| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens |
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| 12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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| 12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -2.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers |
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| 12-12-20 | Fresno State -12 v. New Mexico | Top | 39-49 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
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This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Fresno St. has been playing really well as it has won three of its last four games and while it did lose to Nevada last week, the Bulldogs won the yardage battle by 183 total yards. They have outgained their opponents in all four games and by an average of 131.5 ypg. New Mexico snapped a 14-game losing streak with a win over Wyoming last week despite getting outgained. The New Mexico quarterback situation is a mess as its top three quarterbacks Tevaka Tuioti, Trae Hall and Connor Genal are all either out or questionable and the Lobos had to finish with Isaiah Chavez who was fifth on the depth chart coming into the season. The Lobos have spent the rest of the season operating out of Las Vegas. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (427) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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| 12-12-20 | Navy v. Army -7 | Top | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. This is the first time this game has not been played on a neutral field since 1943 so that does give Army a small edge as it is 6-0 here this season. This is just the second time the Black Knights have been favored in this series since 2002 and it is nearly not enough of a spread. Army is No. 4 in the country in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while coming in at No. 3 in the nation in rushing offense. Navy had not covered in this series since 2013 when it rolled last season but this is a totally different team. The Midshipmen are just 3-6 on the season and their normally potent rushing attack has been bad the last few weeks, averaging just 179 ypg over the last four games. Army has had two weeks to prepare for this one. Here, we play against road underdogs averaging between 4.2 and 4.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 2.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (434) Army Black Knights |
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| 12-11-20 | Nevada v. San Jose State | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. can secure a perfect regular season and a spot in the Mountain West championship game with a win. Because of COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara County, this game has been relocated to Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas but that is no advantage or disadvantage either way as home field has meant nothing in this conference with the lack of spectators. Nevada is still in the hunt as well as it comes in at 6-1 with the lone loss coming against Hawaii by just a field goal. The Wolf Pack are coming off an 11-point win over Fresno St. but were outgained by 183 total yards. It will be strength against strength and we like the defense to prevail. Nevada averages the third-most points per game in the Mountain West (31.3), and San Jose St. allows the third-fewest points per game (17.0). Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) San Jose St. Spartans |
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| 12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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| 12-10-20 | Florida Atlantic -8 v. Southern Miss | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
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This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic lacked the necessary sharpness to push its winning streak to five games in its loss to the Eagles, with the Owls committing a season-high four turnovers against Georgia Southern. They are still in the mix to win the C-USA East Division as the Thundering Herd loss to Rice on Saturday opened the door for the Owls to possibly win the division for a second consecutive season. They need Marshall to lose to Charlotte which is unlikely but the good news is that Florida Atlantic plays first on Thursday so it knows it has to win. This is the final game of the season for the Golden Eagles and they cannot wait for it to be over. They are 2-7 and have played well over their last three games but one of those was against a team from the FCS. Southern Mississippi is on its third head coach of the season and just hired its fourth as Will Hall was named the new permanent head coach and takes over next fall. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (375) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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| 12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens |
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| 12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
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This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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| 12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
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| 12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
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This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Although it has only played three games, Wisconsin is first in the country in total defense, third in rushing defense, fifth in passing defense and third in scoring defense. It is a small sample size but it cannot be understated especially against an Indiana team that just lost its starting quarterback as Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season with a torn ACL. Despite a nearly-even split between run and pass plays, the Hoosiers average just 3.0 ypc and with a new quarterback at the helm, this is a problem. Here, we play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a team with allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (402) Wisconsin Badgers |
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| 12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
