Burns 2008 St. Petersburgh Bowl Lines

Our expert, Ben Burns has done a great job of beating the bowl game odds every season that he has been a professional handicapper.  Don’t trust anyone else’s bowl picks this season, but rely on one of the experts on our site to deliver for you with award-winning analysis like this:

I’m playing on Memphis and South Florida to finish UNDER the number. This total has climbed a few points from its opening number and has gotten to the point where I now feel we’re getting excellent value with the UNDER.

Memphis has been solid offensively, averaging a respectable 28.2 points per game. However, the Tigers haven’t been nearly as good offensively on the road, averaging only 22.8 points. Additionally, they haven’t faced too many defenses in the class of the one that they’ll see this afternoon.

South Florida comes in allowing 20.5 points and 291 yards per game, including just 17.3 and 279 away from home. The Bulls have been particularly stingy against the run as they rank in the Top 10 in the country, allowing just 97.7 yards per game on an average of only 2.9 yards per carry.

While Tigers’ defense has been rather mediocre (26 points per game) for the season as a whole, they were much better on that side of the ball down the stretch. In their last game, they held Tulane to only six points and 222 total yards and over their last three games, they’ve held opponents to an average of just 255 total yards. Note that the Tigers have seen the UNDER go a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they were listed as underdogs in the 10.5 to 21 point range. Look for more of the same this afternoon as the UNDER moves to 4-0 the last four times that the Bulls played on turf. *Total of the Week