InfoPlays 2008 Independence Bowl Picks

The InfoPlays team just keeps on cashing tickets for the clients who are following their college football bowl picks.  This is a team of handicappers that works hard at analyzing the bowl game odds so when they release a play, you know they have taken a look at every angle and figured out which side or total has the best chance of winning.  Take a look at why they liked the UNDER in the 2008 Independence Bowl to see what I mean:

8* Independence Bowl Total on LA Tech/N. Illinois UNDER 47.5

Reasons why the LA Tech/Northern Illinois game goes UNDER the Total Sunday:

1.)  These are two teams that rely heavily on the run, which will lead to a low-scoring game.  Northern Illinois runs the ball 38 times PG while throwing just 22 times PG.  LA Tech runs 41 times PG while passing just 26 times PG.  So expect both teams to keep the ball on the ground the majority of the time as this is a battle of field position.

2.)  Both teams have solid defenses built to stop the run.  LA Tech gives up just 100 RYPG and 3.0 yards per carry.  N. Illinois allows 137 RYPG and 4.1 yards per carry.  This Northern Illinois defense is stout across the board, giving up only 162 PYPG and 299 yards of Total Offense PG.  All these numbers show you that the chances of a high-scoring game reaching anywhere near 50 points are slim to none.

3.)  System Play.  We’ll Play Under – Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (N ILLINOIS) – average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/G) after 7+ games.  This is a 26-6 UNDER System hitting 81.2% over the last 10 seasons.  With two teams that rely on the run heavily, and each team stops the run very well, it would be foolish not to side with the UNDER Sunday.  Bet the UNDER 47.5 points in the Independence Bowl.