they always beat here. Tampa is 67-30 (+14.8) its last 98 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. Lay the price and look for Tampa to come out on top. **ATLANTIC DIV GOY** |
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02-17-24 | Blue Jackets -138 v. Sharks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
San Jose returns home from a road trip. The first game back is difficult. The Sharks are missing some key players. The Sharks are 23-41 (-9.1) their last 64, after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. The Sharks are also 9-25 their last 34 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. The Sharks only score 2.2 goals per home game. The Blue Jackets average 3 goals per road game. The Blue Jackets scored 11 goals, including 6 here at San Jose, in sweeping last season's 2 games. They do it again tonight! |
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02-15-24 | Panthers v. Sabres +137 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Great price on the home underdog Buffalo Sabres. The Sabres just smashed the LA Kings 7-0 on Tuesday. They have scored 5 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. Off one of their biggest wins in years, they are feeling good about themselves and can't wait to get back on the ice. The Florida Panthers won again last night. Off 3 straight wins, they have been playing well. The problem is that they are only 13-18 (-11.2) their last 31 tries when playing with 0 days rest. The Sabres are 4-2 their past 6 tries off a shutout win. They are also 17-3-1 when scoring first in games this season and their starting goalie Luukkonen has 3 shutouts (1.60 GAA and .941 save percentage) in his last 12 games. Let's Go, Buffalo! |
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02-14-24 | Wild -117 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
Here is a case of 2 teams going in different directions. The Minnesota Wild have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 8. The Arizona Coyotes are 0-6 their last 6 games. With 28 goals allowed in those 6 games, at least 3 in each, the Coyotes can't keep the puck out of the net. None of Minnesota's last 7 opponents have scored more than 3 goals. The Wild have been waiting for this game and not just because Arizona is struggling. The Coyotes humiliated them 6-0 at Minnesota in January. At the time, the Wild were mired in a 1-7-1 stretch and they had just gotten Kaprizov back from injury for his first game back. Now the healthier and hotter team, the Wild will take advantage of the winnable road game and avenge last month's blowout. **CENTRAL GOY** |
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02-10-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes -155 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Hurricanes are an elite team. They responded to their 3-2 loss against Vancouver by hammering Colorado, one of the best teams in hockey, by a 5-2 score. They are a profitable 65-37 the last few seasons, after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. The Devils are missing a number of important players right now. The missing defense is leading to a lot of goals allowed. They gave up 5 goals last game. That's 28 goals allowed in their last 6 games, a minimum of 3 in each. That many goals allowed won't cut it against a Carolina club which has conceded 2 or less in 4 of its last 5 games, 3 in the other. The Hurricanes own the Devils here. They are 7-1 the last 8 meetings in Raleigh. Nothing changes today. |
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02-06-24 | Canadiens v. Capitals -149 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
If the playoffs started today, both these teams would be on the outside looking in. Washington still believes and expects to make a playoff push. Montreal is further back and knows its chances are bleak. The recent trade of center Sean Monahan for draft picks shows they're already thinking about the future. With Brendan Gallagher, another center, serving a suspension, the Habs are weak up the middle. The Capitals were struggling before the break but are going to be ready to go tonight. Ovechkin will lead the way. The Capitals captain commented: "Right now you can see everybody's fresh, everybody's happy to be back and Tuesday's going to be a great day to play hockey." The Capitals are 3-0 the last 3 meetings here, outscoring Montreal 18-6. They will make it 4 in a row tonight. |
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01-25-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes -154 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Here's a situation where Carolina playing 2 games in 2 days works in our favor. If the Hurricanes were not in that situation, they would be laying a far greater price. Can they win 2 games in 2 days? Absolutely. They just beat a much better team last night. They won't squander that by giving away a winnable game against an opponent which they dominate here. The Hurricanes may be playing 2 games in 2 days but they are on home ice and they are far healthier than the Devils. They had 2 days off before yesterday's game. They are 54-28 (+10.9) in divisional games the last few seasons and they are 6-1 their last 7 home games against the Devils. Let's go Hurricanes! |
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01-20-24 | Stars -130 v. Devils | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
We won with the Devils last night. It was a favorable matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets. At the time, I mentioned that Columbus was only 2-10 after scoring 4 or more goals though, 20-52 (-24.4) in that situation the last few seasons. This is a far more difficult matchup. I didn't mind backing the Devils on the road last night because they are actually much better away from NJ. I mentioned that they'd been -240 when they hosted Columbus but that the price was much lower due to the game being on the road. This time, it works the other way. We're able to get Dallas, a better team which is rested, at a bargain price compared to what the price would be, if the Stars were hosting. For the record, the Devils are 14-7-1 on the road but 9-10-2 at home. The Devils are 0-5 the last 5 times that they played 2 games in two nights. You'd be 5-0 if playing against them each time they were in that situation since the start of December. They gave up 6, 5, 5, 4 and 6 goals in those game. Road team won both games last season. Rested and off a loss, the Stars will bounce back and take this one. |
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01-08-24 | Bruins v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
You guys know I like the Boston Bruins. I backed them in their last game. This is a team that they could face in the Stanley Cup Finals though and there are a few important factors that favor Colorado. The Avalanche are much better at home than Boston is on the road. Colorado is 16-5 at home. Boston is 12-8 on the road. The Avalanche lost their last game 8-4 and they are 30-12 (+12.1) their last 42 tries, when off a loss by 2 or more goals. Over the same time-frame, the Avalanche are 51-30 in non-conf. games and 49-27 after allowing 4 or more goals. Embarrassed from giving up 8 goals and from being swept by the Bruins last year, they will deliver an appropriate response! ***NON-CONF GOW**** |
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01-06-24 | Lightning v. Bruins -157 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
These are 2 good teams but the Bruins have a few important things working for them. They play at home. Not only are the Bruins extremely tough in their own building but the Lightning are poor on the road. The Bruins are healthier. Tampa's injury list is rather lengthy. The Bruins are off a loss in their last game and they also lost in OT, at Tampa earlier. Both those events will assure their very best performance today. Go with BOSTON! ***ATLANTIC DIV GOM*** |
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12-31-23 | Sabres v. Senators -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Buffalo fought hard to win yesterday. Ottawa had the day off. Buffalo is 13-24 last 37 tries in a back-to-back. The Senators have won 2 of their last 3. After this comes a long road trip. They need a win before they go. They play with revenge from an early season loss to the Sabres. Ottawa had a 38-24 edge in shots in that game. Senators win this one! ***Atlantic Div GOW*** |
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12-30-23 | Oilers v. Kings -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
The Kings are going to want this game more than the Oilers. They just lost to Vegas, the defending champs, and will be looking to restore order to close out the year. They also face the Oilers for the first time since Edmonton eliminated them (for the 2nd straight year) in the playoffs. Though the Oilers have been hot, they are still only 16-15-1. The Kings are 20-8-4. We're getting the team with the best winning percentage in the West, coming in with a score to settle, against a team barely only .500. And we don't even have to lay a big price. I like the Oilers but they won't be ready for what they encounter tonight. LA is the best defensive team in hockey. The Kings allow only 2.34 goals per game. Edmonton allows 3.31. per game. This is an LA team committed to defense. Coach Todd McLellan said this after the 3-2 Vegas loss: "For me, the disappointment wasn't not getting three goals, it was giving up three." Kings win. ***Western Conf. GOM*** |
