11-20-23 |
Knicks v. Wolves -2.5 |
|
100-117 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
The New York Knicks come into Monday’s game against the Timberwolves surging. They are also on a road trip that could cause them problems. Minnesota themselves have concluded their West Coast road trip, and sometimes that can lead to a sluggish start. Yet, I believe they will find their energy at a juncture in the second half and add another win. Take the Timberwolves.
|
11-20-23 |
Morehead State v. Bellarmine -4 |
|
64-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
A difficult schedule to open the season has featured matchups against Alabama, Purdue, and Penn State for Morehead State. That can create a bottom out spot even against opponents that are on their level. Bellarmine may be 1-3 but they have been an above average school since entering division one a few seasons ago. Look for their offense to create issues for Morehead State. Take Bellarmine.
|
11-19-23 |
Cardinals +6 v. Texans |
|
16-21 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
The surprise element to a team can provide a spark no matter how down the season has been. We have seen this with the Raiders and for one week with Arizona and Kyler Murray. Houston has been potent with their offense but they are 0-3 ATS this year against NFC opponents in the Bucs, Panthers, and Falcons. Grab the points here with Arizona.
|
11-18-23 |
Washington v. Oregon State |
|
22-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At this point of the season Washington has showcased they are a great team. They’ve survived close calls and showed the ability to stay with it last week against USC. Tonight though Oregon State should be ready for this moment. A win and they are a top ten team and play spoiler to Washington’s season. Grab Oregon State at home.
|
11-17-23 |
DePaul +5 v. South Carolina |
|
68-73 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
Out the gate DePaul had two shocking losses to Long Beach State and Purdue Fort Wayne. Suffering early season let downs can help a team grow quicker. Additionally, neither South Carolina or DePaul has traveled yet this season. Take DePaul plus the points as South Carolina has had an easy schedule thus far for a 3-0 start.
|
11-17-23 |
Rockets v. Clippers -7 |
|
100-106 |
Loss |
-111 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
Despite being on a six game losing streak the LA Clippers still are sizeable favorites tonight. I expect Los Angeles to answer the call in a big way. In their last outing against the Denver Nuggets they showed a level of competitiveness that can finally get them over the hump. Take the Clippers.
|
11-17-23 |
Northwestern State v. North Florida -6.5 |
|
74-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
Both Northwestern State and North Florida are coming off tournament losses yesterday. As a result this matchup has seen a big decline on the opening spread. The underlying factor is this tournament is being played on North Florida’s floor. Look for the Ospreys to end their two game losing streak.
|
11-16-23 |
UMass Lowell v. Arizona State -6.5 |
|
69-71 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
Tonight figures to be a poor spot for UMass Lowell. For one they are not a team that is typically on the West Coast, as most of their games are played in the American East region. They are also in the midst of their third road game of six. Back ASU in this spot.
|
11-15-23 |
Princeton v. Duquesne -5.5 |
|
70-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
One of last year’s tournament darlings were the Princeton Tigers. Early in the season they have kept their momentum going with a 2-0 record, including an outright win over Rutgers. Today though look for Duquesne’s pace of play and balanced scoring to give Princeton problems. Take the Dukes as the small favorite.
|
11-14-23 |
Mercer v. Morehead State -4 |
|
66-74 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Early in the college basketball season we tend to see travel play a factor ATS. Mercer is in the middle of a three game road trip as they take on Morehead State today. Additionally, their third game Friday could be a look ahead spot against top twenty five ranked Alabama. Take Morehead State to take care of the Mercer Bears.
|
11-12-23 |
49ers -3 v. Jaguars |
|
34-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
A game of importance will be the San Francisco 49ers versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is the game many will be watching to see if the Jaguars are the real deal. At 6-2, this could catapult them to a serious AFC postseason threat. Yet, I like the 49ers to come out of their bye week with the mindset they’ve had in the prior years. Take the 49ers to pull out a close road win and cover the number.
|
11-12-23 |
Packers +3.5 v. Steelers |
|
19-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Green Bay Packers have been a hard team to watch. Even with a clear advantage at home last week against the Rams they struggled to move the football. They closed the door finally and in the NFL all it takes is one win to regain a teams confidence. On the road take the points here with the Packers.
|
11-11-23 |
Iowa State v. BYU +7.5 |
|
45-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
BYU has continued to fade in their first season in the Big 12. They’ve lost consecutive games in blowout fashion and scored a grand total of a mere thirteen points. Yet, they do return home where they are 4-0 on the season. They’re also back in their familiar time slot playing in a late game. Iowa State gets the win but BYU covers on the number.
|
11-11-23 |
Long Beach State +1.5 v. DePaul |
|
77-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
DePaul was supposed to have an easy schedule to begin the season with three straight home games. Off the bat they fell to Purdue Fort Wayne as 11.5 point favorites. There are a multitude of concerns for DePaul as they did not defend the three, and had twenty two turnovers. Long Beach State gives the Blue Demons a battle tonight. Grab the slight underdog.
|
11-11-23 |
Cincinnati +3 v. Houston |
|
24-14 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
It has been a tough year for Cincinnati as they are 0-6 in conference play. Throughout the struggles the team has stuck with multi-transfer quarterback Emory Jones. Today, he should have some opportunities against a Houston defense that gives up close to 32 points per game. I like the Bearcats in this spot to have a chance to pull off the small upset, but grab the points.
|
11-11-23 |
New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -4 |
|
38-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
New Mexico State has ripped through Conference USA play thus far with five straight wins. Their performance on the field has been sharper than their 2-3 start to the season, but also lined up with easier opponents. Look for the Hilltoppers to have the edge today led by quarterback Austin Reed. This could also be a look ahead spot as New Mexico State faces Auburn next.
|
11-10-23 |
UT-Rio Grande Valley v. South Dakota |
|
79-100 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
One of the smallest spreads on the day lies in a lower profile game between UT Rio Grande Valley and South Dakota. UT Rio Grande Valley put in over 100 points in their first matchup. Yet, their frenetic pace creates a lot of turnovers. They also have a lot of changes to their starting lineup. Grab South Dakota to get off to a 2-0 start on the season.
|
11-10-23 |
UMass Lowell v. Dartmouth +5.5 |
|
81-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
Last season UMass Lowell was one of the ATS darlings in non-conference play with a 14-2 start. They still have several upperclassmen that have remained with the program, but two key players are gone in Everette Hammond and Allin Blunt. This spread has rose far to high based on the River Hawks 2022 season. Take the points here with Dartmouth.
|
11-09-23 |
Hawks -3 v. Magic |
|
120-119 |
Loss |
-113 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
The NBA travels to Mexico City today as the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic meet. The Magic appeared to be going in the right direction after two strong wins, including one over the Lakers. Yet, in their last matchup they surrendered a double digit halftime lead of thirteen points to the Dallas Mavericks. They scored just thirty six second half points. Look for the Hawks to take advantage on the international stage.
|
11-09-23 |
CS-Northridge v. Idaho +3.5 |
|
76-73 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
Cal State Northridge nearly pulled off an upset in their opener against Stanford. In fact, they held a four point lead with under five minutes left. Thursday, look for a different outcome as Cal State remains on the road against Idaho. The Vandals defeated Cal State Northridge by three points last season, and should bounce back from the field after a poor performance shooting in their opener against Washington State.
|
11-06-23 |
Youngstown State +4.5 v. UL - Lafayette |
|
62-72 |
Loss |
-113 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
UL Lafayette is expected to take a dip this season after losing Jordan Brown to Memphis and Greg Williams Jr to graduation. Youngstown State may have lost their top scorer in Dwayne Cohill, but did a good job in getting upper classmen from the transfer portal. Additionally, the Penguins won fourteen of their last eighteen games to end the season a year ago. Take them as the underdog and don’t be shocked for an outright upset.
|
11-06-23 |
Fairleigh Dickinson v. Buffalo -6 |
|
92-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
Time and time again we see a cinderella story fade quickly into the next season. Fairleigh Dickinson had a terrific run to get to the Sweet 16, but also lost their former coach Tobin Anderson to Iona. Buffalo has a unique system of scorers at the 1 through 5 positions that is going to make it difficult for the Knights to keep pace. Grab Buffalo.
|
11-06-23 |
Queens NC v. Marshall -5 |
|
73-89 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
A revenge spot lies with Marshall hosting Queens University today. Last year Queens University opened their division one college basketball debut with an outright win over Marshall. That sprung the Thundering Herd as they went on to win nine straight and enjoyed a successful season. Although they have to replace Taevion Kinsey, Marshall has done a solid job developing the program for future growth. Take Marshall on the spread.
|
11-05-23 |
Giants v. Raiders -1 |
|
6-30 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Raiders made a long overdue switch by firing Josh McDaniels. A move of this sorts typically ignites a team which has been solid at home. They won tight games against both the Packers and Patriots. While the talent is going to need an overhaul look for the Raiders to play inspired football and beat the Giants.
|
11-05-23 |
Bucs v. Texans -2.5 |
|
37-39 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
Throughout the NFL we are seeing teams make a change at the quarterback position. Tampa Bay appears they may be headed in that direction as well. Baker Mayfield had several opportunities against the Falcons and could not deliver and struggled for much of the game against the Bills. Take the Texans on a buy low spot coming off a loss to Carolina.
|
11-04-23 |
Miami-FL -6 v. NC State |
|
6-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Miami Hurricanes will face an NC State team that has had a season of ups and downs. A problem for quarterback MJ Morris has been the ability to avoid mistakes. In his first start against Marshall he had three interceptions, and also struggled against Duke. Look for the Hurricanes to put him in disadvantage situations defensively and pull off a decisive road win. Take Miami.
|
11-04-23 |
Georgia Southern +3 v. Texas State |
|
24-45 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
Texas State began the season with a 4-1 record. Over their last three games they have failed to cover the spread. They blew a lead against UL Lafayette and let a sloppy fourth quarter blow open a close game last week against Troy. Look for late game situation miscues to continue even in their third straight home game.
|
11-04-23 |
Coastal Carolina +1 v. Old Dominion |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
Old Dominion may be playing at their peak of their abilities. As a home underdog two weeks ago they upset Appalachian State. Then this past Saturday as near three touchdown underdogs they nearly defeated James Madison. Look for today to be a letdown spot against a Coastal Carolina team that is playing inspired football with backup quarterback Jarrett Guest. Take the road team here in Coastal Carolina.
|
11-04-23 |
UL-Lafayette -7 v. Arkansas State |
|
17-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
UL Lafayette has a chance to win consecutive games for the first time in conference play. To get it done they will need to win on the road as they did last week against South Alabama. Arkansas State has a knack for hanging in games but UL Lafayette is going in a strong direction upward with freshman quarterback Zeon Chriss gaining confidence. Take UL Lafayette.
|
11-03-23 |
Wizards +8.5 v. Heat |
|
114-121 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Washington Wizards travel to face a Miami Heat team that may rank as the top team in search of a win tonight. Slow starts of the Heat are nothing new as last year they began the season 7-11. They have had a difficult schedule to begin the season but also are lacking the depth they had last year with Gabe Vincent and Max Strus. Grab the points here with the Wizards.
|
11-03-23 |
Cavs -3 v. Pacers |
|
116-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
Friday, the Cleveland Cavaliers will attempt to get revenge on the road for the second time this season. They just defeated the Knicks on Wednesday after losing to them on Tuesday at home. That was a confidence booster for a team that was on a three game losing streak. Take Cleveland as Indiana’s poor defense continues.
|
11-02-23 |
Pistons +5.5 v. Pelicans |
|
116-125 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
The New Orleans Pelicans continue to have players in and out of the lineup. Tonight in a back to back scenario the Pelicans will have Zion Williamson out due to rest. There’s also a chance Brandon Ingram returns to the court. Look for the Pistons to bounce back off of consecutive losses and keep this close due to the Pelicans lack of lineup consistency. Grab the points.
|
11-02-23 |
TCU v. Texas Tech -2.5 |
|
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
It’s rare to see a team that played in last year’s BCS be on the cusp of falling below .500. TCU has been a completely different team since their starting quarterback Chandler Morris went down. They’ve dropped three of their last four games including a 41-3 loss to Kansas State. Take Texas Tech as the small favorite.
|
11-01-23 |
Bulls v. Mavs -3.5 |
|
105-114 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Dallas Mavericks undefeated start to the season is not fooling anyone. All wins were against teams that are undermanned or in a true transition with youth. Chicago may be a veteran team but their issues of competition for four full quarters are a real deal. Look for Dallas to continue taking advantage of a weaker schedule to begin the season. Grab Dallas.
|
11-01-23 |
Bucks -4 v. Raptors |
|
111-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee is 2-1 on the season but has yet to cover a spread. In their first road game of the season tonight they may be under valued against the Toronto Raptors. Their new first year coach in Adrian Griffin was an assistant for the Raptors the prior five seasons. Additionally, the Raptors are struggling to adjust early in the season. Take the Bucks as the road favorite.
|
11-01-23 |
Ball State +5.5 v. Bowling Green |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
Bowling Green comes into today’s matchup against Ball State with consecutive victories and wins in three of their last four matchups. Yet, in the first set of early Mac-tion games look for a bit of sloppy play tonight. Ball State’s ground attack should offset any issues with the passing game. Look for a battle here with Ball State covering the number.
|
10-31-23 |
Knicks -2.5 v. Cavs |
|
109-91 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
Two teams that have not began the year strong will meet in the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers. Last season the Knicks dominated their postseason matchup winning four games to one. Additionally, the Cavaliers are surrendering 115 points per game which is up considerably from last year’s top ranking. Take the Knicks as the Cavaliers lose their third straight home game.
