7* Baylor/Gonzaga NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor +4.5

The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova, 3rd-seeded Arkansas and 2nd-seeded Houston to get here.  They won all 4 of those games by 9 or more points.  Gonzaga has had the much easier schedule beating 16th-seeded Norfolk State, 8th-seeded Oklahoma, 5th-seeded Creighton and 11th-seeded UCLA.  And they needed OT to beat the Bruins.  The Bulldogs have played a much easier schedule than Baylor all season.  I would argue that the Bears are actually the better team, and it has shown so far in the NCAA Tournament.  It will show again Monday in the Championship Game.  Take Baylor.

7* Houston/Baylor NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor -5

The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova and 3rd-seeded Arkansas to get here.  The Houston Cougars have won against 15th-seeded Cleveland State, 10th-seeded Rutgers, 11th-seeded Syracuse and 12th-seeded Oregon State.  And it's worth noting they had to go down to the wire with both Rutgers and Oregon State.  This easy run to the Final Four has been a microcosm of Houston's season.  They have only faced one team that ranks in the Top 25 of almost everyone's power ratings, and that was Texas Tech.  Baylor will be their most difficult challenge to date and it's not even close.  I expect that to show up on the scoreboard today with the Bears rolling to victory.  Take Baylor.

6* USC/Gonzaga NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC +8.5

The Key: USC has won its 3 NCAA Tournament games over Drake, Kansas and Oregon by a combined 64 points.  They clearly have what it takes to give Gonzaga a run for its money tonight.  The matchup is a good one for the Trojans with their big guys inside.  They have the best 2-point defense in the nation to counter Gonzaga's best 2-point offense in the nation.  And those game big guys for USC will take advantage of Gonzaga's lone weakness, which is their interior defense.  Andy Enfield is 7-0 ATS in NCAA Tournament games since he came over to USC, and he had great success with Florida Gulf Coast before that.  Take USC.

7* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Oregon State +8

The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are now 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games.  They have won 12 of those games outright as underdogs, including their wins over Tennessee by 14, Oklahoma State by 10 and Loyola-Chicago by 7 in the NCAA Tournament thus far.  Those 3 opponents were much tougher than the slate that Houston has faced, and the Beavers also beat UCLA, Oregon and Colorado in the Pac-12 Tournament.  Houston has beaten Cleveland State, Rutgers and Syracuse in the NCAA Tournament.  The Beavers will give them a run for their money similar to what Rutgers did in the 2nd round.  The Beavers are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 games as underdogs.  Take Oregon State.

6* Oregon/USC NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oregon +2.5

The Key: Oregon is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games overall with each of its last 6 wins coming by double-digits.  Dana Altman is a great tournament coach as he is 16-4 ATS in the NCAA Tournament as the coach of Oregon.  The Ducks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games.  The Ducks are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Oregon is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games in the dog roll.  The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games off a win.  Take Oregon.

7* UCLA/Alabama NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -6.5

The Key: Alabama is 26-6 this year and one of the most dangerous teams left in the tournament.  If I had to pick one team that stood a chance against Gonzaga other than Baylor, it would be Alabama.  That's because their ceiling is as high as anyone.  That was on display against Maryland as they crushed the Terrapins 96-77.  They hoist 30 3-pointers per game and make 35.5% of them.  They get great looks almost every time down the floor.  And they have quietly ranked 2nd in the country in defensive efficiency, so they do a good job of not allowing easy shots for their opponents.  UCLA's competition during this 3-0 run in the NCAA Tournament has been extremely soft with wins over Michigan State, BYU and Abilene Christian.  They take a big step up in class here against Alabama.  And the Bruins finished 0-4 SU in their last 4 games of the season against the Pac-12.  The Bruins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Sweet 16 games.  Their season comes to an end here in blowout fashion against the Crimson Tide.  Take Alabama.

