InfoPlays 2008 Music City Bowl Picks

With the 2008 Music City Bowl the Info Plays team found yet another mismatch with their rankings and systems compared to the bowl game odds and the beneficiaries were their clients.  Chalk up another winner for their bowl picks as they rode Vanderbilt to another winning ticket.  Let’s see why they were so big on the Commodores:

Reasons why Vanderbilt covers the spread Wednesday:

1.)  Vanderbilt is simply happier to be here.  Boston College had high hopes of making a BCS Game had they won the ACC Championship vs. Virginia Tech.  But they blew their opportunity with a terrible performance, and now they will have a hard time getting up for a 6-6 Vanderbilt team in the Music City Bowl Wednesday.  BC may be the better team on paper, but Vanderbilt comes from a tougher conference in the SEC and they are very happy to be playing in this bowl game.

2.)  Home-field advantage for the Commodores.  This game is played in Nashville, Tennessee which is the home state of Vanderbilt.  They will draw more fans because the Commodore faithful is excited to see their team in a bowl for the first time in 26 years.  Boston College won’t bring nearly as many fans for this game as they would for a BCS contest because their fans are not very excited to see the Eagles playing a 6-6 Vanderbilt team.

3.)  System Play.  We’ll Play Against – Neutral field favorites (BOSTON COLLEGE) – in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an inexperienced QB as starter.  This is a 40-15 ATS System hitting 72.7% over the last 10 seasons.  Boston College had to rely on a freshman QB in their final few games after starter Chris Crane went down to injury.  This freshman QB has been their downfall, as the Eagles turned the ball over 4 times in their loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC title game.  Vandy will feast off of turnovers in this game, and they’ll take care of the football like they have all season to come up with a win in their first bowl appearance in 26 years.  Bet Vanderbilt in the Music City Bowl playing at home.