The Pac 12 looks like it is going to be wide open this season and the two frontrunners in the North Division square off on Friday night in Seattle. While Stanford is getting most of the accolades thanks to victories over USC and UCLA to open 2-0 in the conference, Washington is feeling quite a bit underappreciated here. The Huskies are off to a 4-0 start and while the schedule has not been overly tough, that is helping with the number here. Exceptional teams take care of business and Washington has done just that as it has outgained all four opponents by an average of 124.5 ypg. Conversely, Stanford has outgained its three opponents by only 13 yards combined and while the schedule can be to blame, it only gets tougher here. The passing game has been an issue for the Cardinal all season on both sides of the ball and it only gets worse here. Jake Browning had a great season as a true freshman for Washington and he has been nearly unstoppable this season thus far, passing for 904 yards at a 70.5 percent completion clip while tossing 14 touchdowns and just two picks. The Stanford passing defense has done a good job however it will be missing both starting cornerbacks, Quenton Meeks and Alijah Holder, as they were hurt last week against UCLA. That is a huge disadvantage against the speed of the Huskies. This is the first top ten matchup that Washington has played since 1997 so this home game is going to be crazy and will be an atmosphere that Stanford quarterback Ryan Burns has yet to see. This is the best defense Washington has had in years and will no doubt be up to the challenge of containing Christian McCaffrey after he gashed them for 300 all-purpose yards last season. 10* (110) Washington Huskies

A pair of struggling teams take the field Thursday night as Miami and Cincinnati are both off to 1-2 starts. The schedules have not been easy for either team but that is really no excuse as both are underachieving. Miami nearly fell to 0-3 but escaped with an overtime win last week against Cleveland which was playing with a third-string rookie quarterback and it still outgained the Dolphins. Meanwhile, the Bengals are a field goal miss away from being 0-3 as they opened the season with a win against the Jets thanks to a 47-yard field goal from Mike Nugent with just 54 seconds remaining. Cincinnati has lost its last two games to Pittsburgh and Denver which is nothing to be ashamed of but both of those games could have gone either way. That being said, the fact we have two desperate teams in need of a big win means we should have a very competitive game as there is very little dropoff between Miami and Cincinnati. Yet, the linesmakers are giving Cincinnati a lot of credit here but it has done nothing to prove it deserves it. Miami was a 5.5-point underdog at New England two weeks ago and even without Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, the Patriots are a better team than the Bengals. Additionally, the Dolphins are seeing over a 17-point swing from last week to this week which is a huge variance in this league and one that should prove to be too big. Miami has not been a touchdown underdog to any team not named New England since September of 2013. 10* (101) Miami Dolphins

New Orleans comes into Monday night in pretty much must win mode and it could not happen on a better night. This is the 10-year anniversary of the re-opening of the Superdome in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. It is almost 10 years ago to the day that the Saints defeated the Falcons 23-3 highlighted by the epic Steve Gleason blocked punt return and while the atmosphere will not be as crazy, it will be close. New Orleans dropped its opener against the Raiders by a point on a last second two-point conversion at home before losing by a field goal last week in New York against the Giants so it has been victim of some unfortunate luck. The Falcons meanwhile have split their first two games, losing at home by a touchdown to the Buccaneers and winning in Oakland by a touchdown last week. Matt Ryan has looked outstanding in his first two gamers and he will be asked to shoulder the load once again as without any pressure up front, Atlanta's defense has struggled. The Falcons unit ranks 26th against the run, 23rd against the pass and second-to-last in sacks per pass attempt. The Saints defense is not much better but they put together a great gameplan last week as they used a lot of packages employing three safeties and played more zone coverage. Under head coach Sean Payton, New Orleans has gone 14-4 against the Falcons including an 8-2 record at home since 2006. Going back, the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss while the Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (490) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Star Attraction. Chicago has gotten off to a rough start by going 0-2 but it has not been as bad as that record shows. The Bears hung tough with the Texans in Week One before losing by nine points and last week they were did in by the Eagles and had no chance after Jay Cutler went down. Brian Hoyer will be starting this week and while he was unable to mount a comeback last week, having a full week of preparation instead of getting thrown into the fire is big. The Cowboys have split their two games with the Giants and Redskins and easily could also be sitting at 0-2. While the Dallas defense has allowed just 21.5 ppg, the unit has not been very good as they have allowed 374 ypg. Dak Prescott has played pretty well for a rookie but he has an 83.1 passer rating and while he has yet to throw a pick, he has yet to throw a touchdown either. Because of the Cutler injury, this line is way overpriced as these teams are not that far off from each other. Dallas has notoriously been a poor play as a home favorite as it has covered just of its last 25 games in this role. Going back to 2014, Chicago is 1-11 in its last 12 home games but a much more respectable 5-4 in its last nine road games. Additionally, the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (487) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Tampa Bay played a great game in its season opening win over Atlanta and it was just the opposite last week at Arizona as the Buccaneers were throttled 40-7 no thanks to five turnovers including four interceptions from Jameis Winston. Expect a big bounce back effort from him and we will no doubt see a better effort from the defense that has allowed 32 ppg. This is the home opener for Tampa Bay and while its home field advantage is not a great one, it is more advantageous this time of year because of the heat and humidity. The Rams have been just the opposite through two games as well but theirs have been reversed. They were awful in their opener against a horrible San Francisco teams, losing 28-0 and getting outgained by 135 yards. Last week, Los Angeles upset the Seahawks at home but managed only nine points on offense in doing so. This offense has a long ways o go and while the defense looked very strong against the Seahawks, Seattle has its own offensive issues going on. The Rams were still outgained last week despite the win. This line has been creeping yup but for good reason and we will back the favorite in what could have blowout potential. Going back, the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (480) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to what happened last week. After losing to Denver in their season opener, the Panthers rolled over San Francisco on Sunday. They outgained the 49ers by 227 total yards in what was an awful situation for San Francisco coming off a short week win and having to play an early game on the east coast against a well-rested team. That line closed at 12 and there is no chance that the 49ers are only five points worse than Minnesota. The Vikings meanwhile are 2-0 as they defeated Tennessee on the road before winning last Sunday night at home against Green Bay. Sam Bradford was exceptional in his first start but the bigger story was the loss of Adrian Peterson who is likely out for the season. While he is tough to replace, he is not the same player and has lost a step for sure. He averaged just 1.6 ypc in 31 carries so was doing nothing special anyway. The Norv Turner/Bradford offense is arguably better off now as they can open things up more which is better equipped for this team. The defense as they have allowed just 289.5 ypg and 15 ppg, No. 5 and No. 6 respectively in the NFL. The Panthers have covered seven straight games at home which is adding to the value but the Vikings have been better, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games while covering 14 of their last 17 games following a win. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. This is the classic look at the records matchup which had affected the line. Baltimore comes in undefeated and is the worst 2-0 team in the league at this point. The Ravens defeated a hapless Bills team by only six points and then beat Cleveland last week in part due to the injury of Browns quarterback Josh McCown who was not the same after having to get checked out. They were actually outgained by the Browns and overall, the defense is overrated based on who they have played while the offense can be held accountable for the same thing. Jacksonville meanwhile is 0-2 but has played better than that. The Jaguars are tied for last in the NFL in turnover margin at -3 which has been part of the issue but it has to be noted that they have outgained both opponents thus far albeit not by much but all that matter is they have been on the positive. So now because we have two teams with opposite records, the Ravens come in as a road favorite. It is interesting to note that last November, with a healthy Joe Flacco, Baltimore was favored by only five points at home and there is no way they are a much better team now. And Jacksonville won. This is a much bigger game for the Jaguars and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* (468) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This is another example of records dictating the line. The Redskins have dropped their first two games and while they lost to Pittsburgh by 22 points, they were outgained by just 53 total yards but two turnovers in bad spots, nine penalties and having to settle for field goals did them in. Last week, they had a chance to beat the Cowboys but fell just short despite outgaining Dallas by 52 total yards. The rushing defense has been the issue but the Giants do not possess a strong running attack like the ones they have already faced. New York is 2-0 but it is an ugly 2-0 as it has won both games by a combined four points. The Giants did outgain New Orleans by 129 yards but were unable to complete drives against a bad Saints defense and their only touchdown came via a blocked field goal return. Now because of the opposing records, the Giants are overvalued as with this being a divisional game against pretty equal teams, the line should be -3 so catching anything above that presents solid value. The Giants defense is a very solid unit but the Redskins have the playmakers to take advantage. Washington can ill afford to fall three games out of first place in the NFC East after just three games so we will see an all-out effort on both sides of the ball. 10* (471) Washington Redskins

This is a play on ARIZONA ST. for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Arizona St. spotted UTSA a 28-15 lead last Friday night before scoring 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to pull out the victory. It was a misleading final score however as the Sun Devils outgained the Roadrunners by 147 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 which made the game closer than it probably should have been. Nonetheless, they are 3-0 heading into conference action and continue to fly under the radar and that suits them just fine. California is off to a 2-1 start following an upset win at home last Saturday against Texas. This is another misleading final however as the Bears were outgained by 61 total yards but benefitted from two Texas turnovers that led to 14 points. Their defense was horrid once again as they allowed 568 total yards including 307 yards on the ground. Overall, California is ranked No. 118 in total defense and No. 126 in rushing defense and will face a Sun Devils offense that is No. 18 and No. 16 respectively in those categories offensively. There is revenge involved here as well as Arizona St. lost in the final seconds in Berkley which gave them a losing Pac 12 record for the first time since 2011. Arizona St. is 20-4 in its last 24 home games with three of those losses coming against ranked teams and the other coming in triple overtime. 10* (402) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on MARSHALL for our Saturday Enforcer. Louisville is coming off one of the greatest wins in program history as it absolutely annihilated then No. 2 ranked Florida St. by a score of 63-20. It was the third straight game to open the season that the Cardinals have scored at least 62 points but if there ever was a spot to go against a juggernaut like them, this is it. There will surely be a letdown following that victory but adding to the possibility of a sleepwalk is the fact Louisville travels to Clemson next week for another massive game. Clearly this is a public team now and the linesmakers have needed to make adjustments and it is much too big of one in this case. Adding to the size of the number is the fact that Marshall is coming off a 65-38 loss to Akron at home. This could be the most deceiving final score of last weekend however as the Thundering Herd won the yardage battle by 36 yards but in the second quarter Akron had a fumble return for a touchdown, a blocked punt return for a touchdown and an interception in the redzone that led to another touchdown. Additionally, they had an interception return for a touchdown to close out the game. Marshall was -3 in turnover margin and not many teams can win by doing that. A repeat of that here spells disaster but the thinking is that the Thundering Herd right the ship. Remember, this is a team that is going to contend for the C-USA Championship. 10* (352) Marshall Thundering Herd

We played on Bowling Green last Saturday and got a bit unlucky as the game ended up being played in a monsoon and turnover were the difference as the Falcons committed four in total which led to 21 Middle Tennessee points. Bowling Green was outgained by only three yards and had a 24-20 first down advantage. This is another one of those games which proves looking at just the score does no good and can be very misleading. The Falcons are expected to contend in the MAC East and while conference action starts next week, it comes against lowly Eastern Michigan so there is no chance of a lookahead. The same cannot be said for Memphis which travels to Mississippi to face the hated Rebels in the Mid-South Rivalry. The Tigers are 2-0 as they have already had their bye week but it can be argued that they have had three bye weeks as the first two games have come against SE. Missouri St. and Kansas. Last week, they outgained Kansas by just 80 yards as they were able to win the turnover battle 6-0 as the Jayhawks turned it over four times in Memphis territory. Memphis is still an unknown but is expected to take a drop back after losing quarterback Paxton Lynch and head coach Justin Fuente to Virginia Tech. Bowling Green is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread while Memphis is 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. 10* (385) Bowling Green Falcons

A pair of undefeated teams square off in Kalamazoo and we will be grabbing the generous number here. Georgia Southern is coming off a poor effort last week at home against UL-Monroe as it won but by just two points as it had to rally from a 14-0 first quarter deficit. Still, the rushing game was once again dominant and on the season, the Eagles are averaging 356.3 ypg on the ground which is close to what it averaged last season when it went 9-4 and won its first ever bowl game and that was also against a team from the MAC. Western Michigan is 3-0 following a big road win at Illinois last week, its second win over a Big Ten team this season which is pretty impressive for sure. But they have come against two of the worst teams in the conference so we are not overly impressed. While the Broncos will be out for some payback from the loss in Statesboro last season, this is not the ideal situation. Still celebrating the win from last week and heading on the road next week to face rival Central Michigan puts Western Michigan in a very tough sandwich spot. Additionally, we play against home favorites after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against an opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (341) Georgia Southern Eagles

It has been a tough start to the season for Rice as it has dropped its first three games but those came against teams that are a combined 8-1. The Owls were able to stay within the number last week against Baylor and they should have no issues this week in getting their first victory. There is definitely value in this line as they went to North Texas last season and won by two touchdowns and were favored by the same amount that they are favored by at home this year. North Texas is 1-2 with the lone victory coming against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Mean Green were shutout at Florida last week while gaining just 53 yards of offense and while we are not making a comparison between the Gators and Owls, it shows what little talent North Texas has. It went 1-11 last season and is still in rebuilding mode as witnessed by a 13-point home opening loss against a pretty poor SMU team. This is the first time Rice has been favored this season and it is a role they have had great success in as the Owls are 10-2 in its last 12 games when laying points. Meanwhile, North Texas has lost 14 consecutive road games, covering just three of those in the process. This includes a 0-4 ATS mark when getting single digits, losing those games by an average of 19.5 ppg. This is a must win game for the Owls which travel to Southern Mississippi next week. 10* (338) Rice Owls