7* NCAAB 2nd Round Game of the Year on Alabama -5.5

The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season.  They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State.  They played a UConn team that played at a slow tempo just like they do in the first round and simply out shot them 51.2% to 32.3%.  Now this is a bad matchup for them against an Alabama team that gets up and down and shoots a ton of 3-pointers, which is Maryland's defensive weakness.  And it's an Alabama team that ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency in the nation, which is bad news for a Terrapins team that is one of the worst offensive teams in the country.  This game just has blowout written all over it.  The Terrapins are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 game off a low-scoring game that saw 125 or fewer combined points.  They will have to try and keep up with the Crimson Tide here and they are not equipped to do it.  Take Alabama.

6* Colorado/Florida State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida State -1.5

The Key: Colorado just blasted Georgetown 96-73 in the opening round.  They played their best game of the season, shooting 61% as a team and 64% from 3-point range while making 16 of 25 from distance.  I always like fading teams off an outlier performance like that because it's not going to happen again, especially against a lengthy FSU team that gets after it defensively.  The Seminoles went 0 for 9 from 3-point range against UNC-Greensboro yet still won by 10.  They aren't going to shoot that poorly again either considering they are one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country at 38.3% as a team.  The Buffaloes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a game with 5 or fewer offensive rebounds.  Colorado is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.  Take Florida State.

6* LSU/Michigan NCAAB *CA$H COW* on LSU +5

The Key: LSU is 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall with its only loss coming by a single point to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.  The Tigers are primed to pull the upset over the Michigan Wolverines, who are just 3-3 SU in their last 3 games with upset losses to Michigan State and Maryland.  The Wolverines also lost to Ohio State, which was their first game without Isaiah Livers, their best player.  Livers remains out for this game.  They struggled to put away a bad Texas Southern team in a 16-point win as 25-point favorites too.  And they face a much stiffer challenge here against the Tigers, who are one of the most talented teams left in the tournament.  Take LSU.

7* Oregon State/Oklahoma State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Oregon State +6.5

The Key:  I like the price we are getting on the Oregon State Beavers against Oklahoma State in the 2nd round.  The price has been off on the Beavers for a couple months now as they are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games.  Oregon State is 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games after playing 3 straight games as underdogs.  They won outright as underdogs over UCLA, Oregon, Colorado and now Tennessee in their last 4 games.  Take Oregon State.

6* Oral Roberts/Florida NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oral Roberts +8.5

The Key: Oral Roberts is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games after upsetting Ohio State as a 15-point underdog.  We've seen the Golden Eagles score 84.3 PPG in their last 10 games and they can play with anyone doing that.  The Golden Eagles are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 consecutive games.  They only lost by 5 to Wichita State and by 5 to Oklahoma State in non-conference play too, and they hung tough against both Oklahoma and Arkansas as well.  They can hang with Florida, a team that went just 2-7 ATS down the stretch this season and one that should not be laying 8.5 points here.  Take Oral Roberts.

6* Wisconsin/Baylor NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Baylor -6.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Baylor after they failed to cover 7 of their last 8 games overall.  They barely missed the cover against Hartford in a 24-point win as 25.5-point dogs.  If they didn't pull off the dogs they would have covered.  Now we are getting Baylor cheap because of this poor ATS run, coupled with Wisconsin's upset win over UNC by 23 as 2-point dogs.  The Badgers saved their best game of the season for that game.  I always like fading teams after playing their best game of the season because it is unlikely to happen again, especially against a team the caliber of Baylor.  The Badgers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS win.  Wisconsin is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games.  The Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.  The Badgers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU win.  Take Baylor.

7* NCAAB 1st Round Game of the Year on Connecticut -3

The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season.  They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State.  Now they have to take on a UConn team playing its best ball since the return of leading scorer James Bouknight, who gets over 20 PPG.  He leads an underrated Huskies team that ranks in the Top 25 in both offensive and defensive efficiency this season.  The Huskies are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games with their only losses coming on the road to a healthy Villanova team by 8 and to Creighton by 3 in the Big East Tournament.  The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  The Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.  The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a loss.  UConn is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 NCAA Tournament games.  The Huskies are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.  UConn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite.  The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as favorites.  Take UConn.

