25* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)

The Boston Red Sox have simply been crushing teams of late. I have no problem taking them on the Run Line tonight considering they are very likely to beat the lowly Kansas City Royals by two runs or more. Boston has won four straight games, all by two runs or more. The Red Sox are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall, winning 13 times by two runs or more. Jon Lester returns from the DL looking to pick up right where he left off. Lester is 10-4 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.455 WHIP in his last two starts. He has pitched 11 shutout innings while giving up only 5 base runners in his last two outings.

Kyle Davies has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season for the Royals. Davies is 1-9 with a 7.32 ERA and 1.880 WHIP in 12 starts, including 1-5 with a 9.35 ERA and 2.115 WHIP in six road outings. He wouldn't start on more than a handful of teams in this league. Lester is 4-0 with a 0.28 ERA in four career home starts against Kansas City, allowing 1 earned run in 32 innings. Davies is 0-9 in night games this season, and the Royals are getting outscored 2.4 to 7.0 in this spot. Davies is 0-6 against the run line (-8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Royals are losing 2.0 to 7.7 on average in this situation. Take Boston on the Run Line Monday.

15* AL Monday No-Brainer on New York Yankees -1.5 (-102)

The Seattle Mariners are in the midst of the longest losing streak in the big leagues. Seattle hast lost 15 straight games, losing 13 times by two runs or more. I'm going to continue to fade them Monday by taking the New York Yankees on the Run Line in Game 1 of this series. The Yankees have a big edge on the mound tonight. Freddy Garcia is 8-7 with a 3.21 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jason Vargas is 6-8 with a 3.94 ERA in 20 starts for the Mariners, including 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA in his last three outings. Vargas has given up 10 earned runs, 3 home runs and 24 base runners in 9 innings over his last two starts.

Vargas has never beaten New York, going 0-2 with a 7.97 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in four career starts against the Yankees. He has given up 13 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against New York. Garcia is 2-0 with a 3.79 ERA in his last three starts against Seattle, allowing 3 runs or less while lasting at least 6 innings in all three outings. The Yankees are 15-5 against the run line (+12.7 Units) against AL West opponents this season. They are winning 6.3 to 3.5 on average in this spot. The Mariners are just 2-13 against the run line during their 15-game losing streak and are worth fading again tonight. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Monday.

25* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+124)

I am backing the St. Louis Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday in a game I'm very confident they will win by two runs or more. They have a ton of momentum coming into this one after erasing a 6-3 deficit over the final two innings Saturday to come back and beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-6. They also have a huge edge on the mound with Jamie Garcia over Zach Duke. Garcia is 8-3 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.240 WHIP In 18 starts this season, while Duke is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in eight starts this year.

Garcia is 5-1 with a miniscule 0.94 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in eight home starts in 2011. The Cardinals have won five of those eight contests by two runs or more. Garcia has only faced the Diamondbacks once in his career, allowing 1 earned run in 5 innings to get the win in a 5-2 victory. Duke gave up 6 earned runs in 5 innings of a 1-9 loss to the Cardinals in his last start against them. Arizona is 5-15 against the run line as a road underdog when the run line price is +110 to +155 over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 8-0 in Garcia's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet St. Louis Sunday.

15* AL East Play of the Weekend on New York Yankees -1.5 (+135)

C.C. Sabathia has been virutally unhittable here of late, and I'll back him and the New York Yankees to beat James Shields and the Tampa Bay Rays by two runs or more Sunday. Sabathia is 12-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.40 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He has allowed just 1 earned run while striking out 33 batters in 22 2/3 innings during this incredible stretch. Shields is just 3-9 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.399 WHIP in 16 career starts against New York, while Sabathia is 8-5 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 20 career starts against Tampa.

The Rays are 4-12 in Shields' 16 starts versus New York, losing 10 of those games by two runs or more. The Yankees are 24-5 in day games this season, winning by 2.5 RPG on average. Sabathia is 26-7 against the run line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.. The Yankees are winning by 3.8 RPG in this situation. Sabathia is 17-3 against the run line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. New York is winning by 5.0 RPG in this spot. Sabathia is 15-4 against the run line in day games over the last 2 seasons, with the Yankees outscoring opponents by 3.8 RPG. Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL Sunday No Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 +141

I'm backing the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday to beat the Washington Nationals by two runs or more. Washington is very distracted right now from the resigning of manager Jim Riggleman to the hiring of a new skipper. This team simply isn't mentally in it right now, and were shut out 3-0 Saturday because of it. Look for the White Sox to get another dominant effort from starter Phil Humber Sunday.

Humber is 7-3 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 13 starts and two relief appearances this season. Humber is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in six home starts, and 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.985 WHIP in his last three starts. Livan Hernandez is 0-6 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in eight road starts this season for Washington. The Nationals are 0-8 in Hernandez's eight road outings, losing six times by two runs or more. Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Run Line Play of the Day on Oakland A's +1.5 (-115)

I'll take the extra run Sunday on the Oakland A's on the Run Line. They are showing great value here against a Phillies team that simply isn't hitting very well at all this season. Philly is only batting .246 and scoring 4.1 RPG this season. Those numbers drop to .237 and 3.8 RPG against left-handed starters.

Underrated lefty Josh Outman gets the ball for Oakland Sunday. Outman is 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in six starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last three outings. The A's are 50-34 in day games over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is a very profitable 33-32 as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997. Take the A's on the Run Line Sunday.

20* AL Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 +140

I'll back the White Sox Saturday on the Run Line in what I expect to be a blowout win by 2 runs or more over the Washington Nationals. Washington starter Tom Gorzelanny is 0-3 with a 7.65 ERA in four starts since beating Florida on May 7. John Danks is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in seven home starts this year, including 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.955 WHIP in his last three starts. Danks has only allowed 3 earned runs and 21 base runners in 22 innings over his last three outings.

The Nationals are 3-19 in road games after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot by 1.8 RPG. The Nationals are 81-167 in their last 248 road games. Washington is 0-4 in Gorzellany's last 4 starts, losing the last three all by three runs or more. The White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Chicago is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts as a favorite. This makes for a perfect 14-0 system in favor of the White Sox. Bet Chicago on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL Run Line Play of the Day on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +166

The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing tremendous value on the Run Line Saturday. Instead of laying -135 to get them on the money line, I'm going to take the extra 100-plus points of juice and bank on them winning by 2 runs or more. They have the kind of advantage on the mound which makes me believe they will get it done. Hiroki Kuroda has posted a 3.07 ERA and 1.272 WHIP in 15 starts this year, and a 1.45 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last three starts.

Tyler Chatwood is 4-4 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 14 starts this season for the Angels, and 1-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three outings. The Angels are 6-14 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. They are losing in this spot by 1.7 RPG. Los Angeles is 5-14 in their last 19 games following a win. The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Roll with the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* Interleague Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+147)

The Minnesota Twins are red hot right now and I'll continue to back them with my money Sunday. This time, I'll take them on the Run Line to maximize the value. Minnesota owned the majors' worst record at 17-37 and were 16 1/2 games back of division-leading Cleveland on June 2, but the Twins (30-39) have since won 13 of 15 after beating San Diego 1-0 on Saturday. They've pulled within eight games of the AL Central lead during their run. Like Minnesota, Francisco Liriano (4-6, 4.67 ERA) has come on strong after a rough start.

Since his no-hitter against the Chicago White Sox on May 3, Liriano is 3-2 with a 1.89 ERA while holding opponents to a .135 average in six starts. He beat Texas 6-1 on Sunday, allowing one run and two hits with nine strikeouts through eight innings. San Diego (30-42) has lost four straight and seven of eight, scoring three or fewer runs in seven of those games. The Padres' .231 batting average is worst in the NL, and their 238 runs rank last in baseball. The Padres are 0-8 vs. a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game this season, getting outscored 1.6 to 4.0 in this spot. Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL Run Line Play of the Day on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+135)

The Detroit Tigers have the edge on the mound today with Max Scherzer over Mitch Talbot. Scherzer has posted an 8-2 record this season, and he's 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in eight home starts this year. Mitch Talbot is 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.634 WHIP in six starts this season for Cleveland. This is the finale of a 3-game set between these teams after they split the first two meetings. I am siding with the home team as the winner of this one will be in first place in the AL Central at the conclusion of this series.