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12-22-23 | Oilers v. Rangers -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
I like the Oilers. They've got some great talent and they're fun to watch. Last night's 3rd period outburst was impressive. The Oilers are in a difficult spot tonight though. They're in busy New York City playing their final game before Christmas. They beat New Jersey last night. The Rangers had the day off. The Rangers have the best record in the Eastern Conference. They have been far more consistent than Edmonton and they already beat the Oilers 3-0. The Rangers are 3-0 their past 3 games, outscoring teams 12-4. They won 5-1 the last time that they were on home ice. The Oilers have been fortunate to avoid back-to-back situations and aren't used to playing in them. They will feel it in their legs tonight. ***DECEMBER GAME OF MONTH*** |
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12-20-23 | Islanders v. Capitals -116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The Capitals have been playing great defense. They won 2-1 at Carolina last game. That was the 3rd time in 5 games that they allowed 2 goals or less. The Washington penalty kill is 19 of 20 in those 5 games. There was some talk of fatigue but the Capitals battled through it. They'll be fresh tonight after having the past 2 days off. That is not the case for their guests. The Islanders are off an upset win of the Oilers last night, getting outshot 31-21. The Islanders are winless this season, when playing 2 games in 2 nights. They've got a few defensive injuries and those will be noticed in the back-to-back spot. With Sorokin playing last night, Varlamov is likely to be in goal. He struggled against Montreal last game and the Capitals beat him last time they saw him. Washington wins! ***METRO DIV. GOY*** |
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12-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Golden Knights are the defending champions. The Golden Knights have the top record. So, why are Hurricanes favored? Because this is an exceptional team which is 53-23 its last 76 home games with a total of 6 or more, 47-29 its last 76 against Western Conference opposition. The Hurricanes are the healthier team. They are playing at home and they are hell-bent on snapping their losing streak and beating the champs. They'll do it! ***NHL GOW*** |
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12-11-23 | Maple Leafs -120 v. Islanders | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Leafs are a bargain at this price. Toronto comes off a shutout win. Maple Leafs head coach Sheldon Keefe said: "In the second period, especially, our game started to really come and I thought we really took care of the puck and made sure we just were wearing them down and not really let their game get started offensively. I just loved our second period and that set us up for the third, which the guys took care of well." The Maple Leafs outshot the Predators 37-18 and 18-5 in the 3rd period. It was the first time in almost 10 years that they shutout an opponent on 18 or fewer shots. Toronto wins again! ***NHL GOW*** |
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12-07-23 | Maple Leafs -122 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
You've heard me say it before. Anytime that the Maple Leafs are priced this low, I'm going to take a closer look. In this case, a closer look reveals that this is a strong spot. The Leafs are rested and playing with revenge from an earlier loss. Toronto was last in action on December 2nd, losing to Boston. The Leafs are 10-4 their past 14 tries with 3 or more day's rest. Over the same period, the Leafs are 50-29 after allowing 4 or more goals. Ottawa is 30-40 after scoring 4 or more and only 29-54 against winning teams. Throw in a 22-10 record for Toronto when playing with revenge from a home loss and you see why this play is so strong. ***Atlantic Division GOM*** |
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12-06-23 | Penguins v. Lightning -124 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
The Penguins beat the Lightning 4-2 last week. At the time, Tampa was mired in a losing streak. Since, the Penguins have dropped both ends of a home and home with the Flyers. They are 27-36 (-23.7) last 2 seasons, when off a division game. The Lightning snapped their losing streak last game with an important 4-0 revenge win over Dallas. Now 19-7 (+9.5) their last 26 December games, they will get another revenge win over the Penguins. ***Eastern Conf. GOM*** |
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12-02-23 | Red Wings -150 v. Canadiens | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Canadiens won 3-2 when they hosted the Red Wings on November the 9th. The Red Wings are a much stronger team and they are playing much better at the moment. They will have a chip on their shoulders for this Original 6 rematch. Since the Nov. 9 meeting, Montreal has really struggled. Detroit has been mostly winning. The Canadiens injury list is lengthy. They are 26-62 their last 88 tried against winning teams. The Red Wings will improve to 9-5 their last 14 in the revenge role! ***Revenge GOM*** |
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11-27-23 | Panthers -120 v. Senators | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Panthers are off consecutive losses for the second time this season. After losing 2 in a row to start the season, they responded by winning a road game at New Jersey. They have enjoyed success in Canada's capital in the past. The Panthers are 5-1 the last 6 meetings with the Senators. The Panthers are also 5-1 the last 6 meetings played in Ottawa. The Panthers haven't played since Friday and they are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Florida takes this one! **Atlantic Div GOW** |
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11-24-23 | Jets v. Panthers -128 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
The Jets beat the Panthers in Winnipeg. The Panthers will beat them in Florida. The favorite is 47-23 in the last 70 meetings in the series. The Panthers are getting very strong goaltending and they got their two injured defensemen back. They've won 4 of their last 5 non-conference games and they will win again today. ***NHL Non-Conference GOW*** |
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11-20-23 | Rangers v. Stars -133 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
A lot of things would need to fall into place but it's not inconceivable that these teams could face each other in the Stanley Cup Finals. I'll just focus on tonight. Here's the setup. The Rangers are on a winning streak. The Stars just blew a 3-0 lead in their last game which snapped their winning streak. That result will give Dallas some extra hunger. Before the Colorado loss, the Stars had allowed 3 or fewer goals in 9 straight. They still average 4.6 goals over their last 5 games. They are 43-22 (+15) last 65 after allowed 4 goals or more, 2-0 this season. Sorry Ranger fans, Dallas takes this one! ***Non-Conf GOW*** |
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11-18-23 | Avalanche v. Stars -125 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Colorado is still a really good team but the Stars are simply better right now. They are playing at a different level and with more consistency. They have outscored last 4 opponents by a 20-10 score. They've got more depth and they are playing at home. The Stars have one of the best goalies in the world, the Avalanche have some concerns in net. The Stars are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. They will keep their winning streak going! ***Central Div. GOM*** |
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11-14-23 | Lightning -120 v. Blues | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Off a pair of losses, the Lightning will be at their most dangerous tonight. Tampa is 18-9 (+5.6) last 27 after scoring 1 goal or less. Over that period, Lightning are 48-27 (+10) against Western Conf. opponents. Blues are 31-35 (-10.3) against Eastern Conf. teams. Lighthing swept the Blues last year and they were -200 favorites for the game here. The favorite will move to 5-0 the past 5 meetings after this one! ***Non-Conf GOM*** |
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11-10-23 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -142 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