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This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Appalachian St. lost to Coastal Carolina two weeks ago to remove any chance of a trip to the Sun Belt Championship but it bounded back with a 37-point win over Troy last week. The is the final home game for the Mountaineers and this is a good spot as they enter this matchup with better overall numbers in ppg and ypg. Louisiana has already clinched a berth in the Sun Belt Championship against Coastal Carolina so it may not be going full throttle and not give up a ton of its playbook. The Cajuns are 8-1 with that lone loss coming against Coastal Carolina so this is a big lookahead spot. Here, we play on home favorites that are outgaining opponent by 100 or more ypg going up against teams outgaining opponents by 50-100 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (328) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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| 12-03-20 | Air Force -11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Air Force had it game cancelled last Thursday following a 28-0 win over New Mexico the previous week. Air Force averages 5.8 ypc and 336.5 ypg which is first in the country while Utah St. allows 5.1 ypc and 202.8 ypg which is No 101 in the nation. The game represents another difficult challenge for Utah St., which just lost another starter in running back Jaylen Warren after he entered the NCAA Transfer Portal. The Aggies are coming off their first win of the season after opening 0-4. Not only are they dealing with a lot of missing starters, but they also have an interim head coach after Gary Anderson was let go after a 0-3 start. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (325) Air Force Falcons |
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| 11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks |
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| 11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs |
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| 11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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| 11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
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This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats |
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| 11-27-20 | Stanford v. California +2.5 | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Stanford and host California take winless records into the annual Pac 12 rivalry Friday afternoon in the 128-year history of one of the greatest rivalries in college football. This is the first home game for the Golden Bears after losing at UCLA in their opener and then at Oregon St. despite outgaining the Beavers by 79 total yards. Stanford is also off to a 0-2 start and has now lost six straight games going back to last season as this once top level program has taken a tumble. Stanford has dropped seven straight games against the number while the Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams being outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 43-20 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) California Golden Bears |
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| 11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
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This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions |
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| 11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs |
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| 11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
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This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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| 11-20-20 | New Mexico v. Air Force -7 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
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This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons |
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| 11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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| 11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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| 11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -23.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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| 11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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| 11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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| 11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -3 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
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This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave |
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| 11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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| 11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
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This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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| 11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
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This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos |
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| 11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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| 11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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| 11-07-20 | Houston +13.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
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This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars |
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| 11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos |
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| 11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State +3.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
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This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams |
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| 11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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| 11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +13.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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| 11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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| 11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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| 10-31-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -2 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -117 | 71 h 16 m | Show |
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This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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| 10-30-20 | Hawaii -1 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
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This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors |
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| 10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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| 10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
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This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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| 10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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| 10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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| 10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
