Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Penn State v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Game of the Year. Michigan St. is coming off an absolute disaster of a game as it went to Columbus and got shellacked by Ohio St. 56-7. The Spartans allowed 655 total yards and 36 first downs while getting outgained by a total of 431 total yards. This game was over a minute into the second quarter as Ohio St. built a 28-0 lead and it scored a touchdown on its first seven possessions. The Spartans can either carry that over or be highly motivated to bounce back and we are expecting the latter after the embarrassment this past Saturday. Despite the effort, the Michigan St. offense has improved by over 14 ppg and the defense has improved by close to 10 ppg from the 2-5 record from last season. While a bowl game was out of the question last season when these teams met in the season finale, Michigan St. will be out for revenge after blowing a 21-10 lead at halftime, getting outscored 29-3 in the second half in the 39-24 defeat. The Spartans are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Penn St. had lost three of four games and then recorded its best defensive effort of the season as it shut out Rutgers while giving up only 160 total yards, 67 yards on the ground and 93 yards through the air while allowing just 10 first downs. That was the Nittany Lions final home game of the season and now they hit the road where they are 2-2 on the season. Penn St. is getting outgained 387-359 away from home and the big problem has been the running game as it has averaged only 71 ypg on 2.5 ypc on offense. The Nittany Lions are dealing with the flu going through the roster which could have an effect going into the final regular season game. There is not a ton at stake for Penn St., which at this point is likely headed to either the Music City Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl or the Pinstripe Bowl, certainly not what it was looking for when it opened the season 5-0. Penn St. is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. 10* (224) Michigan St. Spartans |
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11-27-21 | Wake Forest -4.5 v. Boston College | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Wake Forest opened the season 8-0 and were a top 10 ranked team before a tough loss at North Carolina shattered any sort of CFP dreams. The Demon Deacons bounced back with an impressive win over NC State before hitting a buzzsaw at Clemson last week. The Tigers offense was pretty much non-existent for most of the season yet put up 543 yards on Saturday but Wake Forest does not have to worry about that here. There is still plenty of motivation though as Wake Forest can still clinch the ACC Atlantic Division with a win over Boston College and get into the ACC Championship game against Pittsburgh. The Eagles were able to gain bowl eligibility with a pair of wins over Georgia Tech and Virgnia Tech and came up just short against Florida St. last week as they nearly rallied from a 26-3 deficit. This is the fifth straight season that the Eagles have registered six win so it will not be easy for Wake Forest but has factors going its way. The Boston College program has been up and down recently and it has struggled against the better teams as the last win for the Eagles against an AP Top 25 team was a 37-31 victory over USC back in 2014 and it has lost 23 consecutive game since then. The Eagles are dealing with a flu outbreak, as a reported 15 players have been hit by the virus according to head coach Jeff Hafley. Here, we play on road conference favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging between 140 and 190 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. this situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (161) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -108 | 71 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line for Cincinnati as a win for the Bearcats and a victory in the AAC Championship and they likely punch their ticket into the final four spots in the CFP. They are coming off an impressive win over SMU which pumped up the resume but they remain overpriced as they failed to cover their previous four games. While those spreads were all over three touchdowns, they all came against teams with losing records and while the number is less here, this is a dangerous spot. Overall, the Cincinnati schedule has been tame as it is ranked No. 94 in the country which is the lowest of any team ranked in the top 30 of the latest power rankings. The defense has been one of the best in the country but they face an offense that is playing at a high level. The Bearcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. East Carolina comes in with a 7-4 record including 5-2 in the AAC and this is one of the biggest home games in a long time. The Pirates have won four straight games and prior to that, while they were just 3-3, the three losses were by 14 combined points and they were against South Carolina, UCF and Houston which are a combined 23-10. East Carolina has outgained seven straight opponents and that includes the games against Houston and UCF and both of those were on the road. East Carolina is 4-1 at home and while this will be the biggest test of the season, there is no pressure as the Pirates are locked into a bowl game for the first time since 2014. East Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (156) East Carolina Pirates |
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11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 10 m | Show |
this is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. Arkansas is coming off a tough loss against Alabama as it fell by a touchdown and at 7-4 it will be looking for its most regular season wins since 2011. The Razorbacks have already matched their win total from the three previous years combined and will be playing their first bowl game since 2016. Three of the Razorbacks four losses have come against ranked teams (Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss) and the other came against Auburn, its only home loss of the season. Arkansas has a strong offense that is ranked No. 29 overall including No. 14 in rushing offense, averaging 222.7 ypg on the ground and it will be able to take advantage in this matchup. Arkansas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Tigers are coming off a one-point victory over Florida in overtime which got Missouri bowl eligible and it has now posted at least a .500 record in five straight years. They have won two straight games but both of those came at home and the Tigers are just 1-3 on the road with the only win on the highway being a 37-28 victory at Vanderbilt which enters this week with a 2-9 record. Despite the winning record, the Tigers are ranked next-to-last in the SEC in scoring defense; allowing 34.7 ppg which is only ahead of the Commodores. The biggest weakness for Missouri is the rushing defense that is dead last in the conference, which as mentioned, is the Arkansas strength on offense. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on conference favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in the first half of the season that are averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (132) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We played against Texas last week as it has now lost six straight games after a 4-1 start and no bowl is in the future for the Longhorns. This is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss against Kansas two weeks ago, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. There is no motivation for this team right now and while it is the last home game, with a 12:00 game, this place will not be overly energized. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 39.3 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 107 in total defense and No. 105 in scoring defense. The Longhorns have failed to cover any of the six games during this losing streak. Kansas St. had won four straight games with a potent offense that put up 31.3 ppg but managed only 10 points last week in a 20-10 home loss against Baylor. The Wildcats gained only 263 total yards which was their lowest since a game against Oklahoma St. back in September and the Cowboys own the No. 3 total defense in the nation. The offense has been up and down but should have success against the Longhorns and it is the other side of the ball that should flourish. Heading into the final game of the regular season, the Wildcats are No. 3 in the conference in scoring defense, No. 2 in rushing defense, No. 5 in passing defense, and No. 3 in total defense. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 35 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (121) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi has won three straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and with a win here, the Rebels will post the highest regular-season win total in school history. They are coming off a lackluster effort against Vanderbilt but they were just going through the motions looking forward to this game. They have the best player on the field in quarterback Matt Corral who is 233-345 for 3,100 yards passing and 19 touchdowns with just three interceptions while rushing for another 10 touchdowns and he has become a Heisman candidate. It is just not about the passing however as Mississippi has rushed for 231.1 ypg, and have had six games of more than 250 yards including four in the SEC. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Mississippi St. has won four of its last five games to become bowl eligible for the 12th straight season although last season comes with an asterisk as the Bulldogs were 4-6 but with COVID, they were able to get into the Armed Forces Bowl because of a lack of teams. The Bulldogs have a solid quarterback of their own as Will Rogers has averaged 390 ypg over his last four games but he has a tough test here. Mississippi has given up an average of 259 ypg through the air in SEC games and has only allowed more than 300 yards just once this season. In a Mike Leach offense, the Bulldogs passing game is no surprise but they could use some balance here yet that is unlikely. Mississippi St. had just its second 100-yard game on the ground last week but that was against Tennessee Tech of the FCS. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) Mississippi Rebels |
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11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State -6.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our XFB Tuesday Enforcer. The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing performance last week against Central Michigan as they had a chance to grab their sixth win of the season on their home field but lost by 20 points. Hope is not lost however as Ball St. is still vying for its second straight bowl bid with a win tonight to improve to 6-6 and it can make every team in the MAC West Bowl eligible. It is Senior Night and a big one at that as The Cardinals have 10 All-MAC selections from last season will be playing their final home game with a lot on the line. This group helped to win the MAC Championship last season and go to a bowl game for the first time since 2013 and they want a repeat of a bowl game before they move on. The passing game will be important for the Cardinals against a suspect Bulls passing defense as they are 3-1 when passing for more than 200 yards, the only exception being a seven-point loss to Miami. The Bulls had their chances as they were 4-4 through eight games and had a golden opportunity to add to that but lost at home to 3-8 Bowling Green by 12 points as a 13.5-point favorite then got hammered at Miami. They did their best to keep the six-win goal alive last week but fell in overtime to Northern Illinois and Buffalo was eliminated from bowl contention and clinched its first losing season since 2016. There may be motivation from losing the MAC Championship last season to the Cardinals but the recent rough stretch will have the Bulls in a tough spot here. Buffalo has struggled in this spot this season as they are 0-3 on the road when getting points, getting outscored by an average of 20.7 ppg. The Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (102) Ball St. Cardinals |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Utah hosts Oregon in its biggest home game in recent memory in what looks like a preview of the Pac 12 Championship. The Utes are 4-0 at home including three conference wins, all by double-digits, and all three against teams with winning Pac 12 records going a combined 13-5 outside of the Utah losses. The Utes are outgaining opponents by 85.5 ypg at home and they have been dominant here going 18-2 in their last 20 home games. Since Cameron Rising took over as the full-time starter at quarterback, the Utah offense has been much better in every aspect as his 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions has opened up the running game which ranks third in the conference. The Utes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Oregon has won five straight games to improve to 9-1 on the season and the Ducks remain No. 3 in the latest CFP Rankings. Yet they come in as underdogs and the public is on the side of Oregon based on that. The Ducks are ranked No. 32 in total offense and No. 57 in total defense which is nothing special compared to where they are ranked and this is a tough spot in a hostile environment. Oregon did win at Ohio St. in the season opener but that was before the Buckeyes hit their stride and since then, the Ducks have gone 2-1 on the road which includes a three-point win over UCLA and a 10-point win over 3-4 Washington. Taking away the game against 3-7 Colorado and Oregon has not outgained any opponent by more than 70 yards over the last seven games. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (372) Utah Utes |