I've stated previously that when you can get the Leafs at home at this price, you do it. That goes even more so when facing an inconsistent opponent like Calgary. The Flames won a couple lately but they're going to be in trouble this season. The Leafs are 49-28 after allowing 4 or more goals. They are also 30-14 last 44 times that they were off a loss of 2 more goals. Calgary gets outscored 4.0 to 2.7 on the road. Leafs own the Flames and swept them last year. They will win again. ***Non-Conf. GOW |
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11-06-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -145 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Tampa is a good team but Toronto will not be denied tonight. Actually, a visit from Tampa is going to be just what the struggling Maple Leafs need. This is a rematch from the first round of last year's playoffs. The Leafs eliminated the Lightning and ended a 19-year playoff drought by winning the series. The Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. Atlantic Division teams. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in its previous game. The Leafs have beaten this team 5 of the past 6 meetings and they will agains tonight. *** Atlantic Div. GOM |
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10-28-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Panthers -158 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Both teams have 6 points. The Panthers have achieved that in 6 games. The Kraken needed eight to do so. Seattle was hot on the road for most of last year but that's already changed this season. They're 1-7 their last 8 on the road. Kraken are also 1-5 their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The Panthers are stronger at home and they have a road trip following this game. It starts with a difficult stop in Boston. So, you know they need to win this one. Florida is 13-3 the last 16 when its opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Make that 14-3 after Saturday. *Non-Conf GOM |
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10-20-23 | Devils -117 v. Islanders | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Though they're not thrilled with their start, the Devils are a little stronger than the Islanders. The Devils had a big regular season last year and are poised for another big year. Determined to get a victory, they'll face an Islander team which is 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Islanders are sound defensively and in goal but they often have trouble scoring and will have trouble keeping up. The Devils superior power-play will likely make a difference. NJ is a slight favorite and the favorite is 25-12 the past 37 meetings. NJ wins. *Metro Div GOW |
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10-18-23 | Capitals v. Senators -154 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
The Senators lost their first game, at Carolina. Since then, they've been playing very well. They're off back-to-back 5-2 victories. They had a solid edge in shots and overall play in both games. The Capitals are fortunate to be 1-1. They've been outshot badly in both of their games. Struggling to score goals and generate offense, the Capitals will have trouble keeping up to a Senators team which is clicking. Washington is 0-6 the past six times that it faced an opponent which scored five or more goals in its last game. The favorite is 38-13 the past 51 meetings. Go with the Senators. *Eastern Conference Game Of The Month |
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10-17-23 | Oilers -140 v. Predators | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Ignore the 0-2 record, the Oilers are still stacked. Understand that they had a 40-16 edge in shots in Saturday's loss. Just like 0-2 Florida yesterday, the Oilers will be extremely determined to get their first victory. Captain Connor McDavid commented: "You want to get off to a good start and we haven’t. A win tomorrow night leaves us at [1-2-0] and we were [1-2-0] last year too. It’s not the best start, not what we were looking for, but I thought Saturday was something to build off and we look to continue that tomorrow night.” Edmonton is 4-1 the past 5 times it played with 2 days off in between games. The Oilers are also 8-1 the last 9 times that played the Predators. Look for the favorite to improve to 18-7 the past 25 meetings in the series. *Oct. GOM |
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10-13-23 | Penguins -119 v. Capitals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Classic rivalry. The Capitals have home ice advantage. The Penguins have already played a game though. They've had a chance to work out some issues. It will help them in this game. There were some positive signs. The Penguins had 40 shots and won most of the face-offs. They allowed 4 unanswered goals to blow the game though. That won't sit well and they're going to come out determined to make things right. The Capitals are missing a couple of players. The Penguins are quite healthy. They will spoil Washington's home opener. *Metro Conf GOM |
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10-12-23 | Panthers v. Wild -125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Both teams are stacked on offense. Neither will have trouble scoring this year. Entering the season, I like Minnesota's defense a lot more. The Panthers are missing two of their top defensemen, Montour and Ekblad. Both had off-season shoulder surgery. They'll be missed tonight. The Wild are 40-23 (+10.6) against Eastern Conference teams the past two years. Florida is just 35-34 (-19) against teams from the West. The Panthers won last year's two games but the Wild will take this one. *NHL GOW |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights +108 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Bobrovsky is going to start. I agree he deserves at least this but it sure looks like Vegas has figured him out; screen him and shoot high to the opposite side as he tries to peek around the screen. Remember, in their last 12 games Vegas has seen the opposing goalie pulled 5 times. At the other end of the rink, Aidan Hill looks fresh, unflappable and dialed in. The Panthers can’t screen him to the same extent with all those huge defenders on the Knights’ blueline (6’6’, 6’4”, 6’3”, 6’2” x2, and tiny 6’1’ 209 lb Martinez) boxing them out. In their last 10 games Vegas has averaged 4.2 goals for and 2.1 goals against while the Panthers are at 2.4 and 2.6 respectively. On the injury front Gudas is probable but really? He was already hurt and that hit staggered him. His replacement, Fitzgerald exposed the lack of depth on the Panthers’ blueline. Karlsson is probable with an illness for the Golden Knights. The discipline issue is real for the Panthers. They have had to kill 32 penalties these playoffs compared to 23 for the Golden Knights. Vegas’ powerplay has come alive at an inopportune time for the Panthers. The key stat for Vegas though is their ability to play lockdown hockey on the road even when the other team has last change. The are 32-8 on the road while the Panthers are an OK but less remarkable 27-16 at home. Vegas has lost only two on the road these playoffs. Following a win this season Vegas is 26-9 on the road. It all adds up to taking Vegas on the Money Line. |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
Stats and records from previous rounds and the regular season don’t matter so much now. They both played in a separate conference for the playoffs and the regular season. Except for their split in regular season games this past season, we have little to no experience of these teams together. Game 1 gave us more of what we have seen in one sense as their last 11 games against each other over the past 4 seasons had the home team with a 10-1 record. That includes the Panthers with a 0-6 record over their last 6 in Vegas, which gives us one data point. Panthers’ powerplay was at 0% Saturday night, while Vegas was at 28%. Given the Panthers’ interest in mixing it up Saturday, this gives us another data point in favor of the Knights. Over the last 10 games the Panthers’ have averaged only 2.6 goals/game, even as they were successful. The Knights have averaged 3.6 goals/game. Another check mark for the Knights. Over their last 8 games head to head the favorite is 7-1. Monday night Vegas is the favorite. All the above relevant data points, point to Vegas. Take the Knights on the Money Line. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -123 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
