01-08-21 |
Hornets v. Pelicans UNDER 218 |
Top |
118-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (545) and the New Orleans Pelicans (546). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (3-5) snapped a three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 102-94 upset win at Atlanta as a 5.5-point underdog. New Orleans (4-4) has lost two in a row with their 111-110 upset loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as an 8-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans nailed 49.4% of their shots on Wednesday which was their second-best mark all season. But they also allowed the Thunder to make 46.0% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. First-year head coach Stan Van Gundy was livid with the effort of his team that allowed 27 fast break points. Expect a better effort on defense on getting back to the other end of the court tonight after this team has been upset twice in a row after a narrow 2-point loss to Indiana before their setback to OKC. New Orleans has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after suffering two straight upset losses at home. The Pelicans have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. They also have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Van Gundy has made an immediate impact on the defensive improvement of this team — they are not fouling as much, they are crashing the defensive glass, and they are working harder in defending the perimeter. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. Charlotte played their best defensive game of the season on Wednesday with them holding the Hawks to just 37.5% shooting. Third-year head coach James Borrego hopes that effort will carry over tonight. The Hornets have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Despite the win, Charlotte is struggling to score baskets. They are making only 42.5% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in only 105.2 PPG. The Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road when playing their fourth game in seven days.
FINAL TAKE: The Hornets have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total as an underdog — and New Orleans has played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total as a favorite. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (545) and the New Orleans Pelicans (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-02-21 |
Raptors v. Pelicans UNDER 216 |
|
116-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Toronto Raptors (553) and New Orleans Pelicans (554). THE SITUATION: Toronto (1-3) snapped their three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 100-83 win against the New York Knicks as an 8.5-point favorite. New Orleans (3-2) has won two of their last three games with their 113-80 win at Oklahoma City as a 6-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors were our NBA Game of the Month on New Year’s Eve and we were rewarded with them playing their best defensive game of the season as they held the Knicks to just 36.4% shooting. That level of play should continue for head coach Nick Nurse whose team was second-best in the NBA last year in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Toronto has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits. The Raptors have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Yet Toronto is struggling on the offensive end of the court as they tend to do when they get stuck into just their half-court offense. They are making only 41.3% of their shots which is translating into only 101.5 PPG. They go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. New Orleans is still not getting enough credit from the betting public about their immediate improvement on defense under new head coach Stan Van Gundy. They have held their five opponents to just 99.2 PPG on just 43.4% shooting from the field. They played their best defensive game of the season against the Thunder by holding them to just 37.5% shooting. The Pelicans also made 48.4% of their shots which was their best shooting effort for the season — so regression is likely. New Orleans has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They return home where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on December 23rd where the Pelicans won in a 113-99 upset as a 4-point underdog. New Orleans has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 3-point range. The Raptors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored. 20* NBA Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between Toronto Raptors (553) and New Orleans Pelicans (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-29-20 |
Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 224 |
Top |
86-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (567) and the Phoenix Suns (568). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (2-1) has won two of their last three games with their 98-95 win at San Antonio as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. Phoenix (2-1) rebounded from their first loss in nine games going back to the bubble by avenging their loss to the Kings with a 116-110 win in Sacramento as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Suns made 48.9% of their shots which was the best shooting mark so far in their three games this season. But Phoenix has played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. The Suns saw the Kings make 47.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the young season as well. Phoenix has played of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win against a Pacific Division rival — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road. Now after playing their last two games on the road, the Suns return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total when favored. New Orleans has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This game flew Under the 227.5 point total as well — and the Pelicans have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. New Orleans made only 38.3% of their shots which is concerning since they made only 39.7% of their shots in their previous game at Miami. They go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Pelicans have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage at 60% or higher — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: New Orleans has seen only 204.7 combined points in their first three games — and Phoenix has seen only 211.0 combined points in their first three games. While matchups make fights, the Pelicans are clearly emphasizing defense under first-year head coach Stan Van Gundy and the Suns’ improvement in the bubble that seems to be carrying over was in part because of improved emphasis on their defensive play (particularly in the emergence of Mikal Bridges). Nice value here. 25* NBA TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (567) and the Phoenix Suns (568). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-28-20 |
Grizzlies v. Nets UNDER 230 |
Top |
116-111 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (541) and the Brooklyn Nets (542). THE SITUATION: Memphis (0-2) has lost their first two games of the season after their 122-112 upset loss to Atlanta as a 2-point favorite. Brooklyn (2-1) lost their first game of the season yesterday with their 106-104 upset loss at Charlotte as an 11.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Memphis has also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have played 20 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. Memphis is throwing up a bunch of shots — they have launched 95 and 93 shots in their first two games. But the Grizzlies have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after taking at least 90 shots in two straight games. Furthermore, Memphis has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog. Brooklyn has made it point to play outstanding defense according to Kevin Durant. They have held their first three opponents to just 39.9% shooting — and these three foes have scored only 100.0 PPG against them. The Hornets shot 44.8% from the field which was the worst defensive performance for the Nets this season. Look for this Brooklyn team to tighten things up on defense. They have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a loss by three points or less — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Nets have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing without rest. UPDATE: Head coach Steve Nash has announced that both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving will get the night off given load management after playing yesterday. With the team already missing Dinwiddie, that is plenty of scoring not available tonight. The team trends above capture the personality of this Nets’ team playing in the bubble without Durant and Irving last season — so the Under situation remains very good.
FINAL TAKE: Brooklyn suffered terrible news earlier today with the announcement that Spencer Dinwiddie will be out the season with a torn ACL that he suffered yesterday. Memphis has played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total with the number set at 230 or higher. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (541) and the Brooklyn Nets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-11-20 |
Lakers v. Heat UNDER 214.5 |
|
106-93 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (961) and the Miami Heat (962) in Game Six of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Miami (58-35) staved off elimination on Friday with their 111-108 upset win over the Lakers as a 5.5-point underdog. Los Angeles (67-24) blew their first opportunity to hoist the championship trophy but they still own a 3-2 mark in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers lost Game Five despite making 46.3% of their shots which was their best shooting effort from the floor in the last three games. Los Angeles has played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after an upset loss. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 25 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Anthony Davis may not be 100% with the heel injury he suffered late on Game Four. If he cannot contribute the same level of offense as he has in this series, the Lakers’ reliable scoring weapons shrink. This will likely be the LeBron James Show tonight — and that means a slower pace as he looks to create his shot from isolation plays. The Lakers had been averaging 101.2 possessions per game with James on the court but that mark has dropped to just 94.8 possessions per game mark with James on the court in this series. Los Angeles has also outrebounded the Heat by seven boards in each of the last three games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after outrebounding their last three opponents by at least five boards. Miami has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after being outrebounded by at least five boards in three straight games. The Heat nailed 14 of their 33 shots (42.4%) from behind the arc on Friday but regression back to their 36.2% mark from 3-point land in this series is likely for tonight. Miami has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 20* NBA LA Lakers-Miami ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (961) and the Miami Heat (962). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-09-20 |
Heat v. Lakers UNDER 216.5 |
Top |
111-108 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (709) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (710) in Game Five of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (67-23) took a 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals on Tuesday with their 102-96 victory over the Heat. Miami (57-35) looks to keep their championship dreams alive in this must-win game for them. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat were able to get Bam Adebayo back on the court in Game Four where he played over 33 minutes. With the two days of rest since that game, Adebayo should be able to at least match that amount of time on the court tonight. As I argued for Game Two last Friday (our NBA Total of the Year), playing without Adebayo would have a significant impact on a higher-scoring game. The highest two scoring games in this series were Games Two and Three which Adebayo did not play — 238 and 219 combined points were scored in those two games. Adebayo’s return to the court leads to lower scoring games. For starters, he is Miami’s best interior defender. Anthony Davis can almost score at will if he is being defended by Meyers Leonard or Kelly Olynyk. But Leonard and Olynyk are both capable outside shooters that Adebayo. Head coach Erik Spoelstra has his team play at a faster pace when Adebayo is not on the court. In all, Adebayo’s presence on the court tonight means better defense for the Heat along with a slower pace and less 3-point shooting. Miami has been outrebounded by seven boards in each of the four games in this series. The Heat have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being outrebounded by at least five boards in three straight games. Miami has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least two days of rest. And in their last 6 playoff games when trailing in the series, the Heat have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a victory by 6 points or less. Additionally, the Lakers have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread. Head coach Frank Vogel made a nice coaching adjustment on Tuesday by giving Anthony Davis the defensive assignment against Jimmy Butler. Not only does this make Butler’s job scoring at the rim more of a challenge but Davis was playing off Butler at the top of the key while seemingly daring him to take 3-pointers. Yet Butler only laughed three shots from downtown — missing all three attempts. Miami ended that game with a 42.7% field goal percentage which was tied for the lowest shooting mark in their last fourteen games. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after outrebounding their opponent by at least 5 boards in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (709) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-06-20 |
Lakers v. Heat OVER 218.5 |
|
102-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and Miami Heat (708) in Game Four of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Miami (57-34) looks to build off a 115-104 upset win over the Lakers on Sunday as a 9-point underdog. Los Angeles (66-23) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 28 of their last 41 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Miami has also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset win. The Heat made 51.2% of their shots on Sunday after nailing 50.7% of their shots in Game Two of this series — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. And while the last two games have this series have seen 219 and 238 combined points, Miami has played 21 of their last 33 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Despite shooting over 50% again, there is room for the Heat to replicate that feat again since Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro combined to make only 5 of their 17 shots from behind the arc despite combining to shoot 38.9% from 3-point land in the regular season. The Heat were without the injured Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic on Sunday which made Butler’s effort even more spectacular. Dragic will probably not play in this series but Adebayo has been upgraded to questionable for tonight’s game with his neck injury. He wanted to play on Sunday but was not cleared by the Miami medical staff. Even if he does take the court, it remains questionable how effective he can be. I argued on Friday for the Over in Game Two (our NBA Total of the Year) that the injuries to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic dramatically changed the tenor of this series: Miami was left without their best interior defender; their replacements were offensive players who were liabilities on defense; the Heat would resort to small-ball with a quicker pace and more 3-point shooting. Even if Adebayo plays tonight, I expect these factors to continue. Miami has also played 29 of their last 44 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Lakers shot just 43% from the field which was their lowest field goal percentage in their last twelve games. LA should also score more points in transition in this game. After netting +6.1 points per 100 possession clip in transition in Game One and +1.1 points per 100 possession mark in transition in Game Two, LA had -1.4 points per 100 possession rating in Game Three. They had adequate transition scoring chances that represented 12.1% of their possessions on Sunday, but they only scored at 90.9 points per 100 possession rate. The Lakers entered this series averaging 23.3 points per game via transitions which was tops in the NBA playoffs with 18.5% of their possessions coming from transition.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when leading in playoff series. They had scored at least 114 points in their previous four games before only scoring 104 points on Sunday. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and Miami Heat (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-04-20 |
Lakers v. Heat OVER 218.5 |
|
104-115 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (705) and the Miami Heat (706) in Game Three of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (66-22) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 124-114 win over the Heat as a 10.5-point favorite. Miami (56-34) has lost four of their last six games.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lakers raced out to a 68-54 halftime lead after owning a 65-48 halftime lead in Game One of this series. Los Angeles has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after leading by at least 10 points in their last two games. The Lakers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. I argued on Friday for the Over in Game Two (our NBA Total of the Year) that the injuries to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic dramatically changed the tenor of this series: Miami was left without their best interior defender; their replacements were offensive players who were liabilities on defense; the Heat would resort to small-ball with a quicker pace and more 3-point shooting. These assessments were accurate the total soaring Over the 217 Total on Friday. While I do not expect the Heat to necessarily shoot 50% from the field while making 40% of their 3-pointers (and it is why I am passing on the side play), this should still be a high-scoring game. Miami has played 15 of their last 20 games on the road Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. They also have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Heat have also played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games.
FINAL TAKE: I do not expect much from Adebayo if he is able to play significant minutes tonight. I suspect Anthony Davis will still have his way inside while Spoelstra will still lean on small-ball and a bunch of 3s with the hope his team can nail 40% of them again as they did on Friday. Miami has lost all four games they have played against the Lakers this season — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. The Heat have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 10* NBA LA Lakers-Miami ABC-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (705) and the Miami Heat (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-02-20 |
Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 |
Top |
114-124 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Los Angeles Lakers (704) in Game Two of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (65-22) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 116-98 victory over the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite. Miami (56-33) has lost two of their last three games — and they suffered two critical injuries in that game to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic that have an immediate impact on this series moving forward. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Miami hit only 42.7% of their shots on Wednesday which was the lowest shooting mark in their last four games. They also made just 11 of their 36 shots from downtown for a low 31% mark. The team was simply overwhelmed in the 2nd quarter after racing out to an early 13-point lead. Adebayo only played 21 minutes while Dragic managed just 14:50 minutes before leaving the game to their injuries. The Lakers nailed 60% of their 3-pointers in the first half en route to 65 points. The Heat have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. Moving forward, the injuries to Adebayo and Dragic forces head coach Erik Spoelstra to make some significant changes. He is going to play more small-ball — which means a faster tempo, more 3-pointers but a reliance on players with defensive liabilities. Without Adebayo and Dragic on the court, Miami has seen the average possessions per game rise from a 97.4 average to 101 possessions per game. The Heat have their worst Defensive Rating when Dragic is not on the court. His absence means more minutes for Tyler Herro who can be lights out on offense but is a work in progress on the defensive end of the court. Adebayo claims he is going to try to play tonight. We’ll see. Spoelstra will have to give more minutes to Kelly Olynyk in his absence which is another player with defensive limitations when playing against a player like Anthony Davis. Spoelstra will likely embrace more small-ball lineups and even more 3-point shooting in the hopes that his team can replicate the 38% shooting from behind the arc they enjoyed during the first two rounds of the playoffs. The Heat have now allowed at least 113 points in their last three games — and they have played 9 straight games on the road Over the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games. They also have played 28 of their last 42 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range. Los Angeles coasted to victory despite making only 45.2% of their shots which was the lowest mark in their last four games. The Lakers raced out to a 65-48 halftime lead while nailing 60% of their 3-pointers in the first 24 minutes of that game. That was the sixth time that LA has scored at least 60 points in the first half of their sixteen playoff games. They have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after enjoying a 15-point lead at halftime. They also had a 10-point lead at halftime in their final game with Denver — and the Lakers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after generating double-digit halftime leads in two straight games. And in their last 20 games after a victory by at least 15 points, they have played 13 of these games Over the Total. The Lakers have an Offensive Rating of 115.7 which is 2nd best of all playoff teams. Davis scored 34 points on Wednesday and should have his way inside with Adebayo out (or less than 100%). Los Angeles outrebounded the Heat by a 54 to 36 margin in Game One — and Miami has played 8 straight road games Over the Total after a game where they were outrebounded by at least 15 boards.
FINAL TAKE: The Heat have to shoot their way to victory tonight — and if they miss, that triggers the Lakers’ transition offense from which they entered this series averaging 23.3 PPG in transition with it representing 18.5% of their offense. Miami has lost all three meetings with LA this season — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Los Angeles Lakers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-26-20 |
Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 215 |
Top |
107-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (711) and the Los Angeles Lakers (712) in Game Five of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (63-22) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 114-108 victory over the Nuggets as a 6-point favorite. Denver (55-36) once again finds themselves on the brink of elimination down 3-1 in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The referees responded from the criticism from LeBron James about not getting enough whistles as the Lakers got to the charity stripe 35 times from which they converted on 28 of those attempts. Look for the fewer fouls to be called in tonight’s game. The Lakers have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Denver made 50.6% of their shots in Game Four which was the third straight game where the Lakers allowed them to make at least 47.3% of their shots from the field. Los Angeles has then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots. The Lakers have scored at least 105 points in eight straight games — but that is a strong indicator that this game will finish below the number. LA has played 48 of their last 76 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games — and they have played 38 of their last 60 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in four straight games. And in their last 47 games after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games, they have then played 30 of these games Under the Total. And while these two teams have seen 220 and 222 combined points scored in the last two games, the Lakers have then played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Denver has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. The Nuggets are certainly familiar with this situation of being on the brink of elimination. They must crave danger. The urgency of avoiding the abyss does motivate better efforts on the defensive end of the court for Denver. In Game Six and Seven of their series with Utah, the Nuggets held the Jazz to just 45.3% and 38.0% shooting which resulted in only 107 and 78 points in the final two games of that series. Then in Game Five, Six, and Seven in their series with the Clippers, Denver clamped down to hold Kawhi Leonard and company to 42%, 41%, and 37.8% shooting which translated into 105, 98, and 89 points. The Nuggets have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: These team trends are complemented by an empirical situational angle that has been 61% effective over the last five seasons. The Lakers have not covered the point spread in the last two games in this series — and in games involving two teams with a winning percentage in the 60 to 75% range, when one team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, these games have then finished Under the Total in 116 of these last 189 situations where these conditions applied. While Davis is one of the best defenders in the league, if he is not 100% (or does not play), that helps our Under play since he is so important to the Lakers offense — he is averaging 29 PPG in the postseason. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (711) and the Los Angeles Lakers (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-23-20 |
Celtics v. Heat OVER 211.5 |
|
109-112 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (713) and the Miami Heat (714) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (57-29) won Game Three of this series on Saturday with their 117-106 win over the Heat as a 3.5-point favorite. Miami (54-31) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat had their worst shooting game in their last twelve contests by making only 38.8% of their shots on Monday. After making 44% of their 3-pointers in Game One of this series and then 33% of their shots from downtown in Game Two, Miami made just 27% of their 44 shots from behind the arc. The Heat should shoot better tonight — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. Additionally, Miami has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days off — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. The Heat have still won ten of their last twelve games — and they have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And in their last 38 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the game finished Over the Total 25 times. Boston tied their lowest defensive field goal percentage in their last nine games by holding the Heat to just 38.8% shooting. The Celtics have still allowed Miami to score at least 106 points in all three games in this series — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 43 of their last 66 games on the road Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Celtics also now have Gordon Hayward back on the court after he logged-in over 30 minutes on Saturday. Hayward makes the Boston offensive attack better because his outside shooting serves as a zone-buster. In the twenty possessions that the Celtics played against a Heat zone defense with Hayward on the court, they scored 20 points at a 0.90 Points-Per-Possession clip — as compared to the 19 points they scored in Game Two in thirty-two possessions with Hayward where they scored at just a 0.59 PPP clip. Boston also scored in six of their final seven possessions against the Miami zone defense with Hayward on the court which suggests they began to figure out how to expose that defense.
FINAL TAKE: The pace is picking up in this series. After Game One and Game Two saw 90 and 93 possessions, Game Three had 99 possessions. Boston is scoring at a 1.10 Points-Per-Possession rate while Miami is scoring at a 1.09 PPP clip in this series. With the extra days of rest and the offensive impact the addition of Hayward has in this series, expect a higher scoring game. 10* NBA Boston-Miami ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (713) and the Miami Heat (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-22-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 214 |
Top |
106-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Denver Nuggets (708) in Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (62-21) has now won six games in a row in dramatic fashion with Anthony Davis nailing a buzzer-beating 3-pointers to seal a 105-103 victory over the Nuggets on Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. Denver (54-35) is now down 2-0 to the Lakers in this series. This game is being played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: An encouraging aspect that the Nuggets can take from Game Two of this series was their improved play on defense in the final 24 minutes of that game. Denver limited the Lakers to just 45 points in the second half while limiting them to scoring at just a 0.95 Points-Per-Possession rate. Los Angeles missed 15 of their 21 shots from behind that arc in the second half. The Nuggets have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Denver’s last 4 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread setback. And while that game finished just below the closing total of 209, the Nuggets have played a decisive 55 of their last 93 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Denver has covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have played 26 of their last 41 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least three of their last four games. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a narrow win by no more than 3 points. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a victory where they did cover the point spread as the favorite. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. The Lakers have scored at least 105 points in each of their six victories in a row — but they have played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Additionally, LA has played 38 of their last 58 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in four straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. This Lakers’ team remains relatively rested after taking care of Houston in five games in the Western Conference Semifinals — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when not playing more than three games in the last ten days.
FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have lost all four meetings between these two teams in 2020 — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Denver Nuggets (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-19-20 |
Celtics v. Heat UNDER 208 |
|
117-106 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Miami Heat (704) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (54-30) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 106-101 upset victory over the Celtics as a 2.5-point underdog. Boston (56-29) has now lost five of their last seven games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami pulled off their second straight upset victory in this series — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two straight games as an underdog. And while the Heat have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games. Miami won this game despite allowing the Celtics to make 50% of their shots from the field. That was the worst defensive effort for the Heat in their last fifteen games. Miami has frustrated Boston with their use of a 2-3 zone defense. The Celtics average 0.98 Points-Per-Possession in their half-court offense — but they are scoring at just a 0.85 Points-Per-Possession clip in this series against the Miami 2-3 zone. Boston has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. While they struggle to adjust to this 2-3 zone, the Celtics will be hard-pressed to replicate their 50% shooting effort on Thursday as it was the best offensive performance in their last eleven games.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. And while the Celtics have lost to Miami three straight times when including a loss in the bubble in August before the playoffs started, Boston has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Miami Heat (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-15-20 |
Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
104-89 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (729) and the Los Angeles Clippers (730) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (53-33) pulled off their second-straight upset victory on Sunday as they defeated the Clippers by a 111-98 score as a 9-point underdog to force this Game Seven. Los Angeles (56-20) has blown a lead of at least 15 points in the last two contests in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Apparently, it is the sense of imminent failure that motivates this Nuggets team to play harder on defense. Five of Denver’s seven victories this postseason have come in elimination games. They held the Clippers to just 41% shooting on Sunday in what was the best defensive effort in their last four games — this performance was highlighted by them getting a defensive stop in eleven straight possessions in the second half. The Nuggets also nailed 54.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in the last seven contests. Denver has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games are a double-digit win. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games are a point spread victory. And in their last 15 playoff games with the series tied, the Nuggets have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Los Angeles played their worst defensive game in their last fourteen contests after allowing Denver can 54.1% of their shots. Head coach Doc Rivers will likely shorten his bench tonight which means less time for Montrezl Harrell and Lou Williams who are offensive spark plugs off the bench but who have liabilities on the defensive end of the court. The Clippers have only covered the point spread once in the last five games in this series — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread at least three of their last four games. Los Angeles has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total away from home after not covering the point spread in their last two games.
FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 23 of their last 33 games away from home Under the Total after suffering an upset loss — and they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss when favored by at least 7 points. 25* NBA Tuesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (729) and the Los Angeles Clippers (730). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-09-20 |
Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 221 |
|
96-85 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (711) and the Denver Nuggets (712) in Game Four of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (55-26) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-107 win over the Nuggets as an 8.5-point favorite. Denver (51-32) has lost two of their last three games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This game finished right at the 220.5 closing total number despite the Clippers making 54.7% of their shots. Los Angeles also allowed the Nuggets to make 46.8% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them in their last five games. Head coach Doc Rivers was imploring his team to play harder on defense with him claiming that the first team to play defense would win that game (paraphrasing from memory). The Clippers finally did raise their level of play and intensity on the defensive end of the court in the 4th quarter to take the lead and pull away from the Nuggets — they held them to just 19 points in the final twelve minutes. I do expect that late defensive effort to carry over into this game. LA has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Furthermore, the Clippers have played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after a narrow victory by 6 points or less. Los Angeles has also played 33 of their last 51 games away from home Under the Total after winning three of their last four contests. Rivers is getting a nice defensive effort from big man Ivica Zubac whose responsibility is to slow down the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic — but he was limited to only 21 minutes on Monday given foul trouble. The depth of this team should help the Clippers’ defensive effort tonight as well as they have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. Denver has played a decisive 52 of their last 89 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. And after not taking more than 85 shots during a four-game stretch, the Nuggets have launched 91 and 94 shots in their last two games — and they have then played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams are doing an admirable job slowing down the key offensive player for the other team. Denver is throwing swarms of defenders at Kawhi Leonard who had only 23 points on Monday. The Nuggets’ Jamal Murray may be tiring as he has not scored more than 17 points in three of his last four games — he is shooting just 20 of 53 (37.7%) in this series while making only 7 of his 23 shots (30.4%) from behind the arc. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (711) and the Denver Nuggets (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-06-20 |
Bucks v. Heat UNDER 219.5 |
|
118-115 |
Loss |
-108 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (745) and the Miami Heat (746) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Miami (51-29) seized a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 115-100 upset victory over the Bucks as a 5-point underdog. Milwaukee (60-21) has been upset in all three games in this series and now find themselves on the brink of elimination. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. Miami has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. The Heat opened as the favorite for the first time in this series — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored who also having played 7 of their last 9 playoff games Under the Total in the playoffs. Furthermore, Miami has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when up 3-0 in a playoff series under head coach Eric Spoelstra. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss by at least 15 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo is a game-time decision in this game after he wrenched in his ankle in Game Three. Even if he plays, he will not be at full strength for this game.
FINAL TAKE: An adjustment that head coach Mike Budenholzer will likely make in this game is to not give as many minutes to center Brook Lopez who has been consistently exposed on defense against the Heat’s cadre of 3-point shooting big men. Getting Lopez off the court will help the Bucks’ defense but hinder their offense since he plays an important role in their 3-point shooting attack. These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (745) and the Miami Heat (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-20 |
Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 217 |
Top |
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (731) and the Houston Rockets (732) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (47-31) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 104-100 upset win over the Rockets as a 4.5-point underdog. Houston (47-31) ha lost three of their last four games in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets blew their opportunity to close out this series on Monday despite making 45.2% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. Houston has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after an upset loss. The Rockets have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Houston has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. The pressure of the playoffs tends to play a role in making all the 3s this team launches not fall quite as much. Every statistical moment is not the same — pressure plays a role in these games despite the protestations from the analytics community. It was their last Game Seven against Golden State back in the spring of 2018 where the Rockets missed twenty-seven straight 3-point shots. Houston has played 17 of their last 23 playoff games Under the Total when tied in the series including six straight Unders. They also have played 18 of their last 23 playoff games Under the Total with the opportunity to close out the series. Additionally, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Oklahoma City has seen the Under go a decisive 48-21-1 in their last 70 games as an underdog. Additionally, the Thunder have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 28 of their last 45 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. Finding consistent scoring options for head coach Billy Donovan has been an issue outside of Chris Paul who scored 15 of his 28 points on Monday in the 4th quarter. Donovan is still starting Lu Dort alongside Steven Adams despite their liabilities on offense. When they are on the floor in this series the Thunder are scoring at just a 66.7 points per 100 possession rate — the Rockets are comfortable playing off both of them to pack the paint. But they are giving Donovan defense as Houston is scoring at just an 89.3 points per 100 possession rate when those two are on the court. I don’t see Donovan moving away from starting this combo tonight.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total away from home when looking to avenge an upset loss. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-20 |
Heat v. Bucks OVER 221.5 |
|
116-114 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (730) and the Miami Heat (729) in Game Two of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (49-29) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 115-104 upset victory over the Bucks as a 5-point underdog. Milwaukee (60-19) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with the loss. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And while this game came on the heels of their 99-87 victory over Indiana back on August 24th to complete their four-game sweep in that series, Miami has played 4 straight games Over the Total after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Heat have rested legs right now with the seven-day break between ending that series with the Pacers and beginning this series — and that should help push the score up in this contest. Miami has played 24 of their last 35 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bucks have played 30 of their last 46 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 46 of their last 75 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 second games to a new playoff series Over the Total. Game One was cruising to finish way Over the Total before only 41 combined points were scored in the 4th quarter. I suspect that was an aberration. Expect all four of the quarters tonight to consist of brisk scoring. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (730) and the Miami Heat (729). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-31-20 |
Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 226.5 |
|
100-104 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (717) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (718) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Houston (47-30) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after their 114-80 victory over the Thunder as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Oklahoma City (46-31) trails by a 3-2 margin in this series and will be looking to force a climactic seventh game for this series on Wednesday. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 85 points in their last game. Houston has also played 32 of their last 50 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Getting Russell Westbrook back on the court gave the Rockets another outstanding ball defender. They did a very good job of defending the Thunder’s attempt to create scoring opportunities via isolation — and they have forced them into taking too many ill-advised 3s. But Westbrook looked rusty as he missed ten of his thirteen shots from the field. Houston has still scored 114 points in each of their last two games — but they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after scoring at least 110 points in two straight games. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games away from home Under the Total when playing their second game in five days. Oklahoma City was a mess on offense as they made just 7 of their 46 shots from behind the arc en route to only making 31.5% of their shots overall. Head coach Billy Donovan has a dilemma on his hands. He needs to give Luguentz Dort playing time because he is his best defender against James Harden. But Dort is a liability on offense — he was just three of sixteen from the field on Saturday while missing all nine of his 3-pointers. Donovan is also playing Steven Adams to offer a rim protector (something he will likely feel compelled to do with Westbrook now healthy) — but when Adams is on the court with Dort, the Rockets are comfortable playing off both players and cram the paint. Oklahoma City has played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. The Under is also a decisive 47-21-1 in the Thunder’s last 69 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by 30 or more points. 10* NBA Houston-Oklahoma City TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (717) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-30-20 |
Celtics v. Raptors OVER 217 |
|
112-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Toronto Raptors (710) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (52-24) has won four straight games after their 110-106 win over Philadelphia last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite as they completed their opening-round sweep of the 76ers. Toronto has won eight straight games after they swept Brooklyn in their opening-round series after defeating them last Sunday by a 150-122 score as a 14-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raptors 28-point victory over the Nets came on the heels of their 117-92 win over Brooklyn in Game Three of that series — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning two straight games by at least double-digits. Toronto has played a decisive 37 of their last 59 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored. The Raptors made 50.4% of their shots in Game Three before improving on that effort by nailing 55.4% of their shots in Game Four — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after shooting 50% from the field in two straight games. The Raptors are playing at a fast pace as they attempted 91 shots in Game Three before taking 101 shots in Game Four — and they have then played 15 of their last 20 games away from home Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. For the season, the Raptors average 88 shot attempts per game — and Boston has played 28 of their last 47 games Over the Total against teams who average at least 88 shots per game. The long rest should ensure the Celtics have fresh legs that usually help their offensive attack. Boston has played 41 of their last 63 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total when playing not more than their third game in ten days. Additionally, the Celtics have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 70%.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are dealing with significant injuries. Boston will be without Gordon Hayward who is on the shelf with an ankle injury. Toronto may be without Kyle Lowry who is questionable with an ankle injury of his own. The Raptors average 3.5 more possessions per game when Lowry is not on the court — so his potential absence should lead Toronto to play quicker. These two teams played in the bubble on August 7th where the Celtic won by a 122-100 score as a 2-point underdog. Toronto has played 32 of their last 51 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed their opponent to score at least 110 points including eight of these last thirteen situations. 10* NBA Boston-Toronto ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Toronto Raptors (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-25-20 |
Jazz v. Nuggets OVER 219 |
|
107-117 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (714) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (713) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Utah (47-29) has won three straight games in this series after winning Game Four of this series on Sunday with their 129-127 loss as a 3.5-point favorite. Denver (47-30) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all four games of this series — and they have nailed at least 51.2% of their shots in their last three victories after they shot 57.5% from the field on Sunday which included them making 48% of their 3-pointers. Utah has an effective field goal percentage of 61% in the playoffs which is the best mark of all sixteen teams. The Over is 19-9-1 in the Jazz’s last 29 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Utah has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Jazz have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as a favorite. Denver has been overmatched on the defensive end of the court while missing the injured Gary Harris and Will Barton who are two of their better perimeter defenders. The Nuggets have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Over is a decisive 35-14-2 in Denver’s last 51 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by just 3 points or less. 10* NBA Utah-Denver TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-24-20 |
Pacers v. Heat UNDER 218 |
|
87-99 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 PM ET on Monday, will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Miami Heat (706) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (47-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 124-115 victory over the Pacers as a 5-point favorite. Indiana (45-31) faces elimination from the playoffs. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Brooklyn Nets decided to not play defense yesterday when they were down 3-0 in their series with Toronto — and that is something I have considered for this game. These bubble games on neutral courts without fans where playoff elimination does have the benefit of offering the losing players the liberation of returning to their families. Yet I expect the Pacers to avoid the fate of the Nets’ players yesterday — they consistently play hard for head coach Nate McMillan. Besides, the longer they can keep this series alive, the better the chances they can get Domantas Sabonis who has returned to the bubble and is quarantining after dealing with plantar fasciitis. His return could be a game-changer for Indiana in this series. One game at a time. Indiana lost on Saturday despite making 48.8% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Pacers started slowly in Game Three by falling behind by a 74-56 margin — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after falling behind by at least 15 points at halftime in their last game. Indiana has also played 12 of their last 19 games on the road when playing their fourth game in seven days. Additionally, the Pacers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog in the playoffs. Indiana has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. And in their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Pacers have played 46 of these games Under the Total. Miami made 45.3% of their shots on Saturday which was their best shooting mark in this series. The Heat have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the playoffs with a 3-0 lead under head coach Erik Spoelstra. They also have played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Indiana has played 42 of their last 68 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. The first two games of this series went Under the Total before Game Three’s Over. Expect another lower scoring game tonight. 10* NBA Indiana-Miami TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Miami Heat (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-24-20 |
Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 224 |
|