Detroit is 16-4 in all home meetings with Cleveland over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 37-12 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons, outscoring opponents by 2.0 RPG in this spot. Cleveland is 0-4 in Talbot's last 4 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. Detroit is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. These three systems add up to a perfect 15-0 system in favor of the Tigers. Plus, Detroit is 10-1 in Scherzer's last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series. Roll with the Tigers on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL Run Line Play of the Day on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-108)

The Florida Marlins have really been struggling, and now they send their worst starter to the mound tonight to face the best team in the National League in the Philadelphia Phillies. The Marlins are 1-14 in their last 15 games overall. Javier Vasquez gets the start and is in line to get rocked once again. Vazquez is 3-6 with a 7.09 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He has posted an 11.20 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts

Cliff Lee has been solid, going 6-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.21 WHIP for Philly. Lee is 5-1 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in eight home starts this year. Vazquez gave up 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 4-6 loss to the Phillies the last time he faced them. Lee has given up 3 earned runs or less in each of his three career starts against Florida. The Phillies have won 6 straight games and they are 40-16 in their last 56 home contests. Philly is also 41-12 in their last 53 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. I like them to win by 2 runs or more today. Take the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

15* Nationals/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego -1.5 +182

Not only do I believe the Padres are going to win tonight, I have no doubt they win this game over the Nationals by 2 runs or more. With the value they are showing on the run line, I had to pull the trigger Thursday. San Diego comes in with a big edge on the mound. Aaron Harang is 6-2 with a 3.89 ERA on the season, 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA at home and 1-0 with a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Padres are 9-3 in Harang's 12 starts this year, winning five of those contests by 2 runs or more.

Livan Hernandez has been brutal on the road, going 0-5 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in seven starts away from home. The Nationals are 0-7 in those contests, losing five times by 2 runs or more. Looking for an offensive boost, the Padres appear ready to make Anthony Rizzo's dream come true. The Padres' prized prospect is expected to make his major league debut at first base Thursday night. Rizzo batted .365 with 16 homers and 63 RBIs, and slugged a whopping .715 in 52 games for Triple-A Tucson this season. Bet the Padres on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Run Line Play of the Day on Texas Rangers -1.5 +121

After getting outscored 21-8 in losing the first two games of this series to the Detroit Tigers, I fully expect the Texas Rangers to bounce back in a big way in Game 3. They send perhaps the most underrated starter in all of baseball to the mound tonight in Alexi Ogando. This guy has been lights out, going 6-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Ogando is 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in six home starts this year, which is even more impressive considering Arlington is a hitter-friendly park.

Ogando faced Detroit earlier this season on 4/11/2011, pitching 7 shutout innings while allowing only 3 base runners to get the win in a 2-0 Texas victory. The Tigers are 2-11 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 3 seasons, losing in this spot by 2.5 RPG. The Tigers are 17-39 in their last 56 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Detroit is 1-4 in Phil Coke's last 5 road starts. The Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Texas is 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Roll with the Rangers on the Run Line Wednesday.

25* NL Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -107

After losing the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates, I fully expect the Phillies to win Game 3 Sunday in blowout fashion behind Ace Roy Halladay. Look for this one to be over by the end of the 5th inning. Halladay is having another Cy Young-caliber year, going 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Meanwhile, James McDonald has been one of the worst starters for Pittsburgh, going 3-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 11 starts.

Halladay is 1-1 with a 1.13 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in three career starts against Pittsburgh. Halladay is 61-19 as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. His teams are winning in this spot by an average of 5.7 to 3.1 RPG. The Phillies are 7-0 in Halladay's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Philly is 9-1 in Halladay's last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. The Phillies are 22-6 in Halladay's last 28 starts overall. Halladay will rise to the occasion and salvage this series for his team. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Run Line Play of the Day on Atlanta Braves -1.5 +130

After losing the first two games of this series to San Diego, I like the Atlanta Braves to bounce back with a blowout home victory in Game 3. They have a huge edge on the mound tonight with Tommy Hanson over Clayton Richard. Hanson is 5-4 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in six home starts. Richard is 2-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.424 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in six road starts.

What I really like about this play is the head-to-head numbers. Hanson is 3-0 with a 1.78 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in four career starts against San Diego and the Braves have won those three games all by four runs or more. Richard is 0-3 with a 7.91 ERA and 2.123 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta, and the Padres have lost all three of those games by 5 runs or more. The Padres are 1-7 in Richard's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Atlanta is 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Roll with the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* ESPN Sunday Night Baseball No-Brainer on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +101

Chicago's Jake Russell has been one of the worst starters in the league all season. Now he's up against one of the hottest line-ups in baseball and is in line to get rocked once again Sunday night. Russell is 1-4 with a 6.26 ERA and 1.565 WHIP on the season, including 0-4 with a 10.04 ERA and 2.022 WHIP as a starter. Boston has won seven of their last eight overall while scoring a combined 48 runs in the process.

Chicago is 7-21 after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, getting outscored by 2.3 RPG in this spot. The Cubs are 8-24 in their last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Chicago is 9-25 in their last 34 during game 3 of a series. The Red Sox are 77-29 in their last 106 interleague games. Boston is 16-5 in Tim Wakefield's last 21 interleague starts. Boston is 6-0 in their last six Sunday games. Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

15* Interleague Run Line Play of the Day on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +104

The Boston Red Sox have finally gotten their act together. Boston is 9-2 in their last 11 games overall and I like their chances to get a blowout victory tonight behind Ace Jon Lester. The lefty is 5-1 with a 3.28 ERA on the season, and he's 5-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last six overall outings. He has a 1.38 ERA while striking out 16 in 13 innings to win his last two at home. Lester is also 7-2 with a 2.66 ERA in 13 career interleague starts.

Doug Davis (0-1, 1.80) makes his second start for the Cubs after he allowed three runs - one earned - and four hits in five innings of a 3-0 loss to San Francisco on Saturday in his Chicago debut. This guy was sent down to the minor leagues for a reason, and that is because he is washed up. Davis has posted a 4.12 ERA or higher in each of his last five seasons dating back to 2006. The Cubs are 7-23 in their last 30 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 25-5 in their last 30 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. The Red Sox are 42-13 in Lester's last 55 home starts. Boston has won six straight at home. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Friday.

15* NL Friday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 +136

The Colorado Rockies are hungry and motivated for a victory after losing their last two games to the Mets, and dropping six of their last seven overall. A series with the San Diego Padres should get them right back on track, starting with Game 1 tonight. The Rockies send their Ace to the mound in Jorge De La Rosa, who has been nothing short of spectacular this season.

De La Rosa is 4-1 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in seven starts this year, including 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in two home starts. The Rockies are 6-0 in De La Rosa's last six starts against San Diego, winning five of those contests by 2 runs or more. That's why they are showing such excellent value on the run line tonight. De La Rosa is 15-1 as a home favorite of -150 to -200 since 1997. The Rockies are winning in this spot by 3.9 RPG. Roll with the Rockies on the Run Line Friday.

20* AL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 +105

I'm going to back the New York Yankees to beat the Kansas City Royals by two runs or more Thursday. The Yankees lost 4-3 to the Royals in extra innings last night despite getting 12 hits to Kansas City's 4. They stranded a ton of runners, but I look for New York to get those runners in tonight as they tee off on Sean O'Sullivan. I also expect Ivan Nova to shut down this Kansas City line-up and continue pitching well.

NOva is 3-1 with a 3.90 ERA in six starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts. Nova has faced three tough line-ups in his last three starts as well, limiting the likes of the Rangers, Blue Jays and White Sox to just 3 earned runs in 20 innings. O'Sullivan is 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA in three career starts against New York. The Royals are 8-33 after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons, losing by 2.2 RPG in this spot. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL Run Line Play of the Day on Colorado Rockies -1.5 +121

After getting swept by the San Francisco Giants over the weekend, the Colorado Rockies return home very hungry and motivated for a victory. I believe they get back on the winning track in blowout fashion tonight against the New York Mets. With such a huge edge on the mound, their chances of winning this one by 2 runs or more are very high. Jhoulys Chacin is 4-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in six starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in three home starts. What Chacin has done at home is even more impressive considering he pitches in hitter-friendly Coors Field.