|
10-29-23 |
Vikings v. Packers +1 |
|
24-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Packers have not had a home game since late September. As a result they have lost some close calls to the Raiders and Broncos. Facing a resurgent Vikings team look for the Packers to get off to a better start. Protecting their first year starter should be a bit easier at home, and look for the Vikings miscues to occur. Take the Packers.
|
10-28-23 |
Troy -6.5 v. Texas State |
|
31-13 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
One of the top matchups outside of the power five conferences comes between Troy and Texas State. Both teams are 5-2 and rested as they have not played since October 14th. Yet, prior to their bye weeks both teams trajectory was changing. The Bobcats had struggled in close matchups in consecutive weeks, while the Trojans had elevated their play. Take Troy as the big road favorite.
|
10-28-23 |
Marshall -3 v. Coastal Carolina |
|
6-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
Coastal Carolina’s Grayson McCall is doubtful today after a scary hit late in last week’s victory over Arkansas State. This is an opportunity for Marshall to over ride poor play over the last three week’s that’s resulted in all losses. I expect the Thundering Herd to come out with much more aggression after an embarrassing nationally televised loss against James Madison. Take Marshall
|
10-28-23 |
UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. South Alabama |
|
33-20 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
South Alabama had two straight complete blowout victories before their bye week. The margin of victories were not expected by oddsmakers to that degree, but the competition had a combined conference record of 0-8. Look for the Jaguars to still play solid football but to face a different level of a team in UL Lafayette. Take the underdog here.
|
10-28-23 |
Duke +6.5 v. Louisville |
|
0-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
Duke is coming off an ineffective game offensively as they lost by eighteen points against Florida State. They’ll face a Louisville team that is off extra rest after having a bye week. That combined with Duke’s Riley Leonard’s uncertainty has inflated this line slightly. Grab Duke plus the six.
|
10-28-23 |
Connecticut +14.5 v. Boston College |
|
14-21 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 11 m |
Show
|
The UConn Huskies have played better over the last three weeks. They lost by just a point against Utah State, defeated Rice, and lost by three points against South Florida. Saturday’s opponent in Boston College has won three straight games but also has had issues of playing up or down to the competition. Five of their seven games have been decided by three points or less. Grab the points here with the Huskies.
|
10-27-23 |
Clippers -4 v. Jazz |
|
118-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
The Utah Jazz have always been the type of team where home court has been a big advantage. It still may be but they just have run into the wrong first two opponents on their home court. The Sacramento Kings elevated their play for a double digit win, and the Clippers appear to have one of the deepest rosters in the NBA. Lay it here with LA.
|
10-25-23 |
Blazers +9.5 v. Clippers |
|
111-123 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
The Portland Trailblazers are a completely new look team after trading Damian Lillard. Early in a season though often times we see these type of teams over achieve to begin the year. The youth and veteran presence of DeAndre Ayton, Malcolm Brogdon and Jerami Grant can give the Clippers enough of a battle to cover this big spread. Take the points as the Trailblazers cash as the biggest NBA underdog on the board.
|
10-25-23 |
UTEP v. Sam Houston State -3.5 |
|
37-34 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
Sam Houston has had a tough start to their debut of division one football. They are winless at 0-7, but have come close to breaking through. They gave conference leader Liberty their toughest battle of the season, and have had two overtime losses. Today, look for the Bearkats to break through against a UTEP team that scores just sixteen points per game. Lay it with the Bearkats.
|
10-24-23 |
Suns +1.5 v. Warriors |
|
108-104 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
The Phoenix Suns made the necessary moves of trading DeAndre Ayton and Chris Paul after years of playoff failures. Adding Bradley Beal now makes them a more offensive team, which should pay dividends off the bat against the Warriors. Last season they won the first three matchups decisively by double digits. Take the Suns who have consistently been one of the best regular season teams in the NBA.
|
10-22-23 |
Steelers v. Rams -3 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 42 m |
Show
|
The LA Rams are going through a plethora of injuries at the tailback position. It’ll certainly be a challenge against a Pittsburgh Steelers fanbase that travels well and has a hard nosed defense. Yet, Matthew Stafford is playing elite level football and has some big time weapons to throw to. With the Steelers struggles offensively, the Rams will pull out a victory as a small home favorite. Take the Rams.
|
10-22-23 |
Browns -3 v. Colts |
|
39-38 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
Often times we have seen a backup quarterback be successful in spots when his name is called. Yet, when the job becomes his the issues come to the fore front. Gardner Minshew has starter experience but will be in a very tough spot against the top defense in football. Look for Cleveland to survive an ugly offensive game to deliver on the road.