This is a play on FLORIDA for our Saturday Star Attraction. We were high on Tennessee coming into the season and we played on the Volunteers in their first game but did not come close to covering as they needed overtime to defeat Appalachian St. they then defeated Virginia Tech by 21 points but the Hokies lost five fumbles and actually won the yardage battle by 70 yards. Last week, it was another average outing as they beat Ohio by just nine points so clearly there is something not right with this team so laying anything close to a touchdown against a quality opponent is overaggressive. The talent is there for this team to make a serious run but the same can be said on the other side. Florida is also 3-0 and while it has not played a tough slate, the Gators have absolutely dominated as they lead the country in total defense and scoring defense. It is no fluke as the stop unit was expected to be the strength of the team. On the other side, we are aware that quarterback Luke Del Rio is out but Austin Appleby is not a dropoff at all. He is a graduate transfer from Purdue where he started for two seasons and while there was no success, it is Purdue we are talking about. He comes in with a ton of confidence to lead this offense. Obviously, revenge comes into play here as Tennessee has lost the last 11 meetings in this series but winning and covering are two different things. This is a toss-up that can go either way so we will grab the generous points. 10* (383) Florida Gators

This is a play on SYRACUSE for our Afternoon Dominator. It has been a rough start for Syracuse but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. The Orange got crushed by Louisville two weeks ago and last week they were beaten badly at home once again by USF. Despite the loss by 25 points, Syracuse played much better than that score shows as it outgained the Bulls by 95 yards, controlled more than 16 minutes of the clock and had 10 more first downs. The Orange struggled on third and fourth down and lost the turnover battle 3-0 while USF completed four scoring drives in less than two minutes apiece and scored another touchdown on a punt return. Connecticut had the exact opposite type of game as it defeated Virginia 13-10 last week despite being outgained 381-277. A Cavaliers interception late in the fourth quarter set Connecticut up for the game-winning field goal and Virginia actually had a chance to tie the game but missed a 20-yard field goal as time expired. Those results have inflated this line and any chalk for the Huskies is not good as they are 0-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and under head coach Bob Diaco, they are 0-7 ATS against teams allowing 3 or more ppg. Additionally, we play on road teams where the line is that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 to 390 ypg. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (321) Syracuse Orange

We played on Wyoming in Week One as it defeated Northern Illinois in overtime and while the victory may seem that good anymore considering the Huskies are now 0-3, the Cowboys are a solid team that can make some noise this season. Wyoming had a miserable season last year as it went just 2-10 but there is optimism this year as the Cowboys welcome back 17 starters. The offense struggled last season but was extremely young and there are nine returnees on that unit and we have seen a dramatic improvement so far. Eastern Michigan is 2-1 for the first time since 2011 but it is a very unimpressive 2-1. An opening win over Mississippi Valley St. was far from strong and a win at Charlotte last week was misleading as the Eagles won the yardage battle by just 11 total yards against one of the worst teams in the FBS. The points may look tempting considering Wyoming has struggled mightily away from home the last few years but looking at the road schedule the last three plus years shows an absolutely brutal slate as the lone non-conference loss to a non-power team was at Texas St. and the Bobcats went 6-6 that season. Because of so many starters back for the Cowboys there are a lot of memories from last year when Eastern Michigan went into Laramie and rolled over the Cowboys by 19 points. The Cowboys fall into an excellent situation where we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after outrushing its opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 38-12 ATS (76 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Eastern Michigan is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after a win by 17 or more points while going 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games after scoring 37 points or more last game. 10* (307) Wyoming Cowboys

Two of the five undefeated teams in the AFC square off and we will be backing the home team missing its top two quarterbacks. We played on New England opening week at Arizona and mentioned a big reason for playing the Patriots was head coach Bill Belichick and that reason is even bigger in this one. Rookie Jacoby Brissett will be making his first ever start and while that normally would be a play against spot depending on the situation, Belichick is not going to be throwing him into the fire and make him win a game by himself. Brissett went 6-9 for 92 yards against Miami and while his experience is minimal, the preparation time for the Texans to go against him is even worse considering they have little to no game film on him. Houston has cruised in both of its wins but both of those took place at home, one again what seems to be another lousy Chicago team and the other against a Kansas City team it was seeking revenge from after a 30-0 defeat in the playoffs last season. The Houston defense has done its job, but again, that has all taken place at home and the offense has struggled by averaging only 347.5 ypg which is just No. 19 in the NFL. This marks only the fifth game since the start of the 2002 season that the Patriots are home underdogs and this is where New England will be even more motivated because of that. The Patriots fall into a situation where we play on home teams coming off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) New England Patriots

Clemson is a big road favorite for obvious reasons despite the fact it has fallen from No. 2 to No. 5 in the AP Poll as the linesmakers know what the public likes and does not like. The Tigers were a few points away from the National Championship last season and came in with high expectations so while despite some early season struggles, the public still loves them. This is not a clear fade the public play however as the feeling is that not only is Clemson overvalued but Georgia Tech comes in very undervalued with a lot of that based on last season as well. The Yellow Jackets went 3-9 including a 1-7 record in the ACC and after a 2-0 start, they were unable to get anything going. Six of its nine losses were by one possession so the Yellow Jackets were closer to having a good season than the record shows. Georgia Tech returned its quarterback, top three running backs and top two receivers so after slipping in offense last season, a rebound was expected and we have seen just that. Georgia Tech is hoping the primetime setting Thursday will rekindle the sort of atmosphere that helped produce the only highlight a season ago when it defeated Florida St. Clemson surely cannot slip up here if it wants to continue its National Championship run but the sudden resurgence of Louisville has opened the Tigers eyes and with a home game against the Cardinals on deck, looking ahead to that game would not be surprising. Going back, the Tigers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games while the Yellow Jackets are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This line opened at -2.5, got pushed up to -3.5 midweek and has settled back down to -3 which is right where it should be in a game that can go either way. We are getting value with the total however after both teams went under the number is their season opening games. The glaring comparison is with Chicago in that this total is lower than last week against Houston, one of the top ranked defenses in the NFL. This is a matchup where both quarterbacks could have massive games. Carson Wentz threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns in his NFL debut, completing 22 of 37 passes in a turnover-free performance, posting a 101.0 rating. Jay Cutler meanwhile was 16-29 for just 216 yards and a touchdown and one pick but as mentioned, he was facing a very strong defense and it takes a step down tonight. As a team, the Eagles held Cleveland to under 300 total yards of offense last week as they dominated the time of possession with nearly 40 minutes on their side. But Cleveland is Cleveland and yesterday the Browns managed 387 yards but 85 of those came on one play. Philadelphia will be without top cornerback Leodis McKelvin. On the other side, the Bears were pretty average against the Texans as Brock Osweiler completed 63 percent of his passes while allowing Lamar Miller to rush for over 100 yards. One of their biggest failings against Houston was the Bears failed to make Osweiler uncomfortable in the pocket and the Texans offensive line is much worse than the line of the Eagles so they will have trouble again. 10* Over (289) Philadelphia Eagles/(290) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Star Attraction. The Colts lost a shootout at home against the Lions, spoiling the return of Andrew Luck who ended up missing nine games last season. The loss had nothing to do with him however as he was awesome, throwing for 385 yards and four touchdowns with a 66 percent completion rate. His last game a year ago happened to come against Denver, a 27-24 win at home. The defense was obviously the issue as Matthew Stafford went off as well but the Colts should not have to worry as much this week about getting lit up. We won with the Broncos last Thursday and while they have a big scheduling advantage here because of time off and no travel, the Broncos are severely overpriced in this matchup. The defense is arguably the best in the NFL but the Indianapolis offense presents a bunch of challenges and it put up 365 yards in the meeting last season against virtually the same defense. This offense is good enough to play catch up against even the elite defenses as long as a healthy Luck is around. Additionally, he has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL coming off a loss as he has gone 16-4 both straight up and against the number following a defeat. That is a very impressive record and as one of the biggest game preparers, it makes sense. The Colts are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. 10* (281) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The first game since returning to Los Angeles was not a good one for the Rams as they got embarrassed by the 49ers 28-0. The offense was pathetic with just 185 total yards as Case Keenum was inconsistent at quarterback and Todd Gurley could get nothing going on the ground. Because of the horrible display, they are catching a huge number in their first home game in Los Angeles in 20 years. Teams are not as bad as they looked in their last game like we saw on Thursday with the Bills that showed some offensive life but it was their defense that let them down. The Rams actually have a solid defense and they will come to play on Sunday. Seattle escaped with a win over Miami as it scored the go ahead touchdown with just 31 seconds remaining and avoided a season opening loss for the second straight season. They also avoided a serious injury as Russell Wilson went down with an ankle injury that looked worse than it was but he is still not going to be playing at a 100 percent level this week. The Rams play the Seahawks tough the majority of the time as they have won four of the last eight meetings while two of the four losses were by a touchdown or less. They have won three of the last four at home with the lone defeat being by just five points and the home edge Sunday should be even that much better. The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. 10* (280) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Game of the Week. The schedulemakers did Miami no favors by putting them on the road the first two weeks of the season at Seattle and at New England. They played excellent last week against the Seahawks and really should have won the game despite getting outgained by 138 total yards. Nonetheless, Miami catches a depleted New England roster so it can be argued they actually caught a break getting the Patriots this early in this spot. New England picked up the upset win at Arizona last Sunday night as head coach Bill Belichick put together a masterful plan and you give him extra time to formulate a gameplan and the other team is in for a long day. The Patriots return home for the first of three straight games at Gillette Stadium so they definitely caught a break with the schedule by having three of the four games that Tom Brady is missing taking place at home. New England has dominated this series at with four straight victories by double-digits but you know who was the quarterback for the Patriots in all four of those games. Jimmy Garoppolo had a very strong showing in his first NFL start but again, the gameplan and the fact that no one had even seen him in an NFL regular season game was a big advantage and now Miami has the luxury of watching game film. Here we play on underdogs or pickems that has a winning percentage between .250 and .400 last season, in conference games. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (265) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. You have to feel bad for RGIII after working hard to get back in the NFL as a starter and then go down with a broken shoulder bone and it out until at least Week Nine. Cleveland though is not in bad shape because of it as Josh McCown will take over. In eight starts last season, he put up a solid 93.3 passer rating until he broke his collarbone and that happened to come against the Ravens so he will certainly be motivated here for some payback. The Browns were competitive for a while last week as they trailed the Eagles by just five points late in the third quarter before Philadelphia closed with a pair of touchdowns. Now they head home and are catching more points than they did last week against a team that should not at all be considered better than the Eagles. Baltimore won an ugly 13-7 game over the Bills last Sunday as the Ravens limited Buffalo to just 160 total yards. While some of that can be attributed to the defense, the Buffalo offense is in shambles we witnessed Thursday so that is a deceptive yardage allowed total. This line makes zero sense at all. They were favored last week by three at home and now it is a 10-point line swing against a team that is on the same plane as Buffalo. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (268) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Going into this game, many would have thought the records of these two teams would be reversed but instead, Carolina enters Week Two 0-1 while San Francisco comes in with a 1-0 record. From a situational standpoint, it does not get much better with a Panthers team that has lost its last two games returning home where they went 10-0 last season and has won 13 in a row overall. Additionally, they are playing with added rest because of the Thursday game last week while the 49ers are playing on short rest following their game on Monday. Making it tough for San Francisco is the fact that this is an early game for a west coast team which is always a difficult spot. If this whole scenario sound familiar, it is because it is. Last season, San Francisco won its Monday night game in an upset over the Vikings and then travelled the next week to Pittsburgh which was coming off a Thursday night loss to the Patriots for an early start game. The Steelers rolled 43-18 and a similar outcome can be expected this Sunday. This situation has been profitable for years as we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. The 49ers are just 4-15 ATS in their last 19 Sunday games following a Monday night game while the Panthers are 14-1 ATS under head coach Ron Rivera coming off a road loss. 10* (276) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on USC for our Saturday Star Attraction. USC came into the season ranked in the AP Top 20 but quickly fell out after an embarrassing 52-6 loss to Alabama opening weekend. It was hard to gauge whether the Trojans were that bad or if Alabama is that good and we are leaning toward the latter after USC bounced back last week with a 38-point win over a very good Utah St. team. Despite the bombing against the Tide, the Trojans are still contenders in the Pac 12 South and the title run begins with a big one. Stanford opened its season with a win over Kansas St. and got a fortunate scheduling break prior to conference action as it had its bye weeks last week. However, that can go against the Cardinal here as playing more than one game heading into this one would have been beneficial especially given the fact they did not play that well against the Wildcats. They managed just 272 yards of offense while allowing 335 yards on the other side and USC has the talent on both sides to take advantage. The loss of four-year starting quarterback Kevin Hogan is huge for Stanford as running back Christian McCaffrey cannot do it all against a defense this good. USC lost both meetings to Stanford last season, once in the Pac 12 opener and the other in the Pac 12 Championship so revenge comes into play here despite this being played on the road. The Trojans fall into a great situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last two games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1992. 10* (203) USC Trojans

This is a play on KENTUCKY for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Kentucky last Saturday and it paid off nicely as Florida thumped the Wildcats 45-7 while winning the yardage battle by 415 yards. Kentucky has now been outscored 79-7 since taking an early 35-10 lead over Southern Mississippi so we must seem crazy backing them here but the situation could not be any better. Based on the size of the line, Kentucky should have no issues on Saturday and we agree as this is a game the Wildcats should be able to name the score while getting ready for their second SEC game next week against South Carolina. While Kentucky will be prime for a turnaround, New Mexico St. is still celebrating its win over rival New Mexico, snapping a four-game losing streak in the Rio Grande Rivalry. It needs to be noted however that the Aggies were outgained in the game where they were 11-point home underdogs and now are not that much bigger of an underdog on the road against a team from the SEC. They are 3-21 on the road since 2012 which includes a loss in their only road games this season at UTEP by 16 points and despite a poor start to the season, Kentucky is a lot better team than the Miners. New Mexico St. is 0-19 all-time against the SEC and while can be considering a meaning less stat, it does show how much lower in class this program has been for years. Kentucky is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 games when it rushes for 200 or more yards and should be no problem here while New Mexico St. is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after a win by three or less points. 10* (160) Kentucky Wildcats

