Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-12 | New York Knicks v. New Jersey Nets UNDER 193 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Knicks/Nets UNDER 193
The New York Knicks used a lot of energy in beating the Boston Celtics 118-110 last night at home. I look for New York to come out deflated tonight while shooting the ball much more poorly than they did against the Celtics. There's no way in hell New York makes anywhere near 19-of-32 (59.4 percent) from 3-point range again. The New Jersey Nets are handcuffed right now as they are going to be without their two best players in Deron Williams and Gerald Wallace. This will make points hard to come by, and the Nets will struggle offensively in this one. The Nets and Knicks have combined for less than 193 points in each of their first two meetings this season. The UNDER is 24-6 in Knicks last 30 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 21-5 in Knicks last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Nets last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the UNDER 193 points here. |
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04-13-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets UNDER 200.5 | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Suns/Rockets UNDER 200.5
There is a lot riding on this game between the Phoenix Suns and the Houston Rockets tonight. Houston (32-26) would be the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference if the season were to end today. They are 1.5 games clear of ninth-place Utah and 2 games ahead of tenth-place Phoenix (30-28). With only a few games left, you can bet both teams will be laying it all on the line defensively to get a win tonight. Plus, with so much at stake, shooting could be difficult given how nervous many of these players will be. This has been a low-scoring series thus far this season. The Suns and Rockets have combined for 180, 185 and 185 points in their first three meetings this season, respectively. Neither Houston nor Phoenix has reached 100 points. I look for that trend to continue tonight as these teams go UNDER the number for the 5th time in as many meetings. Take the UNDER 200.5 points here. |
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03-11-12 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 179.5 | Top | 94-97 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Celtics NBA on ABC Surefire on UNDER 179.5
The Lakers and Celtics are primed for a defensive battle this afternoon. These are two of the best defensive teams in the league, and two of the worst offensive teams as well. In this heated rivalry, I believe defense will win out today. The Lakers only give up 86.9 points/game at home, and the Celtics only yield 89.7 points/game overall. Boston has really struggled offensively on the road, scoring just 87.9 points/game away from home this year. Five of the last six meetings in this series have seen 178 or less combined points. The Lakers beat the Celtics 88-87 in overtime in their first meeting this year on February 9th. That game was tied 82-82 at the end of regulation for 164 combined points. Take the UNDER 179.5 points here. |
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03-05-12 | New Orleans Hornets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 187.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Hornets/Blazers NBA Monday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 187.5
I'm siding with the UNDER in this game Monday between the New Orleans Hornets and Portland Trail Blazers. These two always seem to play in low-scoring games when they meet up, and I certainly believe this line has been inflated tonight because of it. The Blazers and Hornets have played twice this season with combined scores of 161 and 180 points. Oddsmakers set the total at 182 for their first meeting on January 16th and 177 for their second meeting on February 10th. As you can see, they have set this total 10.5 points higher than last time despite having such a low scoring output in their first two meetings. Now you can see why I believe there is so much value with this UNDER tonight. Portland is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 187.5 points here. |
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03-01-12 | Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 197 | Top | 107-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Blazers TNT Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 197
I look for a low-scoring game tonight between the Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers. Portland actually matches up with Miami about as well as possible. They have guys like Gerald Wallace and Nicolas Batum who have the height to contest shots by Lebron James and Dwyane Wade. They also have Marcus Camby and LaMarcus Aldridge inside to defend the basket if either Wade or James is to get by those two. Miami isn't going to put up a huge number on this Blazers defense tonight. Both teams are solid defensively as the Heat give up 94.4 points/game and the Blazers allow 93.4 points/game. Portland will try to slow this game down to give themselves the best chance to win, and they certainly have an excellent chance of controlling the tempo at home tonight in front of a rowdy crowd. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 12-4 in Trail Blazers last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER 197 points here. |
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02-29-12 | Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 191.5 | Top | 96-89 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Bulls/Spurs ESPN TOTAL OF THE WEEK on OVER 191.5
The Chicago Bulls and San Antonio Spurs should have no problem combining for 192 or more points tonight. I expect this one to see 200-plus by game's end. Chicago and San Antonio have combined for 208, 197 and 191 points in their last three meetings, respectively. Both teams used to be known as great defensive clubs, but each is lighting up the nets this season, winning games with their offense. The Spurs average 101.5 points at home while the Bulls put up 98.2 points on the road. The Spurs have really been an OVERS machine of late, and I expect that trend to continue here tonight. San Antonio is 6-0 to the OVER in their last six games overall with combined scores of 194, 219, 203, 208, 234 and 213 points. They are averaging a combined 215.4 points/game in their last five. Take the OVER 191.5 points here. |
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02-26-12 | WEST ALL STARS v. EAST ALL STARS OVER 284 | Top | 152-149 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy East vs. West All-Star "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 284
This game will see 285 or more combined points tonight. The All-Star game saw 291 combined points last season and there just seems to be less defense played each year. They let players dunk and easy, wide-open shots are the norm any more in this game. Take the OVER 284 points here. |
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02-21-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 190 | Top | 97-137 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Blazers NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 190
Both the San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers are going to come into this game tired. San Antonio will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days, while Portland will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 8 days. These are two jump shooting teams, so tired legs certainly make it tough on them. I look for the majority of shots to come up short tonight and clank off the front of the rim. Points will be very hard to come by in what will be a low-scoring affair. Portland is giving up 92.9 points/game this season and San Antonio yields 94.2 points/game. The UNDER is 7-3 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. These teams have met once this season with the Spurs winning 99-83 at home for 182 combined points. The Spurs and Blazers have combined for 194 or less points in 11 straight meetings, including 189 or less in eight of those 11 contests. Take the UNDER 190 points here. |
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02-18-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 197 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 197
The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies will play part in a low-scoring affair Saturday night. In their first meeting this season, the Grizzlies won 91-90 on the road. I have great reason to believe that this game will play out similarly considering how tired these teams will be coming in. Both teams are playing the second of a back-to-back, and Memphis is playing their 4th game in 5 days while Golden State is on their 3rd game in 4 days. I look for a lot of shots to come up short tonight as both teams struggle offensively. Take the UNDER 197 points here. |
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02-03-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 193 | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Friday Side & Total Parlay on Grizzlies +8.5/UNDER 193
Reasons for Grizzlies: Oklahoma City is in for a big letdown tonight after beating the Dallas Mavericks last time out. That was their biggest win of the season as the Mavs knocked them out of the playoffs in the Western Conference Finals last season. Memphis wants revenge from getting knocked out in the playoffs by Oklahoma City in the Western Conference Semifinals last year. The motivation is clearly going to be in the corner of Memphis tonight, which is coming off two straight impressive wins with a 100-97 overtime victory over Denver and a 96-77 road win over Atlanta. The Grizzlies are 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. Fatigue will not be a factor tonight as they put their best foot forward against a hated rival. Reasons for UNDER: Memphis has been one of the best UNDER teams in the league this season, especially away from home. The Grizzlies are 11-1 UNDER in all road games this season, and we've seen 189 or less combined points in all 12. That makes for a perfect 12-0 UNDER angle pertaining to tonight's total set of 193. Memphis is 7-0 UNDER in their last seven games overall, and we've seen 189 or less combined points in all seven contests. The oddsmakers have clearly set the number too high for this rivalry game which is going to feature all-out defense on both ends. Take the Grizzlies and the UNDER here. |