This guy has only allowed 3 earned runs and 21 base runners in 23 innings at Coors this season. Chris Capuano has been atrocious, going 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.609 WHIP this season. Capuano has given up 19 earned runs and 51 base runners in 31 2/3 innings. Capuano has allowed 16 earned runs over 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against colorado. He gave up 7 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 4-9 loss to the Rockies on 4/14/2011. Colorado is 7-0 vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game this season, winning in this spot by 2.3 RPG. Take the Rockies on the Run Line Monday.

15* AL Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +127

After getting blown out by the Minnesota Twins last night, I look for the Boston Red Sox to return the favor Saturday. I can't see the Red Sox losing four in a row at Fenway as they'll be highly motivated for a victory because of it. Clay Buchholz is 2-1 with a 3.37 ERA in his last three starts.

Boston is 73-32 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games since 1997. Minnesota is 4-17 in road games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot by 2.8 RPG. Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Run Line Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 +126

After getting shut out in a 3-0 loss to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates last night, I expect the Colorado Rockies to bounce back in a big way Saturday. That's because of the edge they have on the mound tonight in Jason Hammel over Paul Maholm. Hammel is 2-1 with a 3.80 ERA on the season, including 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts. Maholm is 1-3 with a 3.90 ERA on the year, and 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in his last three outings. Where the big edge lies with the Rockies is in the head-to-head numbers.

Maholm is 1-7 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in nine career starts against Colorado, and the Pirates are 1-8 in those nine games. Pittsburgh has lost six of those nine contests by 2 runs or more. The Rockies are 2-0 in Hammel's two career starts against Pittsburgh, winning by multiple runs both times. The Pirates are 5-27 vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot by 2.7 RPG. The Pirates are 2-18 vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons, losing by 3.3 RPG. Roll with the Rockies on the Run Line Saturday.

20* AL Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +115

I'm siding with the Boston Red Sox on the Run Line Friday as they take on the Seattle Mariners at Fenway Park in Game 1 of this series. Daisuke Matsuzaka has settled down after a slow start to the season. He has been nearly untouchable in his last two starts, going 2-0 while allowing just 2 hits and 4 walks in 15 shutout innings. You heard that right folks, he has given up no earned runs and only six base runners in 15 innings against the Angels and Blue Jays.

Jason Vargas is 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in five starts this season for Seattle. He is going to struggle once again against a Red Sox team that is hitting .276 and scoring 5.7 RPG at home this year. The Mariners are 0-4 in Vargas' last 4 starts, getting outscored by 8, 5, 5, and 9 runs, respectively. Now you can see why the Red Sox are showing so much value on the Run Line tonight. Boston is 23-5 in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games over the last 3 seasons, outscoring opponents by an average of 2.5 RPG in this spot. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line.

15* AL Wednesday Play of the Day on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +134

Instead of laying heavy juice on the Angels Wednesday, I'm going to take the value in this game which is on the Run Line. Dan Haren has been one of the elite starters in the league this season and Tyson Ross is clearly overmatched. Haren is 4-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.757 WHIP in five starts this year, allowing just 6 runs, 23 hits and 5 walks in 37 innings while striking out 33. Ross is 1-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.720 WHIP on the season for the Oakland A's.

Ross is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in his career as a starter against the Angels. Haren is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in three career starts against Oakland. The A's are only hitting .230 and scoring 3.1 RPG against right-handed starters this season. The Angels are 70-38 in day games over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is 0-12 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons, getting outscored 1.9 to 6.2 on average. Roll with the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* AL No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 +135

After losing the first two games of this series to the Chicago White Sox, I'm backing the New York Yankees to get revenge in a big way in Game 3. New York has the edge on the mound tonight and should be licking their chops at the opportunity to face Mark Buehrle. Bartolo Colon has pitched very well in the early going, with a 1-1 record, 3.50 ERA and 1.167 WHIP. Colon also has 20 strikeouts in 18 innings of work.

Buerhle is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in five starts this season, including 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in three road starts. Buehrle is 1-7 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.747 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Yankees. The White Sox are 1-10 in those 11 games, and New York has won by 2 runs or more all 10 times! This makes for a 91% run line system working in their favor. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Play of the Day on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +115

After dropping the first two games of this series to Arizona, I fully expect Philly to have their revenge in a big way tonight. The Phillies have a huge edge on the mound tonight with Cole Hamels over Joe Saunders. Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.216 ERA this season, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in two road starts. Saunders is 0-2 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.754 WHIP this year, including 0-1 with an 8.38 ERA and 2.585 WHIP in two home starts.

Saunders has allowed 9 runs, 18 hits and 7 walks in 9 2/3 innings at home this year. The Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels 5 career starts against Arizona, where he sports a 3.69 ERA and 1.263 WHIP. Philly is 35-18 in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 5.6 to 3.6. Arizona is 15-41 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.6 to 5.8. Take Philly on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* AL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 -106

The Boston Red Sox got back on track yesterday with a 4-1 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays. I look for them to post back-to-back victories for the first time this season in blowout fashion Sunday. Red Sox starter Jon Lester is 10-1 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season.

Not only are the Red Sox winning in this spot, they are outscoring opponents by 3.2 RPG in this situation. Boston is 25-6 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. The Sox are outscoring opponents by 2.1 RPG in this spot as well. Lester sports a 3.72 ERA and 1.138 WHIP through 3 starts this year. He is 7-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 13 career starts against Toronto. Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

15* Rays/Red Sox ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +134

Boston looks like they've finally turned the corner after taking 2 of 3 games from the New York Yankees over the weekend. I fully expect the Red Sox to build off of their performance in that series, and to take it out on the lowly Tampa Bay Rays starting with Game 1 Monday. Tampa Bay has easily been the worst team in baseball in the early going. I predicted them to have a down year after losing the likes of Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena, Jason Bartlett, Rafael Soriano and Matt Garza this offseason.

Their best hitter, Evan Longoria, remains on the 15-day DL. Now, Manny Ramirez has retired and he was arguably their second-best hitter. This team is just in shambles right now. Tampa is 1-8 on the year, hitting a woeful .163 while scoring 2.2 RPG. Boston finally got their offense going at Fenway Park, hitting .321 and scoring 5.7 RPG in their series with the Yankees. Tampa is 0-7 against right-handed starters this season, getting outscored by 3.2 RPG. Bet Boston on the Run Line Monday.

20* AL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 -114

After back-to-back losses to the Mariners and Orioles, I fully expect the Rays to bounce back with a blowout victory tonight over the lowly Baltimore Orioles. With David Price on the mound, all Tampa Bay will need is a few runs to win by 2 runs or more. Price is 18-6 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.217 WHIP this season, including 8-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 1.069 WHIP In his last 3 starts. Price is 3-0 with a 2.59 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Baltimore, with the Rays going a perfect 4-0 in those four games while winning by 2 runs or more three times.

Bradley Bergesen is just 8-10 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 26 starts this season for Baltimore. He has really struggled against the Rays, going 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.214 WHIP in 3 career starts vs. Tampa Bay. Bergesen has allowed 14 earned runs, 31 base runners and 4 home runs in 14 innings in those three outings. Price is 18-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons, and the Rays are winning in this spot by 3.0 RPG on average. Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 +108

I see Minnesota winning this game by 2 runs or more with ease Monday. With Brian Duensing on the mounds, the Twins won't need many runs to win by 2 or more tonight. The left-hander was outstanding out of the bullpen in the first half (2-1, 1.62 ERA) and he's been almost as good in the rotation since the All-Star break. Duensing improved to 6-1 with a 2.25 ERA in his last 10 starts by holding the White Sox to two runs over six innings in a 9-3 win Wednesday.

Cleveland starter Jeanmar Gomez is 0-4 in this last 4 starts, and he allowed 7 runs in three innings in a 7-0 loss to the Angels his last time out. Minnesota is 14-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start this season. The Twins are winning in this spot by 2.1 RPG. Duensing is 3-0 with a 0.57 ERA and 0.884 WHIP in 4 home starts this year, allowing 2 earned runs and 28 base runners in 31.2 innings. Take the Twins on the Run Line.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -114

The Phillies are rolling right now, and I'll continue backing them Friday to beat the Washington Nationals by 2 runs or more. Philly is 8-1 in their last 9 games, winning six of those contests by more than 2 runs. Roy Oswalt is 3-0 witha 1.61 ERA and 0.851 WHIP in his last 3 starts, and the Phillies have won each of those games by 3 runs or more. In fact, the Phillies are 8-0 in Oswalt's last 8 starts, winning six of those games by 2 runs or more.