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This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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| 10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +2.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
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This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers |
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| 10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
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This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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| 10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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| 10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
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This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys |
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| 10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers |
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| 10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
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This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions |
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| 10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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| 10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
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This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave |
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| 10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | Top | 52-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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| 10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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| 10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills |
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| 10-12-20 | Chargers +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
| 10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -1 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons |
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| 10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 24 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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| 10-09-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals |
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| 10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears |
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| 10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston -6.5 | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
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This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars |
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| 10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons |
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| 10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints |
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| 10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | Top | 7-40 | Loss | -120 | 72 h 5 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen |
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| 10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. BYU | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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| 10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets |
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| 09-28-20 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs |
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| 09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots |
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| 09-26-20 | Florida International v. Liberty -7.5 | Top | 34-36 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 60 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. The Flames took to the road as 15-point underdogs and won outright against Western Kentucky, winning the time of possession by almost 10 minutes and the yardage battle by 196 yards without turning the ball over. They have quarterback Malik Willis, who was the Auburn second-string quarterback in 2017 and 2018 so you know he has legit talent. He proved that in his debut rushing for 168 yards, three touchdowns while also completing 13 of 21 passes for 133 yards. The Liberty offensive line is its under-the-radar weapon. Florida International begins its season finally and it will be looking for young inexperienced players to continue its recent success under head coach Butch Davis. Quarterback James Morgan and cornerback Stanley Thomas-Oliver were drafted in the fourth and seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft, respectively. Thomas-Oliver and Sage Lewis were selected as second-team All-C-USA for the 2019 season. The Panthers did not have any spring practices, so it might be tough to keep up with Willis and the Flames who have a game under their belt. Here, we play on favorites of a touchdown or more in their second game of the season coming off a win as a double-digit underdog. This situation is 11-5 ATS since 1996. 10* (442) Liberty Flames |
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| 09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
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This is a play on the UTSA Roadrunners for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. UTSA is off to a 2-0 start and while the schedule has not been tough, confidence goes a long way. The Roadrunners have outgained opponents by an average of 89.5 ypg and they get another great matchup here on Friday night where they have edges on both sides of the ball. While they have been outpassed in both games, the running game has been tough to defend. Middle Tennessee St. returned just five starters on defense and it is showing as the Blue Raiders are dead last in both yards allowed and points allowed per game. They were outgained by 184 yards against Army and 255 yards against Troy last week. The big issue has been the run defense as they are allowing 290.0 ypg and this is another horrible matchup as UTSA is averaging 282.5 ypg with is seventh in the country. The offense is not much better as they are also dead last in total yards and points scored and the opposition has not been overwhelming. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in five consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* 456) UTSA Roadrunners |
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| 09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins |
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| 09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 47 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We like what we have seem from South Alabama thus far as we won with them in their opener against Southern Mississippi and then lost by just three points against Tulane. There are some new faces from the squad that got slaughtered by UAB last season, and maybe that is a good thing. Chance Lovertich will take over at quarterback and he has played in both games this season, completing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Jaguars have a solid running back in Carlos Davis who is averaging 5.4 ypc to go along with a veteran offensive line. The Blazers will also start a new quarterback on Thursday in redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who replaces the injured Tyler Johnston, out indefinitely with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. The defensive line for the Blazers has shown susceptibility against the run as the rebuilt defensive line has yet to get it going. Here, we play on teams off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (418) South Alabama Jaguars |
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| 09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Raiders won their season opener over Carolina 34-30 and head home for their first game ever in Las Vegas albeit with no fans. While the Saints won their opener last Sunday, they were actually outgained by Tampa Bay by 39 yards. They took a bigger hit as they lost wide receiver Michael Thomas for a few weeks with a high ankle sprain and he is an obviously a big part of this offense. The Saints run defense has been one of the best in the league the last few years but they will be tested here as running back Josh Jacobs ran for 93 yards and three touchdowns and caught four passes for 46 yards in the opener. The offensive line did a great job from that standpoint and Derek Carr was under pressure on only 10 percent of his dropbacks for the game, the best rate in the league in Week One, according to Pro Football Focus. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 77-37 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (290) Las Vegas Raiders |
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| 09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. The 49ers are coming off a disappointing season opener as they lost to the Cardinals, continuing the trend of the Super Bowl loser hangover. A big part of the 49ers loss to the Cardinals was the scrambling of quarterback Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold will be a relative sitting duck for the San Francisco pass rush. This San Francisco defense will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after allowing 404 yards to the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient game and can thrive against the Jets which allowed 404 yards against Buffalo. Tight end George Kittle is upgraded to probable after having just four catches last week. Here, we play on teams in Week Two after losing in Week One as favorites of six points or more. This situation is 15-4 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2002. 10* (269) San Francisco 49ers |
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| 09-19-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss -5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Southern Miss in its season opener and the Golden Eagles lost outright as 12-point favorites. Now after a bye week, they catch a great spot. It should be noted that head coach Jay Hopson resigned after that loss but because of the week off, Southern Miss has had plenty of time to prepare under former receiver coach Scott Walden who was given the interim head coach tag. Louisiana Tech has yet to play a game this season and are at a big disadvantage here based on experience as the Bulldogs have just eight starters back including two on defense. Expect them to struggle early in the season and that includes here against a team with a game under their belt and one that brings back double the starters. 10* (126) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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| 09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 45 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns |
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| 09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 103 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
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This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. We are getting exceptional value with Denver here as Tennessee is going to be a heavy bet team early on based on its run at the end of last season. The Titans went 9-4 in their last 13 games and jumped out to an early double-digit lead at Kansas City before succumbing 35-24 to the soon-to-be Super Bowl champs. Now they are road favorites and they go to a place where it has not been good for opponents early in the season. At home in the first two weeks of the season, Denver is 33-4 straight up and 22-11-4 ATS since 1989 and this is based on teams having trouble early on due to the altitude. Additionally, Denver is 18-2 straight up and 16-3-1 ATS in its last thirty games in home openers against non-division opponents. The Broncos finished 7-9 last season, but they have a strong chance to improve upon that this season with a strong defense, sans Von Miller, and the continued improvement of quarterback Drew Lock. 10* (482) Denver Broncos |
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| 09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 56 m | Show |
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This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. With home field advantage taken away for most teams this season for the foreseeable future, Tampa Bay gets a big edge in the season opener. The fact the Buccaneers added so much on both sides of the ball, they are the trendy pick to win the division. We all know what happened with the offense with the additions on offense where they will be much more efficient, but the other side is what should get the job done here. The Buccaneers defense finished 14th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and they should be even better this season as turnovers on offense will likely be down meaning less time on the field. New Orleans went 13-3 last season, tied for the second-best record in the NFL and expectations are high there as well but the Saints are laying more than expected. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 360 or more ypg last season, versus division opponents. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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| 09-12-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show |
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This is a play on the LOUSVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisville had an excellent season last year, going 9-5 under first year head coach Scott Satterfield after a 2-10 season in 2018 under Bobby Petrino and now returns eight starters on each side of the ball. This is a loaded offense that should only be better. Micale Cunningham is a productive dual threat at quarterback who had 22 touchdown passes with only five picks while running for 482 yards and six scores. Running back Javian Hawkins finished second in the ACC with 1,525 yards, ringing up eight 100-yard games. Tutu Atwell led the ACC with 98.2 receiving ypg while Dez Fitzpatrick would have been highly drafted but decided to come back. Western Kentucky relies on a particularly good pass rush to keep things in front of them but that is not always easy when you have the play action game that Louisville has. The Hilltoppers are solid on offense but they are replacing quarterback Ty Storey and 1,000-yard receiver Lucky Jackson. The Cardinals need to get more pressure on the opposing quarterbacks, which will lead to more turnovers. Louisville only had seven interceptions and recovered 11 fumbles last season in 13 games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that averaged 6.4 or more yppl last season, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (406) Louisville Cardinals |
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| 09-10-20 | Texans +10 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -125 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Houston will face the Chiefs for a second straight time after blowing a 24-0 second-quarter lead in the playoffs last season, eventually losing 51-31. Revenge is obviously in play and there is too much value on the Texans and do not forget that they defeated the Chiefs once last season. While that was at home, only 22 percent of the seats will be filled this Thursday, knocking down the homer field advantage. Houston head coach Bill O'Brien likes having one featured back in his offense, so David Johnson should get plenty of opportunities as the Texas want to milk the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field as much as possible. The matchup favors Houston as the Chiefs gave up 4.9 ypc last season, fourth most in the league, and allowed running backs to total 1,039 yards receiving, second most in the NFL. Additionally, with all five starters on the offensive line returning, including Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil, they should take a big step forward protecting Deshaun Watson. We all know what the Chiefs offense is so it will be up to Houston to slow the attack down because they cannot stop it completely. A healthy J.J. Watt is a big boost to the unit a well. The last 20 games in Week One where there was an underdog of eight or more points, the underdog covered 15 times. 10* (451) Houston Texans |
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| 09-10-20 | UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 7 m | Show |
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This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. UAB has a huge edge of already having a game under its belt as it defeated Central Arkansas 45-35 last Thursday. The Blazers dominated even what seemed like it was a close game as they outgained the Bears 459-293. Central Arkansas scored a touchdown on a fumble recovery and two others in the final six minutes when UAB reserves were in. Spencer Brown is the star of the offense over the first two years with well over 2,500 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns but was dinged last season. He finished with 127 yards on 24 carries (5.3 ypc). Defensively, this team will be great once again. The Blazers were ranked second in the league in total and scoring defense, third in the nation in third down stops, and 11th in sacks and eight of the top 10 tacklers are back. They also got the best defensive player at South Alabama via transfer. Rhett Lashlee, Miami's new offensive coordinator, has installed a high-tempo attack, and rebuilt an offensive line that was among the worst in college football last season. While the offense can be effective, it might take a while and that gives the stout UAB defense an edge. Last year, Miami surrendered 51 sacks, the most among Power 5 teams. Defensively, the back seven is a question mark. At linebacker, the Hurricanes must replace 99 combined starts with a group of mostly unproven linebackers and lost their best defensive back. 10* (393) UAB Blazers |
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| 09-05-20 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. Memphis | Top | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
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This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. has 14 returning starters including nine on offense and it is expected to score points in bunches once again. The Red Wolves scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 13 games last season and they bring back both quarterbacks along with the entire offensive line. Additionally, leading rusher Marcel Murray is back after running for 820 yards and six scores. They went 8-5 last season which was exceptional given the rebuilding job that had going on and expectations are higher this season. Arkansas St. has a nice groove under head coach Blake Anderson with six straight bowl appearances and six straight winning seasons. Memphis has a strong offense back as well but the defense struggled and will have a tough time holding down the Red Wolves offense. One huge factor here is the preseason schedule where Arkansas St. had 11 practices and Memphis had none and that is a huge issue considering the Tigers have a new head coach. Additionally, the Red Wolves had 18 days of fall practice compared to just nine days before school started for both teams and practice time became limited. 10* (237) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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| 09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Opening Night Star Attraction. South Alabama went just 2-10 last season but should be a much-improved team with 15 starters back. It was a woeful offense last year, but quarterback Desmond Trotter started as a freshman late and had eight touchdown passes and two picks, while moving the offense and pushing the ball down the field. The receiving corps should get back six of the top seven wideouts while the offensive line returns four starters. Defensively, seven of the top eight tacklers are back from a unit that finished fifth in the SBC in points allowed and yards allowed. While Southern Miss was supposed to bring back a lot of starters, some key ones will not be here Thursday. Former first-team All-Conference USA defensive end Jacques Turner, former freshman All-America linebacker Racheem Boothe, wide receiver and return man Jaylond Adams and running back Steven Anderson have all opted out of this season. For the third time in three years with Jack Abraham at quarterback, Southern Miss has a new offensive coordinator so there will a whole new playbook to learn. 10* (235) South Alabama Jaguars |