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11-20-21 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee State -3.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Old Dominion has won three straight games to improve to 4-6 which has kept its bowl hopes alive. Those wins came against teams a combined 5-13 in the conference and only one was on the road which was against Florida International that is now 0-6 in C-USA and 1-0 overall. The Monarchs are 1-4 on the road and have been outgained by 107.5 ypg in those four losses. Winning away from home has been an issue for a while as Old Dominion is 2-15 in its last 17 road games and not playing a single game last season has carried over. The Monarchs have been mediocre on both sides of the ball as they come in ranked No. 79 in scoring offense and No. 81 on scoring defense. The Monarchs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games on turf. Middle Tennessee St. rolled over Florida international and now it needs just one more win to become bowl eligible. After an uneven start to the season on offense, the Blue Raides have averaged 37.3 ppg over their last four games and at home, they are 4-0 and have been much more consistent than on the road, averaging 42.3 ppg. On the other side, they are allowing only 15.8 ppg and 289 ypg and have taken advantage of opponents miscues. After 10 games, the Blue Raiders have 29 takeaways to lead the country with 14 fumble recoveries and 15 interceptions. The home team has covered nine of the 10 Middle Tennessee St. games this season and going back, the Blue Raiders are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road underdogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. This situation is 75-29 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (394) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Clemson has had a disappointing season by its standards as it is 7-3 and has hurt its backers the majority of the time. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS and those covers were fortunate as one came on a fluke fumble recovery for a touchdown as time expired and the other came against Louisville that ended in a goal line stand. The record against the number is adding to the Clemson value here as the Tigers look to end its home schedule with a big win over a quality team. The defense leads the way and has picked up an offense that has struggled for the most part but has come on of late. They will be facing one of the worse defenses in the conference so the success should continue and the Tigers are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Wake Forest is 9-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at North Carolina by three points. 2021 marks the first time the Demon Deacons have ever achieved a top-10 ranking as they rely on a potent offense but this will be toughest test to date. Wake Forest has won three games by three points, including one in overtime, and it had to hold off Army in a game that was only a seven-point margin midway through the fourth quarter. The offense is one of the best in the country but the defense has struggled, especially against the run, which is problem here, and the Demon Deacons have been bailed out with their turnover margin. They have been outgained in two of four road games and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 50-17 ATS (746 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (362) Clemson Tigers |
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11-20-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +2.5 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 71 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Saturday Night Dominator. Mississippi has a chance to jump into second place in the SEC West with a victory as it looks to improve upon its 5-0 home record. The Rebels are coming off a heated win against Liberty as they welcomed back former head coach Hugh Freeze in the 27-14 victory and cover. They do own quality home wins over LSU and Arkansas and overall, they are outscoring opponents by 21 ppg at home. Mississippi possesses the No. 4 ranked offense in the country while sitting at No. 16 in scoring offense and while this will be one of the best defenses it has seen, the home field advantage will have a big edge at night. Conversely, this is the best offense that the Aggies have faced. The Rebels are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Texas A&M has won four straight games and has covered all of those as it has moved into No. 11 in the CFP Rankings, moving up two spots from last week. The Aggies own a big win over Alabama which was the start of this winning streak but this is not an easy spot. This is just their second true road game of the season, the first coming against Missouri which is 1-4 in the conference. They have picked it up of late by outgaining their last three opponents which came after losing the yardage battle in their three previous games and by an average of 153.3 ypg. Despite the recent resurgence, the Aggies are just No. 68 in total offense and No. 67 in scoring offense. Texas A&M is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 road games against teams averaging 37 or more ppg. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 31-15 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (196) Mississippi Rebels |
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11-13-21 | Hawaii -2.5 v. UNLV | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our MWC Game of the Week. UNLV is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-8 start and there no chance for a bowl game, that was their bowl game. The Rebels have played some tight games but prior to the game against the Lobos, they were outgained in all eight games and on the season, they are getting outgained by 133.6 ypg while getting outscored by almost two touchdowns. They have been pathic on both sides of the ball. UNLV is ranked No. 124 in total offense and No. 115 in scoring offense while on defense, it is No. 102 overall and No. 113 in points allowed. They have scored 20 points or less in regulation in six of their nine games. The Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Hawaii still has a chance for bowl eligibility as it is 3-6 and the final three games are all against teams with losing conference records. All six losses have come against teams that are all .500 or better so the Warriors are in a good spot here after coming off consecutive losses against Utah St. and San Diego St. which are a combined 8-2 in the conference and a combined 15-3 overall. Hawaii put up a great effort last week against the Aztecs as they lost by just seven point while winning the yardage battle. The Warriors are just 1-4 on the road but two losses came against Pac 12 teams while the other two came against the two division leaders in the MWC and the one victory came against a similar 1-8 team. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are +/- 5 in ppg differential going up against teams -10 or worse in ppg differential, in conference games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (165) Hawaii Warriors |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL v. Florida State +2.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Saturday Rivalry Annihilator. Miami has won three straight games to move over .500 for the first time this season and is now playing just its third road game of the season. The Hurricanes were over touchdown underdogs in both of those games and while facing an inferior opponent, this is no normal game. The three recent victories came by a combined eight points and the Hurricanes four FBS wins came by a total of 10 points. While the offense looks good by sitting at No. 24 overall and No. 31 in scoring, those ranking are severely skewed due to a 69-0 win over Central Connecticut St. where they put up 739 yards of offense. While they have scored a lot of points recently, they have allowed 34.8 ppg over their last four games. The Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. Florida St. is having a rough season at 3-6 and it will need to win out to make it to a bowl game. It will not be easy as the final two games are on the road which makes this the final home game of the season and closing out with a win over its most hated rival only adds to the motivation. A loss against Jacksonville St. in September was horrible and that was part of a 0-4 start but a recent 3-2 run with the two losses coming against Clemson and NC State, which are a combined 13-5, has shown some fight in the Seminoles. This is a quadruple revenge game for Florida St. after winning six straight meetings. This includes a 52-10 loss last season and that has not been forgotten. Here, we play on home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (202) Florida St. Seminoles |
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11-13-21 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -2.5 | Top | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-06-21 | UTSA v. UTEP +11.5 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CFB Late Night Dominator. UTEP is coming off its first conference loss of the season as it was defeated by just three points at Florida Atlantic despite outgaining the Owls by 163 total yards as turnovers and penalties did them in. They held Florida Atlantic to just 280 total yards and it is the defense that has led the Miners to make some noise in the conference this season. They are ranked No. 8 in the country overall including No. 11 against the run yet are undervalued once again which is shown in their perfect 5-0 ATS run. The Miners are unbeaten at the Sun Bowl in the last two years, going 6-0 with Gavin Hardison as starting quarterback. UTEP controls their own destiny in the C-USA West Division as if it can win out in the final four games, the title is theirs. UTSA has been a bigger surprise as it is undefeated and ranked No. 18 in the nation. The Roadrunners have had a favorable schedule however as all seven of their FBS wins have come against teams at .500 or worse. Taking nothing away from their undefeated record but the Roadrunners will be heading into their toughest environment of the season. There is some extra incentive for the Miners as the lost to UTSA by 31 points last season while getting outgained 600-246. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (406) UTEP Miners |
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11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-06-21 | Tennessee v. Kentucky | 45-42 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Kentucky suffered its first loss of the season three weeks ago against Georgia and after a bye week, it was unable to bounce back against Mississippi St. last week in a 31-17 loss. Those were the first two games all season that they were outgained but now they are back home where they are 5-0 and outgaining opponents by over 100 ypg. Running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. has apparently been battling a health issue but he is back to full strength and the leading rusher in the SEC averages 5.8 ypc on first down which helps the entire offense avoiding long down and distance situations. This will help with the passing game that is relatively efficient and Tennessee is allowing 249 passing ypg, 13th in the SEC, ahead of only Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee has also lost two straight games to fall to 4-4 and it has been outgained in four of its last six games against FBS opposition. Despite having an efficient passing attack, The Volunteers have allowed 28 sacks, dead last in the SEC. They are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (388) Kentucky Wildcats |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -6.5 v. TCU | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Baylor has won three straight games to improve to 7-1 including 4-1 in the Big XII. The Bears still have an outside shot for the Conference Championship but they will need some help as their one loss came against Oklahoma St. which is also tied for second place. The Bears offense continues to hum as they are ranked No. 18 in total yards and also No. 18 in scoring. They were held to a season low 14 points against the Cowboys which possess the best defense in the conference and it be the complete opposite here. Baylor has also been solid on defense as it has allowed the second fewest points in the conference and should once against step up here. The Bears are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The Horned Frogs have struggled to a 3-5 start following three straight losses and things should only get worse. TCU let go of head coach Gary Patterson this week after a bad run of late as the Horned Frogs are 21-22 since 2018 as the once stout defense has regressed considerably. TCU is ranked No. 111 in total defense, No. 116 in rushing defense and 104 in scoring defense. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (357) Baylor Bears |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State -3.5 v. West Virginia | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 49 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Oklahoma St. bounced back with a loss at Iowa St. with a 55-3 blowout of Kansas and it still remains in the thick of the Big XII title as it trails Oklahoma by a game and a half and hosts the Sooners in three weeks. The offense has been average but the defense has carried the Cowboys as they have allowed the fewest points in the conference and have not given up more than 24 points in any game this season. They average 7.1 tackles for a loss per game which is tied for best in the conference and No. 18 nationally. Oklahoma St. has held its opponent to fewer than 20 first downs in seven straight games. On offense, they rely on the running game and Jaylen Warren ranks in the top five in rushing in the conference with an average of 106.3 ypg. The Cowboys are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. West Virginia is now 4-4 om the season as the Mountaineers beat the Cyclones for their second win over a ranked team this year. As was the case last Saturday, the youthful Mountaineers are going to have to figure out a way to beat a football team that is considerably older and more experienced. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 390 and 440 ypg going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 3.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992. 9* (385) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
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10-30-21 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Notre Dame is coming off a win over USC last week and while that could spell a letdown but the Irish are still in the mix with a 6-1 record as its lone loss came against No. 2 Cincinnati. The remaining schedule is very doable to win out so they will need some help at the top for some teams to fall. This is the second of three straight home games for Notre Dame and it will definitely be tested in its passing defense but it is the other matchup that will go a long way. The Notre Dame offense has not lived up to expectations and the North Carolina defense has been just as bad this season as it was last season. The Irish are 9-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. North Carolina is 4-3 on the season after escaping with a win over Miami two weeks ago. The Tar Heels lost a ton of talent on offense and it has been a slow process to get readjusted and this will be their toughest test. Just like last year, the Irish defense needs to take away the running ability of quarterback Sam Howell. This is just the second true road game for the Tar Heels with the first coming at Virginia Tech which resulted in a loss. The Tar Heels are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. this situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (210) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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10-30-21 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Kentucky is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost at No. 1 Georgia but it stayed within the number for its fourth straight cover. They were down by just seven points at halftime and the Wildcats second quarter touchdown is the only first-half touchdown the Georgia defense has allowed all year. They are coming off a bye and it comes at the right time off that defeat. Their strength is their running game led by Chris Rodriguez Jr., who leads the SEC in rushing yards and yards per game despite getting handcuffed last week against the Bulldogs. Kentucky is currently No. 3 in the SEC behind Georgia and Alabama in total defense as it allows just 321 ypg and only 19.3 ppg. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Mississippi St. is coming off a win over Vanderbilt, which is 0-4 in the SEC, to improve to 2-2 in the conference and 4-3 overall. The Bulldogs have not won back-to-back games since opening the season 2-0 and they are a very one dimensional team as they are No. 4 in passing offense but dead last in rushing in the country. The Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Here, we play on road teams averaging 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 3.75 or fewer yppl in their previous game. This situation is 27-4 ATS (87.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (185) Kentucky Wildcats |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. SMU and Houston, two of the three remaining undefeated teams in conference action, square off Saturday night with first place in the AAC on the line. The Mustangs are a perfect 7-0 on the season and with the exception of a win over TCU, there have not been many good wins. They do have the advantage of extra rest over the last three weeks but it should not be a big edge on the road. This one will come down to strength against strength as the SMU offense is ranked No. 5 in the country while the Houston defense comes in at No. 4 in the nation. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Houston did not look great last week but there was a reason. Inclement weather delayed kickoff several hours and given the circumstances and the underrated quality of the Pirates defense, it is no shocker that Houston struggled offensively in a 31-24 win that took overtime to win. The Cougars are coming off a pair of underachieving seasons but they have plenty of talent and experience to make a run at the championship as they do not have to face Cincinnati during the regular season. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (192) Houston Cougars |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Illinois is coming off a upset as it took down Penn St. in nine-overtimes and the Illini are likely still celebrating. It was the second win in three games for Illinois as it defeated Charlotte and then got shut out against Wisconsin. The Illini are 2-3 at home and have been outgained in four of those games and by an average of 108.2 ypg. Illinois lost starting quarterback Art Sitkowski to a broken arm last weak which is not ideal as they are ranked No. 118 in the country in passing offense. On the other side of the ball, All Big Ten linebacker Jake Hansen suffered a season ending knee injury in the loss to Wisconsin and that hurts a defense that is already thin. The Illini are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Rutgers has lost four straight games but it has been a brutal stretch as the first three games came against Michigan, Ohio St. and Michigan St., which are a combined 12-0 in the conference and 20-1 overall, before facing Northwestern where it was simply out of gas. The Scarlet Knights had a bye last week so they come in fresh and ready to bounce back. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .250 to .450 where the line is +3 to -3 off a road conference win, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (139) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
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10-23-21 | UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 45-16 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana Tech last week against UTEP in a 19-3 loss. This comes after averaging 33.4 ppg in its first five games so we can chalk up last week as an aberration. The Bulldogs are 2-4 and those four losses have come against teams a combined 20-5. The Bulldogs are having struggles on defense, but they represent a team that has been a bowl team for the better part of the last decade so the experience is big. This is an interesting line as Louisiana Tech was favored by close to a touchdown last week on the road and is now a home underdog against a team with a similar record, separated by just one game. UTSA comes in a perfect 7-0 and ranked No 24 in the nation, the first time the program has ever been ranked. The UTSA win over Memphis was solid but it was only by three points and the other five games came against teams a combined 8-23. The Roadrunners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game while the Bulldogs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (402) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Clemson was involved in yet another close game at won by three points at Syracuse last Friday to fall to 0-6 against the number. Herein is where the difference lies. The Tigers were favorites in all six of those games, five by double-digits and now they are underdogs for the first time this season. This breaks a streak of 60 consecutive regular season games where Clemson has been the favorite. The offense is dead last in the ACC, averaging just 20.5 ppg but the defense has made up for it, allowing a mere 12.5 ppg which is tops in the ACC and No. 2 in the country. Pittsburgh brings in a high-powered offense which has led to a 5-1 overall record including 2-0 in the ACC. The Panthers have not faced a defense like this however as the best defense they have faced led them to a season low in points. If Clemson wins, this could very well be a preview of the ACC Championship as Pittsburgh has a game and a half lead in the Coastal Division while the Tigers are just a game out in the Atlantic Division with a 3-1 ACC record which is good despite some struggles. The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Here, we play on road teams with a defense that allows 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (343) Clemson Tigers |
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10-23-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. UCLA | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Oregon is coming off a win over California but it was by just a touchdown and the Ducks have now failed to cover their last four games. They were favored in all of those games, three by double digits. Oregon has been fairly average on both sides of the ball but will be going up against an opponent with similar stat lines. Besides the loss at Stanford, the only other road game resulted in a win at Ohio St. The Ducks have done well recently as underdogs, including wins in the Rose Bowl against Wisconsin, the Pac-12 Championship against USC last year and the win over aforementioned Ohio St. The Bruins, now 5-2 and 3-1 in the Pac 12, went to Seattle, playing a game against a desperate Washington team and coming away with a touchdown win. The victory over LSU early in the season looked good then but the Tigers are not what they were a couple years ago. The Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while the Bruins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 7.5 and 8.3 ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (377) Oregon Ducks |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin -3 v. Purdue | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 78 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Purdue last week as the Boilermakers dominated then No. 2 Iowa in a 24-7 win on the road. That makes this a slight letdown spot despite what is on the line. They had the benefit of having a bye week to prepare for the Hawkeyes so that was a big edge and Wisconsin is a tough team to prepare for with its multiple running sets. Wisconsin slipped past Army 20-14 last Saturday and with the Iowa loss, the Badgers now control their own destiny in the Big Ten West as if they win out, they are in the Big Ten Conference Championship game. Wisconsin is 2-4 against the number as it has been favored in all of its games and it is laying a small number here. The other two games where the Badgers were laying a single-digit number came against Notre Dame and Michigan, which are a combined 11-1. Despite the win over Iowa, Purdue cannot be put into that group. The Badgers still have a solid defense as they are ranked No. 2 overall, No. 3 against the run and No. 8 against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The Badgers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. 9* (393) Wisconsin Badgers |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +3 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Tennessee is off to a solid 4-2 start following a pair of blowout wins over Missouri and South Carolina. The offense is ranked No. 19 overall and No. 7 in rushing offense and this is big as they face a defense that is ranked No. 102 overall and No. 106 against the run. Tennessee is 3-1 at home, outscoring opponents by close to 27 ppg. Last season, they went 3-7 and had the tough task of facing five ranked opponents, four of which were top six or better. With Alabama on deck, this is a big game to win. Mississippi was in a shootout last week against Arkansas and dodged a bullet as Arkansas went for two on its last touchdown and did not convert and the Rebels prevailed by just one point. One big thing that stands out is that they allowed 350 yards rushing last week and that will bite them here. The Rebels are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (194) Tennessee Volunteers |
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10-16-21 | Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Blowout Game of the Week. Alabama got shocked last weekend by Texas A&M on a last second field goal and you can bet that it will be out for blood this Saturday. The loss against the unranked Aggies ended an incredible streak of 100 straight victories against unranked opponents which went back to 2007. It also snapped an overall 19-game winning streak. While the Crimson Tide defeated Florida by just two points, the other four victories have all been blowouts. In 2019 after losing to LSU, they travelled to Starkville and defeated Mississippi St. 38-7 and we are expecting the same here. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are off to a 3-2 start following a win over Texas A&M prior to their bye week and while the extra prep time is normally a good thing, they are in a horrible spot here. Two of its wins came by a combined five points including a one-point win over Louisiana Tech at home. The Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games, off a win against a conference rival. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (183) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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10-16-21 | Bowling Green +9.5 v. Northern Illinois | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Bowling Green opened the season 0-2 and then won two straight games including a big win at Minnesota and now has dropped its last two games including an awful loss against Akron at home as a two-touchdown favorite. The Falcons are 2-0 in the MAC so this is a big game to try and stay within pace in the MAC East. They were predicted to finish last in the division but will be facing a team that was picked to finish last in the MAC West so this game is very winnable despite the spread no indicating that. The Falcons are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games off an upset loss as a favorite. Northern Illinois has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and it is coming off an upset win at Toledo this past Saturday by two points as a 13-point underdog. The Huskies are very average on both sides of the ball and are ranked No. 120 in passing offense, going up against a Bowling Green passing defense that is ranked No. 10 so running the ball will kill clock. Here, we play on conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a double digit home favorite. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1992. 9* (123) Bowling Green Falcons |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. After a 3-0 start to the season, Virginia Tech has lost two of its last three games and has gone 3-0 ATS over that stretch. The Hokies lost a tough one last week against Notre Dame as they blew an 8-point lead with just over two minutes left including the Irish go ahead field goal with 17 seconds remaining. Virginia Tech is 3-1 at home with that lone loss coming against Notre Dame by two points. The Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a pair of blowout wins although one of those was against New Hampshire of the FCS. The Panthers are 4-1 on the season with the lone defeat coming against Western Michigan as two touchdown favorites. They have one of the best offenses in the country but face a formidable Hokies defense and Virginia Tech has a big edge in turnover margin. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 73-34 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1992. 9* (128) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 92 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Iowa last week as it overcame a 10-point deficit to score the final 13 points of the game to win by three. The Hawkeyes may still be celebrating that victory which vaulted them to No. 2 in the country as they are now 6-0 on the season including a 3-0 record in the Big Ten. They have covered all but one game this season and now they are laying double-digits to a dangerous team. The team defense has been great but Iowa is ranked No. 119 in total offense so trying to outscore a team by putting up a ton of points is not likely an option. The Hawkeyes are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites of 10.5-14 points. Scoring could be even more difficult as Purdue is ranked No. 14 in the country in total defense which is not a surprise as it brought back nine starters. The Boilermakers are 3-2 but have failed to cover their last three games which adds value. Purdue is ranked No. 10 in passing offense so it does have an opportunity to move the ball down the field. Head coach Jeff Brohm is 14-3 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg on the season in all games he has coached. 9* (181) Purdue Boilermakers |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State +1 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Tuesday Game of Month. This could be a preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game as both of these teams are expected to win their respective divisions. Both the Mountaineers and Cajuns come in at 4-1 with both being undefeated within the conference. Appalachian St. is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against Louisiana with the lone loss coming last year at home by three points so revenge is in play here. Louisiana has won four straight games but three of those have been by just one possession including a three-point win over Nichols St of the FCS and the one blowout came against 1-5 Ohio. Looking at the overall numbers, the Cajuns have been below average on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 70 in total offense. Conversely, the Mountaineers are ranked slightly better on defense at No. 59 but are significantly better on offense, ranked No. 17, averaging 481.4 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs with a turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-09-21 | Utah +3 v. USC | 42-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Month. Utah is 2-2 following a win over Washington St. but it has yet to cover a game thins season, going 0-4 ATS. The Utes have 19 starters back and rely on a strong defense where it is No. 25 overall and No. 13 against the pass. Utah will be playing for safety Aaron Lowe who was killed in a shooting so this will be a motivated bunch. Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a win against a conference rival while going 8-0 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog of three or more points. USC is coming of a win at Colorado to move to 3-2 on the season. USC has yet to win consecutive games this season, but the Trojans have lost back-to-back home games despite being double-digit favorites against Stanford and Oregon St. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams allowing between 4.3 and 4.8 ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (347) Utah Utes |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3 v. Kentucky | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play of LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. LSU is coming off a loss against Auburn at home to fall to 3-2 and that loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Scoring is not an issue for the Tigers as LSU is averaging just over 30 ppg this season. Quarterback Max Johnson has thrown four interception to go along with his 16 touchdowns and the Tigers have yet to lose a fumble. LSU is 17-4 in its last 21 games as an underdog following a loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Tigers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards. Kentucky is off to a perfect 5-0 start after an upset win over Florida last week as a 7.5-point underdog. While undefeated, Kentucky has a turnover problem. Quarterback Will Levis has thrown six interceptions. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of -1.5 tpg or worse on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (359) LSU Tigers |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big 10 Game of the Month. Two top four teams square off on Saturday as Penn St. heads to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Nittany Lions roll in with a 5-0 record including a 24-0 shutout of Indiana last Saturday and they now hit the road after four straight home games. Penn St. is 2-17 ATS in its last 19 games against teams who give up 12 or less ppg since 1992. Iowa also comes in at 5-0 following a 51-14 trouncing of Maryland last Friday. The Hawkeyes return home where they are 3-0, winning by an average of 20.3 ppg. A short number only enhances this play on the Hawkeyes. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 26-5 (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (396) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-09-21 | San Jose State +3 v. Colorado State | 14-32 | Loss | -111 | 43 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our Ultimate Underdog. San Jose St. is 3-2 on the season following a 37-31 win over New Mexico St. and they are getting a short number here and an outright win is likely. The Spartans have failed to cover four straight games so we are going contrarian here. They have 19 starters back from the team that went 7-0 and won the MWC title last season. San Jose St. is 30-13 ATS in its last 43 road games after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Colorado St. is 1-3 and coming off a bye week following a solid performance at Iowa last time out. The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (345) San Jose St. Spartans |
