NHL road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Mavericks have not faired well at home from a betting backers perspective going  3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. They did win last time out but that has consistently not be a recipe for success as   they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Yes, the Mavs really put a beat down the Pelicans last on Wednesday night  but Im betting they wont be able to repeat that performance  after Dallas shot a franchise-record 68.7 percent from the floor  in that last game. A Mavericks  Regression to the mean gives the Pelicans an edge on this line.   DALLAS is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-16 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pelicans to cover 

The Clippers are in a funk after having lost three games in a row. However, this tilt vs their LA rivals will have them fully awake and ready to compete . I know LeBron James is back for the Lakers, but he's starting to show his age of late and is not the game changer he used to be. 

 Lakers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Lakers are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite. LA LAKERS are 2-14 ATS  after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. Lakers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordL.

CLIPPERS are 16-3 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

.LA CLIPPERS is 6-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

LA Clippers to cover 

Washington  is now one of the top teams in the East, and must be respected at home as short favorites. The Wizards snapped Cleveland’s four game win streak back at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse back on November 10, and Im betting they stop their current run at 3 games in this spot play. 

Washington has won the L/4 meetings between these sides and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Cavaliers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

WASHINGTON is 16-3 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 15-45 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Miami owns the 4th best ppg defense in the league and 4th best SRS , as compared to Indiana that owns the 14th ranked ppg defense and 10th ranked SRS. Both sides are struggling but from a matchup data comparison the superior side is the Heat even  with Jimmy Butler out. Take the points. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to cover 

 The Warriors have revenge on board for a loss earlier this week to the Suns and will be primed to lay down a beating here in front of their own fans . Shutting Curry down two games in a row is far fetched and with the Warriors playing their best ball at home as is evident by going    11-1 SU at home this season, and 10-2 ATS  Im betting on them covering. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 .

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

UM is giving up just 13 points per game and are getting alot of respect from the lines-makers , (to much in my betting opinion) even here on their own field.  EWU is scoring 44.2 points, and in the first meeting between these teams blitzed UM for four plays of 35 or more yards , while Montanas 10 other opponents combined for three plays of more than 35 yards. EWU won that battle, by a 34-28 count and once again matchup well here behind an explosive offense that scored and 51 Red Zone TDs and  has shown it can have its way with this strong defense. Key to game:Last week, EWU ran for 129 yards against a Northern Iowa defense that was allowing just 83.3 yards per game on the ground and in their first meeting vs Montana went over 100 yards rushing, (one of only two teams to achieve that vs the Grizzlies this season) Im betting on them breaching the century mark here on the ground which will once again open up their explosive air attack which in turn will be the ultimate difference maker. 

Play on Eastern Washington to cover

Pac-12 Championship Game - Allegiant Stadium - Paradise, NV

When these teams played earlier this season, Utah owned the Ducks winning 38-7 and completely shut them down offensively and Im betting they will put their offense on mute again, in a tilt I project to have an output in the lower to mid 50s giving us value on this offered number. 

OREGON is 20-8  L/28 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more . Under is 10-2 in Ducks last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games as an underdog.

UTAH is 12-2 UNDER  in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Whittingham is 7-0 UNDER after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 47.1 ppg. 

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 30-9  UNDER. L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

CFB team against the total (OREGON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are  60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER