#71 - ASA NHL FREE PLAY ON New York Islanders Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - This one is a little too pricey for us to release as a premium play but this pick certainly has strong probability of cashing in and that is why you are reading about it here.  The Islanders have played 16 post-season games thus far and only 2 of the 16 games resulted in a New York loss by more than a 1 goal margin.  That means 88% of the time, the Islanders have either won the game or lost by just a single goal in this post-season.  The Lightning have played 15 post-season games and only 6 of the 15 (40%) have been a Tampa Bay win by more than a single goal margin.  This series is tied at 2 games apiece and these semi-finals series (this one plus Vegas/Montreal) have both been so tight it is certainly hard to argue against having the +1.5 goals on your side when it is priced within a reasonable range.  In this particular case, grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -175 price in doing so) with road underdog NY Islanders is absolutely worth a look here as we expect a huge game from the road team in this one after seizing momentum in this series Saturday with a crucial win

#915/916 ASA top play on 10* OVER 9 Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins, 8:10 PM ET - The Twins JA Happ is having a very rough season and showing no signs of turning it around.  At the same time, his teammates should enjoy plenty of success at the plate at home in this one.  Minnesota recently welcomed back Byron Buxton to the lineup.  Even though Josh Donaldson left yesterday's game, his replacement - Luis Arraez - pounded out 3 hits and is currently on a 7 for 20 run at the plate.  Not a power hitter but, as you can see, Arraez is getting the job done of late with his base knocks nonetheless.  Nelson Cruz left yesterday's game but, like Donaldson, could be back for this one.  His replacement was power hitter Miguel Sano and this Twins lineup managed 14 hits in yesterday's game and that was on the road.  Though the Reds Tyler Mahle has good numbers of late, he will have his hands full with a Twins lineup known for being particularly tough at home.  Minnesota will need all the runs they can get because Happ continues to get lit up with a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and 6 homers allowed over 14 innings.  Happ has been hit at a .329 clip in night games this year and has an 8.02 ERA under the lights this season.  The over is 7-3-1 in Reds games against left-handed starters this year.  Last but not least, these are two of the weaker bullpens in MLB and the Twins have a 4.82 ERA and the Reds have a 5.66 ERA which ranks dead last in MLB.  This total is in the 9 range but our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one.  Bet Over