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10-09-21 | Arkansas +6 v. Ole Miss | 51-52 | Win | 100 | 41 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Arkansas opened the season 4-0 before getting shutout 37-0 at Georgia last week. The offense should bounce back here after facing a stout Bulldogs defense as the Rebels are 12th in the SEC in total defense, giving up 371.3 ypg while ranking 12th in rushing defense, giving up 154.5 ypg. Arkansas is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 road games after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game and the Razorbacks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Rebels are coming off a 21-point loss against Alabama which snapped a four-game winning streak. Mississippi is 129th in the country as the second-most penalized team in FBS, including eight last week against Alabama. The Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with an offense averaging 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 3.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation 26-4 ATS (86.7 percent) since 1992. 9* (389) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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10-09-21 | Oklahoma -3 v. Texas | 55-48 | Win | 100 | 40 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Red River Shootout. The Red River Shootout takes place this Saturday between Oklahoma and Texas, both of which are ranked. The Sooners are a small favorite and the run defense will be key here. The Sooners have been strong against the run. Kansas St., West Virginia and Nebraska did not do much on the ground against Oklahoma and all of those teams have strong running games. Texas will try and slow down the Sooners offense that came to life last week. Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler was fantastic on Saturday going 22 of 25 and side from the high completion percentage, it was his most comfortable, and confident performance. Oklahoma is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games coming off three consecutive ATS losses. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 3.25 or less rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (379) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-08-21 | Stanford +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our Friday Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Oregon last Saturday in overtime to improve to 3-2. Stanford is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 24 points. The Cardinal average 11.6 more ppg (29.0) than the Sun Devils allow (17.4). The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Arizona St. is also coming off an upset win as it defeated UCLA as three-point underdogs to move to 4-1 on the year. The Sun Devils are just 1-2 when favored by 10 points or more. Arizona St. is 3-0 at home but this is a tough spot laying this number coming off that conference win The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1992. (83.3 percent). 10* ( 311) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-07-21 | Houston -6 v. Tulane | Top | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Houston last week as it rolled over Tulsa to make it four straight wins and improve to 2-0 in the AAC. While quarterback Clayton Tune is the leader of this team, of the Cougars 21 touchdowns on offense, 12 have come on the ground. Tulane enters Week six in the bottom 20 nationally in yards allowed through the air and on the ground and only seven teams have allowed more total yards per game. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. Tulane has lost three straight games, the last two as a favorite. Quarterback Michael Pratt has tossed four touchdowns and five interceptions so he has been inconsistent and that is a problem against a defense that has allowed 9.25 ppg over its last four games. The Green Wave are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Houston Cougars |
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10-01-21 | Houston +5 v. Tulsa | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Houston is off to a 1-0 AAC start after coming back to take down Navy last Saturday night. One week after injuring his hamstring, Clayton Tune returned to action as the starting quarterback. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a win last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak. Tulsa currently falls nearly the lower end of the spectrum as the 94th ranked pass defense, allowing 247.5 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or more turnovers per game forced, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Houston Cougars |
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09-25-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout. We are laying the wood with Oklahoma which is off to a 3-0 start. The Sooners struggled against Tulane and Nebraska but the motivation was probably a reason for that. The motivation will be here now. West Virginia has won two straight games following an opening loss to Maryland. The Mountaineers are 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (378) Oklahoma Sooners |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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09-18-21 | Alabama v. Florida +15 | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is a rematch of the SEC Championship from last season where Alabama won 52-46. Sophomore Bryce Young has taken over at quarterback for Davey O'Brien Award winner Mac Jones. This week Florida players said the loss motivated them throughout the offseason, knowing they would get another crack at the Crimson Tide this fall. Florida coach Dan Mullen is going for his first career win against Nick Saban. He beat Saban in 2008 as the Florda offensive coordinator but is winless against him as a head coach. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games, with five defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 26-5 ATS (8i3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (144) Florida Gators |
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09-11-21 | Houston -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 44-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Game of the Week. Houston finished 3-5 last season and is coming off a loss in its opener against Texas Tech. The Cougars are one of the most talented teams in the AAC and they return 18 starters. Rice is coming off a blowout loss to Arkansas which is projected to finish last in the SEC West. The Owls bring back a lot of experience as well but they are pegged to finish last in the C-USA West Division. Here, we play on teams in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (355) Houston Cougars |