Jason Marquis is one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Marquis is 2-8 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.662 WHIP in 10 starts this year. The righty is 5-6 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.777 WHIP In 15 career starts vs. Philadelphia. He certainly struggles against this potent Phillies line-up, one that is finally healthy and putting up runs. Oswalt is 13-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons, and his teams are winning in this spot by 3.5 RPG. Take the Phillies on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 -114

I love the Braves on the Run Line in this spot against the lowly Pirates with Ace Tim Hudson on the mound. Atlanta is coming off back-to-back losses and will be highly motivated tonight, especially with the Phillies on their heels just 0.5 games back in the NL East. This is a Braves team that has the players who can win this division, or at least get a Wild Card spot and make some noise in the postseason. They take on a Pittsburgh team that is 46-91 this season, hitting .240 and scoring 3.5 RPG.

Hudson is 15-6 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in 28 starts for the Braves this year. His counterpart is James McDonald, who is 2-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in 7 starts this season. McDonald has been blown up in his last 3 starts, going 0-3 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.837 WHIP with the Pirates losing by 2, 5 and 4 runs in each game, respectively. Hudson is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 3 starts vs. Pittsburgh, not allowing a single earned run in 22 innings. The Braves won those 3 games by 8, 7 and 7 runs, respectively. Pittsburgh is 6-23 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season, losing by 3.4 RPG. Roll with the Braves on the Run Line.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -1.5 +113

Colorado is playing great baseball right now, and I'll back them on the Run Line Monday with Ace Ubaldo Jimenez on the bump. The Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall. Jimenez is 17-6 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.118 WHIP this season for Colorado. He'll be up against Aaron Harang who is on the downside of his career. Harang is just 6-7 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.505 WHIP this season, including 1-3 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in 6 road starts.

Jimenez has never lost to Cincinnati, going 2-0 (4-0 on the money line) in four starts while posting a 2.42 ERA and 1.077 WHIP. Colorado is 13-3 in all meetings with Cincinnati over the last 3 seasons, including 6-1 in their last 7 home meetings. Harang is 1-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 2.7 RPG. Jimenez is 18-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons, with the Rockies winning by 3.8 RPG in this spot. Finally, Colorado is 15-1 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season, winning by 3.0 RPG. Bet the Rockies Monday.

15* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -120

I really like the Cards to win this game by 2 runs or more behind Ace Adam Wainwright. The Cards have struggled here of late, but Wainwright is just the guy to get them back on track. The righty is having another Cy Young-caliber season, going 17-8 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.998 WHIP. I'll gladly fade John Lannan, who is 5-6 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.684 WHIP this season for Washington.

The Cards are 14-4 when facing Washington over the last 3 seasons. Wainwright is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Washington. The Nationals are 0-4 in Lannan's 4 career starts vs. St. Louis. Wainwright is 11-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997, winning in this spot by 4.3 RPG. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

25* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -115

After losing to the Pirates the last two days which led to a series loss to Pittsburgh, I'm taking the Cardinals to bounce back in a big way Thursday in Washington. Chris Carpenter has been a pretty safe bet all season for St. Louis. Carpenter is 14-4 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.150 WHIP this year. Carpenter is 6-1 with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Washington. Jordan Zimmerman makes his season debut tonight for Washington, and he's up against a Cards team that rocked him last year in his lone start against them. Zimmerman gave up 5 earned runs and 3 home runs over 5.2 innings of a 2-6 home loss to St. Louis on May 1st, 2009.

Few teams have owned the Nationals like the Cardinals have. St. Louis is 13-2 in 15 meetings with Washington over the last 3 years, winning eight of those contests by 2 runs or more. Washington is 0-4 in their last 4 games, getting outscored 5-24 in the process. So it's not like the Nationals are playing well right now, either. Carpenter is 16-2 against the money line in night games this season, with the Cards winning these games by 2.2 RPG. Carpenter is 55-14 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997, with his teams winning by 2.1 RPG. Bet St. Louis on the Run Line Thursday.

15* on New York Yankees -1.5 -115

I'll take the Yankees to win on the Run Line Friday. Brian Bannister has been absolutely rocked in his career vs. New York. In 4 starts against the Yankees, Bannister is 1-2 with a 15.07 ERA and 2.931 WHIP. He has allowed 24 earned runs, 42 base runners and 6 home runs in 14.1 innings pitched. A.J. Burnett is a solid 2-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 6 career starts vs. Kansas City. Burnett has posted a 3.59 ERA at home this season and a 3.45 ERA over his last 3 starts. Bannister is 2-5 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.621 WHIP in 10 road starts in 2010.

The Yankees are 32-15 at home this season, hitting .288 and scoring 6.1 RPG. The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games, losing 7 times by 3 runs or more. The Yankees are 25-5 against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season, winning by 2.9 RPG. K.C. is 20-46 against the money line with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games over the last 3 seasons, losing by 2.3 RPG. Bannister is 13-33 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.1 RPG. The Yankees are 61-21 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons, winning by 2.1 RPG. Take the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

20* AL Saturday Night ANNIHILATOR on Texas Rangers -1.5 -160

After losing the first 2 games of this series, I'll take the Rangers to get Game 3 by 2 runs or more and avoid getting swept at home by the lowly Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles are the worst team in baseball at 27-59. The Rangers will have a packed house tonight as they welcome Cliff Lee, who was just traded to Texas and will be making his first start for them. Lee is 8-3 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.945 WHIP, pitching better than ever. He's 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.077 WHIP over his last 3 starts.

Lee is also 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 5 career starts vs. Baltimore. His teams have won those 4 games by 4, 5, 5, and 9 runs. Chris Tillman faced the Rangers once last season, allowing 5 earned runs in 6 innings in a 1-5 loss. Tillman is 0-3 with an 8.40 ERA and 2.200 WHIP in 4 starts this season. Lee is 21-6 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. His teams are winning in this spot by 2.7 RPG. Baltimore is 12-41 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. They are losing by 2.4 RPG in this spot. Roll with the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* AL Tuesday Night ANNIHILATOR on Texas Rangers -1.5 -115

This is a great spot to back the Rangers knowing that they'll come in highly motivated to beat the Indians after losing 2 straight and 4 of their last 5. Texas has a huge edge on the mound with C.J. Wilson over Justin Masterson. Wilson is 6-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.261 WHIP this season through 16 starts. Wilson is 5-1 at home with a 3.72 ERA, and the Rangers have won 7 of his 9 home starts this year with 5 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. Justin Masterson is 3-7 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.563 WHIP this season. He's been terrible on the road, going 1-4 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.824 WHIP and the Indians have lost 6 of his 8 road starts. In fact, all six of those losses have come by 2 runs or more.

Cleveland has several of their best players down with injury, including Asdrubal Cabrera, Grady Sizemore, Shin-Soo Choo and Matt LaPorta. Only 3 times all season have the Rangers went on more than a 2-game losing streak, so this has been a very resilient bunch. Texas is 14-3 against the money line in home games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by 2.6 RPG in this spot. The Rangers are 18-5 against the money line in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons, coming back to win by 2.2 RPG in this spot. Masterson is 4-16 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.4 RPG on average. The Indians are 0-7 in Mastersons last 7 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Rangers are 7-1 in Wilson's last 8 starts as a home favorite. Bet Texas Tuesday.

25* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -119

The Phillies come into this game hungry after blowing a 3-run lead late to the Reds yesterday to lose 3-4. I have them winning this game by multiple runs tonight over the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. Cole Hamels is 6-6 with a 4.08 ERA this season, and he's 1-0 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in three career starts vs. Pittsburgh. The Phillies are 3-0 in those 3 games, outscoring the Pirates 20-11 in the process. Daniel McCutchen gets the start for Pittsburgh, and he's 0-3 with an 11.00 ERA and 1.944 WHIP this season. McCutchen has allowed 22 earned runs and 35 base runners in 18 innings pitched this year.