|
10-22-23 |
Falcons +3 v. Bucs |
|
16-13 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
Young teams are going to have issues with consistency. That has been the case for the Falcons but there has also been promise. Even with last week’s issues with Desmond Ridder’s turnovers they were still in the game. They have a knack for keeping it close and Tampa Bay appears to be in an offensive rut with a lack of a ground game. Take the Falcons
|
10-21-23 |
Coastal Carolina -8.5 v. Arkansas State |
|
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
Coastal Carolina should be in an advantageous spot today against Arkansas State. At just .500 they are playing in their third straight road game. That’s giving us a bit of value on the spread led by experienced quarterback Grayson McCall. McCall is coming off a season high 373 passing yards and should limit his turnovers in this spot. Take Coastal Carolina over Arkansas State.
|
10-21-23 |
Appalachian State -5 v. Old Dominion |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
Appalachian State has been a team on the cusp of making a run. First year starter Joey Aguilar is coming off his first turnover free game over his last four outings. Additionally, the Mountaineers are well rested after last playing on Tuesday October 10th. After three straight games decided by three points or less this will be a much cleaner showcase. Take Appalachian State.
|
10-21-23 |
South Carolina v. Missouri -7 |
|
12-34 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
Each season there are teams that hit a wall in SEC play. At the mid point of the season that appears to be the case for South Carolina. They have lost three of their last four games, and road spots have caused problems. They lost to Tennessee by twenty one points and Georgia by ten. Take Missouri with their octane offense that will give the Gamecocks problems.
|
10-19-23 |
James Madison v. Marshall +4.5 |
|
20-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 60 m |
Show
|
Marshall has lost consecutive road after beginning the season 4-0. For the Thundering Herd they have to correct a defense that has surrendered forty one points per game over their last three outings. On a short week and with James Madison coming off their best effort and win of the season, buy stock in Marshall in what should be a competitive game.
|
10-15-23 |
Eagles -6 v. Jets |
|
14-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
The Eagles at 5-0 continue to be a bit of a conundrum. They have not won in easy fashion like last year, and are coming off a road game in LA. Still, this is the right matchup for them against a Jets team that has over achieved ATS in multiple weeks against the Chiefs and Broncos. Grab Philadelphia in what will be more of a fluid game than what we have seen.
|
10-15-23 |
Patriots +3 v. Raiders |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
The Patriots poor loss last week to the Saints was one of the all time lows during the Belichick era. Poor quarterback play and a lack of talent offensively is assuredly going to make it one of the worst seasons in quite awhile for the Patriots. Yet, I’m not buying the Raiders just yet. Jimmy G’s arm strength is not there which should let the Patriots play safe defensively. Take New England to bounce back on the road.
|
10-14-23 |
NC State +3.5 v. Duke |
|
3-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
Duke may be on upset alert this week against NC State. The Wolf Pack made a change at quarterback last week by starting MJ Morris. After issues early on with turnovers he got dialed in and led the Wolf Pack to a seven point victory. Duke may also be a little sloppy early after a bye week and the taste of letting their last game slip away against the Irish. Take NC State.
|
10-14-23 |
Miami-FL +3 v. North Carolina |
|
31-41 |
Loss |
-125 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
Sometimes a catastrophic loss becomes a rallying cry for a team. No loss could be as severe as what happened to the Miami Hurricanes last week against Georgia Tech. Expect the coaches and players to sense the moment this week on the road against North Carolina. Additionally, with last year’s poor Hurricanes team they held tough to just a three point loss against the Tar Heels. Take Miami.
|
10-14-23 |
UL-Monroe +18.5 v. Texas State |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
UL Monroe was an absolute no show in last week’s home loss against South Alabama. Now they must travel on the road against a Texas State team that may be a little shell shocked. They let a sizable lead slip away as they lost late last week against UL Lafayette. This is just a case where you want to play the number and grab a huge amount of points. Take UL Monroe.
|
10-14-23 |
Georgia Southern v. James Madison -5.5 |
|
13-41 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
James Madison has begun the year with a 5-0 record. After a bye week they will now enter the heart of Sun Belt conference play with a gauntlet of tough matchups. Expect the Dukes to be better prepared for Georgia Southern’s pass attack after being lit up for a conference high forty five points last season. The loss also knocked out James Madison from the top twenty five. In a revenge spot take James Madison.
|
10-11-23 |
Sam Houston State +3.5 v. New Mexico State |
|
13-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
Sam Houston State may be winless but they’ve also been in the majority of their games. The Bearkats last two conference games they played conference leader Liberty tough and had a heart break loss against Jacksonville State. New Mexico State has not played sound football all year and has followed up a win with a loss each instance. Off their home win against FIU, this is a letdown spot tonight. Take Sam Houston State.
|
10-11-23 |
UTEP +3 v. Florida International |
|
27-14 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
Florida International has stumbled considerably over the past two weeks. They were blown out by Liberty and had a poor second half last week against New Mexico State. Now at .500 they will face a UTEP team that has had extra preparation following a bye week. We want Gavin Hardison to start but if he is unable to I still expect a close game. Take UTEp plus the points.
|
10-08-23 |
Chiefs v. Vikings +3.5 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
Kansas City may very well be the team that gets back to the Super Bowl, but they are in a tough spot. They’re on the road against a Minnesota team that tasted a victory that shouldn’t have happened against Carolina. Their simplified offense with Cam Akers and Allie Mattison should help propel Kirk Cousins out of his rut. Take the home dog in the Vikings.
|
10-08-23 |
Eagles -3.5 v. Rams |
|
23-14 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
The Eagles are an attraction undefeated and should be as a road favorite week five against the Rams. Los Angeles has been over valued with early season ATS cashes against the 49ers, Seahawks, and last week against the Colts. Matthew Stafford took some hits and seemed to be grimacing late against the Colts, and this is where we see the shift of their season take place. Grab the Eagles to run away and go 5-0 on the season.
|
10-08-23 |
Giants +12.5 v. Dolphins |
|
16-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
The Giants have dug themselves a hole at 1-3 with poor play and an offense that has shown no life. As the NFL has shown you have to ignore the past and look for a value play. Miami’s last home game they poured 70 on Denver, but are coming off a loss. Look for the Giants to show a better effort here and cover a huge number. Take the Giants.
|
10-07-23 |
Oregon State v. California +7.5 |
|
52-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
Oregon State could be in for a let down road spot against the California Bears. They’ve had extra rest due to their home victory last Friday against the Utah Utes. Pressure is also on them as they continue to ascend in the polls. California will do enough to hang around the spread here with the possibility for an upset.
|
10-07-23 |
Colorado State v. Utah State +3 |
|
24-44 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
Utah State narrowly avoided losing to a winless UConn team last week. They will face a Colorado State team that has won consecutive games since their overtime thriller against Colorado. Yet, it was against lower level competition of Middle Tennessee State and Utah Tech. Take the Aggies to get the home underdog cover.
|
10-07-23 |
South Alabama -10.5 v. UL-Monroe |
|
55-7 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
South Alabama has been one of the more disappointing non power five schools in college football. At 2-3, they continue to draw spreads of last year’s high performance team. This is the week where they should out perform the number against a UL Monroe team they put forty one points on last season. Take South Alabama
|
10-07-23 |
Boston College +2.5 v. Army |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
Last week Boston College could of folded after a slow start against Virginia. Instead in the second half they scored twenty points for the come back victory. Slow starts have plagued the Eagles but they can take advantage of Army coming off a bye week. Look for a sluggish Knights start to assist Boston College. Take BC.
|
10-01-23 |
Vikings v. Panthers +4.5 |
|
21-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 59 m |
Show
|
Minnesota has went from being one of the best regular season teams a year ago to 0-3. Now on the road the pressure is on after squandering a golden opportunity late against the Chargers. Facing a rookie quarterback Minnesota will likely get the best of Carolina. Yet, I look for the Panthers to keep this close and cover as a home dog.
|
10-01-23 |
Bengals -2.5 v. Titans |
|
3-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Bengals adjusted for Monday Night football’s win over the Rams. As sloppy as the offense still looks the defense showed an ability to rise to the occasion. That should be in play against a Tennessee offense that looks bottom tier even with Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill. Take Cincinnati to get to .500 as they win another close game.
|
09-30-23 |
Clemson -7 v. Syracuse |
|
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
Syracuse begins ACC play Saturday with a home game against Clemson. Last year the Tigers limited Garrett Shrader to just 167 passing yards, as Syracuse could not generate offense in the second half. Similar to last season look for Clemson to give Syracuse their first loss, and put the Orange in a tough spot with three straight road games upcoming. Take Clemson
|
09-24-23 |
Titans v. Browns -3 |
|
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
Even on a short week look for the Cleveland Browns to bounce back Sunday against the Titans. They were an offensive miscue away from being 2-0 on the season. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to force the offense to find new avenues for success. Additionally, the Titans have a knack for keeping opponents in games, as we saw in two close contests to begin the season. Take the Browns ATS.
|
09-23-23 |
UNLV v. UTEP +1.5 |
|
45-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
An ugly start for UTEP has featured an offense that is averaging just under fifteen points per game. Yet, three of their games were on the road including back to back games against power five schools. Returning home look for the Miners to have a leg up on a UNLV team that is coming off an over achieving win against Vanderbilt.
|
09-23-23 |
Buffalo v. UL-Lafayette -10.5 |
|
38-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
To start the season Buffalo is 0-3, and is coming off consecutive home losses to Fordham and Liberty. Traveling on the road they will face a UL Lafayette team that has shown a potent offense under experienced quarterback Ben Wooldridge. This is a case where even having a senior quarterback with experience in Cole Snyder does not produce a proper impact. Lay it with UL Lafayette.
|
09-23-23 |
SMU +7 v. TCU |
|
17-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Thus far TCU has been tough for oddsmakers to get an accurate number on. They were defeated by Colorado as steep favorites, and last week blew out Houston on the road as touchdown favorites. That’s created ATS value in a home rivalry game against SMU. Expect the Mustangs to put forth a solid effort to keep within the touchdown spread. Take SMU
|
09-17-23 |
Commanders +3.5 v. Broncos |
|
35-33 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 54 m |
Show
|
Washington quickly discovered they are going to need to do a better job protecting the football. Sam Howell struggled with ill advised throws against the Arizona Cardinals. On the road expect Ron Rivera and Washington to run the ball much more, to open up the passing game. This will be a close tight game with the half point being crucial. Take Washington.
|
09-17-23 |
Ravens +3.5 v. Bengals |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
Divisional games in consecutive weeks to start the season is very tough. Cincinnati has to answer for a bad performance against the Browns. More often than not good teams respond but outlier plays become a factor ATS. Look for turnovers and a crucial miscue late to benefit the Ravens ATS. Take the underdog.
|
09-16-23 |
New Mexico State +3 v. New Mexico |
|
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
A team that has had a slow start on the season has been New Mexico State. The Aggies lost to Massachusetts to begin the season, and lost by sixteen points last week to Liberty. In an in-state rivalry game against New Mexico look for Aggies quarterback Diego Pavia to finally get going on the season. Take the Aggies plus the points.
|
09-16-23 |
Florida International v. Connecticut -7 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
Florida International has surprised from an ATS stand point in their first two division one games this season. They covered against Louisiana Tech and pulled off an outright upset last week against North Texas. Although UConn is 0-2 they had a decisive 33 -12 victory over FIU last season. They will lean on that game plan and dictate the line of scrimmage. Back UConn.
|
09-10-23 |
Rams v. Seahawks -4.5 |
|
30-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 52 m |
Show
|
The Seahawks were a team that surprised many last season under Geno Smith. Now many expect Seattle to take that next step forward with more weapons at their disposal. They will get the job done Sunday as the LA Rams fit the bill of a Super Bowl winner that declines quickly.
|
09-10-23 |
Titans +3 v. Saints |
|
15-16 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 26 m |
Show
|
Over the last five years the Tennessee Titans are just 1-4 ATS to begin the season. Sunday is a favorable matchup against a Saints team with a new quarterback under center in Derek Carr. Look for Carr’s turnover issues to be a deciding factor with the Titans executing a tad bit better. Take the points with Tennessee.
|
09-10-23 |
Bengals -1.5 v. Browns |
|
3-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 26 m |
Show
|
The AFC North figures to be one of the tightest division races in the NFL. Out the gate week one the Browns should have an edge early on. Yet, expect Joe Burrow to shake off rust and continue to be one of the best finishers at the quarterback position. The small spread here pays off on the road team here.
|
09-09-23 |
Texas +7 v. Alabama |
|
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
Traveling to play on the road at Alabama is always a tough task. For Texas though they come in with the mindset they should have pulled out the victory last season. Expect Steve Sarkisian and the Longhorns to play another close competitive game. There may be a double digit lead for Alabama at one point, but look for Texas to stay within range of the number. Take the Longhorns plus the full touchdown.
|
09-08-23 |
Illinois +4 v. Kansas |
|
23-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
Jalon Daniels as the starting quarterback for Kansas certainly gives them better chances to win. Yet, to begin the season there will be expected rust. Illinois shook off a potential upset to get by Toledo by two points. They will be sharper tonight and rise to the occasion in their first road game. Grab the points with Illinois.
|
09-02-23 |
South Alabama v. Tulane -6 |
|
17-37 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
Over the years the Sun Belt conference has been able to surprise with consistent covers in week one. Last year South Alabama nearly upset UCLA in a narrow 32 to 31 contest. Yet, their twenty one point bowl loss to Western Kentucky was an eye opener for an offense that underachieved at the tail end of the season. Look for Tulane to have a big edge and cover the number.
|
09-02-23 |
Alabama A&M v. Vanderbilt -34.5 |
|
13-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
Today Vanderbilt will be five touchdown favorites against Alabama A&M. Look for the experience of having one game under their belt to be a big boost tonight. A seven point victory over Hawaii last week should serve as a wake up call. Take Vanderbilt to cruise over FCS Alabama A&M.