It’s been quite a ride through the playoffs for us and the teams. Now is when the Panthers take the truth serum of the Knights. Are they for real? Is Bobrovsky for real? Can Tkachuk keep doing what he’s been doing? Can the Panther’s patchwork defense keep it together? Is Paul Maurice a genius? Looking at Bobrovsky’s save % we think it’s otherworldly. Hill’s is comparable and in the regular season it is superior to Bobrovsky’s. Carolina’s approach is volume of shots from wherever (shot heat maps show the vast majority from the outside), so they made it easy for Bobrovsky to look impressive. Vegas gets to the dirty areas and they will expose Bobrovsky like Carolina never did. Tkachuk’s playoff history was mediocre before this year. What’s different about this year? He’s playing against the Eastern Conference, not the Western Conference. He has had his way with Carolina, Toronto and surprisingly, Boston with little or no pushback. Vegas is a different story and he will get push back. The depth Vegas has upfront will expose the Panthers’ defence and show us that Forsling and Gudas aren’t what we might have thought they were and Marc Staal is not a top four defenceman. Vegas’ third line with Karlsson, Smith and Marchesault will feast on Staal and the Panthers’ third pairing when they get a chance. Vegas’ fourth line will punish the Panthers’ in their own end. With respect to Paul Maurice we’ll find out when his team comes up against a powerful Vegas team that has quietly worked through the Western Conference under the skilled guidance of Bruce Cassidy who’s former team, the Bruins, sputtered in the playoffs without him. Take Vegas on the Money Line. |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -122 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
It has not been common for the Knights, a superb road team, to give up four goals in a non-overtime away game. The Stars carried it to the Golden Knights, looking faster and sharper, while hemming Vegas in with an blanketing forecheck. While Hill was impressive at times, he definitely appeared more vulnerable in Game Five, with his save % dropping to below .900 for the first time in seven games. In the other net, Oettinger appears to have bounced back from his three game slide and has looked more like his dominant self in the last two games. Robertson has stepped up his game with more chances and better success, scoring three times in the last two games. Eichel has bee held scoreless in three straight games now. With Benn back, Oettinger playing better and the Stars finally with some momentum, I like Dallas' chances to tie the series up tonight. Take the Stars, a very good home team to win. |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights +105 v. Stars | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
The Stars won't be out tonight down in Dallas. Missing Benn and with Oettinger essentially a broken man, this is definitely the Golden Knights' game and series for the taking. Vegas was, as usual, poised and tough on defense in a road game last time out, and I expect nothing different today. They really have been an elite away team this season. Add the continued success of Adin Hill, now with a shutout to add to some very stellar play in the post season. Eichel and the returning Stone are top ten in playoff scoring but the Knights are getting goals from a variety of players. Without Oettinger holding up in net, Dallas's blueline has been exposed. Take Vegas to finish off a rattled Stars side tonight. |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -104 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Bobrovsky's three latest appearances, all going into overtime, could become legendary; facing 155 shots, he has turned in a .968 Save %. I doubted him after that marathon Game one, but I won't this time. Now throw in Tkachuk, a difference maker in all three series, whose impact on the Panthers' offense has been equally remarkable in the playoffs. Add Barkov for star power, and the confidence the Panthers are playing with having knocked off two favored opponents, and you have a very tough row to hoe for Hurricanes. Carolina's lack of offense was a given in this series, but the Canes have met an equally tough fore-checking opponent in the Panthers. I like the Panthers, with the final change on home ice, to advance to 3-0 today. |
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05-19-23 | Stars +115 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
Both the Stars and the Knights mostly defended well against two offensive juggernauts in round 2. Probable starting goaltenders Oettinger (2.44 GA avg. .916 save %) and Hill (.245 GA avg. .917 save %) have comparable records. Oettinger has a 7-2-1 record in his last 10 while Hill is 7-3. So there isn’t much to choose between them beyond Oettinger’s success in last year’s playoffs against Calgary. |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -136 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a very tough call. Limited due to injury, the Canes offense was questioned coming into the playoffs and the Panthers were largely written off with a 21st rated defense. True to form, the Hurricanes stymied the opposition, allowing the least goals of any remaining team. They were equally tough on the PK, and in spite of a "scoring by committee" approach, have scored as many goals as the Panthers while playing one less game. Both teams got stellar goal-tending in the last series. Bobrovsky re-found his form and was phenomenal in the Leaf series. Andersen, even allowing for one very bad game, still finished the last series with a .931 save %. The Panthers do have an edge on the power play but the Canes have really limited PP opportunities with the least number of penalty minutes. Carolina was one of the very best home teams this year while the Panthers were much less effective on the road. Both teams are well-rested. Carolina of all teams should be able to limit the "Tkachuk effect". Home ice and better defense tips the scales for me in what could be a very close Game one. Take the Hurricanes, the favorite today, to win. |
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05-12-23 | Oilers -130 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
There will be no love lost between these two teams in Game five. Pietrangelo's bizarre attack may galvanize the Oilers, who really stepped it up with their speed and size on Wednesday, limiting Vegas' puck-moving ability. The Knights will miss him more than the Oilers will miss Nurse today. Oilers' net minder Skinner bounced back with a fine start in Game four, but he has had trouble stringing two solid efforts together. Vegas' goalie will likely be a game time decision, but none have thrived in this series. The Oilers were much better on the road this season, and have had very good success in Vegas. If anyone benefits from a choppy game with extra penalties it will be them. Edmonton took charge in the Kings series in Game 5 and I believe they will do the same today. Look for the Oilers to string a pair of wins together and take today's matchup on the road. |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers +110 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Toronto is on the ropes, down 3-0 to the Florida Panthers. Everyone, against all the evidence expects them to finally push back and pull off a win. But with their top goalie injured all playoffs and now their second stringer, Samsonov injured as well, young Joseph Woll is thrown into the breach. His NHL career consists of 11 regular season and 2 playoff games. He lost both playoff games. Meanwhile, Bobrovsky has won 6 straight, all but one with a save % over .917. Florida is also 5-0 in their last 5 after a win, and 7-0 when their opponent scores 2 in the previous game. In the 3rd period and OT of game 3 against the Leafs, the Panthers’ scratch and claw style smothered a dispirited bunch of Toronto’s finest. There is nothing to indicate this will change in game 4. Bring out the brooms. |
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05-07-23 | Stars -140 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Stars were dominant in their Game two win, much better than the score would suggest. Oettinger bounced back as expected, but the Stars also limited the Kraken to eighteen less shots. Dallas was very good as a road favorite this season, while the Kraken were just 6-11 as a home underdog. The Stars are healthy and were much the better team on offense in Game two, scoring four times on Grubauer The Seattle goalie's save % has dropped considerably to .890 in Round two. The Kraken's 40 goal scorer, McCann, is still questionable to return on Sunday. As good as the Kraken's offense has been, I am banking on Oettinger and the Dallas defense today. Take Dallas to win on the road. |
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05-03-23 | Devils +107 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Devils looked shaky in their first two playoff games, but once Schmid started in net, they roared back, winning 4 o f 5 games. NJ held the star-studded Rangers offense to just two goals in those four wins. The young net-minder bounced back after a poor outing in Game six, earning his second shutout of the series. The Devils' top 10 defense should be able to hang in there against a very fine Hurricanes D. Carolina does not have a a net-minder to match Shesterkin, the Devils' last opponent. |
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04-29-23 | Devils +112 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
