Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State +1 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Tuesday Game of Month. This could be a preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game as both of these teams are expected to win their respective divisions. Both the Mountaineers and Cajuns come in at 4-1 with both being undefeated within the conference. Appalachian St. is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against Louisiana with the lone loss coming last year at home by three points so revenge is in play here. Louisiana has won four straight games but three of those have been by just one possession including a three-point win over Nichols St of the FCS and the one blowout came against 1-5 Ohio. Looking at the overall numbers, the Cajuns have been below average on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 70 in total offense. Conversely, the Mountaineers are ranked slightly better on defense at No. 59 but are significantly better on offense, ranked No. 17, averaging 481.4 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs with a turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC Monday Game of the Year. We will be laying the price Monday night as this is a horrible spot for the Colts. They are coming off their first win of the season as they pretty much dominated the Dolphins last week and while that could provide momentum, the spot is just too poor. After opening the season with two straight home games, this is the third straight road game for Indianapolis and even though it has an extra day to prepare, it is not ideal. Baltimore has won three straight games following a season opening loss at Las Vegas in overtime. The defense has led the way of late and they should be able to dominate again here. The Ravens have allowed fewer points in every game this season and after two straight road games, heading home is a great opportunity to stay atop the AFC North. The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams that are coming off two straight road games including a win in the last one, going up against teams coming off two straight wins. This situation is 22-7 ATS (75.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (480) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC West Game of the Month. The Cardinals are the only undefeated team in the NFL at 4-0 following a big win at Los Angeles last weekend but they are in a tough spot to keep that unblemished record alive. They lead the NFL in total offense but will face a big test here against the 49ers. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. San Francisco has lost two straight games to Green Bay and Seattle, both by just one possession each. The 49ers are now 2-2 in arguably the toughest division in the NFL so this is a huge game to keep pace. San Francisco may have to depend on rookie quarterback Trey Lance to go into Arizona and pull out a win and his scrambling ability could be a big asset. San Francisco is 11-3-1 ATS following back-to-back losses as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games against opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3 v. Kentucky | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play of LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. LSU is coming off a loss against Auburn at home to fall to 3-2 and that loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Scoring is not an issue for the Tigers as LSU is averaging just over 30 ppg this season. Quarterback Max Johnson has thrown four interception to go along with his 16 touchdowns and the Tigers have yet to lose a fumble. LSU is 17-4 in its last 21 games as an underdog following a loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Tigers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards. Kentucky is off to a perfect 5-0 start after an upset win over Florida last week as a 7.5-point underdog. While undefeated, Kentucky has a turnover problem. Quarterback Will Levis has thrown six interceptions. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of -1.5 tpg or worse on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (359) LSU Tigers |
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10-08-21 | Stanford +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our Friday Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Oregon last Saturday in overtime to improve to 3-2. Stanford is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 24 points. The Cardinal average 11.6 more ppg (29.0) than the Sun Devils allow (17.4). The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Arizona St. is also coming off an upset win as it defeated UCLA as three-point underdogs to move to 4-1 on the year. The Sun Devils are just 1-2 when favored by 10 points or more. Arizona St. is 3-0 at home but this is a tough spot laying this number coming off that conference win The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1992. (83.3 percent). 10* ( 311) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Thursday Night Game of the Month. The Rams are coming off their first loss of the season as they were hammered in Arizona 37-20 last Sunday as after jumping out to a 1-07 lead, they fell behind by 11 points at halftime. In four games, they are -22 yards in differential so they have been far from dominating as opposed to what their 3-1 record indicates. Los Angeles is a surprising favorite here as it heads to one of the toughest places to play in all of the league. The difference could be he Seattle offense. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have certainly helped production of Russell Wilson, and that should continue in this contest. This Rams secondary was just absolutely torched by the Cardinals last time out as Kyler Murray threw for 268 yards and two scores. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Seahawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (302) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-07-21 | Houston -6 v. Tulane | Top | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Houston last week as it rolled over Tulsa to make it four straight wins and improve to 2-0 in the AAC. While quarterback Clayton Tune is the leader of this team, of the Cougars 21 touchdowns on offense, 12 have come on the ground. Tulane enters Week six in the bottom 20 nationally in yards allowed through the air and on the ground and only seven teams have allowed more total yards per game. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. Tulane has lost three straight games, the last two as a favorite. Quarterback Michael Pratt has tossed four touchdowns and five interceptions so he has been inconsistent and that is a problem against a defense that has allowed 9.25 ppg over its last four games. The Green Wave are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Houston Cougars |