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01-31-12 | Sacramento Kings v. Golden State Warriors OVER 199 | Top | 90-93 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Kings/Warriors NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 199
This one is as easy as it gets folks. Oddsmakers are making a serious mistake by setting this total set below 200 points. The Kings come in on 2 days' rest and the Warriors come in on 3 days' rest, so both teams will be ready to get after it tonight. I look for each to try and get out in the open court as much as possible with their fresh legs. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, and these teams have combined to score 207 or more points in all 5 meetings. As you can see, when Sacramento and Golden State get together, a shootout is usually the end result. The OVER is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games overall. Take the OVER 199 points here. |
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01-26-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 193 | Top | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Grizzlies/Clippers TNT Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 193
This total has been inflated tonight due to being nationally televised. Public bettors love betting on TV games, and public bettors also like the OVER more times than not. I'll side with the UNDER in a game that should be played in the 175-185 range. The Clippers and their opponents are combining to score 192.5 points/game at home this season. Sure, that's basically right on the total for tonight's game. But the Clippers are going to come into this one fatigued after a hard-fought game against the L.A. Lakers last night. That's why I'm expecting a slower tempo in this one. Memphis and their opponents are combining for an average of 177.0 points/game on the road this season. The Grizzlies are 8-1 UNDER in all road games this year, and I'm certainly willing to play them UNDER the number on the road again tonight. Memphis is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Take this combined 32-1 (97%) UNDER Angle straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER 193 points here. |
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01-20-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 190.5 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy T'Wolves/Clippers ESPN "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 190.5
Oddsmakers have set the number too high tonight in the Minnesota vs. Los Angeles Clippers game. The Los Angeles Clippers are a quality offensive team at full strength, but they are not healthy right now. Chris Paul is their best player and their floor general, and without him on the floor, this offense has been struggling. The Clippers are averaging a mere 85.0 points/game in their last two contests, and they are 3-0 to the UNDER without Paul. Minnesota has become a much better defensive team this season, especially of late. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Timberwolves last 4 games, and we've seen combined scores of 178, 185, 184 and 167 points in those four contests. The Clippers are a very profitable 8-4 to the UNDER in all games this season, including 6-2 to the UNDER in home games. Minnesota is 11-2-1 to the UNDER in all games, including 4-0-1 to the UNDER in road games where they are combining with their opponents to average 178.6 points/game. As you can see, this number has been inflated. Take the UNDER 190.5 points here. |
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01-12-12 | New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Knicks/Grizzlies UNDER 194
This one is about as easy as it gets folks. Both the New York Knicks and Memphis Grizzlies are combining with their opponents to average well under the posted total tonight. The Grizzlies are combining with their opponents to average 186.1 points/game this season, while the Knicks are combining with their foes to average 189.0 points/game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 overall, 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games following a win, and 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Take this 13-0 UNDER angle straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER 194 points here. |
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01-10-12 | Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 194.5 | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Warriors NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 194.5
The Miami Heat are pushing the tempo this season with a "pace and space" philosophy that head coach Erik Spoelstra picked up from Oregon football coach Chip Kelly. It's working as the Heat are off to a fast start while simply outscoring their opponents. Miami is 8-1 this season while scoring a whopping 108.3 points/game. I expect them to get to their season average against this soft Golden State defense tonight, while the Warriors score enough points to push this one OVER the number by game's end. Golden State and Miami have combined to score 197 or more points in 11 of their last 13 meetings. The Warriors are 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 15-5-1 in Heat last 21 games as a favorite, including 8-2 in Heat last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in this series, including 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Take the OVER 194.5 points here. |
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05-25-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 198.5 | Top | 96-100 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Thunder/Mavs OVER 198.5
This total has been set too low tonight and we'll take full advantage. Oklahoma City is going to be playing desperate basketball, meaning they are going to play at an up-tempo pace. Dallas is also going to be playing at a frantic pace knowing they have a chance to close out the series tonight. Look for both teams to get up and down in what will be the highest-scoring game of this series, and will see well over 200 combined points. The Thunder are 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game this season. The OVER is 6-0 in Thunder last 6 games following a ATS loss. The OVER is 34-16 in Thunder last 50 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 12-2 in Mavericks last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The OVER is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Dallas, and 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series overall. Take the OVER 198.5 points here. |
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05-17-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 193.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Mavs/Thunder OVER 193.5
When looking at the three games between these teams this season, along with Game 1's thus far in the playoffs, we have decided to side with the OVER as our strongest total in the Western Conference playoffs Tuesday. All three meetings between the Mavs and Thunder this season saw 194 or more combined points and an average of 201.3 points/game. OKC went OVER in Game 1 against Denver with 210 combined points and OVER in Game 1 against Memphis with 215 combined points. The OVER is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Dallas and 4-0 in the last four meetings there. Both of these teams have a plethora of weapons offensively, but neither is considered a lock-down defensive team. OKC is scoring 104.6 points/game and giving up 100.7 points/game, while Dallas is putting up 99.9 points/game and allowing 95.2 points/game. We believe odds makers have really missed their mark here for Game 1. Take the OVER 193.5 points here. |
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05-09-11 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 181 | Top | 98-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Celtics UNDER 181
With the Boston Celtics ailing, they are going to really have to rely on defense to try and tie this series at 2-2. Rajon Rondo can't even use his left hand, which will make the Celtics a much less dangerous team offensively. This is going to be an ugly, grind it out type of game that sees less than 180 combined points. It will play out similar to Game 3, where we saw 178 combined points in a 97-81 Boston victory. Over the last 5 seasons, the UNDER is 108-58 (65.1%) in the 4th game of a playoff series. The UNDER is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between the Heat and Celtics in Boston. The Celtics are 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 181 points here. |
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05-04-11 | Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 186.5 | Top | 93-81 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Mavs/Lakers TNT Wednesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 186.5
The odds makers have dropped this total a full two points from what it was set at in Game 1. These are two of the better offensive teams in the league this season and we feel there is a lot of value with the 'over' tonight in Game 2. Dallas is 27-18 OVER (+7.2 Units) in road games this season. The Mavs are 26-10 OVER (+15.0 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Dallas is 17-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) after a win by 6 points or less this season. The Lakers are scoring 103.0 points/game while allowing 94.8 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 197.8. Dallas is scoring 98.5 points/game and allowing 96.4 points/game on the road for an average score of 194.9. As you can see, there is clearly some value here with this 'over'. Dallas and Los Angeles have combined to score 187 or more points in seven straight meetings, making for a perfect 7-0 OVER angle pertaining to tonight's total set. Take the OVER 186.5 points here. |
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04-27-11 | Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 189 | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Wednesday Night "Total" BLOWOUT on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 189
We'll side with the UNDER in Game 5 tonight between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies. Look for the Spurs to clamp down defensively after letting the Grizzlies go off in Game 4. Their defensive intensity will be much greater with their backs against the wall down 3-1, and it should lead to a low-scoring affair. The Spurs and Grizzlies have combined to average 187 points/game in this series through four games. That gives us some value on the 'under' tonight, and as a series goes on it becomes more tough for the offenses of both teams to get going. The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Spurs last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Memphis is 58-28 UNDER (+27.2 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996. The Spurs are 92-62 UNDER (+23.8 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days since 1996. Take the UNDER 189 points here. |
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04-25-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 205.5 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Nuggets TNT Monday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 205.5
After a shootout in Game 1 which saw 210 combined points, the Thunder and Nuggets have settled down in Games 2 and 3. OKC won 106-89 in Game 2 for 195 combined points, and won again 97-94 in Game 3 for a 191-point output. These teams have already met five times in the month of April, with combined scores of 195 or less points in four of them. Familiarity breeds defensive battles because it's simply harder for the offenses to get going when their opposition knows that they like to do. The UNDER is 18-7-2 in Nuggets last 27 games overall. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Denver is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. The Nuggets are 30-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. Denver is 27-13 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take the UNDER 205.5 points here. |
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04-23-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191.5 | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Saturday Play of the Night on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 191.5
We'll side with the UNDER in Game 3 Saturday between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies. In this pivitol game, defense will reign supreme. These teams combined for 180 points in Game 2 and you can expect a similar output tonight in Game 3. Memphis is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. The Grizzlies are 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Spurs last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games. The UNDER is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games as a favorite. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here. |
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04-17-11 | Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 195 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Sunday "Total" BLOWOUT on Grizzlies/Spurs U 195
*Analysis Coming Soon* |
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03-28-11 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls OVER 191 | Top | 97-85 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on 76ers/Bulls O 191
When looking at recent meetings between the Bulls and 76ers, it's easy to see why we are on the OVER tonight. The OVER is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings in this series, and 11 of those 13 meetings saw 195 or more combined points. These teams combined to score 204 and 197 points in their two meetings this season, respectively. The OVER is 6-1 in Philly's last 7 games overall with combined scores of 198 or more six times, while the OVER is 5-0 in Chicago's last 5 games with combined scores of 195 or more four times. As you can see, there is a ton of value with this 'over' tonight and we'll take full advantage. Take the OVER 191 points here. |
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03-14-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 199 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Heat/Spurs UNDER 199
This total has been jacked up tonight due to the most recent meeting between the Spurs and Heat. Miami didn't even show up for that game, and allowed San Antonio to do whatever they wanted in a 125-95 victory for the Spurs on March 4th. They will certainly show up tonight, especially defensively where they will buckle down as they look to get revenge on the Spurs. Because of their 220-point output in their last meeting, we find the odds makers have inflated this total tonight which provides us with some nice value. In fact, that was by far the highest-scoring game in this series in quite some time. The UNDER is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings in this series, including 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in Miami. A closer look really shows you how much value there is on this 'under' tonight. 26 of the last 27 meetings have seen 195 or less combined points, which makes for a 26-1 (96%) UNDER angle given the total set tonight. Take the UNDER 199 points here. |
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02-27-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 200.5 | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Thunder NBA on ABC Sunday Surefire on UNDER 200.5
When looking at recent meetings between the Lakers and Thunder, it's easy to see that there is some nice value with this UNDER Sunday. Oklahoma City and Los Angeles have combined to score 199 or less points in eight straight meetings. That makes for a perfect 8-0 angle in favor of the UNDER pertaining to the total set listed today. Enough said. Take the UNDER 200.5 points here. |
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02-22-11 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 193 | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on T'Wolves/Bucks UNDER 193
This 'under' is showing excellent value tonight. The UNDER is 9-2 in Minnesota's last 11 games, while the UNDER is 7-1-1 in Milwaukee's last 9 games. This is a very high total for a Bucks home game, especially considering they have combined with their opponents to score 185 or less in seven of their last nine contests. Minnesota has combined their their opponents to score 194 or less in three straight games as well. The UNDER is 8-0 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a S.U. loss, while the UNDER is 8-0 in Bucks last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. This makes for a combined 16-0 angle in favor of the UNDER tonight. Plus, these teams combined for 181 points in their first meeting this season in which Minnesota won 96-85 at home. Take the UNDER 193 points here. |
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02-08-11 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 198 | Top | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2011 NBA PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Miami Heat -10.5/OVER 198
Plays on home favorites (MIAMI) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 55-21 (72.4%) ATS since 1996. Miami is playing great basketball right now. The Heat are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games. Indiana has won four straight, but three of those games came against the likes or the Raptors, Cavs and Nets who are three of the worst teams in the league. The Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games are 45-16 (73.8%) OVER since 1996. Both teams are hitting on all cylinders offensively right now. Indiana has scored 100 or more points in four straight games while averaging 106.5 points/game, and Miami is averaging 107.0 points/game over their last five contests. The OVER is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 road games. The OVER is 10-4 in Heat last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Miami and the OVER as our 2011 NBA Parlay of the Year Tuesday. |
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02-04-11 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 207 | Top | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2011 NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Nuggets OVER 207
Plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 42-13 (76.4%) OVER since 1996. Also, plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (UTAH) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents are 44-16 (73.3%) OVER through the last 5 seasons. Deron Williams has been out for the Jazz since January 26th and as a result they have been playing in much lower-scoring games of late. Williams is expected to return tonight against the Nuggets as he is listed as probable, and as a result we expect Utah's offense to get back on track. Denver is scoring 110.7 points/game at home this season and are combining with their opponents to average 112.7 points/game at home. Taking a look at recent meetings in his series, we find great value in the OVER. The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings with combined scores of 208 or more points in eight of the nine meetings. That's an 89% OVER Angle pertaining to the total set listed tonight. The OVER is 38-12-2 in Jazz last 52 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5, 7-1 in Jazz last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 42-20-1 in Jazz last 63 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The OVER is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games overall and 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER 207 points here. |