I am sure many people are asking "who the bleep is Akira Schmid?" The young net-minder has sparked an equally young Devils' side to a three game win streak, outscoring the Rangers 9-2. The Devils were a solid defensive force this season missing one thing; dynamic goal-tending. It is not even as if Schmid had to work that hard in Game Five. He faced just 23 shots vs 43 for Shesterkin. Four extra Rangers' penalties in the third period is not a good look. 2-1 in OT, 3-1, and now 4-0; there is a definite progression here. The Devils have a high speed effective offense, and it appears the goal-scorers are also starting to find their form and confidence. The Rangers are in big trouble. Take the underdog Devils to win. 10* |
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04-28-23 | Stars -101 v. Wild | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The Stars got points form their big guns and a shutout from goalie Oettinger in Game five. That is two straight premium efforts for him after a pair of sub-par performances. Ti is the Wild's net-minder Gustavsson who has underachieved in Games four and five, allowing six goals on fifty shots. Could we see Fleurie back in net? The Wild are a very good home team, but Dallas was exceptional on the road this year, and are driven to get a round one series victory off their back. They've got Hintz as the (not so surprising) play-off points leader, and they have stymied an average Wild offense in two straight games. The Wild are still likely missing their top center Ek. These are two very defensively solid teams, but the Stars' superior offense will rule in Game Six. Take the Stars to win. 10* |
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04-28-23 | Bruins -170 v. Panthers | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -170 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
The Panthers, much to my surprise, beat the Bruins on the road in overtime, earning a chance to tie the series at home. I cannot believe that the Bruins will allow this series to go to a game seven. The Bruins out-shot Florida 47-25, with Bobrovsky saving the Panthers' bacon with a huuge performance. Ullmark had a rare off game, but I expect he will be back in the net in Game Six. While it shouldn't matter in the playoffs, the Panthers have been a .500 home team this year. After the Bruins' loss in game one, they stormed back in the second game, winning relatively easily. I expect a similar reaction from Boston in Friday's match-up. Pasternak is certainly due for some offense. Take Boston to win the game and the series on the road. 10* |
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04-27-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -160 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
This is a tough call. Not that I think the Golden Knights won't win. I just don't think the odds are great that they will win by more than a goal. The Jets are now down three centers, a scoring winger, and their best defenseman. That is just plain too beaten up to win against a Vegas side up 3-1 at home. The Jets have had very little success against the Knights anywhere, however there is always the Hellebuyck factor. He could come up bit and limit Vegas scoring, although the Knights have managed four or more goals a game in Games 2 through 4. High odds, but taking the Golden Knights to win is the best option. 10* |
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04-24-23 | Avalanche -143 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -143 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
The Colorado big guns solved Grubauer, leaving him with five goals against and an .845 save % in Game Three. Not that Georgiev was that much better, but we knew the Kraken would press on offense. The Av's are a a great road team and the Kraken struggle to defend, especially at home. Goat-tending was always going to be the issue for Seattle, but Grubauer surprised with two very strong appearances. It may be status quo now. I don't think that the Kraken, regardless of who is in net, can stand up to an Av's team firing on all cylinders. Look for Colorado to win on the road again. |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights -105 v. Jets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
The Jets just lost their top defenseman, Morrissey, a huge hit at this point in the series. Vegas is probably as healthy as they have been all year. Eichel appears to enjoy his first taste of play off hockey. He and the Knights have solved the Hellebuyck problem. Just keep firing shots at him. This should have been an easier win for the Knights. The Jets had just 11 shots in the first two period. Credit to the Jets to find a way back from down three. It must have been demoralizing to finally lose in multiple overtimes. I don't think Vegas will make that same mistake again.The Golden Knights are the better team and very tough to beat on the road. I believe they will steal another road game on Monday. Knights to win outright. |
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04-23-23 | Stars v. Wild -109 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
You have to believe that Gustavsson will be back in net for the Wild. He was sharp, but not overworked in Game 3 and sensational in Game !. The Wild were able to push the Stars around, putting four past Oettinger. His save % is just .860 in the last two games. Both teams are missing a top offensive player as Ek appeared to re-injury himself. The Stars haven't had much success when playing in Minnesota, just 2-5 in recent match-ups. Minnesota is a very good home team, playing a tough brand of play-off hockey at the moment, and if Gustavsson is in net, have topnotch net-minding. Take the Wild to win at home again. |
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04-23-23 | Bruins -148 v. Panthers | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
The Bruins were all business in Game Three, running up a 4-0 lead, and then surviving the Panthers' 19 shot 3rd period. The Bruins broke through on Alex Lyon, bouncing him for Bobrovsky. Today's Florida goalie will be a game time decision. Ullmark looked very solid, weathering the third period assault by the Panthers. The Bruins could be down another center today with Krejci questionable, but Florida could be missing Ekblad on defense, which would be a more significant loss. |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche -142 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
The Avalanche have been a great road team all season, while the Kraken are just a surprising three games over .500 at home. While all bets should be off in the playoffs, this is a very strong trend. As good as Grubauer has been lately, that hasn't been the norm this season. He is also consistently worse on home ice. Georgiev is steadier, at home or away. The Av's have the star power, the experience and the ability to break out. The Kraken are tough offensively but have been only average on defense this year. I think that the lack of defense and sub-par net-minding will catch up with them tonight. Take the Av's to quiet the first-time playoff crowd in Seattle and steal this one on the road. |
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04-22-23 | Devils v. Rangers -136 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -136 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
The Devils, a very good away team this season, are looking to bounce back on the road on Saturday, but they have taken a kicking at both ends of the ice in the first two games. The Rangers' defense is definitely on top of their game, and they are getting timely offense from Kreider, Fox, and now Patrick Kane. Did I mention Tarasenko? Vanacek struggled in both of the first two games, while Shesterkin has given up just a single goal in each game. The usually offensively-charged Devils were held to 22 shots in Game Two, with just 7 coming in the third period. |
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04-21-23 | Bruins -154 v. Panthers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
I am betting the Bruins will be all business today after arguably their worst loss of the year. They were masterful on the road this season, and very good in revenging a loss. I am not sure I would want to be in the Panthers' skates today. Expect Boston at their most pugnacious in tonight's match. Panthers' likely goalie, Alex Lyon, bounced back with a better game two, but he doesn't have the track record and has played a ton of hockey in April. It was an uncharacteristically poor game from Ullmark and the league's best defense on Wednesday. Take Boston, even without Bergeron, to bounce back and win. |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
The Hurricanes have a stranglehold on the series to date, but are down another forward with Teravainen out. The Islanders are healthier and a MUCH better team at home this season. This is game critical for the Isles, and likely their best opportunity for a win; lose this one and there is no recovery. As one might expect, both goalies are statistically better when playing in their home rink. Look for better games from Barzal and Horvat, and for Sorokin (at home today) to out-duel Raata, as the desperate Islanders win at home. |
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04-20-23 | Rangers +120 v. Devils | Top | 5-1 | Win | 120 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
