East’s 2008 Music City Bowl Picks

Mr. East was one of the best in the business this year and he’s not letting up with his college football bowl picks to finish off the season.  If you are looking for someone with years of experience and who puts hours in each day breaking down the bowl game odds, then this is your man.  Let’s take a look at his winner last night on the UNDER in the 2008 Music City Bowl:

The Vanderbilt Commodores started the season 5-0 and were one of the biggest surprises of the season. It all came unraveled for them from that point on, as they managed just 1 more win to finish a disappointing 6-6 on the season. The offense that produced 30ppg in their first 4, was grounded the rest of the season. Outside of a 31 point performance against Kentucky, the Dores failed to top the 14 mark in their other 7 games. The offense has generated just 25.3.8ypg in the last 8, they are converting just 32.2% of 3rd downs, rushing for just 3.8ypc, and completing 47.8% of their passes, at just 4.75ypp, and have thrown 13 INT’s, or 1 every 16 passes. I don’t think this offense can get healthy against the 6th rated defense in the country. What is remarkable, is despite their offensive woes, and their defense having to spend extensive time on the field, the Commodore defense ranks 29th in the country, which tells me it is even better than that, due to the poor offense. The Eagles offense is not much better, as they are getting just over 300ypg themselves, and this one should become a game of field position, and FG’s. Boston College does not have a reliable kicker, as their longest made FG this season has been just 36 yards, nor is their punting game good, averaging just 38 yards per punt, and no BC player has run back a punt or kickoff this season. Vandy has been a bit better in the FG department hitting from as long as 48 yards out, but they have only managed 10 made FG’s all season. They have not run a kickoff back this season for more than 39 yards, so not much of a threat there, and their punter averages just 40 yards a punt. This one looks like the defenses, and defensive special teams play dominate, and the FG kickers are bound to miss as well. I’m going with the UNDER here.