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01-27-11 | Miami Heat v. New York Knicks UNDER 212 | Top | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Knicks TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 212
Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 33-8 (80.5%) UNDER during the last 5 seasons. We look for a defensive battle tonight in New York. Considering Miami only allows 93.9 points/game, it's easy to see why we're siding with the UNDER here. Plus, the last 5 meetings in this series have all seen combined scores of 209 or less points. Also, the UNDER is 8-1-1 in Knicks last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER 212 points here. |
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01-21-11 | Utah Jazz v. Boston Celtics OVER 194 | Top | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Celtics OVER 194
Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 84-37 (69.4%) OVER since 1996. After playing a low-scoring affair against a terrible Detroit Pistons team last time out, the Boston Celtics will take part in a shootout against the Utah Jazz Friday. The OVER is 7-1 in Utah's last 8 games overall where Utah and their opponents have combined to score 198 or more points in all eight games. Utah is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season. The Celtics are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in home games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. The OVER is 14-5-1 in the last 20 meetings in this series, including 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. Take the OVER 194 points here. |
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01-14-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 195.5 | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy ESPN Friday Night TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Suns/Blazers OVER 195.5
The OVER in the Blazers/Suns game tonight is showing excellent value. Rarely will you find a Phoenix home game with a total set of less than 200 points. In fact, there has not been one Phoenix home game that has been set at less than 200 points this season, and only one Suns game all year was set at less than 200. That came at Charlotte on 11/20 where 228 combined points were scored despite a total of just 198.5. Odds makers are making a huge mistake tonight by setting this total so low. The Suns are scoring 106.0 points/game this season and allowing a league-worst 108.9 points/game. Given those averages, you can see why we're on the OVER tonight. The OVER is 9-2 in Suns last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The OVER is 10-4 in Suns last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Phoenix is 15-7 to the OVER in their last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Phoenix is 21-9 OVER (+11.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix and their opponents are combining to score 214.9 points/game this season, therefore we are essentially getting nearly 20 points of value tonight. Take the OVER 195.5 points here. |
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12-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 210.5 | Top | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Mavs ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 210.5
Phoenix is the worst defensive team in the league this season, and this is a reasonably low total for a Suns game tonight. Phoenix is scoring 109.0 points/game while allowing 110.0 points/game for an averaged combined score of 219.0 points/game. Dallas has had no problem scoring on the Suns over the last few years, which should come as no surprise. The Mavs have scored 100 or more points in 8 straight meetings with Phoenix, while the Suns have scored 101 or more in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. There have been some bad defensive teams in Phoenix history, but this year's version has to be the worst. The OVER is 6-0 in Mavs last 6 games overall, and Dallas has scored 100 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Dallas is hitting on all cylinders offensively right now and that's another big reason why the OVER should be money in the bank tonight. The OVER is 11-1 in Suns last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the OVER 210.5 points here. |
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12-10-10 | Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 204 | Top | 106-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Warriors OVER 204
This is a very low total for a Warriors home game, and the clear value tonight is with the OVER as the Miami Heat come to town. The Warriors are scoring 105.4 points/game and allowing 106.6 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 212 points. The OVER is 6-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and the OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Take the OVER 204 points here. |
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10-29-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 208 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Suns ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 208
Just looking at how these teams have played in recent meetings, it's clear that this total has been set way too low tonight. You also have to factor in that the Lakers are without Andrew Bynum, which means Lamar Odom is taking his spot. With Odom, the Lakers are much more explosive offensively and they can get out and run more because Odom can handle the ball like a point guard. The Suns haven't changed what they do, which is run and gun and penetrate and kick out. They shoot a lot of 3-pointers, but that's because they have so many great perimeter shooters. Long rebounds on miss 3-pointers lead to fast breaks for their opposition, and the Lakers will get plenty of opportunities to run tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings have seen 214 or more combined points, and these teams are averaging 222.8 points/game over those 6 games. So as you can see, these teams tend to play in shootouts when they get together. Plus, the Suns are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) in home games off an road win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. we're seeing an average of 227.2 points/game in this spot. Take the OVER 208 points here. |
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06-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 189 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 189
The UNDER has cashed in 3 straight games with 185 points or less scored and you can chalk up a 4th straight UNDER tonight. Both the Lakers and Celtics know how to stop one another at this point, but each team is struggling to find easy buckets. That's why this series has turned into a defensive battle, and with the pressure of a Game 6, another low-scoring contest is in store. Neither team has scored more than 96 points in any of the last 3 games. Boston did shoot 56% from the field in Game 5, but only managed 92 points. The Lakers are relying on Kobe Bryant, and as a result he is taking a lot of shots at the end of the shotclock which is why they are not performing up to par offensively. Assists have been few and far between, and the Lakers are 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Celtics last 8 games following a win, and the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is also 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the UNDER 189 points in Game 6. |
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06-10-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Lakers +4/UNDER 190
We expect the Lakers to go in for the kill in Game 4 now that they have Boston on their heels, and another excellent defensive effort tonight similar to how Game 3 played out. The familiarity between these teams makes it difficult for either squad to flourish offensively, and that's why we see another low-scoring game in this one. The Lakers are a superb 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season. The Celtics are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and the UNDER is 14-6-1 in Lakers last 21 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Take the Lakers and the UNDER as our NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR! |
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05-28-10 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics OVER 189 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Celtics OVER 189
This series has shifted to a high-scoring one ever since three straight unders in the first three games. Orlando has changed the way that they have approached the Celtics, which is to push the tempo because getting out in transition gives them the best chance to win. Falling into a half-court game with Boston has not worked, so we expect the Magic to force the action in Game 6. Games 4 and 5 each were much higher-scoring, and as a result each went OVER the posted number. With what's at stake in this game, neither team is going to give up in the end no matter how far they are behind. But we definitely see a close game, and fouls in the end will also help push the final score OVER the number. A system backing this play tells us to take the OVER on home teams where the total is in the 180 to 189.5 range after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This trend has gone 32-7 (82%) to the OVER since 1996 and it's 10-1 (91%) to the OVER through the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 35-16 in the Celtics' last 51 games following a loss. Take the OVER 189 points here. |