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10-01-21 | Houston +5 v. Tulsa | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Houston is off to a 1-0 AAC start after coming back to take down Navy last Saturday night. One week after injuring his hamstring, Clayton Tune returned to action as the starting quarterback. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a win last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak. Tulsa currently falls nearly the lower end of the spectrum as the 94th ranked pass defense, allowing 247.5 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or more turnovers per game forced, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Houston Cougars |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC Game of the Month. Cincinnati is coming off a 24-10 win over Pittsburgh on Sunday and the question is are the Bengals vastly improved or are the Steelers on a decline and we think it’s a mix of the two. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Jacksonville has one of the worst rosters in the NFL and it has shown already as the Jaguars are 0-3 straight up and ATS. Trevor Lawrence has struggled as he has completed just 54.2 percent of his passes while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing between 18 and 23 ppg going up against a team allowing 27 ppg or more. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (102) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. Dallas, who lost in the season opener against Tampa Bay in Week One, bounced back last Sunday with a 20-17 road win over the Chargers and now head back to Dallas for its home opener. The money is coming in heavily on the Cowboys yet the line has not moved which shows the smart money is on the Eagles. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a loss against San Francisco but actually outgained the 49ers. This came after a win over Atlanta where they outgained the Falcons by 174 yards. The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home divisional favorites that were outscored by opponents by four or more ppg last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (497) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS four our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Green Bay is coming off a win over Detroit on Monday as they outscored the Lions 21-0 after trailing at halftime. The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The 49ers are playing their home opener after coming off two road wins. The 49ers are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 161-94 ATS (63.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (495) Green Bay Packers |
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09-25-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout. We are laying the wood with Oklahoma which is off to a 3-0 start. The Sooners struggled against Tulane and Nebraska but the motivation was probably a reason for that. The motivation will be here now. West Virginia has won two straight games following an opening loss to Maryland. The Mountaineers are 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (378) Oklahoma Sooners |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | Top | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our Thursday Primetime Punisher. Houston is a mess at this point on offense and on a short week, it will not get better. Deshawn Watson is inactive again. Davis Mills, the third-round draft pick, completed just 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to the Browns. We are not sure that he can carry this team at this point. The addition of Sam Darnold so far looks like a great pick up for Carolina, which is now 2-0 to start the season. Coaching is huge and the Panthers have that here. Here, we play against home teams with a scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Carolina Panthers |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Green Bay to get back on track but it is laying way too much on Monday night. We should expect a much better performance from the offence that scored just three points against the Saints but defensively, the Packers will continue to experience some growing pains. Detroit put up a solid effort against the 49ers and while the defense stunk, the offense had a great showing with 33 points. Jared Goff went off for 338 yards with three touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going ip against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 55-23 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (297) Detroit Lions |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. Arizona is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Tennessee in Week One and heads back to Arizona for its home opener. On offense, quarterback Kyler Murray threw four touchdown passes while also running for another. Minnesota is coming off a poor loss at Cincinnati as it fell 27-24 in overtime. This team is talented enough to overcome that and this is a good number. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing ypg, after allowing eight or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (287) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We think Buffalo will have a chip on its shoulder this season and why not take it out on one of the perennial AFC top teams. Buffalo returns 20 of 22 starters which is one of the best percentages in the NFL while the Steelers have plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball and are already dinged up with injuries. The Bills offense had the no. 2 passing offense in the NFL last season, and quarterback Josh Allen had a record season that helped Buffalo score more than 500 points in a season for the first time franchise history. Allen completed 9 of his first 10 passes against the Packers in the only preseason action and should be ready to go full force from the start. The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week One while the Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in Week One. 10* (454) Buffalo Bills |
