Big Al 2009 BCS Championship Picks

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Oklahoma, as Florida falls into 20-7, 83-55, 54-26, 49-21, and 80-33 ATS bowl systems of mine. Both Oklahoma and Florida have proficient offenses, and can light up the scoreboard. But this game will be decided by which team is better able to stop the other. And the best defensive unit is that of Florida. The Gators give up just 12.8 points per game, compared to 24.5 points by the Sooners. In addition to having the much better defense, Florida also has the better coach. Although both have won national championships, Bob Stoops has had his troubles in recent years in bowl games. Last year, West Virginia shredded Oklahoma 48-28. And two years ago, Boise State upended the Sooners 43-42. Since winning the national championship after the 2000 season, Stoops’ men are a dismal 2-5 ATS in the Bowls, including two losses in championship games: a 55-19 loss to USC in the Orange Bowl following the 2004 season, and a 21-14 loss to LSU following the 2003 season. In contrast, Urban Meyer has had great success in the bowls, with a 4-1 ATS record. And that mirrors Meyer’s overall success vs. non-conference competition. Since being named the head coach at Bowling Green in 2001, Meyer has dominated non-conference foes at each of his three stops (Bowling Green, Utah, and Florida). His teams are an incredible 32-3 straight-up and 27-4 ATS, including 11-1 ATS when not laying 7 or more points, and 14-0 if his team won its previous game by 31 points or less. Take Florida. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.