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05-27-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 218 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Lakers NBA on TNT Total on UNDER 218
The first 4 games of this series have all gone OVER the final posted number. But these games have become lower-scoring as this series has progressed. We saw 235 points in Game 1, 236 in Game 2, 227 in Game 3 and 221 in Game 4. Game 3 and Game 4 only went over the total due to fouls in the end by the Lakers as each contest was well on pace to go under. We are certain Game 5 will see the fewest combined points of this series, and thus we'll select the UNDER. The Lakers really struggled to defend in Phoenix, and returning home tonight their focus is squarely on the defensive end. Kobe Bryant has informed his teammates that this will be the foucs. "My message is offensively, we're going to score enough points," Bryant said. "Defensively, we've got to do a much better job. That's my message. We've got to grind, do a better job staying in front of them." Phoenix is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, with the UNDER coming through 92% of the time. We're seeing an average score of Phoenix 101.5 and their opponents 98.6 in this spot. We expect the Lakers to win this game somewhere in the 110 to 100 range with 210 or less combined points with what's at stake. Take the UNDER 218 points here. |
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05-25-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 221.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Suns #1 TOTAL OF THE SERIES on UNDER 221.5
The total started out at 210 points in Game 1, but after three straight OVERS in this series the odds makers have set the number at 221.5 for Game 4. No question we are seeing awesome value on the UNDER Tuesday in what we see as being a much lower-scoring game than the first three contests of this series. The UNDER is 11-0 in Lakers last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5 and 6-0 in Lakers last 6 games as a road favorite in this same range, making for a PERFECT 17-0 UNDER Angle. Take the value and take the UNDER in Game 4. |
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05-19-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 215.5 | Top | 112-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Lakers NBA on TNT Game 2 Total on OVER 215.5
The Suns and Lakers are prone to shootouts when they get together, especially of late. In the last 8 meetings, 6 have resulted in combined scores of 221 or more points. In those 8 meetings, they have combined to average 220.6 points/game. The Suns are 40-20 OVER (+18.0 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days since 1996. Phoenix is 27-14 OVER (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Suns are 42-26 OVER (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. They are averaging 222.7 points/game in this spot. The OVER is 8-2 in Suns last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This makes for a 13-2 (87%) Angle in favor of the OVER tonight in Game 2. Take the OVER 215.5 points here. |
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05-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 211 | Top | 107-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Suns UNDER 211
After both the Lakers and Suns swept their second-round series in 4 games, each will come into Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals a little rusty. The defensive execution will be there, but offensively both teams will be out of sync for Game 1. The UNDER is 7-1-1 (88%) in the Suns last 9 road games, with a highest combined score of 208 points. The Lakers will be able to control the tempo at home tonight and slow this game down. Phoenix is a much better defensive team this season, especially of late where they have allowed 102 or less points in 9 straight playoff games. The Lakers have allowed 103 or less in 8 of their 10 playoff games. The Lakers are 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Phoenix is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 31-16 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 11-3 in Lakers last 14 playoff games as a favorite and the UNDER is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 conference finals games. Take the UNDER 211 points as our NBA Playoffs T.O.T.Y.! |
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05-16-10 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 189.5 | Top | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Magic Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 189.5
Two of the best defensive teams in the league hit the hardwood in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals Sunday. The Boston Celtics allow 94.3 points/game on the road this season while the Orlando Magic allow 92.9 points/game at home. That's why it is no surprise that these are the last two teams standing in the East. It also shouldn't come as a surprise that when these teams meet, then tend to play in low-scoring games. The UNDER is 7-1 in the the last 8 meetings, with the highest combined score of 190 points. So over their last 8 meetings, they have only topped this 189.5-point total one time and it came by a mere half-point! We have seen 185, 190, 163, 161, 183, 158, 180 and 189 points in the last 8 meetings, respectively, and an average of 176.1 points/game. The Magic will be a bit rusty after a long break, but their defensive effort will still be there. The Celtics are likely to come out a bit flat as well after their series upset of the Cavaliers. The Magic are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. This is going to be an ugly, defensive struggle in Game 1. Take the UNDER 189.5 points here. |
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05-11-10 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 194.5 | Top | 120-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Celtics/Cavs UNDER 194.5
This game won't come close to 194 points tonight with how important Game 5 is to both teams. We saw 184 combined points in Game 4 and we expect to see an even lower-scoring game tonight. Both teams know what they need to do to stop their opposition. The Cavs have to keep Rajon Rondo out of the paint, and there's a very good chance Lebron James guards him tonight to help accomplish that. The Celtics have to keep Lebron James out of the lane, and they have been doing a good job of it with the exception of Game 3 where they just didn't show up. These are two teams that know how to defend one another now and they have the tools to do so, which will make points hard to come by in Game 5. Boston is 38-20 UNDER (+16.0 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons, with an average combined score of 182.0 points/game. The UNDER is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Cavs' last 5 games playing on 1 days' rest. The UNDER is 19-7 in Cavs last 26 Conference Semifinals games. Take the UNDER 194.5 points as our 2010 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year! |
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05-10-10 | Orlando Magic v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 193 | Top | 98-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Hawks UNDER 193
This Game 4 tonight between the Hawks and Magic represents our strongest Total release in the 2nd round of the 2010 playoffs. This one is an absolute no-brainer tonight with the way these games in Atlanta have been played between these teams. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta, and we've seen combined scores of 169, 170, 170 and 180. They haven't even come close to scoring 190-plus points and we don't expect it to happen tonight, either. When Atlanta plays at home, they control the tempo which is a slower pace than Orlando likes to play when they are at home. The Hawks will play with some pride tonight on the defensive end, while the Magic will be getting after it defensively to try to close out this series. Atlanta is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons, and we're seeing 182.6 points/game in this spot. They always tend to play in lower-scoring games after a bad defensive effort. That also holds true with the following trend. The Hawks are 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons, and we're seeing 175.0 points/game in this situation. Take the UDNER 193 points here. |
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05-08-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 202.5 | Top | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 44 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Jazz/Lakers TOTAL OF THE SERIES on UNDER 202.5
Plays on the UNDER on any team after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 125-69 (64%) to the UNDER since 1996. Just this year this trend is 12-4 (75%) to the UNDER. The Jazz have gone over the number in 5 straight games and as a result, the odds makers have moved this total up from 198.5 points in Games 1 and 2 to 202.5 points in Game 3. That gives us 4 points of value on the UNDER Saturday. Games between the Lakers and Jazz in Utah have been much lower scoring on average. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah, with combined scores of 177, 196, 202 and 174 points, respectively. With what's at stake in Game 3 for the Jazz, look for them to get after it defensively and hold the Lakers below 100 points for the first time in this series. The Lakers are 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. The Lakers are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) as a road underdog this season. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The 3 days' rest both teams have also favors a low-scoring game Saturday, because extra preparation gives both teams the opportunity to practice how they want to defend their opposition. The Lakers will work on their pick and roll defense, while the Jazz will work on when to double team down low. Look for each team to be sharp defensively in this one as a result. Take the UNDER 202.5 points. |
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05-05-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns OVER 205.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Suns TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 205.5
Once again, the odds makers have failed to set this total in Game 2 as high as it should be set. The Total closed at 204.5 and 205 in most places for Game 1, and after 213 combined points were scored they have only adjusted it 0.5-1.0 points. All these teams have been doing when they face one another is play in shootouts this season. The OVER is 4-0 in all 4 meetings this year, with combined scores of 220, 223, 213 and 213 points. Also, the last four meetings in Phoenix have gone OVER the posted total with the lowest combined score at 213 points. Phoenix is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents this season, with an average combined score of 223.6 points/game. The Spurs are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts this season, with an average combined score fo 218.5 points/game. Over the last 5 years, in Game 2 in the second round of a playoffs series, the OVER has gone 36-8 (82%). Take the OVER 205.5 points here. |
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05-03-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns OVER 203.5 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Suns GUARANTEED Game 1 PARLAY on Suns -3.5/OVER 203.5
We look at how these teams have fared this season against one another, and we're certain the Suns cover and this game finishes well OVER the number in Game 1. The home team is 3-0 this season, with Phoenix winning 112-101 in early April and 116-104 in December. The combined scores in these three meetings this year have been as follows: 220, 223 and 213. The reason this total has been set so low is due to the fact that both the Spurs and Suns played in defensive battles in their first series. The Suns have gone UNDER the number in 5 straight and the Spurs have gone UNDER the total in 4 straight. But with the way these teams have played each other this season, there's no question that the right play is on the home team and the OVER in Game 1. Phoenix is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents this season, with an average combined score of 224.7 points/game. Phoenix is 14-4 ATS against Southwest division opponents this season. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. The Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. Take the Suns and the OVER in Game 1. |
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05-01-10 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 191.5 | Top | 93-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Cavs Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 191.5
The Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers have played in many fierce battles over the past three seasons. As a result, both teams are very familiar with one another. That makes it easy for each team to take away the strengths of their opposition. Boston will be double-teaming Lebron James all game, forcing other players to beat them and as a result the Cavs won't put up a big number on the scoreboard. Cleveland's main focus is stopping Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett and they have the personnel to defend these three players, which makes it tough for Boston to put up a big number as well. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 Conference Semifinals games. The UNDER is 7-2 in the Celtics last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The UNDER is 17-5 in Cavaliers last 22 Conference Semifinals games. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here. |
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04-30-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 189.5 | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Hawks/Bucks UNDER 189.5
In a pressure-packed Game 6 we'll side with this contest finishing UNDER the number tonight. Game 5 resulted in 178 combined points being scored with a 91-87 victory for the Bucks. As these series' ware on, teams become more familiar with what each other likes to do offensively, and it makes it easier to stop defensively. As a result, there tends to be lower-scoring games at the end of every series. Atlanta is 30-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 189.5 points here. |
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04-28-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 215 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Jazz/Nuggets NBA TOTAL OF THE SERIES on OVER 215
This is a no-brainer tonight with the nature of the way these teams have played when up against one another, especially in Denver. 3 of the first 4 games in this series have gone OVER, with combined scores of at least 223 points in the three OVERS. The OVER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Denver with an average combined score of 226 points. The fewest points scored were 214 in the last 8 meetings, so as you can see these teams have no problem putting up plenty of points when they meet in Denver. Utah is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season. The Jazz are 31-14 OVER (+15.6 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1996. The OVER is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and the OVER is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the OVER 215 points. |
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04-26-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 202 | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Blazers NBA Western Conference PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Suns -6/OVER 202
The Suns' players have stated that they cannot get in a half court game with Portland, and both of their losses to the Blazers in this series were a direct result of letting Portland control the tempo. Both of their wins have been a result of Phoenix forcing the issue. The Suns scored 119 points in Game 2 and 108 points in Game 3, both victories. With Phoenix returning home tonight, they will control the tempo and they will win this game with room to spare as they put up a big number which will also help get the OVER. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 6-1 in Suns last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Take the Suns and the OVER as our Western Conference Parlay of the Year, guaranteed to go 2-0 or you play for free Tuesday! |
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04-25-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Mavs/Spurs UNDER 194.5
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in this series. Once again, the odds makers have failed to lower this total when it should be in the 180-range. The Spurs are 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER 194.5 points here. |
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04-20-10 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics OVER 179 | Top | 77-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Celtics NBA on TNT PARLAY on Boston -1/OVER 179
Kevin Garnett is out for the Celtics, and Boston will miss his defensive presence, but Garnett is not the same offensive player he once was. The Celtics can now go small and they will score more points because of it which really favors a high-scoring affair. Boston still has home-court advantage with with Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Rajon Rondo leading the way, the Celtics have plenty of talent to win this game in a shootout. Boston is 27-9 OVER (+17.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points over the last 2 seasons. The Heat are 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years since 1996. Boston is 11-1 SU against Maimi over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings. Take the Celtics and the OVER as our NBA on TNT PARLAY Tuesday! |
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04-19-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 212 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Nuggets OVER 212
We'll side with the OVER on the Jazz/Nuggets with another total that has been set too low in this series. These teams combined for 239 points in a 126-113 Denver victory in Game 1, and that high-scoring affair should not be a surprise. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with a combined score of 218 or more points in five of those six contests. Now Mehmet Okur is out for the Jazz, which doesn't hurt their offense but it certainly hurts their ability to defend the Nuggets. Utah will have to go small tonight with a heavy dose of Carlos Boozer and Paul Millsap inside. The Jazz are in trouble defensively, but this should allow them to push the tempo offensively and try to get more easy buckets in transition with their big men. Utah is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season. The OVER is 31-15-1 in Jazz last 47 games as a road underdog. The OVER is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER 212 points here. |
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04-18-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 197 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 1st Round PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Lakers -7.5/UNDER 197
The Lakers dominate Sunday behind great defense and efficient half-court offense. L.A. welcomes back Andrew Bynum which makes them automatically a better defensive team with his presence inside. Having three tall bodies in Bynum, Odom and Gasol in the paint will give the Thunder fits. The Lakers certainly have saved their best for the playoffs because even though they won the #1 seed in the West, there's no question they didn't play up to their potential this season. Injuries had a lot to do with that, but the Lakers are getting healthy at the right time. L.A. still went 34-7 at home this season while winning by an average of 8.5 points/game. The Lakers have won 10 of 11 meetings with the Thunder over the last 3 years, including a 5-0 home mark. L.A. has gone 14-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. The Lakers are 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Defense gets more intense in the playoffs, and you will see the Lakers really getting after it in Game 1 to erase all doubts about how this team isn't as good as last year's group. Take the Lakers and the UNDER. |
