40* NBA SHARP MONEY VEGAS INSIDER (Mavs +5.5) 

I like this spot and price with Dallas. The Mavericks have lost 3 of 4 and failed to cover all 4 of their games in the bubble. While they are all but locked into the No. 7 seed, I think there's got to be some motivation here to get some momentum going before the playoffs start. 

As for the Bucks, they got absolutely nothing to play for right now. After rallying from over 20 down to beat the Heat in their last game, Milwaukee officially clinched the No. 1 seed in the east. Considering the Bucks limited minutes on several of their key players the game before against Brooklyn, you have to believe they will be looking to do the same here. I could easily see them limiting guys minutes in this game, playing everyone in their next game against the Raptors and then resting everyone the final two against Washington and Memphis. Give me the Mavs +5.5! 

50* MLB NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5)

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Neither offense could get much of anything going in the series opener last night, as San Diego pulled out a 3-0 win with the two teams combing for a mere 9 hits. It figures to be more of the same on Saturday with the two starters we got going. 

Diamondbacks will send out Merrill Kelly, who has a 2.63 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 2 starts of 2020. Both of which were quality starts. Padres will counter with the highly underrated Chris Paddack, who is one of the best starters in the game right now. Paddack has a 2.65 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Dating back to last year, Paddack has now gone 7 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

10* FREE MLB PICK (Orioles/Nationals OVER 9) 

I like the value here with the OVER 9 on the total for Saturday's Interleague showdown between the Nationals and Orioles. Baltimore has caught fire offensively the past couple of days. After scoring 7 runs on 11 hits Thursday, the Orioles exploded for 11 runs on 19 hits yesterday. I like Baltimore's chances of staying hot against Nationals starter Austin Voth. 

I also think this will be the game that Washington's offense gets going. Orioles will have Tom Eshelman on the mound. Eshelman made one quality relief appearance against a bad Marlins offense. In his 4 starts last year, he gave up 19 runs on 24 hits (7 HRs) in 19 innings of work. 

Not only are the matchups solid for both sides, but conditions should be heavily in favor of the hitters with the heat index in the low 90s. Give me the OVER 9! 

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40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

I look for the Twins/Royals to have no problem combining for at least 10 runs on Saturday. While this might look like a good pitching matchup with Kansas City sending out Danny Duffy and Minnesota giving the rock to Jake Odorizzi, conditions will not be in favor of the pitchers in this one. 

It's going to be incredibly humid for this game. While temps are expected to be in the high 80's, the humidity is going to be close to 80%, which is going to result in a heat index approaching 110 degrees at the start of this game. On top of that the wind will be blowing straight out to left field. Ball figures to be flying out of the park in this one. Give me the OVER 9.5!