The Pirates are 28-74 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.2 RPG. Pittsburgh is 7-31 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.4 RPG. Finally, the Pirates are 7-26 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing by 3.1 RPG. So they have been getting blown out by good teams this year, and the Phillies classify as one of those teams. Roll with the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on New York Yankees -1.5 -151

After opening this series with 2 straight losses to the Mariners, the Yankees will get payback in blowout fashion Thursday. Seattle got wins from both Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez, outscoring New York 14-4 the past two days. But now that their Aces have gone, Seattle is in trouble. Ryan Rowland-Smith is 1-7 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.701 WHIP in 13 starts and 3 relief appearances this season. Smith has allowed 55 runs (46 earned), 114 base runners and 15 home runs in 67 innings while striking out just 29 batters this year. He has also faced the Yankees twice in his career, with his team losing by 2 and 3 runs, respectively.

C.C. Sabathia is 9-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.154 WHIP this season for New York, including 5-0 wiht a 2.57 ERA and 0.918 WHIP in 7 home starts. Sabathia has been untouchable of late, going 2-0 in his last 2 starts while allowing just 1 earned run and 13 base runners in 16 innings. The lefty is 7-4 with a 2.97 ERA in 15 career starts vs. Seattle. In his last 2 starts vs. the Mariners, Sabathia is 2-0 while allowing just 1 earned run and 11 base runners in 15 innings. Both of those starts came last season in 10-1 and 11-1 victories for the Yankees. Sabathia is 103-37 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997, with his teams winning by 1.9 RPG in this spot. The Mariners are 0-7 in Rowland-Smith's last 7 starts as a road underdog. The Yankees are 14-3 in Sabathia's last 17 home starts. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -130

This game has blowout written all over it with a huge edge on the mound in favor of the Cardinals. Adam Wainwright is 10-5 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.018 WHIP this season. He has been untouchable at home, going 7-0 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.852 WHIP while allowing just 35 hits and 1 home run in 54 innings through 7 starts. The Cardinals have won 6 of his 7 home starts by 2 runs or more. Dontrelle Willis cannot get over his control issues for Arizona as the lefty has now walked 4 or more batters in 5 straight games. Willis is 2-2 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.811 WHIP this season.

Willis is 1-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in 5 career starts vs. St. Louis. Wainwright is 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Arizona. The Cards are 24-12 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 1.4 RPG. Arizona is 12-29 on the road this year, getting outscored by 1.7 RPG. Wainwright is a perfect 12-0 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Cards are winning these games by an average of 5.6 RPG. Not only do the Cards have a huge edge at starter, but their bullpen is far better than Arizona's. St. Louis' relievers have posted a 2.83 ERA at home, while the Diamondbacks 'pen sports a 7.48 ERA on the road. Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +107

No team enjoys being on the losing end of a no-hitter, and for the third time in less than a year, the Rays look to bounce back from being no-hit as they continue a home set with the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday. So expect the Rays to be highly motivated in this one. Tampa Bay has to like their chances of getting back on track with David Price (10-3, 2.45 ERA) taking the mound in hopes of becoming the AL's first 11-game winner. Price is 4-1 with a 1.94 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in six home starts this season to boot.

Ian kennedy is just 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA on the road. Kennedy is a former Yankee, and he did not fare well against Tampa there while going 1-2 with a 6.64 ERA in four starts vs. the Rays. The Diamondbacks are 11-27 on the road this season, getting outscored by an average of 1.7 RPG. Price is 13-2 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons, with the Rays winning these games by 2.1 RPG. I love Tampa's chances of winning this game by 2 runs or more. Bet the Rays on the Run Line.

15* on Texas Rangers -1.5 -123

The Rangers 11-game winning streak came to an end yesterday, but I fully expect Texas to start a new one in blowout fashion Saturday. The Rangers have won 8 of their last 10 meetings with Houston, with 5 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. C.J. Wilson is 5-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.238 WHIP this season, and the Rangers are 4-0 in his last 4 starts. The Rangers are also 8-1 in his last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 8-0 in his last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Texas is 26-12 at home this season, hitting .303 while scoring 6.1 RPG and outscoring their foes by 1.8 RPG. Houston is 13-21 on the road, hitting .231 while putting up 3.4 RPG and getting outscored by 1.8 RPG. Texas is 32-11 against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by 2.4 RPG. The Rangers are 35-13 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season, winning by 2.0 RPG. Roll with the Rangers on the Run Line.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -114

Chris Carpenter and the Cardinals should not no problem putting the Oakland A's away by 2 runs or more tonight. Carpenter is 7-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 14 starts this season, 5-1 with a 2.16 ERA at home, and 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. This Cy Young candidate has picked up right where he left off last season, and the Cardinals offense is finally getting healthy so they should provide him with plenty of run support tonight. That's especially the case because they are facing Vin Mazzaro, who sports a 4.81 ERA and 1.687 WHIP this season in 24.1 innings between starting and coming out of the bullpen.

Mazzaro has already given up 6 home runs in just over 24 innings, along with 31 hits and 10 walks. He served up 2 long balls in a 2-6 loss at San Francisco in his last start. The A's are just 12-22 on the road this season, scoring 3.8 RPG. Carpenter is 38-9 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997, winning by 2.4 RPG. The Cardinals are 27-4 in Carpenter's last 31 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. So they have won 87% of the time in this spot, and instead of laying the -250 on the Money Line, I'll take St. Louis on the Run Line showing much better value Friday.

20* MLB Monday Interleague No-Brainer on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -132

After losing 6 of their last 7 games, including 5 road losses, a return trip home with Ace Adam Wainwright on the mound is just what the doctor ordered for St. Louis tonight. Wainwright is 8-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.021 WHIP this season, including a perfect 5-0 at home with a 1.62 ERA and 0.846 WHIP. Not only are the Cardinals 5-0 in Wainwright's 5 home starts this season, but they have won all 5 games by 2 runs or more. Luke French makes his first start of the season for the Mariners. The lefty is off to a rough start in his career, going 4-5 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.68 WHIP with opposing batters hitting .317 against him.

Seattle is 3-17 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season, losing by 2.8 RPG in this spot. Wainwright is 23-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons, winning by 2.4 RPG. The Cards are very hungry and motivated right now after their worst stretch of the season, and Wainwright is the perfect guy to get them back on track. St. Louis wins by 2 runs or more for a 6th straight time in Wainwright's sixth home start of the year. Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line.

20* Reds/Cardinals ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on St. Louis -1.5 +112

The St. Louis Cardinals now sit 1 game behind the Reds in the NL Central after their 8-9 loss last night to Cincinnati. With Ace Chris Carpenter on the mound Wednesday, I fully expect him to shut down this Reds' line-up and for Cardinals' hitters to pound rookie Sam LeCure. The Cardinals lost 2 out of 3 in Cincinnati earlier this month, and they would love to return the favor by taking 2 out of 3 in this series. Carpenter is 6-1 with a 2.93 ERA this season, and the Reds are 9-2 in his 11 starts. Carpenter is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA at home.

Carpenter is 9-3 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.834 WHIP in 15 career starts vs. Cincinnati. The Cardinals are 7-0 (100%) in Carpenter's last 7 starts vs. Cincinnati, winning all 7 games by 2 runs or more, including 5 wins by 5 or more runs. Carpenter is 14-1 (93%) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons, winning by 3.7 RPG. Carpenter is 37-9 (80%) against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997, winning by 2.5 RPG. Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 -140

Jon Lester has been virtually un-hittable of late, and against the Royals. Lester is 5-2 with a 3.15 ERA this season, including 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts, Lester has allowed 1 earned run in 15 innings while striking out 18. Those two games resulted in a 6-2 win over the Twins and a 2-0 shutout of the Rays. Lester is 3-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.733 WHIP in 4 career starts vs. Kansas City. In his last 2 starts vs. the Royals, Lester has pitched 17 shutout innings while striking out 17 and allowing just 8 base runners. That included a no-hitter back in 2008. Lester is 16-0 against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more since 1997, winning by an average of 4.1 RPG.

This is Game 4 of this series with the Royals winning 2 of the first 3, and Boston does not want to let Kansas City win this series to put a halt to all the momentum they have built up over the last few weeks. The Red Sox were 8-1 in their last 9 games coming into this series with wins over the Yankees, Twins, Phillies and Rays. Boston is playing their best baseball of the season right now and Lester will come in and shut down the Royals again to keep it going. Bruce Chen makes his first start of the season for the Royals, who is 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in seven career starts vs. Boston. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line.

15* on New York Yankees -1.5 -137

The Yankees have to be pissed off heading into this one after blowing a 10-4 lead to the Indians yesterday. A line drive by Alex Rodriquez hit Indians' starter David Huff in the head early in that game, and Huff was carted off the field which put a halt to the Yankees' momentum. Give Cleveland credit for coming back to win that game, but I expect to see a more focused and determined Yankees' team Sunday. The Yankees are 25-4 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons, winning by 2.8 RPG on average.

Fading Indians' starter Justin Masterson has proven to be a very profitable move this season. Masterson is 0-5 with a 6.13 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in 9 starts this season, and the Indians have lost 7 of his 9 starts by 2 runs or more. That includes 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more to the likes of the White Sox, Royals and Orioles, three of the worst teams in the league. Yankees' starter A.J. Burnett is 5-2 with a 3.55 ERA this season, and he has been superb at home going 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA. The Yankees are 12-0 against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season, winning by 7.6 to 3.6 on average. Masterson is 1-15 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons, losing by 3.8 RPG. Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

15* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 +129

Though Pittsburgh is far from the best team in the league, few starters have dominated the Pirates like Derek Lowe has. Lowe is 8-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 8 career starts vs. Pittsburgh. Of those 8 wins, his team has won by 2 runs or more 6 times. Pirates' starter Zach Duke has allowed 6 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts vs. Atlanta. Duke is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.652 WHIP in four road starts this season.

Pittsburgh is 4-25 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons, getting outscored by 3.9 RPG. Duke is 6-25 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997, and the Pirates are getting outscored by 2.0 RPG. The Pirates are 4-24 against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.7 RPG. The Braves have the edge in every phase of this game. Atlanta's bullpen sports a 2.48 ERA at home while the Pirates' bullpen has posted a 4.70 ERA on the road. The Pirates are scoring just 3.4 RPG on the road this season while the Braves are scoring 5.3 RPG at home. Pittsburgh is scoring 2.0 RPG over their last 7 games and getting outscored by 2.7 RPG in the process. Roll with the Braves on the Run Line to win this game by at least 2 runs.

15* on Oakland A's +1.5 -145

In what is sure to be a low-scoring pitcher's duel Tuesday, I'll take the A's on the Run Line to get the extra insurance run. Seattle's Felix Hernandez has proven to be very human of late, going 0-2 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hernandez has allowed 13 earned runs and 28 base runners in 14.2 innings with his last 3 outings. Ben Sheets has been rock solid at home this season, going 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts.

Seattle is just 6-14 on the road this season, hitting .231 and scoring 3.3 RPG. With the Mariners' lack of run production, I'm very confident in either an A's win or an A's loss by 1 run in this game. Oakland is 14-7 at home this season, hitting .270 and scoring a respectable 4.5 RPG. Another factor here is the bullpens. Oakland's relievers have combined for a 2.86 ERA at home this year, while Seattle's relievers have posted a 4.80 ERA away from home. For what small advantage the Mariners may have on the starting mound tonight, the A's certainly make up for it with their run production and their bullpen. Plus, Hernandez is just 3-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons, and he has really struggled of late. The Athletics are 27-11 in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Roll with Oakland on the Run Line.

15* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -110

Huge advantage on the mound tonight for the Cardinals. Ace Chris Carpenter gets the ball, and he's 4-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.075 WHIP through 8 starts this season. Carpenter has been deadly at home, going 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.964 WHIP. He also owns a 5-1 career mark vs. Washington. Nationals' starter John Lannan is 1-2 with a 651 ERA and 1.955 WHIP through 7 starts this season. He has allowed 27 earned runs and 73 base runners in 37.1 innings. His 22-13 walk-to-strikeout ratio is one of the worst in the league.

Carpenter is 14-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are winning by 3.7 RPG in this situation. Lannan is 7-25 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. The Nationals are losing by 1.7 RPG in this spot. Lannan is 1-12 against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons, losing by 2.1 RPG. Carpenter is 51-13 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997, winning by 2.1 RPG. St. Louis is 12-2 in 14 meetings with Washington over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 7-0 at home. They are winning their home meetings by an average of 3.0 RPG. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.

15* Run Line on Houston Astros +1.5 -120

In what should be a great pitcher's duel between veteran Roy Oswalt and youngster Tim Lincecum, I expect a closely-contested game throughout thus I'm backing the Astros on the Run Line. Oswalt is out to prove that he can hang with the two-time NL CY Young winner in this one. The Wizard just keeps on tickin' as Oswalt has posted a 2.62 ERA and 1.104 WHIP this season. Of Oswalt's 7 starts this season, 5 of them have been decided by 1 run. The other two were decided by 2 and 3 runs, so he has given his team a chance to win in every start. No opponent has scored more than 5 runs in any of Oswalt's 7 starts this season.

Oswalt is 15-3 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Astros are winning these games by an average of 2.8 RPG. I'm not taking the money line in this game though you can feel free to do so, as I feel that this game is decided by 1 run or the Astros win outright. I'll take the insurance run. Bet the Astros.

15* on Houston Astros +1.5 -133

In what should be a very tight ball game Wednesday between the Astros and Cardinals, we'll take Houston on the Run Line to stay within one run or win this game against St. Louis. We have the edge on the mound with Wandy Rodriquez and his 4.59 ERA up against Kyle Lohse and his 5.45 ERA. Lohse remains winless this season for St. Louis. Some people automatically assume that the Cardinals have a great line-up because of Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday. But that couldn't be further from the truth. St. Louis is scoring just 4.4 RPG overall and 4.1 RPG against lefty starters. The Cardinals are scoring just 3.0 RPG over their last 7 games and they have scored 4 runs or less in 6 of those 7 contests.

Houston is finally starting to get healthy and as a result they are playing much better of late, winning back-to-back games. The Astros are 63-34 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span since 1997. Lohse is 10-18 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 45-21 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 since 1997. Take the Astros on the Run Line.

15* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -129

Few starters have dominated a team like Chris Carpenter has dominated the Pittsburgh Pirates. Carpenter is 11-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in 13 starts against Pittsburgh in his career. His team is 12-1 in those 13 starts and the Cardinals have won 9 of those 13 games by at least 2 runs. Coming off losing 3 straight games to the Phillies, Carpenter and St. Louis will have no problem getting up for this game against the Pirates. Carpenter is 4-0 with a 2.84 ERA thi sseason as well. He is up against Zach Duke who has gone 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last 3 starts for Pittsburgh. Duke has allowed 18 earned runs and 35 base runners in just 15 innings in his last 3 outings.

Carpenter is 13-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. His team is winning by an average of 3.8 RPG in this spot. Carpenter is 50-12 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. His teams are winning by 2.2 RPG in this spot. Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 -117

After a rare loss to the Kansas City Royals last night, look for the Tampa Bay Rays to bounce back in blowout fashion Saturday.  The Rays are 15-5 against the Royals over the last 3 years, winning 12 of those games by 2 runs or more.  Tampa Bay has been winning by at least 2 runs quite frequently this season.  The Rays are 17-6 and have won 14 of those contests by at least 2 runs.

Tampa Bay is 14-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.  They are winning in these spots by an average of 4.5 RPG.  Plus, David Price is in a groove this season, going 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA.  He is coming off a complete game shutout win 6-0 over the Toronto Blue Jays in his last outing.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line.

15* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 +113

The Braves' 9-game losing streak ends emphatically at home tonight as they beat the Houston Astros by multiple runs.  The Braves will be happy to return home tonight after a dreadful 7-game road stand against the Mets and Cardinals.  Atlanta takes on an Astros' team that is scoring a mere 2.5 RPG on the road this season.  Tommy Hanson is the Braves' best starter with a 2.14 ERA through 4 starts.  Hanson pitched 8 shutout innings against the Astros last year in his only career start against them.