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03-30-10 | Sacramento Kings v. Indiana Pacers OVER 206 | Top | 95-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA #1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Kings/Pacers OVER 206
You don't have to look far to find that when the Kings and Pacers get together, a high-scoring affair usually ensues. The last 5 meetings in this series have all seen 215 or more combined poines. With a total set at just 206 Tuesday, this is our best over/under release for the entire 2010 season. The Kings and Pacers don't have much to play for at this point, so they aren't putting much effort into the defensive end. Tyreke Evans returns tonight for the Kings, which will certainly give them a boost offensively as he has missed the last 5 games with a concussion. The Pacers are 27-13 OVER (+12.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 12-5 in Pacers last 17 vs. Western Conference. Take the OVER 206 points here. |
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03-15-10 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 210 | Top | 94-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Knicks/76ers OVER 210
The Knicks have allowed 110 or more points in 12 of their last 18 ball games. They have scored 240 points combined in their last 2 games for an average of 120 points/game. Philly has given up 100 or more in each of their last 5 games, and 10 of their last 12 games overall. With the way these teams are playing right now, and considering 3 of the past 4 meetings have seen 211 or more combined points, this is a pretty easy choice going with the OVER tonight. The OVER is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 7-2 in Knicks last 9 road games. Take the OVER 210 points here. |
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02-18-10 | Denver Nuggets v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 206 | Top | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Cavs U 206
The last two meetings in this series have both gone UNDER the number with combined scores of 193 and 196 points. Cleveland is a tremendous defensive team at home, giving up just 93.4 points/game. We don't see either team scoring over 100 points tonight in what will be a defensive battle between two of the top squads in the league. Denver is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 34-15 UNDER (+17.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 24-9 in Nuggets last 33 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the UNDER 206 points here. |
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02-11-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 206 | Top | 111-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Both teams really want a win in their last game before the All-Star break. Look for both teams to amp up their defense because of it, more than any normal game. The UNDER is 39-20 in the last 59 meetings in this series. The last 5 meetings in this series have all seen 205 or less combined points. San Antonio has scored 98 or less points in 3 straight games, all on the road, and have allowed 101 or less in all three of those contests as well. The Spurs are a superb 75-38 UNDER (+33.2 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996. They always step up their defense following a home loss to an opponent last meeting. The Spurs are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a road game this season. They have gone UNDER the number in 3 straight road games. Denver is 49-33 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 206 points. |
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02-05-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New York Knicks OVER 200.5 | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Knicks OVER 200.5
This is a very low total for a Knicks' home game. The Bucks are 24-10 OVER (+13.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders since 1996. The Knicks are 20-7 OVER (+12.3 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons. New York is 7-2 OVER in their last 9 Friday games. Take the OVER. |
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12-15-09 | New Jersey Nets v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 196.5 | Top | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Tuesday "Total" Money Maker on Nets/Cavs UNDER 196.5
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the Nets and Cavs, with a combined score of 188 points or less in each contest. The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings overall. This has been a very low-scoring series, and that should continue here tonight. We especially like this UNDER considering the betting public has pushed it up to 196.5 from 193, clearly placing the value with the UNDER. The Nets score just 89.2 points/game this season while the Cavs average 99.7 points/game, so neither team is blowing teams away with their offense. Cleveland is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season, cashing 89% of the time with an average combined score of 188 points/game in this sport. Take the UNDER 196.5 points. |
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10-27-09 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 185 | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Cavs TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 185
This is a no-brainer here tonight folks as both Cleveland and Boston will be rusty to start the season offensively as they try and find their rhythm. But there's no question each will pick up right where they left off last year defensively. Boston gave up 94.0 points/game on the road and Cleveland allowed 88.2 points/game on their home floor. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 games between these teams played in Cleveland. They combined to score 183, 181, 143, and 165 points in those 4 meetings, respectively. Cleveland is 76-47 UNDER (+24.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. Take the UNDER 185 points here. |
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06-09-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 198.5 | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy
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06-04-09 | Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 206 | Top | 75-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Magic Game 1
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05-30-09 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic OVER 192.5 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Cavs/Magic Game 6
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05-29-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 208.5 | Top | 119-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers
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05-27-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 209 | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 Western Conference Playoffs T.O.T.Y. on Nuggets/Lakers O 209
Game 4 saw 221 combined points and Game 5 tonight will follow suit. Both teams are looking to run a lot more, and the fouls are starting to get called with this series getting more chippy as it progresses. There were several technical fouls and a flagrant called in Game 4, so the Refs will be quick with the whistle in Game 5 and more free throws equals more points. The Lakers are 30-15 OVER (+13.5 Units) in home games versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. L.A. is 30-13 OVER (+15.7 Units) in home games after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls since 1996. Take the OVER 209 points here. |
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05-25-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 209 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Nuggets Game 4 Total w/ 36-0 O/U Angle on U 209
The UNDER is 3-0 in this series, and the UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Denver. Better yet, the UNDER is 9-1 (90%) in the last 10 meetings overall. As this series wares on, look for these games to become even more low-scoring with what |
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05-23-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 211 | Top | 103-97 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Lakers O 211
The Nuggets score a lot more points at home than they do on the road. Denver is averaging 108.5 points per game at home this season, and their defense isn |
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05-21-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers Game 2
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05-20-09 | Orlando Magic v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 185 | Top | 107-106 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Magic/Cavs Game 1
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05-19-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Lakers U 215
The Lakers have been an UNDER machine in the playoffs, going 8-2 UNDER in their last 10 postseason games. This Total has been set far too high Tuesday to not take advantage. That |
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05-17-09 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 195 | Top | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rockets/Lakers U 195
The Rockets/Lakers Game 7 will go well UNDER the Total Sunday afternoon in this pressure-cooker. Don |
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05-12-09 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199 | Top | 78-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Lakers TOTAL OF THE YEAR on U 199
The Lakers really, really get after it defensively after a poor performance in Game 4 which saw the Rockets come out on top 99-87. Houston no longer has the offensive-firepower to hang with L.A. in Game 5 on the road, now missing Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady. Houston got 34 points from Aaron Brooks in Game 4, and a plethora of 3-pointers from Shane Battier. Think either of these guys will have anywhere near the performance they had in Game 4? Think again. The Lakers hold the Rockets to 80 points or less as this one goes well UNDER the number. Houston has been able to hold the Lakers to less than 100 points per game in this series, and we expect that to be the case again tonight s the Lakers are held to less than 100 here. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Rockets |
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05-11-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 210 | Top | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Nuggets/Mavs U 210
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05-09-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 210 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Mavs Game 3
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05-08-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 193.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Lakers
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05-04-09 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 188.5 | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Magic/Celtics Game 1 PARLAY on Orlando +2/U 188.5
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05-03-09 | Miami Heat v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 181 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Hawks Game 7
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04-28-09 | Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics OVER 198 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Bulls/Celtics O 198
The Bulls/Celtics Game 5 tonight will exceed 200 combined points with ease. 3 out of the first 4 games have seen more than 200 combined points, including 208 and 233-point efforts in Game 1 and Game 2 in Boston, respectively. The OVER is now 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. Boston is 29-14 OVER in home games this season and a perfect 7-0 OVER in home games in the month of April. The OVER is 8-0 in the Celtics |
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04-25-09 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 188 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Mavs NBA
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04-21-09 | Detroit Pistons v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 177.5 | Top | 82-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conf. Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavs/Pistons O 177.5
The Cavs and Pistons combined to score 186 points in Game 1 and we feel Game 2 will follow suit. The OVER is 3-0 in the Cavs |
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04-09-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 209 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers NBA on TNT
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04-08-09 | Washington Wizards v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 200 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA
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04-05-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 207 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA
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04-03-09 | Oregon State v. Texas El Paso UNDER 134 | Top | 81-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy CBI Tournament TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Oregon State/UTEP U 134
This is the third game of this CBI Championship Series tonight which favors the UNDER for several reasons. The first, and most important, is that these teams have each found out how to defend one another. Look for the Beavers and Miners to take away their opposition |
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04-02-09 | Baylor v. Penn State UNDER 138 | Top | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NIT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Baylor/Penn State U 138
This will be a low-scoring, defensive battle tonight at Madison Square Gardens. Both Baylor and Penn State played solid defense to get to this point, as the Bears held SDSU to 62 points and Penn State held and explosive Notre Dame team to a mere 59 points in the Semifinals. Penn State is a team that likes to run a half-court offense and play sound defense, eating up shot clocks on both ends of the floor. The Nittany Lions are averaging 64.7 points on the road this season, while allowing a mere 62.7 points per game in all games this year. Penn State is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The Bears rely on the 3-ball a lot, which is what Penn State wants. The Nittany Lions allow opponents to shoot only 32.6% from distance this year. Baylor plays a zone defense, which will force Penn State to use up a lot of time on the shot clock to try and find an open look, which have been few and far between for all opponents against the Bears as of late. Both teams would have to average nearly 70 points per game for this one to go Over, and we don |
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03-26-09 | Purdue v. Connecticut UNDER 134 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NCAA Tourney PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Purdue +7/U 134
We expect Purdue to pull off the upset in a very low-scoring game between two great defensive teams. All the distractions about rules violations will clearly hurt the Huskies heading into this game, if there wasn |
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03-23-09 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks OVER 216 | Top | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Knicks O 216
The Magic/Knicks game tonight will see at least 220 combined points. These teams just met on Saturday with a 110-103 Magic home win. But games played in Madison Square Garden have been much more high-scoring this year. In fact, the last time these teams met in New York the game saw 223 combined points with a 114-109 Magic victory. The Knicks score 107.5 points and allow 108.5 points per game at home this season. The Knicks are 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season. New York is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games this season. Orlando is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. The Knicks are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The OVER is 5-0 in the Knicks |
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03-18-09 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics OVER 191 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA OVER Lover
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03-17-09 | Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls OVER 195 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conference
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03-16-09 | Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 182.5 | Top | 95-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets/Hornets U 182.5
The Rockets/Hornets game tonight won |
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03-04-09 | Indiana Pacers v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 208 | Top | 105-107 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Wednesday
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03-02-09 | New Orleans Hornets v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 189.5 | Top | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA East vs. West TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Hornets/76ers U 189.5
The Hornets just played a very tight ball game in New Jersey last night with a 99-96 victory, and Philly has only had 1 days |
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02-24-09 | Detroit Pistons v. Miami Heat OVER 182 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Pistons/Heat O 182
The Pistons have been playing in more high-scoring games on the road than they have at home recently. Detroit has managed to score 98, 126 and 102 points in 3 of their last 4 road games. They should be able to top or come close to the 100-point mark again tonight against a Miami Heat team that gave up 122 points in their last game against Orlando. The Heat have given up 91 points or more in 11 straight games now, which is the number that these teams have to average to tie this 182-point total Tuesday. Miami is allowing 103.2 points per game over their last 5 contests. Miami is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. The average score in these games are Miami 98.1 and their opponents 101.2 where they are going OVER the Total 82% of the time. Take the OVER 182 points here. |
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02-23-09 | Boston v. Denver UNDER 201 | Top | 114-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA STEAL of the Week on Celtics/Nuggets U 201
After Boston played a very high-scoring game in Phoenix last night, look for the Celtics to shore up their defense and not quite hit as many shots against a much better Denver Nuggets defense tonight. Boston has actually played their best defense away from home, allowing a mere 91.1 points per contest on the road. But their offensive production is well down on the road as the Celtics average only 97.6 points per game away from home. With Boston still without Kevin Garnett, the Celtics will struggle to find points in their offense tonight. In the first meeting of the season, the Nuggets topped the Celtics 94-85 for 179 combined points. We expect to see a similar point total tonight with each team playing on 0 days |