The public helps dictate lines and that is certainly the case here as Michigan has turned into a big pubic darling. Granted, the Wolverines have covered both of their games but they came against Hawaii, which was making a return trip from Australia and UCF, a very poor team from the AAC. Michigan is now ranked No. 5 in the country and actually received one first place vote so the lines have to adjusted because of that as well. This is no doubt an excellent team but they take a big step up in competition here. Colorado is taking a big step up as well as it has also played a weak schedule but this is its best start as far as wins and point differential through two games since 1998. The Buffaloes went just 4-9 last season but of those nine losses, five came by just one possession so they were very more competitive than the record shows. That is important because they have 18 starters back from that team and while many picked them to finish last in the Pac 12 South, they could very well be a sleeper team and pull some surprises. Beating bad teams is what good teams do, and that is exactly what the Buffaloes have done through two weeks. While an upset here is unlikely, Colorado has the athletes to keep it well within range of the overinflated spread. Here, we play on road teams that are allowing 200 or fewer total ypg over their last two games, with an experienced quarterback going up against an opponent with inexperienced quarterback. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1992. Additionally, Michigan is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games after scoring 37 points or more in two straight games. 10* (127) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS for our NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year. We played against the Huskies opening week as they lost in overtime at Wyoming as a touchdown favorite. We nearly pulled the trigger on them last week at South Florida in a bounce back spot and it is a good thing we did not as they were beaten badly by 31 points. Now comes the ultimate bounce back spot as Northern Illinois is 0-2 and head back to DeKalb for its home opener and because of the early results, it is getting no respect. The Huskies have not been a double-digit home underdog since 1998 when it ended up going 2-9 on the season. The poor start is part of the reason for the line as is the fact San Diego St. has been unbeatable for a while now. After opening the season 1-3 last year, the Aztecs went on to win their final 10 games and have opened 2-0 this year with wins over New Hampshire and California. The 12-game winning streak is second only to Alabama which has won 14 straight games. The win over the Golden Bears was quite a bit deceiving however as San Diego St. was outgained by 141 total yards but benefitted from four California turnovers, returning one interception for a touchdown while also returning a kickoff 100 yards for another score. The Aztecs are just 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games while northern Illinois has covered six straight games coming off a game where it committed no turnovers. 10* (152) Northern Illinois Huskies

Oklahoma St. got a horrible break last week after the referees, who were from the MAC by the way, gave Central Michigan an untimed down after an intentional grounding penalty and the Chippewas turned that into a game-winning Hail Mary. The Cowboys were ranked No. 17 heading into the game and fell out of the rankings for obvious reasons but the fact of the matter is that they never should have been in the situation of being able to lose on a Hail Mary even though Central Michigan is a very solid team. Nonetheless, that loss will have them seething and Pittsburgh is coming to Stillwater at the worst possible time. The Panthers struggled to put away Villanova in their season opener and were fortunate to hold off Penn St. last week. That was a big game as those teams do not like each other despite that game being the first meeting since 2000. The Panthers are expected to contend in the ACC Coastal Division but that is an extremely weak division so it is not really saying much. They open conference play next week at North Carolina so there could very well be some lookahead to that game. Pittsburgh has one of the best running backs in the country in James Connor and a solid offensive line but the quarterback situation is dicey and it will be optimal for the Cowboys to stack the box and force Pittsburgh to make big throws which seems unlikely it can do. We play against teams after closing out last season with two or more straight losses going up against an opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last three games. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (174) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This one is pretty straight forward and while it is a smaller public play, it is worth taking the side as Alabama has the ability to roll here. The Time crushed USC in their opener and then did a number on a good Western Kentucky team last week as they outgained the Hilltoppers by 236 total yards. Now they hit the highway for their first true road game of the season but this is not just any road game. Alabama has lost two regular season games the last two years and both of those came against Mississippi, both coming by six points. They will be out to avenge those losses in a tough environment nut remember Alabama is 19-2 in its last 21 road games so this team is not scared of any environment. The Rebels blew a big lead against Florida St. in their first game and had a pretty uneven effort against Wofford of the FCS last week and while that can be attributed to a lookahead to this one, they should have still had a better effort. Mississippi is no longer going to be sneaking up on anyone and that includes the linesmakers which have been behind the curveball the last few years. The Rebels have the best quarterback in the SEC with Chad Kelly, Alabama arguably has its best defense in years and has not forgotten that Kelly lit them up for 341 yards last season. Alabama falls into a simple yet very effective situation where we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that had a winning percentage of .800 or greater last season, after one or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (193) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on BOWLING GREEN for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. After going 10-4 last season and winning the MAC Championship, Bowling Green has not gotten off to a great start. The Falcons were absolutely destroyed at Ohio St. in their opener while escaping with a one-point win over North Dakota last week thanks to a missed two-point conversion in the final seconds. However, these results are giving the Falcons enormous value and this is still a very talented team that is again expected to contend for the title in the MAC. The good news on offense is RB Fred Coppet, WR Ronnie Moore, and C Tim McAuliffe, who were injured against North Dakota, practiced Wednesday and are probable for the game Saturday. Middle Tennessee will be a big factor in C-USA this season but placing it in the role of a road favorite is pretty aggressive. After annihilating Alabama A&M in their opener, the Blue Raiders brought little to the table against Vanderbilt, allowing 47 points to the Commodores, the most points they have scored since putting up the same amount against Austin Peay of the FCS last season. That lack of defense will be big for the Falcons to get their offense rolling. This line opened at -3.5 and has shot up three points, further adding to the value. Here we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that were an excellent passing team from last season with a completion percentage of 62 percent or better, in non-conference games. This situation is 28-4 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1992. Additionally, Bowling Green is 15-1 in its last 16 games after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 10* (132) Bowling Green Falcons

Arizona St. has looked solid out of the gates with two big wins to open the season. The Sun Devils defeated Northern Arizona by 31 points opening weekend then took out Texas Tech last week by 13 points which was highlighted by an incredible eight-touchdown performance from Kalen Ballage. Digging a little deeper however shows that the wins were not as impressive as the scores show as Arizona St. won the yardage battle by just 31 and 40 yards respectively. While offensively the Sun Devils are a potent unit, the defense has been very unimpressive as they have allowed an average of 518.5 ypg which is No. 119 in the country and that will always leave the backdoor open. UTSA defeated Alabama St. in its opener and while it was only by 13 points, the Roadrunners won the yardage battle by 162 yards. They played well last week against Colorado St., losing by just 11 points and being outgained by only 93 yards and that was on the road. They went just 3-9 last season but a big reason for that was experience as they had just five total starters returning and that number jumps to 13 this season. While listed as questionable, UTSA running back Jarveon Williams is expected to play and that is big coming off a 1,000-yard rushing season a year ago. Going back, the Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 10* (108) Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners

Week One saw a lot of offense in the NFL but Buffalo was not in that group, not even close. the Bills managed only 160 total yards and seven points against the Ravens and while many are saying this is a must win game for the Jets, the same can be said about the other side. Buffalo can ill afford to drop to 0-2 with Arizona and New England on deck. The Jets lost a tough one on Sunday as they dropped their game against Cincinnati by a point. Unfortunately, it came down to a missed extra point and now New York hits the road to the same place where its season ended last year in a 22-17 loss to the Bills. The Jets will be out for revenge but playing road revenge is not a good recommendation. For Buffalo, quarterback Tyrod Taylor was ok last week but did not make any big plays what he is certainly capable of. Last season, Taylor threw for 3,035 yards, 20 touchdowns and six interceptions. In fact, his 99.4 QBR was ranked seventh in the NFL. Additionally, the he rushed for 568 yards, scoring four touchdowns on the ground. His two starts last season against the Jets were solid and while his numbers were not over the top, he managed both games well. On the other side, the Buffalo secondary is the strength and the Bills held the Jets to under 200 passing yards in both matchups last season. Buffalo won its final four games at home last season and the crown will be a big factor for their first game that happens to be in primetime. We are getting great value here as this game opened with the Bills being a three-point favorite and now they are an underdog in some spots. 10* (102) Buffalo Bills

Following its upset against Oklahoma in Week One, Houston is a legitimate playoff contender as there is not a whole lot standing in its way. The Cougars have a test here on the road and then not another one until a home game against Louisville in Week 12. And this one will be a test. The Cougars are big road favorites because of what already happened and the public is riding them yet again. Cincinnati is also off to a 2-0 start following a solid road win at Purdue last week and it has had this game circled for some time now. Last season, the Bearcats lost at Houston despite outgaining the Cougars 589-427 and they will be out for some payback as they feel they are getting no respect based on the Houston hype and the pointspread assigned to this one. The Bearcats have two solid situations on their side. First, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points they were a good passing team from last season with a completion percentage of .580 or better, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Second, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight wins and also had a winning record. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. Additionally, Houston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing six points or fewer while Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games following a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. 10* (104) Cincinnati Bearcats

As we saw on Sunday, a large number of heavy public favorites failed to cover the number and overall, the chalk is 4-10 through the first 14 games. Lines are based on some of the numbers of last season as well as expectations for this season and we are seeing a strong case of that here. Even though Washington won the division last year, it is not getting a ton of respect and has actually been picked to finish last in the NFC East (prior to Romo injury) in a few places which really makes no sense. The Redskins bowed out of the playoffs last season in the Wildcard Round following a 4-0 finish to the regular season and they are only better this year. Pittsburgh is once again picked to win the AFC North and this is no doubt a talented team being favored on the road is a tad overaggressive. The Steelers were favored on the road only twice all of last regular season and those games were Week 16 and Week 17 against Baltimore and Cleveland which were meaningless games for the opposition. Pittsburgh finished No. 30 in the NFL last season against the pass and will have a tough time defending DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon and tight end Jordan Reed. Additionally, the Steelers are banged up on the defensive line so getting any sort of pressure on Kirk Cousins may not happen which will put the secondary in more troubling situations. This line has been bet down to under a field goal in some places but with the public once again hammering the road favorite, we are fine with it and it likely will back up prior to gametime. 10* (480) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the PATRIOTS for our Sunday Night Primetime. The Patriots come into the season with a lot of hype but so much in the beginning of the season. With Tom Brady out the first four games, Jimmy Garoppolo and he should be all set to manage this game properly. The reason behind that is head coach Bill Belichick who loves playing the underdog card and it would not be surprising at all to see Brady come back to a 4-0 record. This line is telling us that the Patriots are pretty serious underdogs but player for player, there is not much of a difference between these two teams with the exception of the quarterback obviously. Arizona had a season a year ago but I do not expect a repeat of that. The Cardinals were fortunate that Seattle got off to a slow start but even with that, you have to give them credit for running the table. If this game were played at this time last year, Arizona may be a three-point favorite at best and there will not be any sneaking up on teams this season and you have to think there has to be some sort of regression. Carolina helped the rest of the league out by showing how to shut Carson Palmer and the rest of the offense down in the playoffs and we can guarantee Belichick has watched that tape a few times. The Patriots strength is the back end of the defense and that is where Palmer carved up a lot of teams last season. Belichick always puts a premium on preventing big plays, and his defense created 10 turnovers during the preseason. Despite going 6-2 at home last season, the Cardinals went just 1-6 ATS over their last seven home games. 10* (477) New England Patriots

This is a play on the CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Game of the Week. The Chargers last won the division back in 2009 and have made the playoffs only one time since then but there is a possibility that changes this season as they are a sleeper by many. Last year, they had their fewest wins since 2003 so they are being counted out already however San Diego was killed by injuries last season and was done because of that. Now healthy, the Chargers could make a run in the division as farfetched as that may sound. The biggest issue was the offensive line but is back to full strength and will give Philip Rivers time in the pocket and open some holes for Melvin Gordon. The Chiefs were not strong enough last season to catch Denver but they certainly turned some heads after winning their final 10 regular season games following a 1-5 start. They blanked the Texans in the Wildcard Round of the playoffs but lost to the Patriot the following week. The biggest concern for Kansas City is its defense as three key players are banged up including Justin Houston who will be out at least seven weeks. Offensively, their offensive line was a concern and while they tried to make improvements in the offseason, the jury is still out if that will be the case. Stopping the run will be big for the Chargers and they have added depth. Kansas City has won four straight meetings in this series but this is a clean slate and almost the opposite of when they met last season as the Chargers are the healthy team, sans Joey Bosa who would have been a nonfactor anyway, and the Chiefs are the banged up squad. Despite all of the struggles and injuries last season, San Diego covered its last six road games, three of those where it was getting a touchdown or more and the Chargers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games when getting seven or more points. 10* (463) San Diego Chargers

This is a play on the BEARS for our Sunday Enforcer. The Bears are another team people have already written off but they have a chance to be a surprise in the NFC. While Chicago lost Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett, it had one of the best drafts in the NFL while also having the best free agency in the NFC. Injuries played a big factor in the struggles last season as only four players started all 16 games so the unfortunate luck there should turn around. Additionally, the Bears will have Kevin White, who missed all of last season, paired up with Alshon Jeffry to give Jay Cutler two solid weapons outside. The Bears defense was awful last year but John Fox is in his second season and should have the defense in a better spot thanks to some great offseason pickups. The big injury new for Houston is J.J. Watt who is banged up but plans to play Sunday. The real injury news though is on the offensive line where two starters are out and that could prove to be a big problem for newly acquired players Brock Osweiler and Lamar Miller. Houston made a nice run last season after a 2-5 start as it closed by going 7-2 and was able to back in to a division win because of the Colts injury issues. The Texans went 4-0 in the preseason which means nothing and going back, teams that went undefeated in the preseason and are home favorites in Week One are just 4-11-1 ATS the last 15. Conversely, the Bears went 0-3 in their first three preseason games when starters saw action and that is being taken into account way too much and adding value. Despite going 6-10 last season, the Bears went 5-3 on the road and covered six of their last seven. Houston is the biggest public consensus for Sunday and we will go against that here. 10* (467) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the JAGUARS for our Sunday Ultimate Underdog. You have to love going against the hype early in the season as that is what lines are made from, hype and expectations. This is most certainly the case with Green Bay which struggled to find any consistency but now are the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl. Even though we can expect a highly motivated Packers team, high expectations can create pressure and the pressure is certainly on. While Green Bay used to have no one to give them much resistance, the Vikings are a team on the rise even without Teddy Bridgewater so winning the division is far from a guarantee. Green Bay does in fact have the talent to make a run but coming out of the gates as a big road favorite against an up and coming team is very aggressive. Jacksonville had arguably the best offseason of any team in the league and it came on the needed side. The Jaguars had one of the worst defenses in the league last season but on signing day, they picked up defensive lineman Malik Jackson, safety Tashaun Gipson and cornerback Prince Amukamara. Additionally, they got linebacker Miles Jack and cornerback Jalen Ramsey via the draft not to mention the top pick last year, defensive end Dante Fowler who missed the season after tearing his ACL on the first day on mini-camp. Offensively, Jacksonville has the chance to be a very explosive group and it will be up to the offensive line to keep things together. Quarterback Bortles was ranked seventh with 4,428 passing yards and second with 35 touchdowns last season. There is a reason Jacksonville has covered 12 of its last 17 season openers and that is because the expectations are always low in the eyes of the public and the oddsmakers have to adjust. In this case, it was an overadjustment. 10* (470) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on ARKANSAS ST. for our NCAAF Game of the Week. Both Arkansas St. and Auburn are coming off losses last week and while Auburn comes from the far superior conference, it is laying way too many points here. The Tigers lost at home against Clemson by just six points so that may be considered a moral victory but they were outgained 399-262 so the game was not as close as the final score indicated. Clemson is arguably the best team in the country so this is a big step down in class for Auburn but this is a horrible spot. Coming off that disappointing loss and with Texas A&M and LSU on deck, the Tigers will have a tough time getting up for this one. The offense is not powerful enough to cover a number this big especially facing a defense that could be the best in the Sun Belt Conference. That was not the case last week however as Arkansas St. got pummeled at home 31-10 to Toledo while getting outgained by 290 total yards. The biggest surprise of that defeat was that Arkansas St. was actually favored by four points and that was just the fifth loss at home since 2011, going 26-5 over this stretch and while the road has been not nearly as good, the Red Wolves are catching Auburn at the right time. They play at Utah St. next week so there is no lookahead and the Red Wolves are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Meanwhile Auburn has covered just two of its last 12 home games. 10* (345) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on GEORGIA SOUTHERN for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. While there were plenty of upsets last week in college football, the biggest under the radar one was arguably South Alabama defeating Mississippi St. on the road as close to a four-touchdown favorite. The Jaguars rallied from a 20-7 deficit in the fourth quarter as they scored a touchdown with 57 seconds remaining and dodged a bullet when Mississippi St. junior Westin Graves missed a 28-yard field-goal attempt by hitting the left upright with six seconds remaining. This team has been pretty solid since entering the FBS but South Alabama will have a tough time this week. Georgia Southern has been even better since entering the FBS as it has gone 19-7 following its 54-0 romp over Savannah St. last week. The Eagles, which were the fourth best rushing team in the nation last year, started right where they left off as they rushed for 420 yards on 6.1 ypc and that should continue. South Alabama had one of the worst rushing defenses last season, giving up 221 ypg on 5.4 ypc and it allowed 239 yards on the ground last week. In the meeting last season, the Jaguars jumped out to a 7-0 lead but Georgia Southern closed the game out 55-10 and outgained South Alabama 489-74 on the ground. While the disparity may not be that big this time around, it should not be narrowed by too much which gives the Eagles a dominance at the line of scrimmage which leads to an easy cover. The Eagles are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. 10* (375) Georgia Southern Eagles

As stated in a different analysis, Mississippi St. losing to South Alabama was probably the biggest of all of the upsets last week based on the pure talent disparity. While the Bulldogs lost a lot from last year, namely quarterback Dak Prescott, there is no excuse for a SEC from the SEC losing to a team from the Sun Belt Conference that has never had a winning season at the FBS level. While the rushing offense and rushing defense dominated at the line of scrimmage the line of scrimmage, the passing numbers were the difference but we will not have to worry about that in this matchup. South Carolina won a snoozer against Vanderbilt last Thursday 13-10 on a 55-yard field goal with just 35 seconds remaining. The Gamecocks allowed only 242 total yards but that came against one of the worst offenses in the country from a season ago. They will be tested more here both on the ground and through the air where Bulldogs quarterback Damian Williams was very sharp, going 20-28 although it resulted in just 143 yards. One thing is for sure, the Bulldogs are not going to take South Carolina for granted and we can give that credit to head coach Dan Mullin as they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile the Gamecocks have covered just twice in their last eight games against teams with a losing record. Mississippi St. will be the hungrier team and even though these teams have not met since 2013, coach Mullin will have them know that Mississippi St. has dropped seven straight in this series, last win coming in 1999. 10* (364) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on AKRON for our Saturday Enforcer. We often talk about letdowns and this is the perfect example of one as Wisconsin took down No. 5 LSU last week 16-14 at Lambeau Field so recovering from that should be next to impossible. Sure, the talent gap is pretty wide between these two teams but focus can go a long way and a spread like this only adds to that. After the win over the Tigers, the celebration was huge with Badger players doing the Lambeau Leap and like fans charging the floor in college hoops, it is a great go against spot. Akron had no issues with VMI last week and while things will not be nearly as easy, the linesmakers have done the work for us as the line difference between last week and this week is 53 points. Akron was looking another losing season straight in the face last year but rallied to win its final four games of the season to become bowl eligible and then went on to defeat Utah St. to claim it first ever bowl win. So the Zips have now won six straight games and while we are not calling for the outright win here, it is too many points to pass up with the situation at hand. Momentum goes a long way and the Akron program has plenty of that right so it can inspire a lot of confidence. The Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while the Zips are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (329) Akron Zips

We love to bet on good teams coming off subpar efforts because it carries with it excellent line value next time out. In this case, it is Florida which is coming off a pretty poor effort against a pretty bad and inexperienced Massachusetts team. The Gators won 24-7 so they clearly did not show up to play on both sides. The defense did its part by allowing just 187 total yards but the offense could must just 363 yards against a defense that allowed 448 ypg last season and brought back just five starters. There may have been a lookahead to this game and while it is just lowly Kentucky, the Gators surely have not forgotten the meeting from last season when they escaped in Lexington by a score of just 14-9. Overall, the Florida offense was pretty poor last season but was expected to much better this season with a lot of experience back and we should see the breakout here. Kentucky was defeated by Southern Mississippi as it was outscored 34-0 after blowing a 35-10 lead and those losses are sometimes the worst to bounce back from. The Wildcats were supposed to turn things around under head coach Mark Swoops but they have done anything but that as they have not had a winning season under him in three years and in his victories, the best win came against South Carolina in 2014 which went on to finish 7-6. The talent gap is too big here and this is where Kentucky has really struggles as the Wildcats are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games. 10* (352) Florida Gators

Kansas snapped a 15-game losing streak with a resounding 55-6 win over Rhode Island and it seemed like the Jayhawks had just won the Big XII Championship after watching the fans storm the field. It must have not known that Rhode Island was a 1-11 team from last season. Good for Kansas to snap that losing streak but now it looks to go 2-0 for the first time since 2011. As a matter of fact, that was the last time the Jayhawks have won consecutive games, going 0-8 in their last eight games following a victory. Wins over FBS teams has been rare as well as since 2011, Kansas is 10-51, half of those victories coming against teams from the FCS. The Bobcats lost a tough one in their opener as they fell to Texas St. in triple overtime. They led late but Texas St. sent the game into overtime with a field goal and eventually Ohio lost the game on a failed two-point conversion. The Bobcats are coming off a solid 8-5 season and they are expected to once again contend in the MAC East. Last year could have been a lot better but they were derailed with injuries and that actually helps them this year with the experience of a lot more players than they normally would have had. All of this makes the loss to Texas St. that much more baffling especially considering they were favored by 17 points. This game has seen a big line move as Ohio came in as the favorite but the line has shifted up to five points depending on what book. 10* (311) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on RICE for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Army treated us well last Friday night as it went into Temple and won outright 28-13 as a two touchdown underdog. While it was a play on Army, it was more of a play against Temple which was completely overvalued after its spectacular season a year ago. The outright victory from the Black Knights was not expected but it certainly helps us this week with line value and for situational purposes. An adage brought up a lot is that teams are not as good as they looked in their last game and teams are not as bad as they looked in their last game so while that applies to Army, it also applies to Rice. The Owls got destroyed at Western Kentucky last week by a score of 46-14 but the Hilltoppers are expected to contend once again in C-USA. After three straight winning seasons and three straight bowl appearances, which was a first for the program, the Owls slipped to 5-7 last season after a 4-3 start. There should be plenty of motivation to get back to a bowl game and with 16 returning starters, third most in C-USA, Rice has the ability to succeed. Last week may not have shown that loss put them in a spot knowing it needs to bounce back, especially with a game against Baylor next Friday. This teams is a lot like the 2013 team that brought back 17 starters and won 10 games, something that had not happened since 2008. Army is a putrid 0-14 since 2011 following a victory and now it is laying double-digits against a team desperate for a win. No thanks. 10* (309) Rice Owls

This total looks to be on the high side considering the meeting last year had the closing over/under at 50.5 but it has jumped up for a reason. After a second straight losing season, head coach Scott Shafer was let go at Syracuse and the school brought in Dino Babers from Bowling Green which looks to be a great hire to make some changes for the good. First and foremost, he brings in a fast paced offense, something that Syracuse has not implemented in quite some time. It was on display last week against Colgate as the Orange racked up 554 total yards and they should have put up more than 33 points but struggled a bit on third down. Granted, it was only Colgate but it was a very positive sign compared to last season when they managed only 426 yards in their opener against Rhode Island, a team that went 1-11 at the FCS level. They will be facing a tougher defense here for sure but moving the ball will not be an issue, especially at home where the Louisville defense will not have the crowd behind them. The Cardinals decimated Charlotte last Thursday 70-14 as they racked up 663 total yards and while they will not be matching those numbers this week, the offense will not be slowed down much. The Syracuse defense is at a disadvantage from a talent perspective, which does not help its case and side of the ball is expected to struggle all season. Both offenses play at a high pace with mobile quarterbacks so we should see some offensive fireworks come Friday night. 10* Over (303) Louisville Cardinals/(304) Syracuse Orange

Going back a few years, we had seen the past Super Bowl champions win their season openers including Pittsburgh in 2009, New Orleans in 2010 and Green Bay in 2011. That changed in 2012 when the Giants lost at home against Dallas and continued three years ago when Baltimore had to go on the road to Denver because of a conflict with the Orioles and got thumped. Two years ago, Seattle easily defeated Green Bay and last year, New England ended up pushing with the Steelers. This being said, Super bowl losers have been horrendous against the number in their first game the following season, going 3-16 ATS over the last 19 games. What Carolina did during the regular season and even in the NFC Playoffs was pretty remarkable but it was done against a fairly easy schedule. The Panthers did beat Seattle on the road but that took a 28-yard touchdown pass in the final minute and they did not defeat any other team on the road that eventually made the playoffs. The Broncos lost their two quarterbacks from last season but it should not be much of a dropoff. Managing the game is the key and Trevor Siemian has the ability to do that. The Denver defense was No. 1 in total defense and No. 4 in scoring defense and it could be even better this season. As far as the line goes, the public has moved this number four points with Carolina now a field goal favorite on the road meaning it would be a double-digit favorite at home and that makes zero sense. Denver should be extremely motivated here to come out strong in defense of its Super Bowl win as well as not accepting the fact it is an underdog here at home. 10* (452) Denver Broncos

We have seen No. 3 and No. 5 go down already this weekend so Florida St. is on upset alert but the Seminoles should have no issues tonight. The Seminoles have been looking forward to this one since last season when they were beaten pretty soundly by Houston 38-24. Mississippi comes in as the No. 11 team in the nation and this is no longer a program that is going to sneak up on any team, especially one that will br vying for a National Championship. There is talk about how good the Rebels rushing defense is going to be and while that may be the case, the Seminoles are in fine shape with Dalvin Cook. Last season, Cook, who averaged 7.38 ypc, played six of the top 30 defenses in yards per carry: No. 1 Boston College, No. 6 Houston, No. 8 Louisville, No. 17 Florida, No. 20 Clemson and No. 29 South Florida. Florida St. has a great situation on its side as we play against teams in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (212) Florida St. Seminoles