The depth and experience in the Rangers' lineup showed vs the Devils in Game one. With a fine game from Fox and Krieder, the result was one-sided. It doesn't hurt to have Shesterkin in net. He was beaten only by a penalty shot. Can the Devils turn things around in Game two? They had solid success vs the Rangers especially at home this year. I does appear that all of the trade deadline additions to the Rangers lineup have finally gelled in time for the playoffs. Devils goaltender Vanacek has a chequered history in the post season. This is still a very young Devils side. I am going with experience and goal tending tonight. Take the underdog Rangers to win. |
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04-18-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -140 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Vegas finished the season strongly and they have Mark Stone back after a very long injury. The Jets have Hellebuyck, but otherwise don't always seem to pull in the same direction. They were very fortunate to land in the playoffs, and are just .500 on the road this season. Broissoit, an ex-Jet, will start for the Knights. He has been very sharp in April, with a .946 save%. Yes, Hellebuyck can be scary good at times, but Vegas is as healthy as they have been all year, and have a solid edge on offense. Take the home side, the Golden Knights, to win at home. |
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04-18-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -152 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -152 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
The Leafs are back in a familiar spot; round one against the Lightning. I like their chances much better this year, especially in their home games. Toronto finished very strongly, winning four straight and beating Tampa, Florida and the Rangers. The teams are equally matched on offense, but the Leafs are much better on defense, and they are tougher to play against this year. Tampa is a bit of a mystery this season. They were outright poor on the road, finishing 4 games under .500. Even Vasilevskiy hasn't been as dominant this season. He had some great games down the stretch, but was roughed up by the Leafs and the Rangers in his last two games. Samsonov will return to the net for Toronto. He has been better than steady down the stretch when he played, with a +.950 Sv % in his last three games. With all of their previous experience, perhaps the Lightning can find another gear for the playoffs, but I am taking the Leafs until I see otherwise. Toronto to win Game one at home. |
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04-17-23 | Kings v. Oilers -180 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -180 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
The Oilers appear to have peaked at just the right time, winning 9 straight games. What is perhaps most impressive in this stretch is that the Oilers have only allowed 6 goals in their last 6 games. This from a team that was very casual on defense for much of the year. Skinner has been nothing short of sensational in net lately with a .966 save % in recent games. Included in this streak are a pair of wins against the Kings, during which he allowed just 1 goal. At 5-5 L10, LA looked sharper a bit earlier in the season. They are a large step behind on offense especially if Fiala is still out. They will need superior goal tending to withstand the Oilers onslaught, and I am not convinced that either Copley or Korpisalo is up to the task. Kings will have a better chance at home, but I expect that game one will go the way of the Oilers. It is higher odds than I would usually play on, but we will need to watch a game at least to see how this series will go. |
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04-17-23 | Wild v. Stars -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
The Wild did not finish the season strongly, losing 5 of 7 games. They have Kaprizov back finally but have lost their top center Eriksson Ek, and have 3 other centers compromised at the moment. The Stars, who looked shaky earlier in the season, are now 8-2, exceptionally stingy on defense, and scoring with regularity lately. The Stars are healthier, have a very big step up on the Wild on offense, and are a good home team. It is hard to argue with any of the goalies in this series, and a crap shoot at this point to see which one will stand out. Dallas is definitely the stronger club, now very well-coached, with the shadow of an early exit last year to motivate them. Take Dallas to win game one. |
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04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -120 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
No one wants to face the Bruins in the first round, so this is still a significant game for the Panthers. They have come down the stretch winning 6 of 7, losing that one game in OT. They're getting great goal-tending from back up Alex Lyon. He has played in 7 straight games, and hasn't given up more than 2 goals in any of them. Andersen is projected to start in goal for the Hurricanes. He has bee up and down in his last 8 starts. The Canes are just 1-3 lately and haven't fared well against the Panthers when playing in Fla. Carolina is the better defensive team, but it is the Panthers who have been keeping goals against down. They haven't given up more than 2 in any of their last 8 games. The Panthers have a very solid edge on offense. I like the Panthers' chances on Thursday. It is a more meaningful game and they are the much hotter team. Take Florida to win outright. 10* |
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04-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -145 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The 5-0 Kraken, benefiting from an easy schedule down the stretch, haven't faced a top team in more than a week, since they lost to the Kings. They are in a back to back situation against a tough Knights team and have now confirmed at least a wild card spot. Their goal-tending, a weak spot all season, is in flux tonight. Vegas should take this game seriously. They are in first place in their division, but some mixed play has the Oilers nipping at their heels. They are better-rested and have a fine past record against the Kraken. Broissoit has looked sharp in net lately, so the goalie advantage goes to Vegas. Call this a pre-playoff game for both teams, with the better-rested Golden Knights coming out on top. |
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04-08-23 | Panthers -160 v. Capitals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
It is situation critical for the Panthers and they are without their #1 net minder Bobrovsky. The good news is that Lyon has been filling in more than adequately, with a .961 save % in five straight games. The Panthers aren't the best road team this season, but this game is a must-win, and the Panthers have been jumping all over weaker teams lately. It is hard to think of the Capitals as a "weaker" team, but they are 3-7 lately and giving up buckets of goals, over 4.5 a game on average over nine games. Washington does have their top netminder in goal, but he has given up fourteen goals in his last three starts. Missing Oshi today, the Caps are going nowhere but the golf course this season. Look for a solid effort from the Panthers, and a big road win. |
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04-02-23 | Senators -170 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -170 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Senators are still not eliminated from a wild card spot, and have won four of seven games. The Blue Jackets are 3-7 and have now lost four straight. Even worse, they have also lost Merzlikens, and have called up depth goalie Gillies from the AHL. While both these teams were shut out yesterday, Columbus lost by a full seven goals. Both teams have lengthy injury lists, but Columbus is missing both Laine and a full five defensemen. The Jackets are a wretched 3-12 when playing on back to back days. The Senators are 6-5 in the same situation and will have their starting goalie Talbot back in net. The Sens are 4-1 in recent games vs Columbus. I expect it will be 5-1 after Sunday. Take the Senators to win. |
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03-28-23 | Kings +123 v. Flames | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
The 5-5 Flames are uninspired at the moment, considering they are still in sight of a wild card spot. They aren't much of a home team, and were absolutely crushed by the Kings the last time they faced them.They are riding Markstrom in net, and while he was better in his last two games, he has not been especially effective. Meanwhile LA, at 8-2, is as hot as anyone in the NHL and a sizzling 10-1 against Pacific Division teams. They have a better road record this year. Their offense is hitting on all cylinders, scoring 30 goals in the last 6 games. Other than a sloppy win over St Louis, the Kings are also very tough to score on lately. Korpisalo has been very good since moving to LA, with a .929 save % in his last 5 games. Now just two points out of first in the Pacific, I think the Kings will prove too much for the Flames on Tuesday. Take the underdog Kings to steal this one on the road. |