6* Texas Southern/Michigan NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Texas Southern +26

The Key: The Texas Southern Tigers are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games and were competitive in non-conference games against Oklahoma State, St. Mary's, Auburn and BYU.  They didn't lose to either of those teams by more than 20 points, and they aren't losing to Michigan by more than 26.  That's especially the case with the Wolverines down their best player in Isaiah Livers heading into the NCAA Tournament.  The Wolverines went 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their final 5 games this season.  The Tigers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.  They have gone 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games when 15 or more games into the season and playing a team with a winning record.  Take Texas Southern.

6* Georgetown/Colorado NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgetown +6.5

The Key: Georgetown just won the Big East Tournament by winning 4 straight games outright as underdogs to improve to 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  I don't know what more the Hoyas need to do to get some respect, but they aren't getting it here as 6.5-point dogs to Colorado.  This game should be lined much closer to a PK.  We just saw Colorado play 3 straight games decided by 3 points or less against Cal, USC and Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament.  Georgetown would probably beat all 3 of those teams with the exception of perhaps USC.  Colorado is a terrible road team, and this is an early start time for them at 12:15 EST which is a 10:15 AM body clock game.  They will be sleep-walking at tip off as they aren't used to playing this early in the day, while the Hoyas are used to it.  The Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.  Take Georgetown.

6* Oregon State/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oregon State +8

The Key:  I like the price we are getting on the Oregon State Beavers against Tennessee in the opening round.  The price has been off on the Beavers for a couple months now as they are 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 games.  Oregon State is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after playing 3 straight games as underdogs.  They won outright as underdogs over UCLA, Oregon and Colorado to win the Pac-12 Tournament.  And I wouldn't be surprised to see them upset Tennessee in the opening round.  Rick Barnes has always been a poor tournament coach, going 7-17-1 ATS in his last 25 NCAA Tournament games.  Take Oregon State.

7* Utah State/Texas Tech NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech -4

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Texas Tech now after losing their final 2 games of the season to Baylor and Texas.  Now the Red Raiders are refocused and ready to go.  Chris Beard is one of the best head coaches in the country and took the Red Raiders on a deep NCAA Tournament run a few years back.  Utah State was blasted by 11 points by San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game and doesn't stand much of a chance of keeping this game competitive against Texas Tech, which played a much tougher schedule than the Aggies did this season.  Utah State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after playing its last game as an underdog.  The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.  The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.  Take Texas Tech.

7* UCLA/Michigan State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Michigan State -2

The Key: The Michigan State Spartans went 5-3 SU in their final 8 games this season with upset wins over Illinois, Michigan and Ohio State.  Thats 3 wins against Top 2 seeds and it proves that the Spartans can play with anyone.  Now they take a step down in class here against the UCLA Bruins, who have lost 4 straight games to close out the season and are going in the other direction.  It's worth noting that the Bruins also lost to the lone Big Ten team they faced this season in Ohio State.  The Bruins are now 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Take Michigan State.

6* Ohio State/Illinois Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois -6

The Key: The Illini Fighting Illini have won 13 of their last 14 games overall and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.  They will only be playing their 3rd game in 3 days here after blowout wins over both Rutgers and Iowa.  The Buckeyes will be playing their 4th game in 4 days and each of the last 3 went down to the wire with a 4-point win over Minnesota, an OT win over Purdue and a 1-point win over Michigan.  It's obvious which of these teams will be fresher, plus the Buckeyes could be without Kyle Young again.  I like the price we are getting with the Fighting Illini as their freshness compared to the tiredness of the Buckeyes isn't being factored into the line enough.  Take Illinois.

6* Oklahoma State/Texas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas -1.5

The Key: Texas has the rest advantage over Oklahoma State here after getting a surprise bye into the Big 12 Championship Game.  Kansas had COVID problems yesterday that knocked the Jayhawks out of the Big 12 Tournament.  The Longhorns will now be the more rested team and take on an Oklahoma State team that has been through 2 wars the last 2 days against West Virginia and Baylor.  The Longhorns are 10-2 ATS in all road/neutral games this season as they have played their best ball away from home.  Take Texas.

6* Utah State/San Diego State MWC *CA$H COW* on Utah State +2

The Key: Utah State has been hungry to make the NCAA Tournament in the MWC Tournament and it has shown with 2 of their best performances of the season.  The Aggies beat UNLV by 21 and Colorado State by 12 the last 2 days.  They should still be reasonably fresh because of those 2 blowout victories.  San Diego State already knew it was going to make the NCAA Tournament coming into the MWC Tournament and it has shown as the Aztecs have just gone through the motions.  They only beat Wyoming by 3 as 15.5-point favorites and Nevada by 7 as 8-point favorites.  They weren't able to rest their starters in either game and will not have much gas left in the tank as a result.  The Aggies want this game more, and they are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against the Aztecs this season, handing them 2 of their 4 losses all season.  The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.  The Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.  Utah State is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing 60 points or fewer in 2 straight games.  Take Utah State.

7* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -3.5

The Key: The Illini Fighting Illini have won 12 of their last 13 games overall and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.  They have the rest advantage here after playing the earlier game than Iowa yesterday and cruising to a 22-point win over Rutgers.  Iowa had to play its starters big minutes in a 5-point win over Wisconsin late last night.  And the Hawkeyes are already dealing with injuries to Fredrick and Wieskamp that are going to make this back-to-back situation even tougher on them.  The Fighting Illini are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Illinois

6* Ole Miss/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -1

The Key: LSU has gotten the double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament.  They will take advantage of it here against an Ole Miss team that had to play yesterday in a win over South Carolina.  The Tigers just have Ole Miss' number, going 8-1 SU in the last 9 meetings including 5 straight victories after their 75-61 road win over the Rebels in their lone matchup this season.  Take LSU.

6* Nevada/San Diego State MWC *CA$H COW* on Nevada +8

The Key: The San Diego State Aztecs know they aren't playing for much in this Mountain West Tournament.  At 21-4 on the season, they are only playing for seeding in the NCAA Tournament.  They went through the motions in their 69-66 win over Wyoming as 15.5-point favorites yesterday.  It's life and death for Nevada, which has made a great run here to close out the season in going 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.  They just upset Boise State 89-82 for their 3rd win against the Broncos in 3 tries this year.  They already showed they could play with San Diego State, losing by 5 and 2 points in their 2 road matchups this year.  So I like the price we are getting with the Wolf Pack as 8-point dogs here in their 3rd matchup.  The Wolf Pack are 7-1 ATS as underdogs this season.  The Wolf Pack are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  Take Nevada.

7* UNC/Florida State ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State -2

The Key: Florida State has had the last couple days off while North Carolina has had to play each of the last 2 days.  So the Tar Heels will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day here and that's a big disadvantage for them.  The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 3 or more consecutive wins.  Take Florida State.

6* Florida/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -4.5

The Key: The Tennessee Vols have gotten a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament.  They will take advantage of it here against a Florida team that had to play yesterday and beat Vanderbilt 69-63 as an 8-point favorite.  I like the fact that was a close game so the Gators could not rest their starters late.  The Vols were last seen beating this same Florida team 65-54 at home on March 7.  Florida is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games off a win by 6 points or less.  The Gators are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games as underdogs.  The favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take Tennessee.

6* Indiana/Rutgers Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers -3

The Key: Indiana is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  That includes a 63-74 loss at Rutgers on February 24.  The Hoosiers are playing without their best shooter in Armaan Franklin and he is doubtful to play today.  Rutgers is hungry to make the NCAA Tournament and has gone 7-4 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 matchups with the Hoosiers.  Indiana is 0-6 ATS when attempting to avenge a road loss this season.  Take Rutgers.

6* Arizona State/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon -8.5

The Key: Oregon has won 10 of its last 11 games overall.  That includes a 75-64 road win at Arizona State in their lone matchup this year.  Now they face a short-handed Sun Devils team that will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after needing a late comeback to beat Washington State yesterday.  It will be the 4th game in 8 days for the Sun Devils.  The Ducks have had the last 3 days off and are in the way more favorable situation.  Take Oregon.

6* Miami/Georgia Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech -9.5

The Key: Miami will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day after 2 close wins over Pitt by 6 and Clemson by 3.  They won't have much gas left in the tank today for Georgia Tech.  Now they face a Yellow Jackets team that earned a double-bye thanks to a huge finish to the season.  The Yellow Jackets have won 6 straight games and are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  That includes a 87-60 win at Miami.  I like their chances of beating the Hurricanes by double-digits again given the favorable situation they are in.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Georgetown/Villanova Big East *CA$H COW* on Georgetown +8.5

The Key: Villanova will be without Gillespie and his 14.0 PPG along with Moore and his 12.7 PPG for the Big East Tournament opener against Georgetown.  They lost outright to Providence in their first game without Gillespie, which is the same game Moore got hurt in.  The Hoyas have played the Wildcats tough in both matchups this year as they lost by 10 and 13 points.  Keep in mind they had a 13-point lead in that 13-point loss and only trailed by 2 at halftime in that 10-point defeat.  The Hoyas are fully capable of winning this game outright today now that the Wildcats are down 2 of their top 3 scorers.  And they impressed yesterday with a 68-49 win over Marquette that allowed them to rest their starters late.  The Hoyas are now 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.  Take Georgetown.

7* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +11.5

The Key: Iowa State played Oklahoma tough in covering both matchups this season with a 7-point road loss and a 10-point home loss.  The Cyclones get their best player in Rasir Bolton and his 15.4 PPG back in the lineup after missing most of the last 4 games with an ankle injury.  They face an Oklahoma team that has lost 4 straight including an upset loss to Kansas State.  The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Sooners are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites.  Take Iowa State.

6* Kansas State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +3.5

The Key: The Kansas State Wildcats are 3-1 SU in their last 4 games overall with their only loss coming at West Virginia.  They upset Oklahoma as 10-point home dogs and upset TCU as 6.5-point road dogs.  Now they are catching 3.5 points against TCU here on a neutral and I think they should be favored.  The Horned Frogs are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games overall with 2 of their wins coming against Iowa State by 3 and 4 points.  That's an Iowa State team that is 2-21 this season and winless in Big 12 play.  The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs.  The Horned Frogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites.  TCU is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Kansas State.

6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Air Force +12

The Key: Air Force was competitive in both losses to UNLV this season.  They lost 58-68 as 14-point road dogs and followed it up with a 64-69 loss as 13.5-point dogs 2 days later.  Now the Falcons are catching 12 points against the Rebels despite not losing either of those games by more than 10 points.  UNLV is struggling right now in going 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall with its 2 wins coming against 2 of the worst teams in the conference in San Jose State by 3 as 14-point favorites and Fresno State by 1 as 5-point favorites.  They also lost outright as 7-point favorites to Fresno State and outright by 11 as 1.5-point favorites against Wyoming.  The Falcons are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games as underdogs.  The Rebels are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.  UNLV is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a favorite, and 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season.  The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups.  Take Air Force.

6* Wake Forest/Notre Dame ACC *CA$H COW* on Notre Dame -8

The Key: Wake Forest has lost 7 straight games by 7 points or more and 6 straight by 12 points or more.  Those 7 losses came by 19 PPG as the Demon Deacons have simply given up on their season.  The Fighting Irish are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games and just upset the Florida State Seminoles 83-73 in their final game of the regular season.  That includes a 79-58 win over Wake Forest in their first matchup this year.  It should be another comfortable win for the Fighting Irish considering the Demon Deacons haven't even been competitive due to their questionable motivation.  This is a veteran Notre Dame team relishing the opportunity to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  I like the price on them considering they are clearly the hungrier team right now.  Take Notre Dame.

7* Oakland/Cleveland State Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -2

The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season.  They are 18-7 SU & 16-8-1 ATS.  I cashed them in a short price yesterday as 3.5-point favorites over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  I like the short price we are getting on the Vikings again today against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies.  They already beat Oakland twice on the road in their first two matchups this year.  I see no reason anything will change here in the championship game.  The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.  The Vikings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against teams that shoot 42% or worse and allow 45% or higher.  The Vikings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams that are outscored by 4 PPG or more on the season.  Take Cleveland State.

6* Boston College/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +13

The Key: I really like the price we are getting on the Boston College Eagles tongiht.  They have been competitive down the stretch in going 3-1 ATS in their last 3 games overall including an upset win over Notre Dame.  And they had to play Syracuse, FSU and Miami all on the road.  They also only lost 82-83 as 11.5-point dogs at Duke in their first matchup this year, so they've already shown they can play with the Blue Devils.  Duke is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall, including a 73-91 loss at North Carolina.  It's just hard to trust the Blue Devils right now with where their heads are at mentally.  The Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing 2 consecutive road games.  Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games as a favorite.  The Blue Devils are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games.  Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off an ATS loss.  Take Boston College.

7* Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -3.5

The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season.  They are 17-7 SU & 15-8-1 ATS.  I like the short price we are getting with the Vikings today over the Milwaukee Panthers.  After beating Milwaukee 64-53 in their first matchup this year, the Vikings got out to a 34-23 halftime lead the next day.  They then took their foot off the gas and the Panthers came back to win 81-80.  The Vikings won't be letting up today and that was clearly a letdown spot.  Cleveland State is 7-0 ATS when attempting to avenge a loss this season.  The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.  The Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off an ATS loss.  Take Cleveland State.

7* Texas Tech/Baylor Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech +8

The Key: Baylor has only covered one of its last four gams and that was an overtime win against West Virginia.  They didn't even come close to covering against Iowa State and Kansas as they lost outright to the Jayhawks and only beat the Cyclones by 5.  And now they are laying 8 points to a Texas Tech team that has only 2 losses by more than 8 points all season.  The Red Raiders have won and covered 3 straight games with their 3 wins coming by a total of 56 points.  They are ready to give the Bears a run for their money today.  Texas Tech is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against good teams that win by 8-plus PPG on average 15 or more games into the season.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against good offensive teams that score 77-plus PPG 15 or more games into the season.  Texas Tech is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games road underdogs.  Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Texas Tech.

6* Wisconsin/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Wisconsin after losing 4 of its last 5 games while Iowa won 6 of its last 7.  Let's just compare the line to the first time these teams played on February 18.  Wisconsin was a 1.5-point home favorite and now is a 7-point road underdog which is an 8.5-point adjustment.  Iowa did win that first matchup 77-62, but it took a 12 for 19 (63.2%) shooting effort from 3-point range.  Wisconsin shot just 30% as a team.  Look for the Badgers to close the gap drastically in both departments today.  The Badgers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.  The Badgers are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games off a loss.  The road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take Wisconsin.

6* Florida/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -5.5

The Key: The Tennessee Vols want to avenge their worst loss of the season today.  They lost 49-75 at Florida despite being a 9-point favorite.  Now the Vols are only 5.5-point favorites at home in this matchup so the price is right to back them when you compare the line to the first matchup.  The Vols have been a resilient team this year in that they are 5-1 SU in their 6 games off a loss.  The Vols are 70-43 ATS in their last 113 home games when attempting to avenge a loss.  The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 matchups.  Take Tennessee.