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09-11-21 | Houston -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 44-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Game of the Week. Houston finished 3-5 last season and is coming off a loss in its opener against Texas Tech. The Cougars are one of the most talented teams in the AAC and they return 18 starters. Rice is coming off a blowout loss to Arkansas which is projected to finish last in the SEC West. The Owls bring back a lot of experience as well but they are pegged to finish last in the C-USA West Division. Here, we play on teams in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (355) Houston Cougars |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Opening Winner. The reigning Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay will host Dallas in the NFL opener on Thursday night. The Cowboys welcome back Dak Prescott but not taking a snap in the preseason has us wondering how effective he will be coming off his ankle injury. The Buccaneers return all 22 starters from last season, the first time a Super Bowl team has done so since the 1970s. The Buccaneers were No. 1 in defense against the run last season, as well as No. 1 defense in Adjusted Line Yards allowed on runs up the middle which will put a lot of pressure on the depleted Dallas offensive line. The Dallas defense is likely to be extremely overmatched against Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown. 10* (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-06-21 | Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Louisville went just 4-7 last season but four of those losses came by just one possession. The Cardinals officially have 13 starters back but this is a very experienced team. They have 31 players that started at least one game and of those, 17 come on the offensive side of the ball and 14 were on defense. Quarterback Malik Cunningham had career highs last season in both passing and rushing yards and his 293.3 total ypg was good for No. 20 in the country. Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin will miss this game after testing positive for COVID. This is also a very experienced team but laying this number on a neutral field is too much. Louisville is another live dog. 10* (225) Louisville Cardinals |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Sunday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off a humble 3-6 season and it has not had a winning season since 2017 but things should turn around this season. The Seminoles return 17 starters including 10 on offense. This could be the turnaround season for Mike Norvell. Notre Dame brings back just nine starters overall including just three on offense and very well could be in a tough spot early on. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg last season, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-26 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (224) Florida St. Seminoles |
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09-04-21 | Georgia +3 v. Clemson | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 10* (207) Georgia Bulldogs |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Northwestern | Top | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Michigan St. had a rough season with the first year under Mel Tucker as it went 2-5 with a very young roster. Things will be better this season as the Spartans return 16 starters which is the most in the Big Ten. They were -14 in turnovers and that will not happen this season. Northwestern went 7-2 last season and won the Big Ten West as well as a win in the Citrus Bowl over Auburn. The Wildcats return just eight starters, four each on offense and defense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse last season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (153) Michigan St. Spartans |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | Top | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Minnesota went 3-4 last season with two of those losses coming in overtime. The Gophers bring back the most experienced team in the country as they return 10 starters on both offense and defense. They have potential to win the Big Ten West with a couple upsets along the way and they will be undervalued. Ohio St. not only has to replace starting quarterback Justin Fields but also five other offensive starters plus six starters on defense. The Buckeyes will have the hangover effect from the 52-24 loss to Alabama in the CFP Championship. Ohio St. will continue to be overvalued on name alone and while they are projected to win the Big Ten, it should take this team some time to gel. Too many points to lay on the road opening night. 10* (146) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 155 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Kansas City looks to win its second straight Super Bowl while Tom Brady will be playing in his 10th Super Bowl and searching for his seventh win. While Tampa Bay is considered the home underdog in this game, there is no real home field advantage based on fans but the comfort of their own stadium from locker room to site visions is and edge for the Buccaneers. Bet count is higher on the Chiefs, but money volume is higher on Tampa Bay which means smaller bettors are all over Kansas City but the big money bets are on the Buccaneers. One big factor that cannot be overlooked is the Tampa Bay pass rush against a depleted Kansas City offensive line. Kansas City was already without All-Pro right tackle Mitchell Schwartz and lost its Pro Bowl left tackle, Eric Fisher, to a torn Achilles in the AFC Championship Game. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, who combined for five sacks at Green Bay and they should have another huge game here. Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 5.65 yppl this season while the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing ypg on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. The Packers are in their fourth conference championship since 2014 and playing at home is big. Green Bay has committed a league-low 11 turnovers this season, including only two during its current seven-game winning streak. The Packers have allowed just 21 sacks all season and did not give up any sacks last week against the Los Angeles Rams, who had 53 sacks during the regular season. While the Buccaneers finished the regular season with the 4th most passing yards, 4,776 yards, Tampa Bay finished near the bottom of the league with only 1,519 rushing yards and balance is key in this matchup. Tampa Bay allowed an average of 246.6 yards per game, which is inside the bottom third of the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-80 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Green Bay Packers |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Tampa Bay looks for revenge after suffering a pair of losses against the Saints during the regular season. The Saints defeated the Buccaneers twice in the regular season, by a score of 34-23 in Week 1 and handily by a score of 38-3 in Week 9. Over the last five games since the Tampa Bay bye week, the Bucs have averaged 35.8 ppg as the offense has found its groove. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are coming off a win over Chicago 21-9 as they dominated throughout but it is a bigger challenge this week. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Green Bay is back in action following its bye week and has a big home field advantage here, not because of the crowd, but because of the weather and its familiarity to it. The Green Bay defense, which has allowed 25 points or less in its last six games, is an underrated unit and it will be facing an inconsistent Rams offense that has scored more than 30 points only twice in their last 10 games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only a few weeks removed from surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to struggle with his grip last week and that can only get worse in freezing temperatures. While the Rams defense is solid and ranked No. 1 in the NFL, Aaron Donald will almost certainly be playing, but with a rib injury and they are facing the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Green Bay Packers |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. The Bears earned the No. 7 seed in the expanded playoff format when the Cardinals lost to the Rams in Week 17. They closed with three victories in four games to close the regular season and sneak into the playoffs. Mitch Trubisky was benched earlier this season and has started just nine games but the Bears went 6-3 in those games. The Bears offense has averaged 31.2 ppg over the final five weeks of the season, tied with the Saints for sixth in the NFL. While the Saints finished 12-4, they defeated only one team this season with a winning record. The Bears catch a break on offense as the Saints ruled out one of their top defensive playmakers, defensive end Trey Hendrickson, with a neck injury on Friday. He finished with a team high 13.5 sacks. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .730 or better in the second half of the season off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (149) Chicago Bears |
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01-09-21 | Rams +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Los Angeles clinched a playoff spot last week with an 18-7 win over Arizona and will be out for revenge as Seattle held Los Angeles to less than 10 points for only the sixth time in the Sean McVay tenure. The Rams have not said whether starting quarterback Jared Goff or backup John Wolford will be under center to face the Seahawks and neither is a downgrade. The Rams defense was the best in the NFL by most statistical measures this season, finishing tops in both total yards allowed and points allowed while boasting the No. 1 pass defense as well. Seattle has slipped on offense as Russell Wilson was putting up MVP numbers but has digressed over the last few weeks. His only touchdown pass against the Rams since the arrival of Jalen Ramsey came in the fourth quarter two weeks ago. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 71-34 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (143) Los Angeles Rams |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -9.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Pittsburgh scored 21 unanswered points to beat the Colts last week and clinched a home playoff game next week. The Steelers are resting starters this week with nothing to play for and they will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Additionally, defensive lineman Cam Heyward, center Maurkice Pouncey and linebacker T.J. Watt will stay back in Pittsburgh. The Browns need a win to get into the playoffs following a bad loss against the Jets last week but they were down two offensive linemen and their top four receivers. Three seasons removed from 0-16, Cleveland can exorcise demons for players and fans. Here, we play on favorites revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (110) Cleveland Browns |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The AFC East champion Bills have already clinched home-field advantage in the wild-card round. While they had a chance to get a first round bye with the top seed heading into Sunday, those chances were dashed with the Chiefs narrow victory over the Falcons so the only thing left for Buffalo is to stay healthy. While the Patriots have been eliminated from the playoffs, there is motivation for this proud franchise as they can keep alive their record streak of 19 seasons without getting swept by a divisional opponent. And Bills Mafia will add to that motivation as they won a contest for the best NFL fanbase this fall. The prize was a billboard proclaiming their supremacy, placed in an opposing town and of course the Buffalo fans picked a spot on Route 1 just four miles south of Gillette Stadium. The matchup itself is pretty much a wash based on offense against defense on both sides so this line is inflated based on records and standings. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 90-44 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) New England Patriots |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -1.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games after an 11-0 start but can still clinch the division with a win on Sunday. One of the major reasons the Pittsburgh offense has taken a significant step backward in recent weeks is because of the running game unable to do much at all. The Steelers are the 31st-ranked rushing offense, but they might have found some momentum in Cincinnati after Benny Snell ran for 84 yards. Indianapolis has won three straight games but it was outgained in two of those while outgaining the Raiders by just 32 yards in the other one. The Steelers defense remains one of the best in the NFL as they are ranked No. 2 overall, against the pass and in scoring defense. On the other side, the Colts have dipped on defense as they have allowed 415.7 ypg over their last three games. Pittsburgh is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 home games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite while the Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (466) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 106 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Star Attraction. New Orleans is coming off a loss against Kansas City which was its second straight loss by a field goal but things are not that bad. The Saints can win the NFC South with a win over the Vikings when they kick off Week 16 on Christmas Day. Drew Brees did not play great in his return but that was expected against a tough Kansas City defense. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self and just got gashed by the Bears for 199 yards rushing. If the Saints could find a way to have something similar, this game should not be close. New Orleans has a very underrated defense as the Saints are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 5 in passing defense, No. 4 in rushing defense and No. 6 in scoring defense. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who give up 27 or more ppg. Here, we play teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 37-7 ATS (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (452) New Orleans Saints |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. Nevada | Top | 27-38 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Tulane started slow this season, losing four of its first six games, allowing an average of 35 ppg. The Green Wave, though, has won four of its last five, scoring 35 or more points in each of the four victories. The last two victories for Tulane were over teams that finished with a winning record, over Army and Memphis. The Wolf Pack has not beaten a team this season that currently is over .500. In its 11-game regular season, Tulane rushed on more than 62 percent on its plays and gained 2,408 yards, the eighth-best total in the nation. On the other side, Tulane is also very capable in defending the run (137.4 ypg) and the Green Wave front line also gets after the quarterback as their 37 sacks are third-most nationally. Tulane is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite over the last two seasons while the Wolf Pack are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up an against opponent after winning the yardage battle by 125 or more yards in their previous game. This situation is 115-61 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Pittsburgh has lost two straight games after an 11-0 start and while it will be motivated to bounce back before ending the season with two big games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, the Steelers are overpriced here. Cincinnati has lost five straight games and has averaged a mere 10 ppg over that stretch but getting over two touchdowns at home makes this a home contrarian play. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games laying double-digits on the road. It was announced that Ryan Finley will start for the Bengals and while that is a downgrade, he will be fine here. In the first meeting, a 36-10 loss, Joe Burrow was still the starter but he did not play well, yet the Bengals were outgained by just 53 total yards as the Steelers could not run the ball and they still cannot. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (370) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. This is a prime example of an overreaction to recent results. The look-ahead line on this game was Minnesota -6.5 but has been bet down to -3 in some places. The Vikings are coming off a 12-point loss against the Buccaneers but they outgained Tampa Bay and has 10 more first downs but were bad on third down which led to three missed field goals. On the other side, the Bears rolled over Houston 36-7 as Mitch Trubisky had one of his better games of his career. While the Minnesota defense is not going to strike fear into many teams, a repeat performance of that is unlikely. The Vikings won the first meeting by just six points but they outgained the Bears by 236 yards on the road. The key here is Kirk Cousins who was not horrible last week and he was facing the top defense in the league. He had a good game against Chicago in that first meeting. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (358) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Panthers are undervalued as despite a 4-9 record, they are better than that and still have a slim chance at a playoff spot. Carolina has won the yardage battle in eight of its 13 games as it has been more competitive than the record shows. The Panthers are getting outgained by just eight ypg while getting outscored by only two ppg. Seven of the nine losses have come by one possession so they have been in most games until the final whistle. Teddy Bridgewater has been terrific in this role as he 18-2 ATS as a non-divisional underdog including a perfect 10-0 ATS mark when getting more than a field goal. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Packers have clinched the division and currently possess the top seed in the NFL so naturally, they are going to be overpriced. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better coming off a road win against a division rival, in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (343) Carolina Panthers |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our ACC Game of the month. This is a rematch of one of the best game of the season as Notre Dame prevailed 47-40 in double overtime. Clemson will be out for revenge but the Irish will be out to feasibly take the Tigers out of the CFP top four. The Irish dominated the line of scrimmage with a 209-34 rushing yard edge. That was the most rushing yards given up by Clemson in a game since 2016 and the fewest rushing yards gained by the Tigers since 2011. Notre Dame is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing defense, allowing just 99.7 ypg. In the previous meeting, Clemson was just 4-for-15 on third downs, while Notre Dame was 10-for-19. For the season, Notre Dame leads the ACC with a 52 percent success rate. In the four game stretch surrounding Notre Dame, the Tigers were just 21-58 (36.2 percent). While Trevor Lawrence gets the pub, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book is the winningest quarterback in Notre Dame history with 30 victories and his numbers are comparable. Here, we play against teams in conference championship games revenging a same season loss against an opponent that has a winning percentage of .900 or better. This situation is 10-4 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (236) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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12-18-20 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Pac 12 Championship Winner. The Trojans first three opponents of the season, Arizona St., Arizona and Utah, were playing their 2020 openers when the Trojans lined up against them so they had edges facing teams that yet to take the field. USC is coming off a come-from-behind victory over UCLA, its third victory in five games where it had to come back and win in the final seconds. The Trojans will be without their leading rusher, Vavae Malepeai, who sprained his knee late against UCLA. The Ducks were on pace to win the division title until dropping their past two games on the road, 41-38 to Oregon St. and 21-17 to previously winless California. The Ducks finished second in the Pac-12 North Division behind Washington, but a COVID-19 spike in the Huskies program knocked them out of the title game Monday morning, putting Oregon in the championship game. Oregon is confident in the abilities of their own and fired up to show the nation what it can do. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record while the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs after a game where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after three consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 71-31 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (251) Oregon Ducks |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers are arguably the best team in the NFL with a losing record as seven losses have been by one possession including three games by a field goal or less. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has outgained six of its opponents and in the two games it did not, it was outgained by just 33 and 7 yards. Despite being just 4-9, the Chargers are ranked in the top ten in both total offense and total defense, one of only four teams to be there, joining the Packers, Colts and Rams. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games and are falling out of the playoff picture in the AFC as they are currently the No. 9 seed. Turnovers have been an issue as over the last four games, Derek Carr thrown at least one pick in each game and fumbled three times against the Falcons. Las Vegas is 7-3 when he has one or fewer turnovers and 0-3 when he commits multiple giveaways. The Raiders are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games while the Chargers are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games as road underdogs. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10 * (301) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -2.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-12-20 | Fresno State -12 v. New Mexico | Top | 39-49 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Fresno St. has been playing really well as it has won three of its last four games and while it did lose to Nevada last week, the Bulldogs won the yardage battle by 183 total yards. They have outgained their opponents in all four games and by an average of 131.5 ypg. New Mexico snapped a 14-game losing streak with a win over Wyoming last week despite getting outgained. The New Mexico quarterback situation is a mess as its top three quarterbacks Tevaka Tuioti, Trae Hall and Connor Genal are all either out or questionable and the Lobos had to finish with Isaiah Chavez who was fifth on the depth chart coming into the season. The Lobos have spent the rest of the season operating out of Las Vegas. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (427) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army -7 | Top | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. This is the first time this game has not been played on a neutral field since 1943 so that does give Army a small edge as it is 6-0 here this season. This is just the second time the Black Knights have been favored in this series since 2002 and it is nearly not enough of a spread. Army is No. 4 in the country in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while coming in at No. 3 in the nation in rushing offense. Navy had not covered in this series since 2013 when it rolled last season but this is a totally different team. The Midshipmen are just 3-6 on the season and their normally potent rushing attack has been bad the last few weeks, averaging just 179 ypg over the last four games. Army has had two weeks to prepare for this one. Here, we play against road underdogs averaging between 4.2 and 4.