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03-26-23 | Bruins +107 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 107 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Since an embarrassing loss against the Black Hawks, the Bruins have been all business lately, winning six straight and out-scoring their opponents 23-6. They are off a win over Tampa. The 6-4 Hurricanes dispatched the Leafs on Saturday. They are an excellent home team, but will face one of the league's very best road teams tonight. Boston was ousted by the Canes in last year's playoffs, and is 0-9 in games in Carolina. I am sure that this must rankle, so look for all-out effort from the best team in the league. I don't believe that history will repeat itself tonight. Boston has the edge in the net with Andersen facing Swayman. Andersen has a sub-.900 save % in his last five games, and even worse in recent home games. Bruins' net-minder Swayman has a pair of shutouts in his last three appearances. While roughly equal in defense for the season, the Bruins have played a much tighter style than the Hurricanes in recent games. Boston has a solid edge on offense. I'll take the Bruins as an underdog against anyone. This is a very significant game for an immensely proud team. Boston is playing play-off-style hockey at the moment . Take the Bruins to win. |
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03-23-23 | Sharks v. Canucks -160 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
The Canucks are playing a much better brand of hockey under their new coach. The return of Demko in net has solidified the goalie situation. They lost against Vegas , and were called out for giveaways, but generally the defense and PK have been very much improved. They are also 5-1 in recent home games, getting solid offense, and have been deadly in scoring short-handed lately. The Sharks are 1-9 and seem destined for dead last this season. They generally haven't been scoring much, although they managed 4 goals against the Oilers. Goalie Kahkonen has lost 9 straight games, giving up more than four goals a game. The Canucks are better than they have been all season, and seem to be enjoying themselves after a very turbulent season. It won't do much for their draft placing, but they are playing like they have something to prove. Take Vancouver to win again at home. |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche -150 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
The Penguins are struggling, losing four straight and outscored 18-7. It won't get any easier on Wednesday. They'll face a Avs team at home and in top form. Colorado has won six straight, outscoring their opponents 28-12 in that stretch. Looking at the numbers, the Avs have a sizable edge on defense and the Power Play, and their formidable offense is finally clicking. Penguins' goalie Jarry has had some very poor outings lately, with just an .849 sv. % in March. Colorado's likely net minder Georgiev ha s been the opposite, earning a shutout in his last appearance, and sporting a shiny .975 sv. % in his last three games. The Penguins are just .500 on the road this season and are an "also-ran" in the playoff race at the moment. The Avs are challenging for first in the West. Take the Avs, at home, to continue to win. |
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03-16-23 | Flames v. Golden Knights -106 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
The Flames have stepped it up slightly lately after a very disappointing stretch. They won 3 of their last 5 games but were 0-5 before that. They've had some solid goal-tending from Markstrom, but he has now played in 9 straight games, and allowed 4 goals in his last start. The Flames have trouble scoring against solid defenses, and the Golden Knights are top ten in goals against. Vegas has won 4 straight and 7 of 8, surging to first place in the Western Conference. They are back home after a very successful road trip, and are 8-1 in recent home games. Their offense is on fire, averaging 4.5 goals a game in their last 4. The Knights have a solid edge in all categories except power play. Vegas looks like a real contender at the moment, and today's line is quite generous, all things considered. I am banking on Vegas to continue in their winning ways. Take the Golden Knights to top the Flames at home today. |
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03-15-23 | Wild -138 v. Blues | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
The Wild lost last time out but are 7-3 in recent games. They allowed 5 goals to the Coyotes but otherwise it has been 2 or less in their previous 9 games. The Wild, missing top scorer Kaprizov, had been limited in offense but have broken out in their last three games with 13 goals. They'll pit their top 3 defense against the Blues' 27th goals against. The Blues have won just 3 of their last 10 games. They are tough on other cellar-dwellers, but are 0-5 against top teams. They'll face a very steady net minder in Fleurie. Their goalie, Binnington, has been up and down of late. The Wild haven't had much luck against the Blues in St Louis, but they are the far superior team at the moment and a very solid road team this season. Look for a revenge win as Minnesota takes this one on the road. |
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03-14-23 | Golden Knights -170 v. Flyers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
The Vegas Golden Knights have won three straight games on the road, allowing just six goals scored. Even in their last loss, they only allowed a pair of goals against. Vegas is a dominant road team, particularly tough to score on in away games. The Flyers struggle at home this season. Well, the Flyers struggle everywhere at the moment. They've lost three straight and eight of ten, in most cases by multiple goals. They've also got the worst offense in the league at the moment, scoring just twelve goals in ten games. The Knights, who don't have the most potent offense, have more than double that number in the same number of games. Probable goalies are Hart for the Flyers (very average lately) and Adin Hill, if he returns as expected. Hill was terrific leading up to his brief injury. |
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03-08-23 | Wild +110 v. Jets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 110 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Wild just aren't giving up goals lately, and at 8-2 in their last 10 games, they usually score just enough to win. They are a top three defense for the season, but certainly tops in the league in the medium term, allowing just 9 measly goals in 8 games. Both goalies have been stand-outs. |
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03-03-23 | Jets v. Oilers -147 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
The Oilers and their new defenseman both impressed in a one-sided 5-2 victory over the Leafs. They are at home to the Jets on Friday. Winnipeg has lost 4 straight, and has allowed 15 goals in their last 3 games, a very poor showing for a defense-first team like the Jets. Winnipeg broke out for 5 goals in their last game but previous to that one, they had scored just six goals in six games. The Oilers don't lack for offense, sitting first in goals scored and PP. It is the defense, or lack of it that can cause problems (20th G.A., 25th PK). The Jets are barely over .500 on the road this year and their recent play does not inspire confidence. Connor McDavid has been absolutely on fire, while Jets star net-minder Hellebuyck has struggled in his last two appearances. Give me the Oilers to win on Friday. |
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03-02-23 | Seattle Kraken -105 v. Red Wings | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
The Red Wings have lost 3 straight, essentially putting paid to their play-off chances. They have been outscored 15-3 in those three games. Detroit traded away a top tier defenseman on Wednesday and other players may soon follow. With Hronek gone, that defense has taken a step backward. The Kraken are expected to stand pat so no trade turmoil to deal with as we head up to the deadline. The Kraken are a very good road team with a very solid offense. I expect the Red Wings to be off their game as more trades arise in the next day or so. Seattle beat Detroit just 10 days ago. The Kraken are still in position for their first venture into the play-offs. Look for all out effort on Thursday as the Kraken win on the road. |
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03-02-23 | Predators v. Panthers -165 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
The Predators have essentially gutted their team, losing Ekholm, Jeannot, Niedereiter, and Granlund so far to trades. There could still be more players to fall. The Preds will be in something like a a state of shock today. Meanwhile the Panthers, off a 4-1 victory over the Lightning, have so far not engaged in the trading frenzy. Florida is a good home team with a fine offense, who will look to revenge a recent ugly loss to Nashville. Look for the Panthers to kick the Preds while they are down today. Take Florida to win. |
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03-01-23 | Hurricanes -130 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Carolina suffered a no-rest road loss vs the Ducks last time out. They are still on the road, but have had 4 days off. The 'Canes are a very good road team this year, facing the Knights who are less effective at home. Carolina sports the second best defense and fifth-ranked PK, combined with a top nine offense. The Knights are good on defense (10th, 2.8 GA), poor on the PK, and only average on offense this season. They managed 0 goals against a stiff Colorado D last time out, and the Hurricanes are a definite step up from the Avs. The 'Canes are 8-2 lately, allowing just a minuscule 10 goals in those wins. Andersen had an off-game in the loss to the Ducks, but his previous three starts were superb. These two teams don't play each other often, but when they do it has been the 'Canes on top. I expect the same sort of result on Wednesday. Take the Hurricanes, rested and reset after that embarrassing Ducks loss, to steal this one on the road. |
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02-26-23 | Capitals v. Sabres -109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The Sabres have won 4 of 5 games, beating the Panthers on Friday. The Capitals, with Ovechkin returning, beat the Rangers on Saturday, but must play on the road on Sunday morning. That win was the Capitals' first in 7 games. The Sabres have improved on defense over the season, but are still a very offense-driven team with the 3rd best goals against and a top 5 PP. The Capitals scored 6 goals against the Rangers but that has not at all been the norm. In their previous six games, the Caps' 21st ranked offense as been underachieving if anything. Buffalo beat the Capitals last time they met. Sunday morning will come around very quickly for an aging Capitals team. I will take the better and fresher Sabres to win at home. |
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02-23-23 | Flames v. Golden Knights -136 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
the Flames knocked off the Coyotes on Wednesday, but are back to back and on the road against the Vegas Golden Knights on Thursday. Just 4-6 L10, and 12-9 on the road, they'll face a Knights team that has won 5 of 6 games since the break. The Knights were embarrassed by the lowly Black Hawks last time out, so are a fine candidate for a rebound win. Vegas has held most teams to 2 goals or less lately. The Flames broke out in the third period against the Coyotes, but have otherwise had trouble holding a lead. They are 1-6 when playing the third game in four nights and 0-7 when playing in Vegas. The Knights are healthier lately, and have an edge in all categories other than PK. You can add the Knights' extra days rest and the Flames lack of success in Vegas, leading me to take the Golden Knights to bounce back at home on Thursday. |
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02-21-23 | Red Wings +140 v. Capitals | Top | 3-1 | Win | 140 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
The Red Wings lost their last game of a Western swing but won the previous five. In those games, the Wings outscored their opponents 25 -12. Still on the road, but with an extra day's rest, they'll play the 3-7 Capitals, who are still missing Ovechkin and have a hefty injury list. The Capitals have scored just nine goals in their last five games, more than a goal less than their season's average. It appears that the Caps are a poor bet until the Captain is back. Detroit's net-minder Husso wasn't terrific against the Kraken last time out, but that as not been the norm. His save % over the last six games is a heady .930. Washington's goalie, Kuemper, has been very steady this year but did give up 11 goals in his last 3 games. The Red Wings are a sizable underdog on Tuesday, but doing the math, I am all in on the Wings winning. |
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02-20-23 | Jets v. Rangers -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
The Rangers lost last time out, breaking a seven game win streak. They are back home on Monday and will have an extra day's rest over the the opposition. The Rangers are a good home team this season and have really hit their stride lately, especially on offense. The visiting 5-5 Jets are on a back to back, and are experiencing something of a scoring drought, managing just 6 goals in their last three games. Both teams are top ten in defense; the Jets have the better penalty kill, but the Rangers have a decided advantage on offense and Power Play. Even including their solitary 3-2 loss to the Flames, the Jets have averaged just under five goals scored in their last eight games. The Jets aren't the best road team, and will get no breaks on offense with Shesterkin in net. Rittich will be in goal for Winnipeg; he's has been solid for the Jets as a back up, but he isn't Hellebuyck. At home and with better rest, this looks like yet another victory for the Rangers. Take New York to win outright. |
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02-19-23 | Blues v. Senators -165 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
The Blues, now minus their captain and their former top scorer, were roughed up by the Avs last night. They'll travel to Ottawa to meet the 6-2 Senators in a back to back situation. Losing O'Reilly will be a serious blow, and they also have a couple of key injuries tonight. St. Louis is three games under .500 as a road team, and have lost their last three straight away games. |
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02-16-23 | Panthers -114 v. Capitals | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Panthers were embarrassed by the Blues in their last game so look for improved play, especially on defense, against the Capitals tonight. Washington is without Ovechkin tonight, has a heavy injury list, and hasn't had much recent success vs the Panthers. The Caps are off a pair of home losses and have managed to score just five goals in their last three games. It will very likely be Bobrovsky vs Kuemper in net tonight. Bobrovsky has been the hotter of the two lately with a sparkling .951 save % since the All-star break. The Panthers have a top seven offense but struggle to keep the puck out of the net. This may not be such an issue in this game. The Capitals manage to score just 3 goals a game on average this year, and the loss of their captain really hurts. Take the Panthers to prosper on the road tonight. |
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02-13-23 | Red Wings +112 v. Canucks | Top | 6-1 | Win | 112 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
The Red Wings thrashed the Canucks in the opening game of a home and home series in Detroit. They now meet 2 days later in Vancouver. The Canucks are equally poor at home or away this season. The Red Wings are just .500 on the road. The Canucks defense is still very questionable; they've given up 20 goals in their 4 games since the break, which is even worse than their season's average of 4 per game. While the Red Wings have struggled to score goals this season, They have a big edge on defense and in the net, especially when Husso is playing. He has won 5 of his last 7 games with a save %of .923. The Canucks still have some firepower, but losing Horvat has hurt. Even if Detroit's offense is a little anemic, Vancouver's defense and goalie can make any team's offense look like stars. I am on the Underdog today. Take Detroit to steal this one on the road. |
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02-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Rangers -180 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
A healthy and better rested Rangers team hosts the 4-6 Kraken at home tonight. the 7-3 Ranges have scored 9 goals in two straight wins since the break, allowing 7. The Kraken, usually offense-driven, have scored just a single goal in two straight losses. They are playing their third game in four days on the road. It should be Grubauer vs Shesterkin in net tonight. The Seattle goalie has been steadier than usual lately. The Rangers' Shesterkin is a very solid bet to bounce back from a rare sub-.900 effort last time out. |
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02-07-23 | Golden Knights v. Predators -102 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Predators ran up three straight victories, winning 5 of 6 leading up to the All-star break. While just .500 for the season, they have been much better in the second half. Vegas is a good road team but has struggled in the second half, and are still a victim of the injury bug. They continue to get solid goal-tending from Thompson, but are up against a rare game-altering net-minder in Saros, whose 92% save % has kept Nashville in many games. |