|
09-02-23 |
East Carolina +36.5 v. Michigan |
|
3-30 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 60 m |
Show
|
Minus Coach Jim Harbaugh winning will not be a problem for Michigan against East Carolina. Yet, from a spread stand point the number is to big. Michigan will virtually have to play mistake free football and not settle for any field goals. To high of a spread here take the big underdog in East Carolina.
|
09-01-23 |
Missouri State +32 v. Kansas |
|
17-48 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
FCS teams have been valuable to back in their early season matchups against division one schools. This was the case yesterday with Southern Utah nearly upsetting Arizona State. As explosive as Kansas offense is with quarterback Jalon Daniels, Missouri State has confidence from losing to Arkansas by just eleven points last season. Take the underdog here in Missouri State.
|
08-31-23 |
Kent State v. Central Florida -35 |
|
6-56 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
College football week one features several blowouts. Expect one here today as Central Florida aims to make a statement now that they are in the Big 12. With a strong experience and talent disparity led by quarterback John Rhys Plumlee the Knights should be close to this number in the first half. Grab the Knights.
|
08-26-23 |
Florida International v. Louisiana Tech -12 |
|
17-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
In week zero we get a rare conference matchup as Louisiana Tech hosts Florida International. Last season, the Panthers last win of the season came in a double overtime thriller against Louisiana Tech. From that point on Florida International lost their final four games by an average of thirty points. Take the revenge angle here on Louisiana Tech.
|
08-26-23 |
San Jose State +31.5 v. USC |
|
28-56 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
Early in the season big numbers ATS can be very tricky to evaluate. USC should no doubt be able to pour it on early and often against San Jose State. The worry is defensively giving up two to three touchdowns. To high of a number here even with last year’s Heisman winner Caleb Williams under center.
|
08-26-23 |
UMass +7 v. New Mexico State |
|
41-30 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Over the past two seasons UMASS has went a combined 2-22 in college football. In fact, their only win last season was against a non division one school in Stony Brook. Yet, the Minutemen are just a touchdown underdog today against New Mexico State. The Aggies come in a bit over valued after winning six of their final seven games, including a bowl win over Bowling Green. Grab the points here with UMASS.
|
08-10-23 |
Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Boston Red Sox need to take care of business against a poor Kansas City Royals team. The Royals starter will be Austin Cox, so the Red Sox will see a lot of the second worst rated road bullpen in MLB. Additionally, expect James Paxton to bounce back to the norm where his home ERA is 3.00. Grab Boston on the run line.
|
05-27-23 |
Celtics -2.5 v. Heat |
|
104-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
The Boston Celtics quickly have shifted the thoughts on the possibility of being the first team ever to erase a 3-0 series deficit. They have supreme confidence once again and the experience of so many trips to the Eastern Conference Finals. They may not jump out on the Miami Heat as quickly as in game five but their surge will happen. Take Boston to push this series to seven games and cover the number.
|
05-23-23 |
Celtics +2 v. Heat |
|
116-99 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
The Miami Heat used the momentum from stealing game two and rode it to a cruising game three victory. Clearly the Celtics were not ready to match the Heat’s intensity from the onset of game three. Yet, for the first time this series the tide has shifted to the Celtics being the underdog. Look for Boston to finally play with an edge as the Heat stumble a bit with such a big series advantage. Grab the Celtics.
|
05-21-23 |
Celtics -4 v. Heat |
|
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
The Miami Heat have full control of the Eastern Conference Finals series after winning games one and two at Boston. Yet, don’t expect the Celtics to not counter. They were down in their last series to the 76ers and have the pedigree of experience to overcome. They’re also a team that’s style of play does not wane on the road. On the steep spread discount grab Boston in game three.
|
05-18-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -5 |
|
103-108 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
In game one the Denver Nuggets dominated from the middle of the first quarter until the five minute mark of the fourth quarter. While the Lakers did make a run I expect game two to be a tale of two halves. Denver’s home dominance will not be over rode as their playoff streak improves to 8-0. Take Denver
|
05-16-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -6 |
|
126-132 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
The Lakers success this post-season has been their ability to knock off teams in game one. They did so against both Memphis and Golden State to set the tone. Yet, Denver is the first team this postseason that has the interior and perimeter balance to negate the Lakers defensively. Lay it as Denver covers and boosts their regular season and postseason home record to 41-7.
|
05-12-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
101-122 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
The point spread has not been a deciding factor in the playoffs. Tonight look for that to change with Golden State in a must win situation on the road. What has been their downfall in this series is executing in tight games. They’ll perform better in crunch time with their season at stake. Grab the points with Golden State.
|