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| 02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Super Bowl Winner. While it is hard to go against the dynamic Kansas City offense, the 49ers possess a defense that can slow it down while also posing problems with its own offense against the Chiefs defense. Defensively, the 49ers are powered by a star-studded line that features five former first-round picks in the rotation and the pass rush has made the secondary even better. San Francisco allowed the fewest passing yards (2,707) and defensed the 10th-most passes (74). They only intercepted 12 passes, admittedly an improvement over picking off two in 2018, but San Francisco allowed the fewest completions exceeding 20 yards in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. On the other side, San Francisco had the second-best rushing offense in the NFL in 2019 at 144.6 ypg while it finished tied for second in the NFL with 16 runs of 20-plus yards. Against the Chiefs, San Francisco needs to continue to pound the ball given the Chiefs struggles against the run, particularly against runs preceded by shifts or motions, when Kansas city has allowed 5.2 ypc. Although Jimmy Garoppolo hasn't been asked to throw it much in the playoffs, he put together a highlight reel of pinpoint passes during the regular season with games hanging in the balance. On deep balls, according to Next Gen Stats, Garoppolo actually led the NFL in completion percentage (58.1) and yards per attempt (20.3), while also totaling seven passing touchdowns and posting a 102.6 passer rating on such throws. 10* (101) San Francisco 49ers |
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| 01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Championship Winner. San Francisco is an overpriced favorite here as it is now favored by more points than it was against Minnesota which ended the regular season three games worse than the Packers. Green Bay is a sneaky live dog here as they are getting no credit. Matt LaFleur came in and tinkered with the offense, and they brought in key additions such as pass-rushing duo Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith, who combined for 25.5 sacks on the season. Many will point to the first meeting where San Francisco dominated in a 37-8 win but that is a thing of the past. Aaron Rodgers had the worst day of his career, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt and getting sacked five times so do not think there is not a chip on his shoulder. The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record while the 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against opponent off a home win. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Green Bay Packers |
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| 01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFP Championship Winner. LSU remains a sizable favorite for this game which just does not seem right. Clemson is the defending national champion, winner of 29 consecutive games, and looking for its third national championship in four seasons. Clemson has been an underdog in each of its previous three trips to the title game under head coach Dabo Swinney and has won outright or covered the spread in each instance. The Tigers are led by Trevor Lawrence who has been overshadowed by his opponent Joe Burrow. After being intercepted eight times in his first seven games, Lawrence has attempted a school-record 202 consecutive passes without an interception in seven games since. He has 22 touchdowns during that span. On the other side, Clemson allows the fewest points of any team in the country (11.5 ppg) and the second-fewest yards (264.1 ypg). Brent Venables may have turned in the top coaching performance of his career this season, taking a defense that lost seven starters, including its entire defensive front, and molding a youthful group into the top scoring defense in the country. Clemson is 7-0 ATS against teams averaging 31 or more ppg this season while LSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 38-15 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (283) Clemson Tigers |
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| 01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks |
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| 01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -105 | 70 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings |
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| 01-06-20 | Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
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This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Monday Lending Tree Bowl Winner. The RedHawks are not getting any respect here with this being tied for the third biggest spread of all the bowl games. Miami finds itself as an underdog tonight against Louisiana, but that is nothing unusual for the RedHawks, who in their 12 previous games against FBS opponents were underdogs in all but two of those games despite their 8-5 record and 6-2 mark in MAC games. While the RedHawks may not score a lot of points, most of the season they have made the points they score in games count. Entering tonight, Miami holds a 5-0 record this season in games decided by one score. They have made a season, and won a Mid-American Conference championship, out of winning close games. Louisiana is coming off a loss to Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Cajuns possess a very potent offense so Miami will be tested but has proved to be able to slow teams down. Through 13 games in 2019, Louisiana ranks eighth in country and leads the conference in total offense per game (501.3) and 10th in the nation in scoring offense (38.8). After raising the New Orleans Bowl trophy four straight seasons under coach Mark Hudspeth, the Cajuns have lost their past two bowl games and have not won a bowl game outside of Alabama since 1944. 10* (279) Miami Ohio RedHawks |
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| 01-05-20 | Seahawks -1 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks |
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| 01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills |
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| 01-03-20 | Ohio -9 v. Nevada | Top | 30-21 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Potato Bowl Winner. Ohio finished the season 6-6 but it could have been a lot better as four of those losses came by a field goal or less. Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke is arguably one of the greatest quarterbacks in program history, owning the record for most touchdowns accounted for in a career with 110 (60 passing, 48 rushing, 2 receiving). This season, Rourke ranks 16th in the FBS in points accounted for per game with 16.5. He is also one of the most productive rushers in MAC history as his career average of 6.1 ypc is tied for 8th in the MAC since 1962. Because of his production, Ohio has been one of the most productive offenses in the FBS in the last three seasons, finishing 9th, 12th, and 20th in scoring offense each season, respectively culminating with an average of 34.7 ppg this season. Nevada will have a tough time finding a way to overcome the loss of four key defensive players from a defense already allowing 32.1 ppg as those players were suspended for this game. The offense will be challenged as well as Nevada averaged just 21.3 ppg on the season and even that is skewed with big numbers against bad teams. They finished 1-4 against bowl teams while getting outgained by 211 ypg which is the most of any team in a bowl game this season. The Wolf Pack won three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but the schedule was in their favor as three of three of those four teams finished 4-8 or worse. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 38-9 ATS (80.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (275) Ohio Bobcats |