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 2.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (434) Army Black Knights |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. San Jose State | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. can secure a perfect regular season and a spot in the Mountain West championship game with a win. Because of COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara County, this game has been relocated to Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas but that is no advantage or disadvantage either way as home field has meant nothing in this conference with the lack of spectators. Nevada is still in the hunt as well as it comes in at 6-1 with the lone loss coming against Hawaii by just a field goal. The Wolf Pack are coming off an 11-point win over Fresno St. but were outgained by 183 total yards. It will be strength against strength and we like the defense to prevail. Nevada averages the third-most points per game in the Mountain West (31.3), and San Jose St. allows the third-fewest points per game (17.0). Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-10-20 | Florida Atlantic -8 v. Southern Miss | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic lacked the necessary sharpness to push its winning streak to five games in its loss to the Eagles, with the Owls committing a season-high four turnovers against Georgia Southern. They are still in the mix to win the C-USA East Division as the Thundering Herd loss to Rice on Saturday opened the door for the Owls to possibly win the division for a second consecutive season. They need Marshall to lose to Charlotte which is unlikely but the good news is that Florida Atlantic plays first on Thursday so it knows it has to win. This is the final game of the season for the Golden Eagles and they cannot wait for it to be over. They are 2-7 and have played well over their last three games but one of those was against a team from the FCS. Southern Mississippi is on its third head coach of the season and just hired its fourth as Will Hall was named the new permanent head coach and takes over next fall. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (375) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Although it has only played three games, Wisconsin is first in the country in total defense, third in rushing defense, fifth in passing defense and third in scoring defense. It is a small sample size but it cannot be understated especially against an Indiana team that just lost its starting quarterback as Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season with a torn ACL. Despite a nearly-even split between run and pass plays, the Hoosiers average just 3.0 ypc and with a new quarterback at the helm, this is a problem. Here, we play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a team with allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (402) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Appalachian St. lost to Coastal Carolina two weeks ago to remove any chance of a trip to the Sun Belt Championship but it bounded back with a 37-point win over Troy last week. The is the final home game for the Mountaineers and this is a good spot as they enter this matchup with better overall numbers in ppg and ypg. Louisiana has already clinched a berth in the Sun Belt Championship against Coastal Carolina so it may not be going full throttle and not give up a ton of its playbook. The Cajuns are 8-1 with that lone loss coming against Coastal Carolina so this is a big lookahead spot. Here, we play on home favorites that are outgaining opponent by 100 or more ypg going up against teams outgaining opponents by 50-100 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (328) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Air Force had it game cancelled last Thursday following a 28-0 win over New Mexico the previous week. Air Force averages 5.8 ypc and 336.5 ypg which is first in the country while Utah St. allows 5.1 ypc and 202.8 ypg which is No 101 in the nation. The game represents another difficult challenge for Utah St., which just lost another starter in running back Jaylen Warren after he entered the NCAA Transfer Portal. The Aggies are coming off their first win of the season after opening 0-4. Not only are they dealing with a lot of missing starters, but they also have an interim head coach after Gary Anderson was let go after a 0-3 start. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (325) Air Force Falcons |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats |
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11-27-20 | Stanford v. California +2.5 | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Stanford and host California take winless records into the annual Pac 12 rivalry Friday afternoon in the 128-year history of one of the greatest rivalries in college football. This is the first home game for the Golden Bears after losing at UCLA in their opener and then at Oregon St. despite outgaining the Beavers by 79 total yards. Stanford is also off to a 0-2 start and has now lost six straight games going back to last season as this once top level program has taken a tumble. Stanford has dropped seven straight games against the number while the Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams being outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 43-20 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) California Golden Bears |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-20-20 | New Mexico v. Air Force -7 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -23.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -3 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-07-20 | Houston +13.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State +3.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +13.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-31-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -2 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -117 | 71 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii -1 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +2.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |