Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything!
Basketball Totals (+12328) 1489-1245 L2734 54%
NBA Totals (+8313) 666-535 L1201 55%
All Sports Totals (+6964) 716-587 L1303 55%
NCAA-B Totals (+5051) 414-330 L744 56%
NHL Money Lines (+3966) 129-81 L210 61%
NCAA-F Picks (+3276) 1157-1024 L2181 53%
MLB Money Lines (+2155) 1123-1043 L2166 52%
Football Sides (+1458) 76-56 L132 58%
NFL Picks (+563) 20-13 L33 61%
NFLX Sides (+431) 14-9 L23 61%
Fighting Picks (+364) 6-3 L9 67%
WNBA Totals (+274) 18-14 L32 56%
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*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays vs Red Sox | Red Sox -107 | Premium | 3-4 | Win | 100 | Show |
The Cubs' offense is rolling and they rank top five in home runs and walks, as well as team wRC+, OPS, as well as stolen bases. In the last 30 days they are the No.1 team in Home runs and must not be under estimated in their ability to deliver a win here tonight against the Yankees. note" NY Yankees on the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season are just 107 this season.Chicago Cubs in away games on the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game are 7-1 since last season. With the Cubs sending Flexen to the hill they really have a money-line edge according to my projections. Flexen has pitched the most innings in the league and allowed the least amount of runs. Opposition bats are struggling against him with a .175 BA . The offering screams value.
Play on the Cubs
Pirates will put Paul Skenes (4-7, 1.94 ERA) on the mound tonight and the Twins will send Joe Ryan (8-4, 2.76 ERA) to the hill .
Pittsburgh on the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better are 0-9 this season.
Pittsburgh in away games on the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span are 2-16 6his season.
, Pittsburgh in away games on the money line when playing against a team with a losing record are 1-11 this season.
My projections estimate the Pirates have the edge. both these teams missed the play offs last season and when thats the situation the home Inter-league chalk is a bankroll exPANDING 62-33 for a 65% conversion rate.
Play on the Minnesota Twins
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 22 years.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.
I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).