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| 01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
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This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Thursday Birmingham Bowl Winner. Boston College ended the season 6-6 and it will be without a couple key pieces. Head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the regular season and has since been hired by Colorado St. Wide receivers coach Rich Gunnell will serve as the interim coach for this game. Additionally, they will not have star running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,685 yards and scored 14 touchdowns this season and is the Boston College all-time leading rusher. He has declared for the draft and is sitting out the game. That puts a lot of pressure on quarterback Dennis Grosel who completed under 50 percent of his passes, sometimes turning the Boston College offense one-dimensional. On the other side, the Eagles defense is allowing 480.3 ypg which is tied for fourth worst in the country. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. In just three seasons, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell took his team from four wins to less than 90 seconds away from a conference championship. The Bearcats lost only three games this season, one to Ohio St. and the final two against Memphis, the eventual AAC Champion. Cincinnati is led offensively by running back Michael Warren and dual-threat quarterback Desmond Ridder. Warren collected 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, while Ridder threw for 2,069 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 545 yards and two scores. Cincinnati allowed 21.7 ppg, leading the conference in scoring defense for a second consecutive year. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against defenses allowing 8 or more passing ypa over the last two seasons. 10* (272) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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| 01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
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This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. This line has come down considerably and for good reason. Georgia is depleted in key areas whether it be by injury or other factors. Starting offensive linemen Andrew Thomas and Isaiah Wilson will miss the game after declaring early for the NFL draft, while right guard Ben Cleveland will miss the game, reportedly for academic reasons. Second-leading rusher Brian Herrien also won't play for undisclosed reasons, and it's believed several other players won't be on hand. Additionally, the status of leading rusher D'Andre Swift is also uncertain due to a shoulder injury he suffered late in the year. That is a lot to overcome and it was so bad that head coach Kirby Smart closed all 11 of the team's practices prior to arriving in New Orleans. It was a remarkable season for Baylor that on one saw coming. The Bears finished 1-11 in 2017, improved to 7-6 in 2018 before this year's 11-2 campaign, their only losses coming to Oklahoma. No. 7 Baylor lost to the Sooners in the regular season and later 30-23 in overtime of the Big 12 championship game. While Georgia is shorthanded, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule said that he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. Being down 15 scholarship players is a big deal and you know that Baylor is going to have a ton of fight and energy coming into this game. Rhule coached teams are 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (269) Baylor Bears |
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| 12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
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This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is a great spot for Navy which comes in loads of momentum following three straight wins and going 8-1 over its last 10 games, the lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Midshipmen quarterback Malcolm Perry broke a lot of school records this season and he will be a nightmare matchup for Kansas St. as not only is Navy the No. 1 rushing offense in the country but they own the No. 2 redzone offense and will square off against the No. 130 in redzone defense in Kansas St. Additionally, the Wildcats rushing defense is mediocre as they are ranked No. 61 and allow an average of 4.9 ypc. Kansas St. closed the season with a little bit of momentum as it defeated Texas Tech and Iowa St. over its final two games to finish third in the Big XII Conference. Kansas St. split its six games against bowl teams but that is misleading as the Wildcats were outgained by an average of 106 ypg which is the fourth most among bowl teams from the Power 5 conferences. Overall, Navy outgained nine of 12 opponents while the Wildcats outgained just five of 12 foes. Navy is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 116-56 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (258) Navy Midshipmen |
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| 12-31-19 | Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
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This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky comes in riding a three-game winning streak including a 32-point win over rival Louisville in its regular season finale. The Wildcats were 4-5 but vaulted into a bowl game with their strong finish. The defense is the strength as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 12 in scoring. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against non-conference opponents. While going just 2-4 against fellow bowl teams, Kentucky outgained those six teams by an average of 24 ypg. Conversely, Virginia Tech went 4-3 against bowlers but were outgained by 27 ypg on average. While those margins are not overwhelming, the strength of schedules actually make those numbers skewed as the ACC as a conference ranked lower than the Pac 12 and the AAC. A big storyline here is that this is the last game for Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster so while they will be jacked up the matchup is not a good one. Virginia Tech has struggled against running quarterbacks this season and Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. is an electric athlete. He has averaged 174.3 ypg during the three-game winning streak. Here, we play against teams off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (291) Kentucky Wildcats |
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