06-01-22 |
Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (31) and the New York Rangers (32) in Game One of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (59-26-8) has won six games in a row after their four-game sweep of Florida that culminated with their 2-0 victory back on May 23rd. New York (60-28-8) has won four of their last five games after taking Game Seven in their series with Carolina with a 6-2 victory on the road on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning tightened things up on defense and began playing tough playoff hockey to take Game Seven of their series with Toronto by a 2-1 score — and that carried over into their series against the powerful Panthers attack. Tampa Bay held Florida to three combined goals in that four-game sweep — and they have not allowed more than one goal in five straight games. With Brayden Point likely out for most (or all) of this series, this will likely continue to be the formula for success for head coach Jon Cooper’s team. The Lightning have played 5 straight Unders after a victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 4 straight Unders after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has rediscovered the form that led him to win the Conn Smythe Award last season. In his last five games, Vasilevskiy has a 0.80 Goals-Against-Average with a .978 save percentage. The Lightning allowed only one power-play goal by the Panthers last round in 13 opportunities — their Power Play Kill Unit has thwarted 36 of their opponent’s 41 chances (87.8%) with the man advantage in the playoffs. Tampa Bay will continue to miss Point who is tied with Nathan MacKinnon for the most goals in the previous two postseasons with 16 goals. The Lightning are just third of the four remaining teams in the playoffs in expected goals per 60 minutes. Tampa Bay has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total when favored. The Under is also 6-2-3 in the Lightning’s last 11 games in the Eastern Conference Finals. New York has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals against a Metropolitan Division rival in their last game. The Rangers rallied from a 3-2 deficit in the second straight series after winning Game Six by a 5-2 score. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by multiple goals — and they have played 29 of their last 44 games at home Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. Goalie Igor Shesterkin has been outstanding over his last ten starts with a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average and a .939 save percentage. He leads all goaltenders in the playoffs by averaging +1.004 goals saved above expectation per 60 minutes. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Rangers’ last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: New York swept all three games against the Lightning in the regular season after beating them on March 19th by a 2-1 victory. Tampa Bay has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 20* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Rangers ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (31) and the New York Rangers (32). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-31-22 |
Oilers v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 |
|
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (27) and the Colorado Avalanche (28) in Game One of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (57-31-6) closed out their series with Calgary in five games after their 5-4 win in overtime on the road on Thursday. Colorado (64-21-7) has won three of their last four contests with their 3-2 victory on the road against St. Louis to end that series in six games on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Edmonton has scored at least four goals in five straight games. The Oilers have then played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in four straight contests. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Oilers will have fresh legs tonight having not played for the last five days — and the Over is 27-12-3 in their last 42 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Additionally, Edmonton has played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog.
|
05-31-22 |
Oilers +1.5 v. Avalanche |
Top |
6-8 |
Loss |
-147 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Edmonton Oilers (27) plus the +1.5 Puck-Line versus the Colorado Avalanche (28) in Game One of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (57-31-6) closed out their series with Calgary in five games after their 5-4 win in overtime on the road on Thursday. Colorado (64-21-7) has won three of their last four contests with their 3-2 victory on the road against St. Louis to end that series in six games on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS PLUS THE GOAL-LINE: I don’t play money-line favorites (or underdogs) when the favorite is priced higher than -150 in both MLB and the NHL. I am comfortable then looking at the Run-Line in baseball — but I usually shy away from the puck line in hockey given the impact of the potential pulled goalie at the end of the game. However, when I think there is a live dog — and the Puck-Line price is no higher than -150 — then I am willing to take my chances with the empty net for a team that could win the game outright (and the Oilers could certainly score when pulling their goalie to tie the game or pull within one goal). I think Edmonton is underrated — and this series could be the platform for Connor McDavid to become a mainstream superstar. McDavid has 26 points in 12 games already in these playoffs — and he has simply sensational at times in these playoffs. The Oilers did just win four straight games against a good Calgary team. They have now won six of their last seven games in the playoffs. Edmonton has won 19 of their last 26 games after a win — and they have won 18 of their last 24 games after a victory against a divisional opponent. The Oilers have also won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. They stay on the road where they have won 5 of their last 7 games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog. And despite some sketchy moments at times from goalie Mike Smith, the 40-year-old has posted an impressive +8.8 goals-saved above expectation in the playoffs to go along with his .927 save percentage. Smith is the better goaltender in the mini-battle between himself and the Avalanche’s Darcy Kuemper. The 32-year-old has a -3.0 goals saved above expectation mark and a .904 save percentage in these playoffs. He is a weak link for this team that did not take a step forward at this position when they let Philip Grubauer sign with Seattle in the offseason. Colorado has also suffered a big injury on their blue line with the season-ending injury to Samuel Girard early in Game Three against the Blues.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has been consistently priced above my -150 threshold for the entire postseason. But in their last nine playoff games, they have won only four of these games by more than one goal. They have been upset twice despite being a big favorite — and they have won three of those games by just one goal. In the Oilers’ last 14 defeats, they lost six of those games by just one goal. With the +1.5 Puck-Line priced right around -150, that is where I find the value — and I prefer getting paid on an Edmonton one-goal loss then take my chances (at the bigger price) that they pull the upset. 25* NHL Puck-Line of the Month is with the Edmonton Oilers (27) plus the +1.5 Puck-Line versus the Colorado Avalanche (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-30-22 |
Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-135 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (21) and the Carolina Hurricanes (22) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (61-26-8) looks to rebound from their 5-2 loss in Madison Square Garden against the Rangers on Saturday. New York (59-28-8) has won three of their last four games to force this Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. They have also played 4 straight Unders after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They should continue to get outstanding goaltending from Igor Shesterkin who has a .926 save percentage in the postseason. New York goes back on the road where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. They have also played 7 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. Carolina has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss to a Metropolitan Division rival — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by more than one goal to a divisional opponent. The Hurricanes have also played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. They return home where they have played 4 straight Unders. They should get better goaltending from Antti Raanta tonight after he was pulled early in the second period on Saturday. Raanta has won all six of his starts at home in the postseason while posting a 0.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .965 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight Unders when playing each other at PNC Arena in Raleigh. 10* NHL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (21) and the Carolina Hurricanes (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-30-22 |
Rangers v. Hurricanes -145 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-145 |
1 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (22) with the money-line versus the New York Rangers (21) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (61-26-8) looks to rebound from their 5-2 loss in Madison Square Garden against the Rangers on Saturday. New York (59-28-8) has won three of their last four games to force this Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HURRICANES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Carolina should play better tonight as they have won 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have also won 6 straight games after allowing five or more goals in their last game. The Hurricanes actually won the expected goals battle in Game Six by a 3.81 to 2.38 margin but were stymied by goalie Igor Shesterkin who made 37 saves. But now Carolina returns home where they are 7-0 this postseason. The Hurricanes have outscored their guests in the playoffs by a 25 to 8 margin — and they have outscored the Rangers at home at PNC Arena by a 7-2 margin. It is not just the energy the team gets from playing in front of their home crowd in Raleigh — head coach Rod Brind’amour has a big advantage in getting to choose the final lines to battle against the Rangers. Jordan Staal is a great defensive forward — and his line has contained the Rangers’ Mika Zibanejad line to zero points in the three previous games in Carolina. The Hurricanes have won 44 of their last 58 games at home when favored — and they have won 14 of their last 18 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Additionally, Carolina has won 28 of their last 36 playing games when favored — and they have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when trailing in the series. They should get better goaltending from Antti Raanta tonight after he was pulled early in the second period on Saturday. Raanta has won all six of his starts at home in the postseason while posting a 0.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .965 save percentage. The Rangers have lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road. They are not getting the same level of scoring production away from Madison Square Garden. The Artemi Panarin line has not registered a point in the three games in Carolina. New York has lost 6 straight games as an underdog — and they have lost 38 of their last 52 games in the playoffs as an underdog. The Rangers have also lost 6 of their last 7 games played against the Hurricanes in Raleigh.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has won 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least five goals. 25* NHL Monday ESPN Game of the Month is on the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (22) with the money-line versus the New York Rangers (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-28-22 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the New York Rangers (14) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (61-25-8) took a 3-2 lead in this series with their 3-1 victory at home on Thursday. New York (58-28-8) returns home to Madison Square Garden hoping to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: All five games in this series have finished Under the Total with only one of the games even seeing five combined goals. Both teams are averaging just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in this series. The Hurricanes have not scored more than three goals in seven straight contests. The Under is 3-1-1 in Carolina’s last 5 games after a win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory at home against a Metropolitan Division rival. The Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Head coach Rod Brind’amour is getting outstanding goaltending from Antti Raanta who has a 1.99 Goals-Against-Average and a .931 save percentage in the playoffs. Raanta has +4.6 goals saved above expectation in the postseason. But now the Hurricanes go back on the road where they have not scored more than two goals in five playoff games — and they only scored two goals in their two previous games at Madison Square Garden against the Rangers. Carolina has now played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total in the second round of the playoffs. New York has played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Under is also 39-18-1 in their last 58 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Igor Shesterkin has a 2.05 Goals-Against-Average at home in six playoff games with a .949 save percentage. In 30 games (29 starts) at home in the regular season, Shesterkin posted similar numbers with a 1.85 GAA and a .940 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers only had 15 shot attempts in Game Five. They have only posted more than 28 shots once in this series. With these teams now very familiar with each other, expect another lower-scoring game tonight. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the New York Rangers (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-22 |
Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-113 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (71) and the St. Louis Blues (72) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (63-21-7) had won the previous two games in this series before dropping Game Five by a 5-4 score in overtime on Wednesday. St. Louis (55-27-11) now trails in this series by a 3-2 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues rallied twice in Game Four — once by a 3-0 margin before tying the game in the third period and then once again after trailing by a 4-3 score with less than a minute left in the game. Head coach Craig Berube has had his team adopt the Vegas Golden Knights’ approach of heavy forechecking with the hopes of wearing down the Avalanche — and the strategy may finally be working. The Over is 18-7-1 in St. Louis’ last 26 games after a win — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Blues have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by one goal — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a victory in overtime. St. Louis is second in the playoffs with a Power Play success rate of 32.4%. They return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and the Over is 24-8-2 in their last 34 home games as an underdog. Now that Jordan Binnington is out for the rest of the postseason, the Blues are stuck with Ville Husson between the pipes. He has a -5.7 goals save below expectation in the playoffs. But if Game Five demonstrated anything, it is that Colorado is not getting quality goaltending from Darcy Kuemper. He allowed five goals on 30 shots. He has a subpar .904 save percentage in the postseason with a -2.5 goals saved above expectation mark. Goaltending is in large part a function of the play of the defense — and the Avalanche suffered a huge blow in the season-ending injury to Samuel Girard who has anchored one of the top-two defensive pairs for years, despite his being 23-years old. Colorado has played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing a game where both teams scored at least four goals. The Aves have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have played 21 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. Colorado has scored 15 goals in the last three games with at least four goals in each game — and they have then played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in three straight games. The Avalanche have also played 4 straight road games Over the Total when the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the Western Conference Semifinals going back to their series last year with Vegas. They have played 5 straight Overs in the playoffs with the opportunity to close out the series. St. Louis has played 9 of their last 12 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 11 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. These two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Over the Total including 5 straight Overs when playing in St. Louis. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (71) and the St. Louis Blues (72). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-26-22 |
Oilers v. Flames -145 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-145 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Calgary Flames (68) versus the Edmonton Oilers (67) in Game Five of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Calgary (55-28-10) looks to snap a three-game losing streak in this series after dropping Game Four by a 5-3 score on Tuesday. Edmonton (56-31-6) has won five of their last six games while taking a 3-1 lead in the series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLAMES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Calgary needs to stave off elimination with a victory tonight. They have won 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. They have also won 4 of their last 6 games after losing three in a row to a Pacific Division rival. The Oilers have won all six games in the postseason when they scored first — but the Flames can take some confidence in the fact they enjoyed 3-0 and 2-0 leads on home ice in the first two games of this series. Calgary is winning the five-on-five possession battle against Edmonton. They have outshot the Oilers — and they are playing on special teams. And they are winning 56.1% of the faceoffs in the series. They are losing because of the disappointing play of goaltender Jacob Markstrom. He has an .850 save percentage in this series — and he has a 5.28 Goals-Against-Average in the last three games. But this was a Vezina Trophy finalist because his strong play in the regular season. The Flames have won 25 of their last 35 games on home ice — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games at home when favored. Edmonton may be due for an emotional letdown after holding serve at home for Games Three and Four. The Oilers have lost 8 of their last 12 games after winning two straight games by more than one goal in their last game. They have also lost 12 of their last 14 road games after winning two in a row by multiple goals. Furthermore, Edmonton has lost 14 of their last 22 games after winning three in a row against divisional rivals. Even if Markstrom continues to struggle, the Oilers’ Mike Smith does not really offer them an advantage between the pipes. Smith played out of his mind in the opening round against Los Angeles — but he has a -1.0 goals save above expectation in this series with several terrible gaffes. Edmonton has lost 15 of their last 22 games as an underdog — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 road games as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton took Game Two of this series — but they have still lost 4 of their last 5 games played against the Flames in Calgary. The Flames have won 35 of their last 51 games when favored. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Calgary Flames (68) versus the Edmonton Oilers (67). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-24-22 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (55) and the New York Rangers (56) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (60-24-8) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in a 3-1 loss on Sunday. New York (57-27-8) has won four of their last six games while winning their first game in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This has been a low-scoring series with no more than four combined goals scored in any one game. The Hurricanes have not scored more than two goals in six of their last eight games. They have played four straight Unders — and they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing at least four Unders in a row. Carolina has also played 22 of their 33 games on the road Under the Total after a loss to a Metropolitan Division opponent — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after losing by two or more goals to a divisional opponent. The Hurricanes are getting surprisingly great play from goaltender Antti Raanta who has been quite good subbing for the injured Frederik Andersen. He stopped 30 of the 32 shots he faced on Sunday. In nine postseason starts, Raanta has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .939 save percentage. Carolina is also protecting Raanta by winning face-offs in their own end — they have won 42 of their 66 face-offs (63.6%) that have been in their defensive zone. The Hurricanes’ power play has dried up in the playoffs — especially on the road where they have converted just one time in 19 opportunities in their four playoff road games for a 5.3% conversion rate. New York has played 34 of their last 55 games Under the Total after winning or tying their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total at home after a victory on home ice. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where no more than four combined goals were scored. And they have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. Igor Shesterkin has regained the form that will likely result in him winning the Vezina Trophy — he stopped 43 of the 44 shots he faced on Sunday. Those 43 saves were the most by any goaltender in regulation time in these playoffs. In his last six starts, he has a 2.14 GAA with a .935 save percentage. At home in the regular season, he owned a 1.85 GAA with a .940 save percentage. The Rangers have only allowed one power-play goal at home in the postseason in their 17 occasions where they were playing at a man disadvantage. They have also won 36 of their 65 face-offs (55.4%) in their own zone.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. Additionally, New York has played 29 of their last 42 games in the second round of the playoffs Under the Total — and the Hurricanes have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. 10* NHL Carolina-NY Rangers ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (55) and the New York Rangers (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-22-22 |
Flames v. Oilers OVER 6.5 |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-117 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (47) and the Edmonton Oilers (48) in Game Three of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Calgary (55-26-10) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 5-3 loss at home to the Oilers on Friday. Edmonton (54-31-6) has won three of their last four games while evening this series at 1-1.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: After scoring scoring nine goals in their three-goal victory in Game One, they only beat Oilers’ goaltender Mike Smith three times on Friday. The Flames are still averaging a healthy 4.34 expected goals per 60 minutes in this series. Their top line of Johnny Gaudreau, Elias Lindholm, and Matthew Tkachuk have already combined for 12 points so far in this series. Head coach Darryl Sutter has to assume that his team will need to score four goals to put themselves in a position to beat Edmonton — especially when playing on the road. Calgary is missing perhaps their best defensive player in Chris Tanev who has missed the last three games to injury and remains questionable to return to the series tonight. The Flames are getting up-and-down play from goalie Jacob Markstrom to who led in some soft goals in Game One. He has a .915 save percentage in this postseason. Calgary has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss to a Pacific Division rival — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last game. The Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 playoff games when favored. Edmonton has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. And in their last 13 home games after scoring at least four goals in two straight games, they have played 11 of these games Over the Total. Connor McDavid has been nearly unstoppable in this postseason with six goals and 14 assists. After scoring once and assisting on three other goals in Game One, he added another goal and assist in Game Two. How he returns home where head coach Jay Woodcroft has the advantage of the last lineup change to take his pick as to what defenders he wants McDavid to go against. Edmonton has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total on home ice. The Oilers have defensive issues of their own with top blue-liner Darnell Nurse not 100% playing through an injury. And goalie Mike Smith has been very shaky in this series with an .880 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and the Flames have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total on the road and motivated to avenge a loss. 10* NHL Calgary-Edmonton ESPN2 O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (47) and the Edmonton Oilers (48). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-22-22 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers -105 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 3:37 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (46) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (45) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (56-27-8) has lost the first two games in this series after a 2-0 loss on the road against the Hurricanes on Friday. Carolina (60-23-8) has won three games in a row while taking a 2-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York has only scored once so far in this series — and they are scoreless in their last 116:05 minutes. But the Rangers have won 10 of their last 12 games after losing two games in a row. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They return home where they are 3-1 at Madison Square Garden in this postseason. They have scored four goals in their 12 Power Play opportunities in those four home games. New York has won 14 of their last 22 home games with the Total set at 5.5. They have also won 6 of their last 8 home games when the underdog. Goaltender Igor Shesterkin has been outstanding when playing in front of the home fans this season. In 30 games (29 starts) at MSG in the regular season, Shesterkin had a 1.85 Goals-Against-Average with a .940 save percentage and five shutouts. After some shaky moments last round against Pittsburgh that may have been triggered by his Herculean performance in the opening game overtime marathon, Shesterkin has regained his regular-season form with 44 saves against 47 shots for a .936 save percentage in this series. He has +1.07 goals saved above expectation. Carolina has lost 5 of their last 8 games after playing a low-scoring game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Hurricanes have now won 12 of their last 15 games — but they have then lost 4 of their last 5 games after winning at least 12 of their last 15 games. They have also lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road after not allowing more than one goal in two straight games. Carolina continues to get surprisingly good goaltending from Antti Raanta who has stopped 48 of the 49 shots he has seen in this series. But Raanta was at his best when playing at home in the regular season where he sported a 2.06 GAA and a .924 save percentage in 13 starts. In his 15 starts on the road, Raanta had a 2.87 GAA and a .906 save percentage. Furthermore, in his two starts on the road in Boston last round, he gave up four goals in both losses and had an .867 save percentage. The Hurricanes were winless in their three games on the road against the Bruins last round — and they were outscored by a 14 to 8 margin. The Carolina offense has not been much better than the Rangers in the postseason either. While New York ranks seventh of the remaining eight teams in expected goals scored at even strength, the Hurricanes rank sixth despite playing six of their nine playoff games on home ice.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have won 10 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss on the road — and they have won 8 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the New York Rangers (46) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (45). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-22 |
