Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-18-23 | Oklahoma v. BYU +24.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Oklahoma shook off a pair of losses against Kansas and Oklahoma St. with a 39-point win over West Virginia last week as the offense erupted for 646 total yards but it was the defense that put together its best effort since the end of September as it allowed just 330 yards. It was a get right game for the Sooners that got knocked out of playoff contention but that victory is helping us with this number. With the exception of a game against Tulsa, this is the biggest line Oklahoma has laid all season against FBS opponents. BYU is not having the greatest season but it is still 5-5 and the big part of this number is the recent run. The Cougars have lost three straight games and they have not been close with the defeats coming by 29, 30 and 32 points. The first two were on the road at Texas and West Virginia and the most recent one against Iowa St. was aided by a -3 turnover margin. This is the biggest home game of the season for the Cougars in their first season in the Big 12 and this is the biggest line they have gotten all season. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against a team with a defense allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 83-41 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (372) BYU Cougars |
|||||||
11-18-23 | SMU v. Memphis +9 | Top | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our AAC Game of the Month. This is a very questionable line with SMU favored by over a touchdown on the road against a team with a similar resume. The Mustangs are red hot as they have won six straight games but those victories have been against no one special as none of them have a winning record with only Rice being the only possible bowl team at 4-6. The only other FBS win came against 3-8 Louisiana Tech and the only team with a winning record they have faced was Oklahoma and this has correlates into a schedule that is ranked No. 121 in the country. Memphis has won four straight games to also move to 8-2 and while its resume has not been a whole lot better, it does not equate to the Tigers being a home underdog by this amount. While the SMU offense is a potent one, Memphis is right there as it is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 9 in scoring. The Tigers two losses were against Missouri on a neutral field and against Tulane at home where it lost the turnover battle 2-0 in a game where they were outgained by just 40 yards. Here, we play against road favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (398) Memphis Tigers |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Rockets v. Clippers -7 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Game of the Week. The Clippers are a wreck right now as they have lost six straight games and the addition of James Harden has been the blame which is partly true but it is about chemistry as a team. Los Angeles is now 3-7 following a 3-1 start with the home team winning those first four games. The schedule has not been in its favor during this losing streak as five of the six games were on the road and while it is no excuse, winning on the road is not easy in this league. The lone home loss was against Memphis which was a bad one and it was a game they should have won, outshooting the Grizzlies. On the opposite spectrum, the rockets have been the early surprise of the NBA. They opened the season 0-3 but have won six straight games to currently sit in fourth place in the Western Conference but enjoy it while it lasts. Houston is coming off a seven-game homestand which is a benefit in itself and it faced a majority of the teams that had players out. Houston is now on the road for just the third time this season and it could not be in a worst spot. This is a big number that has gone up from opening but it is a must lay as this is the statement game similar to the Suns game on Wednesday. 10* (542) Los Angeles Clippers |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4.5 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Washington St. and Colorado are both fighting for their playoff lives as they both come in 4-6 and needing to win their last two games. The Cougars are the bigger of the two disappointments as they came into the season with higher expectations, opened the season 4-0 and moved up to No. 13 in the AP Poll but have since lost six straight games. The last two have been the toughest ones as both were by three points against California and Stanford and they return home for their final home game of the season. This is just their third home games in nearly two months with four of their last six games taking place on the road. Washington St. still has a potent offense as it is No. 42 overall and N0. 48 in scoring keyed by a passing attacked that is No. in the country led by quarterback Cameron Ward. He has thrown for 3,131 yards on a 67.1 percent completion rate with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions and has a great matchup against this Buffaloes defense. Colorado was the talk of the country when it opened 3-0 but looking back, none of those were quality wins and the Buffaloes have dropped six of their last seven. The only win was against Arizona St. by three points and we are catching a good number based on the name and the fact they have covered their last three games. The Colorado offense opened the season on fire but has tapered off as teams have been able to figure them out and the fact they have the worst rushing offense in the nation. Defensively is where the difference will be here as Colorado cannot stop anyone through the air as it is ranked No. 131, allowing 292.0 ypg. It was a fun story for a while but the much better team gets it done tonight. 10* (318) Washington St. Cougars |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Eastern Washington +14 v. Stanford | Top | 70-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Washington put together an incredible season although it did not end the way it wanted. The Eagles put together an 18-game winning streak that included wins in their first 16 Big sky Conference games but then they dropped their final two regular season games, which were meaningless as they already clinched the regular season championship. That lost momentum carried over into the conference tournament where they lost in the first round and were relegated to the NIT. They lost two starters but still have a veteran group led by all-conference forward Etan Price and they bring in the newcomer of the year in transfer Jake Kyman. Eastern Washington is 0-3 but faced three elite teams and are now catching another big number similar to the last two ones that they covered. Stanford is a middle of the pack team in the Pac 12 after a 14-19 overall season that includes a 7-13 conference record. The Cardinal lost two starters and did not get a ton of transfer help and is off to a 2-1 start against three inferior teams yet they still cannot defend. They were one of the worst teams defensively in the conference and in the country and have allowed 75 ppg. 10* (825) Eastern Washington Eagles |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. There have been rough times at Butler of late as it not reached 20 wins in four years after going 14-18 last season including 6-14 in the Big East to finish ahead of only lowly DePaul and Georgetown. The Bulldogs are starting over once again and are picked to move down in the conference to last place as they lost four starters. 10 new players arrive consisting of six transfers and four freshman that need to replace 91 percent of their scoring and minutes. Butler has started 3-0 with three blowout wins all at home against a bunch of nobody's and now comes the test in its first road game. Michigan St. is off to a 1-2 start but there is no time to panic. The Spartans lost to James Madison to open the season but bounced back against Southern Indiana even though they did not cover. They then lost to Duke on Tuesday and they are off to a 0-3 ATS start and coupled with the Butler 3-0 ATS start, the value is on their side. This is still a top five team with this game and Alcorn St. on deck to get right before facing another daunting test against Arizona on Thanksgiving next week. 10* (778) Michigan St. Spartans |
|||||||
11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOHNS RED STORM for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. We had plays on both St. Johns and Dayton yesterday which ended up splitting with the former blowing a big lead and only winning by one point. We covered with Dayton but the Flyers looked unimpressive against an inferior LSU team. Rick Pitino took over the St. Johns program and brought in in three players from his old school as well as numerous big name transfers that were all conference players so this roaster is loaded with talent, it just needs to gel. Now a few games in, they are coming together with the exception of the late lapse yesterday and the Red Storm are now 0-3 against the number with no one betting on them today. The Flyers should have destroyed LSU which is in complete rebuild mode and they actually had to rally to pull off the win. They shot just 39 percent from the floor while the defense allowed 52 percent shooting for the Tigers and overall Dayton is now No. 250 in opponents shooting. While expected to win the A-10, it is a weak conference. The line is telling as Dayton was favored by just one point over the Tigers and is now a pickem in most spots against a much better roster. 10* (839) St. Johns Red Storm |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cincinnati BENGALS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. It was a 1-3 start for Cincinnati but the Bengals ran off four straight wins before losing last week against Houston with the defense getting lit up for 544 yards. While they are 5-4, the tiebreakers are not on their side as they have only one win against the AFC which was the most recent win over reeling Buffalo and this includes a 0-2 record in the AFC North so this has turned into a massive game. Being a divisional game, we are getting a good line with Cincinnati as it is over the key number of three after opening at 2.5. This is a great spot for quarterback Joe Burrow who won his lone game as an underdog this season over San Francisco has he has won seven of his last 11 games when getting points. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland as it blew a 24-9 lead and eventually lost on a last second field goal. The Ravens are still in first place in the division at 7-3 but are just 3-2 at home and while this should be a bounce back spot, it is not the ideal situation. The Ravens still lead the league in total DVOA so the numbers are there but there are some key injuries hurting them with the big one being offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley who had to leave last game with a knee injury. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 7 or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 57-26 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Cincinnati Bengals |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Nets v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Star Attraction. After opening the season 1-4, Miami has won six straight games with most of those coming against some poor teams. That being said, this is a scheduling spot the Heat have to take advantage of with a good line on top of it. They are coming off a four-game roadtrip and begin a five-game roadtrip right after this in a very quirky scheduling disadvantage. The offense was horrid through those first five games but they have shot 48.7 percent during this winning streak and face an up and down defense tonight. This is a revenge game for the Heat which lost by four in the first meeting and were favored by 6.5 points in that game. Brooklyn has been an early season surprise as it is 6-5 with most of those losses being relatively competitive and the Nets have opened the season 9-1-1 ATS and that is certainly part of keeping this line short. The five losses have come against teams that will be likely in the playoffs while the win over Miami was the only one against a quality team with the Clippers possibly being in that group but they are playing horrible right now. The Nets are No. 5 in shooting defense but are No. 17 in points allowed and Miami is scoring at a high pace right now. 10* (518) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Boston College started the season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Holy Cross of the FCS and that was by just a field goal but then reeled off five straight games to become bowl eligible. It has been a very favorable schedule however as the Eagles have played a slate ranked No. 75 and none of the wins have come against a winning team. They defeated Syracuse and Georgia Tech which are both 5-5 but they won the turnover battle in both and by a combined 7-3. Despite the easy slate, five of the six wins have been by one possession including three by a field goal. Granted, they are playing another bad team but the line is telling the story as Boston College is four games better that Pittsburgh yet come in as the underdog. The Panthers have had a rough season as they are 2-8 which includes four straight losses. The offense has struggled as Pittsburgh is ranked No. 120 in total offense and No. 117 in scoring offense but has a decent matchup here against a defense that has taken a step back. The running game has been a big disappointment but they have not carried the ball much and that should increase here as the Eagles have allowed 209 or more yards on the ground in three of their last four games. This is the final home game of the season where they have collected both wins as opposed to going 0-4 on the road. Here, we play against road teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Pittsburgh Panthers |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Wright State +9.5 v. Indiana | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Indiana is off to a 2-0 start but the wins have come against Florida Gulf Coast and Army and both were a lot closer than expected. The Hoosiers had a solid season last year where they advanced to the NCAA Tournament second round but they have to replace four starters including First Team All American Trayce Jackson-Davis and this could take some time. Even head coach Mike Woodson stated early that there is a lot of work to do. McKenzie Mgbako was supposed to be a big piece to the puzzle as he was ranked in the top ten freshmen coming into the season but has scored only six points. Indiana has Connecticut on deck. Wright St. is 0-2 as it got shellacked at Colorado St. before losing a tough game by one point against Toledo, a preseason MAC contender. After winning 22 games two seasons ago, the Raiders won only 18 games last season including 10-10 in the Horizon, their worst conference record since 2016. They are the preseason favorite to win the conference as they have three starters back including two possible first team conference players highlighted by preseason Player of the Year Trey Calvin. This line is based on name and not about roster talent. 10* (717) Wright St. Raiders. |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Dayton -1 v. LSU | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAYTON FLYERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. LSU looked like a contender last season heading into SEC action as it opened the season 12-1 before things went south in a hurry. The Tigers lost their next 14 games before a win against Vanderbilt but had only one more win before the season ended in the SEC Tournament against that same Vanderbilt team. It looks to be a complete rebuild and it was intended to be highlighted by the return of Jalen Cook who was here as a freshman before going to Tulane where he became a two-time First Team All-AAC point guard but he was not granted a waiver and he is ineligible this season. The Tigers beat Mississippi Valley St. but then lost to Nichols St. at home as a 19.5-point favorite. Dayton also opened the season with a convincing win over SUI-Edwardsville but lost its second game at Northwestern but at least it has been road tested. Despite 22 wins, the Flyers did not make it to a postseason tournament as they passed on the NIT because there were too many injuries which hampered them all season. They took a summer trip to Europe to get some early chemistry and they bring back DaRon Holmes II who is averaging 18 ppg and was named the Preseason Player of the Year in the A-10 and Dayton is the favorite to win the conference. 10* (743) Dayton Flyers |
|||||||
11-16-23 | St. John's -2.5 v. North Texas | Top | 53-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOHNS RED STORM for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. St. Johns defeated Stony Brook in its opener before getting blown out by Michigan by 16 points as a three-point favorite. The big news obviously was the hiring of head coach Rick Pitino who came over after a successful stint at Iona. He cleaned house as nine players transferred as he wanted to build his own regime and is doing so through the transfer portal. He brought in three players from his old school as well as numerous big name transfers that were all conference players so this roaster is loaded with talent, it just needs to gel and it is in a great bounce back spot here. North Texas is coming off its best season ever as it won a school record 31 games while winning the NIT behind one of the best defenses in the country. The Mean Green are expected to take a fall and while they are 2-0, those wins were against Northern Iowa and Nebraska-Omaha, both at home and both fairly competitive from an opponent standpoint. They not only have a new head coach as Grant McCasland left for Texas Tech but they have to replace four starters from last season and are now away from home for the first time. One of the best defenses in the country last year has been a shell of that so far. 10* (741) St. Johns Red Storm |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Minnesota has been one of the hottest teams in the NBA as it has won seven straight games including a pair of wins at Golden St., culminated with a three-point win last night in a game where the Warriors lost Klay Thompson and Draymond Green in the first couple minutes. The Timberwolves are now 8-2 and they have done it with defense as they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting. They will be tested here in what is a contrarian spot despite the line. Phoenix is off to a slow start as it is now 4-6 following a pair of home losses against the Lakers and Thunder. Injuries have played a big part as Bradley Beal missed the early part of the season and then the Suns lost Devin Booker as he has played only two games due to a calf injury but he is probable tonight and they will be at full strength for the first time this season. This is arguably the best roster in the league and as long as they can stay healthy, they can start their run. Phoenix is shooting just 45.4 percent from the floor which is No. 23 in the league and it would normally be a tough matchup but this is the statement game. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Ohio came through for us last week as it defeated Buffalo by 10 points on the road to improve to 7-3. The Bobcats are a public pick this week with this being their final home game with a very outside chance at winning the MAC East. They need to win out and hope that Miami Ohio loses its final two games as they are a game back but lost the tiebreaker with the head-to-head defeat two week ago to the RedHawks. They are laying a big number again this week but it is against a better opponent with a lot on the line still. This is a team that has had trouble pulling away because the offense has struggled as Ohio is scoring just 21.6 ppg on the season which is No. 107 in the country. The Bobcats defense makes up for it as they are ranked No. 5 in both total defense and points allowed but for a team that has outscored opponents by only 6.5 ppg, laying a big number is not ideal. Central Michigan s coming off a loss to Western Michigan to drop it to 5-5 so it is still a win away from bowl eligibility so there is a lot on the line. The Chippewas have Toledo on deck so it is not going to be easy but the effort will be there with their season still alive. They do not have much of a passing game as they rely on their ground game, averaging 164.8 ypg on 4.3 ypc and they will shorten the game. That being said, quarterback Jase Bauer is capable as he has five touchdowns and just one interception in his last three games. Here, we play against home teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in November games. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (309) Central Michigan Chippewas |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Utah Valley v. Charlotte -6.5 | Top | 45-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Utah Valley has a special season a year ago as it won the WAC regular season title with a 15-3 record and it went 28-9 overall to advance to the NIT where it rolled to three wins against New Mexico, Colorado and Cincinnati. Now the Wolverines have to start from scratch as all five starters are gone and only two players from the roster are back, Additionally, there is a new coach in charge after Mark Madsen left for California so this team could take a while to come together. They are off to a 2-0 start including a win over Sam Houston St. in their first Division 1 game but the Bearkats are in rebuild mode as well. Charlotte is a much more experienced team as it has three starters back from a team that went deep into the postseason by winning the CBI Tournament. The 49ers also have a new head coach but they promoted a top assistant and he was able to retain they key players that were expected to transfer out and he brought in a great recruiting class. Charlotte is coming off a loss to Liberty, a team that is favored to win Conference USA and the 49ers are back home to bounce back from that loss. 10* (690) Charlotte 49ers |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Spurs +10 v. Thunder | Top | 87-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost five straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two have been competitive in losses against Minnesota and Miami with both being at home and now the Spurs are catching an even bigger number albeit on the road but against a fairly similar talented team. The Spurs defense has been the worst in the league as they are dead last in points allowed and shooting but it is a pace thing as they are No. 16 in scoring and No. 13 in opponent shooting percentage. Oklahoma City opened the season 2-0 and has gone 4-4 since then including an upset win at Phoenix on Sunday. The Thunder have been paced with an offense that is ranked No. 4 in shooting and No. 8 in scoring but have shot more than 50 percent in just four their nine games. They are now laying their biggest number on the season as they have been favored only three times and this is a huge overadjustment. Oklahoma City has two games on deck at Golden St. so there is that lookahead as well. 10* (567) San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7.5 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFLO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. We were waiting for this line to drop but it has not but this is still a great spot for Buffalo with anything under 8. The Bills are coming off a loss at Cincinnati to go 2-3 over their last five games and have failed to cover any of those, going 0-5 ATS. Yet they come in as the big favorite in a good spot with the rest of the AFC coming back. Despite being 5-4, the Bills are No. 7 in net EPA and No. 1 in offense even with the recent numbers pf ppg which is at 20.2 ppg over this five-game stretch. While failing to cover in their last home game against Tampa Bay, they have gone 3-0 in the three games following a loss. Denver has found a way to win two straight games but both of those were at home. The Broncos are 1-2 on the road with the lone win coming in Chicago and this not the place to be. Denver is ranked middle of the league in offense and while some might say the defense is carrying them, it is not. The defense is ranked dead last in EPA and also No. 32 in defensive DVOA and that is bad news against an offense ready to get right. Buffalo is 26-10 ATS in its last 37 games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. 10* (266) Buffalo Bills |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Jets +1 v. Raiders | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off a loss you do not see very often as they lost by 21 points despite outgaining the Chargers 270-191 as they lost the turnover battle 3-0. New York can get back over .500 here in a great situation against a team in a massive letdown spot. The Jets remain dead last in offensive EPA and No. 30 in offensive DVOA but have a good matchup here after facing some really strong defenses through the first part of the season. What has kept them competitive is the defense as they are No. 6 in defensive DVOA and No. 7 in defensive EPA and go up against a rookie quarterback that has significant film on him. The Raiders are coming off a blowout win against arguably the worst team in the NFL as they responded in their first game with a new coach. They are a deceiving 4-5 with the first three wins coming by a total of nine points and they have gone 0-4 against teams ranked in the top 16 in the power rankings and the Jets come in at No. 13 and have played the No. 1 ranked schedule so they have been more impressive than the .500 record shows. Las Vegas made the change at quarterback with Aidan O'Connell and he was pretty average against the Giants with just 209 yards on 64 percent completions and takes a big step up in defense here. 10* (263) New York Jets |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Weber State +16.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEBER ST. WILDCATS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Weber St. had a solid season a year ago in the Big Sky Conference going 12-6 but was up against Eastern Washington and Montana St. which both had the two most experienced teams in the conference and now that mantra goes to the Wildcats. They return all five starters including Dillon Jones who is the Preseason Player of the Year in the conference and one of the underrated players in the country after dabbling going into the NBA draft following accolades in the G League. St. Mary's is off to a 2-0 start following a 27-8 season a year ago where it made it to the second round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to eventual National Champion Connecticut. The Gaels won the WCC with the 14-2 record and will be in contention again but lost two key starters and are overvalued here. They beat New Mexico in their last game but the Lobos were shorthanded and it was a revenge spot for the Gaels which are also in a lookahead with San Diego St. on deck. 10* (723) Weber St. Wildcats |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas bounced back from its loss against Toronto with an 18-point win over the Clippers on Friday to improve to 7-2 on the season and hits the road as a favorite. The Loka Doncic and Kyrie Irving experiment that failed miserably last season is in fine form so far this season as they are averaging a combined 54.2 ppg and with the exception of Tim Hardaway, Jr., after that there is not much. The Mavericks are second in the league in scoring but the defense has suffered with the pace as they are No. 23 in points allowed and No. 27 in opponents shooting. New Orleans opened the season 4-1 with the lone loss coming against Golden St. but it has lost four straight games, three by double digits and the most recent being a three-point loss at Houston. The last three games have come on the road and the Pelicans are back home to right the ship. They have been dealing with a not full roster as Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have both already missed time but they are both back to give this offense some consistency. New Orleans is No. 28 in scoring and No. 26 in shooting but can keep up here as the home underdog. 10* (544) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Commanders v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Seattle last week as it got thumped in Baltimore 37-3 to fall to 5-3 but has bounced back with a win after its previous two losses. The defense got lit up against the Ravens which is a concern but they were trending the right way and are still No. 13 in defensive EPA after going into last week No. 11. The offense could generate nothing against a great defense but that will not be the case here and Seattle comes in No. 10 in offensive DVOA. This is a near must win with a pair of division games on deck with Dallas, San Francisco and Philadelphia immediately after that. The Commanders are coming off a win at New England to improve to 4-5 but it is pretty deceiving. While Sam Howell has improved as the season has gone on, they are No. 26 in offense DVOA and No. 22 in offensive EPA and it is even worse on the other side. Even though the Commanders have allowed 17 points or less in three of their last four games, those were against the Patriots, Giants and Cardinals which are all No. 25 or worse in DVOA. Washington is 0-3 against the top 16 and while it was competitive in both games against Philadelphia, those were divisional games and it was blown out in its other one against Buffalo. 10* (262) Seattle Seahawks |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Lions v. Chargers +3 | Top | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 67 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. We are going anti public in this game as well as this line has done a slip from opening as the Chargers opened as a slight favorite and have seen the line shirt to the Lions being favored. Los Angeles is coming off a win over the Jets by 21 points despite getting outgained as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Chargers have not looked right as their 4-4 record can attest to that and now is the chance to beat a quality team as they have failed to beat Miami, Dallas and Kansas City with two of those losses coming by a combined five points. They are No. 13 in net EPA which is only five spots behind the Lions. Detroit has won five of six games and coming off its bye week and it is coming off its best defensive effort of the season where it allowed 157 yards against the Raiders. Th Lions are certainly a contender in the NFC with San Francisco and Dallas playing inconsistent and Philadelphia not looking like the team it did last season. Detroit is No. 4 in total DVOA but it has played a schedule ranked No. 27 in the league and has gone 1-2 in games against the top 16 in the league while rolling to a 5-0 record against teams outside that and the Chargers in fact fall in that inside that in the latest power rankings. 10* (258) Los Angeles Chargers |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Browns +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This line has risen from opening and continues to go up. Baltimore is the talk of the NFL as it has now won four straight games and are in the midst of a stretch of for games taking place over five games. The Ravens have a game and half lead in the AFC North with a pair of divisional games starting this week which will leave them with only one more the rest of the season. Baltimore has moved to No. 1 in net EPA and No. 1 in total DVOA so the talk is real but this is too many points in a divisional game against a very good team. Cleveland is coming off a 27-0 win over Arizona as it allowed just 58 total yards, the second time it has allowed fewer than 100 yards, the first coming against Tennessee. While we are not expecting that here, the defense is real as the Browns are ranked No. 1 in defensive EPA and No. 1 in defensive DVOA. The offense was fine with Deshawn Watson in his first game back in a while and now should continue to get better with more snaps. He was a late scratch in the first meeting and Cleveland did not stand a chance with the limited offense along with turnovers doing them in. While they are 1-2 on the road, they have won the yardage battle in all of those and this looks like another close game with those two road losses coming by four points each. 10* (243) Cleveland Browns |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Saints -2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -120 | 64 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. One of the big stories in the league from last week was the Minnesota win with quarterback Joshua Dobbs leading the Vikings to a win over Atlanta despite being with the team for only five days as he replaced starter Jaren Hall, who got a concussion in the first half, and went on to pass for 158 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown. It was a performance that is hard to top given the circumstance and now it is time to fade. The Vikings have gotten back into the playoff mix as after a 1-4 start, they have won and covered four straight games and sharp early coming went against them here as a repeat of that performance is not going to happen. New Orleans has won two straight games to also move to 5-4 following a win over Chicago where it was outgained but benefitted from a 5-0 turnover advantage. There have been some ugly wins along the way but also some tough losses with three of the four coming by one possession. The offense is an inconsistent unit but has gotten better since the return of Alvin Kamera and the defense remains strong as the Saints are No. 4 in defensive EPA and No. 9 in defensive DVOA and have a big advantage here against a depleted Minnesota offense that could still be without Justin Jefferson. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Cavs v. Warriors -4 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Game of the Week. Golden St. starts a six-game homestand following a 2-2 roadtrip that included a tough loss at Denver in the final game and now it has its first revenge game of the season. The other loss on that roadtrip was at Cleveland by 11 points and that was its worst loss of the season based on the numbers as the Warriors were outshot by over 13 percent from the floor. That was the part of that four-game stretch where they allowed a shooting percentage of 50.3 percent after allowing just over 42 percent in their first five games. The defense returns here. Cleveland is off to an awful start with that Warriors win notwithstanding as it is 2-5 in its other seven games with those two wins coming against Brooklyn by a point and against the Knicks in their own revenge game in the second of a back-to-back. The Cavaliers lost at Oklahoma City by eight points to open their four-game roadtrip and the offense continues to struggle as they are now No. 26 in scoring and No. 23 in shooting. Donovan Mitchell is carrying the team with 30.7 ppg on 51 percent shooting but there has been no one else. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Illinois State +8.5 v. St. Louis | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST REDBIRDS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. St. Louis has been a great program for years as it has won 21 or more games four of the last five years including last season when it went 21-12 including 12-6 in the A-10 but did not get a single postseason invitation and that is telling about where it sits yet still it is an overvalued team. The Billikens lost four starters from last season as well as six of its top seven scorers and while it is not considered a complete rebuild, they are not in a place to compete with experienced competition and even less so when laying a number like this. They rolled some school called Lincoln but prior to that they beat Southern Indiana by shooting 36.4 percent. Illinois St. had a miserable season last year as it went 11-21 including 6-14 in the MVC and that can actually be considered not bad considering the Redbirds had only one starter back with a brand new coach. Now there is experience as three starters are back along with two other players that combined for 24 starts. Additional transfers makes this one of the most experienced teams in their conference. Live dog. 10* (645) Illinois St. Redbirds |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. We lost with Kent St. on Thursday as the Golden Flashes fell in double overtime against James Madison and the Dukes have to be given credit for that as they overcame two late deficits and that was with them coming off that huge win over Michigan St. This is a great bounce back spot for Kent St. after a shaky first game and that recent loss. Four of the starters are juniors or seniors and the fifth starter is a top transfer from Central Michigan who was the MAC Freshman of the Year last season. The offense showed it can score and that was against a solid defense. Fresno St. is coming off a win in its season opener against Fresno Pacific but it was just an 11-point victory and this is not a great spot as this is the Bulldogs only real long travel spot of the season. The MWC is top heavy as usual and Fresno St. is predicted to not be anywhere close as it has been picked to finish either 10 or 11 of the 11-team conference. The Bulldogs return three starters but four of their top seven scorers left and scoring 77 points against a non-D1 shows they cannot keep up here. 10* (644) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
|||||||
11-11-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The four best teams in the CFL are vying for a shot to go to the Grey Cup and the two best teams in the West Division square off in Winnipeg. B.C. came away with a 41-30 win over Calgary last week to advance and while it was a solid performance on offense, the defense did not look good again which has been the case for a while now. The Lions have allowed 30 or more points in six of their last 10 games with an average of 31.6 ppg given up over that stretch and have gone just 6-4 in those games. This is not good news against the best offense in the league. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. Those offensive numbers are even better at home for the Blue Bombers which went 8-1 here and going back to last season, they are 17-2 at home and the scoring margin has been 17.2 ppg this season. One of the losses came against B.C. but the Blue Bombers avenged that loss and are catching a good line to get back to the Grey Cup. 10* (274) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Arkansas State v. South Alabama -11 | Top | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. South Alabama has lost two straight games to fall to 4-5 and after coming into the season with high expectations, the Jaguars are in danger of not making the postseason although the schedule is on their side. They do have a bad loss against Central Michigan but the other four defeats have been to quality teams and these next two games at home loom large as they finish at Texas St. Despite the losing record, South Alabama is ranked No. 43 or better in overall and scoring offense and defense so it has been a bit of a deceiving record. The Jaguars are the only team in the SBC that has a losing record but a plus point differential so this number is big for a reason. Arkansas St. ha done an opposite move as it has won two straight games. After a 0-2 start, the Red Wolves have won five of seven games but one of those was against FCS Stony Brook and three others against teams that are a combined 7-21 with the other being against 5-4 Louisiana. Even with a winning record, the numbers do not correspond with it as the Red Hawks are No. 75 in total offense and No. 84 in scoring while ranking No. 125 in total defense and No. 112 in points allowed. They have taken good care of the ball with only nine giveaways but conversely, have only seven takeaways. Here, we play against teams outscored by opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent0 over the last 10 seasons. 10* (222) South Alabama Jaguars |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri +2 | Top | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. Tennessee and Missouri both come in with identical 7-2 records yet the Volunteers come in as the road favorite. They are coming off a home blowout win over Connecticut which was their second straight win following their loss to Alabama. Tennessee is 2-2 on the road with the other loss coming against Florida while one of the wins came against a bad Virginia team on a neutral field and the other against Kentucky by just six points. Tennessee has been solid on both sides of the ball as it is in the top 25 overall and scoring on both sides of the ball. Their two worst performances came in those two road losses so the home/road splits have played a big part. Missouri Is coming off a loss at Georgia but it was a very solid effort in the nine-point loss as it was outgained by only 22 yards. The other loss was by 10 points at home against LSU but the Tigers lost the yardage battle by only six yards. In both defeats, they lost the turnover battle and were -3 in turnover margin combined. While the overall numbers are not as good as Tennessee, they are not far behind and the Tigers have played the more difficult schedule. Missouri has covered six of its last seven games and have been one of the pleasant surprises in the SEC and have a chance to win out with a favorable schedule. Here, we play against road teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game going up against a team allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (196) Missouri Tigers |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Central Florida +2.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. has been on a roll with five straight wins and covers to improve to 7-2 overall. This includes a win last week against rival Oklahoma at home in the last installment of Bedlam for the foreseeable future and that brough out a massive celebration on the home field. Four of the five wins during this stretch have been at home with the lone road win coming at West Virginia by 14 points even though the Cowboys won the yardage battle by only 18 yards. One common theme during the winning streak has been the defense creating turnovers as they have 13 takeaways during this stretch. UCF has had a tough go of it in its inaugural season in the Big 12 as the Knights are 1-5 but are coming off their first win as they beat Cincinnati last week. Two of the losses came by three combined points that included a one point loss to Baylor at home. The other home loss was against West Virginia by 13 points yet they won the yardage battle but were -3 in turnovers. UCF is 4-5 overall so it will have to win two of its last three games to become bowl eligible and this is the first chance to avoid having to sweep the final two games. The Knights have been favored in all four home games and are now an underdog based on recent results from both sides. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (142) Central Florida Knights |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 49 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our ACC Game of the Month. We lost with Syracuse last Friday in what a very unfortunate break when quarterback Garrett Shrader was a late scratch and the offense suffered from that as the Orange managed only 10 points and 246 yards of offense. That was the fifth straight loss for Syracuse after opening the season 4-0 and have not covered any of it last six games. Prior to the late injury, it was three straight losses on the road and Clemson before that. The Orange have to win two of their last three games to win bowl eligibility and it starts here in this game taking place from Yankee Stadium. The offense has been non-existent of late, averaging a meager 230.6 ypg during the four-game slide but faces a below average defense. Pittsburgh lost to Florida St. last week, its third straight loss, which took away a chance at a bowl game as the Panthers are now 2-7. One win was against Wofford of the FCS and the other came against Louisville where they were outgained 444-305 but won the turnover battle 3-0. The Panthers come in No. 63 in total defense and No. 91 in scoring and the offense has been even worst as they have no running game to speak of and overall they are No. 118 and No. 112 in scoring. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing a completion percentage of 62 percent or worse, after allowing 9.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 64-34 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (214) Syracuse Orange |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +5.5 | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our CFB Star Attraction. Michigan is off to a 9-0 start but has really not been overly tested as it is 6-0 in the Big 10 and while three of those victories have come against winning teams, they are just a combined 16-11. Overall, the Wolverines have played a schedule ranked No. 71 in the country and now face their biggest test and on the road no less. They could not cover a game early in the season with Jim Harbaugh serving his suspension before running off but straight covers before coming up shot last week against Purdue as they won by 28 points as a 31-point favorite. The defense has been the real deal as Michigan is ranked No. 1 overall and in points allowed, but again, the schedule has played into that. Penn St. is 8-1 with the lone loss coming against Ohio St. on the road by eight points. The Nittany Lions did have some bad break including having a 60-yard fumble return for a touchdown called back because of a holding penalty. While they were penalized only five times, another one of those gave Ohio St. a first down at the two-yard line and eventually scored. While the Michigan defense leads the country, Penn St. is right there as it is ranked No. 2 overall and No. 3 in scoring and this has come against a more difficult schedule. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (150) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Maryland -2 v. Nebraska | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. It has been a mini freefall for Maryland as it has lost four straight games after a 5-0 start. The Terrapins have failed to cover any of those four games as they were beaten badly by Ohio St. and Penn St. while losing to Illinois and Northwestern by nine points combined as a double-digit favorite. Those two losses were bad ones and overall, the offense has struggled during this four-game stretch but did face to of the best defenses in the country and they are coming off that Penn St. game where they had only 234 yards that included -49 yards rushing. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa has still played well and on the season he has 2,486 yards on a 65.1 percent completion rate with 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Nebraska has had a good turnaround as it is 5-2 over its last seven games following a 0-2 start so it is also one win away from bowl eligibility as Matt Ruhle has done a great coaching job. Still, this offense has not been good as the Huskers are ranked No. 115 overall and No. 117 in scoring so they have relied on a stout defense that is anchored by the No. ranked rushing defense but does not set up well for the strength of the Maryland offense. Turnovers remain a problem as Nebraska has given it up 22 times, most in the country. Here, we play against home teams after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 82-37 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (217) Maryland Terrapins |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -108 | 43 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. UNLV has been one of the bigger surprises this season as it is 7-2 following a blowout win over New Mexico but the schedule overall has been on its side. The Rebels have played the No. 129 ranked schedule in the country and they have yet to beat a beat with a winning record as they have faced only two teams above .500. additionally, they have faced mostly finesse teams and have basically played only one physical game and that certainly changes here. UNLV possesses a potent offense as it ranked No. 16 in scoring and No. 42 overall but again, scheduling has played a big role in that. The Rebels are not as strong defensively, coming in No. 84 overall and No. 67 in scoring and the discrepancies from overall rank and scoring rank on both sides are because of their 20 takeaways. Wyoming snapped a two-game slide with a win over Colorado St. to get to bowl eligibility with its 6-3 record. Sitting at 3-2 in the MWC, it is unlikely to make it to the conference championship due to a loss against 5-0 Air Force but the Cowboys handed Fresno St. its only conference loss so they are not completely out of contention but will need some help over the final quarter of the season. The Cowboys have faced a much stiffer slate as they have played the No. 67 ranked schedule. Wyoming has only eight giveaways this season which is tied for No. 13 in the country. 10* (121) Wyoming Cowboys |
|||||||
11-10-23 | San Diego State v. BYU -1.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. San Diego St. made it all the way to the NCAA Championship before losing to Connecticut and it was certainly a season to remember. The Aztecs went 32-7 including 15-2 in the MWC and made the improbable run in the NCAA Tournament with a relentless defense but did have a couple fortunate breaks along the way. They lost three starters and projected starter Darrion Trammell missed the opener and is questionable with a shoulder injury. San Diego St. rolled over a below average Cal State Fullerton team as that defense was on display, allowing just 33 percent shooting but they take a big step up here and the line is telling. BYU is coming off a 19-15 season including a 7-9 record in their final year in the WCC and now it enters the Big 12 are have been projected to be a middle of the pack team. The Cougars have four starters back and got an early jump on the season with an overseas trip to Italy and Croatia and that extra time together is important. They rolled Houston Christian and now have a statement game in a revenge spot. 10* (864) BYU Cougars |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Memphis v. Missouri -3 | Top | 70-55 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. Memphis has had a great run under head coach Penny Hardaway as it has won at least 20 games over the last five seasons. The Tigers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season but lost to eventual Final Four team FAU and while they are going to compete for the AAC title, there is work to do in the meantime. Memphis brings back only one player that saw playing time so it is going to take some time, especially when playing a quality team like the one they see tonight. Missouri also made it to the NCAA Tournament last year and was bounced by Princeton in the second round so it was a very successful season as well. The Tigers bring back two starters and brought in the No. 27 ranked recruiting class so there is plenty of talent. They are aggressive on defense and can cause a young Memphis team into mistakes and in its opener, Missouri rolled Arkansas-Pine Bluff with a 56 percent shooting performance and hung 101 points on the Golden Lions. 10* (870) Missouri Tigers |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Wright State +9 v. Colorado State | Top | 77-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. Wright St. opens its season tonight and have the edge in that regard with nothing for Colorado St. to go off. The Raiders went 10-10 last season in the Horizon League and have three starters back, led by First Team point guard Trey Calvin who is the Preseason Player of the Year and are the preseason pick to win the conference. They also have a key addition as the NCAA granted a waiver to Tanner Holden after he transferred from Ohio St. and graduated from Wright State in July. He averaged 20 ppg for the Raiders two years ago so this is a loaded lineup. Colorado St. won its opener over Louisiana Tech but it was not a pretty win as it won by eight points against a Bulldogs team noy expected to do much this season. The Rams outscored them 23-8 from the free throw line which was clearly the difference. They have three starters back from a team that went 15-18 and have a very tough matchup here against a team they do not know much about. 10* (873) Wright St. Raiders |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. After opening the season 1-2, Minnesota has won four straight games including impressive wins over Denver and Boston but all of those were at home and now it hits the road as a significant favorite. The venue has been the difference as the home team is 7-0 in Timberwolves games and while this is certainly a winnable game for them, this is too big of a price. They have been effective thanks to a strong defense that is ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting and they have allowed more than 40 percent shooting only once. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost three straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two were by 41 and 21 points against the Pacers and Knicks respectively but those were away from home and the Spurs have actually played five of their last six games on the road. This is the start of a stretch of over their next seven games, six are at home. Not much is expected from San Antonio but it is an exciting time with Victor Wembanyama who has had an up and down start to his career but has shown signs of future stardom. 10* (512) San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Nets v. Celtics -11.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Boston has lost two straight games following a 5-0 start including a loss against rival Philadelphia on Wednesday but both of those were on the road by a combined eight points. Five of the Celtics first seven games have been on the road and the last time we say them at home, they hung 155 points on Indiana in a 51-point victory. Their last victory came against Brooklyn on the road by 10 points which resulted in a push and now Boston is laying just a point more at home and it certainly wants to get right after the two-game skid. Brooklyn is coming off a win Wednesday against the Clippers which snapped its own two-game skid to get back to .500. The Nets are an impressive 3-1 on the road and overall, they have overachieved which is apparent in their ATS record where they are 7-0-1 against the number, coming in as the underdog in all but one game. Yes, this is a big number but it sets up for a blowout as we should see big games from Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown who had subpar games against the Sixers as they combined for only 27 points on 10-27 shooting as they both lit the Nets up last time out. 10* (510) Boston Celtics |
|||||||
11-10-23 | 76ers v. Pistons +9 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Sixers opened the season with a one point loss at Milwaukee but has won six straight games but the last five have been at home and after tonight, their next three are at home so their schedule could not have been more in their favor to open the season. Philadelphia is a perfect 7-0 ATS so that is a streak many will keep riding but we go contrarian of that as the line is being inflated here because of that so while they clearly are a better team that Detroit, being asked to win by nearly double digits on the road is a lot to ask. Detroit got off to a good start at 2-1 but it has been downhill since then with six straight losses. The Pistons did go on a 0-5 ATS run to start the skid but put together a solid effort against Milwaukee on Wednesday, losing by just two points on the road to get the cover and now face their fourth straight title contender. Nine players are averaging double digits as injuries have kept a few players out of the lineup but this is valuable experience to pace the roster behind Cade Cunningham who is having a strong comeback season after missing most of last season, averaging a team high 24 ppg. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Princeton v. Hofstra -1 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Princeton was one of many Cinderella stories last season as it made it to the Sweet 16 as a No. 15 seed after defeating Arizona and Missouri before eventually losing to Creighton. The Tigers are expected to be a top half team in the Ivy League again but they lost a ton as they have to replace three key seniors in Tosan Evbuomwan, Ryan Langborg and Keeyshawn Kellman which contributed a combined 36 ppg last season. It is a mini rebuild and Princeston opened the season with an upset win over Rutgers in Trenton but the Scarlet Knight are in complete rebuild mode so all that win is doing here is adding value the other way. Hofstra shared the CAA regular season title with a 16-2 record and made it to the NIT second round and the Pride will be contenders again. The lost two-time CAA Player of the Year Aaron Estrada but bring back three starters led by Tyler Thomas who scored 26 points in their opening win over St. Joes-Long Island. 10* (814) Hofstra Pride |
|||||||
11-09-23 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette -9.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Louisiana fell to 2-3 in the SBC West following a loss to Arkansas St. on Saturday but the Cajuns are still not mathematically eliminated from winning the division. They have already defeated Texas St. and still have a game with Troy, which is two games up, so they will need help but can only control what they so. At 5-4, they are a win away from bowl eligibility and return home where they are 3-1, the lone loss coming against 6-3 Georgia St. by a field goal. Louisiana has a big edge in the rushing game as they are averaging 198.0 ypg on the ground which is No. 20 in the country despite being held to just 64 yards against Arkansas St. The loss of starting quarterback Zeon Chriss has brought this number down but replacement Chandler Fields is in his fifth year here and can run this offense. Southern Mississippi is coming off it first win over an FBS opponent as it took out UL-Monroe last week which was its second straight solid performance on offense. The Golden Eagles are 2-7 and eliminated from postseason consideration so give them credit for stepping up last week but now travel on a short week. The offense improved to No. 77 overall but it is still just No. 96 in scoring and the real issue is the defense as Southern Mississippi is No. 116 in total defense and No. 127 in points allowed. The bigger liability is the rushing defense that has allowed 185.4 ypg and has been lit up against the top rushing teams. 10* (118) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
|||||||
11-09-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Milwaukee has won three straight games to improve to 5-2 but failed to cover any of those and fell to 1-6 against the number with their only cover being their big revenge game against Miami. The Bucks blew a 15-point lead and had to rally against the Pistons last night as they overcame a 10-point fourth quarter deficit. Giannis Antetokounmpo played just 21 minutes after being ejected for picking up a pair of technical fouls but it was Damian Lillard who picked up the slack with 34 points and overall seven Bucks scored in double digits. The poor ATS record is giving us value on their side. Also, part of that is due to the recent play of Indiana which has put together two straight blowout wins after a 3-4 start. The schedule has been in favor of the Pacers in the early going as seven of their eight games have come against teams with a losing record with the only game against a team with a winning record came against Boston in a 51-point loss. The offense remains the highest scoring team in the league with pace being a main factor in that as Indiana is No. 26 in scoring defense and No. 21 in shooting defense. The road favorite price is no issue as Milwaukee is 37-19 ATS in its last 56 games as road chalk. 10* (501) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
11-09-23 | James Madison v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. James Madison is coming off the biggest opening night upset as it took out No. 4 Michigan St., the only top 25 team to lose its opening game. It was a three-point win that was aided by the Spartans going 1-20 from long range and the fact they went just 23-37 (62 percent) from the free throw line. The Dukes shot just 37 percent from the floor including 28 percent from behind the arc so it was certainly a fortunate win but credit has to be given. That being said, this is a big letdown spot especially going on the road again in another tough environment. Kent t. is coming off a 19-point win over Malone College which is not really an indication of how this team really is. After a rough first half, the Golden Flashes poured it on in the second half and overall shot 46 percent from the floor. Three starters are gone from the team that went 28-7 including 15-3 in the MAC so the slow first half start cannot be overly surprising but there is still a ton of experience. Four of the starters are juniors or seniors and the fifth starter is a top transfer from Central Michigan who was the MAC Freshman of the Year last season. 10* (650) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Lakers -2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 94-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. It was a slow start last season for the Lakers and that is the case again this season as they are now 3-4 following a pair of losses in Florida against Orlando and Miami. After a slow start, the offense has picked it up by shooting 51 percent or better in three of their last four games but the problem has been shots taken as they have put up more than 84 only once in that span. Conversely, the defense has allowed 91 or more shots in five of seven games but face a team that does not put it much. Houston opened the season 0-3 but has won three straight games, one against a bad Charlotte team and two other against an banged up Sacramento team. It is a pace scenario with the Rockets as they are No. 7 in scoring defense and No. 20 in scoring defense but are middle of the pack in both shooting categories. This could be a team on the rise going forward with head coach Ime Udoka but this is not a good spot as we see a similar result in their only home loss against Golden St. Here, we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 105-57 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Heat -1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Miami won on Monday but did not cover again in a one-point win over the Lakers and we are backing the Heat again which are now 0-6-1 or 0-5-2 ATS based on the closing line. Miami is 3-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point and then four straight losses before its last two victories. The Heat are 0-4 on the road but those were against two title contenders and a good Minnesota team. The defense has been surprisingly bad, allowing 50 percent shooting or more in four of their last five games but have a great matchup here. Memphis opened the season 0-6 before picking up its first win against Portland on Sunday. The absence of Ja Morant is evident as the Grizzlies are No. 24 in scoring and No. 27 in shooting and have shot 43 percent or less in four of seven games and a lot that is with the depth with the top four bench players shooting less than 38 percent. This was one of the best home floors last season at 35-6 but that is not the case with this current roster. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing with two days of rest. This situation is 54-27 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Jazz +7 v. Pacers | Top | 118-134 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost three straight games including two losses to open this roadtrip by 28 and 17 points. That is inflating this number for the Jazz which are 0-4 on the road and failing to cover any of those which makes them the contrarian side here. The defense has struggled this season by allowing 49.4 percent from the floor which is No. 27 in the league and no one will back that based on the Pacers performance in their last game. Pace has played a factor with the offense shooting 46 percent or better in three of their last four games so that is not a liability. Indiana is coming off a thrashing of San Antonio where it scored 152 points in a 41-point victory. That moved the Pacers to 4-3 and that aberration moved them into the No. 1 spot in scoring offense and like Utah, it has a lot to with pace. Indiana is allowing 48.5 percent shooting which is No. 23 and its 121.7 ppg allowed is No. 27 so Utah can keep up. Here we play on teams after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Akron +18 v. Miami-OH | Top | 0-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Miami is coming off a big win over Ohio which put it in first place in the MAC East by a game in the loss column following the Bobcats win on Tuesday. The RedHawks opened the season with a loss at Miami Florida and then reeled off six straight wins before a loss against Toledo, the team they are likely going to face in the MAC Championship. That being said, they are laying a huge number here with an offense that has done nothing of late. They have barely gone over 300 total yards in two of their last five games while averaging just over 311 ypg over that stretch and now are laying their biggest number over an FBS team. Akron picked up its first win over an FBS team with a four-point win over Kent St. following a six-game losing streak. The Zips lost at Kentucky by 32 points but four of the other six losses have been by one possession so they have been competitive and even being 0-5 on the road, they have been outscored by just two touchdowns and that is taking the Kentucky game into it. This is actually a really good defense that is ranked No. 41 in the country and facing an offense that cannot move the ball. Too many points. 10* (111) Akron Zips |
|||||||
11-07-23 | Ohio -7 v. Buffalo | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Ohio lost last week in a swing game against Miami Ohio and now sits in second place in the MAC East, one game behind the RedHawks. The Bobcats now need to win out and get some help and this is the perfect opponent. Ohio has struggled on offense this season as they ranked No. 94 overall and No. 105 in points scored and quarterback Kurtis Rourke is back in form after an early season injury. He faces a defense that has been really good over the last four games but have benefited from 12 takeaways. The Bobcats have a defense that is one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 4 overall and No. 7 in scoring. A lot is on the line for Buffalo as it has to win out to get to a bowl game but the resume has not been good. Two wins have come against Akron and Kent St. which are a combined 1-9 in the conference while the third, the Bulls benefitted from a 4-0 turnover margin. Buffalo is ranked No. 110 in total offense and No. 81 in total defense and while it is a must win, they cannot matchup here. Ohio has taken advantage of these spots going 8-1 ATS in its last nine games against teams allowing 5.9 or more yppl. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Akron +1 v. South Dakota State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 52 h 48 m | Show |
This is play on the AKRON ZIPS as part of our CBB Opening Night 3-Pack. Akron is the preseason pick to win the MAC and for good reason. The Zips finished 13-5 in the conference last season behind Toledo and Kent St. and have arguably the two best players in the MAC. Center Enrique Freeman is the Preseason Player of the Year after two straight seasons averaging a double-double and the Zips leading scorer from two years ago, Ali Ali, is back after going to Butler for a season. Overall, the Zips have six players that are playing in their fifth year so this is one of the most experienced teams in the country. They made a trip to Puerto Rico in August, an international trip allowed every four years, to gain even more early practice time together. South Dakota St. is no slouch as the Jackrabbits are the preseason pick in the Summit League but a lot of that is due to top teams from last season losing a ton. Three starters are back led by Zeke Mayo, who made the Preseason All Summit Team, but there are numerous newcomers coming in and they are at a big disadvantage down low. Overall, there are seven players back with experience but South Dakota St. has seven players that are either freshman or redshirt freshman and a sophomore transfer. 10* (869) Akron Zips |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 81 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off an improbable win over the Giants last Sunday as they turned a missed Giants field goal with 24 seconds left into a game-tying drive and eventually won it in overtime. That was the third straight win for the Jets which are suddenly now 4-3 and right in the playoff mix getting close to the halfway point of the season. The offense remains inconsistent as they are currently dead last in the league in EPA while sitting No. 29 on DVOA but have a very favorable matchup here. The defense has kept New York afloat as it has held four opponents to 16 points or less including Buffalo and Philadelphia while also keeping Kansas City in check. The Jets are No. 9 in defensive EPA and No. 6 in defensive DVOA. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Bears Sunday night which halted a two-game losing streak to move to 3-4. The win over Chicago was the first by more than one possession as they had their best defensive effort of the season but this is still a bad unit. Los Angeles is ranked No. 28 in defensive EPA and No. 27 in defensive DVOA and while facing another weak offense here, the environment is different. The Chargers have one of the top passing games in the league with a No. 6 EPA in passing behind Justin Herbert who is having his best season thus far with a 101.1 rating but has a big test in this one. The Chargers are a big public side as this line opened at -1.5 and crossed the key number on Wednesday. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (476) New York Jets |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Kings +2 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. This is the second game of a home and home for Sacramento and Houston with the Rockets winning by 18 points in the first meeting. The Kings were coming off their worst offensive performance of the season against Golden St. where they scored 101 points on 40.9 percent shooting but they trumped it Saturday by scoring just 89 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Only two starters scored in double figures with just 16 field goals including just five from long range. This is the ideal bounce back spot. Houston opened the season with three straight losses before picking up its first win of the season against Charlotte last Wednesday which was the second game of a seven-game homestand. This is still a team in transition with additions of Fred Van Vleet and Dillion Brooks and we consider Saturday an aberration. As mentioned the, the Rockets consecutive games only eight times last season and was 2-6 following consecutive wins. The line has completely flipped to our side based on one result. (541) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Celtics v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Boston remains the only undefeated team in the NBA as it moved to 5-0 with a 10-point win over Brookyln which was its third straight double-digit victory. The Celtics are in a tough spot here following that win over Brooklyn with another road game at Philadelphia on deck. The numbers back them up as the Celtics are No. 1 in scoring offense and No. 7 in scoring defense with the latter being No. 1 in opponents shooting percentage. Minnesota is off to a 2-3 start as it has won two straight games that included giving Denver its first loss of the season two games back. As typical with the NBA, the home team is 5-0 in Timberwolves games this season and the splits have shown that as Minnesota is shooting 50.8 percent at home in three games while the defense allows just 42.7 percent shooting. The Timberwolves have a great roster that continues to underachieve but there has been great balance thus far with five players averaging double digits led by Anthony Edwards and his 26.2 ppg. Great spot for another upset. 10* (546) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Florida International +10 v. UCF | Top | 62-85 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 34 m | Show |
This is play on the FIU PANTHERS as part of our CBB Opening Night 3-Pack. The number here is telling us UCF is a quality and experience team but that is not the case and laying a double-digit price is questionable. UCF had a successful season in its last one in the AAC as it made it to the NIT despite a seventh place finish in the conference at 8-10. It was led by NBA draft pick Taylor Hendricks and now only one starter is back for the Knights while five of the top six scorers have departed and only four players from the roster return. This is not great news in their first year in the Big 12 and they are picked to finish last in the conference and while that is a ways away, the chemistry of this team remains in question. It was a tough season for Florida International as it finished 14-18 including an 8-12 record in Conference USA but things are on the rise. The Panthers were extremely young as they started four freshmen at certain times and they were small, often going with four guards which put them at the bottom of the conference in rebounding but the transfer portal has addressed that. They bring back a ton of experience highlighted by Conference USA Freshman of the Year Arturo Dean who comes in First Team Preseason who is the best player on the floor tonight. 10* (813) FIU Panthers |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Lakers v. Heat -1 | Top | 107-108 | Push | 0 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Miami won on Saturday but did not cover after a late 5-0 run from Washington and we are backing the Heat which are now 0-5-1 ATS. Miami is 2-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point and then four straight losses before its last victory. The most frustrating part is the Heat had leads of 13 and 16 points in two of those losses and nearly blew a 19-point lead against the Pistons so this has not been able to close which was evidenced by the non-cover against the Wizards. The Lakers opened their roadtrip with a 19-point loss at Orlando and fall into another bad spot getting next to nothing. Los Angeles was coming off a two-game winning streak and has fallen to 3-3 with the home team winning all six games. The Lakers were an under .500 team on the road last season and we always get value based on name and public perception. They are ranked in the bottom half of the league in both points scored and allowed and while a small sample size, they face an offense coming off its best effort of the season. 10* (536) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Missouri State +6 v. West Virginia | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -114 | 50 h 47 m | Show |
This is play on the MISSOURI ST. BEARS as part of our CBB Opening Night 3-Pack. West Virginia enters the season amid a chaotic offseason highlighted by the resignation of head coach Bob Huggins and a complete roster overhaul. Despite a 7-11 record in the Big 12, the Mountaineers secured an NCAA Tournament bid where they lost to Maryland by a bucket and now there are questions everywhere. West Virginia lost all five starters and trying to complete a roster was a challenge for new head coach Josh Eilert as there was still an open scholarship spot entering the fall. It is going to take a lot of time for this team to find its chemistry with so many new parts. It was a successful season for the Bears as they went 17-15 overall including 12-8 in the highly competitive MVC as head coach Dana Ford had to deal with adversity all season. Injuries crushed this team as there was not a single player that played in every game while every player on the 13-team roster made a start so pulling off a winning record was impressive. Three starters are back as well as six other players with starting experience led by Donovan Clay who is a sleeper for MVC Player of the Year and the big piece is the return of Matthew Lee who made only two starts before tearing his ACL. 10* (785) Missouri St. Bears |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Warriors v. Cavs -1 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Golden St. opened the season with a loss against Phoenix at home and has since won five straight games. Four of those have come on the road which is pretty impressive considering the Warriors won 11 road games all of last season. They are coming off a win at Oklahoma City in their last game but had their worst defensive performance as they allowed 139 points on 60.2 percent shooting and that was with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander not even playing and were lucky to escape on a last second layup. Cleveland opened the season with a win but has gone 1-4 since then, the only win coming at New York in the second of a back-to-back against the Knicks. The Cavaliers have lost all three of their home games and by an average of 10.1 ppg so it has been a struggle here. Many will question why they are favored, but they are still favored for a reason as this is a great roster that has not been fully together with Daruis Garland only playing once since opening night and he will bounce back after a bad game against the Pacers. This has been a one sided series with Golden St. having won the last 16 meetings and this is the spot to go against that as most of the Cleveland players were not part of most of those. 10* (522) Cleveland Cavaliers |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles -3 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This is a big division game that on paper, has strength against strength and weakness against weakness. Dallas has won a pair of games since getting blown out in San Francisco but the jury remains out on this team still. Of their five wins, four have come against future non-playoff teams with the fifth coming against the marginal Chargers. The Cowboys are No. 2 in defensive EPA but this will be its toughest test of the season against an Eagles offense that is No. 4 in EPA. They have had only two poor games defensively but both of those were on the road and one of those came against the pathetic Cardinals. Dallas is No. 17 in offensive DVOA and No. 13 in EPA which is due to a running game that has been pretty much nonexistent. The passing game has been great at times but this is not an easy matchup. The Eagles defense is the weakness mentioned before but they can disrupt Dak Prescott with the pressure they create as they are No. 8 in pressure rate and No. 6 in sacks while coming into this game in better health. The same can be said about Philadelphia for beating mostly teams that will not be in the postseason but at 7-1, the Eagles win the games they are supposed to and throw in a solid win against Miami as well. The lone loss came against the Jets but they lost the turnover battle 4-0 in that one. Overall, the schedule has not been too difficult against opposing teams but five of their first eight games have come on the road. The home team has won the last eight meetings not counting when Eagles sat their starters. 10* (472) Philadelphia Eagles |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +3 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -120 | 79 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Carolina is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-6 start and the defense put up its best effort of the season against Houston and the Panthers finally have some momentum on their side. The offense may not have scored much as they put up only 15 points that included one touchdown but there were subtleties on display. Different formations from new play caller Thomas Brown made quarterback Bryce Young more comfortable as he did not turn the ball over and season highs in both passer rating at 103.6 and ypa at 7.6 and has a better matchup this week. Coaching revenge is not going make his team play better but head coach Frank Reich faces the former team that fired him so he want this one and make sure his players are on board with that. The Panthers have been miserable on the road, getting outscored by 15.8 ppg, losing all four games by double digits, but they have the home win and the two home losses were by one possession. The Colts have lost three straight games following a decent 3-2 start and while the offense has been a strength with consistent scoring, turnovers have been the issue along with a regressing defense. Indianapolis has given it up nine times during the losing streak but the real issue has been the defense. A month ago, the Colts were No. 14 in EPA but have dropped to No. 24 and they have given up 38 ppg over the last three games with the last two coming against below average offenses. The Panthers do not have much of a public backing so the Colts have to be favored. 10* (468) Carolina Panthers |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Baltimore has been moving up the metrics charts as it has now won three straight games following a win in Arizona last week despite actually getting outgained to move to 6-2. The Ravens remain No. 1 in net DVOA and have moved up to No. 2 net EPA and the line is reflecting the public perception as it has moved up from opening and is just too big in this matchup. This is the start of a three-game homestand for the Ravens but this could be a precarious spot with divisional games against Cleveland and Cincinnati on deck. Lamar Jackson has owned the NFC as he is now 17-1 against the other conference but is just 8-10 ATS in those games so covering the big number has been a problem. Speaking of which, he is 7-17 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 or more points. Seattle was able to sneak out the win last week against the Browns and has now won five of its last six games with just a four-point loss at Cincinnati being the lone blemish. The Seahawks have taken over first place in the NFC West by a half-game over the suddenly struggling 49ers and while the schedule has not been overly difficult, the metrics remain strong. Seattle is ranked No. 10 in both net EPA and net DVOA with every separate category being within the top 15. Seattle did accomplish something last week that no other team had done. The offense became the first to achieve the following against the Browns defense as they managed a positive EPA overall, a rush EPA and fewer than two sacks. That is good news against this defense. 10* (455) Seattle Seahawks |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns -8 | Top | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Cleveland could not hold on against Seattle last week as it allowed the game winning touchdown for the Seahawks with 38 seconds left. The Browns are 4-3 and turnovers tell the story as they have given the ball away 10 times in those three losses. In one of the losses against the Steelers, two of those turnovers directly turned into touchdowns in the four-point loss so taking care of the ball is paramount but that can be said for any team in any situation. The turnovers have also directly affected the defense as they have put the unit into some tough spots but the Cleveland defense is still ranked No. 1 in EPA and No. 2 in DVOA and could not ask for a better bounce back matchup this week. While Cleveland has Baltimore and Pittsburgh on deck, coming off a loss last week will avoid any sort of a lookahead. Arizona played admirably last week against Baltimore as it snuck out the backdoor cover by scoring nine points over the last 1:14 of the game but the Cardinals have still lost five straight games following the surprising upset of the Cowboys. They will no longer have the services of quarterback Joshua Dobbs as he was traded to Minnesota and with Kyler Murray not ready to come back just yet, rookie Clayton Tune will be making his first start in an awful spot. Not only facing the best defense in the league, going back over a decade, rookie quarterbacks on the road are 22-127-1. The record correlates with the metrics as the Cardinals are No. 31 in net EPA and No. 28 in net DVOA with both sides horrendous. 10* (458) Cleveland Browns |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Star Attraction. We have seen interesting line movement as Kansas City opened at -2.5 and it fluctuated between -2.5 and -2 for most of the week but went down to -1.5 to -1 by late Wednesday despite 73 percent of the money being on the Chiefs. Kansas City is coming off its second loss of the season last week in Denver and while a lookahead to this game may have partially contributed to that, the flu was running through the locker room, notably Patrick Mahomes. He is coming off the second lowest passer rating of his career at 59.2 and while he landed on the injury report with a hand issue, he will be fine and this is where he thrives. He has lost back-to-back games only three times in his career with the most recent occasion was Weeks 2 and 3 of the 2021 season. Additionally, he is 19-6-1 ATS in his 26 games as a favorite of -3 or less or as an underdog. Miami is coming off a win over New England following its second loss of the season. Both losses came against two of the best teams in the NFL in Buffalo and Philadelphia, while five of the six wins came against teams that will not be sniffing the playoffs with the Chargers being a borderline team right now. The Dolphins offense is ranked No. 1 in DVOA and No. 2 in EPA and their struggles have come against teams that apply consistent pressure as seven of his 11 sacks came against the Bills and Eagles which are No. 2 and No. 6 respectively in sacks and Kansas City is ranked No. 2 with Buffalo with 28. Great bounce back matchup for the Chiefs. 10* (452) Kansas City Chiefs |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Boise State v. Fresno State -2.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 74 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Everyone is trying to catch Air Force in the MWC including both of these teams that are 3-1 in the conference and the winner will have the inside track at going to the championship game. Fresno St. has just one loss this season which came against Wyoming on the road by five points as a rally fell short and going back to last season, the Bulldogs are 16-1 in their last 17 games. The offense lost a ton from last season including their First Team quarterback and top running back and wide receiver but the numbers are nearly the same which is also the case for the defense so it has been an outstanding transition with just 11 starters returning. Fresno St. is laying a short number here based on opponent name and the fact it has failed to cover its last four games which often creates value going against a streak like that. Boise St. is 4-4 overall with one loss coming against Washington and one win coming against North Dakota of the FCS so those cam cancel out. The other three losses came by a total of six points so there could have been more wins two of the other three wins were by one possession so those could have gone the other way as well. The Broncos are balanced on offense as they runs the ball very well but face a strong rushing defense from Fresno St. while the passing game has been suspect with two quarterbacks splitting time. The defense has been an issue as Boise St. is ranked No. 84 overall and No. 87 in scoring. 10* (426) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Kings -2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 89-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Sacramento is off to a 2-2 start as it has alternated wins and losses with both of those losses against Golden St., a team it apparently cannot solve after the Warriors knocked the Kings out of the playoffs last season. They remain on the road for a pair of games in Houston looking for a bounce back and looking to get the offense to get back on track after its worst effort of the short season where they scored just 101 points on 40.9 percent shooting. The absence of De'Aaron Fox was evident and while he will be out for a while with an ankle injury, this will be the second game for adjustments to be made. Houston opened the season with three straight losses before picking up its first win of the season against Charlotte on Wednesday which was the second game of a seven-game homestand. This is still a team in transition with additions of Fred Van Vleet and Dillion Brooks and probably most important, head coach Ime Udoka so a more defensive approach is expected but that will take time and the Rockets have allowed 48 percent or higher shooting in three of four games and not ideal against this up tempo team even sans Fox. Great spot play against a Houston team that won consecutive games only eight times last season. 10* (513) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Miami-FL -4.5 v. NC State | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. NC State is coming off a huge win over Clemson to improve to 2-2 in the ACC and 5-3 overall. It was a very misleading win however as the Wolfpack were outgained 364-202 and had 11 fewer first downs than the Tigers but were +2 in turnovers including an interception returned for a touchdown. The five wins have been nothing special as besides the Clemson victory, they have a win over VMI of the FCS, escaped Connecticut in their season opener, beat a bad Virginia team by only three points and were outgained by Marshall in a seven-point win. The offense remains an issue as NC State is ranked No. 107 overall including No. 107 in passing and No. 94 in rushing. It has not been a great stretch for Miami as after a 4-0 start, it had the debacle against Georgia Tech and could not recover from that in a blowout loss at North Carolina. The last two weeks have resulted in wins against Clemson and Virginia but both took overtime and the win over Cavaliers looks bad but that can be chalked up to a letdown after the Clemson victory. The Hurricanes need a get right game following this stretch and with Florida St. on deck, there will be no lookahead. This especially pertains to quarterback Tyler Van Dyke who started great, got injured, and then looked bad in his return last week with his lowest rated game. The offense is balanced as the Hurricanes are No. 33 in rushing and No. 37 in passing for an overall ranking of No. 19. 10* (325) Miami Hurricanes |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Utah State v. San Diego State +2.5 | Top | 32-24 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our MWC Game of the Month. It has been a rough season for San Diego St. as it is now 3-5 following a pretty embarrassing loss against at the time winless Nevada 6-0. The other four losses all came in September and all against very good teams including two from the Pac 12 and two at the top of the MWC. Not counting the COVID year, the Aztecs have a streak of 12 straight bowl games so they have to go 3-1 to close the season out if they want to keep that going. The offense has been inconsistent as they are averaging just 19.6 ppg which is No. 119 in the country while their total offense is No. 114 with 316.8 ypg. It has been very similar to last season when they lost to a pair of Pac 12 teams and the two best teams in the conference but went on to win three of their last four. Utah St. comes in with an identical 3-5 record which includes a 1-3 record on the road with the only win coming at 1-7 Connecticut by only one point and the Aggies are favored in this spot. Based on the power numbers, they are the false favorite and while they possess a solid offense, the defense is bad and San Diego St. can take advantage of that. Turnovers have been an issue as the Aggies have 17 giveaways and have lost the turnover battle in five of their eight games. One of the other wins was against Colorado St. where the Rams coughed it up five times and the third victory was against Idaho St. which turned it over three times. 10* (376) San Diego St. Aztecs |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Kansas defeated Oklahoma last Saturday on a last minute touchdown and it beat the Sooners for the first time since 1997 and it led to the storming of the field which typically provides a letdown spot going into the next game. it was a good spot for Kansas coming off a bye week and for Oklahoma to be coming off a hard fought two-point wins against UCF and the Jayhawks became bowl eligible for the second straight season after not going to a bowl game since 2008. Kansas improved to 5-0 at home while going just 1-2 in three road games, the only win coming against 2-6 Nevada while losing to Texas and Oklahoma St. by a combined score of 79-46. It does get any easier here especially playing revenge minded Iowa St. The Cyclones have won three straight games by double digits to get to 5-3 and the slow start was not surprising as they lost their quarterback and running back right before the season shortly after the gambling scandal. It took a while for the offense to get going but Rocco Becht has settled in nicely and they have averaged 28.2 ppg over their last five games after scoring 30 points total in their first two games against FBS teams. The usually strong Iowa St. defense is just that again as it is ranked No. 24 overall and No. 28 in points allowed as it has allowed 18 or fewer points five times. The Cyclones will be out to avenge a 14-11 loss last season. 10* (380) Iowa St. Cyclones |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +5 | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 69 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our CFB Star Attraction. Things have been so bad on offense for Iowa, it has already announced offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz will not be back next season but he will coach out the rest of the year and it is just a strange move this time of the season. The Hawkeyes are coming off a bye week following a controversial loss against Minnesota which snapped a three-game winning streak. The only other loss came at Penn St. so they have been able to survive to do 6-2 and that is because of their stout defense. Iowa is dead last in the country in total offense with only 232.4 ypg while averaging just 19.5 ppg. This is a classic scenario of fading a favorite in what is expected to be a low scoring game as this total is a comical 31. Northwestern came into the season with a new coach because of the Pat Fitzgerald controversy and things could have gone sideways from the start following a blowout loss to Rutgers to open the season but the Wildcats have been resilient to go 4-3 since then and keep their bowl hopes alive. Their own offense is nearly as bad as that of Iowa but do have the edge and while the Wildcats convert an average 40 percent on third down, that is way better than the Hawkeyes average of 26.4 percent. The defense has stepped up to keep it together and that unit will have success again here. The schedule has done then no favors as this is the third straight game facing a team off their bye but the first two results were just fine. 10* (354) Northwestern Wildcats |
|||||||
11-04-23 | James Madison v. Georgia State +6 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -111 | 68 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. We played against Georgia St. last Thursday and it got thumped by rival Georgia Southern 44-27 for just its second loss of the season. The Panthers are back home for the start of their third and final two-game homestand of the season and at 3-2 in the wide open SBC, they still have an outside shot at the East Division. They are 3-1 at home with their only loss to Troy which was their worst game of the season from a turnover standpoint as they were -2. Georgia St. has covered five of its seven games against FBS opponents with the two losses being when they were -1 and a pickem and while this number is not enormous, it is the biggest underdog line they have seen and justifiably so based on who they are facing. James Madison continues to roll along as it is now 8-0 following a scare from Old Dominion as it won by three points on Saturday. Give James Madison a lot of credit for being as motivated as it as this is its second season playing in the FBS with nothing to play for. The Dukes are ineligible for the SBC Championship and are not eligible for the postseason for two years after transitioning from the FCS which is a rule that makes little sense. Five of their seven FBS wins have been by only one possession. James Madison has been excellent against the run as it leads the nation by allowing just 48.9 ypg on 1.6 ypc but will be tested here against a very strong Panthers rushing attack. 10* (356) Georgia St. Panthers |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Hamilton v. Montreal -3.5 | Top | 12-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL 1st Round Game of the Year. Montreal and Hamilton meet for the second straight week although the game last week was meaningless that was still won by Montreal to make it a three-game season sweep. The Alouettes finished a solid 11-7 to earn a first round home game and this came after a 2-3 start and it had to withstand a four-game midseason losing streak. The record was pretty straight forward as it depended upon who they were playing. Toronto, Winnipeg and B.C. were the only other teams that finished with a winning record and Montreal went 0-7 in those games but it went 11-0 against every other team, winning those games by an average of 14.5 ppg so it should have no issue continuing that trend here. Cody Fajardo did not have the most efficient season but two of his three highest passing games came against Hamilton where he threw for 318 and 292 yards while completing 76 percent of his passes. This comes as no surprise as the Ti-Cats finished with the fourth worst passing defense in the league. On the other side Bo Levi Mitchell is a veteran signal caller ho has been here before but he has been dealing with a second half injury and played in only six games this season. He faces the second best defense both overall and against the pass and the Alouettes allowed the lowest opposing QBR in the CFL at 81.1. Montreal has 15 takeaways over its last five games where it was +11 in turnover margin. 10* (438) Montreal Alouettes |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Army +18.5 v. Air Force | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is a line that makes you take a double take as Air Force is favored by 18.5 points as of Wednesday afternoon with a total of 31.5 making the projected score of this game 25-6.5 and while it is possible, it is an unlikely outcome. Air Force has gotten off to an 8-0 start and going back to last season, it has won 13 straight games. It has not been all that pretty of late as it was outgained 329-293 last week against Colorado St. but won the turnover battle 2-0, struggled to put Navy away because the Midshipmen knows the offense and defeated Wyoming by just seven points. They have the best rushing offense and the No. 3 overall defense in the country so this team is very good but the line is inflated in this rivalry service academy game. Army has lost five straight games and at 2-6, it has to win out to make it to a bowl game but the schedule is on its side with no true road games left. This game is not being played on the Air Force grounds but in Denver on a neutral field even though the Falcons will likely have a big crown edge but it still is not the same. The Black Knights were done in by turnovers again last week as they outgained Massachusetts but were -3 and that has been a recent problem as they are -10 over the last three games. This has been a tight series decided by four ppg over the last five meetings and in the last 24 service academy games, the underdog has gone 20-4 ATS. 10* (365) Army Black Knights |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Georgia Tech +2 v. Virginia | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 67 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Virginia looked dead and very well still could be but it has shown some life. After a 0-5 start, the Cavaliers defeated William & Mary of the FCS and then had a huge upset of North Carolina before taking Miami to overtime last week. They cannot afford another loss if they want to make it to a bowl game but we do not see that happening and coming off a pair of emotional and physical games, this is not a good spot. Virginia has covered five straight games, four as underdogs in the FBS games and now they come in as favorites which is not justified with what they bring. The Cavaliers have an anemic offense that musters just 120.4 ypg on 3.0 ypg on the ground while throwing for only 217.6 ypg and they convert a mere 37.7 percent on third down. It has been up and down for Georgia Tech as it has alternated wins and losses from the start of the season to go 4-4 and coming off a win over North Carolina last week, it will be going for its first winning streak. The offense has been surprisingly good as the Yellow Jackets are No. 18 in the country in total offense with 459.3 ypg which is 134 more ypg than they produced last season while their scoring average is two touchdowns per game better. In three of their four losses, they lost the turnover battle but that should be no issue as Virginia has only 10 takeaways this season. Defensively, they are not good but do not have much to worry about here. 10* (349) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
|||||||
11-03-23 | Wizards v. Heat -9.5 | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The inaugural NBA In-Season Tournament starts Friday for a few teams. All 30 teams have been randomly drawn into groups of five within their conference based on won-loss records and it is important to note that every game counts toward regular season win-loss records so there is no added motivation. The motivation for Miami is to simply get back into the win column as it is 1-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point. The most frustrating part is the Heat had leads of 13 and 16 points in two of those losses and nearly blew a 19-point lead against the Pistons so this has not been able to close. Facing Brooklyn should have ended the streak at three but now facing the Wizards is a better opportunity to reinvent the offense that has shot less than 43 percent in four of their games. Washington is 1-3 with the lone victory coming against 0-5 depleted Memphis and the three losses have come by an average of 17 ppg. The offense has been average but has not been able to keep up with its horrid defense that is dead last in points allowed while ranking No. 28 in opponents shooting as the Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 50 percent to higher in three of four games. Miami cannot take any team for granted right now with the Lakers coming to town next and then embarking on a four-game roadtrip. 10* (572) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse finds itself in a very similar situation as last season where it opened the season 6-0 and then finished 0-7 while this year, it started 4-0 and has since dropped four straight games. The schedule for the Orange has not been on their side as Clemson, albeit which is having a down season, came to town after the 4-0 start and rolled to a 17-point win and then it has been three straight conference road games which all turned into blowouts. The schedule sets up well down the stretch to attain a pair of wins to become bowl eligible and it starts here where we can by Syracuse low and at certainly their lowest point. The offense has been non-existent of late, averaging a meager 226.8 ypg during the four-game slide but faces a very average defense. Additionally, they are -5 in turnovers during the losing streak. It has been close to the opposite start for Boston College as it started the season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Holy Cross of the FCS and that was by just a field goal but it has since won four straight games to move one game away from bowl eligibility. It has been a very favorable schedule however as the Eagles faced three teams that are currently a combined 5-19 along with 4-4 Georgia Tech and they won the turnover battle in that game 3-1. Despite the easy slate, four of the five wins have been by one possession. The offense has been consistently good, especially the running game where they are ranked No. 14 but the Orange are allowing just 149.1 ypg on 3.8 ypc on the ground. 10* (318) Syracuse Orange |
|||||||
11-02-23 | Magic v. Jazz | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Orlando opened this roadtrip with a win at Portland but since suffered back-to-back losses in Los Angeles to the Lakers and Clippers. The Magic are now 2-2 and are still going to be buy low team early in the season at least in the right spots and this is one of those. They still have a clean injury report which was rarely the case last season. The Magic went 34-48 last season but after starting 5-20, they went 29-28 the rest of the way and now have the same young roster back but with a big year of experience. They are allowing the second fewest points in the league against one of the worst tonight. Utah won its second game of the season last night against Memphis by 24 points but was not a great win against the now 0-5 Grizzlies. The Jazz are 2-3 overall and this is the second time this season they have played a back-to-back with the first resulting in a Game One win and a Game Two loss, granted that second game was on the road but this is not a good home floor edge to begin with or what it used to be. The defense came through against a depleted Memphis offense last night but prior to that, they had allowed opponents to shoot 54.1 percent in their three previous games. 10* (559) Orlando Magic |
|||||||
11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. We won with Tennessee on Sunday as it was a big game in what was its first home game in a month and this week starting a three-game stretch on the road. The Titans were able to get the job done with Will Levis making his first career start but now he makes his first road start and rookie quarterbacks have struggled in these spots as going back over a decade, rookie quarterbacks on the road are 22-127-1. He made the big plays with three of his four touchdowns being 33, 47 and 61 yards and take away his four-touchdown yardage, he threw for only 81 yards in his other 15 completions. The win snapped a two-game losing streak and Tennessee is now 3-0 at home but 0-4 away from home and this is a horrible spot catching a bad number. The Titans are now ranked No. 20 in offensive EPA and No. 22 in defensive EPA and faces an excellent defense and while catching a break again a mediocre quarterback, the defense has allowed 23, 23 and 27 points against low-tiered starters and backups. The Steelers lost to Jacksonville by 10 points to drop to 4-3. The defense played well with a bend do not break effort as they did hold the Jaguars to four field goals while the touchdown given up was simply a missed coverage play on a 56-yard strike to Travis Etienne. The Steelers are tied for No. 11 in defensive EPA and have a much better matchup here. The offense was inconsistent once again as quarterback Kenny Pickett left the game with a rib injury in the first half and Mitch Trubisky came in relief and was not much better but he will be working with the starters on this short week. 10* (310) Pittsburgh Steelers |
|||||||
11-02-23 | South Alabama +5.5 v. Troy | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After two straight blowout wins over UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi by a combined score of 110-10, South Alabama gave one back last week as it lost to Louisiana 33-20. The Jaguars actually outgained the Cajuns 498-349 but lost the turnover battle 5-0 and those five turnovers were one more than their previous six games combined. They fell to 2-2 in the SBC West which is just one game behind Troy so a win here gets them into a tie for first place. The offense has been cruising as South Alabama is ranked No. 20 overall and No. 31 in scoring and while the rushing game is the weakness, it is still No. 50 and that is with two bad games against Tulane and James Madison where it has 102 yards on the ground combined. Defensively, the Jaguars have been nearly as good as they are ranked No. 21 overall and No. 40 in points allowed so the 4-4 record is deceiving with two of those losses against Tulane to open the season and then last week where they had a combined 10 turnovers and the other two losses coming by just one possession. Troy has won five straight games following a 1-2 start and the Trojans have covered four straight games which is playing into this line and making them a public play coming off an advanced line where it has risen by 2.5 points. The defense has led the way as Troy has allowed only 5.8 ppg over its last four games after giving up 28 ppg through its first four games. That is a daunting task for the Jaguars but this is the best offense that the Trojans have seen over this recent four-game stretch. Offensively, they are No. 31 overall but just No. 71 in scoring because they do give the ball away a ton. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in four straight games. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (315) South Alabama Jaguars |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Nets v. Heat -6 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We expected to see some regression from Miami after its NBA Finals run last season but it has been a little worse initially thought. The Heat are 1-3 and has lost three straight games since squeaking out a one point win over Detroit. They have yet to cover a game, going 0-3-1 ATS after blowing a big lead against the Pistons and then hitting the road for the next three games, all against likely playoff teams. Bam Adebayo sat out the last game but will be back while Jimmy Butler did not play the fourth quarter against Milwaukee but should be good to go as well. Brooklyn is 1-2 and has been competitive in its two losses, falling to Cleveland and Dallas by six points combined, before winning at Charlotte on Monday. This is a team in transition that just a couple seasons ago had one of the best rosters in basketball but it is now a mish mash. The Nets are led by Cam Thomas with 33 ppg who put up just 10.6 ppg last season and now they will be without one of their top players in Spencer Dinwiddie who is sidelined with an ankle injury. 10* (542) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Blazers v. Pistons -4 | Top | 110-101 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. It has been a decent start to the season for Detroit as it opened the season with a one-point loss at Miami before winning two straight games but gave one of those back on Monday in Oklahoma City. The Pistons are back home where they have won their only game played here against Chicago and should be able to get back over .500. The return of Cade Cunningham has been the big boost after he played only just over 11 games last season before having to miss the rest of the year as he leads the team with 21 ppg and 7.5 apg. Portland opened the season with three straight losses before a win in Toronto on Monday and it closes its three-game roadtrip tonight. They are coming off their best defensive performance of the season after allowing opponents to shoot 49 percent through those first three games. This is not a good roster and they will continue to be without Anfernee Simons who played in the opener against the Clippers and scored 18 points but a thumb injury will cause him to miss the next month or more. 10* (530) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Bucks v. Raptors +5.5 | Top | 111-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Milwaukee is off to a 2-1 start as the addition of Damian Lillard has already shown positive signs as he has averaged 23.3 ppg but it does drop off considerably after he and Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks did have a surprising blowout loss against Atlanta but followed that up with a win over Miami. All three games have been at home so this is their first trip on the road where they were solid last season but nothing compared to their 32-9 record at home which was toed for best in the Eastern Conference. Toronto opened the season with a win over Minnesota but it has lost three straight games since then including a bad loss against a bad Portland team on Monday. The Raptors have yet to be able to find their offensive rhythm as they are last in the league in scoring at 99.5 ppg but a lot of that is pace as their starting five are all averaging double digits. They do make up for it on defense as they are No. 3 in points allowed and No. 1 in shooting defense and they will continue that slower play tonight. 10* (532) Toronto Raptors |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Ball State +5.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. The season is on the line for Ball St. which comes in 2-6 and has to win out for a chance to make a bowl game. The Cardinals snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Central Michigan in its last game and it has been a tough 0-4 record on the road this season. They had to travel to Kentucky and Georgia to start the season and then lost the other two games at Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan but has arguably its best matchup here. Ball St. will use its running game to shorten this game and does have an edge in that category with one of the best offensive lines in the country. The Cardinals are ranked No. 7 in stuff rate and No. 19 in line yards and faces a weak Bowling Green defense that is ranked No. 125 in stuff rate. The Cardinals have averaged 186 ypg on the ground over their last three games which coincidentally has come when athletic quarterback Kiael Kelly took over two games back. Bowling Green has won two straight games to move to 4-4 and things are looking good for a postseason appearance but they have been a fairly fortunate team. The Falcons lead the country in takeaways with 20 and that put them in the top 40 in the Luck Ratings with Ball St. coming in at No. 94. Offensively, Bowling Green has not been very efficient as it is ranked No. 114 in EPA per play and No. 110 in success rate which is possibly higher than they should be based on their 16 giveaways. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team. This situation is 154-86 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Ball St. Cardinals |
|||||||
10-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs +3 | Top | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Conference Game of the Month. Cleveland has some early season revenge going Tuesday after the Knicks took the Cavaliers out in the first round of the playoffs last season. It was a 1-1 split before the Knicks won three straight games before they eventually lost 4-2 against Miami in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Cleveland is off to a 1-2 start as it won its season opener at Brooklyn but has subsequently lost its last two games at home against the Thunder and Pacers. The Cavaliers are 0-3 against the number and are catching a big number at home with a lot of that based on the availability of Donovan Mitchell who is questionable after missing the Indiana game but did practice Monday so he will likely be a go. New York blew a late lead against Boston in its season opener and has split road games since then. The Knicks have been outshot in all three games and on the season, they are shooting just 40.4 percent from the floor while allowing opponents to hit 47.4 percent. While it is a limited sample, New York is just at 66.7 percent from the free throw line which is second worst in the league after being the eighth worst team from the stripe lat season. 10* (524) Cleveland Cavaliers |
|||||||
10-31-23 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan +5.5 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. The early lookahead line in this game was 2 and it has steamed up to 5.5 because of recent results which we are fading. Northen Illinois has won three straight games following a tough two-point loss to Toledo to move to 3-1 in the MAC West. Tw of the recent wins have come against two of the worst teams in conference and while there was an upset against Ohio sandwiched in there, it was not that long ago that the Huskies lost to a bad Tula team and fell to Southern Illinois of the FCS. Central Michigan is 2-2 in the MAC following a loss at Ball St. and this is an essential game to stay in the MAC West race with a game against Toledo still on the schedule. The Chippewas have gone 0-4 against the number in their last four games and that is the key streak to go contrarian with which is major reason for the move of this number. They had a bad loss at Buffalo but were -4 in turnovers in that game and the takeaways have been a problem which has put then near the top of the luck rankings. Central Michigan has accumulated only four takeaways which is tied for second fewest in the nation and they have yet to win the turnover battle in any game. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 23-8 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Central Michigan Chippewas |
|||||||
10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7.5 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. We played against Detroit last week as it had its four-game winning streak snapped. This is a big number to put down and will be a typical primetime favorite public play but those are called for at times. The Lions at 5-2 are one of the top teams in the league in metrics as they come in ranked No. 5 in net DVOA and are back home following a two-game roadtrip. The two home wins were blowouts and the lone loss came against Seattle, which came into Week 8 as the No. 2 ranked team in net DVOA, in overtime where Detroit never saw the ball. Las Vegas is coming off a blowout loss at Chicago last week to fall to 3-4 on the season, snapping a two-game winning streak. Two of those wins were at home with the other win coming in Denver by a point and this team is a few played away from being 1-6 or potentially 0-7. Las Vegas is ranked outside the top 24 in EPA in all but offensive passing and that is just No. 16 and the Raiders have an overall net EPA of No. 30. That is the same ranking as their net DVOA so the 3-4 record is even more deceiving. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (280) Detroit Lions |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Lakers v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Lakers lost their season opener against Denver but bounced back with a win over Phoenix on Thursday. However, that was against a Suns team missing Devin Booker and Bradely Beal and it took a 28-11 fourth quarter to get it done. Anthony Davis bounced back with a big game, scoring 30 points and grabbing 12 rebounds after being non-existent in the second half against the Nuggets. Overall, it was another average night for the offense, shooting just 42.9 percent from the floor including going 5-29 from long range. Now the Lakers hit the road again in a tough matchup. It was a reverse start for the Kings which won at Utah to open the season but then lost at home to Golden St. on Friday with an uncharacteristic shooting night, hitting just 43.6 percent from the floor. Sacramento will be out for its first home win after going 23-18 here during the regular season last year. The defense was never the strength and that showed by allowing 55.2 percent shooting but that effort gets better tonight. The Kings were the healthiest team in the league last season as their 55 games missed were the fewest in an 82-game schedule since 2015-16. Sacramento has everyone back from that mix and it has gone 24-13 ATS in its last 37 games following a loss. 10* (578) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Bears +9 v. Chargers | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Bears are certainly not a very good team but this line is saying the Chargers are which they are not. Chicago has won two of its last three games after a 0-4 start and in four of their overall losses, they have been -2 in turnovers each game and two of those defeats were by a combined nine points. Quarterback Tyson Bagent had a decent first start after getting thrown into the fire against the Vikings and while he faced a bad defense, the now faces an even worse defense. Los Angeles lost for us in Kansas City last week and it has been just bad mistakes and coaching that has led to its 2-4 record. They are back home but it is certainly not a big home field edge and while the Bears are down, there will be plenty of fans there. The Chargers only won three games last season by more than one possession and that has carried over into this season with the two wins coming against the Raiders and Vikings by seven and four points respectively. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .250 and .400. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (277) Chicago Bears |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos +7 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. We just saw this matchup two weeks ago to open Week 6 on Thursday night and Kansas City came away with a 19-8 win and covered on a late field goal. The Broncos have been one of the biggest underachievers this season as they are 2-5 following a win last week against Green Bay with the other win coming against Chicago. The only bad loss was against Miami as a loss to the Jets was close until a fumble returned for a touchdown and two other losses coming by three points combined. In the first meeting, the Chiefs were favored by 10.5 at home and are now laying only around a field goal less on the road in a horrible spot. They have won six straight games following an opening game loss against Detroit and are coming off a big divisional win last week against the Chargers. Now they head out on the road after two home games and they have the lookahead game in Germany next week against the Dolphins. The playbook will be vanilla without a doubt. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) Denver Broncos |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Saints v. Colts | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 84 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We lost with New Orleans last Thursday against Jacksonville as a potentially tying touchdown was dropped to close the game. The Saints fell to 3-4 with the loss after dropping two straight and four of five following a 2-0 start and even though the last two games were lost by a touchdown each, the Saints won the yardage battle in both by 133 and 77 yards. New Orleans is ranked No. 10 in net EPA with the defense leading the way with an EPA of No. 4. The Colts lost a tough one at home last week and they have also dropped two straight games to match the Saints at 3-4. The problem has been turnovers as they piled up eight over the two games but the money is saying they bounce back with 81 percent of the money on them which has flipped the line. The offense and defense are both in the middle of the league in EPA but Indianapolis has a big disadvantage in defense with Gardner Minshew being turnover prone and its own defense can struggle against this type of midrange offense. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (251) New Orleans Saints |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Eagles v. Commanders +6.5 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -105 | 84 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. The Eagles were an enigma through its first six games which included a loss against the Jets with most of the first five wins leaving more questions than answers. The win over the Dolphins last Sunday night has the public all in love again and money has poured in on Philadelphia to move this already inflated line for being a divisional game in a rematch from four weeks ago. This is no doubt one of the best rosters in the NFL but they have looked off from the start and they have gone from an EPA of No. 2 to No. 7. The Eagles have Dallas on deck as well. Washington has been all over the place at 3-4 as it is coming off a loss against the Giants on the road. The Commanders are coming off a two-game roadtrip and are back home where they have failed to cover a game, going 0-3 which makes them unbettable to some. In the first meeting in Philadelphia, they took the Eagles to overtime and these divisional game can be out of whack like that. Sam Howell will be a big key as he was coming off three straight solid games before last week. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 96-49 ATS (66.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Washington Commanders |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Falcons v. Titans +3 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 84 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Tennessee is riding a two-game losing streak following a loss to Indianapolis on the road and a loss at Baltimore. The Titans are coming off a bye so this is their first home game in one month and then they have to travel for three straight games so they know the importance of this game. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill will probably miss this game and word is Will Levis will get the start. That is not a huge matter as Tennessee has a passing EPA of No. 22 as it is and Atlanta has a defensive passing EPA of No. 21 and they will rely on the strong running game. Atlanta is coming off an upset at Tampa Bay to improve to 4-3 but this record could be so much worse as three of the Falcons wins have come by a total of six points. This is only the third true road game of the season and counting the game in London, they are averaging 9.7 ppg away from home compared to 21.5 ppg in Atlanta. In either instance, this offense is bad. Overall, Atlanta is No. 24 in DVOA which is lower than Tennessee and the line flipped from opening with everyone on the Falcons. Here, we play against favorites forcing 1 or less turnovers per game, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 50-16 ATS (75.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (266) Tennessee Titans |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Great spot and great line for Green Bay. The Packers were out west which resulted in losses to Las Vegas and Denver but by only six points combined. They have lost three straight games overall to fall to 2-4 with one of those losses coming against Detroit and the other three by a total of seven points. Th Packers are No. 19 in EPA which is pretty good for the record and a lot of that is due to being tied for the No. 4 spot in the Luck rankings, in this case unlucky as the close scores indicate that. Minnesota is coming off the big win over San Francisco on Monday night for everyone to witness and that is putting the public on the Vikings this week. Minnesota has won two straight games to move to 3-4 and to their credit, they have lost all four games by one possession but so have its three victories. The Vikings are 2-1 on the road with the wins coming against Carolina and Chicago and now they go away from home for the first time without Justin Jefferson against a solid opponent. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (268) Green Bay Packers |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Oregon State -3 v. Arizona | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Oregon St. has won three straight games to improve to 6-1 with the only loss coming at Washington St. by a field goal. The numbers back up what the Beavers have accomplished as they are top 50 in seven of the eight major statistical categories and this is with playing the No. 40 ranked schedule. DJ Uiagalelei has not put up gaudy numbers but he has been efficient in this new system after leaving Clemson and he has a 15:4 TD:INT ratio. They have given the ball away only six times and face a defense that has only eight takeaways. Arizona is 4-3 on the season following a win over Washington St. that was an unexpected blowout. The Wildcats three losses have come by only one possession each so they have been in the mix and could have a better record at this point. The offense has picked it up over the last three games with Noah Fifita at quarterback but this will be facing the best defense he has seen to keep him off balanced. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (175) Oregon St. Beavers |
|||||||
10-28-23 | 76ers -4 v. Raptors | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Toronto is coming off a disheartening loss last night in overtime at Chicago and that makes this a tough recovery spot despite heading back home. Chicago trailed by 17 points with 4:58 to go in regulation but used a 22-5 run to force overtime and pulled out the one point win. The Raptors defeated Minnesota here in their season opener and have covered both games. The defense has led the way as they allowed 34 percent and 37.4 percent shooting but have a much tougher test tonight. The Sixers lost their season opener at Milwaukee by one point but stayed within the number. Philadelphia rallied from a 19-point deficit and eventually scored 12 straight points to take a 102-94 lead but Milwaukee scored 19 of the next 21 points. It was a very balanced attack for the Sixers as four players scored 20 or more points and they shot 51.2 percent from the floor which will make this a big test for the Raptors. Here, we play against underdogs off a road loss of three points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Marshall -4 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 6-34 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. After opening the season 4-0, Marshall has dropped three straight games, the last two coming against teams a combined 13-1 and this is a great get right opportunity. The Thundering Herd have won the turnover battle only once this season which has led to most of their games being close. The offense should get back on track after its worst game of the season as quarterback Cam Fancher was on a roll but faced one of the best defenses in the country last week in James Madison. Coastal Carolina has won and covered two straight games but it took a huge blow last week as All SBC quarterback Grayson McCall left the game with a concussion and will not play this week with is a massive blow to the offense. The Chanticleers are ranked No. 17 in the country in passing offense and making matters worse here, they face a Marshall team that is ranked No. 24 in passing defense while allowing just 56.1 percent completions. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (145) Marshall Thundering Herd |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Arkansas State v. UL-Monroe -2 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the UL-MONROE WARHAWKS for our SBC Game of the Year. UL-Monroe opened the season 2-0 but has lost five straight games including a pair of competitive losses in the last two against two of the top SBC teams, both on the road. The Warhawks have been underdogs by more than a touchdown in all of their FBS games so the fact they are favored here is telling. The rushing game was stifled against Georgia Southern last time out but the passing game got on track to carry momentum against a poor passing defense. The have forced four turnovers in three different games while Arkansas St. has a grand total of only five takeaways on the season. The Red Wolves dropped to 3-4 after a pair of losses to Troy and Coastal Carolina and all of their defeats have come against teams with winning records. However, the wins have been as bad as you can get coming against Stony Brook of the FCS along with Southern Mississippi and UMass which are a combined 2-13. They averaged 42.3 ppg in those victories but the offense put up just 5.6 ppg in the four defeats. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing a completion percentage of 62 percent or worse, after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 89-50 ATS (64 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) UL-Monroe Warhawks |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Iowa State -2.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 75 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Star Attraction. Iowa St. is in a favorable spot as it is coming off its bye week following a pair of wins to improve to 4-3 on the season. One of the losses came against Oklahoma with the other two coming by a combined 10 points against Iowa and Ohio. The Cyclones offense struggled in those two games but they have averaged 27.8 ppg over their last four games yet it is the defense that is once again the story of this team. They are No. 28 in total defense and have allowed 20 points or less in five of seven games and with playing the No. 15 ranked schedule. Baylor is coming off a win over Cincinnati last week by a field goal to move to 2-4 with the wins coming by a combined four points. The Bears are back home where they have lost all four games and the markets have really flipped on them as they were -26.5-point favorites against Texas St. in a loss and have now been underdogs in every game sense. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 outscored by seven or more ppg in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 84-40 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (187) Iowa St. Cyclones |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Western Michigan -3 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. Western Michigan is 2-6 overall including 0-5 on the road going up against a 4-4 Eastern Michigan team that is 4-0 at home and the Broncos are favored. You know where we are going here. The five losses have come against three teams from the ACC, Big Ten and SEC while the two other losses were against Toledo and Ohio, the two best teams in the MAC. The remainer of the schedule is in their favor and Western Michigan has to start here to keep bowl eligibility alive. Eastern Michigan has remained afloat that to an easy schedule. Despite playing one of the worst schedules in the country at No. 143, the Eagles have one of the worst offenses as they are No. 115 or worse in all four stat categories. The four wins have come against one FCS teams and the other three which are a combined 4-20. Sore you can lump the Broncos into there but they have had a different road to where they are and have performed better on both sides despite the huge disparity in competition. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (149) Western Michigan Broncos |
|||||||
10-28-23 | UMass v. Army -9.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Massachusetts has lost 24 straight road games before upsetting New Mexico St. in its season opener but that was a misleading final where it won the turnover battle 3-0. The Minutemen has digressed back to their old ways and have lost seven straight games and will have to wait for next season to go to their first bowl game since 1972. Defensively they have been horrible, allowing the most points in the country and ranking No. 123 in total defense which puts Army in a great spot. The Black Knights have lost four straight games including getting shut out in their last two games but those were against Troy and LSU. While they have not put up the typical gaudy rushing yards, they have still had success and face the second worst rushing defense in the country. With only five losses, a bowl game is still possible and the schedule sets up well the rest of the way with no true road games remaining. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situations is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (124) Army Black Knights |