114-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 4:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (703) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (704) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (45-30) won their first game in this series on Saturday with their 119-107 victory in overtime over the Rockets as a 2.5-point underdog. Houston (46-29) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder made only 44.6% of their shots on Saturday yet that was still the best shooting effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a point spread victory. Head coach Billy Donovan looks to have decided to trade offense for defense in this series by giving significant minutes to big man Steven Adams and Luguentz Dort who has the defensive assignment of covering James Harden. Dort did a nice job on Harden in Game Three by limiting him to just 12 of 27 shooting along with him making only 3 of his 13 shots from behind the arc. But Adams and Dort are not shooters nor big offensive threats which makes it easier on the switching Rockets’ defense. The Under is 41-20-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 62 games as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Thunder have also played 21 of their last 30 games with the Total set in the 220s. Houston has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss. The Rockets have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Houston has seen their shooting percentage decline in each game in this series so the grind of playing every other day may be getting to their 3-point shooting fest. This is a team that has played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road when playing their fourth game in seven days. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. Expect a lower-scoring game. 10* NBA Houston-Oklahoma City TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (703) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-23-20 |
Raptors v. Nets UNDER 221.5 |
|
150-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (745) and the Brooklyn Nets (746). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (35-39) finds themselves on the brink of elimination today after losing Game Three of this series on Friday by a 117-92 score as an 11-point underdog. Toronto (55-19) has won seven straight games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nets really miss their best 3-point shooter in Joe Harris who left the team to deal with a family emergency. Without Harris’ outside shooting threat, the Raptors pay more attention to Jarrett Allen close to the basket. Brooklyn maned only 22 points in the paint on Friday. They also made only 16 of their 51 shots (31.4%) from behind the arc while settling for a 33.3% shooting percentage overall. Interim head coach Jacques Vaughn was already dealing with a depleted roster with seven of the players he had in March not making the trip to Orlando. This Nets team lacks scoring options. Brooklyn has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. The Nets have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Brooklyn has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing two straight games against Atlantic Division rivals. And in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog, the Nets have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Toronto may be due for a scoring letdown after making 50.5% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their eleven games in the bubble. The Raptors have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They also have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have played 27 of their last 35 games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row against a divisional rival.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. 10* NBA Toronto-Brooklyn TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (745) and the Brooklyn Nets (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-17-20 |
Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 231 |
|
110-118 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (757) and the Los Angeles Clippers (758) in the opening game of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (43-32) enters the playoffs on a two-game losing streak after losing to Phoenix on Thursday by a 128-102 score as an 8-point underdog. Los Angeles (49-23) has won their last two games as well as four of their last five contests with their 107-102 win over Oklahoma City on Friday as a 3.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks are challenged on the defensive end of the court — but head coach Rick Carlisle will demand more from his team after allowing the Suns to make 55.1% of their shots. That was the worst defensive effort of their eight games inside the bubble. Dallas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. And the Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Furthermore, Dallas allowed all eight of their opponents inside the bubble to score at least 110 points — but they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight contests. Los Angeles is an outstanding defensive team when fully engaged with all their best players. They will probably not have the services of Patrick Beverley for this game as he recovers from his calf injury but they will have Montrezl Harrell returning to the court after clearing the quarantine protocols. But with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, head coach Doc Rivers has two incredible safety valve options who can defend Luka Doncic. The Clippers have played 8 of their last 10 games in the playoffs Under the Total when favored — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total on the road after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games away from home after a narrow win by 6 points or less.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last met on August 6th in the bubble when the Clippers easily defeated the Mavericks by a 126-111 score. Dallas has then played 54 of their last 88 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss under Carlisle. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (757) and the Los Angeles Clippers (758). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-07-20 |
Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 221.5 |
|
122-100 |
Loss |
-105 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). THE SITUATION: Boston (45-230 enters this game coming off a 149-115 win over Brooklyn as an 8.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Toronto (49-18) has won seven straight games going back to before the stoppage of play after their 107-99 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have also played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a blowout victory by at least 30 points. Boston shot 56.8% from the field against the Nets in what was the best shooting effort in their four games inside the bubble. The Celtics lead all teams since the restart with a 121.9 points per 100 possession scoring average — but they were able to prop up their stats in two of their games against weak defensive teams in Portland and the Nets on Wednesday. They made only 40.7% of their shots in their opening game loss to Milwaukee. Moving forward, Boston has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Raptors nailed 48.7% of their shots against the Magic which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. But Toronto is just 20th of the twenty-two teams in the bubble by averaging 105.2 points per 100 possessions. The Raptors are dominating teams because of their commitment to defense. They are 2nd of the teams inside the bubble by holding their opponents to just 96.1 points per 100 possessions — and they have held two of their four opponents to below 100 points. Toronto has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: Boston will be looking to avenge a 113-97 upset loss at home to Toronto back on December 28th. The Celtics have played 19 of their last 27 games on the road Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss at home. 10* NBA Boston-Toronto TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-29-20 |
Magic v. Spurs OVER 221 |
Top |
113-114 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (559) and the San Antonio Spurs (560). THE SITUATION: Orlando (23-32) has won three straight games with their 136-125 win over Minnesota last night as an 8-point favorite. San Antonio (24-33) has lost their last two games with their 109-103 loss at home to Dallas as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 7-0-1 in the Magic’s last 8 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Orlando has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last five games. Head coach Steve Clifford has found a five-man combination that is finally jumpstarting what had been a stagnant offense. Markelle Fultz, Terrence Ross, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Vucevic entered the week averaging 110.1 points per 100 possessions in the 177 minutes they have played together. In the three games the Magic have played since, Orlando has averaged 127 PPG while making 49.4%, 49.0% and then 54.1% of their shots. But the problem for that grouping is their defense as they had allowed their opponents to score at an 111.8 points per 100 possession clip in those 177 minutes entering last Monday’s game. The Magic have allowed their last three opponents to average 119.3 PPG with a field goal percentage of 47.0%. All three games this week finished Over the Total — and Orlando has played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. In their last five games, the Magic are scoring 120.6 PPG on 47.4% shooting — and they are surrendering 118.1 PPG on 47.1% shooting. Now they go back on the road where the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games — and the Over is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games as an underdog. Additionally, while this is Orlando’s sixth game in the last two weeks, they have played 15 of their last 19 road games Over the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in fourteen days. San Antonio held the Mavericks to just a 41.9% shooting percentage on Wednesday in that loss which was the best defensive effort in their last twelve games. The Over is 6-1-1 in the Spurs’ last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. And while San Antonio has lost and failed to cover the point spread in their last two contests, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after suffering two straight losses — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two straight games. The Spurs defensive effort on Wednesday was a surprise because they have still allowed their last five opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 115.4 PPG. They stay at home for this game where they are scoring 113.3 PPG on 46.6% shooting while allowing their guests to score 112.4 PPG. San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 20 home games Over the Total as a favorite. The Spurs have also played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And while San Antonio has launched at least 91 shots in three straight games, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after taking at least 90 shots in two straight contests.
FINAL TAKE: Orlando averages 89 shots per game this season (while taking at least 89 shots in seven straight contests) — and the Spurs have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total against teams that average at least 88 shots per game. The Spurs allow 114.5 PPG this season — and the Magic have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who allow at least 110 PPG. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (559) and the San Antonio Spurs (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-27-20 |
Kings v. Thunder OVER 220.5 |
|
108-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (521) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (522). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (24-33) has won three straight games after their 112-94 win at Golden State as an 8.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Oklahoma City (36-22) has won four straight games as well as thirteen of their last sixteen contests with their 124-122 victory in Chicago on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a victory by at least 15 points. Head coach Luke Walton has this team playing at the faster pace they embraced last season. After ranking 24th in the NBA in pace, Sacramento has amped that up to the 7th fastest tempo in the league over their last five games. The Kings are scoring 115.8 PPG in these last five games while also allowing 115.0 PPG in those contests. Walton has indicated that he will have his team continue to play at the faster pace in preparation for next season. As it is, Sacramento has played 18 of their last 24 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and they have also played ten of their last thirteen games Over the Total when playing on the road with the Total in that range. They stay on the road tonight where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up victory where they failed to cover the point spread. They are scoring 119.4 PPG over their last five games on 50.8% shooting from the field — but they have allowed those last five opponents to make 47% of their shots which has resulted in them allowing 111.6 PPG in those games. They return home where they are making 48.7% of their shots for a 113.7 PPG scoring average — but they are also allowing 109.2 PPG. The Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Over is also 14-4-1 in the Thunder’s last 19 games when they are the favorite — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City won the last meeting between these two teams by a 120-100 score back on January 29th. The Kings have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (521) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-20 |
Grizzlies v. Rockets UNDER 237.5 |
Top |
112-140 |
Loss |
-104 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (513) and the Houston Rockets (514). THE SITUATION: Memphis (28-29) has lost three straight games after their 124-97 loss at Los Angeles against the Clippers on Monday as an 11.5-point underdog. Houston (37-20) has won four straight games with their 123-112 win over New York on Monday as a 13.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points — and this includes them playing four of these last five situations Under the Total. Memphis has also played 4 straight games Under the Total both after a straight-up loss and after a point spread setback. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. Memphis has been playing short-handed with Jaren Jackson, Jr., Grayson Allen, and the recently acquired Justise Winslow all injured. They made only 41.6% of their shots on Monday which was the lowest shooting effort in their last five games. Brandon Clarke also suffered a hip injury in that game which will keep him out for a couple of weeks which further hampers the Grizzlies offensive attack. Memphis has had the fourth-worst offense since the trade deadline with the reason seeming to be that when they dealt away Jae Crowder and Solomon Hill, they lost their two most active shooters from behind the arc. With Kyle Anderson sliding into the starting lineup despite not being a long-range shooting threat, opposing defenses are more comfortable to pack the paint to thwart Ja Morant’s driving lanes while also providing more help in double-teaming Jonas Valanciunas’ post-ups. And it is not helping matters that Dillon Brooks is in the midst of a big shooting slump: over his last nine games, he is shooting only 28.5% from the field while making just 17.1% of his shots from behind the arc. Now the Grizzlies play their fourth straight game on the road — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. Memphis has also played 21 of their last 30 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Grizzlies are scoring 111.7 PPG on the road this year which is not very much when considering tonight’s Total is in the high-230s. Memphis has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total with the number set at 230 or higher. And while the Grizzlies are averaging 47.2% shooting this season while holding their opponents to a 45.5% field goal percentage, they are only making 45.4% of their shots over their last five games — but they are limiting their opponents to a 43.7% field goal percentage. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Rockets have also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a game where at least 230 combined points were scored. With the trade of Clint Capela, this team has completely embraced small-ball with them launching even more 3-pointers than ever. But Houston has also played a bit better on the defensive end of the court as they rank 12th in the league in Defensive Rating in their ten games since the All-Star break as compared to their 15th ranking in that metric overall this season. Over their last five games, the Rockets are holding their opponents to 109.2 PPG which is -5.0 PPG below their season average. Houston has played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total with the number set at 230 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Russell Westbrook is listed as probable for tonight with his thumb injury but Eric Gordon is questionable with a knee injury — and his absence will impact the Rockets’ 3-point shooting. Houston will be looking to avenge a 121-110 upset loss in Memphis back on January 14th — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 27 of their last 39 encounters in Houston Under the Total. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (513) and the Houston Rockets (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-20 |
Magic v. Hawks OVER 225.5 |
|
130-120 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (507) and the Atlanta Hawks (508). THE SITUATION: Orlando (25-32) has won three of their last four games with their 115-113 upset win at Brooklyn as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Atlanta (17-42) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 129-112 loss at Philadelphia as an 8.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Magic have seen the Over go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. And while Orlando has played four straight games Over the Total, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. Head coach Steve Clifford has leaned more heavily on a lineup of Markelle Fultz, Terrence Ross, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Vucevic which has given the team a jump on offense. Orlando is scoring 113.4 PPG over their last five games. But that group presents some liabilities on the defensive end of the court as the Magic have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.1% of their shots which was resulted in 117.0 PPG. The Magic stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Hawks have also played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. And in their last 7 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game, Atlanta has played 6 of these games Over the Total. The Hawks made just 41.2% of their shots on Monday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last six games. Now the Hawks return home hewer they are making 45.6% of their shots which is producing 112.3 PPG. But Atlanta is also allowing their opponents to shoot 46.4% from the field which is resulting in 115.1 PPG when they are playing on their home court. The Hawks have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home. Atlanta has also played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played a decisive 32 of their last 45 games as an underdog overall. Over their last five games, the Hawks are scoring 116.6 PPG — but they allowed those five opponents to average 124.4 PPG on 48.1% shooting.
FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has played 32 of their last 53 games Over the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (507) and the Atlanta Hawks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-20 |
Bucks v. Raptors OVER 230 |
Top |
108-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (577) and the Toronto Raptors (578). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (49-8) has won three straight games as well as eight of their last nine games with their 137-134 win at Washington last night as a 12.5-point favorite. Toronto (42-15) has won their last two games as well as seventeen of their last eighteen contests with their 127-81 victory Indiana on Sunday as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a win on the road by 3 points or less. Milwaukee has also played 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. And the Bucks have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a game where they allowed at least 130 points. Milwaukee made 57% of their shots against the Wizards which the third straight game that they made at least 50% of their shots since the All-Star break — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in three straight games. The Bucks are shooting 49% from the field over their last five games which has generated 123.2 PPG. They stay on the road where they are making 47.9% of their shots which is resulting in 118.6 PPG. The Over is 19-7-1 in Milwaukee’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Raptors make 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc — and the Bucks have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who make at least 36% of their shots from 3-point land. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a win on their home court. The Raptors have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games after a double-digit win, Toronto has played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Raptors held the Pacers to just 32.6% shooting which was the best defensive effort of their season. They also made 51.1% of their shots in that game after nailing 52.5% of their shots in their previous game against Phoenix — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight contests. They stay at home where they are 23-7 while making 47.5% of their shots which is producing 117.3 PPG. Toronto has won nine straight games at home while averaging 125.1 PPG in those contests on 51.9% shooting from the field and a 41.3% clip from behind the arc. The Raptors have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with the number set at 230 or higher. Toronto has also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. And while the Bucks average 91 shots per game in their up-tempo offense, the Raptors have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 88 shots per game.
FINAL TAKE: The Raptors will not be at full strength with Norman Powell and Marc Gasol both out with injuries — and that will hurt them more on the defensive end of the court rather than with their scoring. These two teams last played back on November 2nd when the Bucks won on their home court by a 115-105 score. Toronto has played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (577) and the Toronto Raptors (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-13-20 |
Clippers v. Celtics UNDER 228 |
Top |
133-141 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Boston Celtics (524). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (37-17) has lost two of their last three games with their 110-103 upset loss at Philadelphia as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. Boston (37-16) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 116-105 loss at Houston as a 2-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Clippers will be playing their third game in the last five days tonight before the All-Star break begins tomorrow — they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days. Los Angeles stays on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. It is not often when Doc Rivers’ team is getting the points — and that usually means that ramp things up on the defensive end of the court. Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog. They also have played 24 of their last 32 road games as an underdog which includes them playing seven straight games on the road as a dog getting up to 6 points. Furthermore, the Clippers have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against opponents with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. And while the Celtics are shooting 46.3% from the field this season, Los Angeles has played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total against teams with a 46% or better field goal percentage. Boston has not covered the point spread in their last two games — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. The Celtics return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Boston has also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Celtics have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.
FINAL TAKE: The Clippers won the last meeting between these two teams at home in the Staples Center with their 107-104 victory as a 7.5-point favorite on November 20th. Boston has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge on their minds. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Boston Celtics (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-11-20 |
Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 232 |
Top |
105-116 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (585) and the Houston Rockets (586). THE SITUATION: Boston (37-15) has won seven straight games after their 112-111 win at Oklahoma City as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday. Houston (33-20) has lost their last two games with their 114-113 upset loss against Utah on Sunday as a 3-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Boston has not covered the point spread in their last two games with their victory over the Thunder preceded by a 112-107 win at home against Atlanta. The Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by 6 points or less. Boston stays on the road where they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Additionally, the Celtics have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. The Rockets have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. Houston has fully embraced small-ball which was cemented with the trade of their center Clint Capela last week. The Rockets are getting killed on the boards as they have been out-rebounded by 10 and 15 boards in their last two games — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 10 boards in two straight games. Houston has allowed their last four opponents shoot at least 47% from the field while scoring at least 110 points in all four games but they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight games. Small-ball has not resulted in an uptick of scoring (except for their upset win over the Lakers, unfortunately for us, when Eric Gordon and the rest of the team could not miss from 3-point land): they are making only 42.8% of their shots over their last five games for a 113.4 PPG scoring average which is well behind their 119.3 PPG/45.1% field goal percentage for the season. Houston has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. And in their last 51 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Rockets have played 39 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Boston’s biggest weakness is the lack of interior defenders — but that will not be an issue against this Rockets team. The Celtics do a good job of defending the arc as they rank 7th in the league by holding their opponents to make just 34.5% of their shots behind the arc. These two teams have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 meetings in Houston Under the Total. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (585) and the Houston Rockets (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-09-20 |
Bulls v. 76ers OVER 213 |
Top |
111-118 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). THE SITUATION: Chicago (19-34) has lost four games in a row with their 125-119 loss at home to New Orleans on Thursday as a 6-point underdog. Philadelphia (32-21) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 119-107 win over Memphis as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulls are struggling on the defensive end of the court — they allowed the Pelicans to make 56.3% of their shots. Chicago allowed the Raptors to shoot 56% from the field in their previous game as well — they have allowed their last four opponents to shoot at least 51.4% and five of their last six opponents have shot at least 50% from the field. The Bulls have then played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 55%. Furthermore, Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. The Bulls have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 54.5% from the field which has generated 122/.2 PPG. But Chicago has also made 47.0% of their shots over that span which has resulted in them averaging 111.0 PPG in those last five games. The Bulls have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games in a row. They go back on the road where they have played 4 straight Overs — and they have played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. The Bulls have also played 21 of their last 28 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia played their best defensive game in their last nine contests on Friday by holding then Grizzlies to just 40.9% shooting from the field. But the 76ers have still allowed their last five opponents to make 47.8% of their shots which has resulted in 119.8 PPG that they have allowed during that span. Philly has allowed their last five opponents to score at least 107 points — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total after allowing their last three opponents to score at least 105 points. The Sixers stay at home where they are 23-2 while making 48.5% of their shots which has resulted in 111.7 PPG. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The 76ers have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago will be looking to avenge a 100-89 loss at Philadelphia back on January 17th — and they have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a same-season loss. These two teams have played 13 of their last 19 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-01-20 |
76ers v. Celtics UNDER 215 |
Top |
95-116 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (525) and the Boston Celtics (526). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (31-18) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 127-117 upset loss at Atlanta as a 6-point favorite. Boston (32-15) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 119-104 win over Golden State as a 13.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers allowed the Hawks to make 48.3% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last nine games. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. This is the Sixers just fourth game in the last ten days — and they have played 25 of their last 34 games when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. Philly stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the 76ers have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Boston nailed 47.7% of their shots on Thursday in what was their best shooting performance in their last four games. The Celtics have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 10 points. Boston has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Celtics have scored at least 108 points in eight straight games — but they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Boston has also played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: The Celtics will have revenge on their minds as they have lost their last four encounters with the 76ers with their last meeting being on January 9th where Philly defeated them by a 109-90 score. Boston has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge at least three straight losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (525) and the Boston Celtics (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-29-20 |
Jazz v. Spurs OVER 220.5 |
|
120-127 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). THE SITUATION: Utah (32-14) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Monday in their 126-117 loss to Houston as a 14.5-point favorite. San Antonio (20-26) has lost three games in a row with their 110-109 loss at Chicago as a 2-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up victory — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Utah has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. The Jazz made 50.6% of their shots on Monday — and they are averaging 50.6% shooting over their last five games which has translated into 119.8 PPG. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total as a favorite. Furthermore, Utah has played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 229.5 point range. And while the Jazz have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 22 of their last 32 games on the road Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Spurs have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning at least three games in a row. Furthermore, while the Spurs have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.2%, the Jazz have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 46% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have also played 21 of their last 27 encounters in San Antonio Over the Total. Expect another higher scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-27-20 |
Cavs v. Pistons OVER 218 |
Top |
115-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (527) and the Detroit Pistons (528). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (12-34) has lost seven straight games after their 118-106 loss to Chicago on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. Detroit (17-30) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests after their 121-111 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Cleveland has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Defense has been a significant problem for this team under first-year head coach John Beilein. The Cavaliers have allowed their last five opponents to make 52.2% of their shots from the field. Cleveland now goes back on the road where their home hosts are making 49.5% of their shots which has translated into 115.4 PPG. The Cavaliers gave played 12 of their last 17 road games Over the Total. Cleveland has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Detroit has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. The Pistons made only 41.3% of their shots on Friday which was the lowest field goal percentage for them in their last six contests. Detroit does expect to get Reggie Jackson back tonight as he is listed as probable despite his back issues. The Pistons stay at home where they are making 47.5% of their shots which has resulted in 111.9 PPG. Detroit is also allowing its visitors to score 112.1 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Pistons have played 19 of their last 26 home games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Detroit has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total as a favorite.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight meetings Over the Total. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (527) and the Detroit Pistons (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-25-20 |
Thunder v. Wolves OVER 225 |
|
113-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (27-19) has won four straight games with their 140-111 blowout win over Atlanta last night as an 8-point favorite. Minnesota (15-30) has lost eight games in a row with their 131-124 loss at home to Houston yesterday as a 5.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunder made 58.1% of their shots against the Hawks which was the fifth game in their last seven contests where they made at least 50% of their shots in their last game. Oklahoma City is making 51.3% of their shots over their last five games which has generated 119.8 PPG over that span. The Thunder have also allowed their opponents to score 110.6 PPG in those last five contests. OKC has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Thunder go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% or lower on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 12 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Minnesota allowed the Rockets to make 51.6% of their shots last night — that was the sixth time in their last eight games where they allowed their opponent to hit at least 50% of their shots. The Timberwolves have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 50.7% from the field which has resulted in them scoring 118.6 PPG over that span. Minnesota has averaged 112.0 PPG themselves over their last five games. The Timberwolves have played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They stay at home where they have played 21 of their last 30 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota will be looking to avenge a 117-104 loss at home to Oklahoma City back on January 13th. The T-Wolves have played 28 of their last 41 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. These two teams have played 6 straight Overs — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing each other in Minnesota. 10* NBA Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-24-20 |
Celtics v. Magic UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
109-98 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Orlando Magic (564). THE SITUATION: Boston (29-14) has won two straight games with their 119-95 win over Memphis on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite. Orlando (21-24) has lost three of their last four games after their 120-114 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as a 2.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic played their worst defensive game of the season on Wednesday against the Thunder as they allowed them to make 60.5% of their shots. Orlando has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 60% of their shots. The Magic have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Orlando has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 6 points or less including four of these last five situations. The Magic also nailed 47.8% of their shots against the Thunder which was tied for second-best in their last nineteen contests. Now Orlando returns home where they are holding their opponents to just 43.9% shooting from the field. The Magic have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Orlando has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Celtics now go on the road where they are scoring 108.5 PPG on 44.1% shooting from the field — and those numbers are a bit below their 112.5 PPG scoring average overall on 46.1% shooting. Boston will be undermanned tonight with Jayson Tatum out with a groin injury along with Enes Kanter who is dealing with a foot injury — and Jaylen Brown is questionable with the ankle injury that he has been dealing with all month. That means more playing time for Marcus Smart who is an outstanding defender but inconsistent on the offensive end of the court. The Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing the Magic in Orlando. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Orlando Magic (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-09-20 |
Blazers v. Wolves UNDER 226 |
Top |
102-116 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (505) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (506). THE SITUATION: Portland (16-22) Portland (16-22) has won two of their last three games with their 101-99 upset win at Toronto as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Minnesota (14-22) saw their two-game winning streak on Tuesday with their 119-112 loss at Memphis as a 4.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Defense has been for the Trail Blazers this season but they stepped up on Tuesday by holding the Raptors to just 36.5% shooting from the field. With Rodney Hood on the shelf with an Achilles’ injury, his absence allows head coach Terry Stotts to deploy more defensive-friendly lineups. But missing Hood over the last month takes away from Portland’s offensive attack. They are scoring 3.4 PPG less over their last five games versus their 112.0 PPG season average. They are playing their fifth straight game on the road tonight — and they abbe played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing their fourth game on the road in the last seven days. The Trail Blazers have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, Portland has played 6 straight road games Under the Total as a favorite. Minnesota will look to play better on the defensive end of the court tonight after surrendering 68 points in the second half including a whopping 37 points in the final 12 minutes in their loss to the Grizzlies. Head coach Ryan Saunders had his team playing much better defense as of late. While the Timberwolves rank 15th in the NBA in Defensive Rating, they are 3rd best in the league over their last five games even after their dismal second half effort on Tuesday. Minnesota has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The T-Wolves return home where they are making only 41.2% of their shots which has translated into 108.5 PPG. Minnesota will likely be without their best offensive player tonight as well with Karl Anthony-Towns listed as questionable with his knee injury that has kept him out the last eleven games. Over their last five games with Anthony-Towns, the Timberwolves are scoring only 105.4 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field — and their 26th Offensive Rating are a few notches below their 23rd ranking overall for the season. Minnesota has played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Timberwolves have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota will be looking to avenge a 113-106 loss at Portland back on December 21st. The Timberwolves have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Northwest Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (505) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-25-19 |
Bucks v. 76ers OVER 220.5 |
Top |
109-121 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 2:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (525) and the Philadelphia 76ers (526). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (27-4) has won three straight games with their 117-89 win over Indiana on Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite. Philadelphia (22-10) snapped a three-game losing streak by winning their last two games after their 125-109 win over Detroit on Monday as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks win over the Pacers did not reach the 220 point total — but they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished below the number. Milwaukee shot just 42.3% from the field which was their second-lowest field goal percentage all season. The Bucks are still second in the NBA in Offensive Rating — and they lead the league in pace by averaging 105.2 possessions per contest. Milwaukee is scoring 119.8 PPG on the road while making a robust 48.1% of their shots. Their victory over the Pacers came on the heels of a 123-102 win in New York over the Knicks — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after two straight double-digit wins while also playing 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total after winning two straight games by 10 or more points. Milwaukee has also played 34 of their last 52 games Over the Total after two straight victories by at least 20 points. The Bucks will be without point guard Eric Bledsoe for the sixth straight game — and they will miss his ball-hawking defensive skills. Milwaukee is allowing their last five opponents (without Bledsoe) to make 42.9% of their shots which is a bit higher than their 41.4 opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Now the Bucks go back on the road where the Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 road games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Milwaukee does a fantastic job of protecting the rim with either Brook or Robin Lopez on the floor with Giannis Antetokounmpo — but this does come at the expense of allowing their opponents to launch 3s. The Bucks’ opponents are taking 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc which is the third-highest mark in the league. Philadelphia is 9th in the NBA by making 36.3% of their 3-point shots. The 76ers are scoring 110.8 PPG on their home court on 47.8% shooting from the field. Philly has played 4 straight games Over the Total at home — and the Over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Sixers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total at home as an underdog. But defense has been an issue for this team as they have allowed their last seven opponents to score at least 109 PPG. The Pistons were the second opponent in their last three games to nail at least 51.2% of their shots from the field. Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams since their 128-122 scoring fest in Philadelphia back on April 4th that the Bucks won. These two teams have played 5 straight meetings Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 encounters in Philadelphia Over the Total. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (525) and the Philadelphia 76ers (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-20-19 |
Magic v. Blazers OVER 217.5 |
|
103-118 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (555) and the Portland Trail Blazers (556). THE SITUATION: Orlando (12-16) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 113-104 loss in Denver on Wednesday as a 9-point underdog. Portland (12-16) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 122-112 win over Golden State as a 9-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Magic have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Orlando is struggling on the defensive end of the court — they are allowing 113.4 PPG while allowing their opponents to 49.2% shooting over their last five games. The Magic have played four straight Overs — and not only have they played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing two straight Overs but they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Overs. Orlando stays on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total. Portland has played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total at home after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Blazers stay at home where the Over is 27-10-1 in their last 38 contests. The Over is also 11-5-1 in Portland’s last 17 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 45 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the game finished Over the Total 29 times.
FINAL TAKE: The Magic has played 4 straight games Over the Total as an underdog. Expect a higher scoring game. Together, these team trends produce our specific 131-38-2 combined angle for this situation. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (555) and the Portland Trail Blazers (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-20-19 |
Kings v. Pacers UNDER 208.5 |
|
105-119 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (539) and the Indiana Pacers (540). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (12-15) has lost two of their last three games with their 110-102 upset loss at Charlotte on Tuesday as a 5.5-point favorite. Indiana (19-9) has won four straight games with their 105-102 upset win at home against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under after a point spread loss. Sacramento has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The 48.1% field goal percentage of the Hornets in that game was the highest shooting mark that the Kings have allowed in their last four games. Over their last five contests, Sacramento is holding their opponents to just 45.2% shooting which is translating into 100.6 PPG — both those marks are far below the 107.0 PPG along with the 46.8% shooting they are allowing overall this seasons. The Kings have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Sacramento has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 15 of their 20 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Indiana has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a narrow win by 3 points or less. The Pacers have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And while Indiana has covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 20 of their last 25 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two straight games. The Pacers have played three straight Unders — and they have then paled 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total after playing three straight Unders. Indiana has held its last five opponents to just 41.9% shooting from the field. Indiana has stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Sacramento has played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Kings have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against the Pacers — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in Indiana. 20* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (539) and the Indiana Pacers (540). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-17-19 |
Kings v. Hornets UNDER 207 |
|
102-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (501) and the Charlotte Hornets (502). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (12-14) has won four of their last five games with their 100-79 win at Golden State on Sunday as a 4.5-point favorite. Charlotte (12-17) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 107-85 loss at Indiana as an 11.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings are coming off their best shooting effort of the season on Sunday as they made 60.3% of their shots from the field. But Sacramento has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after making at least 55% of their shots in their last game. The Under is also 22-9-1 in the Kings’ last 32 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as the favorite. Furthermore, Sacramento has played 15 of their last 23 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Charlotte is a scrappy team that played their worst defensive game in their last four contests on Sunday by allowing the Pacers to make 45.5% of their shots from the field. The Hornets have still held their last five opponents to just 41.8% shooting which has translated into just 103.4 PPG. Charlotte is no offensive juggernaut either as they have not shot better than 44.7% from the field in six straight games — and they are averaging just 38.8% shooting over their last five games. The Hornets have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Charlotte has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. Now the Hornets return home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight home games Under the Total as an underdog. They also have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Charlotte has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Sacramento has played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (501) and the Charlotte Hornets (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-14-19 |
Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 205 |
Top |
102-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (11-13) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 94-93 loss at Sacramento as a 2-point underdog. Denver (15-8) ended their three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 114-99 win over Portland as an 8-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Oklahoma City has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. Now this team stays on the road where they are making only 43.8% of their shots as compared to their 46.5% shooting mark overall. The Thunder have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road. Oklahoma City has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Denver made 47.7% of their shots on Thursday fueled by nailing 18 of their 36 shots from behind the arc — so they are likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods when it comes to their outside shooting. As it is, the Nuggets have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Denver has also played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Now this team stays at home where they have played 24 of their last 32 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 14 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, the Nuggets have played 11 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games played in Denver Under the Total. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-13-19 |
Knicks v. Kings UNDER 210.5 |
Top |
103-101 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between New York Knicks (545) and the Sacramento Kings (546). THE SITUATION: New York (5-20) snapped their ten-game winning streak on Wednesday with their 124-122 win at Golden State as a 4.5-point underdog. Sacramento (11-13) has won their last three games with their 94-93 win over Oklahoma City on Wednesday as a 2-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knicks have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win. New York has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 13-4-1 in New York’s last 18 games when playing with one day of rest. This team has played better defense under interim head coach Mike Miller since management fired David Fizdale. The Knicks have held their last two opponents to 43.3% shooting. New York also made a surprising 47.8% of their shots on Wednesday which was the best shooting effort in their last seventeen contests. But this is not a strong offensive team — Marcus Morris is their leading scoring. They are still only making 39% of their shots over their last five games — and they are shooting just 41.7% when playing on the road. The Under is 38-18-1 in the Knicks’ last 57 games as an underdog. And in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Sacramento has seen the Under go 21-9-1 in their last 31 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Kings stay at home where they ave played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have also played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Sacramento has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 straight Unders when playing in Sacramento. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between New York Knicks (545) and the Sacramento Kings (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-19 |
Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
92-97 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (573) and the Philadelphia 76ers (574). THE SITUATION: Denver (14-7) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 105-102 upset loss at Brooklyn as a 4-point favorite on Sunday. Philadelphia (17-7) has won two straight games as well as six of their last seven games with their 110-104 win over Toronto as a 3-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Denver has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Nuggets lead the NBA by allowing just 101.9 PPG. They stay on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Denver has also played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Philadelphia has seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a point spread victory. The Under is also 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. They stay at home where they are holding their opponents to just 43.8% shooting from the field. The Under is 12-3-1 in the 76ers’ last 16 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Under is also 19-7-1 in Philadelphia’s last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: The 76ers will be looking to avenge a 100-97 loss at Denver back on November 8th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (573) and the Philadelphia 76ers (574). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-06-19 |
Warriors v. Bulls UNDER 214.5 |
|
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Chicago Bulls (520). THE SITUATION: Golden State (4-19) has lost four in a row with their 106-91 loss at Charlotte as a 3-point underdog. Chicago (8-14) has won two straight games with their 106-99 win against Memphis on Wednesday as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and the Under is a decisive 38-18-2 in their last 58 games after a straight-up loss. Golden State shot 46.2% from the floor in that loss to the Hornets which was the best shooting effort in their last eight games. This team stays on the road where they are making only 42.2% of their shots. Head coach Steve Kerr is developing young players this season given the injuries to Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson — and he is seeing better results on the defensive end of the court. The Warriors are allowing 104.4 PPG over their last five games with these opponents making 45.2% of their shots with both marks much better than the 114.2 PPG they are allowing this season on 47.6% shooting. Moving forward, Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They stay at home where they are making just 41.6% of their shots. The Bulls have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago has the lowest Offensive Rating in the NBA — but they are playing solid on defense after holding the Grizzlies to just 38.5% shooting in their last game. The Bulls have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-28-3 combined angle for this situation. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Chicago Bulls (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-04-19 |
Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 213 |
Top |
121-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (569) and the Utah Jazz (570). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (18-3) enters this game coming off a 105-96 upset win at Denver last night as a 2.5-point underdog. Utah (12-9) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 103-94 loss at Philadelphia as a 5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers have played 5 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Los Angeles has also played 25 of their last 34 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Lakers have seen the Under go 18-6-3 in their last 27 games when playing a game without a day of rest — and they have also played 7 of their last road games Under the Total after playing the previous day also away from home. Anthony Davis is an early contender for Defensive Player of the Year with him playing his best defensive basketball in his career. He has helped the Lakers hold their last five opponents to just 42% shooting from the field. Utah has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have also played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 42.1% shooting which is translating into just 103.4 PPG. The Jazz have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Utah has also played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Jazz have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, Utah has played 8 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing in Utah. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (569) and the Utah Jazz (570). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-24-19 |
Clippers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 |
|
141-122 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (531) and the Golden State Warriors (532). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (1-0) looks to build off their 112-102 upset win against the Lakers on Tuesday as a 3.5-point underdog. Golden State (0-0) makes its debut to the 2019 regular season tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors will be playing their first regular-season game in their new Chase Center home arena tonight. First and foremost, I am interested in how quickly the Golden State players got comfortable in this environment. Golden State made 123 of their 277 shot attempts in their three preseason games at home for a 44.4% shooting percentage. The Warriors have also made 48 of their 125 shots from behind the arc in their new building for a 38.4% shooting percentage. Those numbers contrast Golden State’s 49.1% overall field goal percentage last season which included them making 38.5% from the 3-point line — so while the overall shooting is down, the 3-point shooting did not level off even without the departed Kevin Durant and the injured Klay Thompson. Frankly, Golden State struggled in their first preseason game of the year which was also at home against the Lakers where they made just 35 of their 89 shot attempts while making only 11 of their 42 shots from behind the arc. In their final two games at home on October 10th and October 18th, the Warriors shot a combined 46.8% from the field while nailing 43.5% of their 3-pointers. How did Stephen Curry fare in these games? Curry averaged 30 PPG in his three preseason games at home while making 56% of his shots from the field and 13 of his 29 shots from behind the arc for a 44.8% shooting mark from 3-point land. And after struggling with a 5 for 11 opening night in his new building where he made just 1 of 5 shots from downtown, Curry then averaged 36 PPG while making 23 of his 39 shots for a 59.0% shooting percentage while nailing 50% of his 24 shots from behind the arc. I think these Warriors are going to play as fast as ever with their young roster while launching even more 3s. Their defense also takes a big hit with both Durant and Thompson no longer defending one of the opponent’s top three players (depending on how Kerr wanted to deploy Draymond Green). Additionally, Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest with their last preseason game being last Friday. The Warriors have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Los Angeles added Kawhi Leonard and Paul George to their playoff roster from last season — and while George is out with a shoulder injury, the core of last year’s group remains this season with the obvious upgrade with Leonard (for this game, at least, with George unavailable). I am comfortable looking at the Clippers team trends from last year where they played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a win over a Pacific Division rival — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after an upset win over a divisional rival. Los Angeles has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, the Clippers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 29 of their last 42 games as the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total from last year’s playoffs. 10* NBA Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (531) and the Golden State Warriors (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-23-19 |
Wolves v. Nets UNDER 229.5 |
Top |
127-126 |
Loss |
-113 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (575) and the Brooklyn Nets (576). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (0-0) comes off a 36-46 campaign last year which was 11th best in the Western Conference. Brooklyn (0-0) made the playoffs last season with a 42-40 before losing the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs to Philadelphia.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves needed to improve their defense after allowing 112.9 PPG last season. Getting forward Robert Covington back for an entire season will certainly help their interior defensive. The defensive stalwart came over in last year’s blockbuster Jimmy Butler deal but he missed 42 games last season with injuries. Minnesota also added an outstanding defensive player in guard Jarrett Culver with the sixth pick in the NBA draft after he was a key defensive cog for the stingy Texas Tech teams over the last two years. The T-Wolves are led by Karl-Anthony Towns who averaged 24.4 PPG but they need Andrew Wiggins or someone else to step up to be a reliable second scoring option. Minnesota closed out last season with 6 straight Unders when playing on the road. The Timberwolves have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams from the Atlantic Division. Brooklyn significantly upgraded their roster in the offseason with the additions of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving but they will have to wait until the 2020-21 season before seeing Durant make his debut given his torn ACL in the NBA Finals last June. The Nets did lose some scoring punch with the loss of DeAngelo Russell who joined Golden State in the offseason. Brooklyn also added an outstanding rim protector in center DeAndre Jordan. The Nets concluded their preseason schedule last Friday against Toronto — and they played 5 of their last 7 regular season games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Brooklyn has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home. And in their last 5 games played in the Barclays Center between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 4 times.
FINAL TAKE: I am willing to upgrade this play to a 25* ranking because the team trends that remain relevant from last season are supported by an empirical situational angle specific to the opening games of the NBA regular season. In games between non-conference opponents who ended last season with a 40 to 49% winning percentage, these games finished Under the Total in 55 of these last 77 situations. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (575) and the Brooklyn Nets (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-13-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 |
|
114-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Golden State Warriors (532). THE SITUATION: Golden State (71-32) stayed alive on Monday in Game Five of the NBA Finals by pulling off a 106-105 win over the Raptors. The Warriors return home to the Oracle Center for one final game before they move to their new arena next season. Toronto (73-32) hopes to close out this series and hoist the NBA Championship trophy in this game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors extended this series to six games in large measure to the contributions of Kevin Durant who nailed all three of his 3-pointers en route to 11 points in the 12 minutes he played before suffering his Achilles’ injury that will keep him out well into next season. Golden State scored 34 points in the first quarter on Monday — and their 46.3% shooting percentage overall for that game was tied for the best shooting mark in their last five games. But the Warriors managed only 72 points in the remaining three quarters without Durant including just 44 points in the second half. Golden State has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win on the road by three points or less. The Warriors have also played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. This Golden State team is making only 44.0% of their shots over their last five games which has resulted in just 105.0 PPG. They return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series — and they have played 9 of their last 11 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination. Toronto has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series — and they have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total with the opportunity to close the series out. The Raptors have also played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. The 46.3% shooting they allowed the Warriors to make was tied for the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed in nine games. Defense has been the calling card for this team this postseason as their playoff opponents are making just 42.2% of their shots. But shooting has become an issue for this team as they followed up their 41.9% shooting percentage in Game Four of this series by making just 44.7% of their shots on Monday. The Raptors made only 8 of their 32 shots (25%) from behind the arc. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games. Toronto is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games in the playoffs — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. And in their last 9 games when playing with two days of rest, the Raptors have played 7 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto scored 27 points in the fourth quarter on Monday — but their half-court offense stalled in the waning moments of that game as they blew their late lead. Nerves seemed to play a role in this failed execution — and that will remain an issue in Game Six. The Raptors are still taking too much time to execute their half-court offense which is leaving them reliant on poor shots. Expect another low-scoring game. 10* NBA Toronto-Golden State ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Golden State Warriors (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-10-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 |
Top |
106-105 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (529) and the Toronto Raptors (530). THE SITUATION: Toronto (73-31) took a commanding 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals on Friday with their 105-92 upset victory over the Warriors. The Raptors host Game Five as they look to lift the NBA championship trophy with Golden State (70-32) looking to extend this series to a sixth game back home in the Oracle Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while Toronto has covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. The Raptors have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Toronto’s outstanding defense has been their calling card this postseason. They have held their playoff opponents to just 42.0% shooting from the field — and they have limited their last five opponents to just 42.8% shooting. The Raptors won Game Four despite making just 41.9% of their shots from the field in a shooting effort that I expected to see from them in Game Three where instead they shot a surprising 52.4% from the field. Now with the opportunity to close out this series and win the championship on their home court, I expect this Toronto team to be a bit nervy with their shooting. The Raptors have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total in playoff games where they have the opportunity to close out the series. Golden State has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when facing elimination in the playoffs. The Warriors should play tough on the defensive end of the court with their season on the line. This is a team that usually plays better on defense when on the road — they have held their home hosts to just 43.8% shooting this season which is a few notches below the 44.4% opponent’s field goal percentage for the year overall. Golden State has seen the Under go 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after a straight-up loss. And while the Warriors suffered upset losses in their last two games at home as a favorite in this series, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing two in a row— and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after suffering two straight upsets in a row. The team may decide to play Kevin Durant with it being an elimination game. While they certainly need his offensive skills after making only 44.2% of their shots over their last five games, it remains a question how effective he will be if not at 100% and rusty from all the time he has been away from the court. And don’t underestimate Durant’s importance on the defensive end of the court as he offers the Warriors a big body to potentially slow down Kawhi Leonard. If Durant plays, the Golden State offense tends to slow down in pace as well with him looking to generate one-on-one scoring chances. The other big update for this Warriors team was the surprise return of Kevon Looney who had previously been declared out for the remainder of this playoff series by the team. One of the reasons we had the Over in Game Four was that Looney’s absence likely ensured more playing time for Boogie Cousins who is helpful on offense but a liability on defense. Looney’s ability to take the court helps the Golden State defense while limiting their offensive capabilities in lieu of Cousins. Regardless of whether or not Durant plays, this Warriors team has played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a road dog getting no more than 6 points.
FINAL TAKE: Golden State has played 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from two straight upset losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (529) and the Toronto Raptors (530). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-07-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors OVER 214.5 |
|
105-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (527) and the Golden State Warriors (528). THE SITUATION: Toronto (72-31) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 123-109 upset win in Golden State as a 2.5-point underdog. The Warriors (70-31) host Game Four of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. Toronto has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. The Raptors held the Warriors to just 39.6% shooting which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six contests. Toronto has held their last five opponents to just 42.9% shooting — but they have then played 25 of their last 39 games Over the Total after not allowing their last five opponents to shoot better than an aggregate 42% from the field. The Raptors have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total as a road underdog of 6 points or less. Golden State has seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Warriors will put Klay Thompson back on the court after he did not play on Wednesday with his hamstring injury. Thompson’s think he could have played in that game — so the extra two days of rest should help be in pretty good shape tonight. Golden State clearly needs him on the court as they shot just 39.6% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage for them all season. Having a second credible shooter on the court will open up the Warriors offense. They assisted on just 69.4% of their field goals on Wednesday which was the lowest of the series as the team was too dependent on Stephen Curry shooting the basketball. The injury to Kevon Looney means that head coach Steve Kerr will need to continue to rely on DeMarcus Cousins to play significant minutes. While Cousins is a force on the offensive end of the court, he is a defensive liability that was demonstrated once again on Wednesday. Golden State has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. The Warriors have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when favored by no more than 6 points. Golden State has also played 9 of their last 11 games in the NBA Finals Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing in the Oracle Center. Golden State has scored exactly 109 points in each of the first three games of this series. Expect another higher scoring game between these two teams tonight. 10* NBA Friday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (527) and the Golden State Warriors (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-05-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
123-109 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). THE SITUATION: Golden State (70-30) evened this series at 1-1 on Sunday with their 109-104 upset win at Toronto (71-31). The Warriors return home to the Oracle Center to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State vastly improved their efficiency in their half-court offense after scoring just 0.84 Points-Per-Possession in the half court in Game One of this series. The Warriors improved that mark to a 1.068 PPP rate in the half court in Game Two which was the most efficient mark that the Raptors have allowed in these playoffs. Regression is likely for this Golden State team — especially with all the injuries they are dealing with tonight. Klay Thompson claims that he will play tonight — but head coach Steve Kerr will not play him if he is experiencing pain with the pulled hamstring he suffered on Sunday. While Thompson’s ability to launch jump shots should not be affected by this injury, his movement will be — so he may have difficulty getting open if and when he does play tonight. Kevin Durant is still not ready to play in this series — and the Warriors lost Kevon Looney to a season-ending cartilage fracture injury on Sunday. DeMarcus Cousins played surprisingly well in Game Two but he is still not at 100% as he recovers from his torn quad — and he is still working back into game shape after missing over a month of play. Even Andre Iguodala is not at 100% as he is dealing with a sprained calf of his own. Golden State’s most reliable offensive threat remains Stephen Curry — but when the Raptors deployed the gimmick box-and-one defense in the late moments of the fourth quarter, the Warriors’ offense stalled to a near halt. While the Warriors will adjust to that gimmick defense, the reason why it worked is that Golden State simply lacks reliable scoring threats with all these injuries they have endured. Bettors who had the closing over/under number of 212.5 still cashed their Over tickets that looked like locks midway through the final quarter even with the ugly scoring drought suffered by both teams — and the Warriors have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Golden State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset victory. Now the Warriors finally return to the Oracle Center for the first time since May 16th after playing their last four games on the road. Golden State has played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing their last four games on the road. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 13 of their last 19 games at home Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Toronto should play better on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Warriors to make 46.3% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Raptors have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. Toronto has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Raptors also experienced problems on the offensive end of the court with them shooting just 37.2% of their shots from the field. Kawhi Leonard has seen his offensive productivity steadily decline as the postseason moves on. Leonard has been nursing a leg injury of his own and he seems to be tiring. He only had seven isolation plays on offense with a mere four post-up plays with his energy appearing to be limited. Now Toronto goes on the road where the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. The Raptors have also covered the point spread in five of shier last six games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Additionally, the Raptors have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest.
FINAL TAKE: Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied. Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied. Expect a lower scoring game tonight. 25* NBA Wednesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-02-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors OVER 212.5 |
Top |
109-104 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Toronto Raptors (524). THE SITUATION: Toronto (71-30) won the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 118-109 victory as a 2-point favorite. The Raptors have now won and covered the point spread in five straight games. Golden State (69-30) had their six-game winning streak snapped in that game.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors shot just 43.6% from the field on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last twenty-seven games. Golden State has seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games on the road — and the Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Furthermore, Golden State has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and they have also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the number set in that range. Moving forward, the Warriors have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the second game of a playoff series. Golden State has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the NBA Finals. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 second games of a playoff series Over the Total. The Raptors have also played 21 of their last 32 home games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 31 of their last 47 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. Additionally, Toronto has played 14 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 29 of their last 44 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Raptors have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 25 games in expected close contests where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the game finished Over the Total 17 times.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 contests Over the Total — and they have also played five straight games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Toronto Raptors (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-30-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors OVER 213.5 |
Top |
109-118 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). THE SITUATION: Golden State (69-29) has won six straight games after they completed their four-game sweep over Portland by defeating them on the road by a 119-117 score as a 2.5-point favorite back on May 20th. Toronto (70-30) has won four straight games after rallying from a 2-0 deficit to defeat Milwaukee by a 4-2 margin with their 100-94 victory as a 1.5-point road favorite last Saturday. The Raptors host the opening two games of this series. Kevin Durant has been ruled out for this game — but the news I have been waiting for was the confirmation by the Warriors that DeMarcus Cousins will be considered active for tonight’s opening game.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: With the big break before the start of the NBA Finals, looking at team trends is helpful to assess how these two teams will respond to the extended time off. Golden State has played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total when playing with at least three of rest. Toronto has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contest. Additionally, the Raptors have played 20 of their last 31 home games Over the Total after a straight-up victory. Toronto has covered the point spread in their last four games — and not only have they played 28 of their last 43 games at home Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests but they have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. They held the Bucks to just 40% shooting on Saturday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three games as their defensive wall against Giannis Antetokounmpo further frustrated that Milwaukee offense. But they will have to hope the chalkboard clean regarding their defensive schemes against this potent Warriors attack. The Raptors face a dilemma on defense as they want to have Danny Green get significant minutes to take advantage of his size in defending Stephen Curry who will torch smaller defenders like Kyle Lowry or Fred VanVleet — but Green is slow in switching off pick-and-rolls and he cannot be a liability with his outside shooting. Green has a great pedigree of nailing 3s in the NBA Finals given his time with San Antonio — but his cold shooting continues, he will have to be benched for VanVleet who has been on fire with his 3-point shooting but is a defensive liability. Furthermore, Toronto has played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range which includes them playing five of their last seven games at home Over the Total in that point spread range. Golden State plays at a quicker pace without Durant on the court as they can replace quick ball movement with his one-on-one isolation skills that does drain time off the shot-clock. The Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 20 of their last 30 road games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 115 points. Golden State shot just 46.5% from the field in their last game against the Blazers which was the lowest shooting effort in their last five games. The Warriors have not been as sharp on defense as teams of the past in this postseason as they are allowing the 9th most Points-Per-Possession in these playoffs. They certainly miss Durant’s defensive capabilities — and he would have been the primary ball defender on Kawhi Leonard. Moving forward, Golden State stays on the road for the third straight game where the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 5 contests. The Warriors have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total with the number set in that range. Additionally, Golden State has played 6 of their last 8 games in the NBA Finals Over the Total. And with Cousins likely to play tonight, that puts the icing on the cake for this Over play (and the 25* rating) since the big man fills a hole on offense with his post-up and shooting skills while representing a liability on the defensive end of the court.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto swept the two games between these two teams in the regular season with the Raptors pulling the upset in the last meeting back on December 12th where they won by a 113-93 score on the road as an 8-point underdog. The Warriors have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total including four straight Overs when playing in Toronto. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-25-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213 |
|
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). THE SITUATION: Toronto (69-30) seized a 3-2 in this series on Thursday with their 105-99 upset victory in Milwaukee as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bucks (70-26) has lost three straight games and look to avoid elimination in the playoffs tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after a win at home — and the Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a straight-up victory. Toronto has also played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. The Raptors success in this series has come from their efforts on the defensive end of the court. In the playoffs, Toronto has held its opponents to just 41.7% shooting from the field. The Raptors have completely stymied the Bucks in their half-court offense since the third game of this series when head coach Nick Nurse moved Kawhi Leonard to be the primary defender against Giannis Antetokoumpo. The Greek Freak has made only 11 of his 31 attempted shots (35.5%) in the 131 possessions in this series where he has been defended by Leonard while dishing only 4 assists and committing 5 turnovers while attempting only three free throws in those possessions. In Game Five, Milwaukee scored at just a 0.63 Points-Per-Possession in the half court. But Toronto is making only 40.5% of their shots themselves over the first five games of this series. Moving forward, the Raptors have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 16 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series. Milwaukee has played 14 of the 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Bucks have played 21 of their last 31 road games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 27 of their last 42 road games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while Milwaukee has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total when looking to avenge two straight losses to their opponent. Milwaukee has also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-23-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 |
|
105-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (507) and the Milwaukee Bucks (508). THE SITUATION: Toronto (68-30) evened this series at 2-2 on Tuesday with their 120-102 upset victory over Milwaukee (70-25) as a 3-point underdog. The Bucks return home to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Head coach Nick Nurse has found success over the last two games defending Giannis Antetokounmpo by moving Pascal Siakam over to defend Eric Bledsoe with Kawhi Leonard taking over the primary ball-handling responsibilities against the Greek Freak. Toronto is also matching up with Antetokounmpo higher up on the key while aggressively double-teaming him when he begins to attack the basket. These strategies have worked in the last two games of this series as Antetokounmpo has made only 14 of his 33 shots (42.4%) while committing 12 turnovers over that span. The Raptors are holding their playoff opponents to just 41.5% shooting from the field. But the increased expectations on Leonard in defending Giannis may be negatively impacting his efforts on the offensive end of the court. Leonard scored only 19 points on Tuesday as he looks both fatigued and limited with what appears to be a painful left leg injury. Leonard finally got some help in Game Four with Kyle Lowry leading the team with 25 points and Norman Powell scoring 18 points while leading the team with 18 shot attempts. Toronto made 47.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Raptors enjoyed an effective field goal percentage of 61.3% with their 40 uncontested shots from behind the arc in Games Three and Four of this series on their home court. Coincidentally, Toronto also launched 40 uncontested 3-pointers in Games One and Two of this series in Milwaukee but they enjoyed only a 47.5% eFG on those shots in the hostile environment. The Raptors are making only 40.7% of their shots over their last five games — and they made only 71 of their 179 shots (40%) in Games One and Two of this series on the road. The Under is 7-2-1 in Toronto’s last 10 road games — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. And while the Bucks have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after suffering two straight point spread losses. The Bucks need to tighten things up on defense after allowing the Raptors to make 47.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight games. Milwaukee has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.3% shooting percentage. Returning home should help as the Bucks limit their guests to only 42.7% shooting on the season. But Milwaukee is making only 42.7% of their shots over their last five games with an offense that is stale and too often stalling when in their half-court sets.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when it was the fifth game in a playoff series. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games in the playoffs when the series was tied. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (507) and the Milwaukee Bucks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-21-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 217.5 |
|
102-120 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Toronto (67-30) made this is a 2-1 series on Sunday with their 118-112 victory over Milwaukee (70-24) in double-overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Raptors host the fourth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Toronto has seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up win. The Raptors pulled out Game Three of this series despite making only 40% of their shots inside the arc which was the fifth lowest shooting effort for their 2-point shots in their 97 games this season. Toronto made 17 of their 45 shots (37.8%) of their 3-pointers to stay competitive in that game. Yet that was only the fourth time in these playoffs that a team made at least 36% of their shots from behind the arc against the Bucks. The Raptors have made only 39.9% of their shots over their last five games. In this postseason, Toronto is scoring at just a 0.99 Points-Per-Possession rate which is -5.0 PPP below the woeful Knicks who had the least efficient offense in the NBA in the regular season. Going deeper, if it seemed like the Raptors blew a bunch of layups on Sunday, it is because they did: Toronto is converting a mere 43% of their layup attempts coming from their half-court offense in this series. But the Raptors are hanging their hat on their defensive efforts as they have held their playoff opponents to just 41.2% shooting. Additionally, Toronto has limited the Bucks to scoring only 80 Points per 100 Possessions in the half court in the first three games of this series. The Raptors have been beaten on the boards by at least -6.0 Rebounds Per Game in each of the three games in this series — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after getting being out-rebounded by at least 5 boards in three straight games. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 15 fourth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while the Bucks had won and covered the point spread in their previous six games before suffering their loss on Sunday, they have then played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after winning at least four of their last five games. Milwaukee has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. The Bucks are struggling to execute their offense as well in this series — they have made only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games while converting only 29.5% of their shots from behind the arc in this series. Milwaukee has also made only 52% of their layup attempts from their half-court offense in this series. The move by Toronto head coach Nick Nurse to have Kawhi Leonard handle the one-and-one defensive assignment against Giannis Antetokounmpo paid dividends in Game Three with the Greek Freak missing 11 of his 16 shots attempts en route to just 12 points. But the Bucks are playing outstanding defense as well as they have limited their last five opponents to just 37.5% shooting from the field. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: While Game Three (fortunately) finished Over the Total, it needed the two overtime periods to get there after that game concluded regulation time knotted at 96 points apiece. Expect another lower scoring game that will not need overtime to resolve. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-20-19 |
Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 219 |
|
119-117 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (501) and the Portland Trail Blazers (502). THE SITUATION: Golden State (68-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 110-99 upset win in Portland (61-36) as a 2.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers host Game Four as they hope to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 straight games Under the Total after an upset win as an underdog. Golden State has now covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and, not only have they played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread win, but they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, the Under is 16-7-1 in the Warriors’ last 24 games when playing with one day of rest. Golden State will likely be without Andre Iguodala tonight who is listed as questionable with a right calf injury while being declared as “unlikely” to play. While Iguodala is ball hawk on defense, the Warriors’ will likely miss his contributions on offense even more tonight. He will likely be replaced in the starting lineup with Alfonzie McKinney who is a good defensive player but not nearly as effective on the offensive end of the court. Golden State has been installed as the favorite for this game — and they have played 31 of their last 51 games Under the Total as a road favorite of 6 points or less. The Warriors have also played 7 of their last 8 games in the Western Conference Finals Under the Total. Portland has blown halftime leads of 13 points in each of the last two games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after leading at halftime by double-digits in two straight games. The Blazers have to play better on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Warriors to score at least 110 points in their third straight game. An adjustment head coach Rick Stotts made on Saturday was to start Meyers Leonard for Enes Kanter and only insert Kanter on the court when Steph Curry gets a rest. Curry has simply burned the Blazers on pick-and-rolls with Kanter has been on the floor as he is a significant defensive liability. Leonard is a better defensive player — but he does not offer nearly the same offensive skills as Kanter. Scotts moved away from this approach in the second half in Game Three — expect him to stay committed to this tactic in Game Four which will contribute to a lower scoring game on both ends of the court. Portland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games. But the Blazers are also struggling to score points — especially in the second half. Damian Lillard is shooting only 32% in this series — and he has made only fifteen baskets in the first three games of this series. Lillard may be slowed down by the rib injury he suffered in the middle of Game Two. Or, he simply may be getting tired with his teammates. The Trail Blazers have not had more than the standard one day off since May 12th — and they enjoyed more than one day off between games just once since April 29th. That seven-game series with Denver which included four games in the high altitude of the Mile High air may have really taken a toll as well. Portland has played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total with a 44.2% field goal percentage in Game Two of this series being their best shooting mark over that span.
FINAl TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 38 of their last 62 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Portland has also played 12 of their last 20 fourth games of a playoff series Under the Total. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (501) and the Portland Trail Blazers (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 |
Top |
112-118 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (70-23) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 125-103 victory as a 6-point favorite over Toronto (66-30). The Raptors host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Bucks team has won and covered the point spread in six straight games. Milwaukee has then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning at least five straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four straight contests. The Bucks have dominated the boards in this series as they have out-rebounded Toronto by 15 and 14 boards in the first two games of this series. Milwaukee has then played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last two foes by at least 10 rebounds. The Bucks have also held their last five opponents to just 38.1% shooting from the field — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after their last five opponents shot no better than 42% over that span. Now after playing their last three games on their home court, Milwaukee goes back on the road where they are scoring 116.8 PPG on 47% shooting from the field. The Bucks have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing their last three games at home. Milwaukee has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games as well as six of their last eight contests, the Raptors have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after they have failed to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Toronto shot just 42.5% from the field on Friday — but they return home where they are scoring 113.8 PPG while making 47.4% of their shot attempts. The Raptors have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing three of these last four situations Over the Total when playing on their home court.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has lost their last three encounters with the Bucks — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. The Raptors have also played 34 of their last 54 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-19 |
Warriors v. Blazers OVER 220.5 |
|
110-99 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (547) and the Portland Trail Blazers (548). THE SITUATION: Golden State (67-29) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 114-111 win at home over Portland (61-35). The Trail Blazers return home where they will host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Warriors have won four straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight contests. And while Golden State has scored at least 114 points in those last three victories, they have then played 15 of their last 22 road games Over the Total after scoring at least 110 points in three straight games. The Warriors have shot at least 49.4% from the field in their last three games as they adjust to life without Durant — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight games. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Golden State’s last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Warriors are scoring a robust 117.7 PPG on the road while making 49% of their shots from the field. And in these playoffs, Golden State is scoring 117.6 PPG while making 48.9% of their shots. Portland has played 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss. The Blazers were out-rebounded by a 56 to 39 margin in Game Two — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards in their last contest. Additionally, Portland has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing at least two games in a row. The Blazers return home where they are making 47.5% of their shots which is generating 118.1 PPG. The Over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 games on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Portland has also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 41 home games Over the Total as the favorite. Moving forward, the Blazers have played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. Portland has also played 4 straight Game Threes Over the Total in the playoffs.
FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less in their last game. With this being a must-win game for Portland, they will either score a bunch of points to overwhelm the Warriors or feel the need to extend the game to keep their chances alive. 10* NBA Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (547) and the Portland Trail Blazers (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215.5 |
Top |
103-125 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (69-23) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 108-100 victory over Toronto (66-29). The Bucks host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks won this game despite shooting just 39.8% from the field which was the lowest shooting mark in their last five games. The seven-day break they experienced after defeating the Celtics in five games resulted in some cold shooters for this Milwaukee team. The Bucks made only 11 of their 44 shots from behind the arc for a 25% shooting clip which was well below their 35.8% percentage when playing at home. Milwaukee scores a robust 119.0 PPG when playing at home given their up-tempo pace and their 47.8% field goal percentage. The Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee should be primed for a better shooting effort tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Bucks have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning five games in a row (as they have after dropping Game One of their series with Boston. Milwaukee has also played 4 straight second games of a playoff series Over the Total. And while the Bucks have not allowed their last three opponents shoot better than 37.8% from the floor, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to make more than 42% of their shots in three straight games. Toronto entered the fourth quarter of Game One with 83 points but only Kyrie Lowery managed to score a field goal in those final 12 minutes of play with Kawhi Leonard showing signs of fatigue by missing all three of his field goal attempts during that span. The Raptors shot just 37% from the field which was the lowest shooting effort in their last six games. Toronto has played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 range — and this includes them playing five of these last eight situations Over the Total. The Raptors have also played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 6 playoff games in the second game of the series, Toronto played 4 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Raptors have played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. And while Toronto has lost the last two games between these two teams, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when looking to avenge at least two straight losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-16-19 |
Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220 |
|
111-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (543) and the Golden State Warriors (544). THE SITUATION: Golden State (66-29) won the opening game of this series on Tuesday with their 116-94 victory over Portland (61-34) as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 15-6-1 in Golden State’s last 22 games when playing with one day of rest. Even without the injured Kevin Durant, the Warriors shot 50% from the field which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. Golden State got 36 points from their reserves on Tuesday which was out of character for that group as they were just 28th of the 30 NBA teams in terms of scoring production from their bench. The Warriors stay at home tonight where they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total — and they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total at home favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Golden State has also now played 6 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals. Portland lacked focus on the defensive end of the court as the 50% field goal percentage for the Warriors was the worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. The funk that Portland endured extended to their head coach with Terry Stotts being having his team play too far off Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson as if the bigger threat on offense was the Warriors role players who were still dealing with one-on-one defenders. It is incredible — after Houston overcompensated in the sixth and final game in that series by barely paying attention to the non-Splash Brothers in the first half of that game, the Blazers pulled a complete 180-degree turn as they focused more efforts trying to slow down the likes of Kevon Looney. Needless to say, I expect Stotts and this Portland team to find a happy medium where they correctly identify the Splash Brothers as the two biggest scoring threats for the Warriors without then leaving open shots for the remaining three Golden State players on the court. Portland’s success in these playoffs has been in large part due to their improved play on the defensive end of the court as they have held their playoff opponents to just a 43.6% field goal percentage. But the Blazers are making just 41.3% of their shots this postseason. They have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Portland has also played 4 straight games Under the Total in the second game of a playoff series. And while Golden State nails 38.5% of their 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers have played 42 of their last 69 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 36% of their shots from behind the arc.
FINAL TAKE: Portland has played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in the Oracle Center at Golden State. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (543) and the Golden State Warriors (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-15-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Milwaukee Bucks (532). THE SITUATION: Toronto (66-28) survived their seven-game series with their 92-90 victory over Philadelphia as a 6-point favorite on Sunday. Milwaukee (68-23) takes the court again for the first time since last Wednesday when they closed out their five-game series with Boston with their 116-91 victory as an 8.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-3-1 in the Raptors’ last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toronto has also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. And while the Raptors have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last two contests. Toronto is playing outstanding defense as they have held their playoff opponents to just 41.3% shooting which has translated into just 96.0 PPG. But the Raptors are also struggling to score baskets as they have made only 43.6% of their shots over their last five games which has resulted in just 102.8 PPG during that span which is -10.3 PPG below their season average. Milwaukee has played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And while the Bucks have covered the point spread in eight of their last nine games, they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Milwaukee is also playing outstanding defense this postseason as they are holding their playoff opponents to just 39.9% shooting which has resulted in 101.6 PPG which is -6.9 PPG below their season average. But the Bucks are also shooting only 43.5% from the field in their last five games which has generated 113.0 PPG which is -5.0 PPG below their season scoring average. Milwaukee stays at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams as they begin this seven-game series. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Milwaukee Bucks (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-14-19 |
Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
94-116 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). THE SITUATION: Portland (61-33) advanced to the Western Conference Finals on Sunday with their 100-96 upset victory in Denver as a 5.5-point underdog. Golden State (65-29) reached the Western Conference Finals two days earlier on Friday when they upset Houston on the road by a 118-113 sore as a 7.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors stepped up without Kevin Durant on Friday as they made 49.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But this team will miss Durant’s scoring ability as he will likely miss the first few games of this series. Stephen Curry was outstanding in the second half by scoring 33 points — but he did not score in a first half where Golden State got surprising scoring contributions from their reserves. Curry and Klay Thompson have been inconsistent in these playoffs. This team is making only 46.4% of their shots over their last five games which is far below their 49.0% field goal percentage for the season. The Warriors have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Golden State has also played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Warriors return home where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 36 of their last 58 home games Under the Total when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, Golden State has played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors are making 38.3% of their shots from behind the arc — and Portland has played 41 of their last 68 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have stepped up their play on the defensive end of the court. They held the Nuggets to just 37.1% shooting on Sunday after limiting them to a 38.4% field goal percentage in Game Six of that series. Portland has held their last five opponents to a 42.9% field goal percentage which is a few clicks better than their 45.3% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. But the Blazers are making only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games which is a bit below their 46.4% field goal percentage for the year. Portland will also likely be without their super sub, Rodney Hood, who has been downgraded to being doubtful given the knee injury he suffered in Sunday’s game. The Trail Blazers have also played 12 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.
FINAL TAKE: This is Golden State’s fourth game in the last ten days — and in games involving teams who have won five or six of their last seven games and is now playing just their fourth game (or less) in the last ten days, these games finished Under the Total in 435 of the last 764 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-12-19 |
76ers v. Raptors UNDER 210 |
|
90-92 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (58-35) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Thursday with their 112-101 upset win at home over Toronto (65-28) as a 1.5-point underdog. The Raptors return home to host this seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Philadelphia has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Sixers made 46.1% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in the last three games of this series. But this is a team that makes only 43.9% of their shots over the last five games in this series. Philadelphia has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Raptors have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Raptors have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-12-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 |
|
100-96 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the Denver Nuggets (526). THE SITUATION: Portland (60-33) forced a climactic seventh game of this Western Conference series on Thursday with their 119-108 victory at home over Denver (61-34) as a 4-point home favorite. The Nuggets host this game at the Pepsi Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Portland has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win at home over a fellow Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Head coach Terry Stotts got a fantastic contribution on Thursday from second-year big man, Zach Collins, who scored 14 points in that game. But the reason why Collins played over 28 minutes in that game (the most he has played in a game since January of last season) including the entire fourth quarter were his contributions on the defensive end of the court. Collins blocked five shots while altering plenty more as he provided Portland a rim protector that Enes Kanter does not offer. Collins is not likely to score another 14 points in this game — but he will likely play significant minutes once again instead of Kanter with Stotts trading offense for defense. The last four games in this series have seen 224 combined points scored in each of those contests — but the Blazers have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Additionally, Portland has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Denver has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Nuggets have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Now Denver returns home where they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the playoffs when the series is tied — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: Despite the last four games in this series finishing Over the Total, Denver and Portland are shooting just 42.3% and 42.7% from the field over the last five games in this series. Expect this to be a lower scoring game than the previous four contests. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the Denver Nuggets (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-10-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). THE SITUATION: Golden State (59-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 104-99 victory at home over Houston (59-33) as a 6-point underdog. This series moves back to the Rockets’ Toyota Center tonight for Game Six with Houston looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The calf injury that Kevin Durant suffered in the second half of this game that will keep him out the rest of this series is the most important intangible in handicapping this game. The Warriors will be looking to re-invent their Splash Brothers offense of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson circa the 2015-16 season before they signed Kevin Durant as a free agent. I do expect Golden State to attempt to play at a faster pace as their offense has tended to slow down to adapt to Durant’s isolation game in the half-court. But that all said, I do not expect the efficiency of the Warriors offense to significantly improve — especially without the luxury of having Durant that head coach Steve Kerr describes as the ultimate weapon. For starters, neither Curry nor Thompson are not in great form. Thomson’s series high is 27 points while he has only connected on thirteen shots from behind the arc in all five games. Curry has reached 30 points just once in this series while not nailing more than five 3-pointers in a game in this series while he seems to be slowed by a hyperextended left finger along with a right ankle issue. Furthermore, those pre-Durant Golden State teams had a better set of complementary offensive pieces (such as Harrison Barnes and a more productive Draymond Green on offense) than this current group that began the season banking on big contributions from DeMarcus Cousins. The Rockets have been doing a great job of defending Curry and Thompson in this series. Chris Paul remains a strong on-the-ball defender but what this Houston team has after him is a slew of guards with size whose length can mess with the Splash Brothers: James Harden is 6’5, Eric Gordon is 6’4, Austin Rivers is 6’4, Iman Shumpert is 6’5, Gerard Green is 6’7, and P.J. Tucker is 6’6. What head coach Mike D’Antoni chooses to do with Tucker will be particularly interesting since he has been relieved of being the primary defender on Durant for the Rockets. Frankly, Houston also has three more years of experience under their belts defending the Splash Brothers’ offense that a number of teams have copy-catted as they embraced up-tempo offensive systems that emphasize launching tons of 3s. And this Rockets team has steadily improved in their defensive play due to some important reconfigurations of their roster along with the continued work of their defensive guru in assistant coach Jeff Bzdelik. Houston boasted the second best Defensive Rating in the NBA over the last fifteen games of the regular season — and they have held their opponents in the playoffs to just 43.3% shooting from the field which has resulted in a -5.2 drop in points they are allowing per game from the 113.3 PPG they gave up in the regular season. Golden State typically plays harder on defense when they are away from home as well — they hold their home hosts to just 43.7% shooting as compared to the 44.4% overall mark this year. The Under is 10-2-1 in the Warriors’ last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Golden State has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games — and they have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Under is also 19-7-1 in the Warriors’ last 27 games when playing with one day of rest. The Under is 18-5-2 in Houston’s last 26 games when playing with just one day of rest. Houston has also seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rockets have only reached their 117.7 PPG scoring average once in this series with it being evident that Chris Paul is not the same offensive player that he once was. Paul is making only 45% of his midrange jump shots in these playoffs — and the 58% shooting inside feet of the basket is a few notches below the 61% mark he enjoyed in last year’s Western Conference Finals. Houston returns home where the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when looking to stave off elimination in a playoff series. They will dedicate their defensive energies in stopping Curry and Thompson to dare the Warriors to rely on their secondary scorers. The Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams when playing in Houston. 25* NBA Second Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 216 |
|
108-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (515) and the Portland Trail Blazers (516). THE SITUATION: Denver (61-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 124-98 victory at home against Portland (59-33) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers return for Game Six of this series hoping to keep their season alive.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Northwest Division rival. Denver shot 48.9% from the field on Tuesday which was the best shooting effort for them in their last four games. They have launched at least 90 shots in the last five games in this series playing at a fast pace that the Blazers have been happy to oblige — but they have then played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in at least two straight games. The Nuggets are still playing very good defense as they have held Portland to just 43.6% shooting in the five games in this series. The last three games in this series have seen 222, 228, and 277 combined points — but Denver has played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Under the Total where at least 215 combined points were scored while also playing 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Nuggets have also covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Denver has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Portland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. And while the Blazers have allowed the Nuggets to score at least 116 points in each of their last three games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 3 of their last 4 games when looking to avenge a loss by at least 20 points. 10* NBA Denver-Portland ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (515) and the Portland Trail Blazers (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 |
|
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (513) and the Philadelphia 76ers (514). THE SITUATION: Toronto (65-27) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 125-89 victory at home over Philadelphia (57-35) as a 6-point favorite. This series returns to Philly where the 76ers look to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers did not work very hard on defense on Tuesday as they allowed Toronto to score 125 points while making 48.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. They went into halftime trailing by a despicable 64-43 margin in Game Five. Philadelphia has then played 39 of their last 59 games Under the Total after trailing by at least 20 points in their last game. Effort on the defensive end of the court should not be an issue for this team tonight as they have played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after enduring a loss by at least 30 points in their last game — and this team has played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing by at least 20 points in their last contest. They should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight as they hold their visitors to just a 44.8% shooting percentage — and they have still held the Raptors to only a 43.4% field goal percentage over their last five games. Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while this is the Sixers fourth game in the last ten days, they have played 21 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing just their fourth game in the last ten days. Toronto has valued 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit win — and they have also played 24 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against an Atlantic Division rival. Furthermore, the Under is 7-2-1 in the Raptors’ last 10 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. While the offensive exploits of Kawhi Leonard get most of the headlines with this team, the under-appreciated story to the success has been their outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. Toronto has held their playoff opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage. Now the Raptors go back on the road where the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 15 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. With Game Five of this series (finally) going Over the Total, expect this to be a lower scoring contest. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (513) and the Philadelphia 76ers (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 221 |
|
99-104 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (511) and the Golden State Warriors (512). THE SITUATION: Houston (59-32) evened this series at 2-2 on Monday with their 112-108 victory over Golden State (63-29) as a 1-point favorite. The Warriors return home to the Oracle Center to host Game Five of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while Houston has scored at least 109 points in each of the last three games, they have then played 28 of their last 42 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight contests. Now the Rockets go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when getting no more than 6 points as the dog. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 21 Game Fives in a playoff series Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in a playoff series that is tied. Golden State has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when a playoff series is tied. Additionally, the Warriors have played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up loss overall. Golden State has also played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing two straight games on the road. The Warriors return home to host Game Five where they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 9-3-1 in their last 13 meetings — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Golden State. 10* NBA Houston-Golden State TNT O/U Special with the Houston Rockets (511) and the Golden State Warriors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218 |
|
91-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the Milwaukee Bucks (510). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (67-23) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-101 upset victory over Boston (54-36) as a 1-point underdog. The Bucks return home with the possibility of closing out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee pulled off two straight upset victories in Boston against the Celtics. The Bucks have then played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning two straight games on the road as the underdog. The Bucks held Boston to just a 37.8% field goal percentage on Monday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. Milwaukee also launched 100 shots in that win in Game Four — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after attempting at least 100 shots in their last game. Additionally, the Bucks have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 6 games after a double-digit victory, Milwaukee has played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Bucks have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Boston’s 37.8% field goal percentage on Monday was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. The Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Boston has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. The Celtics have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from two straight upset losses. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the Milwaukee Bucks (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 |
|
98-124 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). THE SITUATION: Denver (60-33) evened this series at 2-2 on Sunday with their 116-112 upset win at Portland (59-32) as a 3-point underdog. The Nuggets return home where they host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 29 of their last 46 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Portland made 47.6% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting mark in their last three games. The Blazers have only covered the point spread once in their last four contests — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. And while these two teams have seen 228 and 277 combined points scored in the last two games (including the 140-137 triple-overtime thriller in Game Three of this series), Portland has then played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games after playing at least two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Denver has played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Nuggets have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset victory. Denver returns home where they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Nuggets have launched 92, 119, and 98 shots in each of their last three games, they have then played 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in at least two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 8 of their last 11 playoff games Under the Total with the series tied. Expect a lower scoring contest tonight. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 |
|
89-125 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (505) and the Toronto Raptors (506). THE SITUATION: Toronto (64-27) evened this series at 2-2 on Sunday with their 101-96 upset victory over Philadelphia (57-34). The Raptors host the fifth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Kawhi Leonard finally got some help on the offensive end of the court on Sunday as Toronto shot 46.1% from the field en route to that victory. The Raptors also got a boost with the surprising ability of Pascal Siakam to play despite being listed as doubtful with his right calf injury. Siakam only scored 9 points while adding 3 rebounds but he should be at least a little better tonight with an extra two days of recovery since then. The Toronto supporting cast play better again tonight back on their home court where they scorer 114.0 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field. The Raptors have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset win on as a road underdog — and this includes them playing five of these last seven situations Over the Total. Toronto has also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after an upset win over an Atlantic Divisional rival. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while all four of the games in this series have finished Under the Total, Toronto has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders. The Raptors have also played 8 of their last 12 Game Fives in a playoff series Over the Total. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Sixers have played 18 of their last 24 road games Over the Total after a loss on their home court. And they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing their last two games at home. Philly shot just 40.2% from the field on Sunday with Joel Embiid hampered by an illness that clearly kept him from being close to 100%. Embiid managed only 11 points in that game. The 76ers sore 111.8 PPG on the road on 46.6% shooting so they should shoot better tonight.
FINAL TAKE: All four games so far in this series have finished Under the Total — while the closest game has been decided by 4 points. Expect this to be the first game in this series where both teams are executing on the offensive end of the court. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (505) and the Toronto Raptors (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets OVER 220 |
|
108-112 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Houston Rockets (504). THE SITUATION: Houston (58-32) made this a 2-1 series on Saturday with their 126-121 win in overtime over Golden State (63-28) as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rockets host Game Four of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 19 of their last 29 games Over the Total on the road after a game where they scored at least 115 points in their last game. Golden State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors should shoot better tonight after making just 44.2% of their shots on Saturday. That was the worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. Golden State stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Warriors have also played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series. Houston has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when trailing in a playoff series. Golden State is outscoring their opponents by +6.5 PPG — and the Rockets have played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total against teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least +3.0 PPG. And while the Warriors are making 38.5% of their 3-point shots this season, Houston has played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is also supported by an empirical situational angle that has been 61% effective since 1996. In games involving a team that allowed at least 120 points in their last game now facing a team that played a game where at least 235 combined points were scored, these games finished Over the Total in 398 of the last 673 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Houston Rockets (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 219 |
Top |
113-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (66-23) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Friday with their 123-116 upset win at Boston (54-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Celtics host the fourth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road after a win by at least 20 points. Milwaukee has also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bucks have played 24 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Now Milwaukee stays on the road where they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. And while Boston has lost the last two games in this series, they have then played 8 straight home games Over the Total after losing two of their last three contests. Additionally, the Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, Boston has played 7 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 18-7-1 in their last 26 games when playing in Boston. The Celtics have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* NBA Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210 |
|
116-112 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (593) and the Portland Trail Blazers (594). THE SITUATION: Portland (59-31) survived a triple-affair on Friday with their 140-137 victory as a 5.5-point favorite over Denver (59-33) to take a 2-1 lead in this series. The Trail Blazers host the fourth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: If there is a silver lining from the Nuggets’ loss on Friday, it is that Nikola Jokic simply seems to be unstoppable in this series. Jokic scored 33 points while adding 18 rebounds and 14 assists in the losing effort. With the Trail Blazers having to resort to Enes Kantor as their starting center after the season-ending injury to Jusuf Nurkic, they do not have a defender who can slow Jokic down on their defensive end of the court. Denver has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Over is also 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 games on the road, Denver has played all 6 games Over the Total. Portland has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 14 of their last 20 home games after a game where they did not cover the point spread. The Blazers have also seen the Over go 22-8-2 in their last 31 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 19 home games after a game that finished Over the Total, Portland has played 14 of these games Over the Total. They stay home where the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and the Over is also 13-3-1 in their last 17 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing in Portland. With both these teams tired with just a 41-hour turnaround from their triple-overtime marathon on Friday, expect the defensive play to be less than desired tonight. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (593) and the Portland Trail Blazers (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (591) and the Philadelphia 76ers (592). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (57-33) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 116-95 upset victory over Toronto (63-27) as a 1.5-point underdog. The 76ers host Game Four of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raptors simply need to make their darn open shots. They have missed 35 of their 50 open 3-pointers so far in this series — and their failure to make these shots has prompted them to be more cautious in even taking these shots in Game Three. That is not this Toronto team’s game: they led the NBA in both volume and accuracy from the 3-point line after the trade deadline. After making only 36.3% of their shots in Game Two, the Raptors followed that up by shooting just 42.2% from the field with those two efforts being the worst offensive performances in their last eleven games. That should improve this afternoon. Toronto’s complications were heightened yesterday with the news that they will be without their rising star, Paskal Siakam, who is dealing with a right calf injury. The Raptors are likely to respond with Fred VanVleet entering the starting lineup for a three-guard small-ball set. Toronto will likely embrace a faster pace with the small lineup — and this will likely push them to get back to launching 3s with no abandon again. The smaller lineup does have it’s drawbacks since it will further expose the size disadvantage they are burdened with when facing this Sixers team. Toronto has played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points against an Atlantic Division rival. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. The 76ers have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against a divisional rival. And the Sixers have also played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points over an Atlantic Division foe. Philly has out-rebounded their last eight opponents by at least six boards per game — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least +5.0 RPG. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss. The Raptors have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when avenging two straight upset losses. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (591) and the Philadelphia 76ers (592). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 |
Top |
121-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). THE SITUATION: Golden State (63-27) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 115-109 victory over Houston (57-32) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rockets host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests. They return home where the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games — and they have also played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Rockets’ have more than an 0-2 deficit to be concerned about after James Harden got his eyes raked on Tuesday. While Harden will play, he indicates that he is still feeling the effects of that injury. Houston made 46.8% of their shots in Game Two which was actually the best field goal percentage in their last five games. The Rockets have been thriving in the last quarter of the regular season by significantly ramping up their play on the defensive end of the court. Over the last fifteen games of the regular season, Houston had the fourth best Defensive Rating in the NBA. In these playoffs, the Rockets are allowing only 101.1 PPG along with a 42.3% field goal percentage which is far below the 108.5 PPG they are allowing for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.3%. In their last five playoff games, Houston is holding their opponents to just 100.8 PPG on 41.3% shooting from the field. The Rockets have played a decisive 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Golden State is not often the underdog — the two-time defending NBA champions usually tighten things up on the defensive end of the court when their victory is not a foregone conclusion (in their minds). The Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when they were the underdog — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, Golden State has played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The 46.8% shooting percentage that Houston executed on Tuesday was the highest field goal percentage that the Warriors had allowed in their last three games. When playing on the road, Golden State holds its home hosts to just a 43.6% field goal percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. And despite the high Totals that typically are associated with these two high scoring teams, these two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Second Round Saturday ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 215 |
Top |
137-140 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). THE SITUATION: Portland (58-31) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 97-90 upset victory over Denver (59-32) as a 4-point underdog. The Trail Blazers host the third and fourth of games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets pulled the upset over the Trail Blazers in the opening game of this series by nailing 40.4% of their 3-pointers en route to a 50.6% shooting percentage for that game. It was a much different story in Game Two as they made only 6 of their 29 shots from behind the arc for a dismal 20.7% shooting percentage from 3-point land. Their 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was their lowest mark of the entire season. Denver has played 25 of their last 43 games Over the Total after suffering an upset loss as a home favorite. The Nuggets have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 90 points in their last game. Now after playing their last three games at home, Denver goes back on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games at home. The Nuggets score 107.4 PPG on the road — and they allowed 110.1 PPG in those contests. Denver has played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Portland has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset victory over a fellow Northwest Division rival — and this includes them play those last four situations Over the Total. The Over is also 21-8-2 in the Trail Blazers’ last 31 games when playing with one day of rest. Now Portland returns home where they are scoring 117.8 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field. The Blazers pulled off their upset on Wednesday despite making only 42.4% of their shots. The Nuggets’ 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in Portland’s last 79 games. The Blazers allow their visitors to shoot 45% from the field which generates 109.3 PPG. The Over is 16-4-1 in Portland’s last 21 games at home — and the Over is also 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Blazers have also played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss where they were home favorites. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games played in Portland Over the Total. 25* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 219 |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (65-23) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 123-102 victory over the Celtics. Boston (54-34) hosts Games Three and Four of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points. They now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Boston has played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. They have also played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by double-digits — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Celtics shot just 39.5% from the field on Tuesday which was the lowest field goal percentage for them in their last five games. They return home where they are making 47% of their shots en route to 113.0 PPG. Boston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 38 of their last 57 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. Lastly, the Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams in Boston. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-02-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers OVER 216.5 |
Top |
95-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-33) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 94-89 upset victory at Toronto (63-26) as a 7.5-point underdog. The 76ers return home to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games after a victory by 6 points or less. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games over the Total when playing with two days of rest — and that extra day of rest should help Joel Embiid be ready to play this game as he deals with knee injuries. Philadelphia held the Raptors to just a 36.3% shooting percentage on Monday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 41 games. But the Sixers also shot just 39.5% from the field in that low-scoring game. Now Philly returns home where they are scoring 118.6 PPG on the strength of 48.5% shooting from the field. The 76ers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Toronto’s 36.3% field goal percentage was the worst shooting effort in their last 53 games. They also missed 27 shots from behind the arc on Monday — they should improve significantly on that resulting 27% mark from 3-point land tonight considering that they are making 36.6% of their shots from behind the arc on the road. The Raptors are averaging 113.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, in Toronto’s last 18 games overall in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Raptors have played 13 of these games Over the Total. And in their last 13 games in the Eastern Conference Playoff Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 meetings in Toronto Over the Total. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 219 |
Top |
97-90 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). THE SITUATION: Denver (59-31) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 121-113 victory over Portland (57-31). The Nuggets host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The silver lining for the Trail Blazers in Game One was that Enes Kanter was able to play despite a shoulder injury that had him questionable. Kanter played 33 minutes which allowed him to score 26 points while making 11 of his 14 shots. He is more of an offensive threat than Jusuf Nurkic who is out the season with an ankle injury. The problem for the Blazers with Kanter absorbing Nurkic’s minutes is that he is a liability on the defensive end of the court. Denver’s Nikola Jokic exploited him by scoring 37 points on 11 of 18 shooting while pulling down 9 rebounds. Kanter’s presence on both ends of the court has generated higher scoring games — and bettors have yet to catch up. Portland has played 27 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Blazers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Over is 21-7-2 in Portland’s last 30 games when playing with one day of rest. And while this the Blazers just second game in the last seven days after they dismissed Oklahoma City in five games, they have played 4 straight games when playing their second game in seven days. Portland has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against Northwest Division foes. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets increase their offensive proficiency when playing at home — they are scoring 113.2 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field at the Pepsi Center as compared to their 110.4 PPG scoring overall on 46.6% shooting this season. Denver has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing in Denver. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors OVER 220.5 |
Top |
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). THE SITUATION: Golden State (62-27) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 104-100 victory over Houston (57-31). The Warriors host the second game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Golden State smoked this Rockets team who had been playing good defense by making 50.7% of their shots on Sunday. The Warriors have a 49.2% field goal percentage at home in the Oracle Center which has translated into 118.2 PPG. Over their last five games, Golden State is making 50% of their shots — and they are shooting 50.3% from the field so far in these playoffs. This shapes up to be a high-scoring game as the Warriors have played 8 of their last 9 second games to a new playoff series Over the Total. Golden State has also played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series — and this includes them playing three of these last four games Over the Total when leading in that playoff series. Houston should shoot better than the 41.9% field goal percentage they endured in the opening game of this series. The Rockets have played four straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing four straight games Under the Total. Houston averages 110.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Rockets have also been out-rebounded by 13, 14, and 14 boards in each of their last three games — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded in their last three games by at least 5.0 Rebounds-Per-Game. Houston has also played 14 of their last 21 second games in a new playoff series Over the Total — and this includes them playing four of these last five situations Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen their last three games finish Under the Total — but the first game these two teams played in 2019 was in the Oracle Center where the Rockets won by a 135-134 score. After Game One finished Under the Total by more than 20 points, look for this game to finish Over the Total. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218 |
|
102-123 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (571) and the Milwaukee Bucks (572). THE SITUATION: Boston (54-33) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 112-90 upset victory over Milwaukee (64-23) as an 8-point underdog. The Bucks host the second game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 25 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 15 points. Boston has also played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. The Celtics stay on the road tonight where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total coming off an upset loss by at least 10 points as a home favorite. The Bucks have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after double-digit loss a home. The Bucks should shoot much better tonight after making only 34.8% of their shots in Game One which was the worst shooting effort in their last 32 games. The Celtics made a point of double-teaming Giannis Antetokounmpo when he got the ball down low — he made just 4 of 15 shots inside the paint. The solution to this tactic is for his teammates to make open shots when the Greek Freak passes out of these double-teams — but these shots were simply not falling on Sunday which prompted him to force too many shots down low. Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They also make 48.1% of their shots at home which translates into 119.2 PPG. Additionally, the Over is 14-6-1 in the Bucks’ last 21 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total the avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent. The Over is also 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (571) and the Milwaukee Bucks (572). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-29-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215 |
Top |
113-121 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). THE SITUATION: Portland (57-30) takes the court again for the first time since last Tuesday after they disposed of Oklahoma City in five games with their 118-115 win as a 3.5-point favorite. Denver (58-31) defeated San Antonio on Sunday by a 90-86 score as a 6.5-point favorite to win that series in seven games. The Nuggets host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread — and the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread loss. Portland launched 96 shots in that game after attempting 90 shots in Game Four of that series. The Blazers have then played 26 of their last 39 games Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Portland now goes back on the road where they are scoring 111.0 PPG while also allowing 111.0 PPG. The Trail Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Nuggets shot just 39.8% from the field in that game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last twelve games. Denver survived because they limited the Spurs to shooting only 36.5% which was the best defensive effort in their last sixteen games. The Nuggets have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Denver stays at home where they are scoring 113.0 PPG this season on 48.2% shooting from the field — and they are making 48.3% of their shots in the playoffs. The Nuggets have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 encounters Over the Total when playing in Denver. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-29-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 219.5 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-25) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 108-95 victory over Philadelphia (55-33) as a 6-point favorite. The Raptors host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win at home over a divisional rival. The Raptors have won five straight games while covering the point spread in four of those contests. Toronto has played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The Raptors have also played 26 of their last 41 games Over the Total after winning two straight games — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three games in a row. Furthermore, Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. The Raptors stay at home where they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a victory. And in their last 12 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight up loss. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Philadelphia should shoot better tonight as they shot just 39.3% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eleven games. The Sixers did out-rebound the Raptors by a 56 to 50 margin on Saturday. That was the sixth straight game where Philadelphia out-rebounded their opponent by at least 6 boards — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least +5.0 RPG.
FINAL TAKE: Expect the second game of this series to be a higher-scoring contest. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-27-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 210.5 |
|
86-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
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At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Thursday with their 120-103 win over Denver (57-31) as a 3-point favorite. The Nuggets host the final game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Denver should step up their work efforts on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Spurs to make 57.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 45 games. The Nuggets have played 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Denver has also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. The Nuggets have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Denver returns home where they hold their opponents to just 44.9% shooting from the field. The Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of no better than 40% on the road. Denver has also played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio enjoyed the best shooting mark in their last 39 games — so they are not likely to come close to replicating that 57.1% shooting mark. The Spurs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Now San Antonio goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Spurs have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With the pressure of a Game Seven impacting the nerves of both teams, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NBA Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-27-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 222.5 |
Top |
95-108 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
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At 7:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (55-32) has won four straight games after they disposed of Brooklyn in five games culminating in a 122-100 victory at home on Tuesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Toronto (62-35) has won four straight games as well after taking care of Orlando in five games after their 115-96 victory at home over the Magic on Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Raptors host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points over a fellow Atlantic Division rival — and they have played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against divisional foes. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The Sixers held the Nets to just 38.7% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last twenty games. Philadelphia did not let Brooklyn shoot better than 41.1% from the field in the last three games of that series — but they have then played a decisive 46 of their last 72 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, the Sixers controlled the boards in their series against the Nets as they out-rebounded them by at least 7 rebounds per game in all five games of that series. Philly has then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least 5.0 RPG. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Raptors have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. Toronto has also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. The Raptors also played very good defense in their opening series as well — they have not allowed their last seven opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. But Toronto has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after not allowing at least three straight opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. Expect these team trends to continue tonight in this opening game of this Eastern Conference Semifinals series. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-26-19 |
Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 |
|
129-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
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At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-37) extended this series to a sixth game on Wednesday with their 129-121 upset victory in Golden State as a 15-point underdog. This series moves back to the Staples Center in Los Angeles with the Clippers looking to force a climactic seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State should play better on defense after allowing the Clippers to score 129 points on 54.1% shooting from the field. The Warriors have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Additionally, Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 24-9-1 in their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Now Golden State goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and the Warriors have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Golden State has played 36 of their last 54 road games Under the Total with the Total set at least at 230. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. The Clippers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a Friday night. Now Los Angeles returns home to the Staples Center where they have played 33 of their last 50 home games in the second half of the season Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG (Golden State: +6.5 net PPG). Furthermore, these team trends are complemented by a historical angle the has been 64% effective since 1996. In the month of April with the Total set at 220 or higher, when one of the teams comes off a win on the road, these games finished Under the Total in 54 of these last 84 situations.
FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when motivated to avenge an upset loss as a home favorite. 10* NBA Golden State-LA Clippers ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-25-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 |
|
103-120 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). THE SITUATION: Denver (57-30) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 108-90 victory over the Spurs (50-37) as a 5.5-point favorite. This series returns to San Antonio tonight for Game Six.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game on Tuesday finished Under the Total, Denver has then played 30 of their last 48 games Under the Total after a game that finished below the Total. Furthermore, the Nuggets have won and covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games while also playing eighteen of their last twenty-five games after winning three of tiger last four contests. Denver goes on the road where they are the underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Spurs are playing their sixth game over the last fourteen days — and they have played 17 of their 25 games Under the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in the last fourteen days. San Antonio has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total with the Spurs hosting the game. San Antonio has also played 23 of their last 35 home games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-24-19 |
Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 232.5 |
Top |
129-121 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). THE SITUATION: Golden State (60-26) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-105 victory over the Clippers (49-37). The Warriors look to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors took 13 fewer free throws on Monday after attempting 16 fewer free throws than the Clippers in Game Three — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after attempting at least ten fewer free throws than their opponent in two straight games. Now Golden State returns home to the Oracle Center where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their last two games at home. The Clippers go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total. And in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court, Los Angeles has played 16 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home their opponent. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). Best luck for us — Frank.
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04-24-19 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214 |
|
93-100 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). THE SITUATION: Utah (51-35) staved off elimination on Monday with their 107-91 upset win at home as a 2-point underdog against the Rockets (56-30). This series returns home to Houston for Game Five with the Rockets have another opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have found success in this series by amping up their physicality on the defensive end of the court. Despite losing a heartbreaker on their home court last Saturday, Utah held the Rockets to just 38.4% shooting in Game Three before limiting them to only a 35.4% field goal percentage on Monday. The Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset victory as a home underdog. Utah has also played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Furthermore, the Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents, Utah has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points on the road. The Under is also 6-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now Houston returns home where the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 4-1-1 in the Rockets’ last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 16 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when attempting to close out a series.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. These two teams have now played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-23-19 |
Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
115-118 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). THE SITUATION: Portland (56-30) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 111-98 upset victory in Oklahoma City against the Thunder (50-36). The Trail Blazers return home with the opportunity to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Oklahoma City offense has stalled in their three losses where they have failed to score even 100 points. Paul George is showing signs of being less than 100% with injuries to both his shoulders. He is making only 37% of his shots in this series while shooting just 30.8% from behind the arc — he is simply not close to his outstanding form in February prior to the All-Star Break when he was making a case to being the league’s Most Valuable Player. Russell Westbrook is also struggling as he is making only 36.3% of his shots in this series while shooting only 30.4% from behind the arc. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in OKC’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Thunder have played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 74 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 50-23-1. Portland has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games after a win over a Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last games Under the Total after a point spread win. Portland certainly deserves much of the credit for the strong defense they are playing in this series. The Blazers have held the Thunder to just 41.3% shooting percentage from the field along with a low 30.8% mark from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. 25* NBA First Round Northwest Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-22-19 |
Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 215 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). THE SITUATION: Houston (50-35) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday night with their 104-101 upset win in Utah (50-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Jazz host Game Four looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a pulling off an upset victory — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games after a victory by 6 points or less. That game finished below the 214.5 point Total — and Houston has played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Rockets are playing their best defense of the season. They have held their last five opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after holding their last five opponents to no higher than a 42% field goal percentage. Now the Rockets go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played an incredible 36 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing eleven of their last fourteen games Under the Total in that situation. Additionally, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Utah has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 43.3% from the field. The Jazz stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Round One Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-20-19 |
Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 217 |
Top |
119-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (62-22) took a commanding 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 120-99 victory over Detroit (41-43) as a 15.5-point favorite. The Pistons host Games Three and Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Detroit has not been able to put up much of a fight without their best offensive option in Blake Griffin who is likely to miss the third game in this series. The Pistons made only 37.4% of their shots on Wednesday. Over their last five games, Detroit is scoring only 99.2 PPG while shooting 39.9% from the field as opposed to their 106.7 PPG scoring average for the season on 43.8% shooting. The Pistons have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 34-15-2 in their last 51 games after a double-digit loss. Detroit was also not competitive in the first game of this series which they lost by a 121-86 score. The Pistons have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing their last two games by double-digits — and this includes them playing their last six games Under the Total after losing their last two games on the road by at least 10 points. Detroit should play better on defense back at home tonight after allowing the Bucks to make 52.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s shooting mark in their last seven contests. The Pistons hold their guests to just 46.0% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Under is 9-4-1 in Detroit’s last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least 10 points. Now the Bucks go on the road where they have played 48 of their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range overall. And in their last 16 games against fellow Central Division opponents, the Bucks have played 12 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-20-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 209.5 |
|
117-103 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 5:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (50-35) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 118-108 victory over Denver (55-30) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Spurs host Game Four before this series returns to Denver for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio was led by Derrick White who scored 36 points on Thursday. But his effort on the offensive end of the court obscured the great work he did on defense on Jamal Murray who only scored 6 points. The Spurs have stepped up their level of play on defense as of late. They have held their last five opponents to just 100.4 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field as compared to the 109.0 PPG they allow for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.7%. San Antonio has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Spurs have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 32 of their last 52 games Under the Total with the 200 to 209.5 point range. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They are scoring 105.0 PPG over their last five games which is 5.5 PPG below their season average.
FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 24 of their last 34 games when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT-TV Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-19-19 |
Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 |
|
108-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (55-29) has won five straight games after they won Game Two of this series by a 114-94 score over the Thunder (49-35) on Tuesday. The Thunder return home for the third and fourth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Oklahoma City has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. The Thunder have been struggling to make their 3-pointers as they made just 5 of their 28 shots from downtown on Tuesday. OKC has made only 10 of their 61 3-point shots for an ugly 16.4% clip in the first two games of this series. Now the Thunder return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, OKC has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Portland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 6-2-1 in the Trail Blazers’ last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now Portland goes on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Thunder have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 25-10-2 in the last 37 games between these two teams played in OKC. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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