This is a play on WYOMING for our SATURDAY ENFORCER. Last year was considered a down season for Northern Illinois as it won just eight games, the first time since 2009 it failed to win at least 11 games. The Huskies will once again contend for the MAC Championship but it will not be easy with the conference getting better as a whole. They did not end well last year with a 20-point loss to Bowling Green in the MAC Championship and then getting blown out 55-7 to Boise St. in the Poinsettia Bowl. This can certainly have them hungry heading into the season but there are still plenty of doubts, namely on the defense. Northern Illinois allowed 418 ypg which was the most since 2007 and while they return six starters, two big losses are in the front seven with two First Team All-MAC players gone. Wyoming had a miserable season last year as it went just 2-10 but there is optimism this year as the Cowboys welcome back 17 starters. The offense struggled last season but was extremely young and there are nine returnees on that unit. Junior running back Brian Hill was a major contributor for the Cowboys offense last season. He finished with 1,631 rushing yards (135.9 ypg, 5.8 ypc) and was a Doak Walker Finalist. While they averaged just 19 ppg, they will be better and have a chance to come out strong against a weak Huskies defense. Laramie is not an easy place for teams coming from the east to play based on the altitude and this team could be gassed late in the game. Wyoming falls into a solid situation where we play on Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that were a good passing team from last season with a completion rate of 58 percent or better, in non-conference games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (208) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on CLEMSON for our SATURDAY STAR ATTRACTION. This is the perfect game for Clemson to start with this season as a quality road win is just what it needs. The Tigers have some unfinished business to take care of after running the table with a 14-0 record but ultimately losing to Alabama in the BCS Championship. They are certainly going to out on a mission and with games on deck against Troy and South Carolina St., there will be no looking ahead here despite knowing the struggles of Auburn as this is a tough environment no matter what. The Clemson offense finished No. 11 overall and should be even better this season with eight starters back and numerous returnees on the two-deep chart. The defense will be the concern with only four starters back but it was still very solid last season despite bringing back only three starters. Additionally, a ton of players that did not start last year got quality playing time. Auburn went just 6-6 last season but was able to pull out a bowl win over Memphis to give it some positive momentum heading into this season. The offense had its worst year since 2012 as the Tigers averaged just 370 ypg which was down by 115 ypg from the previous year. The offense has thrived in the past with mobile quarterbacks but once again, they will not have that luxury as Sean White, more of a true drop back passer, won the starting job. That is not an ideal scheme against an aggressive Clemson defense that will be keying on stopping the run and blitzing from all angles. While this is the perfect opener for Clemson as mentioned, it is the worst possible opener for Auburn facing one of the best offenses in the nation while sorting out its defense with another new defensive coordinator. 10* (183) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on NEBRASKA for our SATURDAY SUPREME ANNIHILATOR. The first year under head coach Mike Riley was not a huge disappointment despite the 5-7 record. The Huskers were the most unfortunate team in the country as they had five last second losses including a loss on Hail Mary against BYU in their season opener which pretty much set the tone for the rest of the season. Despite a 5-7 record, they were invited to a bowl game because there were not enough qualified teams and they gladly accepted it. Nebraska defeated UCLA in the Foster Farms Bowl which was a big win to carry forward into this year. While winning the Big Ten may be a stretch, the Huskers will be contending for the West Division even though their three biggest obstacles are taking place on the road. Nebraska has 13 starters back led by an offense that returns starting quarterback Tommy Armstrong as well as its leading rusher and top six receivers. Fresno St. really struggled last season as it had five straight FBS losses to open the season and was never able to recover as it went just 3-9 after three straight winning seasons. The Bulldogs should take a step forward this season but it will likely be just a small step. The Bulldogs averaged a mere 178.3 passing ypg last season and will start a redshirt freshman, Chason Virgil, at quarterback. Overall, Fresno St. ranked No. 100 or higher in seven of nine major national statistical categories on offense and defense last season. On defense, it is definitely a rebuilding effort with only five returning starters and a new defensive coordinator. This is not a good sign for a team that finished No. 118 in the nation in scoring defense and No. 116 in rushing defense. The Bulldogs are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games while Nebraska is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games. 10* (200) Nebraska Cornhuskers

This is a play on UL-LAFAYETTE for our GAME OF THE WEEK. After four straight 9-4 seasons for Louisiana, 2015 was a lot different. Last season was a major disappointment as the Cajuns failed to possess a winning record for the first time under head coach Mark Hudspeth so there should be a big rebound in Lafayette. The offense, despite having to replace its starting quarterback, should be better with All American candidate Elijah McGuire at running back. Taking over at quarterback is Anthony Jennings, a graduate transfer from LSU who started 12 games for the Tigers in 2014 so he has some big game experience. Overall, 14 starters are back and Louisiana is expected to regain its form to contend in the Sun Belt Conference. The Cajuns will be tested right out of the gate and because of the struggles last season, they are getting a huge number here at home. Boise St. went just 9-4 last year which was a disappointment mostly because it was unable to win the MWC. The Broncos are expected to have a better season although they do come in unranked. Offensively, they bring back the main cogs and will be explosive but the defense is a huge concern. The Broncos are set at linebacker, but have little experience on the defensive line and in the defensive backfield. It will be up to the defensive veterans to lead the defense as it grows and finds itself. Overall, they only have five starters back on that side of the ball. The Cajuns have cherished the role of underdog, going 18-9 ATS under Hudspeth including a perfect 2-0 as home underdogs, both resulting in outright winners. This was originally scheduled for a 7:00 PM local time start but was moved up to the afternoon and that is a huge edge for the home team with the forecast calling for a hot and humid day, something the Broncos are not accustomed to. 10* (204) UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

Football starts early on Saturday as Boston College and Georgia Tech square off in Ireland in what can be considered a must win for both teams. They are both coming off dreadful seasons a year ago which was more surprising for Georgia Tech than it was for Boston College. The Yellow Jackets went 3-9 including a 1-7 record in the ACC and after a 2-0 start, they were unable to get anything going. The Eagles finished with an identical 3-9 record but went winless in the conference as their offense was dreadful. Two of their wins came against teams from the FCS while the other was a three-point win at home against Northern Illinois. We need to figure out which team, if any, can bounce back this season and the answer to that is Georgia Tech. Last year was the worst season at the school for head coach Paul Johnson and he will no doubt have his team focused for this opening game. He has always been a strong starter and going back, the Yellow Jackets are 24-8 ATS in the first two weeks of the season including an 18-9 ATS record under Johnson and he has only lost twice in the first game of the season against an FBS team. Georgia Tech gets its quarterback, top three running backs and top two receivers back so after slipping in offense last season, it should be ready for a big rebound. Six of its nine losses were by one possession so the Yellow Jackets were closer to having a good season than the record shows. The Eagles lost some close games as well only because the defense kept things close but they will have a tough time with this option offense. Look for the Yellow Jackets to pull away in this one. 10* (153) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Temple was one of if not the biggest surprises of college football last season, winning 10 games after winning just eight in the first two seasons under head coach Matt Rhule. The Owls nearly upset Notre Dame along the way as well so they will be coming into this season as significantly overrated and we are seeing it already in Game One of the season. This is the first time since 2008 that Temple is favored in a season opener against a team from the FBS and it is a pretty big number to say the least. Army disappointed last season with a 2-10 record but it was the best double-digit loss team in the country if there is such a thing. The Black Knights were outgained by an average of just 38 ypg and outscored by only 5.7 ppg which shows how competitive they really were. Army lost seven games by a touchdown or less including four by four points or less and while they were not against any elite teams, we definitely cannot put Temple into that category despite their solid record last season because it played a fairly easy schedule as well. Army has 16 starters back so it can build on what was accomplished last season even though it did not show up in the win column. One of those is quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw who left the team a couple weeks ago only to change his mind the next day and return to West Point. Conversely, Temple has just 12 starters back after returning 19 starters a season ago so bringing back experience can go a long way for sure. The road has been unkind to the Black Knights since 2011 with just one victory but that win came last season while this is the most experienced team over this timeframe. 10* (147) Army Black Knights

Indiana went to a bowl game last season for the first time since 2007 and despite a 6- overall record, the Hoosiers were a lot better than that record shows as five losses came by a touchdown or less and three of those were against Ohio St., Michigan and Iowa. While the Hoosiers went 3-2 on the road last season, equaling that mark will not be easy especially with the loss of their starting quarterback, leading rusher and seven other starters. Indiana covered both games last season when laying points on the road but those were both under a touchdown. Things have improved in each of the three years for Florida International under head coach Ron Turner, going from one win to four wins to five wins. There is room for an even bigger jump this season thanks to nine returning starters on offense, a unit that struggled last season but should get a lot better. The big factor is returning quarterback Alex McGough who was solid last season, completing 64 percent of his passes while tossing 21 touchdowns and just eight picks. He struggled late in the season because of injuries to his receivers and offensive line but the entire line is back as is his top three receiving targets. Defensively, the Golden Panthers were pretty bad but should also be better this season as the back seven returns five of their starters. There is a solid revenge factor here as Florida International went to Indiana last season and had a lead in the fourth quarter but failed to pull it off as a 96-yard pick-six was the difference. As far as line value, the Golden Panthers were getting 7.5 points and now they are getting more at home. Additionally, we play on home underdogs 3.5 to 10 points that had a completion percentage of .620 or better, in non-conference games. This situation is 27-3 ATS (90 percent) since 1992. 10* (134) Florida International Golden Panthers

Tennessee enters the 2016 season with some very lofty expectations and rightfully so. The Volunteers are ranked No. 9 in the Preseason AP Poll and while rankings are meaningless now and throughout the season, it does show how they are expected to compete. Tennessee actually received a first place vote in the USA Today/Amway Coaches Preseason Poll and it would not be surprising for this team to make a playoff run. The two toughest SEC games are at home against Alabama and Florida and the rest of the slate is very doable. Momentum is huge as the Volunteers win their last six games last season and all of their four losses were by seven points or less. Additionally, they are loaded with 17 starters returning. While Appalachian St. has had a lot of success since moving into the FBS in 2014, we have to remember where it plays and which teams it plays against. The Mountaineers have gone 13-3 in the Sun Belt Conference which is a phenomenal record no matter where a team plays but the level of competition is a lot different here. They have gone 5-4 in non-conference games the last two years but three of those wins came against teams from the FCS while two of the losses came against power conference teams by a combined score of 93-24. As a matter of fact, since their upset win at Michigan in 2007, they have gone 0-6 against the power conferences, losing by an average of 37.8 ppg. Appalachian St. was a road underdog just once last season which shows its level of competition. Momentum is big in this spot as we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (190) Tennessee Volunteers

California had eight straight winning seasons between 2002 and 2009 but has had just two since then and while last year was one of those, it was a major disappointment. The Golden Bears had one of the top quarterbacks in college football in Jared Goff but managed an underachieving 8-5 record that included four wins by six points or less. While Goff has departed, so have plenty of other starters on offense and it will take a while for this unit to come together. The Golden Bears lost their six top receivers as well and while quarterback Davis Webb, a graduate transfer from Texas Tech, has the ability to put up big numbers, it may not happen right away as this offense will need time to gel. Additionally, they lost offensive coordinator Tony Franklin who left for Tennessee. On the other side, the defense allowed 27 or more points nine times, allowing an average of 30.7 ppg which was No. 89 in the country and there is no reason to believe the defense will improve this season. California returns just five starters from last season and overall it lost six of its top eight defensive linemen, five of its top seven linebackers, and two starters in the secondary. This is a recipe for disaster since the Golden Bears defense will be on the field a ton because of the pass happy offense. Hawaii has been a disaster for years, going 11-39 over the last four seasons. The Warriors brought in a new head coach in Nick Rolovich, a former quarterback that is expected to turn things around. Hawaii had one of the worst offenses in the nation last season but it brings back a lot on that side of the ball including an experienced quarterback in Ikaika Woolsey and nine other starters. The Warriors will be better on defense and catching a rebuilding California offense now is perfect timing. This line is based on past history and the Golden Bears are completely overvalued considering they have been favored away from home only three times since 2012. 10* (292) Hawaii Warriors

Public reaction and recent results are playing a big role in this Super Bowl line which is the case every year considering this is the most wagered on game across all sport by a wide margin. Carolina rolled through the playoffs with very impressive home wins as they destroyed Arizona after jumping up on Seattle 31-0 the previous week. Conversely, Denver escaped with a pair of close wins at home against Pittsburgh and New England so those games alone are going to inflate this line. The Panthers have just one loss this season which is a big reason they are a significant favorite but of course that one loss came away from home and of their seven wins, only one came against a playoff team when they scored a late touchdown to take care of the Seahawks. There is a very interesting dynamic in this game and it is based on recent results and how the linesmakers need to open and move lines based on those results. Since 2004, 15 teams have scored 40 or more points in a playoff game with another playoff game upcoming and the results have not been good for those teams. The team that scored 40 or more points has gone on to lose 9 of the next 15 playoff games outright while going just 2-12-1 ATS. One of those covers came in last year's Super Bowl which was just a yard away from being a different result while the other ATS win came back in 2010 when the Packers defeated the Bears 21-14 in a game where Jay Cutler was lost to injury and Chicago was down to third string quarterback Caleb Hanie. Additionally, of those six outright follow up wins, that Green Bay win was the only one by more than four points. Denver is the 12th team in history to enter the Super Bowl with the top scoring defense in the NFL and 9 of the previous 11 left with an outright victory. Listening to the TV talking heads, many are shocked the line is this low and they are saying this one has the look of the Denver and Seattle Super Bowl from two years ago. That's what we like to hear. 10* (102) Denver Broncos

The favorites have won seven of the first eight playoff games, even though the underdog has covered most of those, so it comes as no surprise that the early public consensus is on both favorites this week and that is likely heightened because the lines are in the field goal range. After the road team won all four Wild Card Round games, the home team took all four Divisional Round games by six or seven points. It was a good indication that the bye teams had a significant edge over the team that had just won on the road the previous week. The dynamic is different this week though as the road teams are coming off home wins with the Cardinals being one of those teams. While it can be argued they escaped with the victory in overtime thanks to Green Bay never seeing the ball, the game really should have never gone into overtime. Arizona was certainly sloppy last week, most notably Carson Palmer who made some poor throws that led to two costly interceptions but he still completed 61 percent of his passes for 349 yards and three touchdowns. The Cardinals bring in a different offense than what Seattle brought into Carolina as they can stretch it out more and have more balance as they were the only team in the regular season to finish in the top ten in both rushing and passing offense. Carolina built a huge lead last Sunday and barely held on while getting outgained by 108 yards as costly mistakes by the Seahawks on the wrong sides of the field did them in. The Cardinals won and covered their only game as an underdog this season and going back, they are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. Additionally, we play on road underdogs or pickems after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 71-35 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (313) Arizona Cardinals

The favorites have won seven of the first eight playoff games, even though the underdog has covered most of those, so it comes as no surprise that the early public consensus is on both favorites this week and that is likely heightened because the lines are in the field goal range. After the road team won all four Wild Card Round games, the home team took all four Divisional Round games by six or seven points. It was a good indication that the bye teams had a significant edge over the team that had just won on the road the previous week. The dynamic is different this week though as the road teams are coming off home wins with the Patriots being one of those teams. The linesmakers were forced to make New England a favorite here knowing what sort of action would be coming in. The first look here is at the home underdog but this is a tough matchup for Denver now that the Patriots are healthy. The offensive line did a great job last week in protection, not allowing a single sack or hit, and it is the quick passing game that will give the Broncos fits this time around. Denver was pretty fortunate to win last week against a depleted Steelers team and the offense clearly cannot carry this team. The Patriots have a very underrated front seven and they are going to force Peyton Manning to win this game with his arm which will not happen. Over the last 30 yards, the No. 1 seed has been a home underdog in the Conference Championship and has lost all three times. While revenge isn't a big factor when it comes to big games like this, the Patriots are 11-1 ATS revenging a same season loss as a road favorite and that comes down to coaching. The home team has won and covered the six meetings in this series with Brady vs. Manning but the latter is not close to the same player from past meetings. 10* (311) New England Patriots

This line was on and off the board all week due to the Steelers injury situation and has been confirmed that both Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams are out. The number reached nine in a couple places but settled back down to -7.5 and while we are on the wrong side of the key number of seven, it should not come into play here. Don't be surprised to see this one go up more by gametime so betting it early in the day is likely the right move. The absence of Williams last week against Cincinnati did not matter as the Steelers rushed for 167 yards on 29 carries (5.8 ypc) but things will be tougher here. The Broncos bring in the top ranked rushing defense, allowing just 3.3 ypc compared to the Bengals which allowed a full yard more per carry. One stat that came into play yesterday was the Patriots have averaged 6.9 yppl when Julian Edelman plays which is first in the NFL and when he doesn't play, they average 4.7 yppl which is dead last in the league. We saw what a difference it made yesterday. For the Steelers, when Brown is off the field which was only 88 plays over the past couple of seasons, the Steelers average just 1.6 yppl. On the other side, we don't anticipate Peyton Manning to carry the offense but he is clearly as healthy as he has been all season and an improved running game will definitely help. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off two consecutive road wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (308) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the SEAHAWKS for our NFL Playoff Game of the Year. Seattle has no business being here as it was able to advance thanks to a missed 27-yard field goal from the Vikings. But in reality, the Seahawks played a great game in elements they are not accustomed to and I foresee them taking advantage of this opportunity. Offensively, it was a challenge and the weather did play a role in that which I did not think it would so it came down to the defenses and both played exceptional. Seattle allowed just three field goals, although it should have been four, and this defense continues to dominate as over their last six road games, they have allowed an average of 7.2 ppg and even more impressive, they have allowed an offensive touchdown only once in those six games. The Carolina offense goes as Cam Newton goes so shutting him down, or at least slowing him down, is the key for the Seahawks defense. That may be stating the obvious but we saw it in the first meeting this season in Seattle as they shut the Panthers down the majority of the game until the ferocious comeback by Carolina which pulled off the upset as a touchdown underdog. While this is a No. 1 vs. No. 6 matchup, it is far from that at this point in the season. Seattle falls into a great spot as we play on road underdogs or pickems that are averaging 24 or more ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 68-35 ATS (66 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Carolina is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games in the second half of the season against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers per game while the Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (305) Seattle Seahawks

This number is stuck on seven as of Wednesday afternoon and likely is not going to move until gameday when public money comes pouring in on the Cardinals. A big reason for that is they have been a great home team this year, or are they? Arizona blew away San Francisco and Green Bay but the other four wins were all within just one possession late in the game. The win over Green Bay is affecting the betting market as well as the Packers were destroyed by 30 points as they were never in it. We will see a better Green Bay performance here as the Packers finally woke up last week with a big win in Washington. The line is also on our side as high as it is as underdogs of at least seven points have gone 29-19 ATS (60.4 percent) during the postseason including a 17-9 ATS record (65.4 percent) during the Divisional Round. That record improves to 11-2 ATS (84.6 percent) when the favorite is getting more than 50 percent of the action. Additionally, road teams are 14-3 ATS (82.4 percent) since 2005 in the Divisional Round when coming off a road win. Two of those three covers losses were by just 4.5 points combined (Baltimore by 3.5 points in 2010 against Pittsburgh and Washington by 1 point in 2005 against Seattle. Granted, all four game fall into this situation but this is one of only two games where major recent injuries are not coming into play. The Packers will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after that first meeting in Week 16 and adjustments will be made to fix some of the problems that occurred. Going back, the Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six playoff road games while the Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. 10* (303) Green Bay Packers

Kansas City is coming off its 11th straight win as it went to Houston last Saturday, returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown and never looked back in a 30-0 victory. The score shows a domination but the Chiefs only outgained the Texans by 88 total yards as they were fortunate that Brian Hoyer played one of his worst games ever and took advantage of five Houston turnovers. The Chiefs take a big step up in class here as they head to New England to take on the Patriots and we are getting a good value line here. New England got a much needed week off to rest and heal up as well as getting a break following two losses to end the regular season. Both of those losses came on the road and the Patriots come in with a 7-1 home record. The lone loss came against the Eagles where they won the yardage battle by 179 yards but Philadelphia scored two touchdowns on special teams and another on a 99-yard interception return. The Patriots are getting Julian Edelman back which is a huge boost for the offense. To put it into perspective, the Patriots have averaged 6.9 yppl when Edelman plays which is first in the NFL and when he doesn't play, they average 4.7 yppl which is dead last in the league. Here, we play against road teams after a win by 21 or more points going up against an opponent after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Additionally, New England is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams averaging 5.65 or fewer yppl and 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games after being outgained by 150 or more ypg in its previous game. 10* (302) New England Patriots

We made a bad call on Michigan St. against Alabama and in hindsight it was the type of matchup that the Crimson Tide thrive on defensively but Clemson brings in a whole different system. The Tigers took it to Oklahoma and while that defense is far from that of Alabama, they can have some success against the Crimson Tide. I am not expecting them to move it up and down the field the whole game, but they will get their shots. Deshaun Watson is the type of quarterback who gives the Tide problems. He has eclipsed 100 rushing yards in five of his last six games and is averaging 107.7 ypg on 5.92 ypc. Of the past six quarterbacks who beat Alabama, Chad Kelly of Mississippi, Cardale Jones of Ohio St., Bo Wallace of Mississippi, Trevor Knight of Oklahoma, Nick Marshall of Auburn and Johnny Manziel of Texas A&M, only Wallace averaged fewer than 4 ypc in that season while Knight, Marshall and Manziel each averaged more than 6 ypc. Watson poses not only a run threat but also a deep passing threat, where Alabama has been vulnerable at times. The Alabama offense put up 440 yards against Michigan St. but now faces a quicker and more athletic defense in Clemson and quarterback Jake Coker will not have nearly the same success here as he did against the Sooners. Clemson is 27-11 ATS in its last 38 games away from home after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game while going 6-0 in its last six neutral site games. Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. 10* (152) Clemson Tigers

The two semifinal playoff games went under the total which was due to the defenses not allowing hardly anything. While the offenses put up 37 and 38 points, those were against defenses that do not compare to what they will be facing here. Alabama comes in ranked 1st in scoring defense and 2nd in total defense while Clemson comes in ranked 16th in scoring defense and 6th in total defense and it needs to be noted that Oklahoma and Michigan St. did not rank inside the top 25 in either of those categories. I do expect Clemson to have more success on offense than Michigan St. did but the Tigers are not going to have a field day all night for sure. On the other side, Alabama will be facing a much quicker and more athletic defense and they will have their own troubles. Both teams fall into a great low scoring situation where we play the under for neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in a game involving two teams outgaining opponents by 1.2 or more yppl in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. This situation is 32-8 (80 percent) to the under since 1992. Clemson is 12-3 to the under in its last 15 games after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game while going 10-3 to the under in its last 13 games against winning teams. Meanwhile, Alabama is 33-14 in its last 47 games against teams averaging 200 or more rushing ypg. The teams combined to go 12-6 to the under when the total was between 40 and 55 this season and we can expect that to continue here. 10* Under (151) Alabama Crimson Tide/(152) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on WASHINGTON for our NFL Game of the Year. Surprisingly, Washington is the lone home favorite in this year's Wild Card round and it might not even last considering that the Packers are, and will be in the postseason, a very public team. We played on Green Bay this past Sunday as it was trying to clinch the NFC North and it failed to do so at home no less. The Packers may have been better off with that loss as heading to Washington is arguably a better opportunity to win than playing Seattle in the first round but at this point, the Packers are just not a good football team. Green Bay has played only one bad game since the end of October as it is 3-3 in its last six games and one of those wins came on a Hail Mary and another came against Oakland in a game they lost the yardage battle by 79 yards. Washington meanwhile is peaking at the right time as it has won four straight games to claim the NFC East. The offense has been sensational over this stretch and can go toe-to-toe with the Packers if need be but that won't be necessary. While the Redskins yardage differential is not very good, finding ways to win is what counts and that is what they have been doing. They are 6-1 in their last seven home games, covering five of those and a win here likely means a cover. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (108) Washington Redskins

These teams met here just over a month ago and we are seeing a total that is filled with value as it is three points less now based on recent results. The Seahawks have gone under the total in four straight games as the defense was outstanding in three of those games while the offense didn't show up in the loss to the Rams. The Vikings meanwhile have been an under team all season, staying below the total in 11 of 16 games including the last one on Sunday against the Packers that decided the NFC North. While the Seahawks have been playing at a high level of late, they have been unusually inconsistent and while they held Minnesota to just seven points and 125 total yards in that first meeting, the Vikings will have a better gameplan this time around. Minnesota has averaged 31.8 ppg on offense since that Seattle game. Going back, the over is 9-2 in the Vikings last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record while going 7-0 to the over in their last seven games against teams averaging 4.5 ypc or more. Meanwhile, the over is 5-1 in the Seahawks last six games against teams with a winning record while the over is 16-6 in their last 22 games coming off a win over a divisional rival as an underdog .This total has already come down two points from its opener which signals a defensive battle but I expect the opposite on Sunday. 10* Over (103) Seattle Seahawks/(104) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on CINCINNATI for our Saturday Enforcer. This is the second meeting here in a month and the Bengals will be out to avenge a loss from that game. That was the game quarterback Andy Dalton was injured so there is definitely some added motivation even though the rivalry alone is sufficient. It is pretty common knowledge that Cincinnati has struggled during the postseason over the recent years but this is the best Bengals team during this stretch even though they come in on an average 4-4 run over the second half. Cincinnati actually outgained the Steelers in that loss while the other three losses came by just 3, 3 and 4 points. Dalton has not been declared out but has been downgraded to doubtful which means it is pretty much assured he is not going to play. A.J. McCarron has been very solid however and will be just fine here. Obviously the Steelers and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger have a lot more expereience and its offense continues to roll but take away an interception return for a touchdown and Pittsburgh has averaged just 18 ppg in the first two meetings. Cincinnati hasn't won a playoff game since the 1990 season, the sixth-longest streak of postseason futility in NFL history and I really believe this is the best opportunity for to end, Dalton or no Dalton. Here, we play on home teams that are coming off two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two teams averaging between 23 and 27 ppg. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (106) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on HOUSTON for our Saturday Ultimate Underdog. This is a rematch of the Week One meeting that the Chiefs won 27-20 before going on to lost five straight games. It has been quite the turnaround however as Kansas City enters the playoffs as the hottest team in the NFL with a 10-game winning streak but this has to be one of the least dominant teams involved in a streak of this magnitude. The Chiefs are outgaining opponents by less than two ypg and a lot of that is because of an anemic offense that is ranked 27th overall. They make it up with a solid defense but even those rankings are not as good as those from Houston. The Texans won their last three games to win the AFC South and while those wins were all against poor teams, Houston owns quality wins over the Jets and Bengals and on the season, they are outgaining opponents by 37.6 ypg. With Brian Hoyer back at quarterback, the Texans offense has an extra spark as he quietly had a solid season with a 91.4 quarterback rating while tossing 19 touchdowns and just seven picks. Houston has been outgained just once in its last nine games and while a deep playoff run is unlikely, the matchup here is a good one and getting home points makes it even stronger. The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record while the Texans are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (102) Houston Texans

This is a play on the PACKERS for our Sunday night Primetime game. The NFC North Divisional title is on the line Sunday night between the Vikings and Packers. We played on them last week and they burnt us badly as they were demolished in Arizona but we will be backing them again this week at home. Minnesota meanwhile destroyed the Giants last Sunday night in a game the Giants had nothing to play for so these two recent results is keeping this line at a manageable number. This game is nothing new for Green Bay as it will play for the NFC North title in the regular-season finale for a third straight season after winning the first two. It has been an up and down season for the Packers and despite two home losses, they actually won the yardage battle in those games. The offense has looked shaky as Aaron Rodgers has at times looked uncomfortable but this is the stage he loves as he has never lost a home divisional game when coming off a loss and facing an opponent that is coming off a victory. They also have a great situation on their side as we play on favorites in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off a road loss. This situation is 33-13 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (326) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the RAIDERS for our NFL Game of the Week. We played against the Chiefs last week and will do so again this week as they continue to be overvalued. Sure, Kansas City has won nine straight games but has done so in ugly fashion as it has outgained only one opponent by more than 82 yards and the Chiefs have actually been outgained in four of their last five games. While there is more on the line for Kansas City, this is a big game for Oakland as a win would put the Raiders at 8-8 for the first time since 2011. On the season, Oakland is getting outgained by just 23.2 ypg and of their eight losses, four have come by less than what it is getting here. Additionally, the Raiders have the benefit of extra rest following their last game which was last Thursday. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 or more ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5 ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 46-15 ATS (75.4 percent) since 1983. Additionally, the Raiders are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points while the Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (315) Oakland Raiders

There are four home underdogs this Sunday with three of those road favorites that have playoff positions and/or seedings on the line. Because of what is at stake, the linesmakers have to make bigger than normal adjustments which is typically the case during the final week of the regular season. The Rams are the lone road favorite with no playoff implications but their upset win last Sunday at Seattle coupled with the season long problems for San Francisco has put them in a rare road favorite role. St. Louis has won and covered three straight games while the 49ers have lost three in a row both straight up and against the number putting the home team in a great contrarian spot here. The real kicker is that despite the three straight victories, the Rams were outgained in all three games and have been outgained in seven straight games. San Francisco meanwhile has won the yardage battle in its last three home games. Here, we play against favorites after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 59-27 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1983. Additionally, the Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last six games off a win against a division rival. 10* (330) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the BEARS for our Sunday Enforcer. Detroit has won two straight games and five of its last seven and it could be even better if not for that Green Bay successful Hail Mary a few weeks back. The Lions are just 2-5 on the road after finishing .500 at home. Chicago is coming off a win at Tampa Bay last week to bring in an identical 6-9 record as the Lions in a fight to stay out of the NFC North basement. We are catching a smaller than anticipated line because the Bears are just 1-6 at home including losses in four straight. Those all came by three points or less or in overtime, three coming against teams that will be in the postseason. The Bears will be out for some major payback as they have lost the last five meetings in this series. Additionally, they will look to avoid back-to-back double-digit losing seasons for the first time since 1999-2000. Chicago falls into a great situation as we play against underdogs or pickems that are allowing 24 or more ppg, after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 35-14 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Chicago Bears

There are four home underdogs this Sunday with three of those road favorites that have playoff positions and/or seedings on the line. Because of what is at stake, the linesmakers have to make bigger than normal adjustments which is typically the case during the final week of the regular season. The Jets are coming off a huge win last week against the Patriots and a win here gets them into the playoffs. This line is inflated because of that as New York is 4-3 on the road while the Bills bring in an identical home record. While it was a disappointing season for Buffalo, getting back to .500 would be a solid achievement and of course, Rex Ryan would like nothing more than to prevent his former employers from making into the playoffs. Additionally, we play against favorites that are coming off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a losing home record while the Bills are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Buffalo Bills

There are four home underdogs this Sunday with three of those road favorites that have playoff positions and/or seedings on the line. Because of what is at stake, the linesmakers have to make bigger than normal adjustments which is typically the case during the final week of the regular season. The Patriots lost last week in New York to prevent them from clinching home field advantage throughout the playoffs but a win in Miami still gets them that goal. Winning and covering are two different things however. New England is clearly the superior team in this matchup but that has been the case for a while in this series yet the Patriots have struggled here the last three years including two outright losses and a win by just seven points. Miami would like the season on a high note and snap a three-game skid. New England was favored by just four points more at home against Tennessee which shows the overinflation of this number. Miami falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on home underdogs or pickems after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (306) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on ARKANSAS for our Bowl Game of Year. Surprisingly, there have been three teams this bowl season that entered with five wins and won their bowl game, San Jose St., Minnesota and Nebraska. I do not see that happening for Kansas St., not even close. I consider them a five-win team because one win came against South Dakota of the FCS and another came against 0-12 Kansas so the six wins are skewed. It would be a great way to end the career of head coach Bill Snyder but this is a horrible matchup for the Wildcats. And it still may not even be his last year because rumors are swirling he wants to come back for one more season. Arkansas was supposed to have a breakout season but instead, finished 7-5 no thanks to early losses against Toledo, Texas Tech and Texas A&M. The Razorbacks did go on to win sic of their last eight games however, one loss coming against Alabama and the other coming against Mississippi St. by just one point. Three of those victories came on the road at Tennessee, Mississippi and LSU so those were definitely quality wins. The offense really got things going late in the season and the Razorbacks finished 2nd in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency while on the other side of the ball, Kansas St. finished 75th in adjusted defensive efficiency so it will be a complete mismatch. The Wildcats offense also finished 75th so those are two horrible rankings for a supposed bowl team. Arkansas was not a great defensive team but the only team that lit it up in regulation was Mississippi St. as three of their games went into overtime. Arkansas has a great situation on its side as we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points that are coming off a win by three points or less over a conference rival, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 28-4 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (276) Arkansas Razorbacks

Oklahoma St. had a chance to run the table in the Big XII after a 10-0 start but was gashed at home against Baylor and two different backup quarterbacks before getting annihilated against Oklahoma, also at home, to end the regular season. I don't see how this team can get up even though it is a major bowl game. And even if the Cowboys do, they are going to have a tough time stopping the Mississippi offense. The Rebels are ranked 10th in total offense and 12th in scoring offense, racking up 514.8 ypg and 40.3 ppg respectively. They are balanced and the running game will be a huge advantage here as they really picked things up the last five games since the return of Laremy Tunsil on the offensive line. Oklahoma St. is ranked 83rd against the run with 185.3 ypg allowed and gave up 344 to the Sooners in their last game. The Rebels amassed 200 or more yards in three of those final five games. Oklahoma St. has an explosive offense but the Rebels match up well. We saw a similar outcome on Tuesday when LSU, which has a similar defense, held another spread offense, Texas Tech, to just 27 points and 399 total yards. The Rebels will be without defensive tackle Robert Nkemdiche which is a tough loss but there is plenty more talent on that side of the ball. The Cowboys quarterback situation is sticky as starting quarterback Mason Rudolph missed most of the Oklahoma game because of a foot injury which required surgery. He is questionable and is far from 100 percent. 10* (271) Mississippi Rebels

This game has the look and the feel of an ugly low scoring game which some people prefer. It looks pretty attractive to me considering this total is relatively high for this matchup and has actually gone up slightly since opening. The offenses have put up a ton of points this season on both sides but those came against some very poor defenses and mismatches. Iowa comes in with the 21st ranked total defense while Stanford comes in with the 46th ranked total defense. The Hawkeyes play a base defense and play it very well as they are in the top 25 nationally in rush defense, total defense and scoring defense. Going back, the Stanford offense struggles the majority of the time against Big Ten defenses. The Stanford defense is not as good but the Hawkeyes offense is not as good as the numbers it has put up as it has faced five defenses ranked 100th or worse. I don't see them having much success here. Both teams fall into two great under situations. First, we play the under involving two teams from major conferences on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 23-4 (85.2 percent) to the under the last 10 seasons. Second, we play the under where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better in major bowl games played in January. This situation is 52-20 (72.2 percent) to the under since 1992. 10* Under (269) Iowa Hawkeyes/(270) Stanford Cardinal

Entering the Fiesta Bowl, Ohio St. comes in ranked 28th in scoring offense with 35.0 ppg while Notre Dame comes in 31st in scoring offense with 34.8 ppg. The defenses have been great on both sides, more so for the Buckeyes but this game has the feel that the offenses will be able to run the table. One big reason for this is the coaching as we have two great offensive minds and with so much time to prepare, it only adds to it. Starting with Notre Dame, its offensive balance (215.6 ypg rushing/256.3 ypg passing) has been an asset all season long and it can keep the Buckeyes defense off balance. One huge edge for the Fighting Irish offense is that Ohio St. is missing two senior starting defensive tackles as Tommy Schutt is out with an injury while Adolphus Washington has been suspended. Notre Dame running back could be back after missing the last game against Stanford which would be a big boost. On the other side, Ohio St. has been relying on the run but don't surprised to see Urban Meyer chance that here as air it our more as the injuries to the Notre Dame secondary makes it a huge weakness. While the Buckeyes have been a big under team this season, most of those took place at home and going back, they 8-1 to the over in their last nine games away from home against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg while going 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games with a total between 56.5 and 63. Meanwhile Notre Dame is 6-0 to the over in its last six games following an ATS loss. 10* Over (267) Notre Dame Fighting Irish/(268) Ohio St. Buckeyes

Not many seem to giving Michigan St. a chance in this game and the line is telling us a similar story but the Spartans match up pretty well with Alabama and have a legitimate shot at an upset as long as they do not shoot themselves in the foot. The Crimson Tide have one of the best defenses ever under head coach Nick Saban and that is saying a lot as there have been some outstanding stop units in Tuscaloosa. Slowing down the penetration of the Alabama defensive line is critical for the Spartans they have the talent on their offensive line to do so. That will help quarterback Conner Cook, who has declared himself as 100 percent healthy, be able to stay in the pocket and create some plays downfield. On the other side, Derrick Henry is a beast, but Alabama's offense plays into the hands of Michigan St.'s defense as the Spartans want you to run the ball because their defensive weakness is in the secondary. Alabama quarterback has done a solid job of running the offense but he has not been asked to make big plays in key situations and has not been a downfield threat all season. Michigan St. falls into a solid contrarian situation where we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 125 or fewer rushing ypg, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. This situation is 53-25 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Michigan St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games against teams allowing 3.25 ypc or less and 7-0 ATS in its last seven games away from home against teams with a winning percentage of .7500 or better. 10* (259) Michigan St. Spartans

This line opened anywhere from -1 to -3 pretty much across the board and now we are seeing a minimum of -3.5 everywhere as of early Tuesday. That is the number we wanted and will hit it with Clemson getting at least a hook over the key number. These are two of the best offenses in the country as Oklahoma is ranked 6th in total offense with Clemson coming in 11th in total offense, the difference being just over 30 ypg. Both teams are extremely balanced and have the ability to score anywhere from the field so there is no huge advantage either way. Defensively, Clemson is better by 54.5 ypg and there is a pretty big intangible involved here where the Sooners numbers are skewed. They won at Baylor and at home against TCU against backup quarterbacks and they won those by just 11 points combined. They rolled over Oklahoma St. in their final game but still allowed 457 total yards. Clemson has the 7th ranked passing efficiency defense and 23rd in rushing defense so the Tigers are balanced on that side of the ball as well. They defeated North Carolina by just eight points in the ACC Championship but completely dominated the yardage battle and held the Tar Heels to more than 100 yards below their season average. Some will point to motivation for the Sooners after getting thumped last season 40-6 in the Russell Athletic Bowl but that has no bearing here as motivation is not an issue on either side and one team will not be more motivated than the other. This line should be more around a pickem so we will grab the inflated number here. 10* (262) Clemson Tigers

Prior to the two playoff games New Year's Eve, we have a solid matchup in the afternoon featuring Houston against Florida St. The Cougars were looking to crash the party but a loss at Connecticut knocked them out of any chance to think about a playoff berth. Still, they got a solid bowl against a solid opponent and while their offense has been potent, they will have a tough time here. Florida St. comes in ranked 16th in the nation in total defense and 5th in scoring defense and Houston has struggled against good defenses. It was held to 17 points against Connecticut and 24 points against Temple and those defenses are ranked 16th and 17th in scoring defense respectively. The Seminoles aren't going to scare anyone with their offense as taking out games against Texas St. and Chattanooga where they scored 59 and 52 points, their scoring averages drops from 32.3 ppg to 27.7 ppg which would put it 74th in the country. Houston typically is known for playing poor defense but the Cougars are 53rd overall and a very solid 20th in scoring defense, allowing just 20.5 ppg. This was a good one to wait out as the total has risen a couple points from opening. Both teams fall into a great low scoring bowl situation as we play the under in bowl games between teams from major conferences with winning percentages of .800 or better where the total is between 49.5 and 56. This situation is 46-16 (74.2 percent) to the under since 1992. 10* Under (257) Houston Cougars/(258) Florida St. Seminoles

This spread has shifted over a touchdown as Louisville has gone from a three-point underdog to a 4.5-point favorite which makes the side play unplayable at this point. The reason for the swing is because of Aggies quarterbacks Kyle Allen and Kyler Murray deciding to transfer out with Jake Hubenak taking over as the starter. While this hurts them to win and/or cover, it helps the under which has come down only three points. It is going to be difficult for the offense to get anything going as in his first season since transferring from Blinn College, Hubenak made four appearances and went 12 of 27 for 92 yards with one touchdown. Louisville played solid on defense this season and should prosper here. On the other side, the Aggies boasted a very strong defense as they finished 28th in points allowed and were exceptionally good against the pass, allowing just 161.2 ypg, good for 4th in the nation. They match up well here against a Louisville offense that did nothing from the start. The Cardinals problems stem from youth as the offense has used two true freshman tackles, a true freshman quarterback, three true freshman wide receivers, a redshirt freshman tight end and a redshirt freshman guard. It has been reported that during bowl practices, Louisville basically reinstalled its offense which is not a good sign for success. Louisville is 7-0 to the under in its last seven games away from home after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in its previous game while the under is 6-2 in the Aggies last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* Under (253) Louisville Cardinals/(254) Texas A&M Aggies

This bowl, going back to the days of the Continental Tire Bowl and the Meineke Car Care Bowl, has produced some high scoring games and I project another one this season in the fifth edition of the Belk Bowl. It has been a mixed bag of over/unders for both NC State and Mississippi St. but the matchup between the two should produce some big offensive numbers. We have two exceptional quarterbacks taking the field today as the Wolfpack's Jacoby Brissett threw for 2,448 yards with 19 touchdowns and just four interceptions while the Bulldogs Dak Prescott threw for 3,413 yards with 25 touchdowns and also just four interceptions. Overall, NC State has scored 34 or more points in eight of its 12 games and while the defense has put up some solid numbers, a lot of that is who it played against. When facing good offenses, the defense yielded 45, 34 and 56 points and the Bulldogs can take advantage as they fall into that category. Their defense is not nearly as good however, especially of late as Mississippi St. gave up 31, 50 and 38 points over its last three games. Prior to that, the Bulldogs played very poor offenses. We should see some big plays from both sides and because of that, this relatively smaller than expected total won't be an issue. The over is 11-3-1 in the Wolfpack's last 15 games following an ATS loss while the over is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last four games following a straight up loss. 10* Over (251) NC State Wolfpack/(252) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This was by far the worst season offensively under Gus Malzahn at Auburn as they finished 77th in the country with 27.2 ppg, and 95th in the nation with 367.3 ypg. A lot of that can be blamed on the fact that the Tigers were never able to find consistency from the quarterback position which continues here. Auburn has yet to name a starting quarterback in this game and while that could be a disadvantage for Memphis because of preparation, it is really telling us that the quarterback situation is a mess for Auburn. Defensively, Auburn was just as bad as it had one of its worst years in recent memory as it finished 91st in total defense and will surely struggle against this Memphis offense that is ranked 12th in yardage and sixth in points scored. Quarterback Paxton Lynch had a great season, throwing for 3,670 yards and 28 touchdowns and just three picks so there is a clear advantage at that position for Memphis. Additionally, defensive coordinator will Muschamp will not be coaching as he headed to South Carolina which further complicates matter for Auburn. Head coach Justin Fuente has moved on to Virginia Tech but there should not be much continuity lost as Darrell Dickey will be the interim head coach and he has been with Fuente during all four years at Memphis as the co-offensive coordinator so the offense will not suffer. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg, after allowing 14 points or less last game. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (249) Memphis Tigers

It was a great start to the season for LSU as it was ranked second in the initial College Football Playoff rankings but then faced Alabama and was dominated in the trenches. That was the first of three straight losses but the Tigers defeated Texas A&M in their season finale which saved head coach Les Miles' job. While the season long goals have been lost, a win here is big to gain momentum going into next year while proving that keeping Miles was the smart move and the Tigers should no issues rolling in this matchup. Motivation should be pretty high for Texas Tech as well but motivation can only go so far when matchups are at a huge disadvantage. The Red Raiders test their second-ranked offense against a top-25 defense that is fast and athletic. The Tigers as mentioned struggled against Alabama while also struggling against a similar style in Arkansas but match up well against a spread offense as witnessed in the game against Texas A&M. The Red Raiders rank 126th out of 127 FBS teams in total defense, including giving up 273.3 ypg on the ground which is ranked 126th. That is where LSU is going to control the game as the running game behind Leonard Fournette will have a field day. Fournette rushed for 1,741 yards this year and his only bad games were the three losses but those were against rushing defenses ranked 1st, 16th and 28th. The Red Raiders allowed Texas to run for 403 yards on 8.4 ypc in their season finale and will get gashed again here. 10* (248) LSU Tigers

We should see a highly motivated North Carolina team on Tuesday despite a tough finish to the season. North Carolina was picked to finish No. 5 in the Coastal Division after a 6-7 record in 2014 but the Tar Heels went undefeated in the ACC and lost a tough one against Clemson in the ACC Championship. The offense will be the key here as the Tar Heels ranked No. 20 in total offense, and actually led the Bears in yards per play (7.33 to 7.25). Quarterback Marquise Williams had a great season but was overshadowed by Deshaun Watson from Clemson and he presents big problems for Baylor as he is a duel threat signal caller. He has a bevy of receivers to throw the ball to and he also has Elijah Wood in the backfield who was a First Team All-ACC back after putting up 1,345 yards and 17 touchdowns. Baylor sophomore quarterback Chris Johnson has been clearly to play but he is far from the same player as Seth Russell and Jarrett Stidham. Johnson has thrown for 220 yards and three touchdowns but his completion percentage is just 39.5 percent. Not only that but the Bears will be without Biletnikoff winner Corey Coleman. He has been by far the most targeted receiver as he has 34 percent of receptions, 37 percent of receiving yards and 74 percent of touchdown receptions. Additionally, All-Big XII running back Shock Linwood has been downgraded to doubtful. We have seen the line shift the other way but it is the right move and will not come into play. 10* (244) North Carolina Tar Heels

There have been a large number of shootouts in the early bowl games and we should see another starting out on Tuesday. We have contrasting styles on offense going against each other here in the Armed Forces Bowl and both units have excellent matchups against the opposing defenses. California brings in the 9th ranked offense in the country including ranking fourth in passing offense and while the Air Force defense has been solid overall, the Falcons have struggled against the pass, allowing 8.4 ypa away from home and they haven't been overly tested in those games. The Golden Bears are ranked 110th in total yards including 104th in rushing defense so Air Force will have no issues moving the ball and that sets up the possibility of big plays through the air. While they do not throw it much, the Falcons are ranked 2nd in the nation in yards per completion at 21.23. California has allowed a gaudy 261 ypg on 5.7 ypc on the ground away from home this season so we should see some big plays. Air Force has been a big over team this season, surpassing the total in eight of 12 games. California has been a surprising under team this season based on the stats but the totals have been inflated in a lot of cases. The Golden Bears are 22-7-1 to the over in their last 30 non-conference games while the Falcons are 20-7 to the over in their last 27 games after covering the spread in three of their last four games. 10* Over (241) Air Force Falcons/(242) California Golden Bears

Playoff implications are on the line tonight in Denver for both the Broncos and Bengals. Because of the Steelers loss yesterday, Cincinnati clinched the AFC North and still has a fighting chance for a No. 1 seed. While it may have been unheard of a few weeks ago, but the Broncos can actually miss the playoffs. That means this game means even more to Denver which can clinch a playoff berth with a win but would fall behind the Chiefs and Jets to No. 6 with a loss. Denver could finish anywhere from the top seed at 12-4 to out of the playoffs if the Steelers also finish 10-6 which is very possible as they play Cleveland next week. After three consecutive victories, the Broncos have dropped two straight despite winning the yardage battle in both. As a matter of fact, Denver has won the yardage battle in all five games quarterback Brock Osweiler has started. The Bengals won in San Francisco last Sunday and heading out west again puts them in a tough spot. This will be the first real test for quarterback A.J. McCarron who was solid against the 49ers, ranked last in ypa, but now faces a Broncos defense ranked first in that category. Denver falls into a great situation where we play on favorites in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off a road loss. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Denver is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games following a loss. 10* (132) Denver Broncos

12 of the first 18 bowl games have gone over the total but we should start Monday with a low scoring game in the Military Bowl from Annapolis. We have a few factors on our side as both are slower paced teams and both prefer to run the ball more than they pass it. That is a pretty obvious statement for Navy but Pittsburgh is more of a running team as they rush it close to 60 percent of the time. It is important to keep the running game going which will give the Panthers an edge, or remaining close to even in time of possession so they do not wear down. Giving up only about 21.3 ppg, the Midshipmen rank 26th in the nation in scoring defense and Pittsburgh is not far back, allowing 24.6 ppg. Both teams fall into the same situation where we play the under in the second half of the season involving teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in a game involving two teams that are +/- 50 ypg in differential, in non-conference games. This situation is 44-14 (75.9 percent) to the under the last 10 seasons. The teams are a combined 8-4 to the under when the total is between 48.5 and 55 while Navy is 25-8 to the under in its last 33 games against averaging 2 or more timer possession minutes while Pittsburgh is 27-11 to the under in its last 38 games away from home following a straight up loss. 10* Under (237) Pittsburgh Panthers/(238) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the PACKERS for our Sunday Star Attraction. The Cardinals are still in position to claim the No. 1 seed in the NFC but they need to win out while the Panthers would have to lose their final two games. Still, Arizona has clinched the division and can clinch a first round bye with a win here but Green Bay is not going to just roll over. The Packers have won three straight games to overtake the Vikings in the NFC North by a game and have clinched a playoff spot no matter what happens the rest of the season. The Packers still have a shot at a first round bye and they obviously have to win here to keep the hope alive going into Week 17. It's no surprise that the Cardinals have one of the best rushing defenses in the league, but their passing defense has been at the middle of the pack. Last week, the Cardinals defense suffered a huge blow when they lost safety Tyrann Mathieu for the season to a torn ACL. That is a big edge for Green Bay which has to tale advantage of the Arizona secondary. The passing game is part of a solid situation for Green Bay as we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 5.9 and 6.7 ypa going up against teams allowing between 5.9 and 6.7 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less ypa in two straight games. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. Additionally, the Packers are 40-18-1 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Cardinals have failed to cover their last four games against winning teams. 10* (125) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the BROWNS for our NFL Game of the week. Kansas City is the first team in NFL history to lose five games in a row and then go on an eight-game winning streak and as impressive as that sounds, I am far from sold. The Chiefs have been outgained in three of their last four games including getting out-totaled last week in Baltimore by 89 yards despite a 20-point win. Turnovers have been the difference and those are nearly impossible to handicap and the turnover differentials puts Kansas City into a negative situation as explained later. Cleveland is coming off a blowout loss at Seattle last week but it was in a no win situation there as the Seahawks are starting to peak while the Browns were coming off three straight home games. The Chiefs have been double-digit home favorites twice this season and they failed to cover both times, losing one outright against the Bears. The turnover situation as mentioned is to play on road underdogs or pickems after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 69-33 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Additionally, Cleveland is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while going 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. 10* (117) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the FALCONS for our Sunday Enforcer. As the public loads up on Carolina, we will gladly go against the Panthers again this week as they are in a situation that playing against undefeated teams this late in the season has performed exceptional. We played against Carolina last week and we were rewarded by a Giants massive comeback and late cover which was the second straight road game the Panthers won by just a field goal. While a win clinched the No. 1 seed in the NFC, the game is just as big for the Falcons, if not bigger. While the chances are slim, Atlanta is still alive for the second Wild Card spot in the NFC but it does need help along the way. The Falcons snapped a six-game losing streak with a win last week against Jacksonville. Four of those losses came by four points or fewer so the streak was arguably skewed. The good news is that this is an early game and the team they are chasing, the Vikings, do not play until Sunday night. This is a big revenge game as well for Atlanta which got hammered at Carolina just two weeks ago 38-0. Teams that are undefeated after 13 or more games have covered just once in 13 games going back close to 40 year. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 6.0 or more yppl in two consecutive games while the Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (110) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the JETS for our Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Do the Patriots really deserve to be favored here? Records will say yes as will the public backing but the fact of the matter is that the Jets are arguably just as good as New England at this stage of the season. New York has won four straight games to move up in the playoff standings and on the season, it is outgaining opponents by close to 50 ypg. The Patriots meanwhile are outgaining opponents by 67.6 ypg which is not far off from the Jets. New England is a win away from clinching the top spot in the AFC which is surely a big deal but the Jets are fighting for a playoff spot as they are currently on the outside looking in. That is a tough pill to swallow considering the Jets have won four straight games but slipped from the AFC's sixth seed down to its seventh on account of Pittsburgh's triumph over Denver, which gave the Steelers a tie-breaking superior record against common opponents. New England has a negative situation on its side as we play against road favorites that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) since 1983. New England is 0-6 ATS in it last six games after allowing 16 points or fewer in its last game while the Jets have covered four of their last five games against winning teams. 10* (122) New York Jets

This is a play on the RAVENS for our Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Steelers are surging as they have overtaken the Jets in the AFC Wild Card race thanks to a win over Denver last week. Pittsburgh has now won three straight games and the offense continues to pile up the points as it has scored 30 or more points in six straight games, five of which resulted in victories. But with that comes a price to pay as the Steelers are now massive road favorites over their biggest rival and it is definitely an overadjustment. Baltimore has been out of the playoff picture for a while now and are banged up all over the place but if there is one game it wants to win, this is certainly the one. This is the Ravens Super Bowl and they would like nothing more than to squash the Steelers playoff hopes. Despite losses in four of six games, the Ravens have won the yardage battle four times including in three of those losses and they have a shot to win the stats again this week. With nothing to lose, the Ravens should take plenty of shots deep with Kamar Aiken and Chris Givens regardless of who is playing quarterback. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season that are averaging between 23 and 27 ppg going up against teams allowing between 23 and 27 ppg, after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 55-28 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (130) Baltimore Ravens

We waited on this game for a few reasons, the most important being waiting for a line move but unfortunately that did not come. However, that actually bodes well in this case as while we are not seeing a reverse line move, we are seeing no line movement despite the Redskins getting pounded the public. This is an elimination game for Philadelphia as a loss means it is done while a win means that it is back into a first place tie in the NFC East and then control its own destiny. If the Redskins lose Saturday, they can still make the playoffs by beating the Cowboys next week at AT&T Stadium but would need the Eagles to lose to the Giants as well. The Redskins have won two straight games, the first time all season they have won consecutive games and one of those came at home where they finished 6-2 but are just 1-5 on the highway. The Eagles home field edge has not been great this season for sure but they fall into a great situation where we play on home teams in a game involving two teams averaging between 335 and 370 ypg, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 49-28 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Washington is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in its previous game while Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games after allowing 35 points or more last game. 10* (104) Philadelphia Eagles

Indiana is playing its first bowl game since 2007 and searching for its first bowl win since the 1991 Copper Bowl. If that isn't a motivator, I don't know what is. The Hoosiers finished just 6-6 on the season but they played a lot better than the record shows. They opened the season 4-0 and while the only good win was against Western Kentucky, it put them in place to get ot the postseason. Indiana went on to lose six straight games, five against elite teams, and that includes losses against Ohio St., Iowa and Michigan by 7, 8 and 7 points and those teams finished a combined 32-5. The Hoosiers needed two wins to close the season to become bowl eligible and they did just that with blowout wins over Maryland and Purdue, both on the road. While they were outgained overall on the season, they were not outgained as much as Duke was. The improbable loss against Miami took the wind out of the Blue Devils sails as that started a four-game losing streak and the final three losses were bad ones. They did defeat Wake Forest on the road to end the season but that was by just six points. Duke should have some success a poor Indiana defense but the key here is on the other side where Indiana averaged 490.8 ypg, good for 17th in the nation and best in the Big Ten by a substantial amount. Balance is the key as Indiana averaged over 200 ypg on the ground and over 285 ypg through the air. Duke finished 46th in total defense and 45th in scoring defense, pretty decent but not good enough to stop the Hoosiers offense. 10* (231) Indiana Hoosiers

Washington St. was picked by many to finish at or near the bottom of the Pac 12 North but the Cougars had an awesome season with an 8-4 record, their most wins since 2003. And it could have been better. They opened the season with an inexcusable loss against Portland St. of the FCS but bounced back strong. Losses against California and Stanford were by just six and two points respectively and some of the wins were quality as they defeated Oregon, Arizona, Arizona St. and UCLA. Washington St. did get hammered in the Apple Cup against Washington as it lost by 35 points but I expect that to be a huge motivator against Miami. The Hurricanes also finished 8-4 and they closed the season 4-1 after head coach Al Golden was fired. Three of those wins were by six points or less and all against teams not as good as Washington St. Miami was horrible on defense for most of the season and they will be in trouble here and you have to look at two games to prove that. The Hurricanes allowed 58 points to Clemson and 59 points to North Carolina, two of the best offenses they faced and Washington St. is ranked right up there with them. With a new coach coming in after this game, motivation could be in question for the Hurricanes but on the other side, Washington St. hasn't won a bowl game since defeating Texas in the Holiday Bowl in 2003 so motivation will not be an issue for the Cougars. 10* (228) Washington St. Cougars