This play falls under a system that is 30-10 (75%) over the last 5 seasons.  It tells us to bet on home teams (ATLANTA) - after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, in April games.  The home team has been ouscoring their opposition by 1.6 RPG in this spot.  Take Atlanta on the Run Line.

15* on Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -120

In what will be a pitcher's duel, I like the Blue Jays on the Run Line Thursday. Then again, if Felix Hernandez gives up 7 earned runs like he did the last time he faced Toronto, this one will be over by the end of the 5th inning. Ricky Romero has stepped onto the scene nicely this season for Toronto, posting a 12-9 record with a 4.28 ERA. Hernandez has given up 7 and 6 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts against Toronto. This is one team he struggles against, and these Blue Jays' hitters are stepping to the plate with confidence right now after putting up 22 runs in their last 3 games. Seattle has scored 4 or less runs in 7 of their last 8 games. This Seattle lineup is one of the worst in the league, and that's a big reason why the Blue Jays are the right play on the Run Line Thursday. Seattle is 49-71 against the money line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 6-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.0 runs per game. Bet Toronto on the Run Line.

15* on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

Take the Phillies on the run line with Cole Hamels finally pitching like he was expected to. Hamels hasn't allowed a run in two straight starts and his ERA over his last 3 starts is just 1.64. The Astros counter Hamels with Bud Norris, a guy with just 6 starts under his belt this year. Norris has been knocked around in nearly all of his starts, but his last three have been especially bad, earning him 3 straight losses while posting a 13.11 ERA and 2.40 WHIP over that stretch. The Phillies dropped the first two games of this series, but they are clearly the better hitting team in this match up with a much better starter on the mound.

15* on LA Dodgers -1.5 +101

Take the Dodgers on the run line tonight with Arizona starter Billy Buckner struggling as much as any pitcher in the Majors right now. Over his last three starts, Buckner is 0-3 with a 12.79 ERA and 2.13 WHIP. Offensively the Dodgers already have a huge edge, so when you throw in a struggling starter for Arizona you get a solid run line play for Thursday night in LA.

15* on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +127

Back the Phillies tonight over the Braves with Cliff Lee on the mound. Lee has been incredible since joining the Phillies. He's now 12-9 on the season with a 2.62 ERA, and has gone 3-0 over his last 3 starts with a 0.37 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. Meanwhile, Braves' starter, Derek Lowe has been inconsistent this season, particularly on the road, where he is 6-6 with a 5.11 ERA in 13 starts. Lowe is also just 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Braves grabbed the first win of this 3-game series, but I like the Phillies to come back in a big way Saturday and win this one by 3 or more runs.

20* No Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -110

Take the Phillies on the run line over the Pirates on Thursday. Philadelphia starter, J.A. Happ has been outstanding in his 17 starts this season. He is 8-2 on the season with a 2.61 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. On the road he is 5-1 on the season with a 1.85 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, and in his last 3 starts he is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA. He'll square off against the Pirates' Charlie Morton, who is 3-6 this season with a 5.21 ERA and 1.58 WHIP, including a 9.49 ERA and 2.27 WHIP over his last 3 starts. With big edges in pitching and offense tonight, jump on the Philly run line.

15* on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -140

Take the Phillies on the run line at the Mets tonight with with J.A. Happ on the mound for Philadelphia. Happ has been incredible since joining the Phillies, going 9-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, including a 4-1 record with a 1.92 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 9 road starts. He'll be opposed tonight by the Mets' Tim Redding, who is just 1-3 in 9 starts this season with a 6.99 ERA and 1.57 WHIP (the Mets are 3-6 in his 9 starts). The Phillies have played extremely well on the road this season at 37-21 and have won 5 of their last 7, while the Mets have dropped 4 of their 7. New York stole game one of this series from Philly last night, but look for the Phillies to bounce back big over the Mets Saturday.

20* No Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 +110

Take the White Sox on the run line over the Orioles tonight. Baltimore is one of the worst teams in the American League on the road this season at 19-41, while the White Sox are fighting to keep pace with the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central to earn a playoff spot. I also like Gavid Floyd at home for the Sox this season. In 11 home starts, Floyds is 5-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.07 WHIP (the White Sox are 9-2 in those 11 starts). Meanwhile, Baltimore's Jeremy Guthrie has labored through his last 3 appearances, going 0-2 with a 7.64 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.

15* on San Diego Padres +1.5 (+107)

Take the Padres on the run line as the Cubs have not played well on the road this season. Chicago is just 25-35 in road games, and while the Padres aren't fantastic at home, they do have a winning record a 32-30. They also have a sharp young pitcher in Mat Latos, who is 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Cubs starter Rich Harden has thrown well lately, but the Cubs are only 4-5 in his 9 road starts on the year.

20* No Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-130)

The Rays are heavy favorites tonight, but with good reason. David Price has been incredible for Tampa at home this season, notching a 5-1 record with a 2.71 ERA in 7 starts. The Orioles Jason Berken, on the other hand, is just 2-10 on the season, and a dismal 1-4 on the road this year with a 8.48 ERA. Offensively the Rays are one of the top teams in baseball, particularly at home where they average about 5.6 runs per game. The Orioles are awful on the road (18-39) and have struggled offensively against left-handed starters (like Price), hitting just .259 as a team and averaging only 4 runs per game against southpaws.

20* No Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+115)

I'm on the Giants run line today with Matt Cain squaring off against Aaron Harang. Cain is now 12-3 on the season with a 2.25 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, including a 6-1 record with a 1.98 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 11 starts at home. Harang has struggled this year, going just 5-13 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, including a 1-7 record and 5.45 ERA in 11 road starts. The Giants have shown a boost in production on offense lately, averaging 5.6 runs per game over their last 7 games, and are now in the lead for the NL wildcard spot.

20* No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115)

This is a game the Rays absolutely should win, and exactly the type of game they need to win to stay competitive in the AL Wildcard race. Sidney Ponson throws for the Royals tonight and this is a guy who is unreliable at best, particularly on the road. He's only thrown twice as the visitor this year, but in those games he has a 15.27 ERA and 2.87 WHIP. For the season, Ponson is 1-5 in 8 starts with a 5.68 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. On the other side of the diamond, the Rays throw David Price, who has been so-so for the most part, but who has thrown his best games at home this season. He is 3-1 on the year when throwing in Tampa with a 3.04 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Price will be aided by a Tampa Bay offense that out performs Kansas City in almost every category. The Rays hit .274 as a team at home this season, while scoring 5.6 runs per game, a huge reason why they have an impressive 31-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Royals see their batting average dip to .241 on the road and their runs per game drop to 3.5, which is probably why they are just 17-29 on the road this season. The moneyline is much to high, but the runline here is well worth the risk as the Rays should win this one handily.

15* on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +135

Play on the Orioles over the Royals Thursday afternoon. Luke Hochevar has struggled for the Royals on the road this season posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Meanwhile, Bradley Bergesen has been incredible for the Orioles, particularly when he pitches in Baltimore. So far he is 6-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 starts at home (the Orioles are 8-2 in all of his home starts). The Royals are now 17-28 on the road and are scoring just 3.5 runs per game in those games. The Orioles are now 27-23 in home games while posting 5.1 runs per game in Baltimore.

20* NO Doubt Rout Houston Astros -1.5 +140

It's hard not to love the 'Stros tonight with how poorly the Cardinals have been play, not to mention how well Astros' starter, Wandy Rodriguez has been pitching. Rodriguez is 4-2 this season in 9 home starts (the Astros are 7-2 in those starts) with a 2.21 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. He has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball this month, earning a microscopic 0.41 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all Houston wins. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are hitting just .231 as a team and scoring just 3 runs per game over their last 7 overall, and have struggled against left-handed starters this season, averaging 3.5 runs per game and hitting only .242. The Cards throw Todd Wellemeyer, and he's not helping their case. Wellemeyer has been very hittable this season, going 7-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.69 WHIP so far.

20* No Doubt Rout on LA Dodgers -1.5 +105

Back the Dodgers on the runline as they dominate in almost every aspect of this game. Clayton Kershaw has really come into his own for LA this season, posting a 7-5 record with a 3.16 ERA. He's also sporting a 1.85 ERA in 9 home starts and is 2-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. The Dodgers are also hitting at an impressive clip as of late, scoring 5.4 runs per game and batting near .280 as a team. The Astros have been hitting uncharacteristically well over the past week, but this is a spot where Kershaw will shut them down and the Dodgers will turn their offense on high.

20* No Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5

Take the White Sox on the runline over the Orioles tonight with John Danks throwing for Chicago. Danks is 7-6 on the year with a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, including a 3.33 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 8 home starts this season, and a 1.80 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 2-0 record over his three most recent starts. Meanwhile, Jason Berken has been a disaster as a starter for Balitmore this season. He's 1-6 over 9 starts with a 5.87 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Those numbers skyrocket when he pitches on the road, his ERA jumping to 9.49 and his WHIP reaching 1.95 over those three starts. The Sox have been hitting great as a team lately, averaging 6.4 runs per game and hitting .296 as a team over the last 7 days, while the Orioles have been ice-cold on offense, managing to post 4.4 runs per game, but only hitting .225 as a team. Expect the White Sox to come out very strong behind Danks in their first game back from the All-Star Break.

20* No Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +110

This should be an easy win for the Orioles over the Nationals the way that Jeremy Guthrie has been pitching for Baltimore. Over his last three starts, Guthrie has a 3.26 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. Compare that to the Nationals' starter, Shairon Martis, who has struggle this season, particularly on the road where he has a 6.53 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP. Baltimore opened up this series last night with an easy 11-1 victory. We can expect similar results tonight. Take the runline as the moneyline is a little steep.

20* No-Brainer on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +121

I'm taking the Cardinals over the Rockies on Friday night. St. Louis is fighting to stay on pace with the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central and they have one of their most consistent pitchers on the mound tonight in Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is 5-3 for the Cardinals on the season with a 3.37 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in 11 starts. Jorge De La Rosa starts for the Rockies and he's hit a very rough patch over his last 3 starts. Over that span he is 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.33 WHIP. The brings De La Rosa to 0-6 on the season and raises his overall ERA to 5.43. Add that to the fact that the Rockies are 12-18 on the road this year while the Cards are 19-11 and we have an easy play on St. Louis. Take the run line for a great value here.

15* Angels -1.5 +110

Jered Weaver has given up just 5 runs in 36.7 innings at home this year on 21 hits and 5 walks. Over his last three starts he has given up just 5 runs in 20 innings. Gavin Floyd on the other hand has allowed 28 runs in 27 innings on the road and 14 runs in his last 18 innings. The White Sox are scoring just 4.2 runs per game this year and 4.1 against right-handed starters. The Angels aren't hitting the ball extremely well right now but against Floyd tonight they should get enough across to support Weaver.

15* Mets -1.5 +110

I'll take the run line here with Johan Santana on the mound today against Jordan Zimmerman. Santana has given up just 3 ER in 33.3 innings at home this year and 6 ER in his last 20.3 innings of work. Zimmerman has given up 12 runs in 17.3 innings on the road this year and 12 runs in his last 18 innings. The Mets have won four out of their last five games with only one of those coming by a single run while the Nationals have dropped four of five. The Nationals are scoring 2.9 runs per game over their past seven so I don't see them lighting the scoreboard up against Santana and since the Mets get 5 runs across the plate per game at home, I think the run line is the safe bet.

20* MLB No-Brainer on Kansas City -1.5 +105

This is one of those games where I really don't know if I can do more than state the obvious. Greinke is 5-0 at home with a 0.73 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. He's given up just 2 runs in his last three starts, good for a 0.75 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Carl Pavano is 2-3 on the road this year, but with a 6.03 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and in his last three starts he has a 4.67 ERA, but a high 1.56 WHIP. You know with Pavano out there Cleveland is going to have to get to the pen early and that bullpen has a 7.13 ERA on the road this year in 70.7 innings. KC on the other hand should see Greinke go deep which will leave it to a bullpen with a 2.99 ERA in 69.3 innings at home. I know the Royals bats aren't that great so taking the run line is risky, but they are putting up 5 runs per game over their last seven and 5.1 per game at home, so with Greinke on the hill it's worth the risk.

15* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -115

The Chicago White Sox have scored just 2.6 runs per game over their last seven and four runs per game against right-handed starters this season. Toronto has scored 6.2 runs per game against right-handed starters and 5.8 per game overall so the offensive advantage goes to the Blue Jays. The pitching matchup though is where the real advantage here is with Roy Halladay having given up just 5 ER in his last 25 innings. Gavin Floyd has been terrible this year with a 7.32 ERA and 1.88 WHIP, but in his last three starts he's been worse with a 9.56 ERA and 2.13 WHIP. Toronto is 14-5 the last three years against Chicago and today should go the Blue Jays way.

15* Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +125

Carl Pavano has put a string of three straight decent performances, but he still has given up 27 runs on 50 hits in 37.7 innings this year so I'm not sold he's turned the corner. Matt Garza on the other hand is making his case to become one of the elite starters in the American League, having given up just 5 ER on 12 hits in his last 22.7 innings. The Rays are putting up 6.9 runs per game over their last seven and 5.7 runs per game against right-handed starters. They came back and won in dramatic fashion last night and I see it being a little easier for them here tonight. With a high scoring game anticipated I feel safe with the run line to reduce the impact of the juice.

15* on Kansas City -1.5 -105


Last time Zach Greinke took the mound he lost 1-0 to Joe Saunders and the Angels, but count on some more support tonight at home. Greinke is 6-1 on the year with a 0.51 ERA and 0.79 WHIP and is 4-0 at home with a 0.60 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Contrast that with Adam Eaton who has given up 10 runs in 9 innings on the road this year and comes in having given up 13 runs in his last 16 innings. The Royals offense has been struggling recently , but did manage five runs last night on 11 hits. They have had 10 or more hits now in three of their last four games, they just have to bring those guys home. I think they do and I'll take the nice value here with the run line.

20* MLB No-Brainer on Chicago Cubs -1.5 +131

Ryan Dempster is 6-1 with a 3.66 ERA in nine career starts against the Padres and he hasn't given up an earned run in his last three starts against them. He has only made two starts at home this year and his 4.15 ERA is a little deceiving since he's given up just 9 hits and one home run. The Padres have lost 10 straight on the road this year, and in their last eight losses only one has come by a single run. The Cubs have won three in a row and in their last 13 wins, none have come by only a single run. That makes the run line the play here this afternoon.

15* on LA Dodgers -1.5 +120

I like the Dodgers tonight to pick up the win at home. This team is missing Manny Ramirez, but don't expect the offense to slack too much without their star. Barry Zito is throwing tonight for the Giants, and while he has looked better lately, he will be facing the Dodgers for the third time already this season. He gave up six runs in five innings on April 16th in LA and three runs in 6.3 innings in San Francisco on April 27. Chad Billingsley is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA in four starts against the Giants and he's 5-0 with a 2.21 ERA on the year. San Francisco's offense is just horrible, scoring 3.2 runs per game and hitting .229 against right-handed hitters so I'll take the run line.

20* MLB No-Brainer on LA Dodgers -1.5 +105

The Dodgers are a perfect 12-0 at home and have won 10 straight at Dodgers Stadium over the Nationals. Washington is 0-5 when Daniel Cabrera takes the hill this year and his last start was one of his worst, throwing four wild pitches and walking five batters. Clayton Kershaw will start for the Dodgers tonight and while he has struggled on the road, he has given up just 1 run (a home run) on five hits and three walks in 14 innings at home, also striking out 16 in that span. I'm playing the run line here since the Dodgers have won 8 of 12 by more than a run and are hitting .320 at Dodger Stadium.

20* MLB No-Brainer on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -130

The Baltimore Orioles have gone just 3-11 since they sped out of the gates to a 6-2 record and will send Mark Hendrickson to the mound tonight against the Blue Jays. He's given up 20 hits, and six home runs over his last 13 innings for a 6.92 ERA. Roy Halladay has been the best pitcher in the majors over the last few years so you can't like that Baltimore is 0-9 this year when they score four or fewer runs. Halladay was hit hard by Texas, but other than that has looked great again this season, walking just four batters in 36 innings. With Toronto scoring nearly 6 runs per game and hitting close to .300 this year, playing the run line seems like the right move.