Oilers v. Flames OVER 6.5 |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (39) and the Calgary Flames (40) in Game Two of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (53-31-6) looks to rebound from a 9-6 loss on the road against the Flames on Wednesday. Calgary (55-25-10) has won four of their last five games after taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: 40-year-old goaltender Mike Smith got exposed early by allowing three goals on the first ten shots he faced in Game One. While head coach Jay Woodcroft quickly announced that Smith will get back between the pipes tonight, he has allowed three or more goals in four of his eight starts in the postseason (with seven of those games against a defensive-minded Los Angeles team in Round One). Smith had a middling 2.81 Goals-Against-Average with a .915 save percentage in 29 regular season starts. But the Oilers demonstrated they can be explosive with their offensive attack in this series after scoring four goals on 11 shots during a torrid stretch in the second period when they rallied from a 6-2 deficit. Edmonton has played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. The Oilers scored six times despite failing to score from any of their four Power Play chances. After ranking third in the regular season with a Power Play success rate of 26.0%, they converted on 7 of their 19 Power Plays in the first round against the Kings for a crisp 36.8% success rate. Edmonton led all playoff teams after the first round with 22 goals when playing at even strength five-on-five. They ranked third in the first round with 3.46 expected goals at five-on-five. Calgary has played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. The Over is also 13-6-2 in their last 21 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Over is 5-2-2 in their last 9 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. The Flames generated 47 shots in Game One making it the sixth straight game where they peppered the net with at least 32 shots — and they have played 31 of their last 46 games Over the Total after playing at least five straight games where they had at least 30 shot attempts. Calgary is fourth in the postseason with just 2.23 expected goals allowed at five-on-five — but they just played seven games against an offensively-challenged Dallas team. Goalie Jacob Markstrom has a .918 save percentage in these playoffs — but his -0.4 goals saved avoid expectation suggests he is actually underachieving baseline expectations.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. These two teams averaged 8.25 combined goals scored in their four regular-season meetings — including a 9-5 victory for the Flames in their final regular-season meetings on March 26th. Wednesday’s score may not have been as much of an outlier as it first appeared — and these two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games against each other. The Over is also 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings between these teams when playing in Calgary. I think both teams should get to at least 3-3 before the end of regulation tonight. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (39) and the Calgary Flames (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-22 |
Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-126 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (35) and the Colorado Avalanche (36) in Game Two of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (53-25-11) looks to bounce back from their 3-2 loss in overtime on the road against the Avalanche in Game One on Tuesday. Colorado (61-20-6) has won five straight games while taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing their last game on the road by one goal. St. Louis almost stole Game One because of the play of goaltender Jordan Binnington. The veteran stopped 51 of the 54 shots he faced — and he sported +2.11 goals saves above expectation in that game. We are seeing vintage Binnington from his magical 2018-19 season where he led St. Louis to the Stanley Cup championship. Yet the goalie lost his job because of bad play earlier this season — and he had a 3.13 Goals-Against-Average with a .901 save percentage in 37 regular season starts. The Avalanche generated 5.11 expected goals on Tuesday while hitting the post a number of times. It will be hard for the Blues to slow down the Colorado attack. St. Louis is a great offensive team as well that scored 3.66 Goals-Per-Game last round against a Minnesota team that plays great defense. The Blues have three strong forward lines — and nine players scored at least 20 goals in the regular season. But this team needs to generate more offense since beating the Avalanche with only two goals is not likely. Head coach Craig Berube is shaking up his forward lines tonight with Pavel Buchnevich moving to the top line with David Perron and Ryan O’Reilly and Brayden Schenn dropping to the second line to help with the forecheck. Colorado got worn down in the postseason last year against Vegas due to their heavy forechecking — and this will be the Blues’ strategy for success. St. Louis has played two straight Unders — but they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. The Over is also 13-3-1 in their last 17 games on the road — and they have played 16 of their last 24 road games Over the Total when the number is at 6 or higher. Additionally, the Over is 35-13-3 in the Blues’ last 51 games as a money-line underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total. 10* NHL Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (35) and the Colorado Avalanche (36). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-22 |
Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Calgary Flames (2) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (49-33-6) snapped a two-game losing streak in this series with a 4-2 victory on Friday. Calgary (53-25-10) hosts Game Seven on their home ice at the Scottiabank Saddledome.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Stars head coach Rick Bowness reunited Jason Roberson on the top line with Joe Pavelski and Rope Hintz on Friday — and Hintz scored a goal that Pavelski and Roberson assisted on while adding a second assist in the victory. The final goal was scored on an empty netter. But now back on the road, Calgary head coach Darryl Sutter can match up whatever two defensemen he wants against the top line that features Pavelski with the home team’s right to make the final line change. Dallas has scored only four times in the three previous games in Calgary in this series. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Stars’ last 4 games on the road. Dallas is getting outstanding goaltending from Jake Oettinger in this series. Oettinger has a .954 save percentage in the first six games — and he has a +7.3 Goals Save Above Expectation. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Stars’ last 8 games as an underdog — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by more than one goal. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flames have scored only four goals in their three games at home with three of them scored in their 3-1 victory in Game Five. While Oettinger’s efforts in this series are getting the most attention, Calgary’s Jacob Markstrom has been outstanding as well with a .945 save percentage and +4.1 goals saved above expectation. The Flames have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games in the playoffs when favored. Calgary has also played 7 of their last 10 playoff elimination games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Of the 24 combined goals scored in the six games in this series, only 13 of them have been scored at five-on-five even strength. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams when playing in Calgary. 25* NHL ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Calgary Flames (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-22 |
Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (71) and the Edmonton Oilers (72) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (47-30-11) has lost three of the last five games in this series after their 4-2 loss at home against the Oilers on Thursday. Edmonton (52-30-6) forced the climactic Game Seven with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have scored 17 goals in this series — but only 12 of these goals have been scored at even strength five-on-five. Even more troubling for the Los Angeles offensive attack, eight of these even-strength goals were scored in two games. In the other four games in this series, the Kings have scored just four goals at five-on-five play. And while Los Angeles has allowed four goals in each of the last two games in this series, the final goal they allowed on Thursday was an empty-netter. The Kings have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. They will benefit from having a veteran goaltender with tons of playoff experience in Jonathan Quick. Quick has a 4-0 record in Game Sevens for the Kings in a career that includes two Stanley Cup titles. In his 91 career starts, Quick has a 2.31 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage with 10 shutouts. And when playing with just one day of rest in the regular season, Quick posted a 2.18 GAA and a .922 save percentage. Edmonton has played 19 of their last 29 home games Under the Total after a victory against a Pacific Division rival — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total at home after a win on the road by more than one goal. And while the Oilers ended a two-game losing streak in this series with their Game Six victory, they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. Edmonton is getting great goaltending from Mike Smith who has a .931 save percentage in this series.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton plays this Game Seven at less than full strength. Defenseman Darnell Nurse is an offensive-minded blue-liner who remains suspended after his head butt against the Kings’ Phillip Danault. And Leon Draisaitl is questionable with an ankle injury he suffered on Thursday. Draisaitl did not participate in the morning skate and head coach Jay Woodcroft is not commenting on his status tonight. Edmonton would really miss Draisaitl — he is the team’s second-best player behind Connor McDavid who has five goals and three assists in this series. 10* NHL Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (71) and the Edmonton Oilers (72). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-22 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 4:37 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (77) and the Carolina Hurricanes (78) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (57-30-5) won their third game in the last four games in this series with their 5-2 victory at home on Thursday. Carolina (57-23-8) returns home to Raleigh to host this Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins took a 2-0 lead entering the third period on Thursday before taking a 4-1 lead just over halfway through the period. The Hurricanes pulled their goalie early in an attempt to get back into the game — and Boston scored an empty netter before Carolina added the final goal with an empty netter. All six games in this series have seen at least six combined goals — and the Total has risen to 6 in the last two games after the first four games had a Total of 5.5. This situation offers us good value for Game Seven. The Bruins have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Overs. Boston has also played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period of their last game. The Bruins have taken 37 minor penalties in this series which has helped contribute to five power-play goals by the Hurricanes. But in this Game Seven when the referees tend to swallow their whistles, Boston is not likely to not have their Power Play Kill Unit as active. Jeremy Swagman will once again be between the pipes for the Bruins after stopping 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Thursday. In his four starts in this series after taking over for Linus Ullmark after the first two games, he has a 2.51 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage. The rookie did his best goaltending on the road during the regular season where he posted a 2.08 GAA and a .926 save percentage in 23 games (22 starts) as compared to his 2.81 GAA and .898 save percentage in 19 games (18 starts at home). Carolina has been held to two goals in three of their last four games since Swayman became the goaltender for the Bruins in this series. They have played 16 of their last 22 games at home Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Hurricanes have also played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total at home when playing their third game in five days. Carolina returns home where they have only given up four goals in the previous four games in this series. Antti Raanta has been outstanding in those three home games as he stopped 74 of the 76 shots he has faced for a .974 save percentage. In his 13 regular-season starts at home, Raanta had a 2.06 GAA and a .924 save percentage. Raanta has been better than I thought he would be in this series playing for the injured Frederik Andersen. Raanta has a 2.46 GAA and a .926 save percentage in his five starts while getting injured in Game Two and not playing in Game Three.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 17 of their last 27 games at home Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Boston has played 8 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (77) and the Carolina Hurricanes (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-22 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins -114 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (56) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (55) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Series. THE SITUATION: Boston (52-30) has lost four of their last six games after their 5-1 loss on the road to the Hurricanes on Tuesday. Carolina (57-22-8) took a 3-2 series lead with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston looks to stave off elimination and force a decisive seventh game in this series. Attrition on their blue line has not helped their cause. They got back Charlie McAvoy on Tuesday who was out due to a positive COVID test — and now they expect to see his partner of their top defensive pair return with Hampus Lindolm probable after missing the last three games after taking a big hit in Game Two. Getting their top two defenders back and playing together is huge. And getting back home to TD Garden where head coach Bruce Cassidy gets to make the final line change also helps enormously. The fans won’t hurt either. Boston has won 36 of their last 51 home games when favored. Cassidy will put David Pastrnak back on the second line with Taylor Hall -- but he may still give extra shifts to him re-pairing with Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand for the “perfection” line. The Bruins have won 23 of their last 33 games after a loss — and they have won 13 of their last 18 games after a loss on the road. Boston has also won 10 of their last 13 games after a loss by three or more goals — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by four or more goals. Furthermore, the Bruins have won 8 of their last 10 games after losing four or five of their last six games — and they have won 10 of their last 13 games after allowing at least five goals. Rookie Jeremy Swayman is between the pipes tonight after taking over after Game Two. While he struggled on Tuesday, he posted a solid .925 save percentage in Games Three and Four at home which Boston won both. Carolina has outscored the Bruins by a 19-13 margin — but the Hurricanes are overachieving their expected goals numbers and actually have a negative 46.78% expected goals-for mark in this series when playing at five-on-five. Carolina had the number one Power Play Kill Unit in the regular season but surrendered four Power Play goals in the two previous games in Boston in this series. Antti Raanta has been playing over his head in this series with a .942 save percentage. In 15 games (13 starts) on the road this year, he has a mediocre 2.87 Goals-Against-Average and a .942 save percentage. The Hurricanes have lost 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog. They have also lost 16 of their last 21 playoff games as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has lost 11 of their last 14 games played in Boston against the Bruins. Expect this to be a seven-game series. 25* NHL Thursday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (56) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (55). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-22 |
Penguins v. Rangers -129 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (48) versus the Pittsburgh Penguins (47) in Game Five of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (53-26-7) returns home after losing both games on the road to the Penguins after a 7-2 loss on Monday. Pittsburgh (49-27-10) has taken a 3-1 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York lost Game Three of this series by a 7-4 score. Goalie Igor Shesterkin was pilled after the first period in Game Three after giving up four goals on 15 shots — and he only survived two periods on Monday after giving up six goals on 24 shots. But it has been the Rangers’ defense in front of him that has been the bigger problem. Shesterkin has +1.2 saves above expectation in this series. In the first two games of this series, he stopped 118 of the 124 shots he faced for a .952 save percentage. During the regular season, the likely Vezina Trophy winner posted a 1.85 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage in 30 games (29 starts at home). New York is a well-coached team under Gerard Gallant that should play better tonight back in from of their home crowd when facing elimination. The Rangers have won 8 of their last 11 games after a loss by three or more goals — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Furthermore, New York has won 15 of their last 22 games after losing two of their last three games. Additionally, the Rangers have won 24 of their last 35 games after playing their last game Over the Total — and they have won 14 of their last 17 games after playing two straight Overs. Back at home, New York has won 28 of their last 41 games on home ice — and they have won 21 of their last 30 home games when favored. And in the last 12 games coached by Gerard after his team allowed at least five goals in two straight games, his teams have then won the game 9 times. Pittsburgh has lost 7 of their last 10 games after a victory — and they have lost 6 of their last 9 games after a win by five or more goals. They have also lost 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Additionally, the Penguins have lost 20 of their last 29 road games after a win by four or more goals against a Metropolitan Division rival — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games on the road after playing a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. The Pens have lost 12 of their last 19 games on the road after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. On the road, Pittsburgh has lost 6 of their last 8 games — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog. The Penguins are dealing with injuries on their blue line with both Brian Dumoulin and Richard Rakell out tonight. And Pittsburgh remains reliant on third-string goaltender Louis Domingue with both Tristan Jarry and Casey DeSmith out with injuries. Dominque has just a .906 save percentage in this series — and he has a -2.3 saves below expectation rate.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have won 9 of their last 11 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a loss by two or more goals on the road. Pittsburgh has lost 5 of their last 7 games at Madison Square Garden against the Rangers. 25* NHL 1st Round Metropolitan Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the New York Rangers (48) versus the Pittsburgh Penguins (47). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-22 |
Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (39) and the Edmonton Oilers (40) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (46-29-11) comes off a 4-0 victory at home against the Oilers on Sunday. Edmonton (51-30-5) returns home with this series tied at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Kings head coach Todd McClellan found success playing the Phillip Danault forward line against the Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl line on Sunday. Danault is one of the best defensive forwards in the game. Los Angeles also got a vintage performance from goaltender Jonathan Quick who stopped all 31 of the shots he faced. The veteran was the team’s starting goaltender for their Stanley Cup championships in 2012 and 2014. After the Oilers scored six and eight goals in Games Two and Three, I think the tenor of this series has changed to be more defensive — and I suspect this may be the last game in this series where the Total is set at 6.5. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games after a win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after shutting out their last opponent. Los Angeles has also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals against a Pacific Division opponent — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after a win by more four or more goals. The Kings were a good defensive team in the regular season where they ranked 11th in the NHL in expected goals allowed per 60 minutes. But scoring will be a problem for this team as they have only scored one power-play goal in their 15 chances in this series. Moving forward, the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games in the playoffs as an underdog — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against Pacific Division foes. Edmonton has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by three or more goals — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home after a loss by four or more goals. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games at home after not scoring more than one goal in their last contest. They are getting great play from goaltender Mike Smith who has a 2.27 Goals-Against-Average and a .942 save percentage in this series. Smith was red-hot last month with a .951 save percentage in April.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 18-8-4 in the last 30 games between these teams when playing in Edmonton. The Oilers have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a shutout loss to their opponent. 25* NHL 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (39) and the Edmonton Oilers (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-22 |
Flames v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (37) and the Dallas Stars (38) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Calgary (51-24-10) has lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss on the road against the Stars on Saturday. Dallas (48-31-6) has won five of their last seven games while taking a 2-1 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: We have seen Johnny Gaudreau’s offensive productivity dip in the postseason before. Despite prolific regular-season performances in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 seasons, Calgary flamed out in the first (full) round of the playoffs in both campaigns. The Flames have scored only three times in the first three games of this series. Part of the problem for Calgary is the lack of scoring depth after their top line of Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk, and Elias Lindholm. When playing at home in Dallas with the right to make the final line change, head coach Rick Bowness can make sure that his top defensive pair of Miro Heiskanen and Ryan Suter take the ice when the Gaudreau line is playing. Heiskanen has not seen a goal scored against the Stars in his 78 minutes of ice time so far in this series. And while the Gaudreau has scored twice, the other forward lines have scored just once in the first three games of this series. The Flames have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They are getting great goaltending from Jacob Markstrom who has kept them competitive in all three games in this series despite their lack of scoring. Markstrom has stopped 65 of the 69 shots he has faced in this series for a 1.36 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage. In his 25 starts on the road this season, Markstrom has a 2.31 GAA and a .929 save percentage. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Flames’ last 9 games on the road — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Dallas preceded their victory on Saturday with a 2-0 shutout win in Game Two in Calgary. They have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after going unbeaten in their last two games — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by more than one goal. The Stars have not allowed more than two goals in four straight games and six of their last seven. Rookie goaltender Jake Oettinger loves playing against Pacific Division teams against which he has a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage in 16 games (15 starts). So far in this series, Oettinger has a 1.01 GAA and a .969 save percentage — and he has +3.7 saves above expectation. The Stars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 9-3-1 in Calgary’s last 13 games in the playoffs when favored — and they have played 11 of their last 17 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series. 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (37) and the Dallas Stars (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-22 |
Maple Leafs v. Lightning -115 |
Top |
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (26) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (25) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (52-25-8) looks to rebound from their 5-2 loss at home to the Maple Leafs on Friday. Toronto (57-27-7) took a 2-1 lead in this series with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay may not pull off the three-peat this season — but the defending champions remain very talented and will be a very tough out. They have been very reliable when bouncing back from a loss in the playoffs. Since 2020, they have won all 15 of their games after a loss in the postseason. Goaltender Andre Vasilevskiy has started in all 15 of those victories — and he has posted a 1.31 Goals-Against-Average with a .948 save percentage and five shutouts in those contests. Tampa Bay has also won 39 of their last 52 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 20 of their last 26 games after a loss at home by three or more goals. Furthermore, the Lightning have won 29 of their last 43 games when trailing in a playoff series. Toronto has lost 21 of their last 30 games when leading in a playoff series. While the Leafs are scoring 4.33 Goals-Per-Game in this series, they are not finding success on the Power Play. After leading the NHL with a Power Play that enjoyed a 27.3% success rate in the regular season, they are only converting on 13.3% of their Power Plays against the Lightning, ranking 11th in the playoffs. Toronto has lost 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has won 28 of their last 36 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals — and they have won 10 straight home games when playing with revenge from a loss at home. 25* NHL 1st Round Atlantic Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (26) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (25). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-22 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins -130 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (2) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (1) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (50-29-5) returns home trailing 0-2 in this series after losing by a 5-2 score on the road against the Hurricanes on Wednesday. Carolina (56-20-8) has won eight games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston has outshot the Hurricanes in both games of this series while winning the five-on-five battle — but they have not been able to put enough shots into net. Head coach Bruce Cassidy has responded to this situation by deciding to reunite the “perfection” line by moving David Pastrnak back with Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand after moving Pastrnak on the second line with Taylor Hall. The Bruins should play well tonight as they have won 12 of their last 17 games after a loss on the road — and they have won 9 of their last 12 games after a loss by three or more goals. Boston has also won 6 of their last 8 games after losing three of their last four games. They have also won 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. Cassidy turns to rookie Jeremy Swayman after Linus Ullmark allowed eight goals on 57 shots in the first two games of this series. The rookie had a 23-14-3 record as a starter in the regular season with a 2.41 Goals-Against-Average and a .914 save percentage. He stopped 21 of the 23 shots he faced in his lone game against the Hurricanes this season. The Bruins have won 35 of their last 51 home games when favored. Carolina committed nine penalties on Wednesday in what was a wild game — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games after taking at least eight penalties in their last game. The Hurricanes have lost 28 of their last 42 games after winning their two previous games at home by more than one goal. And while they the Hurricanes have scored at least four goals in five straight games, they have then lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least four goals in five straight games. Goalie Antti Raanta left Game Two midway through the first period with an injury which means rookie Pyotr Kochetkov will make his fifth appearance of the season. While he stoped 30 of the 32 shots he faced on Wednesday, this is a difficult assignment in making his first career postseason start in hostile territory. As it is, Carolina has lost 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog. They have also lost 8 of their last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has won 9 of their last 12 opportunities to host the Hurricanes on home ice. 25* NHL 1st Round Eastern Conference Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (2) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-22 |
Predators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Nashville (45-31-7) looks to rebound from their 7-2 loss in the opening game of this series. Colorado (57-20-6) snapped a two-game losing streak while taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Entering the postseason, I wanted to attack these 6.5 totals with Under plays ahead of the market before the reality of playoff hockey generates lower scoring games — but here I am endorsing a 25* play with an Over despite the number being at 6.5. Well, these are both high-scoring teams — and the Predators have a serious problem with their goaltending situation given the injury to Juuse Saros. David Rittich did not last the first period on Tuesday as he allowed in five goals on 13 shots. Rookie Connor Ingram played better by stopping 30 of the 32 shots he faced which were enough for head coach John Hynes to give him the nod as the starter tonight. It’s one thing to “only” give up two more goals entering a game where his team was already trailing by five goals — it is quite another to be facing the pressure of starting in a hostile environment tonight in a brand new game. In his three regular-season starts, Ingram had a 3.71 Goals-Against-Average and a .879 save percentage. He is facing perhaps the most potent scoring attack in the NHL which generates 4.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home at Ball Arena. The Avalanche rank sixth in the league with a Power Play unit that has a 24.3% success rate. The Predators give up 4.78 penalties per game which are the most in the league. Nashville only wins this game by scoring their share of goals. They are led by Matt Duchene and Filip Forsberg who both found the back of the net 40 times. They also boast a top-five Power Play unit in the NHL. The Predators have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after playing a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Furthermore, they have played 4 straight Overs after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. On the road, the Over is 36-16-1 in their last 53 games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total with the total set at 6 or higher. And in their last 8 road games, Nashville has played 7 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, the Predators have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and they have played 22 of their last 27 games Over the Total against Central Division rivals. Colorado has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total at home after a victory against divisional opponents — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a win by three or more goals against a Central Division foe. The Avalanche have now played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Colorado is vulnerable on defense — they have allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Tuesday — but in his ten starts last month, he registered a lukewarm 3.28 GAA and a .910 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 4 straight Overs when playing in Colorado. Nashville has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by two or more goals. The Predators can still feel very good about themselves with an upset win tonight — but they can only do that by pulling out a high-scoring game. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-22 |
Blues v. Wild -131 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (66) versus the St. Louis Blues (65) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (53-23-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 4-0 loss at home to the Blues on Monday. St. Louis (50-23-10) has won four of their last six games while taking a 1-0 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Minnesota actually won the expected goals battle by a 3.44 to 3.129 margin — but their inability to score on their six power-play opportunities let them down. The Blues scored on their first two power plays to seize an early lead — and they got a surprising shutout performance from goaltender Ville Husso making his first career postseason start. Minnesota outshot St. Louis by a 37-31 margin. The Wild should play better tonight. They have won 9 of their last 10 games after a loss at home — and they have won 15 of their last 18 games after a loss at home to a Central Division rival. Furthermore, Minnesota has won 8 straight games after a loss at home by more than one goal — and they have won 13 of their last 15 games after a loss at home by three or more goals. Additionally, the Wild have won 14 of their last 20 games after not scoring more than two goals — and they have won 9 of their last 11 games after getting shut out in their last game. They stay at home where they have won 51 of their last 68 games — and they have won 43 of their last 54 home games when favored. They have also won 24 of their last 33 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. Marc-Andre Fleury will be between the pipes again tonight after stopping 27 shots on Monday but surrendering four goals in that game with three of them coming off rebounds. Fleury is a veteran with plenty of successful playoff experience — and he posted a 9-2-0 record in his 11 starts after being shipped to Minnesota from Chicago at the trade deadline. St. Louis has lost 3 of their last 4 games after a road victory where they shut out their opponent. They have also lost 6 of their last 9 games after playing a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Blues have scored at least three goals in six straight games — but they have then lost 14 of their last 20 games on the road after scoring at least three goals in their last four contests. Let’s fade Husso who has been a journeyman goalie before his career season this year as he got more playing time for the fading Jordan Binnington. While Husso had a 2.34 Goals-Against-Average with a .926 save percentage in 21 starts at home, those numbers rose to a 2.82 GAA on the road in 19 games (17 starts) with a .911 save percentage. St. Louis has still lost 6 of their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a loss at home by four or more goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (66) versus the St. Louis Blues (65). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-22 |
Kings v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (59) and the Seattle Kraken (60). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (43-27-10) has won four games in a row after their 4-2 victory against Anaheim on Saturday. Seattle (26-47-6) is on a three-game losing streak after their 5-2 loss at Vancouver last night.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have clinched a spot in the Western Conference playoffs — but they are still jockeying for seeding. This is a defensive-first team that will want to maintain that focus in the final days of regular season before the intensity from the playoffs amps up. Los Angeles has seen six or fewer combined goals scored in eight of their last eleven games. They are only scoring 2.85 Goals-Per-Game in their last 13 contests. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games after a win — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Jonathan Quick is the likely goaltender tonight for the Kings. The veteran is playing his best hockey entering the postseason — he has a 2.11 Goals-Against-Average in his seven starts this month. In his last four starts, he has a .944 save percentage — and he has not allowed more than two goals in any of these four games. They hit the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Seattle has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a loss by three or more goals. The Kraken have seen six or less fewer combined goals scored in seven of their last eleven games. They are likely to turn to Chris Dredger between the pipes tonight. He has allowed two or less goals in four of his last seven starts. He also has played quite well in his two previous starts against Kings against which he stopped 55 of the 58 shots he faced fora .948 save percentage. This expansion team has been a solid defensive team that ranks ninth in the NHL in expected goals allowed per 60 minutes when playing at five-on-five full strength. Seattle has played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles will be motivated to avenge a 6-1 loss at home to the Kraken on March 28th — and they have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (59) and the Seattle Kraken (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-22 |
Maple Leafs v. Capitals -114 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-114 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (14) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (13). THE SITUATION: Washington (44-23-11) has won three of their last four games after their 2-0 victory at Arizona on Friday. Toronto (51-21-7) has lost two games in a row after their 3-2 loss in overtime at Florida.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington is safely in the Eastern Conference playoffs — but they still want to pass Pittsburgh in the standings to avoid playing the red-hot Florida Panthers in the first round. They are two points behind the Penguins going into tonight’s game. The Capitals are 7-1-1 in their last nine games — and they are scoring 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. Washington has won 5 of their last 7 games after winning their last game on the road with a shut out. They return home for the first time since April 12th — and they have won 21 of their last 31 home games after being on the road for at least seven days. The Capitals have beaten playoff teams like Tampa Bay, Colorado, Boston, and Pittsburgh during their recent run. They have won 11 of their last 13 games against Eastern Conference opponents — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games when favored. Toronto has lost 8 of their last 12 road games after losing to an Atlantic Division rival on the road in their last game. They have lost 8 of their last 11 games after playing in overtime the previous day. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games when playing their second game on the road in two days. The Maple Leafs have little to play for being locked into the second slot in the Atlantic. Head coach Sheldon Keefe may elect to rest key starters — Auston Matthews is listed as questionable as it is and defenseman Michael Bunting left the game against the Panthers with an injury that will probably keep him out tonight at least out of precaution. Erik Kallgren is the confirmed goaltender tonight. He has a 4.76 Goals-Against-Average and an .841 save percentage in six games and five starts on the road. Toronto has lost 7 of their last 9 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Washington will be motivated to avenge a 7-3 loss at Toronto on April 14th — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. The Capitals have also won 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss by four or more goals. And in their last 15 opportunities to host the Maple Leafs, they have won 11 of these games. 10* NHL Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Washington Capitals (14) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (13). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-09-22 |
Senators v. Rangers UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-5 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the New York Rangers (12). THE SITUATION: New York (46-20-6) has won two straight games and six of their last eight contests after their 3-0 shutout victory against Pittsburgh on Thursday. Ottawa (26-38-6) had their three-game winning streak snapped with their 3-2 loss to Nashville on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have seen no more than six combined goals scored in eight of their last twelve games. They have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory. While the team improved their depth at the trade deadline with several additions to the team, New York still ranks 28th in the league in five-on-five scoring. Goalie Igor Shesterkin is the difference-maker for this team. He stopped all 30 shots he faced against the Penguins for that shutout. He has not allowed more than three goals in five straight starts. Shesterkin leads the league with a .935 save percentage — and he also leads the NHL in saves above expected saves rate. He thrives when playing at home in Madison Square Garden where he has a 1.89 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage in 25 starts. The Rangers have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total when favored. They have also played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents — and the Under is 26-10-1 in their last 37 games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Ottawa has played 13 of the last 18 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Senators are just 22nd in the NHL in expected goals when playing at five-on-five even strength — and they will be missing two of their offensive threats with Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson out for tonight’s game with injuries. But Ottawa remains a feisty opponent given their physical defensive play. They are 12th in the league with their Power Play Kill Unit. They are also getting outstanding play from Anton Forsberg who will be between the pipes tonight. He has a .925 save percentage in his last nine starts while not allowing more than three goals in all nine games. In 19 starts on the road, Forsberg has a 2.42 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage. The Under is 10-3-1 in Ottawa’s last 14 road games as an underdog. Additionally, the Under is 18-7-1 in the Senators’ last 26 games as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 19-7-1 in their last 27 games against Eastern Conference opponents — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams from the Metropolitan Division.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played seven of their last eight encounters with no more than six combined goals scored. The Under is 19-6-4 in the last 29 games played between these two teams at Madison Square Garden. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the New York Rangers (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-08-22 |
Bruins v. Lightning -145 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-145 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (78) versus the Boston Bruins (77). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (43-20-7) has lost three straight games after their 4-3 loss at Washington on Wednesday. Boston (43-22-5) had their three-game winning streak end in a 5-3 loss at Detroit on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: As the two-time reigning Stanley Cup champions, this team appears to be lacking much motivation in the dog days of the regular. This will be a playoff team in the Eastern Conference. But when they are motivated, the Lightning can still play as good of hockey as anyone. They have won 9 of their last 14 games after a loss on the road — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after losing by just one goal on the road. Losing three straight games should provide enough of a wake-up call for head coach John Cooper’s team. They above won 13 straight games after losing three of their last four games. Tampa Bay is still potent on offense — they are fifth in the NHL by averaging 13.19 High Danger Chances per game. But their defense has been an issue after they have allowed at least four goals in three straight games. They have won 13 of their last 20 games after allowing at least three goals in their last two games — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games after allowing at least three goals in at least three straight contests. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has been off after allowing 10 goals from 67 shots in his last two games. But he returns home now where he has a sparkling 2.20 Goals-Against-Average and a .921 save percentage in 28 starts this season. The Lightning have won 40 of their last 60 games at home with the Total set at 6. Boston lost at Detroit despite outshooting them by a 50-28 margin. But the Bruins have now lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road as an underdog. Additionally, Boston has also lost 16 of their last 21 games against the Lightning — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 games against them in Tampa Bay. Linus Ullmark is their goaltender tonight. He is the weaker link of the duo with Jeremy Swayman and him. He has a 2.52 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage in 18 starts on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Boston won the last meeting between these two teams by a 3-2 score on March 24th. The Lightning have won 20 of their last 24 games when avenging a loss on the road. They have also won 17 of their last 19 games at home when avenging a same-season loss — and they have won 11 straight games at home when playing with revenge from a loss by just one goal. 20* NHL Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (78) versus the Boston Bruins (77). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-22 |
Kings v. Flames OVER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-111 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (36-23-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 4-3 loss in overtime at Edmonton on Wednesday. Calgary (40-19-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 2-1 loss to Colorado on Tuesday. UPDATE (8:45 PM ET): I am seeing that the Kings are sending out Cal Peterson in goal, going against the earlier projections (although the LA goalie was never announced before pre-skate). The Over is still a 25* play — Peterson has a 2.83 GAA and an .899 save percentage since the All-Star Break and a 2.88 GAA with an .899 save percentage in 16 starts on the road this season.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings are ravaged with injuries on their blue line right now. Drew Doughty, Sean Walker, Matt Roy, and Mikey Anderson are all out. Not coincidentally, Los Angeles has allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They have seen at least six combined goals in five straight games. But the Kings’ offense has stepped up as of late as they are averaging 3.5 Goals-Per-Game in their last four contests. For the season, Los Angeles is eighth in the NHL in expected goals at even strength five-on-five. The Kings have played 4 straight games Over the Total after going to overtime in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Furthermore, while Los Angeles has seen seven combined goals scored in two straight contests, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Jonathan Quick will be the goaltender tonight. For the season, he has a middling 2.68 Goals-Against-Average and a .909 save percentage in 38 starts — but his performance has dipped since the All-Star Break with a 2.83 GAA and a .898 save percentage in his last ten starts. Quick has a 3.23 GAA and an .873 save percentage in seven starts against Pacific Division rivals. Moving forward, the Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by one goal on home ice. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals — and the Over is 18-6-3 in their last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. And while the Flames have peppered at least 31 shots in five straight games, they have then played 30 of their last 43 games at home Over the Total after playing five straight games where they registered at least 30 shots. Calgary had seen at least six combined goals scored in four straight games before their contest with the Avalanche. They are fourth in the NHL in expected goals scored at even strength — and they are scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last seven contests. They counter with Jacob Markstrom between the pipes tonight. While he has a 2.16 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 52 starts this season — but he carries an .889 save percentage in his last four starts. He also has a 2.61 GAA with a .909 save percentage in his 15 starts against Pacific Division rivals.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against Western Conference foes — and the Over is 3-1-1 in the Flames’ last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. 25* NHL Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-12-22 |
Lightning -120 v. Oilers |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (79) versus the Edmonton Oilers (80). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (37-14-6) has lost two in a row after their 4-1 loss at Calgary on Thursday. Edmonton (31-24-3) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 4-3 victory against Buffalo on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay does not lose often by multiple goals — and they have dropped two in a row by three goals after losing in Calgary by a 7-4 score on Tuesday. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games after a loss on the road — and they have won 39 of their last 51 games after a loss by three or more goals. Tampa Bay has also won 28 of their last 32 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game — and this includes them winning seven of their last eight games after not netting at least two pucks in their last game. Furthermore, the Lightning have won 15 of their last 22 games after losing two in a row — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is getting the night off for rest which is why the price has dropped below my -150 price threshold — but Brian Elliott has been serviceable as his backup this season. The veteran last played on March 3rd when stopped 22 of 23 shots in a 3-1 victory against Detroit. In eight games and seven starts on the road, Elliott has a 2.42 Goals-Against-Average with a .911 save percentage this season. Tampa Bay has won 43 of their last 63 road games when favored. Edmonton has lost four of their last six games - and they have lost 10 of their last 14 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. Mikko Koskinen gets the start in net tonight. In 15 games with 13 starts at home, he has been saddled with a 3.49 GAA and an .889 save percentage. The Oilers have lost 41 of their last 60 games at home as an underdog — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games as a dog this season.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has won 13 of their last 18 games against Western Conference opponents — and they have won 5 in a row against Edmonton. 20* NHL Saturday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (79) versus the Edmonton Oilers (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-22 |
Bruins v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (30-17-4) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win at Seattle on Thursday. San Jose (23-22-6) snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 4-3 victory against the New York Islanders on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has been outstanding defense — they are allowing only 2.04 expected goals (xGF) per 60 minutes this month. They have held their last five opponents to just 2.2 goals per game. And while they have peppered the opposing goalie with at least 33 shots in three straight games, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road after attempting at least 33 shots in three straight games. They are only scoring 2.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests as they continue to be held back with their secondary scoring after their “perfection line” of Patrice Bergeron (who is listed as probable tonight despite an illness), Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak. They continue their road trip where the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games on the road. Jeremy Swayman is their goaltender tonight. Swayman has a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage — and he ranks seventh in saves above expectation for goalies with at least 10 games played this season. In his 11 games (10 starts) on the road, Swayman has a 1.59 GAA and a .945 save percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 5-0-1 in Boston’s last 6 games against teams with a losing record. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Sharks’ victory against the Islanders was preceded by a 4-3 loss at Anaheim — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Furthermore, San Jose has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Sharks are missing Erik Karlsson to help out their attack. The defenseman is out indefinitely with an upper-body injury — and his absence exacerbates their lack of scoring punch from their bottom-six forwards. San Jose has a low 1.95 GF per 60 minutes this month — and they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They turn to James Reimer as their goaltender tonight who is having a solid season. Reimer owns a 2.90 GAA with a .913 save percentage — and he has made +2.9 saves above expectation. The Sharks have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning record.
FINAK TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents — and the Under is 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games against Western Conference foes. The Sharks will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss to the Bruins on October 24th — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. The Under is also 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams when playing in San Jose. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-27-22 |
Flames v. Blues -130 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (44) versus the Calgary Flames (43). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (25-12-5) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 7-1 loss in Calgary against this Flames team. Calgary (20-12-6) has won three of their last four games after following that victory with a 6-0 shutout win at Columbus last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis returns home rested and ready to avenge that bad loss on Monday to the Flames. The Blues have won 11 of their last 16 games after a loss this season — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games this season after a loss on the road. Furthermore, St. Louis has won 8 of their last 11 games after playing a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Back at home at the Enterprise Center, the Blues have won 13 of their last 16 games — and they have won 16 of their last 21 games at home when favored. They are enjoying a breakout season right wing Jordan Kyrou who leads the team with 41 points in his 38 games played. Backup goaltender Ville Husso get the start tonight for Jordan Binnington who got roughed up in Monday’s game — and he is having an outstanding season. Husso has a 1.88 Goals-Against-Average with a .943 save percentage in 12 starts (13 appearances) this season. At home, Husso has been even better with a 1.74 GAA and a .940 save percentage in seven starts. And in his five starts (six games) this month, Husso has a 1.13 GAA and a .965 save percentage. St. Louis has won 7 of their last 8 games against teams from the Western Conference — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary is on a heater right now with their offensive attack -- they have averaged a whopping 52.3 shots in their last three games. But the Flames have lost 5 of their last 7 games after putting up at least 33 shots in three straight games. They stay on the road where they have lost 4 of their last 5 games — and they have lost 4 straight road games as the money-line underdog. They counter with Daniel Vladar between the pipes who will be making just his fifth start since December. Vladar has a 2.73 GAA and a .910 save percentage in his nine starts this year — but his best work was early in the season. In his four starts since December, he has a rough 4.17 GAA and an .869 save percentage. He has allowed at least four goals in his last three starts — and he got burned with six goals in his most recent start in Carolina on January 7th. Calgary has lost 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog overall. Additionally, the Flames have lost 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 15 of their last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.
FINAL TAKE: The laptops like Calgary with their good underlying five-on-five metrics — and those numbers are not so high on the Blues. But those numbers have limitations that the team trends referenced above expose a bit. It is a bad situation for the Flames playing the second game on the road without rest with a rusty and struggling goaltender. Calgary has lost 4 of their last 5 games against the Blues — and they have lost 10 of their last 13 games in St. Louis. The Blues have won 8 of their 10 opportunities for revenge this season — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL Game of Month with the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (44) versus the Calgary Flames (43). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-14-21 |
Seattle Kraken v. Sharks -125 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (40) versus the Seattle Kraken (39). THE SITUATION: San Jose (15-12-1) has won two of their last three games after their 2-1 win against Dallas on Saturday. Seattle (9-15-3) has lost three in a row after a 5-4 loss to Columbus on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SHARKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Jose should continue to build off their momentum as they have won 10 of their last 14 games after a win at home by just one goal — and they have won 8 of their last 9 home games after not allowing more than one goal in their last contest. The Sharks have not scored more than two goals in each of their last two games — but they have won 5 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. They have also won 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. James Reimer should be between the pipes tonight — he has a 1.98 Goals-Against-Average with a .931 save percentage in 15 games (14 starts). This is the first meeting between these two teams — and San Jose has won 5 of their last 6 games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Seattle has lost 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least four goals in their last game. The Kraken has allowed at least three goals in six straight games. Seattle has lost 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least two goals in their last game — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. Furthermore, the Kraken have lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least three goals in at least four straight games. Chris Driedger is the confirmed goaltender for Seattle tonight. He has played in only five games this season with four starts while battling injuries — but he has struggled with a 3.60 GAA and an .876 save percentage. The Kraken has lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Seattle has lost 5 of their last 6 games against Pacific Division rivals — and San Jose has won 4 of their last 5 games against Pacific Division foes. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (40) versus the Seattle Kraken (39). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-21 |
Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (13-9-4) has won three of their last four games after their 3-0 win at Seattle last night. Vancouver (10-15-2) has won two straight and four of their last five after their 2-1 win against Boston on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 6-2-2 in the Jets’ last 10 games after a win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals. Winnipeg has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Jets stay on the road where they are scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game as opposed to their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game scoring average overall. Winnipeg has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. They turn to Eric Comrie between the pipes who has been solid with a 2.49 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage in six games (five starts). The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Vancouver has seen the Under go 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a win. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Canucks’ last 8 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Vancouver has only allowed one goal in their two games since manager Bruce Boudreau took over as their new head coach on December 5th. The Canucks stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game on home ice. Additionally, the Under is 20-5-4 in their last 29 games at home — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 home games when favored. Thatcher Demko should be in goal tonight after stopping 35 of 36 shots against the Bruins on Wednesday. Demko sports a 2.21 GAA and a .931 save percentage in 11 starts at home this season. He has a 1.73 GAA and a .947 save percentage in four starts this month.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Canucks’ last 4 games against Western Conference opponents — and the Under is 7-3-1 in the Jets’ last 11 games against Western Conference opponents. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total as well. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-07-21 |
Flames v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-129 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). THE SITUATION: Calgary (15-5-5) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss in Las Vegas against the Golden Knights on Sunday. San Jose (13-11-1) has lost two in a row with their 6-4 loss at Columbus on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Flames have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by one goal. Calgary has also played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flames are playing fierce defense for head coach Daryl Sutter — they are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. They stay on the road where they are allowing just 1.9 Goals-Per-Game. Calgary has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Backup goaltender Daniel Vladar gets the starting assignment tonight — but he has been spectacular this season. Vladar has a 1.78 Goals-Against-Average with a .939 save percentage in six starts all on the road. He also has two shutouts. The Flames have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Pacific Division rivals. San Jose has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals. Additionally, the Sharks have played 5 straight Unders after losing at least two in a row. San Jose has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 26 of their last 34 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. In their last five games, the Sharks are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Adin Hill likely will be between the pipes tonight. In three starts this month, Hill has a 2.35 GAA and a .914 save percentage. San Jose returns home for the first time since November 26th. The Sharks have played 8 straight home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least a week. San Jose has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. The Sharks have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as the underdog.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-24-21 |
Wild -115 v. Devils |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (29) versus the New Jersey Devils (39). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (11-6-1) have lost two straight and three of their last four after their 5-4 loss in a shootout at Tampa Bay on Sunday. New Jersey (8-5-3) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 5-3 win at Tampa Bay on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Minnesota should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have won 15 of their last 22 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Wild have also won 10 of their last 11 games after losing two in a row. Additionally, Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 games when playing with two days of rest — and they have won 15 of their last 21 games when playing their third game on the road in a five-day stretch. Goalie Cam Talbot got the day off in the loss to the Lightning so he should be between the pipes again tonight. While he has a 3.55 Goals-Against-Average with an .872 save percentage in five home starts, he sports a 2.60 GAA with a .921 save percentage in nine starts on the road. The Wild have allowed at least four goals in two straight games — but they have then won 9 straight games after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. Minnesota has also won 9 of their last 12 road games when favored. New Jersey has lost 23 of their last 32 games at home after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have lost 14 of their last 18 home games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Devils have allowed at least three goals in four straight games — and they have lost 19 of their last 27 games after allowing at least three goals in four straight games. MacKenzie Blackwood should be in goal tonight with six starts under his belt since returning from an early-season injury. He has an unappealing 3.03 Goals-Against-Average so far this year. New Jersey returns home where they have lost 24 of their last 34 games — and they have lost 28 of their last 41 home games with the Total set at 6. The Devils have also lost 28 of their last 41 home games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has won 37 of their last 53 games when favored. Look for them to end their losing streak tonight against a young Devils team still playing without an injured Jack Hughes. 25* NHL Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (29) versus the New Jersey Devils (39). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-18-21 |
Stars v. Wild -134 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (16) versus the Dallas Stars (15). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (10-5-0) has lost two of their last three games after their 4-1 loss to San Jose on Tuesday. Dallas (6-6-2) has won two in a row with their 5-2 win against Detroit two days ago.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas is overvalued by the market just over a year ago from reaching the Stanley Cup Finals in the bubble. They did not make the playoffs last season — and their record this year is propped up by them winning four of their six games in overtime or shootout. The Stars have only won two of their eight games decided in regulation time. Dallas has lost 5 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have lost 10 of their last 11 road games after a win or tie in their last game. They go back on the road where they have lost 5 of their last 7 games — and they have lost 19 of their last 27 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Anton Khudobin is the confirmed goalie for the Stars tonight. He has a 3.03 Goals-Against-Average and an .897 save percentage in five starts and six games this season. In his four games and three starts on the road, Khudobin has a 3.39 GAA and .891 save percentage. The Stars have lost 4 of their last 5 games against fellow Central Division rivals. Minnesota is off to a fast start despite only getting three goals in their best player, Kirill Kaprizov. They took a tough loss to the Sharks on Tuesday — but they have rebounded to win 19 of their last 26 games after a loss at home. The Wild have also won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games after a loss by three or more goals on home ice. Minnesota has won 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Cam Talbot has underwhelmed so far this season with a 2.91 GAA and a .902 save percentage. Talbot was the goalie on Tuesday — and he does have a 2.36 GAA and .927 save percentage in his three starts when playing with one day of rest this year. The Wild stay at home where they have won 24 of their last 32 games — and they have won 35 of their last 51 home games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has won 16 of their last 23 games against teams with a losing record — and Dallas has lost 22 of their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. 25* NHL Central Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (16) versus the Dallas Stars (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-12-21 |
Flyers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (61) and the Carolina Hurricanes (62). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-3-2) has lost two of their last three games with their 3-0 loss to Toronto on Wednesday. Carolina (10-1-0) rebounded from their first loss of the season against Florida with a 2-1 win in overtime at Tampa Bay on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have not scored more than two goals in three of their last four games. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Now after being on the road since October 31st, Carolina returns home — and the Under is 21-8-2 in their last 31 home games after being on the road for at least seven days. The Under is also 20-8-2 in the Hurricanes’ last 30 games on home ice. They are holding their guests to just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game this season. Frederik Andersen has been outstanding between the pipes for this team after being signed in the offseason as a free agent. Andersen has a 1.73 Goals-Against-Average with a .939 save percentage in ten starts — and he owns a 1.25 GAA with a .954 save percentage in his four starts at home. Philadelphia has not scored more than two goals in five of their last six games. They have played 4 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flyers have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by three or more goals. They go on the road where they are scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Goalie Carter Hart has been solid in net with a 2.49 GAA and a .924 save percentage — and he is on fire in his three starts this month with a 1.98 GAA and a .939 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games against fellow opponents from the Eastern Conference. 10* NHL Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (61) and the Carolina Hurricanes (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-09-21 |
Panthers -132 v. Devils |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-132 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (13) versus the New Jersey Devils (14). THE SITUATION: Florida (10-1-1) had their two-game winning streak snapped last night with a 4-3 loss at New York against the Rangers. New Jersey (5-3-2) had their three-game losing streak snapped with a 3-2 victory at San Jose on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I have been waiting on the determination of the starting goaltender for Florida with Sergei Bobrovsky questionable with the upper-body injury that kept him out of the final two periods of his last game against Washington on Thursday. If the Panthers would have turned to Evan Patrick, I would have likely passed on this game — but Spencer Knight is going to start again tonight after giving up four goals last night. He should be feisty to redeem himself from last night’s subpar effort. He still has a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average and a .915 save percentage in his three other starts on the road. He starred in the playoffs last year with a 2.06 GAA and a .933 save percentage in two starts last year. Florida has won 17 of their last 23 games after a loss — and they have won 21 of their last 29 games after a loss on the road. The Panthers have won 17 of their last 22 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. And in their last 5 games played without rest, Florida has won 4 of these games. They are scoring 4.1 Goals-Per-Game — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road. New Jersey has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 12 of their last 15 games after a win by just one goal on the road. The Devils have lost 12 of their last 14 games on home ice after losing three of their last four games. They do return home where they have lost 23 of their last 31 games. MacKenzie Blackwood is the confirmed goalie for New Jersey after making his first start of the season on Friday when he allowed three goals on 29 shots in Los Angeles against the Kings. In 19 starts at home last year, Blackwood had a 3.32 GAA and an .882 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Florida has won 7 of their last 10 road games when favored. The Devils have lost 37 of their last 51 home games as an underdog. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (13) versus the New Jersey Devils (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
07-07-21 |
Canadiens v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
113 |
0 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32) in Game Five of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Montreal (37-28-12) extended this series to a fifth game with their 3-2 victory in overtime on Monday. Tampa Bay (50-20-7) returns home where they can still lift the Stanley Cup tonight with their 3-1 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning a game in overtime — including playing 7 of their 9 games this season Under the Total after a win in OT. Montreal has also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 22 of their last 32 games on the road Under the Total after a victory by just one goal. Carey Price regained the form he had in the first three games of this series by stopping 32 of the 34 shots he faced. The Under is 3-1-3 in the Canadiens’ last 7 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Montreal goes back on the road where the Under is 3-1-2 in their last 6 games away from home. Tampa Bay has played 15 of their last 22 playoff games Under the Total when playing at home with a lead in the playoff series. The Lightning have also played 18 of their last 25 playoff games Under the Total in Game Fives. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed three goals on the 21 shots he faced. He should play better tonight back at home where he had a 1.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage in the regular season. He has a 1.99 GAA and a .935 save percentage in this postseason. And in his six previous starts in these playoffs after a loss, Vasilevskiy has stopped 152 of the 160 shots he faced for a .950 save percentage with three shutouts.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played 24 of their last 32 playoff games Under the Total with the opportunity to close out the series. The Under is 25-8-9 in Montreal’s last 42 playoff games as an underdog. 10* NHL Wednesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
07-05-21 |
Lightning -143 v. Canadiens |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-143 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22) in Game Four of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (50-20-6) took a commanding 3-0 lead in the Stanley Cup Finals with their 6-3 victory. Montreal (36-28-12) hosts this game looking to avoid a sweep and force a fifth game back in Tampa Bay.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I passed on the side play in Game Three and used that contest as a “wait and see” opportunity for Game Four. Montreal needed Game Three — and they were simply dominated. The Canadiens’ game is dependent on scoring first where they can then play defensively and lean on goalie Carey Price. They are 11-2 in the postseason when scoring first — but they have lost 6 of their 7 games when their opponent scores first. Montreal was trailing 2-0 in this crucial Game Three less than 3:30 minutes into the first period. The Canadiens are getting outplayed — and they have been outscored by a 14-5 goal margin. But the biggest difference has been the decline of play in Price. After the veteran goaltender has carried his team in the first three rounds of the playoffs, Price has not played well at all in this series. Besides allowing 13 goals, in the first three games of this series, he has a -6.2 saves below the expected number for the average goalie. Price has a .835 save percentage in this series after posting a .931 save percentage in Round One, a .941 save percentage in Round Two, and then a .933 save percentage in Round Three against Vegas. Maybe Montreal is tired? Maybe they are simply facing a team that is better against them? Maybe both. But I do not see the Canadiens picking themselves off the mat tonight. Montreal has lost 4 straight games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have lost 13 of their last 19 games after playing a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. They surrendered two goals in the third period — and they have lost 16 of their last 25 games after allowing at least two goals in the third period. They are playing at home — but they have lost 13 of their last 17 games at home on a three-game losing streak. Tampa Bay is 15-2 when they score first in these playoffs — and they have three lines that can score the first goal in this game against a goalie in Price that is now lacking in confidence. They are scoring 4.67 Goals-Per-Game in this series. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been the better goaltender in this series — and the entire playoffs. He has a 1.67 Goals-Against-Average and a .948 save percentage in this series — and he has a 1.94 GAA and a .938 save percentage in the postseason overall. Tampa Bay has won 6 of their last 8 road games when favored — and they have won 26 of their last 36 games in the playoffs when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning have won 14 of their last 16 meetings against the Canadiens — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against them when playing in the Bell Centre in Montreal. Tampa Bay’s recent playoff experience should really help them tonight as they look to lift the Stanley Cup twice in a ten-month span. While there may be a fleeting thought about the positive benefit of losing this game to then win the Stanley Cup back at home in Game Five after not winning the Cup win fans in the stands last fall — but this is a too savvy a group to be foolish enough to give away games against a goaltender who can get on a hot streak again. 25* National Hockey League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
07-02-21 |
Lightning v. Canadiens UNDER 5 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the Montreal Canadiens (12) in Game Three of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (49-20-6) has won three straight games after winning Game Two of this series by a 3-1 score on Wednesday. Montreal (36-27-12) returns home trailing 2-0 in the series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 8-1-2 in the Lightning’s last 11 games after a win — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win at home by more than one goal. The Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games after allowing no more than two goals. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has stopped 60 of the 62 shots he has faced in this series for a .968 save percentage. He has a 1.89 Goals-Against-Average and a .939 save percentage in the postseason. Tampa Bay go back on the road where the Under is 9-1-3 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 3-0-2 in their last 5 road games when favored. The Lightning have also played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a win at home. And in their last 21 playoff games where they have the lead in the series, the game finished Under the Total. Montreal returns home where they have not allowed more than two goals in six straight games. Goalie Carey Price has a .942 save percentage in his last six playoff games at home this postseason. The Canadiens get head coach Dominique Ducharme back for this game after he cleared COVID quarantine protocols. Playing at home will help Montreal since Ducharme can get Phillip Danault on the ice to defend the Brayden Point/Nikita Kucherov/Ondrej Palat top line. That forward group has scored four times in the first two games — all against the Canadiens’ forward line that has Nick Suzuki at center. The 21-year-old has been a breakout star this postseason - but his defensive chops have a ways to go. The Under is 25-7-8 in Montreal’s last 40 playoff games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 home games when an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Canadiens have played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge from two losses by more than one goal. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-Montreal NBC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the Montreal Canadiens (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-28-21 |
Canadiens v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (61) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (62) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Montreal (36-25-12) has won 11 of their last 13 games with their 3-2 win in overtime against Vegas last Thursday to close out that series in six games. Tampa Bay (47-20-6) comes off a 1-0 win against the New York Islanders last Friday to win that semifinals series in seven games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Montreal completely frustrated the Golden Knights' attack in that six-game series — Vegas did not score more than two goals in the final five games. Carey Price is playing as well as he has at any point in his career. He carries a 2.02 Goals-Against-Average and a .934 save percentage in the postseason into tonight’s game. The Canadiens have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win by one goal at home. Montreal has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win in overtime. Additionally, the Under is 35-17-2 in the Canadiens’ last 54 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Montreal has scored seven combined goals in their last two games — but they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least two goals in their last two games. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-2 in the Canadiens’ last 6 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Tampa Bay has played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a shutout win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory at home where they shut out their opponent. The Under is also 8-1-2 in the Lightning’s last 11 games after a win — and the Under is 6-1-2 after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They are getting outstanding goaltending from the likely Vezina Trophy winner tomorrow night in Andrei Vasilevskiy who has a 1.99 GAA with a .936 save percentage and four shutouts this postseason. The Tampa Bay attack — and power play — may be slowed down if top-line left wing Nikita Kucherov is not close to 100% with the hip injury he suffered in Game Six against the Islanders. He played just over 16 minutes in Game Seven to give his team an emotional lift — but the Lightning attack was not the same. The Under is 7-3-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 11 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 5-2-3 in the Lightning’s last 10 games in the Stanley Cup Finals — and the Under is 24-6-8 in the Canadiens’ last 38 playoff games as an underdog. In the first game between these two teams all season, expect a cagey, low-scoring affair. Both these teams did not see more than five combined goals in their Game Ones last round against unfamiliar teams in their first game out of division all season. 25* NHL NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (61) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-25-21 |
Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32) in Game Seven of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (43-28-8) forced a climactic seventh game in this series with their 3-2 victory in overtime on Wednesday. Tampa Bay (46-20-6) returns home to host this Game Seven having lost two of their last three games in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Islanders have played a decisive 41 of their last 63 road games Under the Total after a win or tie in their last game. They have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a win at home this season — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win at home by just one goal. New York has also played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Islanders are outplaying the Lightning when playing at even strength. They have held them to only 7.67 High Danger Chances per game in this series — and they are scoring only 1.85 expected goals per game at five-on-five. Tampa Bay is thriving when they get on the power play. While their 29.4% success rate with the man-advantage in this series is below their 37.7% mark in this postseason, it is still well above their 23.1% success rate during the regular season. The Islanders were the least penalized team during the regular season. The referees tend to swallow their whistles in Game Sevens to not put undue influence on the game. There have been two games in this series that finished with more than five combined goals — and the Lightning had five and six power-play opportunities in both contests. In the other four games in this series, Tampa Bay was not on the power play more than twice for the entire game. New York has played 5 of their last 8 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied — and they have played 3 of their last 4 playoff games when facing elimination. The Islanders have also played 23 of their last 35 road games Under the Total on the road. Tampa Bay has played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They may be without their leading scorer in the playoffs in Nikita Kucherov tonight after he was knocked out of the game early in the first period from a crosscheck that targeted the injured hip that kept him out of the entire regular season. Kucherov is the straw that stirs their drink on the power play from good to elite. He has five goals and a whopping 27 assists in the postseason. The Lightning have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing at home in closeout games.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-1-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 opportunities to host the Islanders — and they have played 8 straight Game Sevens Under the Total. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Semifinal Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (31) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (32). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-24-21 |
Golden Knights v. Canadiens UNDER 5 |
|
2-3 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22) in Game Six of the Stanley Cup Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (50-19-5) is on the brink of elimination in the playoffs after a 4-1 loss at home to the Canadiens on Tuesday. Montreal (35-25-12) has won ten of their last twelve games as they seized a 3-2 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Vegas has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a loss at home by at least three goals. The Golden Knights’ forwards have been stymied by the Montreal blue line and defensive efforts of their forwards. They have not scored more than two goals in four straight games. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after not scoring more than tow goals in their last game. They go back on the road where the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games when favored. Robin Lehner will be the goaltender tonight which is fine — he had a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage during the regular season after being the first-string goalie in the postseason last year. The Under is 2-0-2 in Montreal’s last 4 games after a win — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Under is 35-17-4 in the Canadiens’ last 56 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They return home where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games. The Under is also 24-6-7 in Montreal’s last 37 games in the playoffs when they are underdogs.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas plays 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent in their last meeting. 10* NHL Vegas-Montreal USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-24-21 |
Golden Knights -132 v. Canadiens |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22) in Game Six of the Stanley Cup Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Vegas (50-19-5) is on the brink of elimination in the playoffs after a 4-1 loss at home to the Canadiens on Tuesday. Montreal (35-25-12) has won ten of their last twelve games as they seized a 3-2 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I am investing in Vegas tonight with full appreciation that this Canadiens team is good. General manager Mark Bergevin made some savvy offseason moves in bringing over Tyler Toffoli (the team’s leading points-scorer in the postseason), Josh Anderson (an absolute steal from Columbus), and the veteran forward Corey Perry. Midseason acquisitions of Eric Staal, Erik Gustafsson, and Jon Merrill added more veteran talent for depth and playoff experience. The absence of head coach Dominique Ducharme has not been as devastating because this group is loaded with veterans with playoff experience. This is a team built for the playoffs — and they demonstrated their potential by winning six of their first nine games before injuries and later COVID outbreaks wreaked havoc on their season. A condensed schedule down the stretch did not help matters as they made up for lost games to COVID in the early months of the year. But seeding — and home-ice — means little in the Stanley Cup playoffs. All the Canadiens needed was to get into the tournament. And now their elite goalie Carey Price has once again flipped the switch to demonstrate why he deserves to get paid over $10 million per year. This Montreal team has a profile that is similar to a Minnesota Wild group that gave the Knights in the regular season and playoffs — only with a better goaltender. That all said, I think beating this good Knights team for the fourth time in five games will be a challenge. The Canadiens have shortened their bench so much that they are using their top-line units at forward and defense over 80% of the time. Vegas remains committed to rolling four forward lines in a strategy that eventually wore down an outstanding Colorado team. Montreal has basked in the role of the underdog in this postseason with upset wins against Toronto and now their 3-2 lead over the heavily favored Knights — but now they are the favorites to win this series. And while they are at home tonight, these Game Sixes at home are dangerous because they carry with it the pressure of winning the series now or risk going on the road into a very hostile environment in a Game Seven. And Montreal does not have many fans in their stands still — so the home edge is not that prevalent. Don’t be surprised if this team suffers an emotional letdown. They have lost 20 of their last 33 games at home after a win by two or more goals. They have lost 9 of their last 13 home games after not allowing more than two goals in their last two games. Vegas needs to find some answers in getting their forwards going — but they should be on fire tonight in terms of work rate and effort. The Golden Knights have won 9 of their last 10 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have won 10 of their last 14 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Robin Lehner will be the goaltender tonight which is fine — he had a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage during the regular season after being the first-string goalie in the postseason last year. The team needs a momentum change — and placing Lehner between the pipes may light the fire under this team. Lehner did win Game Four in his start in Montreal to even this series. Vegas has won 20 of their last 27 road games when favored. They able also won 4 of their last 5 playoff games this season when trailing in the series.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has won 26 of their last 34 games when playing with revenge from a loss by more than one goal — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games when motivated to avenge a loss by three or more goals. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals Game of the Year with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (21) versus the Montreal Canadiens (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-22-21 |
Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 |
|
4-1 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82) in Game Five of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (34-25-12) outplayed the Golden Knights for most of Game Four but lost the game in overtime in a 2-1 loss. Vegas (50-18-5) evened the series at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a loss at home. They have also played 13 of their 19 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Montreal limited the Golden Knights to just 21 shots on Sunday with only two High Danger Chances. Goalie Carey Price is in the zone again with a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average and a .931 save percentage in the playoffs. With Price leading the way, the Under is 23-6-7 in the Canadiens’ last 36 playoff games as an underdog. Vegas has been stymied in all 11 of their Power Play chances in this series. They may get Chandler Stephenson back to center their top-line — but his absence in the last two games has not been the only problem. The Knights are at the bottom of all 16 teams that made the playoffs with just four power-play goals in 39 chances for a mere 10.3% success rate. The Under is 3-0-1 in Vegas’ last 4 games after failing to score more than two goals. The Golden Knights have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. And in their last 6 games at home in the semifinals of the Stanley Cup playoffs, all 6 games finished Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Montreal has played 20 of their last 31 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss. 10* NHL Montreal-Vegas NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-21-21 |
Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
|
0-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (71) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (72) in Game Five of their semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (42-22-8) evened this series at 2-2 with their 3-2 victory against the Lightning on Saturday. Tampa Bay (45-20-5) returns home to their Amalie Arena.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Islanders have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by just one goal. New York has also played 15 of their last 21 games on the road Under the Total after a win at home. They did allow two goals in the third period after taking a 3-0 lead into the locker room after the second period — but they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing more than two goals in the third period in their last game. New York has played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total in the second half of the season — and they have played 13 of their last 18 road games when playing their third game in five days. Tampa Bay is struggling on offense because the Islanders are too disciplined to give them many power-play chances. After converting on 43.1% of their power plays in the first two rounds, they have scored only two goals in their nine power plays in this series. The Lightning only had one power-play chance on Saturday. They have played 18 of their last 24 playoff games in Game Five Under the Total. They have also played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss on the road as a favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played 22 of their last 32 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied — and the Islanders have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when the series was tied. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with =Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (71) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (72). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-20-21 |
Golden Knights v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (61) and the Montreal Canadiens (62) in Game Four of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (49-18-5) looks to bounce back from their 3-2 loss in overtime to the Canadiens on Friday. Montreal (34-25-11) took a 2-1 lead in this series with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a loss. The Under is also 5-1-2 in their last 8 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The forwards are slumping for this Vegas team with the upper-body injury to Chandler Stephenson disrupting the chemistry of their top-line. Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty have combined for only a point in this series as they miss their veteran center who does the little things in that group. The Golden Knights have not scored on their ten Power Play chances in this series. Head coach Peter DeBoer turns back to Robin Lehner tonight as his goalie (perhaps to give Marc-Andre Fleury a rest). Fleury did make a bad mistake with the puck at the end of Game Three which created the scoring opportunity for Josh Anderson to tie the game and force overtime. Lehner looked rusty in his previous start in Game One against Colorado in that ugly 7-1 loss. Let’s remember that Lehner was the team’s top goaltender in the postseason last year — and he had a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage during the regular season. Lehner should play better — and not having to face the uber-fast Avalanche forwards who were rested and ready to start that series will certainly help. The Vegas defense was a step or two slow in that game as well after completing their seven-game grind with Minnesota. The Golden Knights have allowed three goals in two straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing three or more goals in two straight games. Vegas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the playoffs when trailing. Montreal has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total at home after a win at home. The Canadiens have also played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after a win in overtime. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Carey Price who has a 2.10 GAA and a .932 save percentage in the postseason. The Under is 4-1-1 in Montreal’s last 6 games at home — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Furthermore, the Under is 22-6-7 in the Canadiens’ last 35 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has been upset in the last two games in this series — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from two straight upset losses. 10* NHL Vegas-Montreal NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (61) and the Montreal Canadiens (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-19-21 |
Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 |
|
2-3 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (51) and the New York Islanders (52) in Game Four of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (45-19) comes off a 2-1 victory in Game Three of this series on the road against the Islanders. New York (41-22-8) trails 2-1 in the series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning are only allowing 2.21 Goals-Per-Game in the postseason — the lowest mark of the remaining four teams still competing. They are getting great goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy who stopped 27 of the 28 shots he faced on Thursday. He has a 2.13 Goals-Against-Average in the playoffs with a .935 save percentage — and he has only allowed five goals from the 85 shots he faced in this series for a .940 save percentage. Tampa Bay has played 7 straight Unders after a win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games on the road. They have allowed just three goals during their current four-game winning streak on the road. The Lightning have played 14 of their last 20 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series including six of these nine circumstances this season. New York has played 21 of their last 31 home games Under the Total after a game where they did not score more than one goal. Their top forward lines have chosen the wrong time to fall into a slump — although the elite blue line of Tampa is playing a big role in this drop in production. Anthony Beauvillier has not scored in the last eight games. Jordan Eberle has scored only one goal in the last two series. Kyle Palmieri has not scored in this series after finding the back of the net seven times in the first two rounds of the postseason. Josh Bailey has not scored in the last four games. But the Islanders remain competitive because of their great defense and strong goaltending. They held Tampa Bay to just 1.51 expected goals in the 2-1 loss on Thursday. In the first three games of this series, they have held the Lightning to just 5.09 expected goals combined.
FINAL TAKE: New York has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Islanders USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (51) and the New York Islanders (52). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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06-18-21 |
Golden Knights v. Canadiens UNDER 5 |
|
2-3 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42) in Game Three of their Stanley Cup Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (49-18-4) looks to rebound from their 3-2 loss at home to the Canadiens on Wednesday. Montreal (33-25-11) has won eight of their last nine games as they pulled this series even at 1-1.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights allowed two goals in the first period in Game Two after allowing seven High Danger Chances in the first period in Game One. Vegas will tighten things up on defense to start this game. The Golden Knights have palled 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss on their home ice — and they have played 33 of their last 55 games on the road Under the Total after a loss. Vegas has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by just one goal. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Knights have developed a problem on offense with the upper-body injury to top-line forward Chandler Stephenson. While he does not put up big numbers, he facilitates the scoring production of wingers Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty. Stephenson is out for at least tonight’s game. Vegas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. Montreal has played 21 of their last 30 home games Under the Total after a win. The Canadiens are getting outstanding goaltending from Carey Price who has a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and a .930 save percentage in the playoffs. And Montreal is facing an elite goalie in Marc-Andre Fleury who has a 1.92 GAA and a .923 save percentage in the postseason. The Canadiens have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total. The Under is also 22-6-6 in Montreal’s last 34 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by one goal. 10* NHL Vegas-Montreal USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-15-21 |
Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (11) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (12) in Game Two of their Stanley Cup Playoffs Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (41-20-8) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 2-1 victory. Tampa Bay (43-19-5) has still won five of their last seven games.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Islanders’ last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Over is also 5-2-2 in their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. New York stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the number set at 5. The Over is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games when an underdog. Tampa Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by just one goal. And while the Lightning have scored only three combined goals in their last two games after a 2-0 win to close out their series with Carolina, they have then played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They host Game Two where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning have played 22 of their last 30 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in a playoff series. 10* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (11) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-09-21 |
Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-145 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (41) and the New York Islanders (42) in Game Six of their East Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (39-18-9) has lost the last two games in this series after their 5-4 loss to the Islanders on Monday. New York (39-20-8) has a 3-2 lead in this series which they can end tonight with a victory.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach Bruce Cassidy pulled Tuukka Rask after two periods in this game after he allowed four goals on 16 shots. It was later revealed that Rask was dealing with an injury — but he is expected to play tonight. He should play better tonight — the Under is 4-0-1 in the Bruins’ last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Boston has also played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Bruins have played 32 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a game where at least three combined goals were scored by both teams. Now they go on the road where the Under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games. The games in Boston have been high-scoring with 23 combined goals scored in the three games. But in the two previous games in Long Island at Nassau Coliseum, only eight combined goals have been scored with two of them empty netters. With head coach Barry Trotz having the home-ice advantage of making the last line move, he can ensure that Jean-Gabriel Pageau is on the ice to lead the defensive charge against the Perfection Line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Islanders’ last 7 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. And while the Islanders gave up two goals in the third period after taking a 5-2 lead, they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under Total after allowing two or more goals in the third period of their last game.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total when playing at Nassau Coliseum. Boston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss at home. 10* NHL Boston-NY Islanders NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (41) and the New York Islanders (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-08-21 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche -141 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-141 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (36) versus the Vegas Golden Knights (35) in Game Five of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-15-4) has lost the last two games of this series after their 5-1 loss in Las Vegas on Sunday. Vegas (46-17-4) has evened this series at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I suspected that Colorado’s 7-1 victory in Game One of this series might turn out to be Pyrrhic if it gave this young team too much confidence. Despite winning Game Two in overtime, the metrics suggest that the Golden Knights outplayed them — and that means Vegas has outplayed them in each of the last three games. Head coach Jared Bednar claimed his team is trying to “be too fancy” with their shots — and likely product of them sharpshooters finding so much success in Game One against Vegas goaltender Robin Lehner (while listening to everyone tell them how good they are). The Avalanche lacks the deep playoff experience that this Vegas team possesses. The Knights have lulled Colorado into a more physical type of series that they want. That all said, it will be tough for Vegas to win three straight against this talented Avalanche team. Colorado only put up 18 shots on Sunday — and they have been outshot by a 110 to 52 margin in the last three games in this series. The Ave’s simply need to start peppering Fleury with more action to generate more scoring chances after scoring only three goals in the last two games. Colorado has won 36 of their last 53 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 5 straight games after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. The Avalanche have also won 12 of their last 14 games after a loss by at least three goals. And in their last 9 games after losing two of their last three, Colorado has won 8 of their last 9 games. Goalie Philip Grubauer had his worst game in the postseason by allowing five goals on 35 shots. He should play better at home where he had a 19-4-1 record with a 1.60 Goals-Against-Average and a .935 save percentage. The Avalanche has won 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Colorado has won 13 straight games at home — and they are 20-0-1 in their last 21 games at home in Ball Arena. It may be hard for Vegas to sustain the intensity they have felt since getting blown out in Game One. They have lost 16 of their last 27 games after allowing a victory by at least four goals. The Knights have not been great underdogs as they have lost 5 of their last 7 games as a dog — and they have lost 27 of their last 38 road games as an underdog. Vegas has also lost 7 of their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. Furthermore, this Golden Knights team has developed a reputation of not being able to close out playoff series — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 Game Fives.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has won 10 straight games on their home ice when avenging a same-season loss — and they have lost 24 of their last 30 games when motivated with revenge from a loss by four or more goals. 25* NHL 2nd Round Tuesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Year with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (36) versus the Vegas Golden Knights (35). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-21 |
Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (23) and the Vegas Golden Knights (24) in Game Four of their West Division playoff series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-14-4) saw their 11-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 3-2 loss on the road against the Golden Knights. Vegas (45-17-4) now trails in this series by a 2-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. Colorado has also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. The Avalanche are getting great goaltending from Philip Grubauer desire his allowing as many goals in the third game of this series as he had in the first two games combined. Grubauer has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .941 save percentage in the playoffs. After taking advantage of their long break in Game One of this series by overwhelming a Golden Knights team suffering from the hangover of their seven-game series with Minnesota, Colorado has only averaged 22.5 shots per game in the last two games. They miss second-line center Nazeem Kadri who is still serving the suspension he was served in that opening-round series with the Blues. The Avalanche have played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Under the Total. Getting Marc-Andre Fleury back on the ice has changed the tenor of this series for Vegas. Fleury has a 1.88 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage in the playoffs. Vegas is also committed to playing defense-first — they lead all playoff teams with 141 blocked shots. They are second of the teams in the postseason with 373 hits in the playoffs. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 7 games at home Under the Total. They have also played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series. They will likely continue to be thin at forward with both Mattias Janmark and Tomos Nosek questionable with injuries.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games in Las Vegas Under the Total. Colorado has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 10* NHL Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (23) and the Vegas Golden Knights (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-21 |
Jets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
0 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 6:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (21) and the Montreal Canadiens (22) in Game Three of their North Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (34-25-3) has lost the first two games of this series after their 1-0 loss at home to Montreal on Friday. Montreal (30-24-11) has won five straight games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I waited to get confirmation on some injury updates for the Jets this afternoon. It looks like Paul Stastny will be playing after not playing the first two games of the series. He gives Winnipeg some much-needed pop at center (and I not upgrading the play to a 20* or 25* play with him playing). The Jets simply lack many scorers on the ice with top-line center Mark Scheifele serving his four-game suspension from Game One. While Winnipeg peppered Carey Price with 30 shots, not many of the shots had a high probability of scoring. The Jets registers a mere 1.83 expected goals in the loss. Center Pierre-Luc Dubois looks like a shell of the player that excelled in the bubble for Columbus last year. He has been underwhelming all season and in these playoffs. But Winnipeg continues to get great goaltending from Conner Hellebuyck who stopped 23 of 24 shots on Friday. He has a 1.87 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage in the playoffs. The Jets have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing two in a row. They have played 4 straight road games Under the Total. And in their last 10 games in the playoffs as an underdog, Winnipeg has played 7 of these games Under the Total. Montreal has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win — and they have 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total after a victory by just one goal against a division rival. The Canadiens have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Montreal is getting great goaltending from Carey Price who has a 2.08 GAA and a .935 save percentage in the playoffs. The Canadiens return home where the Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games. They have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has lost three games in a row to Montreal going back to the regular season — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when playing by triple revenge. 10* NHL Winnipeg-Montreal NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (21) and the Montreal Canadiens (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-05-21 |
Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-130 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 4:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (14) in Game Four of their Central Division finals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (41-14-10) won their first game in this series with their 3-2 win in overtime on Thursday. Tampa Bay (41-18-5) still holds a 2-1 lead in the series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: There have only been five combined goals scored in this series when playing at even strength. Of the 11 goals scored in the first three games of this series, six of them have been on a power play. The Lightning are averaging only 1.82 expected goals per game at even strength, down from the 2.37 expected goals mark they were average in the previous 20 games before this series began. The Under is 4-1-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Lightning are getting outstanding goaltending from Andrei Vasileskiy who has a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average and a .935 save percentage in these playoffs. Tampa Bay lost two games in their opening-round series against Florida — and they allowed only two combined goals in the follow-up to those two games. The Lightning have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing at home with a lead in the playoffs. Carolina is only averaging 1.85 expected goals per game at five-on-five in this series. That mark is down from the 2.43 expected goals they were averaging per game in the previous 20 games entering this series. The Hurricanes are undermanned with three of their top nine forwards dealing with injuries. Vincent Trocheck and Warren Foegele questionable with injuries they have suffered in this series. Nino Niederreiter has missed the first three games of this series after incurring an injury in practice — he is not likely to appear in this series. Carolina stays on the road where they have played 8 straight Unders as an underdog. The Hurricanes have played 8 of their last 12 playoff games Under the Total when trailing the series.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 14-3-1 in their last 18 games — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay. The Lightning have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on their home ice against their opponent. 20* NHL Carolina-Tampa Bay O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-04-21 |
Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10) in Game Three of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-13-4) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 3-2 win in overtime against the Golden Knights in Game Two. Vegas (44-17-4) has lost four of their last five games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a loss in overtime — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Vegas led the NHL in the regular season by allowing only 2.18 Goals-Per-Game. They got a steadier performance from goalie Marc-Andre Fleury on Wednesday after Robin Lehner was a disaster in Game One. Fleury has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .924 save percentage in the postseason. Colorado is also getting outstanding goaltending from Philipp Grubauer who made 39 saves in Game Two. He has a 1.66 GAA and a .943 save percentage in these playoffs. The Avalanche have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total after a win by just one goal. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing their second game in five days. They won Game One against Vegas by a 7-1 score — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games after not allowing more than two goals in four straight games. And while Colorado has scored at least three goals in eight straight games (since their last trip to Vegas in a 2-1 win on May 10th that determined the regular-season winner of the West Division), they have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. And in the Golden Knights' last 29 home games when avenging a loss by just one goal, they have played 20 of these games Under the Total. 10* NHL Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-04-21 |
Canadiens v. Jets -108 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (12) versus the Montreal Canadiens (11) in Game Two of their East Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (34-23-3) had their six-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 5-3 loss to the Canadiens in the opening game of this series. Montreal (29-24-1) has won four games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg may have been shaking off some rust on Wednesday after not playing since May 24th after they swept Edmonton in four games in the opening round of the playoffs. They should be sharper tonight after losing on home ice. The Jets have rebounded to win 24 of their last 36 games after a loss to a divisional opponent. And while they allowed two goals in the third period in Game One, they have then won 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least two goals in the third period of their last game. Winnipeg will be without their top-line center in Mark Scheifele who got suspended for four games for his ugly hit on the Canadiens’ Jake Evans in the final minute of that game. The loss of Scheifele hurts — but I expect the veteran Jets’ players to rally around each other. The core of his team has won three seven-game playoff series in the last four seasons — and they made a run to the Western Conference Finals in 2018. Despite a shaky game on Wednesday, goalie Conner Hellebuyck can put his team on his shoulders. The reigning Vezina Trophy winner has a 2.01 Goals-Against-Average and a .937 save percentage in these playoffs after frustrating Auston Matthews and the Oilers in the opening round. Winnipeg has won 4 of their last 5 games on their home ice. Montreal has won four games in a row after rallying from a 3-1 deficit to upset Toronto in their opening round of the playoffs. The Canadiens may be due for a flat effort on an emotional letdown. Montreal has lost 7 of their last 8 games after winning at least three games in a row — and they have lost 20 of their last 28 games after winning at least four of their last five games. And while the Canadiens defeated the Maple Leafs by a 3-1 score in that Game Seven, they have lost 12 of their last 16 games after winning two in a row by more than one goal. Additionally, Montreal has lost 17 of their last 22 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have lost 19 of their last 27 games after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Canadiens keep living out of suitcases to prepare for this game — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games when playing their third game in five days on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has won 28 of their last 42 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals — and they have won 11 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from a loss on their home ice. Montreal also defeated the Jets by a 5-3 score in their final meeting in the regular season — but the Jets have won 15 of their last 23 games when playing with double-revenge against their opponents. 25* NHL USA Network Game of the Year with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (12) versus the Montreal Canadiens (11). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-03-21 |
Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (3) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (4) in Game Three of their Central Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (40-14-10) has lost the opening two games of this series after their 2-1 loss to the Lightning on Tuesday. Tampa Bay (41-18-4) has six of their last eight games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, Carolina has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where they did not score more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. The Hurricanes are losing important players on their second forward line to injuries. Nino Niederreiter is “very, very doubtful” according to head coach Rod Brind’Amour to play in this series. Vincent Troceck has been downgraded to doubtful with an injury. Niederreiter had 20 goals in the regular season while Trocheck re-emerged with 17 goals and 26 assists in 47 games after a down season the previous season with Florida that resulted in a trade deadline deal to the Canes. The loss of these forwards makes it easier for the Lightning to choose their preferred defensive pair to slow down the top-line. Sebastian Aho has not registered a point in this series. Andrei Svechnikov has scored only two goals in the playoffs. Teuvo Teravainen has only two goals in the playoffs as well. With this series returning to Tampa Bay, Lightning head coach Jon Cooper has the advantage of making the final line change. Carolina has played 7 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 16 trips to Tampa Bay, the Under is 12-3-1. Tampa Bay (41-18-4) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory. The Under is also 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Andrei Vasileskiy has been outstanding in this series by stopping 68 of the 70 shots he has faced. Not only does he have a .971 save percentage in this series, but he has made +3.78 saves above expectation. The Lightning have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when leading in the series.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. They have only scored two goals in this series — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when on the road playing with two revenge for two straight losses where they did not score more than one goal. 10* NHL Carolina-Tampa Bay USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (3) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-02-21 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (79) and the Colorado Avalanche (80) in Game Two of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (44-17-3) looks to bounce back from their 7-1 loss to the Avalanche on Sunday. Colorado (44-13-4) has won ten games in a row with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche offensive attack looks unstoppable right now. Colorado has scored at least four goals in seven straight games — and they have scored at least five goals in six of these games. Colorado has played 4 straight Overs after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Additionally, the Avalanche have 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least four games in a row. They have played 9 straight Overs after scoring at least four goals in four straight games. They have won every game in the postseason by at least three goals — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games by at least three goals. The Avalanche are likely to give up their share of goals tonight as well — they have not registered a shutout in six straight games. Colorado has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Avalanche stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 straight Overs when playing at home with two days of rest. The Over is also 19-7-1 in Colorado’s last 27 playoff games when favored. Vegas continues to play without one of their top defensemen in Brayden McNabb is in COVID quarantine. The Golden Knights have allowed more than one goal in four straight games. Despite scoring only one time on Sunday, their expected goals in all situations was 2.39. They were also defending against Colorado power plays for much of that game. Vegas has played 7 straight playoff games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. 25* NHL 2nd Round Wednesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (79) and the Colorado Avalanche (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-02-21 |
Canadiens v. Jets UNDER 5.5 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-133 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (81) and the Winnipeg Jets (82) in Game One of their North Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (28-24-11) takes the ice after completing their seven-game upset victory against Toronto on Monday with their 3-1 victory. Winnipeg (34-23-3) returns to action for the first time since May 24th when they completed their four-game sweep of Edmonton in the opening round.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have become comfortable grinding out lower-scoring games after slowing down the powerful Maple Leafs' attack. Carey Price seems to have found his game after posting a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average and a .932 save percentage in the opening round. Montreal has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Winnipeg is also getting great goaltending from Connor Hellebuyck who enjoyed a 1.60 Goals-Against-Average and a .950 save percentage in his four games against the Oilers. The Jets’ forwards may be rusty in this game with the extended time off. The Under is 15-7-2 in Winnipeg’s last 24 games when playing with at least three days since their last game. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Jets’ last 8 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 6-1-1 in Winnipeg’s last 8 games in the playoffs when favored — and the Under is 21-5-4 in the Canadiens’ last 30 games in the playoff games in the playoffs. 20* NHL Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (81) and the Winnipeg Jets (82). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-31-21 |
Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (63) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (64) in Game Seven of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-24-11) forced a climactic Game Seven with their 3-2 victory in overtime on Saturday. Toronto (38-16-8) has blown a 3-1 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have not won a playoff series in 17 years — and now they face their nightmare scenario of blowing a big lead in a Game Seven on their home ice in front of their very anxious fans. The pressure will be tremendous — and I expect Toronto to be very tight tonight. Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have not handled the pressure very well so far in this series. Both players have generated only four points in the first six games of this series — and only Matthews has scored with one goal. These players may be tired — head coach Sheldon Keefe is playing both stars for plenty of minutes including Marner serving on the Power Play Kill Unit. Previous head coach Mike Babcock managed minutes much differently before getting canned last year for not playing Mathews enough in regular-season games. Well, Babcock has won Stanley Cups — and Keefe was a minor league coach before getting promoted. The overtime periods in the last two games have not helped the energy levels of these stars — and Toronto has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row in overtime. The Maple Leafs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing their sixth or more games in ten days (this series started on May 20th with Game Two on May 22nd). Additionally, Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Montreal has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win at home. The Canadiens have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And while Montreal took a 2-0 lead by scoring two goals in the third period — but they then allowed two goals in the final nine minutes of the game to force overtime. The Canadiens have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing two or more goals in the third period. Carey Price has found his game in this series — the goaltender he has a 2.44 Goals-Against-Average against the fourth highest-scoring team in the NHL with a .926 save percentage. He has a .877 save percentage against high danger scoring chances which is one of the reasons that Matthews and Marner are slumping. Montreal has played 15 of their last 22 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 20-5-4 in the Canadiens’ last 29 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 games between these two teams. 25* NHL 1st Round Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (63) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-30-21 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (53) and the Colorado Avalanche (54) in Game One of their West Division Finals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (44-16-3) advanced to this series with their 4-3 victory against Minnesota in Game Seven of their opening-round series on Friday. Colorado (43-13-4) has won nine games in a row after completing their four-game sweep of the Blues in St. Louis last Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I awaited confirmation that Robin Lehner was the goaltender tonight for the Golden Knights — and he will be. I like the move by head coach Peter DeBoer since Marc-Andre Fleury was tiring with the every-other-day grind of the first round of the playoffs. Lehner will be fresh and with a chip on his shoulder to demonstrate he deserves consideration to be the starting playoff goaltender as he was last postseason. Lehner had a 1.99 Goals-Against-Average in 16 playoff starts last fall with a .917 save percentage and four shutouts. Lehner posted a 2.29 GAA with a .913 save percentage in 19 regular-season starts this year — and he was a bit more effective on the road with a 2.26 GAA and a .915 save percentage in eight starts. Vegas is already conditioned to grind out low-scoring games after surviving the defensively-minded Wild. They have played 4 straight Unders after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Golden Knights have also played 22 of their last 32 games on the road Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And in their last 5 road games as an underdog, Vegas has played 4 of these games Under the Total. I expect Colorado to be rusty with a week off after quickly disposing of the Blues last week. It is telling that the Under is 5-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 games when playing with at least three days between games. They closed out that series with St. Louis with 5-1 and 5-2 victories. Colorado has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road — and they have played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after winning their last two games on the road by more than one goal. It may be Nathan MacKinnon who garners most of the attention for the Avalanche — but they play outstanding defense as they ranked third in the league by allowing only 2.36 Goals-Per-Game. They also ranked third in the regular by allowing only 1.98 Goals-Per-Game at even strength — and they led the NHL with just a 1.73 expected goals allowed per game mark at even strength. They held the Blues to only seven goals in their four-game series. Goalie Philipp Grubauer made his claim of being one of the best in the league with a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage. And don’t underestimate the loss of second-line center Nazeem Kadri who is appealing the eight-game suspension he incurred in that opening-round series. Kadri had 11 goals and 21 assists in the regular season.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. They last played on May 10th in a game to determine the top seed in the West Division and the eventual President’s Trophy for the best regular-season record. Colorado won in Las Vegas by a 2-1 score — and the Golden Knights have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total when avenging a loss. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (53) and the Colorado Avalanche (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-21 |
Maple Leafs v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42) in Game Six of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (26-24-11) extended this series to a sixth game with their 4-3 win in overtime on Thursday. Toronto (38-16-7) can still advance to the North Division Finals tonight given their 3-2 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens should be energized with their victory. Not only does winning this game force a climactic seventh game, but the pressure would be enormous on this Maple Leafs team. Montreal has played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a win in overtime. They also have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win by just one goal against a divisional rival. The Canadiens did make things interesting after racing out to a 3-0 lead in the second period. The Maple Leafs forced overtime because of two goals scored in the third period — but Montreal has then played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period in their last game. Goalie Carey Price has had moments of his old brilliance in this series. I suspect he will play well tonight. The Canadiens return home where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games at home as an underdog. Toronto came out flat on Thursday, apparently comfortable with their handle on the series. They will tighten up on defense tonight. I also suspect they will be very tight now that they have kept the door open for the Canadiens. The Maple Leafs have lost five straight close-out games in a playoff series going back to 2018 — they do not want to go back home for a Game Seven (the pressure may work against them). This is a nervy game. Toronto has scored seven goals in their last two games — but they have then played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in their last two contests. The Maple Leafs go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Goalie Jack Campbell may have played his worst game in this series by allowing those early soft goals. He should play better tonight. Toronto has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Saturday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (41) and the Montreal Canadiens (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-21 |
Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (21) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22) in Game Five of their North Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (25-24-11) looks to stave off elimination after losing Game Four of this series on Tuesday by a 4-0 score. Toronto (38-16-6) has won the last three games in a row in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens’ lack of star power is rearing its head in this series. They have only scored four goals in this series — and they have scored just twice in the last 187:16 minutes of this series. A line with castoffs like Tomas Tatar — a left wing that should both Detroit and then Vegas was comfortable in letting go — on the top line (and being a primary scorer) demonstrates what little scoring talent this team has. Tatar would be a fine left wing on the third line of a playoff team. Playing on the road compounds the problem for Montreal since Toronto head coach Sheldon Keefe can target his best defensive pair against the Canadiens’ best scoring threat line. Younger stars like second-line center Nick Suzuki or Jesperi Kotkaniemi or 5’7 rookie Cole Caufield lack experience to play dominant roles without plenty of help that this team simply does not have — and they sure do miss second line left winger Jonathan Drouin who opted-out of the postseason with a medical issue. Montreal has played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The Canadiens have not scored on their 13 Power Plays in this series. Moving forward, Montreal has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing their third game in four days. Additionally, the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a loss by at least three goals — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss by three or more goals at home. The Canadiens perhaps played too loose in Game Four to create more scoring chances — but that style also allowed the Maple Leafs to generate 10 high-danger scoring chances on Tuesday after both teams were only averaging 10.6 combined high-danger scoring chances per game in the first four games of this series. Montreal needs to go back to simply trying to grind out low-scoring games relying on Carey Price. The goalie has been solid with a 2.58 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in this series. The Under is 7-1-2 in Toronto’s last 10 games after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals. The Maple Leafs have also played 15 of their last 20 home games Under the Total after a win by four or more goals on the road. Toronto is getting it done without much production their superstars — Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have combined for only one point. Goalie Jack Campbell has been great with a 1.01 Goals-Against-Average and a .965 save percentage. The Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs have played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto will likely be quite content playing a conservative, defensive-first approach since it is getting them more comfortable for a style that has stymied them in the past when playing Atlantic Division rival Boston. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round North Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (21) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-26-21 |
Panthers v. Lightning -139 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (12) versus the Florida Panthers (11) in Game Six of their Central Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (38-18-4) has lost two of the last three games in this series after their 4-1 loss to the Panthers on Monday. Florida (39-17-5) still faces the possibility of elimination trailing 3-2 in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have won 39 of their last 52 games after a loss by three or more goals in their last game. They have also won 18 of their last 21 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. Additionally, the Lightning have won 14 of their last 21 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. And while Tampa Bay allows two goals in the third period (including one empty netter), they have then won 10 of their last 12 games after allowing two more goals in the third period of their last game. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is not playing bad — he has made +5.6 saves above expectation. Florida is an offensive juggernaut. Vasilevskiy needs more help from his defense. Returning home will help where head coach Jon Cooper gets the final line shift. Vasilevskiy had an 18-2-0 record on home ice this season with a 1.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage. Tampa Bay has won 43 of their last 60 games at home — and they have won 7 of their last 10 home games with the Total set at 6. Florida head coach Joel Quenneville made the desperate move to play rookie Spencer Knight between the pipes on Monday — and the rookie responded with 36 saves on the 37 shots he faced. Quenneville felt compelled to make the move with Sergei Bobrovsky being a failure in goal with a 5.33 Goals-Against-Average and a .841 save percentage in this series (after a 2.91 GAA and .906 save percentage in the regular season) and backup Chris Driedger posting a 3.70 GAA and a .871 save percentage in this series. I have no doubt that Knight is talented — but that was his fifth professional start in his career. He was playing for Boston College two months ago. Now he will be between the pipes in a second elimination game against the reigning Stanley Cup champions who will be throwing the kitchen sink and every trick in the book to rattle the kid — all back at home at Amalie Arena where there will be plenty of fans (because it is Florida). This is a very tough assignment. As it is, the Panthers have lost 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog — and they have lost 9 of their last 11 games in the playoffs as an underdog. Florida has lost 25 of their last 37 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Panthers have lost 10 of their last 15 playoff games when trailing in the series — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 playoff games when trailing in the series.
FINAL TAKE: Just to maintain perspective, Tampa Bay finished third in the Central Division despite playing without their best player, Nikita Kucherov all season. He has not missed a step in his return to action as he leads the team with nine points. There is no shame in losing to the Panthers twice — they are good. This shaped up to be a six-game series. But Tampa Bay has won 15 of their last 20 games when avenging an upset loss — and they have won 9 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from a loss by more than one goal. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (12) versus the Florida Panthers (11). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-24-21 |
Wild v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 10:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (79) and the Vegas Golden Knights (80) in Game Five of their West Division Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (36-19-5) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after losing Game Four of this series by a 4-0 score on Saturday. Vegas (43-14-3) has won the last three games in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I waited until getting the news as to which players were skating for the Golden Knights tonight — top pair defensemen Alex Martinez and Brayden McNabb are on the ice so they should play. But there is no sign of Max Pacioretty and Thomas Nosek so Vegas is still undermanned at forward. Pacioretty led the team with 24 goals in the regular season. This news is the final evidence to take the Under in this one. Despite scoring four goals (one empty netter) in Game Four, Vegas managed only 17 shots. As it is, the Golden Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by more than one goal. Vegas returns home where they have played 4 straight Unders. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Knights’ last 6 games as a favorite — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games in the playoffs when favored. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has been outstanding with a .966 save percentage in this series. He has registered a nifty +6.3 saves above expected saves mark. Minnesota has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss at home. Additionally, the Wild have played 4 of their last games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Minnesota’s Game Four loss came on the heels of them losing Game Three by a 5-2 score. The Wild have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row by more than one goal. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight Unders when playing in Las Vegas. 25* NHL 1st Round West Division Playoff Total o the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (79) and the Vegas Golden Knights (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-24-21 |
Islanders v. Penguins -134 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-134 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (74) versus the New York Islanders (73) in Game Five of their East Division Semifinals playoff series. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (39-17-4) looks to rebound from losing Game Four of this series by a 4-1 score. New York (34-19-7) has still lost six of their last nine games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MONEY-LINE ON THE PENGUINS: Pittsburgh has still won five of their last seven games even after their loss on Saturday. The Penguins closed out the regular season on an 18-5-2 run. They should bounce-back with a big effort tonight as they have won 5 straight games after a loss by three or more goals. They have also won 28 of their last 39 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Pittsburgh is 23-5-2 on their home ice this season — and they have won 41 of their last 55 home games when favored. Additionally, the Pens have won 14 of their last 20 games against teams with a winning record. New York has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 11 of their last 17 games on the road after a victory. The Islanders have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog. Furthermore, New York has lost 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 games playoff games as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh has won 11 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss by more than one goal. 25* NHL 1st Round East Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (74) versus the New York Islanders (73). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-22-21 |
Panthers v. Lightning -148 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 12:38 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (52) versus the Florida Panthers (51) in Game Four of their East Division series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (37-17-4) looks to bounce-back from their 6-5 loss to the Panthers on Thursday. Florida (38-16-5) still trails in this series by a 2-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay should bounce-back with a strong effort on their home ice this afternoon after blowing a 5-3 lead entering the third period. That was the first time in 29 games this season that Tampa Bay had lost a game after going into the third period with the lead. They also had won ten straight games in the postseason when taking the lead into the third period before this setback. The Lightning have rebounded to win 13 of their last 20 games after a loss. Additionally, Tampa Bay has won 23 of their last 34 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has been outstanding when playing at home with a 1.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage which is why he had an 18-2-0 record at home. The Lighting have won a decisive 41 of their last 58 games when playing at home as a favorite. Tampa Bay is generating offense — they scored five unanswered goals in the second period. They have converted on 7 of their 14 Power Play opportunities in this series. They have won 20 of their last 28 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Lightning have also won 6 of their last 8 games in the playoffs as a favorite. Florida has now won seven of their last nine games — but they then lost 18 of their last 27 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Panthers have been competitive in every game in this series — and I do take note that they have won the expected goals battle in each contest. After finally breaking through with a victory, they may not be able to help themselves from exhaling just a little bit. This remains a franchise that has lost 18 of their last 25 games in the opening round of the playoffs — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games when trailing in a playoff series. While these teams may be close to even, the big difference is in goaltending. Chris Driedger got the start on Thursday but was benched after the second period after allowing five goals in that 20-minute stanza. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped all nine shots in the third period, and he gets the start this afternoon. He has struggled this season — and he was benched in Game Two after allowing four goals in Game One. He had a 3.17 GAA and a .891 save percentage on the road this season. Florida has lost 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog — and they have lost 8 of their last 10 playoff games as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have still lost 10 of their last 13 games in Tampa Bay. The Lightning has won 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a loss by just one goal — and they have won 12 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 20* NHL Florida-Tampa Bay NBC-TV Special with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (52) versus the Florida Panthers (51). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-21 |
Jets v. Oilers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (45) and the Edmonton Oilers (46) in Game Two of their North Division playoff series. THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (31-23-3) has won three games in a row after upsetting the Oilers in the opening game of this series on Wednesday by a 4-1 score. Edmonton (35-20-2) has lost two games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jets can play tonight’s Game Two loose having already seized home-ice advantage in this series. Winnipeg has played 9 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win on the road — and they have won 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least three games in a row. The Jets have a balanced scoring attack with eight players who have scored at least 10 goals. Winnipeg expects to get second-line center Pierre-Luc Dubois back on the ice after he missed Game One — he says he is “ready to go.” Dubois had eight goals and 12 assists in his 41 games playing in a Jets’ uniform after getting traded from Columbus in late January. Winnipeg has played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with the number set at 5.5 — and the Over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 road games as an underdog. Edmonton has played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least four goals in a loss to a divisional rival. The Oilers have only scored two goals in their last two games after ending their regular season with a 4-1 loss at home to Vancouver. Edmonton has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games. Don’t expect this team led by Conner McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to continue to struggle to score goals — even against Connor Hellebuyck. They registered 3.09 expected goals — but neither star play registered a point on Wednesday. McDavid dominated the Jets in the regular season as he scored nine goals with 15 assists in nine encounters. Draisaitl added seven goals and five assists. Edmonton only had one power play on Wednesday as well — and they led the NHL with a 27.6% conversion rate on the Power Play during the regular season with McDavid and Draisaitl playing together. Head coach Dave Tippett may choose to double shift his stars tonight with them playing together on some shifts. Edmonton will score goals tonight. They have played 7 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Oilers have played 28 of their last 44 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL 1st Round Friday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (45) and the Edmonton Oilers (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-21 |
Bruins -132 v. Capitals |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (1) versus the Washington Capitals (2) in Game Two of their East Division playoff series. THE SITUATION: Boston (33-16-8) has lost four of their last six games after their 3-2 loss in overtime to the Capitals on Saturday. Washington (37-15-5) has won three straight games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: We had Boston in Game One — and if you would have told me that head coach Bruce Cassidy would get two goals from his third line with Jake DeBrusk and Nick Ritchie finding the back of the net, I might have recommended investing the mortgage on the Bruins. But Boston got very little from their “Perfection” line with Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron combining for just one shot in the game. Taylor Hall has been great in a Bruins’ uniform with eight goals and six assists his 14 games in the regular season — but he only had two shots working the second line with David Krejci. And yet despite those disappointing shot numbers, Boston won the expected goals battle in Game One by a decisive 2.9-1.91 margin. Look for a strong effort from the Bruins tonight. They have won 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 11 of their last 15 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last contest. They have won 14 of their last 18 games after losing four or five of their last six games. And while they ended their regular season with a 2-1 loss in Washington, they have won 7 straight games after losing two in a row — and they have won 21 of their last 27 games after losing two games in a row by just one goal. Boston remains a team that has won 12 of their last 17 games when favored — and they have won 5 of their last 7 playoff games when trailing in the series. Washington has still lost 8 of their last 13 playoff games in the first round of a playoff series. They have also lost 3 of their last 4 playoff games when leading in the series. The Bruins face Craig Anderson who will be between the pipes tonight given the in-game injury to Vitek Vanecek on Saturday and Ilya Samsonov not ready for action after just getting off the quarantine list. I am not surprised that Anderson came off the bench to stop 21 of 22 shots — but Boston needed to pressure him more. But now the coaching staff has had almost two full days to dust off the Big Book on Anderson that has been written throughout his long career (he turns 40 on Saturday). The Capitals have lost 7 of their last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has won 10 of their last 15 games when playing with at least double-revenge for two straight losses by just one goal against their opponent. 25* NHL 1st Round Monday NBC Sports Network Game of the Year is on the money-line on the Boston Bruins (1) versus the Washington Capitals (2). Best of luck for us -- Frank.
|
05-16-21 |
Lightning -123 v. Panthers |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (65) versus the Florida Panthers (66). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (35-17-3) limps into the postseason with three straight losses after their 4-0 loss on the road against the Panthers on Monday. Florida (37-14-5) has won six in a row after that victory that also closed out their regular season.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay should bounce back with a strong effort tonight. They have won 35 of their last 45 games after a loss by more than one goal. They have also won 17 of their last 20 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Furthermore, the Lightning have won 30 of their last 37 games after playing a game where not more than four combined goals were scored. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy may be in line to win his second straight Vezina Trophy — but he has allowed nine goals in his last two games. Look for him to play much better tonight. He was second in the NHL this season with a .875 save percentage in high danger situations. The Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when favored. Florida has lost 5 straight games after shutting out their last opponent on their home ice in their last game. They have also lost 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog. The Panthers earned home-ice advantage in this series with their better regular-season mark than Tampa Bay — but they also benefited from winning seventeen games by just one goal. The playoffs have been a different story for this franchise who has not advanced out of the first round since the Doug MacLean days in 1996. Florida has lost 16 of their last 22 games played in the opening round of the playoffs — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has won 11 of their last 15 games when avenging a loss by four or more goals to their opponent. 10* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (65) versus the Florida Panthers (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-21 |
Islanders v. Penguins -132 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 12:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (64) versus the New York Islanders (63). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (37-16-3) takes the ice again after last playing on May 8th when they defeated Buffalo,1-0. New York (32-17-7) has lost four of their last five games after their 3-2 loss to Boston on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PENGUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Pittsburgh is in great form right now with three straight victories. They are 18-5-2 in their last 25 games, which is tied with Colorado for the best mark over that span. They are scoring a robust 3.88 Goals-Per-Game during that span with a +27 net goal differential. Adding Jeff Carter at the trade deadline gave head coach Mike Sullivan a versatile forward that makes the third line with the underrated Jared McCann a very potent unit. Admittedly, the Pens benefitted from a number of games down the stretch against New Jersey and Buffalo — but in Sidney Crosby I Trust. Pittsburgh has won 12 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record (so they are not just bottom-feeding). They have won 27 of their last 37 games after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. Goaltending appears to be an issue with Tristan Jarry between the pipes, but three areas of optimism exist. First, Jarry was 14-2-2 with a .918 save percentage in his last 18 games. Second, he had a 5-1 record in his six starts against the Islanders. And third, Jarry was much better when playing at home where he had a 2.35 Goals-Against-Average and a .926 save percentage to go along with his 16-3-2 record. The Pens have won 40 of their last 53 home games when favored. New York limps into the postseason having lost seven of ten games. The Islanders started fast — they were 19-6-4 after their first 29 games before going just 13-11-3 in their last 27 games. I appreciate that Barry Trotz’s team is built for the playoffs (and that the analytics fail to capture how good they are). But Trotz’s team is also built to have Anders Lee at left wing on the top-line. His season-ending injury in mid-March corresponds with the team’s decline in the second half of the season. The Islanders were active at the trade deadline — and they added forward Kyle Palmieri from New Jersey. But Trotz is using Palmieri on the third line rather than taking Lee’s spot next to Mathew Barzal — and he only had four points in his 17 games with his new team. Forward depth is not the problem for this team — it is matching the productivity from the first line. New York is just 21st in the NHL with an 18.8% Power Play conversion rate. Their expected goal share dropped from 55.7% with Lee to 52.7% without him. They were 30th in the league by scoring just 1.95 goals per 60 minutes at even strength in their last 20 games. So while I fully remember the Isles limping into the bubble last August on a seven-game losing streak before flipping the switch, I also remember Lee playing over 20 minutes per game when they made their run to the Eastern Conference Finals. New York has lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog. The Islanders have also lost 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh should be very motivated to win Game One with the memory of getting swept against the Islanders in the opening round of the 2019 playoffs. The Penguins matched up well against the Islanders in the regular season with six wins in eight contests. 10* NHL NY Islanders-Pittsburgh NBC-TV Special with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (64) versus the New York Islanders (63). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-21 |
Bruins -117 v. Capitals |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-117 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (47) versus the Washington Capitals (48) in Game One of their East Division first-round series. THE SITUATION: Boston (33-16-7) takes the ice for the first time since Tuesday when they lost to the Capitals on the road by a 2-1 score. Washington (36-15-5) has won two straight as well as four of their last five games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston should be feisty to start this series off on the right foot. The Bruins have won 15 of their last 22 games after a loss to a divisional rival — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by just one goal. Additionally, Boston has won 8 of their last 12 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game — and they have won 40 of their last 53 games after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. The rest should help this veteran team — they have won 9 of their last 13 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Bruins may be a team of destiny this season. After losing to St. Louis in the Stanley Cup two years ago, they were the runaway President Trophy winners last season. But the stoppage of play thwarted all their momentum — and they lost to the eventual Stanley Cup champions in Tampa Bay in the second round. The case could be made that the Bruins were still the second-best team in the NHL last season — that was my argument a few years ago for this Washington team that could not get over the hump against Metropolitan Division rivals Pittsburgh before finally lifting the Stanley Cup in 2018. Boston is peaking at the right time with fourteen wins in their last nineteen games. They still have the best line in hockey with Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak. General manager pulled off a steal at the trade deadline by acquiring Taylor Hall from Buffalo without unloading a first-round draft pick. Liberated from the Sabres’ organization, Hall scored eight times and register 14 points in his 16 games as a Bruin. He was due to get better shooting luck after scoring on just 2.3% of his shots with Buffalo this season. Playing alongside David Krejci and Craig Smith has done wonders — he owns a superb 68% share of the expected goals when he is on the ice. Boston is outscoring their opponents by a 13-1 margin this season hone Hall is playing the second line with Krejci and Smith. A productive second line takes the pressure off the Marchand top-line while putting opposing coaches in a dilemma as to where to put his top defensive pair. Boston is also getting great goaltending from the veteran Tuukka Rask who has a 1.80 Goals-Against-Average and a .932 save percentage in his 12 starts since March. Washington has won two in a row after a 2-1 win against Philadelphia last weekend before their win against the Bruins on Tuesday. But the Capitals have lost 5 of their last 6 games at home after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. Washington is missing some key pieces today with Evgeny Kuznetsov still in the COVID quarantine and T.J. Oshie questionable with a lower-body injury. The Caps’ strength is their depth at forward — but losing these two players neutralizes that edge since both forwards are in their top-six. Even if Oshie plays, the loss of Kuznetsov who is the center on the second line really hurts — his production was essential in their Stanley Cup run three years ago. This is not the way first-year head coach Peter Laviolette wants to start the playoffs inheriting a group that has lost 8 of their last 12 games in the opening round of the playoffs. Washington faces a big disadvantage between the pipes having to rely on rookie Vitek Vanecek making his first career start in the Stanley Cup playoffs. At first glance, Vanecek’s 2.69 GAA and .908 save percentage look … ok. But he allowed nine goals above his expected save number this season in 37 games — and he has surrendered 10 low-danger goals over the last six weeks in a sign that he is running out of gas given his unexpected workload. The second-round pick in 2014 was behind both Ilya Samsonov and free-agent acquisition Henrik Lundqvist in their preseason plans. Lundqvist opted out of the season with health issues with his heart. Samsonov was a disappointment in 19 games — and he is now in COVID quarantine.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has won 15 of their last 23 games when playing with revenge. They have also won 20 of their last 31 opening games of a new playoff series including five of their last six. Washington is experienced — and they are a tough out — but the Bruins should seize the initial upper hand in this series. 25* NHL 1st Round NBC-TV Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (47) versus the Washington Capitals (48). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-21 |
Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 6 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
107 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (7) and the Chicago Blackhawks (8). THE SITUATION: Dallas (22-17-14) has lost six of their last seven games after their 4-2 loss at Chicago yesterday. Chicago (23-25-6) has won two in a row after their victory last night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 7-2-4 in the Stars’ last 13 games after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. Dallas has allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Jake Oettinger is between the pipes tonight as the Stars play out the string of a lost season that will leave them out of the postseason after reaching the Stanley Cup Finals last year. Oettinger has a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .915 save percentage when playing at home — but those numbers decline to a 2.48 GAA with a .914 save percentage when he is playing on the road. Dallas has played 4 straight Overs on the road — and the Over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 road games when favored. Additionally, the Over is 15-6-7 in the Stars’ last 28 games overall when favored — and the Over is 7-1-2 in their last 10 games when favored. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after allowing at least two goals in their last game. They turn to Collin Delia in goal tonight as he makes just his fifth start and six appearances all season. He has underwhelmed with a 3.33 GAA and a .903 save percentage. The Blackhawks stay at home where they are scoring 3.3 Goals-Per-Game but allowing 3.2 Goals-Per-Game. Chicago has now played 4 straight games Over the Total at home. In their last five games, Chicago is allowing 3.8 Goals-Per-Game. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now seen the Over go 22-4-1 in their last 27 games played in Chicago. Let’s trust these team trends to continue with skaters looking to pad offensive stats tonight. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (7) and the Chicago Blackhawks (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-21 |
Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Chicago Blackhawks (2). THE SITUATION: Dallas (22-17-14) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 5-2 victory at Tampa Bay on Friday. Chicago (23-25-6) ended their six-game losing streak with a 2-1 overtime victory in Carolina on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-0-2 in the Stars’ last 7 games after a win. Additionally, Dallas is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least five goals — and the Over is 5-0-3 in their last 8 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. The Stars have been eliminated from making the postseason so their efforts may be lax on the defensive end of the ice. As it is, they are allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Anton Khudobin is the goaltender tonight. He has a mediocre 2.91 Goals-Against-Average with a .908 save percentage in three starts this month. The Over is 3-1-1 in Dallas’ last 5 road games when favored — and the Over is 6-1-2 in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after an overtime victory — and they have played 8 straight games at home Over the Total after a victory by one goal on the road. The Blackhawks have also played 6 of their 8 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Chicago has also played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Blackhawks return home where they have played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total after playing at least three in a row on the road. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Kevin Lankinen will be between the pipes. After a strong start to the season, the rookie has floundered in the second half of the season. He was saddled with a 3.87 GAA along with an .871 save percentage in ten starts in April before letting in five goals in his last start against Florida last Saturday. The Blackhawks are allowing 4.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight Overs — the Over is 21-4-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams in Chicago. They last played on April 8th with Dallas winning in Chicago by a 5-1 score. The Blackhawks have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by more than one goal. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (1) and the Chicago Blackhawks (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-21 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). THE SITUATION: Colorado (34-12-4) has won three games in a row with their 5-4 win in overtime at San Jose on Monday. San Jose (20-26-6) has lost three in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 games after a win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a victory on the road where they scored at least four goals. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning at least three in a row against a divisional rival. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least five goals, the Avalanche have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Colorado has scored nine combined goals in their last two games with their 4-3 win against the Sharks on Saturday — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least nine goals in their last two games. There have been at least seven combined goals scored in four of their last six games. Philip Grubauer should be back between the pipes tonight after allowing four goals from the 27 shots he faced on Monday. Grubauer has a sparkling 2.00 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 36 games/35 starts this season. But looking under the hood from those numbers exposes some areas of concern. He ranks tied for 16th in the league with a +0.001 save percentage above his expected save percentage in all situations — indicating he barely above average. He had a 2.92 GAA and a .891 save percentage in five starts in April before his mediocre start on Monday. Grubauer also has a 2.59 Goals-Against-Average and a .898 save percentage in 13 starts on the road. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Avalanche’s last 6 road games. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after losing a game in overtime. The Sharks have also played 28 of their last 43 home games after scoring at least four goals in their last game. They have seen at least seven combined goals scored in five of their last seven games. They are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games while allowing 3.6 Goals-Per-Game over that span. They have played 4 straight games at home Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight Overs at home as an underdog. Josef Korenar gets the call tonight in goal — he has a subpar 3.21 GAA and a .896 save percentage in eight games/five starts this season. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has lost the last four meetings between these two teams — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge where they gave up at least four goals in those games. The Over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams — and the Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 encounters between these two teams when playing in San Jose. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-21 |
Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
104 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (67) and the Vancouver (68). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (31-17-2) has won four of their last five games after their 5-3 win on the road against the Canucks last night. Vancouver (19-24-3) has lost five in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 9-2-1 in the Oilers’ last 12 games after a win — and the Under is 36-16-4 in their last 56 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Edmonton has also played 5 straight Unders when playing without a day of rest. I looked very closely at the Under in last night’s game — but after getting confirmation on the goaltenders (this is so important), I laid off. Mikko Koskinen allowed the Canucks to score four times which is one less goal than they had scored in their previous four games combined. Now we get Mike Smith between the pipes tonight — and it is confirmed. The veteran has a 2.30 Goals-Against-Average this season with a .924 save percentage — and he has been even better on the road with a 2.00 GAA and a .937 save percentage. The Oilers have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when favored. Edmonton has also played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored. Vancouver has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after losing at least four in a row — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games when playing their third game in four days. Thatcher Demko should be in goal tonight after Braden Holtby got the call last night. Demko has taken the number one job in Vancouver with his superior play this season. He has a 2.88 GAA with a .913 save percentage this season — and he has been better at home with a 2.61 GAA and a .921 save percentage in 17 starts at home. Demko is sixth in the NHL in save percentage above expected save percentage in all situations. The Under is 8-3-2 in the Canucks’ last 13 games on home ice. The Under is also 9-3-1 in Vancouver’s last 13 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver has played 32 of their last 53 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. The Under is 7-2-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Vancouver even after last night. 25* NHL Tuesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (67) and the Vancouver (68). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-21 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (57) and the San Jose Sharks (58). THE SITUATION: Colorado (33-12-4) has won two games in a row with their 4-3 win against the Sharks on Saturday. San Jose (20-26-5) has lost two in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 4-0-1 in the Avalanche’s last 5 games after a win — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after winning two in a row against a divisional rival. Colorado has also played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game. The Avalanche has peppered their opponent's' goal with at least 31 shots in five straight games — and they have played 6 straight Overs after attempting at least 30 shots in three straight games. They have scored at least four goals in five of their last nine games. But they have allowed at least three goals in four of their last five games. Philip Grubauer is between the pipes after a disappointing April where he had a 2.92 Goals-Against-Average and a .891 save percentage in just five starts. Grubauer plays his best at home where he enjoys a 1.67 Goals-Against-Average with a .933 save percentage — but he owns a 2.47 GAA with a .920 save percentage on the road. The Over is 3-1-1 in Colorado’s last 5 games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when favored. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. San Jose has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after loss by just one goal. The Sharks have now allowed at least four goals in four of their last six games. They return home where the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games — and they have played 7 straight Overs at home as an underdog. Martin Jones is the goalie for San Jose tonight — he has a rough 3.14 GAA with a .901 save percentage when playing at home. He also comes off a disappointing April where he had a 3.20 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 11 starts. The Sharks have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. They have lost three in a row against the Avalanche — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge. The Over is also 18-8-2 in the last 28 meetings between these two teams — and the Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 encounters in San Jose. 25* NHL West Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (57) and the San Jose Sharks (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-21 |
Blues v. Wild -150 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-150 |
1 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (38) versus the St. Louis Blues (37). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (31-13-3) has won seven straight games after their 6-3 victory at San Jose on Saturday. St. Louis (21-19-6) has won two in a row with their 4-1 win against Colorado on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild have won 18 of their last 24 games after a win — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games after a win against a divisional rival by at least four goals. Minnesota has also won 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Now after playing their last four games on the road, the Wild return home where have 15 of their 19 games this season with the Total set at 5.5. Cam Talbot gets the start tonight — he is 13-2-2 in his last 17 starts since March 12th with five straight victories under his belt. Talbot has been thought to beat when playing at home where he enjoys a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average along with a .935 save percentage in ten starts. Minnesota has won 25 of their last 35 games against teams with a losing record. St. Louis has lost 5 of their last 8 games after a win at home — and they have lost 9 of their last 14 games after winning two of their last three games. They have also lost 11 of their last 17 games when playing their fourth game in seven days. Now after playing their last three games at home along with eight of their last nine, they go back on the road where they have lost 5 straight. Jordan Binnington gets the start — but while he has a 2.63 GAA with a .912 save percentage at home, those numbers worsen to a 2.75 GAA with a .906 save percentage when he has played on the road this season.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has lost five of their six meetings with the Blues including their last two meetings after a 3-2 loss at St. Louis on April 10th. The Wild have won 6 of their last 7 games when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (38) versus the St. Louis Blues (37). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-21 |
Flyers v. Devils OVER 6 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (27) and the New Jersey Devils. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (22-19-7) has won two of their last three games with their 4-3 win in overtime against the Devils. New Jersey (14-27-7) has lost ten games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Flyers have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a win in overtime. This is Philadelphia’s third game since last Thursday — and they have played 24 of their last 34 games Over the Total when playing their third game in five days. Brian Elliott is between the pipes again tonight. While he has a 2.41 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage in 14 games (11 starts) at home, those numbers rise to a 3.51 GAA and a .880 save percentage in 11 games (10 starts) on the road. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. New Jersey has allowed their last five opponents to score 5.0 Goals-Per-Game. Mackenzie Blackwood is in goal tonight. He has a 2.81 GAA with a .920 save percentage on the road, but he has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.32 GAA with a .880 save percentage. The Devils have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams in New Jersey. 10* NHL Tuesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (27) and the New Jersey Devils. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-21 |
Canadiens v. Oilers UNDER 6 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (77) and the Edmonton Oilers (78). THE SITUATION: Montreal (19-15-9) has lost six of their last eight games after their 4-1 loss to the Oilers on Monday. Edmonton (27-15-2) has won four of their last five games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They are scoring only 1.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. The Under is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a loss by three or more goals. Jake Allen will between the pipes again tonight with Carey Price in the concussion protocol. He has played better on the road this season where he has a 2.19 Goals-Against-Average and a .924 save percentage in nine games/eight starts. The Under is 7-2-1 in Montreal’s last 10 games on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total as a road underdog. Additionally, the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 15-5-2 in their last 22 games as an underdog. Edmonton has seen the Under go 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after a win — and they have played 5 straight Unders after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They counter with Mike Smith in goal tonight who has a 2.30 GAA with a .923 save percentage in 24 games/23 starts — and he owns a 1.88 GAA with a .923 save percentage in six starts this month. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Oilers’ last 4 home games as a favorite. They have also played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 straight Unders after Monday’s result. Additionally, the Canadiens have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least four goals. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (77) and the Edmonton Oilers (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-21 |
Wild v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (5) and the Arizona Coyotes (6). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (28-13-3) has won four in a row after their 5-2 victory at Arizona on Monday. Arizona (20-21-5) has lost six of their last seven games.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wild have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road after a win against a divisional rival. Minnesota has also played 5 straight Overs after going unbeaten for at least three straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Wild have scored 18 goals in their last four games — and they have averaged 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have also allowed at least two goals in eight straight games. Cam Talbot is the goaltender once again tonight. While the veteran has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average with a .935 save percentage when playing at home in 25 starts, those numbers decline to a 2.86 GAA with a .912 save percentage when he is playing on the road in his 13 starts. Minnesota has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, the Wild have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Additionally, the Coyotes have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Arizona has scored at least two goals in 13 of their last 14 games — but they have given up 16 goals in their last four contests. They counter with Darcy Kuemper who allowed four goals in the game on Monday. In his two starts since his return to the ice after being out for about six weeks, he has a 3.03 GAA with a .867 save percentage. The Coyotes stay at home where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals. The Coyotes have lost five straight to the Wild this season — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have played 5 straight Overs when playing at Arizona. 25* NHL West Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (5) and the Arizona Coyotes (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-21 |
Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-117 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (59) and the New York Islanders (60). THE SITUATION: The New York Rangers (23-16-6) have won four in a row with their 5-3 win at New Jersey on Sunday. The New York Islanders (28-13-4) comes off a 1-0 victory at Philadelphia on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played two straight Overs after defeating the Devils by a 6-3 score on Saturday. But the Rangers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs — and they have played 6 straight Unders after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Despite these recent high-scoring games, the Rangers have not allowed more than three goals in six straight games — and they are allowing just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Igor Shesterkin has been named tonight’s goaltender for Alain Vigneault’s team. He has a 2.28 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage in 27 games — and those marks improve to a 2.14 GAA with a .929 save percentage in his 13 games/12 starts at home. Shesterkin is tied for eighth in the NHL in save percentage above his expected save percentage (my new goalie metric of choice). The Under is 18-7-2 in the Rangers’ last 27 games on the road — and the Under is 13-3-2 in their last 18 games on the road as an underdog. The Islanders have played 6 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a win. The Islanders have only scored two goals in their last three games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games. They have scored one goal or less in five of their last seven contests — and they are averaging 1.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five. Semyon Varlamov will likely get the start tonight for head coach Barry Trotz after not playing the last two games. Varlamov has a 2.24 GAA with a .922 save percentage in 29 games/28 starts this season. He plays his best at home where he owns a 2.19 GAA with a .928 save percentage in 14 starts. The Islanders have played 5 straight Unders at home — and they have played 6 straight Unders when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers will be looking to avenge 3-2 loss to the Islanders on April 11th — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total when playing with revenge. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders — and they have played 4 of their last meetings Under the Total when playing at the Islanders’ Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum. 25* NHL East Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (59) and the New York Islanders (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-21 |
Wild v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
123 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (43) and the Arizona Coyotes (44). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (27-13-3) has won three in a row after their 5-2 victory against San Jose on Saturday. Arizona (20-20-5) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 3-2 win against St. Louis on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wild have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after a win against a divisional rival. Minnesota — and they have played 5 straight games on the road Over the Total after a win by at least three goals. The Wild have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Cam Talbot is the goaltender tonight. While the veteran has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average with a .935 save percentage when playing at home, but those numbers decline to a 2.93 GAA with a .912 save percentage when he is playing on the road. Minnesota has played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, the Wild have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Arizona has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win. The Coyotes stay at home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as an underdog. They counter with Antti Raanta in goal making his sixth start of the season at home. He has a 4.41 GAA with an .871 save percentage in his previous five starts at home this season. Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Arizona will be looking to avenge a 5-2 loss at Minnesota on April 14th — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. These two teams have played 4 straight Overs when playing in Arizona. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (43) and the Arizona Coyotes (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-21 |
Blackhawks v. Predators -134 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Nashville Predators (42) versus the Chicago Blackhawks (41). THE SITUATION: Nashville (24-21-1) has lost two in a row after their 3-1 loss at Carolina on Saturday. Chicago (21-19-5) has won three of their last four games with their 4-0 win at Detroit.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PREDATORS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Nashville had been playing great hockey before this recent two-game slide. They have still won thirteen of their last eighteen games to rise to fourth place (and the final playoff spot) in the Central Division. The Predators should bounce back as they have won 6 of their last 8 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Nashville’s loss to the Hurricanes came on the heels of a 4-1 loss at Carolina in the opening game of that two-game series. The Predators have won 4 straight games after losing two in a row on the road by more than one goal. They return home where they have won 6 of their last 8 games — and they have won 19 of their last 26 home games as a favorite. They turn to Juuse Saros as their goalie tonight. Saros is 11-2-0 on home ice this season with a 1.81 Goals-Against-Average and a .940 save percentage. Saros is also tied for fourth in the NHL with his save percentage above his expected save percentage on unblocked shots — one of my go-to metrics for goaltenders. Nashville has won 20 of their last 26 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago has lost 8 of their last 10 games after a win — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. They counter with Kevin Lankinen between the pipes tonight. The rookie started the season hot with a 1.97 GAA with a .937 save percentage in his six starts in January. But as the book on Lankinen gets written, he has cooled off. He has a 3.29 GAA with a .884 save percentage this month. Lankinen has also been more effective at home where he has a 10-6-2 record with a 2.71 GAA and a .921 save percentage. But inches 14 starts on the road, he is 6-6-2 with a 2.90 GAA with a .905 save percentage. The Blackhawks have lost 5 straight games on the road — and they have lost 24 of their last 33 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago has lost 16 of their last 21 meetings with the Predators — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games at Nashville. The Predators have won all five meetings between these two teams this season — and the Blackhawks have lost 8 of their last 11 opportunities to exact revenge on a team that has beaten them a least twice in a row. 25* NHL Central Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Nashville Predators (42) versus the Chicago Blackhawks (41). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-21 |
Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (47) and the Carolina Hurricanes (48). THE SITUATION: Nashville (24-19-1) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six with their 7-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Carolina (27-10-4) has lost two in a row with their 3-1 loss to Detroit on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-3-3 in the Predators’ last 13 games after a win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total playing on the road after a victory by two or more goals against a divisional rival. Nashville scored seven goals against the Lightning’s backup goalie Curtis McElhinney (rather than Andre Vasilevskiy) — but they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game, and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five goals in their contest. The Predators have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Nashville has a hot goaltender in Juuse Saros who stopped 21 of 23 shots against Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Saros has a 2.16 Goals-Against-Average with a .929 save percentage this season. In his six starts this month, Saros has a 1.62 GAA with a .942 save percentage. Saros is tied for fifth in the NHL this season for save percentage against unblocked shots above expected save percentage against unblocked shots. The Predators stay on the road where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Nashville has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog. Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss at home — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after loss at home to a divisional rival. The Hurricanes have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing two in a row against divisional rivals — and they have played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They counter with Petr Mrazek who has a 1.47 GAA and a .952 save percentage in his seven starts this season which included a long stint on the shelf with an injury. In his five starts at home this season, he has a 1.47 GAA with a .952 save percentage. The Under is 7-2-2 in Carolina’s last 11 games at home as a favorite.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 3-1-2 in their last 6 meetings between these two teams. Nashville looks to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Hurricanes — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (47) and the Carolina Hurricanes (48). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-14-21 |
Flames v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
101 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (33) and the Montreal Canadiens (34). THE SITUATION: Calgary (18-21-3) has won two games in a row with their 3-2 win in overtime at Toronto last night. Montreal (18-12-9) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 4-2 upset win against Toronto on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 9-3-2 in the Flames’ last 14 games after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games this season Under the Total after a win by just one goad. Calgary has also played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total when playing their second game on the road in two days. The Flames have not made their goaltender official for tonight — but indications are that Jacob Markstrom will again be between the pipes after he stopped 24 of 26 shots last night. The big free-agent acquisition in the off-season has a 2.88 Goals-Against-Average with a .901 save percentage for the season — but he does improve to a 2.68 GAA with a .913 save percentage in his 14 starts on the road. Markstrom also has a .953 save percentage in his last two games, stopping 41 of 43, shots after his shutout win against Edmonton on Saturday. Calgary has played 5 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog. They are scoring only 2.2. Goals-Per-Game on the road. Additionally, the Flames have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a losing record — and the Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 games overall as an underdog. Montreal has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in a victory. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Canadiens’ last 8 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They will counter with Jake Allen in goal. He has a 2.49 GAA with a .912 save percentage in 16 starts. Allen deserves better — he ranks tied for fifth in save percentage above expected save percentage in the NHL this season. Montreal stays at home where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. The Canadiens are scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. The Under is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games where Montreal was playing at home. Calgary has won the last three encounters, most recently in a 3-1 win at home. The Canadiens have played 7 straight Unders when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (33) and the Montreal Canadiens (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-13-21 |
Flyers v. Capitals OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (23) and the Washington Capitals (24). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (19-16-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 5-3 loss to Buffalo on Sunday. Washington (27-11-4) has won two straight games with their 8-1 win at Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Capitals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 27 of their last 39 games Over the Total after a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. The Washington offense is clicking right now — they are averaging 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have scored 12 goals in their last two games. The Capitals have played 36 of their last 52 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after scoring at least four goals in two straight contests. The Over is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. They return home where they have played 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total. Ilya Samsonov is the goaltender tonight — he has a 2.97 Goals-Against-Average with a .894 save percentage. He has struggled in three starts this month with a 5.21 GAA and a .833 save percentage. The deeper metrics are far from bullish. He ranks 50th amongst goaltenders in the league with a .944 save percentage on unblocked shots — and is far below his expected save percentage from unblocked shots of .955. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored. Philadelphia has played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a loss. Additionally, the Over is 13-6-1 in the Flyers’ last 20 games after allowing at least five goals — and they have played 14 of the last 18 games Over the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Philly counters with Brian Elliott who has a 2.87 GAA and a .894 save parentage this season. Elliott has a .939 save percentage on unblocked shots, the 56th worst mark in the league — and even farther off his expected save percentage of .951 on unblocked shots than Samsonov. Elliott also has a 3.37 GAA with a .879 save percentage in his nine games (eight starts) on the road. The Over is 19-6-1 in the Flyers’ last 26 road games as an underdog — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total with the number installed at 6 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Philly will be looking to avenge a 5-4 loss at home to the Capitals on March 13th — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. These two teams have played 5 of the last 6 meetings Over the Total when playing in Washington. 25* NHL Tuesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (23) and the Washington Capitals (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-08-21 |
Bruins v. Capitals -120 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (20) versus the Boston Bruins (19). THE SITUATION: Washington (25-10-4) looks to bounce back from a 1-0 loss at New York against the Islanders on Tuesday. Boston (20-10-6) comes off a 4-2 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington has rebounded to win 11 of their last 16 games after a loss by one goal to a divisional rival. The Capitals have also won 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. They return home where they have won 7 of their last 8 games. Washington has played their last five games on the road — this is their first game back on home ice since March 28th. The Capitals are 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 games at home after being on the road for at least seven days. They turn to Ilya Samsonov to be between the pipes — he is 9-2-1 in 13 games (12 starts) this season with a 2.87 Goals-Against-Average and a .896 save percentage. He has thrived at home where he sports a 1.77 GAA with a .922 save percentage in four starts. Washington has won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 15 of their last 17 games when favored. Boston has lost 4 straight games after a win — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least two goals. The Bruins were hoping to get their star defenseman, Charlie McAvoy, back for this game but he will remain out for another handful of games with an upper-body injury. That does not help rookie goaltender Jeremy Swayman making his second career start after stopping 40 of 42 shots against the Flyers on Tuesday. Boston has lost 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Washington will be looking to avenge a 5-1 loss to the Bruins on March 5th — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three goals. 20* NHL Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the Washington Capitals (20) versus the Boston Bruins (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-01-21 |
Hurricanes v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). THE SITUATION: Carolina (23-8-3) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 2-1 loss on their road against the Blackhawks. Chicago (17-15-5) snapped a two-game losing streak with the win.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Carolina’s last 4 games after scoring two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-3 in their last 7 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. James Reimer should be the goaltender tonight for Carolina. He sported a 2.15 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage in six starts in March. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 5 games on the road — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games when favored. Furthermore, the Under is 6-1-2 in Carolina’s last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago only managed 16 shots on goal on Monday in their victory The Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Rookie goalie Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of the two 32 shots he faced on Tuesday against the Hurricanes. He has a 2.52 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in 15 home starts this season. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Blackhawks’ last 4 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Chicago has now played 5 straight Unders when playing at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, the Under is 4-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. 25* NHL Thursday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-31-21 |
Wild -150 v. Sharks |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-150 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (37) versus the San Jose Sharks (38). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (21-10-2) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 4-3 loss in a shootout at San Jose on Monday. San Jose (14-16-4) had lost six of their last eight games before the win.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild had been off for three days before their game with the Sharks on Monday — the layoff may explain why they were flat. Minnesota has won 8 of their last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. The Wild have also won 7 of their last 11 games after a loss — and they have won 5 of their last 8 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Kaapo Kahkonen has been confirmed as the starting goaltender tonight. He has not played since March 20th when he got burned for six goals in his worst effort of the season at Colorado. Cam Talbot has made each start since — so Kahkonen is getting his first chance at redemption. For the record, Talbot has been great as of late — I was prepared to invest in the Wild even if he was getting the start tonight. I remain comfortable with Kahkonen who has a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average with a .921 save percentage in 17 games/16 starts this season. Kahkonen has been just as effective on the road as well where he has a 9-5-2 record with a 2.37 GAA and a .921 save percentage. Minnesota has won 10 of their last 12 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 16 of their last 21 games as a favorite. San Jose has lost 11 of their last 14 games after a win — and they have lost 14 of their last 17 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have lost 9 of their last 12 games after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have lost 29 of their last 42 games after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Despite Monday’s result, they are still only scoring 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. And San Jose has not had much of a home-ice advantage this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set at 6. They have also lost 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog. Martin Jones is the confirmed goaltender for the Sharks. He is 11-7-2 with a 3.29 GAA and a .897 save percentage in 21 starts. Jones was the goalie on Monday when he stopped 22 of 25 shots before winning the shootout. He does his best work when playing with more than one day of rest. In those 381 minutes this season, Jones has a 2.41 GAA with a .923 save percentage. But in his 721:12 minutes when playing with one day between starts, his GAA skyrockets to a 4.71 mark with a .855 save percentage. That is not encouraging for a team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better.
FINAL TAKE: I waited on this game to (a) get the confirmation of the goaltenders (b) ensuring the money-line price was not trending above my -150 price threshold. The common price seems to be stabilizing at -150 — so I comfortable endorsing the play. If you can only get a price in the -155 range, no big deal (this is a guideline for me regarding what situations to bet — I appreciate the price others will get varies a little). Minnesota has won 10 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NHL Bailout Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (37) versus the San Jose Sharks (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-30-21 |
Devils v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-137 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (19) and the Boston Bruins (20). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (13-16-4) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 1-0 win at Boston on Sunday. Boston (17-9-5) has lost two of their last three games with that loss to the Devils.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have scored the fifth-fewest goals in the NHL this season. They have not scored more than two goals in seven of their twelve games this month while getting shutout three times. Boston has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total at home after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Under is 18-7-1 in the Bruins’ last 26 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Over their last five games, they are averaging just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game — but they are allowing only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game during that span. They stay at home where the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games. They hold their guests to just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. And while Boston has peppered the net with at least 32 shots in five straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 11 games at home Under the Total after taking at least 30 shots in five straight games. Jaroslav Halak should be between the pipes tonight — he has been sensational at home with a 1.97 Goals-Against-Average and .926 save percentage in eight games (seven starts). The Bruins have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games when favored. New Jersey has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They have also played 6 straight Unders when playing their fourth game in seven days. This is New Jersey’s sixth straight game on the road — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. They are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games — but they have held these opponents to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. MacKenzie Blackwood should be in goal — and while he has a 3.00 Goals-Against-Average with a .894 save percentage at home in 10 starts, he improves to a 2.55 GAA and .922 save percentage in nine road starts. The Devils have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: New Jersey has now won the last four meetings between these two teams — and Boston has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when having lost at least four in a row against their opponent. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (19) and the Boston Bruins (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-26-21 |
Jets v. Flames -117 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-117 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Calgary Flames (32) versus the Winnipeg Jets (31). THE SITUATION: Calgary (15-6-3) has lost three in a row after a 3-1 loss at Ottawa on Wednesday. Winnipeg (20-11-2) has won two in a row with their 5-1 win at Vancouver on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLAMES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The honeymoon is over for new head coach Darryl Sutter. Calgary had won three of four games under the veteran disciplinarian — but they getting swept in Ottawa against the lowly Senators presents desperate times for this team. The Flames have rebounded to win 6 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road by at least three goals. And they won 5 of their last 8 games after losing two in a row. Now after playing their last four on the road, they return home where they have won 11 of their last 15 games when favored. Calgary has also won 9 of their last 13 games after playing four in a row on the road. The Flames have only scored twice in their last three games but returning to their home ice should help where they are averaging 3.3 Goals-Per-Game. They may be catching Winnipeg on the right night. The Jets have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 13 of their last 18 games after a won on the road by at least two goals. Winnipeg has lost 8 of their last 29 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Jets won their previous game by a 4-0 score at Vancouver — but they have lost 22 of their last 32 games after winning two in a row. They also have lost 6 of their last 9 games after winning two in a row by at least two goals.
FINAL TAKE: Calgary has won 6 of their last 8 opportunities to play Winnipeg at home. Look for the Flames to play inspired tonight. 25* NHL Game of the Month with the money-line on the money-line on the Calgary Flames (32) versus the Winnipeg Jets (31). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-17-21 |
Canadiens v. Jets +107 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
107 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (40) versus the Montreal Canadiens (39). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (17-9-2) comes off a 4-2 loss at home to Montreal on Monday. Montreal (13-8-7) had lost nine of their last twelve games before their triumph against the Jets.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg has still been playing well — they have won eight of their last twelve games even after the setback on Monday. They have bounced-back to win 9 of their last 10 games after a loss — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Jets have also won 5 of their last 6 games when playing their third game in four days. Conner Hellebuyck will be between the pipes tonight — he has a 2.49 goals-against-average with a .913 save percentage in 12 starts at home this season. Winnipeg has won 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog — and they have pulled the upset in 7 of their last 10 games as a money-line underdog. Montreal has lost 6 straight games after a victory — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Canadiens have also lost 4 of their last 5 games when playing their fourth game in six days. They stay on the road where they have lost 7 of their last 9 road games — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has won 20 of their last 28 games when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have won 5 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home. The Jets have lost their last two games to the Canadiens this month — but they have won 13 of their last 19 games when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (40) versus the Montreal Canadiens (39). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-15-21 |
Flyers -115 v. Rangers |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (7) versus the New York Rangers (8). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (13-9-3) has lost two straight and four of their last five after a 5-4 loss to Washington on Saturday. New York (11-12-3) ended a three-game losing streak with a 4-0 win at Boston on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia should respond with a strong effort tonight after being behind the eight-ball all game against the Capitals with 2-0, 3-1, and 5-2 deficits. The Flyers have won 11 of their last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Philly has also won 14 of their last 18 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. They go back on the road where they have won 15 of their last 22 games — and they have won 22 of their last 29 road games when favored. Carter Hart will be between the pipes tonight. He has struggled this season with a 3.60 Goals-Against-Average and a .887 save percentage. But this is the same goalie who sported a 2.23 GAA with a .926 save percentage in 14 playoff starts in bubble last fall. The Flyers are scoring — they have scored 12 goals in their last three games with at least three in each contest. Philadelphia has won 16 of their last 23 games on the road after winning at least three goals in three straight games. The Flyers have also won 37 of their last 54 games against teams with a losing record. New York may be due for a letdown as they have lost 10 of their last 12 games at home after a win against a divisional rival. The Rangers have also lost 10 of their last 14 games after a win by at least three goals — including losing four of those five games, under those circumstances, this season. This is New York’s fourth game since Wednesday — and they have lost 7 straight games when playing their fourth game in six days. The Rangers return home where they have lost 5 of their last 7 games. This is the first game back at Madison Square Garden since March 2nd after playing their last six games on the road — and they have lost 16 of their last 22 home games after being on the road for at least seven days. New York has lost 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog. And while they have played two straight Under, they have lost 6 straight home games after playing two straight Unders. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 home games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. With Igor Shesterkin not ready to come off the Injured Reserve with his groin injury, Keith Kinkaid will get a spot start as the team’s third goaltender. Kinkaid has a 1.53 Goals-Against-Average with a .933 save percentage in four games which includes two starts. Kinkaid has been a backup for two seasons after posting a 4.24 GAA with a .875 save percentage as a starter in New Jersey two seasons ago. Kinkaid will try to lead a team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers will have revenge on their minds after losing in Philadelphia by a 4-3 score on February 24th — but New York has lost 30 of their last 46 games when avenging a one-goal loss including losing five of their eight revenge opportunities from a one-goal loss this season. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (7) versus the New York Rangers (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-05-21 |
Wild -145 v. Coyotes |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (65) versus the Arizona Coyotes (66). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (12-7-1) looks to bounce back from a 5-1 loss in Vegas on Wednesday. Arizona (10-9-3) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 3-2 win in Los Angeles on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Minnesota had been riding a six-game winning streak when they headed to Las Vegas to begin the week. The Wild had a late 4-2 lead against the Golden Knights before surrendering two late goals and then losing in overtime. That result was marred by Zach Parise staying on the ice too long trying to help a Marcus Foligno register a hat trick on the Vegas open net — but that gesture backfired with Alex Tuch scoring the tying goal with just 42 seconds left in the game. The loss then on Wednesday was closer than the final score indicated — but the Wild now need a win to get back to their winning ways. Minnesota has won 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 8 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least four goals. The Wild have also won 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. And while this is Minnesota’s third game on the road this week, they have won 4 straight games when playing their third game in five days on the road. The Wild have won 13 of their last 19 road games after losing two in a row. Minnesota confirmed around 2:30 PM ET that they will Kaap Kahkonen will be between the pipes with his 2.41 Goals-Against-Average and .915 save percentage this season. Kahkonen enjoyed a great February with a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average with a .927 save percentage in six starts. Kahkonen is also very good on the road — he has a 1.85 GAA and .932 save percentage in six starts on the road. Arizona has lost 16 of their last 22 games after a win — and they have lost 16 of their last 19 games after a narrow win by one goal. Additionally, the Coyotes have lost 8 of their last 9 home games after a win on the road — and they have lost 5 straight home games after a win by just one goal on the road. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They return home where they are just 6-9 this season — and they have lost 9 of their last 12 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Arizona has also lost 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Coyotes have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and the Wild have won 4 of their last 5 road games when favored. 25* NHL West Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (65) versus the Arizona Coyotes (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-02-21 |
Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (1) and the New York Rangers (2). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (6-10-3) has lost three in a row with their 3-0 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday. New York (7-9-3) looks to bounce back from a 4-1 loss to Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sabres have played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home by more than one goal — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a loss at home by three or more goals. Buffalo has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a loss at home where they were shutout. Buffalo is a hot mess right now. There is talk of them trading Jack Eichel with their young superstar scoreless in his last nine games. They were shutout in their previous game as well in another 3-0 loss to the Flyers — and they have played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after losing two in a row by at least two goals. They are scoring only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They go on the road where they are allowing only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road. Carter Hutton is between the pipes tonight with his 3.20 Goals-Against-Average and .896 save percentage in eight games with seven starts. Hutton does have an impressive 1.20 GAA and .952 save percentage in two road starts this year. The veteran has a professional 2.81 GAA and .907 save percentage in his career on the road consisting of 111 starts and 126 overall appearances on the ice in road games. The Under is 14-4-3 in the Sabres’ last 21 games as an underdog. New York has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Rangers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals on home ice. New York only managed 21 shots on Sunday in what was the lowest output of the season. They really miss Artemi Panarin who took time away from the ice as he deals with some serious personal issues relating to the political situation in Russia. The Rangers are scoring only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game at home. They have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total as a favorite. Igor Shesterkin will be between the pipes for them tonight. He has a 2.34 GAA and .926 save percentage in his eight games/six starts at home this season. New York has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 8 straight Unders against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Buffalo is looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home to the Rangers on January 28th — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. 20* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (1) and the New York Rangers (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-26-21 |
Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
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2-6 |
Loss |
-108 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (23) and the New York Rangers (24). THE SITUATION: Boston (11-4-2) has lost three of their last four games after their 7-2 loss at New York against the Islanders last night. New York (6-8-3) had their two-game winning streak end on Wednesday with their 4-3 loss at Philadelphia.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. They also have played 12 of their last 15 games on the road after a loss on the road. Boston needs to tighten up on defense after surrendering seven goals last night. They have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Their loss last night came on the heels of a 7-3 win on Monday against Philadelphia. The Bruins have played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 14 of their last 20 road games Under the Total. The Under is also 19-7-1 in their last 27 games against teams with a losing record. New York has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after a narrow one-goal loss. The Rangers have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while New York has scored at least three goals in three straight games, they have then played 12 of their last 14 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Rangers are without one of their best goal scorers in Artemi Panarin who is out indefinitely dealing with some personal issues relating to the political turmoil in Russia. New York returns home to Madison Square Garden where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Rangers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: New York has lost both their games with the Bruins this season after losing by a 1-0 score at home to them on February 12th. The Rangers have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Month with Boston Bruins (23) and the New York Rangers (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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